@article {pmid39256083,
year = {2024},
author = {Ai, Z and Zhao, X and Boulange, J and Li, F and Mahmood, R and Zhang, Q and Yang, Y and Xia, J},
title = {How will climate change affect the sources of global irrigation water withdrawal?.},
journal = {Science bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.scib.2024.08.032},
pmid = {39256083},
issn = {2095-9281},
}
@article {pmid39252030,
year = {2024},
author = {Moraca, S and Indinnimeo, L and De Nuntiis, P},
title = {Risk perceptions of Italian paediatricians for the impact of climate change on children's health.},
journal = {Italian journal of pediatrics},
volume = {50},
number = {1},
pages = {170},
pmid = {39252030},
issn = {1824-7288},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Italy ; *Pediatricians/psychology ; *Child Health ; Male ; Female ; Child ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Risk Assessment ; Middle Aged ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUNDS: This study delves into the risk perceptions of Italian pediatricians concerning climate change's impact on children's health. Given children's heightened vulnerability to climate-related health risks, comprehending these perceptions is crucial. A review of pertinent literature establishes the framework, emphasizing six key factors influencing children's susceptibility to climate-related health hazards.<br><br>METHODS: Methodologically, the study utilized a survey tool developed collaboratively with the Italian Society of Pediatrics (SIP), garnering responses from a representative sample of Italian pediatricians.<br><br>RESULTS: Findings indicate a high level of awareness among respondents regarding climate change and its health implications, with a majority attributing it primarily to human activity. Pediatricians recognize various current and anticipated health impacts of climate change, notably concerning illnesses linked to outdoor air quality. Despite acknowledging their role in addressing climate-related health concerns, respondents also cite barriers to engagement, including time constraints and knowledge gaps. However, they express interest in resources like professional training and policy statements to bolster their capacity for effective communication and advocacy.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Comparisons with prior studies highlight the consistency of findings across diverse contexts and underscore the significance of integrating climate and environmental health education into medical training. Overall, this study sheds light on pediatricians' perspectives in tackling the convergence of climate change and children's health, pinpointing avenues for enhancing their involvement in climate advocacy and mitigation efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39250970,
year = {2024},
author = {Jakubska-Busse, A and Wysocki, A and Domagała, PJ and Brudzińska-Kosior, A and Sporek, M and Kosior, G},
title = {Expanding the boundaries in the face of global warming: A lesson from genetic and ecological niche studies of Centaurium erythraea in Europe.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {953},
number = {},
pages = {176134},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176134},
pmid = {39250970},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change affects plant species, especially those with restricted ecology and distribution. Centaurium erythraea is a flowering plant species in the Gentianaceae family, native to Europe, with its centre of diversity in the Mediterranean and western Asia. Of the 11 infraspecific taxa distinct from C. erythraea, only two are common in Europe: C. erythraea subsp. erythraea (widespread nominal subspecies) and C. erythraea subsp. majus (mainly distributed in the western Mediterranean region). Freshly collected samples of 36 plants from 11 localities across Lower Silesia (Central Europe) were utilised for taxonomic and genetic analysis. The barcode sequences of chloroplast DNA region matK were used for molecular analysis. Data deposited in GenBank was also used. Five haplotypes were identified among the analysed specimens. Species Distribution Modelling (SDM) techniques were applied to predict the current and future (short- and long-term projections) potential distribution of C. erythraea subsp. majus and to identify the most influential climatic factors. Despite the typical Mediterranean distribution, the presence of C. erythraea subsp. majus outside its natural range in SW Poland has been confirmed by morphological and genetic studies. The mean monthly precipitation of the wettest quarter and the mean daily temperatures of the warmest quarter were identified as the key climatic factors. Short-term scenarios suggest that C. erythraea subsp. majus will maintain most of its current suitable habitats and potentially expand into the lowlands of Central Europe. However, long-term projections indicate a potential reduction in its currently suitable areas, especially in the southern parts of its range, with a possible expansion into north-western Europe. The results of these studies provide clear evidence of the impact of ongoing climate change on species range changes. These findings suggest that climate change may create new opportunities for Mediterranean species to spread to new regions, using C. erythraea subsp. majus as an example.},
}
@article {pmid39250852,
year = {2024},
author = {Bashir, MF and Sharif, A and Staniewski, MW and Ma, B and Zhao, W},
title = {Environmental taxes, energy transition and sustainable environmental technologies: A comparative OECD region climate change analysis.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {370},
number = {},
pages = {122304},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122304},
pmid = {39250852},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The integrated economic reforms in recent years have transformed human life, however, the subsequent rise in environmental challenges necessitates sustainable development goals to ensure net-zero transformation. Within the context of modern energy, economic, and environmental transformation, we deliberate how environmental taxes, energy transition, and sustainable environmental innovation impact climate change in 38 OECD economies. Our robust empirical investigation allows us to report that environmental taxation, sustainable environmental technology, and energy transition lower but GDP and trade openness exacerbate ecological challenges. We also divide the dataset in G7 and the rest of the OECD groups to document the varying impact of environmental policies within OECD economies. Our econometric analysis helps us report novel policy frameworks to solve climate challenges under the UN SDG agenda.},
}
@article {pmid39250718,
year = {2024},
author = {Polo, G and Gamarra, J and Robayo-Sánchez, LN and Cortés-Vecino, JA and Ramírez-Hernández, A},
title = {Impact of climate change on the geographical distribution of ticks of public health significance in Colombia: Amblyomma ovale (Ixodida: Ixodidae), the Amblyomma maculatum (Ixodida: Ixodidae) complex and the Amblyomma cajennense (Ixodida: Ixodidae) complex.},
journal = {Journal of medical entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jme/tjae100},
pmid = {39250718},
issn = {1938-2928},
abstract = {Ticks of the Amblyomma maculatum (Ixodida Ixodidae) complex, the Amblyomma cajennense (Ixodida Ixodidae) complex and Amblyomma ovale (Ixodida Ixodidae) are known to transmit various Rickettsia species in Colombia, but their exact distribution is unknown. We built several models based on current climate and projected future climate changes using a maximum entropy approach. A total of 314 records of the A. cajennense complex (65.9%; n = 207), A. ovale (22.9%; n = 72), and the A. maculatum complex (11.1%; n = 35) were obtained. Amblyomma ovale has a current distribution in the Pacific, Caribbean and Andean regions and could be potentially found in the Amazon. Amblyomma maculatum has a current distribution in the Andean and could potentially be found in the Caribbean and Orinoco regions. Amblyomma mixtum can be found near the Caribbean Sea and in the Pacific region, and A. patinoi is likely to be found in the Andean region and the Caribbean. In 2070, it will be possible to find an expansion of A. ovale and A. maculatum and a decrease of A. mixtum and A. patinoi. The variables that best predict the distribution of these species are isothermality (small fluctuations in temperature) and annual precipitation. Amblyomma cajennense s.l and A. ovale, A. cajennese s.l and A. patinoi, as well as A. maculatum and A. patinoi, have an important environmental sympatry. Epidemiological and acarological surveillance is crucial to investigate rickettsiosis caused by R. parkeri in A. ovale regions, by R. rickettsii in A. patinoi and A. mixtum areas, and by R. parkeri s.s in A. maculatum regions.},
}
@article {pmid39249146,
year = {2024},
author = {Kaur, R and Gupta, S and Tripathi, V and Bharadwaj, A},
title = {Unravelling the secrets of soil microbiome and climate change for sustainable agroecosystems.},
journal = {Folia microbiologica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39249146},
issn = {1874-9356},
abstract = {The soil microbiota exhibits an important function in the ecosystem, and its response to climate change is of paramount importance for sustainable agroecosystems. The macronutrients, micronutrients, and additional constituents vital for the growth of plants are cycled biogeochemically under the regulation of the soil microbiome. Identifying and forecasting the effect of climate change on soil microbiomes and ecosystem services is the need of the hour to address one of the biggest global challenges of the present time. The impact of climate change on the structure and function of the soil microbiota is a major concern, explained by one or more sustainability factors around resilience, reluctance, and rework. However, the past research has revealed that microbial interventions have the potential to regenerate soils and improve crop resilience to climate change factors. The methods used therein include using soil microbes' innate capacity for carbon sequestration, rhizomediation, bio-fertilization, enzyme-mediated breakdown, phyto-stimulation, biocontrol of plant pathogens, antibiosis, inducing the antioxidative defense pathways, induced systemic resistance response (ISR), and releasing volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in the host plant. Microbial phytohormones have a major role in altering root shape in response to exposure to drought, salt, severe temperatures, and heavy metal toxicity and also have an impact on the metabolism of endogenous growth regulators in plant tissue. However, shelf life due to the short lifespan and storage time of microbial formulations is still a major challenge, and efforts should be made to evaluate their effectiveness in crop growth based on climate change. This review focuses on the influence of climate change on soil physico-chemical status, climate change adaptation by the soil microbiome, and its future implications.},
}
@article {pmid39249123,
year = {2024},
author = {Meliho, M and Orlando, CA and Dallahi, Y},
title = {Spatiotemporal modeling of the potential impact of climate change on shifts in bioclimatic zones in Morocco.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {10},
pages = {907},
pmid = {39249123},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {Morocco ; *Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring ; Ecosystem ; Climate Models ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Forests ; },
abstract = {This study aims to contribute to the understanding of the impact of climate change on bioclimatic zones in Morocco, providing insights into potential shifts and emphasizing the need for adaptation measures to protect vulnerable species and ecosystems. To achieve this, we utilized eight general circulation models (GCMs) to simulate climate conditions under two representative concentration scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for two future time points (2050 and 2070). The modeling of bioclimatic zone shifts was accomplished through the implementation of the random forest (RF) algorithm. Our findings indicate that the subhumid and humid areas are expected to experience the most significant shifts, particularly toward the semi-arid zone. Shifts from subhumid to semi-arid were the most pronounced, ranging from 17.91% (RCP8.5 in 2070) to 25.68% (RCP8.5 in 2050), while shifts from humid to semi-arid ranged from 10.16% (RCP4.5 in 2050) to 22.27% (RCP8.5 in 2070). The Saharan and arid zones are expected to be the least affected, with less than 1% and 11% of their original extent expected to change, respectively. Moreover, our results suggest that forest species such as Atlas cedar and oaks are among the most vulnerable to these shifts. Overall, this study highlights the inevitability of climate change's impact on Moroccan ecosystems and provides a basis for adaptation measures, especially considering the species adapted to the bioclimatic conditions that will dominate the respective affected regions.},
}
@article {pmid39248594,
year = {2024},
author = {Mueller, K and Allstrom, H and Smith, DJ and Downes, E and Modly, LA},
title = {Climate change's implications for practice: Pharmacologic considerations of heat-related illness.},
journal = {The Nurse practitioner},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/01.NPR.0000000000000230},
pmid = {39248594},
issn = {1538-8662},
abstract = {Climate change is the greatest threat to global health. As climate change worsens, heat waves will be longer, more intense, and more frequent. Increased health risks from climate change and heat waves include heat-related illness (HRI). HRI increases ED visits, hospitalizations, and mortality. Healthcare providers should be aware of the impact of medications on risk for HRI. This article elucidates signs and symptoms, populations at risk, drugs and mechanisms that increase risk, and patient education to reduce risk.},
}
@article {pmid39247376,
year = {2024},
author = {Dramani, JB and Ofori-Mensah, KA and Otchere, NO and Frimpong, PB and Adu-Poku, A and Kemausuor, F and Yazdanie, M},
title = {Estimating and forecasting suppressed electricity demand in Ghana under climate change, the informal economy and sector inefficiencies.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36001},
pmid = {39247376},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Suppressed demand arises from inadequate energy access, resulting in unmet basic needs. Therefore, this study investigates the impact of the informal economy, rising temperatures, and electricity transmission losses on suppressed demand in Ghana from 2000 to 2020, using a quantile autoregressive distributed lag (QARDL) approach. The study forecasts suppressed demand using Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, offering insights for energy system planning. The results indicate that all the variables significantly affect suppressed demand in the mid-quantiles. Notably, transmission losses and growth of informal economy variables significantly impact suppressed demand within the 50th to 75th quantiles but have minimal impact before the 50th and after the 75th quantiles in the long run. Additionally, rising temperatures substantially increase suppressed demand by increasing electricity demand for cooling. All future scenarios project this growth trend will continue through 2050, albeit at varying rates. In the business-as-usual (BAU) case, suppressed demand is expected to steadily increase from 1782 MW in 2020 to 8636 MW in 2050. This trajectory aligns well with historical growth trends, which saw suppressed demand increase from 659 GWh to 1782 GWh between 2000 and 2020. SSP scenarios suggest that suppressed demand could grow substantially through 2050, driven by high losses and informal sector growth. Despite sustainable development narratives like SSP1, suppressed demand remains high without major grid and governance improvements. Comparing the results with past studies shows that our findings align with previous research but provide more nuanced insights by incorporating the effects of the informal economy and using advanced forecasting techniques. Practical policy implications include investing in green infrastructure, upgrading grid infrastructure, and formalising the informal economy to alleviate suppressed demand. These actions are critical for sustainable energy access and meeting future electricity needs effectively.},
}
@article {pmid39247288,
year = {2024},
author = {Dendup, T and Tshering, D and Tobgay, S and Liu, F},
title = {Sources and pathways of spring flow and climate change effects in the Dungju Ri &amp; Yude Ri catchments, Bhutan Himalaya.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36211},
pmid = {39247288},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Springs and streams are vital water sources for supporting the livelihood of Himalayan residents. Escalating climate change, population growth, and economic development strain the region's freshwater resources. A national survey reveals declining spring and stream flows in Bhutan, necessitating an improved understanding of their generation. Monthly grab water samples were collected during April 2022-January 2023 from main streams, springs and other source waters at various elevations at Yude Ri and Dungju Ri catchments, Bhutan Himalayas. Samples were analyzed for pH, specific conductance, and major ions and end-member mixing analysis in combination with diagnostic tools of mixing models was used to determine sources, relative contributions, and recharge dynamics of spring flows. The results indicated that direct precipitation dominated spring flows (0.59 ± 0.21), followed by shallow groundwater (0.31 ± 0.18), and soil subsurface water (0.10 ± 0.15). The contributions of spring flow components followed an elevation gradient, with higher and lower fractions, respectively, of direct precipitation and shallow groundwater at higher elevations, e.g., 0.90 ± 0.1 to 0.13 ± 0.08 for direct precipitation and 0.03 ± 0.03 to 0.37 ± 0.19 for shallow groundwater from 3266 m to 1558 m. Spring flows primarily relied on precipitation (∼70 % from both direct precipitation and soil water), making them very sensitive to changes in precipitation. Significant contributions of shallow groundwater also indicated the vulnerability of spring flows to decreased snowfall relative to rainfall and the earlier onset of snowmelt, particularly for those located in the snow-rain transition zone (∼2500 m). Our results suggest high vulnerability of spring flows to the climate change in the Himalayas.},
}
@article {pmid39247090,
year = {2024},
author = {Luo, Y and Qin, W and Yan, Y and Yin, K and Zang, R and Du, FK},
title = {Climate change vulnerability and conservation strategies for tertiary relict tree species: Insights from landscape genomics of Taxus cuspidata.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {17},
number = {9},
pages = {e13686},
pmid = {39247090},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {The unprecedented habitat fragmentation or loss has threatened the existence of many species. Therefore, it is essential to understand whether and how these species can pace with the environmental changes. Recent advantages in landscape genomics enabled us to identify molecular signatures of adaptation and predict how populations will respond to changing environments, providing new insights into the conservation of species. Here, we investigated the pattern of neutral and putative adaptive genetic variation and its response to changing environments in a tertiary relict tree species, Taxus cuspidata Sieb. et Zucc, which is distributed in northeast China and adjacent regions. We investigated the pattern of genetic diversity and differentiation using restriction site-associated DNA sequencing (RAD-seq) and seven nuclear microsatellites (nSSRs) datasets. We further explored the endangered mechanism, predicted its vulnerability in the future, and provided guidelines for the conservation and management of this species. RAD-seq identified 16,087 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in natural populations. Both the SNPs and nSSRs datasets showed high levels of genetic diversity and low genetic differentiation in T. cuspidata. Outlier detection by F ST outlier analysis and genotype-environment associations (GEAs) revealed 598 outlier SNPs as putative adaptive SNPs. Linear redundancy analysis (RDA) and nonlinear gradient forest (GF) showed that the contribution of climate to genetic variation was greater than that of geography, and precipitation played an important role in putative adaptive genetic variation. Furthermore, the genetic offset and risk of non-adaptedness (RONA) suggested that the species at the northeast edge may be more vulnerable in the future. These results suggest that although the species has maintained high current genetic diversity in the face of recent habitat loss and fragmentation, future climate change is likely to threaten the survival of the species. Temperature (Bio03) and precipitation (Prec05) variables can be potentially used as predictors of response of T. cuspidata under future climate. Together, this study provides a theoretical framework for conservation and management strategies for wildlife species in the context of future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39246679,
year = {2024},
author = {Malhi, JK and McEvoy, JW and Blumenthal, RS and Jacobsen, AP},
title = {Climate change and cardiovascular health: Recent updates and actions for healthcare.},
journal = {American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {100443},
pmid = {39246679},
issn = {2666-6022},
abstract = {Climate change is a public health crisis predominantly due to fossil fuel combustion, that challenges planetary and human health. Considerable evidence exists to demonstrate the impact climate change has on cardiovascular disease primarily through air pollution, and non-optimal temperature. Conversely, healthcare systems themselves contribute substantially to climate change. Many clinicians personally report a sense of responsibility to reduce the detrimental impact of parts of our healthcare system on the environment. Roadmaps exist to guide decarbonization and reduce pollution in the healthcare sector. The first step in minimizing the climate impact of the provision of cardiovascular care is to determine the carbon footprint of highly resource dependent sectors such as critical care cardiology as well as the cardiac catheterization and electrophysiology laboratories. This should be followed by sustainable changes to address healthcare waste and energy use. Engagement from healthcare leadership, governmental organizations and major cardiac societies will be necessary to impact meaningful change.},
}
@article {pmid39246258,
year = {2024},
author = {Steiert, O},
title = {Declaring crisis? Temporal constructions of climate change on Wikipedia.},
journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9636625241268890},
doi = {10.1177/09636625241268890},
pmid = {39246258},
issn = {1361-6609},
abstract = {On Wikipedia, editors daily negotiate edits to an entry that summarizes climate change to a global audience. The outcome of their efforts is an encyclopedic entry with a conspicuous lack of temporal clarity that circumvents the question of whether climate change is an immediate crisis or merely a potential future phenomenon. This qualitative discourse analysis of editors' debates around climate change on Wikipedia argues that their hesitancy to "declare crisis" is not a conscious editorial choice as much as an outcome of a friction between the folk philosophy of science Wikipedia is built upon, editors' own sense of urgency, and their anticipations about audience uptake of their writing. This friction shapes a group style that fosters temporal ambiguity. Hence, the findings suggest that in the Wikipedia entry on climate change, platform affordances and contestation of expertise foreclose a declaration of climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid39245377,
year = {2024},
author = {Yin, Y and Yang, K and Gao, M and Wei, J and Zhong, X and Jiang, K and Gao, J and Cai, Y},
title = {Declined nutrients stability shaped by water residence times in lakes and reservoirs under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {176098},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.176098},
pmid = {39245377},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Water quality stability in lakes and reservoirs is essential for drinking water safety and ecosystem health, especially given the frequent occurrence of extreme climate events. However, the relationship between water quality stability and water residence time (WRT) has not been well elucidated. In this study, we explored the relationship based on nitrogen (N) and phosphorus (P) concentrations data in 11 lakes and 49 reservoirs in the Yangtze-Huaihe River basin from 2010 to 2022. Additionally, we examined the effects of hydrometeorological characteristics, the geomorphology of water bodies and catchments, and land use on the WRT, establishing a link between climate change and the stability of N and P in these water bodies. The results showed that a significant correlation between the stability of N and P in lakes and reservoirs and their WRT. The longer WRT tends to coincide with decreased stability and higher nutrient concentrations. Hydrometeorological factors are the primary factors on the WRT, with precipitation exerting the greatest effect, particularly under extreme drought. In recent years, extreme climatic events have intensified the fluctuations of WRT, resulting in a renewed increase in N and P concentrations and deterioration in stability. These findings highlight the importance of incorporating meteorological and hydrological factors alongside reinforcing ecological restoration into lake and reservoir management strategies, and providing a scientific basis for future efforts aimed at enhancing lake and reservoir water quality stability and safeguarding aquatic ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39245297,
year = {2024},
author = {Volpe, S and Mastroleo, F and Vincini, MG and Zaffaroni, M and Porazzi, A and Damiani, E and Marvaso, G and Jereczek-Fossa, BA},
title = {Facing the climate change: is radiotherapy as green as we would like? A systematic review.},
journal = {Critical reviews in oncology/hematology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {104500},
doi = {10.1016/j.critrevonc.2024.104500},
pmid = {39245297},
issn = {1879-0461},
abstract = {PURPOSE: To focus on the ecological footprint of radiotherapy (RT), on opportunities for sustainable practices, on future research directions.<br><br>METHODS: Different databases were interrogated using the following terms: Carbon Footprint, Sustainab*, Carbon Dioxide, Radiotherapy, and relative synonyms.<br><br>RESULTS: 931 records were retrieved; 15 reports were included in the review. Eight main thematic areas have been identified. Nine research works analyzed the environmental impact of photon-based external beam RT. Particle therapy was the subject of one work. Other thematic areas were brachytherapy, intra-operative RT, telemedicine, travel-related issues, and the impact of COVID-19.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This review demonstrates the strong interest in identifying novel strategies for a more environmentally friendly RT and serves as a clarion call to unveil the environmental impact of carbon footprints entwined with radiation therapy. Future research should address current gaps to guide the transition towards greener practices, reducing the environmental footprint and maintaining high-quality care.},
}
@article {pmid39243786,
year = {2024},
author = {Jacobsen, KH and Waggett, CE and Berenbaum, P and Bayles, BR and Carlson, GL and English, R and Faerron Guzmán, CA and Gartin, ML and Grant, L and Henshaw, TL and Iannotti, LL and Landrigan, PJ and Lansbury, N and Li, H and Lichtveld, MY and McWhorter, KL and Rettig, JE and Sorensen, CJ and Wetzel, EJ and Whitehead, DM and Winch, PJ and Martin, K},
title = {Planetary health learning objectives: foundational knowledge for global health education in an era of climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {9},
pages = {e706-e713},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00167-0},
pmid = {39243786},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Global Health/education ; Humans ; Health Education ; },
abstract = {Planetary health is an emerging field that emphasises that humans depend on a healthy Earth for survival and, conversely, that the sustainability of Earth systems is dependent on human behaviours. In response to member demands for resources to support teaching and learning related to planetary health, the Consortium of Universities for Global Health (CUGH) convened a working group to develop a set of planetary health learning objectives (PHLOs) that would complement the existing ten CUGH global health learning objectives. The eight PHLOs feature Earth system changes, planetary boundaries, and climate change science; ecological systems and One Health; human health outcomes; risk assessment, vulnerability, and resilience; policy, governance, and laws (including the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change and the Paris Agreement); roles and responsibilities of governments, businesses, civil society organisations, other institutions, communities, and individuals for mitigation, adaptation, conservation, restoration, and sustainability; environmental ethics, human rights, and climate justice; and environmental literacy and communication. Educators who use the PHLOs as a foundation for teaching, curriculum design, and programme development related to the health-environment nexus will equip learners with a knowledge of planetary health science, interventions, and communication that is essential for future global health professionals.},
}
@article {pmid39243166,
year = {2024},
author = {Dias, PB and Horn Kunz, S and Pezzopane, JEM and Xavier, TMT and Zorzanelli, JPF and Toledo, JV and Gomes, LP and Gorsani, RG},
title = {Water restriction alters seed bank traits and ecology in Atlantic Forest seasonal forests under climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17494},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17494},
pmid = {39243166},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior-Brazil (CAPES)/ ; //Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa e Inova&#xe7;&#xe3;o do Esp&#xed;rito Santo (FAPES)/ ; //National Council for Scientific and Technological Development (CNPq, Programa de Capacita&#xe7;&#xe3;o Institucional-PCI/INMA) of the Brazilian Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation (MCTI)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Seasons ; *Seed Bank ; *Water/analysis ; Germination ; Brazil ; Seeds/growth &amp; development ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {The soil seed bank (SSB) is one of the key mechanisms that ensure the perpetuity of forests, but how will it behave in the scenarios projected for the future climate? Faced with this main question, still little explored in seasonal tropical forests, this study evaluated the germination, ecological attributes, and functional traits of the SSB in a seasonal forest in the Atlantic Forest. Forty-eight composite samples of the SSB were collected from 12 plots, distributed across four treatments, each with 12 replicates. The samples were placed in two climate-controlled greenhouses, establishing two environments of controlled climatic conditions, both with two levels of water, as follows: Cur: current scenario without water restriction; Cur_WR: current scenario with water restriction; RCP8.5: future scenario without water restriction; RCP8.5_WR: future scenario with water restriction. The germinants were identified, and their ecological attributes and functional traits were obtained. Leaf area and biomass production, differences in abundance, richness, and diversity were evaluated, along with analysis of variance to assess the interaction between water levels and scenarios. All ecological attributes and functional traits evaluated drastically decreased in the future projection with water restriction, with this restriction being the main component influencing this response. The increased temperature in the future scenario significantly raised water consumption compared to the current scenario. However, persistent water restrictions in the future could undermine the resilience of seasonal forests, hindering seed germination in the soil. Richness and abundance were also adversely affected by water scarcity in the future scenario, revealing a low tolerance to the projected prolonged drought. These changes found in the results could alter the overall structure of seasonal forests in the future, as well as result in the loss of the regeneration potential of the SSB due to decreased seed viability and increased seedling mortality.},
}
@article {pmid39242953,
year = {2024},
author = {Soliman, A},
title = {How to change people's minds about climate change: what the science says.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39242953},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39242938,
year = {2024},
author = {Ryan, PH and Newman, N and Yolton, K and Meinzen-Derr, J and Glauser, T and Cheng, TL},
title = {A call for solutions-oriented research and policy to protect children from the effects of climate change.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39242938},
issn = {1530-0447},
}
@article {pmid39242306,
year = {2024},
author = {Ben Salem, D and Soyer, P and Vernhet Kovaczick, H},
title = {The effect of radiology on climate change: Can AI help us move toward a green future?.},
journal = {Diagnostic and interventional imaging},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.diii.2024.07.011},
pmid = {39242306},
issn = {2211-5684},
}
@article {pmid39242044,
year = {2024},
author = {Hwang, HA and Kim, A and Lee, W and Yim, HW and Bae, S},
title = {Association between increase in temperature due to climate change and depressive symptoms in Korea.},
journal = {Journal of affective disorders},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {479-485},
doi = {10.1016/j.jad.2024.08.187},
pmid = {39242044},
issn = {1573-2517},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Studies on the long-term effects of rising temperature by climate change on mental health are limited. This study investigates the influence of temperature rise on the prevalence rate of depressive symptoms according to district type and age group in Korea.<br><br>DESIGN: This cross-sectional study included 219,187 Korea Community Health Survey 2021 participants. Yearly average temperature and yearly average temperature difference are the main exposures of this study. Temperature difference was calculated by subtracting the historical average temperature in 1961-1990 (climate normal) from the yearly average temperature. The main outcomes are moderate depressive symptoms measured by Patient Health Questionnaire-9. Multilevel analyses were conducted to estimate the association between temperature factors and depressive symptoms.<br><br>RESULTS: 7491 (3.4&#xa0;%) participants reported moderate depressive symptoms, and 99,653 (69.9&#xa0;%) participants lived in an urban district. The odds of depressive symptoms increased with 1&#xa0;&#xb0;C increase in temperature difference for all participants, adult participants aged 19-40, and participants who lived in same metropolitan area for 20&#xa0;years or more (aOR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.13, CI: 1.04-1.24, aOR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.14, CI: 1.02-1.24, and aOR&#xa0;=&#xa0;1.15 CI: 1.04-1.27). The association between temperature difference and depressive symptoms was consistent among urban districts participants.<br><br>LIMITATIONS: Due to the study's cross-sectional nature, the temporal association between regional and individual factors and depressive symptoms could not be assessed. Limited number of weather stations, especially among less populated in-land areas, may limit the accuracy of this study.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The increase in temperature compared with historical average is associated with increased likelihood of depressive symptoms, especially for the adults aged 19-40&#xa0;years old. More study on the long-term impact of climate change on mental health is needed to determine effective responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39241587,
year = {2024},
author = {Pimenta, A and Kamruzzaman, LM},
title = {Assessing the comprehensiveness and vertical coherence of climate change action plans: The case of Australia.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122419},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122419},
pmid = {39241587},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is an undeniable reality, prompting governments worldwide to devise strategies to avoid or reduce its adverse impacts. Ensuring the effectiveness of these strategies is crucial; they must be both comprehensive and coherent to minimize trade-offs. While substantial research has focused on assessing climate policy coherence within a single level of government (horizontal coherence), there is a relative scarcity of studies examining coherence between different levels of government (vertical coherence). This study adapts an evaluation framework from the literature and transforms it into two distinct assessment frameworks: one for evaluating the comprehensiveness and the other for assessing the vertical coherence of Climate Change Action Plans (CCAPs) from three levels of government (local, state, and national) in Australia. Adaptation and mitigation plans were assessed separately for five local government areas in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth, and their respective states: New South Wales, Victoria, Queensland, South Australia, and Western Australia. National government plans received higher average comprehensive scores (83%) than state (75%) and local (71%) CCAPs. High coherence was observed between national and state levels, with significant variations between state and local levels. Sydney-New South Wales exhibited the highest coherence (90%), while Perth-Western Australia scored the lowest (35%). Key issues identified include a lack of exclusive climate change funding body and an inadequate assessment of vulnerability profiles in various plans. These findings provide insights for designing more comprehensive and integrated policy actions across multiple government levels. The refined frameworks can be applied to test the comprehensiveness and coherence of CCAPs in other contexts at various scales.},
}
@article {pmid39242770,
year = {2022},
author = {Cancellario, T and Miranda, R and Baquero, E and Fontaneto, D and Martínez, A and Mammola, S},
title = {Climate change will redefine taxonomic, functional, and phylogenetic diversity of Odonata in space and time.},
journal = {npj biodiversity},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {1},
pmid = {39242770},
issn = {2731-4243},
abstract = {Climate change is rearranging the mosaic of biodiversity worldwide. These broad-scale species re-distributions affect the structure and composition of communities with a ripple effect on multiple biodiversity facets. Using European Odonata, we asked: i) how climate change will redefine taxonomic, phylogenetic, and functional diversity at European scales; ii) which traits will mediate species' response to global change; iii) whether this response will be phylogenetically conserved. Using stacked species distribution models, we forecast widespread latitudinal and altitudinal rearrangements in Odonata community composition determining broad turnovers in traits and evolutionary lineages. According to our phylogenetic regression models, only body size and flight period can be partly correlated with observed range shifts. In considering all primary facets of biodiversity, our results support the design of inclusive conservation strategies able to account for the diversity of species, the ecosystem services they provide, and the phylogenetic heritage they carry in a target ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid39241378,
year = {2024},
author = {Kan, C and Wang, F and Xiang, T and Fan, Y and Xu, W and Liu, L and Yang, S and Cao, W},
title = {Wastewater treatment plant effluents increase the global warming potential in a subtropical urbanized river.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {266},
number = {},
pages = {122349},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.122349},
pmid = {39241378},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Rivers play a pivotal role in global carbon (C) and nitrogen (N) biogeochemical cycles. Urbanized rivers are significant hotspots of greenhouse gases (GHGs, N2O, CO2 and CH4) emissions. This study examined the GHGs distributions in the Guanxun River, an effluents-receiving subtropical urbanized river, as well as the key environmental factors and processes affecting the pattern and emission characteristics of GHGs. Dissolved N2O, CO2, and CH4 concentrations reached 228.0 nmol L[-1], 0.44 mmol L[-1], and 5.2 μmol L[-1] during the wet period, and 929.8 nmol L[-1], 0.7 mmol L[-1], and 4.6 μmol L[-1] during the dry period, respectively. Effluents inputs increased C and N loadings, reduced C/N ratios, and promoted further methanogenesis and N2O production dominated by incomplete denitrification after the outfall. Increased urbanization in the far downstream, high hydraulic residence time, low DO and high organic C environment promoted methanogenesis. The strong CH4 oxidation and methanogenic reactions inhibited by the effluents combined to suppress CH4 emissions in downstream near the outfall, and the process also contributed to CO2 production. The carbon fixation downstream from the outfall were inhibited by effluents. Ultimately, it promoted CO2 emissions downstream from the outfall. The continuous C, N, and chlorine inputs maintained the high saturation and production potential of GHGs, and altered microbial community structure and functional genes abundance. Ultimately, the global warming potential downstream increased by 186 % and 84 % during wet and dry periods on the 20-year scale, and increased by 91 % and 49 % during wet and dry periods on the 100-year scale, respectively, compared with upstream from the outfall. In urbanized rivers with sufficient C and N source supply from WWTP effluents, the large effluent equivalently transformed the natural water within the channel into a subsequent "reactor". Furthermore, the IPCC recommended EF5r values appear to underestimate the N2O emission potential of urbanized rivers with high pollution loading that receiving WWTP effluents. The findings of this study might aid the development of effective strategies for mitigating global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39240798,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, H and Fang, J and Yuan, J},
title = {Climate change and Land Use/Land Cover Change (LUCC) leading to spatial shifts in net primary productivity in Anhui Province, China.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {e0307516},
pmid = {39240798},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Carbon Cycle ; Forests ; },
abstract = {As an important part of terrestrial carbon cycle research, net primary productivity is an important parameter to evaluate the quality of terrestrial ecosystem and plays an important role in the analysis of global climate change and carbon balance. Anhui Province is in the Yangtze River Delta region in eastern China. Based on the theoretical basis of CASA model, this paper uses MODIS NDVI, vegetation type data, meteorological data, and LUCC to estimate the NPP of Anhui Province during 2001-2020 and analyzes its spatial-temporal pattern. The results showed that the average NPP in Anhui province was 508.95 gC· (m2 ·a) -1, and the spatial heterogeneity of NPP was strong, and the high value areas were mainly distributed in the Jiangnan Mountains and Dabie Mountains. NPP increased in most areas of Anhui Province, but decreased significantly in 17.60% of the area, mainly in the central area affected by urban and rural expansion and the transformation of the Yangtze River. The dynamic change of NPP in Anhui province is the result of climate change and land use change. Meteorological data are positively correlated with NPP. Among them, the correlation between temperature and solar radiation is higher, and the correlation between NPP and precipitation is the lowest among the three. The NPP of all land cover types was more affected by temperature than precipitation, especially forest land and grassland. The decrease of cultivated land and the increase of Artificial Surfaces (AS) may have contributed to the decrease of NPP in Anhui Province. Human activities have weakened the increase in NPP caused by climate change. In conclusion, this study refined the drivers of spatial heterogeneity of NPP changes in Anhui province, which is conducive to rational planning of terrestrial ecosystems and carbon balance measures.},
}
@article {pmid39239832,
year = {2024},
author = {Stokely, TD},
title = {The devil is in the details: Experiment reveals how a forest-dwelling scavenger, and their excrement, may buffer ecosystem processes from climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17499},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17499},
pmid = {39239832},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; Animals ; *Ecosystem ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Feces/chemistry ; },
abstract = {This article is an Invited Commentary on Stephenson et al. (2024). This commentary attempts to provide broader context of the research within the body of literature on species loss and ecosystem functioning and highlights its relevance to conservation and global change.},
}
@article {pmid39239728,
year = {2024},
author = {Cunningham, N and Jenkins, C and Williams, S and Garner, J and Eggen, B and Douglas, A and Potter, T and Wilson, A and Leonardi, G and Larkin, L and Hopkins, S},
title = {An outbreak of Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157:H7 associated with contaminated lettuce and the cascading risks from climate change, the United Kingdom, August to September 2022.},
journal = {Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin},
volume = {29},
number = {36},
pages = {},
pmid = {39239728},
issn = {1560-7917},
mesh = {*Lactuca/microbiology ; Humans ; *Disease Outbreaks ; *Escherichia coli Infections/epidemiology/microbiology/transmission ; United Kingdom/epidemiology ; *Escherichia coli O157/isolation &amp; purification/genetics ; *Foodborne Diseases/epidemiology/microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Food Microbiology ; Whole Genome Sequencing ; Shiga-Toxigenic Escherichia coli/isolation &amp; purification/genetics ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Male ; Food Contamination/analysis ; Aged ; Animals ; Adolescent ; Child ; },
abstract = {Shiga-toxin producing Escherichia coli (STEC) O157 is a food-borne pathogen which causes gastrointestinal illness in humans. Ruminants are considered the main reservoir of infection, and STEC exceedance has been associated with heavy rainfall. In September 2022, a large outbreak of STEC O157:H7 was identified in the United Kingdom (UK). A national-level investigation was undertaken to identify the source of the outbreak and inform risk mitigation strategies. Whole genome sequencing (WGS) was used to identify outbreak cases. Overall, 259 cases with illness onset dates between 5 August and 12 October 2022, were confirmed across the UK. Epidemiological investigations supported a UK grown, nationally distributed, short shelf-life food item as the source of the outbreak. Analytical epidemiology and food chain analysis suggested lettuce as the likely vehicle of infection. Food supply chain tracing identified Grower X as the likely implicated producer. Independent of the food chain investigations, a novel geospatial analysis triangulating meteorological, flood risk, animal density and land use data was developed, also identifying Grower X as the likely source. Novel geospatial analysis and One Health approaches are potential tools for upstream data analysis to predict and prevent contamination events before they occur and to support evidence generation in outbreak investigations.},
}
@article {pmid39239722,
year = {2024},
author = {Nelson, GC and Cheung, WWL and Bezner Kerr, R and Franke, J and Meza, F and Oyinlola, MA and Thornton, P and Zabel, F},
title = {Adaptation to climate change and limits in food production systems: Physics, the chemistry of biology, and human behavior.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {9},
pages = {e17489},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17489},
pmid = {39239722},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Agriculture ; Food Supply ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
}
@article {pmid39239688,
year = {2024},
author = {Pfenninger, M and Reuss, F and KIebler, A and Schönnenbeck, P and Caliendo, C and Gerber, S and Cocchiararo, B and Reuter, S and Blüthgen, N and Mody, K and Mishra, B and Bálint, M and Thines, M and Feldmeyer, B},
title = {Correction: Genomic basis for drought resistance in European beech forests threatened by climate change.},
journal = {eLife},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.7554/eLife.102872},
pmid = {39239688},
issn = {2050-084X},
}
@article {pmid39239214,
year = {2023},
author = {Fogarty, AE and Godambe, M and Duszynski, B and McCormick, ZL and Steensma, J and Decker, G},
title = {Interventional pain physician beliefs on climate change: A Spine Intervention Society (SIS) survey.},
journal = {Interventional pain medicine},
volume = {2},
number = {4},
pages = {100287},
pmid = {39239214},
issn = {2772-5944},
abstract = {SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Although evaluated within other specialties, physicians' beliefs towards climate change and human health have not been described within Interventional Pain Medicine (IPM). Understanding belief systems is essential for developing solutions to build sustainable practices.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: Assess beliefs toward climate change within the field of IPM.<br><br>METHODS: Spine Intervention Society (SIS) members were invited to participate in an anonymous RedCap survey by email, social media, and advertisement at the 2022 SIS Annual Meeting. Descriptive statistics were calculated, and associations were estimated using Chi-Square (significance: p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05).<br><br>RESULTS: One hundred and seventy-five participants responded to the survey. Participants most often identified as white (66&#xa0;%; 95&#xa0;% CI 57-73&#xa0;%), male (78&#xa0;%; 95&#xa0;% CI 71-84&#xa0;%), and from the United States (US) (76&#xa0;%; CI 95&#xa0;% 58-72&#xa0;%), with 87&#xa0;% (n&#xa0;=&#xa0;123/141; 95&#xa0;% CI 82-93&#xa0;%) agreeing that climate change is happening (agree or strongly agree). While 78&#xa0;% (95&#xa0;% CI 80-92&#xa0;%) agree that climate change and sustainability are important to them, only 47&#xa0;% (95&#xa0;% CI 34-51&#xa0;%) agree that these are important to their patients. Those beliefs did not differ by age or geographical area (p&#xa0;>&#xa0;0.05). However, physicians in non-leadership positions are more likely to disagree or strongly disagree that climate change is important to them (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;15.98; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05), to their patients (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;17.21; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05), or that societies should advocate for climate policies (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;9.19; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05). Non-US physicians were more likely to believe that physicians have responsibilities to bring awareness to the health effects of climate change (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;6.58; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05) and to agree that climate change is important to their patients (&#x3c7;[2](2)&#xa0;=&#xa0;10.50; p&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05).<br><br>DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: Understanding specialty-specific physician views on climate change is essential for developing solutions to reduce the carbon footprint of medical practice and improve sustainability. The majority of SIS members believe that climate change is happening. Non-US physicians and physician-leaders are more likely to believe that climate change impacts their patients and that societies should advocate for climate policies.},
}
@article {pmid39238784,
year = {2024},
author = {Ornella, LA and Broccanello, C and Balzarini, M},
title = {Editorial: Plant adaptation to climate change using genomic selection and high-throughput technologies.},
journal = {Frontiers in genetics},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1471995},
pmid = {39238784},
issn = {1664-8021},
}
@article {pmid39238356,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhu, Z and Deng, T and Pan, X},
title = {Global climate change: The dangers of heatwaves for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients cannot be ignored.},
journal = {Journal of global health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {03032},
pmid = {39238356},
issn = {2047-2986},
mesh = {Humans ; *Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39236604,
year = {2024},
author = {Baur, DG and Karlsen, JR},
title = {Do crypto investors care about energy use and climate change? Evidence from Ethereum's transition to proof-of-stake.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122299},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122299},
pmid = {39236604},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This paper analyses the transition of Ethereum (ETH) from the energy-intensive Proof-of-Work (PoW) to the less energy-intensive Proof-of-Stake (PoS). We analyze returns, volatility, return correlations and volume of ETH, ETC and Bitcoin for all events in the lead-up to the actual change from PoW to PoS also labelled "the merge." The analysis suggests that some investors value the less energy-intensive mining mechanism and invest in ETH. However, since the overall effect is weak, we conclude that despite all the media attention and the stated concerns about the high energy-intensity of Bitcoin and PoW, most investors do not react to the change with an increased investment in Ethereum.},
}
@article {pmid39236181,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, Y and Tilman, D and Jin, Z and Smith, P and Barrett, CB and Zhu, YG and Burney, J and D'Odorico, P and Fantke, P and Fargione, J and Finlay, JC and Rulli, MC and Sloat, L and Jan van Groenigen, K and West, PC and Ziska, L and Michalak, AM and , and Lobell, DB and Clark, M and Colquhoun, J and Garg, T and Garrett, KA and Geels, C and Hernandez, RR and Herrero, M and Hutchison, WD and Jain, M and Jungers, JM and Liu, B and Mueller, ND and Ortiz-Bobea, A and Schewe, J and Song, J and Verheyen, J and Vitousek, P and Wada, Y and Xia, L and Zhang, X and Zhuang, M},
title = {Climate change exacerbates the environmental impacts of agriculture.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {385},
number = {6713},
pages = {eadn3747},
doi = {10.1126/science.adn3747},
pmid = {39236181},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; *Greenhouse Gases ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Environment ; Agrochemicals ; Soil/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Agriculture's global environmental impacts are widely expected to continue expanding, driven by population and economic growth and dietary changes. This Review highlights climate change as an additional amplifier of agriculture's environmental impacts, by reducing agricultural productivity, reducing the efficacy of agrochemicals, increasing soil erosion, accelerating the growth and expanding the range of crop diseases and pests, and increasing land clearing. We identify multiple pathways through which climate change intensifies agricultural greenhouse gas emissions, creating a potentially powerful climate change-reinforcing feedback loop. The challenges raised by climate change underscore the urgent need to transition to sustainable, climate-resilient agricultural systems. This requires investments that both accelerate adoption of proven solutions that provide multiple benefits, and that discover and scale new beneficial processes and food products.},
}
@article {pmid39236015,
year = {2024},
author = {Pollom, RA and Cheok, J and Pacoureau, N and Gledhill, KS and Kyne, PM and Ebert, DA and Jabado, RW and Herman, KB and Bennett, RH and da Silva, C and Fernando, S and Kuguru, B and Leslie, RW and McCord, ME and Samoilys, M and Winker, H and Fennessy, ST and Pollock, CM and Rigby, CL and Dulvy, NK},
title = {Overfishing and climate change elevate extinction risk of endemic sharks and rays in the southwest Indian Ocean hotspot.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {e0306813},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0306813},
pmid = {39236015},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Sharks/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Extinction, Biological ; Indian Ocean ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Endangered Species ; *Skates, Fish ; Fisheries ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Here, we summarise the extinction risk of the sharks and rays endemic to coastal, shelf, and slope waters of the southwest Indian Ocean and adjacent waters (SWIO+, Namibia to Kenya, including SWIO islands). This region is a hotspot of endemic and evolutionarily distinct sharks and rays. Nearly one-fifth (n = 13 of 70, 18.6%) of endemic sharks and rays are threatened, of these: one is Critically Endangered, five are Endangered, and seven are Vulnerable. A further seven (10.0%) are Near Threatened, 33 (47.1%) are Least Concern, and 17 (24.3%) are Data Deficient. While the primary threat is overfishing, there are the first signs that climate change is contributing to elevated extinction risk through habitat reduction and inshore distributional shifts. By backcasting their status, few endemic species were threatened in 1980, but this changed soon after the emergence of targeted shark and ray fisheries. South Africa has the highest national conservation responsibility, followed by Mozambique and Madagascar. Yet, while fisheries management and enforcement have improved in South Africa over recent decades, substantial improvements are urgently needed elsewhere. To avoid extinction and ensure robust populations of the region's endemic sharks and rays and maintain ecosystem functionality, there is an urgent need for the strict protection of Critically Endangered and Endangered species and sustainable management of Vulnerable, Near Threatened, and Least Concern species, underpinned by species-level data collection and reduction of incidental catch.},
}
@article {pmid39235222,
year = {2024},
author = {Requena-Ramírez, MD and Rodríguez-Suárez, C and Hornero-Méndez, D and Atienza, SG},
title = {Durum Wheat at Risk in a Climate Change Scenario: The Carotenoid Content is Affected by Short Heat Waves.},
journal = {Journal of agricultural and food chemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jafc.4c05718},
pmid = {39235222},
issn = {1520-5118},
abstract = {Short heat waves (SHW), defined as periods of several consecutive days with high temperatures above the developmental optimum, will become more frequent due to climate change. The impact of SHW on yield and yield-related parameters has received considerable interest, but their effects on grain quality remain poorly understood. We employed a simulation approach to investigate the impact of SHW on durum wheat quality over a 7 day period, starting 1 week after anthesis. During the SHW treatment, carried out using portable polyethylene tents, the temperature in the treated plots increased by 10-15 °C during daily hours. The SHW treatment reduced the number of grains per spike, thousand kernel weight, and total carotenoid content in grains in stressed plants in comparison to control plants. However, no differences in the protein content or percentage of vitreous grains were observed. The behavior of individual carotenoids in response to SHW appears to differ, suggesting a differential change in the balance between β,ε- and β,β-branches of the carotenoid biosynthetic pathway as a consequence of SHW-induced stress. The present study highlights the importance of developing efficient breeding strategies for reduced sensitivities to heat stress. Such strategies should not only prioritize yield but also encompass grain quality.},
}
@article {pmid39235021,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, DX and Li, AX and Liu, EK and Wang, JL},
title = {[Spatiotemporal variations and attribution analysis of reference evapotranspiration in the Fenwei Plain under climate change].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {6},
pages = {1625-1634},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202406.022},
pmid = {39235021},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Plant Transpiration ; China ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; *Ecosystem ; *Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {Reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) is a crucial variable for estimating the ecological water demand of vegetation. Under climate change, the trends of ET0 change vary in different regions. The study of spatial and temporal variations in ET0 and attribution analysis at the regional scale is more conducive to the regional agricultural water management and ecological water demand estimation under the changing environment. We analyzed the change trend, spatial distribution and the contribution of meteorological factors to annual ET0 change of the Fenwei Plain during a historical period (1985-2015) and a future period (2030-2060) based on the latest climate data and high-precision grid data from the Sixth International Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). The results showed that the meteorological data from CMIP6 could be used for the prediction of ET0 after bias correction, and that the prediction accuracy of the multi-model ensemble approach (R[2] of 82.9%, RMSE of 14.9 mm) was higher than that of a single climate model. ET0 in the Fenwei Plain showed a significant decreasing trend in the historical period, but a non-significant increasing and significant increasing trend in the future period under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios, respectively. The vapor pressure deficit had the largest contribution to the ET0 change in both the historical and future periods, and was the primary meteorological factor affecting the ET0 change in the Fenwei Plain under the climate change. Solar radiation and wind speed were important meteorological factors affecting the ET0 change in the historical period, while temperature and wind speed were the important meteorological factors affecting the ET0 change in the future period. The meteorological factors that had great contribution to ET0 change were due to the larger multi-year relative change rates, rather than the high sensitivity of these meteorological factors to ET0. The ET0 of the plain under the SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios increased by 4.2% and 3.1% in the future period, respectively, compared with the historical period. The differences in the spatial distribution of the result were mainly from the eastern and western regions of the plain. Based on the high-precision spatial and temporal distribution of ET0, the spatial and temporal data could be used as a reference for the development of various adaptation for climate change in the Fenwei Plain.},
}
@article {pmid39235020,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, XF and Wu, S and Zhao, F and Zhu, HX and Gong, LJ and Jiang, LX and Wang, P and Zhao, HY},
title = {[Characteristics of soybean climate potential productivity in frigid region and its response to climate change].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {6},
pages = {1615-1624},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202406.024},
pmid = {39235020},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Glycine max/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; China ; Photosynthesis ; Biomass ; Ecosystem ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {A comprehensive understanding of the evolution of soybean climate potential productivity and its response to climate change in Heilongjiang Province can offer reference and basis for further tapping soybean production potential and realizing stable and high yield of soybean in the frigid region. Based on meteorological data from 80 meteorological stations in Heilongjiang Province from 1961 to 2020, we estimated photosynthesis, light temperature, and climate potential productivity of soybean by the stepwise correction method, examined the spatiotemporal variations by spatial interpolation and statistical analysis methods, and analyzed the impact of changes in climate factors such as radiation, temperature, and precipitation on climate potential productivity. The results showed that during the study period, the average values of photosynthesis potential productivity (YQ), light-temperature potential productivity (YT), and climate potential productivity (YW) of soybean in Heilongjiang Province were 7533, 6444, and 3515 kg·hm[-2], respectively. The temporal changes of those variables showed significant increasing trends, with increases of 125.9, 182.9, and 116.1 kg·hm[-2]·(10 a)[-1], respectively. For the spatial distribution, YQ, YT, YW were characterized by high values in plains and lower in the mountains, and gradually decreased from southwest to northeast. Compared with that during 1961-1990, the high value zone of YW in period 1991-2020 expanded by 7.1%, and the low value zone decreased by 5.1%. YW showed a significant response to climate change. The potential temperature growth period was extended due to climate warming. The continuous increase in thermal resources, combined with relatively sufficient precipitation, effectively alleviated the negative impact of the decline in light resources on soybean production in Heilongjiang Province. The projected "warm and humid" climate would comprehensively boost climate potential productivity of soybean in Heilongjiang Province.},
}
@article {pmid39235009,
year = {2024},
author = {Hu, R and Dong, LB},
title = {[Temporal and spatial variations of vegetation coverage in Heilongjiang Basin and its responses to climate change].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {6},
pages = {1518-1524},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202406.027},
pmid = {39235009},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Ecosystem ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Spatio-Temporal Analysis ; Remote Sensing Technology ; Rivers ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Mongolia ; Satellite Imagery ; },
abstract = {Exploring the temporal and spatial dynamics of vegetation coverage in the Heilongjiang Basin and its response to climate change can provide a theoretical basis and data support for integrated basin management for three countries (Mongolia, China and Russia) in the region. We used MOD13Q1 remote sensing data from Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform between 2000 and 2020 to process the normalized vegetation index (NDVI) through the maximum value composites method, and calculated the vegetation coverage (FVC) using the dimidiate pixel model. The Sen+MK trend analysis method was employed to monitor the dynamics of FVC, while the Pearson correlation coefficient was utilized to quantify the responses of FVC to climate change. The results showed that the overall FVC in the Heilongjiang Basin exhibited a slight decreasing trend during 2000-2020, with an annual rate of 0.1%. The FVC in Mongolia showed a fluctuating increase trend (0.13%), while slight decrease trends were observed for Russia (0.15%) and China (0.08%). The FVC predominantly slightly degraded and severely degraded, accounting for 34% and 17% of the area, respectively, while the significantly improved area only accounted for 9%. The impact of precipitation on FVC in the study area was significantly greater than that of temperature. The proportion of areas where precipitation and temperature had a significant impact on FVC was 8.2% and 2.2%, respectively. The correlation coefficient between precipitation and FVC was the highest in Mongolia (r=0.446, P<0.05), and the lowest in Russian region (r=-0.442, P< 0.05).},
}
@article {pmid39234047,
year = {2024},
author = {Okatch, H and Remshifski, PA and Fennessey, A and Campbell, H and Barnoy, S and Friedman, J and Kern, SB and Frasso, R and Sorensen, C and Bar-Shalita, T and Hunter, LN},
title = {Climate change and its impact on health: a global collaborative learning model.},
journal = {Frontiers in medicine},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1438609},
pmid = {39234047},
issn = {2296-858X},
abstract = {To address the health effects of climate change, leaders in healthcare have called for action to integrate climate adaptation and mitigation into training programs for health professionals. However, current educators may not possess sufficient climate literacy and the expertise to effectively include such content in their respective healthcare curricula. We, an international and interprofessional partnership, collaborated with experts to develop and deploy curriculum to increase health educators' and graduate health profession students' knowledge and competencies on climate change. In a tri-step process, the first phase included recruiting interested faculty members from two institutions and varying health professions. In phase two, faculty members collaborated to develop a faculty symposium on climate change including educational competencies required of health professions, practice standards, guidelines, and profession-specific content. Symposium outcomes included broader faculty member interest and commitment to create an interprofessional climate change course for healthcare graduate students. In phase three, course development resulted from collaboration between faculty members at the two institutions and faculty members from the Global Consortium on Climate and Health Education (GCCHE), with course objectives informed by GCCHE competencies. Climate experts and faculty members delivered the course content over a 10-week period to 30 faculty members and students representing seven health professions, who were surveyed (n = 13) for feedback. This course can serve as an example for international collaborators interested in developing climate change courses for health profession students. Lessons learned in this process include: climate change novice faculty members can develop impactful climate change courses; students and faculty members can be co-learners; diverse representation in course attendees enriches the learning experience; and collaboration is key.},
}
@article {pmid39233440,
year = {2024},
author = {Hosseiniyan Khatibi, SM and Dimaano, NG and Veliz, E and Sundaresan, V and Ali, J},
title = {Exploring and exploiting the rice phytobiome to tackle climate change challenges.},
journal = {Plant communications},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101078},
doi = {10.1016/j.xplc.2024.101078},
pmid = {39233440},
issn = {2590-3462},
abstract = {The future of agriculture is uncertain under the current climate change scenario. Climate change directly and indirectly affects the biotic and abiotic elements that control agroecosystems, jeopardizing the safety of the world's food supply. A new area that focuses on characterizing the phytobiome is emerging. The phytobiome comprises plants and their immediate surroundings, involving numerous interdependent microscopic and macroscopic organisms that affect the health and productivity of plants. Phytobiome studies primarily focus on the microbial communities associated with plants, which are referred to as the plant microbiome. The development of high-throughput sequencing technologies over the past ten years has dramatically advanced the understanding of the structure, functionality, and dynamics of the phytobiome; however, comprehensive methods for using this knowledge are lacking, particularly on major crops such as rice. Taking into account the impact of rice production on world food security, gaining fresh perspectives on the interdependent and interrelated components of the rice phytobiome could enhance rice production and crop health, sustain rice ecosystem function, and combat the effects of climate change. Our review re-conceptualizes the complex dynamics of the microscopic and macroscopic components in the rice phytobiome as influenced by human interventions and changing environmental conditions driven by climate change. We also discuss the interdisciplinary and systematic approaches to decipher and reprogram the sophisticated interactions in the rice phytobiome using novel strategies and cutting-edge technology. Converging the gigantic datasets and complex information on the rice phytobiome and its application in the context of regenerative agriculture could lead to sustainable rice farming practices that are resilient to the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39233419,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, ST and Wang, HC and Jing, WK and Wang, QG and Yan, HJ and Qiu, XQ and Jian, HY},
title = {Simulation of climate change effect on the global distribution of Rosa multiflora.},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {7},
pages = {1897-1906},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202407.022},
pmid = {39233419},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Rosa/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Computer Simulation ; Plant Dispersal ; },
abstract = {Rosa multiflora, originated from East Asia, is one of the original ancestors of modern roses. It is also an important genetic resource and rootstock for rose cultivation. Due to its high resistance and vigorous growth, R. multiflora has become an invasive species in some introduction sites, such as North America. To explore the correlation between the suitable habitat of R. multiflora and climate change, we predicted its potential geographic distribution with an optimized MaxEnt model based on 1246 distribution records and nine bioclimatic variables. The results showed that the mean temperature of the coldest quarter, minimum temperature of the coldest month, precipitation of the warmest quarter, and isothermality were significant bioclimatic variables affecting the potential geographic distribution of R. multiflora. Under current climate conditions, R. multiflora naturally distributed in the plains and hilly areas to the east and south of the Loess Plateau. The distribution pattern in the mid-holocene was similar to its current distribution, but the highly suitable distribution area was in the south of North China Plain, the Sichuan Basin, and parts of the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plain. During the last interglacial, the suitable areas generally contrac-ted southward, while the highly suitable areas significantly expanded and mainly located in the Sichuan Basin, the Middle-Lower Yangtze Plains, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, and the Southeast Hills. Beyond its natural distribution in East Asia, R. multiflora had been introduced and spread to most parts of Europe and the central and eastern United States. The distribution area of R. multiflora would expand under three warming scenarios of different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) during 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. Its average distribution center (centroid) would shift towards higher latitude, indicating that the distribution of R. multiflora was closely related to climate change and that global warming might lead to an expansion of its distribution area. These results would improve our understanding of the ecological adaptability of R. multiflora, facilitate the predicting of its future distribution, and provide a theoretical basis for monitoring and early warning measures following its introduction.},
}
@article {pmid39233075,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, H and Zhou, Z and Peng, D and Chu, J},
title = {Potential impacts of climate change on cephalopods in a highly productive region (Northwest Pacific): Habitat suitability and management.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175794},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175794},
pmid = {39233075},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Cephalopods occupy a mid-trophic level in marine ecosystems and are vital both ecologically and as fishery resources. However, under the pressure of climate change and fishing, the sustainability of cephalopod resources requires reasonable management. This study aims to study climate change and fishing impacts on the common economic cephalopod species habitats using species distribution models. We take the northwest Pacific Ocean region as an example, which stands out as a significant region for cephalopod production around the world. Results found that the habitats of cephalopods are moving to higher latitudes or deeper waters (Bohai Sea, mid-bottom Yellow Sea, or the Okinawa Trough waters) under climate change. Additionally, these regions are currently under lower fishing pressure, which suggests that species migration might mitigate the effects of warming and fishing. This study provides the large-scale assessment of the distribution range of cephalopods affected by climate change coping with fishing pressure in the northwest Pacific Ocean. By identifying climate refuges and key fishing grounds, we underscore the importance of this information for managing cephalopod resources in the context of climate adaptation and sustainable fishing practices.},
}
@article {pmid39232390,
year = {2024},
author = {Tito, VR and Kazem, H and Kadia, SO and Paquito, B},
title = {A systematic review of mental health and climate change in the Philippines.},
journal = {Asian journal of psychiatry},
volume = {101},
number = {},
pages = {104191},
doi = {10.1016/j.ajp.2024.104191},
pmid = {39232390},
issn = {1876-2026},
abstract = {The Philippines are at the forefront of climate change impacts, including those related to health and well-being, but information on mental health and well-being are typically underreported. To help address this research lacuna, we conducted a systematic literature review. We aimed to provide an overview of current research knowledge and research gaps regarding the impacts of climate change outcomes on Filipinos' mental health and well-being. Consulting 8 databases, we identified 951 records. The final analysis included 32 studies: 16 quantitative, 11 qualitative, 2 longitudinal, 2 experimental, and 1 published report. A narrative synthesis has been performed to synthesize the findings from included studies. Studies were presented in four sections: 1) Risks to mental health following a natural disaster, 2) Determinants of post-traumatic stress disorder risks, 3) Resilience and post-traumatic growth following natural disasters, and 4) Personal experiences and other mental health outcomes. Reviewed data show that climate change outcomes strongly and negatively impact Filippino's mental health and well-being. Climate change outcomes also, negatively affect mental health through indirect (e.g., sleep disorders) and long-term pathways for example by being exposed to stressors such as migration, conflict, and violence. A set of coping strategies was identified which include banding together, mobilizing health experts, and expanding the local relationships with health workers. Future prospective studies should assess the effects of rising sea levels and vector-borne diseases among frontline communities. More interventional studies assessing preventive interventions and health promotion initiatives should be carried out to mitigate mental health disorders and improve well-being, thus contributing to improved health outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39232328,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, M and Sun, Y and Wang, H and Qi, P and Peng, Z and Wu, Y and Zhang, G},
title = {Altitude characteristics in the response of rain-on-snow flood risk to future climate change in a high-latitude water tower.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122292},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122292},
pmid = {39232328},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Global warming is profoundly impacting snowmelt runoff processes in seasonal freeze-thaw zones, thereby altering the risk of rain-on-snow (ROS) floods. These changes not only affect the frequency of floods but also alter the allocation of water resources, which has implications for agriculture and other key economic sectors. While these risks present a significant threat to our lives and economies, the risk of ROS floods triggered by climate change has not received the attention it deserves. Therefore, we chose Changbai Mountain, a water tower in a high-latitude cold zone, as a typical study area. The semi-distributed hydrological model SWAT is coupled with CMIP6 meteorological data, and four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585) are selected after bias correction, thus quantifying the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes in the Changbai Mountain region as well as future evolution of the ROS flood risk. The results indicate that: (1) Under future climate change scenarios, snowmelt in most areas of the Changbai Mountains decreases. The annual average snowmelt under SSP126, SSP245, SSP370, and SSP585 is projected to be 148.65 mm, 135.63 mm, 123.44 mm, and 116.5 mm, respectively. The onset of snowmelt is projected to advance in the future. Specifically, in the Songhua River (SR) and Yalu River (YR) regions, the start of snowmelt is expected to advance by 1-11 days. Spatially, significant reductions in snowmelt were observed in both the central part of the watershed and the lower reaches of the river under SSP585 scenario. (2) In 2021-2060, the frequency of ROS floods decreases sequentially for different scenarios, with SSP 126 > SSP 245 > SSP 370 > SSP 585. The frequency increments of ROS floods in the source area for the four scenarios were 0.12 days/year, 0.1 d/yr, 0.13 days/year, and 0.15 days/year, respectively. The frequency of high-elevation ROS events increases in the YR in the low emission scenario. Conversely, in high emission scenarios, YR high-elevation ROS events will only increase in 2061-2100. This phenomenon is more pronounced in the Tumen River (TR), where floods become more frequent with increasing elevation.},
}
@article {pmid39232275,
year = {2024},
author = {Keppel, G and Stralberg, D and Morelli, TL and Bátori, Z},
title = {Managing climate-change refugia to prevent extinctions.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {39},
number = {9},
pages = {800-808},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2024.05.002},
pmid = {39232275},
issn = {1872-8383},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; *Extinction, Biological ; *Refugium ; *Biodiversity ; Animals ; },
abstract = {Earth is facing simultaneous biodiversity and climate crises. Climate-change refugia - areas that are relatively buffered from climate change - can help address both of these problems by maintaining biodiversity components when the surrounding landscape no longer can. However, this capacity to support biodiversity is often vulnerable to severe climate change and other stressors. Thus, management actions need to consider the complex and multidimensional nature of refugia. We outline an approach to understand refugia-promoting processes and to evaluate refugial capacity to determine suitable management actions. Our framework applies climate-change refugia as tools to facilitate resistance in modern conservation planning. Such refugia-focused management can reduce extinctions and maintain biodiversity under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39232116,
year = {2024},
author = {Loughnan, D and Joly, S and Legault, G and Kharouba, HM and Betancourt, M and Wolkovich, EM},
title = {Phenology varies with phylogeny but not by trophic level with climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39232116},
issn = {2397-334X},
abstract = {Shifts in phenology with climate change can lead to asynchrony between interacting species, with cascading impacts on ecosystem services. Previous meta-analyses have produced conflicting results on whether asynchrony has increased in recent decades, but the underlying data have also varied-including in species composition, interaction types and whether studies compared data grouped by trophic level or compared shifts in known interacting species pairs. Here, using updated data from previous studies and a Bayesian phylogenetic model, we found that species have advanced an average of 3.1 days per decade across 1,279 time series across 29 taxonomic classes. We found no evidence that shifts vary by trophic level: shifts were similar when grouped by trophic level, and for species pairs when grouped by their type of interaction-either as paired species known to interact or as randomly paired species. Phenology varied with phylogeny (λ = 0.4), suggesting that uneven sampling of species may affect estimates of phenology and potentially phenological shifts. These results could aid forecasting for well-sampled groups but suggest that climate change has not yet led to widespread increases in phenological asynchrony across interacting species, although substantial biases in current data make forecasting for most groups difficult.},
}
@article {pmid39232079,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, C and Luo, G and Yue, C and Zhang, L and Duan, Y and Liu, Y and Yang, S and Wang, Z and Chen, P},
title = {Distribution patterns and potential suitable habitat prediction of Ceracris kiangsu (Orthoptera: Arcypteridae) under climate change- a case study of China and Southeast Asia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {20580},
pmid = {39232079},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; China ; Asia, Southeastern ; Orthoptera/physiology ; Animal Distribution ; Grasshoppers/physiology ; },
abstract = {Ceracris kiangsu (Orthoptera: Arcypteridae), is greatly affected by climatic factors and exhibits strong adaptability, posing a serious threat to the ecological environment. Therefore, predicting its potential suitable habitat distribution provides a proactive theoretical basis for pest control. This study using the Biomod2 package of R simulated and predicted the current and future potential distribution, area changes, changes in the center points of suitable habitats, and niche shifts of C. kiangsu under two different greenhouse gas emission scenarios, SSP1-26 and SSP5-85. The results show that: (1) Currently, the high suitability areas for C. kiangsu are mainly distributed in Yunnan, Jiangxi, Hunan provinces in southern China and phongsaly province in northern Laos. In the future, the center of the suitable habitat distribution pattern of C. kiangsu will remain unchanged, primarily expanding outward from medium and high suitability areas. Additionally, significant suitable habitats for C. kiangsu were discovered in Southeast Asian countries without previous pest records. (2) Compared to the present, the overall suitable habitat area for C. kiangsu is expected to expand, particularly under the SSP5-85 climate change scenario. (3) In the SSP1-26 and SSP5-85 climate scenarios, the geometric center of the suitable habitat generally shows a trend of gradually shifting northeast. (4) Under different climate scenarios, the suitable habitat of C. kiangsu has highly overlapping, indicating that the suitable habitat of C. kiangsu in the invaded areas is broader than in its native regions. In conclusion, the research findings represent a breakthrough in identifying the potential distribution areas of C. kiangsu, which is of great practical significance for the monitoring and control of C. kiangsu pest infestation in China and Southeast Asian countries.},
}
@article {pmid39232016,
year = {2024},
author = {Sharaftmandrad, M and Abedi Sarvestani, A and Shahraki, M and Hassanzadeh Nafooti, M},
title = {Uncovering the reasons behind the failure of pastoralists in adopting climate change adaptation strategies.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {20602},
pmid = {39232016},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change has caused pastoralists to face serious challenges all around the world. To reduce climate change vulnerability, adaptation strategies need to be adopted by pastoralists. In this regard, the present research was done to seek the reasons for the failure of the northeastern pastoralists of Iran in adopting climate change adaptation strategies. The study is descriptive, which conducted by a field survey. The target population included 249 pastoralists from 7 pastoral units, of whom 148 people were selected as sample size using the stratified random sampling technique. The survey instrument was a researcher-made questionnaire. The content validity and face validity of the questionnaire were checked by the experts. Convergent validity was also confirmed based on the average variance extracted (AVE). Cronbach's α coefficient and composite reliability (CR) were used to evaluate the internal consistency of the questionnaire. The results showed that social and, regulatory and insurance components were the most critical internal and external weaknesses of the pastoralists' failure in adopting climate change adaptation strategies, respectively. Structural equation modeling showed that external weaknesses had positive and significant effects on internal weaknesses of the pastoralists' failure in adopting climate change adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39231177,
year = {2024},
author = {Mondo, JM and Chuma, GB and Matiti, HM and Kihye, JB and Bagula, EM and Karume, K and Kahindo, C and Egeru, A and Majaliwa, JM and Agre, PA and Adebola, PA and Asfaw, A},
title = {Crop calendar optimization for climate change adaptation in yam farming in South-Kivu, eastern D.R. Congo.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {e0309775},
pmid = {39231177},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Dioscorea/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Democratic Republic of the Congo ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Rain ; Agriculture/methods ; Seasons ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {The traditional crop calendar for yam (Dioscorea spp.) in South-Kivu, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), is becoming increasingly inadequate given the significant climatic variability observed over the last three decades. This study aimed at: (i) assessing trends in weather data across time and space to ascertain climate change, and (ii) optimizing the yam crop calendar for various South-Kivu agro-ecological zones (AEZs) to adapt to the changing climate. The 1990-2022 weather data series were downloaded from the NASA-MERRA platform, bias correction was carried out using local weather stations' records, and analyses were performed using RClimDex 1.9. Local knowledge and CROPWAT 8.0 were used to define planting dates for yam in different AEZs. Results showed the existence of four AEZs in the South-Kivu province, with contrasting altitudes, temperatures, and rainfall patterns. Climate change is real in all these South-Kivu's AEZs, resulting either in rainfall deficits in some areas, or extreme rainfall events in others, with significant temperature increases across all AEZs. Suitable yam planting dates varied with AEZs, September 15th and 20th were recommended for the AEZ 2 while October 15th was optimal for AEZ 1, AEZ 3, and AEZ 4. However, none of the planting date scenarios could meet the yam water requirements in AEZ1, AEZ3, and AEZ4, since the effective rainfall (Pmm) was always inferior to the plant water demand (ETc), meaning that soil water conservation practices are needed for optimum plant growth and yield in these AEZs. This study does not recommend planting yam during the short rainy season owing to prolonged droughts coinciding with critical growth phases of yam, unless supplemental irrigation is envisaged. This study provided insights on the nature of climate change across the past three decades and suggested a yam crop calendar that suits the changing climate of eastern DRC.},
}
@article {pmid39230886,
year = {2024},
author = {Chekuri, B and O'Connor, T and Lemery, J},
title = {Climate Change and Preventable Injuries.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.13818},
pmid = {39230886},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid39229603,
year = {2024},
author = {Mutsvene, T and Klingelhöfer, HE},
title = {Hedging climate change risks in Southern Africa's agricultural industry using catastrophe bonds.},
journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {1641},
pmid = {39229603},
issn = {1996-1421},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: The agricultural sector is one of the key economic contributors in Southern Africa. However, agricultural production has been highly affected by climate change risks such as tropical cyclones, floods, droughts, heatwaves, hail, etc., which threaten food and nutrition security, livelihoods and business sustainability. Because of underwriting capacity problems, insurers and reinsurers have failed to provide cover for climate change risks. Also, derivatives have failed to provide a reliable option for hedging such risks. This paper explores the concept of catastrophe bonds (CAT bonds) in providing climate change risk finance. Employing the content analysis, the research shows how CAT bonds can help traditional (re)insurance in providing sufficient hedge against climate change risks and in improving disaster-preparedness, disaster risk-reduction, post-recovery initiatives and sustainable socio-economic agricultural development. The findings show that the adoption of CAT bonds can improve (re)insurers´ underwriting capacity and may enhance agricultural land policies, development, food and nutrition security and employment.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: The paper shows how CAT bonds can be employed to hedge against climate change risks in agricultural production and to increase (re)insurers&#xb4; underwriting capacity. It further discusses the attractiveness of CAT bonds as another investment option for agricultural investors and how to develop and institutionalise a CAT bond market.},
}
@article {pmid39229601,
year = {2024},
author = {Muragijimana, C and Ntakirutimana, T and Khan, S},
title = {Climate change, culture and health: Indigenous resilience, a study from Turkana County, Kenya.},
journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {1647},
pmid = {39229601},
issn = {1996-1421},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change and recurring droughts-induced effects on health are becoming an increasingly main global, cultural and public health burden. The heaviest health burden leans on the fragile socio-economic systems among the remote agro-pastoral communities, living in the arid and semi-arid lands (ASALs). Previous studies underlined the indispensability of indigenous knowledge (IK) for resilience-driven disaster risk reduction (DRR) strategies. However, more attention has been drawn towards the necessity of IK in weather forecasts, with less emphasis on its indispensability to alleviate health burden associated with climate change and droughts. We explored the contextual application of IK-based adaptation and related complementarity aspects for culturally relevant and sustainable DRR strategies for the nomadic agro-pastoral communities in Lopur, Turkana, Kenya. Relying on a descriptive qualitative study in phenomenological approach, purposive sampling and focus group discussions with key community influencers, a thematic analysis was conducted for an in-depth understanding and interpretation of data patterns. The contextualised insights revealed the growing vulnerability as a result of the disconnect between modern interventions, IK and the newly adopted environmental degrading coping tactics. Policy-wise, the findings portrayed the necessity for cultural integration and incorporation of indigenous knowledge-based strategies and systems for reinforced information dissemination, accessibility and acceptability for droughts preparedness and response.<br><br>CONTRIBUTION: This study underlined the existing room for scientific exploration of the already existing indigenous knowledge-based solutions for food and water insecurity, towards improved resilience for the vulnerable communities experiencing inequitable climate change calamities in the ASALs.},
}
@article {pmid39229052,
year = {2024},
author = {Couper, LI and Dodge, TO and Hemker, JA and Kim, BY and Exposito-Alonso, M and Brem, RB and Mordecai, EA and Bitter, MC},
title = {Evolutionary adaptation under climate change: Aedes sp. demonstrates potential to adapt to warming.},
journal = {bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2024.08.23.609454},
pmid = {39229052},
issn = {2692-8205},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate warming is expected to shift the distributions of mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases, facilitating expansions at cool range edges and contractions at warm edges. However, whether mosquito populations could maintain their warm range edges through evolutionary adaptation remains unknown. Here, we investigate the potential for thermal adaptation in Aedes sierrensis , a congener of the major disease vector species that experiences large thermal gradients in its native range, by assaying tolerance to prolonged and acute heat exposure, and their genetic basis in a diverse, field-derived population. We found pervasive evidence of heritable genetic variation in acute heat tolerance, which phenotypically trades off with tolerance to prolonged heat exposure. A simple evolutionary model based on our data shows that, under most scenarios, the estimated maximum rate of evolutionary adaptation in mosquito heat tolerance exceeds that of projected climate warming. Our findings indicate that natural mosquito populations likely have the potential to track projected warming via genetic adaptation. Prior climate-based projections may thus underestimate the range of mosquito and mosquito-borne disease distributions under future climate conditions.<br><br>SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Global change may have profound impacts on the distribution of mosquito-borne diseases, which collectively cause nearly one million deaths each year. Accurately predicting these impacts is critical for disease control preparedness, and will depend, in part, on whether mosquitoes can adapt to warming-a key open question. Using experimental and genomic data from a relative of major vector species that already experiences a wide thermal gradient, we find that natural mosquito populations have high levels of genetically-based variation in heat tolerance that could enable adaptation on pace with warming. Incorporating the potential for adaptive responses may therefore be necessary for accurate predictions of mosquito-borne disease distributions under warming, which is critical for preparing mosquito control interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39228814,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, J and Zhao, Z and Fang, W and Ma, Z and Liu, M and Bi, J},
title = {China's progress in synergetic governance of climate change and multiple environmental issues.},
journal = {PNAS nexus},
volume = {3},
number = {9},
pages = {pgae351},
pmid = {39228814},
issn = {2752-6542},
abstract = {Advancing the synergetic control of climate change and environmental crisis is crucial for achieving global sustainable development goals. This study evaluates synergetic governance levels over climate change and four environmental issues at the provincial level in China from 2009 to 2020. Our findings reveal significant progress in China's coordinated efforts to mitigate carbon emissions, reduce air pollutants, and conserve water resources. However, there remains room for improvement in managing solid waste and protecting ecological systems and overall progress in synergetic governance has slowed since 2015. Employing a random forest model, we identify socio-economic factors with great influence on synergetic climate change and environmental governance, such as energy intensity, service sector development, electronic equipment manufacturing, and transportation. Additionally, we reveal nonlinear relationships between some factors and performance of environmental subsystems, including both plateau effects (e.g. output in the smelting of ferrous metals) and U-shaped patterns (e.g. output in the manufacturing of metal products), possibly attributed to constraints in end-of-pipe treatment capacities and complexities in supply chain networks. Furthermore, through hierarchical clustering analysis, we classify provinces into four groups and provide tailored recommendations for policymakers to enhance synergetic governance levels in their respective regions. The framework established in this study also serves as a valuable reference for countries seeking to develop practical and context-specific solutions to mitigate climate and environmental risks.},
}
@article {pmid39228044,
year = {2024},
author = {Miller, FW},
title = {The Environment, Lifestyles and Climate Change: The Many Nongenetic Contributors to The Long and Winding Road to Autoimmune Diseases.},
journal = {Arthritis care &amp; research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/acr.25423},
pmid = {39228044},
issn = {2151-4658},
abstract = {A critical unanswered question is what is causing the increase in the prevalence of autoimmunity and autoimmune diseases around the world. Given the rapidity of change, this is likely the result of major recent alterations in our exposures to environmental risk factors for these diseases. More evidence is becoming available that the evolution of autoimmune disease, years or even decades in the making, results from multiple exposures that alter susceptible genomes and immune systems over time. Exposures during sensitive phases in key developmental or hormonal periods may set the stage for the effects of later exposures. It is likely that synergistic and additive impacts of exposure mixtures result in chronic low-level inflammation. This inflammation may eventually pass thresholds that lead to immune system activation and autoimmunity, and, with further molecular and pathologic changes, the complete clinical syndrome emerges. Much work remains to be done to define the mechanisms and risk and protective factors for autoimmune conditions. However, evidence points to a variety of pollutants, xenobiotics, infections, occupational exposures, medications, smoking, psychosocial stressors, changes in diet, obesity, exercise, and sleep patterns, as well as climate change impacts of increased heat, storms, floods, wildfires, droughts, ultraviolet radiation, malnutrition, and changing infections, as possible contributors. Substantial investments in defining the role of causal factors, in whom and when their effects are most important, the necessary and sufficient gene-environment interactions, improved diagnostics and therapies, and preventative strategies are needed now to limit the many negative personal, societal, and financial impacts that will otherwise occur.},
}
@article {pmid39227637,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, Z and Jing, Z and Zhai, X and Vic, C and Sun, H and de Lavergne, C and Yuan, M},
title = {Enhanced generation of internal tides under global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {7657},
pmid = {39227637},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {42325601 and 92358303//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 42306013//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {A primary driver of deep-ocean mixing is breaking of internal tides generated via interactions of barotropic tides with topography. It is important to understand how the energy conversion from barotropic to internal tides responds to global warming. Here we address this question by applying a linear model of internal tide generation to coupled global climate model simulations under a high carbon emission scenario. The energy conversion to high-mode internal tides is projected to rise by about 8% by the end of the 21st century, whereas the energy conversion to low-mode internal tides remains nearly unchanged. The intensified near-bottom stratification under global warming increases energy conversion into both low and high-mode internal tides. In contrast, the intensified depth-averaged stratification reduces the modal horizontal wavenumber of internal tides, leading to increased (decreased) energy conversion into high (low)- mode internal tides. Our findings imply stronger mixing over rough topography under global warming, which should be properly parameterized in climate models for more accurate projections of future climate changes.},
}
@article {pmid39226553,
year = {2024},
author = {Campos, LS},
title = {Climate Change, the Environment, and Health: A Call to Action.},
journal = {Acta medica portuguesa},
volume = {37},
number = {9},
pages = {579-581},
doi = {10.20344/amp.22100},
pmid = {39226553},
issn = {1646-0758},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Global Health ; Environmental Health ; Environment ; },
}
@article {pmid39225510,
year = {2024},
author = {Soomro, S and Zhou, D and Charan, IA},
title = {Investigating associations between climate change anxiety and mental health impact on vulnerable populations: A qualitative analysis.},
journal = {African journal of reproductive health},
volume = {28},
number = {8},
pages = {108-121},
doi = {10.29063/ajrh2024/v28i8.11},
pmid = {39225510},
issn = {1118-4841},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Adolescent ; Child ; *Mental Health ; *Qualitative Research ; Male ; *Vulnerable Populations/psychology ; *Anxiety/epidemiology/psychology ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; Interviews as Topic ; Students/psychology ; },
abstract = {Climate anxiety has a negative impact on the mental health and psychological wellbeing of the vulnerable population. The goal is to assess many factors that affect mental health and psychological wellbeing, as well as how climate change affects mental health in Pakistan's vulnerable population. This study provides evidence-based insights on the long- and medium-term impacts of extreme weather events on mental health. We conducted semi-structured interviews with a sample of 72 students aged 10-16 years, employing an exploratory qualitative design. The resulting process identified themes and questions for future research on climate change and its psychological effects on children's mental health. As a result, positive emotions embedded in children's climate strategic actions in parent and community contexts helped to mitigate children's perceptions of negative emotions (such as climate anxiety, phobias, fear, sleep disorders, depression, sadness, and substance abuse). Climate change's effects can have a significant impact on mental health. We will be discussing effective strategies to address the expected mental health issues among children caused by climate change. The discussion paper offers a set of recommendations for addressing the mental health impacts of climate change, including improving mental health support systems, integrating climate change education into services, and developing targeted interventions for vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid39224369,
year = {2024},
author = {He, F and Liang, L and Wang, H and Li, A and La, M and Wang, Y and Zhang, X and Zou, D},
title = {Amphibians rise to flourishing under climate change on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e35860},
pmid = {39224369},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Amphibian populations are declining globally due to climate change. However, the impacts on the geographic distribution of amphibians on the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (QTP), a global biodiversity hotspot with 112 species of amphibians that is sensitive to global climate change, remains unclear. In this study, MaxEnt and barycentre shift analyses were performed to reveal the impact of climate change on the potential future habitats of amphibians on the QTP using the BCC-CSM2-MR global climate model of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Projects Phase 6 (CMIP6) climate pattern with three shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP). In contrast to the widespread decline in the amphibian population, the future scenarios projected an increase in most amphibian habitats on the QTP, accompanied by migration to higher elevations or latitudes under three climatic projections (SSP 1-2.6, 3-7.0, and 5-8.5). Average annual precipitation was the most crucial environmental variable impacting the future distribution of amphibians. The findings indicate that amphibians would flourish under climate change on the QTP, which is of great significance for the protection of amphibians and biodiversity on the QTP.},
}
@article {pmid39224333,
year = {2024},
author = {Akinkuolie, TA and Ogunbode, TO and Oyebamiji, VO},
title = {Evaluating constraints associated with farmers' adaptation strategies to climate change impact on farming in the tropical environment.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36086},
pmid = {39224333},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The persistent threat of climate change poses challenges to food security, despite numerous adaptation strategies, necessitating attention to achieve sustainable livelihoods. This study conducted a survey among 220 farmers in fifteen selected rural communities from five political wards in Ondo West Local Government Area, Ondo State, Nigeria, using a multistage sampling technique. Both descriptive and inferential statistical methods were used to analyse data obtained. The results indicated that 90 % of the farmers had knowledge of consequences of climate change, while 75 % have adopted various strategies to cope with the menace. The data were factorable at p ≤ 0.05 using KMO and Bartlett's tests. Four variables were extracted out of nine analysed as significant to the explanation of constraints to CC adaptation strategies, namely: engagement in other jobs (16.499 %); farmers' experience with the varying nature of weather patterns (14.526 %); farm size variation (13.485 %); and the difficulty posed by coping with recurring erratic rainfall (11.925 %). All four variables identified and extracted explained 56.446 % of the constraints hindering farmers from coping with climate change. The study recommended further studies to identify other variables that could be accountable for the constraints in coping with the climate change scenario in the study area. The contributions of farmers' experiences to the failure of various strategies in coping with climate change form the nexus to other extracted variables and, therefore, need further investigation for sustainable agriculture globally.},
}
@article {pmid39224273,
year = {2024},
author = {Viet Ha, TT and Zhou, W},
title = {Response of the Northeast China grain market to climate change based on the gravity model approach.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e36139},
pmid = {39224273},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Scientific evidence has revealed that climate change negatively affects agricultural crop production both regionally and globally. Previous studies have indicated that the role of climate change is significant in some parts of China. Thus, assessing the impact of the future climate on the grain market is vital for ensuring regional and national food security. In this study, regional climate model (RCM 4.5 and 8.5) simulations were employed to investigate the role of future climate change on a major grain-producing market in China (Northeast China). For this purpose, historical (2004-2017) and future (2020-2076) data were applied in the gravity model to examine the effects of climate change on the Northeast China grain market. The results revealed that the maximum temperature is a crucial climate factor that significantly affects the grain market. The analysis revealed that precipitation was positively related and that the temperature was significantly negatively related to domestic consumption and exports of rice, maize, and soybean. Moreover, the analysis of the RCM (4.5 and 8.5) simulations revealed a negative contribution of the maximum temperature to domestic consumption and export levels. Overall, the analysis enhances our understanding of the impacts of climate change on the Northeast China grain market.},
}
@article {pmid39224164,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, J and Wei, Z and Jin, Y},
title = {The impact of elevation and prediction of climate change on an ultra high-elevation ectotherm.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {9},
pages = {e70186},
pmid = {39224164},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change may affect the survival and reproduction of ectotherms. The toad-headed lizard Phrynocephalus theobaldi, which holds the distinction of occupying the highest elevation among all reptile species on Earth, with an elevational range from 3600 to 5000 m, represents an ideal model for studying the adaptations to climatic changes across elevational gradients. Here, we used mechanistic and hybrid species distribution models (HSDM) together with characteristic measurements of thermal biology (CTmax, CTmin, and Tsel) to simulate and compare the distribution and activity periods of the lizard across elevations in response to climate change. NicheMapR simulations using only climate factors predicted that all populations will be negatively impacted by climate change (+3°C) by suffering a reduced distribution. However, the impact was clearly reduced in simulations that accounted for thermal physiological traits. Longer activity periods were predicted for all populations during climate change. The suitable distribution is predicted to change slightly, with an increase anticipated for both high and low elevation populations. However, the forecast indicates a more pronounced increase in suitable habitats for populations at higher elevations (>4200 m) compared to those at lower elevations (<4200 m). This study underscores the key influence of climate change on population establishment and stresses the importance of physiological traits in distribution simulation for future studies to understand the potential constraints in animal adaptation to extreme high environments.},
}
@article {pmid39222727,
year = {2024},
author = {Han, W and Zheng, J and Guan, J and Liu, Y and Liu, L and Han, C and Li, J and Li, C and Tian, R and Mao, X},
title = {A greater negative impact of future climate change on vegetation in Central Asia: Evidence from trajectory/pattern analysis.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119898},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119898},
pmid = {39222727},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {In the context of global warming, vegetation changes exhibit various patterns, yet previous studies have focused primarily on monotonic changes, often overlooking the complexity and diversity of multiple change processes. Therefore, it is crucial to further explore vegetation dynamics and diverse change trajectories in this region under future climate scenarios to obtain a more comprehensive understanding of local ecosystem evolution. In this study, we established an integrated machine learning prediction framework and a vegetation change trajectory recognition framework to predict the dynamics of vegetation in Central Asia under future climate change scenarios and identify its change trajectories, thus revealing the potential impacts of future climate change on vegetation in the region. The findings suggest that various future climate scenarios will negatively affect most vegetation in Central Asia, with vegetation change intensity increasing with increasing emission trajectories. Analyses of different time scales and trend variations consistently revealed more pronounced downward trends. Vegetation change trajectory analysis revealed that most vegetation has undergone nonlinear and dramatic changes, with negative changes outnumbering positive changes and curve changes outnumbering abrupt changes. Under the highest emission scenario (SSP5-8.5), the abrupt vegetation changes and curve changes are 1.7 times and 1.3 times greater, respectively, than those under the SSP1-2.6 scenario. When transitioning from lower emission pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5) to higher emission pathways (SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5), the vegetation change trajectories shift from neutral and negative curve changes to abrupt negative changes. Across climate scenarios, the key climate factors influencing vegetation changes are mostly evapotranspiration and soil moisture, with temperature and relative humidity exerting relatively minor effects. Our study reveals the negative response of vegetation in Central Asia to climate change from the perspective of vegetation dynamics and change trajectories, providing a scientific basis for the development of effective ecological protection and climate adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39222231,
year = {2024},
author = {Sahoo, D and Moharaj, P},
title = {Assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change through dynamic indexing approach.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39222231},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {IoE-6031//Banaras Hindu University/ ; },
abstract = {The present study aims to assess agricultural vulnerability in the context of climate change, focusing on the diverse districts of Odisha. Acknowledging that vulnerability is influenced by exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, our research incorporates the growth rate and instability of vital performance indicators to evaluate the relative vulnerability of each district. A key strength of this approach is the use of normalized indicators, weighted in accordance with the proportional acreage of major crops in each district relative to the state, culminating in a comprehensive vulnerability index through the aggregation of these weighted components. Our findings reveal significant variability in the vulnerability profiles across districts, thereby necessitating state-level intervention through tailored "Location Performance Vulnerability" based adaptation strategies. These strategies, including early weather warning systems, development of new and early maturing crop varieties, and adjustment of crop planting dates, are crucial for mitigating the adverse effects of climate change on agriculture. The study's methodology and findings offer significant contributions to the field, providing policymakers and stakeholders with a district-specific framework for climate change adaptation. This approach is especially relevant for the international academic and policy-making communities, as it highlights the importance of localized adaptation strategies in the broader context of global climate change resilience.},
}
@article {pmid39222225,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, WT and Kono, M and Lee, CP and Chang, YY and Yang, YH and Lin, CC and Liu, TM and Li, HC and Chen, YM and Chen, PC},
title = {Climate Change Projections for Stroke Incidence in Taiwan: Impact of 2 °C and 4 °C Global Warming Level.},
journal = {Journal of epidemiology and global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39222225},
issn = {2210-6014},
support = {MOST-111-2119-M-002//National Science Council (NSC), Executive Yuan, Taiwan/ ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to establish the exposure-lag-response effect between daily maximum temperature and stroke-related emergency department visits and to project heat-induced stroke impacts under global warming levels (GWL) of 2 °C and 4 °C.<br><br>METHODS: Stroke-related emergency department visits in Taiwan from 2001 to 2020 were identified using the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD). The study population consisted of 1,100,074 initial stroke cases matched with 2,200,148 non-stroke controls. We employed Distributed Lag Nonlinear Models (DLNM) in a case-crossover study to investigate the association between temperature and stroke. Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) models with a Poisson function were used to correlate high-temperature exposure with annual stroke incidence rates. Projections were made under two global warming scenarios, GWL 2.0&#xa0;&#xb0;C and 4.0&#xa0;&#xb0;C, using Coupled General Circulation Model (GCMs). Baseline data from 1995 to 2014 were transformed for spatial distribution at the township level. Geographic Information System (GIS) spatial analysis was performed using Quantum GIS 3.2.0 software.<br><br>RESULTS: DLNM exposure-lag-response effect revealed that daily maximum temperature exceeding 34&#xa0;&#xb0;C significantly increased the risk of stroke-related emergency department visits, particularly for ischemic stroke. Under the 2&#xa0;&#xb0;C GWL scenario, the frequency of days with temperatures surpassing 34&#xa0;&#xb0;C is projected to rise substantially by the median year of 2042, with a further increase to 92.6&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;18.0 days/year by 2065 under the 4&#xa0;&#xb0;C GWL scenario. Ischemic stroke showed the highest increase in temperature-related incidence rates, notably rising from 7.80% under the GWL 2&#xa0;&#xb0;C to 36.06% under the GWL 4&#xa0;&#xb0;C. Specifically, the annual temperature-related incidence rate for ischemic stroke is expected to increase significantly by 2065. Regions such as Taichung, Hsinchu, Yilan, and Taitung demonstrated pronounced changes in heat-related ischemic stroke incidence under the GWL 4&#xa0;&#xb0;C.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The findings emphasize the importance of addressing temperature-related stroke risks, particularly in regions projected to experience significant temperature increases. Effective mitigation strategies are crucial to reduce the impact of rising temperatures on stroke incidence and safeguard public health.},
}
@article {pmid39221818,
year = {2024},
author = {Kouakou, YE and Dely, ID and Doumbia, M and Ouattara, A and N'da, EJ and Brou, KE and Zouzou, YA and Cissé, G and Koné, B},
title = {Methodological framework for assessing malaria risk associated with climate change in Côte d'Ivoire.},
journal = {Geospatial health},
volume = {19},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4081/gh.2024.1285},
pmid = {39221818},
issn = {1970-7096},
mesh = {Cote d'Ivoire/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Malaria/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Risk Assessment ; Female ; Pregnancy ; Risk Factors ; Child, Preschool ; },
abstract = {Malaria is the leading cause of morbidity among children under five years of age and pregnant women in Côte d'Ivoire. We assessed the geographical distribution of its risk in all climatic zones of the country based on the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) approach to climate risk analysis. This methodology considers three main driving components affecting the risk: Hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Considering the malaria impact chain, various variables were identified for each of the risk factors and for each variable, a measurable indicator was identified. These indicators were then standardized, weighted through a participatory approach based on expert judgement and finally aggregated to calculate current and future risk. With regard to the four climatic zones in the country: Attieen (sub-equatorial regime) in the South, Baouleen (humid tropical) in the centre, Sudanese or equatorial (tropical transition regime) in the North and the mountainous (humid) in the West. Malaria risk among pregnant women and children under 5 was found to be higher in the mountainous and the Baouleen climate, with the hazard highest in the mountainous climate and Exposure very high in the Attieen climate. The most vulnerable districts were those in Baouleen, Attieen and the mountainous climates. By 2050, the IPCC representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios predict an increase in risk in almost all climatic zones, compared to current levels, with the former considering a moderate scenario, with an emissions peak around 2040 followed by a decline and RCP 8.5 giving the highest baseline emissions scenario, in which emissions continue to rise. It is expected that the AR5 approach to climate risk analysis will be increasingly used in climate risk assessment studies so that it can be better assessed at a variety of scales.},
}
@article {pmid39221648,
year = {2024},
author = {Braz-Mota, S and Luis Val, A},
title = {Fish mortality in the Amazonian drought of 2023: the role of experimental biology in our response to climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of experimental biology},
volume = {227},
number = {17},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/jeb.247255},
pmid = {39221648},
issn = {1477-9145},
support = {465540/2014-7//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 062.1187/2017//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado do Amazonas/ ; 001//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Fishes/physiology ; *Droughts ; Brazil ; Biodiversity ; Rainforest ; },
abstract = {Higher temperatures exacerbate drought conditions by increasing evaporation rates, reducing soil moisture and altering precipitation patterns. As global temperatures rise as a result of climate change, these effects intensify, leading to more frequent and severe droughts. This link between higher temperatures and drought is particularly evident in sensitive ecosystems like the Amazon rainforest, where reduced rainfall and higher evaporation rates result in significantly lower water levels, threatening biodiversity and human livelihoods. As an example, the serious drought experienced in the Amazon basin in 2023 resulted in a significant decline in fish populations. Elevated water temperatures, reaching up to 38°C, led to mass mortality events, because these temperatures surpass the thermal tolerance of many Amazonian fish species. We know this because our group has collected data on critical thermal maxima (CTmax) for various fish species over multiple years. Additionally, warmer waters can cause hypoxia, further exacerbating fish mortality. Thus, even Amazon fish species, which have relatively high thermal tolerance, are being impacted by climate change. The Amazon drought experienced in 2023 underscores the urgent need for climate action to mitigate the devastating effects on Amazonian biodiversity. The fact that we have been able to link fish mortality events to data on the thermal tolerance of fishes emphasizes the important role of experimental biology in elucidating the mechanisms behind these events, a link that we aim to highlight in this Perspective.},
}
@article {pmid39220889,
year = {2024},
author = {Cheng, L and Wu, C},
title = {Does the implementation of economic policies connected to climate change depend on monetary policy mandates and financial stability governance structures?.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {16},
pages = {e35294},
pmid = {39220889},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The objective of the proposed research study is to examine how the economic policy mandates and governance frameworks of central banks affect the implementation of climate-related economic measures. Empirical evidence supports a positive correlation between the adoption of climate-related economic policies and a broader mandate for monetary policy. The existing body of research contradicts the idea that an enhanced framework for governing economic stability will result in higher implementation of financial measures related to climate change. The study, which focuses on China from 2015 to 2023, concludes that enhanced economic stability governance, founded on less integrated arrangements, leads to more successful implementation of climate-related financial measures. For other criteria such as central bank independence, the existence of a democratic government, and membership in the Sustainable Banking Network, a positive and statistically significant influence is seen across all specifications. Physical risks associated with climate change, such as heat waves, droughts, floods, and storms, as well as transition risks represented by variables like per-person CO2 emissions, policies aimed at mitigating climate change, and the financial capacity to carry out climate adaptation plans, must also manifest. Even after accounting for a new dependent variable and several alternative model parameters, the findings hold up well. We employ a fixed-effects panel regression approach to control for unobserved heterogeneity and isolate the impact of time-varying variables on renewable energy production. This methodology ensures robust and consistent estimates, providing clear insights into how monetary policy adjustments influence renewable energy investments.},
}
@article {pmid39218103,
year = {2024},
author = {Deopa, R and Thakur, DA and Kumar, S and Mohanty, MP and Asha, P},
title = {Discerning the dynamics of urbanization-climate change-flood risk nexus in densely populated urban mega cities: An appraisal of efficient flood management through spatiotemporal and geostatistical rainfall analysis and hydrodynamic modeling.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175882},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175882},
pmid = {39218103},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {While the contribution of climate change towards intensifying urban flood risks is well acknowledged, the role of urbanization is less known. The present study, for the first time in flood management literature, explores whether and how unplanned-cum-urbanization may overshadow the contribution of extreme rainfall to flood impacts in densely populated urban regions. To establish this hypothesis and exemplify our proposed framework, the National Capital Territory (NCT) of Delhi in India, infamous for its concurrent flood episodes is selected. The study categorically explores whether the catastrophic 2023 urban flood could have resulted in a similar degree of urban exposure and damage, had it occurred anytime in the past. A comprehensive spatiotemporal and geo-statistical analysis of rainfall over 11 stations brought about through Innovative trend analysis, Omnidirectional and directional Semi-variogram analysis, and Gini Index indicates a rise in extreme rainfalls. High-resolution land-use maps indicate about 39.53 %, 52.66 %, 56.60 %, and 69.18 % of urban footprints during 1993, 2003, 2013, and 2023, while gradient direction maps indicate a prominent urban surge towards the North-West, West, and Southwest corridors. A closer inspection of the Greenness and Urbanity indices reveals a gradual decline in the green footprints and concurrent escalation in the urban footprints over the decades. A 3-way coupled MIKE+ model was set up to replicate the July 2023 flood event; indicating about 13 % of the area experience "high" and "very-high" flood hazards. By overlaying the flood inundation and hazard maps over land-use maps for 1993, 2003, and 2013, we further establish that a similar flood event would have resulted in lesser damage and building exposure. The study offers a set of flood management options for refurbishing resilience and limiting flood risks. The study delivers critical insights into the existing urban flood management strategies while delving into the urban growth-climate change-flood risk nexus.},
}
@article {pmid39217778,
year = {2024},
author = {Chan, HW and Lin, L and Tam, KP and Hong, YY},
title = {From negative feelings to impairments: A longitudinal study on the development of climate change anxiety.},
journal = {Journal of anxiety disorders},
volume = {107},
number = {},
pages = {102917},
doi = {10.1016/j.janxdis.2024.102917},
pmid = {39217778},
issn = {1873-7897},
abstract = {People may experience anxiety and related distress when they come in contact with climate change (i.e., climate change anxiety). Climate change anxiety can be conceptualized as either emotional-based response (the experience of anxiety-related emotions) or impairment-based response (the experience of impairment in daily functioning). To date, it remains uncertain how these distinct manifestations of climate change anxiety are related. Conceptually, the experience of climate change anxiety may transform from an adaptive and healthy emotional response to an impairment in daily functioning. We conducted two two-wave longitudinal studies to examine the possible bidirectional relationships between three manifestations of climate change anxiety. We recruited 942 adults (mean age = 43.1) and 683 parents (mean age = 46.2) in Studies 1 and 2, respectively. We found that Time 1 emotion-based response was positively linked to Time 2 cognitive-emotional impairment, while Time 1 cognitive-emotional impairment was positively related to Time 2 functional impairment. In Study 2, we also found a bidirectional positive relationship between generalized anxiety and emotion-based climate change anxiety over time. Overall, our findings provide initial support to the temporal relationships between different manifestations of climate change anxiety, corroborating that climate change anxiety may develop from emotional responses to impairment in functioning.},
}
@article {pmid39216332,
year = {2024},
author = {He, G and Lin, Y and Hu, J and Chen, Y and Guo, Y and Yu, M and Zeng, F and Duan, H and Meng, R and Zhou, C and Xiao, Y and Huang, B and Gong, W and Liu, J and Liu, T and Zhou, M and Ma, W},
title = {The trends of non-accidental mortality burden attributed to compound hot-dry events in China and its provinces in a global warming world.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {191},
number = {},
pages = {108977},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2024.108977},
pmid = {39216332},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global warming has provoked more co-occurrence of hot extreme and dry extreme, namely compound hot-dry events (CHDEs). However, their health impacts have seldom been investigated. This study aimed to characterize CHDEs and assess its mortality burden in China from 1990 to 2100.<br><br>METHODS: CHDEs were defined as a day when daily maximum temperature&#xa0;>&#xa0;its 90th percentile and Standardized Precipitation Index&#xa0;<&#xa0;its 50th percentile. A two-stage approach, including a distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) and a multivariate meta-analysis, was used to estimate exposure-response associations of CHDEs with mortality in 358 counties/districts during 2006-2017 in China, which was then applied to assess the national mortality burden attributable to CHDEs from 1990 to 2100.<br><br>FINDINGS: We observed a significant increasing trend of CHDEs in China until mid-21st century, and then flatted, while the duration and intensity of CHDEs continuously increased across the 21st century. CHDEs were much riskier (ER=17.82&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 14.17&#xa0;%-21.60&#xa0;%) than independent hot events (ER=5.86&#xa0;%,95&#xa0;%CI: -0.04&#xa0;%,12.45&#xa0;%) or dry events (ER=0.07&#xa0;%,95&#xa0;%CI: -1.22&#xa0;%, 1.38&#xa0;%), and there was significantly additive interaction between hot events and dry events (AP=0.10,95&#xa0;%CI: 0.04, 0.16). Females (ER=24.28&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 19.21&#xa0;%-29.56&#xa0;%), the elderly (ER=23.28&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 18.23&#xa0;%-28.55&#xa0;%), and people living in humid area (ER=18.98&#xa0;%, 95&#xa0;%CI: 15.08&#xa0;%-23.02&#xa0;%) had higher mortality risks than their counterparts. Mortality burden attributed to CHDEs significantly increased during historical observation and became stable since mid-21st century in China.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: CHDEs would significantly increase mortality with higher risk for females, the elderly and people living in humid areas. Mortality burden has significantly increased during historical observation and will keep relatively steady since mid-21st century.},
}
@article {pmid39215932,
year = {2024},
author = {Malik, IH and Ford, JD},
title = {Monitoring climate change vulnerability in the Himalayas.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39215932},
issn = {1654-7209},
abstract = {Longitudinal assessment of climate vulnerability is essential for understanding the complex factors affecting how people experience and respond to climate change. We report on the first longitudinal assessment of climate vulnerability in the Himalayan region, exploring the evolving landscape, perceptions, and experiences of communities of climate change impacts, vulnerability, and adaptation in Kashmir over an 8-year period from 2017 to 2024. We provide the Himalayan Re-study Framework (HRF) to monitor, characterise, and conceptualise climate change in the Himalayas. Utilising mixed methods, we showcase how climate change is affecting social, economic, political, and environmental dimensions, examining how the impacts of climate change and vulnerability evolve over time, shaping and reshaping how climate risks are experienced and responded to by communities. Our analysis reveals a nuanced understanding of vulnerability, highlighting the impact on communities' livelihoods and water security, differential impacts on marginalised communities, and the gendered nature of climate change. We examine how certain sections of the population face marginalisation, discrimination, and racism, and how climate change exacerbates these challenges. Kashmir's vulnerability to climate change extends beyond environmental factors, intertwining with culture, livelihoods, social dynamics, and politics. Climate change continues to compete for attention with immediate political and socio-economic challenges, highlighting the need for integrated approaches to address both environmental and societal issues in Kashmir.},
}
@article {pmid39215837,
year = {2024},
author = {Dorji, T and Rinchen, K and Morrison-Saunders, A and Blake, D and Banham, V and Pelden, S},
title = {Understanding How Indigenous Knowledge Contributes to Climate Change Adaptation and Resilience: A Systematic Literature Review.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39215837},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing the world today threatening societies and the future of the planet. The impacts of climate change are more severe in poor and marginalised populations like Indigenous communities where people rely heavily on their Indigenous Knowledge (IK) to adapt to the changing environment. Climate change adaptation and resilience are critical for the survival of Indigenous communities under the threat of climate change. This systematic literature review seeks to understand how IK contributes to climate change adaptation and resilience. A total of 71 papers from Scopus were analysed using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) method. It investigated three research questions: (i) How is IK understood in climate change studies? (ii) What kind of IK is used to address climate change and enhance adaptation and resilience? and finally, (iii) What could be done to maximise the use of IK towards enhancing climate adaptation and resilience? The study found that Indigenous people use IK to predict extreme climatic conditions, prepare for it, and live through it making use of Indigenous adaptation strategies in multiple manifestations. The solutions to maximise the benefits of IK promote two dominant themes requiring more research on IK and climate change with diverse focus areas and the need to bridge it with scientific knowledge. This review provides a starting point for such research that will draw upon IK to enhance climate adaptation and resilience towards meaningful sustainable development.},
}
@article {pmid39214233,
year = {2024},
author = {Jibon, MJN and Ruku, SMRP and Islam, ARMT and Khan, MN and Mallick, J and Bari, ABMM and Senapathi, V},
title = {Impact of climate change on vector-borne diseases: Exploring hotspots, recent trends and future outlooks in Bangladesh.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {259},
number = {},
pages = {107373},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107373},
pmid = {39214233},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Climate change is a significant risk multiplier and profoundly influences the transmission dynamics, geographical distribution, and resurgence of vector-borne diseases (VBDs). Bangladesh has a noticeable rise in VBDs attributed to climate change. Despite the severity of this issue, the interconnections between climate change and VBDs in Bangladesh have yet to be thoroughly explored. To address this research gap, our review meticulously examined existing literature on the relationship between climate change and VBDs in Bangladesh. Using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) approach, we identified 3849 records from SCOPUS, Web of Science, and Google Scholar databases. Ultimately, 22 research articles meeting specific criteria were included. We identified that the literature on the subject matter of this study is non-contemporaneous, with 68% of studies investing datasets before 2014, despite studies on climate change and dengue nexus having increased recently. We pinpointed Dhaka and Chittagong Hill Tracts as the dengue and malaria research hotspots, respectively. We highlighted that the 2023 dengue outbreak illustrates a possible shift in dengue-endemic areas in Bangladesh. Moreover, dengue cases surged by 317% in 2023 compared to 2019 records, with a corresponding 607% increase in mortality compared to 2022. A weak connection was observed between dengue incidents and climate drivers, including the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). However, no compelling evidence supported an association between malaria cases, and Sea Surface Temperature (SST) in the Bay of Bengal, along with the NINO3 phenomenon. We observed minimal microclimatic and non-climatic data inclusion in selected studies. Our review holds implications for policymakers, urging the prioritization of mitigation measures such as year-round surveillance and early warning systems. Ultimately, it calls for resource allocation to empower researchers in advancing the understanding of VBD dynamics amidst changing climates.},
}
@article {pmid39215441,
year = {2024},
author = {Bruckner, TA and Trinh, NTH and Lelong, N and Madani, K and Slama, R and Given, J and Khoshnood, B},
title = {Climate Change and Congenital Anomalies: A Population-Based Study of the Effect of Prolonged Extreme Heat Exposure on the Risk of Neural Tube Defects in France.},
journal = {Birth defects research},
volume = {116},
number = {9},
pages = {e2397},
doi = {10.1002/bdr2.2397},
pmid = {39215441},
issn = {2472-1727},
mesh = {Humans ; *Neural Tube Defects/etiology/epidemiology ; Female ; France/epidemiology ; Pregnancy ; *Climate Change ; *Extreme Heat/adverse effects ; Adult ; Risk Factors ; Male ; Infant, Newborn ; Registries ; Congenital Abnormalities/epidemiology/etiology ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Exposure to long-lasting extreme ambient temperatures in the periconceptional or early pregnancy period might increase the risk of neural tube defects (NTDs). We tested whether prolonged severe heat exposure as experienced during the 2003 extreme heatwave in France, affected the risk of NTDs.<br><br>METHODS: We retrieved NTD cases spanning from January 1994 to December 2018 from the Paris Registry of Congenital Malformations. The 2003 heatwave was characterized by the long duration and high intensity of nine consecutive days with temperatures &#x2265;35&#xb0;C. We classified monthly conceptions occurring in August 2003 as "exposed" to prolonged extreme heat around conception (i.e., periconceptional period). We assessed whether the risk of NTDs among cohorts exposed to the prolonged severe heatwave of 2003 in the periconceptional period differed from expected values using Poisson/negative binomial regression.<br><br>FINDINGS: We identified 1272 NTD cases from January 1994 to December 2018, yielding a monthly mean count of 4.24. Ten NTD cases occurred among births conceived in August 2003. The risk of NTD was increased in the cohort with periconceptional exposure to the August 2003 heatwave (relative risk&#x2009;=&#x2009;2.14, 95% confidence interval: 1.46 to 3.13), compared to non-exposed cohorts. Sensitivity analyses excluding July and September months or restricting to summer months yielded consistent findings.<br><br>INTERPRETATION: Evidence from the "natural experiment" of an extreme climate event suggests an elevated risk of NTDs following exposure to prolonged extreme heat during the periconceptional period.},
}
@article {pmid39215241,
year = {2024},
author = {Iqbal, S and Karia, A and Kamming, D and Herron, D and O'Shea, L and Vindrola-Padros, C},
title = {Anaesthesia and climate change: time to wake up? A rapid qualitative appraisal exploring the views of anaesthetic practitioners regarding the transition to TIVA and the reduction of desflurane.},
journal = {BMC anesthesiology},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {300},
pmid = {39215241},
issn = {1471-2253},
support = {MR/W029766/1//BMBR MRC grant/ ; NIHR204297//NIHR Central London Patient Safety Research Collaboration (CL PSRC)/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Desflurane ; *Climate Change ; *Anesthetics, Inhalation ; Attitude of Health Personnel ; Anesthesia, Intravenous ; Anesthesiologists ; Qualitative Research ; Male ; Female ; London ; Anesthesiology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The National Health Service (NHS) has pledged to reach carbon net-zero by 2040. In alignment with this goal, a London hospital's anaesthesia department is actively reducing desflurane use and transitioning towards total intravenous anaesthesia (TIVA) as a sustainable alternative, contributing to environmentally responsible practices within the healthcare sector.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a rapid qualitative appraisal through online interviews with 17 anaesthetic practitioners to explore their perspectives regarding this climate change mitigation strategy. Data analysis was undertaken through the use of rapid appraisal sheets and a framework analysis method.<br><br>RESULTS: Participants highlighted the disadvantages of TIVA, including the increased effort, heightened monitoring requirements, operational challenges, and a lack of clinical confidence associated with its use. Despite these reservations, participants acknowledged TIVA's potential to reduce postoperative nausea. There were perceptions that senior staff members might resist this change due to habits and scepticism over its impact on climate change. To facilitate greater TIVA adoption, participants recommended enhanced training, the implementation of a dashboard to raise awareness of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and the presence of strong climate change leadership within the department. Participants believed that a shift to TIVA should be followed by specific measures such as addressing waste management which is crucial for GHG reduction, emphasising the perceived link between waste and emissions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The evaluation examines stakeholder attitudes, perceptions, and behaviours, focusing on transitioning from desflurane to TIVA. The study highlights the importance of staff engagement, organisational support, and underscores the crucial role that healthcare practitioners and leadership play in fostering sustainability within the healthcare sector.},
}
@article {pmid39214060,
year = {2024},
author = {Nona, F},
title = {Traditional community-based knowledge for envisioning climate change action for the Torres Strait.},
journal = {Australian and New Zealand journal of public health},
volume = {48},
number = {5},
pages = {100182},
doi = {10.1016/j.anzjph.2024.100182},
pmid = {39214060},
issn = {1753-6405},
}
@article {pmid39213845,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, X and Liu, J and Afthanorhan, A and Hao, Y},
title = {Heating up the divide: Climate change and the quest for inclusive growth in urban China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122269},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122269},
pmid = {39213845},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change has profoundly affected human production and development, and also brought new challenges to China's goal of achieving inclusive economic growth. Using the data of 273 cities in China from 2001 to 2019, this research evaluates the impact of climate change on urban inclusive economic growth by constructing a temperature bin variable according to the daily average temperature. It is found that with the temperature bin [18 °C, 21 °C) as the benchmark group, both temperature rise and fall have a negative influence on inclusive economic growth. Notably, the adverse effects of high temperatures (above 27 °C) are statistically and economically significant, exhibiting a trend of increasing magnitude. The mechanism test shows that high temperature affects the inclusive growth level of the urban economy mainly by exacerbating the urban‒rural income gap. The heterogeneity analysis found that cities located in hot regions, southern regions or coastal areas are more sensitive to high temperatures and experience more prominent effects. This research holds significant practical implications for China to achieve a win‒win situation of balanced economic development and climate governance.},
}
@article {pmid39213284,
year = {2024},
author = {Banu, B and Akter, N and Sheba, NH and Chowdhury, SH},
title = {Knowledge and implementation behavior towards mitigation initiatives of climate change: Community settings approach of Bangladesh context followed cross-sectional design.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {e0307898},
pmid = {39213284},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Bangladesh ; Female ; Male ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Adult ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Middle Aged ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; },
abstract = {Bangladesh experiences different types of natural disasters almost every year which adversely affect human health. It is very essential to identify knowledge and implementation behavior as mitigation initiatives towards climate change in community settings of Bangladesh. This study was designed to explore this issue. It was an analytical type of cross-sectional study which was conducted among 450 adult people residing in Barisal district of Bangladesh. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews using semi-structured questionnaire included socio-demographic information, knowledge and implementation behavior regarding mitigation initiatives towards climate change. Bivariate and multivariate techniques were adopted to analyze the data. The outcome reflected that a large proportion of the respondents had poor knowledge (55.1%) and poor implementation behavior (52.0%) on mitigation initiatives towards climate change. Poor knowledge was significantly more prominent among the people who were male (AOR = 1.56), Muslim (AOR = 2.55), respondents with >4 family members (AOR = 1.91) and with >3 children (AOR = 1.64) showed higher odds of poor knowledge. Poor implementation behavior was found significantly more leading among the female (AOR = 2.91), service-holder (AOR = 1.92) participants having higher monthly family incomes (AOR = 2.91), who had <1 child (AOR = 2.70), belonging ≤4 number of family members (AOR = 30.09). An alarming proportion of poor knowledge and implementation behavior were found regarding mitigation initiatives towards climate change in community settings of Bangladesh. Concerning demographic major predictors, it is essential to plan and implement sustainable and comprehensive health promotional program on climate change mitigation throughout the country.},
}
@article {pmid39212586,
year = {2024},
author = {Dougherty, PJ and Carling, MD},
title = {Go west, young bunting: recent climate change drives rapid movement of a Great Plains hybrid zone.},
journal = {Evolution; international journal of organic evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/evolut/qpae118},
pmid = {39212586},
issn = {1558-5646},
abstract = {Describing how hybrid zones respond to anthropogenic influence can illuminate how the environment regulates both species distributions and reproductive isolation between species. In this study, we analyzed specimens collected from the Passerina cyanea x P. amoena hybrid zone between 2004 and 2007 and between 2019 and 2021 to explore changes in genetic structure over time. This comparison follows a previous study that identified a significant westward shift of the Passerina hybrid zone during the latter half of the twentieth century. A second temporal comparison of hybrid zone genetic structure presents unique potential to describe finer-scale dynamics and to identify potential mechanisms of observed changes more accurately. After concluding that the westward movement of the Passerina hybrid zone has accelerated in recent decades, we investigated potential drivers of this trend by modeling the influence of bioclimatic and landcover variables on genetic structure. We also incorporated eBird data to determine how the distributions of P. cyanea and P. amoena have responded to recent climate and landcover changes. We found that the distribution of P. cyanea in the northern Great Plains has shifted west to track a moving climatic niche, supporting anthropogenic climate change as a key mediator of introgression in this system.},
}
@article {pmid39212212,
year = {2024},
author = {Asemaninejad, A and Mackinnon, T and Langley, S},
title = {Biogeochemical stability of organic covers and mine wastes under climate change simulated mesocosms.},
journal = {Canadian journal of microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1139/cjm-2024-0064},
pmid = {39212212},
issn = {1480-3275},
abstract = {Mine environments in boreal and sub-boreal zones are expected to experience extreme weather events, increases in temperature, and shifts in precipitation patterns. Climate change impacts on geochemical stability of tailings contaminants and reclamation structures have been identified as important climate-related challenges to Canadian mining sector. Adapting current reclamation strategies for climate change will improve long-term efficiency and viability of mine tailings remediation/restoration strategies under a changing climate. Accordingly, mesocosm experiments were conducted to investigate associations of climate-driven shifts in microbial communities and functions with changes in the geochemistry of organic covers and underlying tailings. Our results show that warming appears to significantly reduce C:N of organic cover and promote infiltration of nitrogen into deeper, unoxidized strata of underlying tailings. We also observed an increase in the abundance of some nitrate reducers and sulfide oxidizers in microbial communities in underlying tailings. These results raise the concern that warming might trigger oxidation of sulfide minerals (linked to nitrate reduction) in deeper unoxidized strata where the oxygen has been eliminated. Therefore, it would be necessary to have monitoring programs to track functionality of covers in response to climate change conditions. These findings have implications for development of climate resilient mine tailings remediation/restoration strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39210948,
year = {2024},
author = {Heinz, A and Brandt, L},
title = {Climate change and mental health: direct, indirect, and intersectional effects.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Europe},
volume = {43},
number = {},
pages = {100969},
pmid = {39210948},
issn = {2666-7762},
}
@article {pmid39210514,
year = {2024},
author = {Ul Haq, I and Khan, M and Khan, I},
title = {Phytopathological management through bacteriophages: enhancing food security amidst climate change.},
journal = {Journal of industrial microbiology &amp; biotechnology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jimb/kuae031},
pmid = {39210514},
issn = {1476-5535},
abstract = {The increasing global population and climate change pose significant challenges to agriculture, particularly in managing plant diseases caused by phytopathogens. Traditional methods, including chemical pesticides and antibiotics, have become less effective due to pathogen resistance and environmental concerns. Phage therapy emerges as a promising alternative, offering a sustainable and precise approach to controlling plant bacterial diseases without harming beneficial soil microorganisms. This review explores the potential of bacteriophages as biocontrol agents, highlighting their specificity, rapid multiplication, and minimal environmental impact. We discuss the historical context, current applications, and prospects of phage therapy in agriculture, emphasizing its role in enhancing crop yield and quality. Additionally, the paper examines the integration of phage therapy with modern agricultural practices and the development phage cocktails and genetically engineered phages to combat resistant pathogens. The findings suggest that phage therapy could revolutionize phytopathological management, contributing to global food security and sustainable agricultural practices.},
}
@article {pmid39210192,
year = {2024},
author = {Mehta, MM and Johnson, AE and Ratnakaran, B and Seritan, I and Seritan, AL},
title = {Climate Change and Aging: Implications for Psychiatric Care.},
journal = {Current psychiatry reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39210192},
issn = {1535-1645},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We reviewed recent evidence regarding the impact of climate change (specifically, high ambient temperatures, heatwaves, weather-related disasters, and air pollution) on older adults' mental health. We also summarized evidence regarding other medical problems that can occur in aging adults in connection with climate change, resulting in psychiatric manifestations or influencing psychopharmacological management.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Older adults can experience anxiety, depressive, and/or posttraumatic stress symptoms, as well as sleep disturbances in the aftermath of climate disasters. Cognitive deficits may occur with exposure to air pollutants, heatwaves, or post-disaster. Individuals with major neurocognitive disorders and/or preexisting psychiatric illness have a higher risk of psychiatric hospitalizations after exposure to high temperatures and air pollution. There is a growing body of research regarding psychiatric clinical presentations associated with climate change in older adults. However, there is a paucity of evidence on management strategies. Future research should investigate culturally appropriate, cost-effective psychosocial and pharmacological interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39209172,
year = {2024},
author = {Luo, Y and Ma, N and Zhang, Y and Zang, C and Szilagyi, J and Tian, J and Wang, L and Xu, Z and Tang, Z and Wei, H},
title = {Response of alpine vegetation function to climate change in the Tibetan Plateau: A perspective from solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175845},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175845},
pmid = {39209172},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Vegetation change on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) is a crucial indicator of climate change in alpine regions. Previous studies have reported an overall greening trend in the vegetation structure across the TP, especially in its northeastern part, in response to a warming climate. However, variations in the vegetation function and the possible drivers remain poorly understood. Considering the optimal temperature for plants in TP is usually higher than the current temperature, our hypothesis is the function and structure of alpine vegetation have changed synchronously over past few decades. To test this hypothesis, we analyzed satellite-observed solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence (SIF) and leaf area index (LAI) in the Yellow River source (YRS) region in the northeastern TP to quantify the long-term trends in vegetation functional and structural states, respectively. The results suggest that from 1982 to 2018, SIF increased significantly in 77.71 % of the YRS area, resulting in a significant upward trend of 0.52 × 10[-3] mW m[-2] nm[-1] sr[-1] yr[-1] (p < 0.001) for the regional-mean SIF. This represents a 16.1 % increase in SIF, which is close in magnitude to the increase in LAI over the same period. The synchronous changes between vegetation function and structure suggest that improved greenness corresponds to a similar level of change in carbon uptake across YRS. Additionally, we used a multiple regression approach to quantify the contribution of climatic factors to SIF changes in YRS. Our analyses show that the increases in SIF were primarily driven by rising temperatures. Spatially, temperature dominated SIF changes in most parts of YRS, except for certain dry parts in the northern and western YRS, where precipitation had a greater impact. Our results are crucial for a comprehensive understanding of climate regulations on vegetation structure and function in high-elevation regions.},
}
@article {pmid39208748,
year = {2024},
author = {Wilson, TS and Selmants, PC and Boynton, RM and Thorne, JH and Van Schmidt, ND and Thomas, TA},
title = {Will there be water? Climate change, housing needs, and future water demand in California.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {369},
number = {},
pages = {122256},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122256},
pmid = {39208748},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change in California is expected to alter future water availability, impacting water supplies needed to support future housing growth and agriculture demand. In groundwater-dependent regions like California's Central Coast, new land-use related water demand and decreasing recharge is already stressing depleted groundwater basins. We developed a spatially explicit state-and-transition simulation model that integrates climate, land-use change, water demand, and groundwater gain-loss to examine the impact of future climate and land use change on groundwater balance and water demand in five counties along the Central Coast from 2010 to 2060. The model incorporated downscaled groundwater recharge projections based on a Warm/Wet and a Hot/Dry climate future from a spatially explicit hydrological process-based model. Two urbanization projections from a parcel-based, regional urban growth model representing 1) recent historical and 2) state-mandated housing growth projections were used as alternative spatial targets for future urban growth. Agricultural projections were based on recent historical trends from remote sensing data. Annual projected changes in groundwater balance were calculated as the difference between land-use related water demand, based on historical estimates, and climate-driven recharge plus agriculture return flows. Results indicate that future changes in climate-driven groundwater recharge, coupled with cumulative increases in agricultural water demand, result in overall declines in future groundwater balance, with a Hot/Dry future resulting in cumulative groundwater decline in all but Santa Cruz County. Cumulative declines by 2060 are especially prominent in San Luis Obispo (-2.9 to -5.1 Bm[3]) and Monterey counties (-6.5 to -8.7 Bm[3]), despite limited changes in agricultural water demand over the model period. These two counties show declining groundwater reserves in a Warm/Wet future as well, while San Benito and Santa Barbara County barely reach equilibrium. These results suggest future groundwater supplies may not be able to keep pace with regional demand and declining climate-driven recharge, resulting in a potential reduction in water security in the region. However, our county-scale projections showed new housing and associated water demand does not conflict with California's groundwater sustainability goals. Rather, future climate coupled with increasing agricultural groundwater demand may reduce water security in some counties, potentially limiting available groundwater supplies for new housing.},
}
@article {pmid39206497,
year = {2024},
author = {Shah, SH and Ragavan, MI},
title = {Climate Change, Extreme Weather Events, and Child Health: A Call to Action.},
journal = {Pediatrics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1542/peds.2024-067391},
pmid = {39206497},
issn = {1098-4275},
}
@article {pmid39206454,
year = {2024},
author = {Barboza, E and Bravo, N and Cotrina-Sanchez, A and Salazar, W and Gálvez-Paucar, D and Gonzales, J and Saravia, D and Valqui-Valqui, L and Cárdenas, GP and Ocaña, J and Cruz-Luis, J and Arbizu, CI},
title = {Modeling the current and future habitat suitability of Neltuma pallida in the dry forest of northern Peru under climate change scenarios to 2100.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70158},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.70158},
pmid = {39206454},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The development of anthropic activities and climate change effects impact worldwide species' ecosystems and habitats. Habitats' adequate prediction can be an important tool to assess current and future trends. In addition, it allows strategies development for their conservation. The Neltuma pallida of the forest region in northern Peru, although very significant, has experienced a decline in recent years. The objective of this research is to evaluate the current and future distribution and conservation status of N. pallida in the Peruvian dry forest under climate change (Location: Republic of Peru). A total of 132 forest presence records and 10 variables (bioclimatic, topographic, and soil) were processed and selected to obtain the current and future distribution for 2100, using Google Earth Engine (GEE), RStudio, and MaxEnt. The area under the curve values fell within the range of 0.93-0.95, demonstrating a strong predictive capability for both present and future potential habitats. The findings indicated that the likely range of habitats for N. pallida was shaped by factors such as the average temperature of wettest quarter, maximum temperature of warmest month, elevation, rainfall, and precipitation of driest month. The main suitable areas were in the central regions of the geographical departments of Tumbes, Piura, and Lambayeque, as well as in the northern part of La Libertad. It is critical to determine the habitat suitability of plant species for conservation managers since this information stimulates the development of policies that favor sustainable use programs. In addition, these results can contribute significantly to identify new areas for designing strategies for populations conserving and recovering with an ecological restoration approach.},
}
@article {pmid39205430,
year = {2024},
author = {Chakraborty, N and Halder, S and Keswani, C and Vaca, J and Ortiz, A and Sansinenea, E},
title = {New Aspects of the Effects of Climate Change on Interactions Between Plants and Microbiomes: A Review.},
journal = {Journal of basic microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2400345},
doi = {10.1002/jobm.202400345},
pmid = {39205430},
issn = {1521-4028},
support = {//This study was funded by Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation on the Young Scientist Laboratory within the framework of the Interregional Scientific and Educational Center of the South of Russia, Grant/Award Number FENW-2024-0001 and Strategic Academic Leadership Program of the Southern Federal University ("Priority 2030")./ ; },
abstract = {One of the most talked about issues of the 21st century is climate change, as it affects not just our health but also forestry, agriculture, biodiversity, the ecosystem, and the energy supply. Greenhouse gases are the primary cause of climate change, having dramatic effects on the environment. Climate change has an impact on the function and composition of the terrestrial microbial community both directly and indirectly. Changes in the prevailing climatic conditions brought about by climate change will lead to modifications in plant physiology, root exudation, signal alteration, and the quantity, makeup, and diversity of soil microbial communities. Microbiological activity is very crucial in organic production systems due to the organic origin of microorganisms. Microbes that benefit crop plants are known as plant growth-promoting microorganisms. Thus, the effects of climate change on the environment also have an impact on the abilities of beneficial bacteria to support plant growth, health, and root colonization. In this review, we have covered the effects of temperature, precipitation, drought, and CO2 on plant-microbe interactions, as well as some physiological implications of these changes. Additionally, this paper highlights the ways in which bacteria in plants' rhizosphere react to the dominant climatic conditions in the soil environment. The goal of this study is to analyze the effects of climate change on plant-microbe interactions.},
}
@article {pmid39204772,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, B and Li, Y and Zhao, J and Weng, H and Ye, X and Liu, S and Zhao, Z and Ahmad, S and Zhan, C},
title = {The Potential Habitat Response of Cyclobalanopsis gilva to Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13162336},
pmid = {39204772},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {KJZXSA2018008//State Forestry and Grassland Administration/ ; },
abstract = {Cyclobalanopsis gilva, a valuable timber species in China, holds significant importance for understanding the constraints imposed by climate change on the dynamic geographic distribution of tree species. This study utilized the MaxEnt maximum entropy model to reconstruct the migratory dynamics of C. gilva geographical distribution since the Last Glacial Maximum. The objective was to comprehend the restrictive mechanisms of environmental factors on its potential geographical distribution, aiming to provide insights for mid-to-long-term afforestation planning of C. gilva. The optimized MaxEnt model exhibited a significantly high predictive accuracy, with an average AUC value of 0.949 ± 0.004 for the modern suitable habitat model of C. gilva. The total suitable habitat area for C. gilva in contemporary times was 143.05 × 10[4] km[2], with a highly suitable habitat area of 3.14 × 10[4] km[2]. The contemporary suitable habitat was primarily located in the southeastern regions of China, while the highly suitable habitat was concentrated in eastern Fujian and central-eastern Taiwan. Bioclimatic variables such as mean diurnal range (Bio2), min temperature of coldest month (Bio6), precipitation of driest quarter (Bio17), and precipitation of driest month (Bio14) predominantly influenced the modern geographic distribution pattern of C. gilva, with temperature factors playing a leading role. With global climate warming, there is a risk of fragmentation or even loss of suitable habitat for C. gilva by 2050 and 2090. Therefore, the findings of this study can significantly contribute to initiating a habitat conservation campaign for this species.},
}
@article {pmid39204720,
year = {2024},
author = {Xing, Y and Wang, X},
title = {Impact of Agricultural Activities on Climate Change: A Review of Greenhouse Gas Emission Patterns in Field Crop Systems.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants13162285},
pmid = {39204720},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2023LLRH-01//Shanxi Province Key Special Project for the Fusion of "Two Chains"/ ; },
abstract = {This review paper synthesizes the current understanding of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from field cropping systems. It examines the key factors influencing GHG emissions, including crop type, management practices, and soil conditions. The review highlights the variability in GHG emissions across different cropping systems. Conventional tillage systems generally emit higher levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrous oxide (N2O) than no-till or reduced tillage systems. Crop rotation, cover cropping, and residue management can significantly reduce GHG emissions by improving soil carbon sequestration and reducing nitrogen fertilizer requirements. The paper also discusses the challenges and opportunities for mitigating GHG emissions in field cropping systems. Precision agriculture techniques, such as variable rate application of fertilizers and water, can optimize crop production while minimizing environmental impacts. Agroforestry systems, which integrate trees and crops, offer the potential for carbon sequestration and reducing N2O emissions. This review provides insights into the latest research on GHG emissions from field cropping systems and identifies areas for further study. It emphasizes the importance of adopting sustainable management practices to reduce GHG emissions and enhance the environmental sustainability of agricultural systems.},
}
@article {pmid39200702,
year = {2024},
author = {Zavala, MD and Cejas, C and Rubinstein, A and Lopez, A},
title = {Gender Inequities in the Impact of Climate Change on Health: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {8},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21081093},
pmid = {39200702},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Female ; Male ; Sex Factors ; Socioeconomic Factors ; },
abstract = {In the 21st century, climate change has emerged as a critical global public health challenge. Women experience the most severe impacts of climate change, intensifying pre-existing gender inequalities. This scoping review aims to explore the intersection of climate change, health, and gender, considering the social determinants of health. The methods for this review follow the Arksey and O'Malley framework for a scoping review and the PRISMA-ScR checklist. The review, covering January 2019 to February 2024, included PubMed, LILACS, and SciELO databases. We identified 71 studies with 19 meeting the inclusion criteria. The results revealed the differential effects of climate change on health according to gender in areas such as mental health, reproductive health, gender-based violence, occupational health, and health issues associated with heat and air pollution. Our findings also elucidated how socio-economic and gender inequities intersect, exacerbating the risk of experiencing these effects. In conclusion, the study highlights a clear need for gender-sensitive climate policies and interventions to address these disparities and protect vulnerable populations from the health impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39199941,
year = {2024},
author = {Pius, L and Huang, S and Wanjala, G and Bagi, Z and Kusza, S},
title = {African Local Pig Genetic Resources in the Context of Climate Change Adaptation.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14162407},
pmid = {39199941},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {Africa is home to a wide diversity of locally adapted pig breeds whose genetic architecture offers important insights into livestock adaptation to climate change. However, the majority of these inherent traits have not been fully highlighted. This review presents an overview of the current state of African pig genetic resources, providing highlights on their population and production statistics, production system, population diversity indices, and genomic evidence underlying their evolutionary potential. The study results reveal an incomplete characterization of local pig genotypes across the continent. The characterized population, however, demonstrates moderate to high levels of genetic diversity, enough to support breeding and conservation programs. Owing to low genetic differentiation and limited evidence of distinct population structures, it appears that most local pig populations are strains within larger breeds. Genomic evidence has shown a higher number of selection signatures associated with various economically important traits, thus making them potential candidates for climate change adaptation. The reportedly early evidence of hybridization with wild suid groups further suggests untapped insights into disease resistance and resilience traits that need to be illuminated using higher-density markers. Nevertheless, gene introgression from commercial breeds is prevalent across Africa; thus, efforts to realize and utilize these traits must increase before they are permanently depleted.},
}
@article {pmid39199834,
year = {2024},
author = {Liao, W and Cao, S and Jiang, Y and Shao, W and Zhao, L and Yan, C},
title = {Predicting Conservation Status of Testudoformes under Climate Change Using Habitat Models.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {16},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14162300},
pmid = {39199834},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {Climate change promotes variations in distribution ranges, potentially leading to biodiversity loss and increased extinction risks for species. It is crucial to investigate these variations under future climate change scenarios for effective biodiversity conservation. Here, we studied the future distribution ranges of 268 Testudoformes species under climate change using habitat models, specifically species distribution models (SDMs), to assess their conservation status. Our results have indicated that over half of species are projected to experience declines in their potential distribution ranges under two scenarios. In particular, we found that three critically endangered species-Three-striped roofed turtle (Batagur dhongoka), Durango mud turtle (Kinosternon durangoense), and Colombian mud turtle (Kinosternon dunni)-displayed extraction of their distribution ranges and faced extinction under global climate change. Additionally, our analysis revealed that the potential distribution ranges of some species might increase under future climate scenarios. However, these findings must be interpreted with caution as they do not account for other significant factors such as biological invasions, population structure, land-use change, anthropogenic disturbances, and inter-organism interrelationships. Future studies should incorporate these factors to provide a more comprehensive assessment of extinction risks. Our findings suggest that climate change, in conjunction with habitat degradation and human activities, must be considered when assessing the extinction risks of Testudoformes.},
}
@article {pmid39194788,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, J and Wei, X and Wang, Z and Peng, Y and Liu, B and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Mapping the Distribution of Curculio davidi Fairmaire 1878 under Climate Change via Geographical Data and the MaxEnt Model (CMIP6).},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {39194788},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {20A007//China West Normal University/ ; 20E051//China West Normal University/ ; 21E040//China West Normal University/ ; 22kA011//China West Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {Curculio davidi is a major pest in chestnut-producing regions in China, and there have been many studies on its occurrence, biological characteristics, and management strategies. However, few of them have focused on the distribution changes of the pest under climate change. In this study, the MaxEnt model (version 3.3.4) and ArcGIS software (version 10.8) were first employed to map the current and future (2050 s and 2080 s) suitable habitat distribution of the weevil under climate change (CMIP 6: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5). The results indicate that the highly suitable areas for C. davidi are mainly concentrated in Hubei, Henan, Anhui, Jiangxi, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, the coastal areas of Shandong, and eastern Guizhou, northwestern Hunan, and northeastern Sichuan provinces in China. Through the Jackknife test of 19 climate factors, six climate factors affecting the distribution of C. davidi were identified, with precipitation from July (Prec7), precipitation of warmest quarter (Bio18), and temperature seasonality (standard deviation × 100) (Bio4) contributing a combined percentage of 86.3%. Under three different climate scenarios (CMIP 6: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5), the area of moderately suitable regions is projected to increase by 22.12-27.33% in the 2050 s and by 17.80-38.22% in the 2080 s compared to the current distribution, while the area of highly suitable regions shows a shrinking trend. This study provides data support for the management strategies of C. davidi and offers new insights into the dynamic changes of similar forestry pests.},
}
@article {pmid39194763,
year = {2024},
author = {Song, Z and Fan, G and Deng, C and Duan, G and Li, J},
title = {Predicting the Distribution of Neoceratitis asiatica (Diptera: Tephritidae), a Primary Pest of Goji Berry in China, under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {39194763},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2024-ZJ-981//Natural Science Foundation of Qinghai Province/ ; 2022-QNY-7//the Youth Research Fund of Qinghai University/ ; 2023-NKY-03//Innovation Fund of Qinghai Academy of Agricultural and Forestry Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Climate warming affects the growth and development of pests, resulting in changes in their geographical distribution, which increases the difficulty in terms of prevention and control. The fruit fly, Neoceratitis asiatica (Becker), is a predominant frugivorous pest that causes serious yield loss in the goji berry, Lycium barbarum L. In recent years, with the expansion of cultivation area, the damage induced by the pest has become increasingly severe, significantly impeding the production of the goji berry. In this study, the potential suitable habitats of N. asiatica under current and future climate scenarios were simulated and predicted using the optimal MaxEnt model, based on the screening distribution records and environmental factors. The changes in the pest distribution under climate change were determined using ArcGIS. The results showed that the best combination of parameters for MaxEnt were feature combination (FC) = LQPT and regularization multiplier (RM) = 1. The dominant environmental factors influencing pest distribution were mean temperature of driest quarter, mean temperature of coldest quarter and precipitation of coldest quarter. Under different climate conditions, the suitable habitats of the pest primarily ranged between 27°-47° N and 73°-115° E. Under current climate conditions, the area of moderately and highly suitable habitats was 42.18 × 10[4] km[2], and mainly distributed in Inner Mongolia (13.68 × 10[4] km[2]), Gansu (9.40 × 10[4] km[2]), Ningxia (5.07 × 10[4] km[2]), Qinghai (4.10 × 10[4] km[2]), and Xinjiang (3.97 × 10[4] km[2]) Provinces. Under future climate scenarios, the suitable area was projected to be lower than the current ones, except SSP245-2050s and SSP370-2070s, and the centroids of suitable habitats were mainly shifted to the northeast, except SSP370-2050s and SSP585-2070s. Our results provide valuable guidance for the monitoring and management of N. asiatica, as well as the selection of pest-free goji berry cultivation sites.},
}
@article {pmid39192567,
year = {2024},
author = {Miryeganeh, M and Armitage, DW},
title = {Epigenetic responses of trees to environmental stress in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/brv.13132},
pmid = {39192567},
issn = {1469-185X},
support = {JPMJFR224G//JST FOREST (Fusion Oriented REsearch for disruptive Science and Technology)/ ; JP23K11509//JSPS KAKENHI/ ; //Okinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University/ ; },
abstract = {In long-lived tree populations, when environmental change outpaces rates of evolutionary adaptation, plasticity in traits related to stress tolerance, dormancy, and dispersal may be vital for preventing extinction. While a population's genetic background partly determines its ability to adapt to a changing environment, so too do the many types of epigenetic modifications that occur within and among populations, which vary on timescales orders of magnitude faster than the emergence of new beneficial alleles. Consequently, phenotypic plasticity driven by epigenetic modification may be especially critical for sessile, long-lived organisms such as trees that must rely on this plasticity to keep pace with rapid anthropogenic environmental change. While studies have reported large effects of DNA methylation, histone modification, and non-coding RNAs on the expression of stress-tolerance genes and resulting phenotypic responses, little is known about the role of these effects in non-model plants and particularly in trees. Here, we review new findings in plant epigenetics with particular relevance to the ability of trees to adapt to or escape stressors associated with rapid climate change. Such findings include specific epigenetic influences over drought, heat, and salinity tolerance, as well as dormancy and dispersal traits. We also highlight promising findings concerning transgenerational inheritance of an epigenetic 'stress memory' in plants. As epigenetic information is becoming increasingly easy to obtain, we close by outlining ways in which ecologists can use epigenetic information better to inform population management and forecasting efforts. Understanding the molecular mechanisms behind phenotypic plasticity and stress memory in tree species offers a promising path towards a mechanistic understanding of trees' responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39190767,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, F and Mu, Q and Ma, D and Wu, Q},
title = {Predicting the potential global distribution of Ixodes pacificus under climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {e0309367},
pmid = {39190767},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Ixodes/physiology ; Animal Distribution ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {In order to predict the global potential distribution range of Ixodes pacificus (I. pacificus) under different climate scenario models in the future, analyze the major climate factors affecting its distribution, and provide references for the transformation of passive vector surveillance into active vector surveillance, the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) was used in this study to estimate the global potential distribution range of I. pacificus under historical climate scenarios and different future climate scenarios. The global distribution data of I. pacificus were screened by ENMtools and ArcGIS 10.8 software, and a total of 563 distribution data of I. pacificus were obtained. Maxent 3.4.1 and R 4.0.3 were used to screen climate variables according to the contribution rate of environmental variables, knife cutting method and correlation analysis of variables. R 4.0.3 was used to calculate model regulation frequency doubling and feature combination to adjust MaxEnt parameters. The model results showed that the training omission rate was in good agreement with the theoretical omission rate, and the area under ROC curve (AUC) value of the model was 0.978. Among the included environmental variables, the Tmin2 (minimum temperature in February) and Prec1 (precipitation in January) contributed the most to the model, providing more effective information for the distribution of I. pacificus. MaxEnt model revealed that the distribution range of I. pacificus was dynamically changing. The main potential suitable areas are distributed in North America, South America, Europe, Oceania and Asia. Under the future climate scenario model, the potential suitable areas show a downward trend, but the countries and regions ieeeeeeenvolved in the suitable areas do not change much. Therefore, the invasion risk of the potential suitable area of I. pacificus should be paid attention to.},
}
@article {pmid39188066,
year = {2024},
author = {Lima, JS and Lenoir, J and Hylander, K},
title = {Potential migration pathways of broadleaved trees across the receding boreal biome under future climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17471},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17471},
pmid = {39188066},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Bolin Centre for Climate Research/ ; CTS19: 148//Carl Tryggers Stiftelse f&#xf6;r Vetenskaplig Forskning/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Trees/growth &amp; development ; Sweden ; Ecosystem ; Forests ; Biodiversity ; Models, Theoretical ; Plant Dispersal ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Climate change has triggered poleward expansions in the distributions of various taxonomic groups, including tree species. Given the ecological significance of trees as keystone species in forests and their socio-economic importance, projecting the potential future distributions of tree species is crucial for devising effective adaptation strategies for both biomass production and biodiversity conservation in future forest ecosystems. Here, we fitted physiographically informed habitat suitability models (HSMs) at 50-m resolution across Sweden (55-68° N) to estimate the potential northward expansion of seven broadleaved tree species within their leading-edge distributions in Europe under different future climate change scenarios and for different time periods. Overall, we observed that minimum temperature was the most crucial variable for comprehending the spatial distribution of broadleaved tree species at their cold limits. Our HSMs projected a complex range expansion pattern for 2100, with individualistic differences among species. However, a frequent and rather surprising pattern was a northward expansion along the east coast followed by narrow migration pathways along larger valleys towards edaphically suitable areas in the north-west, where most of the studied species were predicted to expand. The high-resolution maps generated in this study offer valuable insights for our understanding of range shift dynamics at the leading edge of southern tree species as they expand into the receding boreal biome. These maps suggest areas where broadleaved tree species could already be translocated to anticipate forest and biodiversity conservation adaptation efforts in the face of future climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39187712,
year = {2024},
author = {Većkalov, B and Geiger, SJ and Bartoš, F and White, MP and Rutjens, BT and van Harreveld, F and Stablum, F and Akın, B and Aldoh, A and Bai, J and Berglund, F and Bratina Zimic, A and Broyles, M and Catania, A and Chen, A and Chorzępa, M and Farahat, E and Götz, J and Hoter-Ishay, B and Jordan, G and Joustra, S and Klingebiel, J and Krajnc, &#x17d; and Krug, A and Andersen, TL and Löloff, J and Natarajan, D and Newman-Oktan, S and Niehoff, E and Paerels, C and Papirmeister, R and Peregrina, S and Pohl, F and Remsö, A and Roh, A and Rusyidi, B and Schmidt, J and Shavgulidze, M and Vellinho Nardin, V and Wang, R and Warner, K and Wattier, M and Wong, CY and Younssi, M and Ruggeri, K and van der Linden, S},
title = {A 27-country test of communicating the scientific consensus on climate change.},
journal = {Nature human behaviour},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39187712},
issn = {2397-3374},
support = {#2218595//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Communicating the scientific consensus that human-caused climate change is real increases climate change beliefs, worry and support for public action in the United States. In this preregistered experiment, we tested two scientific consensus messages, a classic message on the reality of human-caused climate change and an updated message additionally emphasizing scientific agreement that climate change is a crisis. Across online convenience samples from 27 countries (n = 10,527), the classic message substantially reduces misperceptions (d = 0.47, 95% CI (0.41, 0.52)) and slightly increases climate change beliefs (from d = 0.06, 95% CI (0.01, 0.11) to d = 0.10, 95% CI (0.04, 0.15)) and worry (d = 0.05, 95% CI (-0.01, 0.10)) but not support for public action directly. The updated message is equally effective but provides no added value. Both messages are more effective for audiences with lower message familiarity and higher misperceptions, including those with lower trust in climate scientists and right-leaning ideologies. Overall, scientific consensus messaging is an effective, non-polarizing tool for changing misperceptions, beliefs and worry across different audiences.},
}
@article {pmid39187251,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, EY and Park, S and Kim, YB and Lee, M and Lim, H and Ross-White, A and Janssen, I and Spence, JC and Tremblay, MS},
title = {Exploring the Interplay Between Climate Change, 24-Hour Movement Behavior, and Health: A Systematic Review.},
journal = {Journal of physical activity &amp; health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-19},
doi = {10.1123/jpah.2023-0637},
pmid = {39187251},
issn = {1543-5474},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Given the emergence of climate change and health risks, this review examined potential relationships between varying indicators of climate change, movement behaviors (ie, physical activity [PA], sedentary behavior, and sleep), and health.<br><br>METHODS: Seven databases were searched in March 2020, April 2023, and April 2024. To be included, studies must have examined indicators of climate change and at least one of the movement behaviors as either an exposure or a third variable (ie,&#xa0;mediator/moderator), and a measure of health as outcome. Evidence was summarized by the role (mediator/moderator) that either climate change or movement behavior(s) has with health measures. Relationships and directionality of each association, as well as the strength and certainty of evidence were synthesized.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 79 studies were eligible, representing 6,671,791 participants and 3137 counties from 25 countries (40% low- and middle-income countries). Of 98 observations from 17 studies that examined PA as a mediator, 34.7% indicated that PA mediated the relationship between climate change and health measure such that indicators of adverse climate change were associated with lower PA, and worse health outcome. Of 274 observations made from 46 studies, 28% showed that PA favorably modified the negative association between climate change and health outcome. Evidence was largely lacking and inconclusive for sedentary behavior and sleep, as well as climate change indicators as an intermediatory variable.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: PA may mitigate the adverse impact of climate change on health. Further evidence is needed to integrate PA into climate change mitigation, adaptation, and resilience strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39187083,
year = {2024},
author = {Nogueira, GP and Petrielli, GP and Chagas, MF and de Souza Henzler, D and de Mesquita Sampaio, IL and Bonomi, AM and Junqueira, TL and de Morais, ER and Hernandes, TAD},
title = {Supplying the ethanol demand for 2030 in Brazil as a land-based climate change mitigation alternative: Implications on greenhouse gases emissions.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {951},
number = {},
pages = {175782},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175782},
pmid = {39187083},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Transitioning from a fossil-based to a bio-based economy is crucial to climate action and achieving neutrality in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Biofuel production is an essential land-based GHG mitigation alternative. However, it raises concerns about biodiversity conservation, competition with food production, and net GHG emissions associated with direct land-use change (dLUC). This study aims to assess how the location and conversion routes influence GHG emissions for sugarcane expansion in Brazil to supply ethanol demand projections for 2030. A consistent and significant reduction in GHG emissions is achievable by implementing a strategy that prioritizes the spatial distribution for ethanol biorefinery expansions based on georeferenced life cycle emissions, including dLUC emissions associated with sugarcane production. Because of conservative zoning for sugarcane expansion, dLUC emissions are not an overriding factor, representing less than 9.1 % of the total GHG mitigation potential. Despite that, accounting for georeferenced dLUC emissions when prioritizing expansion facilities leads to spatial differences. Regarding conversion routes and land requirements, using cellulosic biorefineries could meet future projected demand based on sugarcane production from 3.1 million hectares, mostly in currently degraded pastureland. Conventional refineries would require 5.5 million hectares to meet the same demand of 71 billion liters. Despite the 77 % higher land demand to produce the same volume of ethanol, conventional refineries with straw recovery could be considered if electricity generation is a priority. This study illustrates how Brazil can achieve GHG mitigation targets while attending to future energy demand and protecting areas with high biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid39186462,
year = {2024},
author = {Schmidt, S},
title = {More than Mortality: Heat, Climate Change, and Injury-Related Hospitalization in China.},
journal = {Environmental health perspectives},
volume = {132},
number = {8},
pages = {84002},
pmid = {39186462},
issn = {1552-9924},
mesh = {China/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Hospitalization/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Wounds and Injuries/mortality ; },
}
@article {pmid39185636,
year = {2024},
author = {Aunan, K and Orru, H and Sjödin, H},
title = {Perspectives on connecting climate change and health.},
journal = {Scandinavian journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {14034948241269748},
doi = {10.1177/14034948241269748},
pmid = {39185636},
issn = {1651-1905},
abstract = {Over the past century, the Earth's climate has undergone rapid and unprecedented changes, manifested in a noticeable increase in average global temperature. This has led to shifts in precipitation patterns, increased frequency of extreme weather events (e.g. hurricanes, heatwaves, droughts and floods), alterations in ecosystems, and rising sea levels, impacting both natural environments and human societies, health and wellbeing. Without deep and urgent emission cuts and effective adaptation, the toll of climate change on human health and wellbeing is likely to grow. Here, we address the complex relationship between climate change and health, and discuss ways forward for transdisciplinary research and collaboration that can motivate more ambitious mitigation policies and help develop solutions to adapt to the crisis.},
}
@article {pmid39185584,
year = {2024},
author = {Shrikhande, SS and Lakshmanasamy, R and Röösli, M and Dalvie, MA and Utzinger, J and Cissé, G},
title = {A review of climate change and cardiovascular diseases in the Indian policy context.},
journal = {Health policy and planning},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/heapol/czae076},
pmid = {39185584},
issn = {1460-2237},
support = {//Joint South Africa and Swiss Chair in Global Environmental Health/ ; 801076//Marie Sklodowska-Curie grant through the SSPH+ Global PhD Fellowship Programme in Public Health Sciences (GlobalP3HS) of the Swiss School of Public Health/ ; },
abstract = {There is growing evidence that climate change adversely affects human health. Multiple diseases are sensitive to climate change, including cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), which are also the leading cause of death globally. Countries such as India face a compounded challenge, with a growing burden of CVDs and a high vulnerability to climate change, requiring a co-ordinated, multi-sectoral response. In this framework synthesis, we analysed whether and how CVDs are addressed with respect to climate change in the Indian policy space. We identified 10 relevant national-level policies, which were analysed using the framework method. Our analytical framework consisted of four themes: (i) political commitment; (ii) health information systems; (iii) capacity building; and (iv) cross-sectoral actions. Additionally, we analysed a subset of these policies and 29 state-level climate change and health action plans using content analysis to identify health priorities. Our analyses revealed a political commitment in addressing the health impacts of climate change; however, CVDs were poorly contextualized with most of the efforts focusing on vector-borne and other communicable diseases, despite their recognized burden. Heat-related illnesses and cardiopulmonary diseases were also focused on but failed to encompass the most climate-sensitive aspects. CVDs are insufficiently addressed in the existing surveillance systems, despite being mentioned in several policies and interventions, including emergency preparedness in hospitals and cross-sectoral actions. CVDs are mentioned as a separate section in only a small number of state-level plans, several of which need an impetus to complete and include CVD-specific sections. We also found several climate-health policies for specific diseases, albeit not for CVDs. This study identified important gaps in India's disease-specific climate change response and might aid policy makers in strengthening future versions of these policies and boost research and context-specific interventions on climate change and CVDs.},
}
@article {pmid39184222,
year = {2024},
author = {Malboeuf-Hurtubise, C and Lefrançois, D and Éthier, MA and Smith, J and Léger-Goodes, T and Herba, CM},
title = {Exploring children's despair in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Communications psychology},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {78},
pmid = {39184222},
issn = {2731-9121},
abstract = {Interventions targeting children's eco-anxiety have focused on fostering hope, however this is disconnected from children's need to explore and express despair regarding the climate crisis. Adults can help by acknowledging and discussing these emotions with children.},
}
@article {pmid39184084,
year = {2024},
author = {Akorli, R and Antwi-Agyei, P and Davies, P and Damsere-Derry, J and Baffour-Ata, F and Nakua, E and Donkor, P and Mock, C},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Road Traffic Crashes in Ghana.},
journal = {Research square},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.21203/rs.3.rs-4654960/v1},
pmid = {39184084},
issn = {2693-5015},
abstract = {Despite the substantial injuries and fatalities from Road Traffic Crashes (RTCs), evidence of climate change's impact on RTCs in Ghana is lacking. This study assessed the impact of climate change on RTCs in Ghana by combining quantitative (Mann-Kendall trend tests, Continuous Wavelet Transform analysis, causal inference analysis) and qualitative (15 key stakeholder interviews) methods. The quantitative analysis employed monthly rainfall and temperature data (1991-2021) alongside RTC data (1998-2021) across 10 regions. While rainfall trends varied regionally, the wet season (April through mid-October) showed a strong link to crash severity for all regions across Ghana. Wavelet analysis showed higher crash severity in the wet season within every 2-8 months period in a particular annual year during the study period. Causal inference analysis revealed rainfall's stronger influence (3.59%) on fatal crashes during the wet season compared to temperature (0.04%). Key stakeholder interviews highlighted perceived changes in temperature and intense rainfall patterns affecting RTCs, especially during rainy seasons suggesting an association between increased rainfall and crash severity. These findings emphasize the multifaceted role of climate change on road safety and the need to address weather-specific risks.},
}
@article {pmid39183892,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Wang, Y and Zhao, C and Du, X and He, P and Meng, F},
title = {Predicting the spatial distribution of three Ephedra species under climate change using the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {12},
pages = {e32696},
pmid = {39183892},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In the context of global warming, the habitats of Ephedra, including Ephedra sinica Stapf, Ephedra intermedia Schrenk ex Mey, and Ephedra equisetina Bunge, have been substantially threatened and deteriorated in recent years. Little is known about the potential geographic dynamics of economically renowned species, including those used in sand fixation and traditional Chinese medicine, under climate change. Therefore, evaluating their potential habitat and determining the crucial environmental variables affecting E. sinica, E. intermedia and E. equisetina under the driving force of global warming are extremely important. In this study, an optimized MaxEnt model in the kuenm package on the basis of occurrence records (a total of 103, 101 and 97 points for E. sinica, E. intermedia and E. equisetina, respectively) and 37 environmental factors were utilized to simulate the distribution of the three species. Two representative concentration pathways (SSP2.6 and SSP8.5) at 2041-2060 and 2061-2080, respectively, were used to establish a future distribution model of the three species. The results indicated that approximately 6.92 × 10[5] km[2], 2.95 × 10[5] km[2], and 11.5 × 10[5] km[2] of suitable regions for E. sinica, E. intermedia and E. equisetina were obtained, which were mostly distributed in central and eastern Inner Mongolia, eastern and southern Gansu, and northern Xinjiang, respectively. Critical environmental variables, such as land cover and annual precipitation, were regarded as critical parameters for the three species. Future assessment revealed that over 60 % of the potential distribution area was affected, and the stability of E. sinica under the SSP8.5 scenario was the greatest. The spatial dynamic changes in suitable areas for E. intermedia were smaller than those for E. equisetina and E. sinica in the future. The comprehensive analysis revealed that the fluctuations in the distributions of the three Ephedra species under climate change are small and provide useful information for future conservation. Therefore, target conservation and management measures should be implemented in combination with the suitability thresholds of different environmental parameters. Our results provide useful recommendations for the current and future protection of Ephedra populations.},
}
@article {pmid39182788,
year = {2024},
author = {Gröger, M and Börgel, F and Karsten, S and Meier, HEM and Safonova, K and Dutheil, C and Receveur, A and Polte, P},
title = {Future climate change and marine heatwaves - Projected impact on key habitats for herring reproduction.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175756},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175756},
pmid = {39182788},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study explores the impact of global climate targets on sea surface temperatures and marine heatwaves (MHWs) in the Baltic Sea. We further evaluate potential adverse climate effects on the reproductive success of the western Baltic Sea (WBS) herring stock, which underwent a dramatic decline during the past two decades. For this, we use refined ensemble climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. For the WBS herring spawning ground, the number of MHW days nearly triples from 34 days/year in the historical period, to 102 days/year already under the optimistic 1.5 °C target of global climate warming (Paris, 2015) and further increases at a rate of 36 to 48 [days yr[-1]]/0.5 °C beyond the 1.5 °C target. The average MHW surface extent more than doubles in the 1.5 °C target from ~8 % to 21 % in this area. This study finds the phenological winter climate considerably altered in response to future global warming and more frequent MHW days in the WBS. The winter duration reduces by ~25 % already in the 2.0 °C target but ~60 % in the 4.0 °C target compared to the historical climate. Winter inceptions/terminations occur successively later/earlier and the share of missed winters, i.e. winters unsuitable to support herring reproductive success, increases by up to ~70 %. Days with heat stress on the cardiac function of herring larvae will likewise increase and occur earlier in the year. Consequently, the early life cycle of herring will face more often winter conditions that were unprecedented during the historical past, and the risk for future reproductive failure will increase. However, our results reveal that abiotic disturbances for the marine ecosystem can be partly mitigated if global warming remains compliant with the 1.5 °C target.},
}
@article {pmid39182775,
year = {2024},
author = {Gharakhanlou, NM and Perez, L},
title = {From data to harvest: Leveraging ensemble machine learning for enhanced crop yield predictions across Canada amidst climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175764},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175764},
pmid = {39182775},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Accurate crop yield predictions are crucial for farmers and policymakers. Despite the widespread use of ensemble machine learning (ML) models in computer science, their application in crop yield prediction remains relatively underexplored. This study, conducted in Canada, aims to assess the potential of five distinct ensemble ML models-Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), XGBoost, LightGBM, and Random Forest (RF)-in predicting crop yields chosen for their ability to manage complex datasets and their strong performance potential. The study integrated various factors, including climate variables, satellite-derived vegetation indices, soil characteristics, and honeybee census data. Data preparation comprised two main steps: first, climate variables were interpolated and averaged for croplands in ArcGIS Pro, along with averaging vegetation indices and soil characteristics. Honeybee census data was also incorporated. Second, the data was organized in Python to create a structured format for models' input. The models' accuracy was assessed using Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), R-squared, and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). XGBoost emerged as the most accurate model, with the lowest MAE (68.70 for canola and 39.47 for soybeans), lowest RMSE (119.48 for canola and 102.39 for soybeans), and highest R-squared values (0.95 for canola and 0.96 for soybeans) on the test dataset. The study also assessed crop yields under various climate change scenarios, finding minimal variations across the scenarios, but significant negative impacts on canola and soybean yields across Canada. Honeybee colonies were identified as the most influential factor on crop yields, contributing 52.34 % to canola and 57.18 % to soybean yields. This research provides detailed crop yield maps of canola and soybeans at the Census Consolidated Subdivisions (CCS) level across Canada's agricultural landscape, offering valuable forecasts for localized decision-making. Additionally, it offers a proactive strategy for climate change preparedness, assisting farmers and stakeholders optimise resource allocation and manage risks effectively.},
}
@article {pmid39182427,
year = {2024},
author = {Yoldi-Achalandabaso, A and Fricke, W and Miranda-Apodaca, J and Vicente, R and Muñoz-Rueda, A and Pérez-López, U},
title = {Climate change does not impact the water flow of barley at the vegetative stage, ameliorates at anthesis and worsens after subsequent drought episodes.},
journal = {Plant physiology and biochemistry : PPB},
volume = {215},
number = {},
pages = {109060},
doi = {10.1016/j.plaphy.2024.109060},
pmid = {39182427},
issn = {1873-2690},
abstract = {Climate change will bring the interaction of stresses such as increased temperature and drought under high [CO2] conditions. This is likely to impact on crop growth and productivity. This study aimed to (i) determine the response of barley water relations to vegetative and anthesis drought periods under triple interaction conditions, (ii) test the possibility to prime barley plants for drought, and (iii) analyse the involvement of aquaporins in (i) and (ii). The water status of barley was not affected by drought at the vegetative stage, regardless of the environmental conditions. At the anthesis stage, when the water shortage period was more severe, barley plants growing under combined elevated CO2 and temperature conditions were able to maintain a better water status compared with plants grown under current conditions. Elevated CO2 and temperature conditions reduced the stomatal conductance and slowed down the plant water flow through a root-leaf hydraulic conductivity coordination. Leaf HvPIP2;1 and HvTIP1;1 aquaporins seemed to play a key role regulating barley's water flow, while leaf and root HvPIP2;5 provided basic level of water flow. At anthesis drought and under future combined conditions, plants showed a reduced cell dehydration and decrease in leaf relative water content compared with plants grown under current conditions. Exposure to a previous drought did not prime the water status of barley plants to a subsequent drought, but instead worsened the response under future conditions. This was due to an imbalance between the roots versus shoot development.},
}
@article {pmid39182122,
year = {2024},
author = {Abou Jaoude, J and Obeid, S and Malaeb, D and Sakr, F and Dabbous, M and El Khatib, S and Hallit, S and Fekih-Romdhane, F and Hallit, R},
title = {The moderating effect of religiosity between climate change anxiety and death anxiety among a sample of Lebanese adults.},
journal = {BMC psychology},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {453},
pmid = {39182122},
issn = {2050-7283},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Anxiety/psychology/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; *Attitude to Death ; Young Adult ; Lebanon ; Religion and Psychology ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Aged ; Adolescent ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Acknowledging the increasing worry over climate change and its psychological effects, the aim of this research is to clarify the dynamics between religiosity, climate anxiety and death anxiety, seeking to figure out the way religiosity mitigates the psychological effects of existential anxieties and climate related anxiety.<br><br>METHODS: Using Google Forms, a questionnaire was developed and disseminated through a variety of messaging platforms, such as WhatsApp, Instagram, and Facebook Messenger. Through a snowball sampling technique, 763 participants were recruited in this cross-sectional during September 2023.<br><br>RESULTS: The subsequent variables were adjusted in the moderation analysis: age, gender, and place of living. The results suggested that religiosity levels moderated the association between climate anxiety and death anxiety (Beta&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.02, t&#x2009;=&#x2009;1.97, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;.05, 95% CI 0.001, 0.035). At low, moderate, and high levels of religiosity, higher climate anxiety was significantly associated with more death anxiety. In addition, at low levels of climate anxiety, individuals with higher levels of religiosity (22.66) had more decreased levels of death anxiety compared to those with lower levels of religiosity (11.99). As climate anxiety levels increase, inverted patterns can be observed, with highly religious individuals showing higher levels of death anxiety than those with lower levels of religiosity. Overall, the relationship between climate anxiety and death anxiety was found to be weakest at low levels of religiosity and strongest at high levels of religiosity.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest a possible beneficial effect of high religiosity at low levels of climate anxiety. This effect is reversed as climate anxiety starts to increase. Therefore, clinicians and policy-makers should bear in mind these complex interactions when designing strategies to mitigate mental health problems in the context of climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid39181814,
year = {2024},
author = {Vergara, R and Del Castillo, M and Ginestet, F and Chouvel, R and , },
title = {[In the face of climate change, is a relevant and sustainable eco-pathology in France possible?].},
journal = {Annales de pathologie},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.annpat.2024.07.004},
pmid = {39181814},
issn = {0242-6498},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The healthcare sector is a major contributor to greenhouse gas emissions, accounting for 8 % of annual French emissions. Eco-design in healthcare, which provides care with equal quality, safety, and relevance but with a lower environmental impact, is therefore a crucial lever for sustainable medical practice. This article explores the application of eco-design in anatomical and cytopathological practices (ACP) in France, in response to the country's decarbonization goals.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: After demonstrating that decarbonization is possible through the chosen eco-design of care and practices in ACP, we describe the barriers to these changes and the potential real-world solutions.<br><br>DISCUSSION: We examine the challenges and solutions for integrating eco-design principles into daily ACP practice, highlighting the importance of the relevance of medical procedures to reduce unnecessary practices. We discuss the technical and human barriers in ACP, as well as the solutions: raising awareness among laboratory personnel, industrial stakeholders, research and innovation, the involvement of scientific societies, and initiatives from the collective for Ecological Transformation in ACP (TEAP). Finally, we propose financial incentives to make eco-friendly practices economically viable in ACP.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Eco-design in ACP practices is essential to address the climate challenge and ensure the sustainability of the healthcare system.},
}
@article {pmid39181511,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, B and Zhang, P and Qi, X and Li, G and Zhang, J},
title = {Predicting ammonia emissions and global warming potential in composting by machine learning.},
journal = {Bioresource technology},
volume = {411},
number = {},
pages = {131335},
doi = {10.1016/j.biortech.2024.131335},
pmid = {39181511},
issn = {1873-2976},
abstract = {The amounts of gases emitted from composting are key to evaluating global warming potential (GWP). However, few methods can accurately predict the quantities of relevant gas emissions. In this study, three developed machine-learning models were used to predict NH3 emissions and GWP. The extreme gradient boosting model provided the best predictions (R[2] > 90 %) compared to random forest, making it a suitable method for calculating NH3 emissions and GWP. The k-nearest neighbor classification model was utilized to determined compost maturity achieving 92 % accuracy. Shapley Additive ExPlanation analysis was applied to identify key factors influencing gas emissions and maturity. Aeration rate, carbon-to-nitrogen ratio and moisture content showed high importance in decreasing order for predicting NH3 emissions, while NO3[-] was the most significant factor for predicting GWP. Practical applications of predictive models suggested that prediction of GWP was 792614 Mg CO2e year[-1] close to annual calculation of 789000 Mg CO2e year[-1] in California.},
}
@article {pmid39181262,
year = {2024},
author = {Zarei, A and Madani, K and Guenther, E and Nasrabadi, HM and Hoff, H},
title = {Integrated nexus approach to assessing climate change impacts on grassland ecosystem dynamics: A case study of the grasslands in Tanzania.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175691},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175691},
pmid = {39181262},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study addresses the intricate interplay between climate, vegetation, and livestock dynamics in Tanzania within the Climate-Vegetation-Livestock (CVL) nexus through a quantitative assessment. By examining the temporal and spatial relationships between vegetation indices (NDVI, EVI, NPP) and key climatic variables (Precipitation, Temperature, Evapotranspiration) from 2009 to 2019, and projecting to 2050, this research aims to elucidate vegetation responses to climate change and its subsequent impacts on livestock. To this end, the relationship between the vegetation dynamics indicators (NDVI, NPP) and climate parameters is evaluated to quantify the vegetation response to climate change using statistical models. Next, an examination of multicollinearity is conducted to investigate potential interactions (nexus) between variables, incorporating the correlation among independent variables. Notably, the evaluation of performance and accuracy for the mentioned models is conducted through the cross-validation method and validation indices. Ultimately, the variation between projected NPP and NDVI (average for 2040-2060) and the present NPP and NDVI (average for 2009-2020) identifies the regions that are most likely susceptible, showcasing the vegetation cover's reaction to climate change in different emission scenarios. The results unveil significant spatio-temporal variations in vegetation dynamics influenced by climatic factors, where higher precipitation and temperatures correlate with increased vegetation health and productivity. The projected fluctuations in NDVI and NPP values indicate varying trends across different regions, with a general decrease in vegetation density and productivity from the northeast to the west under both RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 scenarios by 2050. This decline is attributed to anticipated changes in precipitation and temperature patterns driven by climate change. Furthermore, significant declines in vegetation density and productivity under emission scenarios, particularly in the southern regions compared to the present, suggest greater vulnerability to climate change impacts. This highlights the need for targeted mitigation strategies in these vulnerable areas. Meanwhile, northeast areas under both NDVI and NPP will remain unchanged across both climate scenarios. Moreover, analysis of livestock distribution maps indicates areas of vulnerability under climate change scenarios, with implications for future livestock management and agricultural practices. These findings underscore the importance of proactive planning and targeted interventions to enhance resilience and sustainable development in vulnerable regions, emphasizing the need for integrated approaches that consider the complex interactions between climate, vegetation, and livestock dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid39181248,
year = {2024},
author = {Jakovljević, M and Đuretanović, S and Kojadinović, N and Nikolić, M and Petrović, A and Simović, P and Simić, V},
title = {Assessing spirlin Alburnoides bipunctatus (Bloch, 1782) as an early indicator of climate change and anthropogenic stressors using ecological modeling and machine learning.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175723},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175723},
pmid = {39181248},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Combining single-species ecological modeling with advanced machine learning to investigate the long-term population dynamics of the rheophilic fish spirlin offers a powerful approach to understanding environmental changes and climate shifts in aquatic ecosystems. A new ESHIPPOClim model was developed by integrating climate change assessment into the ESHIPPO model. The model identifies spirlin as a potential early indicator of environmental changes, highlighting the interactive effects of climate change and anthropogenic stressors on fish populations and freshwater ecosystems. The ESHIPPOClim model reveals that 28.72 % of the spirlin's data indicates high resilience and ecological responsiveness, with 34.92 % showing medium-high adaptability, suggesting its substantial ability to withstand environmental stressors. With 36.51 % of the data in medium level and no data in the low category, spirlin may serve as a sentinel species, providing early warnings of environmental stressors before they severely impact other species or ecosystems. The results of uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) and a decision tree show that pollution has the highest impact on the population dynamics of spirlin, followed by annual water temperature, overexploitation, and invasive species. Despite the obtained key drivers, higher abundance, dominance, and frequency values were detected in habitats with higher HIPPO stressors and climate change effects. Integrating state-of-the-art machine learning models has enhanced the predictive power of the ESHIPPOClim model, achieving approximately 90 % accuracy in identifying spirlin as an early indicator of climate change and anthropogenic stressors. The ESHIPPOClim model offers a holistic approach with broad practical applications using a simplified 3-point scale, adaptable to various fish species, communities, and regions. The ecological modeling supported with advanced machine learning could serve as a foundation for rapid and cost-effective management of aquatic ecosystems, revealing the adaptability potential of fish species, which is crucial in rapidly changing environments.},
}
@article {pmid39179044,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, W and Liu, Z and Wei, X and He, S and Gao, W and Wang, X},
title = {Feasibility analysis of using short-term rainfall time series to evaluate rainwater harvesting systems considering climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {951},
number = {},
pages = {175668},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175668},
pmid = {39179044},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Employing recent short-term historical rainfall data may enhance the performance of rainwater harvesting systems (RWHs) in response to climate change. However, this assumption lacks extensive research, and the evaluation of RWHs currently relies on long-term historical rainfall time series. This study evaluates the feasibility of this assumption and aims to identify the optimal rainfall time series for evaluating RWH performance under climate change. We evaluated RWHs in residential buildings across 16 Japanese cities utilizing historical rainfall time series of varying lengths and 30-year predicted rainfall time series. The minimum rainfall time series length was obtained based on the similarity index between the evaluation results for historical and future periods. The corresponding optimal series can be determined from the distribution of similarity indices in the minimum length. Finally, we introduce supply pressure indices (SPIs) to summarize the rainfall characteristics of these optimal rainfall time series. Our findings highlight that the minimum rainfall time series length increased from 1 year to 30 years as building non-potable water demand rose and city locations varied. Utilizing rainfall time series incorporating recent rainfall data yielded more dependable evaluation results for RWHs under climate change. These optimal rainfall time series share common characteristics with SPIs ranging from 5.37 to 17.87 mm/d, contingent on the local rainfall patterns. Our study concludes that utilizing recent short-term historical rainfall data is feasible to evaluate and design RWHs under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39178631,
year = {2024},
author = {Gong, H and Wang, H and Wang, Y and Zhang, S and Liu, X and Che, J and Wu, S and Wu, J and Sun, X and Zhang, S and Yau, ST and Wu, R},
title = {Topological change of soil microbiota networks for forest resilience under global warming.},
journal = {Physics of life reviews},
volume = {50},
number = {},
pages = {228-251},
doi = {10.1016/j.plrev.2024.08.001},
pmid = {39178631},
issn = {1873-1457},
abstract = {Forest management by thinning can mitigate the detrimental impact of increasing drought caused by global warming. Growing evidence shows that the soil microbiota can coordinate the dynamic relationship between forest functions and drought intensity, but how they function as a cohesive whole remains elusive. We outline a statistical topology model to chart the roadmap of how each microbe acts and interacts with every other microbe to shape the dynamic changes of microbial communities under forest management. To demonstrate its utility, we analyze a soil microbiota data collected from a two-way longitudinal factorial experiment involving three stand densities and three levels of rainfall over a growing season in artificial plantations of a forest tree - larix (Larix kaempferi). We reconstruct the most sophisticated soil microbiota networks that code maximally informative microbial interactions and trace their dynamic trajectories across time, space, and environmental signals. By integrating GLMY homology theory, we dissect the topological architecture of these so-called omnidirectional networks and identify key microbial interaction pathways that play a pivotal role in mediating the structure and function of soil microbial communities. The statistical topological model described provides a systems tool for studying how microbial community assembly alters its structure, function and evolution under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39175776,
year = {2024},
author = {Vanin, E and Manes, C and Mattozzi, A and Giordana, L and Rispoli, M and Andorno, M and Amadio, S},
title = {Theater as a means of communicating research on climate change: The case of "Cambiare il clima".},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {8},
pages = {110384},
pmid = {39175776},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Between 2018 and 2023, the Department of Environmental, Land and Infrastructure Engineering (DIATI) at the Polytechnic University of Turin (PoliTo) implemented a project to advance research and education on climate change monitoring, adaptation and mitigation solutions. As part of their communication efforts, DIATI partnered with Faber Teater to create the play "Cambiare il clima" (in Italian, this means "Change the Climate"). This involved a collaboration between DIATI researchers, communication officers, and Faber Teater. The documentary theater that resulted was premiered at Biennale Tecnologia in 2020 and performed at various venues in Northern Italy, targeting both the general public and students.},
}
@article {pmid39175598,
year = {2024},
author = {Bucciarelli, V and Moscucci, F and Cocchi, C and Nodari, S and Sciomer, S and Gallina, S and Mattioli, AV},
title = {Climate change versus Mediterranean diet: A hazardous struggle for the women's heart.},
journal = {American heart journal plus : cardiology research and practice},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {100431},
pmid = {39175598},
issn = {2666-6022},
abstract = {Climate change impacts food systems, causing nutritional deficiencies and increasing cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Regulatory frameworks like the European Farm-to-Fork Strategy aim to mitigate these effects, but current EU food safety regulations inadequately address health risks from poor diet quality and contaminants. Climate change adversely affects food quality, such as nutrient depletion in crops due to higher CO2 levels, leading to diets that promote chronic diseases, including CVD. Women, because of their roles in food production and their unique physiological responses to nutrients, face distinct vulnerabilities. This review explores the interplay between climate change, diet, and cardiovascular health in women. The review highlights that sustainable diets, particularly the Mediterranean diet, offer health benefits and lower environmental impacts but are threatened by climate change-induced disruptions. Women's adherence to the Mediterranean diet is linked to significant reductions in CVD risk, though sex-specific responses need further research. Resilient agricultural practices, efficient water management, and climate-smart farming are essential to mitigate climate change's negative impacts on food security. Socio-cultural factors influencing women's dietary habits, such as traditional roles and societal pressures, further complicate the picture. Effective interventions must be tailored to women, emphasizing education, community support, policy changes, and media campaigns promoting healthy eating. Collaborative approaches involving policymakers, health professionals, and the agricultural sector are crucial for developing solutions that protect public health and promote sustainability. Addressing the multifaceted challenges posed by climate change to food quality and cardiovascular health in women underscores the need for integrated strategies that ensure food security, enhance diet quality, and mitigate environmental impacts.},
}
@article {pmid39175371,
year = {2024},
author = {Lockie, S and Graham, V and Taylor, B and Baresi, U and Maclean, K and Paxton, G and Vella, K},
title = {Conceptualizing social risk in relation to climate change and assisted ecosystem adaptation.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.17635},
pmid = {39175371},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {RRAP-ENG-01//Great Barrier Reef Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Realizing positive social and environmental outcomes from assisted ecosystem adaptation requires the management of complex, uncertain, and ambiguous risks. Using assisted coral reef adaptation as a case study, this article presents a conceptual framework that defines social impacts as the physical and cognitive consequences for people of planned intervention and social risks as potential impacts transformed into objects of management through assessment and governance. Reflecting on its multiple uses in the literature, we consider "social risk" in relation to risks to individuals and communities, risks to First Peoples, risks to businesses or project implementation, possibilities for amplified social vulnerability, and risk perceptions. Although much of this article is devoted to bringing clarity to the different ways in which social risk manifests and to the multiple characters of risk and uncertainty, it is apparent that risk governance itself must be an inherently integrative and social process.},
}
@article {pmid39174280,
year = {2024},
author = {O'Dowd, A},
title = {Climate change: Paediatricians call for education to be built into doctors' training.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1854},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1854},
pmid = {39174280},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Pediatricians/education ; Pediatrics/education ; },
}
@article {pmid39173761,
year = {2024},
author = {Shao, Y and Liu, Y and Wang, X and Li, S},
title = {Exploring the evolution of ecosystem health and sustainable zoning: A perspective based on the contributions of climate change and human activities.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {951},
number = {},
pages = {175674},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175674},
pmid = {39173761},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Maintaining ecosystem health (EH) in watersheds is crucial for building a national pattern of ecological security. However, a comprehensive diagnosis of watershed EH and an exploration of its driving mechanisms are still lacking. This study proposed an EH assessment model from a vitality-organization-resilience-service-environment (VORSE) perspective. Taking the Yellow River Basin of Shaanxi Province (YRBS), China, as a research object, the spatiotemporal evolution trend of EH from 2000 to 2020 was quantified. At the same time, we also quantified the respective contributions of climate change (CC) and human activities (HA) to the EH dynamics based on residual analysis. The results showed that EH in the YRBS increased by 11.80 % from 2000 to 2020, and the spatial distribution of the EH was higher in the southern region than in the northern part. At the pixel scale, areas with improving trends accounted for 90.57 % of the YRBS, while 9.43 % deteriorated, with the improving areas mainly in northern Shaanxi and the deteriorating areas in the Guanzhong region. The correlation between the EH and precipitation was primarily positive, while the correlation between the EH and temperature was mainly negative. The residual analysis showed that the contribution rate of CC to EH changes was 78.54 %, while that of HA was 21.46 %, indicating that CC was the dominant driver of EH changes in the YRBS. Specifically, 82.64 % of the improvement in EH was attributed to CC and 17.36 % to HA. Conversely, 65.30 % of the deterioration in EH was attributed to CC and 34.70 % to HA. Furthermore, CC, HA, and CC&amp;HA dominated EH changes in 26.85 %, 3.77 %, and 69.38 % of the YRBS area, respectively. In addition, the Hurst exponent analysis identified six types of future EH development scenarios, each requiring different restoration strategies. This study provides valuable insights for future EH diagnosis, EH restoration efforts, and the formulation of sustainable development goals in other watersheds.},
}
@article {pmid39171421,
year = {2024},
author = {Titcomb, G and Uelmen, J and Janko, M and Nunn, C},
title = {Infectious disease responses to human climate change adaptations.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17433},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17433},
pmid = {39171421},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {R01-TW011493/NH/NIH HHS/United States ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Communicable Diseases/transmission ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {Many recent studies have examined the impact of predicted changes in temperature and precipitation patterns on infectious diseases under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. But these emissions scenarios symbolize more than altered temperature and precipitation regimes; they also represent differing levels of change in energy, transportation, and food production at a global scale to reduce the effects of climate change. The ways humans respond to climate change, either through adaptation or mitigation, have underappreciated, yet hugely impactful effects on infectious disease transmission, often in complex and sometimes nonintuitive ways. Thus, in addition to investigating the direct effects of climate changes on infectious diseases, it is critical to consider how human preventative measures and adaptations to climate change will alter the environments and hosts that support pathogens. Here, we consider the ways that human responses to climate change will likely impact disease risk in both positive and negative ways. We evaluate the evidence for these impacts based on the available data, and identify research directions needed to address climate change while minimizing externalities associated with infectious disease, especially for vulnerable communities. We identify several different human adaptations to climate change that are likely to affect infectious disease risk independently of the effects of climate change itself. We categorize these changes into adaptation strategies to secure access to water, food, and shelter, and mitigation strategies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions. We recognize that adaptation strategies are more likely to have infectious disease consequences for under-resourced communities, and call attention to the need for socio-ecological studies to connect human behavioral responses to climate change and their impacts on infectious disease. Understanding these effects is crucial as climate change intensifies and the global community builds momentum to slow these changes and reduce their impacts on human health, economic productivity, and political stability.},
}
@article {pmid39171263,
year = {2024},
author = {Vilela, A and Domizio, P and Morata, A},
title = {Editorial: Microbial modulation to mitigate the impact of climate change on wine production.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1465637},
doi = {10.3389/fmicb.2024.1465637},
pmid = {39171263},
issn = {1664-302X},
}
@article {pmid39170409,
year = {2024},
author = {Solaja, S and Kolawole, A and Awe, T and Oriade, O and Ayojimi, W and Ojo, I and Nayan, G and Adedayo, R and Etta-Oyong, S and Olasehinde, F and Asemokhai, O and Nsikak, I},
title = {Assessment of smallholder rice farmers' adaptation strategies to climate change in Kebbi state, Nigeria.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35384},
pmid = {39170409},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The future of food production in Nigeria where smallholding agriculture is prevalent is threatened by climate change. Despite the threats, Nigeria has no specific plan or policy to combat it. Therefore, understanding how smallholder farmers adjust to the changing climate and the factors that influence their adaptation choices will facilitate developing a policy to tackle climate change. This study therefore evaluates climate change adaptation techniques among smallholder rice farmers in Kebbi state, Nigeria. The study employs a simple random sampling technique to select 345 respondents. The data was analysed using multivariate probit and ordered probit regression. The findings revealed that marital status, literacy, farm size, farming experience, major occupation, extension visits, amount of credit, and access to climate information influenced adaptation strategy choice. Furthermore, marital status, literacy, household size, farm size, extension visits, and access to climate information are crucial drivers of adoption intensity. This study concludes that smallholder rice farmers in the study area adopt several practices to cope with climate change, however, farmers' intensity of adoption is low. This study recommends that stakeholders in the food systems in the study area should consider literacy, farm size, extension service, credits, and climate information in designing viable policies toward combating the vagaries of climate.},
}
@article {pmid39170376,
year = {2024},
author = {Demir, M&#xd6; and Gök Demir, Z and Karakaya, &#xc7; and Erendağ Sümer, F},
title = {Global warming communicative actions of publics in Türkiye: Utilizing fuzzy rule based system.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35380},
pmid = {39170376},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The effectiveness of government policies and environmental initiatives to mitigate global warming relies heavily on public support, which is closely tied to public perception and awareness. Despite the scientific evidence communicated, the public remains reluctant to take preventive measures against global warming. The aim of the paper is to investigate the communicative actions of publics proposed as in the situational theory of problem solving to understand publics' communicative actions towards global warming. The paper utilizes a fuzzy rule-based system approach to analyze the communicative actions of publics to reveal non-linear relationships; whereas previous studies mostly used linear statistical analysis. The paper provides a deeper understanding into the interplay between problem recognition, constraint recognition, and involvement in shaping information behavior. The results show that the communicative actions of the publics are at a low-to-moderate level. The paper's interesting finding is the nonlinear effects of constraint recognition on communicative action about global warming. Contrary to the current literature, it was found out that the dominant factor that may convince public to start taking action towards global warming seems to be recognizing being constrained at a moderate level. Based on the results, it is suggested for policy makers and communication strategists to mitigate the negative outcomes of global warming by integrating environmental issues into education at all levels and collaborating with non-governmental organizations for national awareness campaigns which focus on increasing public problem recognition and involvement.},
}
@article {pmid39170312,
year = {2024},
author = {Adom, PK},
title = {The socioeconomic impact of climate change in developing countries over the next decades: A literature survey.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35134},
pmid = {39170312},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Extreme weather events, rising temperatures, and shifting rainfall patterns pose significant threats to developing countries with fragile social, economic, and political structures. While research has intensified on socioeconomic impacts of climate change, existing survey studies exhibit substantial scope variations and seldom concurrently analyze these impacts, hindering policy coordination. This study reviews literature on the broad spectrum of socioeconomic impacts of climate change to discern trends and underscore areas requiring additional attention. The survey unveils that, across various socioeconomic indicators, the most vulnerable groups bear a disproportionate burden of climate change, with long-term impacts forecasted to surpass medium-term effects. Adaptation and mitigation options are feasible but must be tailored to local contexts.},
}
@article {pmid39170220,
year = {2024},
author = {Nagesh, P and Gassmann, M and Eitzinger, J and de Boer, HJ and Edelenbosch, OY and van Vuuren, DP and Dekker, SC},
title = {Modelling the impacts of climate change on agrochemical fate and transport by water on a catchment scale.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35669},
pmid = {39170220},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The export of agrochemicals and their transformation products (TPs) following their application in the agricultural fields poses a threat to water quality. Future changes in climatic conditions (e.g. extreme weather events such as heavy rainfall or extended dry periods) could alter the degradation and mobility of agrochemicals. In this research, we use an integrated modelling framework to understand the impact of extreme climate events on the fate and transport of the agrochemical S-Metolachlor and two of its TPs (M-OXA, Metolachlor Oxanilic Acid and M-ESA, Metolachlor Ethyl Sulfonic Acid). This is done by coupling climate model outputs to the Zin-AgriTra agrochemical reactive transport model in four simulation scenarios. 1) Reference (2015-2018), 2) Very dry (2038-2041), 3) Very wet (2054-2057) and 4) High temperature (2096-2099) conditions of a selected RCP8.5 based regional climate scenario. The modelling framework is tested on an agricultural catchment, Wulka, in Burgenland, Austria. The model results indicate that 13-14 % of applied S-Metolachlor is retained in the soil, and around 85 % is degraded into TPs in the different scenarios. In very dry and high-temperature scenarios, degradation is higher, and hence, there is less S-Metolachlor in the soil. However, a large share of formed M-OXA and M-ESA are retained in the soil, which is transported via overland and groundwater flow, leading to a build-up effect in M-OXA and M-ESA river concentrations over the years. Though a small share of S-Metolachlor and TPs are transported to rivers, their river export is affected by the intensity and amount of rainfall. The very wet and high-temperature scenarios show higher S-Metolachlor and TP concentrations at the catchment outlet due to higher river discharge. The reference scenario shows higher river peak concentrations associated with higher overland flow caused by measured hourly rainfall compared to disaggregated daily precipitation data in the other scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39170213,
year = {2024},
author = {Ullah, N and Chao, L and Khan, TU and Sai, WL and Yazhuo, Z and Khan, IA and Hassan, MA and Hu, Y},
title = {Insights into climate change dynamics: A tourism climate index-based evaluation of Gilgit-Baltistan, Pakistan.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {15},
pages = {e35315},
pmid = {39170213},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The tourism industry is a significant contribution to the economy of many countries, including Pakistan. However, its activities often have a negative impact on the environment, particularly related to climate change. Notably, Pakistan ranks fifth among countries most affected by climate change, which requires a targeted analysis of the tourism sector to determine its potential impacts. Despite the critical nature of this issue, there is currently a lack of research that examines how climate change specifically impacts Pakistan's tourism industry. This study aims to address this gap by using the Tourism Climate Index (TCI) to assess the impact of climate change on the suitability of different tourism locations across the country. Our results show that popular tourist destinations such as Gilgit-Baltistan experience their peak season in the warmer third quarter (summer), which corresponds to the highest observed TCI values. This suggests that warmer temperatures could boost tourism activity and spending in these regions. Furthermore, our analysis shows that air temperature plays a crucial role in determining tourist comfort levels and significantly influences tourists' TCI values and sensory experiences. The results of this study show that the TCI methodology can be an effective tool for further research into the geographical impacts of climate change on tourism. By identifying necessary changes due to climatic changes, future studies could provide valuable insights into how the tourism industry can adapt to and reduce its environmental footprint.},
}
@article {pmid39169175,
year = {2024},
author = {Bolinesi, F and Rossetti, E and Mangoni, O},
title = {Phytoplankton dynamics in a shellfish farming lagoon in a deltaic system threatened by ongoing climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {19424},
pmid = {39169175},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Phytoplankton/growth &amp; development/metabolism ; *Climate Change ; Animals ; *Shellfish ; *Biomass ; Bivalvia/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Aquaculture/methods ; Ecosystem ; Food Chain ; Rivers/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Global climate change has generated an increasing number of environmental problems, especially in Mediterranean coastal areas, such as the Po Delta (PD), where shellfish production has undergone an overall decline because of strong environmental changes. The present study is centred on assessing the fundamental ecological aspects in one of the most crucial European shellfish production lagoons, Sacca degli Scardovari (SC), addressing phytoplankton community parameters directly affecting shellfish production, namely, chemotaxonomic composition, size fractions, and total biomass, in relation to the physicochemical properties of the water column and mussel filtering activity. Our findings suggest that the phytoplankton community structure, its role within the lagoon food web and its production cycles depend on two distinct allogenic inputs, which shape the community differently and exert substantial control on shellfish production. At the same time, the suspended mussel biomass strongly controls the phytoplankton size composition, as their growth is largely supported by nanophytoplankton. As the Po River collects the drainage waters of the Italian side of the entire Alpine Arch, the phytoplankton dynamics reported here represent a useful baseline for further addressing issues of climatic changes affecting lagoon ecology. We believe that our study presents an innovative tool for the planning and management of interventions aimed at enhancing national mussel production without neglecting aspects of environmental protection or the integrity of the coastal system, with significant scientific implications.},
}
@article {pmid39169040,
year = {2024},
author = {Djibrilla, ASM and Rabani, A and Illyassou, KM and Issa, SM and Abdourahimou, KN and Abdoulkader, AH and Aissetou, DY},
title = {Improving tomatoes quality in the Sahel through organic cultivation under photovoltaic greenhouse as a climate change adaptation and mitigation strategy.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {19396},
pmid = {39169040},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Solanum lycopersicum/growth &amp; development ; *Climate Change ; Organic Agriculture/methods ; Temperature ; Fruit/growth &amp; development ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Climate change negative impacts on food production systems have forced large scale food producers to make available less healthy products. Although available on the markets, tomatoes are no more tasting as they used to be and providing fewer nutrients compared to then. This study investigates and compares the quality and yield of organic tomatoes (Solanum lycopersicum) produced in an insect net covered photovoltaic greenhouse against ambient production. Plant's physical characteristics were measured, yields and nutrient content were found at harvest, and environmental conditions (temperature, relative humidity, solar irradiance and CO2) were recorded. Plants grew as high as 160 cm inside the greenhouse under an average afternoon temperature of 30.71 °C and a vapor pressure deficit (VPD) of 1.88 kPa against outside plant growth of 72 cm height under averages of 36.04 °C and 3.05 kPa. Although, inside greenhouse tomatoes were physically more attractive and firm with two times healthier tomatoes (98%), 52.39% higher content in protein, 13.31% more minerals and 13.19% more dry matter than outside tomatoes, the yield from outside environment was 4.57 times higher than that of inside due to probably the used crop variety adapted to the harsh climate. Using a crop variety optimum for greenhouse, increasing ventilation and using better fertilizers with enough irrigation could help increase productivity while keeping high fruit quality inside the greenhouse, leading to healthier fruits for food security in the Sahel.},
}
@article {pmid39168688,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, YL and Zhao, YP and Zhao, YQ and Yang, WL and Zheng, MT and Wang, YX and Liu, S and He, J and Su, GJ and Wang, J and Han, XH and Yang, GH and Ren, CJ},
title = {[Changes in Soil Organic Carbon Density and Its Response to Climate Change and Human Activities Before and After the Grain for Green Project on the Loess Plateau].},
journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue},
volume = {45},
number = {8},
pages = {4696-4708},
doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202310082},
pmid = {39168688},
issn = {0250-3301},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Soil/chemistry ; China ; *Carbon/analysis ; Organic Chemicals/analysis ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Human Activities ; Forests ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Altitude ; Grassland ; Carbon Sequestration ; Humans ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Accurately assessing the changes in soil organic carbon storage （SOCS） before and after the Grain for Green Project （GFG） in the Loess Plateau （LP） and exploring the relationship between its spatial and temporal distribution and the influencing factors were important references for the development of regional recycling as well as the formulation of ecological protection policies. Based on the data of climate, human activities, and SOCD in the surface （0-20 cm） and deep （0-100 cm） soil before and after GFG in the LP from 2001 to 2020, we investigated the changes in SOCD at different spatial and temporal scales by using the methods of trend analysis, the kriging method, and variance partitioning analysis. The results showed that： ① Before and after the GFG, the surface SOCS of the whole region increased by 8 338.7×10[4] t； the deep SOCS increased by 1 160.02×10[4] t. ② In each bioclimatic subregion, the whole-region average SOCD of Ⅰ （Semi-Humid Forest Region）, Ⅱ （Semi-Humid Semi-Arid Forest and Grassland Region）, and Ⅲ （Semi-Arid Typical Grassland Region） showed a significant increasing trend, with a decreasing trend in Ⅳ （arid semi-arid desert grassland area） and Ⅴ （arid desert area）. ③ The average surface SOCS increase in different ecosystems was ranked as follows： cropland > grassland > woodland > shrubs > bare land and sparse vegetation. The deep soil increase was ranked as follows： grassland > cropland > woodland > shrubs > bare land and sparse vegetation. ④ Climate factors were the most important driving factors for changes in SOCD； the annual average temperature and precipitation were significantly positively correlated with changes in SOCD. The results of the study could provide data support for regional ecological management and land use policy formulation to promote high quality development of the ecological environment in the LP.},
}
@article {pmid39168009,
year = {2024},
author = {Shehadeh, A and Alshboul, O and Tamimi, M},
title = {Integrating climate change predictions into infrastructure degradation modelling using advanced markovian frameworks to enhanced resilience.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {368},
number = {},
pages = {122234},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122234},
pmid = {39168009},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study introduces a prognostic model that quantifies infrastructure degradation in highway systems, incorporating the impacts of climate change using an advanced Markovian framework. By assimilating extensive historical maintenance records and detailed climatic data, the model employs a multi-tiered exponential erosion risk framework to enhance predictive accuracy. Our findings indicate a 15-20% acceleration in degradation rates under projected climate scenarios, emphasizing the necessity for climate-adaptive infrastructure management strategies. Utilizing maximal likelihood estimation, the model corrects sample distortion biases, resulting in a 30% improvement in the accuracy of degradation forecasts compared to conventional models. This accuracy enables maintenance cost savings of up to 25% by optimizing repair timings, thus avoiding premature interventions and reducing costs associated with reactive maintenance strategies. The validated model provides a robust tool for strategic planning and adaptive maintenance of highway systems, promoting resilient infrastructure management in the face of evolving climatic conditions. This research ensures that infrastructure professionals can anticipate and mitigate the impacts of climate change, optimizing maintenance budgets and extending the service life of highway assets.},
}
@article {pmid39167599,
year = {2024},
author = {McDermott, A},
title = {Climate change is drying out canopy plants-that could mean less water for the entire rainforest.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {35},
pages = {e2415456121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2415456121},
pmid = {39167599},
issn = {1091-6490},
}
@article {pmid39166686,
year = {2024},
author = {Saldivar, I and Vammen, K},
title = {Tropical dry forests, water, biodiversity and the challenges of climate change in Nicaragua.},
journal = {Brazilian journal of biology = Revista brasleira de biologia},
volume = {84},
number = {},
pages = {e280001},
doi = {10.1590/1519-6984.280001},
pmid = {39166686},
issn = {1678-4375},
mesh = {Nicaragua ; *Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; *Forests ; *Tropical Climate ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Humans ; },
abstract = {The Tropical Dry Forests of Nicaragua located mainly in the Pacific and Central-North zones play an essential role in maintaining resources such as water and the special biodiversity of this vulnerable ecosystem now under pressure from land-use changes and climate change These resources are essential to the well-being of the population as the main aquifers of the country are located in this area along with ecosystem services of this now heavily fragmented forest ecosystem. The ongoing influence of climate change along with land-use changes have caused the growth of arid zones in all of Central America. These on-going land use changes are lowering the resilience to the present and future climate change. Individual efforts to sustainable management of the forests are mentioned but it is nonetheless urgent to introduce wider and more intensive sustainable forestry and watershed management under a well-planned strategy based on findings of scientific research. The importance of the interrelationship between water and forests in the management of sustainable forest ecosystems will be stressed.},
}
@article {pmid39166147,
year = {2024},
author = {Speck, CL and DiPietro Mager, NA and Mager, JN},
title = {Pharmacy Interns' Perception of Climate Change and Its Impact on Health.},
journal = {Innovations in pharmacy},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39166147},
issn = {2155-0417},
abstract = {Background: The effects of climate change are major threats to health and well-being. While the profession of pharmacy can make a difference through patient care activities, sustainability, and advocacy, literature detailing U.S. pharmacist and student pharmacist views on this topic is scant. Objectives: To assess Ohio pharmacy interns' knowledge and beliefs regarding climate change and human health as well as its relevance to pharmacy practice and education, and to compare and contrast their perceptions with those of Ohio pharmacists previously surveyed. Methods: An anonymous 31-item electronic survey was emailed to a random sample of 500 pharmacy interns registered in Ohio with questions regarding climate change and health, climate change policy, potential roles for pharmacists and pharmacy interns, pharmacy education, and demographics. Data were analyzed using descriptive and nonparametric statistics, and responses collected from this study were compared with those from the Ohio pharmacist study conducted the previous year. Results: Ninety-two interns completed the survey. The majority of respondents thought climate change is happening (87%), will harm human health in their community (68%), and is relevant to pharmacists or pharmacy practice (62%). Compared to registered pharmacists, pharmacy interns more often acknowledged these statements and more often identified roles in climate action. Sixty-two percent somewhat or strongly agreed that there should be more education about climate change and health in the pharmacy curriculum. Conclusion: The majority of Ohio pharmacy interns participating in this survey recognized the impact of climate change on health, believed they have roles in mitigating its effects, and wanted to learn more about it. As these are the first data assessing U.S. pharmacy interns' perceptions of this topic, additional studies should be performed in other parts of the country. Increased education among student pharmacists may help propel the pharmacy profession to take the lead in climate action and sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39165541,
year = {2024},
author = {Chmura, HE and Olson, LE and Murdoch, R and Fraik, AK and Jackson, S and McKelvey, KS and Koenig, R and Pilgrim, KL and DeCesare, N and Schwartz, MK},
title = {Climate change differentially alters distribution of two marten species in a hybrid zone.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70181},
pmid = {39165541},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Species' ranges are shifting rapidly with climate change, altering the composition of biological communities and interactions within and among species. Hybridization is among the species interactions that may change markedly with climate change, yet it is understudied relative to others. We used non-invasive genetic detections to build a maximum entropy species distribution model and investigate the factors that delimit the present and future ranges of American marten (Martes americana) and Pacific marten (Martes caurina) in a contact zone in the Northern Rockies. We found that climate change will decrease the suitable habitat predicted for both species, as well as the amount of overlap in predicted suitable habitat between the species. Interestingly, predicted suitable habitat for Pacific marten extended further north in the study region than our genetic detections for the species, suggesting that biotic factors, such as interactions with American marten, may affect the realized range of this species. Our results suggest that future work investigating the interactions among biotic and abiotic factors that influence hybrid zone dynamics is important for predicting the futures of these two species in this area under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39164035,
year = {2024},
author = {Dyer, C},
title = {GP who was jailed over climate change protests is suspended for three months.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1829},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1829},
pmid = {39164035},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; General Practitioners ; Dissent and Disputes ; },
}
@article {pmid39163749,
year = {2024},
author = {Shokri, M and Lezzi, L and Basset, A},
title = {The seasonal response of metabolic rate to projected climate change scenarios in aquatic amphipods.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {124},
number = {},
pages = {103941},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.103941},
pmid = {39163749},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {The responses of organisms to climate change are mediated primarily by its impact on their metabolic rates, which, in turn, drive various biological and ecological processes. Although there have been numerous seminal studies on the sensitivity of metabolic rate to temperature, little is empirically known about how this rate responds to seasonal temperature ranges and beyond under conservative IPCC climate change scenarios. Here, we measured the SMR of the aquatic amphipod, Gammarus insensibilis, which served as our subject species, with body masses ranging from 0.20 to 7.74 mg ash free weight. We assessed the response of the SMR across nine temperature levels ranging from 12 to 30.2 °C. These temperatures match seasonal temperature norms, with an incremental increase of 0.6-1.2 °C above each seasonal baseline, as projected for the years 2040 and 2100 under the modest climate change scenarios. Overall, our findings showed that the effect of temperature on SMR varies with body mass, as indicated by a negative size-temperature interaction, with larger conspecifics exhibiting less sensitivity to temperature changes than smaller ones. From the cold to warm season, the SMR increased by an average of 14% °C[-1], with increases of 18.4% °C[-1] in smaller individuals and 11.4% °C[-1] in larger ones. The SMR of smaller individuals peaked at a 0.6 °C increase from the current summer baseline (15.08% °C[-1], Q10 = 4.2), while in larger ones it peaked with a 1.2 °C increase beyond autumn temperatures (14.9% °C[-1], Q10 = 3.9). However, at temperatures reflecting global warming that exceed summer temperatures, the SMR of larger individuals levelled off, while that of smaller ones continued to increase. Overall, our findings suggest that smaller-sized individuals have a broader thermal window for SMR performance, while the SMR of larger-sized ones will become increasingly constrained at summer temperatures as those summer temperatures become hotter.},
}
@article {pmid39163236,
year = {2024},
author = {Rasmussen, S},
title = {Climate Change Is Changing Astronomy: Astronomy's future may be slipping away-one climate disaster at a time.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {331},
number = {2},
pages = {75},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican092024-6SrJw3yKjhZ6Wl79HIPJKd},
pmid = {39163236},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39162042,
year = {2024},
author = {Sojitra, M and Corney, S and Hemer, M and Hamilton, S and McInnes, J and Thalmann, S and Lea, MA},
title = {Traversing the land-sea interface: A climate change risk assessment of terrestrially breeding marine predators.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17452},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17452},
pmid = {39162042},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Risk Assessment ; Predatory Behavior ; Antarctic Regions ; Spheniscidae/physiology ; Food Chain ; },
abstract = {Terrestrially breeding marine predators have experienced shifts in species distribution, prey availability, breeding phenology, and population dynamics due to climate change worldwide. These central-place foragers are restricted within proximity of their breeding colonies during the breeding season, making them highly susceptible to any changes in both marine and terrestrial environments. While ecologists have developed risk assessments to evaluate climate risk in various contexts, these often overlook critical breeding biology data. To address this knowledge gap, we developed a trait-based risk assessment framework, focusing on the breeding season and applying it to marine predators breeding in parts of Australian territory and Antarctica. Our objectives were to quantify climate change risk, identify specific threats, and establish an adaptable assessment framework. The assessment considered 25 criteria related to three risk components: vulnerability, exposure, and hazard, while accounting for uncertainty. We employed a scoring system that integrated a systematic literature review and expert elicitation for the hazard criteria. Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis was conducted to identify key factors contributing to overall risk. We identified shy albatross (Thalassarche cauta), southern rockhopper penguins (Eudyptes chrysocome), Australian fur seals (Arctocephalus pusillus doriferus), and Australian sea lions (Neophoca cinerea) with high climate urgency. Species breeding in lower latitudes, as well as certain eared seal, albatross, and penguin species, were particularly at risk. Hazard and exposure explained the most variation in relative risk, outweighing vulnerability. Key climate hazards affecting most species include extreme weather events, changes in habitat suitability, and prey availability. We emphasise the need for further research, focusing on at-risk species, and filling knowledge gaps (less-studied hazards, and/or species) to provide a more accurate and robust climate change risk assessment. Our findings offer valuable insights for conservation efforts, given that monitoring and implementing climate adaptation strategies for land-dependent marine predators is more feasible during their breeding season.},
}
@article {pmid39161487,
year = {2024},
author = {Rathor, AA and Lin, M and MacArthur, RD},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Cellulitis: A Literature Review.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {16},
number = {7},
pages = {e64958},
pmid = {39161487},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {Climate change is a phenomenon that has had, and will continue to have, wide-ranging effects on the world in both the near and distant future. With regards to human health, research has demonstrated the impact of climate change on heat-related illness, mental health, and vector-borne infectious diseases. Through a review of the literature, this paper aims to elucidate both current and future consequences of climate change on cellulitis, a type of skin infection that is associated with significant morbidity, mortality, and cost. Factors such as elevated temperature, pollution, rising sea levels, and the increased frequency of natural disasters pose an alarming risk for the increased proliferation of infections such as cellulitis. Lastly, in light of these trends, this paper will address potential strategies individuals can implement to reduce the effects of climate change on cellulitis.},
}
@article {pmid39161269,
year = {2024},
author = {Arriaga, O and Wawrzynkowski, P and Muguerza, N and Díez, I and González, J and Gorostiaga, JM and Quintano, E and Becerro, MA},
title = {Thermal refugia reinforce macroalgal resilience against climate change in the southeastern Bay of Biscay.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17481},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17481},
pmid = {39161269},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {RTI2018-098970-B-I00//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n/ ; PRE_2022_2_0127//Eusko Jaurlaritza/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Refugium ; *Temperature ; *Seaweed/physiology ; Bays ; Ecosystem ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Rising global temperatures present unprecedented challenges to marine ecosystems, demanding a profound understanding of their ecological dynamics for effective conservation strategies. Over a comprehensive macroalgal assessment spanning three decades, we investigated the spatiotemporal evolution of shallow-water benthic communities in the southern Bay of Biscay, uncovering climate-resilient areas amidst the ongoing phase shift in the region. Our investigation identified seven locations serving as potential climate refugia, where cold-affinity, canopy-forming macroalgal species persisted and community structure was similar to that observed in 1991. We unveiled a clear association between the emergence of these refugia, sea surface temperature (SST), and the Community Temperature Index, positioning SST as a significant driver of the observed phase shift in the region. Warming processes, defined as tropicalization (increase of warm-affinity species) and deborealization (decrease of cold-affinity species), were prominent outside refugia. In contrast, cooling processes, defined as borealization (increase of cold-affinity species) and detropicalization (decrease of warm-affinity species), prevailed inside refugia. Refugia exhibited approximately 35% lower warming processes compared to non-refuge areas. This resulted in a dominance of warm-affinity species outside refugia, contrasting with the stability observed within refugia. The persistence of canopy-forming species in refuge areas significantly contributed to maintaining ecosystem diversity and stability. These findings underscored the pivotal role of climate refugia in mitigating climate-driven impacts. Prioritizing the protection and restoration of these refugia can foster resilience and ensure the preservation of biodiversity for future generations. Our study illustrates the importance of refining our understanding of how marine ecosystems respond to climate change, offering actionable insights essential for informed conservation strategies and sustainable environmental management.},
}
@article {pmid39159575,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, J and Xie, J and Liu, X and Yang, T},
title = {How do global value chains respond to climate change? A case study of Chinese manufacturing firms.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {368},
number = {},
pages = {122083},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122083},
pmid = {39159575},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study investigates climate risk and its effects on global value chain (GVC) participation, with a focus on the impact of drought on the export value-added ratio (DVAR) of Chinese manufacturing firms. Using fixed effects (FE) and system GMM models, the main findings are: Drought significantly reduces manufacturing firms' DVAR, with the lagged dependent variable showing a strong persistence effect and an even greater impact in the second lag period. This impact varies based on the firm's location, the complexity of its value chain, and its ability to adapt to and mitigate climate change effects. Strategies such as improving operational efficiency, investing in sustainable technologies, and enhancing competitiveness in developed markets may help mitigate or reverse the adverse effects of climate change on these firms. Additionally, significant industry and regional differences are observed, with the Northeast, East, and South China regions being most severely affected by drought. Global innovation value chains and regional processing value chains are significantly negatively impacted, while labor-intensive value chains are affected only in the current period. These findings provide new insights into the economic impacts of climate change and offer a basis for policymakers to develop strategies that help firms adapt to and mitigate climate risks.},
}
@article {pmid39159317,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosenzweig, B and Montalto, FA and Orton, P and Kaatz, J and Maher, N and Kleyman, J and Chen, Z and Sanderson, E and Adhikari, N and McPhearson, T and Herreros-Cantis, P},
title = {NPCC4: Climate change and New York City's flood risk.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15175},
pmid = {39159317},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report provides a comprehensive description of the different types of flood hazards (pluvial, fluvial, coastal, groundwater, and compound) facing New York City and provides climatological context that can be utilized, along with climate change projections, to support flood risk management (FRM). Previous NPCC reports documented coastal flood hazards and presented trends in historical and future precipitation and sea level but did not comprehensively assess all the city's flood hazards. Previous NPCC reports also discussed the implications of floods on infrastructure and the city's residents but did not review the impacts of flooding on the city's natural and nature-based systems (NNBSs). This-the NPCC's first report focused on all drivers of flooding-describes and profiles historical examples of each type of flood and summarizes previous and ongoing research regarding exposure, vulnerability, and risk management, including with NNBS and nonstructural measures.},
}
@article {pmid39159145,
year = {2024},
author = {Meherali, S and Nisa, S and Aynalem, YA and Kennedy, M and Salami, B and Adjorlolo, S and Ali, P and Silva, KL and Aziato, L and Richter, S and Lassi, ZS},
title = {Impact of climate change on maternal health outcomes: An evidence gap map review.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {8},
pages = {e0003540},
pmid = {39159145},
issn = {2767-3375},
abstract = {Climate change poses unique challenges to maternal well-being and increases complications during pregnancy and childbirth globally. This evidence gap map (EGM) aims to identify gaps in existing knowledge and areas where further research related to climate change and its impact on maternal health is required. The following databases were searched individually from inception to present: Medline, EMBASE, and Global Health via OVID; Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL) via EBSCOhost; Scopus; and organizational websites. In this EGM, we integrated 133 studies published in English, including qualitative, quantitative, reviews and grey literature that examined the impact of climate change on maternal health (women aged 15-45). We used Covidence to screen studies and Evidence for Policy and Practice Information (Eppi reviewer)/Eppi Mapper software to generate the EGM. Data extraction and qualitative appraisal of the studies was done using critical appraisal tools. The study protocol was registered in International Platform of Registered Systematic Review and Meta-analysis Protocols (INPLASY) # INPLASY202370085. Out of 133 included studies, forty seven studies were of high quality, seventy nine moderate equality and seven low quality. This EGM found notable gaps in the literature regarding the distribution of research across regions. We found significant research in North America (51) and Asia (40 studies). However, Africa and the Caribbean had fewer studies, highlighting potential disparities in research attention and resources. Moreover, while the impact of extreme heat emerged as a prominent factor impacting maternal well-being, there is a need for further investigation into other climate-related factors such as drought. Additionally, while preterm stillbirth and maternal mortality have gained attention, there is an overlook of malnutrition and food insecurity indicators that require attention in future research. The EGM identifies existing research gaps in climate change and maternal health. It emphasizes the need for global collaboration and targeted interventions to address disparities and inform climate-responsive policies.},
}
@article {pmid39158113,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, L and Lu, C and Winiwarter, W and Tian, H and Canadell, JG and Ito, A and Jain, AK and Kou-Giesbrecht, S and Pan, S and Pan, N and Shi, H and Sun, Q and Vuichard, N and Ye, S and Zaehle, S and Zhu, Q},
title = {Enhanced nitrous oxide emission factors due to climate change increase the mitigation challenge in the agricultural sector.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17472},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17472},
pmid = {39158113},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {1903722//Armenian National Science and Education Fund/ ; //OECD Co-operative Research Program fellowship/ ; 2023-67019-39252//USDA AFRI/ ; 1945036//NSF CAREER/ ; },
mesh = {*Nitrous Oxide/analysis ; *Climate Change ; *Agriculture/methods ; *Fertilizers/analysis ; Models, Theoretical ; Nitrogen/analysis ; Machine Learning ; Soil/chemistry ; },
abstract = {Effective nitrogen fertilizer management is crucial for reducing nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions while ensuring food security within planetary boundaries. However, climate change might also interact with management practices to alter N2O emission and emission factors (EFs), adding further uncertainties to estimating mitigation potentials. Here, we developed a new hybrid modeling framework that integrates a machine learning model with an ensemble of eight process-based models to project EFs under different climate and nitrogen policy scenarios. Our findings reveal that EFs are dynamically modulated by environmental changes, including climate, soil properties, and nitrogen management practices. Under low-ambition nitrogen regulation policies, EF would increase from 1.18%-1.22% in 2010 to 1.27%-1.34% by 2050, representing a relative increase of 4.4%-11.4% and exceeding the IPCC tier-1 EF of 1%. This trend is particularly pronounced in tropical and subtropical regions with high nitrogen inputs, where EFs could increase by 0.14%-0.35% (relative increase of 11.9%-17%). In contrast, high-ambition policies have the potential to mitigate the increases in EF caused by climate change, possibly leading to slight decreases in EFs. Furthermore, our results demonstrate that global EFs are expected to continue rising due to warming and regional drying-wetting cycles, even in the absence of changes in nitrogen management practices. This asymmetrical influence of nitrogen fertilizers on EFs, driven by climate change, underscores the urgent need for immediate N2O emission reductions and further assessments of mitigation potentials. This hybrid modeling framework offers a computationally efficient approach to projecting future N2O emissions across various climate, soil, and nitrogen management scenarios, facilitating socio-economic assessments and policy-making efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39157905,
year = {2024},
author = {Terán, F and Vives-Peris, V and Gómez-Cadenas, A and Pérez-Clemente, RM},
title = {Facing climate change: plant stress mitigation strategies in agriculture.},
journal = {Physiologia plantarum},
volume = {176},
number = {4},
pages = {e14484},
doi = {10.1111/ppl.14484},
pmid = {39157905},
issn = {1399-3054},
support = {TED2021-129795B-I00//European Union-NextGenerationEU/ ; PRE2020-093757//MCIN/ ; ERDF "A way of making Europe"//MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/ ; PID2022-137825OB-I00//MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Stress, Physiological ; *Crops, Agricultural/physiology ; *Agriculture/methods ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges to global agriculture, with rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and increased frequency of extreme weather events threatening crop yields. These changes exceed the adaptability thresholds of many crops, decreasing their yield and threatening food security. At plant physiological levels, climate change-induced stressors disrupt photosynthesis, growth, and reproductive processes, contributing to a reduced productivity. Furthermore, the negative impacts of climate change on agriculture are exacerbated by anthropogenic factors, with agriculture itself contributing significantly to greenhouse gas emissions. To mitigate these challenges, various approaches have been explored. This work reviews the most important physical, chemical, and biological strategies most commonly used in a broad range of agricultural crops. Among physical strategies, increasing water use efficiency without yield reduction through different irrigation strategies, and the use of foliar treatments with reflective properties to mitigate the negative effects of different stresses have been proven to be effective. Concerning chemical approaches, the exogenous treatment of plants with chemicals induces existing molecular and physiological plant defense mechanisms, enhancing abiotic stress tolerance. Regarding biological treatments, plant inoculation with mycorrhiza and plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria (PGPR) can improve enzymatic antioxidant capacity and mineral solubilization, favoring root and plant growth and enhance plant performance under stressful conditions. While these strategies provide valuable short- to medium-term solutions, there is a pressing need for new biotechnological approaches aimed at developing genotypes resistant to stressful conditions. Collaborative efforts among researchers, policymakers, and agricultural stakeholders are essential to ensure global food security in the face of ongoing climate challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39154184,
year = {2024},
author = {İlaslan, N and Şahin Orak, N},
title = {Relationship between nursing students' global climate change awareness, climate change anxiety and sustainability attitudes in nursing: a descriptive and cross-sectional study.},
journal = {BMC nursing},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {573},
pmid = {39154184},
issn = {1472-6955},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: As a major global health threat, climate change is an important issue for nurses who play a pivotal role in health protection and improvement, and in the development of climate-smart healthcare systems. Sustainability attitudes in nursing should be developed together with awareness and concern for climate change.<br><br>AIM: The aim of this study was to determine the relationship between nursing students' global climate change awareness, climate change anxiety, and sustainability attitudes in nursing.<br><br>METHODS: This descriptive, correlational study was conducted with 289 nursing students at a state university. Data were collected using the Descriptive Characteristics Form, the Global Climate Change Awareness Scale, the Climate Change Anxiety Scale, and the Sustainability Attitudes in Nursing Survey. Mean and percentage distributions, the Independent Samples t-test, ANOVA test, Pearson correlation and multiple regression analysis were used to analyze the data. The STROBE checklist was used to report this study.<br><br>RESULTS: Global climate change awareness of the nursing students was at a moderate level, and the levels of climate change anxiety and sustainability attitudes in nursing were above average. There was determined to be a moderate positive correlation between climate change awareness and sustainability attitude in nursing, between anxiety and sustainability attitude in nursing, and between climate change awareness and anxiety. Climate change awareness and anxiety explained 25.1% of the sustainability attitude in nursing.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The study provides evidence of the relationship between nursing students' global climate change awareness and anxiety, and sustainability attitudes in nursing. It can be recommended that climate change and sustainability awareness-raising content are integrated into the nursing curriculum. The development of a sustainability attitude in nursing will contribute to the development of sustainable and low-carbon healthcare practices.},
}
@article {pmid39153618,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, WW and Jin, L and Liu, X and Wang, WT},
title = {Vulnerability and driving mechanism of four typical grasslands in China under the coupled impacts of climate change and human activities.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175560},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175560},
pmid = {39153618},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Understanding of how different grasslands types respond to climate change and human activities across different spatial and temporal dimensions is crucial for devising effective strategies to prevent grasslands degradation. In this study, we developed a novel vulnerability assessment model for grasslands that intricately evaluates the combined impact of climate change and human activities. We then applied this model to analyze the vulnerability and driving mechanism of four representative Chinese grasslands to climate change and human activities. Our findings indicate that the vulnerability of the four grasslands would show a pattern of higher in the west and lower in the east under the influence of climate change alone. However, when human activities are factored in, the vulnerability across the four grasslands tends to homogenize, with human activities notably reducing the vulnerability of alpine grasslands in the west and, conversely, increasing the vulnerability of grasslands in the east. Furthermore, our study reveals distinct major environmental drivers of grasslands vulnerability across different regions. The two western alpine grasslands exhibit higher vulnerability to annual mean temperature and isothermality compared to the eastern temperate grasslands, while their vulnerability to precipitation of the coldest quarter is lower than that of the eastern temperate grasslands. These findings are helpful for understanding the multifaceted causes and mechanisms of grasslands degradation, providing a scientific foundation for the sustainable management and conservation of grassland resources.},
}
@article {pmid39153617,
year = {2024},
author = {Hu, J and Zheng, J and Lu, D and Dai, X and Wang, R and Zhu, Y and Park, BS and Li, C and Kim, JH and Guo, R and Wang, P},
title = {Mapping the main harmful algal species in the East China Sea (Yangtze River estuary) and their possible response to the Main ecological status and global climate change via a global vision.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175527},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175527},
pmid = {39153617},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The Yangtze River Estuary (YRE) is one of the areas in China most severely affected by harmful algal blooms (HABs). This study explored the distributive patterns of HABs in the YRE and how they are influenced by the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and other environmental factors. Quantitative real-time PCR (qPCR) was employed to detect and quantify the four predominant HAB species in the YRE, Karenia mikimotoi, Margalefidinium polykrikoides, Prorocentrum donghaiense, and Heterosigma akashiwo. Additionally, the study analyzed how turbidity, pH, salinity, and temperature influence these algae. Distribution of the four HAB species in the YRE area shows clear geographical variations: K. mikimotoi is predominantly found in the northwest and central sea areas, M. polykrikoides (East Asian Ribotype, EAR) is mainly distributed in the southeastern part, P. donghaiense is abundant in the northern regions, and H. akashiwo is especially prevalent at stations S26 and S27 in the northeastern part of the study area. HABs dominated by H. akashiwo and P. donghaiense were observed in the northeastern sea area of the YRE on July 22, 2020. Our study reveals that K. mikimotoi, M. polykrikoides (EAR), and P. donghaiense are mainly affected by turbidity, pH, and salinity, while temperature predominantly influences the blooms of H. akashiwo. Moreover, runoff in the YRE has a certain correlation with ENSO events, which may also impact the nutrient content of the region. The findings of this study illustrate the distributive patterns of the four HAB species under various ecological conditions in the YRE and emphasize the importance of establishing practical cases for future warning systems. To better understand how climate change affects HABs, exploring the link between ENSO and HABs is essential.},
}
@article {pmid39152531,
year = {2024},
author = {Diallo, AM and Ridde, V},
title = {Climate change and resilience of the Senegalese health system in the face of the floods in Keur Massar.},
journal = {The International journal of health planning and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/hpm.3846},
pmid = {39152531},
issn = {1099-1751},
support = {//Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement/ ; //Minist&#xe8;re de l'Europe et des Affaires &#xc9;trang&#xe8;res/ ; },
abstract = {This article is based on the observation that the affected populations perceive existing community-based adaptation strategies to the health effects of floods differently. We explore the resilience of the local health system to climate change (CC) in Keur Massar (Senegal) using a monographic approach based on a qualitative survey of flooded households, health professionals, hygiene agents, community health actors, administrative and local authorities, agents from the Ministries of Health and Environment, and experts from the ecological and meteorological monitoring centre (n = 72). The effects of CC on health are modulated by financial, organisational, social and cultural factors. The effects of CC on health are modulated by traditionally praised by self-centred health governance, which is often based on standardisation of problems and thus not sufficiently attuned to local contexts, especially the climate vulnerability index (CVI) of households and health structures. Despite the existence of programs to combat the consequences of CC, the notorious lack of exhaustive mapping of areas with a high CVI hinders the effective management of the health of the affected populations. A typology of forms of mobility in the context of flooding-ground floor to the upper floor, borrowing a room, renting a flat, seasonal residence-reveals inequalities in access to care as well as specific health needs management of vector-borne diseases, discontinuity of maternal, newborn and child health care, and psychosocial assistance. The article outlines how a health territorialisation based on surveillance and response mechanisms can be co-constructed and made sustainable in areas with a high CVI. Integrating this approach into national health policies allows for equity in health systems efficiently and sustainably.},
}
@article {pmid39152020,
year = {2024},
author = {Perry, D and Mavrogianni, A and Pelham, C and Sisodiya, SM},
title = {Rare diseases: we need to think about climate change too.},
journal = {The Lancet. Neurology},
volume = {23},
number = {9},
pages = {857-858},
doi = {10.1016/S1474-4422(24)00333-8},
pmid = {39152020},
issn = {1474-4465},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Rare Diseases/therapy ; },
}
@article {pmid39151357,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, J and Zhuang, Y and Dong, B and Wang, F and Yan, Y and Zhang, D and Liu, Z and Duan, X and Bo, Y and Peng, L},
title = {Spatial heterogeneity of per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances caused by glacial melting in Tibetan Lake Nam Co due to global warming.},
journal = {Journal of hazardous materials},
volume = {478},
number = {},
pages = {135468},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.135468},
pmid = {39151357},
issn = {1873-3336},
abstract = {Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) in high-latitude polar regions and the Tibetan Plateau have received widespread international attention. Here, we measured 18 PFASs and 11 major isomers in the lake water, sediment, and surrounding runoff of Lake Nam Co in 2020. The concentrations of ultrashort-chain trifluoroacetic acid (TFA) and perfluoropropanoic acid (PFPrA) and major isomers of perfluoooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluoooctane sulfonate acid (PFOS) in water bodies in high-latitude polar regions and the Tibetan Plateau are reported for the first time. The results showed that the concentration of ∑PFASs in glacial runoff was approximately 139 % greater than that in nonglacial runoff. The concentrations of ∑PFASs in the lake water and sediment in the southern lake with multiple glacial runoff events were approximately 113 % and 108 % higher, respectively, than those in the northern lake. The concentrations of short-chain perfluorobutanoic acid (PFBA) and ultrashort-chain TFA and PFPrA, which may be indicators of ice and snow melt, exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity. Overall, the spatial heterogeneity of PFAS concentrations in the water, sediment and surrounding runoff of Lake Nam Co may be caused mainly by glacial melting.},
}
@article {pmid39150738,
year = {2024},
author = {Brouillette, M},
title = {Medical Schools Are Updating Their Curricula as Climate Change Becomes Impossible to Ignore.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2024.13506},
pmid = {39150738},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid39145905,
year = {2024},
author = {Rawat, MS and Rawat, PK and Belho, K},
title = {Geospatial AI solution to monitor and mitigate increasing adverse ecological and hydrological impacts of climate change in Uttarakhand Himalaya (India).},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39145905},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {CSIR/ 13 (7179-A//Council of Scientific and Industrial Research, India/ ; DST/SR/OY/A-04/91//Earth System Sciences Organization, Ministry of Earth Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Though climate change and its adverse ecological and geohydrological impacts are being experienced across the world in all types of ecosystems but as far as the Himalaya mountain ecosystem is concerned, the rate of climate change and subsequent impacts have reached an alarming stage due to anthropogenic and technogenic intervention on natural process and now need most effective and less time taking management strategy. Addressing this burning environmental problem, a geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI) technique-based case study is presented here from one of the most densely populated and urbanized regions of Himalaya mountain, viz Uttarakhand Himalaya, which is also called central Himalaya. The results of the study suggest that due to quite a high rate of climate change, the climatic zones shifting towards higher altitudes at the average rate of 5.6 2 m/year, causing several adverse ecological impacts in terms of decreasing quality dense temperate forest cover (0.05%/year), snow cover (0.02%/year), water bodies (0.01%/year), agricultural land (0.31%/year), and horticultural land (0.01%/year). Conversion of these eco-friendly land use land cover into barren land, fallow land, and built-up land causes geohydrological consequences of climate change in terms of decreasing rainy days (1%/year), drying perennial springs (0.20%/year), perennial streams (0.11%/year), decreasing spring and stream discharge during non-monsoon season, increased extreme rainfall events (6-8%/year), and subsequent surface runoff during monsoon season. Further, the study advocates that the degraded geohydrological process has resulted in an increased frequency of disaster events (floods, cloudbursts, landslides. etc.) with a 3% (12 events) annual rate, causing great loss of environment, infrastructure, lives, and economy each year. Therefore, it has been very urgent to mitigate climate change and increase geohydrological disaster events through an integrated approach. Keep in view this, the present study proposed an integrated watershed management plan which is equally useful to be implemented across the Himalaya region and other similar ecosystems across the world.},
}
@article {pmid39145041,
year = {2024},
author = {Abedin, I and Mukherjee, T and Kim, AR and Lee, SR and Kim, HW and Kundu, S},
title = {Fragile futures: Evaluating habitat and climate change response of hog badgers (Mustelidae: Arctonyx) in the conservation landscape of mainland Asia.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70160},
pmid = {39145041},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The small mammalian fauna plays pivotal roles in ecosystem dynamics and as crucial biodiversity indicators. However, recent research has raised concerns about the decline of mammalian species due to climate change. Consequently, significant attention is directed toward studying various big flagship mammalian species for conservation. However, small mammals such as the hog badgers (Mustelidae: Arctonyx) remain understudied regarding the impacts of climate change in Asia. The present study offers a comprehensive analysis of climate change effects on two mainland hog badger species, utilizing ensemble species distribution modeling. Findings reveal concerning outcomes, as only 52% of the IUCN extent is deemed suitable for the Great Hog Badger (Arctonyx collaris) and a mere 17% is ideal for the Northern Hog Badger (Arctonyx albogularis). Notably, projections suggest a potential reduction of over 26% in suitable areas for both species under future climate scenarios, with the most severe decline anticipated in the high-emission scenario of SSP585. These declines translate into evident habitat fragmentation, particularly impacting A. collaris, whose patches shrink substantially, contrasting with the relatively stable patches of A. albogularis. However, despite their differences, niche overlap analysis reveals an intriguing increase in overlap between the two species, indicating potential ecological shifts. The study underscores the importance of integrating climate change and habitat fragmentation considerations into conservation strategies, urging a reassessment of the IUCN status of A. albogularis. The insights gained from this research are crucial for improving protection measures by ensuring adequate legal safeguards and maintaining ecological corridors between viable habitat patches, which are essential for the conservation of hog badgers across mainland Asia. Furthermore, emphasizing the urgency of proactive efforts, particularly in countries with suitable habitats can help safeguard these small mammalian species and their ecosystems from the detrimental impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39144799,
year = {2022},
author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C},
title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the World: Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.},
journal = {Schizophrenia bulletin open},
volume = {3},
number = {1},
pages = {sgac065},
pmid = {39144799},
issn = {2632-7899},
}
@article {pmid39143284,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {How nitrogen compounds in fertilizers and fossil-fuel emissions affect global warming.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39143284},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid39143071,
year = {2024},
author = {Abera, TA and Heiskanen, J and Maeda, EE and Muhammed, MA and Bhandari, N and Vakkari, V and Hailu, BT and Pellikka, PKE and Hemp, A and van Zyl, PG and Zeuss, D},
title = {Deforestation amplifies climate change effects on warming and cloud level rise in African montane forests.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6992},
pmid = {39143071},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {3.3 - 1228176 - FIN - HFST-p//Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung (Alexander von Humboldt Foundation)/ ; 350719//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; 350719//Academy of Finland (Suomen Akatemia)/ ; },
mesh = {*Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Climate Change ; *Forests ; Africa ; *Biodiversity ; *Tropical Climate ; *Temperature ; Ecosystem ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Tropical montane forest ecosystems are pivotal for sustaining biodiversity and essential terrestrial ecosystem services, including the provision of high-quality fresh water. Nonetheless, the impact of montane deforestation and climate change on the capacity of forests to deliver ecosystem services is yet to be fully understood. In this study, we offer observational evidence demonstrating the response of air temperature and cloud base height to deforestation in African montane forests over the last two decades. Our findings reveal that approximately 18% (7.4 ± 0.5 million hectares) of Africa's montane forests were lost between 2003 and 2022. This deforestation has led to a notable increase in maximum air temperature (1.37 ± 0.58 °C) and cloud base height (236 ± 87 metres), surpassing shifts attributed solely to climate change. Our results call for urgent attention to montane deforestation, as it poses serious threats to biodiversity, water supply, and ecosystem services in the tropics.},
}
@article {pmid39142806,
year = {2024},
author = {Willett, W and Springmann, M},
title = {Food, health, and climate change: can epidemiologists contribute further?.},
journal = {International journal of epidemiology},
volume = {53},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ije/dyae109},
pmid = {39142806},
issn = {1464-3685},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Epidemiologists ; Food Supply ; Public Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39141657,
year = {2024},
author = {Dembélé, G and Loison, R and Traoré, A and Dembélé, SG and Sissoko, F},
title = {Optimizing type, date, and dose of compost fertilization of organic cotton under climate change in Mali: A modeling study.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {e0308736},
pmid = {39141657},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Gossypium/growth &amp; development ; *Composting/methods ; Mali ; *Fertilizers ; Soil/chemistry ; Organic Agriculture/methods ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Adapting organic farming to climate change is a major issue. Cotton yields in Mali are declining due to deteriorating climatic conditions, soil fertility, and poor management. This study aimed to improve organic cotton yield in Mali in the future climate with the optimal choice of compost type, date, and dose of application. Experimental data collected in 2021 from the Sotuba research station in Mali was used for calibration and evaluation of the crop model DSSAT CSM-CROPGRO-Cotton model using phenology, leaf area index, and seed cotton yield. Climate data from the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios of the GFDL-ESM2M model were used for future weather datasets for 2020-2039, 2040-2059, and 2060-2079. The model was able to simulate anthesis and maturity with excellent results, with nRMSE < 4%, and seed cotton yields moderately well, an nRMSE of 26% during calibration and 20.3% in evaluation. The scenario RCP8.5 from 2060 to 2079 gave the best seed cotton yields. Seed cotton yields with RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 were all better with the mid-May application period of small ruminant silo compost at 7.5 t/ha. In such conditions, more than 75% of the cases would produce more than 2000 kg/ha of seed cotton.},
}
@article {pmid39139701,
year = {2024},
author = {Zetzsche, J and Fallet, M},
title = {To live or let die? Epigenetic adaptations to climate change-a review.},
journal = {Environmental epigenetics},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {dvae009},
pmid = {39139701},
issn = {2058-5888},
abstract = {Anthropogenic activities are responsible for a wide array of environmental disturbances that threaten biodiversity. Climate change, encompassing temperature increases, ocean acidification, increased salinity, droughts, and floods caused by frequent extreme weather events, represents one of the most significant environmental alterations. These drastic challenges pose ecological constraints, with over a million species expected to disappear in the coming years. Therefore, organisms must adapt or face potential extinctions. Adaptations can occur not only through genetic changes but also through non-genetic mechanisms, which often confer faster acclimatization and wider variability ranges than their genetic counterparts. Among these non-genetic mechanisms are epigenetics defined as the study of molecules and mechanisms that can perpetuate alternative gene activity states in the context of the same DNA sequence. Epigenetics has received increased attention in the past decades, as epigenetic mechanisms are sensitive to a wide array of environmental cues, and epimutations spread faster through populations than genetic mutations. Epimutations can be neutral, deleterious, or adaptative and can be transmitted to subsequent generations, making them crucial factors in both long- and short-term responses to environmental fluctuations, such as climate change. In this review, we compile existing evidence of epigenetic involvement in acclimatization and adaptation to climate change and discuss derived perspectives and remaining challenges in the field of environmental epigenetics. Graphical Abstract.},
}
@article {pmid39139406,
year = {2024},
author = {Selvaraj, JJ and Portilla-Cabrera, CV},
title = {Impact of climate change on Colombian Pacific coast mangrove bivalves distribution.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {8},
pages = {110473},
pmid = {39139406},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {The mangrove bivalves, Anadara tuberculosa and Anadara similis, are pivotal for the Colombian Pacific coast mangrove ecosystems and economies. In this study, the current and future potential distribution of these bivalves is modeled considering climate change. The future models (2030 and 2050) were projected considering the new climate scenarios (SSP1, SSP2, and SSP5) proposed by the IPCC in its sixth report. Our findings reveal areas in the Colombian Pacific coast, notably Nariño, Cauca, southern Valle del Cauca, and Chocó, with high environmental suitability for these bivalves. However, the 2050 projections, especially under the pessimistic SSP5 scenario, indicate potential adverse impacts from climate change. By 2030 and 2050, the species might lean more toward a southwesterly distribution in the Colombian Pacific coast. Climate-induced spatiotemporal mismatches could occur between the bivalves and the mangroves in some areas. These insights are crucial for effective conservation and management strategies for these species.},
}
@article {pmid39138874,
year = {2024},
author = {Ward, A and Rogers, HH and Tulleners, T and Levett-Jones, T},
title = {Nursing in 2050: Navigating dual realities of climate change in healthcare.},
journal = {Nursing inquiry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e12666},
doi = {10.1111/nin.12666},
pmid = {39138874},
issn = {1440-1800},
}
@article {pmid39137244,
year = {2024},
author = {Zain, A and Yeo, I and Wong, L and Shek, LP},
title = {Climate change from the Asia-Pacific perspective: What an allergist needs to know and do.},
journal = {Pediatric allergy and immunology : official publication of the European Society of Pediatric Allergy and Immunology},
volume = {35},
number = {8},
pages = {e14216},
doi = {10.1111/pai.14216},
pmid = {39137244},
issn = {1399-3038},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Asia ; *Allergists ; *Hypersensitivity/epidemiology ; Carbon Footprint ; },
abstract = {Allergic diseases such as asthma, atopic dermatitis, and food allergies are a burgeoning health challenge in the Asia-Pacific region. Compounding this, the region has become increasingly susceptible to the impacts of climate change. The region has weathered extreme precipitation, intense heat waves, and dust storms over the recent decades. While the effects of environmental and genetic factors on allergic diseases are well understood, prevailing gaps in understanding the complex interactions between climate change and these factors remain. We aim to provide insights into the various pathways by which climate change influences allergic diseases in the Asia-Pacific population. We outline practical steps that allergists can take to reduce the carbon footprint of their practice on both a systemic and patient-specific level. We recommend that allergists optimize disease control to reduce the resources required for each patient's care, which contributes to reducing greenhouse gas emissions. We encourage the responsible prescription of metered dose inhalers by promoting the switch to dry powder inhalers for certain patients, at each clinician's discretion. We also recommend the utilization of virtual consultations to reduce patient travel while ensuring that evidence-based guidelines for rational allergy management are closely adhered to. Finally, eliminating unnecessary testing and medications will also reduce greenhouse gas emissions in many areas of medical care.},
}
@article {pmid39136256,
year = {2024},
author = {Verma, KK and Song, XP and Kumari, A and Jagadesh, M and Singh, SK and Bhatt, R and Singh, M and Seth, CS and Li, YR},
title = {Climate change adaptation: Challenges for agricultural sustainability.},
journal = {Plant, cell &amp; environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/pce.15078},
pmid = {39136256},
issn = {1365-3040},
support = {Guike AA22117002-1//Science and Technology Major Project of Guangxi/ ; 2021YT011//Fund of Guangxi Academy of Agricultural Sciences/ ; GTS2022022//Guangxi Characteristic Crop Experimental Station/ ; nycytxgxcxtd-2021-03//Guangxi Innovation Teams of Modern Agriculture Technology/ ; 31760415//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFD2301102-07//National Key Research and Development Project/ ; 2021GXNSFAA220022//Guangxi Natural Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses a substantial threat to agricultural sustainability globally. Agriculture is a vital component of the gross domestic production of developing countries. The multifaceted impacts of climate change on agriculture, highlighting how extreme weather events such as water stress, heatwaves, erratic rainfall, storms, floods, and emerging pest infestations are disrupting agricultural productivity. The socioeconomic status of farmers is particularly vulnerable to climatic extremes with future projections indicating significant increment in ambient air temperatures and unpredictable, intense rainfall patterns. Agriculture has historically relied on the extensive use of synthetic fertilizers, herbicides, and insecticides, combined with advancements in irrigation and biotechnological approaches to boost productivity. It encompasses a range of practices designed to enhance the resilience of agricultural systems, improve productivity, and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. By adopting climate-smart practices, farmers can better adapt to changing climatic conditions, thereby ensuring more sustainable and secure food production. Furthermore, it identifies key areas for future research, focusing on the development of innovative adaptation and mitigation strategies. These strategies are essential for minimizing the detrimental impacts of climate change on agriculture and for promoting the long-term sustainability of food systems. This article underscores the importance of interdisciplinary approaches and the integration of advanced technologies to address the challenges posed by climate change. By fostering a deeper understanding of these issues to inform policymakers, researchers, and practitioners about effective strategies to safeguard agricultural productivity and food security in the face of changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid39136132,
year = {2024},
author = {Mackay, DS},
title = {Future tree mortality is impossible to observe, but a new model reveals why tropical tree traits matter more than climate change variability for predicting hydraulic failure.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.20049},
pmid = {39136132},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {DE-SC0023019//United States Department of Energy/ ; IOS-1547786//National Science Foundation/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39135644,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, FG and Liang, F and Wu, K and Xie, L and Zhao, G and Wang, Y},
title = {The potential habitat of Angelica dahurica in China under climate change scenario predicted by Maxent model.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1388099},
pmid = {39135644},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Since the 20th century, global climate has been recognized as the most important environmental factor affecting the distribution of plants. Angelica dahurica (A. dahurica) has been in great demand as a medicinal herb and flavoring, but the lack of seed sources has hindered its development. In this study, we utilized the Maxent model combined with Geographic Information System (GIS) to predict the potential habitat of A. dahurica in China based on its geographical distribution and 22 environmental factors. This prediction will serve as a valuable reference for the utilization and conservation of A. dahurica resources.The results indicated that: (1) the Maxent model exhibited high accuracy in predicting the potential habitat area of A. dahurica, with a mean value of the area under the ROC curve (AUC) at 0.879 and a TSS value above 0.6; (2) The five environmental variables with significant effects were bio6 (Min temperature of the coldest month), bio12 (Annual Precipitation), bio17 (Precipitation of Driest Quarter), elevation, and slope, contributing to a cumulative total of 89.6%. Suitable habitats for A. dahurica were identified in provinces such as Yunnan, Guizhou, Guangxi, Sichuan, Hunan, and others. The total area of suitable habitat was projected to increase, with expansion primarily in middle and high latitudes, while areas of decrease were concentrated in lower latitudes. Under future climate change scenarios, the centers of mass of suitable areas for A. dahurica were predicted to shift towards higher latitudes in the 2050s and 2090s, particularly towards the North China Plain and Northeast Plain. Overall, it holds great significance to utilize the Maxent model to predict the development and utilization of A. dahurica germplasm resources in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39134274,
year = {2024},
author = {Peng, X and Chen, D and Zhen, J and Wang, Y and Hu, X},
title = {Greenhouse gas emissions and drivers of the global warming potential of vineyards under different irrigation and fertilizer management practices.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {950},
number = {},
pages = {175447},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175447},
pmid = {39134274},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In the context of global warming and low water and fertilizer utilization efficiency in vineyards, identifying the driving factors of global warming potential (GWP) and proper irrigation and fertilization management strategies are crucial for high grape yields and emission reduction. In this experiment, drip fertigation technology was used, including three irrigation levels (W3 (100% M, where M is the irrigation quota), W2 (75% M) and W1 (50% M)) and four fertilization levels (F3 (648 kg hm[-2]), F2 (486 kg hm[-2]), F1 (324 kg hm[-2]) and F0 (0 kg hm[-2])). Traditional furrow irrigation and fertilization (CG) and rainfed (CK) treatments were used as control treatments. The results indicated that under the drip fertigation system, fertilization significantly increased the grape leaf chlorophyll relative content (SPAD) and leaf area index (LAI) within a fertilizer application of 0-486 kg hm[-2]. Irrigation primarily had a direct positive effect on the water-filled pore space (WFPS) in the 0-60 cm soil layer, and the residual soil nutrient content was mainly affected by fertilization. The vital stage for reducing greenhouse gas emissions was the fruit-inflating and fruit-rendering stages. The CG treatment not only failed to ensure high grape yield but also adversely affected the soil environment and the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions in the vineyard. Fertilization had a direct positive effect on the grape SPAD, LAI, yield, and soil residual nutrient content. GWP was primarily directly driven by SPAD, WFPS, and soil residual nutrient content, while grape yield was primarily directly driven by fertilization and SPAD. In conclusion, the W2F2 treatment (25 % reduced irrigation and 486 kg hm[-2] of fertilization) of drip fertigation in the vineyard was the preferred irrigation and fertilizer management strategy for maintaining good vine vigor and balancing grape yield and environmental benefits.},
}
@article {pmid39134152,
year = {2024},
author = {Ogunbode, CA and Salmela-Aro, K and Maran, DA and van den Broek, K and Doran, R and Lins, S and Torres-Marín, J and Navarro-Carrillo, G and Rocchi, G and Schermer, JA},
title = {Do neuroticism and efficacy beliefs moderate the relationship between climate change worry and mental wellbeing?.},
journal = {Journal of affective disorders},
volume = {364},
number = {},
pages = {37-40},
doi = {10.1016/j.jad.2024.08.018},
pmid = {39134152},
issn = {1573-2517},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Research on the nature and prevalence of phenomena like climate anxiety (or eco-anxiety) is increasing rapidly but there is little understanding of the conditions under which climate change worry becomes more or less likely to significantly impact mental wellbeing. Here, we considered two plausible moderators of the relationship between climate change worry and mental wellbeing: neuroticism and efficacy beliefs.<br><br>METHODS: Analysis was conducted with survey data gathered in six European countries in autumn 2019. Participants were recruited from universities in the participating countries using opportunity sampling.<br><br>RESULTS: We found that climate change worry is negatively related to mental wellbeing at any level of perceived efficacy. In contrast, climate change worry is only significantly related to mental wellbeing at low and average levels of neuroticism. High neuroticism appears to have a masking, rather than amplifying, role in the relationship between climate change worry and mental wellbeing.<br><br>LIMITATIONS: The cross-sectional design of the study precludes verification of causal relationships among variables. The brief measure of neuroticism employed also did not allow for nuanced analysis of how different facets of neuroticism contribute to the observed interaction with climate change worry. Findings cannot be indiscriminately generalised to less privileged groups facing the worst impacts of the climate crisis.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Our findings lend to a view that harmful impacts of climate change worry on mental wellbeing cannot simply be ascribed to dispositional traits like neuroticism. We advocate for interventions that tackle negative climate-related emotions as unique psychological stressors.},
}
@article {pmid39133540,
year = {2024},
author = {Iyengar, MS and Block Ngaybe, MG and Gonzalez, M and Arora, M},
title = {Resilience Informatics: Role of Informatics in Enabling and Promoting Public Health Resilience to Pandemics, Climate Change, and Other Stressors.},
journal = {Interactive journal of medical research},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e54687},
doi = {10.2196/54687},
pmid = {39133540},
issn = {1929-073X},
abstract = {Climate change, local epidemics, future pandemics, and forced displacements pose significant public health threats worldwide. To cope successfully, people and communities are faced with the challenging task of developing resilience to these stressors. Our viewpoint is that the powerful capabilities of modern informatics technologies including artificial intelligence, biomedical and environmental sensors, augmented or virtual reality, data science, and other digital hardware or software, have great potential to promote, sustain, and support resilience in people and communities. However, there is no "one size fits all" solution for resilience. Solutions must match the specific effects of the stressor, cultural dimensions, social determinants of health, technology infrastructure, and many other factors.},
}
@article {pmid39132714,
year = {2024},
author = {Quan, PQ and Guo, PL and He, J and Liu, XD},
title = {Heat-stress memory enhances the acclimation of a migratory insect pest to global warming.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e17493},
doi = {10.1111/mec.17493},
pmid = {39132714},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {31871960//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {In the face of rising global temperatures, the mechanisms behind an organism's ability to acclimate to heat stress remain enigmatic. The rice leaf folder, Cnaphalocrocis medinalis, traditionally viewed as temperature-sensitive, paradoxically exhibits robust larval acclimation to heat stress. This study used the heat-acclimated strain HA39, developed through multigenerational exposure to 39°C during the larval stage, and the unacclimated strain HA27 reared at 27°C to unravel the transgenerational effects of heat acclimation and its regulatory mechanisms. Heat acclimation for larvae incurred a fitness cost in pupae when exposed to high temperature, yet a significant transgenerational effect surfaced, revealing heightened fitness benefit in pupae from HA39, even without additional heat exposure during larval recovery at 27°C. This transgenerational effect exhibited a short-term memory, diminishing after two recovery generations. Moreover, the effect correlated with increased superoxide dismutase (SOD) enzyme activity and expression levels of oxidoreductase genes, representing physiological and molecular foundations of heat acclimation. Heat-acclimated larvae displayed elevated DNA methylation levels, while pupae from HA39, in recovery generations, exhibited decreased methylation indicated by the upregulation of a demethylase gene and downregulation of two methyltransferase genes at high temperatures. In summary, heat acclimation induces DNA methylation, orchestrating heat-stress memory and influencing the expression levels of oxidoreductase genes and SOD activity. Heat-stress memory enhances the acclimation of the migratory insect pest to global warming.},
}
@article {pmid39132637,
year = {2024},
author = {Akakpo, MG and Hagan, S and Bokpin, HA},
title = {Climate Change and Health: Perspectives From Ghana.},
journal = {GeoHealth},
volume = {8},
number = {8},
pages = {e2024GH001030},
pmid = {39132637},
issn = {2471-1403},
abstract = {Climate change is impacting many aspects of human life in many ways. In Ghana, climate change knowledge remains low and discussions linking climate change and health are scarce. In this paper, authors contribute to the shaping of discussions about climate and health with a focus on how climate change increases certain ailments. First, the paper addresses the need for research in Ghanaian communities to link climate change and health. Second, the paper suggests the development of policies to address the link. Third, public health educators are advised in this paper to educate the public.},
}
@article {pmid39131722,
year = {2024},
author = {Leddin, D},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change, Pollution, and Biodiversity Loss on Digestive Health and Disease.},
journal = {Gastro hep advances},
volume = {3},
number = {4},
pages = {519-534},
pmid = {39131722},
issn = {2772-5723},
abstract = {The environment is changing rapidly under pressure from 3 related drivers: climate change, pollution, and biodiversity loss. These environmental changes are affecting digestive health and disease in multiple ways. Heat extremes can cause intestinal and hepatic dysfunction. Access to adequate amounts of food of high nutritional content and to clean water is under threat. Extreme weather is associated with flooding and enteric infections and affects the delivery of care through infrastructure loss. Air, water, and soil pollution from chemicals and plastics are emerging as risk factors for a variety of intestinal diseases including eosinophilic esophagitis, metabolic dysfunction associated fatty liver disease, digestive tract cancers, inflammatory bowel disease, and functional bowel disease. Migration of populations to cities and between countries poses a special challenge to the delivery of digestive care. The response to the threat of environmental change is well underway in the global digestive health community, especially with regard to understanding and reducing the environmental impact of endoscopy. Individuals, and peer societies, are becoming more engaged, and have an important role to play in meeting the challenge.},
}
@article {pmid39131708,
year = {2024},
author = {Leddin, D and Rustgi, VK and Srinivasan, S},
title = {Climate Change and Digestive Health.},
journal = {Gastro hep advances},
volume = {3},
number = {4},
pages = {445},
doi = {10.1016/j.gastha.2024.03.014},
pmid = {39131708},
issn = {2772-5723},
}
@article {pmid39130470,
year = {2024},
author = {Jung, M and Kim, J and Kim, EY and Yoo, C and Ko, D and Lee, H and Chae, Y and Kim, YM and Yi, G},
title = {Climate change impacts on Allium crop production: Insights from long-term observations in South Korea.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {14},
pages = {e34749},
pmid = {39130470},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change is an imminent threat, particularly affecting agricultural productivity, which relies heavily on weather conditions. Understanding the specific impacts of climate change on key crops is crucial for developing effective adaptation strategies to ensure food security. The growth patterns of onions and garlic were observed at over ten different locations in South Korea, and the yield data from the past 40 years were analyzed. The yield was significantly correlated with temperature and strongly affected by the frequent and unexpected patterns of precipitation. The increase in mean temperature during winter and the spatial and temporal concentration of precipitation are expected to be the most influential factors for Allium crop production in the future. In addition, the yields of onions and garlic can serve as good indicators for predicting the impacts of weather on agricultural productivity, given their extended cultivation periods and significant correlations with temperature and precipitation. As climate change scenarios become available, the results of this study can serve as a basis for predicting changes in agricultural production in the future and identifying opportunities to adapt cultivation systems for food security.},
}
@article {pmid39129214,
year = {2024},
author = {Hanneman, K and Nguyen, ET and Kielar, A},
title = {Climate Change, Health Equity, and Environmentally Sustainable Radiology.},
journal = {Canadian Association of Radiologists journal = Journal l'Association canadienne des radiologistes},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {8465371241274183},
doi = {10.1177/08465371241274183},
pmid = {39129214},
issn = {1488-2361},
}
@article {pmid39128869,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, J and He, W and Xia, Z and Wu, K and Fang, W and Ma, Z and Liu, M and Bi, J},
title = {Measuring climate change perception in China using mental images: A nationwide open-ended survey.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.17631},
pmid = {39128869},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {BX20230159//National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents/ ; BK20220014//Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province/ ; BK20220125//Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province/ ; 71921003//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72222012//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72234003//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72304136//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Current knowledge about public climate change perception mainly covers belief, concern, and attitudes. However, how this discourse is interpreted using individuals' own frame of reference remains largely unknown, particularly in many large emitters from non-Annex I countries such as China. This study, for the first time, performs a nationwide open-ended survey covering 4,037 respondents and collected 12,100 textual answers. Using a semiautomated coding method, we find seven mental images that exclusively represent the Chinese interpretation of the climate change issue, including global warming, distant icons, natural disasters, environmental degradation, cause, solution, and weather. Analysis of influencing factors shows that females, those with lower education levels, lower income, and older individuals tend to connect climate change with natural weather phenomena. Younger and well-educated residents in developed cities are more aware of various consequences and anthropogenic causes of climate change. People with stronger climate change beliefs, policy support, and personal experience of extreme weather are more likely to mention disastrous impacts, carbon emission as causes, and potential solutions. Employing the multilevel regression and post-stratification technique, we map the prevalence of mental images in China at the prefecture-city level. The results reveal significant geographical heterogeneity, with estimated national means ranging from a high of 55% (weather) to a low of 11% (solution). Our findings reveal diverse perspectives and a widespread misconception of climate change in China, suggesting the need for tailored clarification strategies to gain public consent.},
}
@article {pmid39128359,
year = {2024},
author = {Shang, X and Qin, W and Yang, B and Dai, Q and Pan, H and Yang, X and Gu, X and Yang, Z and Zhang, Z and Zhang, L},
title = {Integrated framework for dynamic conservation of bamboo forest in giant panda habitat under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {368},
number = {},
pages = {122052},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.122052},
pmid = {39128359},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change presents formidable challenges to forest biodiversity and carbon storage. Bamboo forests will be affected particularly in Southwest China's mountainous regions. Bamboo serves as not only a key food resource and habitat for giant panda Ailuropoda melanoleuca but also a potential carbon sink due to its rapid energy-to-matter conversion capability. We employ the MaxEnt model to project the distribution shifts of 20 giant panda foraged bamboo species in Sichuan Province under future climate scenarios, utilizing climate data of 30m resolution. Based on the changes in the diversity and distribution area of bamboo communities caused by climate change, the changing of giant pandas' food resources and the carbon storage of bamboo forests were calculated. The results indicated that the area of bamboo communities is projected to expand by 17.94%-60.88% more than now by the end of the 21st century. We analyzed the energy balance between the dietary needs of giant pandas and the energy provided by bamboo. We predicted that bamboo communities from 2000 to 2150 could support the continuous growth of the giant panda population (6533 wild individuals by 2140-2150 in an ideal state in Sichuan province). However, the species diversity and carbon storage of bamboo forests face out-of-sync fluctuations, both temporally and spatially. This is a critical issue for subalpine forest ecosystem management under climate change. Therefore, we propose a dynamic conservation management framework for giant panda habitats across spatial and temporal scales. This framework aims to facilitate the adaptation of subalpine forest ecosystems to climate change. This innovative approach, which integrates climate change into the conservation strategy for endangered species, contributes a conservation perspective to global climate action, highlighting the interconnectedness of biodiversity preservation and climate mitigation.},
}
@article {pmid39127708,
year = {2024},
author = {Martínez-Barradas, V and Galbiati, M and Barco-Rubio, F and Paolo, D and Espinoza, C and Cominelli, E and Arce-Johnson, P},
title = {PvMYB60 gene, a candidate for drought tolerance improvement in common bean in a climate change context.},
journal = {Biological research},
volume = {57},
number = {1},
pages = {52},
pmid = {39127708},
issn = {0717-6287},
support = {739582//Consejo Nacional de Humanidades Ciencias y Tecnolog&#xed;as (MX)/ ; 21200394//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; Anillos de Investigaci&#xf3;n ANID 2023 ATE23007//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; FOSC-288//ERA-NET co-funding on Food Systems and Climate (FOSC) BIO-BELIEF project/ ; },
mesh = {*Droughts ; *Climate Change ; *Phaseolus/genetics/physiology ; Transcription Factors/genetics ; Plant Stomata/genetics/physiology ; Gene Expression Regulation, Plant/genetics ; Plant Proteins/genetics ; Arabidopsis/genetics/physiology ; Drought Resistance ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Common bean (Phaseolus vulgaris) is one of the main nutritional resources in the world, and a low environmental impact source of protein. However, the majority of its cultivation areas are affected by drought and this scenario is only expected to worsen with climate change. Stomatal closure is one of the most important plant responses to drought and the MYB60 transcription factor is among the key elements regulating stomatal aperture. If targeting and mutating the MYB60 gene of common bean would be a valuable strategy to establish more drought-tolerant beans was therefore investigated.<br><br>RESULTS: The MYB60 gene of common bean, with orthology to the Arabidopsis AtMYB60 gene, was found to have conserved regions with MYB60 typical motifs and architecture. Stomata-specific expression of PvMYB60 was further confirmed by q-RT PCR on organs containing stomata, and stomata-enriched leaf fractions. Further, function of PvMYB60 in promoting stomata aperture was confirmed by complementing the defective phenotype of a previously described Arabidopsis myb60-1 mutant.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our study finally points PvMYB60 as a potential target for obtaining more drought-tolerant common beans in the present context of climate change which would further greatly contribute to food security particularly in drought-prone countries.},
}
@article {pmid39124227,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, D and Guo, M and Liu, S and Li, Y and Dong, Q and Gong, X and Ge, J and Wu, F and Feng, H},
title = {Spatiotemporal Evolution of Winter Wheat Planting Area and Meteorology-Driven Effects on Yield under Climate Change in Henan Province of China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {15},
pages = {},
pmid = {39124227},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {7502-75059//Key Research and Development and Promotion Special Project (Science and Technology Targeted) of Henan Province/ ; },
abstract = {This study examines the impact of climate change on winter wheat production in Henan Province. The analysis, under the utilization of GLASS LAI data, focuses on shifts in the planting areas of winter wheat. In addition, a comprehensive assessment of the spatiotemporal trends in meteorological factors during the winter wheat growth period has also been conducted. The findings reveal a fluctuating increase in accumulated temperature across Henan Province, ranging from 3145 °C to 3424 °C and exhibiting a gradual rise from north to south. In particular, precipitation patterns from 1980 to 2019 showed limited significant trends, while notable abrupt changes were observed in 1983, 2004, 2009, and 2016. Geographically, southwestern Henan Province experiences greater precipitation than the northeast. Moreover, a fluctuating downward trend in sunshine hours has been observed, gradually decreasing from north to south. The study further highlights an increase in winter wheat planting frequency in the northwestern region of Luoyang and the northeastern part of Zhumadian, contrasted by a decrease in Zhengzhou and Kaifeng. Accumulated temperature is positively correlated with the expansion of winter wheat planting areas (R[2] = 0.685), while sunshine hours exert a suppressive effect (R[2] = 0.637). Among meteorological factors, accumulated temperature emerges as the most crucial determinant, followed by precipitation, with sunshine hours having a relatively minor influence. Yield demonstrates a positive association with accumulated temperature (R[2] = 0.765) and a negative correlation with sunshine hours (R[2] = -0.614). This finding is consistent with the impact of meteorological factors on winter wheat production. The results of this study enhance the understanding of how the underlying mechanisms of climate change impact crop yields.},
}
@article {pmid39122479,
year = {2024},
author = {Hertzog, L and Charlson, F and Tschakert, P and Morgan, GG and Norman, R and Pereira, G and Hanigan, IC},
title = {Suicide deaths associated with climate change-induced heat anomalies in Australia: a time series regression analysis.},
journal = {BMJ mental health},
volume = {27},
number = {1},
pages = {1-8},
doi = {10.1136/bmjment-2024-301131},
pmid = {39122479},
issn = {2755-9734},
mesh = {Humans ; Australia/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; *Suicide/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Adult ; Aged ; *Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Regression Analysis ; Young Adult ; Adolescent ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Although environmental determinants play an important role in suicide mortality, the quantitative influence of climate change-induced heat anomalies on suicide deaths remains relatively underexamined.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: The objective is to quantify the impact of climate change-induced heat anomalies on suicide deaths in Australia from 2000 to 2019.<br><br>METHODS: A time series regression analysis using a generalised additive model was employed to explore the potentially non-linear relationship between temperature anomalies and suicide, incorporating structural variables such as sex, age, season and geographic region. Suicide deaths data were obtained from the Australian National Mortality Database, and gridded climate data of gridded surface temperatures were sourced from the Australian Gridded Climate Dataset.<br><br>FINDINGS: Heat anomalies in the study period were between 0.02&#xb0;C and 2.2&#xb0;C hotter than the historical period due to climate change. Our analysis revealed that approximately 0.5% (264 suicides, 95%&#x2009;CI 257 to 271) of the total 50&#x2009;733 suicides within the study period were attributable to climate change-induced heat anomalies. Death counts associated with heat anomalies were statistically significant (p value 0.03) among men aged 55+ years old. Seasonality was a significant factor, with increased deaths during spring and summer. The relationship between high heat anomalies and suicide deaths varied across different demographic segments.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: This study highlights the measurable impact of climate change-induced heat anomalies on suicide deaths in Australia, emphasising the need for increased climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies in public health planning and suicide prevention efforts focusing on older adult men. The findings underscore the importance of considering environmental factors in addition to individual-level factors in understanding and reducing suicide mortality.},
}
@article {pmid39120684,
year = {2024},
author = {Veronese, N},
title = {Editor's note: Climate change and health in aging populations.},
journal = {Aging clinical and experimental research},
volume = {36},
number = {1},
pages = {164},
pmid = {39120684},
issn = {1720-8319},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Aging/physiology ; },
}
@article {pmid39120149,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, C and Qiu, Z and Wang, S and Shen, H and Ma, X},
title = {Effects of climate change and deep fertilization on the growth and yield of winter wheat in the Loess Plateau of China.},
journal = {Journal of the science of food and agriculture},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jsfa.13798},
pmid = {39120149},
issn = {1097-0010},
support = {52179048//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFD1900803//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global temperature is projected to rise continuously under climate change, negatively impacting the growth and yield of winter wheat. Optimizing traditional agricultural measures is necessary to mitigate potential winter wheat yield losses caused by future climate change. This study aims to explore the variations in winter wheat growth and yield on the Loess Plateau of China under future climate change, identify the key meteorological factors affecting winter wheat growth and yield, and analyze the differences in winter wheat yield and root characteristics under different fertilization depths.<br><br>RESULTS: Meteorological data from 20 General Circulation Models were applied to drive the Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer model, simulating the future growth characteristics of winter wheat under various fertilization depths. The Random Forest model was used to determine the relative importance of meteorological factors influencing winter wheat yield, root length density and leaf area index. The results showed that temperature and high emission concentration were primary factors influencing crop yield under future climate change. The temperature increase projected from 2021 to 2100 would be anticipated to shorten the phenology period of winter wheat by 2-16&#x2009;days and reduce grain yield by 2.9-12.7% compared to the period from 1981 to 2020. Conversely, the root length density and root weight of winter wheat would increase by 1.2-10.9% and 0.2-24.1%, respectively, in the future, and excessive allocation of root system resources was identified as a key factor contributing to the reduction in winter wheat yield. Compared with the shallow fertilization treatment (N5), the deep fertilization treatments (N15 and N25) increased the proportion of roots in the deep soil layer (30-60&#x2009;cm) by 2.7-10.2%. Because of the improvement in root structure, the decline in winter wheat yield under deep fertilization treatments in the future is expected to be reduced by 1.2% to 6.5%, whereas water use efficiency increases by 1.1% to 2.4% compared to the shallow fertilization treatment.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The deep fertilization treatment can enhance the root structure of winter wheat and increase the proportion of roots in the deep soil layer, thereby effectively mitigating the decline in winter wheat yield under future climate change. Overall, optimizing fertilization depth effectively addresses the reduced winter wheat yield risks and agricultural production challenges under future climate change. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39119507,
year = {2023},
author = {Miousse, IR and Hale, RB and Alsbrook, S and Boysen, G and Broadnax, T and Murry, C and Williams, C and Park, CH and Richards, R and Reedy, J and Chalbot, MC and Kavouras, IG and Koturbash, I},
title = {Climate Change and New Challenges for Rural Communities: Particulate Matter Matters.},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {15},
number = {23},
pages = {},
pmid = {39119507},
issn = {2071-1050},
support = {KL2 TR000063/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States ; UL1 TR000039/TR/NCATS NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Climate change presents multiple challenges to rural communities. Here, we investigated the toxicological potential of the six types of particulate matter most common to rural Arkansas: soil, road, and agricultural dusts, pollen, traffic exhaust, and particles from biomass burning in human small airway epithelial cells (SAECs). Biomass burning and agricultural dust demonstrated the most potent toxicological responses, exhibited as significant (p < 0.05) up-regulation of HMOX1 (oxidative stress) and TNFα (inflammatory response) genes as well as epigenetic alterations (altered expression of DNA methyltransferases DNMT1, DNMT3A, and DNMT3B, enzymatic activity, and DNA methylation of alpha satellite elements) that were evident at both 24 h and 72 h of exposure. We further demonstrate evidence of aridification in the state of Arkansas and the presence of winds capable of transporting agricultural dust- and biomass burning-associated particles far beyond their origination. Partnerships in the form of citizen science projects may provide important solutions to prevent and mitigate the negative effects of the rapidly evolving climate and improve the well-being of rural communities. Furthermore, the identification of the most toxic types of particulate matter could inform local policies related to agriculture, biomass burning, and dust control.},
}
@article {pmid39117952,
year = {2024},
author = {Lang, PLM and Erberich, JM and Lopez, L and Weiß, CL and Amador, G and Fung, HF and Latorre, SM and Lasky, JR and Burbano, HA and Expósito-Alonso, M and Bergmann, DC},
title = {Century-long timelines of herbarium genomes predict plant stomatal response to climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39117952},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {LT000330/2019-L//Human Frontier Science Program (HFSP)/ ; T32GM007276//U.S. Department of Health &amp; Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH)/ ; T32 5T32GM007790//U.S. Department of Health &amp; Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH)/ ; R35 GM138300/GM/NIGMS NIH HHS/United States ; 1DP5OD029506-01//U.S. Department of Health &amp; Human Services | National Institutes of Health (NIH)/ ; BIO-BRC 2217793//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; DGE-1656518//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; Stanford Graduate Fellowship//Stanford University (SU)/ ; Funding for the Department of Molecular Biology of the MPI for Biology led by Detlef Weigel//Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (Max Planck Society)/ ; Funding for the Department of Molecular Biology of the MPI for Biology led by Detlef Weigel//Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (Max Planck Society)/ ; RSWF\R1\191011//Royal Society/ ; Philip Leverhulme Prize//Leverhulme Trust/ ; Investigator//Howard Hughes Medical Institute (HHMI)/ ; DE-SC0021286//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; },
abstract = {Dissecting plant responses to the environment is key to understanding whether and how plants adapt to anthropogenic climate change. Stomata, plants' pores for gas exchange, are expected to decrease in density following increased CO2 concentrations, a trend already observed in multiple plant species. However, it is unclear whether such responses are based on genetic changes and evolutionary adaptation. Here we make use of extensive knowledge of 43 genes in the stomatal development pathway and newly generated genome information of 191 Arabidopsis thaliana historical herbarium specimens collected over 193 years to directly link genetic variation with climate change. While we find that the essential transcription factors SPCH, MUTE and FAMA, central to stomatal development, are under strong evolutionary constraints, several regulators of stomatal development show signs of local adaptation in contemporary samples from different geographic regions. We then develop a functional score based on known effects of gene knock-out on stomatal development that recovers a classic pattern of stomatal density decrease over the past centuries, suggesting a genetic component contributing to this change. This approach combining historical genomics with functional experimental knowledge could allow further investigations of how different, even in historical samples unmeasurable, cellular plant phenotypes may have already responded to climate change through adaptive evolution.},
}
@article {pmid39117230,
year = {2024},
author = {Bieroza, MZ and Hallberg, L and Livsey, J and Wynants, M},
title = {Climate change accelerates water and biogeochemical cycles in temperate agricultural catchments.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175365},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175365},
pmid = {39117230},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is expected to significantly deteriorate water quality in heavily managed agricultural landscapes, however, the exact mechanisms of these impacts are unknown. In this study we adopted a modelling approach to predict the multiple effects of climate change on hydrological and biogeochemical responses for dominant solutes and particulates in two agriculture-dominated temperate headwater catchments. We used climatic projections from three climatic models to simulate future flows, mobilisation and delivery of solutes and particulates. This allowed an examination of potential drivers by identifying changes in flow pathway distribution and key environmental variables. We found that future climate conditions will lead to a general increase in stream discharge as well as higher concentrations and loads of solutes and particulates. However, unlike previous studies, we observed a higher magnitude of change during the warmer part of the year. These changes will reduce the relative importance of winter flows on solute and particulate transport, leading to both higher and more evenly distributed concentrations and loads between seasons. We linked these changes to the higher importance of superficial flow pathways of tile and surface runoff driven by more rapid transition from extremely wet to dry conditions. Overall, the observed increase in solute and particulate mobilisation and delivery will lead to widespread water quality deterioration. Mitigation of this deterioration would require adequate management efforts to address the direct and indirect negative effects on stream biota and water scarcity.},
}
@article {pmid39117205,
year = {2024},
author = {Kopáček, J and Brahney, J and Kaňa, J and Kopáček, M and Porcal, P and Stuchlík, E},
title = {The concentration of organic nitrogen in mountain lakes is increasing as a result of reduced acid deposition and climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175363},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175363},
pmid = {39117205},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The ionic and nutrient composition of mountain lakes recovering from atmospheric acidification is increasingly influenced by climate change (increasing air temperature and frequency of heavy rainfall events). We investigated the evolution of organic nitrogen (ON), dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and phosphorus (P) concentrations in alpine lakes in the Tatra Mountains (Central Europe) between 1993 and 2023, resulting from changes in climate and the ionic composition of atmospheric deposition. Our results suggest that the decreasing acidity of precipitation and the climatically induced increasing frequency of heavy rainfall events and air temperatures fluctuating around the freezing point have the potential to increase ON concentrations in alpine lakes despite decreasing deposition of inorganic N. The increasing ON involves its allochthonous and autochthonous sources: (1) increased co-export of ON with DOC from soils in dissolved organic matter due to less acidic precipitation and more frequent heavy rainfall events and (2) increased in-lake primary productivity (chlorophyll a) associated with higher P availability. Based on our previous studies, we hypothesize that P availability has increased due to (i) reduced adsorption of phosphate in precipitation to the metal hydroxides in the soil-adsorption complex as a result of increasing pH in precipitation and soil water and (ii) increased P production by weathering due to climate-induced increased mechanical erosion of rocks in unstable scree areas. The extent of these changes was related to the percentage cover of scree areas and meadow soils in the lake catchments. In addition, our results suggest that ON (besides chlorophyll a) may be a more sensitive indicator of increasing productivity of oligotrophic alpine lakes under changing air pollution and climate than generally low P concentrations and their poorly detectable trends.},
}
@article {pmid39116610,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, X and Zhang, J and Wu, Y and Yu, Y and Sun, J and Mao, D and Zhang, G},
title = {Intensified effect of nitrogen forms on dominant phytoplankton species succession by climate change.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {264},
number = {},
pages = {122214},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.122214},
pmid = {39116610},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Nutrient proportion, light intensity, and temperature affect the succession of dominant phytoplankton species. Despite these insights, this transformation mechanism in highly turbid lakes remains a research gap, especially in response to climate change. To fill this gap, we investigated the mechanism by which multi-environmental factors influence the succession of dominant phytoplankton species in Lake Chagan. This investigation deployed the structural equation model (SEM) and the hydrodynamic-water quality-water ecology mechanism model. Results demonstrated that the dominant phytoplankton species in Lake Chagan transformed from diatom to cyanobacteria during 2012 and 2022. Notably, Microcystis was detected in 2022. SEM revealed the primary environment variables for this succession, including water temperature (Tw), nutrients (total nitrogen (TN), total phosphorus (TP), and ammonia nitrogen (NH4N)), and total suspended solids (TSS). Moreover, this event was not the consequence of zooplankton grazing. An integrated hydrodynamic-water quality-bloom mechanism model was built to explore the mechanism driving phytoplankton succession and its response to climate change. Nutrients determined the phytoplankton biomass and dominant species succession based on various proportions. High NH4N:NO3N ratios favored cyanobacteria and inhibited diatom under high TSS. Additionally, the biomass proportions of diatom (30.77 % vs. 22.28 %) and green (30.56 % vs. 23.30 %) decreased dramatically. In contrast, cyanobacteria abundance remarkably increased (35.78 % to 51.71 %) with the increasing NH4-N:NO3-N ratios. In addition, the proportion of non-nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria was higher than that of the nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria counterparts when TN:TP≥20 and NH4N:NO3N ≥ 10. Light-limitation phenotypes also experienced an increase with the rising NH4N:NO3N ratios. Notably, the cyanobacterial biomass reached 3-6 times that in the baseline scenario when the air temperature escalated by 3.0 °C until 2061 under the SSP585 scenario. We highlighted the effect of nitrogen forms on the succession of dominant phytoplankton species. Climate warming will increase nitrogen proportion, providing an insightful reference for controlling cyanobacterial blooms.},
}
@article {pmid39115843,
year = {2024},
author = {Armand, W and Padget, M and Pinsky, E and Wasfy, JH and Slutzman, JE and Duhaime, AC},
title = {Clinician Knowledge and Attitudes About Climate Change and Health After a Quality Incentive Program.},
journal = {JAMA network open},
volume = {7},
number = {8},
pages = {e2426790},
pmid = {39115843},
issn = {2574-3805},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; *Attitude of Health Personnel ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Boston ; Physicians/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Aged ; },
abstract = {IMPORTANCE: Climate change is a fundamental threat to human health, and industries, including health care, must assess their respective contribution to this crisis.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To assess the change in knowledge of clinicians who completed a quality incentive program (QIP) measure on climate change and health care sustainability and to examine clinician attitudes toward climate change and their perception of clinical and individual relevance.<br><br>The participants in this survey study included employed physicians and psychologists who were part of a hospital physician organization in an academic medical center (AMC) in Boston, Massachusetts. The hospital physician organization provides a QIP with different measures every 6 months and provides incentive payments on completion. The study is based on a survey of participants on completion of a QIP measure focused on climate change and health care sustainability offered from July 2023 through September 2023 at the AMC.<br><br>EXPOSURE: Structured educational video modules.<br><br>MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: After completion of the modules, the participants reported their baseline and postintervention knowledge on climate change impacts on health and health care sustainability, perceived relevance of the material, and attitudes toward the modules using 5-point Likert scales and free-text comments. Data were analyzed using univariate and multivariable analyses including participant age, gender, and practice specialty.<br><br>RESULTS: Of the 2559 eligible clinicians, 2417 (94.5%) (mean [SD] age, 48.9 [11.5] years; range, 29-85 years; 1244 males [51.5%]) participated in the measure and completed the survey. Among these participants, 1767 (73.1%) thought the modules were relevant or very relevant to their lives and 1580 (65.4%) found the modules relevant or very relevant to their clinical practice. Age was not associated with responses. Practitioners in specialties classified as climate facing were more likely to think that the education was relevant to their clinical practice compared with those in non-climate-facing specialties (mean [SD] score, 3.76 [1.19] vs 3.61 [1.26]; P&#x2009;=&#x2009;.005). Practitioners identifying as female were also more likely to consider this education as relevant to their clinical practice compared with male practitioners (mean [SD] score, 3.82 [1.17] vs 3.56 [1.27]; P&#x2009;<&#x2009;.001).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this survey study, a high proportion of clinicians expressed positive attitudes toward education in climate change and health and health care sustainability, with some demographic and specialty variability. These data support that climate and health education in AMCs provides information that practitioners see as relevant and important.},
}
@article {pmid39114905,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosado E Silva, R and Millett, C and Dittrich, S and Donato, H},
title = {The Impacts of Climate Change on the Emergence and Reemergence of Mosquito-Borne Diseases in Temperate Zones: An Umbrella Review Protocol.},
journal = {Acta medica portuguesa},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.20344/amp.21355},
pmid = {39114905},
issn = {1646-0758},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Mosquito-borne diseases represent a global public health concern and are responsible for over 700 000 deaths globally every year. Additionally, many mosquito species have undergone a dramatic global expansion due to various factors, including climate change, and forecasts indicate that mosquito populations will persist in dispersing beyond their present geographic range, namely in temperate climates. The research literature on this topic has grown in recent years, including some systematic evidence synthesis. However, to provide a comprehensive overview of this growing literature needed for policy action, a summary of this evidence, including existing systematic reviews, is required. This study aims to undertake an umbrella review that explores the impacts of climate change on the emergence and reemergence of diseases transmitted by mosquitoes in temperate zones and the publication of the protocol is a fundamental step to ensure the credibility, transparency and reproducibility of this research.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Studies published in scientific journals indexed by PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Epistemonikos, and Web of Science Core Collection to be included in this umbrella review will meet the following criteria: the topic of study (climate change and mosquito-borne diseases), regions (temperate zones), study designs (systematic reviews and meta-analysis), language (any) and date (since inception until December 31st, 2023). Titles and abstracts from selected articles will be evaluated by two authors independently and any discrepancy will be resolved through consensus or, if not possible, through a third author. The data will be extracted, and the risk of bias will be evaluated. The quality of the methodology of the included reviews will be assessed using AMSTAR 2. A narrative synthesis will examine the included systematic reviews. The quality of evidence for all outcomes will be judged using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation working group methodology.},
}
@article {pmid39114175,
year = {2024},
author = {da Silveira Bueno, C and Paytan, A and de Souza, CD and Franco, TT},
title = {Global warming and coastal protected areas: A study on phytoplankton abundance and sea surface temperature in different regions of the Brazilian South Atlantic Coastal Ocean.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e11724},
pmid = {39114175},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {In this study, we examined the relationship between sea surface temperature (SST) and phytoplankton abundance in coastal regions of the Brazilian South Atlantic: São Paulo, Paraná, and Santa Catarina, and the Protection Area of Southern right whales (Eubalaena australis) in Santa Catarina (APA), a conservation zone established along 130 km of coastline. Using SST and chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) data from 2002 to 2023, we found significant differences in SST between the regions, with São Paulo having the highest SST, followed by Paraná and Santa Catarina. All locations showed a consistent increase in SST over the years, with North Santa Catarina, APA and São Paulo experiencing the lowest rate of increase. Correlation analyses between SST and Chl-a revealed a stronger inverse relationship in North Santa Catarina and APA, indicating an increased response of Chl-a to SST variations in this region. The presence of protected area appears to play an essential role in reducing the negative impacts of increasing SST. Specifically, while there is a wealth of research on the consequences of global warming on diverse coastal and oceanic areas, heterogeneity among different settings persists and the causes for this necessitating attention. Our findings have implications for both localized scientific approaches and broader climate policies, emphasizing the importance of considering coastal ecosystem resilience to climate change in future conservation and adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39111452,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, K and Wang, Y and Liu, Z and Huo, W and Cao, J and Zhao, G and Zhang, FG},
title = {Prediction of potential invasion of two weeds of the genus Avena in Asia under climate change based on Maxent.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175192},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175192},
pmid = {39111452},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Avena sterilis L. (A. sterilis) and Avena ludoviciana Dur. (A. ludoviciana) are extremely invasive weeds with strong competitive ability and multiple transmission routes. Both species can invade a variety of dryland crops, including wheat, corn, and beans. Asia, as the world's major food-producing continent, will experience significant losses to agricultural production if it is invaded by these weeds on a large scale. This study used the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS to map the distribution of suitable habitats of the two species in Asia under climate change conditions. The constructed model comprised four levels, with a total of 25 index-level indicator factors used to evaluate the invasion risk of the two species. The results showed that the distribution of suitable habitats for both Avena species was highly dependent on precipitation and temperature. Under climate warming conditions, although overall the total suitable area is predicted to decrease compared to the current period, there are still moderately or highly suitable areas. Asian countries need to provide early warning for areas with significant increases in moderate and highly suitable zones for these two species of weeds under the background of climate change. If there is already an invaded area or if the suitability of the original area is increased, this should be closely monitored, and control measures should be taken to prevent further spread and deterioration.},
}
@article {pmid39110385,
year = {2024},
author = {Rudel, TK},
title = {Combating climate change through sustainable cattle ranching in the global south: The role of societal corporatism.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39110385},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {10009499//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {The contours of the collective action necessary to limit climate change remain difficult to discern. In this context, societal corporatist political processes, fueled by crisis narratives, have shown some promise as political devices for mobilizing people. Corporatist processes have, historically, brought political competitors like employers and labor unions together to negotiate compacts that have advanced collective goods during times of crisis. In response to the climate crisis in the Global South, affluent donor groups, state officials, some farmers, and indigenous peoples have begun to assemble corporatist-like coalitions to pursue climate stabilization. A comparative case study of efforts to promote sustainable cattle ranching through the spread of silvopastoral landscapes in Colombia and Ecuador illustrates this political dynamic, its shortcomings, and its accomplishments.},
}
@article {pmid39109475,
year = {2024},
author = {Lock, MC and Ripley, DM and Smith, KLM and Mueller, CA and Shiels, HA and Crossley, DA and Galli, GLJ},
title = {Developmental plasticity of the cardiovascular system in oviparous vertebrates: effects of chronic hypoxia and interactive stressors in the context of climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of experimental biology},
volume = {227},
number = {20},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1242/jeb.245530},
pmid = {39109475},
issn = {1477-9145},
support = {//The University of Manchester/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Hypoxia/physiopathology ; *Vertebrates/physiology/growth &amp; development ; *Cardiovascular System/growth &amp; development/physiopathology ; *Stress, Physiological ; Oviparity ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {Animals at early life stages are generally more sensitive to environmental stress than adults. This is especially true of oviparous vertebrates that develop in variable environments with little or no parental care. These organisms regularly experience environmental fluctuations as part of their natural development, but climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of these events. The developmental plasticity of oviparous vertebrates will therefore play a critical role in determining their future fitness and survival. In this Review, we discuss and compare the phenotypic consequences of chronic developmental hypoxia on the cardiovascular system of oviparous vertebrates. In particular, we focus on species-specific responses, critical windows, thresholds for responses and the interactive effects of other stressors, such as temperature and hypercapnia. Although important progress has been made, our Review identifies knowledge gaps that need to be addressed if we are to fully understand the impact of climate change on the developmental plasticity of the oviparous vertebrate cardiovascular system.},
}
@article {pmid39108127,
year = {2024},
author = {Weinstein, P and Bi, P and Stanhope, J},
title = {Climate change adaptation must not replicate lockdown scenarios.},
journal = {Perspectives in public health},
volume = {144},
number = {4},
pages = {208-209},
doi = {10.1177/17579139241231130},
pmid = {39108127},
issn = {1757-9147},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; COVID-19/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; Quarantine ; SARS-CoV-2 ; },
}
@article {pmid39107562,
year = {2024},
author = {Moutinho, S},
title = {Doctors prepare for the "enormous health consequences" of climate change.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39107562},
issn = {1546-170X},
}
@article {pmid39107423,
year = {2024},
author = {Ramdani, F and Setiani, P and Sianturi, R},
title = {Towards understanding climate change impacts: monitoring the vegetation dynamics of terrestrial national parks in Indonesia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {18257},
pmid = {39107423},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Indonesia ; *Parks, Recreational ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Seasons ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Ecosystem ; Plants ; },
abstract = {Monitoring vegetation dynamics in terrestrial national parks (TNPs) is crucial for ensuring sustainable environmental management and mitigating the potential negative impacts of short- and long-term disturbances understanding the effect of climate change within natural and protected areas. This study aims to monitor the vegetation dynamics of TNPs in Indonesia by first categorizing them into the regions of Sumatra, Jawa, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, and Eastern Indonesia and then applying ready-to-use MODIS EVI time-series imageries (MOD13Q1) taken from 2000 to 2022 on the GEE cloud-computing platform. Specifically, this research investigates the greening and browning fraction trends using Sen's slope, considers seasonality by analyzing the maximum and minimum EVI values, and assesses anomalous years by comparing the annual time series and long-term median EVI value. The findings reveal significantly increasing greening trends in most TNPs, except Danau Sentarum, from 2000 to 2022. The seasonality analysis shows that most TNPs exhibit peak and trough greenness at the end of the rainy and dry seasons, respectively, as the vegetation response to precipitation increases and decreases. Anomalies in seasonality that is affected by climate change was detected in all of the regions. To increase TNPs resilience, suggested measures include active reforestation and implementation of Assisted Natural Regeneration, strengthen the enforcement of fundamental managerial task, and forest fire management.},
}
@article {pmid39107182,
year = {2024},
author = {Bignier, C and Havet, L and Brisoux, M and Omeiche, C and Misra, S and Gonsard, A and Drummond, D},
title = {Climate change and children's respiratory health.},
journal = {Paediatric respiratory reviews},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.prrv.2024.07.002},
pmid = {39107182},
issn = {1526-0550},
abstract = {Climate change has significant consequences for children's respiratory health. Rising temperatures and extreme weather events increase children's exposure to allergens, mould, and air pollutants. Children are particularly vulnerable to these airborne particles due to their higher ventilation per unit of body weight, more frequent mouth breathing, and outdoor activities. Children with asthma and cystic fibrosis are at particularly high risk, with increased risks of exacerbation, but the effects of climate change could also be observed in the general population, with a risk of impaired lung development and growth. Mitigation measures, including reducing greenhouse gas emissions by healthcare professionals and healthcare systems, and adaptation measures, such as limiting outdoor activities during pollution peaks, are essential to preserve children's respiratory health. The mobilisation of society as a whole, including paediatricians, is crucial to limit the impact of climate change on children's respiratory health.},
}
@article {pmid39106949,
year = {2024},
author = {Worton, AJ and Norman, RA and Gilbert, L and Porter, RB},
title = {GIS-ODE: linking dynamic population models with GIS to predict pathogen vector abundance across a country under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of the Royal Society, Interface},
volume = {21},
number = {217},
pages = {20240004},
pmid = {39106949},
issn = {1742-5662},
mesh = {Animals ; *Geographic Information Systems ; *Climate Change ; Scotland ; *Models, Biological ; *Ixodes/physiology ; Population Dynamics ; Humans ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Mechanistic mathematical models such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have a long history for their use in describing population dynamics and determining estimates of key parameters that summarize the potential growth or decline of a population over time. More recently, geographic information systems (GIS) have become important tools to provide a visual representation of statistically determined parameters and environmental features over space. Here, we combine these tools to form a 'GIS-ODE' approach to generate spatiotemporal maps predicting how projected changes in thermal climate may affect population densities and, uniquely, population dynamics of Ixodes ricinus, an important tick vector of several human pathogens. Assuming habitat and host densities are not greatly affected by climate warming, the GIS-ODE model predicted that, even under the lowest projected temperature increase, I. ricinus nymph densities could increase by 26-99% in Scotland, depending on the habitat and climate of the location. Our GIS-ODE model provides the vector-borne disease research community with a framework option to produce predictive, spatially explicit risk maps based on a mechanistic understanding of vector and vector-borne disease transmission dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid39105284,
year = {2024},
author = {van der Deure, T and Maes, T and Huyse, T and Stensgaard, AS},
title = {Climate change could fuel urinary schistosomiasis transmission in Africa and Europe.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17434},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17434},
pmid = {39105284},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {16-11-1898//Knud H&#xf8;jgaards Fond/ ; 20-11-0483//Knud H&#xf8;jgaards Fond/ ; 101000365//European Union's Horizon 2020/ ; 1S86319N//Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Europe ; *Schistosomiasis haematobia/transmission/epidemiology ; Africa/epidemiology ; Bulinus/parasitology ; Ecosystem ; Humans ; Snails/parasitology/physiology ; Animal Distribution ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {The freshwater snail Bulinus truncatus is an important intermediate host for trematode parasites causing urogenital schistosomiasis, a tropical disease affecting over 150 million people. Despite its medical importance, uncertainty remains about its global distribution and the potential impacts of climate change on its future spread. Here, we investigate the distribution of B. truncatus, combining the outputs of correlative and mechanistic modelling methods to fully capitalize on both experimental and occurrence data of the species and to create a more reliable distribution forecast than ever constructed. We constructed ensemble correlative species distribution models using 273 occurrence points collected from different sources and a combination of climatic and (bio)physical environmental variables. Additionally, a mechanistic thermal suitability model was constructed, parameterized by recent life-history data obtained through extensive lab-based snail-temperature experiments and supplemented with an extensive literature review. Our findings reveal that the current suitable habitat for B. truncatus encompasses the Sahel region, the Middle East, and the Mediterranean segment of Africa, stretching from Southern Europe to Mozambique. Regions identified as suitable by both methods generally coincide with areas exhibiting high urogenital schistosomiasis prevalence. Model projections into the future suggest an overall net increase in suitable area of up to 17%. New suitable habitat is in Southern Europe, the Middle East, and large parts of Central Africa, while suitable habitat will be lost in the Sahel region. The change in snail habitat suitability may substantially increase the risk of urogenital schistosomiasis transmission in parts of Africa and Southern Europe while reducing it in the Sahel region.},
}
@article {pmid39105254,
year = {2024},
author = {Mani, ZA and Naylor, K and Goniewicz, K},
title = {Essential competencies of nurses for climate change response in Saudi Arabia: A rapid literature review.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16372},
pmid = {39105254},
issn = {1365-2648},
abstract = {AIM: Amidst the mounting challenges posed by climate change, the healthcare sector emerges as a vital frontliner, with nurses standing as its linchpins. This review delves into the pivotal role of nurses in combatting the health consequences of climatic alterations, particularly within the nuanced environment of Saudi Arabia.<br><br>DESIGN: A rapid literature review.<br><br>METHOD: Drawing from a rigorous analysis of 53 studies, our exploration revolves around the preparedness strategies formulated in response to Saudi Arabia's changing climate. The variables analysed included study design, sample size, focus area, geographical coverage and key findings related to nurse competencies. Data were collected using a structured data extraction form and analysed using thematic content analysis. Employing content analysis, we discerned essential domains: from grasping the health impacts of climate change to customizing care for the most susceptible populations and championing advocacy initiatives.<br><br>FINDINGS: Salient findings highlight nurses' profound understanding of both direct and secondary health implications of climate shifts. Additionally, the results emphasize the tailored interventions needed for vulnerable groups, capacity building and disaster readiness. Crucially, our findings spotlight the significance of weaving cultural, ethical and regional threads into nursing strategies. By painting a comprehensive picture, we showcase the delicate balance of environmental evolution, healthcare dynamics and the unique socio-cultural tapestry of Saudi Arabia.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The results of our analysis revealed key competencies required for nurses, including the ability to address immediate health impacts, provide tailored care for vulnerable populations and engage in advocacy and policy formulation. In summation, nurses' multifaceted roles-from immediate medical care to research, advocacy and strategizing-underscore their invaluable contribution to confronting the health adversities sparked by climate change. Our review accentuates the essential contributions of nurses in tackling climate-related health hurdles and calls for more nuanced research, policy adjustments and proactive measures attuned to Saudi Arabia's distinct backdrop.},
}
@article {pmid39103743,
year = {2024},
author = {Seritan, AL},
title = {Competency-Based Climate Change and Mental Health Education: An Emerging Paradigm.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39103743},
issn = {1545-7230},
}
@article {pmid39101830,
year = {2024},
author = {Hoffman, LC and Schreuder, J and Cozzolino, D},
title = {Food authenticity and the interactions with human health and climate change.},
journal = {Critical reviews in food science and nutrition},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1080/10408398.2024.2387329},
pmid = {39101830},
issn = {1549-7852},
abstract = {Food authenticity and fraud, as well as the interest in food traceability have become a topic of increasing interest not only for consumers but also for the research community and the food manufacturing industry. Food authenticity and fraud are becoming prevalent in both the food supply and value chains since ancient times where different issues (e.g., food spoilage during shipment and storage, mixing decay foods with fresh products) has resulted in foods that influence consumers health. The effect of climate change on the quality of food ingredients and products could also have the potential to influence food authenticity. However, this issue has not been considered. This article focused on the interactions between consumer health and the potential effects of climate change on food authenticity and fraud. The role of technology and development of risk management tools to mitigate these issues are also discussed. Where applicable papers that underline the links between the interactions of climate change, human health and food fraud were referenced.},
}
@article {pmid39101577,
year = {2024},
author = {Gülırmak Güler, K and Albayrak Günday, E},
title = {Nature-friendly hands: The relationship between nursing students' climate change anxiety, intolerance of uncertainty, and anxiety about the future.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13388},
pmid = {39101577},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {AIM/OBJECTIVE: This study examined the relationship between climate change anxiety, intolerance of uncertainty, and future anxiety levels of nursing students.<br><br>BACKGROUND: The effects of climate change, an important global problem, on people's emotional and intellectual states are becoming increasingly important. It is important to understand to what extent prospective health professionals, such as nursing students, are affected by such environmental concerns and the possible impact of this level on their professional behaviors to develop an environmentally focused approach to health services.<br><br>DESIGN: This study was conducted using a descriptive and correlational design.<br><br>METHODS: Students enrolled in the Nursing Undergraduate Program of a university in Turkey in the 2023-2024 academic year participated in the study. The participants were administered a personal information form, climate change anxiety scale, intolerance of uncertainty scale, and future anxiety scale in university students. The data were evaluated using advanced statistical analyses, and relationships were examined.<br><br>RESULTS: As a result of these analyses, it was determined that there was a significant relationship between future anxiety and climate change anxiety in university students (R&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.234, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;.000). In addition, there was a substantial relationship between climate change anxiety and intolerance of uncertainty (R&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.562, p&#xa0;=&#xa0;.000).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These findings indicate significant and linear relationships between nursing students' emotional and cognitive states associated with environmental factors such as climate change, uncertainty, and future anxiety. Developing support and interventions in nursing education is crucial to help students cope with these issues and function more effectively in their future professional lives.},
}
@article {pmid39101348,
year = {2024},
author = {Ostwald, MM and da Silva, CRB and Seltmann, KC},
title = {How does climate change impact social bees and bee sociality?.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14160},
pmid = {39101348},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {2102006//Division of Biological Infrastructure/ ; //Macquarie University/ ; },
abstract = {Climatic factors are known to shape the expression of social behaviours. Likewise, variation in social behaviour can dictate climate responses. Understanding interactions between climate and sociality is crucial for forecasting vulnerability and resilience to climate change across animal taxa. These interactions are particularly relevant for taxa like bees that exhibit a broad diversity of social states. An emerging body of literature aims to quantify bee responses to environmental change with respect to variation in key functional traits, including sociality. Additionally, decades of research on environmental drivers of social evolution may prove fruitful for predicting shifts in the costs and benefits of social strategies under climate change. In this review, we explore these findings to ask two interconnected questions: (a) how does sociality mediate vulnerability to climate change, and (b) how might climate change impact social organisation in bees? We highlight traits that intersect with bee sociality that may confer resilience to climate change (e.g. extended activity periods, diet breadth, behavioural thermoregulation) and we generate predictions about the impacts of climate change on the expression and distribution of social phenotypes in bees. The social evolutionary consequences of climate change will be complex and heterogeneous, depending on such factors as local climate and plasticity of social traits. Many contexts will see an increase in the frequency of eusocial nesting as warming temperatures accelerate development and expand the temporal window for rearing a worker brood. More broadly, climate-mediated shifts in the abiotic and biotic selective environments will alter the costs and benefits of social living in different contexts, with cascading impacts at the population, community and ecosystem levels.},
}
@article {pmid39100739,
year = {2024},
author = {Kumar, P and Kaur, Y and Apostolopoulos, V and Pant, M and Gaidhane, AM and Zahiruddin, QS and Singh, MP and Sah, S},
title = {The rising threat of Ross River virus: Climate change and its implications on public health in Australia.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {60-61},
number = {},
pages = {101451},
pmid = {39100739},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
@article {pmid39100710,
year = {2024},
author = {Steel, D and Mintz-Woo, K and DesRoches, CT},
title = {Collapse, social tipping dynamics, and framing climate change.},
journal = {Politics philosophy &amp; economics},
volume = {23},
number = {3},
pages = {230-251},
pmid = {39100710},
issn = {1741-3060},
abstract = {In this article, we claim that recent developments in climate science and renewable energy should prompt a reframing of debates surrounding climate change mitigation. Taken together, we argue that these developments suggest (1) global climate collapse in this century is a non-negligible risk, (2) mitigation offers substantial benefits to current generations, and (3) mitigation by some can generate social tipping dynamics that could ultimately make renewables cheaper than fossil fuels. We explain how these claims undermine familiar framings of climate change, wherein mitigation is understood as self-sacrifice that individuals and governments must be morally persuaded or incentivized to undertake.},
}
@article {pmid39100553,
year = {2024},
author = {Steentjes, K and Roberts, E},
title = {Raising alarm bells for a struggling sector: taking a new approach to improve the wellbeing of climate change professionals.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1404252},
pmid = {39100553},
issn = {1664-1078},
}
@article {pmid39100207,
year = {2024},
author = {Anderson, RC and Martyn, TE and Renne, RR and Burke, IC and Lauenroth, WK},
title = {Climate change and C4 and C3 grasses in a midlatitude dryland steppe.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {e70103},
pmid = {39100207},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change is projected to alter the structure of plant communities due to increasing temperatures and changes to precipitation patterns, particularly in midlatitude dryland ecosystems. Modifications to climatic suitability may lead to major community changes such as altered dominant plant functional types. Previous studies have indicated that climatic suitability is likely to increase for C4 grasses and decrease for C3 grasses in the Western United States. However, if no C4 grass species currently exist to serve as a propagule source, expansion into areas of increased suitability will be limited. We conducted a field and modeling study in the Upper Green River Basin (UGRB) of Western Wyoming to determine if (1) C4 grasses are present to provide a propagule source and (2) C4 grasses are likely to increase in importance relative to C3 grasses due to climatic changes. We searched 44 sites for C4 grasses to establish presence, and modeled suitability at 35 sites using 17 Global Climate Models, two greenhouse gas Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs; 4.5 and 8.5), and two time periods (mid- and late century; 2030-2060 and 2070-2099, respectively). We found C4 grasses at 10 of the 44 sites, indicating that there is a present propagule source. Our model projected increases in suitability for both C3 and C4 grasses across sites for all RCPs and time periods. In the mid-century RCP 4.5 scenario, the C3 functional type increased in projected biomass in 29 of 35 sites, and the C4 type increased in 31 sites. In this scenario, C3 grasses increased in projected biomass by a median 4 g m[-2] (5% change), and C4 grass biomass increased by a median 8 g m[-2] (21% change). Our study suggests that climate change will increase climatic suitability for grasses across the UGRB, and that all requirements are in place for C4 grasses to increase in abundance.},
}
@article {pmid39100040,
year = {2024},
author = {Irfan, O and Dhillon, RA and Qamar, MA and Soomar, SM and Manzoor, K and Rizwan, W and Ali, HZ and Arshad, Z and Khan, JA},
title = {A Nationwide Survey Following the Devastating 2022 Floods in Pakistan: Current State of Knowledge, Attitude, and Perception Toward Climate Change and Its Health Consequences.},
journal = {Cureus},
volume = {16},
number = {7},
pages = {e63838},
pmid = {39100040},
issn = {2168-8184},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change (CC) persists as a critical public health concern, vividly demonstrated by Pakistan's severe unprecedented flooding from June to October 2022. The interplay between floods and CC highlights the urgent need to comprehend their complex dynamics. Given Pakistan's significant geographical vulnerability to CC events, assessing public awareness of CC becomes essential. This study aims to evaluate public knowledge, attitudes, and perception (KAP) regarding CC and its implications for overall health, reflecting onto governmental policies and community-based guidelines and enhancing preparedness for future natural calamities of similar magnitude.<br><br>METHODS: &#xa0;A nationwide cross-sectional survey of Pakistani adults covering all provinces of the country was conducted from January to March 2023 using a prevalidated questionnaire. A purposive sampling strategy was used to enroll participants in the study. Where appropriate, the chi-square test or Fisher's exact test was used to compare KAP among the sociodemographic groups. Multivariate analysis was used to explore predictors of knowledge. Crude and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated considering a p value of &#x2264;0.05 as significant.<br><br>RESULTS: &#xa0;Among the 714 respondents, 265 (37.1%)&#xa0;of the respondents' residential areas were affected by the floods in Pakistan. A total of 663 (92.9%) of the participants had heard of CC, with 302 (42.3%) choosing "social media/WhatsApp" as their source of information. Increased flooding&#xa0;and changes in rainfall patterns&#xa0;were selected by 679 (95.1%) and 661 (92.6%) participants, respectively, as the most recognized CC. "Deforestation" was the most indicated reason for CC by 675 (94.5%) participants. Multivariate analysis revealed that females (OR: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.16-2.00; p < 0.001), individuals who were affected by recent floods (OR: 1.13, 95% CI: 1.05-3.34; p = 0.003), and individuals who were medical students/healthcare workers (OR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.24-2.48; p < 0.001) had greater knowledge of CC than their counterparts.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: &#xa0;The study reported an encouraging prevalence of knowledge of CC, positive attitudes, and practices toward&#xa0;CC, with an interest in learning and doing more to address the health effects of CC. With the ongoing global CC and a monsoon season forecast of similar intensity for the years to come in Pakistan, identifying groups with less knowledge of CC warrants a targeted education program to maximize awareness. Based on the study findings, social media platforms and interventions in educational institutes should be essential to mitigate the CC events in Pakistan and other vulnerable regions in the area.},
}
@article {pmid39098408,
year = {2024},
author = {Martínez-Eixarch, M and Masqué, P and Lafratta, A and Lavery, P and Hilaire, S and Jornet, L and Thomas, C and Boisnard, A and Pérez-Méndez, N and Alcaraz, C and Martínez-Espinosa, C and Ibáñez, C and Grillas, P},
title = {Assessing methane emissions and soil carbon stocks in the Camargue coastal wetlands: Management implications for climate change regulation.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175224},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175224},
pmid = {39098408},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Coastal wetlands are crucial in climate change regulation due to their capacity to act as either sinks or sources of carbon, resulting from the balance between greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, mainly methane (CH4), and soil carbon sequestration. Despite the paramount role of wetlands in climate regulation few studies investigate both aspects. The Camargue is one of the largest wetlands in Europe, yet the ways in which environmental and anthropic factors drive carbon dynamics remain poorly studied. We examined GHG emissions and soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks and accumulation rates in twelve representative wetlands, including two rice fields, to gain insights into the carbon dynamics and how it is influenced by hydrology and salinity. Mean CH4 rates ranged between - 87.0 and 131.0 mg m[-2] h[-1]and the main drivers were water conductivity and redox, water table depth and soil temperature. High emission rates were restricted to freshwater conditions during summer flooding periods whereas they were low in wetlands subjected to summer drought and water conductivity higher than 10 mS cm[-1]. Nitrous oxide emissions were low, ranging from - 0.5 to 0.9 mg N2O m[-2] h[-1]. The SOC stocks in the upper meter ranged from 17 to 90 Mg OC ha[-1]. Our research highlights the critical role of low-saline wetlands in carbon budgeting which potentially are large sources of CH4 but also contain the largest SOC stocks in the Camargue. Natural hydroperiods, involving summer drought, can maintain them as carbon sinks, but altered hydrology can transform them into sources. Artificial freshwater supply during summer leads to substantial CH4 emissions, offsetting their SOC accumulation rates. In conclusion, we advocate for readjusting the altered hydrology in marshes and for the search of management compromises to ensure the compatibility of economic and leisure activities with the preservation of the inherent climate-regulating capacity of coastal wetlands.},
}
@article {pmid39097014,
year = {2024},
author = {Wild, R and Nagel, C and Geist, J},
title = {Multiple climate change stressors reduce the emergence success of gravel-spawning fish species and alter temporal emergence patterns.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175054},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175054},
pmid = {39097014},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change, with its profound effects on stream sediment, hydrological, and temperature dynamics, will exacerbate impacts on habitat conditions for many species, particularly those with vulnerable early life stages relying on the hyporheic zone, such as gravel-spawning fishes. Due to the complex and interactive nature of multiple stressor effects, we employed large-scale outdoor mesocosms to systemically test how the reproductive success of three gravel-spawning fish species brown trout (Salmo trutta), nase, (Chrondrostoma nasus) and Danube salmon (Hucho hucho) was affected by individual and combined effects of warming (+3-4 °C), fine sediment (increase in <0.85 mm by 22 %) and low-flow (eightfold discharge-reduction). Fine sediment had the most detrimental effect on emergence rate and fry length in all three species, reducing the emergence rate to zero in brown trout, 9 % in nase, and 4 % in Danube salmon. The emergence mortality caused by fine sediment surpassed that of hatching distinctly, suggesting that negative effects due to hypoxia were considerably exacerbated by entombment. Warming had only minor effects as a single stressor, but low flow reduced emergence rates of the spring spawning species nase and Danube salmon by 8 and 50 %, respectively. In combined treatments including fine sediment, however, the emergence success of all three species responded strongly negatively, even in the cyprinid species nase, which showed little interactive effects between stressors regarding hatching success. Warming and fine sediment also led to the earlier emergence of fry, implying a risk of asynchrony with available food resources. This study dramatically shows that climate change can have deleterious impacts on the reproductive success of gravel-spawning fish species, irrespective of taxonomic or ecological traits.},
}
@article {pmid39096729,
year = {2024},
author = {Chai, C and Wang, L and Chen, D and Zhou, J and Li, N and Liu, H},
title = {Quantifying future water resource vulnerability in a high-mountain third pole river basin under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {121954},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121954},
pmid = {39096729},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Understanding the water resource vulnerability (WRV) in global mountain regions under climate change is crucial for water resources management and socio-economic development. However, the WRV in the high-mountain Third Pole region (with quite a few transboundary river basins) remains largely unclear. Here, we have applied a comprehensive assessment framework of WRV to a Third Pole high-mountain river basin (Nujiang-Salween River, NSR) and its dependent downstream. The framework consisted of sensitivity, exposure, adaptability, hazard, and water stress indices, considering climate change, socio-economics, government effectiveness, natural disasters, and water supply capacity of the target river basin. Our results indicate that the downstream area (with intensive human activities) often exhibited significantly higher WRV than the mountain region; while the WRV shows an M-shaped change with increasing elevation, with the highest vulnerability occurring in a relatively low elevation range (e.g., 500-1500 m for the NSR basin). In the near future, we find that the spatial pattern of WRV in the basin is alternately influenced by adaptation, water scarcity, and exposure; whereas climate change serves as the main driver affecting the WRV in the far future. These findings enhance our understanding of the WRV in high-mountain transboundary basins of the Third Pole under global change.},
}
@article {pmid39096580,
year = {2024},
author = {Ma, M and Kouis, P and Rudke, AP and Athanasiadou, M and Scoutellas, V and Tymvios, F and Nikolaidis, K and Koutrakis, P and Yiallouros, PK and Alahmad, B},
title = {Projections of mortality attributable to hot ambient temperatures in Cyprus under moderate and extreme climate change scenarios.},
journal = {International journal of hygiene and environmental health},
volume = {262},
number = {},
pages = {114439},
doi = {10.1016/j.ijheh.2024.114439},
pmid = {39096580},
issn = {1618-131X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Heat-related mortality has become a growing public health concern in light of climate change. However, few studies have quantified the climate-attributable health burden in Cyprus, a recognized climate change hotspot. This study aims to estimate the heat-related mortality in Cyprus for all future decades in the 21st century under moderate (SSP2-4.5) and extreme (SSP5-8.5) climate scenarios.<br><br>METHODS: We applied distributed lag non-linear models to estimate the baseline associations between temperature and mortality from 2004 to 2019 (data obtained from Department of Meteorology of the Ministry of Agriculture, Rural Development and Environment and the Health Monitoring Unit of the Cyprus Ministry of Health). The relationships were then extrapolated to future daily mean temperatures derived from downscaled global climate projections from General Circulation Models. Attributable number of deaths were calculated to determine the excess heat-related health burden compared to the baseline decade of 2000-2009 in the additive scale. The analysis process was repeated for all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and mortality among males, females, and adults younger or older than 65. We assumed a static population and demographic structure, no adaptation to hot temperatures over time, and did not evaluate potential interaction between temperature and humidity.<br><br>RESULTS: Compared to 2000-2009, heat-related total mortality is projected to increase by 2.7% (95% empirical confidence interval: 0.6, 4.0) and 4.75% (2.2, 7.1) by the end of the century in the moderate and extreme climate scenarios, respectively. Cardiovascular disease is expected to be an important cause of heat-related death with projected increases of 3.4% (0.7, 5.1) and 6% (2.6, 9.0) by the end of the century. Reducing carbon emission to the moderate scenario can help avoid 75% of the predicted increase in all-cause heat-related mortality by the end of the century relative to the extreme scenario.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that climate change mitigation and sustainable adaptation strategies are crucial to reduce the anticipated heat-attributable health burden, particularly in Cyprus, where adaptation strategies such as air conditioning is nearing capacity.},
}
@article {pmid39095989,
year = {2024},
author = {Feng, J and Dan, X and Cui, Y and Gong, Y and Peng, M and Sang, Y and Ingvarsson, PK and Wang, J},
title = {Integrating evolutionary genomics of forest trees to inform future tree breeding amidst rapid climate change.},
journal = {Plant communications},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101044},
doi = {10.1016/j.xplc.2024.101044},
pmid = {39095989},
issn = {2590-3462},
abstract = {Global climate change is leading to rapid and drastic shifts in environmental conditions, posing threats to biodiversity and nearly all life forms worldwide. Forest trees serve as foundational components of terrestrial ecosystems and play a crucial and leading role in combating and mitigating the adverse effects of extreme climate events, despite their own vulnerability to these threats. Therefore, understanding and monitoring how natural forests respond to rapid climate change is a key priority for biodiversity conservation. The recent progress of evolutionary genomics, primarily driven by cutting-edge multi-omics technologies, offer powerful new tools to address several key issues. These include the precise delineation of species and evolutionary units, inference of past evolutionary histories and demographic fluctuations, identification of environmental adaptive variants, and measurement of genetic load levels. As the urgency to deal with more extreme environmental stresses grows, understanding the genomics of evolutionary history, local adaptation, future responses to climate change, and the conservation and restoration of natural forest trees will be critical for research at the nexus of global change, population genomics and conservation biology. In this review, we explore the application of evolutionary genomics to assess the effects of global climate change using multi-omics approaches and discuss the outlook for breeding climate-adapted trees.},
}
@article {pmid39095632,
year = {2024},
author = {Espinosa, S and Asensio, M and Antiñolo, M and Albaladejo, J and Jiménez, E},
title = {Atmospheric chemistry of CF3CHFCF2OCH3 (HFE-356mec3) and CHF2CHFOCF3 (HFE-236ea1) initiated by OH and Cl and their contribution to global warming.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39095632},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {SBPLY/19/180501/000052//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; SBPLY/23/180225/000054//Junta de Comunidades de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; 2022-GRIN-34143//Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha/ ; },
abstract = {The kinetic study of the gas-phase reactions of hydroxyl (OH) radicals and chlorine (Cl) atoms with CF3CHFCF2OCH3 (HFE-356mec3) and CHF2CHFOCF3 (HFE-236ea1) was performed by the pulsed laser photolysis/laser-induced fluorescence technique and a relative method by using Fourier Transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy as detection technique. The temperature dependences of the OH-rate coefficients (kOH(T) in cm[3]s[-1]) between 263 and 353 K are well described by the following expressions: 9.93 × 10[-13]exp{-(988 ± 35)/T}
for HFE-356mec3 and 4.75 × 10[-13]exp{-(1285 ± 22)/T}
for HFE-236ea1. Under NOx-free conditions, the rate coefficients kCl at 298 K and 1013 mbar (760 Torr) of air were determined to be (2.30 ± 1.08) × 10[-13] cm[3]s[-1]and (1.19 ± 0.10) × 10[-15] cm[3]s[-1], for HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1, respectively. Additionally, the relative kinetic study of the Cl + CH2ClCHCl2 reaction was investigated at 298 K, as it was used as a reference reaction in the kinetic study of the Cl-reaction with HFE-356mec3 and discrepant rate coefficients were found in the literature. The global atmospheric lifetimes were estimated relative to CH3CCl3 at the tropospheric mean temperature (272 K) as 1.4 and 8.6 years for HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1, respectively. These values combined with the radiative efficiencies for HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1 derived from the measured IR absorption cross sections (0.27 and 0.41 W m[-2] ppv[-1]) yield global warming potentials at a 100-yrs time horizon of 143 and 1473, respectively. The contribution of HFE-356mec3 and HFE-236ea1 to global warming of the atmosphere would be large if they become widespread increasing their atmospheric concentration.},
}
@article {pmid39095546,
year = {2024},
author = {Bizama, G and Jan, A and Olivos, JA and Fuentes-Jaque, G and Valdovinos, C and Urrutia, R and Arismendi, I},
title = {Author Correction: Climate change can disproportionately reduce habitats of stream fishes with restricted ranges in southern South America.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17895},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-024-68912-8},
pmid = {39095546},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid39095339,
year = {2024},
author = {Ferreira, A and Mendes, CRB and Costa, RR and Brotas, V and Tavano, VM and Guerreiro, CV and Secchi, ER and Brito, AC},
title = {Climate change is associated with higher phytoplankton biomass and longer blooms in the West Antarctic Peninsula.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6536},
pmid = {39095339},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {PQ 312569/2021-1//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 310597/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 312569/2021-1//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442628/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442637/2018-7//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442628/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442637/2018-7//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 312569/2021-1//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; PQ 310597/2018-8//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; 442637/2018-7//Ministry of Science, Technology and Innovation | Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico (National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)/ ; N 810139//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; N 810139//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
mesh = {*Phytoplankton/growth &amp; development ; Antarctic Regions ; *Climate Change ; *Biomass ; *Seasons ; Ice Cover ; Ecosystem ; Oceans and Seas ; Temperature ; Eutrophication ; },
abstract = {The Antarctic Peninsula (West Antarctica) marine ecosystem has undergone substantial changes due to climate-induced shifts in atmospheric and oceanic temperatures since the 1950s. Using 25 years of satellite data (1998-2022), this study presents evidence that phytoplankton biomass and bloom phenology in the West Antarctic Peninsula are significantly changing as a response to anthropogenic climate change. Enhanced phytoplankton biomass was observed along the West Antarctic Peninsula, particularly in the early austral autumn, resulting in longer blooms. Long-term sea ice decline was identified as the main driver enabling phytoplankton growth in early spring and autumn, in parallel with a recent intensification of the Southern Annular Mode (2010-ongoing), which was observed to influence regional variability. Our findings contribute to the understanding of the complex interplay between environmental changes and phytoplankton responses in this climatically key region of the Southern Ocean and raise important questions regarding the far-reaching consequences that these ecological changes may have on global carbon sequestration and Antarctic food webs in the future.},
}
@article {pmid39094135,
year = {2024},
author = {Gou, R and Lohmann, G and Wu, L},
title = {Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation Decline: Tipping Small Scales under Global Warming.},
journal = {Physical review letters},
volume = {133},
number = {3},
pages = {034201},
doi = {10.1103/PhysRevLett.133.034201},
pmid = {39094135},
issn = {1079-7114},
abstract = {The Atlantic circulation is a key component of the global ocean conveyor that transports heat and nutrients worldwide. Its likely weakening due to global warming has implications for climate and ecology. However, the expected changes remain largely uncertain as low-resolution climate models currently in use do not resolve small scales. Although the large-scale circulation tends to weaken uniformly in both the low-resolution and our high-resolution climate model version, we find that the small-scale circulation in the North Atlantic changes abruptly under global warming and exhibits pronounced spatial heterogeneity. Furthermore, the future Atlantic Ocean circulation in the high-resolution model version expands in conjunction with a sea ice retreat and strengthening toward the Arctic. Finally, the cutting-edge climate model indicates sensitive shifts in the eddies and circulation on regional scales for future warming and thus provides a benchmark for next-generation climate models that can get rid of parametrizations of unresolved scales.},
}
@article {pmid39093980,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Erratum for the Research Article: "Key tropical crops at risk from pollinator loss due to climate change and land use" by Millard et al.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {31},
pages = {eadr6694},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.adr6694},
pmid = {39093980},
issn = {2375-2548},
}
@article {pmid39093508,
year = {2024},
author = {Bade, KJ and Mueller, KT and Sparks, JA},
title = {Air Pollution and Rheumatoid Arthritis Risk and Progression: Implications for the Mucosal Origins Hypothesis and Climate Change for RA Pathogenesis.},
journal = {Current rheumatology reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39093508},
issn = {1534-6307},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: The goal of this review paper is to summarize the main research and findings regarding air pollution and its association with the risk and progression of rheumatoid arthritis (RA).<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: The most studied components of air pollution included particulate matter of&#x2009;&#x2264;&#x2009;2.5 microns in diameter (PM2.5), PM10, carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitric oxide (NOx), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and ozone (O3). In addition, specific occupations and occupational inhalants have been investigated for RA risk. Several studies showed that increased exposure to air pollutants increased the risk of developing RA, particularly seropositive RA. There was evidence of gene-inhalant interactions for seropositive RA risk. Fewer studies have been conducted on RA disease activity and bone erosions. Some studies suggest that patients with RA-associated interstitial lung disease may have worse outcomes if exposed to air pollution. We summarized associations between air pollution and increased RA risk, including RA-associated interstitial lung disease. Relatively few studies investigated air pollution and RA disease activity or other outcomes. These results suggest an important role of air pollution for seropositive RA development and suggest that climate change could be a driver in increasing RA incidence as air pollution increases.},
}
@article {pmid39093009,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, F and Deroy, C and Herr, AE},
title = {Microfluidics for macrofluidics: addressing marine-ecosystem challenges in an era of climate change.},
journal = {Lab on a chip},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1039/d4lc00468j},
pmid = {39093009},
issn = {1473-0189},
abstract = {Climate change presents a mounting challenge with profound impacts on ocean and marine ecosystems, leading to significant environmental, health, and economic consequences. Microfluidic technologies, with their unique capabilities, play a crucial role in understanding and addressing the marine aspects of the climate crisis. These technologies leverage quantitative, precise, and miniaturized formats that enhance the capabilities of sensing, imaging, and molecular tools. Such advancements are critical for monitoring marine systems under the stress of climate change and elucidating their response mechanisms. This review explores microfluidic technologies employed both in laboratory settings for testing and in the field for monitoring purposes. We delve into the application of miniaturized tools in evaluating ocean-based solutions to climate change, thus offering fresh perspectives from the solution-oriented end of the spectrum. We further aim to synthesize recent developments in technology around critical questions concerning the ocean environment and marine ecosystems, while discussing the potential for future innovations in microfluidic technology. The purpose of this review is to enhance understanding of current capabilities and assist researchers interested in mitigating the effects of climate change to identify new avenues for tackling the pressing issues posed by climate change in marine ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39092581,
year = {2024},
author = {Yoder, JB and Andrade, AK and DeFalco, LA and Esque, TC and Carlson, CJ and Shryock, DF and Yeager, R and Smith, CI},
title = {Reconstructing 120 years of climate change impacts on Joshua tree flowering.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {27},
number = {8},
pages = {e14478},
doi = {10.1111/ele.14478},
pmid = {39092581},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {2001180//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; 2001190//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Flowers/growth &amp; development ; Trees ; Machine Learning ; Droughts ; },
abstract = {Quantifying how global change impacts wild populations remains challenging, especially for species poorly represented by systematic datasets. Here, we infer climate change effects on masting by Joshua trees (Yucca brevifolia and Y. jaegeriana), keystone perennials of the Mojave Desert, from 15 years of crowdsourced observations. We annotated phenophase in 10,212 geo-referenced images of Joshua trees on the iNaturalist crowdsourcing platform, and used them to train machine learning models predicting flowering from annual weather records. Hindcasting to 1900 with a trained model successfully recovers flowering events in independent historical records and reveals a slightly rising frequency of conditions supporting flowering since the early 20th Century. This reflects increased variation in annual precipitation, which drives masting events in wet years-but also increasing temperatures and drought stress, which may have net negative impacts on recruitment. Our findings reaffirm the value of crowdsourcing for understanding climate change impacts on biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid39092475,
year = {2024},
author = {Ramirez-Duarte, WF and Moran, BM and Powell, DL and Bank, C and Sousa, VC and Rosenthal, GG and Schumer, M and Rochman, CM},
title = {Hybridization in the Anthropocene - how pollution and climate change disrupt mate selection in freshwater fish.},
journal = {Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/brv.13126},
pmid = {39092475},
issn = {1469-185X},
support = {RGY0081/2020//Human Frontier Science Program/ ; },
abstract = {Chemical pollutants and/or climate change have the potential to break down reproductive barriers between species and facilitate hybridization. Hybrid zones may arise in response to environmental gradients and secondary contact between formerly allopatric populations, or due to the introduction of non-native species. In freshwater ecosystems, field observations indicate that changes in water quality and chemistry, due to pollution and climate change, are correlated with an increased frequency of hybridization. Physical and chemical disturbances of water quality can alter the sensory environment, thereby affecting chemical and visual communication among fish. Moreover, multiple chemical compounds (e.g. pharmaceuticals, metals, pesticides, and industrial contaminants) may impair fish physiology, potentially affecting phenotypic traits relevant for mate selection (e.g. pheromone production, courtship, and coloration). Although warming waters have led to documented range shifts, and chemical pollution is ubiquitous in freshwater ecosystems, few studies have tested hypotheses about how these stressors may facilitate hybridization and what this means for biodiversity and species conservation. Through a systematic literature review across disciplines (i.e. ecotoxicology and evolutionary biology), we evaluate the biological interactions, toxic mechanisms, and roles of physical and chemical environmental stressors (i.e. chemical pollution and climate change) in disrupting mate preferences and inducing interspecific hybridization in freshwater fish. Our study indicates that climate change-driven changes in water quality and chemical pollution may impact visual and chemical communication crucial for mate choice and thus could facilitate hybridization among fishes in freshwater ecosystems. To inform future studies and conservation management, we emphasize the importance of further research to identify the chemical and physical stressors affecting mate choice, understand the mechanisms behind these interactions, determine the concentrations at which they occur, and assess their impact on individuals, populations, species, and biological diversity in the Anthropocene.},
}
@article {pmid39092181,
year = {2024},
author = {Tye, MR and Wilhelmi, O and Boehnert, J and Faye, E and Milestad, R and Pierce, AL and Laborgne, P},
title = {Examining urban resilience through a food-water-energy nexus lens to understand the effects of climate change.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {7},
pages = {110311},
pmid = {39092181},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Urban centers located on the coast expose some of the most vulnerable populations to the effects of climate change. In addition to the challenges faced by high population densities and interdependent social-ecological systems, there is an increasing demand for resources. Exposing the pinch points that are already sensitive to extreme weather, highlights the urban systems that will be least resilient in the face of climate change. We map the projected changes in water availability onto the components of the food-water-energy Nexus at several spatial scales. Resilience thinking acknowledges the different spatial scales at which governance operates, resilience occurs, and Nexus systems function. We use a case study to illustrate how the effects of climate change at locations remote from the city could impact resilience of urban communities in multiple ways through cascading effects from the Nexus. This article underscores the need to examine resilience from multiple spatial and governance angles.},
}
@article {pmid39091448,
year = {2024},
author = {Pucu, E},
title = {Stella Hartinger: exploring the intersection of climate change and human health.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {35},
number = {},
pages = {100838},
doi = {10.1016/j.lana.2024.100838},
pmid = {39091448},
issn = {2667-193X},
}
@article {pmid39090385,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, M and Zhang, J and Tan, C and Liu, H and He, Q},
title = {Predicting the impact of climate change on crop water footprint using CMIP6 in the Shule River Basin, China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17843},
pmid = {39090385},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {41701062//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2019M663923XB//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Quantitatively predicting the impacts of climate change on water demands of various crops is essential for developing measures to ensure food security, sustainable agriculture, and water resources management, especially in arid regions. This study explored the water footprints (WFs) of nine major crops in the middle and downstream areas of Shule River Basin, Northwest China, from 1989 to 2020 using the WF theory and CROPWAT model and predicted the future WFs of these crops under four emission and socio-economic pathway (SSPs-RCPs) scenarios, which provides scientific support for actively responding to the negative impacts of climate change in arid regions. Results indicated: (1) an increasing trend of the overall crop WF, with blue WF accounting for 80.31-99.33% of the total WF in the last 30 years. Owing to differences of planting structure, water-conservation technologies, and other factors, the multi-year average WF per unit area of crops was 0.75 × 10[4] m[3] hm[-2] in downstream area, which was higher than that in midstream area (0.57 × 10[4] m[3] hm[-2]) in the last 30 years; therefore agricultural water use efficiency in the downstream area was lower than that in the midstream area, implying that the midstream area has more efficient agricultural water utilization. (2) an initial increase and then decrease of crop WFs in the study area under SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5 scenarios by the end of the century, reaching their peak in 2030s which was higher than that from 1989 to 2020; with the maximum growth rates in the midstream area ranging from -0.85% in SSP5-8.5 to 5.33% in SSP2-4.5 and 29.74% in SSP5-8.5 to 34.71% in SSP2-4.5 in the downstream area. The local agricultural water demand would continue to increase and water scarcity issues would be more severe in the next 10-20 years, affecting downstream areas more. Under the SSP3-7.0 scenario, crop WF values of the midstream and downstream regions will be 2.63 × 10[8] m[3] and 4.22 × 10[8] m[3] in 2030, respectively, which is significantly higher than those of other scenarios and show a long-term growth trend. The growth rate of the midstream and downstream regions will reach 44.71% and 81.12%, respectively, by the end of this century, so the local agricultural water use would be facing more strain if this scenario materializes in the future. Therefore, the Shule River Basin should encourage development of water-saving irrigation technologies, adjust the planting ratio of high water consuming crops, and identify other measures to improve water resource utilization efficiency to cope with future water resource pressures.},
}
@article {pmid39090158,
year = {2024},
author = {Stollberg, J and Bogdan, D and Jonas, E},
title = {Empowering the younger generation increases their willingness for intergenerational reconciliation in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17825},
pmid = {39090158},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Intergenerational Relations ; Young Adult ; Empowerment ; Power, Psychological ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; },
abstract = {Climate change can evoke intergenerational conflict. Structural inequalities and their unequal impact on generations can increase perceptions of collective victimhood among the younger generation (< 30 years) and bear the risk of social tensions between the young and the elderly. An experimental study (N = 434) showed that younger people perceived an increased risk of future victimhood. In line with a needs-based approach, the young reported an increased desire to pursue agentic intergroup goals, indicating a heightened need for agency. However, when the young received empowering messages that affirmed their ingroup agency, their willingness to reconcile with the old generation increased, whereas informing them about non-agentic ingroup behavior did not affect reconciliation (between-subjects manipulation). While empowering messages from the outgroup ("Grannies for Future") that directly affirmed the young generations' agency for climate change mitigation as well as empowering messages from the ingroup that indirectly affirmed ingroup agency in domains unrelated to climate change both addressed the need for agency, only outgroup empowerment promoted intergenerational reconciliation. However, empowerment did not affect support for collective climate action. We discuss empowerment as an avenue for resolving intergroup conflict in the context of climate change and possible consequences for climate action and social change.},
}
@article {pmid39087738,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, R and Liu, L and Fan, S and Zheng, W and Liu, R and Zhang, Z and Huang, R and Zhao, L and Shi, J},
title = {Occurrence and potential diffusion of pine wilt disease mediated by insect vectors in China under climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8335},
pmid = {39087738},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Pine wilt disease (PWD), a major international quarantined forest pest, causes serious ecological and economic damage to Pinus species in Asia and Europe. In China, PWD has spread northeasterly and northwesterly beyond its original northern limits. Consequently, an evaluation of the insect vector-mediated occurrence and potential diffusion of PWD is needed to identify important transmission routes and control the spread of disease.<br><br>RESULTS: An optimized MaxEnt model was used to assess the current and future geographical distribution of Bursaphelenchus xylophilus and its insect vectors in China. The predicted suitable area for B.&#x2009;xylophilus colonization is currently 212.32&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4]&#x2009;km[2] and mainly concentrated in Central, East, Southwest and South China, although is anticipated to include the northwestern regions of China in the future. As for the insect vectors, Monochamus alternatus and M.&#x2009;saltuarius are expected to spread toward the northwest and southwest, respectively. The maximum predicted dispersion area of PWD mediated by M.&#x2009;alternatus, M.&#x2009;saltuarius and both species was 91.85&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4], 218.76&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4] and 29.99&#x2009;&#xd7;&#x2009;10[4]&#x2009;km[2], respectively, with potential diffusion areas being anticipated to increase in the future. Both the suitable probabilities and areas of B.&#x2009;xylophilus and its insect vectors were found to vary substantially along the latitudinal gradient, with the latitudinal range of these species being predicted to expand in the future.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This is the first study to investigate the potential diffusion areas of PWD mediated by insect vectors in China, and our finding will provide a vital theoretical reference and empirical basis for developing more effective management strategies for the control of PWD in China. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid39086915,
year = {2024},
author = {Sell, M and Rohula-Okunev, G and Kupper, P and Ostonen, I},
title = {Adapting to climate change: responses of fine root traits and C exudation in five tree species with different light-use strategy.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1389569},
pmid = {39086915},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Trees that are categorised by their light requirements have similarities in their growth strategies and adaptation mechanisms. We aimed to understand the complex responses of elevated air humidity on whole tree fine root carbon (C) exudation (ExC) and respiration rate, morphology, and functional distribution in species with different light requirements. Three light-demanding (LD) species, Populus × wettsteinii, Betula pendula, and Pinus sylvestris, and two shade-tolerant species, Picea abies and Tilia cordata saplings were grown in growth chambers under moderate and elevated air relative humidity (eRH) at two different inorganic nitrogen sources with constant air temperature and light availability. The proportion of assimilated carbon released by ExC, and respiration decreased at eRH; up to about 3 and 27%, respectively. There was an indication of a trade-off between fine root released C and biomass allocation. The elevated air humidity changed the tree biomass allocation and fine root morphology, and the responses were species-specific. The specific fine root area and absorptive root proportion were positively related to canopy net photosynthesis and leaf nitrogen concentration across tree species. The variation in ExC was explained by the trees' light-use strategy (p < 0.05), showing higher exudation rates in LD species. The LD species had a higher proportion of pioneer root tips, which related to the enhanced ExC. Our findings highlight the significant role of fine root functional distribution and morphological adaptation in determining rhizosphere C fluxes in changing environmental conditions such as the predicted increase of air humidity in higher latitudes.},
}
@article {pmid39086336,
year = {2024},
author = {Kwa, YC and Suboh, N and Kay, DSW and Lee, CIS and Walsh, CL and Goodson, ML},
title = {Perceptions of climate change and associated health impacts among communities in Johor River Basin, Malaysia.},
journal = {The Medical journal of Malaysia},
volume = {79},
number = {4},
pages = {397-407},
pmid = {39086336},
issn = {0300-5283},
mesh = {Malaysia ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Perception ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: As climate change is threatening every region of the world, extreme weather events resultant of global warming is occurring at increasing rate and scale in Malaysia. Weather-related disasters such as flood and haze pose critical challenges to the infrastructure and raise public health concerns in the country, especially when main economic sectors rely heavily on climate variability. Public perception on environmental issues is crucial for development of pro-environmental policies. Among studies conducted to understand public awareness regarding global warming, reports of perception on the health impacts were very limited. Taking this limitation into account, this study was designed to examine the perception on the health impacts of climate change among the diverse communities living in the Johor River Basin.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: The cross-sectional study was conducted through cloud-data-based digital questionnaires completed by randomly selected residents in the Johor River Basin (n=647). Data was analysed with descriptive statistics using SPSS 27 (IBM&#xae;) Software. Comparisons between indigenous and non-indigenous communities were performed using Chi square analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Respondents in this study consisted of indigenous people (n=79) and non-indigenous people (n=568). Indigenous respondents generally perceived more frequent occurrence of extreme weather events in the next 20 years, even for the phenomena unfamiliar in Malaysian settings. All respondents showed similar concerns for health impacts of global warming, although the non-indigenous respondents perceived the risk further into the future (25 years) compared to the indigenous respondents who perceived current or imminent (<10 years) risks. Intense concerns for self, children, family members and community were shown by nearly all indigenous respondents (97-99%), while the non-indigenous people in this study expressed stronger concerns at country level and for future generations. During the last haze episode, most indigenous respondents (85%) did not notice any change in air quality nor discomfort among family members, in contrast 70% of the nonindigenous respondents claimed to have suffered from breathing problems themselves as well as others in the family. All respondents were concerned about air quality in their surroundings, indigenous people were concerned for the near future (<10 years), and non-indigenous people were concerned for the next 25 years.<br><br>CONCLUSION: In this study, respondents were generally concerned about the health impacts of unimpeded global warming. There was significant difference in perceptions between indigenous and non-indigenous respondents. The findings were useful, complemented with further studies, to improve understanding of public awareness and to help develop relevant education programmes accessible for wider audience.},
}
@article {pmid39086254,
year = {2024},
author = {Vicente-Serrano, SM and Juez, C and Potopová, V and Boincean, B and Murphy, C and Domínguez-Castro, F and Eklundh, L and Peña-Angulo, D and Noguera, I and Jin, H and Conradt, T and Garcia-Herrera, R and Garrido-Perez, JM and Barriopedro, D and Gutiérrez, JM and Iturbide, M and Lorenzo-Lacruz, J and Kenawy, AE},
title = {Drought risk in Moldova under global warming and possible crop adaptation strategies.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15201},
pmid = {39086254},
issn = {1749-6632},
support = {TED2021-129152B-C41//Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities/ ; PID2022-137244OB-I00//Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities/ ; //European Commission, AXIS (Assessment of Cross(X)-sectoral climate Impacts and pathways for Sustainable transformation)/ ; //JPI-Climate co-funded call: CROSSDRO/ ; CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797//CzechGlobe: SustES - Adaptationstrategies for sustainable ecosystem services and food security under adverseenvironmental conditions/ ; //CSIC: Interdisciplinary Thematic Platform (PTI) clima y servicios clim&#xe1;ticos (PTI-CSC)/ ; },
abstract = {This study analyzes the relationship between drought processes and crop yields in Moldova, together with the effects of possible future climate change on crops. The severity of drought is analyzed over time in Moldova using the Standard Precipitation Index, the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index, and their relationship with crop yields. In addition, rainfall variability and its relationship with crop yields are examined using spectral analysis and squared wavelet coherence. Observed station data (1950-2020 and 1850-2020), ERA5 reanalysis data (1950-2020), and climate model simulations (period 1970-2100) are used. Crop yield data (maize, sunflower, grape), data from experimental plots (wheat), and the Enhanced Vegetation Index from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer satellites were also used. Results show that although the severity of meteorological droughts has decreased in the last 170 years, the impact of precipitation deficits on different crop yields has increased, concurrent with a sharp increase in temperature, which negatively affected crop yields. Annual crops are now more vulnerable to natural rainfall variability and, in years characterized by rainfall deficits, the possibility of reductions in crop yield increases due to sharp increases in temperature. Projections reveal a pessimistic outlook in the absence of adaptation, highlighting the urgency of developing new agricultural management strategies.},
}
@article {pmid39085256,
year = {2024},
author = {Baker, RE and Yang, W and Vecchi, GA and Takahashi, S},
title = {Increasing intensity of enterovirus outbreaks projected with climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6466},
pmid = {39085256},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Disease Outbreaks ; China/epidemiology ; *Seasons ; *Enterovirus Infections/epidemiology/virology ; *Enterovirus/isolation &amp; purification ; *Hand, Foot and Mouth Disease/epidemiology/virology ; Japan/epidemiology ; Temperature ; Poliomyelitis/epidemiology/transmission/virology/prevention &amp; control ; United States/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Pathogens of the enterovirus genus, including poliovirus and coxsackieviruses, typically circulate in the summer months suggesting a possible positive association between warmer weather and transmission. Here we evaluate the environmental and demographic drivers of enterovirus transmission, as well as the implications of climate change for future enterovirus circulation. We leverage pre-vaccination era data on polio in the US as well as data on two enterovirus A serotypes in China and Japan that are known to cause hand, foot, and mouth disease. Using mechanistic modeling and statistical approaches, we find that enterovirus transmission appears positively correlated with temperature although demographic factors, particularly the timing of school semesters, remain important. We use temperature projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) to simulate future outbreaks under late 21st-century climate change for Chinese provinces. We find that outbreak size increases with climate change on average, though results differ across climate models depending on the degree of wintertime warming. In the worst-case scenario, we project peak outbreaks in some locations could increase by up to 40%.},
}
@article {pmid39084384,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, J and Yang, J and Huang, R and Xie, H and Qin, X and Hu, Y},
title = {Estimating evapotranspiration and drought dynamics of winter wheat under climate change: A case study in Huang-Huai-Hai region, China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175114},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175114},
pmid = {39084384},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Drought is one of the vital meteorological disasters that influence crop growth. Timely and accurately estimating the drought dynamics of crops is valuable for decision-maker to formulate scientific management measures of agricultural drought risk. In this study, the evapotranspiration and drought dynamics of winter wheat from 1981 to 2020 in the Huang-Huai-Hai (HHH) region of China were evaluated based on long-term multi-source observation data. Four key developmental stages of winter wheat were given attentions: growth before winter stage, overwintering stage, stage of greening-heading, and stage of filling-maturity. The crop water deficit index (CWDI) on a daily scale was established for quantitatively appraising the impacts of drought on winter wheat. Our results indicated that interannual variation in reference crop evapotranspiration (ET0) during the growth season of winter wheat from 1981 to 2020 in the HHH region showed a slight increase trend, with an average of 602.4 mm and obvious spatial differences of decreasing from the Northeast to the Southwest. Over the past forty years, the winter wheat in the HHH region was most severely affected by severe drought, followed by moderate drought, and finally mild drought. In addition, the impacts of drought on winter wheat at different critical growth stages varied greatly. For the growth before winter stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by mild, moderate, and severe droughts. For the overwintering stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by moderate, severe, and extreme droughts. For the greening-heading stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by mild, moderate, severe, and extreme droughts. For the filling-maturity stage, the winter wheat was mainly threatened by mild and moderate droughts. Finally, the impacts of drought on winter wheat during 1981-2020 in the HHH region were revealed to differ extraordinarily in space. In particular, the areas of winter wheat affected by severe drought significantly decreased. However, the areas of winter wheat affected by moderate drought clearly expanded. Our findings provide new insights for further improving climate change impact studies and agricultural drought defense capabilities adapting to continuous environmental change.},
}
@article {pmid39084182,
year = {2024},
author = {Boekhorst, F and Savona-Ventura, C and Mahmood, T and Mukhopadhyay, S},
title = {The effects of climate change and environmental pollution on human reproduction: A scientific review commissioned by the European Board and College of Obstetrics and Gynaecology (EBCOG).},
journal = {European journal of obstetrics, gynecology, and reproductive biology},
volume = {301},
number = {},
pages = {19-23},
doi = {10.1016/j.ejogrb.2024.07.030},
pmid = {39084182},
issn = {1872-7654},
abstract = {The European Board and College of Obstetrics and Gynaecology (EBCOG) and the European Network of Trainees in Obstetrics and Gynaecology (ENTOG) express their concerns on the effect of climate change and environmental pollution. This paper reviews the impact on reproductive health and the contribution to climate change by the field of obstetrics and gynaecology. It concludes that its contributors and the effects of climate change cause definite adverse consequences to fertility and adverse obstetric outcomes. Mankind, and obstetrics and gynaecology personnel as well, must be aware and responsible of its contribution to climate change and consider the impact of their actions and interventions.},
}
@article {pmid39083877,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, JJ and Du, XK},
title = {Will climate change cause Sargassum beds in temperate waters to expand or contract? Evidence from the range shift pattern of Sargassum.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {200},
number = {},
pages = {106659},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106659},
pmid = {39083877},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {Understanding the range shift patterns of foundation species (e.g., macroalgae) under future climatic conditions is critical for biodiversity conservation in coastal ecosystems. These predictions are typically made using species distribution models (SDMs), and severe habitat loss has been predicted for most brown algal forests. Nevertheless, some models showed that local adaptation within species can reduce range loss projections. In this study, we used the brown algae Sargassum fusiforme and Sargassum thunbergii, which are distributed in the Northwest Pacific, to determine whether climate change will cause the Sargassum beds in Northwest Pacific temperate waters to expand or contract. We divided S. fusiforme and S. thunbergii into northern and southern lineages, considering the temperature gradients and phylogeographic structures. We quantified the realized niches of the two lineages using an n-dimensional hypervolume. Significant niche differentiation was detected between lineages for both species, suggesting the existence of local adaptation. Based on these results, lineage-level SDMs were constructed for both species. The prediction results showed the different responses of different lineages to climate change. The suitable distribution area for both species was predicted to move northward, retaining part of the suitable habitat at low latitudes (along the East China Sea). Unfortunately, this expansion could not compensate for losing middle-low latitude areas. Our results have important implications for the future management and protection of macroalgae and emphasize the importance of incorporating intraspecific variation into species distribution predictions.},
}
@article {pmid39083192,
year = {2024},
author = {Gini, G and Piggott-McKellar, A and Wiegel, H and Neu, FN and Link, AC and Fry, C and Tabe, T and Adegun, O and Wade, CT and Bower, ER and Koeltzow, S and Harrington-Abrams, R and Jacobs, C and van der Geest, K and Zivdar, N and Alaniz, R and Cherop, C and Durand-Delacre, D and Pill, M and Shekhar, H and Yates, O and Khan, MAA and Nansam-Aggrey, FK and Grant, L and Nizar, DA and Owusu-Daaku, KN and Preato, A and Stefancu, O and Yee, M},
title = {Correction to: Navigating tensions in climate change-related planned relocation.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s13280-024-02059-8},
pmid = {39083192},
issn = {1654-7209},
}
@article {pmid39082863,
year = {2024},
author = {Zeng, Z and Lam, VWY and Sumaila, UR and Cheung, WWL},
title = {Climate change alters social-ecological trade-offs in achieving ocean futures' targets.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {8},
pages = {e17442},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17442},
pmid = {39082863},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Fisheries ; *Oceans and Seas ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Ecosystem ; China ; Biodiversity ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {The effects of climate change on marine ecosystems are causing cascading impacts on livelihood, food security, and culture through fisheries. Such impacts interact and exacerbate the effects of overfishing on marine social-ecological systems, complicating the rebuilding of ecosystems to achieve desirable and sustainable ocean futures. Developing effective pathways for ecosystem rebuilding requires consideration of the co-benefits and trade-offs between ecological and social dimensions and between fishing sectors. However, the effects of intensifying climate change on such co-benefits or trade-offs are yet to be well understood, particularly in regions where ecosystem rebuilding is urgently needed. We applied a numerical optimization routine to define the scope for improvement toward the Pareto-frontier for ecological robustness and economic benefits of the northern South China Sea (NSCS) and the East China Sea (ECS) ecosystems. These two ecosystems were used to represent over-exploited low- and mid-latitude systems, respectively, and the optimization aimed to improve their status through fisheries management. We find that the ECS ecosystem has the possibility of increasing the economic benefits generated by the fisheries it supports under climate change by 2050 while increasing the uncertainty of achieving biodiversity objectives. Nevertheless, climate change is projected to reduce the scope to restore ecosystem structures and the potential economic benefits in the NSCS ecosystem. This study highlights the contrasting impacts of climate change on the co-benefits/trade-offs in ecosystem rebuilding and the benefits obtainable by different fishing sectors even in neighboring ecosystems. We conclude that consideration at the nexus of climate-biodiversity-fisheries is a key to developing effective ecosystem rebuilding plan.},
}
@article {pmid39081076,
year = {2024},
author = {Levy, O and Shahar, S},
title = {Artificial Intelligence for Climate Change Biology: From Data Collection to Predictions.},
journal = {Integrative and comparative biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/icb/icae127},
pmid = {39081076},
issn = {1557-7023},
abstract = {In the era of big data, ecological research is experiencing a transformative shift, yet advancements in thermal ecology and the study of animal responses to climate conditions remain limited. This review discusses how big data analytics and artificial intelligence (AI) can significantly enhance our understanding of microclimates and animal behaviors under changing climatic conditions. We explore AI's potential to refine microclimate models and analyze data from advanced sensors and camera technologies, which capture detailed, high-resolution information. This integration allows researchers to dissect complex ecological and physiological processes with unprecedented precision. We describe how AI can enhance microclimate modeling through improved bias correction and downscaling techniques, providing more accurate estimates of the conditions that animals face under various climate scenarios. Additionally, we explore AI's capabilities in tracking animal responses to these conditions, particularly through innovative classification models that utilize sensors such as accelerometers and acoustic loggers. Moreover, the widespread usage of camera traps can benefit from AI-driven image classification models to accurately identify thermoregulatory responses, such as shade usage and panting. AI is therefore instrumental in monitoring how animals interact with their environments, offering vital insights into their adaptive behaviors. Finally, we discuss how these advanced data-driven approaches can inform and enhance conservation strategies. Detailed mapping of microhabitats essential for species survival under adverse conditions can guide the design of climate-resilient conservation and restoration programs that prioritize habitat features crucial for biodiversity resilience. In conclusion, the convergence of AI, big data, and ecological science heralds a new era of precision conservation, essential for addressing the global environmental challenges of the 21st century.},
}
@article {pmid39080933,
year = {2024},
author = {Poudel, K and Karki, S and Lamichhane, K and Timilsina, A and Dijkerman, S and Ghimire, J},
title = {Perception of Climate Change Vulnerability and its Impact on Sexual and Reproductive Health and Rights in Khutiya and Banganga River Basins.},
journal = {Journal of Nepal Health Research Council},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {25-33},
doi = {10.33314/jnhrc.v22i01.4940},
pmid = {39080933},
issn = {1999-6217},
mesh = {Humans ; Nepal ; *Climate Change ; Female ; Adult ; Adolescent ; Young Adult ; Middle Aged ; *Reproductive Health ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Focus Groups ; Interviews as Topic ; Rivers ; Reproductive Rights ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Nepal is one of the most vulnerable countries to climate change. The drivers of climate risk include its topography, ecological diversity, climatic variability, natural resource dependency, under-development, and socioeconomic vulnerabilities. Climate change affects women and girls in unique ways. Research conducted in Asia Pacific region highlight negative sexual and reproductive health outcomes from climate change-related stressors such as droughts, floods, and air pollution, factors also linked to decreased SRH services utilization, increased maternal mortality rates, and repercussions on women's mental health.<br><br>METHODS: This is a mixed methods study conducted in two river basins including household surveys with 384 females ages 18-49, 12 focus group discussions, and 22 key informant interviews. We conducted descriptive and thematic analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: More than half relied on agriculture for income (66%). Despite one-third being heads of households, land ownership was low (13%). Climate change perceptions included rising temperatures (88%), increased heat wave (70%), drying water source (99%), and delayed monsoons (83%), impacting agriculture and increasing women's workload (61%) due to displacement and male migration. 64% reported disturbances in antenatal and postnatal care visits . Inaccessible healthcare facilities during the rainy season increased maternal mortality risks. Heavy river flooding hindered female community health volunteers access leading to childbirth complications. 82% of women feared being unable to protect their children post-climate events. Moreover, 21% of women faced gender-based violence during or after climate disasters.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest clear impacts of climate change on women and the communities. Thus, climate adaptation efforts must be designed to address the unique impacts of the crisis on women and girls, making space for their increased participation and leadership.},
}
@article {pmid39080505,
year = {2024},
author = {Hannan, FM and Leow, MKS and Lee, JKW and Kovats, S and Elajnaf, T and Kennedy, SH and Thakker, RV},
title = {Endocrine effects of heat exposure and relevance to climate change.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Endocrinology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39080505},
issn = {1759-5037},
abstract = {Climate change is increasing both seasonal temperatures and the frequency and severity of heat extremes. As the endocrine system facilitates physiological adaptations to temperature changes, diseases with an endocrinological basis have the potential to affect thermoregulation and increase the risk of heat injury. The effect of climate change and associated high temperature exposure on endocrine axis development and function, and on the prevalence and severity of diseases associated with hormone deficiency or excess, is unclear. This Perspective summarizes current knowledge relating to the hormonal effects of heat exposure in species ranging from rodents to humans. We also describe the potential effect of high temperature exposures on patients with endocrine diseases. Finally, we highlight the need for more basic science, clinical and epidemiological research into the effects of heat on endocrine function and health; this research could enable the development of interventions for people most at risk, in the context of rising environmental temperatures.},
}
@article {pmid39080449,
year = {2024},
author = {Hinson, KE and Friedrichs, MAM and Najjar, RG and Bian, Z and Herrmann, M and St-Laurent, P and Tian, H},
title = {Response of hypoxia to future climate change is sensitive to methodological assumptions.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17544},
pmid = {39080449},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {NA16NOS4780207//United States Department of Commerce | NOAA | Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research (NOAA Center for Sponsored Coastal Ocean Research)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate-induced changes in hypoxia are among the most serious threats facing estuaries, which are among the most productive ecosystems on Earth. Future projections of estuarine hypoxia typically involve long-term multi-decadal continuous simulations or more computationally efficient time slice and delta methods that are restricted to short historical and future periods. We make a first comparison of these three methods by applying a linked terrestrial-estuarine model to the Chesapeake Bay, a large coastal-plain estuary in the eastern United States. Results show that the time slice approach accurately captures the behavior of the continuous approach, indicating a minimal impact of model memory. However, increases in mean annual hypoxic volume by the mid-twenty-first century simulated by the delta approach (+ 19%) are approximately twice as large as the time slice and continuous experiments (+ 9% and + 11%, respectively), indicating an important impact of changes in climate variability. Our findings suggest that system memory and projected changes in climate variability, as well as simulation length and natural variability of system hypoxia, should be considered when deciding to apply the more computationally efficient delta and time slice methods.},
}
@article {pmid39080424,
year = {2024},
author = {Tian, D},
title = {Irrigation expansion in the face of war and climate change.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39080424},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {NSF-EAR-2144293//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39080160,
year = {2024},
author = {Corgo, J and Cruz, SS and Conceição, P},
title = {Nature-based solutions in spatial planning and policies for climate change adaptation: A literature review.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39080160},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {UI/BD/151235/2021//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; },
abstract = {Nature-based solutions (NbSs) are recognised as relevant to spatial planning in addressing societal challenges, although their uptake is limited and fragmented to some case studies, and difficulties emerge from their implementation and operationalisation. The research developed a literature review to investigate how NbS has been considered for its implementation and operationalisation in spatial planning and how NbS has been included across different policy instruments and used to address climate change adaptation (CCA). The results highlighted: Firstly, the review contributed to bridge the gap in NbS implementation and operationalisation by proposing a novel three-dimensional categorisation system to guide the selection of suitable NbS principles to address societal challenges; secondly, this study still revealed gaps in some policy areas, despite the effort to extensively apply NbS across diverse policy instruments to CCA. Overall, the review further emphasises the need for future research focused on monitoring and evaluating NbS's effectiveness to CCA.},
}
@article {pmid39079404,
year = {2024},
author = {Diagboya, PN and Düring, RA},
title = {Assessing global-warming induced soil organic matter and iron oxides depletion: Empirical insights into sorption and uptake of atrazine by plants.},
journal = {Ecotoxicology and environmental safety},
volume = {283},
number = {},
pages = {116794},
doi = {10.1016/j.ecoenv.2024.116794},
pmid = {39079404},
issn = {1090-2414},
abstract = {Recent pesticide use is alarmingly high and unregulated in several parts of the world. Pesticide fate in soil is controlled by sorption processes which affect the subsequent transport and chemical reactivity in the environment, as well as uptake by plants. Sorption processes are dependent on soil composition and properties, but these are beginning to be affected by global warming-linked factors leading to soil depletion. Thus, it is vital to decipher soils' response, especially in the sub-Sahara (SS), to the depletion of some inherent components in the presence of pesticides. This was ascertained by monitoring a model pesticide (atrazine) sorption and desorption on whole SS soil (WS), and the same soil whose organic matter (OMR) and iron oxides (IOR) were substantially depleted, as well as studying atrazine uptake from these soils by fast-growing vegetables. Organic matter depletion enhanced equilibrium in OMR. Sorption was enhanced at lower ambient pH, higher initial atrazine concentration, and higher temperature. Hysteresis was low resulting in high desorption. Overall, atrazine desorption of ≥65 % was observed; it was higher in OMR (≥95 %) since SOM enhanced hysteresis. Though sub-Saharan soils are rich in iron oxides, SOM played a significantly higher role in sorption than iron oxides in this soil. This result suggests a high potential for atrazine to leach into the aquifer in the sub-Saharan. Atrazine uptake experiment by waterleaf and spinach showed that it could be detected in soil after 63 d, and its presence significantly affected the growth of both vegetables especially in soils with depleted SOM and iron oxides, and at high (100 µg/kg) atrazine spiking. Spinach may be a higher atrazine accumulator than waterleaf. It may be concluded that waterleaf and spinach grown on atrazine-contaminated soils, especially on SOM/iron oxide-depleted soils, are likely to accumulate atrazine.},
}
@article {pmid39078041,
year = {2024},
author = {Adelodun, B and Agbelusi, OO and Soma, T and Odey, G and Adeyi, Q and Kumar, P and Ajibade, FO and Goala, M and Silva, LFO and Mostafa, YS and Singh, R and Choi, KS and Eid, EM},
title = {Rethinking food loss and waste to promote sustainable resource use and climate change mitigation in agri-food systems: A review.},
journal = {Waste management &amp; research : the journal of the International Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {734242X241257655},
doi = {10.1177/0734242X241257655},
pmid = {39078041},
issn = {1096-3669},
abstract = {The sustainable agri-food system is an important sector recognized for promoting the United Nations' Sustainable Development Goals on food security, resource conservation and climate change mitigation. However, the increasing food loss and waste (FLW) along the supply chains has continued to hinder these goals. This study evaluates the trend of FLW research from 1975 to 2022 and how it promotes the achievement of resource and environmental sustainability in agri-food systems. The salient research themes and hotspots that are of interest to researchers were identified. Bibliometric and network analyses were carried out on scholarly research articles from the Scopus database using bibliometrix and VOSviewer. Furthermore, the content analysis was conducted on the selected highly influential articles containing relevant data to understand the role of FLW in promoting sustainable agri-food systems. The results showed disaggregate and unbalanced research distribution on the impacts of FLW among the countries, with China and the United States having the highest contributions. The identified major research themes relating to sustainable agri-food systems are food waste and sustainable systems, food waste management and food waste impact assessment. Moreover, the circular economy was found to be a relatively new approach being explored in agri-food systems to promote FLW reduction and ensure sustainability of resource use. This study highlights the critical role of the impact of FLW in addressing the grand challenge of food security, resource use efficiency and environmental sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid39077386,
year = {2024},
author = {Bergquist, R and Zheng, JX and Zhou, XN},
title = {Synergistic integration of climate change and zoonotic diseases by artificial intelligence: a holistic approach for sustainable solutions.},
journal = {Science in One Health},
volume = {3},
number = {},
pages = {100070},
pmid = {39077386},
issn = {2949-7043},
abstract = {Artificial intelligence (AI) is a rapidly evolving field that can impel research in communicable diseases with respect to climate projections, ecological indicators and environmental impact, at the same time revealing new, previously overlooked events. A number of zoonotic and vector-borne diseases already show signs of expanding their northern geographical ranges and appropriate risk assessment and decision support are urgently needed. The deployment of AI-enabled monitoring systems tracking animal populations and environmental changes is of immense potential in the study of transmission under different climate scenarios. In addition, AI's capability to identify new treatments should not only accelerate drug and vaccine discovery but also help predicting their effectiveness, while its contribution to genetic pathogen speciation would assist the evaluation of spillover risks with regard to viral infections from animals to human. Close collaboration between AI experts, epidemiologists and other stakeholders is not only crucial for responding to challenges interconnected with a variety of variables effectively, but also necessary to warrant responsible AI use. Despite its wider successful implementation in many fields, AI should be seen as a complement to, rather than a replacement of, traditional public health measures.},
}
@article {pmid39076828,
year = {2024},
author = {Semenov, MA and Senapati, N and Coleman, K and Collins, AL},
title = {A dataset of CMIP6-based climate scenarios for climate change impact assessment in Great Britain.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {55},
number = {},
pages = {110709},
pmid = {39076828},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Climate change is a critical issue in the 21st century. Assessment of the impacts of climate change is beneficial for assisting advanced recommendations for adaptations. Climate change impact assessments require high quality local-scale climate scenarios. The future climate projections from Global Climate Models (GCMs) are problematic to use at local scale due to their coarse spatial and temporal resolution, and existing biases. It is important to have climate change scenarios based on the GCMs ensemble downscaled to local scale to account for inherent uncertainty in climate projections, and to have a sufficient large number of years to account for inter-annual climate variability and low frequency, but high impact, extreme climatic events. A dataset of future climate change scenarios was therefore generated at 26 representative sites across Great Britain based on the latest CMIP6 multi-model ensemble downscaled to local-scale by using a stochastic weather generator, LARS-WG 8.0. The data set consists of climate scenarios of daily weather of 1,000 realizations of typical years for a baseline, and very near (2030) and near-future (2050) climates, based on five GCMs and two emission scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways - SSPs viz. SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). A total of 15 GCMs from the CMIP6 ensemble were integrated in LARS-WG 8.0. LARS-WG downscales future climate projections from the GCMs and incorporates changes at local scale in the mean climate, climatic variability, and extreme events by modifying the statistical distributions of the weather variables at each site. Based on the performance of the GCMs over northern Europe and their climate sensitivity, a subset of five GCMs was selected, viz.; ACCESS-ESM1-5, CNRM-CM6-1, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, MPI-ESM1-2-LR and MRI-ESM2-0. The selected GCMs are evenly distributed among the full set of 15 GCMs. The use of a subset of GCMs substantially reduces computational time, while allowing assessment of uncertainties in impact studies related to uncertain future climate projections arising from GCMs. The 1000 years of daily weather for the baseline, as well as for very near and near-future climate change scenarios, are essential for estimating inter-annual variation, and for detecting low frequency, but high impact, extreme climatic events, such as heat waves, floods and droughts. The present dataset can be used as an input to climate change impact models in various fields, including, land and water resources, agriculture and food production, ecology and epidemiology, and human health and welfare. Researchers, breeders, farm managers, social and public sector leaders, and policymakers may benefit from this new dataset when undertaking impact assessments of climate change and decision support for mitigation and adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39076136,
year = {2024},
author = {Huston, P},
title = {Climate change and the pivotal role of health professionals.},
journal = {Journal of evaluation in clinical practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jep.14103},
pmid = {39076136},
issn = {1365-2753},
}
@article {pmid39075833,
year = {2024},
author = {Ludwig-Beymer, P},
title = {The Role of Transcultural Nurses in Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of transcultural nursing : official journal of the Transcultural Nursing Society},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {262},
doi = {10.1177/10436596241259020},
pmid = {39075833},
issn = {1552-7832},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Transcultural Nursing/trends ; Nurse's Role/psychology ; },
}
@article {pmid39075368,
year = {2024},
author = {Ansah, EW and Amoadu, M and Obeng, P and Sarfo, JO},
title = {Health systems response to climate change adaptation: a scoping review of global evidence.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {2015},
pmid = {39075368},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Delivery of Health Care/organization &amp; administration ; Global Health ; Health Policy ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The health system plays a critical role in safeguarding the well-being of communities in the face of health risks associated with climate change. This review maps evidence on health systems' adaptation to climate risk and barriers to effective adaptation.<br><br>METHODS: This review followed the recommendations by Arksey and O'Malley for conducting scoping review. Search for records was conducted in PubMed, Central, Web of Science, JSTOR, Google, and Google Scholar. Only peer-reviewed papers published in English language were included in this review. All the 63 included studies were critically appraise d.<br><br>RESULTS: We found that efforts are being made to create resilient health systems by incorporating climate change into health policies. Investments are being made in innovative technologies, climate-resilient health infrastructure, enhancing healthcare delivery, developing the capacity of climate specialists and agencies to provide high-quality evidence for resilient health systems. We also found that several obstacles prevent health system adaptation to climate risk, including poor policy implementation and evaluation. The obstacles are further exacerbated by financial constraints, including poverty, a lack of political commitment, inadequate data, and deficient healthcare systems, especially in developing countries. There is also a lack of integration of climate change into mental health actions and the health and safety of healthcare workers.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Efforts to develop resilient health systems against climate risks are underway, but persistent obstacles, including inadequate policy implementation, resource limitations, and a lack of integration of climate change into critical health domains, hinder comprehensive adaptation measures, particularly in developing nations.},
}
@article {pmid39075185,
year = {2024},
author = {Sarikaya, AG and Uzun, A and Turan, FD},
title = {Effect of climate change on current and future potential distribution of Strawberry tree (Arbutus unedo L.) in Türkiye.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17408},
pmid = {39075185},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2209//T&#xdc;B&#x130;TAK/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forests ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; Biodiversity ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Ecosystem ; Ericaceae/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {The demand for nontimber forest products (NTFPs) has increased significantly in recent years. Hundreds of plant species that grow naturally in Türkiye have medicinal and aromatic value. Medicinal and aromatic plants are primarily used as a sources of tea, spices, condiments and essential oils. Species belonging to the genus Arbutus L. are used for decorative purposes and as fuel wood in many wood-based industries, they also have a wide range of uses in packaging, chairs making and furniture production. Additionally, the fruits of these trees are widely consumed by humans and animals because they are rich in sugar and vitamin C. It is predicted that changes in climatic conditions will significantly change the distribution, composition and function of forests threatening biodiversity. The purpose of this study was to model current and future potential geographical distributions of Arbutus unedo L., which is among the species that naturally grow in Türkiye and is of substantial value in terms of its ecological contribution to forest ecosystems, based on species presence data and environmental variables (bioclimatic variables and altitude). The current and future distribution area models for Arbutus unedo L. indicate that the potential distribution areas of the species in the coming years will gradually decrease, and in the SSP5 8.5 model, which represents the highest level of world resource usage this gradual decrease will reach its highest level and there will be no suitable distribution area left for the species. Therefore, it is predicted that the species will become endangered. In-situ and ex-situ conservation measures need to be taken to ensure the sustainability of the species in forestry and landscape areas.},
}
@article {pmid39075170,
year = {2024},
author = {Parsons, ES and Jowell, A and Veidis, E and Barry, M and Israni, ST},
title = {Correction: Climate change and inequality.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41390-024-03443-6},
pmid = {39075170},
issn = {1530-0447},
}
@article {pmid39075084,
year = {2024},
author = {Aroyehun, AR and Ugwuja, VC and Onoja, AO},
title = {Determinants of melon farmers' adaptation strategies to climate change hazards in south‒south Nigeria.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17395},
pmid = {39075084},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Nigeria ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; *Farmers ; *Cucurbitaceae/physiology ; Male ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Female ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Agriculture/methods ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Adaptation, Physiological ; },
abstract = {The constant changes experienced in agricultural activities due to climate change pose a great challenge to melon production. Hence, this research examined the determinants of melon farmers' adaptation strategies to cope with climate change hazards in southern-southern Nigeria. The research ultimately depended on primary data collected by using a set of questionnaires and interviews. The data were obtained from 260 samples retrieved from melon farmers by using multistage sampling techniques. The data were analyzed using the multivariate probit (MVP) model and partial eta squared test. The results of the MVP model showed that age (- 0.009), marital status (0.200), access to information on climate change (0.567) and crop insurance (0.214) were significant at the 0.01 level, while household size (- 0.030) was significant at the 0.05 level and determined the adoption of crop diversification. Educational level (0.012), extension contact (0.138) and access to credit (0.122) were significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.415) was significant at the 0.01 level and determined the adoption of change in planting dates. Age (- 0.010) and access to information on climate change (0.381) were significant at the 0.01 level, while sex (- 0.139), marital status (0.158) and off-farm income (- 2.3E-7) were significant at the 0.05 level and determined the adoption of mixed farming. Farming experience (0.005) is significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.529) and crop insurance (0.272) are significant at the 0.01 level and determine the adoption of drought-tolerant crop species. Access to information on climate change (0.536) is significant at the 0.01 level, indicating the adoption of improved crop species. Age (- 0.010), farm size (- 0.085) and crop insurance (0.206) were significant at the 0.05 level, while access to information on climate change (0.353) was significant at the 0.01 level and determined the adoption of off-farm job opportunities. The study recommends the availability and accessibility of credit, climate-smart agricultural practices, and the establishment of public‒private partnerships, among others.},
}
@article {pmid39074429,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, G and Tian, S and Chen, R and Cao, Y and Zhang, Y and Han, B},
title = {Effect of global climate change on the sustainability of cold-water fish habitat in the alpine region: A case study on the Gymnocypris eckloni in the source region of the Yellow River.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {367},
number = {},
pages = {121926},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121926},
pmid = {39074429},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change at the global scale affects the watershed's hydrology and the river's hydrodynamic, water temperature (WT), and habitat conditions of organisms. This article proposes a quantitative assessment methodology framework for analyzing the impact of GCC on the cold-water fish habitat. This framework integrated GCC, downscaling, hydrological, hydrodynamic, water temperature, and habitat models and was applied to the source region of the Yellow River (SRYR), where there are Gymnocypris eckloni (G. eckloni) resource reduction problems. In this study, we developed a high-precision, loosely integrated hydrological, hydrodynamic, WT coupling model for SWAT-MIKE21 in the SRYR. The optimal latitude and longitude range (6° × 6°) covering the SRYR was established for downscaling, and future meteorological data under three GCC models was obtained. The main results present the discharge of spawning, and juvenile G. eckloni indicates an increasing trend from the radiation forcing low to high and from the near now to the future term. The WT increased (decreased) in April and June (May), with a maximum increase/decrease of 3.1°C (SSP370 in 2100)/1.4°C (SSP585 in 2050). The weighted useable area (WUA) demonstrated a trend of severe fluctuations in May, June, and October, and other months are equal to the base year. Total WUA (TWUA) displayed an increasing trend, with the maximum increase in spawning and juvenile period being 134.46% and 270.89%, respectively. Ultimately, the rise in confluence discharge and WT caused by GCC in the SRYR benefits spawning and juvenile G. eckloni. The results have guiding significance for the development of long-term and adaptive protection and restoration measures for G. eckloni, and provide a plan for predicting the impact of climate change on other organisms in river ecosystems in high-altitude cold regions.},
}
@article {pmid39074290,
year = {2024},
author = {Jerrett, M and Connolly, R and Garcia-Gonzales, DA and Bekker, C and Nguyen, JT and Su, J and Li, Y and Marlier, ME},
title = {Climate change and public health in California: A structured review of exposures, vulnerable populations, and adaptation measures.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310081121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310081121},
pmid = {39074290},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {19RD015//California Air Resources Board (ARB)/ ; 80NSSC22K1684//NASA | Earth Sciences Division (ESD)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; California ; *Public Health ; Vulnerable Populations/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Air Pollution/analysis/adverse effects ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; Wildfires ; },
abstract = {California faces several serious direct and indirect climate exposures that can adversely affect public health, some of which are already occurring. The public health burden now and in the future will depend on atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, underlying population vulnerabilities, and adaptation efforts. Here, we present a structured review of recent literature to examine the leading climate risks to public health in California, including extreme heat, extreme precipitation, wildfires, air pollution, and infectious diseases. Comparisons among different climate-health pathways are difficult due to inconsistencies in study design regarding spatial and temporal scales and health outcomes examined. We find, however, that the current public health burden likely affects thousands of Californians each year, depending on the exposure pathway and health outcome. Further, while more evidence exists for direct and indirect proximal health effects that are the focus of this review, distal pathways (e.g., impacts of drought on nutrition) are more uncertain but could add to this burden. We find that climate adaptation measures can provide significant health benefits, particularly in disadvantaged communities. We conclude with priority recommendations for future analyses and solution-driven policy actions.},
}
@article {pmid39074287,
year = {2024},
author = {Syphard, AD and Velazco, SJE and Rose, MB and Franklin, J and Regan, HM},
title = {The importance of geography in forecasting future fire patterns under climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310076121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310076121},
pmid = {39074287},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {1853697//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; CCR30009//California Strategic Growth Council (SGC)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; California ; *Forecasting ; *Wildfires ; *Ecosystem ; *Geography ; Humans ; Fires ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {An increasing amount of California's landscape has burned in wildfires in recent decades, in conjunction with increasing temperatures and vapor pressure deficit due to climate change. As the wildland-urban interface expands, more people are exposed to and harmed by these extensive wildfires, which are also eroding the resilience of terrestrial ecosystems. With future wildfire activity expected to increase, there is an urgent demand for solutions that sustain healthy ecosystems and wildfire-resilient human communities. Those who manage disaster response, landscapes, and biodiversity rely on mapped projections of how fire activity may respond to climate change and other human factors. California wildfire is complex, however, and climate-fire relationships vary across the state. Given known geographical variability in drivers of fire activity, we asked whether the geographical extent of fire models used to create these projections may alter the interpretation of predictions. We compared models of fire occurrence spanning the entire state of California to models developed for individual ecoregions and then projected end-of-century future fire patterns under climate change scenarios. We trained a Maximum Entropy model with fire records and hydroclimatological variables from recent decades (1981 to 2010) as well as topographic and human infrastructure predictors. Results showed substantial variation in predictors of fire probability and mapped future projections of fire depending upon geographical extents of model boundaries. Only the ecoregion models, accounting for the unique patterns of vegetation, climate, and human infrastructure, projected an increase in fire in most forested regions of the state, congruent with predictions from other studies.},
}
@article {pmid39074285,
year = {2024},
author = {Harrison, S and Franklin, J and Hernandez, RR and Ikegami, M and Safford, HD and Thorne, JH},
title = {Climate change and California's terrestrial biodiversity.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310074121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310074121},
pmid = {39074285},
issn = {1091-6490},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; California ; *Climate Change ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; Humans ; Fires ; Introduced Species ; Plants ; Animals ; },
abstract = {In this review and synthesis, we argue that California is an important test case for the nation and world because terrestrial biodiversity is very high, present and anticipated threats to biodiversity from climate change and other interacting stressors are severe, and innovative approaches to protecting biodiversity in the context of climate change are being developed and tested. We first review salient dimensions of California's terrestrial physical, biological, and human diversity. Next, we examine four facets of the threat to their sustainability of these dimensions posed by climate change: direct impacts, illustrated by a new analysis of shifting diversity hotspots for plants; interactive effects involving invasive species, land-use change, and other stressors; the impacts of changing fire regimes; and the impacts of land-based renewable energy development. We examine recent policy responses in each of these areas, representing attempts to better protect biodiversity while advancing climate adaptation and mitigation. We conclude that California's ambitious 30 × 30 Initiative and its efforts to harmonize biodiversity conservation with renewable energy development are important areas of progress. Adapting traditional suppression-oriented fire policies to the reality of new fire regimes is an area in which much progress remains to be made.},
}
@article {pmid39074284,
year = {2024},
author = {Franklin, J and MacDonald, GM},
title = {Climate change and California sustainability-Challenges and solutions.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2405458121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2405458121},
pmid = {39074284},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {1853697 AAA//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
}
@article {pmid39074270,
year = {2024},
author = {Greenberg, M and Angelo, H and Losada, E and Wilmers, CC},
title = {Relational geographies of urban unsustainability: The entanglement of California's housing crisis with WUI growth and climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310080121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310080121},
pmid = {39074270},
issn = {1091-6490},
mesh = {California ; *Climate Change ; *Housing ; Humans ; Ecosystem ; Wildfires ; Geography ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Cities ; },
abstract = {One of California's most pressing social and environmental challenges is the rapid expansion of the wildlands-urban interface (WUI). Multiple issues associated with WUI growth compared to more dense and compact urban form are of concern-including greatly increased fire risk, greenhouse gas emissions, and fragmentation of habitat. However, little is understood about the factors driving this growth in the first place and, specifically, its relationship to urban-regional housing dynamics. This paper connects work in urban social science, urban and regional planning, and natural sciences to highlight the potential role of housing crises in driving displacement from the urban core to relatively more affordable exurbs, and with this, WUI growth. We analyze this relationship in California, which leads the nation in lack of affordable housing, scale of WUI growth, and many associated WUI hazards, including wildfire. We offer three related arguments: first, that California's affordable housing crisis, with its effect of driving migration to exurban areas, should be recognized as a significant urban form-related sustainability challenge; second, that to understand this challenge scholars must expand the spatial scale and analytic toolkit of both urban and WUI analysis through relational, mixed methods research; and third, that political and programmatic efforts to address California's housing crisis should undergird efforts to address WUI growth and climate change. Ultimately, we argue that expanding access to affordable urban housing can produce a more sustainable and just urban form that mitigates WUI-related climate and environmental impacts and reduces the vulnerability of growing numbers of WUI residents living in harm's way.},
}
@article {pmid39074269,
year = {2024},
author = {Thorne, KM and MacDonald, GM and Chavez, FP and Ambrose, RF and Barnard, PL},
title = {Significant challenges to the sustainability of the California coast considering climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310077121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310077121},
pmid = {39074269},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {N/A//DOI | U.S. Geological Survey (USGS)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is an existential threat to the environmental and socioeconomic sustainability of the coastal zone and impacts will be complex and widespread. Evidence from California and across the United States shows that climate change is impacting coastal communities and challenging managers with a plethora of stressors already present. Widespread action could be taken that would sustain California's coastal ecosystems and communities. In this perspective, we highlight the main threat to coastal sustainability: the compound effects of episodic events amplified with ongoing climate change, which will present unprecedented challenges to the state. We present two key challenges for California's sustainability in the coastal zone: 1) accelerating sea-level rise combined with storm impacts, and 2) continued warming of the oceans and marine heatwaves. Cascading effects from these types of compounding events will occur within the context of an already stressed system that has experienced extensive alterations due to intensive development, resource extraction and harvesting, spatial containment, and other human use pressures. There are critical components that could be used to address these immediate concerns, including comanagement strategies that include diverse groups and organizations, strategic planning integrated across large areas, rapid implementation of solutions, and a cohesive and policy relevant research agenda for the California coast. Much of this has been started in the state, but the scale could be increased, and timelines accelerated. The ideas and information presented here are intended to help expand discussions to sharpen the focus on how to encourage sustainability of California's iconic coastal region.},
}
@article {pmid39074267,
year = {2024},
author = {Power, ME and Chandra, S and Gleick, P and Dietrich, WE},
title = {Anticipating responses to climate change and planning for resilience in California's freshwater ecosystems.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310075121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310075121},
pmid = {39074267},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {CZP EAR-1331940//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; ROL 1004895-01//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; California ; *Ecosystem ; *Fresh Water ; Animals ; Wetlands ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Humans ; Lakes ; },
abstract = {As human-caused climate changes accelerate, California will experience hydrologic and temperature conditions different than any encountered in recorded history. How will these changes affect the state's freshwater ecosystems? Rivers, lakes, and wetlands are managed as a water resource, but they also support a complex web of life, ranging from bacteria, fungi, and algae to macrophytes, woody plants, invertebrates, fish, amphibians, reptiles, birds, and mammals. In much of the state, native freshwater organisms already struggle to survive massive water diversions and dams, deteriorating water quality, extensive land cover modification for agriculture and urban development, and invasions of exotic species. In the face of climate change, we need to expand efforts to recover degraded ecosystems and to protect the resilience, health, and viability of existing ecosystems. For this, more process-based understanding of river, lake, and wetlands ecosystems is needed to forecast how systems will respond to future climate change and to our interventions. This will require 1) expanding our ability to model mechanistically how freshwater biota and ecosystems respond to environmental change; 2) hypothesis-driven monitoring and field studies; 3) education and training to build research, practitioner, stewardship, and policy capabilities; and 4) developing tools and policies for building resilient ecosystems. A goals-driven, hypothesis-informed collaboration among tribes, state (and federal) agencies, nongovernmental organizations, academicians, and consultants is needed to accomplish these goals and to advance the skills and knowledge of the future workforce of practitioners, regulators, and researchers who must live with the climate changes that are already upon us and will intensify.},
}
@article {pmid39074266,
year = {2024},
author = {Pastor, M and Cha, JM and Méndez, M and Morello-Frosch, R},
title = {California dreaming: Why environmental justice is integral to the success of climate change policy.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {32},
pages = {e2310073121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2310073121},
pmid = {39074266},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {20224635-03//US Environmental Protection Agency/ ; },
abstract = {In the realm of climate policy, issues of environmental justice (EJ) are often treated as second-order affairs compared to overarching sustainability goals. We argue that EJ is in fact critical to successfully addressing our national and global climate challenges; indeed, centering equity amplifies the voices of the diverse constituencies most impacted by climate change and that are needed to build successful coalitions that shape and advance climate change policy. We illustrate this perspective by highlighting the experience of California and the contentious processes by which EJ became integrated into the state's climate action efforts. We examine the achievements and shortcomings of California's commitment to climate justice and discuss how lessons from the Golden State are influencing the evolution of current federal climate change policy.},
}
@article {pmid39070998,
year = {2024},
author = {Verma, P and Nair, GR},
title = {Serpents and thermometers: Connecting the dots between climate change and the growing menace of snakebites.},
journal = {Journal of family medicine and primary care},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {2797-2798},
pmid = {39070998},
issn = {2249-4863},
}
@article {pmid39070907,
year = {2024},
author = {Lin, X and Chang, B and Huang, Y and Jin, X},
title = {Predicting the impact of climate change and land use change on the potential distribution of two economic forest trees in Northeastern China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1407867},
pmid = {39070907},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Young shoots of Aralia elata and young leaves of Eleutherococcus senticosus are two major non-timber forest products in northeastern China. However, human activities and climate change have resulted in serious threats to the habitats of two trees, which greatly limits resource conservation and exploitation of economic forest trees. We used the MaxEnt model to predict the suitable habitats of the two economic trees and analyzed the dominant factors affecting their distribution. The results showed that the suitable habitat areas of A. elata and E. senticosus in the current period were 159950 km[2] and 123449 km[2], respectively, and the suitable habitats of both economic forest trees were located in the eastern part of the northeast region. Climate factors (Annual precipitation, Precipitation Seasonality) and land use factors are important variables influencing changes in suitable habitat for both trees. With the change of climate and land use in the future, the overall trend of suitable habitat for both economic forest trees shows a northward and then a southward migration. These results may provide assistance in developing strategies for resource conservation and sustainable use of A. elata and E. senticosus, and we suggest that stable and suitable habitats should be selected as areas for in situ conservation and breeding of the two economic forest trees.},
}
@article {pmid39070777,
year = {2023},
author = {Fry, TL and Owens, LA and Ketz, AC and Atwood, TC and Dunay, E and Goldberg, TL},
title = {Serum Virome of Southern Beaufort Sea polar bears (Ursus maritimus) during a period of rapid climate change.},
journal = {Conservation physiology},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {coad054},
pmid = {39070777},
issn = {2051-1434},
abstract = {Climate change affects the behavior, physiology and life history of many Arctic wildlife species. It can also influence the distribution and ecology of infectious agents. The southern Beaufort Sea (SB) subpopulation of polar bears (Ursus maritimus) has experienced dramatic behavioral changes due to retreating sea ice and other climate-related factors, but the effects of these changes on physiology and infection remain poorly understood. Using serum from polar bears sampled between 2004 and 2015 and metagenomic DNA sequencing, we identified 48 viruses, all of the family Anelloviridae. Anelloviruses are small, ubiquitous infectious agents with circular single-stranded DNA genomes that are not known to cause disease but, in humans, covary in diversity and load with immunological compromise. We therefore examined the usefulness of anelloviruses as biomarkers of polar bear physiological stress related to climate and habitat use. Polar bear anelloviruses sorted into two distinct clades on a phylogenetic tree, both of which also contained anelloviruses of giant pandas (Ailuropoda melanoleuca), another ursid. Neither anellovirus diversity nor load were associated with any demographic variables, behavioral factors or direct physiological measures. However, pairwise genetic distances between anelloviruses were positively correlated with pairwise differences in sampling date, suggesting that the polar bear "anellome" is evolving over time. These findings suggest that anelloviruses are not a sensitive indicator of polar physiological stress, but they do provide a baseline for evaluating future changes to polar bear viromes.},
}
@article {pmid39070116,
year = {2024},
author = {Davies, DL and Lawal, A and Orji, AE and Tytherleigh, C and Walsh, K},
title = {Digital learning, face-to-face learning and climate change.},
journal = {Future healthcare journal},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {100156},
pmid = {39070116},
issn = {2514-6645},
abstract = {Debates about digital learning, face-to-face learning and blended learning often focus on their effectiveness in achieving a few core educational outcomes. The cost or convenience of using different methods to achieve certain outcomes have increasingly come into the educational framework over the past two decades. However, only rarely do educators or learners consider the climate footprint of their various activities. This is an important shortcoming, as all learning activities can contribute to our overall climate footprint. Providers of education should do their best to minimise the carbon footprint associated with their learning. But learners also have responsibility to ensure that how they access learning is also associated with minimal environmental cost. Both providers and learners should focus on activities that are likely to have the greatest impact. This is relevant both to face-to-face education and digital learning.},
}
@article {pmid39067588,
year = {2024},
author = {Ciceu, A and Bălăcenoiu, F and de Groot, M and Chakraborty, D and Avtzis, D and Barta, M and Blaser, S and Bracalini, M and Castagneyrol, B and Chernova, UA and Çota, E and Csóka, G and Dautbasic, M and Glavendekic, M and Gninenko, YI and Hoch, G and Hradil, K and Husemann, M and Meshkova, V and Mujezinovic, O and Mutun, S and Panzavolta, T and Paulin, M and Riba-Flinch, JM and Simov, N and Sotirovski, K and Vasilciuc, S and Zubrik, M and Schueler, S},
title = {The ongoing range expansion of the invasive oak lace bug across Europe: current occurrence and potential distribution under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174950},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174950},
pmid = {39067588},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In recent years, the oak lace bug, Corythucha arcuata, has emerged as a significant threat to European oak forests. This species, native to North America, has in the last two decades rapidly extended its range in Europe, raising concerns about its potential impact on the continent's invaluable oak populations. To address this growing concern, we conducted an extensive study to assess the distribution, colonization patterns, and potential ecological niche of the oak lace bug in Europe. We gathered 1792 unique presence coordinates from 21 Eurasian countries, utilizing diverse sources such as research observations, citizen science initiatives, GBIF database, and social media reports. To delineate the realized niche and future distribution, we employed an ensemble species distribution modelling (SDM) framework. Two future greenhouse gas scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5) were considered across three-time intervals (2021-2040, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100) to project and evaluate the species' potential distribution in the future. Our analysis revealed that significant hotspots rich in host species occurrence for this invasive insect remain uninvaded so far, even within its suitable habitat. Furthermore, the native ranges of Turkey oak (Quercus cerris L.) and Hungarian oak (Quercus frainetto L.) species offer entirely suitable environments for the oak lace bug. In contrast, the pedunculate oak and sessile oak distribution ranges currently show only 40 % and 50 % suitability for colonization, respectively. However, our predictive models indicate a significant transformation in the habitat suitability of the oak lace bug, with suitability for these two oak species increasing by up to 90 %. This shift underlines an evolving landscape where the oak lace bug may exploit more of its available habitats than initially expected. It emphasises the pressing need for proactive measures to manage and stop its expanding presence, which may lead to a harmful impact on the oak population across the European landscape.},
}
@article {pmid39065469,
year = {2024},
author = {Bacelar, E and Pinto, T and Anjos, R and Morais, MC and Oliveira, I and Vilela, A and Cosme, F},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change and Mitigation Strategies for Some Abiotic and Biotic Constraints Influencing Fruit Growth and Quality.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065469},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {UIDB/04033/2020, UIDB/00616/2020 and UIDP/00616/2020-DOI: 10.54499/UIDB/00616/2020//FCT-Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology, under the projects UIDB/04033/2020, UIDB/00616/2020 and UIDP/00616/2020-DOI: 10.54499/UIDB/00616/2020/ ; },
abstract = {Factors such as extreme temperatures, light radiation, and nutritional condition influence the physiological, biochemical, and molecular processes associated with fruit development and its quality. Besides abiotic stresses, biotic constraints can also affect fruit growth and quality. Moreover, there can be interactions between stressful conditions. However, it is challenging to predict and generalize the risks of climate change scenarios on seasonal patterns of growth, development, yield, and quality of fruit species because their responses are often highly complex and involve changes at multiple levels. Advancements in genetic editing technologies hold great potential for the agricultural sector, particularly in enhancing fruit crop traits. These improvements can be tailored to meet consumer preferences, which is crucial for commercial success. Canopy management and innovative training systems are also key factors that contribute to maximizing yield efficiency and improving fruit quality, which are essential for the competitiveness of orchards. Moreover, the creation of habitats that support pollinators is a critical aspect of sustainable agriculture, as they play a significant role in the production of many crops, including fruits. Incorporating these strategies allows fruit growers to adapt to changing climate conditions, which is increasingly important for the stability of food production. By investing in these areas, fruit growers can stay ahead of challenges and opportunities in the industry, ultimately leading to increased success and profitability. In this review, we aim to provide an updated overview of the current knowledge on this important topic. We also provide recommendations for future research.},
}
@article {pmid39065441,
year = {2024},
author = {Matías, J and Rodríguez, MJ and Carrillo-Vico, A and Casals, J and Fondevilla, S and Haros, CM and Pedroche, J and Aparicio, N and Fernández-García, N and Aguiló-Aguayo, I and Soler-Rivas, C and Caballero, PA and Morte, A and Rico, D and Reguera, M and , },
title = {From 'Farm to Fork': Exploring the Potential of Nutrient-Rich and Stress-Resilient Emergent Crops for Sustainable and Healthy Food in the Mediterranean Region in the Face of Climate Change Challenges.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065441},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {RED2022-134382-T//Agencia Estatal de Investigaci&#xf3;n/ ; },
abstract = {In the dynamic landscape of agriculture and food science, incorporating emergent crops appears as a pioneering solution for diversifying agriculture, unlocking possibilities for sustainable cultivation and nutritional bolstering food security, and creating economic prospects amid evolving environmental and market conditions with positive impacts on human health. This review explores the potential of utilizing emergent crops in Mediterranean environments under current climate scenarios, emphasizing the manifold benefits of agricultural and food system diversification and assessing the impact of environmental factors on their quality and consumer health. Through a deep exploration of the resilience, nutritional value, and health impacts of neglected and underutilized species (NUS) such as quinoa, amaranth, chia, moringa, buckwheat, millet, teff, hemp, or desert truffles, their capacity to thrive in the changing Mediterranean climate is highlighted, offering novel opportunities for agriculture and functional food development. By analysing how promoting agricultural diversification can enhance food system adaptability to evolving environmental conditions, fostering sustainability and resilience, we discuss recent findings that underscore the main benefits and limitations of these crops from agricultural, food science, and health perspectives, all crucial for responsible and sustainable adoption. Thus, by using a sustainable and holistic approach, this revision analyses how the integration of NUS crops into Mediterranean agrifood systems can enhance agriculture resilience and food quality addressing environmental, nutritional, biomedical, economic, and cultural dimensions, thereby mitigating the risks associated with monoculture practices and bolstering local economies and livelihoods under new climate scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid39065412,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Zhaxi, D and Yuan, L and Li, A and Li, J and Wang, J and Liu, X and Liu, Y},
title = {The Effects of Climate Change on the Distribution Pattern of Species Richness of Endemic Wetland Plants in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065412},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Wetland ecosystems in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), the region with the richest biodiversity and the most important ecological barrier function at high altitudes, are highly sensitive to global change, and wetland plants, which are important indicators of wetland ecosystem structure and function, are also threatened by wetland degradation. Therefore, a comprehensive study of changes in the geographical distribution pattern of plant diversity, as well as species loss and turnover of wetlands in the QTP in the context of global climate change is of great importance for the conservation and restoration of wetland ecosystems in the QTP. In this study, species turnover and loss of 395 endemic wetland plants of the QTP were predicted based on the SSP2-4.5 climate change scenarios. The results showed that there were interspecific differences in the effects of climate change on the potential distribution of species, and that most endemic wetland plants would experience range contraction. Under the climate change scenarios, the loss of suitable wetland plant habitat is expected to occur mainly in parts of the southern, north-central and north-western parts of the plateau, while the gain is mainly concentrated in parts of the western Sichuan Plateau, the Qilian Mountains, the Three Rivers Source Region and the northern Tibetan Plateau. Overlaying the analysis of priority protected areas with the established protected areas in the QTP has resulted in the following conservation gaps: the eastern Himalayan region, midstream of the Yarlung Zangbo River, the transition zone between the northern Tibetan Plateau and the Hengduan Mountains, Minshan-Qionglai mountain, Anyemaqen Mountains (southeast) to Bayankala (southeast) mountains, the southern foothills of the Qilian Mountains and the northern Tibetan Plateau region. In the future, the study of wetland plant diversity in the QTP and the optimisation of protected areas should focus on the conservation gaps. This study is of great importance for the study and conservation of wetland plant diversity in the QTP, and also provides a scientific basis for predicting the response of wetland plants to climate change in the QTP.},
}
@article {pmid39065356,
year = {2024},
author = {Riahinezhad, M and Esmizadeh, E and Lopez-Carreon, I and Gaur, A and Lu, H and Lacasse, MA},
title = {Crack Length of Elastomeric Sealants and Their Service Life in Contrasting Canadian Climates: Effects of Climate Change.},
journal = {Polymers},
volume = {16},
number = {14},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065356},
issn = {2073-4360},
abstract = {The longevity of polymer-based sealant and jointing products, including elastomers, significantly depends on the level of exposure to sunlight and joint movement. These factors are particularly crucial in the application of polymers in construction due to their susceptibility to degradation under environmental conditions. For instance, diurnal cycles of contraction and dilation, arising from daily temperature fluctuations, impose significant stress on sealants and joints, impacting their durability over time. The elastic nature of polymeric sealants enables them to endure these cyclic mechanical loads. Athough there is considerable information on sealant durability obtained from laboratory accelerated aging, there is limited knowledge about the effect of climatic factors using historical and projected weather data on the durability and expected service life of these products. This study employed the Shephard crack growth model to predict the performance of sealants in a Canadian context; the crack growth and time-to-failure of hypothetical silicone sealants were investigated across 564 locations, for which historical climate data were obtained from 1998 to 2017, including gridded reanalysis data for the period of 1836-2015. The historical climate data were classified into four climate categories, and crack growth was estimated based on historical climatic data within the valid range for the Shephard model, revealing that locations in colder climates with lower levels of precipitation typically exhibit higher cumulative crack growth. The impact of climatic variation and environmental stressors on the longevity of sealants in the context of climate change was also investigated using future projected data.},
}
@article {pmid39065248,
year = {2024},
author = {Sixto, M and Riobó, P and Rodríguez, F and Díaz, PA and Figueroa, RI},
title = {Climate Change Stressors, Phosphate Limitation, and High Irradiation Interact to Increase Alexandrium minutum Toxicity and Modulate Encystment Rates.},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {12},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065248},
issn = {2076-2607},
support = {CTM2017-86066-R//MINECO Spain, RETOS Programme/ ; PID2021-125643OB-C22//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovaci&#xf3;n, Spain/ ; EAPA 182/2016//EU-INTERREG Atlantic Area/ ; IN607A-2019/04//Galician Networks of Excellence from the Innovation Agency/ ; PIA project FB0001//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo, Chile/ ; },
abstract = {The changes in the cell physiology (growth rate, cell size, and cell DNA content), photosynthetic efficiency, toxicity, and sexuality under variable light and nutrient (phosphates) conditions were evaluated in cultures of the dinoflagellate Alexandrium minutum obtained from a red tide in the Ría de Vigo (NW Spain). The cells were grown at low (40 and 150 µE m[-2] s[-1]), moderate (400 µE m[-2] s[-1]), and high (800 µE m[-2] s[-1]) light intensities in a medium with phosphate (P+) and without (P-). Cultures were acclimated to the irradiance conditions for one week, and the experiment was run for ~1 month. The cell size and DNA content were monitored via flow cytometry. Two different clonal strains were employed as a monoculture (in a P- or P+ medium) or, to foster sexuality and resting cyst formation, as a mixed culture (only in a P- medium). A. minutum growth was favored by increasing light intensities until 400 µE m[-2] s[-1]. The DNA content analyses indicated the accumulation of S-phase cells at the highest light intensities (400 and 800 µE m[-2] s[-1]) and therefore the negative effects on cell cycle progression. Only when the cells were grown in a P- medium did higher light intensities trigger dose-dependent, significantly higher toxicities in all the A. minutum cultures. This result suggests that the toxicity level is responsive to the combined effects of (high) light and (low) P stress. The cell size was not significantly affected by the light intensity or P conditions. The optimal light intensity for resting cyst formation was 150 µE m[-2] s[-1], with higher irradiances reducing the total encystment yield. Encystment was not observed at the lowest light intensity tested, indicative of the key role of low-level irradiance in gamete and/or zygote formation, in contrast to the stressor effect of excessive irradiance on planozygote formation and/or encystment.},
}
@article {pmid39065076,
year = {2024},
author = {Mansfield, KL and Schilling, M and Sanders, C and Holding, M and Johnson, N},
title = {Arthropod-Borne Viruses of Human and Animal Importance: Overwintering in Temperate Regions of Europe during an Era of Climate Change.},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {12},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39065076},
issn = {2076-2607},
support = {SV3045//Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs/ ; SE4116//Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs/ ; SE0566//Department for Environment Food and Rural Affairs/ ; BBS/E/I/00007036/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {The past three decades have seen an increasing number of emerging arthropod-borne viruses in temperate regions This process is ongoing, driven by human activities such as inter-continental travel, combined with the parallel emergence of invasive arthropods and an underlying change in climate that can increase the risk of virus transmission and persistence. In addition, natural events such as bird migration can introduce viruses to new regions. Despite the apparent regularity of virus emergence, arthropod-borne viruses circulating in temperate regions face the challenge of the late autumn and winter months where the arthropod vector is inactive. Viruses therefore need mechanisms to overwinter or they will fail to establish in temperate zones. Prolonged survival of arthropod-borne viruses within the environment, outside of both vertebrate host and arthropod vector, is not thought to occur and therefore is unlikely to contribute to overwintering in temperate zones. One potential mechanism is continued infection of a vertebrate host. However, infection is generally acute, with the host either dying or producing an effective immune response that rapidly clears the virus. There are few exceptions to this, although prolonged infection associated with orbiviruses such as bluetongue virus occurs in certain mammals, and viraemic vertebrate hosts therefore can, in certain circumstances, provide a route for long-term viral persistence in the absence of active vectors. Alternatively, a virus can persist in the arthropod vector as a mechanism for overwintering. However, this is entirely dependent on the ecology of the vector itself and can be influenced by changes in the climate during the winter months. This review considers the mechanisms for virus overwintering in several key arthropod vectors in temperate areas. We also consider how this will be influenced in a warming climate.},
}
@article {pmid39063531,
year = {2024},
author = {Hale, RB and Bryant-Moore, K and Eichenberger, A},
title = {Climate Change and Health Risk Perceptions of Arkansas Small Farmers through the Application of the Health Belief Model.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39063531},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {U54-OH00754//Southwest Center for Agricultural Health, Injury Prevention, and Education through Cooperative Agreement/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Arkansas ; *Farmers/psychology/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Male ; Adult ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Health Belief Model ; Health Status ; Young Adult ; Agriculture ; Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses health risks to Arkansas small farmers. Farmers face an increased risk of heat-related illnesses (e.g., heat exhaustion, cerebral vascular accidents, and cardiovascular issues) and work-related injuries, death, and mental health conditions due to climate change. This cross-sectional survey employed the health belief model (HBM) as its theoretical framework. This study aimed to assess the health status of small farmers, climate change beliefs, adaptive agricultural practices, and the perceived effects of climate change on health. Study data were collected using non-probability sampling methods from small farmers (n = 72) with a gross farm income of < USD 250,000. The study findings show that 93% of participants reported good-excellent health, 69% believe the climate is changing and getting warmer, 58.3% believe people are responsible for the changes in our climate, and 75% believe the changing climate impacts farmers. Among the HBM predictive variables, participants reported self-efficacy (50%), perceived susceptibility (48.6%), and perceived severity (43%). Only 16.7% of farmers reported believing they have all the information needed to prepare for climate-related health impacts. This study suggests small farmers have protective factors and adaptive capacity, including health status, income, and education levels, but believe they lack the information necessary to protect their health from climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39063473,
year = {2024},
author = {Tomassini, L and Lancia, M and Gambelunghe, A and Zahar, A and Pini, N and Gambelunghe, C},
title = {Exploring the Nexus of Climate Change and Substance Abuse: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {39063473},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Substance-Related Disorders/epidemiology ; Humans ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The increase in average air temperature and multiple extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and droughts, pose significant health risks to humans. This scoping review aims to examine the current state of the existing literature concerning the potential relationship between substance abuse and climate change, along with the aspects it encompasses.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: The review followed PRISMA guidelines for methodological rigor, aiming to identify studies on drug abuse. Searches were conducted across the primary databases using specific search strings. Quality assessment involved evaluating the research question's clarity, search strategy transparency, consistency in applying the inclusion/exclusion criteria, and reliability of data extraction.<br><br>RESULTS: Most studies were conducted in the USA. They included observational and retrospective quantitative studies, as well as qualitative and prospective observational ones. Research examined the correlation between extreme weather and some substance abuse. All studies analyzed the adverse effects of climate change, especially heatwaves, on both physiological and pathological levels.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The scoping review notes the scarcity of studies about the correlation between substance abuse and climate change, and emphasizes the threats faced by individuals with substance abuse and mental health disorders due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39063403,
year = {2024},
author = {Rizzo Pesci, N and Teobaldi, E and Maina, G and Rosso, G},
title = {Climate Change and Psychiatry: The Correlation between the Mean Monthly Temperature and Admissions to an Acute Inpatient Unit.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {21},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph21070826},
pmid = {39063403},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Psychiatric disorders are large contributors to the global disease burden, but research on the impact of climate change on them is limited. Our aim is to investigate the correlation between temperature and exacerbations of psychiatric disorders to help inform clinical management and future public health policies.<br><br>METHODS: Temperature records for the summer months from 2013 to 2022 were obtained from the meteorological station of the Department of Physics of Turin University. Data on patients admitted to the acute psychiatric unit were extracted from registries of San Luigi Gonzaga University Hospital (Turin, Italy). Regression analyses were used to investigate the correlation between temperature and number of admissions and to test for confounding variables.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 1600 admissions were recorded. The monthly temperature and number of admissions were directly correlated (p = 0.0020). The correlation was significant for the subgroup of admissions due to Bipolar Disorders (p = 0.0011), but not for schizophrenia or major depressive disorder. After multiple regression analyses, the effect of temperature remained significant (p = 0.0406).<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These results confirm the impact of meteorological factors on mental disorders, particularly on BD. This can contribute to personalised follow-up and efficient resource allocation and poses grounds for studies into etiopathological mechanisms and therapeutic implications.},
}
@article {pmid39063092,
year = {2024},
author = {Stojchevski, R and Chandrasekaran, P and Hadzi-Petrushev, N and Mladenov, M and Avtanski, D},
title = {Adipose Tissue Dysfunction Related to Climate Change and Air Pollution: Understanding the Metabolic Consequences.},
journal = {International journal of molecular sciences},
volume = {25},
number = {14},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijms25147849},
pmid = {39063092},
issn = {1422-0067},
abstract = {Obesity, a global pandemic, poses a major threat to healthcare systems worldwide. Adipose tissue, the energy-storing organ during excessive energy intake, functions as a thermoregulator, interacting with other tissues to regulate systemic metabolism. Specifically, brown adipose tissue (BAT) is positively associated with an increased resistance to obesity, due to its thermogenic function in the presence of uncoupled protein 1 (UCP1). Recently, studies on climate change and the influence of environmental pollutants on energy homeostasis and obesity have drawn increasing attention. The reciprocal relationship between increasing adiposity and increasing temperatures results in reduced adaptive thermogenesis, decreased physical activity, and increased carbon footprint production. In addition, the impact of climate change makes obese individuals more prone to developing type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). An impaired response to heat stress, compromised vasodilation, and sweating increase the risk of diabetes-related comorbidities. This comprehensive review provides information about the effects of climate change on obesity and adipose tissue, the risk of T2DM development, and insights into the environmental pollutants causing adipose tissue dysfunction and obesity. The effects of altered dietary patterns on adiposity and adaptation strategies to mitigate the detrimental effects of climate change are also discussed.},
}
@article {pmid39061532,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, M and Feng, W and Liu, Z and Li, Z and Song, X and Zhang, H and Zhang, C and Yang, L},
title = {Seasonal-Spatial Distribution Variations and Predictions of Loliolus beka and Loliolus uyii in the East China Sea Region: Implications from Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {14},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14142070},
pmid = {39061532},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {2022TD01//the Central Public-Interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change profoundly impacts the East China Sea ecosystem and poses a major challenge to fishery management in this region. In addition, closely related species with low catches are often not distinguished in fishery production and relevant data are commonly merged in statistics and fishing logbooks, making it challenging to accurately predict their habitat distribution range. Here, merged fisheries-independent data of the closely related squid Loliolus beka (Sasaki, 1929) and Loliolus uyii (Wakiya and Ishikawa, 1921) were used to explore the construction and prediction performance of species distribution models. Data in 2018 to 2019 from the southern Yellow and East China Seas were used to identify the seasonal-spatial distribution characteristics of both species, revealing a boundary line at 29.00° N for L. uyii during the autumn, with the highest average individual weight occurring during the summer, with both larvae and juveniles occurring during the autumn. Thus, the life history of L. uyii can be divided into winter-spring nursery and summer-autumn spawning periods. L. beka showed a preference for inshore areas (15-60 m) during the summer and offshore areas (32.00-78.00 m) during the winter. High-value areas of both species included inshore areas of the southern Yellow and mid-East China Seas during the autumn, enlarging during the spring to include central areas of the survey region, before significantly decreasing during the summer. Therefore, this study provides both a novel perspective for modeling biological habitat distribution with limited data and a scientific basis for the adjustment of fishery resource management and conservation measures in the context of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39059663,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, N and Zhao, Y and Han, J and Yang, Q and Liang, J and Liu, X and Wang, Y and Huang, Z},
title = {Impacts of future climate change on rice yield based on crop model simulation-A meta-analysis.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {175038},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175038},
pmid = {39059663},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Rice is one of the world's major food crops. Changes in major climatic factors such as temperature, rainfall, solar radiation and carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration have an important impact on rice growth and yield. However, many of the current studies that predict the impact of future climate change on rice yield are affected by uncertainties such as climate models, climate scenarios, model parameters and structure, and showing great differences. This study was based on the assessment results of the impact of climate change on rice in the future of 111 published literature, and comprehensively analyzed the impact and uncertainty of climate change on rice yield. This study utilized local polynomial (Loess) regression analysis to investigate the impact of changes in mean temperature, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, solar radiation, and precipitation on relative rice yield variations within a complete dataset. A linear mixed-effects model was used to quantitatively analyze the relationships between the restricted datasets. The qualitative analysis based on the entire dataset revealed that rice yields decreased with increasing average temperature. The precipitation changed between 0 and 25 %, it was conducive to the stable production of rice, and when the precipitation changed >25 %, it would cause rice yield reduction. The change of solar radiation was less than -1.15 %, the rice yield increases with the increase of solar radiation, and when the change of solar radiation exceeds -1.15 %, the rice yield decreases. Elevated CO2 concentrations and management practices could mitigate the negative effects of climate change. The results of a quantitative analysis utilizing the mixed effects model revealed that average temperature, precipitation, CO2 concentration, and adaptation methods all had a substantial impact on rice production, and elevated CO2 concentrations and management practices could exert positive influences on rice production. For every 1 °C and 1 % increase in average temperature and precipitation, rice yield decreased by 3.85 % and 0.56 %, respectively. For every 100 ppm increase in CO2 concentration, rice yield increased by 7.1 %. The variation of rice yield under different climate models, study sites and climate scenarios had significant variability. Elevated CO2 concentrations and management practices could compensate for the negative effects of climate change, benefiting rice production. This study comprehensively collected and analyzed a wide range of literature and research, which provides an in-depth understanding of the impacts of climate change on rice production and informs future research and policy development.},
}
@article {pmid39056731,
year = {2024},
author = {Huang, Y and Li, T and Chen, W and Zhang, Y and Xu, Y and Guo, T and Wang, S and Liu, J and Qin, Y},
title = {Analysis of the Distribution Pattern of Phenacoccus manihoti in China under Climate Change Based on the Biomod2 Model.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13070538},
pmid = {39056731},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2023YFC2605200//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; 32202288//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 6232023//Beijing Natural Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {The changing global climate has significantly impacted the spread of plant pests. The cassava mealybug (Phenacoccus manihoti) is among the most dangerous quarantine pests affecting cassavas worldwide, causing substantial losses in agricultural production and food security across several regions. Although China is currently free of the cassava mealybug, its proximity to affected countries and extensive trade with these regions necessitate a detailed understanding of the pest's distribution pattern and dynamic ecological niche changes. Using the Biomod2 model, we selected two historical climate scenarios and two future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) to investigate the distribution patterns, potential habitats, distribution centers, and dynamic ecological niches of cassava mealybugs in China. Key environmental variables influencing the distribution were identified, including bio4, bio8, bio12, bio18, and bio19. The potential habitat of cassava mealybugs is mainly located in several provinces in southern China. In the future, the suitable habitat is projected to expand slightly under the influence of climate change, maintaining the overall trend, but the distribution center of suitable areas will shift northward. Dynamic ecological niche prediction results indicate the potential for further expansion; however, the ecological niches may be unequal and dissimilar in the invaded areas. The predictions could serve as a valuable reference for early warning systems and management strategies to control the introduction of cassava mealybugs.},
}
@article {pmid39056675,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Y and Guo, M and Jiang, J and Dai, R and Rebi, A and Shi, Z and Mao, A and Zheng, J and Zhou, J},
title = {Predicting Climate Change Impact on the Habitat Suitability of the Schistosoma Intermediate Host Oncomelania hupensis in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13070480},
pmid = {39056675},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {3227130539//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 41071334//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Oncomelania hupensis is the exclusive intermediary host of Schistosoma japonicum in China. The alteration of O. hupensis habitat and population distribution directly affects the safety of millions of individuals residing in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) and the ecological stability of Yangtze River Basin. Therefore, it is crucial to analyze the influence of climate change on the distribution of O. hupensis in order to achieve accurate control over its population. This study utilized the MaxEnt model to forecast possible snail habitats by utilizing snail distribution data obtained from historical literature. The following outcomes were achieved: The primary ecological factors influencing the distribution of O. hupensis are elevation, minimum temperature of the coldest month, and precipitation of wettest month. Furthermore, future climate scenarios indicate a decrease in the distribution area and a northward shift of the distribution center for O. hupensis; specifically, those in the upstream will move northeast, while those in the midstream and downstream will move northwest. These changes in suitable habitat area, the average migration distance of distribution centers across different climate scenarios, time periods, and sub-basins within the YREB, result in uncertainty. This study offers theoretical justification for the prevention and control of O. hupensis along the YREB.},
}
@article {pmid39054995,
year = {2024},
author = {Sacco, MA and Gualtieri, S and Tarzia, P and Verrina, MC and Coscarelli, P and Aquila, I},
title = {The impact of climate change on the crime scene and forensic sciences.},
journal = {La Clinica terapeutica},
volume = {175},
number = {Suppl 1(4)},
pages = {121-124},
doi = {10.7417/CT.2024.5098},
pmid = {39054995},
issn = {1972-6007},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Forensic Sciences ; Humans ; Animals ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change causes great impact on ambient temperatures. In forensic pathology, temperature has always been an important variable to determine numerous thanatodiagnostic and thanatochronological parameters, as crucial elements to make scientifically valid forensic conclusions. The aim of this work is to describe the impact that climate change is having on the forensic science and crime scene analysis.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: A literature review was carried out on the search engines Pubmed, Scopus and Google Scholar. The keywords "climate change" AND "forensic" were used.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Climate change is having a significant impact on forensic science in several areas. Among these it is necessary to consider: 1) global warming and crime scenes: high temperature of the planet causes frequent extreme meteorological events in multiple periods of the year; 2) Relationship between climate and PMI (Post Mortem Interval): Temperature influences the rapidity of putrefaction; 3) Relationship between climate and fauna: global warming is influencing the geographical distribution of animal species, with real migrations of species. Fauna has a decisive impact in the forensic field (as in the case of entomology) creating new models of animal-cadaver interaction; 4) Relationship between climate and forensic botany: Climate change influences the flowering and fruiting times of plants, impacting knowledge on botany used in the forensic field. It is essential to adopt prevention measures to address the emerging challenges.},
}
@article {pmid39054867,
year = {2024},
author = {Tang, W and Liu, S and Jing, M and Healey, JR and Smith, MN and Farooq, TH and Zhu, L and Zhao, S and Wu, Y},
title = {Vegetation growth responses to climate change: A cross-scale analysis of biological memory and time lags using tree ring and satellite data.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17441},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17441},
pmid = {39054867},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {U20A2089//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2023CX01015//Scientific Innovation Fund for Post-graduates of Central South University of Forestry and Technology/ ; IEC\NSFC\223567//Royal Society International Exchanges grant/ ; Xiangzizike20230138ST//Natural Resources Science and Technology Project of Hunan Province/ ; CX20230751//Postgraduate Scientific Research Innovation Project of Hunan Province/ ; BK20220019//Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Trees/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Photosynthesis ; Liquidambar/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Temperature ; Plant Leaves/growth &amp; development/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Satellite Imagery ; },
abstract = {Vegetation growth is affected by past growth rates and climate variability. However, the impacts of vegetation growth carryover (VGC; biotic) and lagged climatic effects (LCE; abiotic) on tree stem radial growth may be decoupled from photosynthetic capacity, as higher photosynthesis does not always translate into greater growth. To assess the interaction of tree-species level VGC and LCE with ecosystem-scale photosynthetic processes, we utilized tree-ring width (TRW) data for three tree species: Castanopsis eyrei (CE), Castanea henryi (CH, Chinese chinquapin), and Liquidambar formosana (LF, Chinese sweet gum), along with satellite-based data on canopy greenness (EVI, enhanced vegetation index), leaf area index (LAI), and gross primary productivity (GPP). We used vector autoregressive models, impulse response functions, and forecast error variance decomposition to analyze the duration, intensity, and drivers of VGC and of LCE response to precipitation, temperature, and sunshine duration. The results showed that at the tree-species level, VGC in TRW was strongest in the first year, with an average 77% reduction in response intensity by the fourth year. VGC and LCE exhibited species-specific patterns; compared to CE and CH (diffuse-porous species), LF (ring-porous species) exhibited stronger VGC but weaker LCE. For photosynthetic capacity at the ecosystem scale (EVI, LAI, and GPP), VGC and LCE occurred within 96 days. Our study demonstrates that VGC effects play a dominant role in vegetation function and productivity, and that vegetation responses to previous growth states are decoupled from climatic variability. Additionally, we discovered the possibility for tree-ring growth to be decoupled from canopy condition. Investigating VGC and LCE of multiple indicators of vegetation growth at multiple scales has the potential to improve the accuracy of terrestrial global change models.},
}
@article {pmid39049861,
year = {2024},
author = {Mansinhos, I and Gonçalves, S and Romano, A},
title = {How climate change-related abiotic factors affect the production of industrial valuable compounds in Lamiaceae plant species: a review.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1370810},
pmid = {39049861},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {The interest in medicinal and aromatic plants (MAPs) has increased significantly in recent years, driven by the growing demand for natural products. MAPs are a valuable source of secondary metabolites, which renders them useful to a number of industries, including cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, and food. The Lamiaceae family includes economically important MAPs that produce valuable secondary metabolites such as essential oils (EOs) and phenolic compounds (PCs). The quantity and quality of these secondary metabolites are affected by abiotic stress factors. In a climate change scenario, the Lamiaceae is one of the most affected families, especially due to its wide distribution in the Mediterranean region. In the present study, the most common climate-related environmental stress factors, namely, drought, salinity, temperature, light, and heavy metals, were reviewed and discussed in order to assess their impact on the chemical profiles of EOs and PCs, as well as on the biological properties (antioxidant, antibacterial, antimelanogenic, pest-repellent, and UV-protective) of Lamiaceae species. It can be posited that these stresses typically act as a catalyst for the secondary metabolism of these plants, resulting in increased production of EO compounds (e.g., 1,8-cineole, linalool, camphor, borneol, and limonene) and PCs (e.g., rosmarinic, caffeic, and salvianolic acids) and subsequent enhancement of their biological activities. In view of the industrial applications of these bioactive compounds, it is of interest to explore the changes in secondary metabolism induced by environmental factors as it is possible to increase the accumulation of valuable secondary metabolites.},
}
@article {pmid39049577,
year = {2024},
author = {Austin, MW and Smith, AB and Olsen, KM and Hoch, PC and Krakos, KN and Schmocker, SP and Miller-Struttmann, NE},
title = {Climate change increases flowering duration, driving phenological reassembly and elevated co-flowering richness.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.19994},
pmid = {39049577},
issn = {1469-8137},
support = {DBI-1851727//Division of Biological Infrastructure/ ; },
abstract = {Changes to flowering phenology are a key response of plants to climate change. However, we know little about how these changes alter temporal patterns of reproductive overlap (i.e. phenological reassembly). We combined long-term field (1937-2012) and herbarium records (1850-2017) of 68 species in a flowering plant community in central North America and used a novel application of Bayesian quantile regression to estimate changes to flowering season length, altered richness and composition of co-flowering assemblages, and whether phenological shifts exhibit seasonal trends. Across the past century, phenological shifts increased species' flowering durations by 11.5 d on average, which resulted in 94% of species experiencing greater flowering overlap at the community level. Increases to co-flowering were particularly pronounced in autumn, driven by a greater tendency of late season species to shift the ending of flowering later and to increase flowering duration. Our results demonstrate that species-level phenological shifts can result in considerable phenological reassembly and highlight changes to flowering duration as a prominent, yet underappreciated, effect of climate change. The emergence of an autumn co-flowering mode emphasizes that these effects may be season-dependent.},
}
@article {pmid39048656,
year = {2024},
author = {Martes, L and Pfleiderer, P and Köhl, M and Sillmann, J},
title = {Using climate envelopes and earth system model simulations for assessing climate change induced forest vulnerability.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {17076},
pmid = {39048656},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {390683824//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; },
abstract = {Changing climatic conditions threaten forest ecosystems. Drought, disease and infestation, are leading to forest die-offs which cause substantial economic and ecological losses. In central Europe, this is especially relevant for commercially important coniferous tree species. This study uses climate envelope exceedance (CEE) to approximate species risk under different future climate scenarios. To achieve this, we used current species presence-absence and historical climate data, coupled with future climate scenarios from various Earth System Models. Climate scenarios tended towards drier and warmer conditions, causing strong CEEs especially for spruce. However, we show that annual averages of temperature and precipitation obscure climate extremes. Including climate extremes reveals a broader increase in CEEs across all tree species. Our study shows that the consideration of climate extremes, which cannot be adequately reflected in annual averages, leads to a different assessment of the risk of forests and thus the options for adapting to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39047825,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Y and Cai, H and Yan, Y and Wang, B and Pan, H and Zhang, P and Li, B and Zhao, T},
title = {Regime shifts in the thermal dynamics of offshore China due to accelerated global warming.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174882},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174882},
pmid = {39047825},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Thermal dynamics play a pivotal role in offshore ecosystems, influencing a multitude of ecological and biogeochemical processes. Assessing how water temperature (WT) responds to climate change is vital for the sustainable development of marine ecosystems. Despite the scarcity of long-term sea surface temperature (SST) data, this study reconstructs SSTs from 1973 to 2020 in China's coastal zones using the data-driven Air2water model. A probabilistic approach was applied to investigate the joint dependency structures between air temperature (AT) and WT at offshore oceanic stations in China, focusing on variations during periods of decelerated and accelerated warming. The results indicate that the Air2water model performs well in reconstructing SSTs of the coastal zone of China. Furthermore, the joint probability of AT-WT events, characterized by bimodal distributions, tends to increase during accelerated warming. This suggests intensified extreme SST events in the coastal zone of China due to global warming, with the significant warming primarily related with regional oscillations, atmospheric dynamics, and the complex temperature trends in the regional marine environment. These findings highlight the escalating impact of global warming on marine ecosystems in China's coastal regions, underscoring the urgency of developing adaptive strategies to mitigate these effects.},
}
@article {pmid39042453,
year = {2024},
author = {Bhawra, J and Elsahli, N and Patel, J},
title = {Applying Digital Technology to Understand Human Experiences of Climate Change Impacts on Food Security and Mental Health: Scoping Review.},
journal = {JMIR public health and surveillance},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e54064},
doi = {10.2196/54064},
pmid = {39042453},
issn = {2369-2960},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Food Security/statistics &amp; numerical data/methods ; *Mental Health/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Digital Technology ; Mobile Applications/statistics &amp; numerical data ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The global impact of climate change ranges from intense heatwaves to extreme weather events that endanger entire ecosystems and people's way of life. Adverse climate change events place undue stress on food and health systems, with consequences for human food security and mental health status. Ubiquitous digital devices, such as smartphones, have the potential to manage existing and emerging climate-related crises, given their ability to enable rapid response, instant communication, and knowledge sharing.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This scoping review aimed to identify digital apps being used to capture or address climate change impacts on food security and mental health to inform the development of a digital citizen science initiative.<br><br>METHODS: A scoping review was conducted using 3 peer-reviewed databases (PubMed, IEEE Xplore, and Web of Science) and manual gray literature searches of relevant organizational (ie, governmental and nonprofit) websites to identify articles and reports published between January 2012 and July 2023. Three separate searches were conducted in each database to identify digital apps focused on climate change and (1) food security, (2) mental health, and (3) food security and mental health. Two reviewers conducted initial screening, with a third reviewer resolving any discrepancies. Articles focused on climate change impacts on wildlife or agriculture (ie, not human food security) were excluded. Full-text screening was conducted for shortlisted articles, and a final data abstraction table was generated, summarizing key app features, contextual factors, and participant involvement.<br><br>RESULTS: From the 656 records screened, 14 digital apps met the inclusion criteria. The food security apps (n=7, 50%) aimed to capture traditional knowledge to preserve food systems, conduct food security assessments, and aid users in decreasing food insecurity risk. The mental health apps (n=7, 50%) assessed climate change-related stress and provided users with coping strategies following adverse weather events. No digital apps examined the intersection of climate change, food security, and mental health. Key app features included user-to-user communication (n=5, 36%), knowledge databases (n=5, 36%), data collection and analysis (n=3, 21%), gamification (n=1, 7%), and educational resources (n=2, 14%) to address climate change impacts on food security or mental health. In total, 3 approaches to participant involvement were used across studies, including contributory (n=1, 7%), collaborative (n=1, 7%), and cocreative (n=1, 7%) approaches, to ensure the relevance and use of digital apps.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Most digital apps identified provided a service to citizens to either prevent adverse climate change-related health impacts or manage these effects following an acute event or a natural disaster. The capacity of ubiquitous digital tools to enable near real-time communication, the involvement of various stakeholder groups, and their ability to share relevant educational resources in a timely manner are important for developing tailored climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies across jurisdictions.},
}
@article {pmid39040977,
year = {2024},
author = {Loud, ES and Woolf, GR and Ralph, A and Gadhia, T and Navaratnam, AMD and Watson, L and McGushin, A and Clissold, E and Hilton, B},
title = {Climate change and public health: An evaluation framework for local government.},
journal = {Public health in practice (Oxford, England)},
volume = {8},
number = {},
pages = {100524},
pmid = {39040977},
issn = {2666-5352},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To develop and pilot an evaluation framework for assessing the engagement of local government public health teams in England on climate change and sustainability. These teams are uniquely positioned to address local health impacts of climate change and promote health co-benefits of mitigation. No statutory framework currently exists to support their engagement in this agenda.<br><br>STUDY DESIGN: Literature review and two cross sectional surveys.<br><br>METHODS: A group of public health professionals conducted a literature review and agreed on criteria based on statutory responsibilities and remit of these teams, available information, and opportunities for local government action. With the resulting framework, this group evaluated all 11 local governments in the East of England region, and then conducted a follow-up survey to assess the framework's impact and acceptability.<br><br>RESULTS: An evaluation framework was developed with 21 criteria in two sections. The first assessed overall local government action and leadership in climate change and sustainability, to understand the context in which the public health team was situated. The second assessed the climate change related actions undertaken by the public health team.All 11 local governments in the East of England region completed the evaluation. Results indicated inconsistencies in local public health team action on and engagement with climate change and health. Ten local governments completed the follow-up survey on acceptability and impact, reporting that the evaluation was easy to complete. Seven out of ten respondents found that the evaluation had influenced change or reflection within their organisation, for example through identifying gaps and prompting more collaboration between teams.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: This evaluation framework is a useful and acceptable tool to assess local government public health engagement and leadership on climate change and sustainability. If used more widely, it could help to support public health teams to advance much-needed action in this area.},
}
@article {pmid39040812,
year = {2024},
author = {Ge, X and Newman, JA and Griswold, CK},
title = {Geographic variation in evolutionary rescue under climate change in a crop pest-predator system.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {e13750},
pmid = {39040812},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {Species distribution models (SDMs) are often built upon the "niche conservatism" assumption, such that they ignore the possibility of "evolutionary rescue" and may underestimate species' future range limits under climate change. We select aphids and ladybirds as model species and develop an eco-evolutionary model to explore evolutionary rescue in a predator-prey system under climate change. We model the adaptive change of species' thermal performances, accounting for biotic interactions. Our study suggests that, without considering evolutionary adaptation, the warming climate will result in a reduction in aphid populations and the extinction of ladybirds in large parts of the United States. However, when incorporating evolutionary adaptation into the model, aphids can adapt to climate change, whereas ladybirds demonstrate geographic variation in their evolutionary rescue potential. Specifically, ladybirds in southern regions are more likely to be rescued than those in the north. In certain northern regions, ladybirds do not avoid extinction due to severe warming trends and seasonality of the climate. While higher warming trends do prompt stronger evolutionary changes in phenotype, they also lead to reduced aphid population abundance such that ecology constrains ladybird population growth. Higher seasonality induces an ecological effect by limiting the length of reproductive season, thereby reducing the capacity for evolutionary rescue. Together, these findings reveal the complex interplay between ecological and evolutionary dynamics in the context of evolutionary adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid39039551,
year = {2024},
author = {Spanos, S and Dammery, G and Pagano, L and Ellis, LA and Fisher, G and Smith, CL and Foo, D and Braithwaite, J},
title = {Learning health systems on the front lines to strengthen care against future pandemics and climate change: a rapid review.},
journal = {BMC health services research},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {829},
pmid = {39039551},
issn = {1472-6963},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Pandemics ; *Primary Health Care/organization &amp; administration ; *Learning Health System/organization &amp; administration ; Emergency Service, Hospital/organization &amp; administration ; COVID-19/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: An essential component of future-proofing health systems against future pandemics and climate change is strengthening the front lines of care: principally, emergency departments and primary care settings. To achieve this, these settings can adopt learning health system (LHS) principles, integrating data, evidence, and experience to continuously improve care delivery. This rapid review aimed to understand the ways in which LHS principles have been applied to primary care and emergency departments, the extent to which LHS approaches have been adopted in these key settings, and the factors that affect their adoption.<br><br>METHODS: Three academic databases (Embase, Scopus, and PubMed) were searched for full text articles reporting on LHSs in primary care and/or emergency departments published in the last five years. Articles were included if they had a primary focus on LHSs in primary care settings (general practice, allied health, multidisciplinary primary care, and community-based care) and/or emergency care settings. Data from included articles were catalogued and synthesised according to the modified Institute of Medicine's five-component framework for LHSs (science and informatics, patient-clinician partnerships, incentives, continuous learning culture, and structure and governance).<br><br>RESULTS: Thirty-seven articles were included, 32 of which reported LHSs in primary care settings and seven of which reported LHSs in emergency departments. Science and informatics was the most commonly reported LHS component, followed closely by continuous learning culture and structure and governance. Most articles (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;30) reported on LHSs that had been adopted, and many of the included articles (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;17) were descriptive reports of LHS approaches.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Developing LHSs at the front lines of care is essential for future-proofing against current and new threats to health system sustainability, such as pandemic- and climate change-induced events. Limited research has examined the application of LHS concepts to emergency care settings. Implementation science should be utilised to better understand the factors influencing adoption of LHS approaches on the front lines of care, so that all five LHS components can be progressed in these settings.},
}
@article {pmid39038838,
year = {2024},
author = {Adalat, S and Hajat, S and Ikiz, B},
title = {Climate change has serious implications for children's brain health.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1588},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1588},
pmid = {39038838},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Child ; Brain/diagnostic imaging ; Child Health ; },
}
@article {pmid39037213,
year = {2024},
author = {Kurt, A and Dinç, F and Güneş Şan, E and Uzun, &#x130;B},
title = {Development and validation of the climate change health protection behaviors scale for adolescents: a methodological study.},
journal = {International journal of environmental health research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1080/09603123.2024.2382903},
pmid = {39037213},
issn = {1369-1619},
abstract = {This study aimed to develop and validate the Climate Change Health Protection Behaviors Scale for adolescents. A total of 1036 adolescents were recruited from middle and high schools. The development of the assessment scale was carried out in three steps: item generation, content validity evaluation, and psychometric evaluation. Psychometric testing was conducted to determine the relationship between the resulting factors and the Healthy Lifestyle Belief Scale and Climate Change Awareness Scale. A 28-item scale was developed, consisting of four factors that account for 65.0% of the variance. The Cronbach's alpha value was 0.874. Additionally, a positive correlation was observed between the Climate Change Health Protection Behaviors Scale and both the Climate Change Awareness Scale and the Healthy Lifestyle Belief Scale for adolescents. These results suggest that the Climate Change Health Protection Behaviors Scale is a reliable and valid tool for evaluating health protection behaviors related to climate change in adolescents.},
}
@article {pmid39036420,
year = {2020},
author = {Chimonyo, VGP and Wimalasiri, EM and Kunz, R and Modi, AT and Mabhaudhi, T},
title = {Optimizing Traditional Cropping Systems Under Climate Change: A Case of Maize Landraces and Bambara Groundnut.},
journal = {Frontiers in sustainable food systems},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {562568},
pmid = {39036420},
issn = {2571-581X},
abstract = {Traditional crop species are reported to be drought-tolerant and nutrient-dense with potential to contribute to sustainable food and nutrition security within marginal production systems under climate change. We hypothesized that intercropping maize landraces (Zea mays L.) with bambara groundnut (Vigna subterranea (L.) Verdc.), together with optimum management strategies, can improve productivity and water use efficiency (WUE) under climate change. Using an ex-ante approach, we assessed climate change impacts and agronomic management options, such as plant ratios, and plant sequences, on yield and WUE of intercropped maize landrace and bambara groundnut. The Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) model was applied over four time periods; namely past (1961-1991), present (1995-2025), mid-century (2030-2060) and late-century (2065-2095), obtained from six GCMs. Across timescales, there were no significant differences with mean annual rainfall, but late century projections of mean annual temperature and reference crop evaporation (ET0) showed average increases of 3.5°C and 155mm, respectively. By late century and relative to the present, the projected changes in yield and WUE were -10 and -15% and 5 and 7% for intercropped bambara groundnut and maize landrace, respectively. Regardless of timescale, increasing plant population improved yield and WUE of intercropped bambara groundnut. Asynchronous planting increased yield and WUE for both maize landrace (5 and 14%) and bambara groundnut (35 and 47%, respectively). Most significant improvements were observed when either crop was planted 2-3 months apart. To reduce yield gaps in intercrop systems, low-cost management options like changing plant populations and sequential cropping can increase yield and WUE under projected climate change. To further increase sustainability, there is a need to expand the research to consider other management strategies such as use of other traditional crop species, fertilization, rainwater harvesting and soil conservation techniques.},
}
@article {pmid39035707,
year = {2020},
author = {Mpandeli, S and Nhamo, L and Hlahla, S and Naidoo, D and Liphadzi, S and Modi, AT and Mabhaudhi, T},
title = {Migration under Climate Change in Southern Africa: A Nexus Planning Perspective.},
journal = {Sustainability},
volume = {12},
number = {11},
pages = {4722},
pmid = {39035707},
issn = {2071-1050},
abstract = {Population increase is exacerbating resource insecurities due to increased demand for already depleted resources. Coupled with climate change, they are the main drivers of both intra-(rural-urban and urban-urban) and inter-migration (from one country to the other). We carried out a systematic review of literature, focusing on available options to ensure water and food security, as well as improve the socio-economic environment, highlighting the drivers of migration in southern Africa. The aim was to develop informed adaptation strategies and build resilience in the advent of accelerated migration. We developed a migration conceptual framework based on the nexus between water, food and socio-economic interlinkages. Urban areas in southern Africa are under immense pressure to accommodate climate refugees from resource stressed rural areas, a situation that is impacting on agricultural production. Most urban areas are exceeding their ecological thresholds to support the built environment, causing some socio-ecological challenges. Nexus planning can inform adaptation planning on permissible migration that are aligned with regional goals such as regional integration, poverty reduction and improved livelihoods. This would also contribute to the region's achievements of the Sustainable Development Goals. Furthermore, through the identification of synergies and trade-offs, nexus planning can inform regional adaptation strategies for positively managing migration leading to sustainable outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid39035510,
year = {2024},
author = {Arshad, Z and Madaleno, M and Lillebø, AI and Vieira, H},
title = {Digitalization's contribution towards sustainable development and climate change mitigation: An empirical evidence from EU economies.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {13},
pages = {e33451},
pmid = {39035510},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The current study aims to test the usage of econometric and machine learning approaches to study the relationship between methane (CH4), a hydrocarbon component of natural gas, as a proxy of carbon emission, GDP as economic growth, financial development (FIN), and medium and high technologies as a proxy of information technology (ICT) and human development (HDI). This study observes two extended moderating effect models of human development index and financial development via medium and high technologies on carbon emissions over the 15-year periods from 2007 to 2021 for the 27 EU economies. Results indicate that when considered solely, ICT, economic growth, and HDI improve environmental quality and contribute to climate change mitigation, reducing methane emissions, whereas financial development seems to damage environmental quality. However, the crossed effects of ICT with HDI, and that of ICT with FIN, were considered in estimations, with results pointing out that those favorably affect climate change mitigation. Jointly considering ICT, HDI, and financial development proves to have a synergistic effect in promoting environmental health than each element on its own. Green and yellow countries were also identified revealing the countries for which a reduction and increase, respectively, in the value of methane emissions is predicted after three years. In the case of the entire panel, the STR (linear regression tree) algorithm predicts an average growth in methane emissions of around 3.64 %. Important policy directions are drawn considering the results obtained.},
}
@article {pmid39035491,
year = {2024},
author = {Arzo, S and Hong, M},
title = {Resilient green infrastructure: Navigating environmental resistance for sustainable development, social mobility in climate change policy.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {13},
pages = {e33524},
pmid = {39035491},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study explores the complex dynamics of environmental resistance, policy stability, skill development, and green initiatives in light of the growing worldwide concerns about climate change. COP27 and the G20 Summit show that as microcosm of the global discourse, provides a unique opportunity to study it. This research sought to thoroughly investigate, the links among green infrastructure, green technological innovation, policy stability, skill development, and their combined effects on social mobility and climate change (Case-1), it also discusses the global talk on climate change in COP27 and G20 (Case-2). In Case-1 data were analyzed through the use of structural equation modeling (SEM) by adopting a quantitative approach, and in Case-2 data were analyzed using theme analysis by applying a qualitative approach. Using a mixed-method research approach, the study surveyed 375 locals living close to the CPEC corridor quantitatively and interviewed ten important stakeholders, including elected officials, environmental activists, and community leaders, qualitatively. The survey highlighted the complex perspectives and experiences of citizens with green programs and environmental legislation in the CPEC zone. The study revealed the perceptions and experiences of residents regarding green initiatives and environmental policies within the CPEC region. Key stakeholders provided valuable insights into policy formulation and ongoing environmental sustainability efforts. The analysis unveiled intricate relationships between green infrastructure, technological innovation, policy stability, skill development, and their collective impact on climate change and social mobility. Notably, the study identified a critical research gap in understanding these dynamics within regions undergoing substantial economic development. Policy formulation and continuing environmental sustainability efforts were aided by key stakeholders' ideas. Green infrastructure, technological innovation, policy stability, skill development, and their overall influence on climate change and social mobility were all examined. Notably, the study found a critical research vacuum in understanding these processes inside rapidly developing economies. Policymakers, environmental groups, and communities managing the fine line between economic success and environmental responsibility will find great value in the findings. This study is unique because it examines issues on climate change from a local perspective in a region that is rapidly developing economically, it also adds value to the climate change challenges on the global level. This study presents a substantial theoretical contribution by examining the intricate interactions among environmental opposition, policy stability, skill development, and green initiatives within the CPEC against the backdrop of global climate change concerns.},
}
@article {pmid39034001,
year = {2024},
author = {Souza, NF and Leal, JS and Tourinho, L and Farjalla, VF and Rocha, DSB and Vale, MM},
title = {Bioindicator aquatic insects at risk from climate change in a biodiversity hotspot.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174824},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174824},
pmid = {39034001},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change can affect biological assemblages by shifting their species' geographic range and changing species richness. Aquatic insects represent more than half of the freshwater animal species but have been neglected mainly in climate change assessments, particularly in tropical ecosystems. Among the aquatic insect taxa, Ephemeroptera, Plecoptera, and Trichoptera (EPT) are well-known bioindicators of environmental changes and encompass an essential metric for rivers and streams' biomonitoring. Here, we use ecological niche models to project the impact of climate change on the distribution range and richness of EPT in the Atlantic Forest biodiversity hotspot. We found EPT to be at high risk from future climate change, with Plecoptera as the order of greatest concern. We projected range contraction of ca. 90 % of the analyzed EPT genera, resulting in a reduction in the richness of EPT genera under future climatic conditions. We projected >50 % contraction in the distribution of 50 % of Plecoptera, ≈14 % of Trichoptera, and ≈7 % of Ephemeroptera genera. The remaining climatically suitable regions in the Atlantic Forest are concentrated in the high-altitude areas, which may act as climate refuges for EPT biodiversity in the future. The projected changes in EPT's distribution range and richness may impact biomonitoring programs conducted in tropical ecosystems. Restricting EPT's geographic distribution may undermine its potential as a bioindicator and influence the composition of EPT assemblages at reference sites, which may lead to shifting baseline conditions. We reinforce the importance of considering future climatic conditions when planning long-term biomonitoring and priority areas for conservation.},
}
@article {pmid39032755,
year = {2024},
author = {Memarsadeghi, NP and Rowan, S and Sisco, AW and Tavakoly, AA},
title = {Enhancing resilience: Integrating future flood modeling and socio-economic analysis in the face of climate change impacts.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174893},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174893},
pmid = {39032755},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {As climate change intensifies, future floods will become more severe in some areas with geographic variation, necessitating that local and regional governments implement systems to provide information for climate adaptation, particularly for vulnerable populations. Therefore, we aimed to develop a methodology to identify areas that are at an increased risk from future floods and independently socially vulnerable. In this study, 100-year recurrence interval flood extents and depths were estimated using an ensemble of six independent Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 climate models for a past and future period under the highest-emissions climate scenario. The flood inundation results were related to social vulnerability for two selected study areas in the Mississippi River Basin. The range of flood extents and depths for both time periods were estimated, and differences were evaluated to determine the effects from climate change. To identify at-risk areas, the relationship between the spatial distribution of flood depths and vulnerability was then assessed. Finally, an analysis of the current and future damages on infrastructure from flooding on residential housing was performed to determine whether damages are correlated with higher vulnerability areas. Results show in every flooding scenario, flood extents and depths are increasing in the future compared with the past, ranging from an increase of 6 to 76 km[2] in extent across both locations. A statistically significant relationship between spatial clusters of flooding and of vulnerability was found. The infrastructure analysis found that residential structures in the most vulnerable census tracts are 6 to 59 times more likely to experience moderate damage compared with the least vulnerable tracts depending on scenario. Overall, a framework was established to holistically understand the hydrologic and socioeconomic impacts of climate change, and a methodology was developed to use for allocating resources at the local scale.},
}
@article {pmid39029763,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, F and Su, L and Du, Y and Li, H and Luo, J and Huang, X and Li, S and Zheng, F},
title = {No-interfered and visual evaluation of global warming impacts on phytoplankton-based copper bioavailability and then carbon sequestration.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174762},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174762},
pmid = {39029763},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global warming has an increasingly serious impact on the ecological environment. Copper bioavailability plays an important physiological role in revealing the mechanism of carbon cycle, photosynthesis, and respiration. Here we reported a multifunctional carbon quantum dots fluorescence probe for no-interfered and visual determination of phytoplankton-based intracellular Cu(II), glucose, and reactive oxygen species (ROS). Glucose and ROS were explored to reflect the change in primary biomass and carbon sequestration. H2O2 is acted as the standard material of ROS, and the fitting parameter for glucose and H2O2 concentrations was 0.42(r = 0.9972). Both glucose, ROS, and Cu[2+] detection have advantages of wide linear range (24.8-3.96 × 10[5] μg/L, 6-9.6 × 10[5] ng/L and 5-15 × 10[3] nmol/L, respectively), high precision (1.22 %, 6.38 %, and 7.37 %, respectively), and low detection limit (86.7 ng/L, 5.32 ng/L, and 0.367 nmol/L, respectively). Cu[2+] uptake was increased with the increasing of temperature, and the copper bioavailability in increasing order was Cu-PorPhyr > Cu-phthalate > Cu-EDTA. There were significant positive correlation between glucose and Cu[2+](r = 0.9943). Copper bioavailability would directly affect the carbon sequestration, i.e., when the concentration of intracellular copper increases by 1 mg/L, the content of intracellular glucose increases by 412 mg/L approximately, equally to 2.47 g/L of carbon dioxide was fixed.},
}
@article {pmid39029751,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, X and Liu, W and Feng, Q and Zeng, J},
title = {Multi-objective optimization of the spatial layout of green infrastructures with cost-effectiveness analysis under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174851},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174851},
pmid = {39029751},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Green infrastructure (GI) plays a significant role in alleviating urban flooding risk caused by urbanization and climate change. Due to space and financial limitations, the successful implementation of GI relies heavily on its layout design, and there is an increasing trend in using multi-objective optimization to support decision-making in GI planning. However, little is known about the hydrological effects of synchronously optimizing the size, location, and connection of GI under climate change. This study proposed a framework to optimize the size, location, and connection of typical GI facilities under climate change by combining the modified non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II) and storm water management model (SWMM). The results showed that optimizing the size, location, and connection of GI facilities significantly increases the maximum reduction rate of runoff and peak flow by 13.4 %-24.5 % and 3.3 %-18 %, respectively, compared to optimizing only the size and location of GI. In the optimized results, most of the runoff from building roofs flew toward green space. Permeable pavement accounted for the highest average proportion of GI implementation area in optimal layouts, accounting for 29.8 %-54.2 % of road area. The average cost-effectiveness (C/E) values decreased from 16 %/10[5] Yuan under the historical period scenario to 14.3 %/10[5] Yuan and 14 %/10[5] Yuan under the two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively. These results can help in understanding the optimization layout and cost-effectiveness of GI under climate change, and the proposed framework can enhance the adaptability of cities to climate change by providing specific cost-effective GI layout design.},
}
@article {pmid39029063,
year = {2024},
author = {Obeagu, EI and Obeagu, GU},
title = {Adapting to the shifting landscape: Implications of climate change for malaria control: A review.},
journal = {Medicine},
volume = {103},
number = {29},
pages = {e39010},
doi = {10.1097/MD.0000000000039010},
pmid = {39029063},
issn = {1536-5964},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Malaria/prevention &amp; control/transmission/epidemiology ; Humans ; Animals ; Mosquito Control/methods ; Ecosystem ; Mosquito Vectors ; },
abstract = {Malaria, a global public health challenge, continues to affect millions of lives, particularly in regions where its transmission is endemic. The interplay between climate change and malaria dynamics has emerged as a critical concern, reshaping the landscape of this vector-borne disease. This review publication, titled "Adapting to the shifting landscape: Implications of climate change for malaria control," explores the multifaceted relationship between climate change and the control of malaria. The paper begins by dissecting the influence of climate change on malaria dynamics, including alterations in temperature, precipitation, and other climatic factors that impact the habitat and life cycle of malaria vectors. It delves into the evolving ecology and behavior of malaria vectors in response to changing climatic conditions, emphasizing the importance of understanding these adaptations. As a response to this shifting landscape, the review discusses adaptive strategies for malaria control, ranging from vector control measures to the utilization of climate data in early warning systems. Community engagement and education are highlighted as essential components of these strategies, recognizing the vital role of local communities in effective malaria control efforts. The paper also identifies future directions and research needs, underscoring the importance of staying ahead of the evolving climate-malaria relationship. This review underscores the urgency of adapting to the changing landscape of malaria transmission driven by climate change. It emphasizes the significance of proactively addressing climate-related challenges to enhance malaria control and protect the health and well-being of vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid39028532,
year = {2024},
author = {Solano, JH and Moitinho, MA and Chiaramonte, JB and Bononi, L and Packer, AP and Melo, IS and Dini-Andreote, F and Tsai, SM and Taketani, RG},
title = {Organic matter decay and bacterial community succession in mangroves under simulated climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Brazilian journal of microbiology : [publication of the Brazilian Society for Microbiology]},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39028532},
issn = {1678-4405},
support = {2013/03158-4//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; 2013/23470-2//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; 2015/23102-9//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; },
abstract = {Mangroves are coastal environments that provide resources for adjacent ecosystems due to their high productivity, organic matter decomposition, and carbon cycling by microbial communities in sediments. Since the industrial revolution, the increase of Greenhouse Gases (GHG) released due to fossil fuel burning led to many environmental abnormalities such as an increase in average temperature and ocean acidification. Based on the hypothesis that climate change modifies the microbial diversity associated with decaying organic matter in mangrove sediments, this study aimed to evaluate the microbial diversity under simulated climate change conditions during the litter decomposition process and the emission of GHG. Thus, microcosms containing organic matter from the three main plant species found in mangroves throughout the State of São Paulo, Brazil (Rhizophora mangle, Laguncularia racemosa, and Avicennia schaueriana) were incubated simulating climate changes (increase in temperature and pH). The decay rate was higher in the first seven days of incubation, but the differences between the simulated treatments were minor. GHG fluxes were higher in the first ten days and higher in samples under increased temperature. The variation in time resulted in substantial impacts on α-diversity and community composition, initially with a greater abundance of Gammaproteobacteria for all plant species despite the climate conditions variations. The PCoA analysis reveals the chronological sequence in β-diversity, indicating the increase of Deltaproteobacteria at the end of the process. The GHG emission varied in function of the organic matter source with an increase due to the elevated temperature, concurrent with the rise in the Deltaproteobacteria population. Thus, these results indicate that under the expected climate change scenario for the end of the century, the decomposition rate and GHG emissions will be potentially higher, leading to a harmful feedback loop of GHG production. This process can happen independently of an impact on the bacterial community structure due to these changes.},
}
@article {pmid39027508,
year = {2024},
author = {Bojago, E and Tessema, A and Ngare, I},
title = {GIS-based spatio-temporal analysis of rainfall trends under climate change in different agro-ecological zones of Wolaita zone, south Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {13},
pages = {e33235},
pmid = {39027508},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of climatic conditions within a region is paramount for informed rural planning and decision-making processes, particularly in light of the prevailing challenges posed by climate change and variability. This study undertook an assessment of the spatial and temporal patterns of rainfall trends across various agro-ecological zones (AEZs) within Wolaita, utilizing data collected from ten strategically positioned rain gauge stations. The detection of trends and their magnitudes was facilitated through the application of the Mann-Kendall (MKs) test in conjunction with Sen's slope estimator. Spatial variability and temporal trends of rainfall were further analyzed utilizing ArcGIS10.8 environment and XLSTAT with R programming tools. The outcomes derived from ordinary kriging analyses unveiled notable disparities in the coefficient of variability (CV) for mean annual rainfall across distinct AEZs. Specifically, observations indicated that lowland regions exhibit relatively warmer climates and lower precipitation levels compared to their highland counterparts. Within the lowland AEZs, the majority of stations showcased statistically non-significant positive trends (p > 0.05) in annual rainfall, whereas approximately two-thirds of midland AEZ stations depicted statistically non-significant negative trends. Conversely, over half of the stations situated within highland AEZs displayed statistically non-significant positive trends in annual rainfall. During the rainy season, highland AEZs experienced higher precipitation levels, while the south-central midland areas received a moderate amount of rainfall. In contrast, the northeast and southeast lowland AEZs consistently received diminished rainfall across all seasons compared to other regions. This study underscores the necessity for the climate resilient development and implementation of spatiotemporally informed interventions through implementing region-specific adaptation strategies, such as water conservation measures and crop diversification, to mitigate the potential impact of changing rainfall patterns on agricultural productivity in Wolaita.},
}
@article {pmid39026963,
year = {2024},
author = {Ran, W and Chen, J and Zhao, Y and Zhang, N and Luo, G and Zhao, Z and Song, Y},
title = {Global climate change-driven impacts on the Asian distribution of Limassolla leafhoppers, with implications for biological and environmental conservation.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e70003},
pmid = {39026963},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Knowing the impacts of global climate change on the habitat suitability distribution of Limassolla leafhoppers contributes to understanding the feedback of organisms on climate change from a macroecological perspective, and provides important scientific basis for protecting the ecological environment and biodiversity. However, there is limited knowledge on this aspect. Thus, our study aimed to address this gap by analyzing Asian habitat suitability and centroid shifts of Limassolla based on 19 bioclimatic variables and occurrence records. Selecting five ecological niche models with the outstanding predictive performance (Maxlike, generalized linear model, generalized additive model, random forest, and maximum entropy) along with their ensemble model from 12 models, the current habitat suitability of Limassolla and its future habitat suitability under two Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) in the 2050s and 2090s were predicted. The results showed that the prediction results of the five models are generally consistent. Based on ensemble model, 11 potential biodiversity hotspots with high suitability were identified. With climate change, the suitable range of Limassolla will experience both expansion and contraction. In SSP5-8.52050s, the expansion area is 118.56 × 10[4] km[2], while the contraction area is 25.40 × 10[4] km[2]; in SSP1-2.62090s, the expansion area is 91.71 × 10[4] km[2], and the contraction area is 26.54 × 10[4] km[2]. Furthermore, the distribution core of Limassolla will shift toward higher latitudes in the northeast direction, and the precipitation of warmest quarter was found to have the greatest impact on the distribution of Limassolla. Our research results supported our four hypotheses. Finally, this research suggests establishing ecological reserves in identified contraction to prevent habitat loss, enhancing the protection of biodiversity hotspots, and pursuing a sustainable development path with reduced emissions.},
}
@article {pmid39026961,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Chang, N and Li, H and Wei, X and Shi, Y and Li, K and Li, J and Guo, C and Liu, Q},
title = {Impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of Pulex simulans and Polygenis gwyni.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e11621},
pmid = {39026961},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Pulex simulans and Polygenis gwyni are vectors of many flea-borne diseases. They were widely recorded in the United States and Mexico between 1970 and 2000. Maximum entropy models were used to explore the habitats of both fleas under different climate scenarios to provide the scientific basis for the surveillance and control of flea-borne diseases. We screened climate variables by principal component analysis and Pearson's correlation test and evaluated model performance by ROC curve. ArcMap was used to visualize expressions. Under current climatic conditions, the medium and highly suitable areas for P. simulans are estimated to be 9.16 × 10[6] km[2] and 4.97 × 10[6] km[2], respectively. These regions are predominantly located in South America, along the Mediterranean coast of Europe, the southern part of the African continent, the Middle East, North China, and Australia. For P. gwyni, the medium and highly suitable areas under current climatic conditions are approximately 4.01 × 10[6] and 2.04 × 10[6] km[2], respectively, with the primary distribution in North China extending to the Himalayas, near the Equator in Africa, and in a few areas of Europe. Under future climate scenarios, in the SSP3-7.0 scenario for the years 2081-2100, the area of high suitability for P. simulans is projected to reach its maximum. Similarly, in the SSP2-4.5 scenario for 2061-2080, the area of high suitability for P. gwyni is expected to reach its maximum. Under global climate change, there is a large range in the potential distribution for both fleas, with an overall upward trend in the area of habitat under future climate scenarios. Governments should develop scientific prevention and control measures to prevent the invasive alien species flea.},
}
@article {pmid39026959,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, X and Li, Z and Zhang, L and Wang, Y and Liu, Y and Ma, Y},
title = {The optimized Maxent model reveals the pattern of distribution and changes in the suitable cultivation areas for Reaumuria songarica being driven by climate change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e70015},
pmid = {39026959},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Reaumuria songarica, a drought-resistant shrub, is widely distributed and plays a crucial role in the northern deserts of China. It is a key species for desert rehabilitation and afforestation efforts. Using the Maxent model to predict suitable planting areas for R. songarica is an important strategy for combating desertification. With 184 occurrence points of R. songarica and 13 environmental variables, the optimized Maxent model has identified the main limiting factors for its distribution. Distribution patterns and variation trends of R. songarica were projected for current and future climates (2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) and different scenarios (ssp_126, ssp_370, and ssp_585). Results show that setting parameters to RM (regulation multiplier) = 4 and FC (feature combination) = LQHPT yields a model with good accuracy and high reliability. Currently, R. songarica is primarily suitable for desert control in eight provinces and autonomous regions, including Inner Mongolia, Xinjiang, Qinghai, and Ningxia. The total suitable planting area is 148.80 × 10[4] km[2], representing 15.45% of China's land area. Precipitation (Precipitation of the wettest month, Precipitation of the warmest quarter, and Annual precipitation) and Ultraviolet-B seasonality are the primary environmental factors limiting the growth and distribution of R. songarica. Mean temperature of the warmest quarter is the primary factor driving changes in the distribution of suitable areas for R. songarica under future climate scenarios. In future climate scenarios, the suitable planting area of R. songarica will shrink, and the distribution center will shift towards higher latitude, potentially indicate further desertification. The area of highly suitable habitat has increased, while moderately and less suitable habitat areas have decreased. Increased precipitation within R. songarica's water tolerance range is favorable for its growth and reproduction. With changes in the suitable cultivation area for R. songarica, priority should be given to exploring and utilizing its germplasm resources. Introduction and cultivation can be conducted in expanding regions, while scientifically effective measures should be implemented to protect germplasm resources in contracting regions. The findings of this study provide a theoretical basis for addressing desertification resulting from climate change and offer practical insights for the development, utilization, introduction, and cultivation of R. songarica germplasm resources.},
}
@article {pmid39026127,
year = {2024},
author = {Vlahov, D and Kurth, A},
title = {The "15-Minute City" Concept in the Context of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39026127},
issn = {1468-2869},
}
@article {pmid39025837,
year = {2024},
author = {Hollenbeck, EC and Sax, DF},
title = {Experimental evidence of climate change extinction risk in Neotropical montane epiphytes.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {6045},
pmid = {39025837},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {GRF 1644760//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; IGERT DGE 0966060//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; NA//Brown | Institute at Brown for Environment and Society, Brown University (IBES)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Extinction, Biological ; *Tropical Climate ; *Ecosystem ; Temperature ; Central America ; Altitude ; Plants ; },
abstract = {Climate change is conjectured to endanger tropical species, particularly in biodiverse montane regions, but accurate estimates of extinction risk are limited by a lack of empirical data demonstrating tropical species' sensitivity to climate. To fill this gap, studies could match high-quality distribution data with multi-year transplant experiments. Here, we conduct field surveys of epiphyte distributions on three mountains in Central America and perform reciprocal transplant experiments on one mountain across sites that varied in elevation, temperature and aridity. We find that most species are unable to survive outside of their narrow elevational distributions. Additionally, our findings suggest starkly different outcomes from temperature conditions expected by 2100 under different climate change scenarios. Under temperatures associated with low-emission scenarios, most tropical montane epiphyte species will survive, but under emission scenarios that are moderately high, 5-36% of our study species may go extinct and 10-55% of populations may be lost. Using a test of tropical species' climate tolerances from a large field experiment, paired with detailed species distribution data across multiple mountains, our work strengthens earlier conjecture about risks of wide-spread extinctions from climate change in tropical montane ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39024911,
year = {2024},
author = {Stipcich, P and Guala, I and La Manna, G and Merella, MM and Pansini, A and Vargiu, R and Fraschetti, S and Ceccherelli, G},
title = {How the seagrass Posidonia oceanica flowering will benefit from climate change.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {206},
number = {},
pages = {116721},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2024.116721},
pmid = {39024911},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {This study aimed at identifying the importance of the thermal framework preceding Posidonia oceanica flowering induction (autumn before the flowering year) and anthesis (summer of the flowering year). In 53 locations of Sardinia (Italy), 35 vertical shoots were collected in 2001, 2020 and 2023 and analyzed through lepidochronology, detecting past flowering events from 1991 to 2022. Flowering probability was positively correlated with autumn SST range and MHWs, stressing the importance of the temperature in the year preceding the flowering. Summer SST mean and Marine Cold Spell duration (the latter emerged as a novel outcome) also positively influenced flowering. A negative association was highlighted with the summer SST range. As the occurrence of MHWs will increase, and the SST range will also increase in the autumn and decrease in the summer, P. oceanica might benefit through a higher flowering frequency, leading to a greater resilience to disturbances due to higher genetic variation.},
}
@article {pmid39024372,
year = {2024},
author = {Baigaliyeva, M and Mount, N and Gosling, SN and McGowan, S},
title = {Unravelling long-term impact of water abstraction and climate change on endorheic lakes: A case study of Shortandy Lake in Central Asia.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {e0305721},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0305721},
pmid = {39024372},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Lakes ; *Climate Change ; Humans ; Asia, Central ; Hydrology ; Models, Theoretical ; Water ; },
abstract = {Endorheic lakes, lacking river outflows, are highly sensitive to environmental changes and human interventions. Central Asia (CA) has over 6000 lakes that have experienced substantial water level variability in the past century, yet causes of recent changes in many lakes remain unexplored. Modelling hydrological processes for CA lakes poses challenges in separating climatic change impacts from human management impacts due to limited data and long-term variability in hydrological regimes. This study developed a spatially lumped empirical model to investigate the effects of climate change and human water abstraction, using Shortandy Lake in Burabay National Nature Park (BNNP) as a case study. Modelling results show a significant water volume decline from 231.7x106m3 in 1986 to 172.5x106m3 in 2016, primarily driven by anthropogenic water abstraction, accounting for 92% of the total volume deficit. The highest rates of water abstraction (greater than 25% of annual outflow) occurred from 1989 to 1993, coinciding with the driest period. Since 2013, the water volume has increased due to increased precipitation and, more importantly, reduced water abstraction. Despite limited observational data with which to calibrate the model, it performs well. Our analysis underscores the challenges in modelling lakes in data-sparse regions such as CA, and highlights the importance and benefits of developing lake water balance models for the region.},
}
@article {pmid39023725,
year = {2024},
author = {Gervasio, MP and Soana, E and Gavioli, A and Vincenzi, F and Castaldelli, G},
title = {Contrasting effects of climate change on denitrification and nitrogen load reduction in the Po River (Northern Italy).},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39023725},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {An increase in water temperature is one of the main factors that can potentially modify biogeochemical dynamics in lowland rivers, such as the removal and recycling of nitrogen (N). This effect of climate change on N processing deserves attention, as it may have unexpected impacts on eutrophication in the coastal zones. Intact sediment cores were collected seasonally at the closing section of the Po River, the largest Italian river and one of the main N inputs to the Mediterranean Sea. Benthic oxygen fluxes, denitrification, and dissimilatory nitrate reduction to ammonium (DNRA) rates were measured using laboratory dark incubations. Different temperature treatments were set up for each season based on historical data and future predictions. Higher water temperatures enhanced sediment oxygen demand and the extent of hypoxic conditions in the benthic compartment, favoring anaerobic metabolism. Indeed, warming water temperature stimulated nitrate (NO3[-]) reduction processes, although NO3[-] and organic matter availability were found to be the main controlling factors shaping the rates between seasons. Denitrification was the main process responsible for NO3[-] removal, mainly supported by NO3[-] diffusion from the water column into the sediments, and much more important than N recycling via DNRA. The predicted increase in the water temperature of the Po River due to climate change may exert an unexpected negative feedback on eutrophication by strongly controlling denitrification and contributing to partial buffering of N export in the lagoons and coastal areas, especially in spring.},
}
@article {pmid39021785,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, Y and Smith, P and Qin, Z},
title = {Sustainable bioenergy contributes to cost-effective climate change mitigation in China.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {7},
pages = {110232},
pmid = {39021785},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Bioenergy development is critical for achieving carbon neutrality. Biomass residues from agriculture, forest, and livestock manure provide substantial bioenergy resources in China, but their availability, climate, and economic impacts have not been evaluated systematically. Here we assess biomass sustainability, bioenergy potential, greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) reduction, and cost-effectiveness using an integrated data-modeling approach. Nationally, only 27% of biomass can be used for sustainable bioenergy production, but can contribute to significant climate change mitigation with optimized regional utilization. The annual GHG reduction can reach 1.0 Gt CO2e for bioenergy, or 1.4 Gt CO2e for bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), which is comparable to total terrestrial ecosystem carbon sinks in China. The abatement cost varies regionally but is lower than many other carbon removal technologies. Our findings reveal region-specific bioenergy pathways that contribute to carbon neutrality, and encourage future assessments to explore factors including technological advances and carbon markets.},
}
@article {pmid39021778,
year = {2024},
author = {Acosta, D and Barrow, A and Mahamadou, IS and Assuncao, VS and Edwards, ME and McKune, SL},
title = {Climate change and health in the Sahel: a systematic review.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {11},
number = {7},
pages = {231602},
pmid = {39021778},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {The Sahel region is projected to be highly impacted by the more frequent hazards associated with climate change, including increased temperature, drought and flooding. This systematic review examined the evidence for climate change-related health consequences in the Sahel. The databases used were Medline (PubMed), Embase (Ovid), Web of Science (Clarivate) and CABI Global Health. Hand searches were also conducted, which included directly engaging Sahelian researchers and hand-searching in the African Journals Online database. Of the 4153 studies found, 893 were identified as duplicates and the remaining 3260 studies were screened (title and abstract only) and then assessed for eligibility. A total of 81 studies were included in the systematic review. Most studies focused on vector-borne diseases, food security, nutrition and heat-related stress. Findings suggest that mosquito distribution will shift under different climate scenarios, but this relationship will not be linear with temperature, as there are other variables to consider. Food insecurity, stunting (chronic malnutrition) and heat-related mortality are likely to increase if no action is taken owing to the projected impact of climate change on environmental factors and agriculture. Seventy-one per cent of manuscripts (n = 58) had first authors from institutions in North America or Europe, of which 39.7% (n = 23) included co-authors from African institutions.},
}
@article {pmid39022649,
year = {2023},
author = {Rose, KC and Bierwagen, B and Bridgham, SD and Carlisle, DM and Hawkins, CP and Poff, NL and Read, JS and Rohr, J and Saros, JE and Williamson, CE},
title = {Indicators of the effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems.},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {173},
number = {23},
pages = {1-20},
pmid = {39022649},
issn = {0165-0009},
abstract = {Freshwater ecosystems, including lakes, streams, and wetlands, are responsive to climate change and other natural and anthropogenic stresses. These ecosystems are frequently hydrologically and ecologically connected with one another and their surrounding landscapes, thereby integrating changes throughout their watersheds. The responses of any given freshwater ecosystem to climate change depend on the magnitude of climate forcing, interactions with other anthropogenic and natural changes, and the characteristics of the ecosystem itself. Therefore, the magnitude and manner in which freshwater ecosystems respond to climate change is difficult to predict a priori. We present a conceptual model to elucidate how freshwater ecosystems are altered by climate change. We identify eleven indicators that describe the response of freshwater ecosystems to climate change, discuss their potential value and limitations, and describe supporting measurements. Indicators are organized in three inter-related categories: hydrologic, water quality, and ecosystem structure and function. The indicators are supported by data sets with a wide range of temporal and spatial coverage, and they inform important scientific and management needs. Together, these indicators improve the understanding and management of the effects of climate change on freshwater ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid39020395,
year = {2024},
author = {Gontijo, JB and Paula, FS and Bieluczyk, W and França, AG and Navroski, D and Mandro, JA and Venturini, AM and Asselta, FO and Mendes, LW and Moura, JMS and Moreira, MZ and Nüsslein, K and Bohannan, BJM and Bodelier, PLE and Rodrigues, JLM and Tsai, SM},
title = {Methane-cycling microbial communities from Amazon floodplains and upland forests respond differently to simulated climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Environmental microbiome},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {48},
pmid = {39020395},
issn = {2524-6372},
support = {2018/14974-0//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; 2014/50320-4//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; Finance Code 001//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 311008/2016-0//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; },
abstract = {Seasonal floodplains in the Amazon basin are important sources of methane (CH4), while upland forests are known for their sink capacity. Climate change effects, including shifts in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures, may alter the functionality of soil microbial communities, leading to uncertain changes in CH4 cycling dynamics. To investigate the microbial feedback under climate change scenarios, we performed a microcosm experiment using soils from two floodplains (i.e., Amazonas and Tapajós rivers) and one upland forest. We employed a two-factorial experimental design comprising flooding (with non-flooded control) and temperature (at 27 °C and 30 °C, representing a 3 °C increase) as variables. We assessed prokaryotic community dynamics over 30 days using 16S rRNA gene sequencing and qPCR. These data were integrated with chemical properties, CH4 fluxes, and isotopic values and signatures. In the floodplains, temperature changes did not significantly affect the overall microbial composition and CH4 fluxes. CH4 emissions and uptake in response to flooding and non-flooding conditions, respectively, were observed in the floodplain soils. By contrast, in the upland forest, the higher temperature caused a sink-to-source shift under flooding conditions and reduced CH4 sink capability under dry conditions. The upland soil microbial communities also changed in response to increased temperature, with a higher percentage of specialist microbes observed. Floodplains showed higher total and relative abundances of methanogenic and methanotrophic microbes compared to forest soils. Isotopic data from some flooded samples from the Amazonas river floodplain indicated CH4 oxidation metabolism. This floodplain also showed a high relative abundance of aerobic and anaerobic CH4 oxidizing Bacteria and Archaea. Taken together, our data indicate that CH4 cycle dynamics and microbial communities in Amazonian floodplain and upland forest soils may respond differently to climate change effects. We also highlight the potential role of CH4 oxidation pathways in mitigating CH4 emissions in Amazonian floodplains.},
}
@article {pmid39019767,
year = {2024},
author = {Kwon, Y and Jin, Y and Lee, JH and Sun, C and Ryu, CM},
title = {Rice rhizobiome engineering for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Trends in plant science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tplants.2024.06.006},
pmid = {39019767},
issn = {1878-4372},
abstract = {The year 2023 was the warmest year since 1850. Greenhouse gases, including CO2 and methane, played a significant role in increasing global warming. Among these gases, methane has a 25-fold greater impact on global warming than CO2. Methane is emitted during rice cultivation by a group of rice rhizosphere microbes, termed methanogens, in low oxygen (hypoxic) conditions. To reduce methane emissions, it is crucial to decrease the methane production capacity of methanogens through water and fertilizer management, breeding of new rice cultivars, regulating root exudation, and manipulating rhizosphere microbiota. In this opinion article we review the recent developments in hypoxia ecology and methane emission mitigation and propose potential solutions based on the manipulation of microbiota and methanogens for the mitigation of methane emissions.},
}
@article {pmid39019218,
year = {2024},
author = {Sparling, TM and Offner, C and Deeney, M and Denton, P and Bash, K and Juel, R and Moore, S and Kadiyala, S},
title = {Intersections of climate change with food systems, nutrition, and health: an overview and evidence map.},
journal = {Advances in nutrition (Bethesda, Md.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100274},
doi = {10.1016/j.advnut.2024.100274},
pmid = {39019218},
issn = {2156-5376},
abstract = {Scientific research linking climate change to food systems, nutrition and nutrition-related health (FSNH) has proliferated, showing bidirectional and compounding dependencies that create cascading risks for human and planetary health. Within this proliferation, it is unclear which evidence to prioritise for action, and which research gaps, if filled, would catalyse most impact. We systematically searched for synthesis literature (i.e. reviews) related to FSNH, published after January 1, 2018. We screened and extracted characteristics of these reviews and mapped them in an interactive Evidence and Gap Map (EGM), supplemented by expert consultation. 844 synthesis reports met inclusion criteria (from 2,739 records) and were included in the EGM. The largest clusters of reports were those describing climate impacts on crop and animal source food (ASF) production, and emissions from such (86%). Comparatively few reports assessed climate change impacts on nutrition-related health, or food manufacture, processing, storage, and transportation. Reports focused on strategies of climate adaptation (40%), mitigation (29%), both (19%) or none (12%). Only one quarter of reports critically evaluated equity (25%), and fewer reports suggested that changes to equity and equitable practices would alter climate-FSNH dynamics (6%). The expert consultation mirrored the results of the EGM, and contextualised findings further. This novel map describes a wide research landscape linking climate change to FSNH. We identified four key research gaps, including 1) Research on whole food systems or post-harvest elements 2) Research evaluating relationships between climate change and nutrition-related health outcomes, especially among vulnerable populations; 3) Promising methods (and additional data required) that can a) identify inflection points or levers for intervention, b) incorporate complex dynamics and characterize trade-offs, c) be understood and applied in context-specific, localised ways for decision-making; and 4) Research undertaken through interdisciplinary collaborations that enables producing and translating evidence to action, especially those that inherently consider co-production and fairness.},
}
@article {pmid39019140,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, X and Zheng, R and Wan, Z and Zhang, Z},
title = {Differences of soil carbon pools and crop growth across different typical agricultural fields in China: the role of geochemistry and climate change.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119623},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119623},
pmid = {39019140},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Carbon storage and the aboveground biomass of farmland provide practical significance for understanding global changes and ensuring food production and quality. Based on soil carbon storage, aboveground biomass, climate, geochemistry, and other data from 19 farmland ecological stations in China, we analyzed the distribution characteristics of farmland carbon storage in topsoil and aboveground biomass. We notably revealed the response direction and degree of climate and geochemical factors to farmland carbon storage in topsoil and aboveground biomass. The results indicated that the average carbon stocks of farmland in different regions ranged from 0.28 to 7.91 kg m[-2], the average fresh weight of the aboveground biomass (FAB) ranged from 1370.64 to 5997.28 g m[-2], and the average dry weight of the aboveground biomass (DAB) ranged from 119.95 to 852.35 g m[-2]. The least angle regression (LARS) and the best subsection selection regression (BSS) showed that evapotranspiration and extreme low temperatures were significant climatic factors affecting carbon sequestration and aboveground biomass on long-time scales. The linear mixed-effects model (LMM) further showed that AN and AP had significant long-term effects on carbon sequestration and aboveground biomass (p<0.05), with AN having the highest contribution to SOC%, FAB, and DAB. The structural equation model (SEM) showed that carbon sequestration and aboveground biomass in agricultural fields were significantly positively correlated (p<0.05). Moreover, the climate had a less direct contribution to carbon sequestration and above-ground biomass compared to geochemistry (PCc<0.1<PCG), and its effect was more indirect. When the geochemical variables were removed, the correlation between climate and carbon and aboveground biomass variables decreased significantly. We conclude that it is possible that extremes climate and geochemistry control carbon sequestration and above-ground biomass in long-term cropland through interactions in the context of global change, which provides new insights into the evolution of soil organic carbon in long-term cropland and the scientific formulation of policies to increase food production and preserve quality.},
}
@article {pmid39018839,
year = {2024},
author = {Vangi, E and Dalmonech, D and Cioccolo, E and Marano, G and Bianchini, L and Puchi, PF and Grieco, E and Cescatti, A and Colantoni, A and Chirici, G and Collalti, A},
title = {Stand age diversity (and more than climate change) affects forests' resilience and stability, although unevenly.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121822},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121822},
pmid = {39018839},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Stand age significantly influences the functioning of forest ecosystems by shaping structural and physiological plant traits, affecting water and carbon budgets. Forest age distribution is determined by the interplay of tree mortality and regeneration, influenced by both natural and anthropogenic disturbances. Unfortunately, human-driven alteration of tree age distribution presents an underexplored avenue for enhancing forest stability and resilience. In our study, we investigated how age impacts the stability and resilience of the forest carbon budget under both current and future climate conditions. We employed a state-of-the-science biogeochemical, biophysical, validated process-based model on historically managed forest stands, projecting their future as undisturbed systems, i.e., left at their natural evolution with no management interventions (i.e., forests are left to develop undisturbed). Such a model, forced by climate data from five Earth System Models under four representative climate scenarios and one baseline scenario to disentangle the effect of climate change, spanned several age classes as representative of the current European forests' context, for each stand. Our findings indicate that Net Primary Production (NPP) peaks in the young and middle-aged classes (16- to 50-year-old), aligning with longstanding ecological theories, regardless of the climate scenario. Under climate change, the beech forest exhibited an increase in NPP and maintained stability across all age classes, while resilience remained constant with rising atmospheric CO2 and temperatures. However, NPP declined under climate change scenarios for the Norway spruce and Scots pine sites. In these coniferous forests, stability and resilience were more influenced. These results underscore the necessity of accounting for age class diversity -lacking in most, if not all, the current Global Vegetation Models - for reliable and robust assessments of the impacts of climate change on future forests' stability and resilience capacity. We, therefore, advocate for customized management strategies that enhance the adaptability of forests to changing climatic conditions, taking into account the diverse responses of different species and age groups to climate.},
}
@article {pmid39017872,
year = {2024},
author = {Szalińska, E and Jarosińska, E and Orlińska-Woźniak, P and Jakusik, E and Warzecha, W and Ogar, W and Wilk, P},
title = {Total nitrogen and phosphorus loads in surface runoff from urban land use (city of Lublin) under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39017872},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {IDUB 501.696.7996/L-34//Akademia G&#xf3;rniczo-Hutnicza im. Stanislawa Staszica/ ; },
abstract = {An expansion of impervious surfaces in urban areas leads to increases of nutrient loads discharged with the surface runoff to receivers. A study of a different density of urban development impact on total nitrogen (TN) and phosphorus (TP) loads from the city of Lublin (eastern Poland) with the use of the SWAT (Soil &amp; Water Assessment Tool) model was performed. To distinguish between areas with high and low density of urban development (UHD and ULD), a special analysis of hydrological parameters has been proposed. Moreover, to investigate the impact of climate change, four variant scenarios were taken into account, combining the RCP (representative concentration pathway) 4.5 and 8.5 forecasts and the adopted time horizons (2026-2035 and 2046-2055). The results showed a much higher share of TN and TP from UHD compared to ULD (86%-32 022 kg/year and 89%-2574 kg/year, respectively). In addition, the variant scenarios showed that the forecasted increase in precipitation and temperature will result in increased loads of nutrients from UHD and ULD up to 30%. Furthermore, the current increase of inhabitant number, due to the Ukrainian war migration and the common tendency to convert agricultural land to residential areas, could contribute to further expansion of UHD and ULD areas and an additional increase of nutrient loads.},
}
@article {pmid39017762,
year = {2024},
author = {Abouelhassan, EM and GadAllah, S and Kamel, MS and Kamal, M and Elsayed, HH and Sallam, NH and Okely, M},
title = {Molecular identification and morphological variations of Amblyomma lepidum imported to Egypt, with notes about its potential distribution under climate change.},
journal = {Parasitology research},
volume = {123},
number = {7},
pages = {276},
pmid = {39017762},
issn = {1432-1955},
mesh = {Animals ; *Camelus/parasitology ; Egypt ; *Tick Infestations/parasitology/veterinary ; Male ; *Phylogeny ; *Climate Change ; *Amblyomma/anatomy &amp; histology/genetics/physiology/classification/growth &amp; development ; Female ; RNA, Ribosomal, 16S/genetics ; Sudan ; },
abstract = {The tick Amblyomma lepidum is an ectoparasite of veterinary importance due to its role in transmitting livestock diseases in Africa, including heartwater. This study was conducted in 2023 to monitor Amblyomma spp. infestation in dromedary camels imported from Somalia, Ethiopia, and Sudan to Egypt. This study inspected 200 camels at the Giza governorate's camel market that had been imported from Somalia, 200 from Ethiopia, and 200 from Sudan for tick infestation. Specimens were identified using morphological characteristics and phylogenetic analyses of the 12S and 16S rRNA genes. Clusters were calculated using an unweighted pair-group method with arithmetic averages (UPGMA) dendrogram to group the specimens according to their morphometric characteristics. The morphometric analysis compared the body shape of ticks collected from different countries by analyzing dorsal features. Principal component analysis (PCA) and canonical variate analysis (CVA) were performed to obtain body shape variation among specimens from different countries. Results indicated that camels were infested by 57 males Amblyomma lepidum, and no female specimens were observed; among these specimens, one may have a morphological abnormality. The results suggest that A. lepidum specimens collected from camels imported to Egypt from African countries exhibit locally adapted morphology with variations among specimens, particularly variations in body size. This adaptation suggests minimal potential for genetic divergence. Ecological niche modeling was used to predict the areas in Africa with suitable climates for A. lepidum. The study confirmed that East African countries might have the most favorable climatic conditions for A. lepidum to thrive. Interestingly, the amount of rain during the wettest quarter (Bio16) had the strongest influence on the tick's potential distribution, with suitability decreasing sharply as rainfall increased. Future predictions indicate that the climatic habitat suitability for A. lepidum will decrease under changing climate conditions. However, historical, current, and future predictions indicate no suitable climatic habitats for A. lepidum in Egypt. These findings demand continuous surveillance of A. lepidum in camel populations and the development of targeted strategies to manage tick infestations and prevent the spread of heartwater disease.},
}
@article {pmid39017546,
year = {2023},
author = {Hassol, SJ},
title = {Changing the Language of Climate Change: Choosing words and stories that speak to people's priorities can build the will needed to implement climate solutions.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {2},
pages = {64},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0223-64},
pmid = {39017546},
issn = {0036-8733},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Language ; },
}
@article {pmid39020583,
year = {2021},
author = {Jackson, RJ and Frumkin, H},
title = {Needed: Climate Change and Health Institute.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {324},
number = {4},
pages = {9},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0421-9},
pmid = {39020583},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017520,
year = {2024},
author = {Oreskes, N},
title = {Gaslighting by the Gas Industry: A fossil-fuel executive blames the public for climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {331},
number = {1},
pages = {96},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican072024-4879OYKZNBesOI8GL6por6},
pmid = {39017520},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017440,
year = {2024},
author = {Jiménez, G},
title = {Whirlwind Conversation: Hurricanes boost social chatter about climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {330},
number = {3},
pages = {16},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0324-16b},
pmid = {39017440},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017402,
year = {2023},
author = {Cosier, S},
title = {Zeroing In: Supercomputer network could predict climate change effects down to the neighborhood.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {329},
number = {4},
pages = {16},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican1123-16b},
pmid = {39017402},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017382,
year = {2024},
author = {Ritchie, H},
title = {What We Learned from Acid Rain: By working together, the nations of the world can solve climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {330},
number = {1},
pages = {75},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0124-75},
pmid = {39017382},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017373,
year = {2024},
author = {Youmshajekian, L},
title = {Quick Hits: Deciphering a scorched scroll from ancient Herculaneum, unlikely flavors in climate-change-affected wine, an undiscovered ore found in China, and more in this month's Quick Hits.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {330},
number = {1},
pages = {19},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0124-19b},
pmid = {39017373},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017260,
year = {2023},
author = {Fox, D},
title = {A Stratospheric Gamble: The effects of global warming have gotten so bad, so fast that some scientists say it's time to start engineering the sky.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {329},
number = {3},
pages = {30},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican1023-30},
pmid = {39017260},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016072,
year = {2024},
author = {Matich, P and Plumlee, JD and Bubley, W and Curtis, TH and Drymon, JM and Mullins, LL and Shipley, ON and TinHan, TC and Fisher, MR},
title = {Long-term effects of climate change on juvenile bull shark migratory patterns.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14140},
pmid = {39016072},
issn = {1365-2656},
abstract = {Seasonal variability in environmental conditions is a strong determinant of animal migrations, but warming temperatures associated with climate change are anticipated to alter this phenomenon with unknown consequences. We used a 40-year fishery-independent survey to assess how a changing climate has altered the migration timing, duration and first-year survival of juvenile bull sharks (Carcharhinus leucas). From 1982 to 2021, estuaries in the western Gulf of Mexico (Texas) experienced a mean increase of 1.55°C in autumn water temperatures, and delays in autumn cold fronts by ca. 0.5 days per year. Bull shark migrations in more northern estuaries concomitantly changed, with departures 25-36 days later in 2021 than in 1982. Later, migrations resulted in reduced overwintering durations by up to 81 days, and the relative abundance of post-overwintering age 0-1 sharks increased by >50% during the 40-year study period. Yet, reductions in prey availability were the most influential factor delaying migrations. Juvenile sharks remained in natal estuaries longer when prey were less abundant. Long-term declines in prey reportedly occurred due to reduced spawning success associated with climate change based on published reports. Consequently, warming waters likely enabled and indirectly caused the observed changes in shark migratory behaviour. As water temperatures continue to rise, bull sharks in the north-western Gulf of Mexico could forgo their winter migrations in the next 50-100 years based on current trends and physiological limits, thereby altering their ecological roles in estuarine ecosystems and recruitment into the adult population. It is unclear if estuarine food webs will be able to support changing residency patterns as climate change affects the spawning success of forage species. We expect these trends are not unique to the western Gulf of Mexico or bull sharks, and migratory patterns of predators in subtropical latitudes are similarly changing at a global scale.},
}
@article {pmid39016015,
year = {2024},
author = {Jones, EM and Venkatachalam, AM and Ifejika, NL},
title = {Weathering the storm: Effect of climate change on acute stroke care and stroke rehabilitation.},
journal = {PM &amp; R : the journal of injury, function, and rehabilitation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/pmrj.13218},
pmid = {39016015},
issn = {1934-1563},
support = {4//Texas Health Resources Clinical Scholars Program/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has deleterious effects on stroke recovery, disproportionately affecting populations with increased stroke incidence. These effects start prior to the acute care hospitalization, precipitated by environmental etiologies and are sustained throughout the life course of stroke survivors. Health care practitioners play a critical role in identifying these concerns and mitigating their impact through effective strategies at the patient level, interventions at the community level, and advocacy at the state and federal level. As the experts on improvement in function, quality of life, and the mitigation of disability, physiatrists have the opportunity to lead efforts in this space for stroke survivors and their caregivers.},
}
@article {pmid39015345,
year = {2024},
author = {Odebiri, O and Mutanga, O and Odindi, J and Slotow, R and Mafongoya, P and Lottering, R and Naicker, R and Matongera, TN and Mngadi, M},
title = {Mapping Sub-surface Distribution of Soil Organic Carbon Stocks in South Africa's Arid and Semi-Arid Landscapes: Implications for Land Management and Climate Change Mitigation.},
journal = {Geoderma regional},
volume = {37},
number = {},
pages = {e00817},
pmid = {39015345},
issn = {2352-0094},
abstract = {Soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks are critical for land management strategies and climate change mitigation. However, understanding SOC distribution in South Africa's arid and semi-arid regions remains a challenge due to data limitations, and the complex spatial and sub-surface variability in SOC stocks driven by desertification and land degradation. Thus, to support soil and land-use management practices as well as advance climate change mitigation efforts, there is an urgent need to provide more precise SOC stock estimates within South Africa's arid and semi-arid regions. Hence, this study adopted remote-sensing approaches to determine the spatial sub-surface distribution of SOC stocks and the influence of environmental co-variates at four soil depths (i.e., 0-30 cm, 30-60 cm, 60-100 cm, and 100-200 cm). Using two regression-based algorithms, i.e., Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and Random Forest (RF), the study found the former (RMSE values ranging from 7.12 t/ha to 29.55 t/ha) to be a superior predictor of SOC in comparison to the latter (RMSE values ranging from 7.36 t/ha to 31.10 t/ha). Nonetheless, both models achieved satisfactory accuracy (R[2] ≥ 0.52) for regional-scale SOC predictions at the studied soil depths. Thereafter, using a variable importance analysis, the study demonstrated the influence of climatic variables like rainfall and temperature on SOC stocks at different depths. Furthermore, the study revealed significant spatial variability in SOC stocks, and an increase in SOC stocks with soil depth. Overall, these findings enhance the understanding of SOC dynamics in South Africa's arid and semi-arid landscapes and emphasizes the importance of considering site specific topo-climatic characteristics for sustainable land management and climate change mitigation. Furthermore, the study offers valuable insights into sub-surface SOC distribution, crucial for informing carbon sequestration strategies, guiding land management practices, and informing environmental policies within arid and semi-arid environments.},
}
@article {pmid39014380,
year = {2024},
author = {Fekih-Romdhane, F and Malaeb, D and Yakın, E and Sakr, F and Dabbous, M and El Khatib, S and Obeid, S and Hallit, S},
title = {Translation and validation to the Arabic language version of the climate change anxiety scale (CCAS).},
journal = {BMC psychiatry},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {507},
pmid = {39014380},
issn = {1471-244X},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; *Anxiety/psychology/diagnosis ; Lebanon ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Middle Aged ; Reproducibility of Results ; *Psychometrics ; Psychiatric Status Rating Scales/standards ; Translations ; Arabs/psychology ; Young Adult ; Translating ; Aged ; Language ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The Arab world is one of the global regions the most directly concerned by, and suffering from climate change's adverse consequences. As such, there appears to be a strong need for an understanding of how Arab people may emotionally respond to climate change. Providing valid and reliable measures of climate change anxiety (CCA) can help gain a clear overview of the situation in Arab countries, and allow to intervene timely and effectively to mitigate any adverse effects on Arab people's mental health. To this end, the present study sought to validate the Arabic language version of the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS) in a sample of native Arabic-speaking adults from the general population of Lebanon.<br><br>METHODS: This study adopted a cross-sectional approach and enrolled 763 adults between July and September 2023.<br><br>RESULTS: A confirmatory analysis of the one-factor model showed poor fit indices as follows: CFI&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.90, GFI&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.83, SRMR&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.048 and RMSEA 0.131 [90% CI 0.123, 0.138). The two-factor model showed a satisfactory fit with a high CFI of and a GFI of 0.91 and a SRMR of 0.04 and RMSEA of 0.05 [90% CI 0.04, 0.06]. Both McDonald's omega and Cronbach alpha values were high for the overall CCAS score (&#x3b1;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.96 and &#x3c9;&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.96) in the whole sample. Configural, metric and scalar invariance across gender was demonstrated. No significant difference was found between males and females in terms of total CCAS scores (24.53&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;10.59 vs. 26.03&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;11.17, t(761) = -1.82, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;.069). Higher CCA, functional impairment and cognitive impairment scores were significantly associated with higher depression, anxiety and stress.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The reliability and validity of the CCAS in its Arabic version were proven. The availability of this self-report measure could offer a chance to assess CCA among Adults speaking Arabic, and to spread its future use for screening and research purposes.},
}
@article {pmid39014072,
year = {2024},
author = {Braga, A and Laurini, M},
title = {Spatial heterogeneity in climate change effects across Brazilian biomes.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16414},
pmid = {39014072},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {Finance Code 01//Coordena&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Aperfei&#xe7;oamento de Pessoal de N&#xed;vel Superior/ ; 310646/2021-9//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Cient&#xed;fico e Tecnol&#xf3;gico/ ; 2023/02538-0//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o de Amparo &#xe0; Pesquisa do Estado de S&#xe3;o Paulo/ ; },
mesh = {Brazil ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Temperature ; Seasons ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {We present a methodology designed to study the spatial heterogeneity of climate change. Our approach involves decomposing the observed changes in temperature patterns into multiple trend, cycle, and seasonal components within a spatio-temporal model. We apply this method to test the hypothesis of a global long-term temperature trend against multiple trends in distinct biomes. Applying this methodology, we delve into the examination of heterogeneity of climate change in Brazil-a country characterized by a spectrum of climate zones. The findings challenge the notion of a global trend, revealing the presence of distinct trends in warming effects, and more accelerated trends for the Amazon and Cerrado biomes, indicating a composition between global warming and deforestation in determining changes in permanent temperature patterns.},
}
@article {pmid39014061,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, Y and Zhang, S and Ren, L and Tian, X and Tang, S and Xian, Y and Wu, X and Zhang, Z},
title = {Prediction of Chinese suitable habitats of Panax notoginseng under climate change based on MaxEnt and chemometric methods.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16434},
pmid = {39014061},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {No.82274090//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; No.2024003//Open research project of China Meteorological Administration Key Open Laboratory of Transforming Climate Resource to Economy/ ; },
mesh = {*Panax notoginseng/growth &amp; development/chemistry ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; China ; Saponins/analysis ; Ginsenosides/analysis ; },
abstract = {Notoginseng saponin R1; ginsenosides Rg1, Re, Rb1, and Rd; the sum of the five saponins; and underground-part fresh weight (UPFW) of single plants were used as quality evaluation indices for Panax notoginseng (Burk.) F. H. Chen (P. notoginseng). Comprehensive evaluation of P. notoginseng samples from 30 production areas was performed using that MaxEnt model. Spatial pattern changes in suitable P. notoginseng habitats were predicted for current and future periods (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) using SSP126 and SSP585 models. The results revealed that temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation were important environmental variables. Suitable habitats were located mainly in Yunnan, Guizhou, and Sichuan Provinces. The distribution core of P. notoginseng is predicted to shift southeast in the future. The saponin content decreased from the southeast to the northwest of Yunnan Province, which was contrary to the UPFW trend. This study provides the necessary information for the protection and sustainable utilization of P. notoginseng resources, and a theoretical reference for its application in the quality evaluation of Chinese medicinal products.},
}
@article {pmid39011752,
year = {2024},
author = {Rehman, SU and Watson, E and Noble, LM},
title = {EACH: International Association for Communication in Healthcare statement on climate change, health and vulnerability: enhancing resilience through social and behavior change communication.},
journal = {Journal of communication in healthcare},
volume = {17},
number = {2},
pages = {197-200},
doi = {10.1080/17538068.2024.2357947},
pmid = {39011752},
issn = {1753-8076},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Resilience, Psychological ; Vulnerable Populations/psychology ; Communication ; },
}
@article {pmid39009635,
year = {2024},
author = {Kleinteich, J and Frassl, MA and Schulz, M and Fischer, H},
title = {Climate change triggered planktonic cyanobacterial blooms in a regulated temperate river.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16298},
pmid = {39009635},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Rivers/microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Cyanobacteria/growth &amp; development ; Temperature ; Phytoplankton/growth &amp; development ; Seasons ; Phosphorus/analysis ; Nitrogen/analysis ; Chlorophyll A/analysis ; Chlorophyll/analysis ; Harmful Algal Bloom ; Plankton/growth &amp; development ; Eutrophication ; Environmental Monitoring/methods ; },
abstract = {Harmful algae blooms are a rare phenomenon in rivers but seem to increase with climate change and river regulation. To understand the controlling factors of cyanobacteria blooms that occurred between 2017 and 2020 over long stretches (> 250 km) of the regulated Moselle River in Western Europe, we measured physico-chemical and biological variables and compared those with a long-term dataset (1997-2016). Cyanobacteria (Microcystis) dominated the phytoplankton community in the late summers of 2017-2020 (cyano-period) with up to 110 µg Chlorophyll-a/L, but had not been observed in the river in the previous 20 years. From June to September, the average discharge in the Moselle was reduced to 69-76% and water temperature was 0.9-1.8 °C higher compared to the reference period. Nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P) and silica (Si) declined since 1997, albeit total nutrient concentrations remained above limiting conditions in the study period. Cyanobacterial blooms correlated best with low discharge, high water temperature and low nitrate. We conclude that the recent cyanobacteria blooms have been caused by dry and warm weather resulting in low flow conditions and warm water temperature in the regulated Moselle. Under current climate projections, the Moselle may serve as an example for the future of regulated temperate rivers.},
}
@article {pmid39009588,
year = {2024},
author = {Meyer, AS and Pigot, AL and Merow, C and Kaschner, K and Garilao, C and Kesner-Reyes, K and Trisos, CH},
title = {Temporal dynamics of climate change exposure and opportunities for global marine biodiversity.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5836},
pmid = {39009588},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; *Temperature ; Animals ; *Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Oceans and Seas ; },
abstract = {Climate change is exposing marine species to unsuitable temperatures while also creating new thermally suitable habitats of varying persistence. However, understanding how these different dynamics will unfold over time remains limited. We use yearly sea surface temperature projections to estimate temporal dynamics of thermal exposure (when temperature exceeds realised species' thermal limits) and opportunity (when temperature at a previously unsuitable site becomes suitable) for 21,696 marine species globally until 2100. Thermal opportunities are projected to arise earlier and accumulate gradually, especially in temperate and polar regions. Thermal exposure increases later and occurs more abruptly, mainly in the tropics. Assemblages tend to show either high exposure or high opportunity, but seldom both. Strong emissions reductions reduce exposure around 100-fold whereas reductions in opportunities are halved. Globally, opportunities are projected to emerge faster than exposure until mid-century when exposure increases more rapidly under a high emissions scenario. Moreover, across emissions and dispersal scenarios, 76%-97% of opportunities are projected to persist until 2100. These results indicate thermal opportunities could be a major source of marine biodiversity change, especially in the near- and mid-term. Our work provides a framework for predicting where and when thermal changes will occur to guide monitoring efforts.},
}
@article {pmid39009406,
year = {2024},
author = {Domingo, KN and Gabaldon, KL and Hussari, MN and Yap, JM and Valmadrid, LC and Robinson, K and Leibel, S},
title = {Impact of climate change on paediatric respiratory health: pollutants and aeroallergens.},
journal = {European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society},
volume = {33},
number = {172},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1183/16000617.0249-2023},
pmid = {39009406},
issn = {1600-0617},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Allergens/adverse effects/immunology ; *Air Pollutants/adverse effects/immunology ; Child ; *Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; Risk Factors ; Risk Assessment ; Air Pollution/adverse effects ; Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; Inhalation Exposure/adverse effects ; Child, Preschool ; Age Factors ; Adolescent ; Infant ; Animals ; Infant, Newborn ; Child Health ; },
abstract = {Paediatric populations are particularly vulnerable to respiratory diseases caused and exacerbated by aeroallergens, pollutants and infectious agents. Worsening climate change is expected to increase the prevalence of pollutants and aeroallergens while amplifying disease severity and causing disproportionate effects in under-resourced areas. The purpose of this narrative review is to summarise the role of anthropogenic climate change in the literature examining the future impact of aeroallergens, pollutants and infectious agents on paediatric respiratory diseases with a focus on equitable disease mitigation. The aeroallergens selected for discussion include pollen, dust mites and mould as these are prevalent triggers of paediatric asthma worldwide. Human rhinovirus and respiratory syncytial virus are key viruses interacting with climate change and pollution and are primary causal agents of viral respiratory disease. Within this review, we present the propensity for aeroallergens, climate change and pollution to synergistically exacerbate paediatric respiratory disease and outline measures that can ameliorate the expected increase in morbidity and severity of disease through a health equity lens. We support shifting from fossil fuels to renewable energy worldwide, across sectors, as a primary means of reducing increases in morbidity.},
}
@article {pmid39009235,
year = {2024},
author = {Gizaw, Z and Salubi, E and Pietroniro, A and Schuster-Wallace, CJ},
title = {Impacts of climate change on water-related mosquito-borne diseases in temperate regions: A systematic review of literature and meta-analysis.},
journal = {Acta tropica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {107324},
doi = {10.1016/j.actatropica.2024.107324},
pmid = {39009235},
issn = {1873-6254},
abstract = {Mosquito-borne diseases are a known tropical phenomenon. This review was conducted to assesses the mechanisms through which climate change impacts mosquito-borne diseases in temperate regions. Articles were searched from PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and Embase databases. Identification criteria were scope (climate change and mosquito-borne diseases), region (temperate), article type (peer-reviewed), publication language (English), and publication years (since 2015). The WWH (who, what, how) framework was applied to develop the research question and thematic analyses identified the mechanisms through which climate change affects mosquito-borne diseases. While temperature ranges for disease transmission vary per mosquito species, all are viable for temperate regions, particularly given projected temperature increases. Zika, chikungunya, and dengue transmission occurs between 18 - 34°C (peak at 26 - 29°C). West Nile virus establishment occurs at monthly average temperatures between 14 - 34.3°C (peak at 23.7 - 25°C). Malaria establishment occurs when the consecutive average daily temperatures are above 16°C until the sum is above 210°C. The identified mechanisms through which climate change affects the transmission of mosquito-borne diseases in temperate regions include: changes in the development of vectors and pathogens; changes in mosquito habitats; extended transmission seasons; changes in geographic spread; changes in abundance and behaviours of hosts; reduced abundance of mosquito predators; interruptions to control operations; and influence on other non-climate factors. Process and stochastic approaches as well as dynamic and spatial models exist to predict mosquito population dynamics, disease transmission, and climate favorability. Future projections based on the observed relations between climate factors and mosquito-borne diseases suggest that mosquito-borne disease expansion is likely to occur in temperate regions due to climate change. While West Nile virus is already established in some temperate regions, Zika, dengue, chikungunya, and malaria are also likely to become established over time. Moving forward, more research is required to model future risks by incorporating climate, environmental, sociodemographic, and mosquito-related factors under changing climates.},
}
@article {pmid39017227,
year = {2023},
author = {Parshley, L},
title = {Blame Game: How scientists got confident attributing disastrous weather to global warming.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {6},
pages = {44},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0623-44},
pmid = {39017227},
issn = {0036-8733},
mesh = {*Global Warming/prevention &amp; control ; *Weather ; Humans ; },
}
@article {pmid39017168,
year = {2023},
author = {Oreskes, N},
title = {Social Security and Science: Attacks on the program rest on false "facts" similar to ones used against climate change action.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {5},
pages = {86},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0523-86},
pmid = {39017168},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39017524,
year = {2023},
author = {Helmuth, L},
title = {Mates and Strangers: Love in the brain, how dreams predict disease and better words for climate change in this month's issue of Scientific American.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {2},
pages = {4},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0223-4},
pmid = {39017524},
issn = {0036-8733},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Brain/physiology ; Love ; },
}
@article {pmid39017091,
year = {2023},
author = {Haaland, D},
title = {Satellites Can Help Us Fight Climate Change: Landsat data will shape the Biden administration's climate change plans.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {328},
number = {1},
pages = {9},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0123-9},
pmid = {39017091},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016934,
year = {2022},
author = {Montañez, A and Thompson, A},
title = {The Cost of Climate Change: How each nation's greenhouse gas emissions have cost others.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {327},
number = {5},
pages = {88},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican1122-88},
pmid = {39016934},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016848,
year = {2022},
author = {Goodkin, N and Pullen, J},
title = {Let Oceans Breathe: Marine oxygen levels are the next great casualty of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {326},
number = {4},
pages = {11},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0422-11},
pmid = {39016848},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39016663,
year = {2022},
author = {Thompson, A},
title = {Generational Climate Change: Young people will suffer the most from warming temperatures.},
journal = {Scientific American},
volume = {326},
number = {2},
pages = {76},
doi = {10.1038/scientificamerican0222-76},
pmid = {39016663},
issn = {0036-8733},
}
@article {pmid39008671,
year = {2024},
author = {Shahvandi, MK and Adhikari, S and Dumberry, M and Mishra, S and Soja, B},
title = {The increasingly dominant role of climate change on length of day variations.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {121},
number = {30},
pages = {e2406930121},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2406930121},
pmid = {39008671},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {N-SLCT ESI CSP//NASA Sea-Level Change Team (N-SLCT), Earth Surface and Interior (ESI) Focus Area, and the Cryospheric Science Program/ ; RGPIN-2018-05796//Discovery Grant from NSERC/CRSNG of Canada/ ; },
abstract = {The melting of ice sheets and global glaciers results in sea-level rise, a pole-to-equator mass transport increasing Earth's oblateness and resulting in an increase in the length of day (LOD). Here, we use observations and reconstructions of mass variations at the Earth's surface since 1900 to show that the climate-induced LOD trend hovered between 0.3 and 1.0 ms/cy in the 20th century, but has accelerated to 1.33 [Formula: see text] 0.03 ms/cy since 2000. We further show that surface mass transport fully explains the accelerating trend in the Earth oblateness observed in the past three decades. We derive an independent measure of the decreasing LOD trend induced by Glacial Isostatic Adjustment (GIA) of [Formula: see text]0.80 [Formula: see text] 0.10 ms/cy, which provides a constraint for the mantle viscosity. The sum of this GIA rate and lunar tidal friction fully explains the secular LOD trend that is inferred from the eclipse record in the past three millennia prior to the onset of contemporary climate change. Projections of future climate warming under high emission scenarios suggest that the climate-induced LOD rate may reach 2.62 [Formula: see text] 0.79 ms/cy by 2100, overtaking lunar tidal friction as the single most important contributor to the long-term LOD variations.},
}
@article {pmid39008128,
year = {2024},
author = {McNellie, JP and May, WE and Rieseberg, LH and Hulke, BS},
title = {Association studies of salinity tolerance in sunflower provide robust breeding and selection strategies under climate change.},
journal = {TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik},
volume = {137},
number = {8},
pages = {184},
pmid = {39008128},
issn = {1432-2242},
support = {LSARP2014-223SUN//Genome Canada/ ; 3060-21000-043-00D//USDA-ARS/ ; 3060-21000-047-00D//USDA-ARS/ ; 2019077//NSF MRI (US)/ ; },
mesh = {*Helianthus/genetics/growth &amp; development/physiology ; *Salt Tolerance/genetics ; *Phenotype ; *Climate Change ; *Plant Breeding ; Salinity ; Quantitative Trait Loci ; Soil/chemistry ; Genetic Association Studies ; Chromosome Mapping ; Polymorphism, Single Nucleotide ; Selection, Genetic ; Genome-Wide Association Study ; Genotype ; },
abstract = {Phytotoxic soil salinity is a global problem, and in the northern Great Plains and western Canada, salt accumulates on the surface of marine sediment soils with high water tables under annual crop cover, particularly near wetlands. Crop production can overcome saline-affected soils using crop species and cultivars with salinity tolerance along with changes in management practices. This research seeks to improve our understanding of sunflower (Helianthus annuus) genetic tolerance to high salinity soils. Genome-wide association was conducted using the Sunflower Association Mapping panel grown for two years in naturally occurring saline soils (2016 and 2017, near Indian Head, Saskatchewan, Canada), and six phenotypes were measured: days to bloom, height, leaf area, leaf mass, oil percentage, and yield. Plot level soil salinity was determined by grid sampling of soil followed by kriging. Three estimates of sunflower performance were calculated: (1) under low soil salinity (< 4 dS/m), (2) under high soil salinity (> 4 dS/m), and (3) plasticity (regression coefficient between phenotype and soil salinity). Fourteen loci were significant, with one instance of co-localization between a leaf area and a leaf mass locus. Some genomic regions identified as significant in this study were also significant in a recent greenhouse salinity experiment using the same panel. Also, some candidate genes underlying significant QTL have been identified in other plant species as having a role in salinity response. This research identifies alleles for cultivar improvement and for genetic studies to further elucidate salinity tolerance pathways.},
}
@article {pmid39007436,
year = {2024},
author = {Bhatt, P and Padhi, A and Agarwal, A and Katoch, CDS},
title = {The impact of climate change on viral transmission: Viral persistence and reactivation.},
journal = {Journal of medical virology},
volume = {96},
number = {7},
pages = {e29813},
doi = {10.1002/jmv.29813},
pmid = {39007436},
issn = {1096-9071},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Virus Activation ; Virus Diseases/transmission/virology ; Virus Latency ; },
}
@article {pmid39003900,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, J and Cong, RG},
title = {Managing ecosystem services in oleaginous forests for bioenergy provision and climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121790},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121790},
pmid = {39003900},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Oleaginous forests provide diverse ecosystem services, including timber, seed yield (a vital feedstock for biodiesel production), and substantial carbon savings. These carbon savings encompass carbon sequestration related to timber growth and carbon savings resulting from substituting fossil fuel with biodiesel. However, oleaginous forests are vulnerable to seed wasp attacks (disservice), which significantly threaten both seed yield and carbon savings. Using an integrated ecological-economic model that includes Faustmann's Land Expectation Value model and a pest damage control model, we aim to understand the intricate relationship among multiple ecosystem services and disservices of oleaginous forests. The results reveal four distinct phases contingent on varying pesticide application rates: the pesticide under-use phase, substitution phase, complementary phase, and over-use phase. Notably, a potential avenue to minimize pest damage is identified during the complementary phase by reducing the optimal rotation age at the expense of decreased carbon sequestration and bioenergy provision, posing a challenge to climate change mitigation. These findings have implications for formulating policies to manage conflicting ecosystem services of energy forests, offering valuable insights into the intersection of sustainable forest management and climate policy.},
}
@article {pmid39003013,
year = {2024},
author = {McNamara, M and Barondeau, J and Brown, J},
title = {Mental Health, Climate Change, and Bodily Autonomy: An Analysis of Adolescent Health Policy in the Post-Pandemic Climate.},
journal = {Pediatric clinics of North America},
volume = {71},
number = {4},
pages = {729-744},
doi = {10.1016/j.pcl.2024.05.004},
pmid = {39003013},
issn = {1557-8240},
mesh = {Humans ; Adolescent ; *COVID-19/epidemiology/psychology ; *Health Policy ; *Mental Health ; *Climate Change ; *Adolescent Health ; *Personal Autonomy ; Young Adult ; SARS-CoV-2 ; United States/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {The COVID-19 pandemic exacerbated the vulnerability of adolescents and young adults (AYAs) who face economic disadvantage, depend on social safety net resources, have politically targeted identities, are geopolitically displaced, and/or are racially or ethnically marginalized. A rapid change in social safety net policies has impacts that reverberate throughout interrelated domains of AYA health, especially for vulnerable AYAs. The authors analyze policy-related changes in mental health, climate change, and bodily autonomy to offer a paradigm for an equitable path forward.},
}
@article {pmid39002574,
year = {2024},
author = {Fabri-Ruiz, S and Berdalet, E and Ulses, C and Somot, S and Vila, M and Lemée, R and Irisson, JO},
title = {Harmful Ostreopsis cf. ovata blooms could extend in time span with climate change in the Western Mediterranean Sea.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174726},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174726},
pmid = {39002574},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Fast environmental changes and high coastal human pressures and impacts threaten the Mediterranean Sea. Over the last decade, recurrent blooms of the harmful dinoflagellate Ostreopsis cf. ovata have been recorded in many Mediterranean beaches. These microalgae produce toxins that affect marine organisms and human health. Understanding the environmental conditions that influence the appearance and magnitude of O. cf. ovata blooms, as well as how climate change will modify its future distribution and dynamics, is crucial for predicting and managing their effects. This study investigates whether the spatio-temporal distribution of this microalga and the frequency of its blooms could be altered in future climate change scenarios in the Mediterranean Western basin. For the first time, an ecological habitat model (EHM) is forced by physico-chemical climate change simulations at high-resolution, under the strong greenhouse gas emission trajectory (RCP8.5). It allows to characterize how O. cf. ovata may respond to projected conditions and how its distribution could shift over a wide spatial scale, in this plausible future. Before being applied to the EHM, future climate simulations are further refined by using a statistical adaptation method (Cumulative Distribution Function transform) to improve the predictions robustness. Temperature (optimum 23-26 °C), high salinity (>38 psu) and high inorganic nutrient concentrations (nitrate >0.25 mmol N·m[-3] and phosphate >0.035 mmol P·m[-3]) drive O. cf. ovata abundances. High spatial disparities in future abundances are observed. Namely, O. cf. ovata abundances could increase on the Mediterranean coasts of France, Spain and the Adriatic Sea while a decrease is expected in the Tyrrhenian Sea. The bloom period could be extended, starting earlier and continuing later in the year. From a methodological point of view, this study highlights best practices of EHMs in the context of climate change to identify sensitive areas for current and future harmful algal blooms.},
}
@article {pmid39002547,
year = {2024},
author = {Mozumder, MK},
title = {Pre-migration decision-making support for people affected by climate change.},
journal = {The lancet. Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2215-0366(24)00216-5},
pmid = {39002547},
issn = {2215-0374},
}
@article {pmid39002461,
year = {2024},
author = {Ahmed, R and Chen, XH and Hoang, YH and Do-Linh, C},
title = {Climate change effects and their implications for the financial markets: Evidence from the United Kingdom.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121782},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121782},
pmid = {39002461},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study aims to examine how the climate affects the behaviour of the stock market. To achieve this, we have drawn on daily data from Jan 2005 to Jan 31, 2023 and several environmental factors (e.g., temperature, humidity, cloud cover and visibility) to account for extreme weather conditions using the 21-day moving average and its standard deviation. The empirical analysis has revealed three key findings regarding the impact of weather on the stock market's behaviour. First, various forms of extreme weather conditions consistently lead to influence stock behaviour. Second, results provide valuable insights into market behaviour and help investors to make more informed investment decisions. Third, the weather conditions have new information about the climate risk and investors should react to it swiftly in light of our findings. The saliency theory can help reconcile the theoretical conflicts between the real options and risk-shifting theories when it comes to investing in uncertain and extreme climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38999693,
year = {2024},
author = {Soare, R and Dinu, M and Babeanu, C and Niculescu, M and Soare, M and Botu, M},
title = {Quantitative and Qualitative Production of Species Cucumis metuliferus and the Potential for Adaptation in the Context of Current Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999693},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Cucumis metuliferus E. Meyer ex Naudin belongs to the family Cucurbitaceae. It is an annual vegetable species known as horned melon or kiwano. Fruits are recommended for the daily diet because they provide vitamins, minerals, and phytochemicals to alleviate malnutrition and improve human health. In this study, kiwano was cultivated in the climatic conditions of Southwestern Romania, which is characterized by warm summers, lower precipitation, and high temperatures, ensuring optimal conditions for growth and development. The fruits were harvested at three stages of consumption: immature stage (green), intermediate stage (white-yellow) or the mature stage (yellow-orange). They were also subjected to analysis on the productive yield and physical-chemical properties. The results showed that the number of fruits ranged from 13.9 to 15.3 fruits/plant, and their average weight had values from 204 g to 234 g, depending on the harvest stage. The results obtained for bioactive compounds and antioxidant activity indicated significant differences (p ≤ 0.05), depending on the harvesting stage. The highest values for the antioxidant capacity (140.90 μM TE/100g DPPH) and total polyphenols (48.78 TPC mg/100 g) were recorded in the immature fruit phase, as well as for the carbohydrate content (3.56%), total protein (1.98%), ascorbic acid (4.3 mg/100 g f.w.), and carotene (0.98 mg/100 g) in the mature fruit phase. These results may stimulate interest in the introduction of this species as a niche crop and for consumption as a source of natural antioxidants for the prevention of diseases due to oxidative stress.},
}
@article {pmid38999591,
year = {2024},
author = {Fan, W and Luo, Y},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change on the Distribution of Suitable Habitats and Ecological Niche for Trollius Wildflowers in Ili River Valley, Tacheng, Altay Prefecture.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999591},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Xinjiang in China is distinguished by its distinctive regional landscape and high ecological sensitivity. Trollius wildflowers represent a unique and iconic element of the mountain flower landscape in Xinjiang. However, their populations are predominantly distributed in mountainous areas, making them susceptible to climate change. Despite this, the impacts of climate change on the distribution of suitable habitats and ecological niche differentiation for Trollius wildflowers have rarely been quantified. Consequently, simulations were conducted using the R-optimized MaxEnt model to predict the suitable habitat distribution of Trollius wildflowers. This was based on the occurrence data and environmental variables for the four species of Trollius (T. altaicus, T. asiaticus, T. dschungaricus, and T. lilacinus) that exist in the study area. The simulation was conducted over a period of time, beginning with the past glacial period and extending to the present, and then to the future (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) under multiple scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5). The simulation of suitable habitats enabled the measurement of the ecological niche breadth and differentiation. The results demonstrate that the model predictions are precisely accurate, with AUC values exceeding 0.9. Annual mean temperature (Bio1), isothermality (Bio3), and precipitation in the warmest quarter (Bio18) are the dominant climate variables, in addition to vegetation, elevation, and soil factors. The proportion of suitable habitats for Trollius wildflowers varies considerably over time, from 0.14% to 70.97%. The majority of habitat loss or gain occurs at the edges of mountains, while stable habitats are concentrated in the core of the mountains. The gravity center of suitable habitats also shifts with spatial transfer, with the shifts mainly occurring in a northeasterly-southwesterly direction. The SSP1-2.6 scenario results in the sustained maintenance of habitats, whereas the SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios present challenges to the conservation of habitats. The threshold of ecological niche breadth for Trollius wildflowers is subject to fluctuations, while the ecological niche differentiation also varies. The study aims to examine the evolution of the habitat and ecological niche of Trollius wildflowers in Xinjiang under climate change. The findings will provide theoretical support for delineating the conservation area, clarify the scope of mountain flower tourism development and protection of mountain flower resources, and promote the sustainable development of ecotourism and effective utilization of territorial space in Xinjiang.},
}
@article {pmid38999590,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, X and Li, X and Cui, J and Liu, R and Li, J and Yang, C},
title = {Response to Climate Change and GAP Analysis of Thuja koraiensis Nakai.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999590},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2019073056//Wildlife Protection and Management Project of the State Forestry Administration/ ; },
abstract = {Due to global warming and increased human activity, the wild population of Thuja koraiensis Nakai (T. koraiensis) has dropped, placing it in danger. An understanding of the response of T. koraiensis to climate change and the determination of priority conservation areas are tremendously critical for proper conservation. Using sixty-nine T. koraiensis distribution points and seven environmental factors, the Maxent model was used to predict potentially suitable areas and spatial variation patterns of T. koraiensis and the Marxan conservation planning model was used to evaluate conservation gap areas. Research shows that the dominant environmental factors affecting the distribution of potentially suitable areas for T. koraiensis included elevation, precipitation of the driest month, isothermality and precipitation of the wettest quarter. Under the current climatic conditions, highly suitable areas for T. koraiensis are mainly distributed in the Changbai Mountains within Samjiyon County and Baishan City, the Hamgyong Mountains within the western part of Hamgyong-Bukto Province, and the T'aeback-Sanmaek Mountains within Gangwon-do, Kumgangsan Special Administrative Region and Kangwon-do. Under future climate conditions, suitable areas for T. koraiensis show a decreasing trend, and the suitable area will be reduced to higher elevations, and the Hamgyong Mountains may become a refuge. Based on GAP analysis, 69.69% of the priority conservation areas of T. koraiensis are located outside of the nature reserve, and these conservation gap areas are primarily in the southern part of the Changbai Mountains and Kangwon-do.},
}
@article {pmid38999584,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, L and Jiang, B and Meng, Y and Jia, Y and Xu, Q and Pan, Y},
title = {The Influence of Climate Change on the Distribution of Hibiscus mutabilis in China: MaxEnt Model-Based Prediction.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {13},
pages = {},
pmid = {38999584},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {202206910043//China Scholarship Council/ ; },
abstract = {Our study utilized 374 geographical distribution records of H. mutabilis and 19 bioclimatic factors, employing the MaxEnt model and the Geographic Information System (ArcGIS). The key environmental variables influencing the suitable distribution areas of H. mutabilis were analyzed through the comprehensive contribution rate, permutation importance, and Pearson correlation coefficient. Based on this analysis, the contemporary and future suitable distribution areas and their extents were predicted. The results indicate that the key limiting factor affecting the suitable distribution areas of H. mutabilis is the precipitation of the driest month (bio14), with secondary factors being annual precipitation (bio12), annual mean temperature (bio1), and annual temperature range (bio7). Under contemporary climate conditions, the total suitable area for H. mutabilis is approximately 2,076,600 km[2], primarily concentrated in the tropical and subtropical regions of southeastern China. Under low-to-medium-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5), the total suitable area of H. mutabilis shows a trend of first decreasing and then increasing compared to the current scenario. In contrast, under high-emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5), it exhibits a trend of first increasing and then decreasing. The spatial pattern changes indicate that the retention rate of suitable areas for H. mutabilis ranges from 95.28% to 99.28%, with the distribution centers primarily located in Hunan and Guizhou provinces, showing an overall migration trend towards the west and north. These findings suggest that H. mutabilis possesses a certain level of adaptability to climate change. However, it is crucial to consider regional drought and sudden drought events in practical cultivation and introduction processes. The results of our study provide a scientific basis for the rational cultivation management, conservation, and utilization of germplasm resources of H. mutabilis.},
}
@article {pmid38997991,
year = {2024},
author = {Popović, T and Ćurčić, NB and Đurđić, S and Stanojević, G and Raković, M},
title = {An Assessment of the Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution of the Glacial Relict Woodpecker Three-Toed Woodpecker Picoides tridactylus.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14131879},
pmid = {38997991},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {451-03-66/2024-03/200053, 451-03-66/2024-03/200172 and 451-03-65/2024-03/200091//Ministry of Science, Technological Development and Innovation of the Republic of Serbia/ ; },
abstract = {The Three-Toed Woodpecker Picoides tridactylus is a rare and endangered woodpecker on the Balkan Peninsula. Despite being widely distributed in Northern Europe, its distribution on the Balkan Peninsula is limited to high-altitude forest habitats, where it represents a glacial relict. Assessing the climate change impacts on its distribution can be crucial for improving the conservation and future survival of this specialist species on the Balkan Peninsula. We used species distribution modelling (SDM) to identify its potential distribution in the past (last interglacial and last glacial maximum), present, and future (2050 and 2070). Our results indicate that this species had the greatest distribution during the last glacial maximum, after which its distribution contracted to areas where suitable environment persisted (high altitudes). The largest territory of the Balkan Peninsula has an unsuitable environment for the species to inhabit, while highly suitable habitats have the smallest share in the total area of suitable habitats. All future models show a decrease in the area of suitable habitats compared with the current period, indicating that global warming has a negative effect on the distribution of the species. We recommend that conservation activities must be of greater extent to ensure the species' survival in the Balkans.},
}
@article {pmid38997688,
year = {2024},
author = {Arnot, G and Thomas, S and Pitt, H and McCarthy, S and Warner, E},
title = {"Older people will die of old age. I'll die of climate change": engaging children and young people in climate decision making for public health.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {1869},
pmid = {38997688},
issn = {1471-2458},
support = {Australian Government Research Training Program Scholarship//Australian Government/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Child ; Adolescent ; Female ; Male ; *Decision Making ; Australia ; *Public Health ; Qualitative Research ; Interviews as Topic ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The climate crisis is a significant risk to the health and wellbeing of children, young people, and future generations. While there are calls for children and young people's engagement in climate decision making, current power structures limit their participation. This paper aimed to understand children's perspectives about the impact of the climate crisis on their futures, their ability to influence climate decisions, and strategies and mechanisms to facilitate their greater engagement in decisions made about the climate crisis.<br><br>METHODS: Online in-depth interviews were conducted with n&#x2009;=&#x2009;28 children (aged 12-16 years) across Australia. Photo elicitation techniques were used to prompt discussion about how the climate crisis impacted their futures, their ability to influence climate decisions, and strategies and mechanisms to engage them in climate decision making. A reflexive approach to thematic analysis was used to construct three themes from data. Images were analysed for ascribed meanings.<br><br>RESULTS: First, participants stated that they and future generations will inherit the climate crisis from older generations, specifically decision makers. Second, they described a need to address a range of age-related barriers that limit children and young people's engagement in climate decision making, including perceptions about their capabilities. Finally, they discussed strategies and mechanisms to embed children and young people's perspectives within climate decision making, including at civic and political levels.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Children and young people have the right to be involved in decisions made about the climate crisis which significantly impact their futures, including their health and wellbeing. They argue for structural changes to embed their views in climate decision making, and describe a range of engagement strategies and mechanisms to structure their perspectives and knowledge with decision making processes. Furthermore, genuine involvement of children and young people in climate discussions must avoid youthwashing and tokenistic participation. The public health community can help address barriers to youth participation in climate action and should actively engage and collaborate with children and young people to facilitate their political and democratic influence over the climate crisis. This involves making room and creating an accessible seat at the decision making table to ensure their perspectives are embedded in climate decisions.},
}
@article {pmid38997601,
year = {2024},
author = {Rathnayake, H and Mizunoya, T},
title = {Assessing the global warming potential impact of organic fertilizer strategies in rice cultivation in Sri Lanka.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38997601},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Rice is the staple food in Sri Lanka, and over 15% of the national land is allocated for rice cultivation. Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from rice fields account for 10% of national GHG emissions. The country has committed to reducing its emissions by 14.5% between 2010 and 2030 and achieving net zero emissions by 2060. In 2021, the country banned agro-fertilizer imports and opted for organic fertilizers, leading to a notable decrease in production and posing challenges to food security. However, the impact of adopting compost fertilizers alone remains unexplored. This study evaluated the global warming impact of two organic fertilizer strategies: switching to compost fertilizer instead of urea and applying rice straw compost instead of retaining crop residue. We applied the Denitrification and Decomposition model (DNDC 95) to rice field management data from Sri Lanka's Mahaweli H agricultural region. Simulations suggest that both strategies would increase the global warming potential of rice fields, mainly owing to elevated N2O emissions. This outweighs the mitigation benefits of avoiding crop residue retention and adding organic carbon through compost. Overall, our results point to the potential risk of shifting exclusively to compost-based fertilizers.},
}
@article {pmid38997557,
year = {2024},
author = {Krämer, K},
title = {Daily briefing: Why climate change is making flights rougher.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-01569-5},
pmid = {38997557},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38997290,
year = {2024},
author = {Taniushkina, D and Lukashevich, A and Shevchenko, V and Belalov, IS and Sotiriadi, N and Narozhnaia, V and Kovalev, K and Krenke, A and Lazarichev, N and Bulkin, A and Maximov, Y},
title = {Case study on climate change effects and food security in Southeast Asia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {16150},
pmid = {38997290},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Asia, Southeastern ; *Food Security ; Humans ; *Agriculture ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Oryza/growth &amp; development ; Crop Production ; Food Supply ; },
abstract = {Agriculture, a cornerstone of human civilization, faces rising challenges from climate change, resource limitations, and stagnating yields. Precise crop production forecasts are crucial for shaping trade policies, development strategies, and humanitarian initiatives. This study introduces a comprehensive machine learning framework designed to predict crop production. We leverage CMIP5 climate projections under a moderate carbon emission scenario to evaluate the future suitability of agricultural lands and incorporate climatic data, historical agricultural trends, and fertilizer usage to project yield changes. Our integrated approach forecasts significant regional variations in crop production across Southeast Asia by 2028, identifying potential cropland utilization. Specifically, the cropland area in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Viet Nam is projected to decline by more than 10% if no action is taken, and there is potential to mitigate that loss. Moreover, rice production is projected to decline by 19% in Viet Nam and 7% in Thailand, while the Philippines may see a 5% increase compared to 2021 levels. Our findings underscore the critical impacts of climate change and human activities on agricultural productivity, offering essential insights for policy-making and fostering international cooperation.},
}
@article {pmid38997028,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, S and Zhou, X and Reyns, J and Yamazaki, D and Yin, J and Li, X},
title = {Climate change and urban sprawl: Unveiling the escalating flood risks in river deltas with a deep dive into the GBM river delta.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174703},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174703},
pmid = {38997028},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {River deltas, such as the Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna (GBM) delta, are highly vulnerable to flooding, exacerbated by intense human activities and rapid urban growth. This study explores the evolution of urban flood risks in the GBM delta under the combined impacts of climate change and urban expansion. Unlike traditional assessments that focus on a single flood source, we consider multiple sources-coastal, fluvial, and pluvial. Our findings indicate that future urban expansion will significantly increase flood exposure, with a substantial rise in flood risk from all sources by the end of this century. Climate change is the main driver of increased coastal flood risks, while urban growth primarily amplifies fluvial, and pluvial flood risks. This highlights the urgent need for adaptive urban planning strategies to mitigate future flooding and support sustainable urban development. The extreme high emissions future scenario (SSP5-8.5) shows the largest urban growth and consequent flood risk, emphasizing the necessity for preemptive measures to mitigate future urban flooding. Our study provides crucial insights into flood risk dynamics in delta environments, aiding policymakers and planners in developing resilience strategies against escalating flood threats.},
}
@article {pmid38996601,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, L and Huang, Z and Gan, B and Zhang, Z and Fu, H and Fang, D and Dong, R and Liu, Y and Zhang, W and Li, R and Dong, X},
title = {Climate change impacts on magnitude and frequency of urban floods under scenario and model uncertainties.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121679},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121679},
pmid = {38996601},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Many studies have confirmed that climate change leads to frequent urban flooding, which can lead to significant socioeconomic repercussions. However, most existing studies have not evaluated the impacts of climate change on urban flood from both event-scale and annual-scale dimensions. In addition, there are only few studies that simultaneously consider scenario and model uncertainties of climate change, and combine flood risk assessment and uncertainty analysis results to provide practical suggestions for urban drainage system management. This study uses the statistical downscaling method to calculate the design rainfall under ten rainfall return periods of four climate models and three climate change scenarios in 2040s, 2060s, and 2080s in various prefecture-level cities in China. The four climate models are HadGEM2- ES, MPI-ESM-MR, NorESM1-M and FGOALS-g2 models and the three climate change scenarios are constructed by different representative concentration pathways (RCP), namely RCP2.6, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5. On this basis, relying on the generated drainage systems using geographical information and other data, event-scale and annual-scale precipitation are combined to calculate the change ratio of annual flood volume expectation in prefecture-level cities in each future year compared with the current situation. Furthermore, the study evaluates scenario and model uncertainties of climate change, and then comprehensively integrates the flood risk and its uncertainties to provides suggestions for urban drainage system management.},
}
@article {pmid38995941,
year = {2024},
author = {, },
title = {Correction: Vegetation and climate change at the southern margin of the Neo-Tethys during the Cenomanian (Late Cretaceous): Evidence from Egypt.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {e0307337},
pmid = {38995941},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281008.].},
}
@article {pmid38995471,
year = {2024},
author = {Saraf, PN and Srivastava, J and Munoz, F and Charles, B and Samal, P},
title = {How can dry tropical forests respond to climate change? Predictions for key Non-Timber Forest Product species show different trends in India.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {8},
pages = {727},
pmid = {38995471},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; India ; *Forests ; *Tropical Climate ; Ecosystem ; Environmental Monitoring ; Trees ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {The present study provides an assessment of the distribution of key Non-Timber Forest Product species in India, namely Aegle marmelos (L.) Correa, Buchanania lanzan Spreng., Madhuca longifolia (J. Koenig ex L.) J. F. Macbr., Phyllanthus emblica L. and Terminalia bellirica (Gaertn.) Roxb. The suitable habitat was analyzed under current climate scenarios and subsequently, the future distribution (2050s and 2070s) was mapped under RCP 2.6 and 8.5 scenarios, along with the past distribution (mid-Holocene, ~ 6000 cal year BP) using the MaxEnt species distribution model. The distribution of all species is primarily driven by key bioclimatic factors, including annual precipitation (Bio_12), mean annual temperature (Bio_1), isothermality (Bio_3) and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio_19). The results indicate that the present distribution of these species is mainly centred in the Western Ghats regions, Central Highlands, North-eastern India and Siwalik hills. The current study suggests that under the future climate change, the suitable habitat for A. marmelos and T. bellirica is expected to increase while for B. lanzan, M. longifolia and P. emblica, it is projected to decline. A. marmelos and T. bellirica are anticipated to exhibit resilience to future climate changes and are expected to be minimally affected, while B. lanzan, M. longifolia and P. emblica are highly sensitive to high temperature and alteration in rainfall pattern expected under future climate changes. The projections of habitat suitability areas can be used as a valuable foundation for developing conservation and restoration strategies aimed at alleviating the climate change impacts on NTFP species.},
}
@article {pmid38995253,
year = {2024},
author = {Krueger, J and Long, J and Bikomeye, JC},
title = {Climate Change and Health: Public Health and Legal Strategies to Reduce Reliance on Fossil Fuels, Increase Air Quality, and Improve Human Health.},
journal = {The Journal of law, medicine &amp; ethics : a journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine &amp; Ethics},
volume = {52},
number = {S1},
pages = {53-56},
doi = {10.1017/jme.2024.49},
pmid = {38995253},
issn = {1748-720X},
support = {//Robert Wood Johnson Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Public Health/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Fossil Fuels ; *Air Pollution/legislation &amp; jurisprudence/prevention &amp; control ; United States ; Renewable Energy ; },
abstract = {Reliance upon fossil fuels and limited greenspace contribute to poor indoor and outdoor air quality and adverse health outcomes, particularly in communities of color. This article describes justice-informed public health and legal interventions to increase access to greenspace and accelerate the transitions to renewable energy and away from gas appliances.},
}
@article {pmid38995250,
year = {2024},
author = {Agahi, M and Bartlett, E and Lawton, B and Salehi, C},
title = {Scalable, Coordinated Strategies Leveraging Community Health Workers in Addressing the Adverse and Inequitable Health Effects of Climate Change.},
journal = {The Journal of law, medicine &amp; ethics : a journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine &amp; Ethics},
volume = {52},
number = {S1},
pages = {62-65},
doi = {10.1017/jme.2024.48},
pmid = {38995250},
issn = {1748-720X},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Community Health Workers ; United States ; },
abstract = {Effective climate change resilience in local communities must center each community's unique challenges and essential role in developing climate resilience strategies. This article will discuss recent developments by the federal government that align with a community-centered approach, and how Community Health Workers can influence the outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid38995245,
year = {2024},
author = {Agahi, M and Bartlett, E and Lawton, B and McAdams, J and Roy, R and Salehi, C},
title = {Local Public Health Departments at the Intersection of Climate Change, Health Equity, and Public Health Laws and Policies.},
journal = {The Journal of law, medicine &amp; ethics : a journal of the American Society of Law, Medicine &amp; Ethics},
volume = {52},
number = {S1},
pages = {57-61},
doi = {10.1017/jme.2024.47},
pmid = {38995245},
issn = {1748-720X},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Health Equity/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; Humans ; *Local Government ; *Health Policy/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Public Health/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; United States ; Public Health Administration/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; },
abstract = {Public health laws and policies are uniquely able to mitigate the adverse and inequitable health impacts of climate change. This article summarizes some key considerations in developing such laws and policies and a variety of approaches local public health departments are using to increase climate resilience and health equity.},
}
@article {pmid38995131,
year = {2024},
author = {Bonafede, M and Morabito, M and Marinaccio, A},
title = {[Tools of action for reducing the effects of climate change on occupational health and safety].},
journal = {Epidemiologia e prevenzione},
volume = {48},
number = {3},
pages = {189-192},
doi = {10.19191/EP24.3.A742.052},
pmid = {38995131},
issn = {1120-9763},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Occupational Health ; Italy ; },
}
@article {pmid38993973,
year = {2024},
author = {Mach, KJ and Jagannathan, K and Shi, L and Turek-Hankins, LL and Arnold, JR and Brelsford, C and Flores, AN and Gao, J and Martín, CE and McCollum, DL and Moss, R and Niemann, J and Rashleigh, B and Reed, PM},
title = {Research to Confront Climate Change Complexity: Intersectionality, Integration, and Innovative Governance.},
journal = {Earth's future},
volume = {12},
number = {6},
pages = {1-17},
pmid = {38993973},
issn = {2328-4277},
abstract = {Climate impacts increasingly unfold in interlinked systems of people, nature, and infrastructure. The cascading consequences are revealing sometimes surprising connections across sectors and regions, and prospects for climate responses also depend on complex, difficult-to-understand interactions. In this commentary, we build on the innovations of the United States Fifth National Climate Assessment to suggest a framework for understanding and responding to complex climate challenges. This approach involves: (a) integration of disciplines and expertise to understand how intersectionality shapes complex climate impacts and the wide-ranging effects of climate responses, (b) collaborations among diverse knowledge holders to improve responses and better encompass intersectionality, and (c) sustained experimentation with and learning about governance approaches capable of handling the complexity of climate change. Together, these three pillars underscore that usability of climate-relevant knowledge requires transdisciplinary coordination of research and practice. We outline actionable steps for climate research to incorporate intersectionality, integration, and innovative governance, as is increasingly necessary for confronting climate complexity and sustaining equitable, ideally vibrant climate futures.},
}
@article {pmid38992906,
year = {2024},
author = {Braunwald, E},
title = {Cardiovascular effects of climate change.},
journal = {European heart journal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehae401},
pmid = {38992906},
issn = {1522-9645},
}
@article {pmid38991350,
year = {2024},
author = {Nakhaei, P and Kisi, O and Nakhaei, M and Fathollahi-Fard, AM and Gheibi, M},
title = {Assessment of climate change on river streamflow under different representative concentration pathways.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121754},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121754},
pmid = {38991350},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change and excessive greenhouse gas emissions profoundly impact hydrological cycles, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions, necessitating assessments of their effects on water resource management, agriculture, soil fertility, nutrient transport, hydropower generation, and flood risk. This study investigates climate change repercussions on streamflow in the Zarrineh River Basin, Iran, across three decadal intervals (2020-2029, 2055-2064, and 2090-2099) aiming to develop effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Four General Circulation Models (GCMs), chosen based on distinct Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) determined by the annual mean temperature gradient, are employed. These models generate daily maximum (Tmax) and minimum (Tmin) temperatures along with precipitation data. Subsequently, these variables are integrated into the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model to analyze river flow alterations for each decadal timeframe. Comparison between future projections and observed climate data reveals a gradual decline in precipitation and Tmax, coupled with a substantial increase in Tmin. The average precipitation diminishes from 0.77 mm in the period 1985-1994 to a range of 0.42-0.28 mm in 2090-2099. The simulated flow at the basin outlet highlights that the GCM with the highest annual mean temperature gradient yields the lowest streamflow, while conversely, the model with the lowest gradient generates the highest. Consequently, streamflow experiences a decline from 52 m[3]/s in 1985-1994 to a range of 41-20 m[3]/s in 2090-2099.},
}
@article {pmid38991348,
year = {2024},
author = {Zimmermann, B and Kruber, S and Nendel, C and Munack, H and Hildmann, C},
title = {Assessing the cooling potential of climate change adaptation measures in rural areas.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121595},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121595},
pmid = {38991348},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Atmospheric heat has become a major public concern in a rapidly warming world. Evapotranspiration, however, provides effective land surface cooling during the vegetation period. Adversely, modern cultural landscapes - due to both water and potential evapotranspiration pathways lacking - are increasingly incapable of offering this important benefit. We hypothesised that concerted measures for a revived landscape water retention can fuel plant transpiration, especially during dry periods, and thus contribute to climate change adaptation by stabilising the regional climate. Seeking nature-based ways to an improved landscape water retention, we used the land surface temperature (LST) as a proxy for landscape mesoclimate. For our drought-prone rural study area, we identified potential candidate environmental predictors for which we established statistical relationships to LST. We then, from a set of potential climate change adaptation measures, mapped selected items to potential locations of implementation. Building on that, we evaluated a certain measures' probable cooling effect using (i) the fitted model and (ii) the expected expression of predictors before and after a hypothetical measure implementation. In the modelling, we took into account the spatial and temporal autocorrelation of the LST data and thus achieved realistic parameter estimates. Using the candidate predictor set and the model, we were able to establish a ranking of the effectiveness of climate adaptation measures. However, due to the spatial variability of the predictors, the modelled LST is site-specific. This results in a spatial differentiation of a measure's benefit. Furthermore, seasonal variations occur, such as those caused by plant growth. On average, the afforestation of arable land or urban brownfields, and the rewetting of former wet meadows have the largest cooling capacities of up to 3.5 K. We conclude that heat countermeasures based on fostering both evapotranspiration and landscape water retention, even in rural regions, offer promising adaptation ways to atmospheric warming.},
}
@article {pmid38989640,
year = {2024},
author = {Ma, Z and Wang, W and Chen, X and Gehman, K and Yang, H and Yang, Y},
title = {Prediction of the global occurrence of maize diseases and estimation of yield loss under climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8309},
pmid = {38989640},
issn = {1526-4998},
support = {CSTB2022TIAD-LUX0004//Chongqing Technology Innovation and Application Development Special Project/ ; 2022YFD1901402//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change significantly impacts global maize production via yield reduction, posing a threat to global food security. Disease-related crop damage reduces quality and yield and results in economic losses. However, the occurrence of diseases caused by climate change, and thus crop yield loss, has not been given much attention.<br><br>RESULTS: This study aims to investigate the potential impact of six major diseases on maize yield loss over the next 20 to 80&#x2009;years under climate change. To this end, the Maximum Entropy model was implemented, based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6 data. The results indicated that temperature and precipitation are identified as primary limiting factors for disease onset. Southern corn rust was projected to be the most severe disease in the future; with a few of the combined occurrence of all the selected diseases covered in this study were predicted to progressively worsen over time. Yield losses caused by diseases varied per continent, with North America facing the highest loss, followed by Asia, South America, Europe, Africa, and Oceania.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study provides a basis for regional projections and global control of maize diseases under future climate conditions. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid38988350,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, Y and Li, L and Zhou, J and Ma, Y and Zhang, Y and Liu, Y and Li, J and Liu, W},
title = {Predicting the potential distribution change of the endangered Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) across its entire range in China under climate change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e11684},
pmid = {38988350},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The Francois' langur (Trachypithecus francoisi) is a rare primate species indicated as endangered and distributed in karst areas in northern Vietnam and southwestern China. However, research limited to specific nature reserves or sites has hampered holistic conservation management. A comprehensive map of the potential distribution for the Francois' langur is essential to advance conservation efforts and ensure coordinated management across regions. Here, we used 82 occurrence records of Francois' langur surveyed in Guangxi, Guizhou, and Chongqing from 2017 to 2020, along with 12 environmental variables, to build the potential habitat model under current and future climate (2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090s) using maximum entropy models (MaxEnt). Our results indicated that (1) precipitation- and temperature-associated bioclimatic variables contributed the most to the distribution of Francois' langur. Vegetation, water sources, and anthropogenic variables also affected its distribution; (2) a total of 144,207.44 km[2] of potential suitable habitat across the entire range in China was estimated by the current model. Moderate- and high-suitability habitats accounted for only 23.76% (34,265.96 km[2]) of the predicted suitable habitat and were mainly distributed in southwest Guangxi, east of Chongqing, and the border between Guizhou and Chongqing; (3) the suitable habitats of Francois' langur will contract considerably under future climate change, and the habitat centroid will move in the southeast direction with a shifting distance of approximately 2.84 km/year from current to 2100. The habitat prediction of Francois' langur and the main drivers proposed in this study could provide essential insights for the future conservation of this endangered species. The existing distribution areas should be monitored and protected, but conservation beyond existing habitats should also be a focus of effort, especially in future expansion areas. This would ensure effective and timely protection under climate change and anthropogenic pressures.},
}
@article {pmid38988343,
year = {2024},
author = {Gholamhosseini, A and Yousefi, M and Esmaeili, HR},
title = {Predicting climate change impacts on the distribution of endemic fish Cyprinion muscatense in the Arabian Peninsula.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {e11720},
pmid = {38988343},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Freshwater fishes are facing considerable threats in the Arabian Peninsula which is considered as a highly stressed region in the Middle East. It is predicted that northern Oman is likely to face decreasing rainfall and increasing temperature in coming decades. In this study, we focused on an endemic cyprinid fish Cyprinion muscatense, as a model to investigate impacts of climate change on the mountain fishes inhibiting in this arid region. This species is expected to be strongly affected by climate change because of its limited distribution range in a montane area surrounded by lowlands and sea, limiting the species in shift to other areas. We used an ensemble approach by considering two regressions-based species distribution modeling (SDM) algorithms: generalized linear models (GLM), and generalized additive models (GAM) to model the species habitat suitability and predict the impacts of climate change on the species habitat suitability. Based on the distribution models, the montane area located in northeastern Oman was identified as the most suitable habitat for this species. Our results indicate that, even under the minimum greenhouse gas emissions scenario (RCP 2.6), climate change will produce a high reduction in its potential future habitats. According to the results of percent contribution, elevation and annual minimum temperature were the most important variables in predicting the species suitable habitats. Results also showed that only a small percentage of suitable habitats for the species within boundaries of protected areas. Therefore, the impact of climate change on the species appears particularly alarming. Although our study was restricted to a single cyprinid freshwater species, decreases in potential habitats are likely predicted for other cyprinid fish species restricted to the mountains of this region, suggesting severe consideration is needed for aquatic systems in future conservation planning, especially for endemic freshwater fishes.},
}
@article {pmid38988000,
year = {2024},
author = {Parums, DV},
title = {A Review of the Increasing Global Impact of Climate Change on Human Health and Approaches to Medical Preparedness.},
journal = {Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research},
volume = {30},
number = {},
pages = {e945763},
doi = {10.12659/MSM.945763},
pmid = {38988000},
issn = {1643-3750},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Global Health ; Civil Defense/trends ; World Health Organization ; },
abstract = {At the end of 2023, the World Health Organization (WHO) identified climate change as the greatest threat to human health. Global climate change is due to rising atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gasses, primarily due to the burning of fossil fuels, mainly by populations in developed and developing countries. In 2022, the world experienced the highest temperatures for over 100,000 years. However, in 2022, global investment in fossil fuels increased by 10% and reached more than USD 1 trillion. The 2023 Lancet Commission report concluded that there has been little progress in protecting individuals from the adverse health effects of climate change. It is clear that global action against climate change needs to move more quickly, and the inequalities in the effects of climate change, including the impact on health, are increasing. This article aims to review the ongoing global impact of climate change on human health at individual and population levels, including recent initiatives and medical approaches to prepare for this increasing challenge.},
}
@article {pmid38987987,
year = {2024},
author = {Sahni, J and Lin, WS and Kilinc, E and Abdelaal, M and Ganesan, S and Spears, R and Karl, E},
title = {Advancing climate change education in the dental curriculum.},
journal = {Journal of dental education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jdd.13661},
pmid = {38987987},
issn = {1930-7837},
}
@article {pmid38984769,
year = {2024},
author = {Parker, EJ and Weiskopf, SR and Oliver, RY and Rubenstein, MA and Jetz, W},
title = {Insufficient and biased representation of species geographic responses to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17408},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17408},
pmid = {38984769},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//E.O. Wilson Biodiversity Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Animals ; Ecosystem ; Geography ; Biodiversity ; Plants ; },
abstract = {The geographic redistributions of species due to a rapidly changing climate are poised to perturb ecological communities and significantly impact ecosystems and human livelihoods. Effectively managing these biological impacts requires a thorough understanding of the patterns and processes of species geographic range shifts. While substantial recent redistributions have been identified and recognized to vary by taxon, region, and range geometry, there are large gaps and biases in the available evidence. Here, we use the largest compilation of geographic range change observations to date, comprised of 33,016 potential redistributions across 12,009 species, to formally assess within- and cross-species coverage and biases and to motivate future data collection. We find that species coverage varies strongly by taxon and underrepresents species at high and low latitudes. Within species, assessments of potential redistributions came from parts of their geographic range that were highly uneven and non-representative. For most species and taxa, studies were strongly biased toward the colder parts of species' distributions and thus significantly underrepresented populations that might get pushed beyond their maximum temperature limits. Coverage of potential leading and trailing geographic range edges under a changing climate was similarly uneven. Only 8% of studied species were assessed at both high and low latitude and elevation range edges, with most only covered at one edge. This suggests that substantial within-species biases exacerbate the considerable geographic and taxonomic among-species unevenness in evidence. Our results open the door for a more quantitative accounting for existing knowledge biases in climate change ecology and a more informed management and conservation. Our findings offer guidance for future data collection that better addresses information gaps and provides a more effective foundation for managing the biological impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38984450,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, X and Wei, JC and Li, C},
title = {Critical Review and Recommendations for Enhancing the Analysis of Climate Change Impacts on Rheumatic Conditions.},
journal = {Arthritis &amp; rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/art.42952},
pmid = {38984450},
issn = {2326-5205},
}
@article {pmid38982862,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, X and Huntingford, C and Wang, K and Cui, J and Xu, H and Kan, F and Anniwaer, N and Yang, H and Peñuelas, J and Piao, S},
title = {Increased crossing of thermal stress thresholds of vegetation under global warming.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17406},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17406},
pmid = {38982862},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {41988101//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
mesh = {*Global Warming ; Ecosystem ; Plant Development ; Temperature ; Seasons ; Hot Temperature ; Climate Models ; Plants ; Climate Change ; },
abstract = {Temperature extremes exert a significant influence on terrestrial ecosystems, but the precise levels at which these extremes trigger adverse shifts in vegetation productivity have remained elusive. In this study, we have derived two critical thresholds, using standard deviations (SDs) of growing-season temperature and satellite-based vegetation productivity as key indicators. Our findings reveal that, on average, vegetation productivity experiences rapid suppression when confronted with temperature anomalies exceeding 1.45 SD above the mean temperature during 2001-2018. Furthermore, at temperatures exceeding 2.98 SD above the mean, we observe the maximum level of suppression, particularly in response to the most extreme high-temperature events. When Earth System Models are driven by a future medium emission scenario, they project that mean temperatures will routinely surpass both of these critical thresholds by approximately the years 2050 and 2070, respectively. However, it is important to note that the timing of these threshold crossings exhibits spatial variation and will appear much earlier in tropical regions. Our finding highlights that restricting global warming to just 1.5°C can increase safe areas for vegetation growth by 13% compared to allowing warming to reach 2°C above preindustrial levels. This mitigation strategy helps avoid exposure to detrimental extreme temperatures that breach these thresholds. Our study underscores the pivotal role of climate mitigation policies in fostering the sustainable development of terrestrial ecosystems in a warming world.},
}
@article {pmid38982232,
year = {2024},
author = {Guo, Z},
title = {More studies needed on how climate change affects exercise health benefits.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {631},
number = {8020},
pages = {275},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-02249-0},
pmid = {38982232},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {Humans ; *Exercise ; *Climate Change ; },
}
@article {pmid38982210,
year = {2024},
author = {Bizama, G and Jan, A and Olivos, JA and Fuentes-Jaque, G and Valdovinos, C and Urrutia, R and Arismendi, I},
title = {Climate change can disproportionately reduce habitats of stream fishes with restricted ranges in southern South America.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15780},
pmid = {38982210},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {21201511//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Ecosystem ; *Climate Change ; *Fishes/physiology ; South America ; Rivers ; Endangered Species ; Conservation of Natural Resources/methods ; Chile ; Fresh Water ; },
abstract = {Freshwater fishes are among the most threatened taxa worldwide owing to changes in land use, species introductions, and climate change. Although more than half of the freshwater fishes in the Chilean Mediterranean ecoregion are considered vulnerable or endangered, still little is known about their biogeography. Fishes of the family Perciliidae are endemic of this region and ideal cases to study potential implications of global warming given their endangered conservation status, small size, restricted range, and limited dispersal capacity in fragmented habitats. Here, we model the spatial distribution of habitats for Percilia irwini and P. gillissi under current (1970-2000) and future (2050-2080) climatic scenarios (SSP245, SSP585). We implement maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models adapted for stream networks using high-resolution datasets of selected geophysical and climatic variables. At present, both species inhabit relatively low-quality habitats. In the future (SSP585), suitable habitats for P. irwini are predicted to be reduced drastically (99%) with potential local extirpations in its northern range. Similarly, up to 62% of suitable habitats for P. gillissi would also be reduced in the future. Our study provides insights about assessing future threats and vulnerability of endemic, endangered, range-restricted, and small-bodied freshwater species in this region and elsewhere.},
}
@article {pmid38982176,
year = {2024},
author = {Gebremedhn, H and Gebrewahid, Y and Haile, GG and Hadgu, G and Atsbha, T and Hailu, TG and Bezabih, G},
title = {Projecting the impact of climate change on honey bee plant habitat distribution in Northern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15866},
pmid = {38982176},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Bees/physiology ; Ethiopia ; Animals ; *Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Climate change significantly affects the diversity, growth, and survival of indigenous plant species thereby influencing the nutrition, health and productivity of honey bees (Apis mellifera). Hypoestes forskaolii (Vahl) is one of the major honey bee plant species in Ethiopia's Tigray region. It is rich in pollen and nectar that typically provides white honey, which fetches a premium price in both local and inter-national markets. Despite its socio-economic and apicultural significance, the distribution of H. forskaolii has been declining, raising concerns regarding its conservation efforts. However, there is limited knowledge on how environmental and climatic factors affect its current distribution and response to future climate change. The study investigates the current and projected (the 2030s, 2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) habitat distributions of H. forskaolii under three future climate change scenarios (ssp126, ssp245, and ssp585) using the Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt). The results show that land use (50.1%), agro-ecology (28%), precipitation during the Driest Quarter (11.2%) and soil texture (6.1%) predominantly influence the distribution of H. forskaolii, collectively explaining 95.4% of the model's predictive power. Habitats rich in evergreen trees and mosaic herbaceous with good vegetation cover are identified as the most suitable for H. forskaolii. The spatial distribution of H. forskaolii is concentrated in the highlands and mid-highlands of the eastern and southern parts of Tigray, characterized by a colder temperature. Across the three climate change scenarios, the size of suitable habitat for H. forskaolii is projected to decrease over the four time periods studied. Predictions under the ssp585 scenario reveal alarming results, indicating a substantial decrease in the suitable habitat for H. forskaolii from 4.26% in the 2030s to 19.09% in the 2090s. Therefore, given the challenges posed by climate change, research efforts should focus on identifying and evaluating new technologies that can help the H. forskaolii species in adapting and mitigating the effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38982053,
year = {2024},
author = {Boakes, EH and Dalin, C and Etard, A and Newbold, T},
title = {Impacts of the global food system on terrestrial biodiversity from land use and climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5750},
pmid = {38982053},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {*Biodiversity ; *Climate Change ; *Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Food Supply ; Agriculture ; South America ; Methane/analysis ; },
abstract = {The global food system is a key driver of land-use and climate change which in turn drive biodiversity change. Developing sustainable food systems is therefore critical to reversing biodiversity loss. We use the multi-regional input-output model EXIOBASE to estimate the biodiversity impacts embedded within the global food system in 2011. Using models that capture regional variation in the sensitivity of biodiversity both to land use and climate change, we calculate the land-driven and greenhouse gas-driven footprints of food using two metrics of biodiversity: local species richness and rarity-weighted species richness. We show that the footprint of land area underestimates biodiversity impact in more species-rich regions and that our metric of rarity-weighted richness places a greater emphasis on biodiversity costs in Central and South America. We find that methane emissions are responsible for 70% of the overall greenhouse gas-driven biodiversity footprint and that, in several regions, emissions from a single year's food production are associated with global biodiversity loss equivalent to 2% or more of that region's total land-driven biodiversity loss. The measures we present are relatively simple to calculate and could be incorporated into decision-making and environmental impact assessments by governments and businesses.},
}
@article {pmid38981637,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {STRENGTHENED GLOBAL CAPACITIES ON CLIMATE CHANGE AND HEALTH: WHO TRAINING IN MADRID.},
journal = {Neurosciences (Riyadh, Saudi Arabia)},
volume = {29},
number = {3},
pages = {212-213},
pmid = {38981637},
issn = {1319-6138},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *World Health Organization ; Global Health ; Spain ; },
}
@article {pmid38981546,
year = {2024},
author = {Taylor, AK and Berke, MA and Koutsodendris, A},
title = {Climate change and human impacts on aquatic communities at Etoliko Lagoon in western Greece.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174590},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174590},
pmid = {38981546},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The Etoliko Lagoon in western Greece has experienced extensive human modification since the 20th century, both on the surrounding land and in the aquatic environment. To examine human impacts and disentangle climatic from anthropogenic changes, we present a suite of biomarker records that span the past two centuries (~1790-2011). Specifically, we use terrigenous (n-alkanes, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs), and phytosterols) and aquatic (dinosterol, brassicasterol, cholesterol, and stigmasterol) biomarkers to document changes in nutrient inputs, combustion, and algal productivity. During most of the 19th and 20th centuries, aquatic communities respond to temperature, forced mainly by solar irradiance and volcanic activity, and precipitation, controlled largely by summer and winter North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) patterns that determine freshwater runoff. PAHs illustrate the acceleration of coal combustion during the 1800s, and declining concentrations since the 1950s correspond to the implementation of emission controls and reductions in rainfall that likely inhibited PAH transport. As human pressures increased in the late 1900s and water column anoxia grew, the absence of a clear human waste and eutrophication signal suggests that other factors also contributed to limited oxygen availability. Overall, environmental degradation of the late 20th and early 21st centuries is clear and can be attributed to a combination of especially arid conditions and human interferences that altered lagoon hydrography, trophic state, and aquatic community composition.},
}
@article {pmid38981269,
year = {2024},
author = {Janizadeh, S and Kim, D and Jun, C and Bateni, SM and Pandey, M and Mishra, VN},
title = {Impact of climate change on future flood susceptibility projections under shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios in South Asia using artificial intelligence algorithms.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121764},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121764},
pmid = {38981269},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study investigated the impact of climate change on flood susceptibility in six South Asian countries Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Bharat (India), Nepal, and Pakistan-under two distinct Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios: SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-5.8, for 2041-2060 and 2081-2100. To predict flood susceptibility, we employed three artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms: the K-nearest neighbor (KNN), conditional inference random forest (CIRF), and regularized random forest (RRF). Predictions were based on data from 2452 historical flood events, alongside climatic variables measured over monthly, seasonal, and annual timeframes. The innovative aspect of this research is the emphasis on using climatic variables across these progressively condensed timeframes, specifically addressing eight precipitation factors. The performance evaluation, employing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) metric, identified the RRF model as the most accurate, with the highest AUC of 0.94 during the testing phase, followed by the CIRF (AUC = 0.91) and the KNN (AUC = 0.86). An analysis of variable importance highlighted the substantial role of certain climatic factors, namely precipitation in the warmest quarter, annual precipitation, and precipitation during the wettest month, in the modeling of flood susceptibility in South Asia. The resultant flood susceptibility maps demonstrated the influence of climate change scenarios on susceptibility classifications, signalling a dynamic landscape of flood-prone areas over time. The findings revealed variable trends under different climate change scenarios and periods, with marked differences in the percentage of areas classified as having high and very high flood susceptibility. Overall, this study advances our understanding of how climate change affects flood susceptibility in South Asia and offers an essential tool for assessing and managing flood risks in the region.},
}
@article {pmid38977719,
year = {2024},
author = {Lim, C and Kang, JH and Bayartogtokh, B and Bae, YJ},
title = {Climate change will lead to range shifts and genetic diversity losses of dung beetles in the Gobi Desert and Mongolian Steppe.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15639},
pmid = {38977719},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2022R1A2C1009024//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
mesh = {*Coleoptera/genetics/classification/physiology ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Genetic Variation ; *Desert Climate ; Mongolia ; Biodiversity ; Phylogeography ; Haplotypes ; Grassland ; Phylogeny ; },
abstract = {Desertification is known to be a major threat to biodiversity, yet our understanding of the consequent decline in biodiversity remains insufficient. Here, we predicted climate change-induced range shifts and genetic diversity losses in three model dung beetles: Colobopterus erraticus, Cheironitis eumenes, and Gymnopleurus mopsus, distributed across the Gobi Desert and Mongolian Steppe, areas known for desertification. Phylogeographic analyses of mitochondrial COI sequences and species distribution modeling, based on extensive field investigations spanning 14 years, were performed. Species confined to a single biome were predicted to contract and shift their distribution in response to climate change, whereas widespread species was predicted to expand even if affected by range shifts. We indicated that all species are expected to experience significant haplotype losses, yet the presence of high singleton frequencies and low genetic divergence across geographic configurations and lineages mitigate loss of genetic diversity. Notably, Cheironitis eumenes, a desert species with low genetic diversity, appears to be the most vulnerable to climate change due to the extensive degradation in the Gobi Desert. This is the first study to predict the response of insects to desertification in the Gobi Desert. Our findings highlight that dung beetles in the Gobi Desert and Mongolian Steppe might experience high rates of occupancy turnover and genetic loss, which could reshuffle the species composition.},
}
@article {pmid38975189,
year = {2024},
author = {Atchadé, MN and Nougbodé, H},
title = {Statistical investigation on the relationship between climate change, food availability, agricultural productivity, and economic expansion.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {12},
pages = {e32520},
pmid = {38975189},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study examined the connections between Benin's economic expansion, food production, agricultural productivity, and climate change. Using yearly statistics between 1961 and 2021, and R software version 4.2.2, we aim to: (1) Analyze how agricultural added value affects economic expansion; (2) analyze the effects of food production and temperature lagged values on economic growth; (3) investigate the different causality relationships between food production, temperature variation, agricultural added value and economic growth. To achieve these goals, statistical and econometric techniques such as Autoregressive Distributed Lags (ARDL) and the Toda-Yamamoto Granger causality framework were employed. The ARDL model verifies that there is a positive correlation between economic growth and the added value of agriculture based on empirical data. In addition, the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model highlights the favorable impact of lagged food production values and the adverse effect of temperature fluctuations on economic growth. Granger causality analysis, employing the Toda-Yamamoto approach, unveils unidirectional links between food production and economic growth, as well as between temperature variation and agricultural added value. Interestingly, the study comes to the conclusion that there are no direct causal links between economic expansion and agricultural growth or between economic growth and temperature variance. Notably, bidirectional causality is established between livestock production and both economic growth and agricultural added value. These insights have significant implications for understanding climate change impacts on agriculture and suggest the need for adapted strategies to mitigate climate effects. Future research could focus on evaluating existing policies, exploring social and economic impacts, investigating market dynamics, and utilizing integrated assessment modeling to inform decision-making and foster sustainable economic growth in Benin's agricultural sector.},
}
@article {pmid38974250,
year = {2023},
author = {Tumwine, JK},
title = {Editorial: Infections, non-communicable diseases, and reproductive health issues in a world beset by conflict and climate change.},
journal = {African health sciences},
volume = {23},
number = {4},
pages = {i-iv},
pmid = {38974250},
issn = {1729-0503},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology ; *Reproductive Health ; Armed Conflicts ; Communicable Diseases/epidemiology ; },
}
@article {pmid38973578,
year = {2024},
author = {Alagador, D},
title = {Dependence of Europe's most threatened mammals on movement to adapt to climate change.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e14315},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.14315},
pmid = {38973578},
issn = {1523-1739},
support = {LA/P/0121/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; UIDB/05183/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; UIDP/05183/2020//Funda&#xe7;&#xe3;o para a Ci&#xea;ncia e a Tecnologia/ ; 101060429//HORIZON EUROPE Research and Innovation Programme/ ; },
abstract = {Current rates of climate change and gloomy climate projections confront managers and conservation planners with the need to integrate climate change into already complex decision-making processes. Predicting and prioritizing climatically stable areas and the areas likely to facilitate adaptive species' range adjustments are important stages in maximizing conservation outcomes and rationalizing future land management. I determined, for the most threatened European terrestrial mammal species, the spatial adaptive trajectories (SATs) of highest expected persistence up to 2080. I devised simple spatial network indices for evaluation of species in those SATs: total persistence; proportion of SATs that offer in situ adaptation (i.e., stable refugia); number of SATs converging in a site; and relationship between SAT convergence and persistence and protected areas, the Natura 2000 and Emerald networks, and areas of low human disturbance. I compared the performance of high-persistence SATs with a scenario in which each species remained in the areas with the best climatic conditions in the baseline period. The 1000 most persistence SATs for each of the 39 species covered one fifth of Europe. The areas with the largest adaptive potential (i.e., high persistence, stability, and SAT convergence) did not always overlap for all the species. Predominantly, these regions were located in southwestern Europe, Central Europe, and Scandinavia, with some occurrences in Eastern Europe. For most species, persistence in the most climatically suitable areas during the baseline period was lower than within SATs, underscoring their reliance on adaptive movements. Importantly, conservation areas (particularly protected areas) covered only minor fractions of species persistence among SATs, and hubs of spatial climate adaptation (i.e., areas of high SAT convergence) were seriously underrepresented in most conservation areas. These results highlight the need to perform analyses on spatial species' dynamics under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38972805,
year = {2024},
author = {Dilger, AE and Meiklejohn, DA and Bent, JP and Tummala, N and Bergmark, RW and Lalakea, ML},
title = {Climate change and environmental sustainability in otolaryngology: A state-of-the-art review.},
journal = {The surgeon : journal of the Royal Colleges of Surgeons of Edinburgh and Ireland},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.surge.2024.06.007},
pmid = {38972805},
issn = {1479-666X},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has been identified by the World Health Organization (WHO) as the greatest existing threat to human health. Given the direct exposure of the upper aerodigestive system to pollutants, patients in otolaryngology are at high risk for increased disease burden in the setting of climate change and worsening air quality. Given this and the environmental impact of surgical care, it is essential for surgeons to understand their role in addressing climate health through quality-driven clinical initiatives, education, advocacy, and research.<br><br>METHODS: A state-of-the-art review was performed of the existing literature on the otolaryngologic health impacts of climate change and environmental sustainability efforts in surgery with specific attention to studies in otolaryngology - head and neck surgery.<br><br>FINDINGS: Climate variables including heat and air pollution are associated with increased incidence of allergic rhinitis, chronic rhinosinusitis and head and neck cancer. A number of studies have shown that sustainability initiatives in otolaryngology are safe and provide direct cost benefit.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Surgeons have the opportunity to lead on climate health and sustainability to address the public health burden of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38972184,
year = {2024},
author = {Verlicchi, P and Grillini, V and Maffini, F and Benini, A and Mari, M and Casoni, R},
title = {A proposed methodology to evaluate the influence of climate change on drinking water treatments and costs.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {366},
number = {},
pages = {121726},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121726},
pmid = {38972184},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Drinking water (DW) production treatments can be affected by climate change, in particular intense rainfall events, having an impact on the availability and quality of the water source. The current study proposes a methodology for the evaluation of the costs of the different treatment steps for surface water (SW) and groundwater (GW), through the analysis and quantification of the main cost items. It provides the details to count for strong variations in the key quality parameters of inlet water following severe rainfalls (namely turbidity, iron, manganese, and E. coli). This methodology is then applied to a large drinking water treatment plant (DWTP) in Italy, which treats both SW, around 70 %, and GW, around 30%. It discusses the overall DW production costs (from 7.60 c€/m[3] to 10.43 c€/m[3]) during the period 2019-2021 and analyzes the contributions of the different treatment steps in water and sludge trains. Then it focuses on the effects on the treatments of significant variations in SW turbidity (up to 1863 NTU) due to intense rainfalls, and on the daily costs of DW with respect to the average (baseline) costs evaluated on the annual basis. It emerges that, when SW has low turbidity levels, the energy-based steps have the biggest contribution on the costs (final pumping 22 % for SW and 10 % for GW, withdrawal 15 % and 14 %, respectively), whereas at very high turbidity levels, sludge greatly increases, and its treatment and disposal costs become significant (up to 14 % and 50 %). Efforts are being made to adopt the best strategies for the management of DWTPs in these adverse conditions, with the aim to guarantee potable water and optimize water production costs. A mitigation measure consists of increasing GW withdrawal up to the authorized flow rate, thus reducing SW withdrawal. In this context, the study is completed by discussing the potential upgrading of the DWTP by only treating GW withdrawn from riverbank filtration. The DW production cost would be 7.76 c€/m[3], which is lower than that seen for the same year (2021) with the current plant configuration (8.32 c€/m[3]).},
}
@article {pmid38972071,
year = {2024},
author = {Aliaga-Samanez, A and Romero, D and Murray, K and Segura, M and Real, R and Olivero, J},
title = {Potential climate change effects on the distribution of urban and sylvatic dengue and yellow fever vectors.},
journal = {Pathogens and global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-11},
doi = {10.1080/20477724.2024.2369377},
pmid = {38972071},
issn = {2047-7732},
abstract = {Climate change may increase the risk of dengue and yellow fever transmission by urban and sylvatic mosquito vectors. Previous research primarily focused on Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. However, dengue and yellow fever have a complex transmission cycle involving sylvatic vectors. Our aim was to analyze how the distribution of areas favorable to both urban and sylvatic vectors could be modified as a consequence of climate change. We projected, to future scenarios, baseline distribution models already published for these vectors based on the favorability function, and mapped the areas where mosquitoes' favorability could increase, decrease or remain stable in the near (2041-2060) and distant (2061-2080) future. Favorable areas for the presence of dengue and yellow fever vectors show little differences in the future compared to the baseline models, with changes being perceptible only at regional scales. The model projections predict dengue vectors expanding in West and Central Africa and in South-East Asia, reaching Borneo. Yellow fever vectors could spread in West and Central Africa and in the Amazon. In some locations of Europe, the models suggest a reestablishment of Ae. aegypti, while Ae. albopictus will continue to find new favorable areas. The results underline the need to focus more on vectors Ae. vittatus, Ae. luteocephalus and Ae. africanus in West and Central sub-Saharan Africa, especially Cameroon, Central Africa Republic, and northern Democratic Republic of Congo; and underscore the importance of enhancing entomological monitoring in areas where populations of often overlooked vectors may thrive as a result of climate changes.},
}
@article {pmid38971982,
year = {2024},
author = {Muhlfeld, CC and Cline, TJ and Finstad, AG and Hessen, DO and Perrin, S and Thaulow, J and Whited, D and Vøllestad, LA},
title = {Climate change vulnerability of Arctic char across Scandinavia.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17387},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17387},
pmid = {38971982},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//U.S. Geological Survey, Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center/ ; //University of Oslo, Department of Biosciences/ ; //U.S. Fulbright Specialist Program/ ; },
mesh = {Scandinavian and Nordic Countries ; Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Trout/physiology ; *Lakes ; *Ecosystem ; Arctic Regions ; Esocidae/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is anticipated to cause species to shift their ranges upward and poleward, yet space for tracking suitable habitat conditions may be limited for range-restricted species at the highest elevations and latitudes of the globe. Consequently, range-restricted species inhabiting Arctic freshwater ecosystems, where global warming is most pronounced, face the challenge of coping with changing abiotic and biotic conditions or risk extinction. Here, we use an extensive fish community and environmental dataset for 1762 lakes sampled across Scandinavia (mid-1990s) to evaluate the climate vulnerability of Arctic char (Salvelinus alpinus), the world's most cold-adapted and northernly distributed freshwater fish. Machine learning models show that abiotic and biotic factors strongly predict the occurrence of Arctic char across the region with an overall accuracy of 89 percent. Arctic char is less likely to occur in lakes with warm summer temperatures, high dissolved organic carbon levels (i.e., browning), and presence of northern pike (Esox lucius). Importantly, climate warming impacts are moderated by habitat (i.e., lake area) and amplified by the presence of competitors and/or predators (i.e., northern pike). Climate warming projections under the RCP8.5 emission scenario indicate that 81% of extant populations are at high risk of extirpation by 2080. Highly vulnerable populations occur across their range, particularly near the southern range limit and at lower elevations, with potential refugia found in some mountainous and coastal regions. Our findings highlight that range shifts may give way to range contractions for this cold-water specialist, indicating the need for pro-active conservation and mitigation efforts to avoid the loss of Arctic freshwater biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid38971356,
year = {2024},
author = {Murage, P and Macintyre, LH and Heaviside, C and Vardoulakis, S and Neven, F and Ruksana, RH and Hajat, S},
title = {Future temperature-related mortality in the UK under climate change scenarios: impact of population ageing and bias-corrected climate projections.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119565},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119565},
pmid = {38971356},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Exposure to heat and cold poses a serious threat to human health. In the UK, hotter summers, milder winters and an ageing population will shift how populations experience temperature-related health burdens. Estimating future burdens can provide insights on the drivers of temperature-related health effects and removing biases in temperature projections is an essential step to generating these estimates, however, the impact of various methods of correction is not well examined.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a detailed health impact assessment by estimating mortality attributable to temperature at a baseline period (2007-2018) and in future decades (2030s, 2050s and 2070s). Epidemiological exposure-response relationships were derived for all England regions and UK countries, to quantify cold and heat risk, and temperature thresholds where mortality increases. UK climate projections 2018 (UKCP18)were bias-corrected using three techniques: correcting for mean bias (shift or SH), variability (bias-correction or BC) and extreme values (quantile mapping or QM). These were applied in the health impact assessment, alongside consideration of population ageing and growth to estimate future temperature-related mortality.<br><br>FINDINGS: In the absence of adaptation and assuming a high-end emissions scenario (RCP8.5), annual UK temperature-related mortality is projected to increase, with substantial differences in raw vs. calibrated projections for heat-related mortality, but smaller differences for cold-related mortality. The BC approach gave an estimated 29 deaths per 100,000 in the 2070s, compared with 50 per 100,000 using uncorrected future temperatures. We also found population ageing may exert a bigger impact on future mortality totals than the impact from future increases in temperature alone. Estimating future health burdens associated with heat and cold is an important step towards equipping decision-makers to deliver suitable care to the changing population. Correcting inherent biases in temperature projections can improve the accuracy of projected health burdens to support health protection measures and long-term resilience planning.},
}
@article {pmid38971238,
year = {2024},
author = {Cantonati, M and Armanini, DG and Demartini, D and Papatheodoulou, A and Bilous, OP and Colombo, F and Angeli, N and Stancheva, R and Dörflinger, G and Manoylov, KM},
title = {Has climate change over the last ten years caused a banalisation of diatom communities in Cypriot streams?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174495},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174495},
pmid = {38971238},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {To unveil possible changes in diatom communities in Cypriot streams over the last ten years or so, we selected samples from the years 2020, 2021, and 2022 for the "recent" dataset (N = 119) and samples from the years 2010 and 2011 for the "historical" dataset (N = 108). Biotic homogenization has become a truly global phenomenon. Here we show that, over the last ten years, in response to increased water temperature, conductivity, and discharge variability due to climate-change, Cypriot stream diatom communities include a higher number of trivial (= widespread, tolerant, and opportunistic), aerial, and thermophilic species, have reduced β-diversity and increased nestedness. Moreover, IndVal analysis shows that indicator species from the historical dataset were characteristic, often relatively rare species, while the indicators of the recent dataset were a group of typical trivial, eutraphentic, and thermophilic species. As is almost always the case, the diatom communities we studied were subjected to multiple stressors, often affecting them in opposite ways. Besides the increase in trivial species, the reduction in β-diversity, and the rise in nestedness mentioned above, the diatom assemblages we studied also showed an increase in α-diversity that could be due to a moderate reduction in nutrients in several sites. High-ecological-integrity ecosystems, such as springs, waterfalls, and dripping rock-walls, in particular springs that were shown to be excellent hydrologic refugia in climates heavily affected by climate change, and the stream sites close to them should be carefully protected, as they can be refugia for sensitive and characteristic species that can recolonize the adjacent streams after adverse climatic events.},
}
@article {pmid38970635,
year = {2024},
author = {Wu, X and Sadiq, M and Chien, F and Ngo, QT and Nguyen, AT and Trinh, TT},
title = {Retraction Note: Testing role of green financing on climate change mitigation: Evidences from G7 and E7 countries.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-024-34268-9},
pmid = {38970635},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid38969658,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, C and Liu, Y and Pan, L},
title = {A study of impact of climate change on the U.S. stock market as exemplified by the NASDAQ 100 index constituents.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {15468},
pmid = {38969658},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {This paper employs an innovative event study methodology to demonstrate the impact of climate change on the NASDAQ index from the unique perspective of extreme weather events. This is achieved through the application of the event study methodology to a total of 526 biological, climatic, geological, hydrological, and meteorological disasters of climate change occurring in the U.S. during the period of 2000-2019. The results of the study demonstrate that: ① it can be generally observed that the five dimensions of climate change have a significant impact on stock returns. ② Empirical evidence indicates that the impact of different climate change dimensions on the return rate of stocks from NASDAQ stocks varies. In contrast, the biological and hydrological dimensions have a significantly negative impact on the return rate of stocks from the NASDAQ index, while the climate dimension has a significantly positive impact on the return rate of stocks from the NASDAQ index. ③ From the perspective of time, the impact of the five dimensions of climate change on the stock yield exhibits certain non-linear characteristics. This can be observed in the phenomenon of shock reversal, which occurs before and after the event.},
}
@article {pmid38969635,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, J and Michalski, JR and Wang, Z and Gao, WS},
title = {Atmospheric oxidation drove climate change on Noachian Mars.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5648},
pmid = {38969635},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {7004-21G//Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee (RGC, UGC)/ ; R5043-19//Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee (RGC, UGC)/ ; 17306623//Research Grants Council, University Grants Committee (RGC, UGC)/ ; 42241129//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 42302264//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {Modern Mars is bipolar, cold, and oxidizing, while early Mars was characterized by icy highlands, episodic warmth and reducing atmosphere. The timing and association of the climate and redox transitions remain inadequately understood. Here we examine the spatiotemporal distribution of the low surface iron abundance in the ancient Martian terrains, revealing that iron abundance decreases with elevation in the older Noachian terrains but with latitude in the younger Noachian terrains. These observations suggest: (a) low-temperature conditions contribute to surface iron depletion, likely facilitated by anoxic leaching through freeze-thaw cycles under a reducing atmosphere, and (b) temperature distribution mode shifted from elevation-dominant to latitude-dominant during the Noachian period. Additionally, we find iron leaching intensity decreases from the Early to Late Noachian epoch, suggesting a gradual atmospheric oxidation coupled with temperature mode transition during the Noachian period. We think atmospheric oxidation led to Mars becoming cold and bipolar in its early history.},
}
@article {pmid38969470,
year = {2024},
author = {Hunter, RF and Garcia, L and Dagless, S and Haines, A and Penney, T and Clifford Astbury, C and Whiting, S and Wickramasinghe, K and Racioppi, F and Galea, G and Kluge, HHP},
title = {The emerging syndemic of climate change and non-communicable diseases.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {7},
pages = {e430-e431},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00112-8},
pmid = {38969470},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology ; *Syndemic ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38969469,
year = {2024},
author = {Fears, R and Pongsiri, M and McGrath, PF},
title = {Climate change adaptation for health: using case study systems-based approaches to formulating solutions and guiding policy.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {8},
number = {7},
pages = {e428-e429},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00111-6},
pmid = {38969469},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Health Policy ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38969357,
year = {2024},
author = {Smith, R},
title = {A thought experiment: what should be our priorities when we finally "declare war" on climate change and the destruction of nature.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {386},
number = {},
pages = {q1502},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.q1502},
pmid = {38969357},
issn = {1756-1833},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; },
}
@article {pmid38969318,
year = {2024},
author = {Han, Y and Liu, Z and Chen, Y and Qi, J and Feng, P and Liu, L and Shi, J and Meng, L and Chen, Y},
title = {The Response of Non-Point Source Pollution to Climate Change in an Orchard-Dominant Coastal Watershed.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119515},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119515},
pmid = {38969318},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {China is the largest global orchard distribution area, where high fertilization rates, complex terrain, and uncertainties associated with future climate change present challenges in managing non-point source pollution (NPSP) in orchard-dominant growing areas (ODGA). Given the complex processes of climate, hydrology, and soil nutrient loss, this study utilized an enhanced Soil and Water Assessment Tool model (SWAT-CO2) to investigate the impact of future climate on NPSP in ODGA in a coastal basin of North China. Our investigation focused on climate-induced variations in hydrology, nitrogen (N), and phosphorus (P) losses in soil, considering three Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) climate scenarios: SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5. Continuous changes in CO2 levels significantly influenced evapotranspiration (ET) and water yield in ODGA. Influenced by sandy soils, nitrate leaching through percolation was the principal pathway for N loss in the ODGA. Surface runoff was identified as the primary pathway for P loss. Compared to the reference period (1971-2000), under three future climate scenarios, the increase in precipitation of ODGA ranged from 15% to 28%, while the growth rates of P loss and surface runoff were the most significant, both exceeding 120%. Orchards in the northwest basin proved susceptible to nitrate leaching, while others were more sensitive to N and P losses via surface runoff. Implementing targeted strategies, such as augmenting organic fertilizer usage and constructing terraced fields, based on ODGA's response characteristics to future climate, could effectively improve the basin's environment.},
}
@article {pmid38969315,
year = {2024},
author = {Neokye, EO and Wang, X and Thakur, KK and Quijón, PA and Nawaz, RA},
title = {Climate Change Impacts on Oyster Aquaculture - Part II: Impact Assessment and Adaptation Measures.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119535},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119535},
pmid = {38969315},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The oyster aquaculture sector plays a major role in food security, providing a sustainable way to obtain food and livelihood for coastal and Island nations. Oysters are one of the preferred choices by aquaculturists because of their resilience to harsh climatic conditions. Nonetheless, climate change will continue to pose threats to its culture. Climate-induced hazards such as floods, storms, disease, and invasive species are some of the key factors limiting oyster production globally. A thriving aquaculture industry needs optimal conditions to maximize exploitation. Here, we continue with the review of the impacts of climate change on oyster aquaculture at the global scale, highlighting climate vulnerability assessment. We also propose a framework for modeling oyster responses to future climate scenarios. Furthermore, we explore the health implications of infected oysters on consumer's health. We also identify knowledge gaps and challenges for sustainable oyster production. Additionally, we document mitigation and adaptation measures and future research directions.},
}
@article {pmid38969104,
year = {2024},
author = {Bousema, T and van Asten, SA and Ramjith, J and Buhl, M and Tack, B and Whitfield, KE and Friedrich, AW and Kantele, A},
title = {Transforming ESCMID in a time of climate change: a call for sustainable conferencing.},
journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2024.06.025},
pmid = {38969104},
issn = {1469-0691},
}
@article {pmid38968887,
year = {2024},
author = {Sayegh, F},
title = {Leveraging emotional intelligence to foster proactive climate change adaptation: A study of engineering decision-making.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {365},
number = {},
pages = {121669},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121669},
pmid = {38968887},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The impacts of climate change and development present significant challenges and complexities that require new solutions, wise choices, and multi-disciplinary integration. In this context, emotional intelligence (EI) plays a crucial role. However, traditional engineering education and practice overlook the importance of understanding and managing emotions. This research aims to determine the impact of EI as a tool to enhance proactive decision-making and implement sustainable measures within the engineering profession.The study makes three main research contributions. First, it confirms a positive relationship between EI and proactive sustainable decision-making among engineers. This means that engineers with high EI are more likely to consider the impacts of their decisions on various stakeholders and dimensions of sustainability. Second, it suggests that EI can enhance creativity and innovative thinking in engineering, helping engineers to develop effective solutions for challenges related to climate change. Third, the study advocates for incorporating EI training and assessment into engineering curriculums to foster a sustainable and ethical engineering culture. By improving EI, engineers can enhance their interpersonal skills, self-awareness, and emotional management, which in turn can significantly improve teamwork in addressing challenges related to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38968297,
year = {2024},
author = {Filazzola, A and Imrit, MA and Fleck, A and Woolway, RI and Sharma, S},
title = {Declining lake ice in response to climate change can impact spending for local communities.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {e0299937},
pmid = {38968297},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Lakes ; *Ice Cover ; Humans ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; },
abstract = {Lake ice is an important socio-economic resource that is threatened by climate change. The cover and duration of lake ice are expected to decline as air temperatures warm in the coming decades, disrupting a previously reliable source of income for many activities dependent on lake ice. The economic consequences of climate-induced lake ice loss remain unexplored, creating a significant research gap. The purpose of this study was to quantify the monetary spending associated with lake ice and how climate change may impact that value. Using a series of General Circulation Models (GCMs), greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, and models for lake ice cover, we predicted changes in lake ice by the end of the 21st century for the Northern Hemisphere. We also synthesized examples of spending associated with lake ice activities and discussed the potential implications expected with declining ice cover. We found that lake ice will decrease in area by 44,000-177,000 km2 and shorten in duration by 13-43 days by 2100. Using 31 examples of revenue from lake ice, we found that lake ice generates spending of over USD 2.04 billion to local communities and economies. We also found that countries predicted to experience the greatest ice loss by the end of the century are those that currently have the largest GDP, highest greenhouse gas emissions, and are most dependent on freshwater withdrawal. Our findings confirm predicted losses in lake ice that are expected because of climate change and quantify some of the potential consequences for local communities. Here we highlight lake ice as another casualty of human-caused climate change that will have profound socio-economic implications.},
}
@article {pmid38967106,
year = {2024},
author = {Cerutti-Pereyra, F and Drenkard, EJ and Espinoza, M and Finucci, B and Galván-Magaña, F and Hacohen-Domené, A and Hearn, A and Hoyos-Padilla, ME and Ketchum, JT and Mejía-Falla, PA and Moya-Serrano, AV and Navia, AF and Pazmiño, DA and Ramírez-Macías, D and Rummer, JL and Salinas-de-León, P and Sosa-Nishizaki, O and Stock, C and Chin, A},
title = {Vulnerability of Eastern Tropical Pacific chondrichthyan fish to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {7},
pages = {e17373},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17373},
pmid = {38967106},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//United States Agency for International Development (USAID)/ ; //Instituto Polit&#xe9;cnico Nacional (COFAA and EDI)/ ; //Save Our Seas Foundation/ ; //Mark and Rachel Rohr Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Pacific Ocean ; Risk Assessment ; Ecosystem ; Fishes/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change is an environmental emergency threatening species and ecosystems globally. Oceans have absorbed about 90% of anthropogenic heat and 20%-30% of the carbon emissions, resulting in ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, changes in ocean stratification and nutrient availability, and more severe extreme events. Given predictions of further changes, there is a critical need to understand how marine species will be affected. Here, we used an integrated risk assessment framework to evaluate the vulnerability of 132 chondrichthyans in the Eastern Tropical Pacific (ETP) to the impacts of climate change. Taking a precautionary view, we found that almost a quarter (23%) of the ETP chondrichthyan species evaluated were highly vulnerable to climate change, and much of the rest (76%) were moderately vulnerable. Most of the highly vulnerable species are batoids (77%), and a large proportion (90%) are coastal or pelagic species that use coastal habitats as nurseries. Six species of batoids were highly vulnerable in all three components of the assessment (exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity). This assessment indicates that coastal species, particularly those relying on inshore nursery areas are the most vulnerable to climate change. Ocean warming, in combination with acidification and potential deoxygenation, will likely have widespread effects on ETP chondrichthyan species, but coastal species may also contend with changes in freshwater inputs, salinity, and sea level rise. This climate-related vulnerability is compounded by other anthropogenic factors, such as overfishing and habitat degradation already occurring in the region. Mitigating the impacts of climate change on ETP chondrichthyans involves a range of approaches that include addressing habitat degradation, sustainability of exploitation, and species-specific actions may be required for species at higher risk. The assessment also highlighted the need to further understand climate change's impacts on key ETP habitats and processes and identified knowledge gaps on ETP chondrichthyan species.},
}
@article {pmid38967105,
year = {2024},
author = {Sudhakaran, G},
title = {Impact of climate change on the yield of medicinal plants in recent years.},
journal = {Natural product research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1080/14786419.2024.2372845},
pmid = {38967105},
issn = {1478-6427},
abstract = {Climate change significantly impacts the yield and quality of medicinal plants due to alterations in temperature, precipitation patterns, and increased frequency of extreme weather events. These changes affect the growth, secondary metabolite production, and geographical distribution of medicinal plants, leading to reduced yields and compromised medicinal properties. Adaptive strategies such as developing climate-resilient plant varieties, sustainable agricultural practices, and enhanced conservation efforts are essential to mitigate these effects. Increased research and collaborative efforts are necessary to safeguard these vital resources for future generations.},
}
@article {pmid38966109,
year = {2024},
author = {de Meijer, F and Kimanthi, M and Cheruiyot, S and Muia, AM and Goga, D and Azamkhan Mohamed, S and Njoga, C and Gathu, C and Agoi, F and Nyamu, N and Shabani, J},
title = {Reimagining nutrition education for pregnant adolescents in the face of climate change: a community approach.},
journal = {BMJ nutrition, prevention &amp; health},
volume = {7},
number = {1},
pages = {151-159},
pmid = {38966109},
issn = {2516-5542},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To explore challenges with current nutrition education for teenage pregnant women in a drought-prone community in Kenya and to elicit the communities' suggestions on how to best adapt it in the face of climate change.<br><br>DESIGN: Nine serial focus group discussions (four with adolescents, two with their parents, two with community health volunteers and one with healthcare workers) were conducted on a purposively selected study population in Kaloleni, Kilifi County, Kenya. Data collection took place between March and November 2022, with a total of 73 participants. An inductive approach was used, and interpretive thematic coding was done as the primary analytic strategy to allow themes derived from participants' reflections.<br><br>RESULTS: First, participants reported that unpredictable rainfall patterns had affected nutrition intake and variety due to reduced yield from farmland, diseases in livestock and insufficient income. Second, participants reported barriers to accessing nutrition education, as it was mainly given in clinics and not targeted at adolescents or men. Third, they experienced challenges in applying nutrition education in daily life due to a mismatch between available foods and cultural practices. Recommendations for the future encompassed equipping individuals with practical cooking skills tailored to available nutrients, initiatives aimed at water conservation and addressing animal health concerns, enhancing accessibility through community-based training programmes and fostering collaborative efforts to ensure the provision of essential nutrients.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Food choices in Kilifi County are getting more limited due to unpredicted rainfall patterns. Therefore, a reorientation of nutrition education is needed in order to build resilience in the community. Strengthening community action, including developing skills to increase long-term local support, would be needed to ensure the adequate nutrition status of vulnerable groups like pregnant adolescent women.},
}
@article {pmid38965400,
year = {2024},
author = {Martre, P and Dueri, S and Guarin, JR and Ewert, F and Webber, H and Calderini, D and Molero, G and Reynolds, M and Miralles, D and Garcia, G and Brown, H and George, M and Craigie, R and Cohan, JP and Deswarte, JC and Slafer, G and Giunta, F and Cammarano, D and Ferrise, R and Gaiser, T and Gao, Y and Hochman, Z and Hoogenboom, G and Hunt, LA and Kersebaum, KC and Nendel, C and Padovan, G and Ruane, AC and Srivastava, AK and Stella, T and Supit, I and Thorburn, P and Wang, E and Wolf, J and Zhao, C and Zhao, Z and Asseng, S},
title = {Global needs for nitrogen fertilizer to improve wheat yield under climate change.},
journal = {Nature plants},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38965400},
issn = {2055-0278},
support = {EXC 2070 - 390732324//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {Increasing global food demand will require more food production[1] without further exceeding the planetary boundaries[2] while simultaneously adapting to climate change[3]. We used an ensemble of wheat simulation models with improved sink and source traits from the highest-yielding wheat genotypes[4] to quantify potential yield gains and associated nitrogen requirements. This was explored for current and climate change scenarios across representative sites of major world wheat producing regions. The improved sink and source traits increased yield by 16% with current nitrogen fertilizer applications under both current climate and mid-century climate change scenarios. To achieve the full yield potential-a 52% increase in global average yield under a mid-century high warming climate scenario (RCP8.5), fertilizer use would need to increase fourfold over current use, which would unavoidably lead to higher environmental impacts from wheat production. Our results show the need to improve soil nitrogen availability and nitrogen use efficiency, along with yield potential.},
}
@article {pmid38964402,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhou, B and Zou, Q and Jiang, H and Yang, T and Zhou, W and Chen, S and Yao, H},
title = {A novel framework for predicting glacial lake outburst debris flows in the Himalayas amidst climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {946},
number = {},
pages = {174435},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174435},
pmid = {38964402},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The retreat of Himalayan glaciers and the expansion of glacial lakes due to global warming have increased the occurrence of glacial lake outburst debris flow (GLODF), posing a serious threat to downstream communities. However, there are gaps in understanding the changes in GLODF occurrence driven by climate change, which challenges disaster management and cross-border cooperation in the Himalayas. To consider this issue, our study presents a novel framework integrating environmental evolution, a process-driven indicator system, and a hybrid machine learning model to predict Himalayan GLODF occurrence in the 21st century. Our findings indicate ongoing temperature (0.27-0.60 °C/10a) and precipitation (1.30-5.00 %/10a) increases under both SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios. Meanwhile, Himalayan glaciers are projected to lose between 70 % and 86 % of their mass by 2100 compared to 2020. Additionally, 2722 ± 207 new glacial lakes are expected to emerge by 2100. GLODF occurrence probability index is anticipated to rise to 1.27-1.30 times the current levels, with the Western Himalayas and Indus basin as high-incidence areas. Currently and in the future, the China-Nepal border remains a hotspot for cross-border GLODF. Our framework offers valuable long-term insights into Himalayan GLODF occurrence trends in response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38963428,
year = {2024},
author = {Ichinose, T and Pan, Y and Yoshida, Y},
title = {Clothing color effect as a target of the smallest scale climate change adaptation.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38963428},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {18K04417//Japan Society for the Promotion of Science/ ; },
abstract = {The purpose of this study is to understand a physical mechanism to determine the surface temperature of clothes in calm and fine conditions of outdoors. We observed surface temperatures of polo shirts of the same material and design but different colors. The shirts were placed in unshaded and well-ventilated outdoor, open spaces on sunny summer days. The maximum difference between dark green or black and white was more than 15 °C during calm, fine weather and was greatest when the solar radiation was strong. If the transmission of solar radiation energy through a shirt is ignored to calculate the absorption by the shirt, the difference in solar radiation absorption due to different colors is as much as 24% in the maximum, and if considered, we concluded that an absorption difference of 34% led to a temperature difference of 15℃. When we compared the brightness of the colors, we found that the albedo of both the visible and NIR bands explained why the red and green colors were so different with respect to the surface temperatures we observed. The reflection in the NIR bands was also an important determinant of the surface temperature. An additional experiment using masks showed that the temperature difference between white and black was almost eliminated at a wind speed of ~ 3 m/s. The color of clothing is therefore a target for small-scale adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38962450,
year = {2024},
author = {Ciarlo', J and Giorgi, F},
title = {An increase in global daily precipitation records in response to global warming based on reanalysis and observations.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {114},
pmid = {38962450},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {Understanding trends in extreme precipitation events in the context of global warming is critical for assessing climate change impacts. This study employs a novel methodology developed by Giorgi and Ciarlo (2022) to analyze record-breaking daily precipitation events from 1980 to 2020, utilizing three reanalysis products (ERA5, MERRA-2, and JRA-55) and one global observation dataset (MSWEP). Our results indicate a consistent and statistically significant increase in record-breaking precipitation events globally, with variations across different latitude bands and between land and ocean areas. This trend is evident in all datasets, with the most substantial increases observed over oceans in ERA5 and over land in JRA and MERRA. Notably, the Southern Hemisphere shows mixed results, with some regions displaying negative trends. This study highlights the increasing frequency of extreme precipitation events, supporting the hypothesis of intensified hydrological cycles under a warming climate. Our findings enhance understanding of precipitation extremes and underscore the importance of regional analyses in climate impact studies. Future work could extend these findings to formal attribution studies linking observed trends directly to anthropogenic climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38960781,
year = {2024},
author = {Otero González, A},
title = {Chronic kidney disease, dialysis and climate change.},
journal = {Nefrologia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.nefroe.2024.06.008},
pmid = {38960781},
issn = {2013-2514},
abstract = {Chronic Kidney Disease is a serious public health problem and in clear relation to Climate Change and ecosystem maintenance. Renal health is particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change, and dialysis therapy (hemodialysis and PD) has a significant environmental footprint, conditioned by energy consumption and greenhouse gas production. In the last 50 years, people have changed ecosystems faster and more extensively than in any other period in human history. It is a consequence of ever-increasing demand for food, fresh water, fuel, industry, etc. and the result has been a substantial and largely irreversible loss of the diversity of life on Earth. Since 1979, human activities have caused the extinction of 60% of mammals, birds, fish and reptiles. There is an urgent need to adopt "Green Nephrology" measures by developing sustainable environmental solutions for the prevention and treatment of kidney diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38960189,
year = {2024},
author = {San-Emeterio, LM and Hidalgo-Galvez, MD and de la Rosa, JM and Pérez-Ramos, I and González-Pérez, JA},
title = {Impact of future scenarios of climate change on lignin dynamics in soil: A case study in a Mediterranean savannah.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174317},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174317},
pmid = {38960189},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Lignin is an abundant and recalcitrant biopolymer of major relevance as soil organic matter (SOM) component playing a significant role in its stabilization. In this work, a factorial field experiment was established, where three climatic treatments (W, warming; D, drought; W + D, warming + drought), mimicking future climate change scenarios were installed over five years in a Mediterranean savannah "dehesa", accounting for its landscape diversity (under the tree canopy and in open grassland). A combination of analytical pyrolysis (Py-GC/MS) and the study of biogeochemical proxies based on lignin monomers is used for the direct detection of lignin-derived phenols and to infer possible shifts in lignin dynamics in soil. A total of 27 main lignin-derived methoxyphenols were identified, exhibiting different patterns and proportions, mainly driven by the effect of habitat, hence biomass inputs to SOM. An accelerated decomposition of lignin moieties -(exhibited by higher LG/LS and Al/K + Ac ratios)- is particularly exacerbated by the effect of all climatic treatments. There is also an overall effect on increasing lignin oxidation of side chain in syringyl units, especially under the tree canopy due to the alteration in biomass degradation and potential stimulation of enzyme activities. Conversely, in open grassland these effects are slower since the microbial community is expected to be already adapted to harsher conditions. Our findings suggests that climate change-related temperature and soil moisture deviations impact soil lignin decomposition in dehesas threatening this productive Mediterranean agroecosystem and affecting the mechanism of soil carbon storage.},
}
@article {pmid38960178,
year = {2024},
author = {de Andrade Costa, D and Bayissa, Y and Villas-Boas, MD and Maskey, S and Junior, JL and Silva Neto, AJ and Srinivasan, R},
title = {Water availability and extreme events under climate change scenarios in an experimental watershed of the Brazilian Atlantic Forest.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174417},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174417},
pmid = {38960178},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change has diversified negative implications on environmental sustainability and water availability. Assessing the impacts of climate change is crucial to enhance resilience and future preparedness particularly at a watershed scale. Therefore, the goal of this study is to evaluate the impact of climate change on the water balance components and extreme events in Piabanha watershed in the Brazilian Atlantic Forest. In this study, extreme climate change scenarios were developed using a wide array of global climate models acquired from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Reports (AR6). Two extreme climate change scenarios, DryHot and WetCool, were integrated into the Soil and Water Assessment Tools (SWAT) hydrological model to evaluate their impacts on the hydrological dynamics in the watershed. The baseline SWAT model was first developed and evaluated using different model performance evaluation metrics such as coefficient of determination (R[2]), Nash-Sutcliffe (NSC), and Kling-Gupta efficiency coefficient (KGE). The model results illustrated an excellent model performance with metric values reaching 0.89 and 0.64 for monthly and daily time steps respectively in the calibration (2008 to 2017) and validation (2018 to 2023) periods. The findings of future climate change impacts assessment underscored an increase in temperature and shifts in precipitation patterns. In terms of streamflow, high-flow events may experience a 47.3 % increase, while low-flows could see an 76.6 % reduction. In the DryHot scenario, annual precipitation declines from 1657 to 1420 mm, with evapotranspiration reaching 54 % of precipitation, marking a 9 % rise compared to the baseline. Such changes could induce water stress in plants and lead to modifications on structural attributes of the ecosystem recognized as the Atlantic rainforest. This study established boundaries concerning the effects of climate change and highlighted the need for proactive adaptation strategies and mitigation measures to minimize the potential adverse impacts in the study watershed.},
}
@article {pmid38960170,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, K and Kinouchi, T and Tan, R and Heng, S and Chhuon, K and Zhao, W},
title = {Unraveling urban hydro-environmental response to climate change and MCDA-based area prioritization in a data-scarce developing city.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174389},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174389},
pmid = {38960170},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change leads to more frequent and intense heavy rainfall events, posing significant challenges for urban stormwater management, particularly in rapidly urbanizing cities of developing countries with constrained infrastructure. However, the quantitative assessment of urban stormwater, encompassing both its volume and quality, in these regions is impeded due to the scarcity of observational data and resulting limited understanding of drainage system dynamics. This study aims to elucidate the present and projected states of urban flooding, with a specific emphasis on fecal and organic contamination caused by combined sewer overflow (CSO). Leveraging a hydrological model incorporating physical and biochemical processes validated against invaluable observational data, we undertake simulations to estimate discharge, flood volume, and concentrations of suspended solids (SS), Escherichia coli (E. coli), and chemical oxygen demand (COD) within the drainage channel network of Phnom Penh City, Cambodia. Alterations in flood volumes, and pollutant concentrations and loads in overflow under two representative concentration pathways (RCPs 4.5 and 8.5) for extreme rainfall events are projected. Furthermore, we employ a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework to evaluate flood risk, incorporating diverse indicators encompassing physical, social, and ecological dimensions. Our results demonstrate the exacerbating effects of climate change on flood volumes, expansion of flooded areas, prolonged durations of inundation, elevated vulnerability index, and heightened susceptibility to pollutant contamination under both scenarios, underscoring increased risks of flooding and fecal contamination. Spatial analysis identifies specific zones exhibiting heightened vulnerability to flooding and climate change, suggesting priority zones for investment in flood mitigation measures. These findings provide crucial insights for urban planning and stormwater management in regions with limited drainage infrastructure, offering essential guidance for decision-making in locales facing similar challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38959782,
year = {2024},
author = {Hinz, H and Terrados, J and Moranta, J and Reñones, O and Ruiz-Frau, A and Catalán, IA},
title = {A risk-based approach to the analysis of potential climate change effects on fish communities associated to Posidonia oceanica in the Mediterranean.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {199},
number = {},
pages = {106618},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2024.106618},
pmid = {38959782},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {The Mediterranean is recognized as a climate change hotspot, with ongoing warming anticipated to impact its habitats and their associated fish fauna. Among these habitats, the seagrass Posidonia oceanica stands out as a foundational species, critical for the stability of coastal fish communities. However, our understanding of climate change consequences on P. oceanica associated fish fauna to date remains limited in part due to a lack of long-term data. This study aimed to highlight potential climate change risks to fish species associated with Posidonia, integrating data on species' thermal envelopes with their habitat and depth preferences into a climate change risk index. Specifically, 9 species, including three pipefish and several wrasse species of the genus Symphodus, emerged as being at higher potential risk from climatic change. A historical time series from Palma Bay (Balearic Islands, Spain), spanning 45 years and providing clear evidence of warming, was employed to evaluate trends in species abundance and occurrence in relation to their relative climate risk score. While certain high-risk species like Symphodus cinereus and Diplodus annularis showed an increase in abundance over time, others, such as the pipefish Syngnathus acus, Syngnathus typhle and Nerophis maculatus experienced declines. The absence of observed declines in some high-risk species could be attributed to several factors, such as acclimation, adaptation, or unmet response thresholds. However, this does not rule out the potential for future changes in these species. Factors such as increased nutrient influx due to growing human populations and changes in fishing regulations may also have contributed to the observed trends. These findings underscore the intricate interplay of environmental and anthropogenic factors and accentuate the pressing need for sustained, long-term data acquisition to fathom the implications of climate change on this highly important marine ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid38956339,
year = {2024},
author = {Christensen, J},
title = {Climate change is worsening the housing crisis - we must tackle the two together.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {631},
number = {8019},
pages = {10},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-024-02183-1},
pmid = {38956339},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {Arctic Regions ; *Climate Change/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Global Warming/prevention &amp; control/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Housing/supply &amp; distribution ; },
}
@article {pmid38955455,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Experts warn of serious health impacts from climate change for pregnant women, children, and older people.},
journal = {Saudi medical journal},
volume = {45},
number = {7},
pages = {754-755},
pmid = {38955455},
issn = {1658-3175},
}
@article {pmid38953744,
year = {2024},
author = {Maloney, SK and Kearney, MR and Mitchell, D},
title = {Indices of human heat stress in times of climate change.},
journal = {Acta physiologica (Oxford, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e14196},
doi = {10.1111/apha.14196},
pmid = {38953744},
issn = {1748-1716},
}
@article {pmid38953539,
year = {2024},
author = {Rida, J and Bouchriti, Y and Ait Haddou, M and Achbani, A and Sine, H and Serhane, H},
title = {Meteorological factors and climate change impact on asthma: A systematic review of epidemiological evidence.},
journal = {The Journal of asthma : official journal of the Association for the Care of Asthma},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-19},
doi = {10.1080/02770903.2024.2375272},
pmid = {38953539},
issn = {1532-4303},
abstract = {Objective: This systematic review aimed to investigate the epidemiological data about meteorological factors and climate change (CC) impact on asthma.Data Sources: A search was performed using three databases (Web of Science, Science Direct, and MEDLINE) for all relevant studies published from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2022.Study Selections: This systematic review complied with the PRISMA document's requirements, including studies related to meteorological factors and CC impact on asthma. The search included studies published in English or French language, and was based on title, abstract, and complete text. Documents not meeting inclusion requirements were excluded.Results: We identified 18 studies published in the last five years that were eligible for inclusion in this review. We found that these studies concerned European, Asian, American, and Oceanic cities. Extreme variations in temperature, humidity, wind speed, exceptional incidents like hurricanes, cold and heat waves, and seasonal shifts were strongly correlated with the worsening of asthmatic symptoms, particularly in childhood. In addition, excessive concentrations of air pollutants and aeroallergens were linked to pediatric asthma emergency hospital admissions.Conclusions: A significant association between the consequences of CC and asthma in adults particularly in children has been demonstrated. Future research should quantify the impact of global change in climate regarding the aeroallergens' distribution in terms of geography and time. It is also necessary to research the impact of air pollution on asthmatic health, like sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), and particles having an aerodynamic diameter lower than 2.5 µm (PM2.5).},
}
@article {pmid38953058,
year = {2024},
author = {Harrison, J and Williams, P and Raynes-Greenow, C and Fairlie, S and Quynh Nga, PT and Ton, TN and Pratt, A and Thanh, HN and Payne, D and McBrearty, C and Pasupathy, D},
title = {The impact of climate change on infant mortality in Viet Nam: identifying a need for higher quality accessible data.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {47},
number = {},
pages = {101113},
pmid = {38953058},
issn = {2666-6065},
}
@article {pmid38951496,
year = {2024},
author = {Dimitrova, A and Dimitrova, A and Mengel, M and Gasparrini, A and Lotze-Campen, H and Gabrysch, S},
title = {Temperature-related neonatal deaths attributable to climate change in 29 low- and middle-income countries.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5504},
pmid = {38951496},
issn = {2041-1723},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Infant, Newborn ; *Developing Countries/statistics &amp; numerical data ; *Infant Mortality/trends ; Infant ; Female ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Male ; Cold Temperature/adverse effects ; Temperature ; Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology ; Health Surveys ; },
abstract = {Exposure to high and low ambient temperatures increases the risk of neonatal mortality, but the contribution of climate change to temperature-related neonatal deaths is unknown. We use Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data (n = 40,073) from 29 low- and middle-income countries to estimate the temperature-related burden of neonatal deaths between 2001 and 2019 that is attributable to climate change. We find that across all countries, 4.3% of neonatal deaths were associated with non-optimal temperatures. Climate change was responsible for 32% (range: 19-79%) of heat-related neonatal deaths, while reducing the respective cold-related burden by 30% (range: 10-63%). Climate change has impacted temperature-related neonatal deaths in all study countries, with most pronounced climate-induced losses from increased heat and gains from decreased cold observed in countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Future increases in global mean temperatures are expected to exacerbate the heat-related burden, which calls for ambitious mitigation and adaptation measures to safeguard the health of newborns.},
}
@article {pmid38950449,
year = {2024},
author = {Newton, AC and Creissen, HE and Erreguerena, IA and Havis, ND},
title = {Disease Management in Regenerative Cropping in the Context of Climate Change and Regulatory Restrictions.},
journal = {Annual review of phytopathology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1146/annurev-phyto-121423-042037},
pmid = {38950449},
issn = {1545-2107},
abstract = {Regenerative agriculture as a term and concept has gained much traction over recent years. Many farmers are convinced that by adopting these principles they will be able to address the triple crisis of biodiversity loss, climate change, and food security. However, the impact of regenerative agriculture practices on crop pathogens and their management has received little attention from the scientific community. Significant changes to cropping systems may result in certain diseases presenting more or less of a threat. Shifts in major diseases may have significant implications regarding optimal integrated pest management (IPM) strategies that aim to improve profitability and productivity in an environmentally sensitive manner. In particular, many aspects of regenerative agriculture change risk levels and risk management in ways that are central to effective IPM. This review outlines some of the challenges, gaps, and opportunities in our understanding of appropriate approaches for managing crop diseases in regenerative cropping systems.},
}
@article {pmid38948454,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, JS and Park, JH and Choi, YJ and Shin, HD},
title = {Emergence and Potential Spread of Rust Disease on Wisteria floribunda and Corydalis incisa Influenced by Climate Change in Korea.},
journal = {Mycobiology},
volume = {52},
number = {3},
pages = {160-171},
pmid = {38948454},
issn = {1229-8093},
abstract = {Global climate change influences the emergence, spread, and severity of rust diseases that affect crops and forests. In Korea, the rust diseases that affect Wisteria floribunda and its alternate host Corydalis incisa are rapidly spreading northwards. Through morphological, molecular, phylogenetic, and pathogenicity approaches, Neophysopella kraunhiae was identified as the causal agent, alternating between the two host plants to complete its life cycle. Using the maximum entropy model (Maxent) under shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs), the results of this study suggest that by the 2050s, C. incisa is likely to extend its range into central Korea owing to climate shifts, whereas the distribution of W. floribunda is expected to remain unchanged nationwide. The generalized additive model revealed a significant positive correlation between the presence of C. incisa and the incidence of rust disease, highlighting the role that climate-driven expansion of this alternate host plays in the spread of N. kraunhiae. These findings highlight the profound influence of climate change on both the distribution of a specific plant and the disease a rust fungus causes, raising concerns about the potential emergence and spread of other rust pathogens with similar host dynamics.},
}
@article {pmid38947948,
year = {2024},
author = {Bianco, C and Egamberdieva, D and Balestrini, R and Taranto, F},
title = {Editorial: Omics techniques to optimize plant-microbe interactions under climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1423421},
pmid = {38947948},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid38947909,
year = {2024},
author = {Provenzi, L and Billeci, L and Wright, C and Xu, Z},
title = {Editorial: Climate change challenge in pediatric psychology.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1439041},
pmid = {38947909},
issn = {1664-1078},
}
@article {pmid38947511,
year = {2024},
author = {Cui, Q and Lei, YL and Jia, ZK and Wang, Y and Li, Y},
title = {Path analysis for controlling climate change in global aviation.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {27},
number = {6},
pages = {110126},
pmid = {38947511},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {The aviation industry's emissions have had a significant impact on global climate change. This study focuses on carbon emission trading schemes, sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs), and hydrogen energy, as vital means for the aviation industry to reduce emissions. To evaluate the climate effects of global routes under four scenarios (24 sub-scenarios) until 2100, this study proposes the Aviation-FAIR (Aviation-Finite Amplitude Impulse Response) method. The findings reveal that while CO2 emissions and concentrations are significant, other emissions, such as N2O and CH4, have a greater effective radiative forcing (ERF) and contribute significantly to climate change. Moreover, SAFs are more effective in mitigating airline pollutant emissions than relying solely on carbon trading schemes. The effectiveness of hydrogen fuel cells may be hindered by technical limitations compared to hydrogen turbine engines. The findings of this study provide reference for the global aviation industry to adopt emission reduction measures.},
}
@article {pmid38947458,
year = {2024},
author = {Gokcimen, T and Das, B},
title = {Exploring climate change discourse on social media and blogs using a topic modeling analysis.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {11},
pages = {e32464},
pmid = {38947458},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most pressing global issues of our time, and understanding public perception and awareness of the topic is crucial for developing effective policies to mitigate its effects. While traditional survey methods have been used to gauge public opinion, advances in natural language processing (NLP) and data visualization techniques offer new opportunities to analyze user-generated content from social media and blog posts. In this study, a new dataset of climate change-related texts was collected from social media sources and various blogs. The dataset was analyzed using BERTopic and LDA to identify and visualize the most important topics related to climate change. The study also used sentence similarity to determine the similarities in the comments written and which topic categories they belonged to. The performance of different techniques for keyword extraction and text representation, including OpenAI, Maximal Marginal Relevance (MMR), and KeyBERT, was compared for topic modeling with BERTopic. It was seen that the best coherence score and topic diversity metric were obtained with OpenAI-based BERTopic. The results provide insights into the public's attitudes and perceptions towards climate change, which can inform policy development and contribute to efforts to reduce activities that cause climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38947353,
year = {2024},
author = {Boafo, YA and Ohemeng, FNA and Ayivor, J and Ayitiah, JA and Yirenya-Tawiah, D and Mensah, A and Datsa, C and Annang, TY and Adom, L},
title = {Unraveling diarrheal disease knowledge, understanding, and management practices among climate change vulnerable coastal communities in Ghana.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1352275},
pmid = {38947353},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Ghana ; *Diarrhea/epidemiology ; Female ; Male ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Adult ; *Climate Change ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Middle Aged ; Focus Groups ; Sanitation ; Hygiene ; Family Characteristics ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Diarrheal disease is a global public health concern, particularly in low-income countries. In Ghana, widespread issues like inadequate sanitation, unsafe drinking water, malnutrition, and poor hygiene practices contribute to the high incidence of diarrhea. Climate change exacerbates these challenges by increasing the frequency and severity of conditions that spread diarrheal diseases. This study explores households' knowledge, understanding, and management practices for diarrhea in climate change-vulnerable coastal communities.<br><br>METHODS: The study is set in Ghana's central (Mumford, Opetekwei) and eastern (Anyako, Anyanui-Atiteti) coastlines. Using a cross-sectional study design, a structured questionnaire was administered to randomly sampled households (n = 419) to collect quantitative data. The study collected qualitative data from focus group discussions (n = 8), with groups separated into men and women, key informant interviews, and observations of food, water, and sanitation conditions across the studied communities.<br><br>RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: The study found significant variations between the studied communities and socio-demographic variables except for the respondents' gender. Multivariate regression analyses identified significant associations between socio-demographic variables (especially gender and educational status) and perceptions of diarrhea causes. The most used first management action against diarrhea is 'over-the-counter drugs', followed by home-made traditional remedies. Significant differences were observed in the usage of management practices across the studied communities. Trust, affordability, and availability were identified as the main factors influencing households' use of approved pharmaceutical drugs and traditional herbal remedies for managing behavior, with significant differences being observed across communities. The study recommends a multi-sectoral approach, including improved access to regularly flowing, safe water and sanitation facilities, education on preventing diarrhea, and adequate healthcare services. Community-based interventions such as promoting good hygiene practices at homes and community settings such as schools, lorry parks, funeral grounds, and recreational areas can also effectively reduce the burden of diarrhea.},
}
@article {pmid38945977,
year = {2024},
author = {Hussein, SM and Ibrahim, BA},
title = {Knowledge and attitude of general population towards climate change and its impact on health in Ismailia Governorate, Egypt.},
journal = {The Journal of the Egyptian Public Health Association},
volume = {99},
number = {1},
pages = {15},
pmid = {38945977},
issn = {0013-2446},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Recently, climate change (CC) has garnered significant global attention. It has emerged as one of the most pressing environmental issues, resulting in a multitude of adverse impacts on human well-being and health. This study aims to assess the knowledge and attitude of the general population in Ismailia Governorate, Egypt, about CC and its impact on health, identify factors affecting the general population's knowledge about CC, and highlight methods to solve this problem.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional study was carried out on the general population in Ismailia governorate, Egypt. A snowball sample of participants (n&#x2009;=&#x2009;150) was enrolled in the study by distributing an online Google form containing a structured self-administered questionnaire.<br><br>RESULTS: The participants had an average knowledge score of 27.42&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;14.42, with 60% considered knowledgeable. About 54% knew the main cause of CC. Around 75% were aware of the environmental impacts of CC, and 69.3% knew about the effects on human health. Based on the questionnaire's results, 76.7% of respondents believed that increasing afforestation helps in the mitigation of CC and 77.3% believed that governments bear the responsibility for CC. Approximately 85% regarded increasing green spaces as an effective method to reduce CC on the country level. On an individual level, usage of energy-saving products was the most-favored option chosen by participants to help in reducing CC (82%). Gender, education level, and place of residence were significant factors affecting knowledge about CC.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Over 50%&#xa0;of the participants were knowledgeable about CC and the role of human activities in CC. Therefore, public awareness campaigns utilizing prominent media such as television and social media should be launched to improve CC literacy. These campaigns should be more directed at males, and people with lower levels of education and who live in rural areas in Ismailia Governorate, Egypt.},
}
@article {pmid38945811,
year = {2024},
author = {Swamy, L and Munro, CL},
title = {Climate Change and the Intensive Care Unit.},
journal = {American journal of critical care : an official publication, American Association of Critical-Care Nurses},
volume = {33},
number = {4},
pages = {241-244},
doi = {10.4037/ajcc2024761},
pmid = {38945811},
issn = {1937-710X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Intensive Care Units/organization &amp; administration ; *Climate Change ; Critical Care ; },
}
@article {pmid38945249,
year = {2024},
author = {Magyari, EK and Szabó, Z and Falus, G and Móra, A and Szalai, Z and Hamerlik, L and Tóth, M and Farkas, &#xc1; and Pomogyi, P and Somogyi, B and Vörös, L and Korponai, J},
title = {Large shallow lake response to anthropogenic stressors and climate change: Missing macroinvertebrate recovery after oligotrophication (Lake Balaton, East-Central Europe).},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174191},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174191},
pmid = {38945249},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {East-Central Europe's largest shallow lake, Balaton, experienced strong eutrophication in the 1970-80s, followed by water quality improvement and oligotrophication by 2010 CE. Recently however, repeated cyanobacterial blooms occurred and warned that internal P-recycling can act similarly to external P load, therefore we need a better understanding of past water level (WL) and trophic changes in the lake. In this study we discuss the last 500-yr trophic, WL and habitat changes of the lake using paleoecological (chironomids, pollen) and geochemical (sediment chlorophyll, TOC, TS, TN, C/H ratio, major and trace element) methods. We demonstrate that the most intensive and irreversible change in the macroinvertebrate fauna occurred during the period of economic boom between the First and Second World War (~1925-1940 CE), when large-scale built-in and leisure use of the lake has intensified. At that time, the Procladius-Microchironomus-Stempellina dominated community transformed to Procladius-Chironomus plumosus-type-Microchironomus community that coincided with land use changes, intensified erosion and water-level regulation in the lake with the maintenance of year-round high WL. This was followed by the impoverishment and population size decrease of the chironomid fauna and Procladius dominance since 1940 CE, without any recovery after 1994 CE despite the ongoing oligotrophication. Accelerated rate of change and turnover of the fauna was connected to an increase in the benthivorous fish biomass and eutrophication. The basin lost almost completely its once characteristic Stempellina species between 1927 and 1940 CE due to trophic level increase and seasonal anoxia in the Szemes Basin. Reference conditions for ecosystem improvement were assigned to 1740-1900 CE. We conclude that in spite of the ongoing oligotrophication, the re-establishment of the Procladius-Microchironomus-Stempellina assemblage is hampered, and requires fish population regulation.},
}
@article {pmid38944311,
year = {2024},
author = {Tran, TN and Lakshmi, V},
title = {Enhancing human resilience against climate change: Assessment of hydroclimatic extremes and sea level rise impacts on the eastern shore of Virginia, United States.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174289},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174289},
pmid = {38944311},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Quantifying the impacts of climate change on hydrological systems is crucial for developing adaptive strategies in water resources management. In this work, we quantify the future climate impacts on hydroclimatic extremes in the risk-prone, coastal, 15-m-above-sea-level Eastern Shore of Virginia (ESVA) region, utilizing the Sixth International Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) Assessment Report 6 (AR6) and General Circulation Models (GCMs). In addition, we incorporate historical data on demographics and disasters, land use land cover (LULC), Landsat imagery, and projected sea level rise (SLR) to better understand and highlight the correlation between hydroclimatic extremes and societal components in this region. The hydrological model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), and Interquartile Range (IQR) method have been used to evaluate the intensity and frequency of projected climatic extremes, in which SLR projections under different greenhouse gas emission pathways are temporally and spatially quantified. Our findings include (1) a trend towards wetter conditions is found with an increase in flood events and up to an 8.9 % rise in the severity of flood peaks compared to the 2003-2020 period; (2) current coastal high-risk regions, identified using historical data for natural disasters, demographics, and LULC, are projected to be more susceptible to future climate impacts; and (3) low-lying coastal towns and regions are identified as currently highly vulnerable to coastal and SLR-induced flooding and are projected to become even more susceptible by 2100. This is the first effort that provides valuable scientific insights into anticipated shifts in future climate patterns, essential for natural hazards prevention in ESVA. It highlights the need for authorities and decision-makers to plan and implement adaptive strategies and sustainable policies for the ESVA region and other coastal areas across the United States.},
}
@article {pmid38944308,
year = {2024},
author = {Falk, MT and Hagsten, E},
title = {Probability and severity of climate change threats to natural world heritage sites vary across site specifics and over time.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174291},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174291},
pmid = {38944308},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study contributes a first comparison of current and potential threats to Natural World Heritage Sites from climate change, as assessed by experts, when site and location characteristics (size, year of inscription to the World Heritage list, continent, climate zone and kind of site) are controlled for. The probability of a threat as well as its intensity is analysed. Another novelty lies in the use of data from the IUCN Conservation Outlook assessment, covering all 245 Natural and Mixed World Heritage Sites across the world for three points in time: 2014, 2017 and 2020. The threat of climate change is broadly defined and includes temperature extremes, rising temperatures, disappearing glaciers, coral bleaching, droughts, desertification, and rising sea levels. Results based on a simultaneous Probit model with random effects show that the probability of actual and potential climate change threats increases over time, but with differences for size, kind of site and location. The probability that a threat is identified is highest for marine and coastal sites, and for those in Latin America, while it is significantly lower for sites on the African continent. Larger sites have a higher probability of being assessed as at risk and the severity of threats is found to be lower for recently inscribed sites. The rate at which the likelihood of a threat assessment increases is consistent for both current and future situations, while the probability of the most severe threat is larger for the current than the future period. A serious threat from climate change is assessed as highest for locations in the tropical monsoon (current period) or the tropical savannah climate (future period). Estimations also show that pure descriptive statistics or bivariate correlations may not correctly identify the risk or the dignity of a threat.},
}
@article {pmid38944274,
year = {2024},
author = {Segoli, M and Kishinevsky, M and Harvey, JA},
title = {Climate change, temperature extremes, and impacts on hyperparasitoids.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101229},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2024.101229},
pmid = {38944274},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change (ACC), including temperature extremes (TE), is having a major impact on insect physiology, phenology, behavior, populations, and communities. Hyperparasitoids (insects whose offspring develop in, or on, the body of a primary parasitoid host) are expected to be especially impacted by such effects due to their typical life history traits (e.g., low fecundity and slow development), small populations (being high on the food chain), and cascading effects mediated via lower trophic levels. We review evidence for direct and indirect temperature and climate-related effects mediated via plants, herbivores, and the primary parasitoid host species on hyperparasitoid populations, focusing on higher temperatures. We discuss how hyperparasitoid responses may feed back to the community and affect biological control programs. We conclude that despite their great importance, very little is known about the potential effects of climate change on hyperparasitoids and make a plea for additional studies exploring such responses.},
}
@article {pmid38941825,
year = {2024},
author = {Bokharaeian, M and Toghdory, A and Ghoorchi, T},
title = {Effects of dietary curcumin nano-micelles on performance, biological responses, and thermal stress resilience in heat-stressed fattening lambs across varying temperature-humidity index conditions: Implications for climate change.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {123},
number = {},
pages = {103905},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2024.103905},
pmid = {38941825},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {Heat stress poses a significant challenge to sheep farming in arid and semi-arid regions, impacting growth performance, health, and physiological responses. While sheep have innate mechanisms to manage heat stress, prolonged exposure impairs their performance and health. This study evaluated the influence of varying doses of Curcumin Nano-Micelle (CNM) on heat-stressed fattening lambs in northeastern Iran over three months, examining the relationship between CNM doses and growth performance, feeding behavior, physiological responses, immune function, and antioxidant status. Thirty-two crossbred male lambs were included in a completely randomized design with four treatments and eight replications. The experimental treatments were as follows: 1) CTRL: No dietary inclusion of CNM, (control group); 2) T20: Dietary inclusion of 20 mg of CNM per head per day; 3) T40: Dietary inclusion of 40 mg of CNM per head per day; and 4) T80: Dietary inclusion of 80 mg of CNM per head per day. The results revealed that dietary supplementation with 20 and 40 mg of CNM significantly improved live body weight, weight gain, average daily gain (ADG), and feed conversion ratio (FCR) compared to the control treatment. Regression analysis demonstrated quadratic models between growth performance parameters and the Temperature-Humidity Index (THI), indicating a correlation between CNM doses and the animals' responses to heat stress. Regarding eating behavior, CNM doses of 40 and 80 mg/day significantly reduced eating time while increasing ruminating time. Blood analysis indicated significant reductions in glucose levels across all treatments, with T40 significantly reducing both cholesterol and triglyceride (TG) levels. Additionally, CNM supplementation decreased serum malondialdehyde (MDA) levels and increased superoxide dismutase (SOD) and glutathione peroxidase (GPx) activities, indicating enhanced antioxidant status. Physiological responses were influenced by CNM, notably reducing rectal temperature (RT), skin temperature (ST), respiration rate (RR), while pulse rate (PR) increased across various time intervals, particularly in the T80 group. This study demonstrates that CNM supplementation can enhance performance, physiological responses, and antioxidant status in heat-stressed fattening lambs, highlighting its potential to mitigate heat stress effects in sheep farming.},
}
@article {pmid38941468,
year = {2024},
author = {Merlis, TM and Cheng, KY and Guendelman, I and Harris, L and Bretherton, CS and Bolot, M and Zhou, L and Kaltenbaugh, A and Clark, SK and Vecchi, GA and Fueglistaler, S},
title = {Climate sensitivity and relative humidity changes in global storm-resolving model simulations of climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {10},
number = {26},
pages = {eadn5217},
pmid = {38941468},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {The climate simulation frontier of a global storm-resolving model (GSRM; or k-scale model because of its kilometer-scale horizontal resolution) is deployed for climate change simulations. The climate sensitivity, effective radiative forcing, and relative humidity changes are assessed in multiyear atmospheric GSRM simulations with perturbed sea-surface temperatures and/or carbon dioxide concentrations. Our comparisons to conventional climate model results can build confidence in the existing climate models or highlight important areas for additional research. This GSRM's climate sensitivity is within the range of conventional climate models, although on the lower end as the result of neutral, rather than amplifying, shortwave feedbacks. Its radiative forcing from carbon dioxide is higher than conventional climate models, and this arises from a bias in climatological clouds and an explicitly simulated high-cloud adjustment. Last, the pattern and magnitude of relative humidity changes, simulated with greater fidelity via explicitly resolving convection, are notably similar to conventional climate models.},
}
@article {pmid38941334,
year = {2024},
author = {Crea, F},
title = {A focus on three hot topics: atrial fibrillation, obesity, and climate change.},
journal = {European heart journal},
volume = {45},
number = {24},
pages = {2105-2108},
doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehae380},
pmid = {38941334},
issn = {1522-9645},
mesh = {Humans ; *Atrial Fibrillation/therapy ; *Climate Change ; *Obesity/complications/epidemiology ; },
}
@article {pmid38940665,
year = {2024},
author = {Levett-Jones, T},
title = {Responding to climate change: the need for nursing leadership.},
journal = {Contemporary nurse},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1080/10376178.2024.2367665},
pmid = {38940665},
issn = {1839-3535},
}
@article {pmid38940101,
year = {2024},
author = {Piotrowska-Weryszko, K and Weryszko-Chmielewska, E and Sulborska-Różycka, A and Konarska, A and Kubik-Komar, A},
title = {Global warming contributes to reduction in the intensity of Artemisia pollen seasons in Lublin, central-eastern Poland.},
journal = {Annals of agricultural and environmental medicine : AAEM},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {185-192},
doi = {10.26444/aaem/184726},
pmid = {38940101},
issn = {1898-2263},
mesh = {Poland ; *Pollen/chemistry ; *Artemisia/growth &amp; development ; *Seasons ; *Global Warming ; Allergens/analysis ; Temperature ; Air Pollutants/analysis ; Environmental Monitoring ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVE: Species of the genus Artemisia (Asteraceae) are weeds and ruderal plants growing in northern temperate regions of the world. Many of them are used in medicine and the cosmetic industry and for culinary purposes. Pollen grains of plants of this genus contain the most important aeroallergens.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: An aerobiological study conducted with the volumetric method in Lublin in 2001-2022. Trend lines for the season parameters were established. Spearman's correlation and stepwise regression analyses were carried out to determine relationships between various parameters of the pollen season and meteorological factors. PCA analysis was also carried out to visually compare the pollen seasons.<br><br>RESULTS: In Lublin, central-eastern Poland, the Artemisia pollen season lasted on average from the second ten days of July to the end of August, with its beginning depending on the temperature in April and May. The highest pollen concentrations were mainly recorded in the first half of August and were largely dependent on the mean temperature in June and July. The second peak in the pollen season recorded in September was associated with the presence of Artemisia annua pollen. Intense sunshine in June and the higher temperatures in June and July resulted in significant reduction in the Artemisia annual pollen sum (by 65%) over 22 years. Artemisia vulgaris is abundant in the Lublin region and contributes substantially to the amount of Artemisia pollen in the aeroplankton.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The downward trend in the amount of Artemisia pollen was a result of the increase in temperatures observed in the summer months, and the declining rainfall rates. The global warming effect is extremely unfavourable for plants of Artemisia vulgaris, as they require moist soil substrates for growth.},
}
@article {pmid38939737,
year = {2023},
author = {Sakellari, M},
title = {Communicating climate change induced migration: the role of NGOs.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {3},
number = {},
pages = {163},
pmid = {38939737},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {This study addresses the underexplored issue of climate migration in non-governmental organisations (NGOs) communication, which is particularly relevant given the anticipated effects of climate change on migratory patterns. It paints a richer picture of NGOs' visual and textual discourses on climate migration and delves into the ways in which NGOs' depictions of climate migrants reinforce the 'us' and 'them' dichotomy that characterises policy and media circuits' wider debate on this issue. NGOs visual practises and textual narratives depoliticize climate migrants by underlining their otherness and propensity to bring social instability and disturbance. This raises doubts about the efficacy of climate migration-related online public education and policy advocacy efforts run by NGOs. This paper innovates as it encourages NGOs to create new ways of depicting climate refugees. It provides a framework for thinking about the role that NGOs could play in creating new ways of discussing climate migration.},
}
@article {pmid38938635,
year = {2024},
author = {Duan, J and Liu, J and Huang, Z},
title = {Predicting the distribution pattern changes of dye plant habitats caused by climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1364481},
pmid = {38938635},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Climate change has accelerated the habitat loss and fragmentation of wildlife. Dye plants of "Fengxiang dyeing" are important indigenous natural resources for traditional printing and dyeing craft in southwest China, is of practical and cultural importance for dozens of ethnic minorities. However, lack of the spatial distribution information of these plants has hampered holistic and efficient conservation management measures. We analyzed the potentially suitable areas of four dye plants (Liquidambar formosana, Strobilanthes cusia, Persicaria tinctoria and Indigofera tinctoria) necessary for "Fengxiang dyeing" based on their geographical distribution sites under different climatic situations using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The results showed that temperature, precipitation and elevation were the most important factors affecting the suitable geographical areas of the four dye plants. Under the current climate conditions, the overlapping suitable habitat areas of the four plants were mainly in the four southern provinces of China, including Guizhou, Guangxi, Guangdong and Hainan. L. formosana was used as the base plant for combination with the other three plants under the two future climate scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585), and the overlapping suitable habitat areas of the obtained seven combination patterns were considered suitable for potential craft development. Five patterns showed an increase, while two patterns showed a decreasing trend with the increasing carbon emission. The prediction results showed that the overlapping suitable habitat center of the four plants will gradually move to the northeast, indicating that the overlapping suitable habitat area and craft distribution area will be changed. These results provide the basis for understanding the spatial distribution pattern changes of dye plants caused by climate change and establishing measures for protecting and developing printing and dyeing craft.},
}
@article {pmid38936043,
year = {2024},
author = {Lee, JJ and Huang, Y and Yan, Y and Lui, YW and Ye, F},
title = {Integrating climate change and sustainability in nursing education.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {140},
number = {},
pages = {106290},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106290},
pmid = {38936043},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {Climate change has led to negative health outcomes and significant challenges in healthcare delivery, calling for a transformative approach to nursing curricula. To effectively address the adverse health impacts of climate change, it is imperative to equip future nurses with the necessary knowledge and competency. This can be accomplished by enhancing awareness among nurse educators, integrating climate change contents into nursing curricula, adopting inter- and multi-disciplinary approaches, nurturing nursing practice skills, and cultivating advocacy and leadership competencies. Implementation of these strategies in nursing education can nurture future nurses who can confront the health challenges associated with climate change, empowering them to advocate for sustainable nursing practice and public health policies related to mitigating the impact of climate change on health. This comprehensive, practical, and leadership-focused strategy in nursing education ensures that future nurses are well-prepared to effectively address health issues caused by climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38935627,
year = {2024},
author = {Goudet, JM and Binte Arif, F and Owais, H and Uddin Ahmed, H and Ridde, V},
title = {Climate change and women's mental health in two vulnerable communities of Bangladesh: An ethnographic study.},
journal = {PLOS global public health},
volume = {4},
number = {6},
pages = {e0002080},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pgph.0002080},
pmid = {38935627},
issn = {2767-3375},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most significant challenges humanity faces in the 21st century, with its health impacts being profoundly felt in the most vulnerable countries. However, the mental health impacts of climate change, particularly concerning social inequality and gender dynamics, are less documented in the Global South. This paper focuses on the impact of climate change on women's mental health in two vulnerable communities in Bangladesh. This study employed qualitative methods, including, in-depth interviews, and focus group discussions (FGDs). The communities were selected based on their vulnerability to climate change. A total of 80 participants were selected using snowball sampling, and 55 interviews and 6 FGDs were conducted. Women are particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts on mental health due to their gender roles and responsibilities. Responsible for taking care of their families, they have to face additional challenges due to climate change impacts, such as increased workload, food insecurity, and social insecurity when their husband migrates to the cities for jobs. Women also face social and cultural barriers, which exacerbate their vulnerability to climate change impacts on mental health. Socioeconomic and environmental determinants appear to be embedded and lead to psychological suffering in relation to social roles and gender norms. Interventions should be designed to address the specific needs and challenges faced by women in these communities. Policymakers should take a gender-sensitive approach to address the mental health impacts of climate change in these communities. This study contributes to the growing body of research on the gendered impacts of climate change with a trajectory approach and provides insights for future research in this area.},
}
@article {pmid38935588,
year = {2024},
author = {Weng, YM and Kavanaugh, DH and Schoville, SD},
title = {Evidence for admixture and rapid evolution during glacial climate change in an alpine specialist.},
journal = {Molecular biology and evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/molbev/msae130},
pmid = {38935588},
issn = {1537-1719},
abstract = {The pace of current climate change is expected to be problematic for alpine flora and fauna, as their adaptive capacity may be limited by small population size. Yet despite substantial genetic drift following post-glacial recolonization of alpine habitats, alpine species are notable for their success surviving in highly heterogeneous environments. Population genomic analyses demonstrating how alpine species have adapted to novel environments with limited genetic diversity remain rare, yet are important in understanding the potential for species to respond to contemporary climate change. In this study, we explored the evolutionary history of alpine ground beetles in the Nebria ingens complex, including the demographic and adaptive changes that followed the last glacier retreat. We first tested alternative models of evolutionary divergence in the species complex. Using millions of genome-wide SNP markers from hundreds of beetles, we found evidence that the Nebria ingens complex has been formed by past admixture of lineages responding to glacial cycles. Recolonization of alpine sites involved a distributional range shift to higher elevation, which was accompanied by a reduction in suitable habitat and the emergence of complex spatial genetic structure. We tested several possible genetic pathways involved in adaptation to heterogeneous local environments using genome scan and genotype-environment association approaches. From the identified genes, we found enriched functions associated with abiotic stress responses, with strong evidence for adaptation to hypoxia-related pathways. The results demonstrate that despite rapid demographic change, alpine beetles in the N. ingens complex underwent rapid physiological evolution.},
}
@article {pmid38935039,
year = {2024},
author = {Yan, W and Du, L and Liu, H and Li, GY},
title = {Current and future invasion risk of tomato red spider mite under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae140},
pmid = {38935039},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2023YFD1400600//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; SWU120048//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities/ ; },
abstract = {Tomato red spider mite Tetranychus evansi Baker and Pritchard (Acari: Tetranychidae) is a phytophagous pest that causes severe damage to Solanaceous plants worldwide, resulting in significant economic losses. In this study, the maximum entropy model was used to predict the potential current (1970-2000) and future (2021-2060) global distribution of the species based on its past occurrence records and high-resolution environmental data. The results showed that the mean values of the area under the curve were all >0.96, indicating that the model performed well. The three bioclimatic variables with the highest contributions were the coldest quarterly mean temperature (bio11), coldest monthly minimum temperature (bio6), and annual precipitation (bio12). A wide range of suitable areas was found across continents except Antarctica, both currently and in the future, with a much larger distribution area in South America, Africa, and Oceania (Australia), dominated by moderately and low suitable areas. A comparison of current and future suitable areas reveals a general trend of north expansion and increasing expansion over time. This study provides information for the prevention and management of this pest mite in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38934104,
year = {2024},
author = {Alvero, R},
title = {Climate change and human health: a primer on what women's health physicians can do on behalf of their patients and communities.},
journal = {Current opinion in obstetrics &amp; gynecology},
volume = {36},
number = {4},
pages = {228-233},
doi = {10.1097/GCO.0000000000000958},
pmid = {38934104},
issn = {1473-656X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Female ; *Women's Health ; Physician's Role ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To describe the current state of knowledge on the impact on climate change on women's health and to highlight opportunities for healthcare providers to serve as advocates and subject matter experts.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Healthcare providers are a uniquely respected voice in society but have not used this advantage to advocate for their communities and participate in mitigation, adaptation, and resiliency efforts on behalf of their patients and communities.<br><br>SUMMARY: Healthcare providers feel that climate change is real, is human caused, and is currently or will shortly negatively impact their patients. They feel unprepared to serve as leaders and advocates due to time limitations and a knowledge gap. Resources in the current climate movement can help close this gap.},
}
@article {pmid38933881,
year = {2024},
author = {Johansson, E and Lan, Y and Olalekan, O and Kuktaite, R and Chawade, A and Rahmatov, M},
title = {Alien introgression to wheat for food security: functional and nutritional quality for novel products under climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in nutrition},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1393357},
pmid = {38933881},
issn = {2296-861X},
abstract = {Crop yield and quality has increased globally during recent decades due to plant breeding, resulting in improved food security. However, climate change and shifts in human dietary habits and preferences display novel pressure on crop production to deliver enough quantity and quality to secure food for future generations. This review paper describes the current state-of-the-art and presents innovative approaches related to alien introgressions into wheat, focusing on aspects related to quality, functional characteristics, nutritional attributes, and development of novel food products. The benefits and opportunities that the novel and traditional plant breeding methods contribute to using alien germplasm in plant breeding are also discussed. In principle, gene introgressions from rye have been the most widely utilized alien gene source for wheat. Furthermore, the incorporation of novel resistance genes toward diseases and pests have been the most transferred type of genes into the wheat genome. The incorporation of novel resistance genes toward diseases and pests into the wheat genome is important in breeding for increased food security. Alien introgressions to wheat from e.g. rye and Aegilops spp. have also contributed to improved nutritional and functional quality. Recent studies have shown that introgressions to wheat of genes from chromosome 3 in rye have an impact on both yield, nutritional and functional quality, and quality stability during drought treatment, another character of high importance for food security under climate change scenarios. Additionally, the introgression of alien genes into wheat has the potential to improve the nutritional profiles of future food products, by contributing higher minerals levels or lower levels of anti-nutritional compounds into e.g., plant-based products substituting animal-based food alternatives. To conclude, the present review paper highlights great opportunities and shows a few examples of how food security and functional-nutritional quality in traditional and novel wheat products can be improved by the use of genes from alien sources, such as rye and other relatives to wheat. Novel and upcoming plant breeding methods such as genome-wide association studies, gene editing, genomic selection and speed breeding, have the potential to complement traditional technologies to keep pace with climate change and consumer eating habits.},
}
@article {pmid38933180,
year = {2024},
author = {Lichtblau, M and Reimann, L and Piccari, L},
title = {Pulmonary vascular disease, environmental pollution, and climate change.},
journal = {Pulmonary circulation},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {e12394},
pmid = {38933180},
issn = {2045-8932},
abstract = {Pollution and climate change constitute a combined, grave and pervasive threat to humans and to the life-support systems on which they depend. Evidence shows a strong association between pollution and climate change on cardiovascular and respiratory diseases, and pulmonary vascular disease (PVD) is no exception. An increasing number of studies has documented the impact of environmental pollution and extreme temperatures on pulmonary circulation and the right heart, on the severity and outcomes of patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension and chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (PH), on the incidence of pulmonary embolism, and the prevalence and severity of diseases associated with PH. Furthermore, the downstream consequences of climate change impair health care systems' accessibility, which could pose unique obstacles in the case of PVD patients, who require a complex and sophisticated network of health interventions. Patients, caretakers and health care professionals should thus be included in the design of policies aimed at adaptation to and mitigation of current challenges, and prevention of further climate change. The purpose of this review is to summarize the available evidence concerning the impact of environmental pollution and climate change on the pulmonary circulation, and to propose measures at the individual, healthcare and community levels directed at protecting patients with PVD.},
}
@article {pmid38932977,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhao, J and Shao, W and Li, Y and Chen, H and Lin, Z and Wei, L},
title = {Potential impact of climate change on the distribution of Capricornis milneedwardsii, a vulnerable mammal in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e11582},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.11582},
pmid = {38932977},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change significantly impacted on the survival, development, distribution, and abundance of living organisms. The Chinese serow Capricornis milneedwardsii, known as the "four unlike," is a Class II nationally protected species in China. In this study, we predicted the geographical suitability of C. milneedwardsii under current and future climatic conditions using MaxEnt. The model simulations resulted in area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values above 0.9 for both current and future climate scenarios, indicating the excellent performance, high accuracy, and credibility of the MaxEnt model. The results also showed that annual precipitation (Bio12), slope, elevation, and mean temperature of wettest quarter (Bio8) were the key environmental variables affecting the distribution of C. milneedwardsii, with contributions of 31.2%, 26.4%, 11%, and 10.3%, respectively. The moderately and highly suitable habitats were mainly located in the moist area of China, with a total area of 34.56 × 10[4] and 16.61 × 10[4] km[2], respectively. Under future climate change scenarios, the areas of suitability of C. milneedwardsii showed an increasing trend. The geometric center of the total suitable habitats of C. milneedwardsii would show the trend of northwest expansion and southeast contraction. These findings could provide a theoretical reference for the protection of C. milneedwardsii in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38932963,
year = {2024},
author = {de Oliveira, K and Novaes, RLM and Weber, MM and Moratelli, R},
title = {Forecasting climate change impacts on neotropical Myotis: Insights from ecological niche models for conservation strategies.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e11419},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.11419},
pmid = {38932963},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Myotis originated during the Oligocene in Eurasia and has become one of the most diverse bat genera, with over 140 species. In the case of neotropical Myotis, there is a high degree of phenotypic conservatism. This means that the taxonomic and geographic limits of several species are not well understood, which constrains detailed studies on their ecology and evolution and how to effectively protect these species. Similar to other organisms, bats may respond to climate change by moving to different areas, adapting to new conditions, or going extinct. Ecological niche models have become established as an efficient and widely used method for interpolating (and sometimes extrapolating) species' distributions and offer an effective tool for identifying species conservation requirements and forecasting how global environmental changes may affect species distribution. How species respond to climate change is a key point for understanding their vulnerability and designing effective conservation strategies in the future. Thus, here, we assessed the impacts of climate change on the past and future distributions of two phylogenetically related species, Myotis ruber and Myotis keaysi. The results showed that the species are influenced by changes in temperature, and for M. ruber, precipitation also becomes important. Furthermore, M. ruber appears to have been more flexible to decreases in temperature that occurred in the past, which allowed it to expand its areas of environmental suitability, unlike M. keaysi, which decreased and concentrated these areas. However, despite a drastic decrease in the spatial area of environmental suitability of these species in the future, there are areas of potential climate stability that have been maintained since the Pleistocene, indicating where conservation efforts need to be concentrated in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38932480,
year = {2024},
author = {Daniels, D and Berger Eberhardt, A},
title = {Climate change, microplastics, and male infertility.},
journal = {Current opinion in urology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MOU.0000000000001201},
pmid = {38932480},
issn = {1473-6586},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Semen quality is on the decline. While the etiology is unknown, recent literature suggests there may be a relationship between climate change, environmental toxins and male fertility. This review relays new information regarding associations between our environment and male infertility.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Several recent studies have documented a negative association between heat stress and spermatogenesis, which suggests that climate change may be a factor in declining in sperm counts. The influence of particle pollution on spermatogenesis has also been recently investigated, with studies demonstrating a negative association. Another possible factor are microplastics, which have been posited to reduce sperm production. Recent animal studies have shown that microplastic exposure alters both adult sperm production and prenatal male genital development. The relationship between endocrine disrupting chemicals and male fertility remains an area of active study, with recent animal and human studies suggesting an association between these chemicals and male fertility.<br><br>SUMMARY: The etiology of the decline in male fertility over the past decades is yet unknown. However, changes in our environment as seen with climate change and exposure to pollutants and endocrine disrupting chemicals are proposed mechanisms for this decline. Further studies are needed to investigate this association further.},
}
@article {pmid38929344,
year = {2024},
author = {Froldi, F and Lamastra, L and Trevisan, M and Moschini, M},
title = {Climate Change and Photochemical Ozone Creation Potential Impact Indicators of Cow Milk: A Comparison of Different Scenarios for a Diet Assessment.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {14},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani14121725},
pmid = {38929344},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {An estimate of the environmental impact of dairy farms in Northern Italy producing milk for hard cheese (protected designation of origin) has been obtained through a comprehensive life cycle assessment. The estimate focused on climate change (CC) and photochemical ozone creation potential (POCP) indicators, which were evaluated according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) guidelines and interpreted with the aid of the feeds' composition evaluated using near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (Foss NIR-System 5000) as well as with a diet evaluation according to the NRC (National Research Council) or the CNCPS (Cornell Net Carbohydrate and Protein System) nutrient requirement modeling. Herds were classified into high-, mid-, and low-performing based on the daily milk yield per cow. A lower impact on indicators was observed as herd performance increased. The high-performing herds had a lower contribution from enteric fermentation (6.30 × 10[-1] kgCO2-eq), and the more milk that they produced allowed for a differentiation of CC from land use and transformation (2.39 × 10[-1] kgCO2-eq), compared to low-performing herds (3.66 × 10[-1] kgCO2-eq). Compared to the IPCC approach, the CC and POCP indicator estimates were reduced when addressing the feed's quality, particularly in mid- and high-performing herds. The results could be helpful in the dairy sector as they provide an insight into how diet quality affects the environmental impact of milk.},
}
@article {pmid38927332,
year = {2024},
author = {Hao, Y and Dong, P and Wang, L and Ke, X and Hao, X and He, G and Chen, Y and Guo, F},
title = {Predicting the Potential Distribution of Hypericum perforatum under Climate Change Scenarios Using a Maximum Entropy Model.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13060452},
pmid = {38927332},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {H. perforatum, as one of the Traditional Chinese Medicinal materials, possesses a variety of pharmacological activities and high medicinal value. However, in recent years, the wild resources of H. perforatum have been severely depleted due to global climate change and human activities, and artificial cultivation faces problems such as unstable yield and active ingredient content. This poses a serious obstacle to the development and utilization of its resources. Therefore, this experiment took H. perforatum as the research object and used 894 distribution records of H. perforatum and 36 climatic environmental factors, using the MaxEnt model and GIS technology to explore the main climatic factors affecting the distribution of H. perforatum. Additionally, by utilizing the principles of ecological niche theory, the potential suitable distribution regions of H. perforatum across past, present, and future timelines were predicted, which can ascertain the dynamics of its spatial distribution patterns and the trend of centroid migration. The results indicate that the main environmental factors affecting the geographical distribution of H. perforatum are solar radiation in April (Srad4), solar radiation in September (Srad9), mean temperature of driest quarter (Bio9), solar radiation in November (Srad11), annual mean temperature (Bio1), and annual precipitation (Bio12). Under future climate scenarios, there is a remarkable trend of expansion in the suitable distribution areas of H. perforatum. The centroid migration indicates a trend of migration towards the northwest direction and high-altitude areas. These results can provide a scientific basis for formulating conservation and sustainable use management strategies for H. perforatum resources.},
}
@article {pmid38927320,
year = {2024},
author = {Liao, W and Cao, L},
title = {Conservation and Evolution of Wildlife in the Context of Climate Change and Human Population Growth.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13060440},
pmid = {38927320},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {Global climate change results in variations in morphological traits, resource competition, species diversity, physiological activity, genetic diversity, habitat use, distributional range, and conservation status in organisms [...].},
}
@article {pmid38927316,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, Q and Shao, W and Jiang, Y and Yan, C and Liao, W},
title = {Assessing Reptile Conservation Status under Global Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology13060436},
pmid = {38927316},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {32300358//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32370456//the National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 22NSFSC0011//the Key Project of Natural Sciences Foundation of Sichuan Province/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change drives variations in species distribution patterns and affects biodiversity, potentially increasing the risk of species extinction. Investigating the potential distribution range of species under future global climate change is crucial for biodiversity conservation and ecosystem management. In this study, we collected distributional data for 5282 reptile species to assess their conservation status based on distributional ranges using species distribution models. Our predictions indicate that the potential distribution ranges for over half of these species are projected to decrease under different scenarios. Under future scenarios with relatively low carbon emissions, the increase in the number of threatened reptiles is significantly lower, highlighting the importance of human efforts. Surprisingly, we identified some endangered species that are projected to expand their distribution ranges, underscoring the potential positive effects of climate change on some special species. Our findings emphasize the increased extinction risk faced by reptile species due to climate change and highlight the urgent need to mitigate the effects of habitat degradation and human activities on their potential distribution in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38926816,
year = {2024},
author = {Habibi, P and Razmjouei, J and Moradi, A and Mahdavi, F and Fallah-Aliabadi, S and Heydari, A},
title = {Climate change and heat stress resilient outdoor workers: findings from systematic literature review.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {1711},
pmid = {38926816},
issn = {1471-2458},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Heat Stress Disorders/prevention &amp; control/epidemiology ; Occupational Exposure/prevention &amp; control/adverse effects ; Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; Female ; Male ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE: Global warming has led to an increase in the number and intensity of extreme heat events, posing a significant threat to the health and safety of workers, especially those working outdoors, as they often have limited access to cooling strategies. The present systematic literature review (a) summarizes the current knowledge on the impacts of climate change on outdoor workers, (b) provides historical background on this issue, (c) explores factors that reduce and increase thermal stress resilience, (d) discusses the heat mitigation strategies, and (e) provides an overview of existing policy and legal frameworks on occupational heat exposure among outdoor workers.<br><br>MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this systematic review, we searched scientific databases including Scopus (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;855), Web of Science (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;828), and PubMed (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;202). Additionally, we identified relevant studies on climate change and heat-stress control measures through Google Scholar (N&#x2009;=&#x2009;116) using specific search terms. In total, we monitored 2001 articles pertaining to worker populations (men&#x2009;=&#x2009;2921; women&#x2009;=&#x2009;627) in various outdoor climate conditions across 14 countries. After full-text assessment, 55 studies were selected for inclusion, and finally, 29 eligible papers were included for data extraction.<br><br>RESULTS: Failure to implement effective control strategies for outdoor workers will result in decreased resilience to thermal stress. The findings underscore a lack of awareness regarding certain adaptation strategies and interventions aimed at preventing and enhancing resilience to the impact of climate change on heat stress prevalence among workers in outdoor tropical and subtropical environments. However, attractive alternative solutions from the aspects of economic and ecological sustainability in the overall assessment of heat stress resilience can be referred to acclimatization, shading, optimized clothing properties and planned breaks.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The integration of climate change adaptation strategies into occupational health programs can enhance occupational heat resilience among outdoor workers. Conducting cost-benefit evaluations of health and safety measures for thermal stress adaptation strategies among outdoor workers is crucial for professionals and policymakers in low- and middle-income tropical and subtropical countries. In this respect, complementary measures targeting hydration, work-rest regimes, ventilated garments, self-pacing, and mechanization can be adopted to protect outdoor workers. Risk management strategies, adaptive measures, heat risk awareness, practical interventions, training programs, and protective policies should be implemented in hot-dry and hot-humid climates to boost the tolerance and resilience of outdoor workers.},
}
@article {pmid38925782,
year = {2024},
author = {Lemon, C and Rizer, N and Bradshaw, J},
title = {Climate Change.},
journal = {Emergency medicine clinics of North America},
volume = {42},
number = {3},
pages = {679-693},
doi = {10.1016/j.emc.2024.02.022},
pmid = {38925782},
issn = {1558-0539},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Emergency Medicine ; },
abstract = {As human-induced climate change warms the planet, its health impacts will affect all populations, but certain groups will be more vulnerable to its impacts. Given its role as a health care safety net, emergency medicine will play a crucial role in addressing these health conditions. Additionally, with its expertise in disaster medicine, interdisciplinary collaboration, and health care systems knowledge, emergency medicine has the potential to lead the health care sector's response to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38925497,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, KJ and Ehsan, S and Tran, A and Haugstetter, M and Singh, H},
title = {Diagnostic Excellence in the Context of Climate Change: A Review.},
journal = {The American journal of medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.amjmed.2024.06.010},
pmid = {38925497},
issn = {1555-7162},
abstract = {Climate change is leading to a rise in heat-related illnesses, vector-borne diseases, and numerous negative impacts on patients' physical and mental health outcomes. Concurrently, healthcare contributes about 4.6% of global greenhouse gas emissions. Low-value care, such as overtesting and overdiagnosis, contributes to unnecessary emissions. In this review, we describe diagnostic excellence in the context of climate change and focus on two topics. First, climate change is affecting health, leading to the emergence of certain diseases, some of which are new, while others are increasing in prevalence and/or becoming more widespread. These conditions will require timely and accurate diagnosis by clinicians who may not be used to diagnosing them. Second, diagnostic quality issues, such as overtesting and overdiagnosis, contribute to climate change through unnecessary emissions and waste and should be targeted for interventions. We also highlight implications for clinical practice, research, and policy. Our findings call for efforts to engage healthcare professionals and policymakers in understanding the urgent implications for diagnosis in the context of climate change and reducing global greenhouse gas emissions to enhance both patient and planetary outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid38925398,
year = {2024},
author = {de Souza, VV and Moreira, DP and Braz-Mota, S and Dos Santos, WV and Cotta, GC and da Silva Rodrigues, M and Nóbrega, RH and Corrêa, RDS and de Melo Hoyos, DC and Sanches, EA and Val, AL and Dos Santos Nassif Lacerda, SM},
title = {Simulated climate change and atrazine contamination can synergistically impair zebrafish testicular function.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174173},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174173},
pmid = {38925398},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Elements that interfere with reproductive processes can have profound impacts on population and the equilibrium of ecosystems. Global warming represents the major environmental challenge of the 21st century, as it will affect all forms of life in the coming decades. Another coexisting concern is the persistent pollution by pesticides, particularly the herbicide Atrazine (ATZ), which is responsible for a significant number of contamination incidents in surface waters worldwide. While it is hypothesized that climate changes will significantly enhance the toxic effects of pesticides, the actual impact of these phenomena remain largely unexplored. Here, we conducted a climate-controlled room experiment to assess the interactive effects of the projected 2100 climate scenario and environmentally realistic ATZ exposures on the reproductive function of male zebrafish. The gonadosomatic index significantly decreased in fish kept in the extreme scenario. Cellular alterations across spermatogenesis phases led to synergic decreased sperm production and increased germ cell sloughing and death. ATZ exposure alone or combined with climate change effects, disrupted the transcription levels of key genes involved in steroidogenesis, hormone signaling and spermatogenesis regulation. An additive modulation with decreased 11-KT production and increased E2 levels was also evidenced, intensifying the effects of androgen/estrogen imbalance. Moreover, climate change and ATZ independently induced oxidative stress, upregulation of proapoptotic gene and DNA damage in post-meiotic germ cell, but the negative effects of ATZ were greater at extreme scenario. Ultimately, exposure to simulated climate changes severely impaired fertilization capacity, due to a drastic reduction in sperm motility and/or viability. These findings indicate that the future climate conditions have the potential to considerably enhance the toxicity of ATZ at low concentrations, leading to significant deleterious consequences for fish reproductive function and fertility. These may provide relevant information to supporting healthcare and environmental managers in decision-making related to climate changes and herbicide regulation.},
}
@article {pmid38925333,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosso, R},
title = {Catheter Ablation Guided by Intracardiac Echocardiography: The "ICE" Age During Global Warming.},
journal = {Heart rhythm},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.hrthm.2024.06.039},
pmid = {38925333},
issn = {1556-3871},
}
@article {pmid38924860,
year = {2024},
author = {Regalado Chamorro, M and Medina Gamero, A},
title = {[Ecoanxiety: Impact of climate change on mental health].},
journal = {Semergen},
volume = {50},
number = {8},
pages = {102279},
doi = {10.1016/j.semerg.2024.102279},
pmid = {38924860},
issn = {1578-8865},
}
@article {pmid38924163,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, Y and Keating, A and Sourn, C},
title = {Measuring community disaster resilience for sustainable climate change adaptation: Lessons from time-series findings in rural Cambodia.},
journal = {Disasters},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e12647},
doi = {10.1111/disa.12647},
pmid = {38924163},
issn = {1467-7717},
support = {NRF-2020S1A5A2A03043548//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
abstract = {Donor-funded climate and disaster resilience programmes and projects aim to help build the capacities and resilience of communities. Measuring resilience is critical, therefore, in providing feedback, evidence, and accountability. This paper presents recent two-year time-series findings from an ongoing multi-partner academic and practical collaboration pertaining to a climate change adaption project with rural communities in Cambodia. To measure community resilience, the study used the Flood Resilience Measurement for Communities, which measures, using mixed methods, disaster resilience capacities across five key dimensions of resilience: human, social, physical, natural, and financial capitals. The study analysed and reported changes in these areas of resilience in the selected villages, generating insights into the strengths and weaknesses of flood resilience capacities in the region. This paper provides valuable guidance as to where investment can be most effective in different communities, confirming the usefulness of the tool in measuring resilience and assessing the effectiveness of the project concerned.},
}
@article {pmid38924103,
year = {2024},
author = {},
title = {Correction to "Climate change and global health: A call to more research and more action".},
journal = {Allergy},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/all.16205},
pmid = {38924103},
issn = {1398-9995},
}
@article {pmid38923246,
year = {2024},
author = {Coblentz, KE and Treidel, LA and Biagioli, FP and Fragel, CG and Johnson, AE and Thilakarathne, DD and Yang, L and DeLong, JP},
title = {A framework for understanding climate change impacts through non-compensatory intra- and interspecific climate change responses.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {6},
pages = {e17378},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17378},
pmid = {38923246},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Population Dynamics ; Animals ; Population Growth ; Models, Biological ; },
abstract = {Understanding and predicting population responses to climate change is a crucial challenge. A key component of population responses to climate change are cases in which focal biological rates (e.g., population growth rates) change in response to climate change due to non-compensatory effects of changes in the underlying components (e.g., birth and death rates) determining the focal rates. We refer to these responses as non-compensatory climate change effects. As differential responses of biological rates to climate change have been documented in a variety of systems and arise at multiple levels of organization within and across species, non-compensatory effects may be nearly ubiquitous. Yet, how non-compensatory climate change responses combine and scale to influence the demographics of populations is often unclear and requires mapping them to the birth and death rates underlying population change. We provide a flexible framework for incorporating non-compensatory changes in upstream rates within and among species and mapping their consequences for additional downstream rates across scales to their eventual effects on population growth rates. Throughout, we provide specific examples and potential applications of the framework. We hope this framework helps to enhance our understanding of and unify research on population responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38923190,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, S and Delgado-Baquerizo, M and Ding, J and Hu, H and Huang, W and Sun, Y and Ni, H and Kuang, Y and Yuan, MM and Zhou, J and Zhang, J and Liang, Y},
title = {Intrinsic microbial temperature sensitivity and soil organic carbon decomposition in response to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {30},
number = {6},
pages = {e17395},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.17395},
pmid = {38923190},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {2021YFD1900400//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; XDA28030102//Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; 42377121//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; ISSASIP2201//Innovation Program of Institute of Soil Science/ ; 2022ZB467//Jiangsu Funding Program for Excellent Postdoctoral Talent/ ; //Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Soil Microbiology ; *Climate Change ; *Soil/chemistry ; *Carbon/analysis/metabolism ; China ; *Temperature ; Bacteria/metabolism/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {Soil microbes are essential for regulating carbon stocks under climate change. However, the uncertainty surrounding how microbial temperature responses control carbon losses under warming conditions highlights a significant gap in our climate change models. To address this issue, we conducted a fine-scale analysis of soil organic carbon composition under different temperature gradients and characterized the corresponding microbial growth and physiology across various paddy soils spanning 4000 km in China. Our results showed that warming altered the composition of organic matter, resulting in a reduction in carbohydrates of approximately 0.026% to 0.030% from humid subtropical regions to humid continental regions. These changes were attributed to a decrease in the proportion of cold-preferring bacteria, leading to significant soil carbon losses. Our findings suggest that intrinsic microbial temperature sensitivity plays a crucial role in determining the rate of soil organic carbon decomposition, providing insights into the temperature limitations faced by microbial activities and their impact on soil carbon-climate feedback.},
}
@article {pmid38922917,
year = {2024},
author = {Yoon, L and Ventrella, J and Marcotullio, P and Matte, T and Lane, K and Tipaldo, J and Jessel, S and Schmid, K and Casagrande, J and Elszasz, H},
title = {NPCC4: Climate change, energy, and energy insecurity in New York City.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15117},
pmid = {38922917},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report provides an overview of energy trends in New York City and the State of New York, as well as accompanying challenges and barriers to the energy transition-with implications for human health and wellbeing. The link between energy trends and their impact on health and wellbeing is brought to the fore by the concept of "energy insecurity," an important addition to the NPCC4 assessment.},
}
@article {pmid38922909,
year = {2024},
author = {Matte, T and Lane, K and Tipaldo, JF and Barnes, J and Knowlton, K and Torem, E and Anand, G and Yoon, L and Marcotullio, P and Balk, D and Constible, J and Elszasz, H and Ito, K and Jessel, S and Limaye, V and Parks, R and Rutigliano, M and Sorenson, C and Yuan, A},
title = {NPCC4: Climate change and New York City's health risk.},
journal = {Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nyas.15115},
pmid = {38922909},
issn = {1749-6632},
abstract = {This chapter of the New York City Panel on Climate Change 4 (NPCC4) report considers climate health risks, vulnerabilities, and resilience strategies in New York City's unique urban context. It updates evidence since the last health assessment in 2015 as part of NPCC2 and addresses climate health risks and vulnerabilities that have emerged as especially salient to NYC since 2015. Climate health risks from heat and flooding are emphasized. In addition, other climate-sensitive exposures harmful to human health are considered, including outdoor and indoor air pollution, including aeroallergens; insect vectors of human illness; waterborne infectious and chemical contaminants; and compounding of climate health risks with other public health emergencies, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Evidence-informed strategies for reducing future climate risks to health are considered.},
}
@article {pmid38922857,
year = {2024},
author = {da Silva, CRB and Diamond, SE},
title = {Local climate change velocities and evolutionary history explain multidirectional range shifts in a North American butterfly assemblage.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14132},
pmid = {38922857},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {DEB-1845126//Division of Environmental Biology/ ; MQRF0001197-2022//Macquarie University/ ; },
abstract = {Species are often expected to shift their distributions either poleward or upslope to evade warming climates and colonise new suitable climatic niches. However, from 18-years of fixed transect monitoring data on 88 species of butterfly in the midwestern United States, we show that butterflies are shifting their centroids in all directions, except towards regions that are warming the fastest (southeast). Butterflies shifted their centroids at a mean rate of 4.87 km year[-1]. The rate of centroid shift was significantly associated with local climate change velocity (temperature by precipitation interaction), but not with mean climate change velocity throughout the species' ranges. Species tended to shift their centroids at a faster rate towards regions that are warming at slower velocities but increasing in precipitation velocity. Surprisingly, species' thermal niche breadth (range of climates butterflies experience throughout their distribution) and wingspan (often used as metric for dispersal capability) were not correlated with the rate at which species shifted their ranges. We observed high phylogenetic signal in the direction species shifted their centroids. However, we found no phylogenetic signal in the rate species shifted their centroids, suggesting less conserved processes determine the rate of range shift than the direction species shift their ranges. This research shows important signatures of multidirectional range shifts (latitudinal and longitudinal) and uniquely shows that local climate change velocities are more important in driving range shifts than the mean climate change velocity throughout a species' entire range.},
}
@article {pmid38922080,
year = {2024},
author = {Xiao, W and Zhang, Y and Chen, X and Sha, A and Xiong, Z and Luo, Y and Peng, L and Zou, L and Zhao, C and Li, Q},
title = {The Easily Overlooked Effect of Global Warming: Diffusion of Heavy Metals.},
journal = {Toxics},
volume = {12},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/toxics12060400},
pmid = {38922080},
issn = {2305-6304},
support = {2023NSFSC1229//Sichuan Natural Science Foundation Project/ ; No. hklk202203//Open Foundation of Hebei Key Laboratory of Wetland Ecology and Conservation/ ; },
abstract = {Since industrialization, global temperatures have continued to rise. Human activities have resulted in heavy metals being freed from their original, fixed locations. Because of global warming, glaciers are melting, carbon dioxide concentrations are increasing, weather patterns are shifting, and various environmental forces are at play, resulting in the movement of heavy metals and alteration of their forms. In this general context, the impact of heavy metals on ecosystems and organisms has changed accordingly. For most ecosystems, the levels of heavy metals are on the rise, and this rise can have a negative impact on the ecosystem as a whole. Numerous studies have been conducted to analyze the combined impacts of climate change and heavy metals. However, the summary of the current studies is not perfect. Therefore, this review discusses how heavy metals affect ecosystems during the process of climate change from multiple perspectives, providing some references for addressing the impact of climate warming on environmental heavy metals.},
}
@article {pmid38921371,
year = {2024},
author = {Ali, I and Qaiser, H and Abdullah, R and Kaleem, A and Iqtedar, M and Iqbal, I and Chen, X},
title = {Prospective Roles of Extremophilic Fungi in Climate Change Mitigation Strategies.},
journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {10},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/jof10060385},
pmid = {38921371},
issn = {2309-608X},
abstract = {Climate change and the resultant environmental deterioration signify one of the most challenging problems facing humankind in the 21st century. The origins of climate change are multifaceted and rooted in anthropogenic activities, resulting in increasing greenhouse gases in the environment and leading to global warming and weather drifts. Extremophilic fungi, characterized by their exceptional properties to survive extreme habitats, harbor great potential in mitigating climate change effects. This review provides insight into the potential applications of extremophilic fungi in climate change mitigation strategies. They are able to metabolize organic biomass and degrade carbon compounds, thereby safely sequestering carbon and extenuating its release into the environment as noxious greenhouse gases. Furthermore, they possess extremozymes, which break down recalcitrant organic species, including lignocellulosic biomass and hydrocarbons. Enzymatic machinery equips these extremophilic fungi to perform the bioremediation of polluted environments. Extremophilic fungi can also be exploited for various biological interventions, such as biofuels, bioplastics, and other bioprocessing applications. However, these fungi characterize a valued but underexplored resource in the arsenal of climate change mitigation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid38921152,
year = {2024},
author = {Gao, H and Wei, X and Peng, Y and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Predicting the Impact of Climate Change on the Future Distribution of Paederus fuscipes Curtis, 1826, in China Based on the MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15060437},
pmid = {38921152},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022NSFSCO986//Sichuan Province Science and Technology Support Program/ ; 20A007//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; 20E051//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; 21E040//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; 22kA011//China West Normal University Support Program/ ; },
abstract = {Paederus fuscipes Curtis, 1826, belongs to the Coleoptera order, Staphylinidae family, and Paederus genus (Fabricius, 1775). It has a wide distribution and strong invasive and environmental adaptation capabilities. As a predatory natural enemy of agricultural and forestry pests, understanding its suitable habitat is crucial for the control of other pests. This study, for the first time, uses the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS software, combining known distribution information of P. fuscipes and climate environmental factors to predict the current and future suitable habitat distribution of this insect. The key environmental variables affecting the distribution of P. fuscipes have been identified as mean diurnal range (mean of monthly (max temp-min temp)) (bio2), isothermality (Bio2/Bio7) (*100) (bio3), minimum temperature of the coldest month (bio6), temperature annual range (bio5-bio6) (bio7), mean temperature of the driest quarter (bio9), mean temperature of the coldest quarter (bio11), precipitation of the wettest month (bio13), precipitation of the driest month (bio14), and precipitation seasonality (coefficient of variation) (bio15). The highly suitable areas for P. fuscipes in China are mainly distributed in the hilly regions of Shandong, the North China Plain, and the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Plain, with a total suitable area of 118.96 × 10[4] km[2], accounting for 12.35% of China's total area. According to future climate change scenarios, it is predicted that the area of highly and lowly suitable regions will significantly decrease, while moderately suitable regions will increase (except for the 2090s, SSP2-4.5 scenario). These research findings provide important theoretical support for pest control and ecological conservation applications.},
}
@article {pmid38921126,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, G and Liu, S and Xu, C and Wei, H and Guo, K and Xu, R and Qiao, H and Lu, P},
title = {Prediction of Potential Distribution of Carposina coreana in China under the Current and Future Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {15},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects15060411},
pmid = {38921126},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022YFC3501502//the National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; 2021-I2M-1-031//the Innovation and Development of China Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Carposina coreana is an important pest of Cornus officinalis, distributed in China, Korea, and Japan. In recent years, its damage to C. officinalis has become increasingly serious, causing enormous economic losses in China. This study and prediction of current and future suitable habitats for C. coreana in China can provide an important reference for the monitoring, early warning, prevention, and control of the pest. In this study, the potential distributions of C. coreana in China under current climate and future climate models were predicted using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model with ArcGIS software. The distribution point data of C. coreana were screened using the buffer screening method. Nineteen environmental variables were screened using the knife-cut method and variable correlation analysis. The parameters of the MaxEnt model were optimized using the kuenm package in R software. The MaxEnt model, combined with key environmental variables, was used to predict the distribution range of the suitable area for C. coreana under the current (1971-2000) and four future scenarios. The buffer screening method screened data from 41 distribution points that could be used for modeling. The main factors affecting the distribution of C. coreana were precipitation in the driest month (Bio14), precipitation in the warmest quarter (Bio18), precipitation in the coldest quarter (Bio19), the standard deviation of seasonal variation of temperature (Bio4), minimum temperature in the coldest month (Bio6), and average temperature in the coldest quarter (Bio11). The feature class (FC) after the kuenm package optimization was a Q-quadratic T-threshold combination, and the regularization multiplier (RM) was 0.8. The suitable areas for C. coreana under the current climate model were mainly distributed in central China, and the highly suitable areas were distributed in southern Shaanxi, southwestern Henan, and northwestern Hubei. The lowest temperature in the coldest month (Bio6), the average temperature in the coldest quarter (Bio11), and the precipitation in the warmest quarter (Bio18) all had good predictive ability. In future climate scenarios, the boundary of the suitable area for C. coreana in China is expected to shift northward, and thus, most of the future climate scenarios would shift northward.},
}
@article {pmid38920550,
year = {2024},
author = {Rio, P and Caldarelli, M and Gasbarrini, A and Gambassi, G and Cianci, R},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Immunity and Gut Microbiota in the Development of Disease.},
journal = {Diseases (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/diseases12060118},
pmid = {38920550},
issn = {2079-9721},
abstract = {According to the definition provided by the United Nations, "climate change" describes the persistent alterations in temperatures and weather trends. These alterations may arise naturally, such as fluctuations in the solar cycle. Nonetheless, since the 19th century, human activities have emerged as the primary agent for climate change, primarily attributed to the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and gas. Climate change can potentially influence the well-being, agricultural production, housing, safety, and employment opportunities for all individuals. The immune system is an important interface through which global climate change affects human health. Extreme heat, weather events and environmental pollutants could impair both innate and adaptive immune responses, promoting inflammation and genomic instability, and increasing the risk of autoimmune and chronic inflammatory diseases. Moreover, climate change has an impact on both soil and gut microbiome composition, which can further explain changes in human health outcomes. This narrative review aims to explore the influence of climate change on human health and disease, focusing specifically on its effects on the immune system and gut microbiota. Understanding how these factors contribute to the development of physical and mental illness may allow for the design of strategies aimed at reducing the negative impact of climate and pollution on human health.},
}
@article {pmid38920109,
year = {2024},
author = {Nespolo, RF and Quintero-Galvis, JF and Fontúrbel, FE and Cubillos, FA and Vianna, J and Moreno-Meynard, P and Rezende, EL and Bozinovic, F},
title = {Climate change and population persistence in a hibernating marsupial.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {291},
number = {2025},
pages = {20240266},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2024.0266},
pmid = {38920109},
issn = {1471-2954},
support = {//Agencia Nacional de Investigaci&#xf3;n y Desarrollo/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Marsupialia/physiology ; *Hibernation ; *Seasons ; Population Dynamics ; Models, Biological ; Ecosystem ; Energy Metabolism ; },
abstract = {Climate change has physiological consequences on organisms, ecosystems and human societies, surpassing the pace of organismal adaptation. Hibernating mammals are particularly vulnerable as winter survival is determined by short-term physiological changes triggered by temperature. In these animals, winter temperatures cannot surpass a certain threshold, above which hibernators arouse from torpor, increasing several fold their energy needs when food is unavailable. Here, we parameterized a numerical model predicting energy consumption in heterothermic species and modelled winter survival at different climate change scenarios. As a model species, we used the arboreal marsupial monito del monte (genus Dromiciops), which is recognized as one of the few South American hibernators. We modelled four climate change scenarios (from optimistic to pessimistic) based on IPCC projections, predicting that northern and coastal populations (Dromiciops bozinovici) will decline because the minimum number of cold days needed to survive the winter will not be attained. These populations are also the most affected by habitat fragmentation and changes in land use. Conversely, Andean and other highland populations, in cooler environments, are predicted to persist and thrive. Given the widespread presence of hibernating mammals around the world, models based on simple physiological parameters, such as this one, are becoming essential for predicting species responses to warming in the short term.},
}
@article {pmid38919037,
year = {2024},
author = {Luthfiyah, S and Triwiyanto, and Utomo, B and Pawana, IPA},
title = {Celebrating Australian nurses who are pioneering the response to climate change: A compilation of case studies [Letter].},
journal = {Contemporary nurse},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1080/10376178.2024.2363907},
pmid = {38919037},
issn = {1839-3535},
}
@article {pmid38918123,
year = {2024},
author = {Ueda, D and Walston, SL and Fujita, S and Fushimi, Y and Tsuboyama, T and Kamagata, K and Yamada, A and Yanagawa, M and Ito, R and Fujima, N and Kawamura, M and Nakaura, T and Matsui, Y and Tatsugami, F and Fujioka, T and Nozaki, T and Hirata, K and Naganawa, S},
title = {Climate change and artificial intelligence in healthcare: Review and recommendations towards a sustainable future.},
journal = {Diagnostic and interventional imaging},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.diii.2024.06.002},
pmid = {38918123},
issn = {2211-5684},
abstract = {The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) in healthcare has revolutionized the industry, offering significant improvements in diagnostic accuracy, efficiency, and patient outcomes. However, the increasing adoption of AI systems also raises concerns about their environmental impact, particularly in the context of climate change. This review explores the intersection of climate change and AI in healthcare, examining the challenges posed by the energy consumption and carbon footprint of AI systems, as well as the potential solutions to mitigate their environmental impact. The review highlights the energy-intensive nature of AI model training and deployment, the contribution of data centers to greenhouse gas emissions, and the generation of electronic waste. To address these challenges, the development of energy-efficient AI models, the adoption of green computing practices, and the integration of renewable energy sources are discussed as potential solutions. The review also emphasizes the role of AI in optimizing healthcare workflows, reducing resource waste, and facilitating sustainable practices such as telemedicine. Furthermore, the importance of policy and governance frameworks, global initiatives, and collaborative efforts in promoting sustainable AI practices in healthcare is explored. The review concludes by outlining best practices for sustainable AI deployment, including eco-design, lifecycle assessment, responsible data management, and continuous monitoring and improvement. As the healthcare industry continues to embrace AI technologies, prioritizing sustainability and environmental responsibility is crucial to ensure that the benefits of AI are realized while actively contributing to the preservation of our planet.},
}
@article {pmid38917931,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, H and Li, Y and Huang, G and Ma, Y and Zhang, Q and Li, Y},
title = {Analyzing variation of water inflow to inland lakes under climate change: Integrating deep learning and time series data mining.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119478},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119478},
pmid = {38917931},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The alarming depletion of global inland lakes in recent decades makes it essential to predict water inflow from rivers to lakes (WIRL) trend and unveil the dominant influencing driver, particularly in the context of climate change. The raw time series data contains multiple components (i.e., long-term trend, seasonal periodicity, and random noise), which makes it challenging for traditional machine/deep learning techniques to effectively capture long-term trend information. In this study, a novel FactorConvSTLnet (FCS) method is developed through integrating STL decomposition, convolutional neural networks (CNN), and factorial analysis into a general framework. FCS is more robust in long-term WIRL trend prediction through separating trend information as a modeling predictor, as well as unveiling predominant drivers. FCS is applied to typical inland lakes (the Aral Sea and the Lake Balkhash) in Central Asia, and results indicate that FCS (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency=0.88, root mean squared error=67m[3]/s, mean relative error=10%) outperforms the traditional CNN. Some main findings are: (i) during 1960-1990, reservoir water storage (WSR) was the dominant driver for the two lakes, respectively contributing to 71% and 49%; during 1991-2014 and 2015-2099, evaporation (EVAP) would be the dominant driver, with the contribution of 30% and 47%; (ii) climate change would shift the dominant driver from human activities to natural factors, where EVAP and surface snow amount (SNW) have an increasing influence on WIRL; (iii) compared to SSP1-2.6, the SNW contribution would decrease by 26% under SSP5-8.5, while the EVAP contribution would increase by 9%. The findings reveal the main drivers of shrinkage of the inland lakes and provide the scientific basis for promoting regional ecological sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid38916342,
year = {2024},
author = {Plutzer, E and Branch, G and Townley, AL},
title = {Climate change education in U.S. middle schools: changes over five pivotal years.},
journal = {Journal of microbiology &amp; biology education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0001524},
doi = {10.1128/jmbe.00015-24},
pmid = {38916342},
issn = {1935-7877},
abstract = {Climate change education is both important and challenging. Prior research suggests that many secondary school science teachers in the United States were conveying "mixed messages" to students that legitimized scientifically unwarranted explanations of recent global warming. In this paper, we focus on US climate education at the middle school level and assess whether teacher attention to recent global warming, and whether the messages conveyed to students, changed between 2014 and 2019. Pooling data from two nationally representative probability surveys of middle school science teachers, we show significant advances on several key criteria, but the prevalence of mixed messages remained high. Exploratory analysis suggests that improvements were spurred partly by the adoption of the Next Generation Science Standards by many states and by partly by shifts in the personal views of science educators.},
}
@article {pmid38914865,
year = {2024},
author = {Kotz, M and Levermann, A and Wenz, L},
title = {Author Correction: The economic commitment of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41586-024-07732-2},
pmid = {38914865},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38914758,
year = {2024},
author = {Parsons, ES and Jowell, A and Veidis, E and Barry, M and Israni, ST},
title = {Climate change and inequality.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38914758},
issn = {1530-0447},
abstract = {This review explores how climate change is manifesting along existing lines of inequality and thus further exacerbating current health disparities with a particular focus on children and future generations. Climate change risk and vulnerability are not equally distributed, nor is the adaptive capacity to respond to its adverse effects, which include health consequences, economic impacts, and displacement. Existing lines of inequality are already magnifying the adverse effects of climate change. Today's children and future generations will experience a disproportionate number of adverse climate events than prior generations, especially children in lower-income populations, communities of color, and Indigenous communities. In order to mitigate the crisis of inequity accompanying the climate crisis, systemic action must be taken on a global scale - with a focus on protecting children and future generations, and in empowering youth-led environmental activism and engagement in climate policy. IMPACT STATEMENT: Our review offers a current summary of the ways in which inequality is manifesting with respect to climate change in children and future generations. Rather than use a systematic review, we opted to use a theoretical framework to guide our review. We divided the effects of climate change into three effect pathways: via disruptions in (i) climate and weather, (ii) ecosystems, and (iii) society. By dividing our review in this theoretical framework, we can better suggest targeted public health interventions at each effect level. Furthermore, we are able to successfully identify literature gaps and areas of future research.},
}
@article {pmid38914712,
year = {2024},
author = {Carroll, G and Abrahms, B and Brodie, S and Cimino, MA},
title = {Spatial match-mismatch between predators and prey under climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38914712},
issn = {2397-334X},
abstract = {Climate change is driving a rapid redistribution of life on Earth. Variability in the rates, magnitudes and directions of species' shifts can alter spatial overlap between predators and prey, with the potential to decouple trophic interactions. Although phenological mismatches between predator requirements and prey availability under climate change are well-established, 'spatial match-mismatch' dynamics remain poorly understood. We synthesize global evidence for climate-driven changes in spatial predator-prey overlap resulting from species redistribution across marine and terrestrial domains. We show that spatial mismatches can have vastly different outcomes for predator populations depending on their diet specialization and role within the wider ecosystem. We illustrate ecosystem-level consequences of climate-driven changes in spatial predator-prey overlap, from restructuring food webs to altering socio-ecological interactions. It remains unclear how predator-prey overlap at the landscape scale relates to prey encounter and consumption rates at local scales, or how the spatial reorganization of food webs affects ecosystem function. We identify key research directions necessary to resolve the scale of ecological impacts caused by species redistribution under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38914333,
year = {2024},
author = {Masoumi, AH and Esmaeili, HR and Khosravi, R and Gholamhosseini, A and Korkmaz, M and Jeppesen, E},
title = {Species on the move: Impacts of climate change on the spatial range of endemic fishes of the eco-sensitive semi-arid area of the Arabian Peninsula.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174095},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174095},
pmid = {38914333},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the most significant challenges worldwide in the Anthropocene, and it is predicted to importantly affect biological diversity, especially in freshwaters. Freshwater fishes are facing considerable global threats, particularly in eco-sensitive semi-arid to arid areas such as the Arabian Peninsula, which is considered a highly stressed region in the Middle East. Endemic species are believed to display a narrow range of traits, with rarity reflecting adaptation to specific environmental regimes, and they are thus highly sensitive to environmental disturbances. This study is the first attempt to map the occurrence of endemic freshwater fish species and predict the impact of climate change on their spatial range in the semi-arid area of the Arabian Peninsula using Species Distribution Modeling (SDM). We compared the present and future (2041-2060 and 2061-2080) climate niche for the species under various climatic scenarios. All global circulation models (GCMs) performed well in predicting the species' climatic niche (AUC ranging between 0.72 and 0.92). For certain species (Cyprinion acinaces, Garra buettikeri, Carasobarbus exulatus, Arabibarbus arabicus, and Cyprinion mhalense), variables associated with precipitation were more important than those related to temperature, while for others (Carasobarbus apoensis, G. sahilia, G tibanica, and Aphaniops kruppi), temperature-related variables were most important. Precipitation in the coldest quarter and in the driest quarter was the most sensitive variable for the predictions. The species showed distinct responses to climate change; seven were predicted to lose their climatically suitable habitats (losers) and are thus threatened and highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change, while two species were predicted to expand their range (winners). Regular monitoring of fish in the Arabian Peninsula is recommended to conserve endemic species and their ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid38913693,
year = {2024},
author = {Astolphi Lima, C and Alsunaidi, S and Lowe, S and Hogan, DB and Dennett, L and Jones, CA and Yamamoto, S},
title = {Exploring the influence of weather variability and climate change on health outcomes in people living with dementia: A scoping review protocol.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {6},
pages = {e0304181},
pmid = {38913693},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Dementia ; *Weather ; *Quality of Life ; Aged ; Accidental Falls ; },
abstract = {Environmental factors resulting from climate change and air pollution are risk factors for many chronic conditions including dementia. Although research has shown the impacts of air pollution in terms of cognitive status, less is known about the association between climate change and specific health-related outcomes of older people living with dementia. In response, we outline a scoping review protocol to systematically review the published literature regarding the evidence of climate change, including temperature and weather variability, on health-related quality of life, morbidity, mobility, falls, the utilization of health resources, and mortality among older adults living with dementia. This scoping review will be guided by the framework proposed by Arksey and O'Malley. Electronic search (Medline, Embase, PsycINFO, CINAHL, Scopus, Web of Science) using relevant subject headings and synonyms for two concepts (older people with dementia, weather/ climate change). No publication date or other restrictions will be applied to the search strategy. No language restriction will be applied in order to understand the impact of non-English studies in the literature. Eligible studies must include older adults (65+years) with dementia living in the community and investigate the impacts of climate change and/or weather on their health-related quality of life, morbidity, mobility, falls, use of health resources and mortality. Two independent reviewers will screen abstracts and select those for a full-text review, perform these reviews, select articles for retention, and extract data from them in a standardized manner. This data will then be synthesized and interpreted. OSF registration: DOI: 10.17605/OSF.IO/YRFM8.},
}
@article {pmid38912348,
year = {2024},
author = {Seidel, L and Broman, E and Ståhle, M and Bergström, K and Forsman, A and Hylander, S and Ketzer, M and Dopson, M},
title = {Climate change induces shifts in coastal Baltic Sea surface water microorganism stress and photosynthesis gene expression.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1393538},
pmid = {38912348},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {The world's oceans are challenged by climate change linked warming with typically highly populated coastal areas being particularly susceptible to these effects. Many studies of climate change on the marine environment use large, short-term temperature manipulations that neglect factors such as long-term adaptation and seasonal cycles. In this study, a Baltic Sea 'heated' bay influenced by thermal discharge since the 1970s from a nuclear reactor (in relation to an unaffected nearby 'control' bay) was used to investigate how elevated temperature impacts surface water microbial communities and activities. 16S rRNA gene amplicon based microbial diversity and population structure showed no difference in alpha diversity in surface water microbial communities, while the beta diversity showed a dissimilarity between the bays. Amplicon sequencing variant relative abundances between the bays showed statistically higher values for, e.g., Ilumatobacteraceae and Burkholderiaceae in the heated and control bays, respectively. RNA transcript-derived activities followed a similar pattern in alpha and beta diversity with no effect on Shannon's H diversity but a significant difference in the beta diversity between the bays. The RNA data further showed more elevated transcript counts assigned to stress related genes in the heated bay that included heat shock protein genes dnaKJ, the co-chaperonin groS, and the nucleotide exchange factor heat shock protein grpE. The RNA data also showed elevated oxidative phosphorylation transcripts in the heated (e.g., atpHG) compared to control (e.g., atpAEFB) bay. Furthermore, genes related to photosynthesis had generally higher transcript numbers in the control bay, such as photosystem I (psaAC) and II genes (psbABCEH). These increased stress gene responses in the heated bay will likely have additional cascading effects on marine carbon cycling and ecosystem services.},
}
@article {pmid38912133,
year = {2024},
author = {Bajerge, NM and Khankeh, H and Dashtbozorgi, A and Farrokhi, M},
title = {Abstruse Side of Climate Change, Impact on Malaria: A Systematic Evidence Review Comparing Iran versus Globally.},
journal = {Iranian journal of public health},
volume = {53},
number = {5},
pages = {1047-1057},
pmid = {38912133},
issn = {2251-6093},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Infectious outbreaks due to disrupted social and environmental conditions after climate change-induced events complicate disasters. This research aimed to determine the contentions of bioclimatic variables and extreme events on the prevalence of the most common Climate-Sensitive Infectious Disease (CSID); Malaria in Iran.<br><br>METHODS: The present narrative systematic review study was conducted on the bioclimatic variable impact on the prevalence of malaria, as a common CSID. The search was conducted in 3 sections: global climate change-related studies, disaster related, and studies that were conducted in Iran. The literature search was focused on papers published in English and Persian from Mar 2000 to Dec 2021, using electronic databases; Scopus, Web of Science, PubMed, Google Scholar, SID, Magiran, and IranDoc.<br><br>RESULTS: Overall, 41 studies met the inclusion criteria. The various types of climatic variables including; Temperature, rainfall, relative humidity, and hydrological events including; flood, drought, and cyclones has been reported as a predictor of malaria. The results of studies, inappropriately and often were inconsistent in both Iran and other parts of the world.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Identifying malaria outbreak risks is essential to assess vulnerability, and a starting point to identify where the health system is required to reduce the vulnerability and exposure of the population. The finding of most related studies is not congruent to achieve reliable information, more extensive studies in all climates and regions of the country, by climatic models and high accuracy risk map, using the long period of bioclimatic variables and malaria trend is recommended.},
}
@article {pmid38911103,
year = {2024},
author = {Bhattacharya, S and Sahay, R and Afsana, F and Sheikh, A and Widanage, NM and Maskey, R and Naseri, MW and Murad, M and Harikumar, KVS and Selim, S and Aamir, AH and Muthukuda, D and Parajuli, N and Baheer, MD and Latheef, A and Nagendra, L and Mondal, S and Kamrul-Hasan, ABM and Raza, SA and Somasundaram, N and Shrestha, D and Anne, B and Ramakrishnan, S and Kalra, S},
title = {Global Warming and Endocrinology: The Hyderabad Declaration of the South Asian Federation of Endocrine Societies.},
journal = {Indian journal of endocrinology and metabolism},
volume = {28},
number = {2},
pages = {129-136},
pmid = {38911103},
issn = {2230-8210},
abstract = {Global warming and endocrine disorders are intertwined issues posing significant challenges. Greenhouse gases emanating from human activities drive global warming, leading to temperature rise and altered weather patterns. South Asia has experienced a noticeable temperature surge over the past century. The sizable population residing in the region heightens the susceptibility to the impact of global warming. In addition to affecting agriculture, water resources, and livelihood, environmental changes interfere with endocrine functioning. Resulting lifestyle changes increase the risk of metabolic and endocrine disorders. Individuals with diabetes face heightened vulnerability to extreme weather due to impaired thermoregulation. A high ambient temperature predisposes to heat-related illnesses, infertility, and nephropathy. Additionally, essential endocrine drugs and medical devices are susceptible to temperature fluctuations. The South Asian Federation of Endocrine Societies (SAFES) calls for collaboration among stakeholders to combat climate change and promote healthy living. Comprehensive approaches, including the establishment of sustainable food systems, promotion of physical activity, and raising awareness about environmental impacts, are imperative. SAFES recommends strategies such as prioritizing plant-based diets, reducing meat consumption, optimizing medical device usage, and enhancing accessibility to endocrine care. Raising awareness and educating caregivers and people living with diabetes on necessary precautions during extreme weather conditions are paramount. The heat sensitivity of insulin, blood glucose monitoring devices, and insulin pumps necessitates proper storage and consideration of environmental conditions for optimal efficacy. The inter-connectedness of global warming and endocrine disorders underscores the necessity of international collaboration guided by national endocrine societies. SAFES urges all stakeholders to actively implement sustainable practices to improve endocrine health in the face of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38909818,
year = {2024},
author = {Sunil, S and Bhagwat, G and Vincent, SGT and Palanisami, T},
title = {Microplastics and climate change; the global impacts of a tiny driver.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {174160},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174160},
pmid = {38909818},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Microplastic pollution and climate change, the two seemingly distinct phenomena of global concern, are interconnected through various pathways. The connecting links between the two include the biological carbon pumps in the oceans, the sea ice, the plastisphere involved in biogeochemical cycling and the direct emissions of greenhouse gases from microplastics. On one hand, the presence of microplastics in the water column disrupts the balance of the natural carbon sequestration by affecting the key players in the pumping of carbon, such as the phytoplankton and zooplankton. On the other hand, the effect of microplastics on the sea ice in Polar Regions is two-way, as the ice caps are transformed into sinks and sources of microplastics and at the same time, the microplastics can enhance the melting of ice by reducing the albedo. Microplastics may have more potential than larger plastic fragments to release greenhouse gases (GHGs). Microbe-mediated emission of GHGs from soils is also now altered by the microplastics present in the soil. Plastisphere, the emerging microbiome in aquatic environments, can also contribute to climate change as it hosts complex networks of microbes, many of which are involved in greenhouse gas production. To combat a global stressor like climate change, it needs to be addressed with a holistic approach and this begins with tracing the various stressors like microplastic pollution that can aggravate the impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38909466,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, W and Chang, M and Li, J and Li, M and Stoks, R and Zhang, C},
title = {Local thermal adaption mediates the sensitivity of Daphnia magna to nanoplastics under global warming scenarios.},
journal = {Journal of hazardous materials},
volume = {476},
number = {},
pages = {134921},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhazmat.2024.134921},
pmid = {38909466},
issn = {1873-3336},
abstract = {The toxicity of nanoplastics at environmentally relevant concentrations has received widespread attention in the context of global warming. Despite numerous studies on the impact of mean temperature (MT), the effects of daily temperature fluctuations (DTFs) on the ecotoxicity of nanoplastics remains largely unexplored. Moreover, the role of evolutionary adaptation in assessing long-term ecological risks is unclear. Here, we investigated the effects of polystyrene nanoplastics (5 μg L[-1]) on Daphnia magna under varying MT (20 °C and 24 °C) and DTFs (0 °C, 5 °C, and 10 °C). Capitalizing on a space-for-time substitution approach, we further assessed how local thermal adaptation affect the sensitivity of Daphnia to nanoplastics under global warming. Our results indicated that nanoplastics exposure in general reduced heartbeat rate, thoracic limb activity and feeding rate, and increased CytP450, ETS activity and Hgb concentrations. Higher MT and DTFs enhanced these effects. Notably, clones originating from their respective sites performed better under their native temperature conditions, indicating local thermal adaptation. Warm-adapted low-latitude D. magna showed stronger nanoplastics-induced increases in CytP450, ETS activity and Hgb concentrations under local MT 24 °C, while cold-adapted high-latitude D. magna showed stronger nanoplastics-induced decreases in heartbeat rate, thoracic limb activity and feeding rate under high MT than under low MT.},
}
@article {pmid38909061,
year = {2024},
author = {Jancewicz, B and Wrotek, M},
title = {A thermosurvey dataset: Older adults' experiences and adaptation to urban heat and climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {677},
pmid = {38909061},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {2019/35/J/HS6/03992//Narodowe Centrum Nauki (National Science Centre)/ ; 2019/35/J/HS6/03992//Narodowe Centrum Nauki (National Science Centre)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; Aged ; *Hot Temperature ; *Cities ; Spain ; },
abstract = {We introduce the thermosurvey dataset, a comprehensive collection focusing on the thermal comfort, heat-related experiences, health, socioeconomic status, and perceptions of older adults (aged 65 and over) in Warsaw and Madrid. The two cities differ greatly in their heat experiences, but due to climate change, both face increasing temperatures. The study aimed to understand how heat affects cities' older adult population and how we can better adapt to rising temperatures. We call the study a thermosurvey because it connects traditional survey data with temperature and humidity measurements done before, after and during the interview, offering a holistic view of the participants' thermal environments. The dataset can be used to better understand thermal comfort, the interplay of health and heat experiences, and the relationship between experiences and climate change views. We hope our data will enable scholars to analyse the impact of climate change on older adults and to develop strategies to help them adapt to a warming climate.},
}
@article {pmid38908311,
year = {2024},
author = {Chang, M and Sun, P and Zhang, L and Liu, Y and Chen, L and Ren, H and Wu, B},
title = {Changes in characteristics and risk of freshwater microplastics under global warming.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {260},
number = {},
pages = {121960},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2024.121960},
pmid = {38908311},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Microplastics present a significant threat to freshwater ecosystems. However, the impact of global warming on their characteristics and associated risks remains uncertain. This study collected 2793 sample sites from literature and datasets to create a new risk assessment and rank methodology, known as the Multi-characteristics Potential Ecological Risk Index (MPERI), which incorporates various microplastic characteristics, such as concentration, size distribution, color, shape, and polymer diversity. Using regression random forest models (RRF), this study predicted that a 10 °C increase would raise microplastic concentration from 12,465.34 ± 68,603.87 to 13,387.17 ± 60,692.96 particles/m[3]. The percentage of small-size microplastics initially decreased (from 69.10 % to 68.72 %) and then increased (from 68.72 % to 68.78 %), while the diversity of color, shape, and polymer decreased by 0.29 %, 3.24 %, and 0.17 %, respectively. Furthermore, global warming could increase the rank of microplastic risks from high (405.25 ± 528.9) to dangerous (535.37 ± 582.03) based on the MPERI method. Most countries would experience an increase in risk values, with Indonesia and Vietnam transitioning from low to medium risk, and China and Malaysia transitioning from high to dangerous risk. The feature importance assessment of the RRF model indicated that concentration was the most influential variable in determining the change in risk values. While other microplastic characteristics had a lesser impact compared to concentration, they still influenced the risk ranking. This study highlights the role of global warming in shaping microplastic risks.},
}
@article {pmid38907970,
year = {2024},
author = {Cortés, ME},
title = {Floods, wildfires, and other disasters in the context of climate change: prevention from a planetary health perspective.},
journal = {Medicina},
volume = {84},
number = {3},
pages = {548-550},
pmid = {38907970},
issn = {1669-9106},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Wildfires ; Humans ; *Floods ; *Disasters ; Global Health ; Disaster Planning ; },
}
@article {pmid38907768,
year = {2024},
author = {Anand, A and Garg, VK},
title = {Modeling the species occurrence probability and response of climate change on Himalayan Somalata plant under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {7},
pages = {647},
pmid = {38907768},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {190520839205//University Grants Commission/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Nepal ; India ; *Ecosystem ; Bhutan ; Ephedra ; Environmental Monitoring ; Probability ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {In this study, the current distribution probability of Ephedra gerardiana (Somalata), a medicinally potent species of the Himalayas, was assessed, and its spatial distribution change was forecasted until the year 2100 under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. Here, we used the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt) on 274 spatially filtered occurrence data points accessed from GBIF and other publications, and 19 bioclimatic variables were used as predictors against the probability assessment. The area under the curve, Continuous Boyce Index, True Skill Statistics, and kappa values were used to evaluate and validate the model. It was observed that the SSP5-8.5, a fossil fuel-fed scenario, saw a maximum habitat decline for E. gerardiana driving its niche towards higher altitudes. Nepal Himalayas witnessed a maximum decline in suitable habitat for the species, whereas it gained area in Bhutan. In India, regions of Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Jammu and Kashmir, and Sikkim saw a maximum negative response to climate change by the year 2100. Mean annual temperature, isothermality, diurnal temperature range, and precipitation seasonality are the most influential variables isolated by the model that contribute in defining the species' habitat. The results provide evidence of the effects of climate change on the distribution of endemic species in the study area under different scenarios of emissions and anthropogenic coupling. Certainly, the area of consideration encompasses several protected areas, which will become more vulnerable to increased variability of climate, and regulating their boundaries might become a necessary step to conserve the regions' biodiversity in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38907718,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, C and Chen, J and Zhang, W and Ungar, K},
title = {Outdoor Radon Dose Rate in Canada's Arctic amid Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.4c02723},
pmid = {38907718},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Decades of radiation monitoring data were analyzed to estimate outdoor Radon Dose Rates (RnDRs) and evaluate climate change impacts in Canada's Arctic Regions (Resolute and Yellowknife). This study shows that the RnDR involves dynamic sources and complex environmental factors and processes. Its seasonality and long-term trends are significantly impacted by temperatures and soil-and-above water contents. From 2005 to 2022, Yellowknife's RnDR increased by +0.35 ± 0.06 nGy/h per decade, with the fastest increases occurring in cold months (October to March). The rise is largely attributable to water condition changes over time in these months, which also caused enhanced soil gas emissions and likely higher indoor radon concentrations. In Resolute, the RnDR increased between 2013 and 2022 at +0.62 ± 0.19 nGy/h (or 16% relatively) per decade in summer months, with a positive temperature relationship of +0.12 nGy/h per °C. This work also demonstrates the relevance of local climate and terrain features (e.g., typical active layer depth, precipitation amount/pattern, and ground vegetation cover) in researching climate change implications. Such research can also benefit from using supporting monitoring data, which prove effective and scientifically significant. From the perspective of external exposure to outdoor radon, the observed climate change effects pose a low health risk.},
}
@article {pmid38907241,
year = {2024},
author = {Duran, S and Kaynak, S},
title = {Climate change worry among nurses and their hope levels for climate change prevention.},
journal = {BMC nursing},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {419},
pmid = {38907241},
issn = {1472-6955},
abstract = {AIM: This research aimed to determine nurses' climate change worry, their level of hope for climate change prevention, and the relationship between climate change worry and hope for climate change.<br><br>BACKGROUND: Nurses are healthcare professionals actively involved in the fight against climate change. However, their close involvement with the issue can also increase their own climate change worry. Therefore, it is important to maintain high levels of hope among nurses in preventing climate change.<br><br>METHODS: This descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted with nurses working at a university hospital.<br><br>RESULTS: The average score on the Climate Change Worry Scale for nurses was 29.22&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;9.33, with sub-dimensions scores as follows: personal-sphere will and way 10.96&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;2.09; collective sphere will 18.36&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;3.39; lack of will and way dimensions 10.40&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;2.48. The average score on the climate change hope scale was 39.73&#x2009;&#xb1;&#x2009;5.52. A statistically significant positive relationship was found between age and the climate change worry scale (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.169, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.020) as well as climate change hope (r&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.148, p&#x2009;=&#x2009;0.041).<br><br>CONCLUSION: The research findings indicate that nurses have a high level of climate change worry, but they also have a high level of hope in preventing climate change. It is considered essential to address the concerns of nurses who are actively combating the climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid38907123,
year = {2024},
author = {Zaremba, D and Michałowski, JM and Klöckner, CA and Marchewka, A and Wierzba, M},
title = {Correction: Development and validation of the Emotional Climate Change Stories (ECCS) stimuli set.},
journal = {Behavior research methods},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3758/s13428-024-02460-x},
pmid = {38907123},
issn = {1554-3528},
}
@article {pmid38906404,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, D and Wu, Q and Cheng, H and Feng, J and Li, D and Wang, Y and Cao, K and Wang, L},
title = {Numerical study of the future PM2.5 concentration under climate change and Best-Health-Effect (BHE) scenario.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {124391},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2024.124391},
pmid = {38906404},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) is one of the key areas with PM2.5 air pollution in China. Driven by the PM2.5 target accessibility of the Interim Target-1 (IT-1) by World Health Organization (WHO) and China's carbon neutrality, this study explored and quantified the contribution of climate change and anthropogenic emission to future PM2.5 in the region. The experiments considered future climate change scenarios RCP8.5, RCP4.5, and RCP2.6 with the baseline (Base) and reduced emission (EIT1) inventories in 2030, and RCP4.5 climate scenario with 3 emission inventories in 2050, the additional strong control emission scenario called Best-Health-Effect (BHE). Under various climate scenarios, the future air quality research modelling system projected annual PM2.5 concentrations nearing 35 μg/m[3] in 2030. However, considering only the effect of emission reduction, the annual PM2.5 concentrations under EIT1 emission scenario is about 35% less than under Base scenario in different key years. The future PM2.5 concentrations are highly related to anthropogenic emission from human activities, while climate change by 2030 or 2050 has little impact on future air quality over the BTH region. The BHE emission reduction is significantly required for China to meet the new PM2.5 guideline value of WHO in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38905798,
year = {2024},
author = {Barman, S and Singh, WR and Tyagi, J and Sharma, SK},
title = {A hybrid SWAT-ANN model approach for analysis of climate change impacts on sediment yield in an Eastern Himalayan sub-watershed of Brahmaputra.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {365},
number = {},
pages = {121538},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121538},
pmid = {38905798},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The current study focuses on analyzing the impacts of climate change and land use/land cover (LULC) changes on sediment yield in the Puthimari basin, an Eastern Himalayan sub-watershed of the Brahmaputra, using a hybrid SWAT-ANN model approach. The analysis was meticulously segmented into three distinct time spans: 2025-2049, 2050-2074, and 2075-2099. This innovative method integrates insights from multiple climate models under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5), along with LULC projections generated through the Cellular Automata Markov model. By combining the strengths of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and artificial neural network (ANN) techniques, the study aims to improve the accuracy of sediment yield simulations in response to changing environmental conditions. The non-linear autoregressive with external input (NARX) method was adopted for the ANN component of the hybrid model. The adoption of the hybrid SWAT-ANN approach appears to be particularly effective in improving the accuracy of sediment yield simulation compared to using the SWAT model alone, as evidenced by the higher coefficient of determination value of 0.74 for the hybrid model compared to 0.35 for the standalone SWAT model. In the context of the RCP4.5 scenario, during 2075-99, the study noted a 29.34% increase in sediment yield, accompanied by simultaneous rises of 42.74% in discharge and 27.43% in rainfall during the Indian monsoon season, spanning from June to September. In contrast, under the RCP8.5 scenario, for the same period, the increases in sediment yield, discharge, and rainfall for the monsoon season were determined to be 116.56%, 103.28%, and 64.72%, respectively. The present study's comprehensive analysis of the factors influencing sediment supply in the Puthimari River basin fills an important knowledge gap and provides valuable insights for designing proactive flood and erosion management strategies. The findings from this research are crucial for understanding the vulnerability of the Puthimari basin to climate and land use changes, and by incorporating these findings into policy and decision-making processes, stakeholders can work towards enhancing resilience and sustainability in the face of future hydrological and environmental challenges.},
}
@article {pmid38902424,
year = {2024},
author = {Thanh, PN and Le Van, T and Thi, XAT and Hai, AN and Le Cong, C and Gagnon, AS and Pham, NT and Anh, DT and Dinh, VN},
title = {Predicting drought stress under climate change in the Southern Central Highlands of Vietnam.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {196},
number = {7},
pages = {636},
pmid = {38902424},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; No. 1543/Q&#x110;-UBND dated August 7, 2018//Research water balance and propose solutions to utilize water resources for cultivation activities in the direction of restructuring the agricultural sector and adapting to climate change in Lam Dong province/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Droughts ; Vietnam ; Environmental Monitoring ; Seasons ; Water Supply/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Agriculture ; },
abstract = {In the Southern Central Highlands of Vietnam, droughts occur more frequently, causing significant damage and impacting the region's socio-economic development. During the dry season, rivers, streams, and reservoirs often face limited water availability, exacerbated in recent years by increasing drought severity. Recognizing the escalating severity of droughts, the study offers a novel contribution by conducting a comprehensive analysis of surface water resource distribution in Lam Dong province, focusing on assessing water demand for agricultural production, a crucial factor in ensuring sustainable crop growth. Two scenarios, Current-2020 (SC1) and Climate Change-2025 (SC2), are simulated, with SC2 based on climate change and sea level rise scenarios provided by the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE). These scenarios are integrated into the MIKE-NAM and MIKE-HYDRO basin models, allowing for a thorough assessment of the water balance of Lam Dong province. Furthermore, the study utilizes the Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) to measure drought severity, revealing prevalent dry and moderately droughty conditions in highland districts with rainfall frequency ranging from 50 to 85%. Severe drought conditions occur with a rainfall frequency of 95%, indicating an increased frequency and geographic scope of severe droughts. Additionally, the study highlights that under abnormally dry conditions, water demand for the winter-spring crop is consistently met at 100%, decreasing to 85%, 80%, and less than 75% for moderate, severe, and extreme droughts, respectively. These findings offer insights into future drought conditions in the Lam Dong province and their potential impact on irrigation capacity, crucial for adaptation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid38900735,
year = {2024},
author = {Attanayake, K and Wickramage, I and Samarasinghe, U and Ranmini, Y and Ehalapitiya, S and Jayathilaka, R and Yapa, S},
title = {Renewable energy as a solution to climate change: Insights from a comprehensive study across nations.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {19},
number = {6},
pages = {e0299807},
pmid = {38900735},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Renewable Energy ; *Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Humans ; },
abstract = {Without fundamentally altering how humans generate and utilise energy, there is no effective strategy to safeguard the environment. The motivation behind this study was to analyse the effectiveness of renewable energy in addressing climate change, as it is one of the most pressing global issues. This study involved the analysis of panel data covering 138 nations over a 27 year period, from 1995 to 2021, making it the latest addition to the existing literature. We examined the extent of the impact of renewable energy on carbon dioxide over time using panel, linear, and non-linear regression approaches. The results of our analysis, revealed that the majority of countries with the exception of Canada, exhibited a downward trend, underscoring the potential of increasing renewable energy consumption as an effective method to reduce carbon dioxide emissions and combat climate change. Furthermore, to reduce emissions and combat climate change, it is advisable for nations with the highest carbon dioxide emissions to adopt and successfully transition to renewable energy sources.},
}
@article {pmid38900024,
year = {2024},
author = {Gunasekaran, S and Szava-Kovats, A and Battey, T and Gross, J and Picano, E and Raman, SV and Lee, E and Bissell, MM and Alasnag, M and Campbell-Washburn, AE and Hanneman, K},
title = {Cardiovascular Imaging, Climate Change, and Environmental Sustainability.},
journal = {Radiology. Cardiothoracic imaging},
volume = {6},
number = {3},
pages = {e240135},
doi = {10.1148/ryct.240135},
pmid = {38900024},
issn = {2638-6135},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Cardiovascular Diseases/diagnostic imaging ; Greenhouse Gases ; Cardiac Imaging Techniques/methods ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects/analysis ; },
abstract = {Environmental exposures including poor air quality and extreme temperatures are exacerbated by climate change and are associated with adverse cardiovascular outcomes. Concomitantly, the delivery of health care generates substantial atmospheric greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions contributing to the climate crisis. Therefore, cardiac imaging teams must be aware not only of the adverse cardiovascular health effects of climate change, but also the downstream environmental ramifications of cardiovascular imaging. The purpose of this review is to highlight the impact of climate change on cardiovascular health, discuss the environmental impact of cardiovascular imaging, and describe opportunities to improve environmental sustainability of cardiac MRI, cardiac CT, echocardiography, cardiac nuclear imaging, and invasive cardiovascular imaging. Overarching strategies to improve environmental sustainability in cardiovascular imaging include prioritizing imaging tests with lower GHG emissions when more than one test is appropriate, reducing low-value imaging, and turning equipment off when not in use. Modality-specific opportunities include focused MRI protocols and low-field-strength applications, iodine contrast media recycling programs in cardiac CT, judicious use of US-enhancing agents in echocardiography, improved radiopharmaceutical procurement and waste management in nuclear cardiology, and use of reusable supplies in interventional suites. Finally, future directions and research are highlighted, including life cycle assessments over the lifespan of cardiac imaging equipment and the impact of artificial intelligence tools. Keywords: Heart, Safety, Sustainability, Cardiovascular Imaging Supplemental material is available for this article. © RSNA, 2024.},
}
@article {pmid38899725,
year = {2024},
author = {Syropoulos, S and Law, KF and Kraft-Todd, G and Mah, A and Markowitz, E and Young, L},
title = {Responsibility to future generations: A strategy for combatting climate change across political divides.},
journal = {The British journal of social psychology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/bjso.12775},
pmid = {38899725},
issn = {2044-8309},
support = {//John Templeton Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Individuals and governments often fail to take action to address climate change owing largely to widespread politicization of the issue and related discourse. In response to recent appeals for non-partisan approaches to pro-environmentalism, we propose that highlighting one's responsibility to future generations (RFG) could offer promise across the political spectrum. We argue that RFG may be effective because it is widely endorsed, uncorrelated with demographic indicators and less tied to political ideology compared to other forms of responsibility, such as personal responsibility for climate change mitigation. Across six main and seven supplementary studies (N = 161,633), we provide evidence for these claims. RFG is not only widely endorsed across countries and demographic groups but it also significantly predicts various measures of pro-environmental behaviour, both in correlational and pre-registered experimental contexts. These findings confirm established effects, reconcile inconsistencies and suggest prioritizing intergenerational responsibility may effectively reshape climate change narratives for the most resistant parties.},
}
@article {pmid38899533,
year = {2024},
author = {Custer, CA and North, JS and Schliep, EM and Verhoeven, MR and Hansen, GJA and Wagner, T},
title = {Predicting responses to climate change using a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance model.},
journal = {Ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e4362},
doi = {10.1002/ecy.4362},
pmid = {38899533},
issn = {1939-9170},
support = {EF-163853//National Science Foundation/ ; EF-163855//National Science Foundation/ ; EF-1638554//National Science Foundation/ ; EF-1638679//National Science Foundation/ ; G20AC00096//U.S. Geological Survey/ ; DE-AC02-05CH11231//Office of Science, Office of Biological and Environmental Research of the U.S. Department of Energy/ ; //Regional and Global Model Analysis Program area within the Earth and Environmental Systems Modeling Program/ ; },
abstract = {Predicting the effects of warming temperatures on the abundance and distribution of organisms under future climate scenarios often requires extrapolating species-environment correlations to climatic conditions not currently experienced by a species, which can result in unrealistic predictions. For poikilotherms, incorporating species' thermal physiology to inform extrapolations under novel thermal conditions can result in more realistic predictions. Furthermore, models that incorporate species and spatial dependencies may improve predictions by capturing correlations present in ecological data that are not accounted for by predictor variables. Here, we present a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance (jsPGA) model for predicting multispecies responses to climate warming. The jsPGA model uses a basis function approach to capture both species and spatial dependencies. We apply the jsPGA model to predict the response of eight fish species to projected climate warming in thousands of lakes in Minnesota, USA. By the end of the century, the cold-adapted species was predicted to have high probabilities of extirpation across its current range-with 10% of lakes currently inhabited by this species having an extirpation probability >0.90. The remaining species had varying levels of predicted changes in abundance, reflecting differences in their thermal physiology. Though the model did not identify many strong species dependencies, the variation in estimated spatial dependence across species suggested that accounting for both dependencies was important for predicting the abundance of these fishes. The jsPGA model provides a new tool for predicting changes in the abundance, distribution, and extirpation probability of poikilotherms under novel thermal conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38899513,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, Z and Deng, Y and Kang, Y and Wang, Y and Bao, D and Tan, Y and An, K and Su, J},
title = {Impacts of climate change and human activities on three Glires pests of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8250},
pmid = {38899513},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The range of Glires is influenced by human activities and climate change. However, the extent to which human activities and environmental changes have contributed to this relationship remains unclear. We examined alterations in the distribution changes and driving factors of the Himalayan marmot, plateau pika, and plateau zokor on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model and a geographical detector (Geodetector).<br><br>RESULTS: The MaxEnt model showed that the contribution rates of the human footprint index (HFI) to the distribution patterns of the three types of Glires were 46.70%, 58.70%, and 59.50%, respectively. The Geodetector results showed that the distribution pattern of the Himalayan marmot on the QTP was influenced by altitude and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The distribution patterns for plateau pikas and plateau zokors were driven by HFI and NDVI. Climate has played a substantial role in shaping suitable habitats for these three Glires on the QTP. Their suitable area is expected to decrease over the next 30-50&#x2009;years, along with their niche breadth and overlap. Future suitable habitats for the three Glires tended to shift toward higher latitudes on the QTP.<br><br>CONCLUSION: These findings underscore the impacts of environmental and human factors on the distribution of the three Glires on the QTP. They have enhanced our understanding of the intricate relationships between Glires niches and environments. This can aid in identifying necessary interventions for developing effective early warning systems and prevention strategies to mitigate Glires infestations and plague epidemics on the QTP. &#xa9; 2024 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
@article {pmid38898346,
year = {2024},
author = {Ščevková, J and Štefániková, N and Dušička, J and Lafférsová, J and Zahradníková, E},
title = {Long-term pollen season trends of Fraxinus (ash), Quercus (oak) and Ambrosia artemisiifolia (ragweed) as indicators of anthropogenic climate change impact.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38898346},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {1/0180/22//Vedeck&#xe1; Grantov&#xe1; Agent&#xfa;ra M&#x160;VVa&#x160; SR a SAV/ ; },
abstract = {The ongoing climatic change, together with atmospheric pollution, influences the timing, duration and intensity of pollen seasons of some allergenic plant taxa. To study these influences, we correlated the trends in the pollen season characteristics of both woody (Fraxinus, Quercus) and herbaceous (Ambrosia) taxa from two pollen monitoring stations in Slovakia with the trends in meteorological factors and air pollutants during the last two decades. In woody species, the increased temperature during the formation of flower buds in summer and autumn led to an earlier onset and intensification of next year's pollen season, especially in Quercus. The increase of relative air humidity and precipitation during this time also had a positive influence on the intensity of the pollen season of trees. The pollen season of the invasive herbaceous species Ambrosia artemisiifolia was prolonged by increased temperature and humidity during the summer and autumn of the same year, which extended the blooming period and delayed the end of the pollen season. From the studied air pollutants, only three were found to correlate with the intensity of the pollen season of the studied taxa, CO - positively and SO2 and NO2 - negatively. It is important to study these long-term trends since they not only give us valuable insight into the response of plants to changing conditions but also enable the prognosis of the exacerbations of pollen-related allergenic diseases.},
}
@article {pmid38898300,
year = {2024},
author = {Nogrady, B},
title = {How farming could become the ultimate climate-change tool.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {630},
number = {8017},
pages = {S23-S25},
pmid = {38898300},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {*Agriculture/trends/methods ; *Climate Change ; Global Warming/prevention &amp; control/statistics &amp; numerical data ; Humans ; Crops, Agricultural/growth &amp; development ; Animals ; },
}
@article {pmid38898125,
year = {2024},
author = {Leal Filho, W and Abeldaño Zuñiga, RA and Sierra, J and Dinis, MAP and Corazza, L and Nagy, GJ and Aina, YA},
title = {An assessment of priorities in handling climate change impacts on infrastructures.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {14147},
pmid = {38898125},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change (CC) will likely significantly impact the world's infrastructure significantly. Rising temperatures, increased precipitation, and rising sea levels are all likely to stress critical infrastructures (CI). Rising temperatures can lead to infrastructure damage from extreme heat events. This can cause roads and bridges to buckle or crack, leading to costly repairs and potential traffic disruptions. In addition, heat waves can damage vital electrical infrastructure, leading to widespread power outages. In light of this context, this article reports on a study which examined the connections and impacts of CC on infrastructure. The study employed a mixed-method approach, combining bibliometric analysis for the period 1997-2022 with a series of relevant case studies from the five continents to offer insight into the impact of CC on infrastructure. The article fills a research gap in respect of assessments of the extent to which climate change (CC) negative influences the infrastructure, with a special focus on developing countries. It also showcases CI projects and adaptation measures being currently deployed, to address CC. The results show that the current infrastructure is vulnerable to CC. The selected case studies on CI adaptation show that in developing and industrialised countries, there is a perceived need to understand better the connections and potential impacts of CC on critical areas such as transport, settlements, and coastal infrastructure. In order to protect infrastructure from CC impacts, governments need to invest in measures such as flood control, early warning systems, and improved building codes. Additionally, they need to work to reduce greenhouse gas emissions more actively, which are the primary cause of CC.},
}
@article {pmid38897046,
year = {2024},
author = {Baptista, E and Pereira, AJSC and Domingos, FP and Sêco, SLR and Luís, GPS},
title = {Exposure to radon gas in groundwater in southwest Angola (Lubango-Huíla): Implications of geology and climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental radioactivity},
volume = {278},
number = {},
pages = {107484},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvrad.2024.107484},
pmid = {38897046},
issn = {1879-1700},
abstract = {In southern African countries most of the population uses groundwater collected in dug wells for domestic consumption instead of water from public distribution systems. To investigate the impact of natural and human factors on urban groundwater quality, 276 samples were collected in the Lubango region (Angola) in water distribution systems and dug wells ranging from a few meters to almost one hundred meters in depth. Radon concentrations (RC) were determined by liquid scintillation counting according to ISO 13164-4:2015. Geology is the main source of the variability of RC, with median values higher than 100 Bq/L in granitoid units and lower values in mafic and sedimentary units (ranging from 5 to 38 Bq/L). On average, RC was higher in dug wells compared to public water distribution systems. The annual effective dose due to ingestion of radon in water is, on average, ten times lower in the later compared to dug wells. Therefore, from a public exposure perspective, water distribution systems are preferred as means for water distribution. A severe multi-year meteorological drought over the past decade affecting 76-94 % of the population in southern Angola has been linked with climate change. Consequently, a regional lowering of the water table was observed, as well as a reduction in the productivity of shallower wells, leading to a search for water at greater depths. This work demonstrates an increase in median RC from 66 Bq/L in wells shallower than 30 m to values over 100 Bq/L with increasing depth of water extraction and for the same geological unit. The highest RC observed were also observed at the deepest wells. The dose ingested is proportional to RC, being also higher at deeper water extraction depths. The increase in public radiation exposure from radon ingestion due to water extraction at greater depths is attributed to the underlying issue of climate change. Monitoring water quality in terms of radionuclide concentration is advised to ensure the exposure to ionizing radiation remains at acceptable levels in the future.},
}
@article {pmid38895960,
year = {2024},
author = {Montoro-Ramírez, EM and Parra-Anguita, L and Álvarez-Nieto, C and Parra, G and López-Medina, IM},
title = {Climate change effects in older people's health: A scoping review.},
journal = {Journal of advanced nursing},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jan.16270},
pmid = {38895960},
issn = {1365-2648},
support = {FPU 19/01871//Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci&#xf3;n y Universidades/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change has serious consequences for the morbidity and mortality of older adults.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To identify the effects of climate change on older people's health.<br><br>METHODS: A scoping review was conducted following the Joanna Briggs Institute guidelines and the PRISMA-ScR checklist. Quantitative research and reports from organizations describing the effects of climate change on older people were selected.<br><br>RESULTS: Sixty-three full-text documents were selected. Heat and air pollution were the two factors that had the most negative effects on cardiovascular and respiratory morbidity and mortality in older people. Mental health and cognitive function were also affected.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Climate change affects several health problems in older individuals, especially high temperatures and air pollution. Nursing professionals must have the necessary skills to respond to the climate risks in older adults. More instruments are required to determine nursing competencies on climate change and the health of this population group.<br><br>No patient or public contribution.},
}
@article {pmid38895718,
year = {2024},
author = {, },
title = {Erratum: Analysis of the current risk of Leishmania infantum transmission for domestic dogs in Spain and Portugal and its future projection in climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {1436792},
doi = {10.3389/fvets.2024.1436792},
pmid = {38895718},
issn = {2297-1769},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/fvets.2024.1399772.].},
}
@article {pmid38894971,
year = {2024},
author = {Sadiq, M and Rahim, N and Tahir, MM and Alasmari, A and Alqahtani, MM and Albogami, A and Ghanem, KZ and Abdein, MA and Ali, M and Mehmood, N and Yuan, J and Shaheen, A and Shehzad, M and El-Sayed, MH and Chen, G and Li, G},
title = {Conservation tillage: a way to improve yield and soil properties and decrease global warming potential in spring wheat agroecosystems.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1356426},
pmid = {38894971},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the main challenges, and it poses a tough challenge to the agriculture industry globally. Additionally, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions are the main contributor to climate change; however, croplands are a prominent source of GHG emissions. Yet this complex challenge can be mitigated through climate-smart agricultural practices. Conservation tillage is commonly known to preserve soil and mitigate environmental change by reducing GHG emissions. Nonetheless, there is still a paucity of information on the influences of conservation tillage on wheat yield, soil properties, and GHG flux, particularly in the semi-arid Dingxi belt. Hence, in order to fill this gap, different tillage systems, namely conventional tillage (CT) control, straw incorporation with conventional tillage (CTS), no-tillage (NT), and stubble return with no-tillage (NTS), were laid at Dingxi, Gansu province of China, under a randomized complete block design with three replications to examine their impacts on yield, soil properties, and GHG fluxes. Results depicted that different conservative tillage systems (CTS, NTS, and NT) significantly (p < 0.05) increased the plant height, number of spikes per plant, seed number per meter square, root yield, aboveground biomass yield, thousand-grain weight, grain yield, and dry matter yield compared with CT. Moreover, these conservation tillage systems notably improved the soil properties (soil gravimetric water content, water-filled pore space, water storage, porosity, aggregates, saturated hydraulic conductivity, organic carbon, light fraction organic carbon, carbon storage, microbial biomass carbon, total nitrogen, available nitrogen storage, microbial biomass nitrogen, total phosphorous, available phosphorous, total potassium, available potassium, microbial counts, urease, alkaline phosphatase, invertase, cellulase, and catalase) while decreasing the soil temperature and bulk density over CT. However, CTS, NTS, and NT had non-significant effects on ECe, pH, and stoichiometric properties (C:N ratio, C:P ratio, and N:P ratio). Additionally, conservation-based tillage regimes NTS, NT, and CTS significantly (p < 0.05) reduced the emission and net global warming potential of greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide) by 23.44, 19.57, and 16.54%, respectively, and decreased the greenhouse gas intensity by 23.20, 29.96, and 18.72%, respectively, over CT. We conclude that NTS is the best approach to increasing yield, soil and water conservation, resilience, and mitigation of agroecosystem capacity.},
}
@article {pmid38893529,
year = {2024},
author = {Rosso, A and Vione, D},
title = {Pollutant Photodegradation Affected by Evaporative Water Concentration in a Climate Change Scenario.},
journal = {Molecules (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {29},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38893529},
issn = {1420-3049},
abstract = {Evaporative water concentration takes place in arid or semi-arid environments when stationary water bodies, such as lakes or ponds, prevalently lose water by evaporation, which prevails over outflow or seepage into aquifers. Absence or near-absence of precipitation and elevated temperatures are important prerequisites for the process, which has the potential to deeply affect the photochemical attenuation of pollutants, including contaminants of emerging concern (CECs). Here we show that water evaporation would enhance the phototransformation of many CECs, especially those undergoing degradation mainly through direct photolysis and triplet-sensitized reactions. In contrast, processes induced by hydroxyl and carbonate radicals would be inhibited. Our model results suggest that the photochemical impact of water evaporation might increase in the future in several regions of the world, with no continent likely being unaffected, due to the effects of local precipitation decrease combined with an increase in temperature that facilitates evaporation.},
}
@article {pmid38891371,
year = {2024},
author = {Fedorov, N and Muldashev, A and Mikhaylenko, O and Zhigunova, S and Baisheva, E and Shirokikh, P and Bikbaev, I and Martynenko, V},
title = {Forecast the Habitat Sustainability of Schoenus ferrugineus L. (Cyperaceae) in the Southern Urals under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891371},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {22-14-00003//Russian Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {An analysis of the current potential range of the Pleistocene relict plant species Schoenus ferrugineus and modeling of changes in its future range under moderate (RCP4.5) and strong (RCP8.5) climate change in the middle and second half of the 21st century were carried out. The MaxEnt program was used for modeling. Climate variables from CHELSA Bioclim, the global digital soil mapping system SoilGrids, and a digital elevation model were used as predictors. Modeling has shown that climate change will lead to a significant reduction in the suitability of S. ferrugineus habitat conditions by the mid-21st century. The predicted changes in the distribution of habitats of S. ferrugineus, a diagnostic species of calcareous mires and an indicator of their ecological state, indicate a possible strong transformation of wetland complexes in the Southern Urals region even under moderate climate change. A reduction in the distribution of S. ferrugineus at the eastern limit of its range will also be facilitated by more frequent extreme droughts. To maintain the distribution of S. ferrugineus on the eastern border of its range, a number of measures are proposed to mitigate the negative consequences of climate change, contributing to the preservation of the hydrological regime of calcareous mires.},
}
@article {pmid38891352,
year = {2024},
author = {Wan, Q and Du, S and Chen, Y and Li, F and Salah, R and Njenga, MN and Li, J and Wang, S},
title = {Ecological Niche Differentiation and Response to Climate Change of the African Endemic Family Myrothamnaceae.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891352},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Studying the ecological niches of species and their responses to climate change can provide better conservation strategies for these species. Myrothamnaceae is endemic to Africa, comprising only two species that belong to Myrothamnus (M. flabellifolius and M. moschatus). These closely related species exhibit allopatric distributions, positioning them as ideal materials for studying the species ecological adaptation. This study explores the ecological niche differentiation between M. flabellifolius and M. moschatus and their response capabilities to future climate change. The results indicate that M. flabellifolius and M. moschatus have undergone niche differentiation. The main drivers of niche differences are the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) for M. flabellifolius, precipitation of the driest month (Bio14), and precipitation of the coldest quarter (Bio19) for M. moschatus. M. flabellifolius demonstrated a stronger adaptation to environments characterized by lower precipitation, relatively lower temperatures, and greater annual temperature variations compared to M. moschatus. Under future climate scenarios (SSP5-8.5, 2081-2100 years), the results show that approximately 85% of the total suitable habitat for M. flabellifolius will be lost, with an 85% reduction in high-suitability areas and almost complete loss of the original mid-low suitability areas. Concurrently, about 29% of the total suitable habitat for M. moschatus will be lost, with a 34% reduction in high suitability areas and roughly 60% of the original mid-low suitability areas becoming unsuitable. This suggests that M. flabellifolius will face greater threats under future climate change. This study contributes novel insight into niche differentiation in Myrothamnaceae and provides useful information for the conservation of this distinctive African lineage.},
}
@article {pmid38891349,
year = {2024},
author = {Hu, XG and Chen, J and Chen, Q and Yang, Y and Lin, Y and Jin, Z and Sha, L and Lin, E and Yousry, EK and Huang, H},
title = {The Spatial Shifts and Vulnerability Assessment of Ecological Niches under Climate Change Scenarios for Betula luminifera, a Fast-Growing Precious Tree in China.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891349},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {32001327//The National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2021C02070-1//Key Scientific and Technological Grant of Zhejiang for Breeding New Agricultural Varieties/ ; LQ21C160002//The National Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang/ ; },
abstract = {The spatial shifts and vulnerability assessments of ecological niches for trees will offer fresh perspectives for sustainable development and preservation of forests, particularly within the framework of rapid climate change. Betula luminifera is a fast-growing native timber plantation species in China, but the natural resources have been severely damaged. Here, a comprehensive habitat suitability model (including ten niche-based GIS modeling algorithms) was developed that integrates three types of environmental factors, namely, climatic, soil, and ultraviolet variables, to assess the species contemporary and future distribution of suitable habitats across China. Our results suggest that the habitats of B. luminifera generally occur in subtropical areas (about 1.52 × 10[6] km[2]). However, the growth of B. luminifera is profoundly shaped by the nuances of its local environment, the most reasonable niche spaces are only 1.15 × 10[6] km[2] when limiting ecological factors (soil and ultraviolet) are considered, generally considered as the core production region. Furthermore, it is anticipated that species-suitable habitats will decrease by 10 and 8% with climate change in the 2050s and 2070s, respectively. Our study provided a clear understanding of species-suitable habitat distribution and identified the reasons why other niche spaces are unsuitable in the future, which can warn against artificial cultivation and conservation planning.},
}
@article {pmid38891233,
year = {2024},
author = {Rong, W and Huang, X and Hu, S and Zhang, X and Jiang, P and Niu, P and Su, J and Wang, M and Chu, G},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change on the Habitat Suitability and Natural Product Accumulation of the Medicinal Plant Sophora alopecuroides L. Based on the MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {13},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891233},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Sophora alopecuroides L., a perennial herb in the arid and semi-arid regions of northwest China, has the ecological functions of windbreaking and sand fixation and high medicinal value. In recent years, global warming and human activities have led to changes in suitable habitats for S. alopecuroides, which may affect the accumulation of natural products. In this study, MaxEnt 3.4 and ArcGIS 10.4 software were used to predict the distribution of potentially suitable habitats for S. alopecuroides in China under climate change. Furthermore, the geographical distribution of S. alopecuroides as affected by human activities, the differences in the content of natural products of S. alopecuroides between different suitable habitats, and the correlation between natural products and environmental factors were analyzed. The results showed that suitable habitats for S. alopecuroides were projected to expand in the future, and the major environmental factors were temperature (Bio1), rainfall (Bio18), and soil pH (pH). When Bio1, Bio18, and pH were 8.4283 °C, 7.1968 mm, and 9.9331, respectively, the distribution probability (P) of S. alopecuroides was the highest. After adding a human activity factor, the accuracy of the model prediction results was improved, and the area of suitable habitats was greatly reduced, showing a fragmented pattern. Meanwhile, habitat suitability had a specific effect on the content of natural products in S. alopecuroides. Specifically, the content of natural products in S. alopecuroides in wild habitats was higher than that in artificial cultivation, and highly suitable habitats showed higher contents than those in non-highly suitable habitats. The contents of total alkaloids and total flavonoids were positively correlated with human activities and negatively correlated with land use types. Among them, total alkaloids were negatively correlated with aspect, and total flavonoids were positively correlated with aspect. In addition, it is suggested that Xinjiang should be the priority planting area for S. alopecuroides in China, and priority should be given to protection measures in the Alashan area. Overall, this study provides an important foundation for the determination of priority planting areas and resource protection for S. alopecuroides.},
}
@article {pmid38891203,
year = {2024},
author = {Larionow, P and Gawrych, M and Mackiewicz, J and Michalak, M and Mudło-Głagolska, K and Preece, DA and Stewart, AE},
title = {The Climate Change Worry Scale (CCWS) and Its Links with Demographics and Mental Health Outcomes in a Polish Sample.},
journal = {Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {11},
pages = {},
pmid = {38891203},
issn = {2227-9032},
abstract = {Developing valid and reliable measures of psychological responses to climate change is of high importance, as this facilitates our understanding of people's psychological responses, including their pro-environmental behavior. Recently, the Climate Change Worry Scale (CCWS) was introduced. This study aimed to develop the first Polish version of the CCWS and explore its psychometric properties. Our sample comprised 420 Polish adults aged 18-70, with a mean age of 26.20 (standard deviation = 10.61) years. The CCWS's factor structure was assessed with confirmatory factor analysis. McDonald's omega and Cronbach's alpha coefficients were computed to assess internal consistency reliability. Pearson correlations between climate change worry (CCW) and experience of climate change (i.e., an individual's level of perception of being affected by climate change), pro-environmental behavior, ill-being (i.e., anxiety and depression symptoms), and well-being were calculated. Our results support the strong factorial validity of the CCWS, conforming to its intended one-factor solution, with excellent internal consistency reliability for the total scale score (i.e., McDonald's omega and Cronbach's alpha values of 0.93). We noted large positive correlations between CCW and experiences of climate change, as well as pro-environmental behavior, and medium positive correlations with psychopathology symptoms. CCW scores were not associated with well-being. As the CCWS represents a measure of a specific manifestation of worry, we also examined its discriminant validity against more general psychological distress markers, and it evidenced strong validity in this regard. Overall, the Polish version of the CCWS appears to have strong psychometric properties, and will therefore be a useful tool to use in research on psychological responses to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38890517,
year = {2024},
author = {Wong, C},
title = {How climate change is hitting Europe: three graphics reveal health impacts.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38890517},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38890272,
year = {2024},
author = {Zheng, D and Tong, D and Davis, SJ and Qin, Y and Liu, Y and Xu, R and Yang, J and Yan, X and Geng, G and Che, H and Zhang, Q},
title = {Climate change impacts on the extreme power shortage events of wind-solar supply systems worldwide during 1980-2022.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5225},
pmid = {38890272},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Economic productivity depends on reliable access to electricity, but the extreme shortage events of variable wind-solar systems may be strongly affected by climate change. Here, hourly reanalysis climatological data are leveraged to examine historical trends in defined extreme shortage events worldwide. We find uptrends in extreme shortage events regardless of their frequency, duration, and intensity since 1980. For instance, duration of extreme low-reliability events worldwide has increased by 4.1 hours (0.392 hours per year on average) between 1980-2000 and 2001-2022. However, such ascending trends are unevenly distributed worldwide, with a greater variability in low- and middle-latitude developing countries. This uptrend in extreme shortage events is driven by extremely low wind speed and solar radiation, particularly compound wind and solar drought, which however are strongly disproportionated. Only average 12.5% change in compound extremely low wind speed and solar radiation events may give rise to over 30% variability in extreme shortage events, despite a mere average 1.0% change in average wind speed and solar radiation. Our findings underline that wind-solar systems will probably suffer from weakened power security if such uptrends persist in a warmer future.},
}
@article {pmid38890143,
year = {2024},
author = {Tapkigen, J and Harding, S and Pulkki, J and Atkins, S and Koivusalo, M},
title = {Climate change-induced shifts in the food systems and diet-related non-communicable diseases in sub-Saharan Africa: a scoping review and a conceptual framework.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {14},
number = {6},
pages = {e080241},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2023-080241},
pmid = {38890143},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Noncommunicable Diseases/epidemiology ; Africa South of the Sahara/epidemiology ; *Food Supply ; Diet ; Risk Factors ; },
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: To determine the relationship between climate change, food systems and diet-related non-communicable diseases (DR-NCDs) in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and propose a conceptual framework for food systems in SSA.<br><br>DESIGN: A scoping review.<br><br>ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies included investigated the relationship between climate change and related systemic risks, food systems, DR-NCDs and its risk factors in SSA. Studies focusing on the association between climate change and DR-NCDs unrelated to food systems, such as social inequalities, were excluded.<br><br>SOURCES OF EVIDENCE: A comprehensive search was conducted in ProQuest (nine databases), Google Scholar and PubMed in December 2022.<br><br>CHARTING METHODS: Data extracted from studies included author, study type, country of study, climate change component, DR-NCD outcomes and risk factors, and impacts of climate change on DR-NCDs. A narrative approach was used to analyse the data. Based on the evidence gathered from SSA, we modified an existing food system conceptual framework.<br><br>RESULTS: The search retrieved 19&#x2009;125 studies, 10 of which were included in the review. Most studies used a cross-sectional design (n=8). Four explored the influence of temperature on liver cancer through food storage while four explored the influence of temperature and rainfall on diabetes and obesity through food production. Cross-sectional evidence suggested that temperature is associated with liver cancer and rainfall with diabetes.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The review highlights the vulnerability of SSA's food systems to climate change-induced fluctuations, which in turn affect dietary patterns and DR-NCD outcomes. The evidence is scarce and concentrates mostly on the health effects of temperature through food storage. It proposes a conceptual framework to guide future research addressing climate change and DR-NCDs in SSA.},
}
@article {pmid38888707,
year = {2024},
author = {Hambira, WL and Kolawole, OD and Saarinen, J and Moses, O and Mulale, K and Mogomotsi, PK},
title = {Perspectives of nature-based tourism-dependent communities on climate change in the Okavango Delta, Botswana.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38888707},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {Office of Research and Development, University of Botswana//Office of Research and Development, University of Botswana/ ; },
abstract = {The intensity and frequency of climate extremes such as heat waves, droughts and extreme rainfall events are projected to rise. This will increase the severity of their impacts across socio-ecological systems. Economic sectors such as nature-based tourism become more vulnerable because of their reliance on climate and natural capital as key resources. While attempts have been made to understand how climate change may impact tourists and the industry itself, little is known about the same on tourism-dependent communities. This paper determines the extent to which tourism-dependent communities are vulnerable to climate change in the Okavango Delta, Botswana, to enhance their wider livelihood the development of strategies for improving adaptive capacity, resilience, and reduced exposure sensitivities. A household survey of 172 households was conducted in three purposively selected villages of Mababe, Sankuyo and Khwai, actively involved in community-based tourism for their socio-economic development. Information sourced related to livelihood options, peoples' resilience, local risks, and hazards. The data was analysed using descriptive statistics and thematic analysis. The results indicate that respondents have observed climatic changes over the years such as increased temperatures, decreased rainfall, and increased frequencies of extreme events. The respondents attributed changes in natural capital to these observed climatic conditions in the form of desiccation, dwindling populations of some wildlife species, decreased fish stocks and reduced vegetation cover. This renders the tourism-dependent communities vulnerable as their livelihood is threatened. The paper thus concludes that climate change adaptation is an urgent priority for local communities who are already exposed to existing climatic and non-climatic stresses.},
}
@article {pmid38888313,
year = {2024},
author = {Parejko, JA},
title = {Climate change and plant rhizosphere microbiomes: an experiential course-embedded research project.},
journal = {Journal of microbiology &amp; biology education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0004624},
doi = {10.1128/jmbe.00046-24},
pmid = {38888313},
issn = {1935-7877},
abstract = {The current and ongoing challenges brought on by climate change will require future scientists who have hands-on experience using advanced molecular techniques, can work with large data sets, and can make correlations between metadata and microbial diversity. A course-embedded research project can prepare students to answer complex research questions that might help plants adapt to climate change. The project described herein uses plants as a host to study the impact of climate change-induced drought on host-microbe interactions through next-generation DNA sequencing and analysis using a command-line program. Specifically, the project studies the impact of simulated drought on the rhizosphere microbiome of Fast Plants rapid cycling Brassica rapa using inexpensive greenhouse supplies and 16S rRNA V3/V4 Illumina sequencing. Data analysis is performed with the freely accessible Python-based microbiome bioinformatics platform QIIME 2.},
}
@article {pmid38887460,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, E and Lu, Z and Rohani, ER and Ou, J and Tong, X and Han, R},
title = {Current and future distribution of Forsythia suspensa in China under climate change adopting the MaxEnt model.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1394799},
pmid = {38887460},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {This study evaluated the potential impact of climate change on the distribution of Forsythia suspensa, a valuable traditional Chinese medicinal plant, using the MaxEnt model integrated with Geographic Information System (GIS). By analyzing occurrence data from various databases and environmental variables including climate and soil factors, we forecasted the present and future (2050s and 2070s) habitat suitability of F. suspensa under different greenhouse gas emission scenarios (RCP8.5, RCP4.5, RCP2.6). Results indicated that the suitable habitats for F. suspensa were primarily located in North, East, Central, Northwest, and Southwest China, with a significant potential expansion of suitable habitats anticipated by the 2070s, particularly under the high emission scenario. The study identified precipitation and temperature as the primary environmental drivers impacting the distribution of F. suspensa. Furthermore, a northward shift in the centroid of suitable habitats under future climate scenarios suggested a potential migration response to global warming. This work provides crucial insights into the future conservation and cultivation strategies for F. suspensa amidst changing climatic conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38886424,
year = {2024},
author = {Yang, CY and Ding, Y and Ma, FL and Zhou, HK and Wang, XL and Zhang, Q and Liu, XW and Mutalifu, W and Guo, L},
title = {[Climate change affects plant aboveground biomass by regulating the growth periods in alpine grasslands of the Tibetan Plateau, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1260-1268},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.020},
pmid = {38886424},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Biomass ; *Grassland ; *Climate Change ; Tibet ; *Poaceae/growth &amp; development ; China ; Altitude ; Ecosystem ; },
abstract = {Climate change significantly affects plant biomass and phenological occurrence time in alpine grasslands of Tibetan Plateau. The changes in phenological periods are closely related to the length of vegetative and reproductive growth periods, which may further affect aboveground biomass accumulation. In this study, based on fixed-point observations of plant biomass and phenology as well as the corresponding climatic data from 1997 to 2020 in the alpine grasslands of Tibetan Plateau, we used statistical methods such as ordinary linear regression and piecewise structural equation model to explore the characteristics of interannual climate change in the study area, the variation trends of plant biomass and phenological periods, and the correlations between biomass and phenological and climatic factors. The results showed that mean annual temperature and annual precipitation in the study area increased significantly from 1997 to 2020, suggesting a clear "warm-wet" trend. Aboveground biomass and relative biomass of Stipa sareptana var. krylovii (the dominant species) decreased significantly. However, absolute and relative biomass of subdominant species (Kobresia humilis) increased significantly, indicating that the dominance of K. humilis increased. The warm-wet climates enhanced aboveground biomass accumulation of K. humilis by extending the period of reproductive growth. Mean annual temperature and annual precipitation decreased aboveground biomass of S. sareptana by shortening the length of vegetative growth period. In a word, the warmer and wetter climate significantly affected aboveground biomass accumulation by regulating the changes in the phenological period, and the interspecific difference in their response resulted in a larger change in community composition. This study area may show a trend from alpine grassland to alpine meadow, and thus further works are urgently needed.},
}
@article {pmid38886418,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, J and Liu, Z and Wang, P and Yang, R and Shi, FM and Deng, J and Wang, GY and Shi, SL},
title = {[Response of radial growth of Pinus wallichiana to climate change in Mount Qomolangma, Tibet, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1205-1213},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.002},
pmid = {38886418},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Tibet ; Pinus/growth &amp; development ; Ecosystem ; Temperature ; Plant Stems/growth &amp; development ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {Global warming would significantly impact tree growth in the Tibetan Plateau. However, the specific effects of climate change on the radial growth of Pinus wallichiana in Mount Qomolangma are still uncertain. To investigate the responses of radial growth of P. wallichiana to climate change, we analyzed tree-ring samples in Mount Qomolangma. We removed the age-related growth trends and established three chronologies by using the modified negative exponential curve, basal area index, and regional curve standardization, and conducted Pearson correlation and moving correlation analyses to examine the association between radial growth of P. wallichiana and climatic factors. The results showed that this region had experienced a significant upward trend in temperature and that the Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) indicated a decreasing trend since 1980s, while the relative humi-dity changed from a significant upward to a downward trend around 2004, implying the climate shifted toward warmer and drier. Results of Pearson correlation analysis indicated a significant and positive relationship between the radial growth of P. wallichiana and the minimum temperature of April-June and July-September, and precipitation of January-April in the current year. The radial growth of P. wallichiana was significantly and negatively associated with the relative humidity of June, July, and August in the current year. As temperature rose after 1983, the relationship between radial growth of P. wallichiana and the minimum temperature in July and September of the current year increased from a non-significant association to a significant and positive association, while the relationship between radial growth of P. wallichiana and relative humidity in August and precipitation in September of the current year changed from non-significant correlation to a significant and negative correlation. Results of the moving correlation analysis suggested that the radial growth of P. wallichiana showed a significant and stable correlation with the July-September minimum temperature of the current year. Under the background of climate warming, the rapid increases of temperature would accelerate the radial growth of P. wallichiana in Mount Qomolangma.},
}
@article {pmid38886416,
year = {2024},
author = {Qi, YY and Keyimu, M and Li, ZS and Zeng, FJ},
title = {[Radial growth response of Populus euphratica to climate change in the Cele desert oasis ecotone, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1187-1195},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.003},
pmid = {38886416},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Populus/growth &amp; development ; China ; *Climate Change ; *Desert Climate ; *Ecosystem ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Populus euphratica is an important tree species in the arid regions of Northwest China, which is sensitive to climate changes. Climate of the Northwest China is changing to be "warm and humid", but how it would affect the regional forest growth is not clear. In this study, the radial growth response of P. euphratica to major climatic factors and their temporal changes during 1984-2021 were analyzed by using dendrochronology method in the desert oasis ecotone of Cele in the southern Tarim basin. The results showed that tree-ring width index of P. euphratica had a significant negative correlation with temperature in September of the previous year, and in February and May of current year, had significant positive correlation with precipitation in September of previous year and March and May of current year, and had significant positive correlations with SPEI in February and May of current year. The relationships between tree-ring width index and combined month climatic factors were more obvious. The results of moving correlation analysis showed that the correlation between tree-ring width index and temperature in the growing season tended to be strengthened in recent years, while the correlation between tree-ring width index and precipitation, SPEI tended to be declined or remain stable. The variations of the relationships between tree-ring width index and combined month climatic factors were more obvious compared that with single month. Current regional climate is conducive to the growth and development, as well as the improvement of ecological shelter function of P. euphratica forest in the desert oasis ecotone of Cele.},
}
@article {pmid38886415,
year = {2024},
author = {Liu, Z and Li, J and Shi, SL and Yang, R and Luo, WW and Ma, YL and Bie, XJ and Wang, GY},
title = {[Response of radial growth of different timberline species to climate change in Yading Nature Reserve, Sichuan, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {5},
pages = {1177-1186},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202405.001},
pmid = {38886415},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Larix/growth &amp; development ; Juniperus/growth &amp; development ; Abies/growth &amp; development ; Ecosystem ; Trees/growth &amp; development ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; Temperature ; Plant Stems/growth &amp; development ; Altitude ; },
abstract = {The radial growth of trees in alpine timberline is particularly sensitive to climate change. We sampled and disposed tree-ring cores of three coniferous tree species including Juniperus saltuaria, Abies forrestii, and Larix potaninii at alpine timberline in Yading Nature Reserve. The standard tree-ring chronology was used to explore the response of radial growth of different timberline species to climate change. The results showed that radial growth of L. potaninii increased after 2000, while that of A. forrestii declined after 2002, and J. saltuaria showed a significant decreasing growth trend in the past 10 years. Such results indicated divergent growth responses to climate factors among the three tree species at alpine timberline. The radial growth of J. saltuaria was sensitive to temperature, and was positively correlated with the minimum temperature from previous October to current August, the mean tempera-ture from previous November to current April and from current July to October, but was negatively associated with the relative humidity from current July to October. The radial growth of A. forrestii showed negative correlation with mean temperature and the maximum temperature from May to June in the current year, while it exhibited positive association with the relative humidity and the Palmer drought severity index from May to June in the current year. L. potaninii radial growth was positively associated with mean temperature and the maximum temperature of November-December in the previous year, the maximum temperature of current March and mean temperature of current August. The temporal stability of climate-growth relationship varied among different timberline species. The positive correlation between radial growth of A. forrestii and J. saltuaria and temperature gradually decreased, while the posi-tive relationship of L. potaninii radial growth and temperature gradually increased. Under the background of climate warming, rapid rise in surface air temperatures may promote the radial growth of L. potaninii, while inhibit that of J. saltuaria and A. forrestii, which may change the position of regional timberline.},
}
@article {pmid38886119,
year = {2024},
author = {Wood, JD and Detto, M and Browne, M and Kraft, NJB and Konings, AG and Fisher, JB and Quetin, GR and Trugman, AT and Magney, TS and Medeiros, CD and Vinod, N and Buckley, TN and Sack, L},
title = {The Ecosystem as Super-organ/Ism, Revisited: Scaling Hydraulics to Forests under Climate Change.},
journal = {Integrative and comparative biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/icb/icae073},
pmid = {38886119},
issn = {1557-7023},
abstract = {Classic debates in community ecology focused on the complexities of considering an ecosystem as a super-organ or organism. New consideration of such perspectives could clarify mechanisms underlying the dynamics of forest carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake and water vapor loss, important for predicting and managing the future of Earth's ecosystems and climate system. Here, we provide a rubric for considering ecosystem traits as aggregated, systemic, or emergent, i.e., representing the ecosystem as an aggregate of its individuals, or as a metaphorical or literal super-organ or organism. We review recent approaches to scaling-up plant water relations (hydraulics) concepts developed for organs and organisms to enable and interpret measurements at ecosystem-level. We focus on three community scale versions of water relations traits that have potential to provide mechanistic insight into climate change responses of CO2 and H2O gas exchange and forest productivity: leaf water potential (Ψcanopy), pressure volume curves (eco-PV), and hydraulic conductance (Keco). These analyses can reveal additional ecosystem-scale parameters analogous to those typically quantified for leaves or plants (e.g., wilting point and hydraulic vulnerability) that may act as thresholds in forest responses to drought including growth cessation, mortality and flammability. We unite these concepts in a novel framework to predict Ψcanopy and its approaching of critical thresholds during drought, using measurements of Keco and eco-PV curves. We thus delineate how extension of water relations concepts from organ- and organism-scales can reveal the hydraulic constraints on the interaction of vegetation and climate, and provide new mechanistic understanding and prediction of forest water use and productivity.},
}
@article {pmid38884244,
year = {2024},
author = {Gong, ZY and Wang, CL and Dong, DD and Zhang, R and Zhang, X},
title = {[Influence of climate change and human activities on grassland phenology in Anhui Province].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {4},
pages = {1092-1100},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202404.021},
pmid = {38884244},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; China ; *Human Activities ; *Grassland ; Seasons ; Humans ; Ecosystem ; Poaceae/growth &amp; development ; },
abstract = {To explore the influence of climate change and human activities on grassland phenology in Anhui Pro-vince, and quantify the contribution rate of climate change and human activities to phenology, we extracted the phenology of grassland, including the start of growing season (SOS) and the end of growing season (EOS), based on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) dataset of Anhui Province from 2003 to 2020. The temporal and spatial characteristics and future evolution trends of phenological changes were analyzed using slope trend ana-lysis, Mann-Kendall non-parametric test, and Hurst index. We further conducted correlation analysis and residual analysis based on the datasets of mean annual temperature and mean annual precipitation to explore the responses of phenology to climate change and human activities, and quantify their contribution rate. The results showed that SOS and EOS showed an advancing trend with a rate of 0.8 and 0.7 days per year from 2003 to 2020. SOS in the sou-thern part of the study area was significantly earlier than in the central and northern regions, while EOS gradually advanced from south to north. Both SOS and EOS in the future showed an advancing trend. SOS was negatively correlated with annual average temperature, while positively correlated with annual precipitation. EOS was negatively correlated with both annual average temperature and annual precipitation. The proportion of the area where SOS was advanced driven by both climate change and human activities was 56.9%, and the value was 48.3% for EOS. Human activities were the main driving factor for phenology, and climate change was the secondary driving factor. The relative contributions of human activities and climate change to SOS were 66.4% and 33.6%, and to EOS were 61.2% and 38.8%, respectively. Human activities had stronger impact on SOS and EOS than climate change, resulting in earlier phenology.},
}
@article {pmid38884035,
year = {2022},
author = {Atwoli, L and Erhabor, GE and Gbakima, AA and Haileamlak, A and Ntumba, JK and Kigera, J and Laybourn-Langton, L and Mash, B and Muhia, J and Mulaudzi, FM and Ofori-Adjei, D and Okonofua, F and Rashidian, A and El-Adawy, M and Sidibé, S and Snouber, A and Tumwine, J and Yassien, MS and Yonga, P and Zakhama, L and Zielinski, C},
title = {COP27 Climate Change Conference: Urgent Action Needed for Africa and the world.},
journal = {Nigerian medical journal : journal of the Nigeria Medical Association},
volume = {63},
number = {6},
pages = {438-441},
pmid = {38884035},
issn = {0300-1652},
abstract = {Wealthy nations must step up support for Africa and vulnerable countries in addressing past, present and future impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38883297,
year = {2024},
author = {Yin, Z and Song, X and Zhou, B and Jiang, W and Chen, H and Wang, H},
title = {Traditional Meiyu-Baiu has been suspended by global warming.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {11},
number = {7},
pages = {nwae166},
pmid = {38883297},
issn = {2053-714X},
abstract = {More than 1000 years, the Meiyu-Baiu have shaped the uniqueness of natural resources, civilization and culture in the Yangtze River Basin of China and the main islands of Japan. In recent decades, frequent rainstorms and droughts have seemingly diminished the misty features of traditional Meiyu-Baiu rainfall. However, there is still no consensus on whether their traditional nature is suspended. In this study, we quantitatively demonstrate that the Meiyu-Baiu almost completely lost their traditional features during 1961-2023, ∼80% of which can be attributed to anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, in a warmer future, the traditional Meiyu-Baiu will be more unlikely to appear. This study underscores the urgency in adapting to climate shift because destructive extremes are measurably taking the place of mild and maternal rains.},
}
@article {pmid38882429,
year = {2024},
author = {Sazegar, P and Kaur, P and Abbott, RA},
title = {Application of Illness Scripts Theory to Climate Change Through a Multi-Residency Educational Symposium.},
journal = {Journal of graduate medical education},
volume = {16},
number = {3},
pages = {353-354},
pmid = {38882429},
issn = {1949-8357},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Internship and Residency ; Congresses as Topic ; Education, Medical, Graduate ; },
}
@article {pmid38882299,
year = {2024},
author = {Sharifi, A and Baubekova, A and Patro, ER and Klöve, B and Torabi Haghighi, A},
title = {The combined effects of anthropogenic and climate change on river flow alterations in the Southern Caspian Sea Iran.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {10},
number = {11},
pages = {e31960},
pmid = {38882299},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {In recent years, the effects of human activities and climate change on river flow patterns have become a major concern worldwide. This is particularly true in the southern Caspian Sea (SCS) region of Iran, where increasing water-intensive socio-economic development and climate change have significantly altered river flow regimes. To better understand these changes, this study employs two nonparametric methods, the modified Mann-Kendall method (MK3) and Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA), to examine spatial and temporal changes in hydrometeorological variables in the SCS. The study also evaluates the impact of human activities and climate change on river flow alteration using elasticity-based methods and the Budyko hypothesis in 40 rivers on the closest gauges to the Caspian Sea. The results indicate an alarming trend of increasing temperature, potential evapotranspiration, and decreasing river flows in the SCS region. In particular, human activities were found to be responsible for around 91.7 % of the change on average, resulting in a significant decline in inflow to the Caspian Sea by about 3216 MCM annually. This declining trend in inflow could potentially exacerbate the eutrophication conditions in the Sea and negatively impact its ecosystem and economics. Therefore, appropriate measures need to be taken to address these environmental and socio-economic issues in the southern Caspian Sea region.},
}
@article {pmid38881686,
year = {2024},
author = {Benesch, T and Sergeeva, M and Wainstock, D and Miller, J},
title = {Climate change, health, and human rights: calling on states to address the health risks of climate change, through the Inter-American Court of Human Rights.},
journal = {Lancet regional health. Americas},
volume = {34},
number = {},
pages = {100801},
pmid = {38881686},
issn = {2667-193X},
}
@article {pmid38881301,
year = {2024},
author = {Goldfarb, DS and Patel, AA},
title = {Climate change and its implications for kidney health.},
journal = {Current opinion in urology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/MOU.0000000000001197},
pmid = {38881301},
issn = {1473-6586},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Extremes of weather as a result of climate change are affecting social, economic and health systems. Kidney health is being threatened by global warming while treatment of kidney disease is contributing to increasing resource utilization and leaving a substantial carbon footprint. Improved physician awareness and patient education are needed to mitigate the risk.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Rising temperatures are changing kidney disease patterns, with increasing prevalence of acute kidney injury, chronic kidney disease and kidney stones. These issues disproportionately affect people suffering from social inequality and limited access to resources.<br><br>SUMMARY: In this article, we review the effects of climate change on kidney stones, and acute and chronic kidney injury. Finally, we discuss the impact of renal replacement therapies on the environment and proposed ways to mitigate it.},
}
@article {pmid38880851,
year = {2024},
author = {Elsisi, M and Elshiekh, M and Sabry, N and Aziz, M and Attia, K and Islam, F and Chen, J and Abdelrahman, M},
title = {The genetic orchestra of salicylic acid in plant resilience to climate change induced abiotic stress: critical review.},
journal = {Stress biology},
volume = {4},
number = {1},
pages = {31},
pmid = {38880851},
issn = {2731-0450},
abstract = {Climate change, driven by human activities and natural processes, has led to critical alterations in varying patterns during cropping seasons and is a vital threat to global food security. The climate change impose several abiotic stresses on crop production systems. These abiotic stresses include extreme temperatures, drought, and salinity, which expose agricultural fields to more vulnerable conditions and lead to substantial crop yield and quality losses. Plant hormones, especially salicylic acid (SA), has crucial roles for plant resiliency under unfavorable environments. This review explores the genetics and molecular mechanisms underlying SA's role in mitigating abiotic stress-induced damage in plants. It also explores the SA biosynthesis pathways, and highlights the regulation of their products under several abiotic stresses. Various roles and possible modes of action of SA in mitigating abiotic stresses are discussed, along with unraveling the genetic mechanisms and genes involved in responses under stress conditions. Additionally, this review investigates molecular pathways and mechanisms through which SA exerts its protective effects, such as redox signaling, cross-talks with other plant hormones, and mitogen-activated protein kinase pathways. Moreover, the review discusses potentials of using genetic engineering approaches, such as CRISPR technology, for deciphering the roles of SA in enhancing plant resilience to climate change related abiotic stresses. This comprehensive analysis bridges the gap between genetics of SA role in response to climate change related stressors. Overall goal is to highlight SA's significance in safeguarding plants and by offering insights of SA hormone for sustainable agriculture under challenging environmental conditions.},
}
@article {pmid38879644,
year = {2024},
author = {Fu, Y and Jian, S and Yu, X},
title = {Water use efficiency in China is impacted by climate change and land use and land cover.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38879644},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {2021GGJS003//the Training Program for Young Backbone Teachers in Colleges and Universities of Henan Province/ ; },
abstract = {A crucial physiological indicator known as water use efficiency (WUE) (Foley et al.) assesses the trade-off between water loss and carbon uptake. The carbon and water coupling mechanisms, energy balance, and hydrological cycle processes in the ecosystem are impacted by climate change, vegetation dynamics, and land use change. In this study, we employed Sen trend analysis, the Mann-Kendall test, the land-use transfer matrix, and multiple linear regression analysis to investigate the regional and temporal dynamics of WUE and its reaction to climate change and land-use transfer changes in China. According to the findings, the annual average WUE in China was 0.998 gC/mm·m[2] from 2000 to 2017. Of the nine major river basins, the Continental Basin had the lowest WUE (0.529 gC/mm·m[2]), and the Southwest River Basin had the highest WUE (0.691 gC/mm·m[2]), while the Pearl River Basin and the Southeast River Basin had the highest WUEs (1.184 gC/mm·m[2]). The Haihe River Basin and the Yellow River Basin were the key regions with elevated WUE. Forest had the greatest WUE (1.134 gC/mm·m[2]; out of the nine major river basins), followed by shrub (1.109 gC/mm·m[2]). Vegetation dynamics changes had a higher impact on WUE than climate change and land use changes, when the contributions of climate change, vegetation dynamics changes, and land use changes to WUE were separated. The largest climatic factor influencing variations in WUE was VPD (28.04% ± 3.98%), whereas among the vegetation dynamics factors, NDVI (33.75% ± 6.90%) and LAI (22.21% ± 2.11%) contributed the most. The transition from high to low vegetation cover led to a relative decrease in WUE, and vice versa, according to data on land use change in China from 2000 to 2017. Land use change made a positive impact to WUE change. The findings of this study may be helpful in China for choosing a suitable regional plant cover and managing local water resources sustainably.},
}
@article {pmid38878566,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, J and O'Brien, E and Holloway, P and Nolan, P and Stewart, MG and Ryan, PC},
title = {Climate change impact and adaptation assessment for road drainage systems.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {364},
number = {},
pages = {121209},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121209},
pmid = {38878566},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change exhibits a clear trend of escalating frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, posing heightened risks to drainage systems along the existing road networks. However, very few studies to date have investigated the consequences of projected future changes in rainfall on main road drainage and the resulting risk of road flooding. The work presented in this paper builds on the limited research by introducing a probabilistic model for assessing the impact of climate change on road drainage systems, incorporating climate uncertainty and drainage system variation. The probabilistic scenario-based model and associated framework offer a practical and innovative method for estimating the impact of short-duration storms under future climates for 2071-2100, in the absence of fine-resolution spatio-temporal data. The model also facilitates the assessment of the effectiveness of a climate adaptation strategy. An illustrative case-study of a road drainage system located in the south of Ireland is presented. It was found that the probability of road flooding during intense rainfall is projected to surpass the current acceptable limits set by Irish standards. Assessment of a proactive climate adaptation strategy implemented in 2015 indicated it may need to be adjusted to further reduce climate change impacts and optimise adaptation costs.},
}
@article {pmid38877214,
year = {2024},
author = {Bolakhe, S},
title = {Wildfires are raging in Nepal - climate change isn't the only culprit.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38877214},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid38877115,
year = {2024},
author = {Ebi, KL and Bowen, K and Haines, A and Hess, JJ and Kovats, RS and Woodward, A},
title = {Estimating the total effect of anthropogenic climate change on human health and wellbeing.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38877115},
issn = {1546-170X},
}
@article {pmid38875780,
year = {2024},
author = {Pirnajmedin, F and Jaškūnė, K and Majidi, MM},
title = {Adaptive strategies to drought stress in grasses of the poaceae family under climate change: Physiological, genetic and molecular perspectives: A review.},
journal = {Plant physiology and biochemistry : PPB},
volume = {213},
number = {},
pages = {108814},
doi = {10.1016/j.plaphy.2024.108814},
pmid = {38875780},
issn = {1873-2690},
abstract = {Drought stress is one of the most critical abiotic factors which negatively impacts on growth, productivity, and survival of plants. Grass species have an important role in the sustainable intensification of cropping systems. This review focus on the specific drought tolerance characteristics in grass species and application of prevalent classical and molecular methods for genetic improvement of them to drought stress. Generally, grass species adapt to drought stress by utilizing more than one strategy including of changes in the root growth, photosynthetic pigments, activation of antioxidant enzymes, and accumulation of compatible osmolytes. They also have other specific characteristics consisted of summer dormancy, drought recovery, and persistence, which lead to drought adaptation after prolonged drought. Studies on different grasses, indicated that most of above mentioned traits usually have positive correlation with drought tolerance. Also, high heritability has been reported for most of them in different grasses. Therefore, an effective index might be considering in identification of drought tolerance genotypes. Recently, high-throughput imaging phenotyping and advanced molecular techniques such as genotyping-by-sequencing (GBS), RNA sequencing, genome-wide association study, and genome editing help conventional breeding methods to increase the accuracy, selection efficiency, genetic gains, and speed of breeding programs for developing drought tolerant cultivars.},
}
@article {pmid38874849,
year = {2024},
author = {Regev, S and Carmel, Y and Gal, G},
title = {Assessing alternative lake management actions for climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38874849},
issn = {1654-7209},
support = {3-15504//Ministry of Science, Technology and Space/ ; },
abstract = {Lake management actions are required to protect lake ecosystems that are being threatened by climate change. Freshwater lakes in semiarid regions are of upmost importance to their region. Simulations of the subtropical Lake Kinneret project that rising temperatures will cause change to phytoplankton species composition, including increased cyanobacteria blooms, endangering lake ecosystem services. Using lake ecosystem models, we examined several management actions under climate change, including two alternatives of desalinated water introduction into the lake, hypolimnetic water withdrawal, watershed management changes and low versus high lake water level. To account for prediction uncertainty, we utilized an ensemble of two 1D hydrodynamic-biogeochemical lake models along with 500 realizations of meteorological conditions. Results suggest that supplying desalinated water for local use, thus releasing more natural waters through the Jordan River, increasing nutrient flow, may reduce cyanobacteria blooms, mitigating climate change effects. However, these results are accompanied by considerable uncertainty.},
}
@article {pmid38874655,
year = {2024},
author = {Dos Santos, HT and Marchioro, CA},
title = {Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Argyrotaenia sphaleropa (Meyrick, 1909) Voltinism: Implications for Fruit Production in Southern Brazil.},
journal = {Neotropical entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {38874655},
issn = {1678-8052},
abstract = {The leafroller Argyrotaenia sphaleropa (Meyrick) is an important pest of temperate fruits. Its biology and population dynamics are strongly influenced by temperature. In this context, this study aims to select a mathematical model that accurately describes the temperature-dependent development rate of A. sphaleropa and applies this model to predict the impact of climate change on the number of annual generations (voltinism) of the pest in southern Brazil. Nine mathematical models were employed to fit the species' developmental rate at different constant temperatures. Voltinism was projected using climate data from the current period (1994-2013) and projections for 2050 and 2070. The Brière-1 model (D(T) = aT(T-TL)(TH-T)[1/2]) provided the best fit for the temperature-dependent developmental rate of A. sphaleropa. According to this model, the regions with the highest voltinism under current climatic conditions are the northern and central areas of Paraná, the western and northeastern regions of Santa Catarina, and northwestern Rio Grande do Sul. The model also predicts a rise in A. sphaleropa voltinism as a consequence of climate change, especially in the mountainous regions of Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul, with projected increases of up to 25.1%. These regions encompass most areas where temperate fruits used as hosts by the leafroller are cultivated. This study represents a significant advancement in understanding the implications of global warming on A. sphaleropa voltinism and suggests that forthcoming climatic conditions will likely favor the species across much of southern Brazil.},
}
@article {pmid38874291,
year = {2024},
author = {Afifi, M and Malkawi, M and El-Adawy, M},
title = {Women's health and climate change: a threat or an opportunity.},
journal = {Eastern Mediterranean health journal = La revue de sante de la Mediterranee orientale = al-Majallah al-sihhiyah li-sharq al-mutawassit},
volume = {30},
number = {5},
pages = {330-332},
doi = {10.26719/2024.30.5.330},
pmid = {38874291},
issn = {1687-1634},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Women's Health ; Female ; Mediterranean Region ; Global Health ; },
}
@article {pmid38873493,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, W and Shao, Y and Zou, X and Yan, J and Xu, M and Zhou, G and Fu, S},
title = {Fluctuating "soil CO2-lake" is key for understanding global climate change.},
journal = {Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.))},
volume = {5},
number = {4},
pages = {100642},
pmid = {38873493},
issn = {2666-6758},
}
@article {pmid38872491,
year = {2024},
author = {Nordeng, Z and Kriit, HK and Poltimäe, H and Aunan, K and Dahl, MS and Jevtic, M and Matkovic, V and Sandanger, G and Orru, H},
title = {Valuation and perception of the costs of climate change on health.},
journal = {Scandinavian journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {14034948241247614},
doi = {10.1177/14034948241247614},
pmid = {38872491},
issn = {1651-1905},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Climate change affects our societies and lives through our economies, our livelihoods, and our health. Economic losses of climate change are estimated at $23 trillion, largely through externalities due to premature mortality, healthcare expenditure, and health-related work losses. Even if there are established methods to quantify the health economic burden, there is limited information on how people perceive this information. The current study aimed to examine different health cost evaluation methods and observe perceptions of stakeholders in the climate change context.<br><br>METHOD: The participatory research approach of the World Caf&#xe9; with 41 participants was applied to explore four topics associated with valuing the costs of climate change. The data were analyzed following an inductive approach.<br><br>RESULTS: Despite the willingness-to-pay approach being widely applied, many experts see actual healthcare costs as a more explicit indicator of costs; however, this approach might underestimate actual costs. Participants experienced difficulties accepting and understanding cost estimates that indicated very high externalities as a percentage of gross domestic product. The cost-effectiveness of mitigation and adaptation measures was also challenged by a concern that while the costs of such measures are incurred now, the benefits do not come to fruition until later, for example, when building bike lanes or dams.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Policies should favor environmentally friendly activities such as making cycling more convenient in cities with the health benefits presented in monetary terms, while limiting car driving. Moreover, the public might better understand the costs of climate change via tools that map how solutions influence different sectors and outlining the costs in evaluating the benefits for health and the environment.},
}
@article {pmid38871779,
year = {2024},
author = {Zhang, Y and Wan, Y and Wang, C and Chen, J and Si, Q and Ma, F},
title = {Potential distribution of three invasive agricultural pests in China under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {13672},
pmid = {38871779},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2021YFC2600400//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; China ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Weevils/physiology ; Ecosystem ; Agriculture ; Biodiversity ; },
abstract = {Invasive pests reduce biodiversity and ecosystem service functions, thereby leading to economic and also agricultural losses. Banana skipper (Erionota torus Evans), red palm weevil (Rhynchophorus ferrugineus), and coconut caterpillar (Opisina arenosella Walker) are invasive insect pests in the palm-growing regions and they have had serious consequences for the planting of bananas (Musa nana), palms (Trachycarpus fortune) and coconut (Cocos nucifera). Based on screened occurrence data, the present research utilized Maximum Entropy model (Maxent) to simulate the distribution dynamics of these three invasive insects in China, under current and future climate (2050s, 2070s, 2090s) in two shared socio-economic pathways (SSPs: 126 and 585) of the newly released coupled model intercomparison project phase6 (CMIP6). The results show that: (1) Under current and future climate conditions, all model groups exhibited an AUC value exceeding 0.92, which shows that the model prediction results are very good;(2) The suitable habitat area of E. torus Evans remains relatively stable with some expansion in the SSP126 of 2090s and some contraction in the SSP585 of 2090s. The suitable habitat area of R. ferrugineus showed an overall contraction, with substantial contraction in the SSP585 of 2090s.The suitable habitat area of O. arenosella has an overall expansion, with the most pronounced expansion in the SSP585 of 2070s; (3) The current centroid of suitable habitats for R. ferrugineus and E. torus Evans is located in Guangxi Province and wholely shift toward the south direction under future climate. The centroid of suitable habitats for O. arenosella is currently located in the northeastern maritime area of Hainan Province and will shift toward the north direction under future climate; (4) Temperature, precipitation and Human disturbance factors (Population density and Human influence index) were crucial variables for describing the distribution of the three species. For E. torus Evans in particular, percentage contributions of Population density was up to 31.4, which is only 0.1 different from ranked first Bio19 (Precipitation of the coldest quarter). The dynamics of habitats of these three species and the correlating driver factors proposed in this work provide essential insights into future spatial management of the three invasive insects in China. Our work is necessary and timely in identifying newly areas at high risk of expansion of the three invasive insects in the future, then suggesting strategic control measures to prevent their spread, and finally providing scientific evidence for the early prevention and rapid response to the three invasive insects.},
}
@article {pmid38871518,
year = {2024},
author = {Sapkota, TB and Vetter, SH and Jat, ML and Sirohi, S and Shirsath, PB and Singh, R and Jat, HS and Smith, P and Hillier, J and Stirling, CM},
title = {Corrigendum to "Cost-effective opportunities for climate change mitigation in Indian agriculture" [Sci. Total Environ. 655 (2019) 1342-1354].},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173853},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173853},
pmid = {38871518},
issn = {1879-1026},
}
@article {pmid38871325,
year = {2024},
author = {Bao, Y and Han, A and Gele, T and Song, Z and Liu, X and Tong, Z and Zhang, J},
title = {Climate change reduces elevational and latitudinal differences in spring phenology of pine caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Bulter).},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173847},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173847},
pmid = {38871325},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The pine caterpillar (Dendrolimus spectabilis Bulter, Lepidoptera: Lasiocampidae), as an ectotherm, temperature plays a crucial role in its development. With climate change, earlier development of insect pests is expected to pose a more frequent threat to forest communities. Yet the quantitative research about the extent to which global warming affects pine caterpillar populations is rarely understood, particularly across various elevations and latitudes. Spring phenology of pine caterpillars showed an advancing trend with 0.8 d/10a, 2.2 d/10a, 2.2 d/10a, and 3.3 d/10a under the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 scenario, respectively. There was a maximum advance of 20 d in spring phenology of pine caterpillars during the 2090s, from mid-March to early March, and even late February. This study highlighted the significant advance in spring phenology at elevations >1000 m and lower latitudes. Consequently, the differences in elevational and latitudinal gradients were relatively small as the increasing temperatures at the end of the 21st century. And the average temperature in February-March was effective in explaining theses variability. These findings are crucial for adapting and mitigating to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid38871275,
year = {2024},
author = {Viji, R and Yi, Y and Xueyuan, W and Seong, S and Varatharajan, A},
title = {Evaluate climate change and anthropogenic activities influencing geochemical variations in sediment between and within the avulsion period in the Lower Yellow River avulsion channels.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119405},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2024.119405},
pmid = {38871275},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {The geochemical data from sediments in avulsion channels provide historical evidence of climate change and human-induced alterations in river basin environments. The present study focused on the particle size of sediments in cores and the level of geochemical variation in avulsion channels of the Lower Yellow River Delta (YRD), China. The sediment samples were collected in a depth range of 20-400 cm in avulsion channels. The collected samples were analyzed for sediment particle size and geochemical composition using standard methods. The results demonstrated rapid increases in agriculture practices, rainfall pattern changes, and terrestrial sediment runoff reduction in river basins after the 1960s. The reduced sediment loads in the Sanmenxia Reservoir significantly changed the sediment grain size and geochemical levels in the avulsion channel from August 1960.8 to January -1961.1. In particular, TC, TN, and C/N levels decreased with increasing sediment depth. The C/N values of <12 denoted completely reduced terrestrial sources of organic matter in the channel during the August 1960- January 1961 period compared to the July 1953- August 1960 period. The two-way ANOVA p-values were (p<0.016-p<0.001) strong between the avulsion periods but had no significant variation within the avulsion periods. We emphasize that this study provides a close interplay of different historical periods of geochemical variation in avulsion channel sediments in the alluvial fan YRD, and we argue that the evolution of the middle upstream river basin was subjective by climate change and human developmental actions, which impacted the YRD. In particular, reservoir-interrupted water flow and sediment reduction impacts associated with geochemical fluctuations are documented in the YRD.},
}
@article {pmid38870383,
year = {2024},
author = {D'Ambrosio, M and Locke, T and Hendricks-Sturrup, R},
title = {Addressing Climate Change-Induced Tick-borne Lyme Disease Patterns Through Data-Driven 'One Health' Policy.},
journal = {Journal of public health management and practice : JPHMP},
volume = {30},
number = {4},
pages = {E157-E160},
pmid = {38870383},
issn = {1550-5022},
mesh = {*Lyme Disease/epidemiology ; Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Health Policy ; One Health ; Animals ; },
}
@article {pmid38869370,
year = {2024},
author = {Dočkalová, K and Stuchlík, E and Hamerlík, L and Bitušík, P and Turek, J and Svitok, M and Novikmec, M and Lackner, R and Dvorak, M and Kopáček, J and Tátosová, J and Camarero, L and Füreder, L and Vondrák, D},
title = {Cold mountain stream chironomids (Diptera) of the genus Diamesa indicate both historical and recent climate change.},
journal = {Environmental entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ee/nvae052},
pmid = {38869370},
issn = {1938-2936},
support = {I 4568-B//Austrian-Czech Lead Agency project-Austrian Science Fund/ ; 23-06075S//Czech Science foundation/ ; 1/0400/21//Scientific Grant Agency of the Ministry of Education of Slovak Republic and the Academy of Sciences/ ; APVV-20-0358//Slovak Research and Development Agency/ ; },
abstract = {Chironomids of the genus Diamesa (Meigen, 1835, Diptera: Chironomidae) inhabit cold, oxygen-rich running waters. We have investigated the presence of Diamesa and other freshwater macroinvertebrates at 22 stream sampling sites in 3 European high mountain regions (the Central Pyrenees, the Ötztal Alps, and the Tatra Mountains) to establish suitable temperature conditions for Diamesa dominance. It has been generally accepted that their high abundance was linked to the presence of glaciers; however, we have shown that in the Tatra Mountains, where there are no glaciers, the conditions for the dominance of Diamesa species are created due to permanent snowfields, the geographical orientation of the valley and shading by the surrounding high peaks. The historical connection of Diamesa to glaciers was investigated from the paleolimnological records of subfossil chironomid assemblages from the Bohemian Forest, where glaciers disappeared before or during the Late Glacial period. As expected, water temperature seems to be the main driver of Diamesa distribution, and we determined that the relative abundance of Diamesa species was significantly higher at the sites with a mean July water temperature below 6.5 °C. The Diamesa-dominated stream communities seems to be endangered due to ongoing climate warming and this assumption is supported by our paleolimnological results from the Bohemian Forest lakes, where Diamesa has disappeared due to warming of lake inflows at the beginning of the Holocene. These findings strengthen the former suggestions that some Diamesa species could be used as an indicator for tracking recent environmental changes in vulnerable ecosystems of cold mountain streams.},
}
@article {pmid38869062,
year = {2024},
author = {Ortula, NWA and Alcober, AMC and Travieza, DEC and Amor, FG and Morallos, APU and Tinaya, DWKD and Marticio, MRP and Pacaol, NF},
title = {Filipinos and Philippine government on public health vis-à-vis climate change: an interactive proposal.},
journal = {Journal of public health (Oxford, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/pubmed/fdae095},
pmid = {38869062},
issn = {1741-3850},
}
@article {pmid38867124,
year = {2024},
author = {Hannah, L and Irvine, A and Brito-Morales, I and Fuller, S and Davies, T and Tittensor, D and Reville, G and Shackell, N and Hennicke, J and Stanley, R},
title = {To save the high seas, plan for climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {630},
number = {8016},
pages = {298-301},
pmid = {38867124},
issn = {1476-4687},
mesh = {Animals ; Animal Migration ; *Conservation of Natural Resources/legislation &amp; jurisprudence/methods/trends ; *Environmental Policy/legislation &amp; jurisprudence/trends ; *Global Warming/prevention &amp; control/legislation &amp; jurisprudence ; *Oceans and Seas ; Seawater/chemistry ; },
}
@article {pmid38866937,
year = {2024},
author = {Ros, A and Brinker, A},
title = {Thermotactic behaviour in lacustrine and riverine forms of Salmo trutta and its relevance to an emerging parasitic disease (PKD) in the wake of climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {13539},
pmid = {38866937},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Trout/parasitology/physiology ; *Climate Change ; *Fish Diseases/parasitology ; Temperature ; Behavior, Animal/physiology ; Rivers ; Myxozoa/physiology/pathogenicity ; Cold Temperature ; Parasitic Diseases, Animal/parasitology/physiopathology ; Taxis Response/physiology ; },
abstract = {The thermotactic response of brown trout (Salmo trutta) was examined with the goal to investigate potential effects of the emerging temperature-dependent fatal trout disease PKD (proliferative kidney disease). First the differences in cold-water preferences of two forms of brown trout, lacustrine (migratory) and riverine, were determined. Second, it was studied whether this preference was changed in fish infected with PKD. The experiment involved a one-week habituation period at 14 °C in a two-chamber runway followed by a week of 3 °C temperature difference between the two runways. The fish could freely move between lanes via an opening at the end where food was provided. The temperature manipulation was repeated twice, and there were 3 trials per experimental group. All fish developed a clear spatial preference in the test. Lacustrine trout demonstrated a preference for warmer water, while riverine trout preferred cooler water. This may increase the risk to PKD in the lacustrine form. Most strikingly, riverine trout experimentally exposed to Tetracapsuloides bryosalmonae, the parasite that causes PKD, demonstrated stronger cold-seeking behaviour than control fish. Cold seeking behaviour suggests the occurrence of a disease-induced behavioural chill response, which may play an important role in disease recovery. This demonstrates the significance of protecting river connectivity and cold-water sanctuaries as management strategies for preserving salmonid populations in a warming climate.},
}
@article {pmid38866736,
year = {2024},
author = {Wang, G and Cai, W and Santoso, A},
title = {Variability of the Indian Ocean Dipole post-2100 reverses to a reduction despite persistent global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {5023},
pmid = {38866736},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Previous examination of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) response to greenhouse warming shows increased variability in the eastern pole but decreased variability in the western pole before 2100. The opposing response is due to a shallowing equatorial thermocline promoting sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the east, but a more stable atmosphere decreasing variability in equatorial zonal winds that weakens SST variability in the west. Post-2100, how the IOD may change remains unknown. Here we show that IOD variability weakens post-2100 in majority of models under a long-term high emission scenario to 2300. Post-2100, the atmosphere stability increases further and persistent ocean warming arrests or even reverses the eastern Indian Ocean shallowing thermocline. These changes conspire to drive decreased variability in both poles, reducing amplitude of moderate, strong and early-maturing positive IOD events. Our result highlights a nonlinear response of the IOD to long-term greenhouse warming under the high emission scenario.},
}
@article {pmid38866162,
year = {2024},
author = {Tu, Y and Yao, Z and Guo, J and Yang, L and Zhu, Y and Yang, X and Shi, Z and Indree, T},
title = {Predicting the potential risk of Caragana shrub encroachment in the Eurasian steppe under anthropogenic climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {173925},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173925},
pmid = {38866162},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change and human activities drive widespread shrub encroachment in global grassland ecosystems, particularly in the Eurasian steppe. Caragana shrubs, the primary contributors to shrub encroachment in this region, play a crucial role in shaping the ecosystem's structure and function. Future changes in the suitable distribution range of Caragana species will directly affect the ecological security and sustainable socio-economic development of the Eurasian steppe ecosystem. We used an ensemble modeling approach to predict Caragana shrub-dominated plant communities' current and future distribution in three major steppe subregions: the Black Sea-Kazakhstan steppe, the Tibetan Plateau steppe, and the Central Asian steppe. We assessed the potential risk of Caragana shrub encroachment by predicting changes in the suitable distribution area of 19 Caragana shrub species under future climate changes. Our research findings suggest that the expansion of Caragana species in different subregions of the Eurasian steppe is influenced by the effects of climate change in various ways. The distribution of Caragana species is primarily influenced by precipitation and temperature, and the global human modification (ghm) has a significant impact on the Central Asian and Tibetan Plateau subregions. Minimal changes are expected in the Black Sea-Kazakhstan subregion, a slight increase on the Tibetan Plateau, and a substantial rise in the Central Asian subregion, which suggests a higher potential risk of Caragana species shrub encroachment in that area. Our research provides valuable insights into the response of Caragana shrub encroachment to changing climates and human activities. It also has implications for the sustainable management of different areas of the vast Eurasian steppe ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid38865952,
year = {2024},
author = {Baykara Mat, ST and Yilmaz, BN},
title = {Is awareness of climate change a predictor of eco-anxiety? Research within the scope of nursing students.},
journal = {Nurse education today},
volume = {140},
number = {},
pages = {106274},
doi = {10.1016/j.nedt.2024.106274},
pmid = {38865952},
issn = {1532-2793},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding nursing students' awareness of climate change and its impact on their anxiety levels is crucial in representing a significant research area for the sustainability of healthcare services and the development of strategies to address climate change.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: This study aims to determine nursing students' awareness of global climate change and eco-anxiety levels. Additionally, it seeks to uncover the relationship between these two factors.<br><br>DESIGN: During the academic year 2022-2023, this research was conducted with nursing students at a university in Istanbul, utilizing a cross-sectional and exploratory correlational design. The study involved 390 nursing students at the same university, aiming to reach the entire population without using any sampling method. Valid data were obtained from 374 students. The Student Information Form, University Students' Climate Change Awareness Scale and the Eco-anxiety Scale used as instruments for data collection. Subsequently, the data underwent analysis in a computational environment utilizing descriptive statistical methods and Pearson correlation analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Most of the participants were female and single. The mean "total global climate change awareness" of the students was 75.072&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;15.094, and the mean "general eco-anxiety" of the students was 1.158&#xa0;&#xb1;&#xa0;0.629. A weak positive relationship was found between the total global climate change awareness and general environmental concerns of the students participating in the study at r&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.233 (p&#xa0;=&#xa0;0.000&#xa0;<&#xa0;0.05). The level of awareness of climate change explains 5&#xa0;% of nursing students' eco-anxiety levels.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This study emphasizes a significant relationship between climate change awareness and increased ecological anxiety. Filling a gap in the field due to the lack of specific research focusing on nursing students highlights the importance of maintaining awareness to prevent ecological anxiety from reaching undesirable levels. This approach is crucial in actively encouraging nurses to contribute to developing educational curricula and environmentally friendly health policies.},
}
@article {pmid38865135,
year = {2024},
author = {Kazi, DS and Katznelson, E and Liu, CL and Al-Roub, NM and Chaudhary, RS and Young, DE and McNichol, M and Mickley, LJ and Kramer, DB and Cascio, WE and Bernstein, AS and Rice, MB},
title = {Climate Change and Cardiovascular Health: A Systematic Review.},
journal = {JAMA cardiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jamacardio.2024.1321},
pmid = {38865135},
issn = {2380-6591},
abstract = {IMPORTANCE: Climate change may increase the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcomes by causing direct physiologic changes, psychological distress, and disruption of health-related infrastructure. Yet, the association between numerous climate change-related environmental stressors and the incidence of adverse cardiovascular events has not been systematically reviewed.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To review the current evidence on the association between climate change-related environmental stressors and adverse cardiovascular outcomes.<br><br>EVIDENCE REVIEW: PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched to identify peer-reviewed publications from January 1, 1970, through November 15, 2023, that evaluated associations between environmental exposures and cardiovascular mortality, acute cardiovascular events, and related health care utilization. Studies that examined only nonwildfire-sourced particulate air pollution were excluded. Two investigators independently screened 20&#x202f;798 articles and selected 2564 for full-text review. Study quality was assessed using the Navigation Guide framework. Findings were qualitatively synthesized as substantial differences in study design precluded quantitative meta-analysis.<br><br>FINDINGS: Of 492 observational studies that met inclusion criteria, 182 examined extreme temperature, 210 ground-level ozone, 45 wildfire smoke, and 63 extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, dust storms, and droughts. These studies presented findings from 30 high-income countries, 17 middle-income countries, and 1 low-income country. The strength of evidence was rated as sufficient for extreme temperature; ground-level ozone; tropical storms, hurricanes, and cyclones; and dust storms. Evidence was limited for wildfire smoke and inadequate for drought and mudslides. Exposure to extreme temperature was associated with increased cardiovascular mortality and morbidity, but the magnitude varied with temperature and duration of exposure. Ground-level ozone amplified the risk associated with higher temperatures and vice versa. Extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, were associated with increased cardiovascular risk that persisted for many months after the initial event. Some studies noted a small increase in cardiovascular mortality, out-of-hospital cardiac arrests, and hospitalizations for ischemic heart disease after exposure to wildfire smoke, while others found no association. Older adults, racial and ethnic minoritized populations, and lower-wealth communities were disproportionately affected.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Several environmental stressors that are predicted to increase in frequency and intensity with climate change are associated with increased cardiovascular risk, but data on outcomes in low-income countries are lacking. Urgent action is needed to mitigate climate change-associated cardiovascular risk, particularly in vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid38863437,
year = {2024},
author = {Monteiro Ramos, N and Castro, P},
title = {The climate battles of ideas: Minority discourses in readers' comments to climate change articles in the Portuguese press.},
journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9636625241254505},
doi = {10.1177/09636625241254505},
pmid = {38863437},
issn = {1361-6609},
abstract = {Today, the dominant climate change discourses affirm its anthropogenic nature and the urgency for policies. However, minority discourses remain active in the worldwide debate, refining arguments beyond simple denial-as shown regarding formal/official discourses of the United States and European far-right parties. This makes it necessary to examine the public understanding of climate change in everyday, informal minority discourses, looking at how they work for broadening societal space for "quarantining" the transformative potential of climate change meanings/policies. For this, we analyze readers' comments on climate change articles from two Portuguese newspapers, drawing from the frameworks of neutralization techniques and meaning barriers. Findings show that although denial of anthropogenic climate change remains, discursive efforts concentrate on person-stigmatizing depictions of climate change actors, delegitimized as "elites" in populist vocabularies, reflecting a consistent alignment between everyday discourses and those of the United States and European official far-right. We discuss the functions this pattern may have for the growth of climate change minority positions.},
}
@article {pmid38863246,
year = {2024},
author = {Li, X and Black, TA and Zha, T and Jassal, RS and Nesic, Z and Lee, SC and Bourque, CP and Hao, S and Jin, C and Liu, P and Jia, X and Tian, Y},
title = {Long-term trend and interannual variation in evapotranspiration of a young temperate Douglas-fir stand over 2002-2022 reveals the impacts of climate change.},
journal = {Plant, cell &amp; environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/pce.15000},
pmid = {38863246},
issn = {1365-3040},
support = {//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; //China Scholarship Council/ ; //Fluxnet Canada/ ; //an NSERC Discovery Grant (TAB) of the Natural Sciences/ ; //National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; //National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The shortage of decades-long continuous measurements of ecosystem processes limits our understanding of how changing climate impacts forest ecosystems. We used continuous eddy-covariance and hydrometeorological data over 2002-2022 from a young Douglas-fir stand on Vancouver Island, Canada to assess the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration (ET) and transpiration (T). Collectively, annual T displayed a decreasing trend over the 21 years with a rate of 1% yr[-1], which is attributed to the stomatal downregulation induced by rising atmospheric CO2 concentration. Similarly, annual ET also showed a decreasing trend since evaporation stayed relatively constant. Variability in detrended annual ET was mostly controlled by the average soil water storage during the growing season (May-October). Though the duration and intensity of the drought did not increase, the drought-induced decreases in T and ET showed an increasing trend. This pattern may reflect the changes in forest structure, related to the decline in the deciduous understory cover during the stand development. These results suggest that the water-saving effect of stomatal regulation and water-related factors mostly determined the trend and variability in ET, respectively. This may also imply an increase in the limitation of water availability on ET in young forests, associated with the structural and compositional changes related to forest growth.},
}
@article {pmid38862905,
year = {2024},
author = {Ccami-Bernal, F and Barriga-Chambi, F and Quispe-Vicuña, C and Fernandez-Guzman, D and Arredondo-Nontol, R and Arredondo-Nontol, M and Rojas-Rueda, D},
title = {Health science students' preparedness for climate change: a scoping review on knowledge, attitudes, and practices.},
journal = {BMC medical education},
volume = {24},
number = {1},
pages = {648},
pmid = {38862905},
issn = {1472-6920},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Health Knowledge, Attitudes, Practice ; Curriculum ; Students, Health Occupations/psychology ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change (CC) is a global public health issue, and the role of health professionals in addressing its impact is crucial. However, to what extent health professionals are prepared to deal with CC-related health problems is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the knowledge, attitudes, and practices of health students about the CC.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a scoping review through systematic searches in PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, Proquest, and EBSCO. We included original scientific research with no language or time restrictions. Two authors independently reviewed and decided on the eligibility of the studies, then performed data extraction.<br><br>RESULTS: 21 studies were included, with a total of 9205 undergraduate nursing, medical, pharmacy, and public health students mainly. Most health science students (>&#x2009;75%) recognized human activities as the main cause of CC. However, they perceived a lack of knowledge on how to address CC. Moreover, we found inadequate coverage or limited development of CC in related curricula that may contribute to incomplete learning or low confidence in the theoretical and practical concepts of students.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The findings of our scoping review suggest that while health sciences students possess a general understanding of CC, there is a significant gap in their knowledge regarding its specific health impacts. To address this gap, there is a need for targeted education and training for future health care professionals that emphasizes the health effects of CC.},
}
@article {pmid38862358,
year = {2024},
author = {Bogdziewicz, M and Kelly, D and Ascoli, D and Caignard, T and Chianucci, F and Crone, EE and Fleurot, E and Foest, JJ and Gratzer, G and Hagiwara, T and Han, Q and Journé, V and Keurinck, L and Kondrat, K and McClory, R and La Montagne, JM and Mundo, IA and Nussbaumer, A and Oberklammer, I and Ohno, M and Pearse, IS and Pesendorfer, MB and Resente, G and Satake, A and Shibata, M and Snell, RS and Szymkowiak, J and Touzot, L and Zwolak, R and Zywiec, M and Hacket-Pain, AJ},
title = {Evolutionary ecology of masting: mechanisms, models, and climate change.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2024.05.006},
pmid = {38862358},
issn = {1872-8383},
abstract = {Many perennial plants show mast seeding, characterized by synchronous and highly variable reproduction across years. We propose a general model of masting, integrating proximate factors (environmental variation, weather cues, and resource budgets) with ultimate drivers (predator satiation and