@article {pmid35778380,
year = {2022},
author = {Ouyang, Z and Sciusco, P and Jiao, T and Feron, S and Lei, C and Li, F and John, R and Fan, P and Li, X and Williams, CA and Chen, G and Wang, C and Chen, J},
title = {Albedo changes caused by future urbanization contribute to global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {3800},
pmid = {35778380},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {The replacement of natural lands with urban structures has multiple environmental consequences, yet little is known about the magnitude and extent of albedo-induced warming contributions from urbanization at the global scale in the past and future. Here, we apply an empirical approach to quantify the climate effects of past urbanization and future urbanization projected under different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). We find an albedo-induced warming effect of urbanization for both the past and the projected futures under three illustrative scenarios. The albedo decease from urbanization in 2018 relative to 2001 has yielded a 100-year average annual global warming of 0.00014 [0.00008, 0.00021] °C. Without proper mitigation, future urbanization in 2050 relative to 2018 and that in 2100 relative to 2018 under the intermediate emission scenario (SSP2-4.5) would yield a 100-year average warming effect of 0.00107 [0.00057,0.00179] °C and 0.00152 [0.00078,0.00259] °C, respectively, through altering the Earth's albedo.},
}
@article {pmid35777560,
year = {2022},
author = {Ji, L and Tanunchai, B and Wahdan, SFM and Schädler, M and Purahong, W},
title = {Future climate change enhances the complexity of plastisphere microbial co-occurrence networks, but does not significantly affect the community assembly.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {157016},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157016},
pmid = {35777560},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Biobased and biodegradable plastics have been intensively used in agriculture as mulching films. They provide a distinctive habitat for soil microbes, yet much less is known about the community assembly and interactions of plastisphere microbiota in soils under future climate change. For the first time, we explored the relative importance of ecological processes and the co-occurrence networks of plastic-associated microbes under ambient and future climates. The drift primarily dominated the community assembly of bacteria and fungi after 180D and 328D incubation in both climate regimes. The neutral community model prediction indicated that the migration rate of the plastisphere community in the later decay phase was lower than that in the early decay phase, contributing to the generation of the specific niches. Furthermore, future climate promoted the complexity and modularity of plastic-associated microbial networks: more competition and cooperation were observed in bacteria (or inter-kingdom) and fungi under future climate conditions, respectively. Overall, our findings strengthened the understanding of ecological processes and interplay of plastisphere microbiota during plastic biodegradation in soils under ambient and future climate regimes.},
}
@article {pmid35774820,
year = {2022},
author = {Rayapuram, N and De Zelicourt, A and Satbhai, SB and Arteaga-Vazquez, MA},
title = {Editorial: Plant Epigenetics and Climate Change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {955159},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.955159},
pmid = {35774820},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid35774367,
year = {2022},
author = {Novikova, LY and Ozerski, PV},
title = {Forecast for the zone of viticulture in European Russia under climate change.},
journal = {Vavilovskii zhurnal genetiki i selektsii},
volume = {26},
number = {3},
pages = {264-271},
doi = {10.18699/VJGB-22-33},
pmid = {35774367},
issn = {2500-0462},
abstract = {Climate warming has turned out to be a significant factor in viticulture and winemaking in all grape-growing areas of the world. Many countries consider the advance of viticulture to the north and to mountainous areas as a possible way to adapt to warming. The factors limiting the zone of viticulture in Russia have been identified by Soviet scientist F.F. Davitaya in 1948, and they are still relevant. They are the sum of active temperatures above 10 °C (ΣT10 > 2500 °C), mean of absolute minimum temperatures (Tmin > -35 °C), length of the frost-free period (Lff < 150 days), and hydrothermal coefficient (0.5 < HTC <2.5). The values of these limiting factors in the present-day zone of commercial viticulture (ZCV) correspond to the ranges defined by F.F. Davitaya, with the exception of Tmin, which in the modern ZCV in European Russia is above -26 °C everywhere. The objective of this work was to assess the possibility of moving the boundaries of the ZCV to the north under the existing and predicted climate conditions in European Russia. The 1980-2019 daily data from 150 weather stations of the Federal Service for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring were used to calculate mean long-term values, trends and forecasts for 2050 for the ZCV limiting factors and locate the points lying in the range acceptable for viticulture. The QGIS program was applied to plot the points on the European Russia map and mark the terminal latitude. Versions with Tmin > -26 °C and Tmin > -35 °C were considered. On average for European Russia, in 1980-2019, there was an increase in ΣT10 , Tmin, and Lff and a decrease in HTC. However, in the same period, Tmin showed a tendency toward decreasing at a number of points at latitudes lower than 55° N. The increase in heat supply during the growing season in European Russia implies a possibility of expanding the ZCV northward, beyond the present-day terminal latitude of 46.6° N, to 51.8° N under the existing conditions, and up to 60.7° N by 2050. In addition, even under the current conditions viticulture is possible in the area of Kaliningrad (54° N, 20° E). Using extra protective measures in winters not colder than -35 °C would make it possible to grow grapes at up to 53.3° N under the current conditions and at up to 60.7° N under the prognosticated ones. At the same time, a possible decrease in the minimum winter temperature at the south of European Russia will require additional protective measures in winter, while an increase in the aridity of the climate on the northwest coast of the Caspian Sea will reduce the area under non-irrigated vineyards.},
}
@article {pmid35771923,
year = {2022},
author = {Voosen, P},
title = {Hidden carbon layer sparked ancient bout of global warming.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {377},
number = {6601},
pages = {12-13},
doi = {10.1126/science.add6990},
pmid = {35771923},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Deep carbon exhumed by volcanic rift between Greenland and Europe implicated in 56-million-year-old hothouse.},
}
@article {pmid35770617,
year = {2022},
author = {Chai, L and Zhou, Y and Wang, X},
title = {Impact of global warming on regional cycling of mercury and persistent organic pollutants on the Tibetan Plateau: current progress and future prospects.},
journal = {Environmental science. Processes &amp; impacts},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1039/d1em00550b},
pmid = {35770617},
issn = {2050-7895},
abstract = {Global warming profoundly affects not only mountainous and polar environments, but also the global and regional cycling of pollutants. Mercury (Hg) and persistent organic pollutants (POPs) have global transport capacity and are regulated by the Minamata Convention and Stockholm Convention, respectively. Since the beginning of this century, understanding of the origin and fate of Hg and POPs on the Tibetan Plateau (TP, also known as the third pole) has been deepening. In this paper, the existing literature is reviewed to comprehensively understand the atmospheric transport, atmospheric deposition, cumulative transformation and accumulation of Hg and POPs on the TP region under the background of global warming. The biogeochemical cycle of both Hg and POPs has the following environmental characteristics: (1) the Indian summer monsoon and westerly winds carry Hg and POPs inland to the TP; (2) the cold trapping effect causes Hg and POPs to be deposited on the TP by dry and wet deposition, making glaciers, permafrost, and snow the key sinks of Hg and POPs; (3) Hg and POPs can subsequently be released due to the melting of glaciers and permafrost; (4) bioaccumulation and biomagnification of Hg and POPs have been examined in the aquatic food chain; (5) ice cores and lake cores preserve the impacts of both regional emissions and glacial melting on Hg and POP migration. This implies that comprehensive models will be needed to evaluate the fate and toxicity of Hg and POPs on larger spatial and longer temporal scales to forecast their projected tendencies under diverse climate scenarios. Future policies and regulations should address the disrupted repercussions of inclusive CC such as weather extremes, floods and storms, and soil sustainable desertification on the fate of Hg and POPs. The present findings advocate the strengthening of the cross-national programs aimed at the elimination of Hg and POPs in polar (Arctic, Antarctic and TP) and certain mountainous (the Himalaya, Rocky Mountains, and Alps) ecosystems for better understanding the impacts of global warming on the accumulation of Hg/POPs in cold and remote areas.},
}
@article {pmid35769847,
year = {2022},
author = {Hussain, SSA and Dhiman, RC},
title = {Distribution Expansion of Dengue Vectors and Climate Change in India.},
journal = {GeoHealth},
volume = {6},
number = {6},
pages = {e2021GH000477},
doi = {10.1029/2021GH000477},
pmid = {35769847},
issn = {2471-1403},
abstract = {India has witnessed a five-fold increase in dengue incidence in the past decade. However, the nation-wide distribution of dengue vectors, and the impacts of climate change are not known. In this study, species distribution modeling was used to predict the baseline and future distribution of Aedine vectors in India on the basis of biologically relevant climatic indicators. Known occurrences of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus were obtained from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility database and previous literature. Bio-climatic variables were used as the potential predictors of vector distribution. After eliminating collinear and low contributing predictors, the baseline and future prevalence of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus was determined, under three Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5), using the MaxEnt species distribution model. Aedes aegypti was found prevalent in most parts of the southern peninsula, the eastern coastline, north eastern states and the northern plains. In contrast, Aedes albopictus has localized distribution along the eastern and western coastlines, north eastern states and in the lower Himalayas. Under future scenarios of climate change, Aedes aegypti is projected to expand into unsuitable regions of the Thar desert, whereas Aedes albopictus is projected to expand to the upper and trans Himalaya regions of the north. Overall, the results provide a reliable assessment of vectors prevalence in most parts of the country that can be used to guide surveillance efforts, despite minor disagreements with dengue incidence in Rajasthan and the north east, possibly due to behavioral practices and sampling efforts.},
}
@article {pmid35765035,
year = {2022},
author = {Tagwireyi, P and Ndebele, M and Chikurunhe, W},
title = {Climate change diminishes the potential habitat of the bont tick (Amblyomma hebraeum): evidence from Mashonaland Central Province, Zimbabwe.},
journal = {Parasites &amp; vectors},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {237},
pmid = {35765035},
issn = {1756-3305},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Understanding the response of vector habitats to climate change is essential for vector management. Increasingly, there is fear that climate change may cause vectors to be more important for animal husbandry in the future. Therefore, knowledge about the current and future spatial distribution of vectors, including ticks (Ixodida), is progressively becoming more critical to animal disease control.<br><br>METHODS: Our study produced present (2018) and future (2050) bont tick (Amblyomma hebraeum) niche models for Mashonaland Central Province, Zimbabwe. Specifically, our approach used the Ensemble algorithm in Biomod2 package in R 3.4.4 with a suite of physical and anthropogenic covariates against the tick's presence-only location data obtained from cattle dipping facilities.<br><br>RESULTS: Our models showed that currently (the year 2018) the bont tick potentially occurs in 17,008 km2, which is 60% of Mashonaland Central Province. However, the models showed that in the future (the year 2050), the bont tick will occur in 13,323 km2, which is 47% of Mashonaland Central Province. Thus, the models predicted an ~ 13% reduction in the potential habitat, about 3685 km2 of the study area. Temperature, elevation and rainfall were the most important variables explaining the present and future potential habitat of the bont tick.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Results of our study are essential in informing programmes that seek to control the bont tick in Mashonaland Central Province, Zimbabwe and similar environments.},
}
@article {pmid35764606,
year = {2022},
author = {Satoh, Y and Yoshimura, K and Pokhrel, Y and Kim, H and Shiogama, H and Yokohata, T and Hanasaki, N and Wada, Y and Burek, P and Byers, E and Schmied, HM and Gerten, D and Ostberg, S and Gosling, SN and Boulange, JES and Oki, T},
title = {The timing of unprecedented hydrological drought under climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {3287},
pmid = {35764606},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {Droughts that exceed the magnitudes of historical variation ranges could occur increasingly frequently under future climate conditions. However, the time of the emergence of unprecedented drought conditions under climate change has rarely been examined. Here, using multimodel hydrological simulations, we investigate the changes in the frequency of hydrological drought (defined as abnormally low river discharge) under high and low greenhouse gas concentration scenarios and existing water resource management measures and estimate the time of the first emergence of unprecedented regional drought conditions centered on the low-flow season. The times are detected for several subcontinental-scale regions, and three regions, namely, Southwestern South America, Mediterranean Europe, and Northern Africa, exhibit particularly robust results under the high-emission scenario. These three regions are expected to confront unprecedented conditions within the next 30 years with a high likelihood regardless of the emission scenarios. In addition, the results obtained herein demonstrate the benefits of the lower-emission pathway in reducing the likelihood of emergence. The Paris Agreement goals are shown to be effective in reducing the likelihood to the unlikely level in most regions. However, appropriate and prior adaptation measures are considered indispensable when facing unprecedented drought conditions. The results of this study underscore the importance of improving drought preparedness within the considered time horizons.},
}
@article {pmid35762234,
year = {2022},
author = {Salthammer, T and Zhao, J and Schieweck, A and Uhde, E and Hussein, T and Antretter, F and Künzel, H and Pazold, M and Radon, J and Birmili, W},
title = {A holistic modeling framework for estimating the influence of climate change on indoor air quality.},
journal = {Indoor air},
volume = {32},
number = {6},
pages = {e13039},
doi = {10.1111/ina.13039},
pmid = {35762234},
issn = {1600-0668},
support = {//Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation, Nuclear Safety and Consumer Protection (BMUV): REFOPLANFKZ3719512050/ ; },
abstract = {The IPCC 2021 report predicts rising global temperatures and more frequent extreme weather events in the future, which will have different effects on the regional climate and concentrations of ambient air pollutants. Consequently, changes in heat and mass transfer between the inside and outside of buildings will also have an increasing impact on indoor air quality. It is therefore surprising that indoor spaces and occupant well-being still play a subordinate role in the studies of climate change. To increase awareness for this topic, the Indoor Air Quality Climate Change (IAQCC) model system was developed, which allows short and long-term predictions of the indoor climate with respect to outdoor conditions. The IAQCC is a holistic model that combines different scenarios in the form of submodels: building physics, indoor emissions, chemical-physical reaction and transformation, mold growth, and indoor exposure. IAQCC allows simulation of indoor gas and particle concentrations with outdoor influences, indoor materials and activity emissions, particle deposition and coagulation, gas reactions, and SVOC partitioning. These key processes are fundamentally linked to temperature and relative humidity. With the aid of the building physics model, the indoor temperature and humidity, and pollutant transport in building zones can be simulated. The exposure model refers to the calculated concentrations and provides evaluations of indoor thermal comfort and exposure to gaseous, particulate, and microbial pollutants.},
}
@article {pmid35760622,
year = {2022},
author = {González Svatetz, CA},
title = {Nutrition, cardiovascular disease risk and climate change.},
journal = {Clinica e investigacion en arteriosclerosis : publicacion oficial de la Sociedad Espanola de Arteriosclerosis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.arteri.2022.06.001},
pmid = {35760622},
issn = {1578-1879},
}
@article {pmid35760112,
year = {2022},
author = {Bhattarai, U and Devkota, LP and Marahatta, S and Shrestha, D and Maraseni, T},
title = {How will hydro-energy generation of the Nepalese Himalaya vary in the future? A climate change perspective.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113746},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113746},
pmid = {35760112},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Despite being one of the proven clean-energy technologies, hydroelectricity is losing attention in global research. Hydroelectricity is extremely important for countries possessing the required water resources, already heavily reliant on it and those lacking the financial capacity to invest in other expensive energy technologies. This study assessed the possible impact of climate change (CC) on hydro-energy generation in the Nepalese Himalaya (possessing eight peaks out of 14 over 8000 m) with a tremendous hydropower potential (∼50,000 MW). A planned 1200 MW storage type Budhigandaki Hydroelectricity Project is taken as a case. We estimated the energy generation for the baseline as well as 10 CC scenarios considering RCPs 4.5 and 8.5 at monthly, seasonal, and annual temporal scales for the mid-century. Results show that energy generation is highly dependent on the reservoir operating rule. The average annual energy generation is expected to vary within -5 to +12% of the base case in the mid-century, with significant variations across the months. We also infer that designing hydro-projects based on ensembled climate values could lead to a "rosy" but less probable and risky picture of energy generation in the future. Therefore, assessment of a wide spectrum of plausible CC scenarios are recommended. Storage type projects with provision of flexible operating rules considering finer temporal resolution and allocation to competing users (in case of multipurpose projects) supported by appropriate policies are desirable for climate resiliency. Complementing the existing energy generation mix with other technologies in areas where hydroelectricity is expected to undergo adverse impacts of CC is warranted for attaining future energy security and environmental safeguarding. Possibility of additional energy due to CC is a strong motivation for this region to focus on hydroelectricity development in the future.},
}
@article {pmid35759851,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhu, Z and Wang, K and Lei, M and Li, X and Li, X and Jiang, L and Gao, X and Li, S and Liang, J},
title = {Identification of priority areas for water ecosystem services by a techno-economic, social and climate change modeling framework.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {221},
number = {},
pages = {118766},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2022.118766},
pmid = {35759851},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Water scarcity and quality deterioration often occur in economically developing regions, particularly during crises related to climate change or increasing human activities. The assignment of priority areas is considered a suitable strategy for stakeholders to mitigate water crises and cope with water stress. However, most studies focused on protecting water bodies in priority areas and did not consider the hydrological/hydrochemical/hydroecological interaction between aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. We divided a watershed into manageable areas to select priority areas for multiple water-related ecosystem services (WES-priority areas), considering the aquatic-terrestrial interactions to predict the effects of climate change and human activities. The proposed novelty framework couples the soil and water assessment tool and maximum entropy models with a systematic conservation planning tool. It uses the gross domestic product as the economic cost to assess dynamic changes and social-environmental driving forces. A case study is conducted in the Xiangjiang River basin, a modified watershed of the main tributary of the Yangtze River, China. Results revealed that most of the WES-priority areas were located in the southern and southeastern regions of the upper reaches in all climatic scenarios. The conservation efficiency of the WES-priority areas decreased from 1.264 to 0.867 in 50 years, indicating that the level of protection declined as climate change accelerated. The precipitation was positively correlated with the WES-priority area selection in all climate scenarios. The temperature was only negatively correlated with the WES-priority areas when it exceeded 20 °C, and this effect became more pronounced as the temperature increased. The topographic factors had the most crucial impacts on the upstream priority areas selection. The water flow regulation service played a leading role in identifying WES-priority areas in the middle reaches because the priority areas' distribution here was closely related to the water yield, and its proportion decreased with the acceleration of global warming. The number of WES-priority areas was relatively low in the lower reaches. It was positively associated with the gross domestic product and the amount of built-up land. The proposed framework for WES-priority areas identification enables a sound trade-off between environmental protection and economic development.},
}
@article {pmid35759500,
year = {2022},
author = {Jacobson, MJ and Pickett, J and Gascoigne, AL and Fleitmann, D and Elton, H},
title = {Settlement, environment, and climate change in SW Anatolia: Dynamics of regional variation and the end of Antiquity.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {6},
pages = {e0270295},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0270295},
pmid = {35759500},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {This paper develops a regional dataset of change at 381 settlements for Lycia-Pamphylia in southwest Anatolia (Turkey) from volume 8 of the Tabula Imperii Byzantini-a compilation of historical toponyms and archaeological evidence. This region is rich in archaeological remains and high-quality paleo-climatic and -environmental archives. Our archaeological synthesis enables direct comparison of these datasets to discuss current hypotheses of climate impacts on historical societies. A Roman Climatic Optimum, characterized by warmer and wetter conditions, facilitating Roman expansion in the 1st-2nd centuries CE cannot be supported here, as Early Byzantine settlement did not benefit from enhanced precipitation in the 4th-6th centuries CE as often supposed. However, widespread settlement decline in a period with challenging archaeological chronologies (c. 550-650 CE) was likely caused by a "perfect storm" of environmental, climatic, seismic, pathogenic and socio-economic factors, though a shift to drier conditions from c. 460 CE appears to have preceded other factors by at least a century.},
}
@article {pmid35759491,
year = {2022},
author = {Russell, M and Olson, MB and Love, BA},
title = {Surf smelt accelerate usage of endogenous energy reserves under climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {6},
pages = {e0270491},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0270491},
pmid = {35759491},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Surf smelt (Hypomesus pretiosus) are ecologically critical forage fish in the North Pacific ecosystem. As obligate beach spawners, surf smelt embryos are exposed to wide-ranging marine and terrestrial environmental conditions. Despite this fact, very few studies have assessed surf smelt tolerance to climate stressors. The purpose of this study was to examine the interactive effects of climate co-stressors ocean warming and acidification on the energy demands of embryonic and larval surf smelt. Surf smelt embryos and larvae were collected from spawning beaches and placed into treatment basins under three temperature treatments (13°C, 15°C, and 18°C) and two pCO2 treatments (i.e. ocean acidification) of approximately 900 and 1900 μatm. Increased temperature significantly decreased yolk size in surf smelt embryos and larvae. Embryo yolk sacs in high temperature treatments were on average 7.3% smaller than embryo yolk sacs from ambient temperature water. Larval yolk and oil globules mirrored this trend. Larval yolk sacs in the high temperature treatment were 45.8% smaller and oil globules 31.9% smaller compared to larvae in ambient temperature. There was also a significant positive effect of acidification on embryo yolk size, indicating embryos used less maternally-provisioned energy under acidification scenarios. There was no significant effect of either temperature or acidification on embryo heartrates. These results indicate that near-future climate change scenarios may impact the energy demands of developing surf smelt, leading to potential effects on surf smelt fitness and contributing to variability in adult recruitment.},
}
@article {pmid35759407,
year = {2022},
author = {Di Santo, V},
title = {EcoPhysioMechanics: Integrating energetics and biomechanics to understand fish locomotion under climate change.},
journal = {Integrative and comparative biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/icb/icac095},
pmid = {35759407},
issn = {1557-7023},
abstract = {Ecological physiologists and biomechanists have been broadly investigating swimming performance in a diversity of fishes, however the connection between form, function and energetics of locomotion has been rarely evaluated in the same system and under climate change scenarios. In this perspective I argue that working within the framework of 'EcoPhysioMechanics', i.e., integrating energetics and biomechanics tools, to measure locomotor performance and behavior under different abiotic factors, improves our understanding of the mechanisms, limits and costs of movement. To demonstrate how ecophysiomechanics can be applied to locomotor studies, I outline how linking biomechanics and physiology allows us to understand how fishes may modulate their movement to achieve high speeds or reduce the costs of locomotion. I also discuss how the framework is necessary to quantify swimming capacity under climate change scenarios. Finally, I discuss current dearth of integrative studies and gaps in empirical datasets that are necessary to understand fish swimming under changing environments.},
}
@article {pmid35758982,
year = {2022},
author = {Budziszewska, M and Jonsson, SE},
title = {Talking about climate change and eco-anxiety in psychotherapy: A qualitative analysis of patients' experiences.},
journal = {Psychotherapy (Chicago, Ill.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1037/pst0000449},
pmid = {35758982},
issn = {1939-1536},
support = {//University of Warsaw; Faculty of Psychology/ ; //Ministry of Science and Higher Education/ ; },
abstract = {Citizens' worries about climate change are often realistic and legitimate. Simultaneously, these worries can also become a source of distress so severe as to impair everyday functioning and prompt someone to seek psychotherapy. These emergent phenomena are often referred to as "climate anxiety" or "climate depression" by the popular culture and by patients themselves. Psychotherapists around the world report seeing more and more patients who report that they are experiencing distress due to climate change. This article documents a study that involved engaging 10 Swedish adults who sought help for climate change-related emotional distress in in-depth conversations about their psychotherapeutic experience. This was followed by analyzing accounts of psychotherapeutic processes to understand patients' experiences and outcomes. Interviews were examined with interpretative phenomenological analysis (IPA). Therapists' knowledge about climate change and competence in coping with it, validation of climate change-related emotions, and learning to manage these emotions were salient aspects of psychotherapy from the patients' perspective. Connecting psychotherapy to personal values and action orientation, resulting in an enhanced sense of meaning and sense of community, was also considered important. In conclusion, based on participants' experience, we offer practical guidance for practitioners. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).},
}
@article {pmid35757885,
year = {2022},
author = {Ricciardi, L and D'Odorico, P and Galli, N and Chiarelli, DD and Rulli, MC},
title = {Hydrological implications of large-scale afforestation in tropical biomes for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {377},
number = {1857},
pages = {20210391},
doi = {10.1098/rstb.2021.0391},
pmid = {35757885},
issn = {1471-2970},
abstract = {Rising interest in large-scale afforestation and reforestation as a strategy for climate change mitigation has recently motivated research efforts aiming at the identification of areas suitable for the plantation of trees. An often-overlooked aspect of agroforestry projects for carbon sequestration is their impact on water resources. It is often unclear to what extent the establishment of forest vegetation would be limited by water availability, whether it would engender competition with other local water uses or induce water scarcity. Here we use global water models to study the hydrologic constraints and impacts of afforestation in tropical biomes. We find that 36% of total suitable and available afforestation areas are in areas where the rain alone can meet just up to the 40% of total plant water requirement. Planting trees will substantially increase water scarcity and possible dispossession (green water grab) especially in dryland regions of Africa and Oceania. Moreover, the combination of tree restoration and irrigation expansion to rainfed agricultural areas is expected to further exacerbate water scarcity, with about half of the global suitable areas for tree restoration experiencing water scarcity at least 7 months per year. Thus, the unavailability of water can overall limit climate change adaptation strategies. This article is part of the theme issue 'Ecological complexity and the biosphere: the next 30 years'.},
}
@article {pmid35756885,
year = {2022},
author = {Desthieux, G and Joerin, F},
title = {Urban planning in Swiss cities has been slow to think about climate change: why and what to do?.},
journal = {Journal of environmental studies and sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-22},
doi = {10.1007/s13412-022-00767-9},
pmid = {35756885},
issn = {2190-6483},
abstract = {Recent years have been marked by a strong popular and political mobilization around climate change. However, to what extent does this mobilization lead to reduce greenhouse gas emissions or the vulnerability of our society to the effects of climate change? This question is at the heart of the research presented, which sought to identify the barriers and levers to the integration of climate issues into urban planning of Swiss cities. The literature review first situates the integration of climate change in Swiss cities in relation to the evolution of practices at the international level. It emerged that Swiss cities have generally been late in integrating climate issues into their public policies. Practices still focus strongly on energy policies aimed at reducing greenhouse gas emissions, but adaptation measures in urban planning are poorly implemented. In order to better understand the reasons for this slow and late integration of climate change into urban planning of Swiss cities, a survey was conducted among more than 200 professionals. It showed that the evolution of practices is generally driven by "pioneering" actors who are strongly mobilized by personal values and who use specialized and scientific sources of information. Finally, two focus groups with representative professionals were organized in order to deepen the barriers and levers observed and to formulate sound recommendations for integrating the climate issue into urban planning. Two lines of action emerged: prioritization (strengthening legal frameworks and organizational structures) and support (training and involvement of climate experts at all stages of urban planning).},
}
@article {pmid35756150,
year = {2022},
author = {Alvares, CA and Sentelhas, PC and Dias, HB},
title = {Southeastern Brazil inland tropicalization: Köppen system applied for detecting climate change throughout 100 years of meteorological observed data.},
journal = {Theoretical and applied climatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-20},
doi = {10.1007/s00704-022-04122-4},
pmid = {35756150},
issn = {0177-798X},
abstract = {Many regions around the world are facing climate changes, with substantial increase in air temperature over the past decades, which is mainly related to continental and global warming forced by the higher greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The objectives of this study were to use the Köppen climate classification to detect local climate change based on a historical series of 100 years and to assess if such change is related to those that are occurring in other spatial scales as a likely consequence of increasing GHG. This paper brings a content full of innovative results. The study area presented an average annual air temperature increase by 0.9 °C between 1917 and 2016, rising from 21.4 °C for the first climatological normal (1917-1946) to 22.3 °C for the last one (1987-2016). Furthermore, in the summer months, the temperature rose from 24.5 to 25.3 °C, and in the winter months, such increase was from 17.1 (1917-1946) to 18.3 °C (1987-2016). Our findings showed the subtropical conditions (Cfa in Köppen's classification) in the study area persisted from the beginning of the analysis (1917-1946) until the climatological normal of 1979-2008, with a clear tendency of tropicalization after that with a change in the climate type of Piracicaba from subtropical to tropical, which can now be classified as tropical with dry winter (Aw climate type). The local average air temperature showed concordances with the long-term air temperature anomalies from regional, continental, and global scales, indicating that all of them may be linked with increasing GHG emissions, since well-defined long-term linear relationships (r 2 = 0.99) were observed between continental and global average air temperature anomalies and atmospheric CO2 concentration observed at the NOAA Lab in Mauna Loa in the last 59 years. While the local and regional forcing effects remain to be fully unraveled, our study provided a valid and strong scientific sound evidence that climate change occurred in Piracicaba, southeastern Brazil, in the last 100 years.},
}
@article {pmid35756105,
year = {2022},
author = {Orkodjo, TP and Kranjac-Berisavijevic, G and Abagale, FK},
title = {Impact of climate change on future precipitation amounts, seasonal distribution, and streamflow in the Omo-Gibe basin, Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e09711},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09711},
pmid = {35756105},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {This study projected the impact of climate change on the amount of precipitation, seasonal distribution, and streamflow of the Omo-gibe basin, Ethiopia. Projections of climate change using the results of high-resolution multimodal ensembles from fifteen regional climate models (RCMs) of the Coordinated Regional Climate Reduction Experiment (CORDEX)-Africa were statistically downscaled and bias-adjusted using a quantile mapping approach. Precipitation and temperature were projected under RCP 8.5 and RCP 4.5 emission scenarios. Climate and streamflow projections from a mean ensemble of RCMs in the near future (2025-2050), medium future (2051-2075), and far future (2076-2100) were compared to the reference (1989-2019). Mann-Kendall (MK) trend testing was used to determine if a change is statistically significant and to detect trends in temperature, precipitation, and streamflow. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model was used to project the impact of climate change on the streamflow. According to RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, the emission scenarios predicted significant positive (rising) temperature, but significant negative (decreasing) precipitation and streamflow. The average temperature projected increases range from 2.40-3.34 °C under the RCP 4.5 emission scenarios and 2.6-4.54 °C under the RCP 8.5 emission scenarios. Annual average precipitation projected decreases range between 10.77-13.11% under the RCP 4.5 emission scenario, while the RCP 8.5 emission scenarios decrease range between 11.10-13.86% in the rainy summer season (June-August) and the irregular rain season (March-May). Projected annual average streamflow decrease range between 7.08-10.99% under the RCP 4.5 emission scenarios and 10.98-12.88% under the RCP 8.5 emission scenarios. Results on projected temperature increases and reductions in precipitation and streamflow will help to develop effective adaptation measures to reduce the ongoing impacts of climate change and draw up long-term water resource management plans in the river basin. Both the results and the multidisciplinary approach will be vital to irrigation and hydropower project planners.},
}
@article {pmid35755674,
year = {2022},
author = {Egea, JA and Caro, M and García-Brunton, J and Gambín, J and Egea, J and Ruiz, D},
title = {Agroclimatic Metrics for the Main Stone Fruit Producing Areas in Spain in Current and Future Climate Change Scenarios: Implications From an Adaptive Point of View.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {842628},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.842628},
pmid = {35755674},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Stone fruit production has enormous economic importance in Spain. Cultivation locations for these fruit species (i.e., peach, apricot, plum, and sweet cherry) cover wide and climatically diverse geographical areas within the country. Climate change is already producing an increase in average temperatures with special intensity in certain areas like the Mediterranean ones. These changes lead to a decrease in the accumulated chill, which can have a profound impact on the phenology of Prunus species like stone fruits due to, e.g., difficulties to cover the chilling requirements to break endodormancy, the occurrence of late frost events, or abnormal early high temperatures. All these factors can severely affect fruit production and quality and therefore provoke very negative consequences from the socio-economic point of view in the incumbent regions. Thus, characterization of current cultivation areas in terms of agroclimatic variables (e.g., chill and heat accumulation and probabilities of frost and early abnormal heat events), based on data from 270 weather stations for the past 20 years, is carried out in this work to produce an informative picture of the current situation. Besides, future climatic projections from different global climate models (data retrieved from the Meteorological State Agency of Spain-AEMET) up to 2065 for two Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (i.e., RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) are also analyzed. Using the current situation as a baseline and considering the future scenarios, information on the current and future adaptive suitability of the different species/cultivars to the different growing areas can be inferred. This information could be the basis of a decision support tool to help the different stakeholders to take optimal decisions regarding current and future stone fruit or other temperate species cultivation in Spain.},
}
@article {pmid35755135,
year = {2022},
author = {Adhikari, M and Longman, RJ and Giambelluca, TW and Lee, CN and He, Y},
title = {Climate change impacts shifting landscape of the dairy industry in Hawai'i.},
journal = {Translational animal science},
volume = {6},
number = {2},
pages = {txac064},
doi = {10.1093/tas/txac064},
pmid = {35755135},
issn = {2573-2102},
abstract = {Proper knowledge and understanding of climatic variability across different seasons are important in farm management. To learn more about the potential effects of climate change on dairying in Hawaii, we conducted a study on site-specific climate characterization using several variables including rainfall, wind speed (WS), solar radiation, and temperature, at two dairy farms located on Hawai`i Island, Hawai`i, in Ookala named "OK DAIRY" and in Upolu Point named "UP DAIRY." Temperature-humidity index (THI) and WS variations in the hottest four months (June to September) were analyzed to determine when critical thresholds that affect animal health are exceeded. Rainfall data were used to estimate the capacity of forage production in 6-mo wet (November to April) and dry (May to October) seasons. Future projections of temperature and rainfall were assessed using mid- and end-century gridded data products for low (RCP 4.5) and high emissions (RCP 8.5) scenarios. Our results showed that the "OK DAIRY" site received higher rainfall than the "UP DAIRY" site, favoring grass growth and forage availability. In addition, the "UP DAIRY" site was more stressful for animals during the summer (THI 69 to 73) than the "OK DAIRY" site (THI 67 to 70) as the THI exceeded the critical threshold of 68, which is conducive for high-lactating cattle. On the "UP DAIRY" site, the THI did not drop below 68 during the summer nights, which created fewer opportunities for cattle to recover from heat stress. Future projections indicated that air temperature would increase 1.3 to 1.8 °C by mid-century and 1.6 to 3.2 °C by the end-century at both farms, and rainfall will increase at the "OK DAIRY" site and decrease at the "UP DAIRY" site by the end-century. The agriculture and livestock industries, particularly the dairy and beef subsectors in Hawai`i, are vulnerable to climate changes as higher temperatures and less rainfall will have adverse effects on cattle. The findings in this study demonstrated how both observed and projected changes in climate support the development of long-term strategies for breeding and holistic livestock management practices to adapt to changing climate conditions.},
}
@article {pmid35752628,
year = {2022},
author = {Qiu, Y and Lamers, P and Daioglou, V and McQueen, N and de Boer, HS and Harmsen, M and Wilcox, J and Bardow, A and Suh, S},
title = {Environmental trade-offs of direct air capture technologies in climate change mitigation toward 2100.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {3635},
pmid = {35752628},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {n/a//DOE | LDRD | National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)/ ; n/a//DOE | LDRD | National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL)/ ; 1658652//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Direct air capture (DAC) is critical for achieving stringent climate targets, yet the environmental implications of its large-scale deployment have not been evaluated in this context. Performing a prospective life cycle assessment for two promising technologies in a series of climate change mitigation scenarios, we find that electricity sector decarbonization and DAC technology improvements are both indispensable to avoid environmental problem-shifting. Decarbonizing the electricity sector improves the sequestration efficiency, but also increases the terrestrial ecotoxicity and metal depletion levels per tonne of CO2 sequestered via DAC. These increases can be reduced by improvements in DAC material and energy use efficiencies. DAC exhibits regional environmental impact variations, highlighting the importance of smart siting related to energy system planning and integration. DAC deployment aids the achievement of long-term climate targets, its environmental and climate performance however depend on sectoral mitigation actions, and thus should not suggest a relaxation of sectoral decarbonization targets.},
}
@article {pmid35752460,
year = {2022},
author = {Chen, X and Chen, X and Xu, L and Wen, F},
title = {Attention to climate change and downside risk: Evidence from China.},
journal = {Risk analysis : an official publication of the Society for Risk Analysis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/risa.13975},
pmid = {35752460},
issn = {1539-6924},
support = {72131011//National Natural Science foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {We explore the role of public climate attention, captured by the Baidu search volume index, in the downside risk. Using 45 keywords from five perspectives related to climate change, we construct a public climate attention index in China. We find a positive and significant relationship between climate attention and downside risk at the market-level and firm-level. Moreover, the risk-increase effect of climate attention becomes more prominent for state-owned and high-carbon-emission firms. Further analysis shows that excellent sustainable performance can moderate the adverse effect of rising climate attention, while the major climate disasters exacerbate the effect. Overall, our findings shed additional light on the important role of collective climate beliefs in corporate risk management and investor decision-making.},
}
@article {pmid35751354,
year = {2022},
author = {Ali, MZ and Akmal, A and Fatima, L},
title = {Climate change - a monumental risk to Pakistani health.},
journal = {JPMA. The Journal of the Pakistan Medical Association},
volume = {72},
number = {6},
pages = {1249},
doi = {10.47391/JPMA.5289},
pmid = {35751354},
issn = {0030-9982},
}
@article {pmid35751259,
year = {2022},
author = {Shu, Y and Hu, J and Zhang, S and Schöpp, W and Tang, W and Du, J and Cofala, J and Kiesewetter, G and Sander, R and Winiwarter, W and Klimont, Z and Borken-Kleefeld, J and Amann, M and Li, H and He, Y and Zhao, J and Xie, D},
title = {Analysis of the air pollution reduction and climate change mitigation effects of the Three-Year Action Plan for Blue Skies on the "2+26" Cities in China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {317},
number = {},
pages = {115455},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115455},
pmid = {35751259},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {City clusters play an important role in air pollutant and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction in China, primarily due to their high fossil energy consumption levels. The "2 + 26" Cities, i.e., Beijing, Tianjin and 26 other perfectures in northern China, has experienced serious air pollution in recent years. We employ the Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies model adapted to the "2 + 26" Cities (GAINS-JJJ) to evaluate the impacts of structural adjustments in four major sectors, industry, energy, transport and land use, under the Three-Year Action Plan for Blue Skies (Three-Year Action Plan) on the emissions of both the major air pollutants and CO2 in the "2 + 26" Cities. The results indicate that the Three-Year Action Plan applied in the "2 + 26" Cities reduces the total emissions of primary fine particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter of ≤ 2.5 μm (PM2.5), SO2, NOx, NH3 and CO2 by 17%, 25%, 21%, 3% and 1%, respectively, from 2017 to 2020. The emission reduction potentials vary widely across the 28 prefectures, which may be attributed to the differences in energy structure, industrial composition, and policy enforcement rate. Among the four sectors, adjustment of industrial structure attains the highest co-benefits of CO2 reduction and air pollution control due to its high CO2 reduction potential, while structural adjustments in energy and transport attain much lower co-benefits, despite their relatively high air pollutant emissions reductions, primarily resulting from an increase in the coal-electric load and associated carbon emissions caused by electric reform policies..},
}
@article {pmid35748990,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhang, X and Yan, B},
title = {Climate change and city size: the role of temperature difference in the spatial distribution of China's population.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35748990},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {CXJJ-2021-433//Shanghai University of Finance and Economics Foundation for Postgraduate Innovation/ ; CXJJ-2021-444//Shanghai University of Finance and Economics Foundation for Postgraduate Innovation/ ; },
abstract = {This paper examines the relationship between climate change and the spatial distribution of population in China. We establish a two-way fixed effects model to investigate the role of temperature difference in the spatial distribution of China's population. We find that the annual variation of temperature has an impact on city size in both large and small cities, and that city size tends to shrink as the temperature difference increases. Meanwhile, we also find that the population in the cities located south of Qinling-Huaihe Line and Aihui-Tengchong Line (Hu's Line) is more sensitive to temperature effects, and that the temperature difference has a significant negative effect on city size. Similarly, the same results are found for prefecture-level cities with low administrative levels. Considering the endogeneity between temperature change and city size, we adopt an instrumental variable using latitude to perform a more robust empirical analysis, the results of a series of robustness tests support these conclusions.},
}
@article {pmid35745960,
year = {2022},
author = {Preinstorfer, P and Huber, T and Reichenbach, S and Lees, JM and Kromoser, B},
title = {Parametric Design Studies of Mass-Related Global Warming Potential and Construction Costs of FRP-Reinforced Concrete Infrastructure.},
journal = {Polymers},
volume = {14},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/polym14122383},
pmid = {35745960},
issn = {2073-4360},
support = {879341//Austrian Research Promotion Agency/ ; 101027058//European Union/ ; },
abstract = {Fibre-reinforced polymers (FRPs) are a promising corrosion-resistant alternative to steel reinforcement. FRPs are, however, generally costly and have a high energy demand during production. The question arises whether the high performance of FRPs and possible savings in concrete mass can counterbalance initial costs and environmental impact. In this paper, a parametric design study that considers a broad range of concrete infrastructure, namely a rail platform barrier, a retaining wall and a bridge, is conducted to assess the mass-related global warming potential and material costs. Design equations are parametrised to derive optimum reinforced concrete cross-sectional designs that fulfil the stated requirements for the serviceability limit state and ultimate limit state. Conventional steel reinforcement, glass and carbon FRP reinforcement options are evaluated. It is observed that the cross-sectional design has a significant influence on the environmental impact and cost, with local extrema for both categories determinable when the respective values become a minimum. When comparing the cradle-to-gate impact of the different materials, the fibre-reinforced polymer-reinforced structures are found to provide roughly equivalent or, in some cases, slightly more sustainable solutions than steel-reinforced structures in terms of the global warming potential, but the material costs are higher. In general, the size of the structure determines the cost competitiveness and sustainability of the FRP-reinforced concrete options with the rail platform barrier application showing the greatest potential.},
}
@article {pmid35743237,
year = {2022},
author = {Arriagada, O and Cacciuttolo, F and Cabeza, RA and Carrasco, B and Schwember, AR},
title = {A Comprehensive Review on Chickpea (Cicer arietinum L.) Breeding for Abiotic Stress Tolerance and Climate Change Resilience.},
journal = {International journal of molecular sciences},
volume = {23},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijms23126794},
pmid = {35743237},
issn = {1422-0067},
support = {R20F0001//Programa de Fortalecimiento Científico de Centros Regionales/ ; R19A10001//Programa de Fortalecimiento Científico de Centros Regionales/ ; },
abstract = {Chickpea is one of the most important pulse crops worldwide, being an excellent source of protein. It is grown under rain-fed conditions averaging yields of 1 t/ha, far from its potential of 6 t/ha under optimum conditions. The combined effects of heat, cold, drought, and salinity affect species productivity. In this regard, several physiological, biochemical, and molecular mechanisms are reviewed to confer tolerance to abiotic stress. A large collection of nearly 100,000 chickpea accessions is the basis of breeding programs, and important advances have been achieved through conventional breeding, such as germplasm introduction, gene/allele introgression, and mutagenesis. In parallel, advances in molecular biology and high-throughput sequencing have allowed the development of specific molecular markers for the genus Cicer, facilitating marker-assisted selection for yield components and abiotic tolerance. Further, transcriptomics, proteomics, and metabolomics have permitted the identification of specific genes, proteins, and metabolites associated with tolerance to abiotic stress of chickpea. Furthermore, some promising results have been obtained in studies with transgenic plants and with the use of gene editing to obtain drought-tolerant chickpea. Finally, we propose some future lines of research that may be useful to obtain chickpea genotypes tolerant to abiotic stress in a scenario of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35742752,
year = {2022},
author = {Standen, JC and Spencer, J and Lee, GW and Van Buskirk, J and Matthews, V and Hanigan, I and Boylan, S and Jegasothy, E and Breth-Petersen, M and Morgan, GG},
title = {Aboriginal Population and Climate Change in Australia: Implications for Health and Adaptation Planning.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19127502},
pmid = {35742752},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {The health impacts of climate are widely recognised, and extensive modelling is available on predicted changes to climate globally. The impact of these changes may affect populations differently depending on a range of factors, including geography, socioeconomics and culture. This study reviewed current evidence on the health risks of climate change for Australian Aboriginal populations and linked Aboriginal demographic data to historical and projected climate data to describe the distribution of climate-related exposures in Aboriginal compared to non-Aboriginal populations in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. The study showed Aboriginal populations were disproportionately exposed to a range of climate extremes in heat, rainfall and drought, and this disproportionate exposure was predicted to increase with climate change over the coming decades. Aboriginal people currently experience higher rates of climate-sensitive health conditions and socioeconomic disadvantages, which will impact their capacity to adapt to climate change. Climate change may also adversely affect cultural practices. These factors will likely impact the health and well-being of Aboriginal people in NSW and inhibit measures to close the gap in health between Aboriginal and non-Aboriginal populations. Climate change, health and equity need to be key considerations in all policies at all levels of government. Effective Aboriginal community engagement is urgently needed to develop and implement climate adaptation responses to improve health and social service preparedness and secure environmental health infrastructure such as drinking water supplies and suitably managed social housing. Further Aboriginal-led research is required to identify the cultural impacts of climate change on health, including adaptive responses based on Aboriginal knowledges.},
}
@article {pmid35742643,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, J and Xi, M and Wang, L and Li, N and Wang, H and Qin, F},
title = {Vegetation Responses to Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activity in China, 1982 to 2018.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19127391},
pmid = {35742643},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {Climate change and human activities significantly affect vegetation growth in terrestrial ecosystems. Here, data reconstruction was performed to obtain a time series of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) for China (1982-2018) based on Savitzky-Golay filtered GIMMS NDVI3g and MOD13A2 datasets. Combining surface temperature and precipitation observations from more than 2000 meteorological stations in China, Theil-Sen trend analysis, Mann-Kendall significance tests, Pearson correlation analysis, and residual trend analysis were used to quantitatively analyze the long-term trends of vegetation changes and their sources of uncertainty. Significant spatial and temporal heterogeneity was observed in vegetation changes in the study area. From 1982 to 2018, the vegetation showed a gradually increasing trend, at a rate of 0.5%·10 a-1, significantly improving (37.15%, p < 0.05) more than the significant degradation (7.46%, p < 0.05). Broadleaf (0.66) and coniferous forests (0.62) had higher NDVI, and farmland had the fastest rate of increase (1.02%/10 a-1). Temperature significantly affected the vegetation growth in spring (R > 0; p < 0.05); however, the increase in summer temperatures significantly inhibited (R < 0; p < 0.05) the growth in North China (RNDVI-tem = -0.379) and the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (RNDVI-tem = -0.051). Climate change has highly promoted the growth of vegetation in the plain region of the Changjiang (Yangtze) River (3.24%), Northwest China (1.07%). Affected by human activities only, 49.89% of the vegetation showed an increasing trend, of which 22.91% increased significantly (p < 0.05) and 9.97% decreased significantly (p < 0.05). Emergency mitigation actions are required in Northeast China, Xinjiang, Northwest China, and the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau. Therefore, monitoring vegetation changes is important for ecological environment construction and promoting regional ecological protection.},
}
@article {pmid35742470,
year = {2022},
author = {Han, P and Tong, Z and Sun, Y and Chen, X},
title = {Impact of Climate Change Beliefs on Youths' Engagement in Energy-Conservation Behavior: The Mediating Mechanism of Environmental Concerns.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19127222},
pmid = {35742470},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {19ZDA358//National Office for Philosophy and Social Science, China/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change presents a profound threat to the survival and continued development of humanity. The present study featured a survey of 3005 adolescents in China on 13 December 2021, aiming to determine whether climate change beliefs (including recognition of the existence of climate change, cognition of the causes of climate change, and climate change risk perception) influence their engagement in energy-conservation behaviors. Concurrently, the psychological mechanism underlying the influence of environmental concerns on the above relationship was also tested. The results showed that, among youths, climate change belief positively predicts engagement in energy-conservation behaviors. Specifically, awareness of the existence of climate change, knowledge of the causes of climate change, and climate change risk perception all positively predict engagement in energy-conservation behaviors. Further, environmental concerns were found to play a mediating role in the relationship between climate change beliefs and energy-conservation actions. From a practical perspective, the government and education departments should guide young people to develop accurate perceptions of climate change, and should raise their awareness of energy conservation and social responsibility, which should lead to their development of energy-conservation habits.},
}
@article {pmid35741389,
year = {2022},
author = {Liao, J and Wang, H and Xiao, S and Guan, Z and Zhang, H and Dumont, HJ and Han, BP},
title = {Modeling and Prediction of the Species' Range of Neurobasis chinensis (Linnaeus, 1758) under Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11060868},
pmid = {35741389},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {32171538//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Neurobasis chinensis is widely distributed in eastern tropical Asia. Its only congener in China, the N. anderssoni, has not been observed for decades. To protect N. chinensis, it is necessary to understand the ecological properties of its habitats and specie's range shift under climate change. In the present study, we modeled its potential distribution under one historical, current, and four future scenarios. We evaluated the importance of the factors that shape its distribution and habitats and predicted the historical and current core spatial distributions and their shifting in the future. Two historical core distribution areas were identified: the inland region of the Bay of Bengal and south-central Vietnam. The current potential distribution includes south China, Vietnam, Laos, Thailand, Myanmar, Luzon of Philippines, Malaysia, southwest and northeast India, Sri Lanka, Indonesia (Java, Sumatera), Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan, and foothills of the Himalayas, in total, ca. 3.59 × 106 km2. Only one core distribution remained, concentrated in south-central Vietnam. In a warming future, the core distribution, high suitable habitats, and even the whole range of N. chinensis will expand and shift northwards. Currently, N. chinensis mainly resides in forest ecosystems below 1200 m above sea level (preferred 500 m to 1200 m a.s.l.). Annual precipitation, mean temperature of driest quarter, and seasonality of precipitation are important factors shaping the species distribution. Our study provides systematic information on habitats and geographical distribution, which is useful for the conservation of N. chinensis.},
}
@article {pmid35737990,
year = {2022},
author = {López-Idiáquez, D and Teplitsky, C and Grégoire, A and Fargevieille, A and Del Rey, M and de Franceschi, C and Charmantier, A and Doutrelant, C},
title = {Long-Term Decrease in Coloration: A Consequence of Climate Change?.},
journal = {The American naturalist},
volume = {200},
number = {1},
pages = {32-47},
doi = {10.1086/719655},
pmid = {35737990},
issn = {1537-5323},
abstract = {AbstractClimate change has been shown to affect fitness-related traits in a wide range of taxa; for instance, warming leads to phenological advancements in many plant and animal species. The influence of climate change on social and secondary sexual traits, which are associated with fitness because of their role as quality signals, is, however, unknown. Here, we use more than 5,800 observations collected on two Mediterranean blue tit subspecies (Cyanistes caeruleus caeruleus and Cyanistes caeruleus ogliastrae) to explore whether blue crown and yellow breast patch colorations have changed over the past 15 years. Our data suggest that coloration has become duller and less chromatic in both sexes. In addition, in the Corsican C.c. ogliastrae, but not in the mainland C.c. caeruleus, the decrease is associated with an increase in temperature at molt. Quantitative genetic analyses do not reveal any microevolutionary change in the color traits over the study period, strongly suggesting that the observed change over time was caused by a plastic response to the environmental conditions. Overall, this study suggests that ornamental colorations could become less conspicuous because of warming, revealing climate change effects on sexual and social ornaments and calling for further research on the proximate mechanisms behind these effects.},
}
@article {pmid35737796,
year = {2022},
author = {Seddon, N},
title = {Harnessing the potential of nature-based solutions for mitigating and adapting to climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {376},
number = {6600},
pages = {1410-1416},
doi = {10.1126/science.abn9668},
pmid = {35737796},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Although many governments, financial institutions, and corporations are embracing nature-based solutions as part of their sustainability and net-zero carbon strategies, some nations, Indigenous peoples, local community groups, and grassroots organizations have rejected this term. This pushback is fueled by (i) critical uncertainties about when, where, how, and for whom nature-based solutions are effective and (ii) controversies surrounding their misuse in greenwashing, violations of human rights, and threats to biodiversity. To clarify how the scientific community can help address these issues, I provide an overview of recent research on the benefits and limits of nature-based solutions, including how they compare with technological approaches, and highlight critical areas for future research.},
}
@article {pmid35737793,
year = {2022},
author = {Moore, JW and Schindler, DE},
title = {Getting ahead of climate change for ecological adaptation and resilience.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {376},
number = {6600},
pages = {1421-1426},
doi = {10.1126/science.abo3608},
pmid = {35737793},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Changing the course of Earth's climate is increasingly urgent, but there is also a concurrent need for proactive stewardship of the adaptive capacity of the rapidly changing biosphere. Adaptation ultimately underpins the resilience of Earth's complex systems; species, communities, and ecosystems shift and evolve over time. Yet oncoming changes will seriously challenge current natural resource management and conservation efforts. We review forward-looking conservation approaches to enable adaptation and resilience. Key opportunities include expanding beyond preservationist approaches by including those that enable and facilitate ecological change. Conservation should not just focus on climate change losers but also on proactive management of emerging opportunities. Local efforts to conserve biodiversity and generate habitat complexity will also help to maintain a diversity of future options for an unpredictable future.},
}
@article {pmid35737771,
year = {2022},
author = {Zurek, M and Hebinck, A and Selomane, O},
title = {Climate change and the urgency to transform food systems.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {376},
number = {6600},
pages = {1416-1421},
doi = {10.1126/science.abo2364},
pmid = {35737771},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Without rapid changes to agriculture and food systems, the goals of the 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change will not be met. Food systems are one of the most important contributors to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, but they also need to be adapted to cope with climate change impacts. Although many options exist to reduce GHG emissions in the food system, efforts to develop implementable transformation pathways are hampered by a combination of structural challenges such as fragmented decision-making, vested interests, and power imbalances in the climate policy and food communities, all of which are compounded by a lack of joint vision. New processes and governance arrangements are urgently needed for dealing with potential trade-offs among mitigation options and their food security implications.},
}
@article {pmid35736767,
year = {2022},
author = {Fyllas, NM and Koufaki, T and Sazeides, CI and Spyroglou, G and Theodorou, K},
title = {Potential Impacts of Climate Change on the Habitat Suitability of the Dominant Tree Species in Greece.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {11},
number = {12},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants11121616},
pmid = {35736767},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Climate change is affecting species distribution and ecosystem form and function. Forests provide a range of ecosystem services, and understanding their vulnerability to climate change is important for designing effective adaptation strategies. Species Distribution Modelling (SDM) has been extensively used to derive habitat suitability maps under current conditions and project species distribution shifts under climate change. In this study, we model the current and future habitat suitability of the dominant tree species in Greece (Abies cephalonica, Abies borisii-regis, Pinus brutia, Pinus halepensis, Pinus nigra, Quercus ilex, Quercus pubescens, Quercus frainetto and Fagus sylvatica), based on species-specific presence data from the EU-Forest database, enhanced with data from Greece that is currently under-represented in terms of tree species occurrence points. By including these additional presence data, areas with relatively drier conditions for some of the study species were included in the SDM development, yielding a potentially lower vulnerability under climate change conditions. SDMs were developed for each taxon using climate and soil data at a resolution of ~1 km2. Model performance was assessed under current conditions and was found to adequately simulate potential distributions. Subsequently, the models were used to project the potential distribution of each species under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios for the 2041-2070 and 2071-2100 time periods. Under climate change scenarios, a reduction in habitat-suitable areas was predicted for most study species, with higher elevation taxa experiencing more pronounced potential habitat shrinkages. An exception was the endemic A. cephalonica and its sister species A. borisii-regis, which, although currently found at mid and high elevations, seem able to maintain their potential distribution under most climate change scenarios. Our findings suggest that climate change could significantly affect the distribution and dynamics of forest ecosystems in Greece, with important ecological, economic and social implications, and thus adequate mitigation measures should be implemented.},
}
@article {pmid35735887,
year = {2022},
author = {Dong, Z and He, Y and Ren, Y and Wang, G and Chu, D},
title = {Seasonal and Year-Round Distributions of Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel) and Its Risk to Temperate Fruits under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {13},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects13060550},
pmid = {35735887},
issn = {2075-4450},
abstract = {Bactrocera dorsalis (Hendel) is an important pest to fruits and vegetables. It can damage more than 300 plant species. The distribution of B. dorsalis has been expanding owing to international trade and other human activities. B. dorsalis occurrence is strongly related to suitable overwintering conditions and distribution areas, but it is unclear where these seasonal and year-round suitable areas are. We used maximum entropy (MaxEnt) to predict the potential seasonal and year-round distribution areas of B. dorsalis. We also projected suitable habitat areas in 2040 and 2060 under global warming scenarios, such as SSP126 and SSP585. These models achieved AUC values of 0.860 and 0.956 for the seasonal and year-round scenarios, respectively, indicating their good prediction capabilities. The precipitation of the wettest month (Bio13) and the mean diurnal temperature range (Bio2) contributed 83.9% to the seasonal distribution prediction model. Bio2 and the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) provided important information related to the year-round distribution prediction. In future scenarios, the suitable area of B. dorsalis will increase and the range will expand northward. Four important temperate fruits, namely, apples, peaches, pears, and oranges, will be seriously threatened. The information from this study provides a useful reference for implementing improved population management strategies for B. dorsalis.},
}
@article {pmid35733273,
year = {2022},
author = {Wåhlström, I and Hammar, L and Hume, D and Pålsson, J and Almroth-Rosell, E and Dieterich, C and Arneborg, L and Gröger, M and Mattsson, M and Zillén Snowball, L and Kågesten, G and Törnqvist, O and Breviere, E and Brunnabend, SE and Jonsson, PR},
title = {Projected climate change impact on a coastal sea-as significant as all current pressures combined.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16312},
pmid = {35733273},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Climate change influences the ocean's physical and biogeochemical conditions, causing additional pressures on marine environments and ecosystems, now and in the future. Such changes occur in environments that already today suffer under pressures from e.g. eutrophication, pollution, shipping and more. We demonstrate how to implement climate change into regional Marine Spatial Planning by introducing data of future temperature, salinity and sea-ice cover from regional ocean climate model projections to an existing cumulative impact model. This makes it possible to assess climate change impact in relation to pre-existing cumulative impact from current human activities. Results indicate that end-of-century projected climate change alone is a threat of the same magnitude as the combination of all current pressures to the marine environment. These findings give marine planners and policymakers forewarning on how future climate change may impact marine ecosystems, across space, emission scenarios and in relation to other pressures.},
}
@article {pmid35730155,
year = {2022},
author = {Pilotto, F and Rojas, A and Buckland, PI},
title = {Late Holocene anthropogenic landscape change in northwestern Europe impacted insect biodiversity as much as climate change did after the last Ice Age.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {289},
number = {1977},
pages = {20212734},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2021.2734},
pmid = {35730155},
issn = {1471-2954},
abstract = {Since the last Ice Age (ca 115 000-11 700 years ago), the geographical ranges of most plants and animals have shifted, expanded or contracted. Understanding the timing, geographical patterns and drivers of past changes in insect communities is essential for evaluating the biodiversity implications of future climate changes, yet our knowledge of long-term patterns is limited. We applied a network modelling approach to the recent fossil record of northwestern European beetles to investigate how their taxonomic and trait composition changed during the past 16 000 years. We found two major changes in beetle faunas 4000-3500 and 10 000-9500 years ago, coinciding with periods of human population growth in the Late Holocene and climate warming in the Early Holocene. Our results demonstrate that humans have affected insect biodiversity since at least the introduction of agropastoralism, with landscape-scale effects that can be observed at sites away from areas of direct human impact.},
}
@article {pmid35730078,
year = {2022},
author = {Chen, YG and LE, XG and Chen, YH and Cheng, WX and DU, JG and Zhong, QL and Cheng, DL},
title = {[Identification of the potential distribution area of Cunninghamia lanceolata in China under climate change based on the MaxEnt model].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {33},
number = {5},
pages = {1207-1214},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202205.024},
pmid = {35730078},
issn = {1001-9332},
abstract = {Based on the distribution records of Cunninghamia lanceolata, we used the maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model and geographic information system (GIS) methods, combined with environmental factors such as climate and terrain, to predict the potential distribution areas suitable for C. lanceolata under current and future climate scenarios. The results showed that annual precipitation was the most important factor driving the distribution of C. lanceolata. Under the current climate scenario, the total area of suitable for C. lanceolata growth was about 3.28 million km2, accounting for about 34.5% of the total land area of China. Among all the suitable areas, the lowly, intermediately, and highly suitable areas accounted for 18.3%, 29.7% and 52.0% of the total, respectively. Under future climate scenarios, the suitable area of C. lanceolata would increase, showing a clear trend of northward expansion in China. A concentrated and contiguous distribution region highly suitable for C. lanceolata would appear in the humid subtropical areas of southern China. The model was tested by the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). The average area under the curve of ROC of the training set was 0.91, showing high reliability.},
}
@article {pmid35729894,
year = {2022},
author = {Giovanis, E and Ozdamar, O},
title = {The impact of climate change on budget balances and debt in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region.},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {172},
number = {3-4},
pages = {34},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-022-03388-x},
pmid = {35729894},
issn = {0165-0009},
abstract = {Lower tax revenues and greater government spending result in higher deficits and public debt. As a result, determining the degree of budgetary effects is vital, but important to assess the persistence of these effects. We aim to investigate the impact of climate change on the fiscal balance and public debt in the countries of the Middle East and North Africa. The empirical analysis relies on panel data in the period 1990-2019 and employs various models. The findings show that temperature changes adversely affect the government budget and increase debt, but we find no significant impact of changes in rainfall. The average temperature decreases fiscal balance by 0.3 percent and increases debt by 1.87 percent. Using projections of temperature and rainfall over the years 2020 to 2099, we find a significant decrease in the fiscal balance at 7.3 percent and an increase in the public debt at 16 percent in 2060-2079 and 18 percent in 2080-2099 under the assumption of a high greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenario. On the contrary, under the low GHG emission scenario, the fiscal balance deteriorates by 1.7 percent in 2020-2039 and 2.2 percent in 2080-2099, while public debt rises by 5 percent in 2020-2039 and 6.3 percent in 2080-2099.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10584-022-03388-x.},
}
@article {pmid35729542,
year = {2022},
author = {Johnson, JV and Dick, JTA and Pincheira-Donoso, D},
title = {Correction: Marine protected areas do not buffer corals from bleaching under global warming.},
journal = {BMC ecology and evolution},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {81},
pmid = {35729542},
issn = {2730-7182},
}
@article {pmid35728617,
year = {2022},
author = {Jackson, HM and Johnson, SA and Morandin, LA and Richardson, LL and Guzman, LM and M'Gonigle, LK},
title = {Climate change winners and losers among North American bumblebees.},
journal = {Biology letters},
volume = {18},
number = {6},
pages = {20210551},
doi = {10.1098/rsbl.2021.0551},
pmid = {35728617},
issn = {1744-957X},
abstract = {Mounting evidence suggests that climate change, agricultural intensification and disease are impacting bumblebee health and contributing to species' declines. Identifying how these factors impact insect communities at large spatial and temporal scales is difficult, partly because species may respond in different ways. Further, the necessary data must span large spatial and temporal scales, which usually means they comprise aggregated, presence-only records collected using numerous methods (e.g. diversity surveys, educational collections, citizen-science projects, standardized ecological surveys). Here, we use occupancy models, which explicitly correct for biases in the species observation process, to quantify the effect of changes in temperature, precipitation and floral resources on bumblebee site occupancy over the past 12 decades in North America. We find no evidence of genus-wide declines in site occupancy, but do find that occupancy is strongly related to temperature, and is only weakly related to precipitation or floral resources. We also find that more species are likely to be climate change 'losers' than 'winners' and that this effect is primarily associated with changing temperature. Importantly, all trends were highly species-specific, highlighting that genus or community-wide measures may not reflect diverse species-specific patterns that are critical in guiding allocation of conservation resources.},
}
@article {pmid35727303,
year = {2022},
author = {Rahman, MM and McConnell, R and Schlaerth, H and Ko, J and Silva, S and Lurmann, FW and Palinkas, L and Johnston, J and Hurlburt, M and Yin, H and Ban-Weiss, G and Garcia, E},
title = {The Effects of Co-Exposure to Extremes of Heat and Particulate Air Pollution on Mortality in California: Implications for Climate Change.},
journal = {American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1164/rccm.202204-0657OC},
pmid = {35727303},
issn = {1535-4970},
abstract = {Rationale Extremes of heat and particulate air pollution threaten human health and are becoming more frequent due to climate change. Understanding health impacts of co-exposure to extreme heat and air pollution is urgent. Objectives To estimate association of acute co-exposure to extreme heat and ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality in California from 2014-2019. Methods We used a case-crossover study design with time-stratified matching using conditional logistic regression to estimate mortality associations with acute co-exposures to extreme heat and PM2.5. For each case day (date of death) and its control days, daily average PM2.5, maximum and minimum temperature were assigned (0-3-day lag) based on decedent's residence census tract. Main Results All-cause mortality risk increased 6.1% (95%confidence interval, CI: 4.1, 8.1) on extreme maximum temperature only days and 5.0% (95%CI: 3.0, 8.0) on extreme PM2.5 only days, compared to non-extreme days. Risk increased 21.0% (95%CI: 6.6, 37.3) on days with exposure to both extreme maximum temperature and PM2.5. Increased risk of cardiovascular and respiratory mortality on extreme co-exposure days was 29.9% (95%CI: 3.3, 63.3) and 38.0% (95%CI:-12.5, 117.7), respectively, and were more than the sum of individual effects of extreme temperature and PM2.5 only. A similar pattern was observed for co-exposure to extreme PM2.5 and minimum temperature. Effect estimates were larger over age 75 years. Conclusion Short-term exposure to extreme heat and air pollution alone were individually associated with increased risk of mortality, but their co-exposure had larger effects beyond the sum of their individual effects.},
}
@article {pmid35726486,
year = {2022},
author = {Urrutia-Pereira, M and Badellino, H and Ansotegui, IJ and Guidos, G and Solé, D},
title = {Climate change and allergic diseases in children and adolescents.},
journal = {Allergologia et immunopathologia},
volume = {50},
number = {S Pt 1},
pages = {7-16},
pmid = {35726486},
issn = {1578-1267},
mesh = {Adolescent ; Aged ; *Air Pollutants/adverse effects ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects ; Allergens ; Child ; Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; Humans ; *Hypersensitivity/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The Anthropocene is used to describe the most recent period where major disruptions in Earth's system processes have resulted from humanity's increasing ecological footprint. Climate change affects the social and environmental determinants of good health, such as clean air, stable ecosystems, safe drinking water, and sufficient and safe food, and they seem to be closely related to air pollution.<br><br>OBJECTIVES: This article aims to review the evidence of how extreme weather events and indoor and outdoor pollution are associated with insufficient lung growth in early life, changes in lung function, and the increase in respiratory infections, favoring the development of allergic respiratory diseases.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHODS: Non-systematic review of English, Spanish, and Portuguese articles published in the last ten years in databases such as PubMed, EMBASE, and SciELO. The terms used were air pollution OR climate changes OR smoke, AND health OR allergic disease.<br><br>RESULTS: Climate change and air pollution are the leading contributors to health emergencies around the world. On a global scale, those most at risk of adverse health effects associated with climate change include children, the elderly, and other vulnerable groups. Climate change and air pollution have adverse impacts on respiratory allergies, and the mechanisms are complex and interactive.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Health professionals must receive information and education necessary to establish effective mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the effects of climate changes on the respiratory health of their patients.},
}
@article {pmid35725762,
year = {2022},
author = {Carnicer, J and Alegria, A and Giannakopoulos, C and Di Giuseppe, F and Karali, A and Koutsias, N and Lionello, P and Parrington, M and Vitolo, C},
title = {Global warming is shifting the relationships between fire weather and realized fire-induced CO2 emissions in Europe.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {10365},
pmid = {35725762},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {PID2020-117636GB-C21//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación/ ; GGL-2016-78093-R//MICINN/ ; },
mesh = {Carbon Dioxide ; *Fires ; Global Warming ; Weather ; *Wildfires ; },
abstract = {Fire activity has significantly changed in Europe over the last decades (1980-2020s), with the emergence of summers attaining unprecedented fire prone weather conditions. Here we report a significant shift in the non-stationary relationship linking fire weather conditions and fire intensity measured in terms of CO2 emissions released during biomass burning across a latitudinal gradient of European IPCC regions. The reported trends indicate that global warming is possibly inducing an incipient change on regional fire dynamics towards increased fire impacts in Europe, suggesting that emerging risks posed by exceptional fire-weather danger conditions may progressively exceed current wildfire suppression capabilities in the next decades and impact forest carbon sinks.},
}
@article {pmid35724570,
year = {2022},
author = {Fu, X and Li, C},
title = {How resilient are localities planning for climate change? An evaluation of 50 plans in the United States.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {318},
number = {},
pages = {115493},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115493},
pmid = {35724570},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Resilience has increasingly become the principal management priority and planning goal for cities, especially for climate change adaptation. Yet few studies have evaluated whether and how well resilience are integrated into climate change adaptation planning. In this study, we first conceptualized resilience as five key elements (i.e., system, collaboration, uncertainty, coping capacity, and adaptive capacity) and developed a coding protocol based on these key elements. We then used it to evaluate a sample of 50 climate change plans in the United States (US) that has a major adaptation component. We found that the concept of resilience has not been adequately embedded in US climate change plans and that the predominant notions of resilience has limited influence on how well plans integrate resilience. We also found that standalone adaptation plans outperform hybrid plans in addressing uncertainty and fostering systems thinking. Ultimately, major barriers exist in translating the concept of resilience into climate change planning practice. We further offer implications for cities to more effectively plan for climate resilience.},
}
@article {pmid35723828,
year = {2022},
author = {Qin, J and Mazomba, M and Huang, R and Zhao, J and Wang, F and He, G and Wang, J and Du, W and Mo, Y},
title = {Study on the relationship among typhoon, climate change, and acute Stanford type A aortic dissection in southern of Zhejiang in China.},
journal = {General thoracic and cardiovascular surgery},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35723828},
issn = {1863-6713},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between typhoon, climate change, and acute Stanford type A aortic dissection (TAAD) in southern of Zhejiang Province in China.<br><br>METHOD: 371 patients with TAAD were admitted to three hospitals (the aortic dissection center) in southern of Zhejiang Province, China from January 2015 to December 2020, and data were retrospectively collected, the data included (1) the number of patients admitted in different months and seasons, (2) daily meteorological data in southern of Zhejiang Province, and (3) typhoon information were retrospectively analyzed.<br><br>RESULTS: The number of TAAD occurred in winter was the highest and in summer was the lowest. The incidence of TAAD was correlated with minimum temperature, maximum wind speed, mean wind speed, and water vapor pressure (P < 0.05). Maximum wind speed (RR 0.37; 95% CI 0.17 to 0.80, P = 0.01) and water vapor pressure (RR 0.96; 95% CI 0.92 to 1, P = 0.03) were the protective factor. The occurrence incidence of TAAD under the influence of typhoon climate was less than that during the period not affected by typhoon (P < 0.05).<br><br>CONCLUSION: There was a correlation between typhoon, climate change, and the occurrence of TAAD in southern Zhejiang Province. Wind speed, vapor pressure, and typhoon may be protective factors.},
}
@article {pmid35723822,
year = {2022},
author = {Ma, B and Jing, J and Liu, B and Xu, Y and Dou, S and He, H},
title = {Quantitative assessment of the relative contributions of climate change and human activities to NPP changes in the Southwest Karst area of China.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35723822},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {No.42161028//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; No. 2020GXNSFBA297160//Natural Science Foundation of Guangxi Province of China/ ; No. 2021AC1915//The Guangxi Science &amp; Technology Program/ ; No. 15-140-07-10//Foundation of Guangxi Key Laboratory of Spatial Information and Geomatics/ ; },
abstract = {Net primary production (NPP) is an essential component of the terrestrial carbon cycle and an essential factor of ecological processes. In global change research, it was the core content to study the driving forces of NPP change. In this paper, we focused on the Southwest Karst area of China and analyzed the response mechanisms of NPP to topography, land-use types, climatic change, and human activities. Our results showed that (1) changes in elevation and slope lead to significant differences in the spatial distribution of NPP. With the increase of elevation and slope, NPP first increased and then decreased, their critical values were 2000 m and 15°, respectively. (2) NPP varied significantly among different land-use types. The average NPP of the forest was the highest, and the average NPP of cultivated land increased fastest. (3) Temperature and precipitation had the most substantial influence on NPP, both of them promoted the increase of NPP, and the effect of temperature was more obvious in the Southwest Karst area. (4) Ecological engineering significantly promoted the change of NPP, while animal husbandry significantly inhibited the change of NPP. (5) There were significant spatial differences in the driving effects and corresponding contributions of climatic change and human activities; both of them promoted the increase of NPP in the Southwest Karst area of China. Under climatic change and human activities, NPP increased by 1.24 gC·m-2·year-1 and 2.29 gC·m-2·year-1, respectively. The contributions rates of climatic change and human activities separately accounted for 35% and 65%. The contribution of human activities on NPP was much higher than that of climatic change in the Southwest Karst area, and the results suggested that we should focus on the role of human activities on NPP change.},
}
@article {pmid35722673,
year = {2022},
author = {Flores-López, CA and Moo-Llanes, DA and Romero-Figueroa, G and Guevara-Carrizales, A and López-Ordoñez, T and Casas-Martínez, M and Samy, AM},
title = {Potential distributions of the parasite Trypanosoma cruzi and its vector Dipetalogaster maxima highlight areas at risk of Chagas disease transmission in Baja California Sur, Mexico, under climate change.},
journal = {Medical and veterinary entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/mve.12591},
pmid = {35722673},
issn = {1365-2915},
support = {2015-01-547//Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología/ ; },
abstract = {Dipetalogaster maxima is a primary vector of Chagas disease in the Cape region of Baja California Sur, Mexico. The geographic distribution of D. maxima is limited to this small region of the Baja California Peninsula in Mexico. Our study aimed to construct the ecological niche models (ENMs) of this understudied vector species and the parasite responsible for Chagas disease (Trypanosoma cruzi). We modelled the ecological niches of both species under current and future climate change projections in 2050 using four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs): RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0, and RCP 8.5. We also assessed the human population at risk of exposure to D. maxima bites, the hypothesis of ecological niche equivalency and similarity between D. maxima and T. cruzi, and finally the abundance centroid hypothesis. The ENM predicted a higher overlap between both species in the Western and Southern coastal regions of the Baja California Peninsula. The climate change scenarios predicted a Northern shift in the ecological niche of both species. Our findings suggested that the highly tourist destination of Los Cabos is a high-risk zone for Chagas disease circulation. Overall, the study provides valuable data to vector surveillance and control programs.},
}
@article {pmid35722027,
year = {2022},
author = {Wheat, S and Gaughen, S and Skeet, J and Campbell, L and Donatuto, J and Schaeffer, J and Sorensen, C},
title = {Climate Change and COVID-19: Assessing the Vulnerability and Resilience of U.S. Indigenous Communities to Syndemic Crises.},
journal = {The journal of climate change and health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100148},
doi = {10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100148},
pmid = {35722027},
issn = {2667-2782},
abstract = {The rapid emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic and the insidiously evolving climate crisis represent two of the most pressing public health threats to Indigenous Peoples in the United States. Understanding the ways in which these syndemics uniquely impact Indigenous Peoples, given the existing health disparities for such communities, is essential if we are to address modifiable root causes of health vulnerability and devise effective and equitable strategies to protect and improve health in the evolving climate landscape. We explore the compounding burden of the COVID-19 pandemic and climate change on Indigenous Peoples' health, and present several case studies which outline novel Indigenous approaches and perspectives that address climate change, COVID-19 and future health threats.},
}
@article {pmid35721688,
year = {2022},
author = {Paudel, D and Tiwari, KR and Raut, N and Bajracharya, RM and Bhattarai, S and Sitaula, BK and Thapa, S},
title = {What affects farmers in choosing better agroforestry practice as a strategy of climate change adaptation? An experience from the mid-hills of Nepal.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e09695},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09695},
pmid = {35721688},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Determinants for choosing climate change adaptation strategies and selecting improved agroforestry practices have rarely been explored, while numerous studies have been conducted on climate change and agroforestry. This paper discusses; local understanding of climate change, climatic impacts, and factors that affect farmers' choices of adaptation strategies, and agroforestry practices. We focused on three districts located in the mid-hills of Nepal, where farmers were adopting agroforestry practices in two forms; traditional and improved practices. We followed three techniques of social survey; household survey (n = 420), focus group discussions (n = 6), and key informant interviews (n = 24). Almost all farmers of the study areas were experiencing climatic challenges, but only 59.29% of them accepted that the challenges are induced by climate change and, likewise, 55.24% have adopted climate change adaptation measures. Diversifying crop production, shifting farming practices, changing occupation, and emigration were local adaptation strategies. Livelihood improvement, income generation, and food production were the primary motives for adopting agroforestry practices in the study area. Agroforestry as an adaptation measure to climate change was considered secondary by most farmers. Statistical analysis using a logit model revealed that age, education, and habit of growing commercial species significantly influenced farmers adopting climate change adaptation strategies. Likewise, age, education, gender, habit of growing commercial species, and income from tree products significantly influenced the choice of improved agroforestry practices as a better option. Though agroforestry was widely considered a strategy to combat climate change, only some farmers accepted it due to their awareness level. Therefore, education programs such as training, farmer field schools, door-to-door visits, etc., should be intensified to sensitize farmers about climate change and encourage them to adopt improved agroforestry practices. The findings of the study could reinforce local, national, and international allied agencies to design operative actions in the days to come.},
}
@article {pmid35720971,
year = {2022},
author = {Solway, J and Kenyon, N and Berglund, L},
title = {Clinical and translational science and climate change: Time for action.},
journal = {Journal of clinical and translational science},
volume = {6},
number = {1},
pages = {e57},
doi = {10.1017/cts.2022.9},
pmid = {35720971},
issn = {2059-8661},
}
@article {pmid35719878,
year = {2022},
author = {Fischer, I and Rubenstein, DI and Levin, SA},
title = {Vaccination-hesitancy and global warming: distinct social challenges with similar behavioural solutions.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {9},
number = {6},
pages = {211515},
doi = {10.1098/rsos.211515},
pmid = {35719878},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {Although the COVID-19 vaccine has dramatically changed the fight against the pandemic, many exhibit vaccination-hesitancy. At the same time, continued human-induced emissions of greenhouse gases pose an alarming threat to humanity. Based on the theory of Subjective Expected Relative Similarity (SERS) and a recent international study that drastically modified COVID-19 health-related attitudes, we explain why a similar approach and a corresponding public policy are expected to help resolve both behavioural issues: reduce vaccination hesitancy and motivate climate actions.},
}
@article {pmid35719093,
year = {2022},
author = {Khan, MS and Mubeen, I and Caimeng, Y and Zhu, G and Khalid, A and Yan, M},
title = {Waste to energy incineration technology: Recent development under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Waste management &amp; research : the journal of the International Solid Wastes and Public Cleansing Association, ISWA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {734242X221105411},
doi = {10.1177/0734242X221105411},
pmid = {35719093},
issn = {1096-3669},
abstract = {With the huge generation of municipal solid waste (MSW), proper management and disposal of MSW is a worldwide challenge for sustainable development of cities and high quality of citizens life. Although different disposal ways are available, incineration is a leading harmless approach to effectively recover energy among the applied technologies. The purpose of the present review paper is to detail the discussion of evolution of waste to energy incineration and specifically to highlight the currently used and advanced incineration technologies, including combined incineration with other energy, for instance, hydrogen production, coal and solar energy. In addition, the environmental performance is discussed, including the zero waste emission, leachate and fly ash treatment, climate change contribution and public behaviour. Finally, challenges, opportunities and business model are addressed. Trends and perspectives on policies and techno-economic aspects are also discussed in this review. Different simulation tools, which can be used for the thermodynamic assessment of incineration plants, are debated; life-cycle inventory emissions and most critical environmental impacts of such plants are evaluated by life-cycle analysis. This review shows that waste incineration with energy yield is advantageous to handle waste problems and it affects climate change positively.},
}
@article {pmid35718185,
year = {2022},
author = {Gopalan, SP and Sukhapunnaphan, AT and Nakamura, S and Hanasaki, N and Champathong, },
title = {Potential impact of diversion canals and retention areas as climate change adaptation measures on flood risk reduction: A hydrological modelling case study from the Chao Phraya River Basin, Thailand.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156742},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156742},
pmid = {35718185},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The countries of Southeast Asia are projected to experience severe flood damage and economic impacts from climate change, compared with the global average. Hence adaptation by incorporating infrastructures is essential, but it has been seldom explicitly included in the simulations projecting climate change impacts on flood risk in these countries. Quantifying the effects of infrastructure is the key to climate change impact and adaptation assessment. Therefore, this study was conducted in the Chao Phraya River Basin (CPRB) in Thailand to examine the adaptation potential of (i) existing structural and non-structural measures that include reservoir and diversion dams, diversion canals, and water retention areas, and (ii) the combined adaptation measures, a combination of alterations made to the existing diversion canals and retention areas, on reducing future floods using the H08 global hydrological model (GHM). The results revealed that the impact of existing measures on the future flood reduction was smaller than the increase caused by warming in the CPRB. Conversely, the combined adaptation measures successfully mitigated the effect of warming by redirecting nearly 50 % of the diverted river flow to the ocean and storing 30 % of the diverted flow in the retention areas. Although a remarkable reduction was noted in the basin-wide flood risk, the effect of adaptation measures greatly varied across the basin. The combined adaptation measures largely reduced the number of flooding days by close to 100 at many of the considered stations within the basin, except for extreme flood events (historical 1-percentile flood events). This further reveals that the feasibility of adaptation measures in alleviating the extreme future floods will be limited in flood-vulnerable basins and thus require area-based prioritization for flood management. The modelling framework implemented in this study can be easily adapted to different GHMs and regions and should be examined for their applicability.},
}
@article {pmid35717626,
year = {2022},
author = {Vardoulakis, S and Matthews, V and Bailie, RS and Hu, W and Salvador-Carulla, L and Barratt, AL and Chu, C},
title = {Building resilience to Australian flood disasters in the face of climate change.},
journal = {The Medical journal of Australia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.5694/mja2.51595},
pmid = {35717626},
issn = {1326-5377},
support = {2008937//National Health and Medical Research Council/ ; },
}
@article {pmid35716047,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhu, BR and Verhoeven, MA and Velasco, N and Sanchez-Aguilar, L and Zhang, Z and Piersma, T},
title = {Current breeding distributions and predicted range shifts under climate change in two subspecies of Black-tailed Godwits in Asia.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16308},
pmid = {35716047},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Habitat loss and shifts associated with climate change threaten global biodiversity, with impacts likely to be most pronounced at high latitudes. With the disappearance of the tundra breeding habitats, migratory shorebirds that breed at these high latitudes are likely to be even more vulnerable to climate change than those in temperate regions. We examined this idea using new distributional information on two subspecies of Black-tailed Godwits Limosa limosa in Asia: the northerly, bog-breeding L. l. bohaii and the more southerly, steppe-breeding L. l. melanuroides. Based on breeding locations of tagged and molecularly assayed birds, we modelled the current breeding distributions of the two subspecies with species distribution models, tested those models for robustness, and then used them to predict climatically suitable breeding ranges in 2070 according to bioclimatic variables and different climate change scenarios. Our models were robust and showed that climate change is expected to push bohaii into the northern rim of the Eurasian continent. Melanuroides is also expected to shift northward, stopping in the Yablonovyy and Stanovoy Ranges, and breeding elevation is expected to increase. Climatically suitable breeding habitat ranges would shrink to 16% and 11% of the currently estimated ranges of bohaii and melanuroides, respectively. Overall, this study provides the first predictions for the future distributions of two little-known Black-tailed Godwit subspecies and highlights the importance of factoring in shifts in bird distribution when designing climate-proof conservation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid35714160,
year = {2022},
author = {Singh, L and Kanwar, N and Bhatt, ID and Nandi, SK and Bisht, AK},
title = {Predicting the potential distribution of Dactylorhiza hatagirea (D. Don) Soo-an important medicinal orchid in the West Himalaya, under multiple climate change scenarios.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {6},
pages = {e0269673},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0269673},
pmid = {35714160},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Ecosystem ; Forests ; Soil ; },
abstract = {Climate variability coupled with anthropogenic pressures is the most critical driver in the Himalayan region for forest ecosystem vulnerability. Dactylorhiza hatagirea (D.Don) Soo is an important yet highly threatened medicinal orchid from the Himalayan region. Poor regenerative power and growing demand have resulted in the steep decline of its natural habitats populations. The present study aims to identify the habitat suitability of D. hatagirea in the Western Himalaya using the maximum entropy model (MaxEnt). The community climate system model (CCSM ver. 4) based on representative concentration pathways (RCPs) was used to determine suitable future areas. Sixteen least correlated (< 0.8) bioclimatic, topographical and geomorphic variables were used to construct the species climatic niche. The dominant contributing variables were elevation (34.85%) followed by precipitation of the coldest quarter (23.04%), soil type (8.77%), land use land cover (8.26%), mean annual temperature (5.51%), and temperature seasonality (5.11%). Compared to the present distribution, habitat suitability under future projection, i.e., RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 (2050 and 2070), was found to shift to higher elevation towards the northwest direction, while lower altitudes will invariably be less suitable. Further, as compared to the current distribution, the climatic niche space of the species is expected to expand in between11.41-22.13% in the near future. High habitats suitability areas are mainly concentrated in the forest range like Dharchula and Munsyari range, Pindar valley, Kedarnath Wildlife Sanctuary, West of Nanda Devi Biosphere Reserve, and Uttarkashi forest division. The present study delineated the fundamental niche baseline map of D. hatagirea in the Western Himalayas and highlighted regions/areas where conservation and management strategies should be intensified in the next 50 years. In addition, as the species is commercially exploited illegally, the information gathered is essential for conservationists and planners who protect the species at the regional levels.},
}
@article {pmid35713697,
year = {2022},
author = {Parkes, B and Buzan, JR and Huber, M},
title = {Heat stress in Africa under high intensity climate change.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35713697},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Extreme weather events are major causes of loss of life and damage infrastructure worldwide. High temperatures cause heat stress on humans, livestock, crops and infrastructure. Heat stress exposure is projected to increase with ongoing climate change. Extremes of temperature are common in Africa and infrastructure is often incapable of providing adequate cooling. We show how easily accessible cooling technology, such as evaporative coolers, prevent heat stress in historic timescales but are unsuitable as a solution under climate change. As temperatures increase, powered cooling, such as air conditioning, is necessary to prevent overheating. This will, in turn, increase demand on already stretched infrastructure. We use high temporal resolution climate model data to estimate the demand for cooling according to two metrics, firstly the apparent temperature and secondly the discomfort index. For each grid cell we calculate the heat stress value and the amount of cooling required to turn a heat stress event into a non heat stress event. We show the increase in demand for cooling in Africa is non uniform and that equatorial countries are exposed to higher heat stress than higher latitude countries. We further show that evaporative coolers are less effective in tropical regions than in the extra tropics. Finally, we show that neither low nor high efficiency coolers are sufficient to return Africa to current levels of heat stress under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35713696,
year = {2022},
author = {Nili, S and Asadgol, Z and Dalaei, H and Khanjani, N and Bakhtiari, B and Jahani, Y},
title = {The effect of climate change on malaria transmission in the southeast of Iran.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35713696},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {99000307//kerman university of medical sciences/ ; },
abstract = {Malaria is a vector-borne disease, likely to be affected by climate change. In this study, general circulation model (GCM)-based scenarios were used for projecting future climate patterns and malaria incidence by artificial neural networks (ANN) in Zahedan district, Iran. Daily malaria incidence data of Zahedan district from 2000 to 2019 were inquired. The gamma test was used to select the appropriate combination of parameters for nonlinear modeling. The future climate pattern projections were obtained from HadGEM2-ES. The output was downscaled using LARS-WG stochastic weather generator under two Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) scenarios. The effect of climate change on malaria transmission for 2021-2060 was simulated by ANN. The designed model indicated that the future climate in Zahedan district will be warmer, more humid, and with more precipitation. Assessment of the potential impact of climate change on the incidence of malaria by ANN showed the number of malaria cases in Zahedan under both scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP 8.5). It should be noted that due to the lack of daily malaria data before 2013, monthly data from 2000 were used only for initial analysis; and in preprocessing and simulation analyses, the daily malaria data from 2013 to 2019 were used. Therefore, if proper interventions are not implemented, malaria will continue to be a health issue in this region.},
}
@article {pmid35712360,
year = {2022},
author = {Habeeb, B and Bastidas-Arteaga, E},
title = {Climate change indicators dataset for coastal locations of the European Atlantic area.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {43},
number = {},
pages = {108339},
doi = {10.1016/j.dib.2022.108339},
pmid = {35712360},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Over time, considerable changes in the earth's climate have always occurred due to a wide variety of natural processes. During the last century, these natural changes have all been accelerated by global warming, which has been driven by human activities. Climate change leads to wide variations in environmental variables such as temperature, relative humidity, carbon dioxide, etc. These changes could adversely affect the performance, serviceability, and safety of infrastructure assets. The challenge, therefore, is to not only understand the effect of extreme events and their links to climate change, but also to obtain data that could be used for assessing long-term gradual effects affecting infrastructure assets. In this paper is presented a climate indicators database that was collected and provided in an excel format. This database could be used for assessing the durability, vulnerability, and cost-effectiveness of adaptation measures for coastal infrastructure assets. The database contains information for specific coastal locations placed in five European countries: Caxias (Portugal), Saint Nazaire (France), Vigo (Spain), Brighton (UK), Dublin and Cork (Ireland). The database includes atmospheric, and oceanic indicators, as well as and the flow of rivers. It covers a time series of up to 2100 with various representative concentration pathways and climate models.},
}
@article {pmid35712272,
year = {2022},
author = {Bhatia, S and Bansal, D and Patil, S and Pandya, S and Ilyas, QM and Imran, S},
title = {A Retrospective Study of Climate Change Affecting Dengue: Evidences, Challenges and Future Directions.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {884645},
doi = {10.3389/fpubh.2022.884645},
pmid = {35712272},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Dengue/epidemiology ; Humans ; Incidence ; Retrospective Studies ; Weather ; },
abstract = {Climate change is unexpected weather patterns that can create an alarming situation. Due to climate change, various sectors are affected, and one of the sectors is healthcare. As a result of climate change, the geographic range of several vector-borne human infectious diseases will expand. Currently, dengue is taking its toll, and climate change is one of the key reasons contributing to the intensification of dengue disease transmission. The most important climatic factors linked to dengue transmission are temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity. The present study carries out a systematic literature review on the surveillance system to predict dengue outbreaks based on Machine Learning modeling techniques. The systematic literature review discusses the methodology and objectives, the number of studies carried out in different regions and periods, the association between climatic factors and the increase in positive dengue cases. This study also includes a detailed investigation of meteorological data, the dengue positive patient data, and the pre-processing techniques used for data cleaning. Furthermore, correlation techniques in several studies to determine the relationship between dengue incidence and meteorological parameters and machine learning models for predictive analysis are discussed. In the future direction for creating a dengue surveillance system, several research challenges and limitations of current work are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid35712136,
year = {2022},
author = {Yousafzai, MT and Shah, T and Khan, S and Ullah, S and Nawaz, M and Han, H and Ariza-Montes, A and Molina-Sánchez, H and Vega-Muñoz, A},
title = {Assessing Socioeconomic Risks of Climate Change on Tenant Farmers in Pakistan.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {870555},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2022.870555},
pmid = {35712136},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {The study uses a transformative worldview to give voice to an economically marginalized group of tenant farmers vulnerable to climate changes due to their calamity prone geographical location. Drawing on anthropogenic global warming (AGW) theory lens, we examine the impact of manmade actions on climate change in District "Swat" and "Malakand" of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KPK) province, Pakistan using a sequential mixed methods research design. Through this research design, the results of quantitative survey were complemented with a qualitative analysis of in-depth interviews. In first phase, we conducted a survey of 200 tenant farmers, followed by second wave of data collection involving 12 open-ended in-depth interviews (IDIs). The both qualitative and quantitative results suggest that farmers in both districts are affected by climate change although their crop yield had progressively increased signaling better coping and survival skills than other parts of country. Majority of respondents believed that climate change is something beyond their control in disagreement with AGW theory. Major economic losses were specifically, due to sudden alterations in weather patterns, such as floods, and hailstorms that reduce productivity as well as results in food waste with no avenues available to reclaim the energy laden in organic food waste. Besides, a productivity loss was attributed to outdated farming, lack of awareness regarding sharecropping and crop loan insurance practices. The study concludes that farmers are most vulnerable to climate change in socioeconomic terms as such changes impact their income sources; This inwardly compels cash strapped tenant farmers to delve in practice of informal credit with substantive risks attached which further deteriorates their livelihoods. The study offers understanding of how low-literate and economically marginalized indigenous tenant farmers cope to climate change and offers policy recommendations to advocate for the rights to earn sustainable livelihoods in the face of grand climate challenge.},
}
@article {pmid35712042,
year = {2022},
author = {Dannevig, H and Korsbrekke, MH and Hovelsrud, GK},
title = {Advancements of sustainable development goals in co-production for climate change adaptation research.},
journal = {Climate risk management},
volume = {36},
number = {},
pages = {None},
doi = {10.1016/j.crm.2022.100438},
pmid = {35712042},
issn = {2212-0963},
abstract = {The United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is a new discursive regime that encompasses global environmental change challenges and sustainability sciences, including adaptation to climate change. Co-production of knowledge has become a key, intrinsic component in both sustainability sciences and adaptation research. In this review article, we investigate if and how the SDG agenda is included in the application of participatory approaches and co-production of knowledge for climate change adaptation. We review findings from such processes in projects whose objective is to foster adaptation in the context of SDGs and to categorize the methods employed to forward co-production. We investigate 1) whether and how co-production approaches localize SDG targets and address tradeoffs and synergies, 2) whether they focus on power asymmetries and political dimensions in such participatory processes, and 3) whether and how the literature show that the SDG agenda contributes to a shift in the role of researchers towards a more interventionist approach to co-production. Our results show that there is little evidence that the SDG agenda contributes to a shift towards more interventionist or transformative approaches within climate change adaptation. Further, we have a identified a missed opportunity in the exclusion of "social" SDGs (SDG 5 and 10) in the discussions of adaptation and co-production and SGDs. Most importantly, we find that participatory efforts, including the co-production of knowledge, for localizing SDG goals and resolving tradeoffs and benefits, are the most salient aspects that tie the three co-production - adaptation - the SDG agenda together. Such participatory localizing processes have a great potential in facilitating long-enduring empowerment and legitimacy in adaptation efforts.},
}
@article {pmid35711997,
year = {2022},
author = {Caven, AJ and Wiese, JD},
title = {Reinventory of the vascular plants of Mormon Island Crane Meadows after forty years of restoration, invasion, and climate change.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {8},
number = {6},
pages = {e09640},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09640},
pmid = {35711997},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {The majority of tallgrass prairie has been lost from North America's Great Plains, but remaining tracts often support significant biodiversity. Despite permanent protections for some remnants, they continue to face anthropogenic threats including habitat fragmentation, invasive species, and climate change. Conservationists have sought to buffer remnants from threats using prairie restoration but limited research has assessed such practices at the landscape-level. We reexamine the flora of Mormon Island, the largest tract of lowland tallgrass prairie remaining in the Central Platte River Valley (CPRV) of Nebraska, USA, nearly 40-years after it was initially inventoried and following widespread restoration. We also conducted preliminary inventories of nearby Shoemaker Island and adjacent off-island habitats using an ecotope-based stratified random sampling approach. We examined change at Mormon Island between 1980-1981 and 2015-2020 and compared it to adjacent conservation lands using a number of vegetation indices. We documented 389 vascular plant species on Mormon Island, 405 on Shoemaker Island, and 337 on off-island habitats from 2015-2020, which represented an increase in native and exotic species richness on Mormon Island compared to 1980-1981 results. Floristic quality index (FQI) values increased at Mormon Island between 1980-1981 and 2015-2020. Paradoxically, the distribution of exotic-invasive species also expanded. Mormon Island from 2015-2020 was more similar to Shoemaker Island and off-island habitats from 2015-2020 than Mormon Island from 1980-1981. Widespread restoration introduced a number of high conservation value species native to Nebraska but novel to the CPRV, which improved FQIs despite increased exotic species invasion. These concurrent trends appear to have driven biological homogenization across the study area. Restoration did not fully buffer Mormon Island from exotic species invasion but it may have partially mitigated the impact considering the persistence of most native species across a 40-year period. We recommend using "local ecotype" seed for restorations to preserve distinctive local communities.},
}
@article {pmid35711097,
year = {2022},
author = {McColl-Gausden, SC and Bennett, LT and Clarke, HG and Ababei, DA and Penman, TD},
title = {The fuel-climate-fire conundrum: How will fire regimes change in temperate eucalypt forests under climate change?.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16283},
pmid = {35711097},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Australian Government Research Training Program (RTP) Scholarship/ ; //Integrated Forest Ecosystem Research agreement between the Victorian Dept of Environment, Land, Water and Planning/ ; //ACT Government Environment and Sustainable Development Directorate/ ; //University of New South Wales Climate Change Research Centre/ ; //NSW Government Office of Environment and Heritage/ ; //The University of Melbourne/ ; },
abstract = {Fire regimes are changing across the globe in response to complex interactions between climate, fuel, and fire across space and time. Despite these complex interactions, research into predicting fire regime change is often unidimensional, typically focusing on direct relationships between fire activity and climate, increasing the chances of erroneous fire predictions that have ignored feedbacks with, for example, fuel loads and availability. Here, we quantify the direct and indirect role of climate on fire regime change in eucalypt dominated landscapes using a novel simulation approach that uses a landscape fire modelling framework to simulate fire regimes over decades to centuries. We estimated the relative roles of climate-mediated changes as both direct effects on fire weather and indirect effects on fuel load and structure in a full factorial simulation experiment (present and future weather, present and future fuel) that included six climate ensemble members. We applied this simulation framework to predict changes in fire regimes across six temperate forested landscapes in south-eastern Australia that encompass a broad continuum from climate-limited to fuel-limited. Climate-mediated change in weather and fuel was predicted to intensify fire regimes in all six landscapes by increasing wildfire extent and intensity and decreasing fire interval, potentially led by an earlier start to the fire season. Future weather was the dominant factor influencing changes in all the tested fire regime attributes: area burnt, area burnt at high intensity, fire interval, high-intensity fire interval, and season midpoint. However, effects of future fuel acted synergistically or antagonistically with future weather depending on the landscape and the fire regime attribute. Our results suggest that fire regimes are likely to shift across temperate ecosystems in south-eastern Australia in coming decades, particularly in climate-limited systems where there is the potential for a greater availability of fuels to burn through increased aridity.},
}
@article {pmid35710997,
year = {2022},
author = {Guglielmi, G},
title = {Climate change is turning more of Central Asia into desert.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35710997},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35705891,
year = {2022},
author = {Seritan, AL and Hasser, C and Burke, MG and Bussmann, GL and Charlesworth, A and Cooper, R and Fortuna, LR and Herbst, ED and Jayaratne, A and Richards, A and Stuart, BK and Epel, E},
title = {Correction to: The Climate Change and Mental Health Task Force: One Academic Psychiatry Department's Efforts to Heed the Call to Action.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s40596-022-01672-7},
pmid = {35705891},
issn = {1545-7230},
}
@article {pmid35710526,
year = {2022},
author = {Edlinger, M and Schneider, M and Lagally, L and Lob-Corzilius, T and Mertes, H and Deering, K and Schoierer, J and Böse-O'Reilly, S},
title = {[Climate change and child health: A nationwide survey among paediatricians in Germany].},
journal = {Zeitschrift fur Evidenz, Fortbildung und Qualitat im Gesundheitswesen},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.zefq.2022.03.007},
pmid = {35710526},
issn = {2212-0289},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Children are a vulnerable group affected by climate change. Paediatricians are important actors in protecting children from climate change-related health risks and in identifying and treating relevant health effects. The main objectives of this study were to determine how paediatricians assess the relevance of climate change-related health impacts, through which channels paediatricians can be reached most effectively, how often climate change-specific prevention measures are implemented and how they are assessed.<br><br>METHODS: Between February and July 2020, an online survey among paediatricians was conducted. The cross-sectional survey was designed to gather knowledge and attitudes about the relevance of climate change, sources of information and prevention measures. All participants who answered only one question or none at all were excluded. Differences between groups were determined using one-factorial analysis of variance. Correlations were determined using Pearson's bivariate correlation analysis and tested for two-sided significance.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 408 questionnaires were analysed. Over 95% of the respondents were paediatricians, with just under half of them working in children's hospitals and a good third in paediatric practices. According to paediatricians, climate change has a relevant impact on children's health. The most significant effects on children's health were considered to be longer and stronger pollen seasons, neophytes and neozoa, Lyme disease and TBE (early summer meningoencephalitis), UV radiation and air pollutants. Certified training options in professional journals and participation in lectures or workshops at relevant congresses were identified as the two preferred types of training. Especially professional journals as the most frequently used source of information could function as a suitable tool to reach as many paediatricians as possible. 76% of the paediatricians have not yet carried out any corresponding prevention activities, although information activities for parents or children were seen as being effective by 80%. Whereas the possibilities of integrating climate change-oriented prevention activities into everyday practice, were perceived less positively. The most frequent reason given was lack of time.<br><br>DISCUSSION: To satisfy this future need for knowledge, but also for offerings from paediatricians for patients and their parents, concrete further continuous education and consultancy services must be prepared. In the future, further training offers, including the consultancy services, should be integrated into profession-specific training modules, presented at congresses, and then implemented into paediatricians' daily routine.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The results of the study illustrate that the topic "climate change and health" has a high relevance for paediatricians and that information measures for parents are considered to be effective. Although paediatricians are concerned with the topic, there is an implementation deficit. Support is needed in the form of intensifying awareness raising projects and educational modules for paediatricians to move from knowledge to action.},
}
@article {pmid35709266,
year = {2022},
author = {Voosen, P},
title = {Studies tying weather extremes to global warming gain rigor.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {376},
number = {6599},
pages = {1256-1257},
doi = {10.1126/science.add4866},
pmid = {35709266},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {Climate ; Climate Change ; *Global Warming ; *Weather ; },
abstract = {Record-shattering events spur climate attribution advances.},
}
@article {pmid35707618,
year = {2022},
author = {Navarro, JM and Antolinos, V and Robles, JM and Botía, P},
title = {Citrus Irrigation With Desalinated Seawater Under a Climate Change Scenario.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {909083},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.909083},
pmid = {35707618},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {In arid and semiarid regions, the current lack of natural water resources is driving the use of alternative sources for crop irrigation, such as desalinated seawater (DSW). However, the use of DSW could affect the crop productivity due to its chemical composition (predominance of phytotoxic ions: Na+, Cl-, and B). Citrus species are classified as salt and boron-sensitive; however, the rootstock plays a fundamental role in the tree's tolerance of abiotic stresses. One-year-old 'Verna' lemon trees grafted on two rootstocks (CM, Citrus macrophylla, and SO, sour orange) were used. These rootstocks differ in their salinity and boron tolerance, SO being more tolerant than CM. The experiment was carried out at high temperature (35/27°C), and the plants were irrigated with three types of water supplemented with Hoagland nutrients: DSW, DLB (DSW with low boron), and Control (distilled water). The plants were irrigated three times per week and harvested 7 months after the treatments started. The response to high levels of Cl-, Na+, and B was rootstock-dependent. Under the high temperature conditions, the growth of plants grafted on SO was not affected by DSW, and these plants did not reach the Cl- threshold of phytotoxicity, so the decrease in the shoot growth of plants grafted on CM due to DSW irrigation was related more to Cl- rather than the foliar Na+ accumulation. Plants grafted on SO and irrigated with DSW accumulated more B than those grafted on CM, surpassing the threshold of phytotoxicity and producing greater oxidative stress. As the growth of these plants was not reduced, the effects of DSW on plant growth were not directly related to the concentration of B and there must be some mechanisms that allow these plants to withstand the negative effects of high foliar B, such as the increased levels of quaternary ammonium compounds. Since the response of citrus plants to DSW depended on the rootstock, the results obtained in this experiment, using DSW at high temperature, could be useful for the future management of citrus crops, because climate change will increase temperatures and exacerbate the scarcity of water resources in citrus-growing areas.},
}
@article {pmid35706391,
year = {2022},
author = {Pastore, MA},
title = {Bringing the underground to the surface: Climate change stressors negatively affect plant growth, with contrasting above and belowground physiological responses.},
journal = {Plant, cell &amp; environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/pce.14379},
pmid = {35706391},
issn = {1365-3040},
abstract = {Terrestrial ecosystems sequester carbon from the atmosphere through a single biological process - photosynthesis - and thus considerable research has centered on how global change factors influence aboveground plant dynamics. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid35706381,
year = {2022},
author = {Osborne, BB and Bestelmeyer, BT and Currier, CM and Homyak, PM and Throop, HL and Young, K and Reed, SC},
title = {The consequences of climate change for dryland biogeochemistry.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.18312},
pmid = {35706381},
issn = {1469-8137},
abstract = {Drylands, which cover more than 40% of Earth's terrestrial surface, are dominant drivers of global biogeochemical cycling and home to more than one third of the human population. Climate projections predict warming, drought frequency and severity, and evaporative demand will increase in drylands at faster rates than global means. Due to extreme temperatures and high biological dependency on limited water availability, drylands are predicted to be exceptionally sensitive to climate change and, indeed, significant climate impacts are already being observed. Yet our understanding and ability to forecast climate change effects on dryland biogeochemistry and ecosystem functions lag behind many mesic systems. To improve our capacity to forecast ecosystem change, we propose focusing on the controls and consequences of two key characteristics affecting dryland biogeochemistry: i) high spatial and temporal heterogeneity in environmental conditions and ii) generalized resource scarcity. In addition to climate change, drylands are experiencing accelerating land use change. Building our understanding of dryland biogeochemistry in both intact and disturbed systems will better equip us to address the interacting effects of climate change and landscape degradation. Responding to these challenges will require a diverse, globally distributed, and interdisciplinary community of dryland experts united towards better understanding these vast and important ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid35704486,
year = {2022},
author = {Solomon, CG and Salas, RN and Malina, D and Sacks, CA and Hardin, CC and Prewitt, E and Lee, TH and Rubin, EJ},
title = {Fossil-Fuel Pollution and Climate Change - A New NEJM Group Series.},
journal = {The New England journal of medicine},
volume = {386},
number = {24},
pages = {2328-2329},
doi = {10.1056/NEJMe2206300},
pmid = {35704486},
issn = {1533-4406},
}
@article {pmid35704482,
year = {2022},
author = {Perera, F and Nadeau, K},
title = {Climate Change, Fossil-Fuel Pollution, and Children's Health.},
journal = {The New England journal of medicine},
volume = {386},
number = {24},
pages = {2303-2314},
doi = {10.1056/NEJMra2117706},
pmid = {35704482},
issn = {1533-4406},
}
@article {pmid35703632,
year = {2022},
author = {Amani-Male, O and Feizabadi, Y and Norouzi, G},
title = {A model-based evaluation of farmers' income variability under climate change (case study: autumn crops in Iran).},
journal = {Brazilian journal of biology = Revista brasleira de biologia},
volume = {84},
number = {},
pages = {e261997},
doi = {10.1590/1519-6984.261997},
pmid = {35703632},
issn = {1678-4375},
abstract = {The study strives to analyze the potential variations of farmers' income under climate change by using Ricardian approach. The case study was Mazandaran province of Iran and three autumn crops, i.e. wheat, barley and canola were considered as the investigated crops. The Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG) model was selected to downscale the climate data. Three climate variables were downscaled for the years 2020-2080 under three climate scenarios: optimistic (RCP2.6), medium (RCP4.5), and pessimistic (RCP8.5). The Ricardian approach was also employed to predict the economics of climate change. Accordingly, the mean monthly temperature of the province is projected to have an upward trend under all climate scenarios, however, the rainfall pattern would be varied. The results of economic impacts of climate change also approved that the net income of investigated crops would be different trends under climate change scenarios. Accordingly, the variations of air temperature and rainfall would lead that the net income increases for wheat and barley, while it decreases for canola.},
}
@article {pmid35703625,
year = {2022},
author = {Selcuk, MA and Celik, F and Simsek, S and Ahmed, H and Kesik, HK and Kilinc, SG and Cao, J},
title = {Genetic, haplotype and phylogenetic analysis of Ligula intestinalis by using mt-CO1 gene marker: ecological implications, climate change and eco-genetic diversity.},
journal = {Brazilian journal of biology = Revista brasleira de biologia},
volume = {84},
number = {},
pages = {e258626},
doi = {10.1590/1519-6984.258626},
pmid = {35703625},
issn = {1678-4375},
abstract = {Ligula intestinalis is a cestode parasite that affects freshwater fish in different countries of the world. The current study aims to reveal the phylogenetic, genetic and haplotype diversity of mt-CO1 gene sequences sent to the NCBI database from different countries by using in-silico analysis. The 105 mt-CO1 (371 bp) gene sequences of L. intestinalis obtained from NCBI were used for bioinformatics analyses. Sequences were subjected to phylogenetic and haplotype analysis. As a result of the haplotype analysis of L. intestinalis, 38 haplotypes were obtained from 13 different countries. Hap24 constituted 44.76% of the obtained haplotype network. Changes in nucleotides between haplotypes occurred at 1-84 different points. China and Turkey have highest fixation index (Fst) values of 0.59761, while the lowest (-0.10526) was found between Russia and Turkey. This study provides a baseline for future studies on extensive scale on the epidemiology, ecological aspects, distribution pattern, transmission dynamics and population dispersion of L. intestinalis worldwide.},
}
@article {pmid35701014,
year = {2022},
author = {Dasandi, N and Cai, W and Friberg, P and Jankin, S and Kuylenstierna, J and Nilsson, M},
title = {The inclusion of health in major global reports on climate change and biodiversity.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {7},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2022-008731},
pmid = {35701014},
issn = {2059-7908},
abstract = {This article argues that human health has become a key consideration in recent global reports on climate change and biodiversity produced by various international organisations; however, greater attention must be given to the unequal health impacts of climate change and biodiversity loss around the world and the different health adaptation measures that are urgently required.},
}
@article {pmid35699329,
year = {2022},
author = {Johnson, SS},
title = {Creating Shared Value to Advance Racial Justice, Health Equity, and Meaningful Action on Climate Change.},
journal = {American journal of health promotion : AJHP},
volume = {36},
number = {6},
pages = {1045-1047},
doi = {10.1177/08901171221092576a},
pmid = {35699329},
issn = {2168-6602},
}
@article {pmid35699325,
year = {2022},
author = {Johnson, SS},
title = {Knowing Well, Being Well: well-being born of understanding: Creating Shared Value to Advance Racial Justice, Health Equity, and Meaningful Action on Climate Change.},
journal = {American journal of health promotion : AJHP},
volume = {36},
number = {6},
pages = {1045-1067},
doi = {10.1177/08901171221092576},
pmid = {35699325},
issn = {2168-6602},
}
@article {pmid35699252,
year = {2022},
author = {Austin, MW and Cole, PO and Olsen, KM and Smith, AB},
title = {Climate change is associated with increased allocation to potential outcrossing in a common mixed mating species.},
journal = {American journal of botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ajb2.16021},
pmid = {35699252},
issn = {1537-2197},
abstract = {PREMISE: The balance between cross- and self-fertilization is driven by the environment. Yet no long-term study has documented whether anthropogenic climate change is affecting reproductive strategy allocation in species with mixed mating systems. Here, we test whether the common blue violet (Viola sororia; Violaceae) has altered relative allocation to the production of potentially outcrossing flowers as the climate has changed across the 20th century.<br><br>METHODS: Using herbarium records spanning 1875 to 2015 from the central United States, we quantified production of obligately selfing cleistogamous (CL) flowers and potentially outcrossing chasmogamous (CH) flowers by V. sororia, coupled these records with historic temperature and precipitation data, and tested whether changes to the proportion of CL flowers correlate with temporal climate trends.<br><br>RESULTS: We find that V. sororia progressively produced lower proportions of CL flowers across the past century and in environments with lower mean annual temperature and higher total annual precipitation. We also find that both CL and CH flower phenology has advanced across this time period.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that V. sororia has responded to lower temperatures and greater water availability by shifting reproductive strategy allocation away from selfing and toward potential outcrossing. This provides the first long term study of how climate change may affect relative allocation to potential outcrossing in species with mixed mating systems. By revealing that CL flowering is associated with low water availability and high temperature, our results suggest the production of obligately selfing flowers is favored in water limited environments. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid35698263,
year = {2022},
author = {Kitchel, ZJ and Conrad, HM and Selden, RL and Pinsky, ML},
title = {The role of continental shelf bathymetry in shaping marine range shifts in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16276},
pmid = {35698263},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {OCE-1426891//National Science Foundation/ ; OCE-1521565//National Science Foundation/ ; DEB-1616821//National Science Foundation/ ; //The Nippon Foundation/ ; //Rutgers Ecology and Evolution Graduate Program/ ; //Rutgers Institute of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences/ ; //Rutgers School of Environmental and Biological Sciences/ ; //Rutgers University Aresty Research Center/ ; },
abstract = {As a consequence of anthropogenic climate change, marine species on continental shelves around the world are rapidly shifting deeper and poleward. However, whether these shifts deeper and poleward will allow species to access more, less, or equivalent amounts of continental shelf area and associated critical habitats remains unclear. By examining the proportion of seabed area at a range of depths for each large marine ecosystem (LME), we found that shelf area declined monotonically for 19% of LMEs examined. However, the majority exhibited a greater proportion of shelf area in mid-depths or across several depth ranges. By comparing continental shelf area across 2° latitudinal bands, we found that all coastlines exhibit multiple instances of shelf area expansion and contraction, which have the potential to promote or restrict poleward movement of marine species. Along most coastlines, overall shelf habitat increases or exhibits no significant change moving towards the poles. The exception is the Southern West Pacific, which experiences an overall loss of area with increasing latitude. Changes in continental shelf area availability across latitudes and depths are likely to affect the number of species local ecosystems can support. These geometric analyses help identify regions of conservation priority and ecological communities most likely to face attrition or expansion due to variations in available area.},
}
@article {pmid35697789,
year = {2022},
author = {Correia, HE and Tveraa, T and Stien, A and Yoccoz, N},
title = {Correction to: Nonlinear spatial and temporal decomposition provides insight for climate change effects on sub-Arctic herbivore populations.},
journal = {Oecologia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s00442-022-05205-9},
pmid = {35697789},
issn = {1432-1939},
}
@article {pmid35697221,
year = {2022},
author = {Badrzadeh, N and Samani, JMV and Mazaheri, M and Kuriqi, A},
title = {Evaluation of management practices on agricultural nonpoint source pollution discharges into the rivers under climate change effects.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156643},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156643},
pmid = {35697221},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {In recent years, agricultural non-point source pollution (ANPSP) has become the biggest threat to Aras River water quality by completing the Mughan irrigation and drainage network. Nutrient pollutants, including nitrate and phosphate, released into the river through drains have created a range of obstacles for locals living around the river. Agricultural activities are generally considered the largest source of non-point pollution. They have no complex and uniform impact along the river. Thus, the spatial distribution of ANPS and highly polluted areas should be identified to manage watershed management. This study proposes a simple framework for identifying pollutant-sensitive areas along the river and management strategies to improve water quality. To this aim, the main factors affecting ANPSP were identified, and the effectiveness of the scenarios selected to comply with water quality regulations for drinking and environment during 1993-2007 were simulated. Based on the sensitivity analysis, land use and fertilizer are the main factors affecting river ANPSP. Thus, their changes were modeled in different scenarios. Based on the results, the ANPSP load was higher downstream. The agricultural lands in region 3 were considered the main source of pollution. Comparing the management scenarios showed that the amount of nitrate and phosphate leaching into the river decreased to 18.1 and 8.35 %, respectively, by reducing the consumption of urea and phosphate fertilizers by 50 %. The results help watershed managers implement eco-friendly land use and nutrient management programs at specific locations during specific periods to control ANPSP along the rivers.},
}
@article {pmid35696127,
year = {2022},
author = {Lambert, J},
title = {Tick Borne Infections in the EU:A New Epidemic in the Face of Global Warming.},
journal = {Irish medical journal},
volume = {115},
number = {5},
pages = {594},
pmid = {35696127},
issn = {0332-3102},
}
@article {pmid35695436,
year = {2022},
author = {Lokotola, CL and Mash, R},
title = {Climate change and primary health care in Africa - A call for short reports.},
journal = {African journal of primary health care &amp; family medicine},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {e1-e2},
doi = {10.4102/phcfm.v14i1.3583},
pmid = {35695436},
issn = {2071-2936},
abstract = {No abstract available.},
}
@article {pmid35693511,
year = {2022},
author = {Jansma, A and van den Bos, K and de Graaf, BA},
title = {Unfairness in Society and Over Time: Understanding Possible Radicalization of People Protesting on Matters of Climate Change.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {778894},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2022.778894},
pmid = {35693511},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {In this manuscript, we introduce a theoretical model of climate radicalization that integrates social psychological theories of perceived unfairness with historical insights on radicalization to contribute to the knowledge of individuals' processes of radicalization and non-radicalization in relation to climate change. We define climate radicalization as a process of growing willingness to pursue and/or support radical changes in society that are in conflict with or could pose a threat to the status quo or democratic legal order to reach climate goals. We describe how perceptions of unfairness can play a pivotal role in processes of climate change related radicalization. Without taking any position or judgment regarding climate concerns and associated actions, we suggest that although these behaviors drive many people to participate in peaceful climate protest, they may also lead others to radicalize into breaking the law to achieve their climate goals, possibly in violent ways. This process of climate radicalization, we argue, can be driven by people perceiving certain situations to be blatantly unfair. Specifically, we discuss how radical attitudes and behaviors can be products of perceived unfairness stemming from the past, the future, the immediate social environments of perceivers, as well as those that are spatially distant from them. We further argue that because radicalization processes are shaped by an interaction between individuals and movements, on the one hand, and societal actors and developments, on the other, they tend to develop in non-linear and dynamic ways. We therefore propose that climate radicalization is a (1) dynamic, contingent, and non-linear process, often of an escalating (and sometimes de-escalating) kind, (2) that develops over time, (3) through various interactions between individuals and their contexts, and (4) in which people and groups move back and forth from peaceful protest, through disobedient and unlawful methods, to violent actions. Implications, strengths, and limitations of our model are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid35693463,
year = {2022},
author = {Luschkova, D and Traidl-Hoffmann, C and Ludwig, A},
title = {Climate change and allergies.},
journal = {Allergo journal international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-7},
doi = {10.1007/s40629-022-00212-x},
pmid = {35693463},
issn = {2197-0378},
abstract = {The climate crisis poses a major challenge to human health as well as the healthcare system and threatens to jeopardize the medical progress made in recent decades. However, addressing climate change may also be the greatest opportunity for global health in the 21st century. The climate crisis and its consequences, such as rising temperatures, forest fires, floods, droughts, and changes in the quality and quantity of food and water, directly and indirectly affect human physical and mental health. More intense and frequent heat waves and declining air quality have been shown to increase all-cause mortality, especially among the most vulnerable. Climate warming alters existing ecosystems and favors biological invasions by species that better tolerate heat and drought. Pathogen profiles are changing, and the transmission and spread of vector-borne diseases are increasing. The spread of neophytes in Europe, such as ragweed, is creating new pollen sources that increase allergen exposure for allergy sufferers. In addition, the overall milder weather, especially in combination with air pollution and increased CO2 levels, is changing the production and allergenicity of pollen. The phenomenon of thunderstorm asthma is also occurring more frequently. In view of the increasing prevalence of allergic diseases due to climate change, early causal immunomodulatory therapy is therefore all the more important. During a climate consultation, patients can receive individual advice on climate adaptation and resilience and the benefits of CO2 reduction-for their own and the planet's health. Almost 5% of all greenhouse gas emissions in Europe come from the healthcare sector. It thus has a central responsibility for a climate-neutral and sustainable transformation.},
}
@article {pmid35693157,
year = {2022},
author = {Arias, LA and Berli, F and Fontana, A and Bottini, R and Piccoli, P},
title = {Climate Change Effects on Grapevine Physiology and Biochemistry: Benefits and Challenges of High Altitude as an Adaptation Strategy.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {835425},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.835425},
pmid = {35693157},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Grapevine berry quality for winemaking depends on complex and dynamic relationships between the plant and the environment. Winemakers around the world are demanding a better understanding of the factors that influence berry growth and development. In the last decades, an increment in air temperature, CO2 concentration and dryness occurred in wine-producing regions, affecting the physiology and the biochemistry of grapevines, and by consequence the berry quality. The scientific community mostly agrees in a further raise as a result of climate change during the rest of the century. As a consequence, areas most suitable for viticulture are likely to shift into higher altitudes where mean temperatures are suitable for grape cultivation. High altitude can be defined as the minimum altitude at which the grapevine growth and development are differentially affected. At these high altitudes, the environments are characterized by high thermal amplitudes and great solar radiations, especially ultraviolet-B (UV-B). This review summarizes the environmental contribution of global high altitude-related climatic variables to the grapevine physiology and wine composition, for a better evaluation of the possible establishment of vineyards at high altitude in climate change scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid35692568,
year = {2021},
author = {Junqueira, AB and Fernández-Llamazares, Á and Torrents-Ticó, M and Hara, PL and Naasak, JG and Burgas, D and Fraixedas, S and Cabeza, M and Reyes-García, V},
title = {Interactions between climate change and infrastructure projects in changing water resources: An ethnobiological perspective from the Daasanach, Kenya.},
journal = {Journal of ethnobiology},
volume = {41},
number = {3},
pages = {331-348},
doi = {10.2993/0278-0771-41.3.331},
pmid = {35692568},
issn = {0278-0771},
abstract = {The fast and widespread environmental changes that have intensified in the last decades are bringing disproportionate impacts to Indigenous Peoples and Local Communities. Changes that affect water resources are particularly relevant for subsistence-based peoples, many of whom already suffer from constraints regarding reliable access to safe water. Particularly in areas where water is scarce, climate change is expected to amplify existing stresses in water availability, which are also exacerbated by multiple socioeconomic drivers. In this paper, we look into the local perceptions of environmental change expressed by the Daasanach people of northern Kenya, where the impacts of climate change overlap with those brought by large infrastructure projects recently established in the Omo River. We show that the Daasanach have rich and detailed understanding of changes in their environment, especially in relation to water resources. Daasanach understand observations of change in different elements of the social-ecological system as an outcome of complex interactions between climatic and non-climatic drivers of change. Our findings highlight the perceived synergistic effects of climate change and infrastructure projects in water resources, driving multiple and cascading impacts on biophysical elements and local livelihoods. Our results also demonstrate the potential of Local Ecological Knowledge in enhancing the understanding of complex social-ecological issues, such as the impacts of environmental change in local communities. To minimize and mitigate the social-ecological impacts of development projects, it is essential to consider potential synergies between climatic and socioeconomic factors and to ensure inclusive governance rooted in local understandings of environmental change.},
}
@article {pmid35692216,
year = {2022},
author = {Zenios, SA},
title = {The risks from climate change to sovereign debt.},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {172},
number = {3-4},
pages = {30},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-022-03373-4},
pmid = {35692216},
issn = {0165-0009},
abstract = {The exposure of sovereigns to climate risks is priced and can affect credit ratings and debt servicing costs. I argue that the climate risks to fiscal stability are not receiving adequate attention and discuss how to remedy the situation. After providing evidence of divergent climate risks to advanced economies, I describe the transmission channels from climate change to public finance. Then, I suggest how integrated assessment models (IAMs) can be linked with stochastic debt sustainability analysis (DSA) to inform our understanding of climate risks to sovereign debt dynamics and assess the available fiscal space to finance climate policies. I argue for adopting the narrative scenario architecture developed within the IPCC to bring structure and transparency to the analysis. The analysis is complicated by deep uncertainty -risks, ambiguity, and mis-specifications- of climate change. Using scenario trees, narrative scenarios, and ensembles of models, respectively, we can deal with these three challenges. I illustrate using two prominent IAMs to generate the debt dynamics of a high-debt country under climate risks to economic growth and find adverse effects from as early as 2030. I conclude with the policy implications for fiscal stability authorities.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10584-022-03373-4.},
}
@article {pmid35691976,
year = {2022},
author = {Liu, B and Fan, Y and Xue, B and Wang, T and Chao, Q},
title = {Feature extraction and classification of climate change risks: a bibliometric analysis.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {194},
number = {7},
pages = {495},
pmid = {35691976},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {72134002//national natural science foundation of china/ ; 72002019//national natural science foundation of china/ ; 21JZD029//Key Projects of Philosophy and Social Sciences Research/ ; 2021M700577//Postdoctoral Research Foundation of China/ ; 72074034//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; YS2020001//Bayu Scholar Program/ ; 2021CDSKXYGG013//Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities of China/ ; 2018YFC1509008//national key r&amp;d program of china/ ; },
abstract = {Risks brought by climate change are inevitable obstacles to global development. Clarifying the features of climate change risks helps us to further understand and cope with climate change. There lacks a systematic review of climate change risks in terms of feature extraction and classification. The bibliometric analysis can be used to analyze and extract climate change risk features. The literature in the field of climate change was searched in the Web of Science database. Coauthors, citations, bibliographic coupling, co-citations, and keyword co-occurrence were analyzed. From five dimensions including nature, politics, economy, society, and culture, the risk features of climate change were extracted and summarized. Through text mining and cluster analysis, the climate change risk feature system was established, which is embodied in five different aspects: ecosystem and sustainability; uncertainty, vulnerability, and efficiency; behavior and decision-making; governance and management; and adaptation and mitigation. The feature system reflects that the current climate change risk presents strong variability and that the risk boundary is gradually blurred. The areas affected by risk are expanding and deepening. The strategies and governance for addressing risks are gradually diversified. This research contributes to the domain of climate change risk identification and assessment. The features of climate change indicate that we need to adjust policymaking and managerial practices for climate change in the future. Interdisciplinary cooperation, human cognition and preferences, public participation in global governance, and other unnatural factors related to climate change should be strengthened with a more positive attitude.},
}
@article {pmid35690202,
year = {2022},
author = {Liu, Y and Liu, H and Chen, Y and Gang, C and Shen, Y},
title = {Quantifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to vegetation dynamic in China based on multiple indices.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156553},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156553},
pmid = {35690202},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Distinguishing the respective roles of climate change and anthropogenic activities can provide crucial information for sustainable management of the environment. Here, using the residual trend method (RESTREND), which measures the residue of the actual and potential trends of vegetation, we quantified the relative contributions of human activities (e.g., ecological restoration, overgrazing, and urbanization) and climate change (the warmer and wetter trend) to vegetation dynamics in China during 1988-2018 based on multiple vegetation indices, including the vegetation optical depth (Ku-VOD, C-VOD), normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and gross primary productivity (GPP). The results showed that the VOD, NDVI, and GPP exhibited overall increasing trends during 1988-2018. Human activities contributed >70% to the increases in NDVI and GPP in China, whereas a counterbalanced contribution of human activities and climate change was identified for the VOD dynamics (51% vs. 49%). Regions with high contributions from human activities to NDVI, GPP, and VOD were located in northeastern, southern, central, and northwestern China. In northern China, the positive impacts of human activities on NDVI (78%) and BEPS-GPP (83%) were greater than those of climate change. In contrast, human activities contributed 96% to the decrease in Ku-VOD over the same period. Before 2000, climate change promoted increases in GPP and NDVI in most regions of southern China. The increasing rates of GPP and NDVI accelerated after 2000 due to afforestation. However, human activities like overgrazing and urbanization have led to decreases in Ku-VOD in northern and southwestern China, and in C-VOD in northeastern, eastern, central, southwestern, and southern China. In all, the relative roles of climate and human factors varied in different regions when NDVI, GPP, or VOD were individually considered. Our results highlighted that the regional-scale vegetation conditions should be taken into full account to achieve sustainable management of ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid35688987,
year = {2022},
author = {Prabakaran, R and Sivalingam, V and Kim, SC and Ganesh Kumar, P and Praveen Kumar, G},
title = {Future refrigerants with low global warming potential for residential air conditioning system: a thermodynamic analysis and MCDM tool optimization.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35688987},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Increasing CO2 emission due to the practicing of high global warming potential (GWP) refrigerant like R22 in split air conditioning (AC) units needs the best substitute to match with environment and safety protocols along with good energy efficiency. In this study, 14 alternative refrigerants have been chosen to replace R22 in a 1.5 TR capacity of split AC from the existing studies. The performance of each refrigerant has been analysed thermodynamically and compared their results with R22 by accounting for discharge temperature, power consumption, coefficient of performance (COP), total equivalent warming impact (TEWI) index, and life-time cost. Overall from this theoretical analysis, it was observed that the best refrigerant for each considered measure is not unique; for example, R290 was best in terms of refrigerant charge and discharge pressure, while R444B was chosen to be superior in terms of COP, TEWI, and life-time cost. Therefore, a multi-criteria decision-making methodology tool-based optimization has been carried out for selecting a single superior refrigerant for the future by considering thermal properties, COP, TEWI, and life-time cost. Results of the evaluation based on the distance from average solution envisage R290 and R1123 as superior and worst choices to replace R22.},
}
@article {pmid35688613,
year = {2022},
author = {Leddin, D and Omary, MB and Metz, G and Veitch, AM},
title = {Climate change: a survey of global gastroenterology society leadership.},
journal = {Gut},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/gutjnl-2022-327832},
pmid = {35688613},
issn = {1468-3288},
}
@article {pmid35688175,
year = {2022},
author = {Ong, BAG and Rocimo, AMR and Lucero, JAC},
title = {Climate change and haematology: perspectives from the Philippines.},
journal = {The Lancet. Haematology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2352-3026(22)00174-0},
pmid = {35688175},
issn = {2352-3026},
}
@article {pmid35686793,
year = {2022},
author = {Xu, Y and Huang, WT and Dou, SQ and Guo, ZD and Li, XY and Zheng, ZW and Jing, JL},
title = {[Responding Mechanism of Vegetation Cover to Climate Change and Human Activities in Southwest China from 2000 to 2020].},
journal = {Huan jing ke xue= Huanjing kexue},
volume = {43},
number = {6},
pages = {3230-3240},
doi = {10.13227/j.hjkx.202108107},
pmid = {35686793},
issn = {0250-3301},
abstract = {Studying vegetation cover variation and its responding mechanism to climate change and human activities is of great significance for regional ecological protection and vegetation restoration. In this study, on the basis of MODIS NDVI, in situ climate data, and land use type data using Theil-Sen Median analysis, the Mann-Kendall significance test, residual analysis, partial correlation analysis, and multi-correlation analysis, the spatial and temporal variation in vegetation cover and its response to climate change and the land use/land cover change in each geomorphological unit in southwest China were analyzed. The vegetation cover showed a fluctuant increasing trend, and the changing trend exhibited obvious spatial heterogeneity, with the increasing rate being higher in the southeast and lower in the northwest of southwest China from 2000 to 2020. The vegetation variation was dominated by positive effects of the climate change and human activities in southwest China, and the positive effects were stronger in Guangxi Hill than those in other geomorphological units. Furthermore, from 2000 to 2020 the vegetation cover was positively associated with precipitation and temperature and negatively correlated with relative humidity and sunshine duration in southwest China. Temperature was considered to be the dominate climate factor controlling the vegetation variation in the study area. Urban expansion had decreased the region vegetation cover, but the overall vegetation cover had increased in southwest China due to the suitable regional climate conditions and the implementation of ecological reforestation projection. These results can provide scientific references for ecological protection and economic sustainable development in southwest China.},
}
@article {pmid35686287,
year = {2022},
author = {Yost, RC},
title = {Resilience requires change. Assessing Pehuenche responses to climate change impacts in Southern Chile.},
journal = {Environmental justice (Print)},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {185-195},
doi = {10.1089/env.2021.0044},
pmid = {35686287},
issn = {1939-4071},
abstract = {Indigenous peoples are one of the most vulnerable groups to climate change. Although many communities are already responding to these impacts, inequitable structures impose barriers to their capacity to recover and adapt. Through the case of the Pehuenche people of Southern Chile, this article addresses the question of what is the relationship between resilience and adaptation to climate change. From an ethnographic approach, the article characterizes the construction process of the contextual vulnerability of Pehuenche communities and evaluates their responses to cope with climate change impacts. Fieldwork was conducted in two stages between 2017 and 2019. Results show that current Pehuenche vulnerability to climate change is an ongoing process influenced by the state rather than a consequence of this phenomenon. Although Pehuenche communities are responding to climate change impacts, their resilience is constrained by the incidence of state policy. Identifying themselves as herders, Pehuenche responses aim to restore the conditions for livestock instead of changing the factors that make them vulnerable. Most of their responses can be considered maladaptation because they reinforce vulnerability by reproducing practices that damage their social capital and cause more pressure on the territory. A critical review and reformulation of the policy implemented at the local level are mandatory to strengthen community resilience.},
}
@article {pmid35685016,
year = {2022},
author = {Ma, R and Xia, C and Liu, Y and Wang, Y and Zhang, J and Shen, X and Lu, X and Jiang, M},
title = {Spatiotemporal Change of Net Primary Productivity and Its Response to Climate Change in Temperate Grasslands of China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {899800},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.899800},
pmid = {35685016},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {The temperate grasslands in China play a vital part in regulating regional carbon cycle and climate change. Net primary productivity (NPP) is a crucial index that reflects ecological function of plants and the carbon sequestration capacity of grassland ecosystem. Climate change can affect NPP by changing vegetation growth, but the effects of climate change on the NPP of China's temperate grasslands remain unclear. Based on MODIS data and monthly climate data during 2000-2020, this study explored the spatiotemporal changes in grassland NPP and its response to climate change in temperate grasslands of China. We found that the annual NPP over the entire China's temperate grasslands increased significantly by 4.0 gC/m2/year from 2000 to 2020. The annual NPP showed increasing trends for all the different grassland vegetation types, with the smallest increase for temperate desert steppe (2.2 gC/m2/year) and the largest increase for temperate meadow (5.4 gC/m2/year). The correlation results showed that increased annual precipitation had a positive relationship with the NPP of temperate grasslands. Increased summer and autumn precipitation could increase grassland NPP, particularly for the temperate meadow. With regard to the effects of temperatures, increased temperature, particularly the summer maximum temperature, could decrease annual NPP. However, increased spring minimum temperature could increase the NPP of temperate desert steppe. In addition, this study found, for the first time, an asymmetric relationship between summer nighttime and daytime warming and the NPP of temperate meadow. Specifically, nighttime warming can increase NPP, while daytime warming can reduce NPP in temperate meadow. Our results highlight the importance of including seasonal climate conditions in assessing the vegetation productivity for different grassland types of temperate grasslands and predicting the influences of future climate change on temperate grassland ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid35684297,
year = {2022},
author = {Freitas, TR and Santos, JA and Silva, AP and Fraga, H},
title = {Correction: Freitas et al. Influence of Climate Change on Chestnut Trees: A Review. Plants 2021, 10, 1463.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {11},
number = {11},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants11111518},
pmid = {35684297},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {In the original article [...].},
}
@article {pmid35680858,
year = {2022},
author = {Foong, A and Pradhan, P and Frör, O and Kropp, JP},
title = {Adjusting agricultural emissions for trade matters for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {3024},
pmid = {35680858},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {01DP17035 (SUSFOOD project)//Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research)/ ; 01LS1906A (BIO-CLIMAPATHS project)//Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (Federal Ministry of Education and Research)/ ; 221362/Z/20/Z (Food System Economics Commission)//Wellcome Trust (Wellcome)/ ; },
abstract = {Reducing greenhouse gas emissions in food systems is becoming more challenging as food is increasingly consumed away from producer regions, highlighting the need to consider emissions embodied in trade in agricultural emissions accounting. To address this, our study explores recent trends in trade-adjusted agricultural emissions of food items at the global, regional, and national levels. We find that emissions are largely dependent on a country's consumption patterns and their agricultural emission intensities relative to their trading partners'. The absolute differences between the production-based and trade-adjusted emissions accounting approaches are especially apparent for major agricultural exporters and importers and where large shares of emission-intensive items such as ruminant meat, milk products and rice are involved. In relative terms, some low-income and emerging and developing economies with consumption of high emission intensity food products show large differences between approaches. Similar trends are also found under various specifications that account for trade and re-exports differently. These findings could serve as an important element towards constructing national emissions reduction targets that consider trading partners, leading to more effective emissions reductions overall.},
}
@article {pmid34088386,
year = {2021},
author = {Cabrera López, C and Urrutia Landa, I and Jiménez-Ruiz, CA},
title = {Climate change: SEPAR's responsibilities.},
journal = {Archivos de bronconeumologia},
volume = {57},
number = {6},
pages = {381-382},
doi = {10.1016/j.arbr.2021.04.007},
pmid = {34088386},
issn = {2173-5751},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; },
}
@article {pmid35680163,
year = {2022},
author = {Pandey, BD and Morita, K and Costello, A},
title = {Twin crises in Nepal: covid-19 and climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {o1434},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o1434},
pmid = {35680163},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35679922,
year = {2022},
author = {Tijjani, SB and Giri, S and Woznicki, SA},
title = {Quantifying the potential impacts of climate change on irrigation demand, crop yields, and green water scarcity in the New Jersey Coastal Plain.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156538},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156538},
pmid = {35679922},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change has significant implications for irrigated agriculture and global food security. Understanding how altered precipitation patterns and magnitudes, coupled with rising growing season temperatures, affect irrigation demand and crop production is a prerequisite for formulating effective water resources management strategies. This study evaluated the effects of near-term climate change (centered on 2035) on irrigation demand, green water scarcity, and row crop yields in a major agricultural watershed in southern New Jersey, USA. Downscaled precipitation and temperature from six General Circulation Models (GCMs) for two representative concentration pathways (RCP-4.5 and 8.5) from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) were used to drive the Soil and Water Assessment Tool hydrological model. Temperature and precipitation increases resulted in greater surface runoff, lateral flow, groundwater recharge, and total streamflow. Seasonal ET for corn is projected to alter between -3.0 % to 0.5 %, with irrigation demand between -17 % to -1 %, and yield ranges between -4 % to +9 % depending on the GCMs in the RCP-4.5 scenario, with similar patterns projected by RCP-8.5 scenario. For soybean, the simulation also indicates a declining trend of ET and irrigation demand while increasing yield. Increasing yield for both crops is attributed to changes in agronomic management practices combined with genetically improved cultivars and higher soil fertility due to CO2 fertilization. Green water scarcity analysis under future climate change for corn and soybean display a decreased soil moisture stress due to increased water use efficiency resulting from reduced stomatal conductance under elevated CO2 concentration.},
}
@article {pmid35679559,
year = {2022},
author = {Harris, OO and Bialous, SA and Muench, U and Chapman, S and Dawson-Rose, C},
title = {Climate Change, Public Health, Health Policy, and Nurses Training.},
journal = {American journal of public health},
volume = {112},
number = {S3},
pages = {S321-S327},
doi = {10.2105/AJPH.2022.306826},
pmid = {35679559},
issn = {1541-0048},
abstract = {There are few educational programs in the United States that have a primary focus on preparing nurses to engage in all levels of public health, health policy, and climate change. The United Nations sustainability development goals (SDG) and the Future of Nursing 2020-2030: Charting a Path to Achieve Health Equity (2021) report underscored the importance of key stakeholders, including nurses, engaging in advocacy and policy to promote health equity. We discuss the role of nursing at the intersection of public health, policy, climate change, and the SDG. We also discuss the history and merger of the University of California San Francisco (UCSF) School of Nursing public health and health policy specialties, a significant innovation in our effort to promote health equity. We provide a brief overview of the redesigning of our curriculum that meets the needs of today's learners by including content on climate change, data analytics, and racial, social, and environmental justice. Finally, we emphasize the need to train the next cadre of nurses interested in careers in public health and health policy for us to meet the challenges facing our communities. (Am J Public Health. 2022;112(S3):S321-S327. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2022.306826).},
}
@article {pmid35679335,
year = {2022},
author = {Amro, A and Moskalenko, O and Hamarsheh, O and Frohme, M},
title = {Spatiotemporal analysis of cutaneous leishmaniasis in Palestine and foresight study by projections modelling until 2060 based on climate change prediction.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {6},
pages = {e0268264},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0268264},
pmid = {35679335},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) is a vector-borne parasitic diseases of public health importance that is prevalent in the West Bank but not in the Gaza Strip. The disease caused by parasitic protozoans from the genus Leishmania and it is transmitted by infected phlebotomine sand flies. The aim of our study is to investigate the eco-epidemiological parameters and spatiotemporal projections of CL in Palestine over a 30-years period from 1990 through 2020 and to explore future projections until 2060.<br><br>This long-term descriptive epidemiological study includes investigation of demographic characteristics of reported patients by the Palestinian Ministry of Health (PMoH). Moreover, we explored spatiotemporal distribution of CL including future projection based on climate change scenarios. The number of CL patients reported during this period was 5855 cases, and the average annual incidence rate (AAIR) was 18.5 cases/105 population. The male to female ratio was 1.25:1. Patients-age ranged from 2 months to 89 years (mean = 22.5, std 18.67, and the median was 18 years). More than 65% of the cases came from three governates in the West Bank; Jenin 29% (1617 cases), Jericho 25% (1403), and Tubas 12% (658) with no cases reported in the Gaza Strip. Seasonal occurrence of CL starts to increase in December and peaked during March and April of the following year. Current distribution of CL indicate that Jericho, Tubas, Jenin and Nablus have the most suitable climatic settings for the sandfly vectors. Future projections until 2060 suggest an increasing incidence from northwest of Jenin down to the southwest of Ramallah, disappearance of the foci in Jericho and Tubas throughout the Jordan Vally, and possible emergence of new foci in Gaza Strip.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The future projection of CL in Palestine until 2060 show a tendency of increasing incidence in the north western parts of the West Bank, disappearance from Jericho and Tubas throughout the Jordan Vally, and emergence of new CL endemic foci in the Gaza Strip. These results should be considered to implement effective control and surveillance systems to counteract spatial expansion of CL vectors.},
}
@article {pmid35675944,
year = {2022},
author = {Sherman, JD and Chesebro, BB},
title = {Inhaled anaesthesia and analgesia contribute to climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {o1301},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o1301},
pmid = {35675944},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35673362,
year = {2022},
author = {Gargano, D and Bernardo, L and Rovito, S and Passalacqua, NG and Abeli, T},
title = {Do marginal plant populations enhance the fitness of larger core units under ongoing climate change? Empirical insights from a rare carnation.},
journal = {AoB PLANTS},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {plac022},
doi = {10.1093/aobpla/plac022},
pmid = {35673362},
issn = {2041-2851},
abstract = {Assisted gene flow (AGF) can restore fitness in small plant populations. Due to climate change, current fitness patterns could vary in the future ecological scenario, as highly performant lineages can undergo maladaptation under the new climatic contexts. Peripheral populations have been argued to represent a potential source of species adaptation against climate change, but experimental evidence is poor. This paper considers the consequences of within- and between-population mating between a large core population and the southernmost population, the rare Dianthus guliae, to evaluate optimal AGF design under current and future conditions. We performed experimental self-pollinations and within- and between-population cross-pollinations to generate seed material and test its adaptive value to aridity. Seed germination, seedling growth and survival were measured under current and expected aridity. Effects of population type, pollination treatment and stress treatment on fitness components were analysed by generalized linear models. Relative measures of inbreeding depression and heterosis were taken under different stress treatments. Self-pollination reduced fitness for all the considered traits compared to within- and between-population cross-pollination. Under current aridity regime, the core population expressed higher fitness, and a larger magnitude of inbreeding depression. This indicated the core unit is close to its fitness optimum and could allow for restoring the fitness of the small peripheral population. Contrarily, under increased aridity, the fitness of outbred core lineages decreased, suggesting the rise of maladaptation. In this scenario, AGF from the small peripheral population enhanced the fitness of the core unit, whereas AGF from the core population promoted a fitness loss in the peripheral population. Hence, the small peripheral population could improve fitness of large core units versus climate change, while the contrary could be not true. Integrating reciprocal breeding programmes and fitness analyses under current and predicted ecological conditions can support optimal AGF design in a long-term perspective.},
}
@article {pmid35672509,
year = {2022},
author = {Almeida, RM and Schmitt, R and Grodsky, SM and Flecker, AS and Gomes, CP and Zhao, L and Liu, H and Barros, N and Kelman, R and McIntyre, PB},
title = {Floating solar power could help fight climate change - let's get it right.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {606},
number = {7913},
pages = {246-249},
pmid = {35672509},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35672485,
year = {2022},
author = {Khraishah, H and Alahmad, B and Ostergard, RL and AlAshqar, A and Albaghdadi, M and Vellanki, N and Chowdhury, MM and Al-Kindi, SG and Zanobetti, A and Gasparrini, A and Rajagopalan, S},
title = {Climate change and cardiovascular disease: implications for global health.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Cardiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35672485},
issn = {1759-5010},
abstract = {Climate change is the greatest existential challenge to planetary and human health and is dictated by a shift in the Earth's weather and air conditions owing to anthropogenic activity. Climate change has resulted not only in extreme temperatures, but also in an increase in the frequency of droughts, wildfires, dust storms, coastal flooding, storm surges and hurricanes, as well as multiple compound and cascading events. The interactions between climate change and health outcomes are diverse and complex and include several exposure pathways that might promote the development of non-communicable diseases such as cardiovascular disease. A collaborative approach is needed to solve this climate crisis, whereby medical professionals, scientific researchers, public health officials and policymakers should work together to mitigate and limit the consequences of global warming. In this Review, we aim to provide an overview of the consequences of climate change on cardiovascular health, which result from direct exposure pathways, such as shifts in ambient temperature, air pollution, forest fires, desert (dust and sand) storms and extreme weather events. We also describe the populations that are most susceptible to the health effects caused by climate change and propose potential mitigation strategies, with an emphasis on collaboration at the scientific, governmental and policy levels.},
}
@article {pmid35669962,
year = {2022},
author = {Benítez-Benítez, C and Sanz-Arnal, M and Urbani, M and Jiménez-Mejías, P and Martín-Bravo, S},
title = {Dramatic impact of future climate change on the genetic diversity and distribution of ecologically relevant Western Mediterranean Carex (Cyperaceae).},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e13464},
doi = {10.7717/peerj.13464},
pmid = {35669962},
issn = {2167-8359},
abstract = {Anticipating the evolutionary responses of species to ongoing climate change is essential to propose effective management and conservation measures. The Western Mediterranean Basin constitutes one of the hotspots of biodiversity where the effects of climate change are expected to be more dramatic. Plant species with ecological relevance constitute ideal models to evaluate and predict the impact of climate change on ecosystems. Here we investigate these impacts through the spatio-temporal comparison of genetic diversity/structure (AFLPs), potential distribution under different future scenarios of climate change, and ecological space in two Western Mediterranean sister species of genus Carex. Both species are ecologically key in their riparian habitats, but display contrasting distribution patterns, with one widespread in the Iberian Peninsula and North Africa (C. reuteriana), while the other (C. panormitana) is a restricted, probably endangered, Central Mediterranean endemic. At present, we found a strong genetic structure driven by geography in both species, and lower values of genetic diversity and a narrower ecological space in C. panormitana than in C. reuteriana, while the allelic rarity was higher in the former than in C. reuteriana subspecies. Future projections predict an overall dramatic reduction of suitable areas for both species under all climate change scenarios, which could be almost total for C. panormitana. In addition, gene diversity was inferred to decrease in all taxa, with genetic structure reinforcing in C. reuteriana by the loss of admixture among populations. Our findings stress the need for a reassessment of C. panormitana conservation status under IUCN Red List criteria and the implementation of conservation measures.},
}
@article {pmid35669408,
year = {2022},
author = {Jayasinghe, AD and Le Compete Forsyth Stewart, P},
title = {Level of preparedness of the residential building industry in Australia to climate change adaptation: a case of residential building companies in Brisbane, Queensland.},
journal = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change},
volume = {27},
number = {4},
pages = {28},
doi = {10.1007/s11027-022-10004-x},
pmid = {35669408},
issn = {1573-1596},
abstract = {The consequences of climate change are profound for the residential building industry and, unless appropriate adaptation strategies are implemented, will increase exponentially. The consequences of climate change, such as increased repair costs, can be reduced if buildings are designed and built to be adaptive to climate change risks. This research investigates the preparedness of the Australian residential building sector to adapt to such risks, with a view to informing the next review of the National Construction Code (2022), which at present does not include provisions for climate change adaptation. Twelve semi-structured interviews were conducted with construction managers from residential building companies in Brisbane, Queensland to understand their level of preparedness to adapt with climate change risks. Three aspects of preparedness were investigated: participant's awareness of climate change risks, their company's capacity to include climate change information in planning, and actions taken to address climate change risks. Participants were also asked about climate change adaptation policies and what they thought the path towards increased preparedness in the residential construction industry to climate change risks might involve. Qualitative analysis of interview data was undertaken using NVivo software, and illustrative examples and direct quotes from this data are included in the results. The results indicate a low level of preparedness of the residential building industry to adapt with climate risks. Levels of awareness of managing the consequences of climate change risks, analytical capacity, and the actions taken to address climate change were all found to be low. Legislating climate adaptation practices and increasing the adaptation awareness of the residential constructors are some of the recommendations to enhance the preparedness of the residential construction industry in Australia to adapt with climate change risks.},
}
@article {pmid35669112,
year = {2022},
author = {Benansio, JS and Funk, SM and Lino, JL and Balli, JJ and Dante, JO and Dendi, D and Fa, JE and Luiselli, L},
title = {Perceptions and attitudes towards climate change in fishing communities of the Sudd Wetlands, South Sudan.},
journal = {Regional environmental change},
volume = {22},
number = {2},
pages = {78},
doi = {10.1007/s10113-022-01928-w},
pmid = {35669112},
issn = {1436-3798},
abstract = {The Sudd in South Sudan, formed by the White Nile's Baḥr al-Jabal section, is one of the largest and most important wetlands in the world. Communities in the region almost exclusively depend on fisheries for food and livelihoods. Although threatened by over-exploitation and habitat changes, fish populations are also affected by climate change. Using semi-structured questionnaires, we assessed fisherfolk's opinions of how recent variation in climate affected their livelihoods and the environment. Fisherfolk perceived that climate had changed in the past decade and were negatively impacted by this. Interviewees reported average higher temperatures, a greater frequency of floods and droughts, unpredictable timing of seasons, and erratic rainfall. Destruction of fishing villages/camps, loss and damage of fishing equipment, shifts in the fishing calendar, reduction of fish trade, and fish catch declines as well as psycho-social problems were given as the major consequences of climate change. Causes of climate change and variability were perceived to be linked to uncontrolled harvest of forest resources, anger of God and ancestors, and natural variability in climate. Most respondents expressed a desire to adopt more responsible behavior such as planting trees and establishing community nurseries, being educated on climate change risks, and sustainable fisheries management. Our results show that fisherfolk in the Sudd are troubled by climate change impacts on their livelihoods and on fish populations. In South Sudan, climate change has been reported from hydroclimatological data but concrete impacts on people remain largely unknown and of little concern because of recent wars and the poor economy. Our study provides an example of how fisherfolks' local ecological knowledge (LEK) can be used as an early warning system of the negative impacts on livelihoods and fish populations and support adaptation to the changing climate.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10113-022-01928-w.},
}
@article {pmid35668551,
year = {2022},
author = {Lancaster, LT and Fuller, ZL and Berger, D and Barbour, MA and Jentoft, S and Wellenreuther, M},
title = {Understanding climate change response in the age of genomics.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {91},
number = {6},
pages = {1056-1063},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.13711},
pmid = {35668551},
issn = {1365-2656},
}
@article {pmid35668102,
year = {2022},
author = {Bai, H and Gambetta, GA and Wang, Y and Kong, J and Long, Q and Fan, P and Duan, W and Liang, Z and Dai, Z},
title = {Historical long-term cultivar×climate suitability data to inform viticultural adaptation to climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {271},
pmid = {35668102},
issn = {2052-4463},
}
@article {pmid35666588,
year = {2022},
author = {Danek, ET and Blackburn, D and Topliss, DJ and Sztal-Mazer, S},
title = {Letter to the Editor from E. Danek et al.: "Environmental Pollution, Climate Change, and a Critical Role for the Endocrinologist".},
journal = {The Journal of clinical endocrinology and metabolism},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1210/clinem/dgac351},
pmid = {35666588},
issn = {1945-7197},
}
@article {pmid35665713,
year = {2022},
author = {Birnie, E and Biemond, JJ and Wiersinga, WJ},
title = {Drivers of melioidosis endemicity: epidemiological transition, zoonosis, and climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in infectious diseases},
volume = {35},
number = {3},
pages = {196-204},
doi = {10.1097/QCO.0000000000000827},
pmid = {35665713},
issn = {1473-6527},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Melioidosis, caused by the soil-dwelling bacterium Burkholderia pseudomallei, is a tropical infection associated with high morbidity and mortality. This review summarizes current insights into melioidosis' endemicity, focusing on epidemiological transitions, zoonosis, and climate change.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Estimates of the global burden of melioidosis affirm the significance of hot-spots in Australia and Thailand. However, it also highlights the paucity of systematic data from South Asia, The Americas, and Africa. Globally, the growing incidence of diabetes, chronic renal and (alcoholic) liver diseases further increase the susceptibility of individuals to B. pseudomallei infection. Recent outbreaks in nonendemic regions have further exposed the hazard from the trade of animals and products as potential reservoirs for B. pseudomallei. Lastly, global warming will increase precipitation, severe weather events, soil salinity and anthrosol, all associated with the occurrence of B. pseudomallei.<br><br>SUMMARY: Epidemiological transitions, zoonotic hazards, and climate change are all contributing to the emergence of novel melioidosis-endemic areas. The adoption of the One Health approach involving multidisciplinary collaboration is important in unraveling the real incidence of B. pseudomallei, as well as reducing the spread and associated mortality.},
}
@article {pmid35665574,
year = {2022},
author = {Bezabih, B and Li, J and Yuan, J and Yanhong, D and Liu, D and Chen, Z and Kim, J and Kang, H and Freeman, C and Ding, W},
title = {Non-native plant invasion can accelerate global climate change by increasing wetland methane and terrestrial nitrous oxide emissions.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16290},
pmid = {35665574},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Approximately 17% of the land worldwide is considered highly vulnerable to non-native plant invasion, which can dramatically alter nutrient cycles and influence greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in terrestrial and wetland ecosystems. However, a systematic investigation of the impact of non-native plant invasion on GHG dynamics at a global scale has not yet been conducted, making it impossible to predict the exact biological feedback of non-native plant invasion to global climate change. Here, we compiled 273 paired observational cases from 94 peer-reviewed articles to evaluate the effects of plant invasion on GHG emissions and to identify the associated key drivers. Non-native plant invasion significantly increased methane (CH4) emissions from 129 kg CH4 ha-1 yr-1 in natural wetlands to 217 kg CH4 ha-1 yr-1 in invaded wetlands. Plant invasion showed a significant tendency to increase CH4 uptakes from 2.95 to 3.64 kg CH4 ha-1 yr-1 in terrestrial ecosystems. Invasive plant species also significantly increased nitrous oxide (N2 O) emissions in grasslands from an average of 0.76 kg N2 O ha-1 yr-1 in native sites to 1.35 kg N2 O ha-1 yr-1 but did not affect N2 O emissions in forests or wetlands. Soil organic carbon, mean annual air temperature (MAT), and nitrogenous deposition (N_DEP) were the key factors responsible for the changes in wetland CH4 emissions due to plant invasion. The responses of terrestrial CH4 uptake rates to plant invasion were mainly driven by MAT, soil NH4 + , and soil moisture. Soil NO3 - , mean annual precipitation, and N_DEP affected terrestrial N2 O emissions in response to plant invasion. Our meta-analysis not only sheds light on the stimulatory effects of plant invasion on GHG emissions from wetland and terrestrial ecosystems but also improves our current understanding of the mechanisms underlying the responses of GHG emissions to plant invasion.},
}
@article {pmid35664975,
year = {2021},
author = {Butt, E},
title = {What can Mohs surgery do to help climate change?.},
journal = {Skin health and disease},
volume = {1},
number = {2},
pages = {e26},
doi = {10.1002/ski2.26},
pmid = {35664975},
issn = {2690-442X},
}
@article {pmid35660833,
year = {2022},
author = {Lu, LC and Chiu, SY and Chiu, YH and Chang, TH},
title = {Sustainability efficiency of climate change and global disasters based on greenhouse gas emissions from the parallel production sectors - A modified dynamic parallel three-stage network DEA model.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {317},
number = {},
pages = {115401},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115401},
pmid = {35660833},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study employed dynamic three-stage network data envelopment analysis (DEA), considering parallel production in the agricultural and industrial sectors, to assess the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on the climate change and natural disaster stages. The results revealed the following: (1) The dynamic overall efficiencies of more countries are decreasing than are increasing. The seven countries with the poorest overall efficiency ranking (Myanmar, Vietnam, Thailand, Bangladesh, the Philippines, Pakistan, and India) are mostly located in Southeast Asia. (2) The number of countries that maintained low efficiency over the long term is greater than those that retained high efficiency over the long term. Myanmar, Mexico, India, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam maintained efficiency scores below 0.5, whereas South Korea, Japan, China, and New Zealand maintained efficiency scores above 0.8. (3) More than one-third of countries exhibited declines in efficiency over time, and half were European countries. Less than one-third of countries maintained their efficiency, and less than one-third of countries gradually improved. (4) Approximately half of the countries' efficiency scores were lower than the global average. The efficiency scores of the industrial sector exhibited a greater room for improvement on the input factors than did those of the agricultural sector. (5) Total factor energy efficiency analysis revealed that methane emissions and CO2 emissions have a similar level but large room for improvement across countries. Improving input factors in the production stage can ultimately mitigate inefficiencies in the climate change and natural disaster stages. There are still other important factors related to climate change, such as sea surface temperature, forest areas, or air pollution indicators, that could be considered in future research. The occurrence of global disasters could also be discussed in groups according to the region where the countries are located in the future.},
}
@article {pmid35660616,
year = {2022},
author = {Des, M and Gómez-Gesteira, JL and de Castro, M and Iglesias, D and Sousa, MC and ElSerafy, G and Gómez-Gesteira, M},
title = {Historical and future naturalization of Magallana gigas in the Galician coast in a context of climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156437},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156437},
pmid = {35660616},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Magallana gigas is a naturalized species on the north coast of Galicia (Rías Altas, Northwest Iberian Peninsula), where it was unintentionally introduced. In recent decades, a greater abundance of M. gigas has been observed on the Galician coast, expanding towards the south, reaching the Artabro Gulf (Rías Centrales, NW Galician coast), probably due to ocean warming. Although this species has been cultivated in the Rías Baixas since the early 1990s and spawning has been reported, recruitment was never observed, which is likely due to the cold water upwelled during the spawning months. The future rise in seawater temperature may favor the naturalization of the non-indigenous species M. gigas southwards, in the Rías Baixas. Thermally, the Ría de Arousa seems to be the most favorable estuary for the future settlement of M. gigas, which may occur in the next decades. The extent of thermally favorable zones within estuaries is projected to increase rapidly by mid-century, and reaching 100 % of the estuarine area by the end of the century. As has already happened in other areas of the world, the expansion and naturalization of the Pacific oyster on the Galician coast will likely affect the native communities and economic activities, making it necessary to implement monitoring and management strategies to mitigate its effect.},
}
@article {pmid35660578,
year = {2022},
author = {Filho, WL and Setti, AFF and Azeiteiro, UM and Lokupitiya, E and Donkor, FK and Etim, NN and Matandirotya, N and Olooto, FM and Sharifi, A and Nagy, GJ and Djekic, I},
title = {An overview of the interactions between food production and climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156438},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156438},
pmid = {35660578},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This paper provides an overview of how food production influences climate change and also illustrates the impact of climate change on food production. To perform such an overview, the (inter)link between different parts of the food supply chain continuum (agriculture production, livestock farming, food processing, food transport and storing, retail food, and disposal of food waste) and climate change has been investigated through a bibliometric analysis. Besides UN Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 13, associated with climate change, other SDGs that are associated with this overview are goals #1, #2, #3, #6, #7, #12, and #15. Based on the evidence gathered, the paper provides some recommendations that may assist in efforts to reduce the climate-related impacts of food production.},
}
@article {pmid35660438,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, Y and Wang, H and Deng, Y and Liang, D and Li, Y and Shen, Z},
title = {How climate change and land-use evolution relates to the non-point source pollution in a typical watershed of China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156375},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156375},
pmid = {35660438},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The water quality of Le 'an River Watershed (LRW) is crucial to the water environmental safety of Poyang Lake, especially the concentration of nitrogen and phosphorus. The effect of climate and land use change on watershed water quality has always been under the attention of local managers. More importantly, the lack of detailed studies on climate and land use impact on river water quality has prevented sustainable water security management in the LRW. Therefore, this study aimed to quantify the weight of climate and land use on nutrient loss in the LRW, respectively. We divided the historical period (1990-2020) into six scenarios and a baseline scenario. TN and TP losses in the watershed were simulated using Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), and the weight of climate and land use were quantified in overall, by period, and by region. The results showed that the weight of climate was greatly higher than land use with values around 90%. However, the weight of land use had a positive cumulative effect in a certain period, and its influence could not be neglected. The climate in all scenarios led to a reduction in nutrient loss, while land use was found to slightly increase the nutrient loss yield. In addition to, unique regional topographic features, urbanization rates, and climatic conditions could cause spatial heterogeneity in the climatic and land use weights.},
}
@article {pmid35655079,
year = {2022},
author = {Rajesh, M and Rehana, S},
title = {Impact of climate change on river water temperature and dissolved oxygen: Indian riverine thermal regimes.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {9222},
pmid = {35655079},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Ecosystem ; Oxygen ; *Rivers ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {The impact of climate change on the oxygen saturation content of the world's surface waters is a significant topic for future water quality in a warming environment. While increasing river water temperatures (RWTs) with climate change signals have been the subject of several recent research, how climate change affects Dissolved Oxygen (DO) saturation levels have not been intensively studied. This study examined the direct effect of rising RWTs on saturated DO concentrations. For this, a hybrid deep learning model using Long Short-Term Memory integrated with k-nearest neighbor bootstrap resampling algorithm is developed for RWT prediction addressing sparse spatiotemporal RWT data for seven major polluted river catchments of India at a monthly scale. The summer RWT increase for Tunga-Bhadra, Sabarmati, Musi, Ganga, and Narmada basins are predicted as 3.1, 3.8, 5.8, 7.3, 7.8 °C, respectively, for 2071-2100 with ensemble of NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections of air temperature with Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario. The RWT increases up to7 °C for summer, reaching close to 35 °C, and decreases DO saturation capacity by 2-12% for 2071-2100. Overall, for every 1 °C RWT increase, there will be about 2.3% decrease in DO saturation level concentrations over Indian catchments under climate signals.},
}
@article {pmid35654803,
year = {2022},
author = {Saedi, J and Sharifi, MR and Saremi, A and Babazadeh, H},
title = {Assessing the impact of climate change and human activity on streamflow in a semiarid basin using precipitation and baseflow analysis.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {9228},
pmid = {35654803},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; Human Activities ; Humans ; Hydrology ; Rivers ; },
abstract = {Assessment of streamflow variations under the influence of climate change and human activity is crucial for sustainable water resource management, especially in semiarid areas. In this study, we first used the Hydrograph Separation Program to separate and analyze the base flow index (BFI) that was impacted directly by human activity and precipitation as an important climate factor from 1967 to 2016 in the Dez River Basin. Second, the Mann-Kendall trend test was used to identify trends and change points. Then, the elasticity coefficient method was applied to calculate the impacts of natural factors and anthropogenic activities. The results of the separation methods showed that the sliding interval method produced a better performance. Furthermore; the analyzed trend test at the annual scale showed a significant decreasing trend for runoff as well as increasing trends for the baseflow index in the four of five sub-basins of the Dez River at confidence levels of 95% and 99%, while the average precipitation in these sub-basins was not significant. Additionally, at the seasonal scale in these sub-basins, the average precipitation in winter showed a significant downward trend, while runoff showed a decreasing trend and the BFI index showed increasing trends in winter, spring and summer. The abrupt change point was determined after the change in the BFI index; the runoff was reduced. The maximum change occurred in the sub-basin tireh which after change point from 1977 to 1993,runoff reduced - 1.49% comparison with the base period(from 1967 to 1976) also elasticity estimation was - 0.46,but after change point in Baseflow index from 1994 to 2016 runoff reduced - 55.02% and elasticity estimation was - 0.65. The baseflow index trend and elasticity estimation also indicated that intensive human activities had more significant effects on the Dez Basin's hydrological processes and streamflow variation.},
}
@article {pmid35657791,
year = {2022},
author = {Toupin, R and Millerand, F and Larivière, V},
title = {Who tweets climate change papers? investigating publics of research through users' descriptions.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {6},
pages = {e0268999},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0268999},
pmid = {35657791},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {As social issues like climate change become increasingly salient, digital traces left by scholarly documents can be used to assess their reach outside of academia. Our research examine who shared climate change research papers on Twitter by looking at the expressions used in profile descriptions. We categorized users in eight categories (academia, communication, political, professional, personal, organization, bots and publishers) associated to specific expressions. Results indicate how diverse publics may be represented in the communication of scholarly documents on Twitter. Supplementing our word detection analysis with qualitative assessments of the results, we highlight how the presence of unique or multiple categorizations in textual Twitter descriptions provides evidence of the publics of research in specific contexts. Our results show a more substantial communication by academics and organizations for papers published in 2016, whereas the general public comparatively participated more in 2015. Overall, there is significant participation of publics outside of academia in the communication of climate change research articles on Twitter, although the extent to which these publics participate varies between individual papers. This means that papers circulate in specific communities which need to be assessed to understand the reach of research on social media. Furthermore, the flexibility of our method provide means for research assessment that consider the contextuality and plurality of publics involved on Twitter.},
}
@article {pmid35657425,
year = {2022},
author = {Meena, M and Yadav, G and Sonigra, P and Nagda, A and Mehta, T and Swapnil, P and Harish, and Marwal, A and Kumar, S},
title = {Multifarious Responses of Forest Soil Microbial Community Toward Climate Change.},
journal = {Microbial ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35657425},
issn = {1432-184X},
abstract = {Forest soils are a pressing subject of worldwide research owing to the several roles of forests such as carbon sinks. Currently, the living soil ecosystem has become dreadful as a consequence of several anthropogenic activities including climate change. Climate change continues to transform the living soil ecosystem as well as the soil microbiome of planet Earth. The majority of studies have aimed to decipher the role of forest soil bacteria and fungi to understand and predict the impact of climate change on soil microbiome community structure and their ecosystem in the environment. In forest soils, microorganisms live in diverse habitats with specific behavior, comprising bulk soil, rhizosphere, litter, and deadwood habitats, where their communities are influenced by biotic interactions and nutrient accessibility. Soil microbiome also drives multiple crucial steps in the nutrient biogeochemical cycles (carbon, nitrogen, phosphorous, and sulfur cycles). Soil microbes help in the nitrogen cycle through nitrogen fixation during the nitrogen cycle and maintain the concentration of nitrogen in the atmosphere. Soil microorganisms in forest soils respond to various effects of climate change, for instance, global warming, elevated level of CO2, drought, anthropogenic nitrogen deposition, increased precipitation, and flood. As the major burning issue of the globe, researchers are facing the major challenges to study soil microbiome. This review sheds light on the current scenario of knowledge about the effect of climate change on living soil ecosystems in various climate-sensitive soil ecosystems and the consequences for vegetation-soil-climate feedbacks.},
}
@article {pmid35656201,
year = {2022},
author = {Volkov, V},
title = {System analysis of the fast global coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread. Can we avoid future pandemics under global climate change?.},
journal = {Communicative &amp; integrative biology},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {150-157},
doi = {10.1080/19420889.2022.2082735},
pmid = {35656201},
issn = {1942-0889},
abstract = {The recent fast global spread of COVID-19 caused by a severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) questions why and how the disease managed to be so effective against existing health protection measures. These measures, developed by many countries over centuries and strengthened over the last decades, proved to be ineffective against COVID-19. The sharp increase in human longevity and current transport systems in economically developing countries with the background of persisting cultural frameworks and stable local pools of high bacterial and viral mutations generated the wide gap between the established health protection systems and the new emerging diseases. SARS-CoV-2 targets human populations over the world with long incubation periods, often without symptoms, and serious outcomes. Hence, novel strategies are necessary to meet the demands of developing economic and social environments. Moreover, the ongoing climate change adds extra challenges while altering the existing system of interactions in biological populations and in human society. Climate change may lead to new sources of viral and microbial mutations, new ways of zoonotic disease transmission and to huge social and economic transformations in many countries. The present short Opinion applies a system approach linking biomedical, climate change, social and economic aspects and, accordingly, discusses the measures and more efficient means to avoid future pandemics.},
}
@article {pmid35653230,
year = {2022},
author = {Rai, S and Hage, D and Littlefield, J and Yanai, G and Skone, TJ},
title = {Comparative Life Cycle Evaluation of the Global Warming Potential (GWP) Impacts of Renewable Natural Gas Production Pathways.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.2c00093},
pmid = {35653230},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Renewable natural gas (RNG) sources are being considered in future energy strategy discussions as potential replacements for fossil natural gas (FNG). While today's supply of RNG resources is insufficient to meet U.S. demands, there is significant interest in its viability to supplement and decarbonize the natural gas supply. However, the studies compare the life cycle global warming potential (GWP) of various RNG production pathways are lacking and focus mostly on a singular pathway. This effort is an attempt to close this gap and provide a comparison between the life cycle GWP of three major RNG pathways and the FNG pathway. The three RNG pathways evaluated are anaerobic digestion (AD), thermal gasification (TG), and power-to-gas (P2G) using various feedstocks. The functional unit is 1 MJ of compressed RNG ready for injection into the natural gas transmission network. The results show that RNG production is not always carbon neutral or negative. Depending on the pathway, the GWP impact of RNG production can range from -229 to 27 g CO2e/MJ compressed RNG, with AD of animal manure and AD of municipal solid waste being the least and the most impactful pathways, respectively, compared to the 10.1 g CO2e/MJ impact for compressed FNG.},
}
@article {pmid35653024,
year = {2022},
author = {Salimi, S and Scholz, M},
title = {Importance of water level management for peatland outflow water quality in the face of climate change and drought.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35653024},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The impact of different climate scenarios, drought, and water level management on the outflow water quality of peatlands has been investigated. A mesocosm experiment has been conducted within climate control chambers to simulate current (2016-2019 real-time) and future representative concentration pathway (RCP) climate scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5). To assess the efficiency of a management strategy for improving peatland water quality, water level adjustment was applied to half of the system at the same time for each climate scenario. Furthermore, the mesocosm experienced the 2018 European drought during the simulation years, and the corresponding impact was analyzed. The results of this study revealed a substantial and favorable impact of water level management on water quality of peatlands under different climate scenarios. The effect of water level management was the largest for ammonium (NH4-N) and 5-day biochemical oxygen demand (BOD5), and the smallest for total phosphorus (TP). Drought had a strong impact on chemical variables, increasing their concentration and deteriorating the water quality of peatland outflow. However, water level management can stabilize the nutrient levels in peatland outflows, particularly during drought and under warmer climate scenarios, thus mitigating the adverse effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35651748,
year = {2022},
author = {Jenkins, TL and Stevens, JR},
title = {Predicting habitat suitability and range shifts under projected climate change for two octocorals in the north-east Atlantic.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e13509},
doi = {10.7717/peerj.13509},
pmid = {35651748},
issn = {2167-8359},
abstract = {Species distribution models have become a valuable tool to predict the distribution of species across geographic space and time. In this study, maximum entropy models were constructed for two temperate shallow-water octocoral species, the pink sea fan (Eunicella verrucosa) and dead man's fingers (Alcyonium digitatum), to investigate and compare habitat suitability. The study area covered the north-east Atlantic from the Bay of Biscay to the British Isles and southern Norway; this area includes both the northern range of E. verrucosa and the middle-northern range of A. digitatum. The optimal models for each species showed that, overall, slope, temperature at the seafloor and wave orbital velocity were important predictors of distribution in both species. Predictions of habitat suitability showed areas of present-day (1951-2000) suitable habitat where colonies have not yet been observed, particularly for E. verrucosa, where areas beyond its known northern range limit were identified. Moreover, analysis with future layers (2081-2100) of temperature and oxygen concentration predicted a sizable increase in habitat suitability for E. verrucosa beyond these current range limits under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario. This suggests that projected climate change may induce a potential range expansion northward for E. verrucosa, although successful colonisation would also be conditional on other factors such as dispersal and interspecific competition. For A. digitatum, this scenario of projected climate change may result in more suitable habitat in higher latitudes, but, as with E. verrucosa, there is a degree of uncertainty in the model predictions. Importantly, the results from this study highlight present-day areas of high habitat suitability which, if combined with knowledge on population density, could be used to identify priority areas to enhance protection and ensure the long-term survival of these octocoral species in the region.},
}
@article {pmid35650670,
year = {2022},
author = {Garrett, KA and Bebber, DP and Etherton, BA and Gold, KM and Sulá, AIP and Selvaraj, MG},
title = {Climate Change Effects on Pathogen Emergence: Artificial Intelligence to Translate Big Data for Mitigation.},
journal = {Annual review of phytopathology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1146/annurev-phyto-021021-042636},
pmid = {35650670},
issn = {1545-2107},
abstract = {Plant pathology has developed a wide range of concepts and tools for improving plant disease management, including models for understanding and responding to new risks from climate change. Most of these tools can be improved using new advances in artificial intelligence (AI), such as machine learning to integrate massive data sets in predictive models. There is the potential to develop automated analyses of risk that alert decision-makers, from farm managers to national plant protection organizations, to the likely need for action and provide decision support for targeting responses. We review machine-learning applications in plant pathology and synthesize ideas for the next steps to make the most of these tools in digital agriculture. Global projects, such as the proposed global surveillance system for plant disease, will be strengthened by the integration of the wide range of new data, including data from tools like remote sensors, that are used to evaluate the risk of plant disease. There is exciting potential for the use of AI to strengthen global capacity building as well, from image analysis for disease diagnostics and associated management recommendations on farmers' phones to future training methodologies for plant pathologists that are customized in real-time for management needs in response to the current risks. International cooperation in integrating data and models will help develop the most effective responses to new challenges from climate change. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Phytopathology, Volume 60 is August 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.},
}
@article {pmid35649980,
year = {2022},
author = {Gupta, S and Mastrantonas, N and Masoller, C and Kurths, J},
title = {Perspectives on the importance of complex systems in understanding our climate and climate change-The Nobel Prize in Physics 2021.},
journal = {Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)},
volume = {32},
number = {5},
pages = {052102},
doi = {10.1063/5.0090222},
pmid = {35649980},
issn = {1089-7682},
abstract = {The Nobel Prize in Physics 2021 was awarded to Syukuro Manabe, Klaus Hasselmann, and Giorgio Parisi for their "groundbreaking contributions to our understanding of complex systems," including major advances in the understanding of our climate and climate change. In this Perspective article, we review their key contributions and discuss their relevance in relation to the present understanding of our climate. We conclude by outlining some promising research directions and open questions in climate science.},
}
@article {pmid35649050,
year = {2022},
author = {Jurberg, J},
title = {Chagas disease (American trypanosomiasis) in the context of the 2030 agenda. Insights into global warming and vector control.},
journal = {Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz},
volume = {117},
number = {},
pages = {e210479chgsb},
doi = {10.1590/0074-02760210479chgsb},
pmid = {35649050},
issn = {1678-8060},
}
@article {pmid35649048,
year = {2022},
author = {Souza, RCM and Gorla, DE and Chame, M and Jaramillo, N and Monroy, C and Diotaiuti, L},
title = {Chagas disease in the context of the 2030 agenda: global warming and vectors.},
journal = {Memorias do Instituto Oswaldo Cruz},
volume = {117},
number = {},
pages = {e200479},
doi = {10.1590/0074-02760200479},
pmid = {35649048},
issn = {1678-8060},
abstract = {The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development is a plan of action for people, planet and prosperity. Thousands of years and centuries of colonisation have passed the precarious housing conditions, food insecurity, lack of sanitation, the limitation of surveillance, health care programs and climate change. Chagas disease continues to be a public health problem. The control programs have been successful in many countries in reducing transmission by T. cruzi; but the results have been variable. WHO makes recommendations for prevention and control with the aim of eliminating Chagas disease as a public health problem. Climate change, deforestation, migration, urbanisation, sylvatic vectors and oral transmission require integrating the economic, social, and environmental dimensions of sustainable development, as well as the links within and between objectives and sectors. While the environment scenarios change around the world, native vector species pose a significant public health threat. The man-made atmosphere change is related to the increase of triatomines' dispersal range, or an increase of the mobility of the vectors from their sylvatic environment to man-made constructions, or humans getting into sylvatic scenarios, leading to an increase of Chagas disease infection. Innovations with the communities and collaborations among municipalities, International cooperation agencies, local governmental agencies, academic partners, developmental agencies, or environmental institutions may present promising solutions, but sustained partnerships, long-term commitment, and strong regional leadership are required. A new world has just opened up for the renewal of surveillance practices, but the lessons learned in the past should be the basis for solutions in the future.},
}
@article {pmid35648687,
year = {2022},
author = {Coldrey, KM and Turpie, JK and Midgley, G and Scheiter, S and Hannah, L and Roehrdanz, PR and Foden, WB},
title = {Assessing protected area vulnerability to climate change in a case study of South African national parks.},
journal = {Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e13941},
doi = {10.1111/cobi.13941},
pmid = {35648687},
issn = {1523-1739},
support = {5810-SPARC//Global Environment Facility/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is challenging the ability of protected areas (PAs) to meet their objectives. To improve PA planning, we developed a framework for assessing PA vulnerability to climate change based on consideration of potential climate change impacts on species and their habitats and resource use. Furthermore, the capacity of PAs to adapt to these climate threats was determined through assessment of PA management effectiveness, adjacent land use, and financial resilience. Users reach a PA-specific vulnerability score and rank based on scoring of these categories. We applied the framework to South Africa's 19 national parks. Because the 19 parks are managed as a national network, we explored how resources might be best allocated to address climate change. Each park's importance to the network's biodiversity conservation and revenue generation was estimated and used to weight overall vulnerability scores and ranks. Park vulnerability profiles showed distinct combinations of potential impacts of climate change and adaptive capacities; the former had a greater influence on vulnerability. Mapungubwe National Park emerged as the most vulnerable to climate change, despite its relatively high adaptive capacity, largely owing to large projected changes in species and resource use. Table Mountain National Park scored the lowest in overall vulnerability. Climate change vulnerability rankings differed markedly once importance weightings were applied; Kruger National Park was the most vulnerable under both importance scenarios. Climate change vulnerability assessment is fundamental to effective adaptation planning. Our PA assessment tool is the only tool that quantifies PA vulnerability to climate change in a comparative index. It may be used in data-rich and data-poor contexts to prioritize resource allocation across PA networks and can be applied from local to global scales.},
}
@article {pmid35648449,
year = {2022},
author = {Suran, M},
title = {UN Reports New Insights on Link Between Climate Change and Human Health.},
journal = {JAMA},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jama.2022.9240},
pmid = {35648449},
issn = {1538-3598},
}
@article {pmid35645848,
year = {2022},
author = {Larionow, P and Sołtys, M and Izdebski, P and Mudło-Głagolska, K and Golonka, J and Demski, M and Rosińska, M},
title = {Climate Change Anxiety Assessment: The Psychometric Properties of the Polish Version of the Climate Anxiety Scale.},
journal = {Frontiers in psychology},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {870392},
doi = {10.3389/fpsyg.2022.870392},
pmid = {35645848},
issn = {1664-1078},
abstract = {The Climate Anxiety Scale (CAS) is a 13-item questionnaire for assessing climate anxiety (CA) as a psychological response to climate change. The CAS consists of two subscales, namely, cognitive impairment and functional impairment. This study aimed to validate the Polish version of the CAS. The sample included 603 respondents (344 females, 247 males, and 12 non-binary), aged 18-70 years (M = 25.32, SD = 9.59). Based on the exploratory factor analysis results, we proposed a 3-factor solution (i.e., intrusive symptoms, reflections on CA, and functional impairment), which seems to be theoretically more consistent with the content of the CAS statements. The confirmatory factor analysis showed that the original 2-factor solution and the 3-factor one had a satisfactory and a good fit to the data, respectively, as well as both were invariant across different gender, age, and educational level categories. Despite the fact that the 3-factor solution had the best-fit indices, we recommended to examine the CAS structure in different samples and use the overall CAS score in cross-cultural research. Cognitive and functional impairment subscales were positively correlated with personal experience of climate change, behavioral engagement, environmental identity, and environmental motives, but they were negatively correlated with climate change denial and sense of safety. The CAS subscales were correlated with depressive symptoms, but contrary to expectations, they were not associated with anxiety symptoms and any cognitive coping strategies. The Polish version of the CAS has satisfactory psychometric properties. Overall, we reported low CA levels in the Polish sample. Women and younger people experienced higher CA.},
}
@article {pmid35644404,
year = {2022},
author = {Hu, Y and Cheng, J and Liu, S and Tan, J and Yan, C and Yu, G and Yin, Y and Tong, S},
title = {Evaluation of climate change adaptation measures for childhood asthma: A systematic review of epidemiological evidence.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156291},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156291},
pmid = {35644404},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global climate change (GCC) is widely accepted as the biggest threat to human health of the 21st century. Children are particularly vulnerable to GCC due to developing organ systems, psychological immaturity, nature of daily activities, and higher level of per-body-unit exposure. There is a rising trend in the disease burden of childhood asthma and allergies in many parts of the world. The associations of CC, air pollution and other environmental exposures with childhood asthma are attracting more research attention, but relatively few studies have focused on CC adaptation measures and childhood asthma. This study aimed to bridge this knowledge gap and conducted the first systematic review on CC adaptation measures and childhood asthma. We searched electronic databases including PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science using a set of MeSH terms and related synonyms, and identified 20 eligible studies included for review. We found that there were a number of adaptation measures proposed for childhood asthma in response to GCC, including vulnerability assessment, improving ventilation and heating, enhancing community education, and developing forecast models and early warning systems. Several randomized controlled trials show that improving ventilation and installing heating in the homes appear to be an effective way to relieve childhood asthma symptoms, especially in winter. However, the effectiveness of most adaptation measures, except for improving ventilation and heating, have not been explored and quantified. Given more extreme weather events (e.g., cold spells and heatwaves) may occur as climate change progresses, this finding may have important implications. Evidently, further research is urgently warranted to evaluate the impacts of CC adaptation measures on childhood asthma. These adaptation measures, if proven to be effective, should be integrated in childhood asthma control and prevention programs as GCC continues.},
}
@article {pmid35644391,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhang, L and Wu, P and Niu, M and Zheng, Y and Wang, J and Dong, G and Zhang, Z and Xie, Z and Du, M and Jiang, H and Liu, H and Cao, L and Pang, L and Lv, C and Lei, Y and Cai, B and Zhu, Y},
title = {A systematic assessment of city-level climate change mitigation and air quality improvement in China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156274},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156274},
pmid = {35644391},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {China is facing dual challenges of air pollution and climate change. By using city-level data, we comprehensively assessed air quality and CO2 emission changes from 2015 to 2019 for 335 Chinese cities. We selected important regions for air pollution control and categorized all cities into different classes according to their development levels. Our novel approach revealed new insights on different patterns of changes of PM2.5, O3, and CO2 by region and city class. We found that PM2.5 concentrations decreased remarkably due to mandatory city-level reduction targets, especially in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (-27%) region. Nonetheless, O3 concentrations and CO2 emissions increased in 91% and 69% of Chinese cities, respectively. Observed CO2 emission reductions in more developed cities are mainly due to prominent energy intensity reduction and energy structure improvement. Our study indicates a lack of synergy in air pollution control and CO2 mitigation under current policies in China. To address both challenges holistically, we suggest setting mandatory city-level CO2 emission reduction targets and reinforcing clean energy and energy efficiency measures.},
}
@article {pmid35644239,
year = {2022},
author = {Obey, G and Osamu, N and Ramaraj, R and Arthi, M and Unpaprom, Y and Itayama, T},
title = {Iodine adsorption isotherms on Matamba fruit shell stemmed biochar for wastewater re-use strategy in rural areas owing to climate change.},
journal = {Chemosphere},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {135126},
doi = {10.1016/j.chemosphere.2022.135126},
pmid = {35644239},
issn = {1879-1298},
abstract = {Remote communities in developing countries are facing ever-increasing water scarcities, due to cumulative demand induced by the climate change and global warming impacts. For the socio-economic and health well-being of the local communities, sufficient, efficient, and affordable water supply is fundamental from local-based adsorbents materials. Matamba Fruit shell was obtained and pyrolyzed to obtain well-transformed biochar, which exhibited enough capacity to remove Iodine from aqueous solution. The maximum capacity of adsorption of the Matamba Fruit shell was 2.122 mmol L-1 and 2.12 mmol L-1 from conventional and Bayesian statistics correspondingly. The difference was insignificant. The surface morphology was evaluated by the Field Emission Scanning Electron Microscopy with Energy Dispersive X-Ray Spectroscopy (FESEM-EDX) which revealed porous structures with irregular openings enough to purge wastewater pollutants. The material surface area was 267.0 m2 g-1, as estimated by both approaches, making the Matamba fruit shell an emerging potential candidate for environmental pollution control and use in bioremediation practices. The Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) revealed that surface functional groups of Matamba Fruit shell biochar have enough peak variations in intensity and position due to vibration variations of the surface. The Fruit shell has different functional groups including the hydroxyl (-OH) and the carbonyl groups (CO), CC stretches of aromatic rings, and the carboxylate (C-O-O-) groups. The biochar understudy unveiled its capability for wastewater-treatment reuse in local and urban communities of developing countries to safeguard their health and access to water-supply as the climate change reverberations are affecting the developing countries more pronounced than before.},
}
@article {pmid35642919,
year = {2022},
author = {Blázquez, S and Espinosa, S and Antiñolo, M and Albaladejo, J and Jiménez, E},
title = {Kinetics of CF3CH2OCH3 (HFE-263fb2), CHF2CF2CH2OCH3 (HFE-374pcf), and CF3CF2CH2OCH3 (HFE-365mcf3) with OH radicals, IR absorption cross sections, and global warming potentials.},
journal = {Physical chemistry chemical physics : PCCP},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1039/d2cp00160h},
pmid = {35642919},
issn = {1463-9084},
abstract = {Hydrofluoroethers (HFEs), such as CF3CH2OCH3 (HFE-263fb2), CHF2CF2CH2OCH3 (HFE-374pcf), and CF3CF2CH2OCH3 (HFE-365mcf3), have been proposed in the last few decades as the third-generation replacements for perfluorocarbons (PFCs) and hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) because of their zero stratospheric ozone depletion potentials and relatively low global warming potentials (GWPs). These GWPs depend on the radiative efficiency (RE) and the atmospheric lifetime (τOH) of HFEs due to the reaction with hydroxyl (OH) radicals. The temperature and pressure dependencies of the OH-rate coefficient (kOH(T)) for HFE-263fb2, HFE-374pcf, and HFE-365mcf3 are not known. Therefore, in this paper, we present the first study on the temperature (263-353 K) and pressure (50-500 torr of helium) dependence of kOH(T) for the titled HFEs. No pressure dependence of kOH(T) was observed in the investigated range. From kOH(298 K), estimated τOH are 17 days (for HFE-263fb2), 12 days (for HFE-374pcf), and 13 days (for HFE-365mcf3). The observed T-dependencies of kOH(T) (in cm3 molecule-1 s-1) are well described by (3.88 ± 0.89) × 10-12 exp[-(508 ± 69)/T] for HFE-263fb2, (2.81 ± 0.33) × 10-12 exp[-(312 ± 35)/T] for HFE-374pcf, and (2.60 ± 0.31) × 10-12 exp[-(319 ± 35)/T] for HFE-365mcf3. A correlation between log kOH(298 K) and the activation energy (Ea) of the process is presented, allowing the prediction of Ea for OH-reactions with other HFEs, exclusively investigated at room temperature. In addition to the kinetic measurements, the infrared absorption cross sections of HFE-263fb2, HFE-374pcf, and HFE-365mcf3 were determined between 520 and 3100 cm-1. Lifetime corrected REs and GWPs relative to CO2 at 100 years' time horizon were reexamined. The impact of the investigated HFEs on the radiative forcing of climate change would be negligible.},
}
@article {pmid35642454,
year = {2022},
author = {De Marco, A and Sicard, P and Feng, Z and Agathokleous, E and Alonso, R and Araminiene, V and Augustaitis, A and Badea, O and Beasley, JC and Branquinho, C and Bruckman, VJ and Collalti, A and David-Schwartz, R and Domingos, M and Du, E and Garcia Gomez, H and Hashimoto, S and Hoshika, Y and Jakovljevic, T and McNulty, S and Oksanen, E and Omidi Khaniabadi, Y and Prescher, AK and Saitanis, CJ and Sase, H and Schmitz, A and Voigt, G and Watanabe, M and Wood, MD and Kozlov, MV and Paoletti, E},
title = {Strategic roadmap to assess forest vulnerability under air pollution and climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16278},
pmid = {35642454},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Although it is an integral part of global change, most of the research addressing the effects of climate change on forests have overlooked the role of environmental pollution. Similarly, most studies investigating effects of air pollutants on forests have generally neglected impacts of climate change. We review the current knowledge on combined air pollution and climate change effects on global forest ecosystems and identify several key research priorities as a roadmap for the future. Specifically, we recommend 1) establishment of much denser array of monitoring sites, particularly in the South Hemisphere; 2) further integration of ground and satellite monitoring; 3) generation of flux-based standards and critical levels taking into account the sensitivity of dominant forest tree species; 4) long-term monitoring of N, S, P cycles and base cations deposition together at global scale; 5) intensification of experimental studies, addressing combined effects of different abiotic factors on forests by assuring a better representation of taxonomic and functional diversity across the ~73,000 tree species on Earth; 6) more experimental focus on phenomics and genomics; 7) improved knowledge on key processes regulating the dynamics of radionuclides in forest systems; and 8) development of models integrating air pollution and climate change data from long-term monitoring programs.},
}
@article {pmid35641833,
year = {2022},
author = {Cunze, S and Glock, G and Kochmann, J and Klimpel, S},
title = {Ticks on the move-climate change-induced range shifts of three tick species in Europe: current and future habitat suitability for Ixodes ricinus in comparison with Dermacentor reticulatus and Dermacentor marginatus.},
journal = {Parasitology research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35641833},
issn = {1432-1955},
abstract = {Tick-borne diseases are a major health problem worldwide and could become even more important in Europe in the future. Due to changing climatic conditions, ticks are assumed to be able to expand their ranges in Europe towards higher latitudes and altitudes, which could result in an increased occurrence of tick-borne diseases.There is a great interest to identify potential (new) areas of distribution of vector species in order to assess the future infection risk with vector-borne diseases, improve surveillance, to develop more targeted monitoring program, and, if required, control measures.Based on an ecological niche modelling approach we project the climatic suitability for the three tick species Ixodes ricinus, Dermacentor reticulatus and Dermacentor marginatus under current and future climatic conditions in Europe. These common tick species also feed on humans and livestock and are vector competent for a number of pathogens.For niche modelling, we used a comprehensive occurrence data set based on several databases and publications and six bioclimatic variables in a maximum entropy approach. For projections, we used the most recent IPCC data on current and future climatic conditions including four different scenarios of socio-economic developments.Our models clearly support the assumption that the three tick species will benefit from climate change with projected range expansions towards north-eastern Europe and wide areas in central Europe with projected potential co-occurrence.A higher tick biodiversity and locally higher abundances might increase the risk of tick-borne diseases, although other factors such as pathogen prevalence and host abundances are also important.},
}
@article {pmid35641672,
year = {2022},
author = {Gewin, V},
title = {A down-to-earth approach to climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {606},
number = {7912},
pages = {218},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-01500-w},
pmid = {35641672},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35641573,
year = {2022},
author = {Parihar, RS and Bal, PK and Saini, A and Mishra, SK and Thapliyal, A},
title = {Potential future malaria transmission in Odisha due to climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {9048},
pmid = {35641573},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Future projections of malaria transmission is made for Odisha, a highly endemic region of India, through numerical simulations using the VECTRI dynamical model. The model is forced with bias-corrected temperature and rainfall from a global climate model (CCSM4) for the baseline period 1975-2005 and for the projection periods 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s under RCP8.5 emission scenario. The temperature, rainfall, mosquito density and entomological inoculation rate (EIR), generated from the VECTRI model are evaluated with the observation and analyzed further to estimate the future malaria transmission over Odisha on a spatio-temporal scale owing to climate change. Our results reveal that the malaria transmission in Odisha as a whole during summer and winter monsoon seasons may decrease in future due to the climate change except in few districts with the high elevations and dense forest regions such as Kandhamal, Koraput, Raygada and Mayurbhanj districts where an increase in malaria transmission is found. Compared to the baseline period, mosquito density shows decrease in most districts of the south, southwest, central, north and northwest regions of Odisha in 2030s, 2050s and 2080s. An overall decrease in malaria transmission of 20-40% (reduction in EIR) is seen during the monsoon season (June-Sept) over Odisha with the increased surface temperature of 3.5-4 °C and with the increased rainfall of 20-35% by the end of the century with respect to the baseline period. Furthermore, malaria transmission is likely to reduce in future over most of the Odisha regions with the increase in future warm and cold nights temperatures.},
}
@article {pmid35641111,
year = {2022},
author = {Patterson, DW and Harvey, R and Matkovic, V and Hesselman, M and Tahzib, F},
title = {Post COP26: legal action now part of public health's environment and climate change toolbox.},
journal = {European journal of public health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/eurpub/ckac057},
pmid = {35641111},
issn = {1464-360X},
}
@article {pmid35640005,
year = {2022},
author = {Lorenz, C and de Azevedo, TS and Chiaravalloti-Neto, F},
title = {Impact of climate change on West Nile virus distribution in South America.},
journal = {Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/trstmh/trac044},
pmid = {35640005},
issn = {1878-3503},
support = {2017/10297-1//São Paulo Research Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: West Nile virus (WNV) is a vector-borne pathogen of global relevance and is currently the most widely distributed flavivirus causing encephalitis worldwide. Climate conditions have direct and indirect impacts on vector abundance and virus dynamics within the mosquito. The significance of environmental variables as drivers in WNV epidemiology is increasing under the current climate change scenario. In this study we used a machine learning algorithm to model WNV distributions in South America.<br><br>METHODS: Our model evaluated eight environmental variables for their contribution to the occurrence of WNV since its introduction in South America in 2004.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results showed that environmental variables can directly alter the occurrence of WNV, with lower precipitation and higher temperatures associated with increased virus incidence. High-risk areas may be modified in the coming years, becoming more evident with high greenhouse gas emission levels. Countries such as Bolivia, Paraguay and several Brazilian areas, mainly in the northeast and midwest regions and the Pantanal biome, will be greatly affected, drastically changing the current WNV distribution.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Understanding the linkages between climatological and ecological change as determinants of disease emergence and redistribution will help optimize preventive strategies. Increased virus surveillance, integrated modelling and the use of geographically based data systems will provide more anticipatory measures by the scientific community.},
}
@article {pmid35638389,
year = {2022},
author = {Mos, B and Mos, D},
title = {Range expansion of a widespread Indo-Pacific haemulid, the barred javelin Pomadasys kaakan (Cuvier, 1830), in a climate change hotspot.},
journal = {Journal of fish biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jfb.15125},
pmid = {35638389},
issn = {1095-8649},
abstract = {We report a first sighting of a euryhaline fish in the climate change hot-spot along Australia's south-eastern coast. The barred javelin, Pomadasys kaakan (Cuvier, 1830) was found in the Nambucca River in New South Wales, Australia in 2021 and 2022. Specimens were adult, suggesting they may not be transitory vagrants. The new southernmost location recorded here represents a ~200 km out of range sighting compared to previous records, and is ~380 km south of the southernmost Australian stronghold of the species in Moreton Bay, Queensland. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid35636881,
year = {2022},
author = {Bapatla, KG and Singh, AD and Sengottaiyan, V and Korada, RR and Yeddula, S},
title = {Impact of climate change on Helicoverpa armigera voltinism in different Agro-Climatic Zones of India.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {106},
number = {},
pages = {103229},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2022.103229},
pmid = {35636881},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {The Gram pod borer, Helicoverpa armigera (Noctuidae: Lepidoptera) is a cosmopolitan agricultural insect pest that prefers to feed on plant's protein biomolecules. Out of different density-independent factors, surface air temperature majorly affects the incidence and damage of the H. armigera on the crops. Early prediction of H. armigera generations (voltinism) in future climate years perhaps prevent additional damage in various crops and improve the farmers preparedness. In this study, future climate data that is temperature obtained for eleven Agro-Climatic Zones (ACZs) of India under four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) scenarios in different climate years (2010, 2030, 2050, 2070, 2090) using weather file generator MarkSim web application. The accumulation of Growing Degree-days (GDD) by H. armigera at eleven ACZs in each climate year under different RCP scenarios was estimated using temperature data. The mean surface air temperature is predicted to 0.51 °C, 1.03 °C, 1.57 °C and 2.1 °C in climate years 2030, 2050, 2070 and 2090, which escalated annual H. armigera Gen. to 12.88, 13.33, 13.79 and 14.23, respectively over the baseline climate year 2010. Likewise, under RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, RCP 6.0 and RCP 8.5 scenarios H. armigera Gen. is predicted to 12.86, 13.29, 13.23 and 13.97 per annum with mean surface air temperatures 27.4 °C, 27.92 °C, 27.86 °C and 28.72 °C, respectively. The Eastern Coastal Plains and Hills Zone (ACZ 11) across climate years and RCPs has experienced a considerable increase in mean surface air temperature minimum (25.22 °C) and maximum (34.61 °C), which likely favor the GDD accumulation (6319.91) and the Genrations (14.97) in H. armigera. Therefore, the Eastern Coastal Plains and Hills Zone of India could be identified as H. armigera risk zone in near future. The present predictions in various ACZs of India may be significant in planning H. armigera management.},
}
@article {pmid35636534,
year = {2022},
author = {St-Laurent, MH and Boulanger, Y and Cyr, D and Manka, F and Drapeau, P and Gauthier, S},
title = {Lowering the rate of timber harvesting to mitigate impacts of climate change on boreal caribou habitat quality in eastern Canada.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156244},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156244},
pmid = {35636534},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Many boreal populations of woodland caribou (Rangifer tarandus caribou) have declined in Canada, a trend essentially driven by the increasing footprint of anthropogenic disturbances and the resulting habitat-mediated apparent competition that increases predation pressure. However, the influence of climate change on these ecological processes remains poorly understood. We evaluated how climate change will affect boreal caribou habitat over the 2030-2100 horizon and in a 9.94 Mha study area, using a climate-sensitive simulation ensemble that integrates climate-induced changes in stand dynamics, fire regime, and different levels of commercial timber harvesting. We assessed the relative importance of these three drivers under projections made using different radiative forcing scenarios (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 8.5). Habitat quality was estimated from resource selection functions built with telemetry data collected from 121 caribou between 2004 and 2011 in 7 local populations. At the beginning of our simulations, caribou habitat was already structured along a south-to-north increasing quality gradient. Simulations revealed changes in forest cover that are driven by climate-induced variations in fire regime and scenarios of harvesting levels, resulting in the loss of older coniferous forests and an increase in deciduous stands. These changes induced a generalized decrease in the average habitat quality and in the percentage of high-quality habitat for caribou, and in a northward recession of suitable habitat. Timber harvesting was the most important agent of change for the 2030-2050 horizon, although it was slowly replaced by changes in fire regime until 2100. Our results clearly showed that it is possible to maintain the current average habitat quality for caribou in future scenarios that consider a reduction in harvested volumes, the only lever under our control. This suggests that we still have the capacity to conciliate socioeconomic development and caribou conservation imperatives in the face of climate change, an important issue debated throughout the species distribution range.},
}
@article {pmid35635915,
year = {2022},
author = {Uhl, A and Hahn, HJ and Jäger, A and Luftensteiner, T and Siemensmeyer, T and Döll, P and Noack, M and Schwenk, K and Berkhoff, S and Weiler, M and Karwautz, C and Griebler, C},
title = {Making waves: Pulling the plug-Climate change effects will turn gaining into losing streams with detrimental effects on groundwater quality.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {220},
number = {},
pages = {118649},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2022.118649},
pmid = {35635915},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {In many parts of the world, climate change has already caused a decline in groundwater recharge, whereas groundwater demand for drinking water production and irrigation continues to increase. In such regions, groundwater tables are steadily declining with major consequences for groundwater-surface water interactions. Predominantly gaining streams that rely on discharge of groundwater from the adjacent aquifer turn into predominantly losing streams whose water seeps into the underground. This reversal of groundwater-surface water interactions is associated with an increase of low river flows, drying of stream beds, and a switch of lotic ecosystems from perennial to intermittent, with consequences for fluvial and groundwater dependent ecosystems. Moreover, water infiltrating from rivers and streams can carry a complex mix of contaminants. Accordingly, the diversity and concentrations of compounds detected in groundwater has been increasing over the past decades. During low flow, stream and river discharge may consist mainly of treated wastewater. In losing stream systems, this contaminated water seeps into the adjoining aquifers. This threatens both ecosystems as well as drinking and irrigation water quality. Climate change is therefore severely altering landscape water balances, with groundwater-surface water-interactions having reached a tipping point in many cases. Current model projections harbor huge uncertainties and scientific evidence for these tipping points remains very limited. In particular, quantitative data on groundwater-surface water-interactions are scarce both on the local and the catchment scale. The result is poor public or political awareness, and appropriate management measures await implementation.},
}
@article {pmid35634686,
year = {2022},
author = {Can, İ and Yürekli, A},
title = {The Effect of Global Warming on Dermatology Practice: The Increase in Cases of Cutaneous Larva Migrans in the Eastern Black Sea Region of Turkey.},
journal = {Journal of cosmetic dermatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jocd.15128},
pmid = {35634686},
issn = {1473-2165},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Cutaneous larva migrans (CLM) is a parasitic disease seen in people in contact with soil in tropical countries. Almost all cases reported in regions without a tropical climate have a history of travel to a tropical region.<br><br>AIM: In our study, we aimed to investigate the effect of climate change on CLM cases and the demographic characteristics of these cases. For this purpose, the climate information of the period in which we determined the case series and the characteristics of the patients were investigated.<br><br>MATERIAL AND METHOD: The study was designed retrospectively. Patient files and pre- and post-treatment photographic archives were reviewed retrospectively. In addition, the region's weather history over the last 50 years was examined.<br><br>RESULTS: The records of patients diagnosed with CLM in 2018 were reviewed retrospectively. In total, 22 cases were detected. The common feature of all cases was that they worked as tea pickers. After examining the weather conditions of the period when the cases were commonly reported, it was determined that there was a sharp temperature increase compared to previous years.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Due to climate change, an increase in the number of CLM cases is observed in non-tropical regions. Since it is considered a disease specific to tropical regions, the diagnosis may be overlooked in cases outside these regions. However, CLM should be kept in mind as a diagnostic possibility by clinicians practicing in non-tropical regions as well, especially when treating patients who work with soil, such as tea harvesters.},
}
@article {pmid35634557,
year = {2022},
author = {Morgado, JN and Santeramo, F and Lamonaca, E and Ciliberti, MG and Caroprese, M},
title = {Meta-analysis and systematic literature review of climate change effects on livestock welfare.},
journal = {EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority},
volume = {20},
number = {Suppl 1},
pages = {e200413},
doi = {10.2903/j.efsa.2022.e200413},
pmid = {35634557},
issn = {1831-4732},
abstract = {Climate change is a phenomenon that includes different dramatic events that deeply affect the physiology of animal species both directly and indirectly with qualitative-quantitative impacts on livestock performances and health. The implications of climate change on animal welfare and on production demand are complex and call for a multidisciplinary approach which involved both animal science and economic sciences. The current technical report will describe the activities performed by the fellow while placed at the University of Foggia, Department of Agriculture, Natural Resources and Engineering, in Italy. Furthermore, the work programme offered by the hosting site consisted in performing a systematic literature review, following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) Statement, and a quantitative synthesis of the literature on the impact of climate change events (e.g. heat stress) on livestock welfare and productivity and the effect of heat relieving strategies on the animals' performance.},
}
@article {pmid35633776,
year = {2018},
author = {Dobor, L and Hlásny, T and Rammer, W and Barka, I and Trombik, J and Pavlenda, P and Šebeň, V and Štepánek, P and Seidl, R},
title = {Post-disturbance recovery of forest carbon in a temperate forest landscape under climate change.},
journal = {Agricultural and forest meteorology},
volume = {263},
number = {},
pages = {308-322},
doi = {10.1016/j.agrformet.2018.08.028},
pmid = {35633776},
issn = {0168-1923},
abstract = {Disturbances alter composition, structure, and functioning of forest ecosystems, and their legacies persist for decades to centuries. We investigated how temperate forest landscapes may recover their carbon (C) after severe wind and bark beetle disturbance, while being exposed to climate change. We used the forest landscape and disturbance model iLand to quantify (i) the recovery times of the total ecosystem C, (ii) the effect of climate change on C recovery, and (iii) the differential factors contributing to C recovery. We reconstructed a recent disturbance episode (2008-2016) based on Landsat satellite imagery, which affected 39% of the forest area in the 16,000 ha study landscape. We subsequently simulated forest recovery under a continuation of business-asusual management until 2100. Our results indicated that the recovery of the pre-disturbance C stocks (C payback time) was reached 17 years after the end of the disturbance episode. The C stocks of a theoretical undisturbed development trajectory were reached 30 years after the disturbance episode (C sequestration parity). Drier and warmer climates delayed simulated C recovery. Without the fertilizing effect of CO2, C payback times were delayed by 5-9 years, while C parity was not reached within the 21st century. Recovery was accelerated by an enhanced C uptake compared to undisturbed conditions (disturbance legacy sink effect) that persisted for 35 years after the disturbance episode. Future climate could have negative impacts on forest recovery and thus further amplify climate change through C loss from ecosystems, but the effect is strongly contingent on the magnitude and persistence of alleviating CO2 effects. Our modelling study highlights the need to consider both negative and positive effects of disturbance (i.e., C loss immediately after an event vs. enhanced C uptake of the recovering forest) in order to obtain a comprehensive understanding of disturbance effects on the forest C cycle.},
}
@article {pmid35633370,
year = {2022},
author = {Berberian, AG and Gonzalez, DJX and Cushing, LJ},
title = {Racial Disparities in Climate Change-Related Health Effects in the United States.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35633370},
issn = {2196-5412},
support = {840039//U.S. Environmental Protection Agency/ ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change is causing warming over most parts of the USA and more extreme weather events. The health impacts of these changes are not experienced equally. We synthesize the recent evidence that climatic changes linked to global warming are having a disparate impact on the health of people of color, including children.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Multiple studies of heat, extreme cold, hurricanes, flooding, and wildfires find evidence that people of color, including Black, Latinx, Native American, Pacific Islander, and Asian communities are at higher risk of climate-related health impacts than Whites, although this is not always the case. Studies of adults have found evidence of racial disparities related to climatic changes with respect to mortality, respiratory and cardiovascular disease, mental health, and heat-related illness. Children are particularly vulnerable to the health impacts of climate change, and infants and children of color have experienced adverse perinatal outcomes, occupational heat stress, and increases in emergency department visits associated with extreme weather. The evidence strongly suggests climate change is an environmental injustice that is likely to exacerbate existing racial disparities across a broad range of health outcomes.},
}
@article {pmid35633204,
year = {2022},
author = {Rastetter, EB and Kwiatkowski, BL and Kicklighter, DW and Barker Plotkin, A and Genet, H and Nippert, JB and O'Keefe, K and Perakis, SS and Porder, S and Roley, SS and Ruess, RW and Thompson, JR and Wieder, WR and Wilcox, K and Yanai, RD},
title = {N and P constrain C in ecosystems under climate change: Role of nutrient redistribution, accumulation, and stoichiometry.},
journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2684},
doi = {10.1002/eap.2684},
pmid = {35633204},
issn = {1051-0761},
abstract = {We use the Multiple Element Limitation (MEL) model to examine responses of twelve ecosystems to elevated carbon dioxide (CO2), warming, and 20% decreases or increases in precipitation. Ecosystems respond synergistically to elevated CO2 , warming, and decreased precipitation combined because higher water-use efficiency with elevated CO2 and higher fertility with warming compensate for responses to drought. Response to elevated CO2 , warming, and increased precipitation combined is additive. We analyze changes in ecosystem carbon (C) based on four nitrogen (N) and four phosphorus (P) attribution factors: (1) changes in total ecosystem N and P, (2) changes in N and P distribution between vegetation and soil, (3) changes in vegetation C:N and C:P ratios, and (4) changes in soil C:N and C:P ratios. In the combined CO2 and climate change simulations, all ecosystems gain C. The contributions of these four attribution factors to changes in ecosystem C storage varies among ecosystems because of differences in the initial distributions of N and P between vegetation and soil and the openness of the ecosystem N and P cycles. The net transfer of N and P from soil to vegetation dominates the C response of forests. For tundra and grasslands, the C gain is also associated with increased soil C:N and C:P. In ecosystems with symbiotic N fixation, C gains resulted from N accumulation. Because of differences in N versus P cycle openness and the distribution of organic matter between vegetation and soil, changes in the N and P attribution factors do not always parallel one another. Differences among ecosystems in C-nutrient interactions and the amount of woody biomass interact to shape ecosystem C sequestration under simulated global change. We suggest that future studies quantify the openness of the N and P cycles and changes in the distribution of C, N, and P among ecosystem components, which currently limit understanding of nutrient effects on C sequestration and responses to elevated CO2 and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35628697,
year = {2022},
author = {Biketova, AY and Catana, R and Kosakyan, A},
title = {Biodiversity, Distribution, and Conservation of Plants and Fungi: Effects of Global Warming and Environmental Stress.},
journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {8},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/jof8050441},
pmid = {35628697},
issn = {2309-608X},
abstract = {The estimation of global biodiversity and its conservation is an old, but still unresolved, concern in biology [...].},
}
@article {pmid35627774,
year = {2022},
author = {Yi, L and Sun, Y and Ouyang, X and Yin, S},
title = {Identifying the Impacts of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Cover Changes: A Case Study of the Yangtze River Basin, China.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {10},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19106239},
pmid = {35627774},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) is a useful indicator to characterize vegetation development and land use which can effectively monitor changes in ecological environments. As an important area for ecological balance and safety in China, understanding the dynamic changes in land cover and vegetation of the Yangtze River Basin would be crucial in developing effective policies and strategies to protect its natural environment while promoting sustainable growth. Based on MODIS-NDVI data and meteorological data from 2000 to 2019, the temporal and spatial distribution of vegetation coverage in the Yangtze River Basin during the past 20 years were characterized, and the impacts of human activities and climate change were quantitatively evaluated. We drew the following research conclusions: (1) From 2000 to 2019, the vegetation cover of the Yangtze River Basin presented a fluctuating inter-annual growth trend. Except for the Taihu Lake sub-basin, the vegetation cover in other sub-basins showed an upward trend. (2) The vegetation cover exhibited a spatial distribution pattern of "high in the middle and low in the east and west", with the multi-year average value of NDVI being 0.5153. (3) Areas with improved vegetation cover were significantly larger than the areas with degraded foliage. The central region has stronger overall trend of change than the east, and the east is stronger than the west. These vegetation cover changes are largely related to anthropogenic activities. (4) Vegetation cover changes due to precipitation and temperature exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity. While both temperature and precipitation influenced vegetation cover, the temperature was the leading climate factor in the area. (5) Anthropogenic and climate factors jointly promoted the change of vegetation cover in the Yangtze River Basin. Human activities contributed 79.29%, while climate change contributed 20.71%. This study could be used in subsequent studies analyzing the influencing factors affecting long-term vegetation cover in large-scale watersheds.},
}
@article {pmid35625420,
year = {2022},
author = {Niu, X and Feng, P and Liu, DL and Wang, B and Waters, C and Zhao, N and Ma, T},
title = {Deficit Irrigation at Pre-Anthesis Can Balance Wheat Yield and Water Use Efficiency under Future Climate Change in North China Plain.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11050692},
pmid = {35625420},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {51709263//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 51809086//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 212102110035//Key Scientific and Technological Project of Henan Province/ ; No. 201908410067//the State Scholarship Fund of China Scholarship Council/ ; 13480023//the Initial Fund for Doctoral Research of Henan University of Science and Technology, China/ ; No.FIRI2020-02//Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research Fund/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Deficit irrigation (DI) is a feasible strategy to enhance crop WUE and also has significant compensation effects on yield. Previous studies have found that DI has great potential to maintain crop production as full irrigation (FI) does. Therefore, adopting DI to improve crop production and safeguard groundwater resources is of great importance in water scarce regions, e.g., the North China Plain (NCP). Under the background of global warming, it is worth investigating whether DI continues to play such a key role under future climate scenarios.<br><br>METHODS: We studied the response of winter wheat yield and WUE to different DI levels at pre-anthesis under two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) scenarios (SSP245 and SSP585) using the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator (APSIM) model driven by 21 general circulation models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). Additionally, we explored the effects of different nitrogen (N) fertilizer application rates on DI.<br><br>RESULTS: We found that simulated wheat yield would increase by 3.5-45.0%, with WUE increasing by 8.8-46.4% across all treatments under future climate change. Moderate deficit irrigation (DI3, ≤0.4 PAWC at the sowing to flowering stage) under the N3 (150 kg N ha-1) condition was identified as the optimum irrigation schedule for the study site under future climate change. However, compensation effects of DI3 on yield and WUE became weak in the future, which was mainly due to increased growing season rainfall projected by GCMs. In addition, we found that N fertilizer application could mitigate the effect of DI3.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: We highlight that in water scarce regions of NCP, DI remains an effective strategy to maintain higher yield and enhance water use under future climate scenarios. Results strongly suggest that moderate deficit irrigation under a 150 kg N ha-1 condition could mitigate the contradiction between production and water consumption and ensure food safety in the NCP.},
}
@article {pmid35622915,
year = {2022},
author = {Lingappa, UF and Stein, NT and Metcalfe, KS and Present, TM and Orphan, VJ and Grotzinger, JP and Knoll, AH and Trower, EJ and Gomes, ML and Fischer, WW},
title = {Early impacts of climate change on a coastal marine microbial mat ecosystem.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {8},
number = {21},
pages = {eabm7826},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.abm7826},
pmid = {35622915},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Among the earliest consequences of climate change are extreme weather and rising sea levels-two challenges to which coastal environments are particularly vulnerable. Often found in coastal settings are microbial mats-complex, stratified microbial ecosystems that drive massive nutrient fluxes through biogeochemical cycles and have been important constituents of Earth's biosphere for eons. Little Ambergris Cay, in the Turks and Caicos Islands, supports extensive mats that vary sharply with relative water level. We characterized the microbial communities across this variation to understand better the emerging threat of sea level rise. In September 2017, the eyewall of category 5 Hurricane Irma transited the island. We monitored the impact and recovery from this devastating storm event. New mat growth proceeded rapidly, with patterns suggesting that storm perturbation may facilitate the adaptation of these ecosystems to changing sea level. Sulfur cycling, however, displayed hysteresis, stalling for >10 months after the hurricane and likely altering carbon storage potential.},
}
@article {pmid35622168,
year = {2022},
author = {Lanza, K and Gohlke, J and Wang, S and Sheffield, PE and Wilhelmi, O},
title = {Climate change and physical activity: ambient temperature and urban trail use in Texas.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35622168},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {78106//Robert Wood Johnson Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Individuals in the USA are insufficiently active, increasing their chronic disease risk. Extreme temperatures may reduce physical activity due to thermal discomfort. Cooler climate studies have suggested climate change may have a net positive effect on physical activity, yet research gaps remain for warmer climates and within-day physical activity patterns. We determined the association between ambient temperatures (contemporary and projected) and urban trail use in a humid subtropical climate. At a trail in Austin, TX, five electronic counters recorded hourly pedestrian and cyclist counts in 2019. Weather data were acquired from World Weather Online. Generalized additive models estimated the association between temperature and trail counts. We then combined the estimated exposure-response relation with weather projections from climate models for intermediate (RCP4.5) and high (RCP8.5) emissions scenarios by NASA NEX-GDDP. From summer to autumn to spring to winter, hourly trail counts shifted from bimodal (mid-morning and early-evening peaks) to one mid-day peak. Pedestrians were more likely to use the trail between 7 and 27 °C (45-81°F) with peak use at 17 °C (63°F) and cyclists between 15 and 33 °C (59-91°F) with peak use at 27 °C (81°F) than at temperature extremes. A net decrease in trail use was estimated by 2041-2060 (RCP4.5: pedestrians = - 4.5%, cyclists = - 1.1%; RCP8.5: pedestrians = - 6.6%, cyclists = - 1.6%) and 2081-2100 (RCP4.5: pedestrians = - 7.5%, cyclists = - 1.9%; RCP8.5: pedestrians = - 16%, cyclists = - 4.5%). Results suggest climate change may reduce trail use. We recommend interventions for thermal comfort at settings for physical activity.},
}
@article {pmid35620645,
year = {2021},
author = {Li, X and Junqueira, AB and Reyes-García, V},
title = {At the crossroad of emergency: ethnobiology, climate change, and Indigenous Peoples and local communities.},
journal = {Journal of ethnobiology},
volume = {41},
number = {3},
pages = {307-312},
doi = {10.2993/0278-0771-41.3.307},
pmid = {35620645},
issn = {0278-0771},
}
@article {pmid35620620,
year = {2022},
author = {Selvaraj, JJ and Guerrero, D and Cifuentes-Ossa, MA and Guzmán Alvis, ÁI},
title = {The economic vulnerability of fishing households to climate change in the south Pacific region of Colombia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {8},
number = {5},
pages = {e09425},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09425},
pmid = {35620620},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Climate change's direct and indirect effects on marine ecosystems and coastal areas mainly impact small-scale fishers, especially in developing countries, which present extreme poverty and high dependency on marine ecosystems as a source of food and sustenance for households. Understanding the vulnerability of fishing households and considering the associated socio-economic-political complexities is essential for preserving their livelihoods and maintaining their well-being. This study proposes a measure of economic vulnerability based on the capacity of fishing households in Tumaco, located on the southern Pacific coast of Colombia, to diversify their livelihoods. Different statistical procedures have been conducted to identify the most relevant strategies in reducing the economic vulnerability of households. The results indicate that reducing the vulnerability of fishing households depends on adaptation strategies such as occupational mobility, some elements of social capital, and reduced dependence on the fisheries resource. This study could constitute an input for creating public policy that guides efforts to achieve strategies for the generation of other livelihoods and the sustainability of fishing households that continue to choose fishing as their main economic activity.},
}
@article {pmid35619079,
year = {2022},
author = {Nia, HS and Gorgulu, O and Naghavi, N and Froelicher, ES and Fomani, FK and Goudarzian, AH and Sharif, SP and Pourkia, R and Haghdoost, AA},
title = {Correction: A time-series prediction model of acute myocardial infarction in northern of Iran: the risk of climate change and religious mourning.},
journal = {BMC cardiovascular disorders},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {243},
pmid = {35619079},
issn = {1471-2261},
}
@article {pmid35618464,
year = {2022},
author = {Khan, N},
title = {Our final warning: Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and primary care.},
journal = {The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners},
volume = {72},
number = {719},
pages = {271},
doi = {10.3399/bjgp22X719609},
pmid = {35618464},
issn = {1478-5242},
}
@article {pmid35618008,
year = {2022},
author = {Ray, A and Pandey, VP and Thapa, BR},
title = {An assessment of climate change impacts on water sufficiency: The case of Extended East Rapti watershed, Nepal.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113434},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113434},
pmid = {35618008},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {An understanding of water sufficiency provides a basis for informed-planning, development and management of water resources. This study assessed spatio-temporal distribution in water sufficiency in the Extended East Rapti watershed in Nepal. The "Palika" (local government unit) is considered as a spatial-scale and seasons and future periods as temporal-scale. The water sufficiency was evaluated based on water sufficiency ratio (WSR) and water stress index (WSI). A hydrological model was developed to simulate water availability. An ensemble of multiple Regional Climate Models was used for assessing climate change impacts. Results showed water sufficiency by mid-century is projected to decrease; WSR by 40% and WSI by 61%. Despite projected decrease in water sufficiency, annually available water resources are projected as sufficient for the demands until the mid-century, however, seasonal variability and scarcity in future is projected in most Palikas. Such results are useful for water security planning in the Palikas.},
}
@article {pmid35616123,
year = {2022},
author = {Wild, K and Tapley, A and Fielding, A and Holliday, E and Ball, J and Horton, G and Blashki, G and Davey, A and van Driel, M and Turner, A and FitzGerald, K and Spike, N and Magin, P},
title = {Climate change and Australian general practice vocational education: a cross-sectional study.},
journal = {Family practice},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/fampra/cmac053},
pmid = {35616123},
issn = {1460-2229},
support = {//Royal Australian College of General Practitioners/ ; //Australian Government/ ; //Australian General Practice Training Program/ ; //GP Synergy/ ; //Eastern Victoria General Practice Training/ ; //General Practice Training Tasmania/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a rapidly progressing threat to global health and well-being. For general practitioners (GPs) currently in training, the effects of climate change on public health will shape their future professional practice We aimed to establish the prevalence and associations of Australian GP registrars' (trainees') perceptions of climate change as it relates to public health, education, and workplaces.<br><br>METHODS: A cross-sectional questionnaire-based study of GP registrars of three Australian training organizations. The questionnaire assessed attitudes regarding adverse health effects of climate change (over the next 10-20 years), and agreement with statements on (i) integrating health impacts of climate change into GP vocational training, and (ii) GPs' role in making general practices environmentally sustainable.<br><br>RESULTS: Of 879 registrars who participated (response rate 91%), 50.4% (95% CI 46.8%, 54.0%) perceived a large or very large future health effect of climate change on their patients, and 61.8% (95% CI 58.6%, 65.0%) agreed that climate health impacts should be integrated within their education programme. 77.8% (95% CI 74.9%, 80.4%) agreed that GPs should have a leadership role in their practices' environmental sustainability. Multivariable associations of these attitudes included female gender, training region, and (for the latter two outcomes) perceptions of future impact of climate change on patient health.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: GP registrars are motivated to receive climate health education and engage in environmentally sustainable practice. This may primarily reflect concern for future practice and patient care.},
}
@article {pmid35615736,
year = {2022},
author = {Gregersen, T and Doran, R and Böhm, G and Sætrevik, B},
title = {Did concern about COVID-19 drain from a 'finite pool of worry' for climate change? Results from longitudinal panel data.},
journal = {The journal of climate change and health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100144},
doi = {10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100144},
pmid = {35615736},
issn = {2667-2782},
abstract = {According to the 'finite pool of worry' hypothesis, one may expect that introducing a novel concern (e.g., about a pandemic) may reduce concern about an existing issue (e.g., about climate change). Drawing upon representative longitudinal panel data from Norway (N = 7998), this paper explores if and how worry about climate change changed from January 2020 (before COVID-19 was detected in Norway) to January 2021 (during one of the pandemic waves). The current analyses indicate a small but significant decrease in worry about climate change among the general public during this time interval, in particular among respondents born before 1980. However, the change in climate change worry did not correlate with worrying about becoming infected with COVID-19 yourself, or with family members being infected. Thus, the results do not indicate a mechanism of worrying about COVID-19 infections leading to a decrease in people's worry about climate change. The findings are discussed in relation to empirical evidence from other countries, where climate change risk perceptions have been monitored during the recent pandemic. Possible explanations for observed differences in worry about climate change, as well as the lack of correlation with worry about COVID-19, are discussed.},
}
@article {pmid35615676,
year = {2022},
author = {Fernández, I and T Mozanzadeh, M and Hao, Y and Gisbert, E},
title = {Editorial: Physiological Impacts of Global Warming in Aquatic Organisms.},
journal = {Frontiers in physiology},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {914912},
doi = {10.3389/fphys.2022.914912},
pmid = {35615676},
issn = {1664-042X},
}
@article {pmid35615058,
year = {2022},
author = {Rabbani, MMG and Cotton, M and Friend, R},
title = {Climate change and non-migration - exploring the role of place relations in rural and coastal Bangladesh.},
journal = {Population and environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-24},
doi = {10.1007/s11111-022-00402-3},
pmid = {35615058},
issn = {0199-0039},
abstract = {Of growing research and policy interest are the experiences of people living under conditions of climate change-induced environmental stress, which either are unable to migrate (sometimes described as a 'trapped population') or are seemingly unwilling to do so (sometimes described as the 'voluntarily immobile'). This paper problematises and expands upon these binary categories: examining the complex dimensionality of non-migration as a form of place relations, explored through qualitative study of rural and coastal Bangladeshi communities. Through 60 semi-structured interviews of individuals from four communities in the Kalapara region, the analysis proffers four qualitatively derived and inter-related dimensions of voluntary and involuntary non-migration framed as a form of place relations. These four dimensions concern the following: (1) livelihood opportunities, (2) place obduracy, (3) risk perceptions, and (4) social-structural constraints, with the interplay between these elements explaining diverse non-migratory experiences. In our analysis, 'place obduracy' is introduced as a concept to describe the differential speed of environmental change and socio-cultural adaptation responses to explain non-migratory experiences. Our discussion provides insight into how to best support non-migrant people's adaptive capacity in the face of growing climate emergency.},
}
@article {pmid35615036,
year = {2022},
author = {Whelan, M and Rahimi-Golkhandan, S and Brymer, E},
title = {The Relationship Between Climate Change Issue Engagement, Connection to Nature and Mental Wellbeing.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {790578},
doi = {10.3389/fpubh.2022.790578},
pmid = {35615036},
issn = {2296-2565},
abstract = {As the threat of climate change becomes increasingly prevalent for people in both the developed and developing world, the impact of climate change on mental wellbeing has become a crucial area of research. In addition to the direct, indirect, and psychosocial impacts of climate change on mental wellbeing, there is also a question of how climate change driven changes to the environment will influence the well-established positive relationship between connection to nature and mental wellbeing. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between climate change issue engagement, connection to nature, and mental wellbeing in English speaking adults over 18 years of age. This study examined the average levels of connection to nature and mental wellbeing in people with different levels of climate change issue engagement, and evaluated whether a person's level of climate change issue engagement uniquely predicted mental wellbeing. The study corroborated positive relationships between wellbeing and various aspects of relatedness to nature in the overall sample. The strength of these relationships, however, depended on the level of climate change issue engagement. More specifically, the level of engagement is inversely linked to mental wellbeing, such that the lower the level of engagement, generally the higher is wellbeing.},
}
@article {pmid35614974,
year = {2022},
author = {Ahmed, M and Hayat, R and Ahmad, M and Ul-Hassan, M and Kheir, AMS and Ul-Hassan, F and Ur-Rehman, MH and Shaheen, FA and Raza, MA and Ahmad, S},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Dryland Agricultural Systems: A Review of Current Status, Potentials, and Further Work Need.},
journal = {International journal of plant production},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-23},
doi = {10.1007/s42106-022-00197-1},
pmid = {35614974},
issn = {1735-6814},
abstract = {Dryland agricultural system is under threat due to climate extremes and unsustainable management. Understanding of climate change impact is important to design adaptation options for dry land agricultural systems. Thus, the present review was conducted with the objectives to identify gaps and suggest technology-based intervention that can support dry land farming under changing climate. Careful management of the available agricultural resources in the region is a current need, as it will play crucial role in the coming decades to ensure food security, reduce poverty, hunger, and malnutrition. Technology based regional collaborative interventions among Universities, Institutions, Growers, Companies etc. for water conservation, supplemental irrigation, foliar sprays, integrated nutrient management, resilient crops-based cropping systems, artificial intelligence, and precision agriculture (modeling and remote sensing) are needed to support agriculture of the region. Different process-based models have been used in different regions around the world to quantify the impacts of climate change at field, regional, and national scales to design management options for dryland cropping systems. Modeling include water and nutrient management, ideotype designing, modification in tillage practices, application of cover crops, insect, and disease management. However, diversification in the mixed and integrated crop and livestock farming system is needed to have profitable, sustainable business. The main focus in this work is to recommend different agro-adaptation measures to be part of policies for sustainable agricultural production systems in future.},
}
@article {pmid35613533,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, A and Wang, M and Kroeze, C and Ma, L and Strokal, M},
title = {Past and future pesticide losses to Chinese waters under socioeconomic development and climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {317},
number = {},
pages = {115361},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115361},
pmid = {35613533},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Increasing pesticide use pollutes Chinese surface waters. Pesticides often enter waters through surface runoff from agricultural fields. This occurs especially during heavy rainfall events. Socio-economic development and climate change may accelerate future loss of pesticides to surface waters due to increasing food production and rainfall events. The main objective of this study is to model past and future pesticide losses to Chinese waters under socio-economic development and climate change. To this end, we developed a pesticide model with local information to quantify the potential pesticide runoff from near-stream agriculture to surface waters after heavy rainfall. We project future trends in potential pesticide runoff. For this, we developed three scenarios: Sustainability, "Middle of the Road" and Economy-first. These scenarios are based on combined Shared Socio-economic Pathways and Representative Concentration Pathways. We identified hotspots with high potential pesticide runoff. The results show that the potential pesticide runoff increased by 45% from 2000 to 2010, nationally. Over 50% of the national pesticide runoff in 2000 was in five provinces. Over 60% of the Chinese population lived in pesticide polluted hotspots in 2000. For the future, trends differ among scenarios and years. The largest increase is projected for the Economy-first scenario, where the potential pesticide runoff is projected to increase by 85% between 2010 and 2099. Future pesticide pollution hotspots are projected to concentrate in the south and south-east of China. This is the net-effect of high pesticide application, intensive crop production and high precipitation due to climate change. In our scenarios, 58%-84% of the population is projected to live in pesticide polluted hotspots from 2050 onwards. These projections can support the development of regional management strategies to control pesticide pollution in waters in the future.},
}
@article {pmid35613004,
year = {2022},
author = {Nogueira, L and White, KE and Bell, B and Alegria, KE and Bennett, G and Edmondson, D and Epel, E and Holman, EA and Kronish, IM and Thayer, J},
title = {The Role of Behavioral Medicine in Addressing Climate Change-Related Health Inequities.},
journal = {Translational behavioral medicine},
volume = {12},
number = {4},
pages = {526-534},
doi = {10.1093/tbm/ibac005},
pmid = {35613004},
issn = {1613-9860},
support = {5T32CA250803-02/GF/NIH HHS/United States ; },
abstract = {Climate change is the greatest threat to global health in human history. It has been declared a public health emergency by the World Health Organization and leading researchers from academic institutions around the globe. Structural racism disproportionately exposes communities targeted for marginalization to the harmful consequences of climate change through greater risk of exposure and sensitivity to climate hazards and less adaptive capacity to the health threats of climate change. Given its interdisciplinary approach to integrating behavioral, psychosocial, and biomedical knowledge, the discipline of behavioral medicine is uniquely qualified to address the systemic causes of climate change-related health inequities and can offer a perspective that is currently missing from many climate and health equity efforts. In this article, we summarize relevant concepts, describe how climate change and structural racism intersect to exacerbate health inequities, and recommend six strategies with the greatest potential for addressing climate-related health inequities.},
}
@article {pmid35613002,
year = {2022},
author = {Diefenbach, MA and Miller, SM and Hall, KL},
title = {Climate change and behavior: considerations for the behavioral medicine community and a call to action.},
journal = {Translational behavioral medicine},
volume = {12},
number = {4},
pages = {501-502},
doi = {10.1093/tbm/ibac039},
pmid = {35613002},
issn = {1613-9860},
}
@article {pmid35613001,
year = {2022},
author = {Edmondson, D and Conroy, D and Romero-Canyas, R and Tanenbaum, M and Czajkowski, S},
title = {Climate change, behavior change and health: a multidisciplinary, translational and multilevel perspective.},
journal = {Translational behavioral medicine},
volume = {12},
number = {4},
pages = {503-515},
doi = {10.1093/tbm/ibac030},
pmid = {35613001},
issn = {1613-9860},
support = {//Dr. Edmondson's/ ; },
abstract = {The climate crisis provides a critical new lens through which health and health behaviors need to be viewed. This paper has three goals. First, it provides background on the climate crisis, the role of human behavior in creating this crisis, and the health impacts of climate change. Second, it proposes a multilevel, translational approach to investigating health behavior change in the context of the climate crisis. Third, it identifies specific challenges and opportunities for increasing the rigor of behavioral medicine research in the context of the climate crisis. The paper closes with a call for behavioral medicine to be responsive to the climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid35613000,
year = {2022},
author = {Peters, E and Boyd, P and Cameron, LD and Contractor, N and Diefenbach, MA and Fleszar-Pavlovic, S and Markowitz, E and Salas, RN and Stephens, KK},
title = {Evidence-based recommendations for communicating the impacts of climate change on health.},
journal = {Translational behavioral medicine},
volume = {12},
number = {4},
pages = {543-553},
doi = {10.1093/tbm/ibac029},
pmid = {35613000},
issn = {1613-9860},
support = {SES-2017651//National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses a multifaceted, complex, and existential threat to human health and well-being, but efforts to communicate these threats to the public lag behind what we know how to do in communication research. Effective communication about climate change's health risks can improve a wide variety of individual and population health-related outcomes by: (1) helping people better make the connection between climate change and health risks and (2) empowering them to act on that newfound knowledge and understanding. The aim of this manuscript is to highlight communication methods that have received empirical support for improving knowledge uptake and/or driving higher-quality decision making and healthier behaviors and to recommend how to apply them at the intersection of climate change and health. This expert consensus about effective communication methods can be used by healthcare professionals, decision makers, governments, the general public, and other stakeholders including sectors outside of health. In particular, we argue for the use of 11 theory-based, evidence-supported communication strategies and practices. These methods range from leveraging social networks to making careful choices about the use of language, narratives, emotions, visual images, and statistics. Message testing with appropriate groups is also key. When implemented properly, these approaches are likely to improve the outcomes of climate change and health communication efforts.},
}
@article {pmid35610457,
year = {2022},
author = {Ntiamoah, EB and Li, D and Appiah-Otoo, I and Twumasi, MA and Yeboah, EN},
title = {Towards a sustainable food production: modelling the impacts of climate change on maize and soybean production in Ghana.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35610457},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The Ghanaian economy relies heavily on maize and soybean production. The entire maize and soybean production system is low-tech, making it extremely susceptible to environmental factors. As a result, climate change and variability have an influence on agricultural production, such as maize and soybean yields. Therefore, the study's ultimate purpose was to analyze the influence of CO2 emissions, precipitation, domestic credit, and fertilizer consumption on maize and soybean productivity in Ghana by utilizing the newly constructed dynamic simulated autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model for the period 1990 to 2020. The findings indicated that climate change enhances maize and soybean yields in Ghana in both the short run and long run. Also, the results from the frequency domain causality showed that climate change causes maize and soybean yield in the long-run. These outcomes were robust to the use of the ordinary least squares estimator and the impulse response technique. The findings show that crop and water management strategies, as well as information availability, should be considered in food production to improve resistance to climate change and adverse climatic circumstances.},
}
@article {pmid35610235,
year = {2022},
author = {Beillouin, D and Demenois, J and Cardinael, R and Berre, D and Corbeels, M and Fallot, A and Boyer, A and Feder, F},
title = {A global database of land management, land-use change and climate change effects on soil organic carbon.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {228},
pmid = {35610235},
issn = {2052-4463},
abstract = {Increasing soil organic carbon (SOC) in natural and cultivated ecosystems is proposed as a natural climate solution to limit global warming. SOC dynamics is driven by numerous factors such as land-use change, land management and climate change. The amount of additional carbon potentially stored in the soil is the subject of much debate in the scientific community. We present a global database compiling the results of 217 meta-analyses analyzing the effects of land management, land-use change and climate change on SOC. We report a total of 15,857 effect sizes, 6,550 directly related to soil carbon, and 9,307 related to other associated soil or plant variables. The database further synthesizes results of 13,632 unique primary studies across more than 150 countries that were used in the meta-analyses. Meta-analyses and their effect sizes and were classified by type of intervention and land use, outcomes, country and region. This database helps to understand the drivers of SOC sequestration, the associated co-benefits and potential drawbacks, and is a useful tool to guide future global climate change policies.},
}
@article {pmid35610063,
year = {2022},
author = {Pinsky, ML and Comte, L and Sax, DF},
title = {Unifying climate change biology across realms and taxa.},
journal = {Trends in ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.tree.2022.04.011},
pmid = {35610063},
issn = {1872-8383},
abstract = {A major challenge in modern biology is to understand extinction risk from climate change across all realms. Recent research has revealed that physiological tolerance, behavioral thermoregulation, and small elevation shifts are dominant coping strategies on land, whereas large-scale latitudinal shifts are more important in the ocean. Freshwater taxa may face the highest global extinction risks. Nevertheless, some species in each realm face similar risks because of shared adaptive, dispersal, or physiological tolerances and abilities. Taking a cross-realm perspective offers unique research opportunities because confounding physical factors in one realm are often disaggregated in another realm. Cross-realm, across taxa, and other forms of climate change biology synthesis are needed to advance our understanding of emergent patterns of risk across all life.},
}
@article {pmid35609654,
year = {2022},
author = {Nasiri, R and Zarandi, SM and Bayat, M and Amini, A},
title = {Design a protocol to investigate the effects of climate change in vivo.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113482},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113482},
pmid = {35609654},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Climate change has a variety of effects on communities and the environment, most of which have been directly addressed, such as floods, droughts, and fires. To date, the impacts of climate change on health in in vivo conditions have not been assessed, and no protocol has been developed in this regard. Therefore, the purpose of the current study is to develop a protocol as well as design and build a pilot to deal with climate change in vivo to show the direct effects of climate change on health. For this purpose, twenty specialists, comprising ten experts active in field climate and 10 experts in field medicine and anatomy, have been consulted to design the proposed exposure protocol using the Delphi method. According to the prepared protocol, an exposure pilot was then designed and built, which provides the climatic conditions for animal exposure with a fully automatic HMI-PLC system. The results showed the average 12:12-h day/night temperature, humidity, and circadian cycle for three consecutive ten-year periods selected for exposure of 1-month-old male rats. The duration of the exposure period is four months, which is equivalent to a ten-year climatic period. This study is a framework and a starting point for examining the effects of climate change on in vivo conditions that have not yet been considered.},
}
@article {pmid35608778,
year = {2022},
author = {Wortzel, JD and Champlin, LK and Wortzel, JR and Lewis, J and Haase, E and Mark, B},
title = {Reframing Climate Change: Using Children's Literature as a Residency Training Tool to Address Climate Anxiety and Model Innovation.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35608778},
issn = {1545-7230},
}
@article {pmid35607482,
year = {2022},
author = {Obubu, JP and Odong, R and Alamerew, T and Fetahi, T and Mengistou, S},
title = {Application of DPSIR model to identify the drivers and impacts of land use and land cover changes and climate change on land, water, and livelihoods in the L. Kyoga basin: implications for sustainable management.},
journal = {Environmental systems research},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {11},
doi = {10.1186/s40068-022-00254-8},
pmid = {35607482},
issn = {2193-2697},
abstract = {Land use, land cover, and climate change impacts are current global challenges that are affecting many sectors, like agricultural production, socio-economic development, water quality, and causing land fragmentation. In developing countries like Uganda, rural areas with high populations dependent on agriculture are the most affected. The development of sustainable management measures requires proper identification of drivers and impacts on the environment and livelihoods of the affected communities. This study applied drivers, pressure, state, impact, and response model in the L. Kyoga basin to determine the drivers and impacts of land use, land cover, and climate change on livelihoods and the environment. The objective of this study was to determine the drivers and impacts of land use, land cover, and climate changes on the environment and livelihoods in the L. Kyoga basin and suggest sustainable mitigation measures. Focus group discussions, key informant interviews, field observations, and literature reviews were used to collect data. Population increase and climate change were the leading drivers, while agriculture and urbanization were the primary pressures, leading to degraded land, wetlands, and forests; loss of soil fertility, hunger, poverty, poor water quality, which are getting worse. The local communities, government, and non-government institutions had responses to impacts, including agrochemicals, restoration, and conservation approaches. Although most responses were at a small/pilot scale level, most responses had promising results. The application of policies and regulations to manage impacts was also found to be weak. Land use, land cover changes, and climate change occur in the L. Kyoga basin with major impacts on land, water, and community livelihoods. With the observed increase in climate change and population growth, drivers and impacts are potentially getting worse. Therefore, it is essential to expand interventions, provide relief, review policies and regulations, and enforce them. The findings are helpful for decisions and policy-makers to design appropriate management options.},
}
@article {pmid35606438,
year = {2022},
author = {Coleman, J},
title = {Climate change made South Asian heatwave 30 times more likely.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-01444-1},
pmid = {35606438},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35605122,
year = {2022},
author = {Dreyfus, GB and Xu, Y and Shindell, DT and Zaelke, D and Ramanathan, V},
title = {Mitigating climate disruption in time: A self-consistent approach for avoiding both near-term and long-term global warming.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {119},
number = {22},
pages = {e2123536119},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2123536119},
pmid = {35605122},
issn = {1091-6490},
abstract = {SignificanceThis study clarifies the need for comprehensive CO2 and non-CO2 mitigation approaches to address both near-term and long-term warming. Non-CO2 greenhouse gases (GHGs) are responsible for nearly half of all climate forcing from GHG. However, the importance of non-CO2 pollutants, in particular short-lived climate pollutants, in climate mitigation has been underrepresented. When historical emissions are partitioned into fossil fuel (FF)- and non-FF-related sources, we find that nearly half of the positive forcing from FF and land-use change sources of CO2 emissions has been masked by coemission of cooling aerosols. Pairing decarbonization with mitigation measures targeting non-CO2 pollutants is essential for limiting not only the near-term (next 25 y) warming but also the 2100 warming below 2 °C.},
}
@article {pmid35604802,
year = {2022},
author = {Tian, H and Li, N and Li, Y and Kraemer, MUG and Tan, H and Liu, Y and Li, Y and Wang, B and Wu, P and Cazelles, B and Lourenço, J and Gao, D and Sun, D and Song, W and Li, Y and Pybus, OG and Wang, G and Dye, C},
title = {Erratum: Author Correction: Malaria elimination on Hainan Island despite climate change.},
journal = {Communications medicine},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {22},
doi = {10.1038/s43856-022-00089-5},
pmid = {35604802},
issn = {2730-664X},
abstract = {[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1038/s43856-022-00073-z.].},
}
@article {pmid35603993,
year = {2022},
author = {Katzman, JG and Tomedi, LE and Herring, D and Jones, H and Groves, R and Norsworthy, K and Martin, C and Liu, J and Kazhe-Dominguez, B and Arora, S},
title = {Educating Community Health Professionals About the Health-Related Effects of Climate Change Through ECHO Telementoring.},
journal = {Journal of primary care &amp; community health},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {21501319221102033},
doi = {10.1177/21501319221102033},
pmid = {35603993},
issn = {2150-1327},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is a global public health emergency causing extensive morbidity and mortality worldwide. Although most large medical organizations endorse the need to train health care professionals in climate change, such trainings are not readily available.<br><br>METHODS: This article describes the results of an 8-week, 75-min per week, Climate Change and Human Health ECHO (CCHH ECHO) synchronous telementoring course for post-licensure health professionals. The primary goals were: to increase knowledge, self-efficacy, and communication skills. Participants were eligible to receive up to 10 h of no-cost continuing education credits and a certificate for completing the program.<br><br>RESULTS: The 8-week course included 625 unique participants from 25 countries. An interprofessional group of clinicians, health professionals, and educators included: 130/28% PhD, 92/20% MD/DO, 52/12% RN/NP/PA, 50/11% MPH. The prospective survey demonstrated a significant improvement in knowledge, confidence, attitudes (P < .001) and communication skills (P = .029) at 3 months post course.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The climate crisis is a public health emergency, and health professionals worldwide are considered the most trusted source of health information. Training current and future health professionals regarding the health-related effects of global warming is vital. The CCHH ECHO may be a successful model to facilitate knowledge transfer and promote communication skills between subject matter experts and course participants.},
}
@article {pmid35603266,
year = {2022},
author = {Tian, H and Li, N and Li, Y and Kraemer, MUG and Tan, H and Liu, Y and Li, Y and Wang, B and Wu, P and Cazelles, B and Lourenço, J and Gao, D and Sun, D and Song, W and Li, Y and Pybus, OG and Wang, G and Dye, C},
title = {Malaria elimination on Hainan Island despite climate change.},
journal = {Communications medicine},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {12},
doi = {10.1038/s43856-022-00073-z},
pmid = {35603266},
issn = {2730-664X},
abstract = {Background: Rigorous assessment of the effect of malaria control strategies on local malaria dynamics is a complex but vital step in informing future strategies to eliminate malaria. However, the interactions between climate forcing, mass drug administration, mosquito control and their effects on the incidence of malaria remain unclear.<br><br>Methods: Here, we analyze the effects of interventions on the transmission dynamics of malaria (Plasmodium vivax and Plasmodium falciparum) on Hainan Island, China, controlling for environmental factors. Mathematical models were fitted to epidemiological data, including confirmed cases and population-wide blood examinations, collected between 1995 and 2010, a period when malaria control interventions were rolled out with positive outcomes.<br><br>Results: Prior to the massive scale-up of interventions, malaria incidence shows both interannual variability and seasonality, as well as a strong correlation with climatic patterns linked to the El Nino Southern Oscillation. Based on our mechanistic model, we find that the reduction in malaria is likely due to the large scale rollout of insecticide-treated bed nets, which reduce the infections of P. vivax and P. falciparum malaria by 93.4% and 35.5%, respectively. Mass drug administration has a greater contribution in the control of P. falciparum (54.9%) than P. vivax (5.3%). In a comparison of interventions, indoor residual spraying makes a relatively minor contribution to malaria control (1.3%-9.6%).<br><br>Conclusions: Although malaria transmission on Hainan Island has been exacerbated by El Nino Southern Oscillation, control methods have eliminated both P. falciparum and P. vivax malaria from this part of China.},
}
@article {pmid35602991,
year = {2022},
author = {Ulichney, V and Jarcho, JM and Shipley, TF and Ham, J and Helion, C},
title = {Social comparison for concern and action on climate change, racial injustice, and COVID-19.},
journal = {Analyses of social issues and public policy : ASAP},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/asap.12309},
pmid = {35602991},
issn = {1529-7489},
abstract = {Preventing the negative impacts of major, intersectional social issues hinges on personal concern and willingness to take action. This research examines social comparison in the context of climate change, racial injustice, and COVID-19 during Fall 2020. Participants in a U.S. university sample (n = 288), reported personal levels of concern and action and estimated peers' concern and action regarding these three issues. Participants estimated that they were more concerned than peers for all three issues and took more action than peers regarding COVID-19 and climate change. Participants who reported higher levels of personal concern also estimated that they took greater action than peers (relative to participants who reported lower levels of concern). Exploratory analyses found that perceived personal control over social issues were associated with greater concern and action for racial injustice and climate change but not for COVID-19. This indicates that issue-specific features, including perceived controllability, may drive people to differently assess their experiences of distinct social issues.},
}
@article {pmid35601236,
year = {2022},
author = {Heyvaert, V},
title = {Governing Intersystemic Systemic Risks: Lessons from Covid and Climate Change.},
journal = {The Modern law review},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1468-2230.12720},
pmid = {35601236},
issn = {0026-7961},
abstract = {This article argues that contemporary regulation of climate change risks and zoonotic disease risks - two seminal risks of our era - is deficient because it fails to account for the most distinctive characteristics of their risk profiles. These risks are part of a special category of intersystemic systemic risks, which are 'compound' in nature: they possess the potential to cascade across different systems and entail a liability to exponential growth across numbers of linked systems. Moreover, climate change and zoonotic disease risks are globalised, ubiquitous and entrenched. Effective governance of intersystemic systemic risks demands proactive regulatory intervention at the early stages of risk creation, and reliance on a more balanced basket of regulatory measures than is currently available. For climate change as well as zoonotic disease risk control, this calls for greater investment in assessment requirements, a less permissive approach to planning and development consent, and a commitment to phase out unsustainable production processes.},
}
@article {pmid35600677,
year = {2022},
author = {Olesen, JM},
title = {Ego network analysis of the trophic structure of an island land bird through 300 years of climate change and invaders.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {12},
number = {5},
pages = {e8916},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.8916},
pmid = {35600677},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Ego net analysis is a well-known practice in social sciences, where an ego net (EN) consists of a focal node, the ego, and its links to other nodes, called alters, and alter-alter links may also be included. An EN describes how a focal node is embedded in its interaction context. Here, I introduce EN analysis to ecology in a study of the trophic network of a sub-Antarctic land bird, Lesser Sheathbill (Chionis minor). Data originate from the sheathbill population on Marion Island in the Southern Ocean. The bird is ego and its enemies and food are alters. The EN is organized along three dimensions: habitat, interaction type, and time (from before human arrival in 1803 and until a future year 2100). Ten EN descriptors are defined, estimated, and used to track the 300 years of change in sheathbill EN structure. Since 1803, the EN has passed two major, but reversible shifts-seal exploitation in the 19th century and presence of cats from 1949 to 1991. These shifts can be read as structural changes in the sheathbill EN. In the future, a third, perhaps irreversible change is predicted, driven by climate change and a surprising, recent shift to seabird predation by House Mouse, the most detrimental of all extant invaders on Marion. In a warmer and drier future, the mouse will proliferate, and if this forces seabirds to abandon the island, their accumulation of detritus runs dry, starving a rich invertebrate detritivore fauna, which also is a key food source to sheathbills. These detritivores together with plants have also constituted the main food sources of mice. The EN descriptors quantify that story. In the future, these events may lead to a collapse of the island ecosystem, including extinction of the sheathbill-unless plans for mouse eradication are implemented.},
}
@article {pmid35599301,
year = {2022},
author = {Isler, MF and Coates, SJ and Boos, MD},
title = {Climate change, the cutaneous microbiome and skin disease: implications for a warming world.},
journal = {International journal of dermatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/ijd.16297},
pmid = {35599301},
issn = {1365-4632},
abstract = {The skin plays an important role in human health by providing barrier protection against environmental stressors. In addition to human skin cells, the cutaneous barrier is also home to a network of organisms that have co-evolved with humans, referred to as the cutaneous microbiome. This network has been demonstrated to play an active role in skin health and the manifestation of cutaneous disease. Here, we review how a warming world and its attendant changes in climatic variables, including temperature, humidity, ultraviolet radiation, and air pollution, influence the cutaneous microbiome and, in turn, skin health. Studies indicate that the cutaneous microbiome is affected by these factors, and these changes may influence the epidemiology and severity of cutaneous disorders including atopic dermatitis, acne vulgaris, psoriasis, and skin cancer. Further investigation into how the cutaneous microbiome changes in response to climate change and subsequently influences skin disease is needed to better anticipate future dermatologic needs and potentially generate novel therapeutic solutions in response.},
}
@article {pmid35597210,
year = {2022},
author = {Ehsan, S and Begum, RA and Abdul Maulud, KN and Yaseen, ZM},
title = {Households' perceptions and socio-economic determinants of climate change awareness: Evidence from Selangor Coast Malaysia.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {316},
number = {},
pages = {115261},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115261},
pmid = {35597210},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Households living in the close vicinity of shoreline are constantly threatened by various climate change impacts. Community awareness towards climate change is a subject of considerable study as adequate knowledge is a preliminary step for adaptation decision making. An important question is how coastal communities perceive climatic variation, sea level rise and coastal hazard impacts and the socio-economic factors that affect their level of awareness. Thus, this research measures the level of awareness and the factors influencing it based on a household survey (n = 1016) that was conducted 10 critically eroded coastal areas in Selangor. Descriptive statistical analysis reveals that more than half of the households have high level of awareness about climatic variation and sea level, however, there is moderate awareness about the coastal hazard impacts such as human causalities and disease transmission. Even though households are more aware of direct coastal hazard impact such as damages to properties and disruption of daily activities. An independent sample T test indicates that respondents who are male, at working age, educated, involve in natural resource dependent occupations, and had prior exposure to extreme coastal hazards have higher levels of awareness. Research indicated about 55% of all sampled households reflected awareness of climate change, 60% households were aware of sea level rise and 47% households were aware of coastal hazard impact. This study recommends that households in Selangor coast need capacity building and climate change awareness initiatives which would assist household to build adaptive capacity, increase resilience and reduce vulnerability to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35595816,
year = {2022},
author = {Graham, LA and Gauthier, SY and Davies, PL},
title = {Origin of an antifreeze protein gene in response to Cenozoic climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {8536},
pmid = {35595816},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {FRN 148422//Canadian Institutes of Health Research Foundation award/ ; },
abstract = {Antifreeze proteins (AFPs) inhibit ice growth within fish and protect them from freezing in icy seawater. Alanine-rich, alpha-helical AFPs (type I) have independently (convergently) evolved in four branches of fishes, one of which is a subsection of the righteye flounders. The origin of this gene family has been elucidated by sequencing two loci from a starry flounder, Platichthys stellatus, collected off Vancouver Island, British Columbia. The first locus had two alleles that demonstrated the plasticity of the AFP gene family, one encoding 33 AFPs and the other allele only four. In the closely related Pacific halibut, this locus encodes multiple Gig2 (antiviral) proteins, but in the starry flounder, the Gig2 genes were found at a second locus due to a lineage-specific duplication event. An ancestral Gig2 gave rise to a 3-kDa "skin" AFP isoform, encoding three Ala-rich 11-a.a. repeats, that is expressed in skin and other peripheral tissues. Subsequent gene duplications, followed by internal duplications of the 11 a.a. repeat and the gain of a signal sequence, gave rise to circulating AFP isoforms. One of these, the "hyperactive" 32-kDa Maxi likely underwent a contraction to a shorter 3.3-kDa "liver" isoform. Present day starry flounders found in Pacific Rim coastal waters from California to Alaska show a positive correlation between latitude and AFP gene dosage, with the shorter allele being more prevalent at lower latitudes. This study conclusively demonstrates that the flounder AFP arose from the Gig2 gene, so it is evolutionarily unrelated to the three other classes of type I AFPs from non-flounders. Additionally, this gene arose and underwent amplification coincident with the onset of ocean cooling during the Cenozoic ice ages.},
}
@article {pmid35595793,
year = {2022},
author = {Ge, Q and Hao, M and Ding, F and Jiang, D and Scheffran, J and Helman, D and Ide, T},
title = {Modelling armed conflict risk under climate change with machine learning and time-series data.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {2839},
pmid = {35595793},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {42001238//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; },
abstract = {Understanding the risk of armed conflict is essential for promoting peace. Although the relationship between climate variability and armed conflict has been studied by the research community for decades with quantitative and qualitative methods at different spatial and temporal scales, causal linkages at a global scale remain poorly understood. Here we adopt a quantitative modelling framework based on machine learning to infer potential causal linkages from high-frequency time-series data and simulate the risk of armed conflict worldwide from 2000-2015. Our results reveal that the risk of armed conflict is primarily influenced by stable background contexts with complex patterns, followed by climate deviations related covariates. The inferred patterns show that positive temperature deviations or precipitation extremes are associated with increased risk of armed conflict worldwide. Our findings indicate that a better understanding of climate-conflict linkages at the global scale enhances the spatiotemporal modelling capacity for the risk of armed conflict.},
}
@article {pmid35594894,
year = {2022},
author = {Greenfield, MH},
title = {An urgent need to reassess climate change and child labour in agriculture.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00118-8},
pmid = {35594894},
issn = {2542-5196},
}
@article {pmid35594277,
year = {2022},
author = {Spanjer, AR and Gendaszek, AS and Wulfkuhle, EJ and Black, RW and Jaeger, KL},
title = {Assessing climate change impacts on Pacific salmon and trout using bioenergetics and spatiotemporal explicit river temperature predictions under varying riparian conditions.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {5},
pages = {e0266871},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0266871},
pmid = {35594277},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Pacific salmon and trout populations are affected by timber harvest, the removal and alteration of riparian vegetation, and the resulting physical changes to water quality, temperature, and associated delivery of high-quality terrestrial prey. Juvenile salmon and trout growth, a key predictor of survival, is poorly understood in the context of current and future (climate-change mediated) conditions, with resource managers needing information on how land use will impact future river conditions for these commercially and culturally important species. We used the Heat Source water temperature modeling framework to develop a spatiotemporal model to assess how riparian canopy and vegetation preservation and addition could influence river temperatures under future climate predictions in a coastal river fed by a moraine-dammed lake: the Quinault River in Washington State. The model predicted higher water temperatures under future carbon emission projections, representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5, with varying magnitude based on different riparian vegetation scenarios. We used the daily average temperature output from these scenarios to predict potential juvenile fish growth using the Wisconsin bioenergetics model. A combination of riparian vegetation removal and continued high carbon emissions resulted in a predicted seven-day average daily maximum temperature (7DADM) increase of 1.7°C in the lower river by 2080; increases in riparian shading mitigate this 7DADM increase to only 0.9°C. Under the current thermal regime, bioenergetics modeling predicts juvenile fish lose weight in the lower river; this loss of potential growth worsens by an average of 20-83% in the lower river by 2080, increasing with the loss of riparian shading. This study assess the impact of riparian vegetation management on future thermal habitat for Pacific salmon and trout under warming climates and provide a useful spatially explicit modeling framework that managers can use to make decisions regarding riparian vegetation management and its mechanistic impact to water temperature and rearing juvenile fish.},
}
@article {pmid35593317,
year = {2022},
author = {Devlin, M},
title = {Coral Reefs: The good and not so good news with future bright and dark spots for coral reefs through climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16271},
pmid = {35593317},
issn = {1365-2486},
}
@article {pmid35592924,
year = {2022},
author = {Cáceres, C and Leiva-Bianchi, M and Ormazábal, Y and Mena, C and Cantillana, JC},
title = {Post-traumatic stress in people from the interior drylands of the Maule region, Chile in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Geospatial health},
volume = {17},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.4081/gh.2022.1045},
pmid = {35592924},
issn = {1970-7096},
abstract = {Progressive changes in local environmental scenarios, accelerated by global climate change, can negatively affect the mental health of people who inhabit these areas. The magnitude of these effects may vary depending on the socioeconomic conditions of people and the characteristics of the environment, so certain territories can be more vulnerable than others. In this context, the present study aimed to geographically analyse the levels of psychosocial impact and the types of disruptive responses related to the new territorial scenarios caused by climate change in the coastal drylands of the Maule region, Chile. For this purpose, 223 people from two communes (Curepto and Pencahue) were psychosocially evaluated for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) together with a survey of the prevailing sociodemographic and socioeconomic conditions in relation to the environmental variables of the territory. All information was georeferenced, stored within an ArcGIS Desktop geographic information system (GIS) and then investigated by application of contingency tables, ANOVA and local clustering analysis using SSP statistical software. The results indicated a high level of PTSD in the population, with significant differences related to age and education as well as employment conditions and income. The spatial results showed high PTSD values in the communal capital of Curepto in the central agricultural valley near the estuary of the local river, while the existence of coldspots was observed in the central valley of the Pencahue commune. It was concluded that proximity to population centres and surface water sources played the greatest role for the development of PTSD.},
}
@article {pmid35591511,
year = {2022},
author = {Khan, K and Ishfaq, M and Amin, MN and Shahzada, K and Wahab, N and Faraz, MI},
title = {Evaluation of Mechanical and Microstructural Properties and Global Warming Potential of Green Concrete with Wheat Straw Ash and Silica Fume.},
journal = {Materials (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {15},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ma15093177},
pmid = {35591511},
issn = {1996-1944},
support = {Deanship of Scientific Research, Vice Presidency for Graduate Studies and Scientific Research//King Faisal University/ ; },
abstract = {Cement and concrete are among the major contributors to CO2 emissions in modern society. Researchers have been investigating the possibility of replacing cement with industrial waste in concrete production to reduce its environmental impact. Therefore, the focus of this paper is on the effective use of wheat straw ash (WSA) together with silica fume (SF) as a cement substitute to produce high-performance and sustainable concrete. Different binary and ternary mixes containing WSA and SF were investigated for their mechanical and microstructural properties and global warming potential (GWP). The current results indicated that the binary and ternary mixes containing, respectively, 20% WSA (WSA20) and 33% WSA together with 7% SF (WSA33SF7) exhibited higher strengths than that of control mix and other binary and ternary mixes. The comparative lower apparent porosity and water absorption values of WSA20 and WSA33SF7 among all mixes also validated the findings of their higher strength results. Moreover, SEM-EDS and FTIR analyses has revealed the presence of dense and compact microstructure, which are mostly caused by formation of high-density calcium silicate hydrate (C-S-H) and calcium hydroxide (C-H) phases in both blends. FTIR and TGA analyses also revealed a reduction in the portlandite phase in these mixes, causing densification of microstructures and pores. Additionally, N2 adsorption isotherm analysis demonstrates that the pore structure of these mixes has been densified as evidenced by a reduction in intruded volume and a rise in BET surface area. Furthermore, both mixes had lower CO2-eq intensity per MPa as compared to control, which indicates their significant impact on producing green concretes through their reduced GWPs. Thus, this research shows that WSA alone or its blend with SF can be considered as a source of revenue for the concrete industry for developing high-performance and sustainable concretes.},
}
@article {pmid35590158,
year = {2021},
author = {Bernstein, AS},
title = {The medical response to climate change.},
journal = {Med (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {2},
number = {4},
pages = {361-365},
doi = {10.1016/j.medj.2021.03.012},
pmid = {35590158},
issn = {2666-6340},
abstract = {The growing mass of colorless and odorless greenhouse gases high in earth's atmosphere may be about as far away from a hospital bedside or clinic exam room as any concern imaginable. Despite this, the challenges of climate change have progressively moved nearer to the work of all those in health care. From sinister storms, fires, and heat waves that imperil our patients, facilities, and supplies to the outsized contribution of medical care to air pollution, the motivations and needs for a medical response to climate change are many and clear.},
}
@article {pmid35588839,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhuang, X and Hao, Z and Singh, VP and Zhang, Y and Feng, S and Xu, Y and Hao, F},
title = {Drought propagation under global warming: Characteristics, approaches, processes, and controlling factors.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {156021},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.156021},
pmid = {35588839},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Drought is a costly natural hazard with far-reaching impacts on agriculture, ecosystem, water supply, and socio-economy. While propagating through the water cycle, drought evolves into different types and affects the natural system and human society. Despite much progress made in recent decades, a synthesis of the characteristics, approaches, processes, and controlling factors of drought propagation is still lacking. We bridge this gap by reviewing the recent progress of drought propagation and discussing challenges and future directions. We first introduce drought propagation characteristics (e.g., response time scale, lag time), followed by different approaches, including statistical analysis and hydrological modeling. The recent progress in the propagation from meteorological drought to different types of drought (agricultural drought, hydrological drought, and ecological drought) is then synthesized, including the basic process, commonly used indicators, data sources, and main findings of drought propagation characteristics. Different controlling factors of drought propagations, including climatic (e.g., aridity, seasonality, and anomalies of meteorological variables), catchment properties (e.g., slope, elevation, land cover, aquifer, baseflow), and human activities (e.g., reservoir operation and water diversion, irrigation, and groundwater abstraction), are then summarized. Challenges in drought propagation include the discrepancy in drought indicators (and approaches) and difficulty in characterizing the full propagation process and isolating influencing factors. Future analysis of drought propagation should shift from single indicators to multiple indicators, from individual drivers to combined drivers, from uni-direction analysis to feedbacks, from hazards to impacts, and from stationary to nonstationary assumption. This review is expected to be useful for drought prediction and management across different regions under global warming.},
}
@article {pmid35587891,
year = {2022},
author = {Bingley, WJ and Tran, A and Boyd, CP and Gibson, K and Kalokerinos, EK and Koval, P and Kashima, Y and McDonald, D and Greenaway, KH},
title = {A multiple needs framework for climate change anxiety interventions.},
journal = {The American psychologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1037/amp0001012},
pmid = {35587891},
issn = {1935-990X},
support = {//University of Melbourne; Melbourne Sustainable Society Institute/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change anxiety is a growing problem for individual well-being the world over. However, psychological interventions to address climate change anxiety may have unintended effects on outcomes other than individual well-being, such as group cohesion and pro-environmental behavior. In order to address these complexities, we outline a multiple needs framework of climate change anxiety interventions, which can be used to analyze interventions in terms of their effects on individual, social, and environmental outcomes. We use this framework to contextualize a systematic review of the literature detailing the effects of climate change anxiety interventions. This analysis identifies interventions centered around problem-focused action, emotion management, and enhancing social connections as those which have beneficial effects on the widest range of outcomes. It also identifies interventions that may have detrimental effects on one or more outcomes. We identify gaps where more research is required, including research that assesses the effects of climate change anxiety interventions on individual, social, and environmental outcomes in concert. An interactive website summarizes these insights and presents the results of the systematic review in a way that is, accessible to a range of stakeholders. The multiple needs framework provides a way to conceptualize the effectiveness of climate change anxiety interventions beyond their impact on individual well-being, contributing to a more holistic understanding of the effects of this global phenomenon. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).},
}
@article {pmid35586255,
year = {2022},
author = {Rehák, I and Fischer, D and Kratochvíl, L and Rovatsos, M},
title = {Origin and haplotype diversity of the northernmost population of Podarcistauricus (Squamata, Lacertidae): Do lizards respond to climate change and go north?.},
journal = {Biodiversity data journal},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e82156},
doi = {10.3897/BDJ.10.e82156},
pmid = {35586255},
issn = {1314-2828},
abstract = {The northernmost population of the Balkan wall lizards, Podarcistauricus (Pallas, 1814) was recently discovered in the Czech Republic. We studied genetic variability in a mitochondrial marker cytochrome b to shed light on the origin of this remote population. We detected three unique haplotypes, close to those occurring in the populations of Podarcistauricus from central/north Balkans and Hungary. Our data exclude the hypothesis of a single founder (a randomly or intentionally introduced pregnant female or her progeny) of the Czech population and indicate a native, autochthonous origin of the population or recent introduction/range expansion.},
}
@article {pmid35585461,
year = {2022},
author = {Pickson, RB and Gui, P and Chen, A and Boateng, E},
title = {Empirical analysis of rice and maize production under climate change in China.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35585461},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The past few decades of extreme drought and flooding caused by changing climate conditions have significantly affected agricultural production globally. This study focuses on two vital crops in China-maize and rice-and provides a comprehensive analysis of how these crops are affected by climate change-induced factors over the periods 1978Q1-2015Q4. Four key findings were obtained. First, using a nonparametric approach to estimate actual and observed trends of climatic variables, the results show a significant positive trend in average temperature from February to October. On the other hand, seasonal temperature increases during spring, summer, and autumn. Second, the results show no significant change in the monthly, seasonal, and annual rainfall patterns when examined over the study period. Third, using an autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, we find that while temperature and rainfall do not significantly support rice production in the long and short run, they play a substantial role in maize production in China. Finally, we find no significant difference in the results for rice when the quantile regression (QR) technique that controls for distributional asymmetry effects is employed. However, the impact of temperature on maize decreases at higher quantiles. Given the outcomes of our study, we argue that an advanced irrigation system is crucial and must be encouraged to minimize the effects of climate change on crop production.},
}
@article {pmid35585385,
year = {2022},
author = {Semenza, JC and Rocklöv, J and Ebi, KL},
title = {Climate Change and Cascading Risks from Infectious Disease.},
journal = {Infectious diseases and therapy},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35585385},
issn = {2193-8229},
abstract = {Climate change is adversely affecting the burden of infectious disease throughout the world, which is a health security threat. Climate-sensitive infectious disease includes vector-borne diseases such as malaria, whose transmission potential is expected to increase because of enhanced climatic suitability for the mosquito vector in Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and South America. Climatic suitability for the mosquitoes that can carry dengue, Zika, and chikungunya is also likely to increase, facilitating further increases in the geographic range and longer transmission seasons, and raising concern for expansion of these diseases into temperate zones, particularly under higher greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Early spring temperatures in 2018 seem to have contributed to the early onset and extensive West Nile virus outbreak in Europe, a pathogen expected to expand further beyond its current distribution, due to a warming climate. As for tick-borne diseases, climate change is projected to continue to contribute to the spread of Lyme disease and tick-borne encephalitis, particularly in North America and Europe. Schistosomiasis is a water-borne disease and public health concern in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia; climate change is anticipated to change its distribution, with both expansions and contractions expected. Other water-borne diseases that cause diarrheal diseases have declined significantly over the last decades owing to socioeconomic development and public health measures but changes in climate can reverse some of these positive developments. Weather and climate events, population movement, land use changes, urbanization, global trade, and other drivers can catalyze a succession of secondary events that can lead to a range of health impacts, including infectious disease outbreaks. These cascading risk pathways of causally connected events can result in large-scale outbreaks and affect society at large. We review climatic and other cascading drivers of infectious disease with projections under different climate change scenarios. Supplementary file1 (MP4 328467 KB).},
}
@article {pmid35585266,
year = {2022},
author = {Nogrady, B},
title = {Trees are dying much faster in northern Australia - climate change is probably to blame.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35585266},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35584756,
year = {2022},
author = {Mao, F and Du, H and Zhou, G and Zheng, J and Li, X and Xu, Y and Huang, Z and Yin, S},
title = {Simulated net ecosystem productivity of subtropical forests and its response to climate change in Zhejiang Province, China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155993},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155993},
pmid = {35584756},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Net ecosystem productivity (NEP) is an important index that indicates the carbon sequestration capacity of forest ecosystems. However, the effect of climate change on the spatiotemporal variability in NEP is still unclear. Using the Integrated Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon-budget (InTEC) model, this study takes the typical subtropical forests in the Zhejiang Province, China as an example, simulated the spatiotemporal patterns of forest NEP from 1979 to 2079 based on historically observed climate data (1979-2015) and data from three representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5) provided by the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5). We analyzed the responses of NEP at different forest age classes to the variation in meteorological factors. The NEP of Zhejiang's forests decreased from 1979 to 1985 and then increased from 1985 to 2015, with an annual increase rate of 9.66 g C·m-2·yr-1 and a cumulative NEP of 364.99 Tg·C. Forest NEP decreased from 2016 to 2079; however, the cumulative NEP continued to increase. The simulated cumulative NEP under the RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5 scenarios was 750 Tg·C, 866 Tg·C, and 958 Tg·C, respectively, at the end of 2079. Partial correlation analysis between forest NEP at different age stages and meteorological factors showed that temperature is the key climatic factor that affects the carbon sequestration capacity of juvenile forests (1979-1999), while precipitation is the key climatic factor that affects middle-aged forests (2000-2015) and mature forests (2016-2079). Adopting appropriate management strategies for forests, such as selective cutting of different ages, is critical for the subtropical forests to adapt to climate change and maintain their high carbon sink capacity.},
}
@article {pmid35584021,
year = {2022},
author = {Aylward, B and Cunsolo, A and Vriezen, R and Harper, SL},
title = {Climate change is impacting mental health in North America: A systematic scoping review of the hazards, exposures, vulnerabilities, risks and responses.},
journal = {International review of psychiatry (Abingdon, England)},
volume = {34},
number = {1},
pages = {34-50},
doi = {10.1080/09540261.2022.2029368},
pmid = {35584021},
issn = {1369-1627},
abstract = {As climate change progresses, it is crucial that researchers and policymakers understand the ways in which climate-mental health risks arise through interactions between climate hazards, human exposure and social vulnerabilities across time and location. This scoping review systematically examined the nature, range and extent of published research in North America that investigates climate-mental health interactions. Five electronic databases were searched and two independent reviewers applied pre-determined criteria to assess the eligibility of articles identified in the search. Eighty-nine articles were determined to be relevant and underwent data extraction and analysis. The published literature reported on numerous exposure pathways through which acute and chronic climate hazards interacted with social vulnerabilities to increase mental health risks, including wellbeing, trauma, anxiety, depression, suicide and substance use. This review also highlights important gaps within the North American climate-mental health evidence base, including minimal research conducted in Mexico, as well as a lack of studies investigating climate-mental health adaptation strategies and projected future mental health risks. Further research should support effective preparation for and adaptation to the current and future mental health impacts of climate change. Such strategies could reduce health risks and the long-term mental health impacts that individuals and communities experience in a changing climate.},
}
@article {pmid35582318,
year = {2022},
author = {Belova, A and Gould, CA and Munson, K and Howell, M and Trevisan, C and Obradovich, N and Martinich, J},
title = {Projecting the Suicide Burden of Climate Change in the United States.},
journal = {GeoHealth},
volume = {6},
number = {5},
pages = {e2021GH000580},
doi = {10.1029/2021GH000580},
pmid = {35582318},
issn = {2471-1403},
abstract = {We quantify and monetize changes in suicide incidence across the conterminous United States (U.S.) in response to increasing levels of warming. We develop an integrated health impact assessment model using binned and linear specifications of temperature-suicide relationship estimates from Mullins and White (2019), in combination with monthly age- and sex-specific baseline suicide incidence rates, projections of six climate models, and population projections at the conterminous U.S. county scale. We evaluate the difference in the annual number of suicides in the U.S. corresponding to 1-6°C of warming compared to 1986-2005 average temperatures (mean U.S. temperatures) and compute 2015 population attributable fractions (PAFs). We use the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency's Value of a Statistical Life to estimate the economic value of avoiding these mortality impacts. Assuming the 2015 population size, warming of 1-6°C could result in an annual increase of 283-1,660 additional suicide cases, corresponding to a PAF of 0.7%-4.1%. The annual economic value of avoiding these impacts is $2 billion-$3 billion (2015 U.S. dollars, 3% discount rate, and 2015 income level). Estimates based on linear temperature-suicide relationship specifications are 7% larger than those based on binned temperature specifications. Accounting for displacement decreases estimates by 17%, while accounting for precipitation decreases estimates by 7%. Population growth between 2015 and the future warming degree arrival year increases estimates by 15%-38%. Further research is needed to quantify and monetize other climate-related mental health outcomes (e.g., anxiety and depression) and to characterize these risks in socially vulnerable populations.},
}
@article {pmid35581288,
year = {2022},
author = {Klápště, J and Telfer, EJ and Dungey, HS and Graham, NJ},
title = {Chasing genetic correlation breakers to stimulate population resilience to climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {8238},
pmid = {35581288},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {RPBC1301//Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change introduces new combinations of environmental conditions, which is expected to increase stress on plants. This could affect many traits in multiple ways that are as yet unknown but will likely require the modification of existing genetic relationships among functional traits potentially involved in local adaptation. Theoretical evolutionary studies have determined that it is an advantage to have an excess of recombination events under heterogeneous environmental conditions. Our study, conducted on a population of radiata pine (Pinus radiata D. Don), was able to identify individuals that show high genetic recombination at genomic regions, which potentially include pleiotropic or collocating QTLs responsible for the studied traits, reaching a prediction accuracy of 0.80 in random cross-validation and 0.72 when whole family was removed from the training population and predicted. To identify these highly recombined individuals, a training population was constructed from correlation breakers, created through tandem selection of parents in the previous generation and their consequent mating. Although the correlation breakers showed lower observed heterogeneity possibly due to direct selection in both studied traits, the genomic regions with statistically significant differences in the linkage disequilibrium pattern showed higher level of heretozygosity, which has the effect of decomposing unfavourable genetic correlation. We propose undertaking selection of correlation breakers under current environmental conditions and using genomic predictions to increase the frequency of these 'recombined' individuals in future plantations, ensuring the resilience of planted forests to changing climates. The increased frequency of such individuals will decrease the strength of the population-level genetic correlations among traits, increasing the opportunity for new trait combinations to be developed in the future.},
}
@article {pmid35581261,
year = {2022},
author = {Hoylman, ZH and Bocinsky, RK and Jencso, KG},
title = {Drought assessment has been outpaced by climate change: empirical arguments for a paradigm shift.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {2715},
pmid = {35581261},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {SUBAWD000858//United States Department of Commerce | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/ ; },
abstract = {Despite the acceleration of climate change, erroneous assumptions of climate stationarity are still inculcated in the management of water resources in the United States (US). The US system for drought detection, which triggers billions of dollars in emergency resources, adheres to this assumption with preference towards 60-year (or longer) record lengths for drought characterization. Using observed data from 1,934 Global Historical Climate Network (GHCN) sites across the US, we show that conclusions based on long climate records can substantially bias assessment of drought severity. Bias emerges by assuming that conditions from the early and mid 20th century are as likely to occur in today's climate. Numerical simulations reveal that drought assessment error is relatively low with limited climatology lengths (~30 year) and that error increases with longer record lengths where climate is changing rapidly. We assert that non-stationarity in climate must be accounted for in contemporary assessments to more accurately portray present drought risk.},
}
@article {pmid35577983,
year = {2022},
author = {Aguirre-Gutiérrez, J and Berenguer, E and Oliveras Menor, I and Bauman, D and Corral-Rivas, JJ and Nava-Miranda, MG and Both, S and Ndong, JE and Ondo, FE and Bengone, NN and Mihinhou, V and Dalling, JW and Heineman, K and Figueiredo, A and González-M, R and Norden, N and Hurtado-M, AB and González, D and Salgado-Negret, B and Reis, SM and Moraes de Seixas, MM and Farfan-Rios, W and Shenkin, A and Riutta, T and Girardin, CAJ and Moore, S and Abernethy, K and Asner, GP and Bentley, LP and Burslem, DFRP and Cernusak, LA and Enquist, BJ and Ewers, RM and Ferreira, J and Jeffery, KJ and Joly, CA and Marimon-Junior, BH and Martin, RE and Morandi, PS and Phillips, OL and Bennett, AC and Lewis, SL and Quesada, CA and Marimon, BS and Kissling, WD and Silman, M and Teh, YA and White, LJT and Salinas, N and Coomes, DA and Barlow, J and Adu-Bredu, S and Malhi, Y},
title = {Functional susceptibility of tropical forests to climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35577983},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {Advanced Grant GEM-TRAIT: 321131//EC | EC Seventh Framework Programm | FP7 Ideas: European Research Council (FP7-IDEAS-ERC - Specific Programme: "Ideas" Implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for Research, Technological Development and Demonstration Activities (2007 to 2013))/ ; NE/T011084/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/S011811/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/D014174/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/J022616/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/K016385/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/K016369/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; },
abstract = {Tropical forests are some of the most biodiverse ecosystems in the world, yet their functioning is threatened by anthropogenic disturbances and climate change. Global actions to conserve tropical forests could be enhanced by having local knowledge on the forests' functional diversity and functional redundancy as proxies for their capacity to respond to global environmental change. Here we create estimates of plant functional diversity and redundancy across the tropics by combining a dataset of 16 morphological, chemical and photosynthetic plant traits sampled from 2,461 individual trees from 74 sites distributed across four continents together with local climate data for the past half century. Our findings suggest a strong link between climate and functional diversity and redundancy with the three trait groups responding similarly across the tropics and climate gradient. We show that drier tropical forests are overall less functionally diverse than wetter forests and that functional redundancy declines with increasing soil water and vapour pressure deficits. Areas with high functional diversity and high functional redundancy tend to better maintain ecosystem functioning, such as aboveground biomass, after extreme weather events. Our predictions suggest that the lower functional diversity and lower functional redundancy of drier tropical forests, in comparison with wetter forests, may leave them more at risk of shifting towards alternative states in face of further declines in water availability across tropical regions.},
}
@article {pmid35577086,
year = {2022},
author = {Eingrüber, N and Korres, W},
title = {Climate change simulation and trend analysis of extreme precipitation and floods in the mesoscale Rur catchment in western Germany until 2099 using Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) and the Soil &amp; Water Assessment Tool (SWAT model).},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155775},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155775},
pmid = {35577086},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Due to climate change and global warming, speed and intensity of the hydrological cycle will accelerate. In order to carry out regional risk assessment, integrated water resources management and flood protection, far reaching predictions and future scenarios of climate change effects on extreme precipitation and flooding are of particular relevance. In this study, trends in frequencies of extreme precipitation and floods until 2099 are analysed for the German Rur catchment, which is half located in highlands and half in lowlands and therefore has a high topographical and climatological contrast. To predict future trends, coupled modeling is performed based on NCEP reanalysis data and a General Circulation Model (GCM). Assuming HadCM3 future emission scenarios A2a and B2a, an empirical Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) is developed and daily precipitation amounts are projected until 2099 by a stochastic weather generator. The generated precipitation data are used as an input for the ecohydrological Soil &amp; Water Assessment Tool (SWAT model) to simulate daily water discharge until 2099. Statistical trend analyses are implemented based on three annual extreme precipitation indices (EPIs) and the magnitudes of ten flood return periods derived with GEV and Gumbel extreme value distributions for 109 30-year moving periods using regression analyses and Mann-Kendall tendency tests to check for significant trends in the frequencies until 2099. As a result, it could be demonstrated for all EPIs that the frequency of extreme precipitation in the upper Rur catchment will significantly increase by +33% to +51% until 2099 compared to the base period 1961-1990, whereas mostly non-significant negative trends of extreme precipitation can be projected in the lowlands. For runoff, it was found that the magnitudes of the ten flood return periods will significantly increase by +31% for B2a to +36% for A2a until 2099 compared to the base period.},
}
@article {pmid35574993,
year = {2022},
author = {Roggatz, CC and Saha, M and Blanchard, S and Schirrmacher, P and Fink, P and Verheggen, F and Hardege, JD},
title = {Becoming nose-blind-Climate change impacts on chemical communication.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16209},
pmid = {35574993},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {FI 1548/9-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; T.0202.16//Fonds De La Recherche Scientifique - FNRS/ ; 725955//H2020 European Research Council/ ; 1661 SZN19//H2020 European Research Council/ ; 38752/G6//H2020 European Research Council/ ; NE/T001577/1//Natural Environment Research Council/ ; //Plymouth Marine Laboratory/ ; //University of Hull/ ; },
abstract = {Chemical communication via infochemicals plays a pivotal role in ecological interactions, allowing organisms to sense their environment, locate predators, food, habitats, or mates. A growing number of studies suggest that climate change-associated stressors can modify these chemically mediated interactions, causing info-disruption that scales up to the ecosystem level. However, our understanding of the underlying mechanisms is scarce. Evidenced by a range of examples, we illustrate in this opinion piece that climate change affects different realms in similar patterns, from molecular to ecosystem-wide levels. We assess the importance of different stressors for terrestrial, freshwater, and marine ecosystems and propose a systematic approach to address highlighted knowledge gaps and cross-disciplinary research avenues.},
}
@article {pmid35574854,
year = {2022},
author = {Schmidt, DN and Pieraccini, M and Evans, L},
title = {Marine protected areas in the context of climate change: key challenges for coastal social-ecological systems.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {377},
number = {1854},
pages = {20210131},
doi = {10.1098/rstb.2021.0131},
pmid = {35574854},
issn = {1471-2970},
abstract = {Climate and ecological emergencies play out acutely in coastal systems with devastating impacts on biodiversity, and the livelihoods of communities and their cultural values. Marine Protected Areas (MPAs) are one of the key management and regulatory tools against biodiversity loss, playing a role in strengthening bio-cultural diversity and sustainability of coastal social-ecological systems. What is unclear though is the effectiveness of static protections under climate change as species move. Next to ecological uncertainty, regulatory uncertainty may play a role in weakening marine conservation. We asked whether MPAs are ecologically effective now and can sustain or improve to be so in the future while facing key climate and regulatory uncertainties. MPAs can support the protection of cultural values and have an impact on activities of sea-users and the sustainability of social-ecological systems. As such, questions surrounding their legitimacy under a changing climate and increased uncertainty are pertinent. We argue that MPA governance must be cognisant of the interdependency between natural and human systems and their joint reaction to climate change impacts based on an integrated, co-developed, and interdisciplinary approach. Focusing on the UK as a case study, we highlight some of the challenges to achieve effective, adaptive and legitimate governance of MPAs. This article is part of the theme issue 'Nurturing resilient marine ecosystems'.},
}
@article {pmid35574848,
year = {2022},
author = {Kebke, A and Samarra, F and Derous, D},
title = {Climate change and cetacean health: impacts and future directions.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences},
volume = {377},
number = {1854},
pages = {20210249},
doi = {10.1098/rstb.2021.0249},
pmid = {35574848},
issn = {1471-2970},
abstract = {Climate change directly impacts the foraging opportunities of cetaceans (e.g. lower prey availability), leads to habitat loss, and forces cetaceans to move to other feeding grounds. The rise in ocean temperature, low prey availability and loss of habitat can have severe consequences for cetacean survival, particularly those species that are already threatened or those with a limited habitat range. In addition, it is predicted that the concentration of contaminants in aquatic environments will increase owing to Arctic meltwater and increased rainfall events leading to higher rates of land-based runoff in downstream coastal areas. These persistent and mobile contaminants can bioaccumulate in the ecosystem, and lead to ecotoxicity with potentially severe consequences on the reproductive organs, immune system and metabolism of marine mammals. There is a need to measure and assess the cumulative impact of multiple stressors, given that climate change, habitat alteration, low prey availability and contaminants do not act in isolation. Human-caused perturbations to cetacean foraging abilities are becoming a pervasive and prevalent threat to many cetacean species on top of climate change-associated stressors. We need to move to a greater understanding of how multiple stressors impact the metabolism of cetaceans and ultimately their population trajectory. This article is part of the theme issue 'Nurturing resilient marine ecosystems'.},
}
@article {pmid35574134,
year = {2022},
author = {Elli, EF and Ciampitti, IA and Castellano, MJ and Purcell, LC and Naeve, S and Grassini, P and La Menza, NC and Moro Rosso, L and de Borja Reis, AF and Kovács, P and Archontoulis, SV},
title = {Climate Change and Management Impacts on Soybean N Fixation, Soil N Mineralization, N2O Emissions, and Seed Yield.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {849896},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.849896},
pmid = {35574134},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Limited knowledge about how nitrogen (N) dynamics are affected by climate change, weather variability, and crop management is a major barrier to improving the productivity and environmental performance of soybean-based cropping systems. To fill this knowledge gap, we created a systems understanding of agroecosystem N dynamics and quantified the impact of controllable (management) and uncontrollable (weather, climate) factors on N fluxes and soybean yields. We performed a simulation experiment across 10 soybean production environments in the United States using the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) model and future climate projections from five global circulation models. Climate change (2020-2080) increased N mineralization (24%) and N2O emissions (19%) but decreased N fixation (32%), seed N (20%), and yields (19%). Soil and crop management practices altered N fluxes at a similar magnitude as climate change but in many different directions, revealing opportunities to improve soybean systems' performance. Among many practices explored, we identified two solutions with great potential: improved residue management (short-term) and water management (long-term). Inter-annual weather variability and management practices affected soybean yield less than N fluxes, which creates opportunities to manage N fluxes without compromising yields, especially in regions with adequate to excess soil moisture. This work provides actionable results (tradeoffs, synergies, directions) to inform decision-making for adapting crop management in a changing climate to improve soybean production systems.},
}
@article {pmid35574091,
year = {2022},
author = {Burridge, JD and Grondin, A and Vadez, V},
title = {Optimizing Crop Water Use for Drought and Climate Change Adaptation Requires a Multi-Scale Approach.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {824720},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.824720},
pmid = {35574091},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Selection criteria that co-optimize water use efficiency and yield are needed to promote plant productivity in increasingly challenging and variable drought scenarios, particularly dryland cereals in the semi-arid tropics. Optimizing water use efficiency and yield fundamentally involves transpiration dynamics, where restriction of maximum transpiration rate helps to avoid early crop failure, while maximizing grain filling. Transpiration restriction can be regulated by multiple mechanisms and involves cross-organ coordination. This coordination involves complex feedbacks and feedforwards over time scales ranging from minutes to weeks, and from spatial scales ranging from cell membrane to crop canopy. Aquaporins have direct effect but various compensation and coordination pathways involve phenology, relative root and shoot growth, shoot architecture, root length distribution profile, as well as other architectural and anatomical aspects of plant form and function. We propose gravimetric phenotyping as an integrative, cross-scale solution to understand the dynamic, interwoven, and context-dependent coordination of transpiration regulation. The most fruitful breeding strategy is likely to be that which maintains focus on the phene of interest, namely, daily and season level transpiration dynamics. This direct selection approach is more precise than yield-based selection but sufficiently integrative to capture attenuating and complementary factors.},
}
@article {pmid35571150,
year = {2022},
author = {Crameri, NJ and Ellison, JC},
title = {Atoll inland and coastal mangrove climate change vulnerability assessment.},
journal = {Wetlands ecology and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-20},
doi = {10.1007/s11273-022-09878-0},
pmid = {35571150},
issn = {0923-4861},
abstract = {Climate change threatens global mangroves, which are already among the world's most impacted ecosystems. Vulnerability components of exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity were evaluated on mangroves of atoll settings on Jaluit Atoll, in the Marshall Islands, assessing spatial changes of mangrove cover 1945-2018/19, sea-level trends 1968-2019, and reviewing available information. Inland mangrove depressions occur on Jaluit, as well as coastal lagoon margin mangroves, and both were assessed using the same methods. Spatial analysis results showed both inland and coastal mangroves have increased in area. Inland mangroves on eight of Jaluit's islands mostly expanded after 1976 from 40 to 50 hectares, with progradation and tidal creek infill closing lagoon connections. Shoreline mangroves showed 88-100% of transects prograding 0.1-0.51 m year-1 and 0-11.5% of transects eroding 0-0.18 m year-1. Assessment of a combination of aerial/satellite images, literature and on-the-ground photos indicated that the mangroves are in healthy condition. Vulnerability assessment results showed both inland and coastal mangroves to have similar strengths and weaknesses in resilience, with intrinsic areas of vulnerability persisting during increased future sea level rise, limited sediment supply and extremely low elevations.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11273-022-09878-0.},
}
@article {pmid35567412,
year = {2022},
author = {de Olanda Souza, GH and Aparecido, LEO and de Lima, RF and Torsoni, GB and Chiquitto, AG and de Moraes, JRC},
title = {Agroclimatic Zoning for Bananas Under Climate Change in Brazil.},
journal = {Journal of the science of food and agriculture},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jsfa.12018},
pmid = {35567412},
issn = {1097-0010},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is the main cause of biotic and abiotic stresses in plants and affects yield. Therefore, we sought to carry out a study on future changes in the agroclimatic conditions of banana cultivation in Brazil. The current agroclimatic zoning was carried out with data obtained from the National Institute of Meteorology (INMET) related to mean air temperature, annual rainfall, and soil texture data in Brazil. The global climate model BCC-CSM1.1 (Beijing Climate Center-Climate System Model, version 1.1), adopted by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), corresponding to Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5 for the period 2050 (2041-2060) and 2070 (2061-2080), obtained through the CHELSA V1.2 platform, was chosen for the climate projections of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5). Matrix images at a depth of 5-15 cm, obtained through the product of the SoilGrids system, were used for the texture data. The ArcGIS software version 10.8 was used to construct the maps.<br><br>RESULTS: Areas favorable to the crop plantation were classified as suitable when air temperature (TAIR) was between 20 and 29 °C, annual rainfall (RANNUAL) between 1,200 and 1,900 mm, and soil clay content (CSOIL) between 30 and 55%. Subsequently, the information was reclassified, summarizing the classes into preferential, recommended, little recommended, and not recommended. The current scenario shows a preferential class of 8.1%, recommended of 44.6%, little recommended of 47.1%, and not recommended of 0.1% for the Brazilian territory.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The results show no drastic changes in the total area regarding the classes, but there is a migration from these zones, that is, from tropical to subtropical and temperate regions. RCP 8.5 - 2070 (2061-2080) showed trends with negative impacts on arable areas for banana cultivation at the end of the century. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid35567180,
year = {2022},
author = {Ishtiaq, M and Maqbool, M and Muzamil, M and Casini, R and Alataway, A and Dewidar, AZ and El-Sabrout, AM and Elansary, HO},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Phenology of Two Heat-Resistant Wheat Varieties and Future Adaptations.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {11},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants11091180},
pmid = {35567180},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {//Vice Deanship of Research Chairs at King Saud University/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change (CC) is a global threat to the agricultural system. Changing climatic conditions are causing variations in temperature range, rainfall timing, humidity percentage, soil structure, and composition of gases in environment. All these factors have a great influence on the phenological events in plants' life cycle. Alternation in phenological events, especially in crops, leads to either lower yield or crop failure. In light of respective statement, the present study is designed to evaluate the climatic impacts on two heat-resistant wheat varieties (Sialkot-2008 and Punjab-2018). During the study, impacts of CC on wheat phenology and annual yield were predicted considering six climatic factors: maximum temp, minimum temperature, precipitation, humidity, soil moisture content, and solar radiation using two quantitative approaches. First, a two-year field experimental plot was set up at five different sites of study-each plot a bisect of two sites. Phenological changes of both varieties were monitored with respect to climatic factors and changes were recorded in a scientific manner. Secondly, experimental results were compared with Global climate models (GMC) models with a baseline range of the past 40 years (1970-2010) and future fifty years (2019-2068) under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 model analysis. Field experiment showed a (0.02) difference in maximum temperature, (0.04) in minimum temperature, (0.17) in humidity, and about (0.03) significant difference in soil moisture content during 2019-2021. Under these changing climatic parameters, a 0.21% difference was accounted in annual yield. Furthermore, the results were supported by GMC model analysis, which was analyzed by Decision Support System for Agrotechnology Transfer (DSSAT) model. Results depicted that non-heat-resistant wheat varieties could cause up to a 6~13% reduction in yield during future 50 years (2019-2068)) compared with the last 40 years (1970-2010). A larger decline in wheat grain number relative to grain weight is a key reducer of wheat yield, under future climate change circumstances. Using heat-tolerant wheat varieties will not only assist to overcome this plethora but also provide a potential increase of up to 7% to 10% in indigenous environment. On the other hand, it was concluded that cultivating these heat-resistant varieties that are also ripening late culminates into enhanced thermal time chucks during the grain-filling period; hence, wheat yield will increase by 8% to 12%. In changing climatic conditions and varieties, 'Punjab-2018' will be the better choice for peasants and farm-land owners to obtain a better yield of wheat to cope with the necessities of food on the domestic and national level.},
}
@article {pmid35565106,
year = {2022},
author = {Song, C and Huang, X and Les, O and Ma, H and Liu, R},
title = {The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Wheat and Maize Yields in the North China Plain.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19095707},
pmid = {35565106},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {72003057//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 72173037//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 21YJA790039//Ministry of Education of Humanities and Social Science Research Project of China/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change has significantly affected agricultural production. As one of China's most important agricultural production regions, the North China Plain (NCP) is subject to climate change. This paper examines the influence of climate change on the wheat and maize yields at household and village levels, using the multilevel model based on a large panel survey dataset in the NCP. The results show that: (i) Extreme weather events (drought and flood) would significantly reduce the wheat and maize yields. So, the governments should establish and improve the emergency service system of disaster warning and encourage farmers to mitigate the adverse effects of disasters. (ii) Over the past three decades, the NCP has experienced climate change that affects its grain production. Therefore, it is imperative to build the farmers' adaptive capacity to climate change. (iii) Spatial variations in crop yield are significantly influenced by the household characteristics and the heterogeneity of village economic conditions. Therefore, in addition to promoting household production, it is necessary to strengthen and promote China's development of the rural collective economy, especially the construction of rural irrigation and drainage infrastructures.},
}
@article {pmid35564881,
year = {2022},
author = {Sibitane, ZE and Dube, K and Lekaota, L},
title = {Global Warming and Its Implications on Nature Tourism at Phinda Private Game Reserve, South Africa.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19095487},
pmid = {35564881},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {132407//National Research Fund of South Africa/ ; },
abstract = {The past decade recorded the highest number of high impact extreme weather events such as flooding, rainfall events, fires, droughts, and heatwaves amongst others. One of the key features and drivers of extreme weather events has been global warming, with record temperatures recorded globally. The World Meteorological Organization indicated that the 2010-2020 decade was one of the warmest on record. Continued global warming triggers a chain of positive feedback with far-reaching adverse implications on the environment and socio-economic activities. The tourism industry fears that increased global warming would result in severe challenges for the sector. The challenges include species extinction, disruption of tourism aviation, and several tourism activities. Given the extent of climate variability and change, this study examines the impacts of rising temperatures on tourism operations at Phinda Private Game Reserve in South Africa. The study adopts a mixed-method approach that uses secondary, archival, and primary data collected through interviews and field observations to investigate the impacts. Data analysis was done using XLSTAT and Mann-Kendall Trend Analysis to analyse climate trends, while content and thematic analyses were used to analyse primary data findings. The study found that increasing temperature is challenging for tourists and tourism employees as it affects productivity, sleeping patterns, tourism operations, and infrastructure. High temperatures are a considerable threat to water availability and animal sightings, adversely affecting the game drive experience. Increased heatwaves resulted in bird mortality and hatching mortality for turtles; this is a significant conservation challenge. The study recommends that heat stress be treated as a health and safety issue to protect tourists and employees.},
}
@article {pmid35564783,
year = {2022},
author = {Wewerinke-Singh, M and Doebbler, C},
title = {Protecting Human Health from Climate Change: Legal Obligations and Avenues of Redress under International Law.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19095386},
pmid = {35564783},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {In this contribution, we explore how human health can be protected from climate change and its adverse effects by reliance on States' obligations under international law. We achieved this by reviewing the principal legal instruments that establish the right to health, as well as those that recognize that climate change has an adverse impact on health (Part II). We then examine the means of redress that may be available to those whose human right to health has been interfered with or violated because of climate change (Part III). Finally, we draw some conclusions as to the current effectiveness and future direction of these developments.},
}
@article {pmid35564601,
year = {2022},
author = {Huang, J and Yang, JZ and Chu, H},
title = {Framing Climate Change Impacts as Moral Violations: The Pathway of Perceived Message Credibility.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19095210},
pmid = {35564601},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {Climate change has been increasingly discussed in moral terms in public discourse. Despite the growing body of research on the effectiveness of moral frames in bridging the ideological divide, few studies have examined the role that perceived credibility, an important element of any persuasive appeal, plays in facilitating the framing effect. With the objective of further understanding how moral frames may engage individuals with different ideologies in climate change and refining climate change messaging strategies, two experimental surveys were conducted to examine the effects of moral violation frames on climate engagement. Specifically, a moderated mediation model was tested. The model posits that message credibility mediates the relationship between moral frames and policy support, as well as the relationship between moral frames and behavior intention. Moreover, political ideology moderated the indirect effects of message credibility. Based on moral foundations theory, seven messages were designed to activate individualizing and binding moral foundations. The results indicated that credibility consistently mediated the effects of the moral violation frame on climate engagement and that liberal-leaning individuals were more likely to perceive an individualizing frame as more credible than a binding frame. However, this difference was smaller among conservative-leaning individuals, with evidence for this moderated mediation model found only for policy support among college students. This study suggests that credibility is key for effective moral violations arguments of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35564506,
year = {2022},
author = {Lim, NO and Hwang, J and Lee, SJ and Yoo, Y and Choi, Y and Jeon, S},
title = {Spatialization and Prediction of Seasonal NO2 Pollution Due to Climate Change in the Korean Capital Area through Land Use Regression Modeling.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19095111},
pmid = {35564506},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {2020002990009//Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute/ ; },
abstract = {Urbanization is causing an increase in air pollution leading to serious health issues. However, even though the necessity of its regulation is acknowledged, there are relatively few monitoring sites in the capital metropolitan city of the Republic of Korea. Furthermore, a significant relationship between air pollution and climate variables is expected, thus the prediction of air pollution under climate change should be carefully attended. This study aims to predict and spatialize present and future NO2 distribution by using existing monitoring sites to overcome deficiency in monitoring. Prediction was conducted through seasonal Land use regression modeling using variables correlated with NO2 concentration. Variables were selected through two correlation analyses and future pollution was predicted under HadGEM-AO RCP scenarios 4.5 and 8.5. Our results showed a relatively high NO2 concentration in winter in both present and future predictions, resulting from elevated use of fossil fuels in boilers, and also showed increments of NO2 pollution due to climate change. The results of this study could strengthen existing air pollution management strategies and mitigation measures for planning concerning future climate change, supporting proper management and control of air pollution.},
}
@article {pmid35562755,
year = {2022},
author = {Wang, X and Juma, S and Li, W and Suleman, M and Muhsin, MA and He, J and He, M and Xu, D and Zhang, J and Bergquist, R and Yang, K},
title = {Potential risk of colonization of Bulinus globosus in the mainland of China under climate change.},
journal = {Infectious diseases of poverty},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {52},
pmid = {35562755},
issn = {2049-9957},
support = {82173586//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; BZ2020003//Science and Technology Support Program of Jiangsu Province/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Bulinus globosus, the main intermediate snail host of Schistosoma haematobium. The increased contacts between Africa and China could even lead to large-scale dissemination of B. globosus in China. Temperature is the key factor affecting fresh-water snail transmission. This study predicted potential risk of colonization of B. globosus in the mainland of China under climate change.<br><br>METHODS: We investigated minimum and maximum temperatures for B. globosus eggs, juveniles and adult snails kept under laboratory conditions to find the most suitable range by pinpointing the median effective temperatures (ET50). We also assessed the influence of temperature on spawning and estimated the accumulated temperature (AT). The average air temperatures between 1955 and 2019 in January and July, the coldest and hottest months in China, respectively, were collected from national meteorological monitoring stations and investigated in a geographic information system (GIS) using empirical Bayesian Kriging to evaluate the theoretical possibility for distribution of B. globosus in southern China based on temperature.<br><br>RESULTS: The effective minimum temperature (ET50min) for eggs, juveniles, adult snails and spawning were 8.5, 7.0, 7.0, 14.9 °C, respectively, with the corresponding maximum values (ET50max) of 36.6, 40.5, 40.2 and 38.1 °C. The AT was calculated at 712.1 ± 64.9 °C·d. In 1955, the potential B. globosus distribution would have had a northern boundary stretching from the coastal areas of Guangdong Province and Guangxi Autonomous Region to southern Yunnan Province. Since then, this line has gradually moved northward.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Annual regeneration of B. globosus can be supported by the current climate conditions in the mainland of China, and a gradual expansion trend from south to north is shown in the study from 2015 to 2019. Thus, there is a potential risk of colonization of B. globosus in the mainland of China under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35561902,
year = {2022},
author = {Kang, H and Sridhar, V and Ali, SA},
title = {Climate change impacts on conventional and flash droughts in the Mekong River Basin.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155845},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155845},
pmid = {35561902},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Recent drought events in the Mekong River Basin (MRB) have resulted in devastating environmental and economic losses, and climate change and human-induced alterations have exacerbated drought conditions. Using hydrologic models and multiple climate change scenarios, this study quantified the future climate change impacts on conventional and flash drought conditions in the MRB. The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) models were applied to estimate long-term drought indices for conventional and flash drought conditions over historical and future periods (1966-2099), using two emission scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP8.5), and four climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). For the conventional drought assessment, monthly scale drought indices were estimated, and pentad-scale (5 days) drought indices were computed for the flash drought evaluations. There were overall increases in droughts from the SWAT model for the conventional drought conditions and overall decreases from the VIC model. For the flash drought conditions, the SWAT-driven drought indices showed overall increases in drought occurrences (up to 165%). On the contrary, the VIC-driven drought indices presented decreases in drought occurrences (up to -44%). The conventional and flash drought evaluations differ between these models as they partition the water budget, specifically soil moisture differently. We conclude that the proposed framework, which includes hydrologic models, various emission scenarios, and projections, allows us to assess the various perspectives on drought conditions. Basin countries have differential impacts, so targeted future adaptation strategy is required.},
}
@article {pmid35561825,
year = {2022},
author = {Agathokleous, E and De Marco, A and Paoletti, E and Querol, X and Sicard, P},
title = {Air Pollution and Climate Change threats to Plant Ecosystems.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113420},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113420},
pmid = {35561825},
issn = {1096-0953},
}
@article {pmid35553672,
year = {2022},
author = {de Guevara, ML and Maestre, FT},
title = {Ecology and responses to climate change of biocrust-forming mosses in drylands.},
journal = {Journal of experimental botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jxb/erac183},
pmid = {35553672},
issn = {1460-2431},
abstract = {The interest in understanding the role of biocrusts as ecosystem engineers in drylands has substantially increased during the last two decades. Mosses are a major biocrust component that dominate its late successional stages. In general, their impacts on most ecosystem functions are greater than those of early-stage biocrust constituents. However, it is common to find contradictory results regarding how moss interactions with different biotic and abiotic factors affect ecosystem processes. This review aims to: i) describe the adaptations and environmental constraints of biocrust-forming mosses in drylands, ii) identify their primary ecological roles in these ecosystems, and iii) synthesise their responses to climate change. Our review emphasises the importance of interactions between specific functional traits of mosses (e.g., height, radiation reflectance, morphology, shoot densities) with both the environment (e.g., climate, topography and soil properties) and other organisms to understand their ecological roles and responses to climate change. It also highlights key areas that we should research in the future to fulfil essential gaps in our understanding of the ecology and responses to ongoing climate change of biocrust-forming mosses. These include a better understanding of intra- and interspecific interactions and mechanisms driving mosses' carbon balance of during desiccation/rehydration cycles.},
}
@article {pmid35552738,
year = {2022},
author = {Cassidy, VA and Asaro, C and McCarty, EP},
title = {Management Implications for the Nantucket Pine Tip Moth From Temperature-Induced Shifts in Phenology and Voltinism Attributed to Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toac071},
pmid = {35552738},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {25267-42025267//Georgia Forestry Commission/ ; },
abstract = {Forest insect pest phenology and infestation pressure may shift as temperatures continue to warm due to climate change, resulting in greater challenges for sustainable forest management . The Nantucket pine tip moth (NPTM) (Rhyacionia frustrana Comstock) (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae) is a native forest regeneration pest in the southeastern U.S. with multiple generations per year. Changes in NPTM voltinism may result from temperature-induced shifts in NPTM phenology. Degree-day models have been used to develop optimal spray dates (OSDs) for NPTM. The 2000 Spray Timing Model (STM), based on temperature data from 1960 to 2000, provided generation-specific 5-d OSDs to effectively time applications of contact insecticides. An updated degree-day model, the 2019 STM, is based on temperature data from 2000 to 2019 and was used to detect changes in voltinism as well as shifts in phenology and OSDs. Based on the model, increased voltinism occurred at 6 of the 28 study locations (21%). Changes in voltinism occurred in the Piedmont and Coastal Plain of Georgia, U.S., with shifts from three to four or four to five generations a year, depending on location. The OSDs from the 2019 STM were compared to the 2000 STM OSDs. Over half (57%) of the OSDs differed by 5-15 d, with the majority (66%) resulting in earlier spray dates. The 2019 STM will help growers adapt NPTM control tactics to temperature-induced phenology shifts. NPTM serves as an example of temperature-induced changes attributed to climate change in a forest insect pest with important implications to forest management.},
}
@article {pmid35550808,
year = {2022},
author = {Kharwadkar, S and Attanayake, V and Duncan, J and Navaratne, N and Benson, J},
title = {The impact of climate change on the risk factors for tuberculosis: A systematic review.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113436},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113436},
pmid = {35550808},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Tuberculosis (TB) continues to pose a major public health risk in many countries. The current incidence of disease exceeds guidelines proposed by the World Health Organisation and United Nations. Whilst the relationship between climate change and TB has surfaced in recent literature, it remains neglected in global agendas. There is a need to acknowledge TB as a climate-sensitive disease to facilitate its eradication.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: To review epidemiological and prediction model studies that explore how climate change may affect the risk factors for TB, as outlined in the Global Tuberculosis Report 2021: HIV infection, diabetes mellitus, undernutrition, overcrowding, poverty, and indoor air pollution.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted a systematic literature search of PubMed, Embase, and Scopus databases to identify studies examining the association between climate variables and the risk factors for TB. Each study that satisfied the inclusion criteria was assessed for quality and ethics. Studies then underwent vote-counting and were categorised based on whether an association was found.<br><br>RESULTS: 53 studies met inclusion criteria and were included in our review. Vote-counting revealed that two out of two studies found a positive association between the examined climate change proxy and HIV, nine out of twelve studies for diabetes, eight out of seventeen studies for undernutrition, four out of five studies for overcrowding, twelve out of fifteen studies for poverty and one out of three studies for indoor air pollution.<br><br>DISCUSSION: We found evidence supporting a positive association between climate change and each of the discussed risk factors for TB, excluding indoor air pollution. Our findings suggest that climate change is likely to affect the susceptibility of individuals to TB by increasing the prevalence of its underlying risk factors, particularly in developing countries. This is an evolving field of research that requires further attention in the scientific community.},
}
@article {pmid35550712,
year = {2022},
author = {Kaminski, I},
title = {How scientists are helping sue over climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {6},
number = {5},
pages = {e386-e387},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00098-5},
pmid = {35550712},
issn = {2542-5196},
}
@article {pmid35550081,
year = {2022},
author = {Laumann, F and von Kügelgen, J and Kanashiro Uehara, TH and Barahona, M},
title = {Complex interlinkages, key objectives, and nexuses among the Sustainable Development Goals and climate change: a network analysis.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {6},
number = {5},
pages = {e422-e430},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00070-5},
pmid = {35550081},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Global sustainability is an enmeshed system of complex socioeconomic, climatological, and ecological interactions. The numerous objectives of the UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement have various levels of interdependence, making it difficult to ascertain the influence of changes to particular indicators across the whole system. In this analysis, we aimed to detect and rank the complex interlinkages between objectives of sustainability agendas.<br><br>METHODS: We developed a method to find interlinkages among the 17 SDGs and climate change, including non-linear and non-monotonic dependences. We used time series of indicators defined by the World Bank, consisting of 400 indicators that measure progress towards the 17 SDGs and an 18th variable (annual average temperatures), representing progress in the response to the climate crisis, from 2000 to 2019. This method detects significant dependencies among the time evolution of the objectives by using partial distance correlations, a non-linear measure of conditional dependence that also discounts spurious correlations originating from lurking variables. We then used a network representation to identify the most important objectives (using network centrality) and to obtain nexuses of objectives (defined as highly interconnected clusters in the network).<br><br>FINDINGS: Using temporal data from 181 countries spanning 20 years, we analysed dependencies among SDGs and climate for 35 country groupings based on region, development, and income level. The observed significant interlinkages, central objectives, and nexuses identified varied greatly across country groupings; however, SDG 17 (partnerships for the goals) and climate change ranked as highly important across many country groupings. Temperature rise was strongly linked to urbanisation, air pollution, and slum expansion (SDG 11), especially in country groupings likely to be worst affected by climate breakdown, such as Africa. In several country groupings composed of developing nations, we observed a consistent nexus of strongly interconnected objectives formed by SDG 1 (poverty reduction), SDG 4 (education), and SDG 8 (economic growth), sometimes incorporating SDG 5 (gender equality), and SDG 16 (peace and justice).<br><br>INTERPRETATION: The differences across groupings emphasise the need to define goals in accordance with local circumstances and priorities. Our analysis highlights global partnerships (SDG 17) as a pivot in global sustainability efforts, which have been strongly linked to economic growth (SDG 8). However, if economic growth and trade expansion were repositioned as a means instead of an end goal of development, our analysis showed that education (SDG 4) and poverty reduction (SDG 1) become more central, thus suggesting that these could be prioritised in global partnerships. Urban livelihoods (SDG 11) were also flagged as important to avoid replicating unsustainable patterns of the past.<br><br>FUNDING: Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, UK Research and Innovation.},
}
@article {pmid35550074,
year = {2022},
author = {Hernandez, J and Meisner, J and Bardosh, K and Rabinowitz, P},
title = {Prevent pandemics and halt climate change? Strengthen land rights for Indigenous peoples.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {6},
number = {5},
pages = {e381-e382},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00069-9},
pmid = {35550074},
issn = {2542-5196},
}
@article {pmid35549175,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhao, Y and Chang, H and Liu, X and Bisinella, V and Christensen, TH},
title = {Climate Change Impact of the Development in Household Waste Management in China.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.1c07921},
pmid = {35549175},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {The potential climate change impacts of the development in Chinese household waste management, with less landfilling, more incineration with energy recovery, and source-separated food waste treated in biorefineries, were assessed through a life cycle assessment. When the waste management system interacts with a fossil-based energy system, landfilling produces a load of 144 kg CO2-eq/ton wet waste, while incineration shows a saving of 36 kg CO2-eq/ton wet waste. The introduction of food waste source separation lowers climate change impacts by an additional 33 kg CO2-eq/ton at a 60% sorting efficiency. As the Chinese energy system lowers its climate change impact over the next 30 years, energy recovery from waste treatment will change its relative contribution to climate change. In nonfossil energy systems, landfilling is estimated to have a climate change load of 180-240 kg CO2-eq/ton wet waste, while incineration, including combinations with the source-separation of food waste, will have a load of 310-540 kg CO2-eq/ton wet waste. These large intervals are due to waste composition uncertainty. However, considering a 20 year CH4 characterization factor representing a shorter time perspective, the impacts from landfilling are more dramatic due to the large methane release. This significant climate change impact calls for an increased focus on the developments in Chinese household waste management. The key issues identified may also apply to other countries.},
}
@article {pmid35546364,
year = {2022},
author = {Masao, CA and Igoli, J and Liwenga, ET},
title = {Relevance of Neglected and Underutilized Plants for Climate Change Adaptation &amp; Conservation Implications in Semi-arid Regions of Tanzania.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35546364},
issn = {1432-1009},
support = {J/5523-1//International Foundation for Science/ ; },
abstract = {Neglected and underutilized plant species (NUS) in Tanzania are maintained by socio-cultural preferences. However, a majority remains inadequately characterized and neglected by research and conservation initiatives. Over long time ago, the NUS have been part of the major component in the food systems of local communities especially in the dryland areas to overcome challenges brought about by uncertain climatic conditions. This study documents the NUS diversity and indigenous knowledge on their availability, agronomic and cultural practices in the Semi-arid zones of Tanzania to verify their economic potentials and promote their sustainable utilization for climate change adaptation as well as natural resources conservation. The study involved field plant identification, quantification and participatory rural appraisals (PRAs). The results indicate that the study regions have very rich diversity of NUS contributing significantly to the people's adaptation to drought conditions and food shortages in the areas. The NUS in the studied regions had varied uses including food and medicine. A majority of the consulted farmers in the study area indicated that the NUS utilized in the areas were either minimally cultivated on farms, freely obtained from the wild or grew as weeds in the farmlands. Despite the potentials for NUS in contributing to climate change adaptation in the areas, so far there have been no efforts geared towards their sustainable utilization and conservation. It is observed that promotion of NUS through improved packaging and marketing could contribute to the economy of the local people who have access to NUS in the area and therefore enhance resilience of semi-arid communities.},
}
@article {pmid35545440,
year = {2022},
author = {Staples, TL and Kiessling, W and Pandolfi, JM},
title = {Emergence patterns of locally novel plant communities driven by past climate change and modern anthropogenic impacts.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/ele.14016},
pmid = {35545440},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {KI 806/15//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; CE140100020//Australian Research Council's Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies/ ; DP210100804//Australian Research Council Discovery/ ; },
abstract = {Anthropogenic disturbance and climate change can result in dramatic increases in the emergence of new, ecologically novel, communities of organisms. We used a standardised framework to detect local novel communities in 2135 pollen time series over the last 25,000 years. Eight thousand years of post-glacial warming coincided with a threefold increase in local novel community emergence relative to glacial estimates. Novel communities emerged predominantly at high latitudes and were linked to global and local temperature change across multi-millennial time intervals. In contrast, emergence of locally novel communities in the last 200 years, although already on par with glacial retreat estimates, occurred at midlatitudes and near high human population densities. Anthropogenic warming does not appear to be strongly associated with modern local novel communities, but may drive widespread emergence in the future, with legacy effects for millennia after warming abates.},
}
@article {pmid35545286,
year = {2022},
author = {James, A},
title = {Urgent action needed to address mental health risks of climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {o1180},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o1180},
pmid = {35545286},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35544828,
year = {2022},
author = {Vassari-Pereira, D and Valverde, MC and Asmus, GF},
title = {[Impact of climate change and air quality on hospitalizations for respiratory diseases in municipalities in the Metropolitan Region of São Paulo (MRSP), Brazil].},
journal = {Ciencia &amp; saude coletiva},
volume = {27},
number = {5},
pages = {2023-2034},
doi = {10.1590/1413-81232022275.08632021},
pmid = {35544828},
issn = {1678-4561},
abstract = {The scope of this study was to analyze the possible impacts of climate change on respiratory health in the municipalities of Santo André and São Caetano do Sul. Historical meteorological data (temperature, precipitation, relative humidity and atmospheric pressure), air quality data (concentrations of PM10 and O3) and respiratory health data (incidence rates of hospitalizations for respiratory diseases - IRHRD) were related through statistical models of Multiple Linear Regression (MLR). Meteorological data from future climate projections (2019-2099) from three different climate models (one global and two regionalized) in two emission scenarios were applied to the MLR models. The results showed that the IRHRD will suffer an increase of up to 10% in relation to the current levels for São Caetano do Sul in the 2070-2099 period. In Santo André, projections indicated a reduction of up to 26% in IRHRD. The most important variable in the MLR models for Santo André was temperature (-2,15x), indicating an inverse relationship between global warming and an increase in IRHRD, while in São Caetano the atmospheric pressure had the greatest weight (2.44x). For future studies, the inclusion of future projections of PM10 concentrations is recommended.},
}
@article {pmid35544378,
year = {2022},
author = {Heinzerling, L},
title = {Climate Change in the Supreme Court.},
journal = {The New England journal of medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1056/NEJMp2201800},
pmid = {35544378},
issn = {1533-4406},
}
@article {pmid35544145,
year = {2021},
author = {The Lancet Microbe, },
title = {Climate change: fires, floods, and infectious diseases.},
journal = {The Lancet. Microbe},
volume = {2},
number = {9},
pages = {e415},
doi = {10.1016/S2666-5247(21)00220-2},
pmid = {35544145},
issn = {2666-5247},
}
@article {pmid35542964,
year = {2022},
author = {Malerba, D},
title = {The Effects of Social Protection and Social Cohesion on the Acceptability of Climate Change Mitigation Policies: What Do We (Not) Know in the Context of Low- and Middle-Income Countries?.},
journal = {The European journal of development research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-25},
doi = {10.1057/s41287-022-00537-x},
pmid = {35542964},
issn = {0957-8811},
abstract = {Significant climate change mitigation policies are urgently needed to achieve emissions reduction targets. This paper shows that social protection and social cohesion play a critical role in making climate policies more acceptable to citizens by summarizing existing streams of research focusing on industrialized countries. Further, the empirical analysis explores whether these relationships also hold for low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), which are increasingly implementing climate change mitigation policies. The results show that vertical and horizontal trust increase acceptability in all countries. However, preferences for social protection have a positive effect only in industrialized ones. This may suggest a contrast between social and environmental goals in LMICs, where social goals are prioritized. The analysis also revealed a significant interaction between social cohesion and social protection. The paper concludes by discussing the existing research gap as to LMICs and outlines policy options to overcome the conflict between social and environmental goals.},
}
@article {pmid35541025,
year = {2022},
author = {Jahn, S and Hertig, E},
title = {Using Clustering, Statistical Modeling, and Climate Change Projections to Analyze Recent and Future Region-Specific Compound Ozone and Temperature Burden Over Europe.},
journal = {GeoHealth},
volume = {6},
number = {4},
pages = {e2021GH000561},
doi = {10.1029/2021GH000561},
pmid = {35541025},
issn = {2471-1403},
abstract = {High ground-level ozone concentrations and high air temperatures present two health-relevant natural hazards. The most severe health outcomes are generally associated with concurrent elevated levels of both variables, representing so-called compound ozone and temperature (o-t-) events. These o-t-events, their relationship with identified main meteorological and synoptic drivers, as well as ozone and temperature levels themselves and the linkage between both variables, vary temporally and with the location of sites. Due to the serious health burden and its spatiotemporal variations, the analysis of o-t-events across the European domain represents the focus of the current work. The main objective is to model and project present and future o-t-events, taking region-specific differences into account. Thus, a division of the European domain into six o-t-regions with homogeneous, similar ground-level ozone and temperature characteristics and patterns built the basis of the study. In order to assess region-specific main meteorological and synoptic drivers of o-t-events, statistical downscaling models were developed for selected representative stations per o-t-region. Statistical climate change projections for all central European o-t-regions were generated to assess potential frequency shifts of o-t-events until the end of the 21st century. The output of eight Earth System Models from the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project considering SSP245 and SSP370 scenario assumptions was applied. By comparing midcentury (2041-2060) and late century (2081-2100) time slice differences with respect to a historical base period (1995-2014), substantial increases of the health-relevant compound o-t-events were projected across all central European regions.},
}
@article {pmid35538366,
year = {2022},
author = {Mukherji, A},
title = {Climate change: put water at the heart of solutions.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {605},
number = {7909},
pages = {195},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-01273-2},
pmid = {35538366},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35538148,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhang, Z and Lu, C},
title = {Assessing influences of climate change on highland barley productivity in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau during 1978-2017.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {7625},
pmid = {35538148},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {42101266//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; XDA20040301//Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; 2017YFA0604701//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Grain production is becoming increasingly vulnerable to climate change globally. Highland barley (HB) is the most important cereal crop in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP), so assessing HB productivity and its response to climate change could help to understand the capacity of grain production and food security. This study simulated the potential yield of HB annually at 72 meteorological stations for 1978-2017 using the WOFOST model, and then analyzed the spatiotemporal changes of HB potential yield and climatic factors in the growing season. Further, the influence of climate change on HB potential yield was explored in different temperature zones (TZ). Results indicate that the annual average of HB potential yield ranged from 3.5 to 8.1 t/ha in the QTP, and it was averaged at 6.5 t/ha in TZ-3, higher than other zones. From 1978 to 2017, HB potential yield for the whole QTP decreased slightly by 2.1 kg/ha per year, and its change rates were 23.9, 10.1, - 15.9, - 23.8 and - 16.7 kg/ha/year from TZ-1 to TZ-5 (p < 0.05), respectively. In all zones, average (Tave), maximum (Tmax) and minimum temperature (Tmin) showed a significantly warming trend (p < 0.01), and Tmin increased by 0.53, 0.45, 0.44, 0.40 and 0.69 °C per decade, higher than that of Tave and Tmax. However, temperature diurnal range (TDR) and radiation (RA) showed a downward trend, and their decrease rates were far higher in TZ-5 and TZ-3. In TZ-1, ΔTDR was the critical factor to the change in HB potential yield, which would increase by 420.30 kg/ha for 1 °C increase of ΔTDR (p < 0.01). From TZ-2 to TZ-5, ΔRA was the critical factor, but the influence amplitude in terms of the elastic coefficient, decreased from 4.08 to 0.99 (p < 0.01). In addition, other factors such as ΔTmax in TZ-3 and ΔTmin in TZ-4 and TZ-5 also had an important influence on the potential yield. To improve the HB productivity in the QTP, suitable varieties should be developed and introduced to adapt the climate warming in different temperature zones. In addition, efforts are needed to adjust the strategies of fertilizers and irrigation applications.},
}
@article {pmid35535473,
year = {2022},
author = {Ortega-Guzmán, L and Rojas-Soto, O and Santiago-Alarcon, D and Huber-Sannwald, E and Chapa-Vargas, L},
title = {Climate predictors and climate change projections for avian haemosporidian prevalence in Mexico.},
journal = {Parasitology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-57},
doi = {10.1017/S0031182022000683},
pmid = {35535473},
issn = {1469-8161},
support = {//Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología/ ; //Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología/ ; },
}
@article {pmid35533276,
year = {2022},
author = {Wu, C and Sitch, S and Huntingford, C and Mercado, LM and Venevsky, S and Lasslop, G and Archibald, S and Staver, AC},
title = {Reduced global fire activity due to human demography slows global warming by enhanced land carbon uptake.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {119},
number = {20},
pages = {e2101186119},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2101186119},
pmid = {35533276},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {31570475//National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; 122013100131-9//Russian State Assignment of the Federal Research Centre The Southern Scientific Centre of the Russian Academy of Sciences (SSC RAS)/ ; NE/R001812/1 &amp; NE/J010057/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/N017951/1//UK Natural Environment Research Council through The UK Earth System Modelling Project/ ; MSB #1802453//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 20193080033//Tsinghua University-Peter the Great St. Petersburg Polytechnic University Joint Scientific Research Fund/ ; 2019YFA0606604//the National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; no//the National Capability grant awarded to the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology by the Natural Environment Research Council/ ; no//Newton Fund through the Met Office Climate Science for Service Partnership Brazil (CSSP Brazil)/ ; 118604//NRF Earth Systems Grant/ ; },
abstract = {SignificanceFire is an increasing climate-driven threat to humans. While human demography can strongly modulate fire ignition rates or fire suppression, changes in CO2 released by fires feed back to climate. We show that human demography could reduce future fire activity, which would in turn attenuate global warming via an enhanced land carbon sink. This mitigation is strongest in a low-CO2-emission world, corresponding to ∼5 to 10 y of global CO2 emissions at today's levels by 2100. We highlight the strong role of human demography in global fire reduction and the potential for climate change mitigation by enhanced land carbon sequestration. We also note possible trade-offs, including loss of biodiversity in fire-dependent ecosystems and increases in severe fire events.},
}
@article {pmid35529678,
year = {2022},
author = {Bessagnet, B and Allemand, N and Putaud, JP and Couvidat, F and André, JM and Simpson, D and Pisoni, E and Murphy, BN and Thunis, P},
title = {Emissions of Carbonaceous Particulate Matter and Ultrafine Particles from Vehicles-A Scientific Review in a Cross-Cutting Context of Air Pollution and Climate Change.},
journal = {Applied sciences (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {12},
number = {7},
pages = {1-52},
doi = {10.3390/app12073623},
pmid = {35529678},
issn = {2076-3417},
abstract = {Airborne particulate matter (PM) is a pollutant of concern not only because of its adverse effects on human health but also on visibility and the radiative budget of the atmosphere. PM can be considered as a sum of solid/liquid species covering a wide range of particle sizes with diverse chemical composition. Organic aerosols may be emitted (primary organic aerosols, POA), or formed in the atmosphere following reaction of volatile organic compounds (secondary organic aerosols, SOA), but some of these compounds may partition between the gas and aerosol phases depending upon ambient conditions. This review focuses on carbonaceous PM and gaseous precursors emitted by road traffic, including ultrafine particles (UFP) and polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) that are clearly linked to the evolution and formation of carbonaceous species. Clearly, the solid fraction of PM has been reduced during the last two decades, with the implementation of after-treatment systems abating approximately 99% of primary solid particle mass concentrations. However, the role of brown carbon and its radiative effect on climate and the generation of ultrafine particles by nucleation of organic vapour during the dilution of the exhaust remain unclear phenomena and will need further investigation. The increasing role of gasoline vehicles on carbonaceous particle emissions and formation is also highlighted, particularly through the chemical and thermodynamic evolution of organic gases and their propensity to produce particles. The remaining carbon-containing particles from brakes, tyres and road wear will still be a problem even in a future of full electrification of the vehicle fleet. Some key conclusions and recommendations are also proposed to support the decision makers in view of the next regulations on vehicle emissions worldwide.},
}
@article {pmid35529481,
year = {2022},
author = {Alkishe, A and Peterson, AT},
title = {Climate change influences on the geographic distributional potential of the spotted fever vectors Amblyomma maculatum and Dermacentor andersoni.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e13279},
doi = {10.7717/peerj.13279},
pmid = {35529481},
issn = {2167-8359},
abstract = {Amblyomma maculatum (Gulf Coast tick), and Dermacentor andersoni (Rocky Mountain wood tick) are two North American ticks that transmit spotted fevers associated Rickettsia. Amblyomma maculatum transmits Rickettsia parkeri and Francisella tularensis, while D. andersoni transmits R. rickettsii, Anaplasma marginale, Coltivirus (Colorado tick fever virus), and F. tularensis. Increases in temperature causes mild winters and more extreme dry periods during summers, which will affect tick populations in unknown ways. Here, we used ecological niche modeling (ENM) to assess the potential geographic distributions of these two medically important vector species in North America under current condition and then transfer those models to the future under different future climate scenarios with special interest in highlighting new potential expansion areas. Current model predictions for A. maculatum showed suitable areas across the southern and Midwest United States, and east coast, western and southern Mexico. For D. andersoni, our models showed broad suitable areas across northwestern United States. New potential for range expansions was anticipated for both tick species northward in response to climate change, extending across the Midwest and New England for A. maculatum, and still farther north into Canada for D. andersoni.},
}
@article {pmid35527235,
year = {2022},
author = {Tournebize, R and Borner, L and Manel, S and Meynard, CN and Vigouroux, Y and Crouzillat, D and Fournier, C and Kassam, M and Descombes, P and Tranchant-Dubreuil, C and Parrinello, H and Kiwuka, C and Sumirat, U and Legnate, H and Kambale, JL and Sonké, B and Mahinga, JC and Musoli, P and Janssens, SB and Stoffelen, P and de Kochko, A and Poncet, V},
title = {Ecological and genomic vulnerability to climate change across native populations of Robusta coffee (Coffea canephora).},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16191},
pmid = {35527235},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Ministère de l'Education Nationale, de l'Enseignement Superieur et de la Recherche/ ; ANR-16-IDEX-0006//I-SITE MUSE/ ; ANR-10-LABX-0001-01//I-SITE MUSE/ ; ID 1002-009//Agropolis Fondation/ ; ID 1402-003//Agropolis Fondation/ ; ANR-10-INBS-09//Agence Nationale pour la Recherche/ ; },
abstract = {The assessment of population vulnerability under climate change is crucial for planning conservation as well as for ensuring food security. Coffea canephora is, in its native habitat, an understorey tree that is mainly distributed in the lowland rainforests of tropical Africa. Also known as Robusta, its commercial value constitutes a significant revenue for many human populations in tropical countries. Comparing ecological and genomic vulnerabilities within the species' native range can provide valuable insights about habitat loss and the species' adaptive potential, allowing to identify genotypes that may act as a resource for varietal improvement. By applying species distribution models, we assessed ecological vulnerability as the decrease in climatic suitability under future climatic conditions from 492 occurrences. We then quantified genomic vulnerability (or risk of maladaptation) as the allelic composition change required to keep pace with predicted climate change. Genomic vulnerability was estimated from genomic environmental correlations throughout the native range. Suitable habitat was predicted to diminish to half its size by 2050, with populations near coastlines and around the Congo River being the most vulnerable. Whole-genome sequencing revealed 165 candidate SNPs associated with climatic adaptation in C. canephora, which were located in genes involved in plant response to biotic and abiotic stressors. Genomic vulnerability was higher for populations in West Africa and in the region at the border between DRC and Uganda. Despite an overall low correlation between genomic and ecological vulnerability at broad scale, these two components of vulnerability overlap spatially in ways that may become damaging. Genomic vulnerability was estimated to be 23% higher in populations where habitat will be lost in 2050 compared to regions where habitat will remain suitable. These results highlight how ecological and genomic vulnerabilities are relevant when planning on how to cope with climate change regarding an economically important species.},
}
@article {pmid35526639,
year = {2022},
author = {Ashrafzadeh, MR and Khosravi, R and Mohammadi, A and Naghipour, AA and Khosnamvand, H and Haidarian, M and Penteriani, V},
title = {Modeling climate change impacts on the distribution of an endangered brown bear population in its critical habitat in Iran.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155753},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155753},
pmid = {35526639},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is one of the major challenges to the current conservation of biodiversity. Here, by using the brown bear, Ursus arctos, in the southernmost limit of its global distribution as a model species, we assessed the impact of climate change on the species distribution in western Iran. The mountainous forests of Iran are inhabited by small and isolated populations of brown bears that are prone to extinction in the near future. We modeled the potential impact of climate change on brown bear distribution and habitat connectivity by the years 2050 and 2070 under four representative concentration pathways (RCPs) of two general circulation models (GCMs): BCC-CSM1-1 and MRI-CGCM3. Our projections revealed that the current species' range, which encompasses 6749.8 km2 (40.8%) of the landscape, will decline by 10% (2050: RCP2.6, MRI-CGCM3) to 45% (2070: RCP8.5, BCC-CSM1-1). About 1850 km2 (27.4%) of the current range is covered by a network of conservation (CAs) and no-hunting (NHAs) areas which are predicted to decline by 0.64% (2050: RCP2.6, MRI-CGCM3) to 15.56% (2070: RCP8.5, BCC-CSM1-1) due to climate change. The loss of suitable habitats falling within the network of CAs and NHAs is a conservation challenge for brown bears because it may lead to bears moving outside the CAs and NHAs and result in subsequent increases in the levels of bear-human conflict. Thus, re-evaluation of the network of CAs and NHAs, establishing more protected areas in suitable landscapes, and conserving vital linkages between habitat patches under future climate change scenarios are crucial strategies to conserve and manage endangered populations of the brown bear.},
}
@article {pmid35526395,
year = {2022},
author = {Lopes, HS and Remoaldo, PC and Ribeiro, V and Martín-Vide, J},
title = {Pathways for adapting tourism to climate change in an urban destination - Evidences based on thermal conditions for the Porto Metropolitan Area (Portugal).},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {315},
number = {},
pages = {115161},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115161},
pmid = {35526395},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {The narrative of sustainable tourism transition in a context of adaptation to climate change is very relevant internationally. The availability and sharing of knowledge and information is a basic requirement for the successful planning of the tourism sector regarding this phenomenon. Planning adaptation in the urban tourism sector is widely regarded as a collectively-based process. However, collaborative planning is far from being the standard. This study reports the results of a Modified Delphi Approach (MDA) among experts about the future of urban tourism in a context of adaptation to climate change in Porto Metropolitan Area (Portugal), considering the outdoor thermal conditions perspective. Using an expert panel, the study gathered their opinions to analyze the degrees of responsibility of the main sectorial entities at different territorial levels, the conditions of action in the transformation agenda and the measures to be implemented in the adaptation and mitigation process - according to priority and time horizon. Two rounds were carried out to apply the methodology between January and April 2021. The first questionnaire had the participation of 47 professionals. 34 out of the 47 professionals of the 1st round participated in the second questionnaire. The evidence from different stakeholders demonstrates that there is an ambiguous process of understanding the problem, information needs, and a weak interaction between actors - resources - tasks. The effectiveness and efficiency of collaborative planning and outlined goals by 2050 for adaptation of urban tourism sector to climate change can be hampered. Experts consider the creation of structural (tangible) measures to be fundamental. Among other results, it was found that most participants consider that the intervention is dependent on the guidelines issued by the government and municipal councils when it comes to defining a proposal for adapting the urban tourism sector to climate change. Despite this, the options for more sustainable practices must be based on three axes: (i) solutions based on the energy sector in the hotel industry (e.g., energy certification, prioritization of the use of renewable energy); (ii) improvement and expansion of green infrastructure for tourist enjoyment [e.g., creation of green areas (small additional pockets), namely in the center of Porto; and pedestrianization of central areas of the city] and (iii) network participation through the collaboration of various stakeholders with relevance in tourism and urban planning.},
}
@article {pmid35525371,
year = {2022},
author = {Lincoln, S and Andrews, B and Birchenough, SNR and Chowdhury, P and Engelhard, GH and Harrod, O and Pinnegar, JK and Townhill, BL},
title = {Marine litter and climate change: Inextricably connected threats to the world's oceans.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155709},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155709},
pmid = {35525371},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The global issues of climate change and marine litter are interlinked and understanding these connections are key to managing their combined risks to marine biodiversity and ultimately society. For example, fossil fuel-based plastics cause direct emissions of greenhouse gases and therefore are an important contributing factor to climate change, while other impacts of plastics can manifest as alterations in key species and habitats in coastal and marine environments. Marine litter is acknowledged as a threat multiplier that acts with other stressors such as climate change to cause far greater damage than if they occurred in isolation. On the other hand, while climate change can lead to increased inputs of litter into the marine environment, the presence of marine litter can also undermine the climate resilience of marine ecosystems. It is no longer possible to ignore that climate change and marine litter are inextricably linked, although these interactions and the resulting effects vary widely across oceanic regions and depend on the particular characteristics of specific marine environments. Holistic climate resilience approaches, that integrate other local stressors as well as active interventions, offer a suitable framework to incorporate the consideration of marine litter where that is deemed to be a risk, and to steer, coordinate and prioritise research and monitoring, as well as management, policy, planning and action to effectively tackle the combined risks and impacts from climate change and marine litter.},
}
@article {pmid35524848,
year = {2022},
author = {Kumar, D and Rawat, S},
title = {Modeling the effect of climate change on the distribution of threatened medicinal orchid Satyrium nepalense D. Don in India.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35524848},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {It is vital to understand the distribution area of a threatened plant species for its better conservation and management planning. Satyrium nepalense (family: Orchidaceae) is a threatened terrestrial orchid species with valuable medicinal and nutritional properties. The survival of S. nepalense in wild conditions has been challenged by increasing global surface temperature. Hence, understanding the impact of climate change on its potential distribution is crucial to conserve and restore this species. In present study, Maxent species distribution modeling algorithm was used to simulate the current distribution of S. nepalense in India and predict the possible range shift in projected future climate scenarios. A set of 19 bioclimatic variables from WorldClim database were used to predict the potential suitable habitats in current climatic condition and four Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP 2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5) scenarios by integrating five General Circulation Models (GCMs) for future distribution modeling of species for the years 2050 and 2070. Furthermore, change analysis was performed to identify the suitable habitat in current and future climate for delineating range expansion (gain), contraction (loss), and stable (no change) habitats of species. The Maxent model predicted that ~ 2.38% of the geographical area in India is presently climatically suitable for S. nepalense. The key bioclimatic variables affecting the distribution of studied species were the mean temperature of warmest quarter, mean temperature of wettest quarter, precipitation of warmest quarter, and temperature seasonality. Under future climate change scenarios, the total suitable habitat of S. nepalense will increase slightly in the Himalayan region and likely to migrate towards northward, but in the Western Ghats region, the suitable areas will be lost severely. The net habitat loss under four RCP scenarios was estimated from 26 to 39% for the year 2050, which could further increase from 47 to 60% by the year 2070. The finding of the predictive Maxent modeling approach indicates that warming climates could significantly affect the potential habitats of S. nepalense and hence suitable conservation measures need to be taken to protect this threatened orchid species in wild conditions.},
}
@article {pmid35523445,
year = {2022},
author = {Godlee, F},
title = {Who cares about climate change?.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {o1150},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o1150},
pmid = {35523445},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35523276,
year = {2022},
author = {He, P and Ma, X and Sun, Z},
title = {Interannual variability in summer climate change controls GPP long-term changes.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113409},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113409},
pmid = {35523276},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Global environmental change is rapidly altering the dynamics of terrestrial vegetation, with implications for the functioning of the Earth system and the provision of ecosystem services. How vegetation responds to a changing environment is an important scientific issue, but there is a lack of coverage of the relative contributions that long-term variation and interannual variability in vegetation across seasons play in ecosystem response to global change. Here, we used four terrestrial ecosystem models provided by MsTMIP to examine four key environmental drivers of gross primary productivity (GPP) change over the period 1901-2010. Our findings showed that (1) for all seasons, interannual variability in climate change are the main environmental factor controlling seasonal GPP variability. (2) Summer is the key season controlling the variation of annual GPP, and its long-term trend and interannual variability can explain 61.50% of the variation of grassland GPP in China. (3) Interannual variability in summer climate change exceeded the CO2 fertilization effect and nitrogen deposition as the controlling component (more than 40%) of long-term variation in Chinese grassland GPP. These studies highlight the important role of interannual variability in climate in reshaping the seasonality of vegetation growth, and will provide a precursor to future environmental drivers that can be precisely attributed to global vegetation change.},
}
@article {pmid35521539,
year = {2022},
author = {Vitillo, JG and Eisaman, MD and Aradóttir, ESP and Passarini, F and Wang, T and Sheehan, SW},
title = {The role of carbon capture, utilization, and storage for economic pathways that limit global warming to below 1.5°C.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {25},
number = {5},
pages = {104237},
doi = {10.1016/j.isci.2022.104237},
pmid = {35521539},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {The 2021 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, for the first time, stated that CO2 removal will be necessary to meet our climate goals. However, there is a cost to accomplish CO2 removal or mitigation that varies by source. Accordingly, a sensible strategy to prevent climate change begins by mitigating emission sources requiring the least energy and capital investment per ton of CO2, such as new emitters and long-term stationary sources. The production of CO2-derived products should also start by favoring processes that bring to market high-value products with sufficient margin to tolerate a higher cost of goods.},
}
@article {pmid35518280,
year = {2022},
author = {Hermann, M and Jansen, R and van de Glind, J and Peeters, ETHM and Van den Brink, PJ},
title = {A transportable temperature and heatwave control device (TENTACLE) for laboratory and field simulations of different climate change scenarios in aquatic micro- and mesocosms.},
journal = {HardwareX},
volume = {11},
number = {},
pages = {e00307},
doi = {10.1016/j.ohx.2022.e00307},
pmid = {35518280},
issn = {2468-0672},
abstract = {Future global climate change with higher mean temperatures and increased intensity and frequency of heatwaves as extreme weather events will affect aquatic ecosystems with, yet, unpredictable severity and consequences. Although models suggest increased risk of species extinction up to the year 2050 for series of different climate change scenarios, environmental complexity may result in unconsidered effects of future temperature alterations on ecosystems. Apart from these environmental changes, additional anthropogenic stressors, e.g. chemical release, may cause unprecedented interaction effects on ecosystems. Ongoing efforts to better understand such temperature-chemical interaction effects comprise almost exclusively experimental designs using constant temperature regimes instead of environmentally realistic daily temperature variations. In this paper we describe an Arduino-based temperature and heatwave control device (TENTACLE) that is transportable, inexpensive, multifunctional, and easily reproducible. TENTACLE offers water temperature monitoring and manipulation of up to 3 different climate change-related scenarios: i) natural (ambient) sinusoidal fluctuations (laboratory applications), ii) elevated fluctuations, and iii) heatwaves as extreme events. The use of replaceable heating elements and low-cost materials suitable for field studies creates a high flexibility for researchers who may conduct in- or out-door, small- or large-scale, fresh- or salt-water experiments at different geographical locations.},
}
@article {pmid35515990,
year = {2022},
author = {Teixeira, CP and Fernandes, CO and Ahern, J and Farinha-Marques, P},
title = {Plant traits database for climate change adaptation and mitigation in Northwest Portugal.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {42},
number = {},
pages = {108193},
doi = {10.1016/j.dib.2022.108193},
pmid = {35515990},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {The database presented in this data article is related to the article "Adaptive planting design and management framework for urban climate change adaptation and mitigation" [1]. It includes a list of 287 plant species presently occurring in Porto, Portugal, more precisely in urban green spaces with high urban ecological novelty levels. The plant species in this list were classified and organized according to several traits with a particular focus on plant species' adaptation, mitigation, and ornamental characteristics. Data collection resorted to articles, books, and various open access and online datasets. Data were organized in an Excel file that organizes information on more than 50 plant species traits/variables.},
}
@article {pmid35513439,
year = {2022},
author = {Reed, KA and Wehner, MF and Zarzycki, CM},
title = {Author Correction: Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {2589},
doi = {10.1038/s41467-022-30242-6},
pmid = {35513439},
issn = {2041-1723},
}
@article {pmid35513405,
year = {2022},
author = {Pinke, Z and Decsi, B and Jámbor, A and Kardos, MK and Kern, Z and Kozma, Z and Ács, T},
title = {Climate change and modernization drive structural realignments in European grain production.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {7374},
pmid = {35513405},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {FK20 134547//Nemzeti Kutatási Fejlesztési és Innovációs Hivatal/ ; BME-NVA-02 TKP2021//Nemzeti Kutatási Fejlesztési és Innovációs Hivatal/ ; FK20 134547//Nemzeti Kutatási Fejlesztési és Innovációs Hivatal/ ; FK20 134547//Nemzeti Kutatási Fejlesztési és Innovációs Hivatal/ ; FK20 134547//Nemzeti Kutatási Fejlesztési és Innovációs Hivatal/ ; FK20 134547//Nemzeti Kutatási Fejlesztési és Innovációs Hivatal/ ; },
abstract = {Charting the long-term trends in European wheat and maize yields and harvested areas and the relation of yields to climatic and economic drivers, two profound spatial processes become apparent. One consequence of the relatively late modernization of Eastern Europe has been to shift the focus of grain production from West to East. The warming trend prevailing over the past decades in the summer and winter seasons has been accompanied by a South to North shift in the harvested areas. The combination of these two processes has meant that the north-eastern sector of the European grain chessboard has emerged as the main beneficiary. There, the relatively low sensitivity of cereals to climatic change plus high economic growth rates have been accompanied by the most dynamic increases in cereal yields on the continent. As a result, a modern version of the 3000 year-old grain distribution system of the Ancient World is being restored before our eyes. One noteworthy finding is that increasing January-March temperatures have had a significant positive impact on wheat yields from Northern to South-Eastern Europe, and this is, at least in part, compensating for the negative impact of summer warming.},
}
@article {pmid35513154,
year = {2022},
author = {Abd-Elaty, I and Kushwaha, NL and Grismer, ME and Elbeltagi, A and Kuriqi, A},
title = {Cost-effective management measures for coastal aquifers affected by saltwater intrusion and climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155656},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155656},
pmid = {35513154},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Sustainable management of natural water resources and food security in the face of changing climate conditions is critical to the livelihood of coastal communities. Increasing inundation and saltwater intrusion (SWI) will likely adversely affect agricultural production and the associated beach access for tourism. This study uses an integrated surface-ground water model to introduce a new approach for retardation of SWI that consists of placing aquifer fill materials along the existing shoreline using Coastal Land Reclamation (CLR). The modeling results suggest that the artificial aquifer materials could be designed to decrease SWI by increasing the infiltration area of coastal precipitation, collecting runoffs from the catchment area, and applying treated wastewater or desalinated brackish water-using coastal wave energy to reduce water treatment costs. The SEAWAT model was applied to verify that it correctly addressed Henry's problem and then applied to the Biscayne aquifer, Florida, USA. In this study, to better inform Coastal Aquifer Management (CAM), we developed four modeling scenarios, namely, Physical Surface Barriers (PSB), including the artificial aquifer widths, permeability, and side slopes and recharge. In the base case scenario without artificial aquifer placement, results show that seawater levels would increase aquifer salinity and displace large amounts of presently available fresh groundwater. More specifically, for the Biscayne aquifer, approximately 0.50% of available fresh groundwater will be lost (that is, 41,192 m3) per km of the width of the aquifer considering the increasing seawater level. Furthermore, the results suggest that placing the PSB aquifer with a smaller permeability of <100 m per day at a width of approximately 615 m increases the available fresh groundwater by approximately 45.20 and 43.90% per km of shoreline, respectively. Similarly, decreasing the slope on the aquifer-ocean side and increasing the aquifer recharge will increase freshwater availability by about 43.90 and 44.50% per km of the aquifer. Finally, placing an aquifer fill along the shallow shoreline increases net revenues to the coastal community through increased agricultural production and possibly tourism that offset fill placement and water treatment costs. This study is useful for integrated management of coastal zones by delaying aquifer salinity, protecting fresh groundwater bodies, increasing agricultural lands, supporting surface water supplies by harvesting rainfall and flash flooding, and desalinating saline water using wave energy. Also, the feasibility of freshwater storage and costs for CAM is achieved in this study.},
}
@article {pmid35512599,
year = {2022},
author = {Wang, H and Wang, WJ and Liu, Z and Wang, L and Zhang, W and Zou, Y and Jiang, M},
title = {Combined effects of multi-land use decisions and climate change on water-related ecosystem services in Northeast China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {315},
number = {},
pages = {115131},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115131},
pmid = {35512599},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Land use intensification and climate change have resulted in substantial changes in the provision of ecosystem services, particularly in China that experienced sharp increases in population growth and demands for goods and energy. To protect the environment and restore the degraded ecosystems, the Chinese government has implemented multiple national ecological restoration projects. Yet, the combined effects of climate change and land use and land cover change (LULCC) over large spatial scales that brace multiple land use decisions and great environmental heterogeneity remain unclear. We assessed the combined effects of LULCC and climate change on water-related ecosystem services (water provision and soil conservation services) from 1990s to 2020s in Northeast China using the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs (InVEST) model. We found that water yield decreased by 9.78% and soil retention increased by 30.51% over the past 30 years. LULCC and climate change exerted negative effects on water yield whereas they both enhanced soil retention; LULCC interacted with climate change to have relatively small inhibitory effects on water yield and large facilitation effects on soil retention. Changes in water yield were mainly attributed to climate change, while soil retention was largely influenced by LULCC and its interaction with climate change. Our research highlights the importance of land use decisions and its interactive effects with climate change on ecosystem services in a heavily disturbed temperate region, and provides important information to inform future land management and policy making for sustaining diverse ecosystem services and ensuring human wellbeing.},
}
@article {pmid35512276,
year = {2022},
author = {Beechinor, RJ and Overberg, A and Brown, CS and Cummins, S and Mordino, J},
title = {Climate change is here: What will the profession of pharmacy do about it?.},
journal = {American journal of health-system pharmacy : AJHP : official journal of the American Society of Health-System Pharmacists},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/ajhp/zxac124},
pmid = {35512276},
issn = {1535-2900},
abstract = {In an effort to expedite the publication of articles related to the COVID-19 pandemic, AJHP is posting these manuscripts online as soon as possible after acceptance. Accepted manuscripts have been peer-reviewed and copyedited, but are posted online before technical formatting and author proofing. These manuscripts are not the final version of record and will be replaced with the final article (formatted per AJHP style and proofed by the authors) at a later time.},
}
@article {pmid35511965,
year = {2022},
author = {Liz, AV and Gonçalves, DV and Velo-Antón, G and Brito, JC and Crochet, PA and Rödder, D},
title = {Adapt biodiversity targets to climate change.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {376},
number = {6593},
pages = {589-590},
doi = {10.1126/science.abo7381},
pmid = {35511965},
issn = {1095-9203},
}
@article {pmid35508975,
year = {2022},
author = {Johnson, JV and Dick, JTA and Pincheira-Donoso, D},
title = {Marine protected areas do not buffer corals from bleaching under global warming.},
journal = {BMC ecology and evolution},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {58},
pmid = {35508975},
issn = {2730-7182},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The rising temperature of the oceans has been identified as the primary driver of mass coral reef declines via coral bleaching (expulsion of photosynthetic endosymbionts). Marine protected areas (MPAs) have been implemented throughout the oceans with the aim of mitigating the impact of local stressors, enhancing fish biomass, and sustaining biodiversity overall. In coral reef regions specifically, protection from local stressors and the enhanced ecosystem function contributed by MPAs are expected to increase coral resistance to global-scale stressors such as marine heatwaves. However, MPAs still suffer from limitations in design, or fail to be adequately enforced, potentially reducing their intended efficacy. Here, we address the hypothesis that the local-scale benefits resulting from MPAs moderate coral bleaching under global warming related stress.<br><br>RESULTS: Bayesian analyses reveal that bleaching is expected to occur in both larger and older MPAs when corals are under thermal stress from marine heatwaves (quantified as Degree Heating Weeks, DHW), but this is partially moderated in comparison to the effects of DHW alone. Further analyses failed to identify differences in bleaching prevalence in MPAs relative to non-MPAs for coral reefs experiencing different levels of thermal stress. Finally, no difference in temperatures where bleaching occurs between MPA and non-MPA sites was found.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that bleaching is likely to occur under global warming regardless of protected status. Thus, while protected areas have key roles for maintaining ecosystem function and local livelihoods, combatting the source of global warming remains the best way to prevent the decline of coral reefs via coral bleaching.},
}
@article {pmid35508611,
year = {2022},
author = {Marquis, B and Bergeron, Y and Houle, D and Leduc, M and Rossi, S},
title = {Variability in frost occurrence under climate change and consequent risk of damage to trees of western Quebec, Canada.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {7220},
pmid = {35508611},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change affects timings, frequency, and intensity of frost events in northern ecosystems. However, our understanding of the impacts that frost will have on growth and survival of plants is still limited. When projecting the occurrence of frost, the internal variability and the different underlying physical formulations are two major sources of uncertainty of climate models. We use 50 climate simulations produced by a single-initial large climate ensemble and five climate simulations produced by different pairs of global and regional climate models based on the concentration pathway (RCP 8.5) over a latitudinal transect covering the temperate and boreal ecosystems of western Quebec, Canada, during 1955-2099 to provide a first-order estimate of the relative importance of these two sources of uncertainty on the occurrence of frost, i.e. when air temperature is < 0 °C, and their potential damage to trees. The variation in the date of the last spring frost was larger by 21 days (from 46 to 25 days) for the 50 climate simulations compared to the 5 different pairs of climate models. When considering these two sources of uncertainty in an eco-physiological model simulating the timings of budbreak for trees of northern environment, results show that 20% of climate simulations expect that trees will be exposed to frost even in 2090. Thus, frost damage to trees remains likely under global warming.},
}
@article {pmid35503479,
year = {2022},
author = {Gudko, V and Usatov, A and Denisenko, Y and Duplii, N and Azarin, K},
title = {Dependence of maize yield on hydrothermal factors in various agro-climatic zones of the Rostov region of Russia in the context of climate change.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35503479},
issn = {1432-1254},
support = {0852-2020-0029//Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Russian Federation/ ; },
abstract = {Trends in mean monthly temperature and precipitation during the growing season and their effects on the maize yield were analyzed at the Zimovnikovsky (Zim) and Rostov (Ros) state variety plots (SVPs), located in different agro-climatic zones of the Rostov region. For these two SVPs, in the period of 1975-2019, the Mann-Kendall test showed a statistically significant increase (p < 0.05) in mean temperature (0.70 and 0.52 °C/decade) and a trend of decreased total precipitation (- 14.81 and - 10.40 mm/decade) during the maize growing season. The dependence of the maize yield on hydrothermal factors was estimated for the period of 2011-2019 using the Pearson correlation coefficient (p < 0.05). The mean temperature in September at Zim negatively (r = - 0.78), and in June at Ros positively (r = 0.77) correlated with yield, which explained, according to the value of the coefficient of determination (R2), up to 60.7% and 58.7%, respectively, of the interannual variability of the maize yield. The precipitation in July at the Zim and Ros positively correlated (r = 0.75 and r = 0.71) with yield and explained up to 55.9% and 50.6%, respectively, of the interannual variability of the maize yield. The total amount of precipitation during the growing season at Zim was the dominant factor, explaining up to 75.7% of the interannual variability of maize yield. The continuation of the observed climatic trends during the growing season could lead in the next decade to both a decrease in the maize yield by an average of 0.25 t/ha at Zim and an increase in the maize yield by an average of 0.42 t/ha at Ros.},
}
@article {pmid35502001,
year = {2022},
author = {Dickson, K and Cooper, K and Gardiner, MD},
title = {Perspectives on climate change: can hand surgery go carbon neutral?.},
journal = {The Journal of hand surgery, European volume},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {17531934221096786},
doi = {10.1177/17531934221096786},
pmid = {35502001},
issn = {2043-6289},
}
@article {pmid35500118,
year = {2022},
author = {Chen, J and Montañez, IP and Zhang, S and Isson, TT and Macarewich, SI and Planavsky, NJ and Zhang, F and Rauzi, S and Daviau, K and Yao, L and Qi, YP and Wang, Y and Fan, JX and Poulsen, CJ and Anbar, AD and Shen, SZ and Wang, XD},
title = {Marine anoxia linked to abrupt global warming during Earth's penultimate icehouse.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {119},
number = {19},
pages = {e2115231119},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2115231119},
pmid = {35500118},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {EAR1338281; EAR1338200//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; 42072035//National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)/ ; },
abstract = {SignificanceMassive carbon (C) release with abrupt warming has occurred repeatedly during greenhouse states, and these events have driven episodes of ocean deoxygenation and extinction. Records from these paleo events, coupled with biogeochemical modeling, provide clear evidence that with continued warming, the modern oceans will experience substantial deoxygenation. There are, however, few constraints from the geologic record on the effects of rapid warming under icehouse conditions. We document a C-cycle perturbation that occurred under an Earth system state experiencing recurrent glaciation. A suite of proxies suggests increased seafloor anoxia during this event in step with abrupt increase in CO2 partial pressure and a biodiversity nadir. Warming-mediated increases in marine anoxia may be more pronounced in a glaciated versus unglaciated climate state.},
}
@article {pmid35499999,
year = {2022},
author = {, },
title = {Expression of Concern: A Global Meta-Analysis on the Impact of Management Practices on Net Global Warming Potential and Greenhouse Gas Intensity from Cropland Soils.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {5},
pages = {e0268102},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0268102},
pmid = {35499999},
issn = {1932-6203},
}
@article {pmid35499659,
year = {2022},
author = {Rosa, LH and Ogaki, MB and Lirio, JM and Vieira, R and Coria, SH and Pinto, OHB and Carvalho-Silva, M and Convey, P and Rosa, CA and Câmara, PEAS},
title = {Fungal diversity in a sediment core from climate change impacted Boeckella Lake, Hope Bay, north-eastern Antarctic Peninsula assessed using metabarcoding.},
journal = {Extremophiles : life under extreme conditions},
volume = {26},
number = {2},
pages = {16},
pmid = {35499659},
issn = {1433-4909},
abstract = {We studied the fungal DNA present in a lake sediment core obtained from Trinity Peninsula, Hope Bay, north-eastern Antarctic Peninsula, using metabarcoding through high-throughput sequencing (HTS). Sequences obtained were assigned to 146 amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) primarily representing unknown fungi, followed by the phyla Ascomycota, Rozellomycota, Basidiomycota, Chytridiomycota and Mortierellomycota. The most abundant taxa were assigned to Fungal sp., Pseudeurotium hygrophilum, Rozellomycota sp. 1, Pseudeurotiaceae sp. 1 and Chytridiomycota sp. 1. The majority of the DNA reads, representing 40 ASVs, could only be assigned at higher taxonomic levels and may represent taxa not currently included in the sequence databases consulted and/or be previously undescribed fungi. Different sections of the core were characterized by high sequence diversity, richness and moderate ecological dominance indices. The assigned diversity was dominated by cosmopolitan cold-adapted fungi, including known saprotrophic, plant and animal pathogenic and symbiotic taxa. Despite the overall dominance of Ascomycota and Basidiomycota and psychrophilic Mortierellomycota, members of the cryptic phyla Rozellomycota and Chytridiomycota were also detected in abundance. As Boeckella Lake may cease to exist in approaching decades due the effects of local climatic changes, it also an important location for the study of the impacts of these changes on Antarctic microbial diversity.},
}
@article {pmid35498552,
year = {2022},
author = {Pozio, E},
title = {The impact of globalization and climate change on Trichinella spp. epidemiology.},
journal = {Food and waterborne parasitology},
volume = {27},
number = {},
pages = {e00154},
doi = {10.1016/j.fawpar.2022.e00154},
pmid = {35498552},
issn = {2405-6766},
abstract = {The main reservoir hosts of nematodes of the genus Trichinella are wild carnivores, although most human infections are caused by the consumption of pork. This group of zoonotic parasites completes the entire natural life cycle within the host organism. However, there is an important phase of the cycle that has only been highlighted in recent years and which concerns the permanence of the infecting larvae in the striated muscles of the host carcasses waiting to be ingested by a new host. To survive in this unique biological niche, Trichinella spp. larvae have developed an anaerobic metabolism for their survival in rotting carcasses and, for some species, a resistance to freezing for months or years in cold regions. Climate changes with increasingly temperatures and reduction of environmental humidity lower the survival time of larvae in host carcasses. In addition, environmental changes affect the biology and ecology of the main host species, reducing their number and age composition due to natural habitat fragmentation caused by increasing human settlements, extensive monocultures, increasing number of food animals, and reduction of trophic chains and biodiversity. All of these factors lead to a reduction in biological and environmental complexity that is the key to the natural host-parasite balance. In conclusion, Trichinella nematodes can be considered as an indicator of a health natural ecosystem.},
}
@article {pmid35491908,
year = {2022},
author = {Yuan, S and Lu, H},
title = {Examining a conceptual framework of aggressive and humorous styles in science YouTube videos about climate change and vaccination.},
journal = {Public understanding of science (Bristol, England)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {9636625221091490},
doi = {10.1177/09636625221091490},
pmid = {35491908},
issn = {1361-6609},
abstract = {The current study investigated how individuals process aggressive and humorous video messages communicating childhood vaccination and climate change. Employing psychological reactance, message discounting and expectancy violation, we built a theoretical model that explains the effects of communication styles on individuals' activism intentions. Two online experiments in the United States (N = 441 and N = 533) using self-created videos on the topics of childhood vaccination and climate change were conducted to examine this model. The results showed that both perceived aggressiveness and humorousness of the videos led to higher message discounting, which then resulted in stronger activism intentions. Perceived aggressiveness led to higher expectancy violation, while perceived humorousness led to lower expectancy violation, which negatively affected activism intentions. The role played by psychological reactance was inconsistent across the two contexts. The findings provide theoretical implications for understanding how individuals process aggressive and humorous communication styles, especially in relation to discussions on science issues.},
}
@article {pmid35491448,
year = {2022},
author = {Tang, Y and Qiu, S and Li, Q and Di, G and Wang, J and Sun, H},
title = {Simulated global climate change benefits the nutritive value of oat grass.},
journal = {Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/plb.13432},
pmid = {35491448},
issn = {1438-8677},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Numerous data demonstrate that global climate change affects crop yield and quality. However, the effect of climate change on the nutritive value of forage remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the nutritional value of oat grass under conditions of global climate change.<br><br>METHODS: Oat grass (Avena sativa L.) was used as a representative forage to understand the changes in yield and chemical composition. The growth of oat grass under elevated temperature and carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration conditions was simulated via a 51-day growth experiment inside open-top chambers. The oat grass was harvested during the heading period and its yield, nutrient content, macro- and micro-mineral content, and in vitro dry matter digestibility (IVDMD) were determined.<br><br>RESULTS: The fresh and dry yield, mineral P and Fe content, and IVDMD of oat grass increased with increasing CO2 concentration (P<0.05). As temperature increased, the dry matter yield and soluble sugar content of oat grass decreased and the content of Na, Mg, P, S, Ca, Mn, Fe, Cu, and Zn increased (P<0.05), while IVDMD was not significantly affected. Under the interactive conditions of increasing CO2 concentration and temperature, the content of Mg, P, S, Ca, Mn, and IVDMD of oat grass increased (P<0.05); however, there was no significant effect on the yield of oat grass.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Climate change may result in oat grass with more digestible nutrients and minerals for ruminants.},
}
@article {pmid35489515,
year = {2022},
author = {Hidalgo-Galvez, MD and Barkaoui, K and Volaire, F and Matías, L and Cambrollé, J and Fernández-Rebollo, P and Carbonero, MD and Pérez-Ramos, IM},
title = {Can trees buffer the impact of climate change on pasture production and digestibility of Mediterranean dehesas?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155535},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155535},
pmid = {35489515},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Sustainability and functioning of silvopastoral ecosystems are being threatened by the forecasted warmer and drier environments in the Mediterranean region. Scattered trees of these ecosystems could potentially mitigate the impact of climate change on herbaceous plant community but this issue has not yet tested experimentally. We carried out a field manipulative experiment of increased temperature (+2-3 °C) using Open Top Chambers and rainfall reduction (30%) through rain-exclusion shelters to evaluate how net primary productivity and digestibility respond to climate change over three consecutive years, and to test whether scattered trees could buffer the effects of higher aridity in Mediterranean dehesas. First, we observed that herbaceous communities located beneath tree canopy were less productive (351 g/m2) than in open grassland (493 g/m2) but had a higher digestibility (44% and 41%, respectively), likely promoted by tree shade and the higher soil fertility of this habitat. Second, both habitats responded similarly to climate change in terms of net primary productivity, with a 33% increase under warming and a 13% decrease under reduced rainfall. In contrast, biomass digestibility decreased under increased temperatures (-7.5%), since warming enhanced the fiber and lignin content and decreased the crude protein content of aerial biomass. This warming-induced effect on biomass digestibility only occurred in open grasslands, suggesting a buffering role of trees in mitigating the impact of climate change. Third, warming did not only affect these ecosystem processes in a direct way but also indirectly via changes in plant functional composition. Our findings suggest that climate change will alter both the quantity and quality of pasture production, with expected warmer conditions increasing net primary productivity but at the expense of reducing digestibility. This negative effect of warming on digestibility might be mitigated by scattered trees, highlighting the importance of implementing strategies and suitable management to control tree density in these ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid35489093,
year = {2022},
author = {Capparelli, MV and McNamara, JC and Thurman, CL and Pérez-Ceballos, R and Gómez-Ponce, MA and Cardoso-Mohedanoa, JG and Moulatlet, GM},
title = {Can tolerances of multiple stressors and calculated safety margins in fiddler crabs predict responses to extreme environmental conditions resulting from climate change?.},
journal = {Marine pollution bulletin},
volume = {179},
number = {},
pages = {113674},
doi = {10.1016/j.marpolbul.2022.113674},
pmid = {35489093},
issn = {1879-3363},
abstract = {To comprehend mangrove crab responses to predicted global climate changes, we assessed submersion and desiccation survival durations and salinity tolerances and upper thermal limits in fiddler crabs from Isla del Carmen, Yucatán Peninsula. Based on their tolerances of extreme ambient conditions, we also calculated safety margins using abiotic monitoring data. The two most terrestrial species, Minuca rapax and Leptuca panacea, exhibited submersion tolerances of from 22 to 40 h, and desiccation tolerances of from 30 to 55 h; LC50's were ≈45‰S and UT50's were ≈40 °C. The two least terrestrial species, M. vocator and L. speciosa, were less tolerant of all experimental challenges, showing submersion and desiccation tolerances of <6 h, and LC50's of 36‰S and UT50's of 38 °C. While these fiddler crabs inhabit niches closer to their salinity and desiccation/submersion tolerances than to their temperature limits, all are clearly vulnerable to the multiple stressors that accompany anticipated global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35488802,
year = {2022},
author = {Resnik, DB},
title = {Environmental justice and climate change policies.},
journal = {Bioethics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/bioe.13042},
pmid = {35488802},
issn = {1467-8519},
abstract = {Climate change is an environmental justice issue because it is likely to cause disproportionate harm to low-income countries and low-income populations in higher-income countries. While climate change mitigation and adaptation policies may be able to minimize these harms, they could make them worse unless they are developed and implemented with an eye toward promoting justice and fairness. Those who view climate change as an environmental justice issue should be wary of endorsing policies that sound like they promote the cause of social and economic justice, but in fact do not. While climate change policies may help to mitigate the effects of climate change on poor people, there is no guarantee that they will be just at the local, national, or global level. Those who care about global climate justice must remain actively engaged in policy formation and implementation to ensure that justice does not get shortchanged in the response to global warming.},
}
@article {pmid35488493,
year = {2022},
author = {Liu, H and Ye, Q and Simpson, KJ and Cui, E and Xia, J},
title = {Can evolutionary history predict plant plastic responses to climate change?.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.18194},
pmid = {35488493},
issn = {1469-8137},
abstract = {Plant plastic responses are critical to the adaptation and survival of species under climate change, but whether they are constrained by evolutionary history (phylogeny) is largely unclear. Plant leaf traits are key in determining plants' performance in different environments, and if these traits and their variation are phylogenetically dependent, predictions could be made to identify species vulnerable to climate change. We compiled data on three leaf traits (photosynthetic rate, specific leaf area, and leaf nitrogen content) of 434 species and their variation under four environmental change scenarios (warming, drought, elevated CO2 , or nitrogen addition) from 210 manipulation experiments. We found phylogenetic signal in the three traits but not in their variation under the four scenarios. This indicates that closely related species show similar traits but that their plastic responses could not be predicted from species relatedness under environmental change. Meanwhile, phylogeny weakened but did not change directions of conventional pairwise trait relationships, suggesting the co-evolved leaf trait pairs have consistent responses across contrasting environmental conditions. Phylogeny can identify lineages rich in species showing similar traits and predict their relationships under climate change, but the degree of plant phenotypic variation does not vary consistently across evolutionary clades.},
}
@article {pmid35488161,
year = {2022},
author = {Islam, MM and Chowdhury, MAM and Begum, RA and Amir, AA},
title = {Correction to: A bibliometric analysis on the research trends of climate change effects on economic vulnerability.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-022-20524-3},
pmid = {35488161},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid35488120,
year = {2022},
author = {Lyam, PT and Duque-Lazo, J and Hauenschild, F and Schnitzler, J and Muellner-Riehl, AN and Greve, M and Ndangalasi, H and Myburgh, A and Durka, W},
title = {Climate change will disproportionally affect the most genetically diverse lineages of a widespread African tree species.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {7035},
pmid = {35488120},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {(Grant no. 91562729)//The German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD)/ ; (projects MU 2934/2-1 and MU 2934/3-1)//German Science Foundation/ ; (BMBF grant no. 16GW0120K)//the German Federal Ministry of Education and Research/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate change is proceeding at an alarming rate with major ecological and genetic consequences for biodiversity, particularly in drylands. The response of species to climate change may differ between intraspecific genetic groups, with major implications for conservation. We used molecular data from 10 nuclear and two chloroplast genomes to identify phylogeographic groups within 746 individuals from 29 populations of Senegalia senegal, a savannah tree species in sub-Saharan Africa. Three phylogroups are identified corresponding to Sudano-Sahelian, Zambezian and Southern African biogeographic regions in West, East and Southern Africa. Genetic diversity was highest in Southern and Zambesian and lowest in the Sudano-Sahelian phylogroups. Using species distribution modeling, we infer highly divergent future distributions of the phylogroups under three climate change scenarios. Climate change will lead to severe reductions of distribution area of the genetically diverse Zambezian (- 41-- 54%) and Southern (- 63-- 82%) phylogroups, but to an increase for the genetically depauperate Sudano-Sahelian (+ 7- + 26%) phylogroups. This study improves our understanding of the impact of climate change on the future distribution of this species. This knowledge is particularly useful for biodiversity management as the conservation of genetic resources needs to be considered in complementary strategies of in-situ conservation and assisted migration.},
}
@article {pmid35486362,
year = {2022},
author = {Coverdale, J and Seritan, AL and Brenner, AM},
title = {Calling to Action Our Personal Behaviors in Mitigating Climate Change.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35486362},
issn = {1545-7230},
}
@article {pmid35484346,
year = {2022},
author = {Gilbert, N},
title = {Climate change will force new animal encounters - and boost viral outbreaks.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35484346},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35483403,
year = {2022},
author = {Carlson, CJ and Albery, GF and Merow, C and Trisos, CH and Zipfel, CM and Eskew, EA and Olival, KJ and Ross, N and Bansal, S},
title = {Climate change increases cross-species viral transmission risk.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41586-022-04788-w},
pmid = {35483403},
issn = {1476-4687},
support = {NSF BII-2021909//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; NSF DBI-1639145//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; BII-2021909//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; NSF DBI-1639145//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; PREDICT//United States Agency for International Development (U.S. Agency for International Development)/ ; PREDICT//United States Agency for International Development (U.S. Agency for International Development)/ ; PREDICT//United States Agency for International Development (U.S. Agency for International Development)/ ; },
abstract = {At least 10,000 virus species have the capacity to infect humans, but at present, the vast majority are circulating silently in wild mammals1,2. However, climate and land use change will produce novel opportunities for viral sharing among previously geographically-isolated species of wildlife3,4. In some cases, this will facilitate zoonotic spillover-a mechanistic link between global environmental change and disease emergence. Here, we simulate potential hotspots of future viral sharing, using a phylogeographic model of the mammal-virus network, and projections of geographic range shifts for 3,139 mammal species under climate change and land use scenarios for the year 2070. We predict that species will aggregate in new combinations at high elevations, in biodiversity hotspots, and in areas of high human population density in Asia and Africa, driving the novel cross-species transmission of their viruses an estimated 4,000 times. Because of their unique dispersal capacity, bats account for the majority of novel viral sharing, and are likely to share viruses along evolutionary pathways that will facilitate future emergence in humans. Surprisingly, we find that this ecological transition may already be underway, and holding warming under 2 °C within the century will not reduce future viral sharing. Our findings highlight an urgent need to pair viral surveillance and discovery efforts with biodiversity surveys tracking species' range shifts, especially in tropical regions that harbor the most zoonoses and are experiencing rapid warming.},
}
@article {pmid35482718,
year = {2022},
author = {Hernandez, K and Madeira, C},
title = {The impact of climate change on economic output across industries in Chile.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e0266811},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0266811},
pmid = {35482718},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Using region-industry panel data for Chile over the period 1985 to 2017, we find no effect of precipitation changes on GDP and a negative impact of higher summer temperatures on Agriculture-Silviculture and Fishing. An increase of one Celsius degree in the month of January implies a 3% and 12% GDP reduction in Agriculture and Fishing, respectively. There is also a negative effect of higher temperatures in January on Construction and Electricity, Gas, and Water. Our analysis suggests that climate change did not have a big impact on the Chilean economy during this period. Stress test exercises that select only the negative and statistically significant coefficients imply that the Chilean GDP would fall between -14.8% and -9% in 2050 and between -29.6% and -16.8% in 2100, according to our model.},
}
@article {pmid35482218,
year = {2022},
author = {Saad-Hussein, A and Ramadan, HK and Bareedy, A and Elwakil, R},
title = {Role of Climate Change in Changing Hepatic Health Maps.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35482218},
issn = {2196-5412},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change (CC) is currently responsible for global weather extremes. These weather extremes could contribute to changes in the pattern of health problems. The purpose of this review is to discuss the role of CC on remapping of hepatic diseases and the mechanisms of re-mapping.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: CC was found to have a major influence on the distribution and severity of hepatic diseases, such as outbreaks of vector-borne, water or food-borne, parasitic diseases, re-emerging of disappeared diseases, or emerging of new forms of infectious agents. Migration of infected people from endemic areas due to the CC disasters results in rapid dissemination of infectious diseases that leads to outbreaks or endemicity of diseases in new areas. CC could cause increasing chemical emissions, or change in its biodegradability, or restriction in its dispersion, such as PM, PAHs, heavy metals, mycotoxins, and aquatic toxins. Increase in the concentrations of these chemicals may have significant impacts in changing the health map of hepatic toxicity and liver cancer. The current review confirms the role of CC in changing the pattern of several liver health problems and remapping of these problems in several regions of the world. This review could be of high importance to the health decision-makers as an early alarm and prediction of hepatic health problems with the projected CC.},
}
@article {pmid35477762,
year = {2022},
author = {Free, CM and Cabral, RB and Froehlich, HE and Battista, W and Ojea, E and O'Reilly, E and Palardy, JE and García Molinos, J and Siegel, KJ and Arnason, R and Juinio-Meñez, MA and Fabricius, K and Turley, C and Gaines, SD},
title = {Expanding ocean food production under climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35477762},
issn = {1476-4687},
abstract = {As the human population and demand for food grow1, the ocean will be called on to provide increasing amounts of seafood. Although fisheries reforms and advances in offshore aquaculture (hereafter 'mariculture') could increase production2, the true future of seafood depends on human responses to climate change3. Here we investigated whether coordinated reforms in fisheries and mariculture could increase seafood production per capita under climate change. We find that climate-adaptive fisheries reforms will be necessary but insufficient to maintain global seafood production per capita, even with aggressive reductions in greenhouse-gas emissions. However, the potential for sustainable mariculture to increase seafood per capita is vast and could increase seafood production per capita under all but the most severe emissions scenario. These increases are contingent on fisheries reforms, continued advances in feed technology and the establishment of effective mariculture governance and best practices. Furthermore, dramatically curbing emissions is essential for reducing inequities, increasing reform efficacy and mitigating risks unaccounted for in our analysis. Although climate change will challenge the ocean's ability to meet growing food demands, the ocean could produce more food than it does currently through swift and ambitious action to reduce emissions, reform capture fisheries and expand sustainable mariculture operations.},
}
@article {pmid35477448,
year = {2022},
author = {Krsulovic, FAM and Moulton, TP and Lima, M and Jaksic, F},
title = {Epidemic malaria dynamics in Ethiopia: the role of self-limiting, poverty, HIV, climate change and human population growth.},
journal = {Malaria journal},
volume = {21},
number = {1},
pages = {135},
pmid = {35477448},
issn = {1475-2875},
support = {319001//fondecyt/ ; PQ 302121/2019-6//cnpq/ ; FB0002//anid pia/basal/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: During the last two decades, researchers have suggested that the changes of malaria cases in African highlands were driven by climate change. Recently, a study claimed that the malaria cases (Plasmodium falciparum) in Oromia (Ethiopia) were related to minimum temperature. Critics highlighted that other variables could be involved in the dynamics of the malaria. The literature mentions that beyond climate change, trends in malaria cases could be involved with HIV, human population size, poverty, investments in health control programmes, among others.<br><br>METHODS: Population ecologists have developed a simple framework, which helps to explore the contributions of endogenous (density-dependent) and exogenous processes on population dynamics. Both processes may operate to determine the dynamic behaviour of a particular population through time. Briefly, density-dependent (endogenous process) occurs when the per capita population growth rate (R) is determined by the previous population size. An exogenous process occurs when some variable affects another but is not affected by the changes it causes. This study explores the dynamics of malaria cases (Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax) in Oromia region in Ethiopia and explores the interaction between minimum temperature, HIV, poverty, human population size and social instability.<br><br>RESULTS: The results support that malaria dynamics showed signs of a negative endogenous process between R and malaria infectious class, and a weak evidence to support the climate change hypothesis.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Poverty, HIV, population size could interact to force malaria models parameters explaining the dynamics malaria observed at Ethiopia from 1985 to 2007.},
}
@article {pmid35476382,
year = {2021},
author = {Hussaini, N and Coughlan, L and Flynn, D and Miller, P and Daly, TK and Crowley, B and Hussaini, A},
title = {The Impact of Climate Change on Healthcare.},
journal = {Irish medical journal},
volume = {114},
number = {7},
pages = {422},
pmid = {35476382},
issn = {0332-3102},
}
@article {pmid35475552,
year = {2022},
author = {van Woesik, R and Shlesinger, T and Grottoli, AG and Toonen, RJ and Vega Thurber, R and Warner, ME and Marie Hulver, A and Chapron, L and McLachlan, RH and Albright, R and Crandall, E and DeCarlo, TM and Donovan, MK and Eirin-Lopez, J and Harrison, HB and Heron, SF and Huang, D and Humanes, A and Krueger, T and Madin, JS and Manzello, D and McManus, LC and Matz, M and Muller, EM and Rodriguez-Lanetty, M and Vega-Rodriguez, M and Voolstra, CR and Zaneveld, J},
title = {Coral-bleaching responses to climate change across biological scales.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16192},
pmid = {35475552},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {OCE 1829393//Division of Ocean Sciences/ ; OCE 1838667//Division of Ocean Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {The global impacts of climate change are evident in every marine ecosystem. On coral reefs, mass coral bleaching and mortality have emerged as ubiquitous responses to ocean warming, yet one of the greatest challenges of this epiphenomenon is linking information across scientific disciplines and spatial and temporal scales. Here we review some of the seminal and recent coral-bleaching discoveries from an ecological, physiological, and molecular perspective. We also evaluate which data and processes can improve predictive models and provide a conceptual framework that integrates measurements across biological scales. Taking an integrative approach across biological and spatial scales, using for example hierarchical models to estimate major coral-reef processes, will not only rapidly advance coral-reef science but will also provide necessary information to guide decision-making and conservation efforts. To conserve reefs, we encourage implementing mesoscale sanctuaries (thousands of km2) that transcend national boundaries. Such networks of protected reefs will provide reef connectivity, through larval dispersal that transverse thermal environments, and genotypic repositories that may become essential units of selection for environmentally diverse locations. Together, multinational networks may be the best chance corals have to persist through climate change, while humanity struggles to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases to net zero.},
}
@article {pmid35474920,
year = {2022},
author = {Kerbl, R},
title = {[Climate change-The anxiety of the young].},
journal = {Monatsschrift Kinderheilkunde : Organ der Deutschen Gesellschaft fur Kinderheilkunde},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-2},
doi = {10.1007/s00112-022-01483-y},
pmid = {35474920},
issn = {0026-9298},
}
@article {pmid35472357,
year = {2022},
author = {Beltrán-Sanz, N and Raggio, J and Gonzalez, S and Grande, FD and Prost, S and Green, A and Pintado, A and Sancho, LG},
title = {Climate change leads to higher NPP at the end of the century in the Antarctic Tundra: Response patterns through the lens of lichens.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155495},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155495},
pmid = {35472357},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Poikilohydric autotrophs are the main colonizers of the permanent ice-free areas in the Antarctic tundra biome. Global climate warming and the small human footprint in this ecosystem make it especially vulnerable to abrupt changes. Elucidating the effects of climate change on the Antarctic ecosystem is challenging because it mainly comprises poikilohydric species, which are greatly influenced by microtopographic factors. In the present study, we investigated the potential effects of climate change on the metabolic activity and net primary photosynthesis (NPP) in the widespread lichen species Usnea aurantiaco-atra. Long-term monitoring of chlorophyll a fluorescence in the field was combined with photosynthetic performance measurements in laboratory experiments in order to establish the daily response patterns under biotic and abiotic factors at micro- and macro-scales. Our findings suggest that macroclimate is a poor predictor of NPP, thereby indicating that microclimate is the main driver due to the strong effects of microtopographic factors on cryptogams. Metabolic activity is also crucial for estimating the NPP, which is highly dependent on the type, distribution, and duration of the hydration sources available throughout the year. Under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, metabolic activity will increase slightly compared with that at present due to the increased precipitation events predicted in MIROC5. Temperature is highlighted as the main driver for NPP projections, and thus climate warming will lead to an average increase in NPP of 167-171% at the end of the century. However, small changes in other drivers such as light and relative humidity may strongly modify the metabolic activity patterns of poikilohydric autotrophs, and thus their NPP. Species with similar physiological response ranges to the species investigated in the present study are expected to behave in a similar manner provided that liquid water is available.},
}
@article {pmid35470521,
year = {2022},
author = {Arifanti, VB and Kauffman, JB and Subarno, and Ilman, M and Tosiani, A and Novita, N},
title = {Contributions of mangrove conservation and restoration to climate change mitigation in Indonesia.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16216},
pmid = {35470521},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Mangrove forests are important carbon sinks and this is especially true for Indonesia where about 24% of the world's mangroves exist. Unfortunately, vast expanses of these mangroves have been deforested, degraded or converted to other uses resulting in significant greenhouse gas emissions. The objective of this study was to quantify the climate change mitigation potential of mangrove conservation and restoration in Indonesia. We calculated the emission factors from the dominant land uses in mangroves, determined mangrove deforestation rates and quantified the total emissions and the potential emission reductions that could be achieved from mangrove conservation and restoration. Based upon our analysis of the carbon stocks and emissions from land use in mangroves we found: (1) Indonesia's mangrove ecosystem carbon stocks are amongst the highest of any tropical forest type; (2) mangrove deforestation results in greenhouse gas emissions that far exceed that of upland tropical deforestation; (3) in the last decade the rates of deforestation in Indonesian mangroves have remained high; and (4) conservation and restoration of mangroves promise to sequester significant quantities of carbon. While mangroves comprise only ≈2.6% of Indonesia's total forest area, their degradation and deforestation accounted for ≈10% of total greenhouse gas emissions arising from the forestry sector. The large source of greenhouse gas emissions from a relatively small proportion of the forest area underscores the value for inclusion of mangroves as a natural climate solution (NCS). Mangrove conservation is far more effective than mangrove restoration in carbon emissions reductions and an efficient pathway to achieve Indonesia's nationally determined contribution (NDC) targets. The potential emission reduction from halting deforestation of primary and secondary mangroves coupled with restoration activities could result in an emission reduction equivalent to 8% of Indonesia's 2030 NDC emission reduction targets from the forestry sector.},
}
@article {pmid35468138,
year = {2022},
author = {Nguyen, TVH},
title = {Welfare impact of climate change on capture fisheries in Vietnam.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e0264997},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0264997},
pmid = {35468138},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Fisheries are forecasted to shrink in the tropics due to climate change. In Vietnam, fisheries are a pro-poor economic sector and essential nutrition source; however, welfares of producers and consumers in the climate change context are not well understood. While most studies focus on the gains or losses of total products and revenues, this paper pays additional attention to the changes in surpluses of market players in the long run. A combination of the production function, demand and supply functions, and partial equilibrium analysis is employed to measure the production and welfare impacts based on time series data from 1976 to 2018 and a Vietnam household living standards survey in 2018. The results show that relative to the present, catch yield is likely to reduce 35%-45% by mid-century and 45%-80% by the end of the century. Consumers may lose their surplus of 7-9 billion USD (PPP, 2018) by 2035 and 10-18 billion USD by 2065 due to supply reduction, while producers may gain additional profit of 3.5-4.5 billion USD by 2035 and 5-9 billion USD by 2065 owing to a price increase. The research findings suggest that Vietnam could impose measures to limit capture effort, as set out in the Law of Fisheries 2017, without harming fisher welfare. The expansion of aquaculture could reduce the gap between supply and demand of wild fish to mitigate consumer welfare loss; however, this impact is still ambiguous.},
}
@article {pmid35467910,
year = {2022},
author = {Fischer, H and Huff, M and Said, N},
title = {Polarized climate change beliefs: No evidence for science literacy driving motivated reasoning in a U.S. national study.},
journal = {The American psychologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1037/amp0000982},
pmid = {35467910},
issn = {1935-990X},
abstract = {A substantial literature shows that public polarization over climate change in the U.S. is most pronounced among the science literate. A dominant explanation for this phenomenon is that science literacy amplifies motivated reasoning, the tendency to interpret evidence such that it confirms prior beliefs. The present study tests the biasing account of science literacy in a study among the U.S. population that investigated both interpretation of climate change evidence and repeated belief-updating. Results replicated the typical correlational pattern of political polarization as a function of science literacy. However, results delivered little support for the core causal claim of the biasing account-that science literacy drives motivated reasoning. Hence, these results speak against a mechanism whereby science literacy driving motivated reasoning could explain polarized climate change beliefs among the science literate. This study adds to our growing understanding of the role of science literacy for public beliefs about contested science. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2022 APA, all rights reserved).},
}
@article {pmid35466592,
year = {2022},
author = {Iglesias, A},
title = {On the risk of climate change on agriculture and water resources.},
journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management},
volume = {18},
number = {3},
pages = {595-596},
doi = {10.1002/ieam.4606},
pmid = {35466592},
issn = {1551-3793},
}
@article {pmid35465308,
year = {2022},
author = {Cheng, SH and Costedoat, S and Sterling, EJ and Chamberlain, C and Jagadish, A and Lichtenthal, P and Nowakowski, AJ and Taylor, A and Tinsman, J and Canty, SWJ and Holland, MB and Jones, KW and Mills, M and Morales-Hidalgo, D and Sprenkle-Hyppolite, S and Wiggins, M and Mascia, MB and Muñoz Brenes, CL},
title = {What evidence exists on the links between natural climate solutions and climate change mitigation outcomes in subtropical and tropical terrestrial regions? A systematic map protocol.},
journal = {Environmental evidence},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {15},
doi = {10.1186/s13750-022-00268-w},
pmid = {35465308},
issn = {2047-2382},
abstract = {Background: Natural climate solutions (NCS)-actions to conserve, restore, and modify natural and modified ecosystems to increase carbon storage or avoid greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions-are increasingly regarded as important pathways for climate change mitigation, while contributing to our global conservation efforts, overall planetary resilience, and sustainable development goals. Recently, projections posit that terrestrial-based NCS can potentially capture or avoid the emission of at least 11 Gt (gigatons) of carbon dioxide equivalent a year, or roughly encompassing one third of the emissions reductions needed to meet the Paris Climate Agreement goals by 2030. NCS interventions also purport to provide co-benefits such as improved productivity and livelihoods from sustainable natural resource management, protection of locally and culturally important natural areas, and downstream climate adaptation benefits. Attention on implementing NCS to address climate change across global and national agendas has grown-however, clear understanding of which types of NCS interventions have undergone substantial study versus those that require additional evidence is still lacking. This study aims to conduct a systematic map to collate and describe the current state, distribution, and methods used for evidence on the links between NCS interventions and climate change mitigation outcomes within tropical and sub-tropical terrestrial ecosystems. Results of this study can be used to inform program and policy design and highlight critical knowledge gaps where future evaluation, research, and syntheses are needed.<br><br>Methods: To develop this systematic map, we will search two bibliographic databases (including 11 indices) and 67 organization websites, backward citation chase from 39 existing evidence syntheses, and solicit information from key informants. All searches will be conducted in English and encompass subtropical and tropical terrestrial ecosystems (forests, grasslands, mangroves, agricultural areas). Search results will be screened at title and abstract, and full text levels, recording both the number of excluded articles and reasons for exclusion. Key meta-data from included articles will be coded and reported in a narrative review that will summarize trends in the evidence base, assess gaps in knowledge, and provide insights for policy, practice, and research. The data from this systematic map will be made open access.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13750-022-00268-w.},
}
@article {pmid35462607,
year = {2022},
author = {Deihimfard, R and Rahimi-Moghaddam, S and Azizi, K and Haghighat, M},
title = {Increased heat stress risk for maize in arid-based climates as affected by climate change: threats and solutions.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35462607},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Heat stress in combination with drought has become the biggest concern and threat for maize yield production, especially in arid and hot regions. Accordingly, different optimal solutions should be considered in order to maintain maize production and reduce the risk of heat stress under the changing climate. In the current study, the risk of heat stress across Iranian maize agro-ecosystems was analyzed in terms of both intensity and frequency. The study areas comprised 16 provinces and 24 locations classified into five climate categories: arid and hot, arid and temperate, semi-arid and hot, semi-arid and temperate, and semi-arid and cold. The impact of heat stress on maize under a future climate was based on a 5-multi-model ensemble under two optimistic and pessimistic emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively) for 2040-2070 using the APSIM crop model. Simulation results illustrated that in the period of 2040-2070, intensity and the frequency of heat stress events increased by 2.37 °C and 79.7%, respectively, during maize flowering time compared to the baseline. The risk of heat stress would be almost 100% in hot regions in the future climate under current management practices, mostly because of the increasing high-risk window for heat stress which will result in a yield reduction of 0.83 t ha-1. However, under optimal management practices,farmers will economically obtain acceptable yields (6.6 t ha-1). The results also indicated that the high-risk windows in the future will be lengthening from 12 to 33 days in different climate types. Rising temperatures in cold regions as a result of global warming would provide better climate situations for maize growth, so that under optimistic emission scenarios and optimal management practices, farmers will be able to boost grain yield up to 9.2 t ha-1. Overall, it is concluded that farmers in hot and temperate regions need to be persuaded to choose optimal sowing dates and new maize cultivars which are well adapted to each climate to reduce heat stress risk and to shift maize production to cold regions.},
}
@article {pmid35462588,
year = {2022},
author = {Baloch, ZA and Tan, Q and Fahad, S},
title = {Correction to: Analyzing farm households' perception and choice of adaptation strategies towards climate change impacts: a case study of vulnerable households in an emerging Asian region.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-022-20373-0},
pmid = {35462588},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid35462251,
year = {2022},
author = {Doll, C and Polyakov, M and Pannell, DJ and Burton, MP},
title = {Rethinking urban park irrigation under climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {314},
number = {},
pages = {115012},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.115012},
pmid = {35462251},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change is forcing cities to reassess their water management practices, particularly for water-intensive applications like park irrigation. If water scarcity requires governments to deviate from current park management norms and allocate less water towards parks, it is essential that park managers design spaces that maintain community wellbeing. We apply the hedonic pricing method and use detailed park management information to assess the value of parks in a region where local climatic conditions require extensive irrigation to keep turf green, and where climate change is further constraining water supplies. Here we show that the impacts of irrigation on the value of parks differ depending on the dwelling types of the nearby housing populations that they serve. In most cases, the convention that parks have to be irrigated to deliver ecosystem services to the public is supported. However, we find that non-irrigated park areas are also valued positively by nearby apartment dwellers. Accelerating rates of urbanization and shifts towards high-density living may support the development of more diverse park options that are less water-intensive. Increased visibility of these alternative park forms, which could include more areas of native vegetation that do not require irrigation, may subsequently influence public expectations for landscape design.},
}
@article {pmid35460775,
year = {2022},
author = {Guo, X and Liu, H and Ngosong, C and Li, B and Wang, Q and Zhou, W and Nie, M},
title = {Response of plant functional traits to nitrogen enrichment under climate change: A meta-analysis.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155379},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155379},
pmid = {35460775},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Soil nitrogen (N) supply is essential in influencing plant functional traits and regulating plant morphological and physiological performances. The effects of N on plants can be altered by complex environmental changes. However, conflicting results have been reported on the co-effects of N and climatic variables on plant performance, which may be attributed to differences in experiment setting and approach, e.g., ecosystem, duration, plant type, and fertilizer form. To elucidate the general response of plant performance to increasing soil N availability under climate change, a global meta-analysis was conducted to synthesize 380 publications studying interactions of N enrichment and four climatic variables (e.g., elevated atmospheric CO2 (eCO2), drought, precipitation, and warming) on performance-related traits (e.g., size, nutrient, and fitness). Results showed that N enrichment increased shoot and root size, nutrient, and fitness of terrestrial plants. The synergistic interactions of N × eCO2 and antagonistic interactions of N × drought were found on plant overall performance (mainly on plant size), indicating that the N effects can be aggregated by eCO2 and mitigated by drought. The co-effects of N and climatic variables on plant overall performance rely on experiment approach, duration, ecosystem type, or plant functional type. Synergistic interactions of N × eCO2 and antagonistic interactions of N × drought, N × precipitation, and N × warming on plant overall performance were found mainly in greenhouse experiments and short-term experiments (duration ≤ one year), but not in the field or longer-term experiments. The results highlighted that N effects on plant performance were not isolated, but can be modified by climate changes. These findings can improve the future modeling predictions of plant performance under complex climate change and provide a fundamental basis for N management strategies to optimize plant performance in production, N nutrient, and reproduction while enabling sustainability of plant production systems.},
}
@article {pmid35459742,
year = {2022},
author = {Quitmann, C and Sauerborn, R and Danquah, I and Herrmann, A},
title = {'Climate change mitigation is a hot topic, but not when it comes to hospitals': a qualitative study on hospital stakeholders' perception and sense of responsibility for greenhouse gas emissions.},
journal = {Journal of medical ethics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/medethics-2021-107971},
pmid = {35459742},
issn = {1473-4257},
abstract = {OBJECTIVE: Physical and mental well-being are threatened by climate change. Since hospitals in high-income countries contribute significantly to climate change through their greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, the medical ethics imperative of 'do no harm' imposes a responsibility on hospitals to decarbonise. We investigated hospital stakeholders' perceptions of hospitals' GHG emissions sources and the sense of responsibility for reducing GHG emissions in a hospital.<br><br>METHODS: We conducted 29 semistructured qualitative expert interviews at one of Germany's largest hospitals, Heidelberg University Hospital. Five patients, 12 clinical and 12 administrative employees on different levels were selected using purposive maximum variation sampling. Interviews were transcribed verbatim and analysed using the framework approach.<br><br>RESULTS: Concerning GHG emissions, hospital stakeholders perceived energy and waste as most relevant emission sources followed by mobility. Climate change mitigation in general was considered as important. However, in their role as patients or employees, hospital stakeholders felt less responsible for climate change mitigation. They saw providing best possible medical care to be the top priority in hospitals and were often concerned that patients' health could be jeopardised by climate change mitigation measures.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Perceptions of most important emission sources did not coincide with those in literature, highlighting the need to inform stakeholders, for instance, about pharmaceuticals as important emission source. A frequently perceived conflict between reducing emissions and providing high-quality medical care could be eased, if reducing emissions would not only be justified as a contribution to mitigation, but also as a contribution to preventing ill health-a basic principle of medical ethics.},
}
@article {pmid35458135,
year = {2022},
author = {Caughey, A and Kilabuk, P and Sanguya, I and Doucette, M and Jaw, M and Allen, J and Maniapik, L and Koonoo, T and Joy, W and Shirley, J and Sargeant, JM and Møller, H and Harper, SL},
title = {Niqivut Silalu Asijjipalliajuq: Building a Community-Led Food Sovereignty and Climate Change Research Program in Nunavut, Canada.},
journal = {Nutrients},
volume = {14},
number = {8},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/nu14081572},
pmid = {35458135},
issn = {2072-6643},
support = {N/A/CAPMC/CIHR/Canada ; },
abstract = {The history of health research in Inuit communities in Canada recounts unethical and colonizing research practices. Recent decades have witnessed profound changes that have advanced ethical and community-driven research, yet much work remains. Inuit have called for research reform in Inuit Nunangat, most recently creating the National Inuit Strategy on Research (NISR) as a framework to support this work. The present study details the process undertaken to create a research program guided by the NISR to address food security, nutrition, and climate change in Inuit Nunangat. Four main elements were identified as critical to supporting the development of a meaningful and authentic community-led program of research: developing Inuit-identified research questions that are relevant and important to Inuit communities; identifying Inuit expertise to answer these questions; re-envisioning and innovating research methodologies that are meaningful to Inuit and reflect Inuit knowledge and societal values; and identifying approaches to mobilizing knowledge that can be applied to support food security and climate change adaptation. We also identify considerations for funding agencies to support the meaningful development of Inuit-led research proposals, including aligning funding with community priorities, reconsidering who the researchers are, and investing in community infrastructure. Our critical reflection on the research program development process provides insight into community-led research that can support Inuit self-determination in research, enhance local ethical conduct of research, privilege Inuit knowledge systems, and align Inuit-identified research priorities with research funding opportunities in health research. While we focus on Inuit-led research in Nunavut, Canada, these insights may be of interest more broadly to Indigenous health research.},
}
@article {pmid35457768,
year = {2022},
author = {André, H and Gonzalez Holguera, J and Depoux, A and Pasquier, J and Haller, DM and Rodondi, PY and Schwarz, J and Senn, N},
title = {Talking about Climate Change and Environmental Degradation with Patients in Primary Care: A Cross-Sectional Survey on Knowledge, Potential Domains of Action and Points of View of General Practitioners.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19084901},
pmid = {35457768},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {PURPOSE: General practitioners (GPs) could play a role in mitigating climate change by raising awareness of its impact on human health and implementing changes to improve population health and decreasing environmental footprints. The aim of this study was to assess GPs' knowledge and perspectives about the health impacts of climate change.<br><br>METHOD: A questionnaire was sent to 1972 GPs in the French-speaking part of Switzerland. Knowledge of the impact of environmental degradations and climate change on health and willingness to address climate change with patients, to be exemplary and to act as role models were surveyed as well as demographic characteristics of GPs.<br><br>RESULTS: Respondents (N = 497) expressed a high level of self-reported knowledge regarding climate change, although it was lower for more specific topics, such as planetary health or health-environment co-benefits. Participants mostly agreed that it is necessary to adapt clinical practice to the health impacts of climate change and that they have a role in providing information on climate change and its links to human health.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Most of the GPs were concerned about environmental and climate degradation. However, this study revealed a gap between the willingness of GPs to integrate the impact of climate change on health into their clinical activities and their lack of overall knowledge and scientific evidence on effective interventions. A promising way forward may be to develop co-benefit interventions adapted to the clinical setting on diet, active mobility and connecting with nature.},
}
@article {pmid35457766,
year = {2022},
author = {Hajat, S and Gampe, D and Sarsour, A and Abuzerr, S},
title = {Climate Change and Diarrhoeal Disease Burdens in the Gaza Strip, Palestine: Health Impacts of 1.5 °C and 2 °C Global Warming Scenarios.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19084898},
pmid = {35457766},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {The Gaza Strip is one of the world's most fragile states and faces substantial public health and development challenges. Climate change is intensifying existing environmental problems, including increased water stress. We provide the first published assessment of climate impacts on diarrhoeal disease in Gaza and project future health burdens under climate change scenarios. Over 1 million acute diarrhoea cases presenting to health facilities during 2009-2020 were linked to weekly temperature and rainfall data and associations assessed using time-series regression analysis employing distributed lag non-linear models (DLNMs). Models were applied to climate projections to estimate future burdens of diarrhoeal disease under 2 °C and 1.5 °C global warming scenarios. There was a significantly raised risk of diarrhoeal disease associated with both mean weekly temperature above 19 °C and total weekly rainfall below 6 mm in children 0-3 years. A heat effect was also present in subjects aged > 3 years. Annual diarrhoea cases attributable to heat and low rainfall was 2209.0 and 4070.3, respectively, in 0-3-year-olds. In both age-groups, heat-related cases could rise by over 10% under a 2 °C global warming level compared to baseline, but would be limited to below 2% under a 1.5 °C scenario. Mean rises of 0.9% and 2.7% in diarrhoea cases associated with reduced rainfall are projected for the 1.5 °C and 2 °C scenarios, respectively, in 0-3-year-olds. Climate change impacts will add to the considerable development challenges already faced by the people of Gaza. Substantial health gains could be achieved if global warming is limited to 1.5 °C.},
}
@article {pmid35457530,
year = {2022},
author = {Schneider, S and von Winning, A and Grüger, F and Anderer, S and Hoffner, R and Anderson, L},
title = {Physical Activity, Climate Change and Health-A Conceptual Model for Planning Public Health Action at the Organizational Level.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {8},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19084664},
pmid = {35457530},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {Climate change is linked to health risks for both professional and amateur athletes. Sports organisations will need to react to these developments. The starting point for this concept paper is a summary of the sport-specific health risks currently under discussion: increasing heatwaves, growing numbers of extreme weather events, rising UV, ozone and allergen levels and the spread of infectious diseases. Based on the current state of research, a conceptual model is developed to reduce these climate-related health risks in sports at organisational level. Given the wide variety of predicted direct and indirect health risks linked to climate change, the "sports, clubs and climate change model" (SC3 model) presented here follows a stepwise risk-specific approach using technical, organisational and person-related measures. The SC3 model also includes cross-cutting measures that have an overarching effect comprising training, warning systems, coordination and evaluation measures. The SC3 model makes it possible to develop prevention plans, both at national level for central associations and at the regional level of local organisations and clubs. It can be applied to typical settings (e.g., training or competition at elite or amateur levels) and target groups (e.g., athletes, spectators, referees and club officials).},
}
@article {pmid35453787,
year = {2022},
author = {Mu, C and Guo, X and Chen, Y},
title = {Impact of Global Climate Change on the Distribution Range and Niche Dynamics of Eleutherodactylus planirostrish in China.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11040588},
pmid = {35453787},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {U21A20192//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 31901221//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; XDB31000000//Strategic Priority Research Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences/ ; 2019QZKK0303//Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program/ ; },
abstract = {Species distribution models (SDMs) have become indispensable tools in risk assessment and conservation decision-making for invasive species. Eleutherodactylus planirostris has a strong dispersal ability, and the main route of introduction to new regions is likely transport via seedlings. This species is understood as one of the foremost successful invasive amphibian species with direct or indirect negative impacts in multiple regions. In this study, we used MaxEnt to assess suitable areas for this species under current and future climates globally and in China. We considered seven climatic variables, three timepoints (current, 2050, and 2070), and three CO2 emission scenarios. Annual mean temperature, precipitation of the driest month, and annual precipitation were the most important variables predicting E. planirostris occurrence. This species has a much larger suitable habitat area in China than reflected by the current distribution, so the species is likely to spread from the Pearl River Delta to surrounding areas. Under future warming, its invasive range will expand northward in China. In conclusion, this study assessed the risk of invasion of this species and made recommendations for management and prevention.},
}
@article {pmid35453751,
year = {2022},
author = {Kougioumoutzis, K and Kaloveloni, A and Petanidou, T},
title = {Assessing Climate Change Impacts on Island Bees: The Aegean Archipelago.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11040552},
pmid = {35453751},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {MIS 376737//European Social Fund/ ; MIS 376737//THALES (Greece)/ ; },
abstract = {Pollinators' climate change impact assessments focus mainly on mainland regions. Thus, we are unaware how island species might fare in a rapidly changing world. This is even more pressing in the Mediterranean Basin, a global biodiversity hotspot. In Greece, a regional pollinator hotspot, climate change research is in its infancy and the insect Wallacean shortfall still remains unaddressed. In a species distribution modelling framework, we used the most comprehensive occurrence database for bees in Greece to locate the bee species richness hotspots in the Aegean, and investigated whether these might shift in the future due to climate change and assessed the Natura 2000 protected areas network effectiveness. Range contractions are anticipated for most taxa, becoming more prominent over time. Species richness hotspots are currently located in the NE Aegean and in highly disturbed sites. They will shift both altitudinally and latitudinally in the future. A small proportion of these hotspots are currently included in the Natura 2000 protected areas network and this proportion is projected to decrease in the coming decades. There is likely an extinction debt present in the Aegean bee communities that could result to pollination network collapse. There is a substantial conservation gap in Greece regarding bees and a critical re-assessment of the established Greek protected areas network is needed, focusing on areas identified as bee diversity hotspots over time.},
}
@article {pmid35453699,
year = {2022},
author = {Kumari, P and Wani, IA and Khan, S and Verma, S and Mushtaq, S and Gulnaz, A and Paray, BA},
title = {Modeling of Valeriana wallichii Habitat Suitability and Niche Dynamics in the Himalayan Region under Anticipated Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11040498},
pmid = {35453699},
issn = {2079-7737},
abstract = {An increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases necessitates the use of species distribution models (SDMs) in modeling suitable habitats and projecting the impact of climate change on the future range shifts of the species. The present study is based on the BIOMOD ensemble approach to map the currently suitable habitats and predict the impact of climate change on the niche shift of Valeriana wallichii. We also studied its niche dynamics using the ecospat package in R software. Values of the area under curve (AUC) and true skill statistics (TSS) were highly significant (>0.9), which shows that the model has run better. From 19 different bioclimatic variables, only 8 were retained after correlation, among which bio_17 (precipitation of driest quarter), bio_1 (annual mean temperature), and bio_12 (annual mean precipitation) received the highest gain. Under future climate change, the suitable habitats will be significantly contracted by -94% (under representative concentration pathway RCP 8.5 for 2070) and -80.22% (under RCP 8.5 for 2050). There is a slight increase in habitat suitability by +16.69% (RCP 4.5 for 2050) and +8.9% (RCP 8.5 for 2050) under future climate change scenarios. The equivalency and similarity tests of niche dynamics show that the habitat suitability for current and future climatic scenarios is comparable but not identical. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) analysis shows that climatic conditions will be severely affected between current and future scenarios. From this study, we conclude that the habitats of Valeriana wallichii are highly vulnerable to climate shifts. This study can be used to alleviate the threat to this plant by documenting the unexplored populations, restoring the degraded habitats through rewilding, and launching species recovery plans in the natural habitats.},
}
@article {pmid35453696,
year = {2022},
author = {Charitonidou, M and Kougioumoutzis, K and Karypidou, MC and Halley, JM},
title = {'Fly to a Safer North': Distributional Shifts of the Orchid Ophrys insectifera L. Due to Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11040497},
pmid = {35453696},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2359//Hellenic Foundation for Research and Innovation/ ; },
abstract = {Numerous orchid species around the world have already been affected by the ongoing climate change, displaying phenological alterations and considerable changes to their distributions. The fly orchid (Ophrys insectifera L.) is a well-known and distinctive Ophrys species in Europe, with a broad distribution across the continent. This study explores the effects of climate change on the range of O. insectifera, using a species distribution models (SDMs) framework that encompasses different climatic models and scenarios for the near- and long-term future. The species' environmentally suitable area is projected to shift northwards (as expected) but downhill (contrary to usual expectations) in the future. In addition, an overall range contraction is predicted under all investigated combinations of climatic models and scenarios. While this is moderate overall, it includes some regions of severe loss and other areas with major gains. Specifically, O. insectifera is projected to experience major area loss in its southern reaches (the Balkans, Italy and Spain), while it will expand its northern limits to North Europe, with the UK, Scandinavia, and the Baltic countries exhibiting the largest gains.},
}
@article {pmid35450418,
year = {2022},
author = {Irham, I and Fachrista, IA and Masyhuri, M and Suryantini, A},
title = {Climate Change Adaptation Strategies by Indonesian Vegetable Farmers: Comparative Study of Organic and Conventional Farmers.},
journal = {TheScientificWorldJournal},
volume = {2022},
number = {},
pages = {3590769},
doi = {10.1155/2022/3590769},
pmid = {35450418},
issn = {1537-744X},
abstract = {Some experts believe that organic agriculture is more adaptable compared to conventional agriculture. Accordingly, the purpose of this study is to assess organic and conventional farmers' perception and adaptation to climate change and analyse the factors that influence such decisions. The survey was conducted in Java, involving 112 organic farmers and 112 conventional farmers. The chi-square test was used to differentiate climate change perceptions and adaptation strategies applied by farmers. The factors that influenced the selection of the adaptation strategies were analysed using logistic regression. The results of analysis found that organic farmers have more precise perceptions of climate change than that of conventional farmers. Organic farmers more commonly implement mixed cropping, crop rotation, increasing organic manure, using shade, and changing irrigation techniques as their adaptation strategies, while conventional farmers more commonly prefer to adjust planting and harvesting dates and use traditional climate prediction called Pranata Mangsa. The selection of farmers' adaptation strategies is influenced by age, education, experience, distance to extension services, access to credit, information about climate and farmer groups, as well as farmers' perceptions of climate change. The results of the study recommend that policy makers increase farmers' adaptive capacity through investment in education and institutions to support climate change adaptation.},
}
@article {pmid35450305,
year = {2022},
author = {Chain, GS and Chain, BM and Pelliccia, FB},
title = {Climate Change Affects Health: Are We Listening?.},
journal = {Global pediatric health},
volume = {9},
number = {},
pages = {2333794X221091799},
doi = {10.1177/2333794X221091799},
pmid = {35450305},
issn = {2333-794X},
}
@article {pmid35449443,
year = {2022},
author = {Numata, S and Yamaguchi, K and Shimizu, M and Sakurai, G and Morimoto, A and Alias, N and Noor Azman, NZ and Hosaka, T and Satake, A},
title = {Impacts of climate change on reproductive phenology in tropical rainforests of Southeast Asia.},
journal = {Communications biology},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {311},
pmid = {35449443},
issn = {2399-3642},
support = {21H04781//MEXT | Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS)/ ; },
abstract = {In humid forests in Southeast Asia, many species from dozens of plant families flower gregariously and fruit synchronously at irregular multi-year intervals1-4. Little is known about how climate change will impact these community-wide mass reproductive events. Here, we perform a comprehensive analysis of reproductive phenology and its environmental drivers based on a monthly reproductive phenology record from 210 species in 41 families in Peninsular Malaysia. We find that the proportion of flowering and fruiting species decreased from 1976 to 2010. Using a phenology model, we find that 57% of species in the Dipterocarpaceae family respond to both drought and low-temperature cues for flowering. We show that low-temperature flowering cues will become less available in the future in the RCP2.6 and 8.5 scenarios, leading to decreased flowering opportunities of these species in a wide region from Thailand to the island of Borneo. Our results highlight the vulnerability of and variability in phenological responses across species in tropical ecosystems that differ from temperate and boreal biomes.},
}
@article {pmid35449002,
year = {2022},
author = {Xia, C and Huang, Y and Qi, Y and Yang, X and Xue, T and Hu, R and Deng, H and Bussmann, RW and Yu, S},
title = {Developing long-term conservation priority planning for medicinal plants in China by combining conservation status with diversity hotspot analyses and climate change prediction.},
journal = {BMC biology},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {89},
pmid = {35449002},
issn = {1741-7007},
support = {32071654//national natural science foundation of china/ ; 2019HJ2096001006//The Biodiversity Survey and Assessment Project of the Ministry of Ecology and Environment, China/ ; 8-3-7-20-9//Key Higher Plant Investigation and Conservation Effectiveness Evaluation Program of Ministry of Ecology and Environment of China/ ; GZXK-Z-20-69//guangxi administration of traditional chinese medicine/ ; Caishe[2018]43//national administration of traditional chinese medicine/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Medicinal plants have always played an important role in the history of human health. However, the populations and sustainable use of medicinal plants have been severely affected by human activities and climate change. Little is known about the current conservation status and distribution pattern of medicinal plants. In this study, based on accurate geographical distribution information of 9756 medicinal plants, we identified diversity hotspots and conservation gaps, evaluated conservation effectiveness of nature reserves, and predicted suitable habitat areas for medicinal plants in China to provide scientific guidance for their long-term conservation and sustainable use.<br><br>RESULTS: A total of 150 diversity hotspot grid cells, mainly concentrated in central and southern China, were identified. These only accounted for 5% of the total distribution area but contained 96% of the medicinal plants of the country. The hotspot grid cells included all traditional hotspot areas, but we also detected three new hotspots, namely Mufu-Lushan Mountains, Tianshan-Altai Mountains, and Changbai Mountains. The current national and provincial nature reserves protect 125 hotspot grid cells, which harbor 94% of all medicinal plants. However, 25 hotspot grid cells, distributed in the Tianshan-Altai Mountains and Hengduan Mountains, are located outside the national and provincial nature reserves. An analysis of the predicted effects of climate change indicated that the suitable habitat areas will shift from southern to northern China, and that southern China will face a considerable loss of suitable habitat areas, while the east and west parts of China will encompass remarkably more suitable habitat areas in the future.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The current conservation networks have achieved high conservation effectiveness with regard to medicinal plants; however, the conservation gaps we identified should not be neglected, and conservation planning needs to take into account the predicted shifts of some hotspots of medicinal plants due to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35446706,
year = {2022},
author = {McCool, WC and Codding, BF and Vernon, KB and Wilson, KM and Yaworsky, PM and Marwan, N and Kennett, DJ},
title = {Climate change-induced population pressure drives high rates of lethal violence in the Prehispanic central Andes.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {119},
number = {17},
pages = {e2117556119},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2117556119},
pmid = {35446706},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {DDRI No. 1934521//NSF | SBE | Division of Social and Economic Sciences (SES)/ ; },
abstract = {SignificanceWarfare and homicide are pervasive features of the human experience, yet scholars struggle to understand the conditions that promote violence. Climate and conflict research has revealed many linkages between climate change and human violence; however, studies often produce contrary findings, and the driving mechanisms remain difficult to identify. We suggest a solution is to identify conditions producing resource scarcity, which are necessarily a combination of climate and population dynamics. We examine patterns of lethal violence in the Prehispanic Andes and find that favorable climate conditions fostered rapid population growth within a circumscribed landscape, resulting in chronic warfare. Our work suggests that an increasingly unstable climate may promote future violence, where favorable climate regimes incentivize population growth and attendant resource strain.},
}
@article {pmid35445402,
year = {2022},
author = {Oomen, RA and Hutchings, JA},
title = {Genomic reaction norms inform predictions of plastic and adaptive responses to climate change.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.13707},
pmid = {35445402},
issn = {1365-2656},
abstract = {Genomic reaction norms represent the range of gene expression phenotypes (usually mRNA transcript levels) expressed by a genotype along an environmental gradient. Reaction norms derived from common garden experiments are powerful approaches for disentangling plastic and adaptive responses to environmental change in natural populations. By treating gene expression as a phenotype in itself, genomic reaction norms represent invaluable tools for exploring causal mechanisms underlying organismal responses to climate change across multiple levels of biodiversity. Our goal is to provide the context, framework, and motivation for applying genomic reaction norms to study the responses of natural populations to climate change. Here, we describe the utility of integrating genomics with common-garden-gradient experiments under a reaction norm analytical framework to answer fundamental questions about phenotypic plasticity, local adaptation, their interaction (i.e., genetic variation in plasticity), and future adaptive potential. An experimental and analytical framework for constructing and analyzing genomic reaction norms is presented within the context of polygenic climate change responses of structured populations with gene flow. Intended for a broad eco-evo readership, we first briefly review adaptation with gene flow and the importance of understanding the genomic basis and spatial scale of adaptation for conservation and management of structured populations under anthropogenic change. Then, within a high-dimensional reaction norm framework, we illustrate how to distinguish plastic, differentially expressed (difference in reaction norm intercepts), and differentially plastic (difference in reaction norm slopes) genes, highlighting areas of opportunity for applying these concepts. We conclude by discussing how genomic reaction norms can be incorporated into a holistic framework to understand the eco-evolutionary dynamics of climate change responses from molecules to ecosystems. We aim to inspire researchers to integrate gene expression measurements into common-garden experimental designs to investigate the genomics of climate change responses as sequencing costs become increasingly accessible.},
}
@article {pmid35444312,
year = {2022},
author = {Thompson, B and Petrić Howe, N and Bundell, S},
title = {We could still limit global warming to just 2˚C - but there's an 'if'.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-01100-8},
pmid = {35444312},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35444282,
year = {2022},
author = {Outhwaite, CL and McCann, P and Newbold, T},
title = {Agriculture and climate change are reshaping insect biodiversity worldwide.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35444282},
issn = {1476-4687},
abstract = {Several previous studies have investigated changes in insect biodiversity, with some highlighting declines and others showing turnover in species composition without net declines1-5. Although research has shown that biodiversity changes are driven primarily by land-use change and increasingly by climate change6,7, the potential for interaction between these drivers and insect biodiversity on the global scale remains unclear. Here we show that the interaction between indices of historical climate warming and intensive agricultural land use is associated with reductions of almost 50% in the abundance and 27% in the number of species within insect assemblages relative to those in less-disturbed habitats with lower rates of historical climate warming. These patterns are particularly evident in the tropical realm, whereas some positive responses of biodiversity to climate change occur in non-tropical regions in natural habitats. A high availability of nearby natural habitat often mitigates reductions in insect abundance and richness associated with agricultural land use and substantial climate warming but only in low-intensity agricultural systems. In such systems, in which high levels (75% cover) of natural habitat are available, abundance and richness were reduced by 7% and 5%, respectively, compared with reductions of 63% and 61% in places where less natural habitat is present (25% cover). Our results show that insect biodiversity will probably benefit from mitigating climate change, preserving natural habitat within landscapes and reducing the intensity of agriculture.},
}
@article {pmid35444222,
year = {2022},
author = {García-Escárzaga, A and Gutiérrez-Zugasti, I and Marín-Arroyo, AB and Fernandes, R and Núñez de la Fuente, S and Cuenca-Solana, D and Iriarte, E and Simões, C and Martín-Chivelet, J and González-Morales, MR and Roberts, P},
title = {Human forager response to abrupt climate change at 8.2 ka on the Atlantic coast of Europe.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {6481},
pmid = {35444222},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {HAR2016-75605-R//Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación/ ; POS_2020_2_0032//Hezkuntza, Hizkuntza Politika Eta Kultura Saila, Eusko Jaurlaritza/ ; SUBSILIENCE ERC-CoG project (grant agreement No. 818299)//HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {The cooling and drying associated with the so-called '8.2 ka event' have long been hypothesized as having sweeping implications for human societies in the Early Holocene, including some of the last Mesolithic hunter-gatherers in Atlantic Europe. Nevertheless, detailed 'on-site' records with which the impacts of broader climate changes on human-relevant environments can be explored have been lacking. Here, we reconstruct sea surface temperatures (SST) from δ18O values measured on subfossil topshells Phorcus lineatus exploited by the Mesolithic human groups that lived at El Mazo cave (N Spain) between 9 and 7.4 ka. Bayesian modelling of 65 radiocarbon dates, in combination with this δ18O data, provide a high-resolution seasonal record of SST, revealing that colder SST during the 8.2 ka event led to changes in the availability of different shellfish species. Intensification in the exploitation of molluscs by humans indicates demographic growth in these Atlantic coastal settings which acted as refugia during this cold event.},
}
@article {pmid35444010,
year = {2022},
author = {Torjesen, I},
title = {Government agrees to brief MPs on climate change after health leaders back hunger striker's demands.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {o1008},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o1008},
pmid = {35444010},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35443992,
year = {2022},
author = {Torjesen, I},
title = {Health leaders urge PM to meet hunger striker's demand that MPs be briefed on climate change.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {377},
number = {},
pages = {o999},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o999},
pmid = {35443992},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35443761,
year = {2022},
author = {Kordas, RL and Pawar, S and Kontopoulos, DG and Woodward, G and O'Gorman, EJ},
title = {Metabolic plasticity can amplify ecosystem responses to global warming.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {2161},
pmid = {35443761},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {PRFB 1401656//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; RG140601//Royal Society/ ; RG140601//Royal Society/ ; NE/M020843/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/M02086X/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/L011840/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/M020843/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; NE/M02086X/1//RCUK | Natural Environment Research Council (NERC)/ ; },
abstract = {Organisms have the capacity to alter their physiological response to warming through acclimation or adaptation, but the consequence of this metabolic plasticity for energy flow through food webs is currently unknown, and a generalisable framework does not exist for modelling its ecosystem-level effects. Here, using temperature-controlled experiments on stream invertebrates from a natural thermal gradient, we show that the ability of organisms to raise their metabolic rate following chronic exposure to warming decreases with increasing body size. Chronic exposure to higher temperatures also increases the acute thermal sensitivity of whole-organismal metabolic rate, independent of body size. A mathematical model parameterised with these findings shows that metabolic plasticity could account for 60% higher ecosystem energy flux with just +2 °C of warming than a traditional model based on ecological metabolic theory. This could explain why long-term warming amplifies ecosystem respiration rates through time in recent mesocosm experiments, and highlights the need to embed metabolic plasticity in predictive models of global warming impacts on ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid35442553,
year = {2022},
author = {Wen, X and Zhao, G and Cheng, X and Chang, G and Dong, X and Lin, X},
title = {Prediction of the potential distribution pattern of the great gerbil (Rhombomys opimus) under climate change based on ensemble modelling.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.6939},
pmid = {35442553},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Rodent infestation is a global biological problem. Rodents are widely distributed worldwide, cause harm to agriculture, forestry, and animal husbandry production and spread a variety of natural focal diseases. In this study, 10 ecological niche models were combined into an ensemble model to assess the distribution of suitable habitats for Rhombomys opimus and to predict the impact of future climate change on the distribution of R. opimus under low, medium and high socioeconomic pathway scenarios of CMIP6.<br><br>RESULTS: In general, with the exception of extreme climates (2090-SSP585), the current and potential future ranges of R. opimus habitat are maintained at approximately 220×104 km2 . In combination with human footprint data, the potential distribution area of R. opimus was found to coincide with areas with a moderate human footprint. In addition, this distribution area will gradually shift to higher-latitude regions, and the suitable habitat area of R. opimus will gradually shrink in China, Iran, Afghanistan, and Turkmenistan while increasing in Mongolia and Kazakhstan.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: These results help identify the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of R. opimus and provide supportive information for the development of management strategies to protect against future ecological and human health risks. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid35440555,
year = {2022},
author = {Bailey, LD and van de Pol, M and Adriaensen, F and Arct, A and Barba, E and Bellamy, PE and Bonamour, S and Bouvier, JC and Burgess, MD and Charmantier, A and Cusimano, C and Doligez, B and Drobniak, SM and Dubiec, A and Eens, M and Eeva, T and Ferns, PN and Goodenough, AE and Hartley, IR and Hinsley, SA and Ivankina, E and Juškaitis, R and Kempenaers, B and Kerimov, AB and Lavigne, C and Leivits, A and Mainwaring, MC and Matthysen, E and Nilsson, JÅ and Orell, M and Rytkönen, S and Senar, JC and Sheldon, BC and Sorace, A and Stenning, MJ and Török, J and van Oers, K and Vatka, E and Vriend, SJG and Visser, ME},
title = {Bird populations most exposed to climate change are less sensitive to climatic variation.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {2112},
pmid = {35440555},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {The phenology of many species shows strong sensitivity to climate change; however, with few large scale intra-specific studies it is unclear how such sensitivity varies over a species' range. We document large intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity to temperature using laying date information from 67 populations of two co-familial European songbirds, the great tit (Parus major) and blue tit (Cyanistes caeruleus), covering a large part of their breeding range. Populations inhabiting deciduous habitats showed stronger phenological sensitivity than those in evergreen and mixed habitats. However, populations with higher sensitivity tended to have experienced less rapid change in climate over the past decades, such that populations with high phenological sensitivity will not necessarily exhibit the strongest phenological advancement. Our results show that to effectively assess the impact of climate change on phenology across a species' range it will be necessary to account for intra-specific variation in phenological sensitivity, climate change exposure, and the ecological characteristics of a population.},
}
@article {pmid35439258,
year = {2022},
author = {Abdullahi, T and Nitschke, G and Sweijd, N},
title = {Predicting diarrhoea outbreaks with climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e0262008},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0262008},
pmid = {35439258},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to exacerbate diarrhoea outbreaks across the developing world, most notably in Sub-Saharan countries such as South Africa. In South Africa, diseases related to diarrhoea outbreak is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. In this study, we modelled the impacts of climate change on diarrhoea with various machine learning (ML) methods to predict daily outbreak of diarrhoea cases in nine South African provinces.<br><br>METHODS: We applied two deep Learning DL techniques, Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Long-Short term Memory Networks (LSTMs); and a Support Vector Machine (SVM) to predict daily diarrhoea cases over the different South African provinces by incorporating climate information. Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) was used to generate synthetic data which was used to augment the available data-set. Furthermore, Relevance Estimation and Value Calibration (REVAC) was used to tune the parameters of the ML methods to optimize the accuracy of their predictions. Sensitivity analysis was also performed to investigate the contribution of the different climate factors to the diarrhoea prediction method.<br><br>RESULTS: Our results showed that all three ML methods were appropriate for predicting daily diarrhoea cases with respect to the selected climate variables in each South African province. However, the level of accuracy for each method varied across different experiments, with the deep learning methods outperforming the SVM method. Among the deep learning techniques, the CNN method performed best when only real-world data-set was used, while the LSTM method outperformed the other methods when the real-world data-set was augmented with synthetic data. Across the provinces, the accuracy of all three ML methods improved by at least 30 percent when data augmentation was implemented. In addition, REVAC improved the accuracy of the CNN method by about 2.5% in each province. Our parameter sensitivity analysis revealed that the most influential climate variables to be considered when predicting outbreak of diarrhoea in South Africa were precipitation, humidity, evaporation and temperature conditions.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Overall, experiments indicated that the prediction capacity of our DL methods (Convolutional Neural Networks) was found to be superior (with statistical significance) in terms of prediction accuracy across most provinces. This study's results have important implications for the development of automated early warning systems for diarrhoea (and related disease) outbreaks across the globe.},
}
@article {pmid35438534,
year = {2022},
author = {Tiedje, JM and Bruns, MA and Casadevall, A and Criddle, CS and Eloe-Fadrosh, E and Karl, DM and Nguyen, NK and Zhou, J},
title = {Microbes and Climate Change: a Research Prospectus for the Future.},
journal = {mBio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0080022},
doi = {10.1128/mbio.00800-22},
pmid = {35438534},
issn = {2150-7511},
abstract = {Climate change is the most serious challenge facing humanity. Microbes produce and consume three major greenhouse gases-carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide-and some microbes cause human, animal, and plant diseases that can be exacerbated by climate change. Hence, microbial research is needed to help ameliorate the warming trajectory and cascading effects resulting from heat, drought, and severe storms. We present a brief summary of what is known about microbial responses to climate change in three major ecosystems: terrestrial, ocean, and urban. We also offer suggestions for new research directions to reduce microbial greenhouse gases and mitigate the pathogenic impacts of microbes. These include performing more controlled studies on the climate impact on microbial processes, system interdependencies, and responses to human interventions, using microbes and their carbon and nitrogen transformations for useful stable products, improving microbial process data for climate models, and taking the One Health approach to study microbes and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35438387,
year = {2022},
author = {Chang, AY and Tan, AX and Nadeau, KC and Odden, MC},
title = {Aging Hearts in a Hotter, More Turbulent World: The Impacts of Climate Change on the Cardiovascular Health of Older Adults.},
journal = {Current cardiology reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11886-022-01693-6},
pmid = {35438387},
issn = {1534-3170},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change has manifested itself in multiple environmental hazards to human health. Older adults and those living with cardiovascular diseases are particularly susceptible to poor outcomes due to unique social, economic, and physiologic vulnerabilities. This review aims to summarize those vulnerabilities and the resultant impacts of climate-mediated disasters on the heart health of the aging population.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Analyses incorporating a wide variety of environmental data sources have identified increases in cardiovascular risk factors, hospitalizations, and mortality from intensified air pollution, wildfires, heat waves, extreme weather events, rising sea levels, and pandemic disease. Older adults, especially those of low socioeconomic status or belonging to ethnic minority groups, bear a disproportionate health burden from these hazards. The worldwide trends responsible for global warming continue to worsen climate change-mediated natural disasters. As such, additional investigation will be necessary to develop personal and policy-level interventions to protect the cardiovascular wellbeing of our aging population.},
}
@article {pmid35437931,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, D and Li, Z and Wang, X and Wang, L and Li, Y and Liu, D},
title = {Increasing risk of aphids spreading plant viruses in maize fields on both sides of China's Heihe-Tengchong line under climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.6932},
pmid = {35437931},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: In the coming decades, geographical distribution patterns of farmland organisms may undergo drastic changes due to climate change, with significant implications for global food security. In China, Rhopalosiphum maidis and its spread of sugarcane mosaic virus (ScMV) can become an increasingly serious threat to maize (Zea mays) production. We conducted ecological niche modeling for Z. mays, R. maidis, and ScMV under current and future (2041-2060 and 2081-2100) climate scenarios by using MaxEnt software to explore changes in this system.<br><br>RESULTS: The Heihe-Tengchong line (an imaginary separation line of human population density) can divide China into main (east of the line) and secondary (west of the line) habitats for the three species. With climate change, rapid expansion in suitable areas is projected for ScMV and the aphid vector R. maidis. Taking species interactions into consideration, our overlaying analyses show that most areas east of the Heihe-Tengchong line (optimal for maize and suitable for R. maidis) will become increasingly highly suitable for ScMV, suggesting that the prevention and control of this plant virus and its aphid vector in China's main maize-growing areas (e.g., Northeast) will become an increasing challenge in the future.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Climate change will profoundly affect ScMV-vector-maize interactions, which may contribute favorably to invasion of this virus into new areas. Our comprehensive and in-depth analyses on shifts in this multi-species system under climate change provide useful and insightful information for devising strategies for the prevention and control of plant viruses and aphid vectors on maize in the future. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid35437406,
year = {2022},
author = {Borges, PAV and Lamelas-Lopez, L and Stüben, PE and Ros-Prieto, A and Gabriel, R and Boieiro, M and Tsafack, N and Ferreira, MT},
title = {SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the Natural Forest of Azores: II - A survey of exotic arthropods in disturbed forest habitats.},
journal = {Biodiversity data journal},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e81410},
doi = {10.3897/BDJ.10.e81410},
pmid = {35437406},
issn = {1314-2828},
abstract = {Background: The data we present consist of an inventory of exotic arthropods, potentially invasive, collected in exotic and mixed forests and disturbed native forest patches of the Azores Archipelago. The study was carried out between 2019 and 2020 in four islands: Corvo, Flores, Terceira and Santa Maria, where a total of 45 passive flight interception SLAM traps were deployed, during three to six consecutive months. This manuscript is the second contribution of the "SLAM Project - Long Term Ecological Study of the Impacts of Climate Change in the Natural Forest of Azores".<br><br>New information: We provide an inventory of terrestrial arthropods belonging to Arachnida, Diplopoda, Chilopoda and Insecta classes from four Azorean islands. We identified a total of 21,175 specimens, belonging to 20 orders, 93 families and 249 species of arthropods. A total of 125 species are considered introduced, 89 native non-endemic and 35 endemic. We registered 34 new records (nine for Corvo, three for Flores, six for Terceira and 16 for Santa Maria), of which five are new for Azores, being all exotic possibly recently introduced: Dieckmanniellusnitidulus (Gyllenhal, 1838), Gronopsfasciatus Küster, 1851, Hadroplontustrimaculatus (Fabricius, 1775), Hypurusbertrandi (Perris, 1852) (all Coleoptera, Curculionidae) and Cardiocondylamauritanica Forel, 1890 (Hymenoptera, Formicidae). This publication highlights the importance of planted forests and disturbed native forest patches as reservoirs of potentially invasive arthropods and refuges for some rare relict endemic arthropod species.},
}
@article {pmid35436720,
year = {2022},
author = {Xing, Q and Sun, Z and Tao, Y and Shang, J and Miao, S and Xiao, C and Zheng, C},
title = {Projections of future temperature-related cardiovascular mortality under climate change, urbanization and population aging in Beijing, China.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {163},
number = {},
pages = {107231},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2022.107231},
pmid = {35436720},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {Climate change is causing the surface temperature to rise and the extreme weather events to increase in frequency and intensity, which will pose potential threats to the survival and health of residents. Beijing is facing multiple challenges such as coping with climate change, urbanization, and population aging, which puts huge decision-making pressure on decision maker. However, few studies that systematically consider the health effects of climate change, urbanization, and population aging for China. Based on the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) and 13 global climate models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6), this study obtained the temporal and spatial distribution of surface temperature through statistical downscaling methods, and comprehensively explored the independent and comprehensive effects of urbanization and population aging on the projection of future temperature-related cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in the context of climate and population change. The results showed that only improving urbanization can reduce future temperature-related CVD mortality by 1.7-18.3%, and only intensified aging can increase future temperature-related CVD mortality by 48.8-325.9%. Taking into account the improving urbanization and intensified aging, future temperature-related CVD mortality would increase by 44.1-256.6%, and the increase was slightly lower than that of only intensified aging. Therefore, the intensified aging was the biggest disadvantage in tackling climate change, which would obviously magnify the mortality risks of temperature-related CVD in the future. Although the advancement of urbanization would alleviate the adverse effects of the intensified aging population, the mitigation effects would be limited. Even so, Urbanization should be continued to reduce health risks for residents. These findings would contribute to formulate policies related to mitigate climate change and reduce baseline mortality rate (especially the elderly) in international mega-city - Beijing. In addition, relevant departments should improve the medical health care level and optimize the allocation of social resources to better cope with and adapt to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35433284,
year = {2022},
author = {Bartrem, C and von Lindern, I and von Braun, M and Tirima, S},
title = {Climate Change, Conflict, and Resource Extraction: Analyses of Nigerian Artisanal Mining Communities and Ominous Global Trends.},
journal = {Annals of global health},
volume = {88},
number = {1},
pages = {17},
doi = {10.5334/aogh.3547},
pmid = {35433284},
issn = {2214-9996},
abstract = {Background: The 2010 lead poisoning outbreak that claimed the lives of more than 400 children in artisanal gold mining villages in Zamfara, Nigeria is the tragic result of high gold prices, a geologic anomaly, and processing of ores in residential areas. Today, these villages face a growing crisis related to conflict and climate change. While the situation in Zamfara is unparalleled in many ways, the interactions between climate change, conflict, and mining consistently overlap a global scale. The scope of this analysis extends beyond the Nigerian crisis.<br><br>Objectives: Understanding the complexities of challenges faced in Zamfara provides insight into how these issues impact vulnerable communities globally, and which strategies should be considered to solve this wicked problem.<br><br>Methods: Analysis of the relationships between climate change, conflict, and mining in Zamfara and globally via literature review and examination of current events in the Sahel region.<br><br>Findings: Supporting healthy artisanal mining communities, as was prioritized in Zamfara, must be a focus of environmental, health, and mineral management policies. This includes the consideration of multiple environmental health challenges, the protection of vulnerable groups, government-supported formalization programs, and meaningful involvement of local leadership in developing, implementing, and sustaining intervention strategies to enshrine ASM as a poverty reduction, climate change adaptation strategy.<br><br>Conclusions: Rapidly rising metal prices and demand will continue to fuel environmental health crises associated with mining. Given Africa's growing role in the global mineral economy and the massive number of subsistence communities who will continue to be impacted by climate change, strategies that support responsible artisanal mining are both a necessity for preventing future health crises and an opportunity for promoting regional stability and peace.},
}
@article {pmid35432952,
year = {2022},
author = {Huang, KS},
title = {Bilateral emergency export reserve mechanism under climate change.},
journal = {Agriculture &amp; food security},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {27},
doi = {10.1186/s40066-021-00341-6},
pmid = {35432952},
issn = {2048-7010},
abstract = {Consider that multilateral food aid and regional food security mechanisms may incompletely adapt to the challenges of climate change in future practice. This study proposes a framework of bilateral emergency export reserve mechanism to encourage both participating countries to jointly appoint a transnational agribusiness to manage emergency export reserves as a means of fulfilling its corporate social responsibility (CSR). This mechanism has the features of simplified negotiation, more transparent operating procedures, along with reciprocity in bilateral cooperation, which would provide grain importing countries with a higher degree of safeguarding food security.},
}
@article {pmid35432937,
year = {2022},
author = {Pawluk, M and Fujiwara, M and Martinez-Andrade, F},
title = {Climate change linked to functional homogenization of a subtropical estuarine system.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {12},
number = {4},
pages = {e8783},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.8783},
pmid = {35432937},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Climate change causes marine species to shift and expand their distributions, often leading to changes in species diversity. While increased biodiversity is often assumed to confer positive benefits on ecosystem functioning, many examples have shown that the relationship is specific to the ecosystem and function studied and is often driven by functional composition and diversity. In the northwestern Gulf of Mexico, tropical species expansion was shown to have increased estuarine fish and invertebrate diversity; however, it is not yet known how those increases have affected functional diversity. To address this knowledge gap, two metrics of functional diversity, functional richness (FRic) and functional dispersion (FDis), were estimated in each year for a 38-year study period, for each of the eight major bays along the Texas coast. Then, the community-weighted mean (CWM) trait values for each of the functional traits are calculated to assess how functional composition has changed through time. Finally, principal component analysis (PCA) was used to identify species contributing most to changing functional diversity. We found significant increases in log-functional richness in both spring and fall, and significant decreases in functional dispersion in spring, suggesting that although new functional types are entering the bays, assemblages are becoming more dominated by similar functional types. Community-weighted trait means showed significant increases in the relative abundance of traits associated with large, long-lived, higher trophic level species, suggesting an increase in periodic and equilibrium life-history strategists within the bays. PCA identified mainly native sciaenid species as contributing most to functional diversity trends although several tropical species also show increasing trends through time. We conclude that the climate-driven species expansion in the northwestern Gulf of Mexico led to a decrease in functional dispersion due to increasing relative abundance of species with similar life-history characteristics, and thus the communities have become more functionally homogeneous.},
}
@article {pmid35432785,
year = {2022},
author = {Massazza, A and Ardino, V and Fioravanzo, RE},
title = {Climate change, trauma and mental health in Italy: a scoping review.},
journal = {European journal of psychotraumatology},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {1-16},
doi = {10.1080/20008198.2022.2046374},
pmid = {35432785},
issn = {2000-8066},
abstract = {Background: Climate change is having significant impacts on health and mental health across Europe and globally. Such effects are likely to be more severe in climate change hotspots such as the Mediterranean region, including Italy.<br><br>Objective: To review existing literature on the relationship between climate change and mental health in Italy, with a particular focus on trauma and PTSD.<br><br>Methods: A scoping review methodology was used. We followed guidance for scoping reviews and the PRISMA Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) checklist. We searched for literature in MEDLINE, Global Health, Embase and PsycINFO. Following screening, data was extracted from individual papers and a quality assessment was conducted. Given the heterogeneity of studies, findings were summarized narratively.<br><br>Results: We identified 21 original research articles investigating the relationship between climate change and mental health in Italy. Climate change stressors (heat and heatwaves in particular) were found to have several negative effects on various mental health outcomes, such as a higher risk of mortality among people with mental health conditions, suicide and suicidal behaviour and psychiatric morbidity (e.g. psychiatric hospitalization and symptoms of mental health conditions). However, there is little research on the relationship between climate change and trauma or PTSD in the Italian context.<br><br>Conclusions: More attention and resources should be directed towards understanding the mental health implications of climate change to prevent, promote, and respond to the mental health needs of Italy and the wider Mediterranean region.<br><br>HIGHLIGHTS: • Climate change stressors in Italy were found to have detrimental impacts on various mental health outcomes, such as psychiatric mortality and morbidity. • Little research on the relationship between climate change stressors and PTSD exists in Italy.},
}
@article {pmid35431378,
year = {2022},
author = {Cheval, S and Bulai, A and Croitoru, AE and Dorondel, Ș and Micu, D and Mihăilă, D and Sfîcă, L and Tișcovschi, A},
title = {Climate change perception in Romania.},
journal = {Theoretical and applied climatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-20},
doi = {10.1007/s00704-022-04041-4},
pmid = {35431378},
issn = {0177-798X},
abstract = {In the last decades, anthropogenic drivers have significantly influenced the natural climate variability of Earth's atmosphere. Climate change has become a subject of major interest for different levels of our society, such as national governments, businesses, local administration, or citizens. While national and local policies propose mitigation and adaptation strategies for different sectors, public perception is a key component of any implementation plan. This study investigates the CC perception in Romania, based on a national-scale online survey performed in the spring of 2020, aiming to outline the prominence of environmental and CC issues, level of information and interest, perceived causes, changes perceived in meteorological phenomena at the regional scale, perceived impacts, and the psychological representation of the CC. The study investigates single causal factors of perception. We found that particularly (i) the regional differences on climate change intensity strongly bias the perception of CC causes; (ii) age is very likely to influence the acceptance of CC, the importance of environmental issues, and the levels of information and interest; while (iii) age, gender, and place of residence (rural-urban) are very likely to control the changes perceived in the occurrence of various meteorological phenomena, and their impact. This research is the first statistically relevant analysis (± 4%, statistical significance) developed at national and regional scales and the only study of climate change perception performed during the COVID-19 pandemic in Romania. Its results may represent the baseline for more in-depth research.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s00704-022-04041-4.},
}
@article {pmid35429140,
year = {2022},
author = {Furlan, E and Derepasko, D and Torresan, S and Pham, HV and Fogarin, S and Critto, A},
title = {Ecosystem services at risk in Italy from coastal inundation under extreme sea level scenarios up to 2050: a spatially resolved approach supporting climate change adaptation.},
journal = {Integrated environmental assessment and management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ieam.4620},
pmid = {35429140},
issn = {1551-3793},
abstract = {According to the latest projections of the IPCC, at the end of the century, coastal zones and low-lying ecosystems will be increasingly threatened by rising global mean sea levels. In order to support integrated coastal zone management and advance the basic "source-pathway-receptor-consequence" approach focused on traditional receptors (e.g. population, infrastructure, economy), a novel risk framework is proposed able to evaluate potential risks of loss or degradation of ecosystem services (ESs) due to projected extreme sea level scenarios in the Italian coast. Three risk scenarios for the reference period (1969-2010) and future time frame up to 2050 under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 are developed by integrating extreme water-level projections related to changing climate conditions, with vulnerability information about the topography, distance from coastlines, and presence of artificial protections. A risk assessment is then performed considering the potential effects of the spatial-temporal variability of inundations and land use on the supply level and spatial distribution of ESs. The results of the analysis are summarized into a spatially-explicit risk index, useful to rank coastal areas more prone to ESs losses or degradation due to coastal inundation at the national scale. Overall, the Northern Adriatic coast is scored at high risk of ESs loss or degradation in the future scenario. Other small coastal strips with medium risk scores are the Eastern Puglia coast, Western Sardinia, and Tuscany's coast. The ESs coastal risk index provides an easy-to-understand screening assessment that could support the prioritization of areas for coastal adaptation at the national scale. Moreover, this index allows the direct evaluation of the public value of ecosystems and supports more effective territorial planning and environmental management decisions. In particular, it could support the mainstreaming of ecosystem-based approaches (e.g. ecological engineering, green infrastructures) to mitigate the risks of climate change and extreme events while protecting ecosystems and biodiversity. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.© 2022 Society of Environmental Toxicology &amp; Chemistry (SETAC).},
}
@article {pmid35427623,
year = {2022},
author = {McKinney, MA and Chételat, J and Burke, SM and Elliott, KH and Fernie, KJ and Houde, M and Kahilainen, KK and Letcher, RJ and Morris, AD and Muir, DCG and Routti, H and Yurkowski, DJ},
title = {Climate change and mercury in the Arctic: Biotic interactions.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155221},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155221},
pmid = {35427623},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global climate change has led to profound alterations of the Arctic environment and ecosystems, with potential secondary effects on mercury (Hg) within Arctic biota. This review presents the current scientific evidence for impacts of direct physical climate change and indirect ecosystem change on Hg exposure and accumulation in Arctic terrestrial, freshwater, and marine organisms. As the marine environment is elevated in Hg compared to the terrestrial environment, terrestrial herbivores that exploit coastal/marine foods when terrestrial plants are iced over may be exposed to higher Hg concentrations. However, certain populations of predators, including Arctic fox and polar bears, have shown lower Hg concentrations related to reduced sea ice-based foraging and increased land-based foraging. How climate change influences Hg in Arctic freshwater fishes is not clear, but for lacustrine populations it may depend on lake-specific conditions, including interrelated alterations in lake ice duration, turbidity, food web length and energy sources (benthic to pelagic), and growth dilution. In several marine mammal and seabird species, tissue Hg concentrations have shown correlations with climate and weather variables, including climate oscillation indices and sea ice trends; these findings suggest that wind, precipitation, and cryosphere changes that alter Hg transport and deposition are impacting Hg concentrations in Arctic marine organisms. Ecological changes, including northward range shifts of sub-Arctic species and altered body condition, have also been shown to affect Hg levels in some populations of Arctic marine species. Given the limited number of populations and species studied to date, especially within Arctic terrestrial and freshwater systems, further research is needed on climate-driven processes influencing Hg concentrations in Arctic ecosystems and their net effects. Long-term pan-Arctic monitoring programs should consider ancillary datasets on climate, weather, organism ecology and physiology to improve interpretation of spatial variation and time trends of Hg in Arctic biota.},
}
@article {pmid35427613,
year = {2022},
author = {Storms, I and Verdonck, S and Verbist, B and Willems, P and De Geest, P and Gutsch, M and Cools, N and De Vos, B and Mahnken, M and Lopez, J and Van Orshoven, J and Muys, B},
title = {Quantifying climate change effects on future forest biomass availability using yield tables improved by mechanistic scaling.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155189},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155189},
pmid = {35427613},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Forests and wood products play a major role in climate change mitigation strategies and the transition from a fossil-based economy to a circular bioeconomy. Accurate estimates of future forest productivity are crucial to predict the carbon sequestration and wood provision potential of forests. Since long, forest managers have used empirical yield tables as a cost-effective and reliable way to predict forest growth. However, recent climate change-induced growth shifts raised doubts about the long-term validity of these yield tables. In this study, we propose a methodology to improve available yield tables of 11 tree species in the Netherlands and Flanders, Belgium. The methodology uses scaling functions derived from climate-sensitive process-based modelling (PBM) that reflect state-of-the-art projections of future growth trends. Combining PBM and stand information from the empirical yield tables for the region of Flanders, we found that for the period 1987-2016 stand productivity has on average increased by 13% compared to 1961-1990. Furthermore, simulations indicate that this positive growth trend is most likely to persist in the coming decades, for all considered species, climate or site conditions. Nonetheless, results showed that local site variability is equally important to consider as the in- or exclusion of the CO2 fertilization effect or different climate projections, when assessing the magnitude of forests' response to climate change. Our projections suggest that incorporating these climate change-related productivity changes lead to a 7% increase in standing stock and a 22% increase in sustainably potentially harvestable woody biomass by 2050. The proposed methodology and resulting estimates of climate-sensitive projections of future woody biomass stocks will facilitate the further incorporation of forests and their products in global and regional strategies for the transition to a climate-smart circular bioeconomy.},
}
@article {pmid35425913,
year = {2021},
author = {Sitati, A and Joe, E and Pentz, B and Grayson, C and Jaime, C and Gilmore, E and Galappaththi, E and Hudson, A and Alverio, GN and Mach, KJ and van Aalst, M and Simpson, N and Schwerdtle, PN and Templeman, S and Zommers, Z and Ajibade, I and Chalkasra, LSS and Umunay, P and Togola, I and Khouzam, A and Scarpa, G and , and de Perez, EC},
title = {Climate change adaptation in conflict-affected countries: A systematic assessment of evidence.},
journal = {Discover sustainability},
volume = {2},
number = {1},
pages = {42},
pmid = {35425913},
issn = {2662-9984},
abstract = {People affected by conflict are particularly vulnerable to climate shocks and climate change, yet little is known about climate change adaptation in fragile contexts. While climate events are one of the many contributing drivers of conflict, feedback from conflict increases vulnerability, thereby creating conditions for a vicious cycle of conflict. In this study, we carry out a systematic review of peer-reviewed literature, taking from the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI) dataset to documenting climate change adaptation occurring in 15 conflict-affected countries and compare the findings with records of climate adaptation finance flows and climate-related disasters in each country. Academic literature is sparse for most conflict-affected countries, and available studies tend to have a narrow focus, particularly on agriculture-related adaptation in rural contexts and adaptation by low-income actors. In contrast, multilateral and bilateral funding for climate change adaptation addresses a greater diversity of adaptation needs, including water systems, humanitarian programming, and urban areas. Even among the conflict-affected countries selected, we find disparity, with several countries being the focus of substantial research and funding, and others seeing little to none. Results indicate that people in conflict-affected contexts are adapting to climate change, but there is a pressing need for diverse scholarship across various sectors that documents a broader range of adaptation types and their results.},
}
@article {pmid35422399,
year = {2022},
author = {Faye, JB and Braun, YA},
title = {Soil and human health: Understanding agricultural and socio-environmental risk and resilience in the age of climate change.},
journal = {Health &amp; place},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {102799},
doi = {10.1016/j.healthplace.2022.102799},
pmid = {35422399},
issn = {1873-2054},
abstract = {Prolonged monocropping of commodity crops, such as peanuts (Arachis hypogea L.) in West Africa, typically strips nutrients from soils and may exacerbate vulnerability to insects and diseases. In this paper, we focus on aflatoxins, toxic chemicals produced by certain molds growing on moist crops, as one risk of growing importance for its negative impacts on human health, crop yields, and agricultural livelihoods and ecosystems. We link the increased prevalence of this deadly fungus to the long history of peanut monoculture, exacerbated by market liberalization and China's increased investment and export demand for peanuts, climate change, food insecurity, as well as disregard for and displacement of traditional agricultural knowledge. We use a political ecology approach to place the public health threat from aflatoxin in the context of both historical pressures for cash-crop production of peanuts and contemporary soil degradation, food insecurity, climate change precarity and changes within social and economic systems of agriculture in Senegal.},
}
@article {pmid35422081,
year = {2022},
author = {Pillet, M and Goettsch, B and Merow, C and Maitner, B and Feng, X and Roehrdanz, PR and Enquist, BJ},
title = {Elevated extinction risk of cacti under climate change.},
journal = {Nature plants},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35422081},
issn = {2055-0278},
support = {DGE-1746060//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Cactaceae (cacti), a New World plant family, is one of the most endangered groups of organisms on the planet. Conservation planning is uncertain as it is unclear whether climate and land-use change will positively or negatively impact global cactus diversity. On the one hand, a common perception is that future climates will be favourable to cacti as they have multiple adaptations and specialized physiologies and morphologies for increased heat and drought. On the other hand, the wide diversity of the more than 1,500 cactus species, many of which occur in more mesic and cooler ecosystems, questions the view that most cacti can tolerate warmer and drought conditions. Here we assess the hypothesis that cacti will benefit and expand in potential distribution in a warmer and more drought-prone world. We quantified exposure to climate change through range forecasts and associated diversity maps for 408 cactus species under three Representative Concentration Pathways (2.6, 4.5 and 8.5) for 2050 and 2070. Our analyses show that 60% of species will experience a reduction in favourable climate, with about a quarter of species exposed to environmental conditions outside of the current realized niche in over 25% of their current distribution. These results show low sensitivity to many uncertainties in forecasting, mostly deriving from dispersal ability and model complexity rather than climate scenarios. While current range size and the International Union for Conservation of Nature's Red List category were not statistically significant predictors of predicted future changes in suitable climate area, epiphytes had the greatest exposure to novel climates. Overall, the number of cactus species at risk is projected to increase sharply in the future, especially in current richness hotspots. Land-use change has previously been identified as the second-most-common driver of threat among cacti, affecting many of the ~31% of cacti that are currently threatened. Our results suggest that climate change will become a primary driver of cactus extinction risk with 60-90% of species assessed negatively impacted by climate change and/or other anthropogenic processes, depending on how these threat processes are distributed across cactus species.},
}
@article {pmid35421621,
year = {2022},
author = {Lahondère, C and Bonizzoni, M},
title = {Thermal biology of invasive Aedes mosquitoes in the context of climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100920},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2022.100920},
pmid = {35421621},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {The increasing incidence of arboviral diseases in tropical endemic areas and their emergence in new temperate countries is one of the most important challenges that Public Health agencies are currently facing. Because mosquitoes are poikilotherms, shifts in temperature influence physiological functions besides egg viability. These traits impact not only vector density, but also their interaction with their hosts and arboviruses. As such the relationship among mosquitoes, arboviral diseases and temperature is complex. Here we summarize current knowledge on the thermal biology of Aedes invasive mosquitoes, highlighting differences among species. We also emphasise the need to expand knowledge on the variability in thermal sensitivity across populations within a species, especially in light of climate change that encompasses increase not only in mean environmental temperature but also in the frequency of hot and cold snaps. Finally, we suggest a novel experimental approach to investigate the molecular architecture of thermal adaptation in mosquitoes. KEYWORDS.},
}
@article {pmid35421482,
year = {2022},
author = {Guzmán-Luna, P and Nag, R and Martínez, I and Mauricio-Iglesias, M and Hospido, A and Cummins, E},
title = {Quantifying current and future raw milk losses due to bovine mastitis on European dairy farms under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155149},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155149},
pmid = {35421482},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Bovine mastitis is an infectious disease that causes udder inflammation and is responsible for raw milk losses across European dairy farms. It is associated with reduced cow milk yield and contributes to elevated Somatic Cell Count (SCC) in raw milk. Staphylococcus aureus is one of the most prevalent mastitis pathogens that cause subclinical and clinical mastitis and can be present as a coloniser bacterium in cows. Climate change and geographical variability may influence the prevalence of this pathogen. Thus, this research aimed to predict the raw milk losses in three major dairy-producing regions across Europe (i.e. Mediterranean, Atlantic and Continental) under climate change scenarios. An exposure assessment model and a stepwise probabilistic model were developed to predict potential cow milk yield reduction, S. aureus and SCC concentrations in the bulk tank milk at dairy farms. Baseline (i.e. present) and future climate change scenarios were defined, and the resultant concentrations of SCC and S. aureus were compared to the actual European regulatory limits. Across the three regions, raw milk losses ranged from 1.06% to 2.15% in the baseline. However, they increased up to 3.21% in the climate change scenarios when no on-farm improvements were considered. Regarding geographical variation, the highest potential milk losses were reported for the Mediterranean and the lowest for the Continental region. Concerning the fulfilment of the regulatory limits, the mean of S. aureus and SCC levels in milk did not exceed them either in any region or scenario. Nevertheless, when looking at percentiles, the 10th percentile remained above the limits of S. aureus in Atlantic and Mediterranean, but not in the Continental region. The findings provide a snapshot of climate change impacts on raw milk losses due to mastitis. They will allow farmers to detect weaknesses and prepare them to develop adaptation plans to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35414943,
year = {2022},
author = {Mouguiama-Daouda, C and Blanchard, MA and Coussement, C and Heeren, A},
title = {On the Measurement of Climate Change Anxiety: French Validation of the Climate Anxiety Scale.},
journal = {Psychologica Belgica},
volume = {62},
number = {1},
pages = {123-135},
doi = {10.5334/pb.1137},
pmid = {35414943},
issn = {2054-670X},
abstract = {The notion of climate change anxiety has gained traction in the last years. Clayton &amp; Karazsia (2020) recently developed the 22-item Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CAS), which assesses climate change anxiety via a four-factor structure. Yet other research has cast doubts on the very structure of the CAS by calling either for a shorter (i.e. 13 items) two-factor structure or for a shorter single-factor structure (i.e. 13 items). So far, these three different models have not yet been compared in one study. Moreover, uncertainty remains regarding the associations between the CAS and other psychological constructs, especially anxiety and depression. This project was designed to overcome these limitations. In a first preregistered study (n = 305), we translated the scale into French and tested, via confirmatory factor analyses (CFA), whether the French version would better fit with a four-, two-, or single-factor structure, as implied by previous works. We also examined how the CAS factors related to depression, anxiety, and environmental identity. In a second preregistered study, we aimed at replicating our comparison between the three CFA models in a larger sample (n = 905). Both studies pointed to a 13-item version of the scale with a two-factor structure as the best fitting model, with one factor reflecting cognitive and emotional features of climate change anxiety and the other reflecting the related functional impairments. Each factor exhibited a positive association with depression and environmental identity but not with general anxiety. We discuss how this two-factor structure impacts the conceptualization of climate change anxiety.},
}
@article {pmid35414080,
year = {2022},
author = {Koldasbayeva, D and Tregubova, P and Shadrin, D and Gasanov, M and Pukalchik, M},
title = {Large-scale forecasting of Heracleum sosnowskyi habitat suitability under the climate change on publicly available data.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {6128},
pmid = {35414080},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {70-2021-00145 02.11.2021//Analytical center under the RF Government (subsidy agreement 000000D730321P5Q0002)/ ; },
abstract = {This research aims to establish the possible habitat suitability of Heracleum sosnowskyi (HS), one of the most aggressive invasive plants, in current and future climate conditions across the territory of the European part of Russia. We utilised a species distribution modelling framework using publicly available data of plant occurrence collected in citizen science projects (CSP). Climatic variables and soil characteristics were considered to follow possible dependencies with environmental factors. We applied Random Forest to classify the study area. We addressed the problem of sampling bias in CSP data by optimising the sampling size and implementing a spatial cross-validation scheme. According to the Random Forest model built on the finally selected data shape, more than half of the studied territory in the current climate corresponds to a suitability prediction score higher than 0.25. The forecast of habitat suitability in future climate was highly similar for all climate models. Almost the whole studied territory showed the possibility for spread with an average suitability score of 0.4. The mean temperature of the wettest quarter and precipitation of wettest month demonstrated the highest influence on the HS distribution. Thus, currently, the whole study area, excluding the north, may be considered as s territory with a high risk of HS spreading, while in the future suitable locations for the HS habitat will include high latitudes. We showed that chosen geodata pre-processing, and cross-validation based on geospatial blocks reduced significantly the sampling bias. Obtained predictions could help to assess the risks accompanying the studied plant invasion capturing the patterns of the spread, and can be used for the conservation actions planning.},
}
@article {pmid35414063,
year = {2022},
author = {Reed, KA and Wehner, MF and Zarzycki, CM},
title = {Attribution of 2020 hurricane season extreme rainfall to human-induced climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {1905},
pmid = {35414063},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {DE-SC0016605//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; DE340AC02-05CH11231//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; DE-SC0016605//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; },
abstract = {The 2020 North Atlantic hurricane season was one of the most active on record, causing heavy rains, strong storm surges, and high winds. Human activities continue to increase the amount of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, resulting in an increase of more than 1 °C in the global average surface temperature in 2020 compared to 1850. This increase in temperature led to increases in sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic basin of 0.4-0.9 °C during the 2020 hurricane season. Here we show that human-induced climate change increased the extreme 3-hourly storm rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts during the full 2020 hurricane season for observed storms that are at least tropical storm strength (>18 m/s) by 10 and 5%, respectively. When focusing on hurricane strength storms (>33 m/s), extreme 3-hourly rainfall rates and extreme 3-day accumulated rainfall amounts increase by 11 and 8%, respectively.},
}
@article {pmid35413947,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, Y and Brando, PM and Morton, DC and Lawrence, DM and Yang, H and Randerson, JT},
title = {Deforestation-induced climate change reduces carbon storage in remaining tropical forests.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {1964},
pmid = {35413947},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {Reducing Uncertainty in Biogeochemical Interactions through Synthesis and Computation//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; Reducing Uncertainty in Biogeochemical Interactions through Synthesis and Computation//U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)/ ; 80NSSC20K0590//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; 80NSSC20K0590//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; 80NSSC18K0179/NASA/NASA/United States ; 80NSSC20K0590//National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA)/ ; 80NSSC18K0179/NASA/NASA/United States ; 1852977//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Biophysical effects from deforestation have the potential to amplify carbon losses but are often neglected in carbon accounting systems. Here we use both Earth system model simulations and satellite-derived estimates of aboveground biomass to assess losses of vegetation carbon caused by the influence of tropical deforestation on regional climate across different continents. In the Amazon, warming and drying arising from deforestation result in an additional 5.1 ± 3.7% loss of aboveground biomass. Biophysical effects also amplify carbon losses in the Congo (3.8 ± 2.5%) but do not lead to significant additional carbon losses in tropical Asia due to its high levels of annual mean precipitation. These findings indicate that tropical forests may be undervalued in carbon accounting systems that neglect climate feedbacks from surface biophysical changes and that the positive carbon-climate feedback from deforestation-driven climate change is higher than the feedback originating from fossil fuel emissions.},
}
@article {pmid35412814,
year = {2022},
author = {Hyde-Smith, L and Zhan, Z and Roelich, K and Mdee, A and Evans, B},
title = {Climate Change Impacts on Urban Sanitation: A Systematic Review and Failure Mode Analysis.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.1c07424},
pmid = {35412814},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Climate change will stress urban sanitation systems. Although urban sanitation uses various infrastructure types and service systems, current research appears skewed toward a small subset of cases. We conducted a systematic literature review to critically appraise the evidence for climate change impacts on all urban sanitation system types. We included road-based transport networks, an essential part of fecal sludge management systems. We combined the evidence on climate change impacts with the existing knowledge about modes of urban sanitation failures. We found a predominance of studies that assess climate impacts on centralized sewerage in high-income contexts. The implications of climate change for urban nonsewered and complex, fragmented, and (partially) decentralized sanitation systems remain under-researched. In addition, the understanding of the impacts of climate change on urban sanitation systems fails to take a comprehensive citywide perspective considering interdependencies with other sectors and combinations of climate effects. We conclude that the evidence for climate change impacts on urban sanitation systems is weak. To date, research neither adequately represents the variety of urban sanitation infrastructure and service systems nor reflects the operational and management challenges of already stressed systems.},
}
@article {pmid35412145,
year = {2022},
author = {Narouei, M and Javadi, SA and Khodagholi, M and Jafari, M and Azizinezhad, R},
title = {Correction to: Modeling the effects of climate change on the potential distribution of the rangeland species Gymnocarpus decander Forssk (case study: Arid region of southeastern Iran).},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {194},
number = {5},
pages = {359},
doi = {10.1007/s10661-022-09920-x},
pmid = {35412145},
issn = {1573-2959},
}
@article {pmid35411661,
year = {2022},
author = {Scarponi, D and Nawrot, R and Azzarone, M and Pellegrini, C and Gamberi, F and Trincardi, F and Kowalewski, M},
title = {Resilient biotic response to long-term climate change in the Adriatic Sea.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16168},
pmid = {35411661},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//ExxonMobil Upstream Research Company/ ; //University of Florida Jon A. and Beverly L. Thompson Endowment/ ; //Ricerca Fondamentale Orientata-RFO 2020/ ; EAR-1559196//The National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Preserving adaptive capacities of coastal ecosystems, which are currently facing the ongoing climate warming and a multitude of other anthropogenic impacts, requires an understanding of long-term biotic dynamics in the context of major environmental shifts prior to human disturbances. We quantified responses of nearshore mollusk assemblages to long-term climate and sea-level changes using 223 samples (~71,300 specimens) retrieved from latest Quaternary sediment cores of the Adriatic coastal systems. These cores provide a rare chance to study coastal systems that existed during glacial lowstands. The fossil mollusk record indicates that nearshore assemblages of the penultimate interglacial (Late Pleistocene) shifted in their faunal composition during the subsequent ice age, and then reassembled again with the return of interglacial climate in the Holocene. These shifts point to a climate-driven habitat filtering modulated by dispersal processes. The resilient, rather than persistent or stochastic, response of the mollusk assemblages to long-term environmental changes over at least 125 thousand years highlights the historically unprecedented nature of the ongoing anthropogenic stressors (e.g., pollution, eutrophication, bottom trawling, and invasive species) that are currently shifting coastal regions into novel system states far outside the range of natural variability archived in the fossil record.},
}
@article {pmid35411065,
year = {2022},
author = {Witze, A},
title = {Climate change - four decades of missed opportunities.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {604},
number = {7905},
pages = {239-240},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-00998-4},
pmid = {35411065},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35409962,
year = {2022},
author = {Petrescu-Mag, RM and Burny, P and Banatean-Dunea, I and Petrescu, DC},
title = {How Climate Change Science Is Reflected in People's Minds. A Cross-Country Study on People's Perceptions of Climate Change.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19074280},
pmid = {35409962},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {The way people perceive climate change scientific evidence becomes relevant in motivating or demotivating their climate actions. Climate change is one of the most publicized topics globally, and media has become an important "validator" of science. Therefore, science has become more exposed to criticism. Even when most scientists, decision makers, and laypeople agree on the robust evidence of climate science, there is still room for disagreement. The main aim of this paper is to reveal how climate change knowledge generated by science is perceived by the laypeople and to observe a possible gap between them. The study answered two questions "What are the main contrasting climate change topics in the scientific literature?" and "What are Romanian and Belgian participants' perceptions of these topics?". A qualitative approach was chosen for data analysis, using Quirkos software. The present cross-country study showed commonalities and differences of views between the two groups of participants regarding six climate change topics. Divergent perceptions among Belgians and Romanians came out, for example, within the theme "The heroes, villains, and victims of climate change." Thus, whereas Belgians considered all people, including themselves, responsible for climate change, Romanians blamed mostly others, such as big companies, governments, and consumers. Additionally, both groups stated that climate change existed, but contrary to Belgians, Romanians voiced that climate change was often used as an exaggerated and politicized topic. The analysis revealed that perceptions about climate change, its causes, and its impacts are social constructs with a high degree of variability between and within the two national groups. The study argued that the cleavages between scientific literature and people's views were blind spots on which a participatory approach was needed to better cope with climate change challenges.},
}
@article {pmid35409825,
year = {2022},
author = {Qu, G and Zhang, Y and Tan, K and Han, J and Qu, W},
title = {Exploring Knowledge Domain and Emerging Trends in Climate Change and Environmental Audit: A Scientometric Review.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19074142},
pmid = {35409825},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {71874103//Natural Science Foundation of China "the Study of Sources, Influential Mechanism and Behavioral Evolution on Haze Governance and Public Health under Public Participating in Environmental Behaviors (71874103)/ ; },
abstract = {Environmental audit is inevitably linked to climate change, one immediate target of the auditors is likely to be climate control, and the warming of the Earth and the consequent climatic changes affect us all. What is the link between environmental audit and climate change? What ties together some of these themes between environmental audit and climate change? The interaction between climate change and environmental audit has been one of the most challenging. In this paper, a scientometric analysis of 84 academic publications between 2013 and 2021 related to climate change and environmental audit is presented to characterize the knowledge domain by using the CiteSpace visualization software. First, we present the number of publications, the number of citations, research categories, and journals published through Web of Science database. Secondly, we analyze countries, authors, and journals with outstanding contributions through network analysis. Finally, we use keyword analysis and apply three types of knowledge mapping to our research, cluster view, timeline view, and time zone view, revealing the focus and future directions. We identify the most important topic in the field of climate change and environment audit as represented on the basis of existing literature data which include the Carbon Emissions, Social Capital, Energy Audit, Corporate Governance, Diffusion of Innovation Environmental Management System, and Audit Committee. The results show that climate change and environmental audit publications grew slowly, but the research are widely cited by scholars. Published journals are relatively scattered, but the cited journals are the world's top journals, and most research countries are developed countries. The most productive authors and institutions in this subject area are in UK, Australia, USA, Spain, and Netherlands. There are no leading figures, but the content of their research can be divided into six clusters. Future research content involving city, policy, dynamics, information, biodiversity, conservation and clustering social capital, diffusion of innovation environmental management, and audit committee are the directions for future research. It is worth noting that cities, policies, and adaptability are closely linked to public health.},
}
@article {pmid35408124,
year = {2022},
author = {Xue, L and Kappas, M and Wyss, D and Wang, C and Putzenlechner, B and Thi, NP and Chen, J},
title = {Assessment of Climate Change and Human Activities on Vegetation Development in Northeast China.},
journal = {Sensors (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {22},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/s22072509},
pmid = {35408124},
issn = {1424-8220},
abstract = {Vegetation in Northeast China (NEC) has faced dual challenges posed by climate change and human activities. However, the factors dominating vegetation development and their contribution remain unclear. In this study, we conducted a comprehensive evaluation of the response of vegetation in different land cover types, climate regions, and time scales to water availability from 1990 to 2018 based on the relationship between normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI). The effects of human activities and climate change on vegetation development were quantitatively evaluated using the residual analysis method. We found that the area percentage with positive correlation between NDVI and SPEI increased with time scales. NDVI of grass, sparse vegetation, rain-fed crop, and built-up land as well as sub-humid and semi-arid areas (drylands) correlated positively with SPEI, and the correlations increased with time scales. The negatively correlated area was concentrated in humid areas or areas covered by forests and shrubs. Vegetation water surplus in humid areas weakens with warming, and vegetation water constraints in drylands enhance. Moreover, potential evapotranspiration had an overall negative effect on vegetation, and precipitation was a controlling factor for vegetation development in semi-arid areas. A total of 53% of the total area in NEC showed a trend of improvement, which is mainly attributed to human activities (93%), especially through the implementation of ecological restoration projects in NEC. The relative role of human activities and climate change in vegetation degradation areas were 56% and 44%, respectively. Our findings highlight that the government should more explicitly consider the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of the influence of human activities and water availability on vegetation under changing climate and improve the resilience of regional water resources. The relative proportions and roles map of climate change and human activities in vegetation change areas provide a basis for government to formulate local-based management policies.},
}
@article {pmid35405230,
year = {2022},
author = {Lemes, P and Barbosa, FG and Naimi, B and Araújo, MB},
title = {Dispersal abilities favor commensalism in animal-plant interactions under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155157},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155157},
pmid = {35405230},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Scientists still poorly understand how biotic interactions and dispersal limitation jointly interact and affect the ability of species to track suitable habitats under climate change. Here, we examine how animal-plant interactions and dispersal limitations might affect the responses of Brazil nut-dependent frogs facing projected climate change. Using ecological niche modelling and dispersal simulations, we forecast the future distributions of the Brazil nut tree and three commensalist frog species over time (2030, 2050, 2070, and 2090) in the regional rivalry (SSP370) scenario that includes great challenges to mitigation and adaptation. With the exception of one species, projections point to a decrease in suitable habitats of up to 40.6%. For frog species with potential reductions of co-occurrence areas, this is expected to reduce up to 23.8% of suitable areas for binomial animal-plant relationships. Even so, biotic interactions should not be lost over time. Species will depend on their own dispersal abilities to reach analogous climates in the future for maintaining ecological and evolutionary processes associated with commensal taxa. However, ecological and evolutionary processes associated with commensal taxa should be maintained in accordance with their own dispersal ability. When dispersal limitation is included in the models, the suitable range of all three frog species is reduced considerably by the end of the century. This highlights the importance of dispersal limitation inclusion for forecasting future distribution ranges when biotic interactions matter.},
}
@article {pmid35403301,
year = {2022},
author = {Guo, PL and Guo, ZQ and Liu, XD},
title = {Cuticular protein genes involve heat acclimation of insect larvae under global warming.},
journal = {Insect molecular biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/imb.12777},
pmid = {35403301},
issn = {1365-2583},
abstract = {Cuticular proteins (CPs) play important roles in insect growth and development. However, it's unknown whether CPs are related to heat tolerance. Cnaphalocrocis medinalis, a serious pest of rice, occurs in summer and exhibits strong adaptability to high temperature, but the underlying mechanism is unclear. Here, the role of CP genes in heat acclimation was studied. Heat tolerance of the heat-acclimated larvae was significantly stronger than the unacclimated larvae. The cuticular protein content in the heat-acclimated larvae was higher than that of the unacclimated larvae. 191 presumed CP genes of C. medinalis (CmCPs) were identified. Expression patterns of 14 CmCPs were different between the heat acclimated (S39) and unacclimated (S27) larvae under heat stress. CmCPs were specifically expressed in epidermis and the head except CmCPR20 mainly expressed in Malpighian tubules. CmCPR20 was upregulated in S39 while downregulated in S27, but CmTweedle1 and CmCPG1 were upregulated in S27 and downregulated in S39. RNAi CmTweedle1 or CmCPG1 remarkably decreased heat tolerance and cuticular protein content of the heat-acclimated larvae, but not the unacclimated larvae. RNAi CmCPR20 decreased heat tolerance and cuticular protein content of the unacclimated larvae, but not the heat-acclimated larvae. CmTweedle1 and CmCPG1 genes involve heat acclimation of C. medinalis. This article is protected by copyright. All rights reserved.},
}
@article {pmid35402099,
year = {2022},
author = {Becerra-López, JL and Cruz-Elizalde, R and Ramírez-Bautista, A and Magno-Benítez, I and Ballesteros-Barrera, C and Alvarado-Díaz, J and Bryson, RW and Hernández-Salinas, U and Díaz-Marín, CA and Berriozabal-Islas, C and Fraire-Galindo, K and Tello-Ruiz, J and Czaja, A and Torres-Delgado, MG},
title = {Does size matter? An analysis of the niche width and vulnerability to climate change of fourteen species of the genus Crotalus from North America.},
journal = {PeerJ},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {e13154},
doi = {10.7717/peerj.13154},
pmid = {35402099},
issn = {2167-8359},
abstract = {The niche comprises the set of abiotic and biotic environmental conditions in which a species can live. Consequently, those species that present broader niches are expected to be more tolerant to changes in climatic variations than those species that present reduced niches. In this study, we estimate the amplitude of the climatic niche of fourteen species of rattlesnakes of the genus Crotalus to evaluate whether those species that present broader niches are less susceptible to the loss of climatically suitable zones due to the projected climate change for the time period 2021-2040. Our results suggest that for the species under study, the breadth of the niche is not a factor that determines their vulnerability to climatic variations. However, 71.4% of the species will experience increasingly inadequate habitat conditions, mainly due to the increase in temperature and the contribution that this variable has in the creation of climatically suitable zones for most of these species.},
}
@article {pmid35398413,
year = {2022},
author = {Xu, X and Jiao, F and Liu, H and Gong, H and Zou, C and Lin, N and Xue, P and Zhang, M and Wang, K},
title = {Persistence of increasing vegetation gross primary production under the interactions of climate change and land use changes in Northwest China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155086},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155086},
pmid = {35398413},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Substantial evidence suggests a widespread increase in global vegetation gross primary production (GPP) since the 1980s. If the increasing trend of GPP remains unchanged in the future, it is considered to be the persistence of increasing GPP. However, it is still unknown whether the vegetation increasing GPP is persistent under the interactive effects of climate change and land use changes in Northwest China. Using the Mann-Kendall and boosted regression tree models, we constructed the relationship between the increasing GPP and environmental variables, and further explored its persistence under the interactions between climate change and land use changes under SSP245 and SSP585 scenarios. The results indicated that: (1) Land use change (8.01%) was the most important variable for the increasing GPP. The surface net solar radiation (6.79%), and maximum temperature of the warmest month (6.78%) were also very important. Moreover, mean temperature of the warmest quarter had strong interactions with mean precipitation of the warmest quarter (9.82%) and land use change (8.24%). (2) Under the SSP245 scenario, the persistence of increasing GPP accounted for 65.06% of the area in 2100, mainly located in Qinghai, Ningxia, and Shaanxi, while it only accounted for 19.50% under the SSP585 scenario. (3) The SSP245 scenario moderate warming leads to a slight ecosystem benefit, with more areas developing an increase in GPP due to climate and land use change factors. On the other hand, under SSP585 scenario, there are widespread losses of increasing GPP, driven largely by climate change, while ecological engineering is conducive to the persistence of increasing GPP in southern Qinghai. The results highlight the importance of the interactive effects of climate change and land use changes for predicting the persistence of vegetation change.},
}
@article {pmid35398315,
year = {2022},
author = {Vijay, V and Kapoor, R and Singh, P and Hiloidhari, M and Ghosh, P},
title = {Sustainable utilization of biomass resources for decentralized energy generation and climate change mitigation: A regional case study in India.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113257},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113257},
pmid = {35398315},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Clean energy transition via utilizing biomass resources has been projected as an important climate change mitigation strategy. A vital characteristic of biomass is its localized nature; therefore, bioenergy utilization should follow decentralized planning. Agrarian countries like India can take benefit of its large agricultural biomass waste pool to produce clean renewable energy. However, prior knowledge of spatio-temporal distribution, competing uses, and biomass characteristics are necessary for successful bioenergy planning. This paper assesses biomass resource and its power generation potential at different agro-climatic zone levels in the state of Rajasthan, India considering crop residue biomass (25 different crop residues from 14 crops) and livestock manure (from cattle, buffalo, and poultry). Uncertainties associated with the availability of biomass and the power generation potential are assessed for each agro-climatic zone under different scenarios. Greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions from biomass-based power generations are also estimated and compared with biomass-equivalent coal power plants. It is observed that the annual biomass power potential of Rajasthan is 3056 MW (2496 MW from crop residues and 560 MW from livestock manure). Scenario analysis suggests that the potential varies from 2445 to 6045 MW under different biomass availability and power plant operating conditions. Annual GHGs emissions due to biomass power generation is 5053 kt CO2eq. Replacing coal-based power with biomass power would result in annual GHGs savings of 11412 kt CO2eq. The paper also discusses various carriers and barriers viz. logistics, institutional, financial and technical in setting up decentralized bioenergy plants. Outcomes of the present study are expected to assist renewable energy planners in India.},
}
@article {pmid35397213,
year = {2022},
author = {Vineis, P and Romanello, M and Michelozzi, P and Martuzzi, M},
title = {Health co-benefits of climate change action in Italy.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {6},
number = {4},
pages = {e293-e294},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00061-4},
pmid = {35397213},
issn = {2542-5196},
}
@article {pmid35396664,
year = {2022},
author = {Poletti, M and Preti, A and Raballo, A},
title = {From economic crisis and climate change through COVID-19 pandemic to Ukraine war: a cumulative hit-wave on adolescent future thinking and mental well-being.},
journal = {European child &amp; adolescent psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35396664},
issn = {1435-165X},
}
@article {pmid35396388,
year = {2022},
author = {Kirschner, P and Perez, MF and Záveská, E and Sanmartín, I and Marquer, L and Schlick-Steiner, BC and Alvarez, N and , and Steiner, FM and Schönswetter, P},
title = {Congruent evolutionary responses of European steppe biota to late Quaternary climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {1921},
pmid = {35396388},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {P25955//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; P25955//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; P25955//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; P25955//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; P25955//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; },
abstract = {Quaternary climatic oscillations had a large impact on European biogeography. Alternation of cold and warm stages caused recurrent glaciations, massive vegetation shifts, and large-scale range alterations in many species. The Eurasian steppe biome and its grasslands are a noteworthy example; they underwent climate-driven, large-scale contractions during warm stages and expansions during cold stages. Here, we evaluate the impact of these range alterations on the late Quaternary demography of several phylogenetically distant plant and insect species, typical of the Eurasian steppes. We compare three explicit demographic hypotheses by applying an approach combining convolutional neural networks with approximate Bayesian computation. We identified congruent demographic responses of cold stage expansion and warm stage contraction across all species, but also species-specific effects. The demographic history of the Eurasian steppe biota reflects major paleoecological turning points in the late Quaternary and emphasizes the role of climate as a driving force underlying patterns of genetic variance on the biome level.},
}
@article {pmid35395349,
year = {2022},
author = {Silva, ARR and Malheiro, C and Loureiro, S and González-Alcaraz, MN},
title = {Toxicity of historically metal(loid)-contaminated soils to Folsomia candida under the influence of climate change alterations.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {119256},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2022.119256},
pmid = {35395349},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {Global warming is drastically altering the climate conditions of our planet. Soils will be among the most affected components of terrestrial ecosystems, especially in contaminated areas. In this study we investigated if changes in climate conditions (air temperature, soil moisture) affect the toxicity of historically metal(loid)-contaminated soils to the invertebrate Folsomia candida, followed by an assessment of its recovery capacity. Ecotoxicity tests (assessing survival, reproduction) were performed in field soils affected by metal(loid)s under different climate scenarios, simulated by individually changing air temperature or soil moisture conditions. The scenarios tested were: standard conditions (20 °C + 50% soil water holding capacity-WHC); increased air temperature (daily fluctuation of 20-30 °C + 50% WHC); soil drought (20 °C + 25% WHC); soil flood (20 °C + 75% WHC). Recovery potential was assessed under standard conditions in clean soil. Increased temperature was the major climate condition negatively affecting collembolans performance (decreased survival and reproduction), regardless of metal(loid) contamination. Drought and flood conditions presented less pronounced effects. When it was possible to move to the recovery phase (enough juveniles in exposure phase), F. candida was apparently able to recover from the exposure to metal(loid) contamination and/or climate alterations. The present study showed that forecasted climate alterations in areas already affected by contamination should be considered to improve environmental risk assessment.},
}
@article {pmid35395025,
year = {2022},
author = {Yang, J and Jiang, P and Huang, Y and Yang, Y and Wang, R and Yang, Y},
title = {Potential geographic distribution of relict plant Pteroceltis tatarinowii in China under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e0266133},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0266133},
pmid = {35395025},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Pteroceltis tatarinowii (Pteroceltis: Ulmaceae) is a deciduous tree that has a cultivation history of more than 2000 years in China. As an excellent afforestation tree species and rare and endangered tertiary relic plant, P. tatarinowii has high ecological protection value. Due to the forest destruction caused by predatory logging and natural environmental factors, the population of P. tatarinowii in China has decreased significantly. In this study, the potential geographical distribution of P. tatarinowii in China under climate change was predicted using MaxEnt model and ArcGIS based on 223 effective distribution points of P. tatarinowii and 11 environmental variables. The results showed that: (1) the prediction accuracy of MaxEnt model was extremely high, and the areas under curve (AUC) value of the training data was 0.936; The area of the potential suitable habitat area of P. tatarinowii under current climate condition was 180.84×104 km2, and mainly located in the central and southeast regions of China. (2) The domain environmental variables affecting the potential geographical distribution of P. tatarinowii were min temperature of coldest month (12.1~22.7°C), isothermality (26.6~35.8), mean diurnal range 6.9~9.3°C and precipitation of wettest month (189.5 ~955.5 mm). (3) In 2050s and 2070s, compared with current (4.19×104 km2), the area of highly suitable habitat will increase by 0.2%-0.3% (RCP2.6) and 1.22%-3.84% (RCP8.5) respectively. while the poorly, moderately and total suitable habitats will decrease. The gravity center of P. tatarinowii showed a trend of migration to higher latitudes and northern regions in the future. These results will provide theoretical basis for cultivation management and resource protection of P. tatarinowii.},
}
@article {pmid35393324,
year = {2022},
author = {Montoro-Ramírez, EM and Parra-Anguita, L and Álvarez-Nieto, C and Parra, G and López-Medina, I},
title = {Effects of climate change in the elderly's health: a scoping review protocol.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {12},
number = {4},
pages = {e058063},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2021-058063},
pmid = {35393324},
issn = {2044-6055},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is a global problem that affects human health, especially the most vulnerable groups, including the elderly. However, no scope review includes the perspective of institutions specialised in climate change and health and whose reports are the basis for policies orientated on the environmental health. Therefore, this study aims to identify these effects on older people health. The results will allow health professionals to have valuable information enabling them to provide quality care in meeting the demand that this situation is producing.<br><br>METHODS AND ANALYSIS: A scoping review of the relevant literature will be performed from 2008 to 2021. The Joanna Briggs Institute guidelines and the PRISMA-Scoping Review Extension checklist will be used. A peer-reviewed search will be conducted using the electronic databases Medline, Scopus, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Cochrane, PsycINFO and Cuiden Plus between October and December 2021. Original quantitative studies and reports from official agencies on the effects of climate change on the elderly health in any health and geographical context will be included. Literature selection will be made by two reviewers. The table format used for data extraction will be reviewed by the review team and tested by two reviewers.<br><br>ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: This study does not require approval by an ethics committee to be conducted. This article will result in the mapping of the direct and indirect effects of climate change on the health of the elderly. The results will be published in scientific journals to be accessible to health professionals in the creation of care plans for the elderly at climate risk.},
}
@article {pmid35391645,
year = {2022},
author = {Laurent, J and Lavergne, E and Couteau, J and Le Floch, S and Ouddane, B and Cachot, J and Davail, B and Clérandeau, C and Devin, S and Fisson, C and Devaux, A and Amara, R and Diop, M and Pichereau, V and Laroche, J},
title = {Impacts of chemical stress, season, and climate change on the flounder population of the highly anthropised Seine estuary (France).},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-022-20000-y},
pmid = {35391645},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {Seine Aval 6 - HQFish//Groupement d'Intérêt Public Seine-Aval/ ; },
abstract = {The main objective of this study was to improve our knowledge on the responses of fish populations to multistress (diffuse pollution and warming waters) in estuaries. Adult flounders were caught in two estuaries in the Eastern English Channel: the heavily polluted Seine estuary vs the moderately contaminated Canche estuary. Fish samplings were conducted in January just before the reproduction period, and in July when gonads were at rest. The overall rise in coastal winter water temperatures detected over the Channel impairs the flounder's phenology of reproduction in the two estuaries, inducing a delay of maturation process and probably also spawning. The higher liver histopathology index in Seine vs Canche could be the consequence of the fish exposition to a complex cocktail of contaminants in a strongly industrialized estuary. Higher levels of neurotoxicity, gill lipid peroxidation, and liver EROD activity were observed in Seine vs Canche. Furthermore, a possible impairment in mitochondrial metabolism was suggested in the Seine flounder population. We confirmed in this study the potential role of two membrane lipids (sphingomyelin and phosphatidylserine) in the resistance towards oxidative stress in Seine and Canche. Finally, we suggest that the Seine flounder population (and possibly the connected Eastern English Channel flounder populations over the French Coast) could be seriously impacted in the future by multistress: higher winter temperatures and chemical contamination.},
}
@article {pmid35390507,
year = {2022},
author = {Swaegers, J and Koch, EL},
title = {Gene expression studies of plastic and evolutionary responses to global warming.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100918},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2022.100918},
pmid = {35390507},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Phenotypic plasticity can be a rapid response for coping with global warming, yet may be insufficient to protect species from extinction. Evolutionary adaptation may reinforce adaptive or oppose maladaptive plastic responses. With advances in technology whole transcriptomes can provide us with an unprecedented overview of genes and functional processes underlying the interplay between plasticity and evolution. We advocate that insects provide ideal opportunities to study plasticity in non-adapted and thermally adapted populations to infer reaction norms across the whole transcriptome ('reactionomes'). This can advance our understanding of how the interplay between plasticity and evolution shapes responses to warming. So far, a limited number of studies suggests predominantly maladaptive plastic responses to novel environments that are reduced with time, but much more research is needed to infer general patterns.},
}
@article {pmid35390383,
year = {2022},
author = {Douchet, L and Goarant, C and Mangeas, M and Menkes, C and Hinjoy, S and Herbreteau, V},
title = {Unraveling the invisible leptospirosis in mainland Southeast Asia and its fate under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {155018},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155018},
pmid = {35390383},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Leptospirosis is a neglected waterborne zoonosis of growing concern in tropical and low-income regions. Endemic in Southeast Asia, its distribution and environmental factors such as climate controlling its dynamics remain poorly documented. In this paper, we investigate for the first time the current and future leptospirosis burden at a local scale in mainland Southeast Asia. We adjusted machine-learning models on incidence reports from the Thai surveillance system to identify environmental determinants of leptospirosis. The explanatory variables tested in our models included climate, topographic, land cover and soil variables. The model performing the best in cross-validation was used to estimate the current incidence regionally in Thailand, Myanmar, Cambodia, Vietnam and Laos. It then allowed to predict the spatial distribution of leptospirosis future burden from 2021 to 2100 based on an ensemble of CMIP6 climate model projections and 4 Shared Socio-economics Pathways ranging from the most optimistic to the no-climate policy outcomes (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5). Leptospirosis incidence was best estimated by 10 environmental variables: four landscape-, four rainfall-, two temperature-related variables. Of all tested scenario, the worst-case scenario of climate change (SSP5-8.5) surprisingly appeared as the best-case scenario for the future of leptospirosis since it would induce a significant global decline in disease incidence in Southeast Asia mainly driven by the increasing temperatures. These global patterns are however contrasted regionally with some regions showing increased incidence in the future. Our work highlights climate and the environment as major drivers of leptospirosis incidence in Southeast Asia. Applying our model to regions where leptospirosis is not routinely monitored suggests an overlooked burden in the region. As our model focuses on leptospirosis responses to environmental drivers only, some other factors, such as poverty, lifestyle or behavioral changes, could further influence these estimated future patterns.},
}
@article {pmid35389535,
year = {2022},
author = {Iram, N and Maher, DT and Lovelock, CE and Baker, T and Cadier, C and Adame, MF},
title = {Climate change mitigation and improvement of water quality from the restoration of a subtropical coastal wetland.},
journal = {Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e2620},
doi = {10.1002/eap.2620},
pmid = {35389535},
issn = {1051-0761},
abstract = {Coastal wetland restoration is an important activity to achieve greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction targets, improve water quality, and reach the Sustainable Development Goals. However, there are still many uncertainties on achieving, measuring, and reporting success from coastal wetland restoration. We measured levels of carbon (C) abatement and nitrogen (N) removal potential of restored coastal wetlands in subtropical Queensland. The site was originally a supratidal forest comprised of Melaleuca spp. that was cleared and drained in the 1990s for sugarcane production. In 2010, tidal inundation was reinstated, and a mosaic of coastal vegetation (saltmarsh, mangroves, and supratidal forests) emerged. We measured soil GHG fluxes (CH4 , N2 O, CO2) and sequestration of organic C in the trees and soil to estimate the net C abatement associated with the reference, converted, and restored sites. To assess the influence of restoration on water quality improvement, we measured denitrification and soil N accumulation. We calculated C abatement of 18.5 Mg CO2-eq ha-1 y-1 when sugarcane land transitioned to supratidal forests, 11.0 Mg CO2-eq ha-1 y-1 when transitioned to mangroves and 6.2 Mg CO2-eq ha-1 y-1 when transitioned to saltmarsh. The C abatement was due to tree growth, soil accumulation, and reduced N2 O emissions due to the cessation of fertilisation. Carbon abatement was still positive, even accounting for CH4 emissions, which increased in the wetlands due to flooding and N2 O production due to enhanced levels of denitrification. Coastal wetland restoration in this subtropical setting effectively reduces CO2 emissions while providing additional co-benefits, notably water quality improvement.},
}
@article {pmid35389171,
year = {2022},
author = {Abubakar, A and Yusoff Ishak, M and Makmom, AA},
title = {Correction to: Impacts of and adaptation to climate change on the oil palm in Malaysia: a systematic review.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-022-19547-7},
pmid = {35389171},
issn = {1614-7499},
}
@article {pmid35389053,
year = {2022},
author = {Töpfer, R and Trapp, O},
title = {A cool climate perspective on grapevine breeding: climate change and sustainability are driving forces for changing varieties in a traditional market.},
journal = {TAG. Theoretical and applied genetics. Theoretische und angewandte Genetik},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35389053},
issn = {1432-2242},
abstract = {A multitude of diverse breeding goals need to be combined in a new cultivar, which always forces to compromise. The biggest challenge grapevine breeders face is the extraordinarily complex trait of wine quality, which is the all-pervasive and most debated characteristic. Since the 1920s, Germany runs continuous grapevine breeding programmes. This continuity was the key to success and lead to various new cultivars on the market, so called PIWIs. Initially, introduced pests and diseases such as phylloxera, powdery and downy mildew were the driving forces for breeding. However, preconceptions about the wine quality of new resistant selections impeded the market introduction. These preconceptions are still echoing today and may be the reason in large parts of the viticultural community for: (1) ignoring substantial breeding progress, and (2) sticking to successful markets of well-known varietal wines or blends (e.g. Chardonnay, Cabernet Sauvignon, Riesling). New is the need to improve viticulture´s sustainability and to adapt to changing environmental conditions. Climate change with its extreme weather will impose the need for a change in cultivars in many wine growing regions. Therefore, a paradigm shift is knocking on the door: new varieties (PIWIs) versus traditional varieties for climate adapted and sustainable viticulture. However, it will be slow process and viticulture is politically well advised to pave the way to variety innovation. In contrast to the widely available PIWIs, competitive cultivars created by means of new breeding technologies (NBT, e.g. through CRISPR/Cas) are still decades from introduction to the market.},
}
@article {pmid35388965,
year = {2022},
author = {Lind, L and Eckstein, RL and Relyea, RA},
title = {Direct and indirect effects of climate change on distribution and community composition of macrophytes in lentic systems.},
journal = {Biological reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/brv.12858},
pmid = {35388965},
issn = {1469-185X},
support = {//The Jefferson Project at Lake George/ ; //Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute/ ; },
abstract = {Macrophytes are an important part of freshwater ecosystems and they have direct and indirect roles in keeping the water clear and providing structure and habitats for other aquatic organisms. Currently, climate change is posing a major threat to macrophyte communities by altering the many drivers that determine macrophyte abundance and composition. We synthesise current literature to examine the direct effects of climate change (i.e. changes in CO2 , temperature, and precipitation patterns) on aquatic macrophytes in lakes as well as indirect effects via invasive species and nutrient dynamics. The combined effects of climate change are likely to lead to an increased abundance and distribution of emergent and floating species, and a decreased abundance and distribution of submerged macrophytes. In small shallow lakes, these processes are likely to be faster than in deep temperate lakes; with lower light levels, water level fluctuations and increases in temperature, the systems will become dominated by algae. In general, specialized macrophyte species in high-latitude and high-altitude areas will decrease in number while more competitive invasive species are likely to outcompete native species. Given that the majority of endemic species reside in tropical lakes, climate change, together with other anthropogenic pressures, might cause the extinction of a large number of endemic species. Lakes at higher altitudes in tropical areas could therefore potentially be a hotspot for future conservation efforts for protecting endemic macrophyte species. In response to a combination of climate-change induced threats, the macrophyte community might collapse, which will change the status of lakes and may initiate a negative feedback loop that will affect entire lake ecosystems.},
}
@article {pmid35388477,
year = {2022},
author = {Pastore, MA and Classen, AT and D'Amato, AW and Foster, JR and Adair, EC},
title = {Cold-air pools as microrefugia for ecosystem functions in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e3717},
doi = {10.1002/ecy.3717},
pmid = {35388477},
issn = {1939-9170},
abstract = {Cold-air pooling is a global phenomenon that frequently sustains low temperatures in sheltered, low-lying depressions and valleys and drives other key environmental conditions, such as soil temperature, soil moisture, vapor pressure deficit, frost frequency, and winter dynamics. Local climate patterns in areas prone to cold-air pooling are partly decoupled from regional climates and thus may be buffered from macroscale climate change. There is compelling evidence from studies across the globe that cold-air pooling impacts plant communities and species distributions, making these decoupled microclimate areas potentially important microrefugia for species under climate warming. Despite interest in the potential for cold-air pools to enable species persistence under warming, studies investigating the effects of cold-air pooling on ecosystem processes are scarce. Because local temperatures and vegetation composition are critical drivers of ecosystem processes like carbon cycling and storage, cold-air pooling may also act to preserve ecosystem functions. We review research exploring the ecological impacts of cold-air pooling with a focus on vegetation, and then present a new conceptual framework in which cold-air pooling creates feedbacks between species and ecosystem properties that generate unique hotspots for carbon accrual in some systems relative to areas more vulnerable to regional climate change impacts. Finally, we describe key steps to motivate future research investigating the potential for cold-air pools to serve as microrefugia for ecosystem functions under climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35388036,
year = {2022},
author = {Bozorg-Haddad, O and Dehghan, P and Zolghadr-Asli, B and Singh, VP and Chu, X and Loáiciga, HA},
title = {System dynamics modeling of lake water management under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {5828},
pmid = {35388036},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Lake Urmia, the twentieth largest lake in the world, is the most valuable aquatic ecosystem in Iran. The lake water level has decreased in recent years due to human activities and climate change. Several studies have highlighted the significant roles of climatic and anthropogenic factors on the shrinkage of the lake. Management policies for water resources harvesting must be adopted to adapt to climate change and avoid the consequent problems stemming from the drought affecting Lake Urmia, and rationing must be applied to the upstream water demands. This study analyzes strategies and evaluates their effectiveness in overcoming the Urmia Lake crisis. Specifically, system dynamics analysis was performed for simulating the water volume of Lake Urmia, and the Hadley Centre coupled model was applied to project surface temperature and precipitation for two future periods: 2021-2050 and 2051-2080. Six management scenarios were considered for decreasing the allocation of agricultural water demand corresponding to two options: (1) one-reservoir option (Bukan reservoir only), and (2) six-reservoir option. The net inflow of Urmia Lake was simulated for the two future periods with the IHACRES model and with artificial neural network models under the six management scenarios. The annual average volumes of Lake Urmia would be 30 × 109 and 12 × 109 m3 over the first and second future periods, respectively, without considering the management scenarios. The lake volumes would rise by about 50% and 75% for the first and second periods, respectively under the management scenarios that involve strict protective measures and elimination of the effect of all dams and their reservoirs. Implementing strict measures would increase the annual average lake volume to 21 × 109 m3 in the second period; yet, this volume would be less than the long-term average and strategic volume. The human water use would be completely eliminated under Scenario 6. Nevertheless, Lake Urmia would experience a considerable loss of storage because of drought.},
}
@article {pmid35387618,
year = {2022},
author = {Di Napoli, C and McGushin, A and Romanello, M and Ayeb-Karlsson, S and Cai, W and Chambers, J and Dasgupta, S and Escobar, LE and Kelman, I and Kjellstrom, T and Kniveton, D and Liu, Y and Liu, Z and Lowe, R and Martinez-Urtaza, J and McMichael, C and Moradi-Lakeh, M and Murray, KA and Rabbaniha, M and Semenza, JC and Shi, L and Tabatabaei, M and Trinanes, JA and Vu, BN and Brimicombe, C and Robinson, EJ},
title = {Tracking the impacts of climate change on human health via indicators: lessons from the Lancet Countdown.},
journal = {BMC public health},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {663},
pmid = {35387618},
issn = {1471-2458},
support = {209734/Z/17/Z/WT_/Wellcome Trust/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: In the past decades, climate change has been impacting human lives and health via extreme weather and climate events and alterations in labour capacity, food security, and the prevalence and geographical distribution of infectious diseases across the globe. Climate change and health indicators (CCHIs) are workable tools designed to capture the complex set of interdependent interactions through which climate change is affecting human health. Since 2015, a novel sub-set of CCHIs, focusing on climate change impacts, exposures, and vulnerability indicators (CCIEVIs) has been developed, refined, and integrated by Working Group 1 of the "Lancet Countdown: Tracking Progress on Health and Climate Change", an international collaboration across disciplines that include climate, geography, epidemiology, occupation health, and economics.<br><br>DISCUSSION: This research in practice article is a reflective narrative documenting how we have developed CCIEVIs as a discrete set of quantifiable indicators that are updated annually to provide the most recent picture of climate change's impacts on human health. In our experience, the main challenge was to define globally relevant indicators that also have local relevance and as such can support decision making across multiple spatial scales. We found a hazard, exposure, and vulnerability framework to be effective in this regard. We here describe how we used such a framework to define CCIEVIs based on both data availability and the indicators' relevance to climate change and human health. We also report on how CCIEVIs have been improved and added to, detailing the underlying data and methods, and in doing so provide the defining quality criteria for Lancet Countdown CCIEVIs.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our experience shows that CCIEVIs can effectively contribute to a world-wide monitoring system that aims to track, communicate, and harness evidence on climate-induced health impacts towards effective intervention strategies. An ongoing challenge is how to improve CCIEVIs so that the description of the linkages between climate change and human health can become more and more comprehensive.},
}
@article {pmid35387022,
year = {2021},
author = {Gehrig, R and Clot, B},
title = {50 Years of Pollen Monitoring in Basel (Switzerland) Demonstrate the Influence of Climate Change on Airborne Pollen.},
journal = {Frontiers in allergy},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {677159},
doi = {10.3389/falgy.2021.677159},
pmid = {35387022},
issn = {2673-6101},
abstract = {Climate change and human impact on vegetation modify the timing and the intensity of the pollen season. The 50 years of pollen monitoring in Basel, Switzerland provide a unique opportunity to study long-term changes in pollen data. Since 1969, pollen monitoring has been carried out in Basel with a Hirst-type pollen trap. Pollen season parameters for start dates, end dates and duration were calculated with different pollen season definitions, which are commonly used in aerobiology. Intensity was analyzed by the annual pollen integral (APIn), peak value and the number of days above specific thresholds. Linear trends were calculated with the non-parametric Mann Kendall method with a Theil-Sen linear trend slope. During the last 50 years, linear increase of the monthly mean temperatures in Basel was 0.95-1.95°C in the 3 winter months, 2-3.7°C in spring months and 2.75-3.85°C in summer months. Due to this temperature increase, the start dates of the pollen season for most of the spring pollen species have advanced, from 7 days for Poaceae to 29 days for Taxus/Cupressaceae. End dates of the pollen season depend on the chosen pollen season definition. Negative trends predominate, i.e., the pollen season mostly ends earlier. Trends in the length of the pollen season depend even more on the season definitions and results are contradictory and often not significant. The intensity of the pollen season of almost all tree pollen taxa increased significantly, while the Poaceae pollen season did not change and the pollen season of herbs decreased, except for Urticaceae pollen. Climate change has a particular impact on the pollen season, but the definitions used for the pollen season parameters are crucial for the calculation of the trends. The most stable results were achieved with threshold definitions that indicate regular occurrence above certain concentrations. Percentage definitions are not recommended for trend studies when the annual pollen integral changed significantly.},
}
@article {pmid35387018,
year = {2021},
author = {Damialis, A and Smith, M and Galán, C},
title = {Editorial: Climate Change and Aeroallergens.},
journal = {Frontiers in allergy},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {794430},
doi = {10.3389/falgy.2021.794430},
pmid = {35387018},
issn = {2673-6101},
}
@article {pmid35386984,
year = {2021},
author = {Levetin, E},
title = {Aeroallergens and Climate Change in Tulsa, Oklahoma: Long-Term Trends in the South Central United States.},
journal = {Frontiers in allergy},
volume = {2},
number = {},
pages = {726445},
doi = {10.3389/falgy.2021.726445},
pmid = {35386984},
issn = {2673-6101},
abstract = {Climate change is having a significant effect on many allergenic plants resulting in increased pollen production and shifts in plant phenology. Although these effects have been well-studied in some areas of the world, few studies have focused on long-term changes in allergenic pollen in the South Central United States. This study examined airborne pollen, temperature, and precipitation in Tulsa, Oklahoma over 25 to 34 years. Pollen was monitored with a Hirst-type spore trap on the roof of a building at the University of Tulsa and meteorology data were obtained from the National Weather Service. Changes in total pollen intensity were examined along with detailed analyses of the eight most abundant pollen types in the Tulsa atmosphere. In addition to pollen intensity, changes in pollen season start date, end date, peak date and season duration were also analyzed. Results show a trend to increasing temperatures with a significant increase in annual maximum temperature. There was a non-significant trend toward increasing total pollen and a significant increase in tree pollen over time. Several individual taxa showed significant increases in pollen intensity over the study period including spring Cupressaceae and Quercus pollen, while Ambrosia pollen showed a significant decrease. Data from the current study also indicated that the pollen season started earlier for spring pollinating trees and Poaceae. Significant correlations with preseason temperature may explain the earlier pollen season start dates along with a trend toward increasing March temperatures. More research is needed to understand the global impact of climate change on allergenic species, especially from other regions that have not been studied.},
}
@article {pmid35386396,
year = {2022},
author = {Laverdière, JP and Lenz, P and Nadeau, S and Depardieu, C and Isabel, N and Perron, M and Beaulieu, J and Bousquet, J},
title = {Breeding for adaptation to climate change: genomic selection for drought response in a white spruce multi-site polycross test.},
journal = {Evolutionary applications},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {383-402},
doi = {10.1111/eva.13348},
pmid = {35386396},
issn = {1752-4571},
abstract = {With climate change, increasingly intense and frequent drought episodes will be affecting water availability for boreal tree species, prompting tree breeders and forest managers to consider adaptation to drought stress as a priority in their reforestation efforts. We used a 19-year-old polycross progeny test of the model conifer white spruce (Picea glauca) replicated on two sites affected by distinct drought episodes at different ages to estimate the genetic control and the potential for improvement of drought response in addition to conventional cumulative growth and wood quality traits. Drought response components were measured from dendrochronological signatures matching drought episodes in wood ring increment cores. We found that trees with more vigorous growth during their lifespan resisted better during the current year of a drought episode when the drought had more severe effects. Phenotypic data were also analyzed using genomic prediction (GBLUP) relying on the genomic relationship matrix of multi-locus gene SNP marker information, and conventional analysis (ABLUP) based on validated pedigree information. The accuracy of predicted breeding values for drought response components was marginally lower than that for conventional traits and comparable between GBLUP and ABLUP. Genetic correlations were generally low and nonsignificant between drought response components and conventional traits, except for resistance which was positively correlated to tree height. Heritability estimates for the components of drought response were slightly lower than for conventional traits, but similar single-trait genetic gains could be obtained. Multi-trait genomic selection simulations indicated that it was possible to improve simultaneously for all traits on both sites while sacrificing little on gain in tree height. In a context of rapid climate change, our results suggest that with careful phenotypic assessment, drought response may be considered in multi-trait improvement of white spruce, with accelerated screening of large numbers of candidates and selection at young age with genomic selection.},
}
@article {pmid35385980,
year = {2022},
author = {Gwambene, B and Liwenga, E and Mung'ong'o, C},
title = {Climate Change and Variability Impacts on Agricultural Production and Food Security for the Smallholder Farmers in Rungwe, Tanzania.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35385980},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Climate change and variability pose serious challenges among smallholder farmers in developing countries. Low adaptive capacity aggravates the challenges to farming activities and ecosystem management. This study employed survey methods to assess the implications of climate variability and environmental changes in agricultural production and food security. The study used different research methods, including literature review, participatory rural appraisal, household questionnaire, key informant interview and field observation for data collection. The data collected were organised, triangulated, synthesised, processed, analysed using thematic and trend analyses for qualitative data and Microsoft Excel and SPSS 20 software programme manipulation for quantitative data. Severe and frequent climatic extremes that include drought, heavy rainfall, temperature variations, and strong winds are smallholder farmers' main challenges in production. As a result, the production trends and productivity of the main rainfed crops decreased significantly. The duration of the growing season also decreased, negatively affecting the local food supplies. The statistical results signify a robust negative correlation between climate variability and the production of the leading food crops (X2 = 6.00 with p = 0.199 and X2 = 10.00 with p = 0.350). In addressing the challenges, improving farming practices such as crop diversification and improved extension services were suggested. However, such options would require appropriate environmentally friendly technologies in an enabling environment both locally and nationally.},
}
@article {pmid35384686,
year = {2022},
author = {Dos Santos, M and John, J and Garland, R and Palakatsela, R and Banos, A and Martens, P and Nemukula, B and Ramathuba, M and Nkohla, F and Lenyibi, K},
title = {Climate change and health within the South African context: A thematic content analysis study of climate change and health expert interviews.},
journal = {African journal of primary health care &amp; family medicine},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {e1-e12},
doi = {10.4102/phcfm.v14i1.3203},
pmid = {35384686},
issn = {2071-2936},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change presents an unprecedented and urgent threat to human health and survival. South Africa's health response will require a strong and effective intersectoral organisational effort.<br><br>AIM: Exploratory interview outcomes are used to advance practice and policy recommendations, as well as for broad input in the development of a draft national framework for a health risk and vulnerability assessment (RVA) for national departments.<br><br>SETTING: Nationally in South Africa.<br><br>METHOD: Twenty key expert interviews were conducted with South African experts in the field of climate change and health. Interview data was analysed by means of thematic content analysis.<br><br>RESULTS: Findings suggest that previously poor communities are most at risk to the impacts of climate change on health, as well as those with underlying medical conditions. Climate change may also serve as a catalyst for improving the healthcare system overall and should serve as the conduit to do so. A draft climate change and health RVA should take into account existing frameworks and should be implemented by local government. It is also critical that the health and health system impacts from climate change are well understood, especially in light of the plans to implement the (South African) National Health Insurance (NHI) scheme.<br><br>CONCLUSION: Practice and policy initiatives should be holistic in nature. Consideration should be given to forming a South African National Department of Climate Change, or a similar coordinating body between the various national departments in South Africa, as health intercepts with all other domains within the climate change field.},
}
@article {pmid35384533,
year = {2022},
author = {Islam, MM and Chowdhury, MAM and Begum, RA and Amir, AA},
title = {A bibliometric analysis on the research trends of climate change effects on economic vulnerability.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35384533},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The climate change effect has received a crucial concern from global policymakers as well as academic researchers. The climate change effect is a real-world issue threatening the existence of species and human beings, thus causing the economic vulnerability. Apart from policymakers, academic researchers are showing their concern on the effect of climate change on economic and socioeconomic vulnerability through publishing research articles in the recent decade. In light of the revolution of research articles, this study applied a bibliometric analysis on the academic research articles to explore the publication trends, themes, impacts, and potential scopes for further studies. Both the Scopus and the Web of Science online databases were used to search for journal articles linked to climate change effects and economic vulnerability. The final data of 229 journal articles were analyzed using bibliometric and visualization tools "Biblioshiny" and "VOSViewer." The findings unveiled an uprising trend in publications and posited several themes, mainly exposure, sensitivity, drought, and flood by means of climate change effects that affect economic vulnerability. Based on the findings and review of literature, several research gaps were identified and offered opportunities for further studies. The policymakers can attribute attention to encouraging more research in several areas in addition to agriculture and coastal regions.},
}
@article {pmid35383264,
year = {2022},
author = {Pomoim, N and Hughes, AC and Trisurat, Y and Corlett, RT},
title = {Vulnerability to climate change of species in protected areas in Thailand.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {5705},
pmid = {35383264},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {GEF-5810//Global Environment Facility/ ; },
abstract = {Although 23% of Thailand's land is in protected areas, these are vulnerable to climate change. We used spatial distribution modelling for 866 vertebrate and 591 plant species to understand potential climate change impacts on species in protected areas. Most mammals, birds, and plants were projected to decline by 2070, but most amphibians and reptiles were projected to increase. By 2070 under RCP8.5, 54% of modeled species will be threatened and 11 nationally extinct. However, SDMs are sensitive to truncation of the climate space currently occupied by habitat loss and hunting, and apparent truncation by data limitations. In Thailand, lowland forest clearance has biased records for forest-dependent species to cooler uplands (> 250 m a.s.l.) and hunting has confined larger vertebrates to well-protected areas. In contrast, available data is biased towards lowland non-forest taxa for amphibians and reptiles. Niche truncation may therefore have resulted in overestimation of vulnerability for some mammal and plant species, while data limitations have likely led to underestimation of the threat to forest-dependent amphibians and reptiles. In view of the certainty of climate change but the many uncertainties regarding biological responses, we recommend regular, long-term monitoring of species and communities to detect early signals of climate change impacts.},
}
@article {pmid35383210,
year = {2022},
author = {Galani, YJH and Hansen, EMØ and Droutsas, I and Holmes, M and Challinor, AJ and Mikkelsen, TN and Orfila, C},
title = {Effects of combined abiotic stresses on nutrient content of European wheat and implications for nutritional security under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {5700},
pmid = {35383210},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {BB/P027784/1/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; BB/P027784/1/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; BB/P027784/1/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {Climate change is causing problems for agriculture, but the effect of combined abiotic stresses on crop nutritional quality is not clear. Here we studied the effect of 10 combinations of climatic conditions (temperature, CO2, O3 and drought) under controlled growth chamber conditions on the grain yield, protein, and mineral content of 3 wheat varieties. Results show that wheat plants under O3 exposure alone concentrated + 15 to + 31% more grain N, Fe, Mg, Mn P and Zn, reduced K by - 5%, and C did not change. Ozone in the presence of elevated CO2 and higher temperature enhanced the content of Fe, Mn, P and Zn by 2-18%. Water-limited chronic O3 exposure resulted in + 9 to + 46% higher concentrations of all the minerals, except K. The effect of climate abiotic factors could increase the ability of wheat to meet adult daily dietary requirements by + 6% to + 12% for protein, Zn and Fe, but decrease those of Mg, Mn and P by - 3% to - 6%, and K by - 62%. The role of wheat in future nutrition security is discussed.},
}
@article {pmid35382594,
year = {2022},
author = {Grimalda, G and Belianin, A and Hennig-Schmidt, H and Requate, T and Ryzhkova, MV},
title = {Sanctions and international interaction improve cooperation to avert climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {289},
number = {1972},
pages = {20212174},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2021.2174},
pmid = {35382594},
issn = {1471-2954},
abstract = {Imposing sanctions on non-compliant parties to international agreements is advocated as a remedy for international cooperation failure. Nevertheless, sanctions are costly, and rational choice theory predicts their ineffectiveness in improving cooperation. We test sanctions effectiveness experimentally in international collective-risk social dilemmas simulating efforts to avoid catastrophic climate change. We involve individuals from countries where sanctions were shown to be effective (Germany) or ineffective (Russia) in increasing cooperation. Here, we show that, while this result still holds nationally, international interaction backed by sanctions is beneficial. Cooperation by low cooperator groups increases relative to national cooperation and converges to the levels of high cooperators. This result holds regardless of revealing other group members' nationality, suggesting that participants' specific attitudes or stereotypes over the other country were irrelevant. Groups interacting under sanctions contribute more to catastrophe prevention than what would maximize expected group payoffs. This behaviour signals a strong propensity for protection against collective risks.},
}
@article {pmid35381997,
year = {2022},
author = {Twyman-Ghoshal, A and Patten, E and Ciaramella, E},
title = {Exploring Media Representations of the Nexus Between Climate Change and Crime in the United States.},
journal = {Critical criminology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-22},
doi = {10.1007/s10612-022-09608-1},
pmid = {35381997},
issn = {1572-9877},
abstract = {Information on the criminal causes and effects of the climate crisis has the potential to shape public understanding of the problem, influence behavior(s), and prompt policy decisions. This article examines the mediated representation of climate change and crime in the United States to understand whether and how these issues are being portrayed. Using a content analysis of top online media stories in 2018, we found that there is a paucity of coverage on the nexus of climate change and crime. The few stories that did discuss the subject were often oversimplified and showed a lack of critical and informative coverage of the subject. Media coverage of climate change and crime needs more attention. This means that social scientists should dedicate more time to this research and to creating awareness around the climate change-social harm nexus. It also requires that social scientists are actively included in the discussions of the social effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35381526,
year = {2022},
author = {Wang, J and Ding, Y and Wang, S and Watson, AE and He, H and Ye, H and Ouyang, X and Li, Y},
title = {Pixel-scale historical-baseline-based ecological quality: Measuring impacts from climate change and human activities from 2000 to 2018 in China.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {313},
number = {},
pages = {114944},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114944},
pmid = {35381526},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Widespread concern about ecological degradation has prompted development of concepts and exploration of methods to quantify ecological quality with the aim of measuring ecosystem changes to contribute to future policy-making. This paper proposes a conceptual framework for ecological quality measurement based on current ecosystem functions and biodiverse habitat, compared with pixel-scale historical baselines. The framework was applied to evaluate the changes and driving factors of ecological quality for Chinese terrestrial ecosystems through remote sensing-based and ecosystem process modeled data at 1 km spatial resolution from 2000 to 2018. The results demonstrated the ecological quality index (EQI) had a very different spatial pattern based upon vegetation distribution. An upward trend in EQI was found over most areas, and variability of 46.95% in EQI can be explained well by change in climate, with an additional 10.64% explained by changing human activities, quantified by population density. This study demonstrated a practical and objective approach for quantifying and assessing ecological quality, which has application potential in ecosystem assessments on scales from local to region and nation, yet would provide a new scientific concept and paradigm for macro ecosystems management and decision-making by governments.},
}
@article {pmid35381262,
year = {2022},
author = {Chi, G and Su, X and Lyu, H and Li, H and Xu, G and Zhang, Y},
title = {Prediction and evaluation of groundwater level changes in an over-exploited area of the Baiyangdian Lake Basin, China under the combined influence of climate change and ecological water recharge.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113104},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113104},
pmid = {35381262},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Groundwater (GW) and surface water (SW) are important components of water resources and play key roles in social and economic development and regional ecological security. There are currently several stresses placing immense pressure on the GW resources of the Baiyangdian Lake Basin (BLB) in China, including climate change. A series of ecological and environmental challenges have manifested in the plain area of the BLB due to long-term over-exploitation of GW, including regional declines in GW level, aquifer drainage, land subsidence, and soil secondary salinization. Climate change may aggravate environmental challenges by altering GW recharge rates and availability of GW. This study applied the fully processed and physically-based numerical models, MODFLOW and the Soil &amp; Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) in a semi-coupled modeling framework. The aim of the study was to quantitatively analyze changes to shallow GW levels and reserves in the plain area of BLB over the next 15 years (2021-2035) under climate change and different artificial recharge schemes. The results indicated that GW storage and levels are rising under the different GW recharge schemes. The maximum variation in the GW level was 20-30 m under a rainfall assurance rate of 50% and water level in the depression cone increased 14.20-14.98 m. This study can act as a theoretical basis for the development of a more sustainable GW management scheme in the plain area of the BLB and for the management and protection of aquifers in other areas with serious GW overdraft.},
}
@article {pmid35381021,
year = {2022},
author = {González, JB and Sánchez, A},
title = {Multilevel predictors of climate change beliefs in Africa.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e0266387},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0266387},
pmid = {35381021},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Although Africa is the most vulnerable region to climate change, little research has focused on how climate change is perceived by Africans. Using random forest methodology, we analyze survey and climate data from second-order political boundaries to explore what predicts climate change beliefs in Africa. We include five different dimensions of climate change beliefs: climate change awareness, belief in anthropogenic climate change, risk perception, the need to stop climate change, and self-efficacy. Based on these criteria we identify five key results: (1) climate change in Africa is largely perceived through its negative impacts on agriculture; (2) actual changes in local climate conditions are related to climate change beliefs; (3) authoritarian and intolerant ideologies are associated to less climate change awareness, and a diminished risk perception and belief that it must be stopped; (4) women are less likely to be aware of climate change, and (5) not speaking French, English or Portuguese is linked to a hindered understanding of climate beliefs. Our combined results can help policy makers better understand the need to jointly consider the multilevel complexities of individual beliefs and hydroclimatic data for the development of more accurate adaptation and mitigation strategies to combat the impacts of climate change in Africa.},
}
@article {pmid35379587,
year = {2022},
author = {Black, L and Li, K and Shendell, DG},
title = {Expanding awareness of climate change, sustainability, and environmental health through an introductory short online course for high school students.},
journal = {Explore (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.explore.2022.03.006},
pmid = {35379587},
issn = {1878-7541},
}
@article {pmid35379378,
year = {2022},
author = {Del Castillo, FA},
title = {Ecological Citizenship and Climate Change: Role of Education in Public Health.},
journal = {Disaster medicine and public health preparedness},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1},
doi = {10.1017/dmp.2022.68},
pmid = {35379378},
issn = {1938-744X},
}
@article {pmid35378646,
year = {2022},
author = {Abbass, K and Qasim, MZ and Song, H and Murshed, M and Mahmood, H and Younis, I},
title = {A review of the global climate change impacts, adaptation, and sustainable mitigation measures.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35378646},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Climate change is a long-lasting change in the weather arrays across tropics to polls. It is a global threat that has embarked on to put stress on various sectors. This study is aimed to conceptually engineer how climate variability is deteriorating the sustainability of diverse sectors worldwide. Specifically, the agricultural sector's vulnerability is a globally concerning scenario, as sufficient production and food supplies are threatened due to irreversible weather fluctuations. In turn, it is challenging the global feeding patterns, particularly in countries with agriculture as an integral part of their economy and total productivity. Climate change has also put the integrity and survival of many species at stake due to shifts in optimum temperature ranges, thereby accelerating biodiversity loss by progressively changing the ecosystem structures. Climate variations increase the likelihood of particular food and waterborne and vector-borne diseases, and a recent example is a coronavirus pandemic. Climate change also accelerates the enigma of antimicrobial resistance, another threat to human health due to the increasing incidence of resistant pathogenic infections. Besides, the global tourism industry is devastated as climate change impacts unfavorable tourism spots. The methodology investigates hypothetical scenarios of climate variability and attempts to describe the quality of evidence to facilitate readers' careful, critical engagement. Secondary data is used to identify sustainability issues such as environmental, social, and economic viability. To better understand the problem, gathered the information in this report from various media outlets, research agencies, policy papers, newspapers, and other sources. This review is a sectorial assessment of climate change mitigation and adaptation approaches worldwide in the aforementioned sectors and the associated economic costs. According to the findings, government involvement is necessary for the country's long-term development through strict accountability of resources and regulations implemented in the past to generate cutting-edge climate policy. Therefore, mitigating the impacts of climate change must be of the utmost importance, and hence, this global threat requires global commitment to address its dreadful implications to ensure global sustenance.},
}
@article {pmid35378269,
year = {2022},
author = {Yusuf, E and Luijendijk, A and Roo-Brand, G and Friedrich, AW},
title = {The Unintended Contribution of Clinical Microbiology Laboratories to Climate Change and Mitigation Strategies: A Combination of Descriptive Study, Short Survey, Literature Review and Opinion.},
journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2022.03.034},
pmid = {35378269},
issn = {1469-0691},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses a significant threat to humanity and human activity is largely responsible for it. Clinical microbiology laboratories have their unintended shares in CO2 emission. The aim of this study is to estimate CO2 emission of a clinical microbiology laboratory, and to propose initiatives to reduce the emissions.<br><br>METHODS: CO2 emission of instruments was estimated based on their electricity consumption. CO2 emitted in producing consumables was estimated by weighing the consumables needed to perform major tests in a large academic hospital. A systematic literature review was performed to identify studies on the impact of clinical microbiology laboratories on the environment. A short survey was sent to four major manufacturers of agar plates on initiatives to reduce the environmental impact of their products. Opinion was given on activities that can reduce CO2 emission in laboratories.<br><br>RESULTS: The study shows that the largest amount of CO2 emission in the microbiological laboratories comes from consumables and personnel commuting. For example, the production and transportation of agar plates needed to culture samples for a year in a hospital with 1320 beds, result in 16,590 kg CO2 is emitted. All survey participants mentioned that they were committed to reduce environmental impact of their products. The initiatives to reduce CO2 emission can be performed at the laboratory and at policy level, such as reducing the number of tests to only the necessary amount to reduce consumables.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The calculations contribute to map CO2-related emissions in clinical microbiology laboratory activities, and the proposed initiatives to reduce the CO2 may serve as starting point for further discussions.},
}
@article {pmid35377292,
year = {2021},
author = {Nilsson, M and Sie, A and Muindi, K and Bunker, A and Ingole, V and Ebi, KL},
title = {Weather, climate, and climate change research to protect human health in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia.},
journal = {Global health action},
volume = {14},
number = {sup1},
pages = {1984014},
doi = {10.1080/16549716.2021.1984014},
pmid = {35377292},
issn = {1654-9880},
abstract = {Weather, climate, and climate change are affecting human health, with scientific evidence increasing substantially over the past two decades, but with very limited research from low- and middle-income countries. The health effects of climate change occur mainly because of the consequences of rising temperatures, rising sea levels, and an increase in extreme weather events. These exposures interact with demographic, socio-economic, and environmental factors, as well as access to and the quality of health care, to affect the magnitude and pattern of risks. Health risks are unevenly distributed around the world, and within countries and across population groups. Existing health challenges and inequalities are likely to be exacerbated by climate change. This narrative review provides an overview of the health impacts of weather, climate, and climate change, particularly on vulnerable regions and populations in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, and discusses the importance of protecting human health in a changing climate; such measures are critical to reducing poverty and inequality at all scales. Three case summaries from the INDEPTH Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems highlight examples of research that quantified associations between weather and health outcomes. These and comparable surveillance systems can provide critical knowledge to increase resilience and decrease inequalities in an increasingly warming world.},
}
@article {pmid35373178,
year = {2022},
author = {Gray, K},
title = {Climate Change, Human Health, and Health Informatics: A New View of Connected and Sustainable Digital Health.},
journal = {Frontiers in digital health},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {869721},
doi = {10.3389/fdgth.2022.869721},
pmid = {35373178},
issn = {2673-253X},
abstract = {The connection between human health and climate change has had a scientific basis for many decades. However, little attention has been directed to applying the science of health informatics to this aspect of health and healthcare until recently. This paper briefly reviews examples of recent international work on two fronts: to consider how health informatics can reduce the carbon footprint of healthcare, and to consider how it can integrate new kinds of data for insights into the human health impacts of climate change. Health informatics has two principles of fundamental relevance to this work - connectedness, in other words linking and integrating health data from multiple sources; and sustainability, in other words making healthcare overall more efficient and effective. Deepening its commitment to these principles will position health informatics as a discipline and a profession to support and guide technological advances that respond to the world's climate health challenges.},
}
@article {pmid35371912,
year = {2022},
author = {Theron, E and Bills, CB and Calvello Hynes, EJ and Stassen, W and Rublee, C},
title = {Climate change and emergency care in Africa: A scoping review.},
journal = {African journal of emergency medicine : Revue africaine de la medecine d'urgence},
volume = {12},
number = {2},
pages = {121-128},
doi = {10.1016/j.afjem.2022.02.003},
pmid = {35371912},
issn = {2211-4203},
abstract = {Introduction: Climate change is a global public health emergency with implications for access to care and emergency care service disruptions. The African continent is particularly vulnerable to climate-related extreme weather events due to an already overburdened health system, lack of early warning signs, poverty, inadequate infrastructure, and variable adaptive capacity. Emergency care services are not only utilized during these events but also threatened by these hazards. Considering that the effects of climate change are expected to increase in intensity and prevalence, it is increasingly important for emergency care to prepare to respond to the changes in presentation and demand. The aim of this study was to perform a scoping review of the available literature on the relationship between climate change and emergency care on the African continent.<br><br>Methods: A scoping review was completed using five databases: Pubmed, Web of Science, GreenFILE, Africa Wide Information, and Google Scholar. A 'grey' literature search was done to identify key reports and references from included articles. Two independent reviewers screened articles and a third reviewer decided conflicts. A total of 1,382 individual articles were initially screened with 17 meeting full text review. A total of six articles were included in the final analysis. Data from four countries were represented including Uganda, Ghana, Tanzania, and Nigeria.<br><br>Results: Analysis of the six articles yielded three key themes that were identified: climate-related health impacts that contribute to surges in demand and resource utilization, opportunities for health sector engagement, and solutions to improve emergency preparedness. Authors used the outcomes of the review to propose 10 recommendations for decision-makers and leaders.<br><br>DXDiscussion: Incorporating these key recommendations at the local and national level could help improve preparedness and adaptation measures in highly vulnerable, populated areas on the African continent.},
}
@article {pmid35371157,
year = {2022},
author = {Charoensawan, V and Cortijo, S and Domijan, M and Negrão, S},
title = {Editorial: Multi-Disciplinary Approaches to Plant Responses to Climate Change.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {876432},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.876432},
pmid = {35371157},
issn = {1664-462X},
}
@article {pmid35370514,
year = {2022},
author = {Bernstein, A and Katz, DL},
title = {Lifestyle Medicine and Climate Change: The Role of Providers in Addressing a Public Health Challenge.},
journal = {American journal of lifestyle medicine},
volume = {16},
number = {2},
pages = {251-253},
doi = {10.1177/15598276211017097},
pmid = {35370514},
issn = {1559-8284},
abstract = {Climate change threatens to undermine efforts to improve human health through lifestyle modification. Lifestyle medicine providers, however, may be well positioned to help patients create new healthful and climate-friendly habits, such as adopting a plant-based diet and limiting or eliminating car travel. Through each provider's own example and patient engagement efforts, as well as though new technology and the collective action of the American College of Lifestyle Medicine, the broader lifestyle medicine community can play an outsized role in addressing climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35366358,
year = {2022},
author = {Carbeck, K and Wang, T and Reid, J and Arcese, P},
title = {Adaptation to climate change through seasonal migration revealed by climatic versus demographic niche models.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16185},
pmid = {35366358},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Predicting the geographic range of species and their response to climatic variation and change are entwined goals in conservation and evolutionary ecology. Species distribution models (SDMs) are foundational in this effort and used to visualize the geographic range of species as the spatial representation of its realized niche. SDMs are also used to forecast range shifts under climate change, but often in the absence of empirical evidence that climate limits population growth. We explored the influence of climate on demography, seasonal migration, and the extent of the geographic range in song sparrows (Melospiza melodia), a species thought to display marked local adaptation to regional climate. To do so, we developed SDMs to predict the demographic and climate niches of migratory and resident song sparrows across our study area in western North America from California to Alaska, using 48 years of demographic data from a focal population in British Columbia and 1.2 million continental-scale citizen science observations. Spatial agreement of our demographic and climate niche models in the region of our focal population was strong (76%), supporting the hypothesis that demographic performance and the occurrence of seasonal migration varied predictably with climatic conditions. In contrast, agreement at the northern (58%) and southern (40%) extents of our study area was lower, as expected if the factors limiting population growth vary regionally. Our results support the hypothesis that local climate drives spatial variation in the occurrence of seasonal migration in song sparrows by limiting the fitness of year-round residents, and suggest that climate warming has favored range expansions and facilitated an upward shift in elevational range song sparrows that forgo seasonal migration. Our work highlights the potential role of seasonal migration in climate adaptation and limits on the reliability of climate niche models not validated with demographic data.},
}
@article {pmid35366068,
year = {2022},
author = {Kauffman, JB and Beschta, RL and Lacy, PM and Liverman, M},
title = {Livestock Use on Public Lands in the Western USA Exacerbates Climate Change: Implications for Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35366068},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Public lands of the USA can play an important role in addressing the climate crisis. About 85% of public lands in the western USA are grazed by domestic livestock, and they influence climate change in three profound ways: (1) they are significant sources of greenhouse gases through enteric fermentation and manure deposition; (2) they defoliate native plants, trample vegetation and soils, and accelerate the spread of exotic species resulting in a shift in landscape function from carbon sinks to sources of greenhouse gases; and (3) they exacerbate the effects of climate change on ecosystems by creating warmer and drier conditions. On public lands one cow-calf pair grazing for one month (an "animal unit month" or "AUM") produces 875 kg CO2e through enteric fermentation and manure deposition with a social carbon cost of nearly $36 per AUM. Over 14 million AUMs of cattle graze public lands of the western USA each year resulting in greenhouse gas emissions of 12.4 Tg CO2e year-1. The social costs of carbon are > $500 million year-1 or approximately 26 times greater than annual grazing fees collected by managing federal agencies. These emissions and social costs do not include the likely greater ecosystems costs from grazing impacts and associated livestock management activities that reduce biodiversity, carbon stocks and rates of carbon sequestration. Cessation of grazing would decrease greenhouse gas emissions, improve soil and water resources, and would enhance/sustain native species biodiversity thus representing an important and cost-effective adaptive approach to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35364516,
year = {2022},
author = {Khan, MA and Riaz, S and Jiang, H and Qamar, S and Ali, Z and Islamil, M and Nazeer, A and Faisal, M and Satti, S and Zhang, X},
title = {Development of an assessment framework for the proposed Multi-Scalar Seasonally Amalgamated Regional Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (MSARSPEI) for regional drought classifications in global warming context.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {312},
number = {},
pages = {114951},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114951},
pmid = {35364516},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Drought hazard is one of the main consequences of global warming and climate change. Unlike other natural disasters, drought has complex climatic features. Therefore, accurate drought monitoring is a challenging task. This paper proposes a framework for assessing drought classifications at the regional level. The proposed framework provides a new drought monitoring indicator called Multi-Scalar Seasonally Amalgamated Regional Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (MSARSPEI). MSARSPEI is an amalgam of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration (SPEI) (Vicente-Serrano et al., 2010) and Regionally Improved Weighted Standardized Drought Index (RIWSDI) (Jiang et al., 2020). In the proposed framework, the Boruta algorithm of feature selection is configured to ensemble monthly time series data of evaporation in various meteorological stations located in specific regions. Further, the framework suggests the standardization of the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF) of K-Component Gaussian (K-CG) mixture distribution function for obtaining MSARSPEI data. The application of the proposed framework is based on seven different regions of Pakistan. For comparative analysis, this paper compared the performance of MSARSPE with SPEI using Pearson correlation. Outcomes associated with this research show that the proposed regional drought index has a strong correlation with the competing indicator in various time scales. In addition, the study assessed the spatial extent of various drought classifications under MSARSPEI. In summation, this research concludes that the choice of the MSARSPEI is rationally valid and more appropriate for the regional assessment of drought under the global warming scenario.},
}
@article {pmid35364353,
year = {2022},
author = {Qiu, G and Law, Y and Zuniga-Montanez, R and Deng, X and Lu, Y and Roy, S and Thi, SS and Hoon, HY and Nguyen, TQN and Eganathan, K and Liu, X and Nielsen, PH and Williams, RBH and Wuertz, S},
title = {Global warming readiness: Feasibility of enhanced biological phosphorus removal at 35 °C.},
journal = {Water research},
volume = {216},
number = {},
pages = {118301},
doi = {10.1016/j.watres.2022.118301},
pmid = {35364353},
issn = {1879-2448},
abstract = {Recent research has shown enhanced biological phosphorus removal (EBPR) from municipal wastewater at warmer temperatures around 30 °C to be achievable in both laboratory-scale reactors and full-scale treatment plants. In the context of a changing climate, the feasibility of EBPR at even higher temperatures is of interest. We operated two lab-scale EBPR sequencing batch reactors for > 300 days at 30 °C and 35 °C, respectively, and followed the dynamics of the communities of polyphosphate accumulating organisms (PAOs) and competing glycogen accumulating organisms (GAOs) using a combination of 16S rRNA gene metabarcoding, quantitative PCR and fluorescence in situ hybridization analyses. Stable and nearly complete phosphorus (P) removal was achieved at 30 °C; similarly, long term P removal was stable at 35 °C with effluent PO43-_P concentrations < 0.5 mg/L on half of all monitored days. Diverse and abundant Candidatus Accumulibacter amplicon sequence variants were closely related to those found in temperate environments, suggesting that EBPR at this temperature does not require a highly specialized PAO community. A slow-feeding strategy effectively limited the carbon uptake rates of GAOs, allowing PAOs to outcompete GAOs at both temperatures. Candidatus Competibacter was the main GAO, along with cluster III Defluviicoccus members. These organisms withstood the slow-feeding regime, suggesting that their bioenergetic characteristics of carbon uptake differ from those of their tetrad-forming relatives. Comparative cycle studies revealed higher carbon and P cycling activity of Ca. Accumulibacter when the temperature was increased from 30 °C to 35 °C, implying that the lowered P removal performance at 35 °C was not a direct effect of temperature, but a result of higher metabolic rates of carbon (and/or P) utilization of PAOs and GAOs, the resultant carbon deficiency, and escalated community competition. An increase in the TOC-to-PO43--P ratio (from 25:1 to 40:1) effectively eased the carbon deficiency and benefited PAOs. In general, a slow-feeding strategy and sufficiently high carbon input benefited a high and stable EBPR at 35 °C, representing basic conditions suitable for full-scale treatment plants experiencing higher water temperatures.},
}
@article {pmid35364159,
year = {2022},
author = {Adams-Groom, B and Selby, K and Derrett, S and Frisk, CA and Pashley, CH and Satchwell, J and King, D and McKenzie, G and Neilson, R},
title = {Pollen season trends as markers of climate change impact: Betula, Quercus and Poaceae.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154882},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154882},
pmid = {35364159},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The incidences of respiratory allergies are at an all-time high. Pollen aeroallergens can reflect changing climate, with recent studies in Europe showing some, but not all, pollen types are increasing in severity, season duration and experiencing an earlier onset. This study aimed to identify pollen trends in the UK over the last twenty-six years for a range of pollen sites, with a focus on the key pollen types of Poaceae (grass), Betula (birch) and Quercus (oak) and to examine the relationship of these trends with meteorological factors. Betula pollen seasons show no significant trends for onset, first high day or duration but increasing pollen production in the Midlands region of the UK is being driven by warmer temperatures in the previous June and July. Quercus pollen seasons are starting earlier, due to increasing temperature and sunshine totals in April, but are not becoming more severe. The seasons are lasting longer, although no significant climate drivers for this were identified. The first high day of the Poaceae pollen season is occurring earlier in central UK regions due to an increasing trend for all temperature variables in the previous December, January, April, May and June. Severity and duration of the season show no significant trends and are spatially and temporally variable. Important changes are occurring in the UK pollen seasons that will impact on the health of respiratory allergy sufferers, with more severe Betula pollen seasons and longer Quercus pollen seasons. Most of the changes identified were caused by climate drivers of increasing temperature and sunshine total. However, Poaceae pollen seasons are neither becoming more severe nor longer. The reasons for this included a lack of change in some monthly meteorological variables, or land-use change, such as grassland being replaced by urban areas or woodland.},
}
@article {pmid35363810,
year = {2022},
author = {Wu, S and He, Y and Wei, Y and Fan, P and Ni, W and Zhong, D and Zhou, G and Zheng, X},
title = {Effects of Guangzhou seasonal climate change on the development of Aedes albopictus and its susceptibility to DENV-2.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {4},
pages = {e0266128},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0266128},
pmid = {35363810},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {The susceptibility of Asian tiger mosquitoes to DENV-2 in different seasons was observed in simulated field environments as a reference to design dengue fever control strategies in Guangzhou. The life table experiments of mosquitoes in four seasons were carried out in the field. The susceptibility of Ae. albopictus to dengue virus was observed in both environments in Guangzhou in summer and winter. Ae. albopictus was infected with dengue virus by oral feeding. On day 7 and 14 after infection, the viral load in the head, ovary, and midgut of the mosquito was detected using real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR. Immune-associated gene expression in infected mosquitoes was performed using quantitative real-time reverse transcriptase PCR. The hatching rate and pupation rate of Ae. albopictus larvae in different seasons differed significantly. The winter hatching rate of larvae was lower than that in summer, and the incubation time was longer than in summer. In the winter field environment, Ae. albopictus still underwent basic growth and development processes. Mosquitoes in the simulated field environment were more susceptible to DENV-2 than those in the simulated laboratory environment. In the midgut, viral RNA levels on day 7 in summer were higher than those on day 7 in winter (F = 14.459, P = 0.01); ovarian viral RNA levels on day 7 in summer were higher than those on day 7 in winter (F = 8.656, P < 0.001), but there was no significant difference in the viral load at other time points (P > 0.05). Dicer-2 mRNA expression on day 7 in winter was 4.071 times than that on day 7 in summer: the viral load and Dicer-2 expression correlated moderately. Ae. albopictus could still develop and transmit dengue virus in winter in Guangzhou. Mosquitoes under simulated field conditions were more susceptible to DENV-2 than those under simulated laboratory conditions.},
}
@article {pmid35363629,
year = {2022},
author = {Taylor, AL and Perret, D and Morice, K and Zafonte, R and Skelton, F and Rivers, E and Alexander, M},
title = {Climate Change and Physiatry: A Call to Proportional and Prospective Action.},
journal = {American journal of physical medicine &amp; rehabilitation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/PHM.0000000000002017},
pmid = {35363629},
issn = {1537-7385},
abstract = {ABSTRACT: Through increased temperature-related illness, exposure to wildfire smoke and air pollutants, and more frequent and intense natural disasters, climate change is disproportionately affecting the health of people with disabilities. While the evidence behind the health effects of climate change is growing, there remain critical research gaps in the physiatric literature that must be addressed. Increased education throughout the medical-education continuum is also needed to prepare physiatrists to address the climate-related health effects impacting their patient populations. Physiatrists and their member organizations should advocate for policies that address climate change with a focus on the unique needs of their patient population and the inclusion of people with disabilities in the policy making process.},
}
@article {pmid35363525,
year = {2022},
author = {Touma, D and Stevenson, S and Swain, DL and Singh, D and Kalashnikov, DA and Huang, X},
title = {Climate change increases risk of extreme rainfall following wildfire in the western United States.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {8},
number = {13},
pages = {eabm0320},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.abm0320},
pmid = {35363525},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Post-wildfire extreme rainfall events can have destructive impacts in the western United States. Using two climate model large ensembles, we assess the future risk of extreme fire weather events being followed by extreme rainfall in this region. By mid-21st century, in a high warming scenario (RCP8.5), we report large increases in the number of extreme fire weather events followed within 1 year by at least one extreme rainfall event. By 2100, the frequency of these compound events increases by 100% in California and 700% in the Pacific Northwest in the Community Earth System Model v1 Large Ensemble. We further project that more than 90% of extreme fire weather events in California, Colorado, and the Pacific Northwest will be followed by at least three spatially colocated extreme rainfall events within five years. Our results point to a future with substantially increased post-fire hydrologic risks across much of the western United States.},
}
@article {pmid35362746,
year = {2022},
author = {Lee, MC and Libatique, MJH and Yeh, HY and Chloe Lung, WQ},
title = {Increasing arsenic accumulation as an implication of climate change: a case study using red algae.},
journal = {Bulletin of environmental contamination and toxicology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35362746},
issn = {1432-0800},
abstract = {Climate change due to an increasing concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is a global issue. It can impact aquatic environments by affecting water flow, pollutant transformation and migration, and other toxicant-related effects. We assessed the interactive effects of temperature warming and pH changes on variations in accumulation of total arsenic (AsT) in the red alga Sarcodia suae at different levels of arsenite (AsIII). Result showed that AsT variations in the alga were moderated by significant joint effects of warming temperature and/or increasing pH levels and their interactions with increasing AsIII concentrations. Our study suggests possible deleterious impacts on macroalgal populations due to toxicological effects associated with prevailing environmental conditions. Therefore, improved pollution management, climate change adaptation, and mitigation strategies are needed to deal with current environmental issues and As aggravation.},
}
@article {pmid35361642,
year = {2022},
author = {Kamana, E and Zhao, J and Bai, D},
title = {Predicting the impact of climate change on the re-emergence of malaria cases in China using LSTMSeq2Seq deep learning model: a modelling and prediction analysis study.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {12},
number = {3},
pages = {e053922},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053922},
pmid = {35361642},
issn = {2044-6055},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Malaria is a vector-borne disease that remains a serious public health problem due to its climatic sensitivity. Accurate prediction of malaria re-emergence is very important in taking corresponding effective measures. This study aims to investigate the impact of climatic factors on the re-emergence of malaria in mainland China.<br><br>DESIGN: A modelling study.<br><br>SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Monthly malaria cases for four Plasmodium species (P. falciparum, P. malariae, P. vivax and other Plasmodium) and monthly climate data were collected for 31 provinces; malaria cases from 2004 to 2016 were obtained from the Chinese centre for disease control and prevention and climate parameters from China meteorological data service centre. We conducted analyses at the aggregate level, and there was no involvement of confidential information.<br><br>The long short-term memory sequence-to-sequence (LSTMSeq2Seq) deep neural network model was used to predict the re-emergence of malaria cases from 2004 to 2016, based on the influence of climatic factors. We trained and tested the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), gated recurrent unit, LSTM, LSTMSeq2Seq models using monthly malaria cases and corresponding meteorological data in 31 provinces of China. Then we compared the predictive performance of models using root mean squared error (RMSE) and mean absolute error evaluation measures.<br><br>RESULTS: The proposed LSTMSeq2Seq model reduced the mean RMSE of the predictions by 19.05% to 33.93%, 18.4% to 33.59%, 17.6% to 26.67% and 13.28% to 21.34%, for P. falciparum, P. vivax, P. malariae, and other plasmodia, respectively, as compared with other candidate models. The LSTMSeq2Seq model achieved an average prediction accuracy of 87.3%.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: The LSTMSeq2Seq model significantly improved the prediction of malaria re-emergence based on the influence of climatic factors. Therefore, the LSTMSeq2Seq model can be effectively applied in the malaria re-emergence prediction.},
}
@article {pmid35358519,
year = {2022},
author = {Burrell, AL and Sun, Q and Baxter, R and Kukavskaya, EA and Zhila, S and Shestakova, T and Rogers, BM and Kaduk, J and Barrett, K},
title = {Climate change, fire return intervals and the growing risk of permanent forest loss in boreal Eurasia.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154885},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154885},
pmid = {35358519},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change has driven an increase in the frequency and severity of fires in Eurasian boreal forests. A growing number of field studies have linked the change in fire regime to post-fire recruitment failure and permanent forest loss. In this study we used four burned area and two forest loss datasets to calculate the landscape-scale fire return interval (FRI) and associated risk of permanent forest loss. We then used machine learning to predict how the FRI will change under a high emissions scenario (SSP3-7.0) by the end of the century. We found that there are currently 133,000 km2 forest at high, or extreme, risk of fire-induced forest loss, with a further 3 M km2 at risk by the end of the century. This has the potential to degrade or destroy some of the largest remaining intact forests in the world, negatively impact the health and economic wellbeing of people living in the region, as well as accelerate global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35358265,
year = {2022},
author = {Donoso, DA and Basset, Y and Shik, JZ and Forrister, DL and Uquillas, A and Salazar-Méndez, Y and Arizala, S and Polanco, P and Beckett, S and Dominguez G, D and Barrios, H},
title = {Male ant reproductive investment in a seasonal wet tropical forest: Consequences of future climate change.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {3},
pages = {e0266222},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0266222},
pmid = {35358265},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Tropical forests sustain many ant species whose mating events often involve conspicuous flying swarms of winged gynes and males. The success of these reproductive flights depends on environmental variables and determines the maintenance of local ant diversity. However, we lack a strong understanding of the role of environmental variables in shaping the phenology of these flights. Using a combination of community-level analyses and a time-series model on male abundance, we studied male ant phenology in a seasonally wet lowland rainforest in the Panama Canal. The male flights of 161 ant species, sampled with 10 Malaise traps during 58 consecutive weeks (from August 2014 to September 2015), varied widely in number (mean = 9.8 weeks, median = 4, range = 1 to 58). Those species abundant enough for analysis (n = 97) flew mainly towards the end of the dry season and at the start of the rainy season. While litterfall, rain, temperature, and air humidity explained community composition, the time-series model estimators elucidated more complex patterns of reproductive investment across the entire year. For example, male abundance increased in weeks when maximum daily temperature increased and in wet weeks during the dry season. On the contrary, male abundance decreased in periods when rain receded (e.g., at the start of the dry season), in periods when rain fell daily (e.g., right after the beginning of the wet season), or when there was an increase in the short-term rate of litterfall (e.g., at the end of the dry season). Together, these results suggest that the BCI ant community is adapted to the dry/wet transition as the best timing of reproductive investment. We hypothesize that current climate change scenarios for tropical regions with higher average temperature, but lower rainfall, may generate phenological mismatches between reproductive flights and the adequate conditions needed for a successful start of the colony.},
}
@article {pmid35358194,
year = {2022},
author = {Geng, W and Li, Y and Sun, D and Li, B and Zhang, P and Chang, H and Rong, T and Liu, Y and Shao, J and Liu, Z and Zhu, H and Lou, Y and Wang, Q and Zhang, J},
title = {Prediction of the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {17},
number = {3},
pages = {e0262540},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0262540},
pmid = {35358194},
issn = {1932-6203},
abstract = {Climate is a dominant factor affecting the potential geographical distribution of species. Understanding the impact of climate change on the potential geographic distribution of species, which is of great significance to the exploitation, utilization, and protection of resources, as well as ecologically sustainable development. Betula platyphylla Suk. is one of the most widely distributed temperate deciduous tree species in East Asia and has important economic and ecological value. Based on 231 species distribution data points of Betula platyphylla Suk. in China and 37 bioclimatic, soil, and topography variables (with correlation coefficients < 0.75), the potential geographical distribution pattern of Betula platyphylla Suk. under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) climate change scenarios at present and in the 2050s and 2070s was predicted using the MaxEnt model. We analyzed the main environmental variables affecting the distribution and change of suitable areas and compared the scope and change of suitable areas under different climate scenarios. This study found: (1) At present, the main suitable area for Betula platyphylla Suk. extends from northeastern to southwestern China, with the periphery area showing fragmented distribution. (2) Annual precipitation, precipitation of the warmest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, annual mean temperature, and precipitation of the driest month are the dominant environmental variables that affect the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. (3) The suitable area for Betula platyphylla Suk. is expected to expand under global warming scenarios. In recent years, due to the impact of diseases and insect infestation, and environmental damage, the natural Betula platyphylla Suk. forest in China has gradually narrowed. This study accurately predicted the potential geographical distribution of Betula platyphylla Suk. under current and future climate change scenarios, which can provide the scientific basis for the cultivation, management, and sustainable utilization of Betula platyphylla Suk. resources.},
}
@article {pmid35357713,
year = {2022},
author = {Rauschkolb, R and Li, Z and Godefroid, S and Dixon, L and Durka, W and Májeková, M and Bossdorf, O and Ensslin, A and Scheepens, JF},
title = {Evolution of plant drought strategies and herbivore tolerance after two decades of climate change.},
journal = {The New phytologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/nph.18125},
pmid = {35357713},
issn = {1469-8137},
abstract = {Ongoing global warming, coupled with increased drought frequencies, together with other biotic drivers may have resulted in complex evolutionary adaptation. The resurrection approach, comparing ancestors raised from stored seeds with their contemporary descendants under common conditions, is a powerful method to test for recent evolution in plant populations. We used 21-26-year-old seeds of four European plant species - Matthiola tricuspidata, Plantago crassifolia, Clinopodium vulgare and Leontodon hispidus - stored in seed banks together with re-collected seeds from their wild populations. To test for evolutionary changes, we conducted a greenhouse experiment that quantified heritable changes in plant responses to drought and simulated insect herbivory. In three out of the four studied species, we found evidence that descendants evolved shorter life cycles through faster growth and flowering. Shifts in the osmotic potential and leaf dry matter content indicated that descendants also evolved increased drought tolerance. A comparison of QST vs. FST values, using ddRAD genotyping data, suggested that directional selection, and therefore adaptive evolution, was underlying some of the observed phenotypic changes. In summary, our study reveals evolutionary changes in plant populations over the last decades that are consistent with adaptation of drought escape and tolerance as well as herbivory avoidance.},
}
@article {pmid35356559,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhang, JM and Peng, XY and Song, ML and Li, ZJ and Xu, XQ and Wang, W},
title = {Effects of climate change on the distribution of wild Akebia trifoliata.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {12},
number = {3},
pages = {e8714},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.8714},
pmid = {35356559},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Understanding the impacts and constraints of climate change on the geographical distribution of wild Akebia trifoliata is crucial for its sustainable management and economic development as a medicinal material or fruit. In this study, according to the first-hand information obtained from field investigation, the distribution and response to climate change of A. trifoliata were studied by the MaxEnt model and ArcGIS. The genetic diversity and population structure of 21 natural populations of A. trifoliata were studied by simple sequence repeat (SSR) markers. The results showed that the most important bioclimatic variable limiting the distribution of A. trifoliata was the Mean Temperature of Coldest Quarter (bio11). Under the scenarios SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5, the suitable area of A. trifoliata in the world will remain stable, and the suitable area will increase significantly under the scenarios of SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5. Under the current climate scenario, the suitable growth regions of A. trifoliata in China were 79.9-122.7°E and 21.5-37.5°N. Under the four emission scenarios in the future, the geometric center of the suitable distribution regions of Akebia trifoliata in China will move to the north. The clustering results of 21 populations of A. trifoliata analyzed by SSR markers showed that they had a trend of evolution from south to north.},
}
@article {pmid35354591,
year = {2022},
author = {Iacobucci, G},
title = {Medical schools should include climate change in their curriculum, says report.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {376},
number = {},
pages = {o845},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o845},
pmid = {35354591},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35353372,
year = {2022},
author = {Thomson, D and Cumpston, M and Delgado-Figueroa, N and Ebi, KL and Haddaway, N and van der Heijden, M and Heyn, PC and Lokotola, CL and Meerpohl, JJ and Metzendorf, MI and Parker, ER and Phalkey, R and Tovey, D and von Elm, E and Webster, RJ and Wieland, SL and Young, T},
title = {Protecting human health in a time of climate change: how Cochrane should respond.},
journal = {The Cochrane database of systematic reviews},
volume = {3},
number = {},
pages = {ED000156},
doi = {10.1002/14651858.ED000156},
pmid = {35353372},
issn = {1469-493X},
}
@article {pmid35352220,
year = {2022},
author = {Baloch, ZA and Tan, Q and Fahad, S},
title = {Analyzing farm households' perception and choice of adaptation strategies towards climate change impacts: a case study of vulnerable households in an emerging Asian region.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35352220},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Poor agricultural communities are particularly more disruptive to changes in climate. In southeast Asian countries, Pakistan is extremely vulnerable to weather-related events including droughts and floods. This research study aims to determine the farmers' perception towards climatic risks, farmers' choice of adaptation strategies and factors influencing farmers' decision of adaptation measures. A face-to-face household survey was conducted to collect primary data of 378 farm households from three tehsils of district Charsadda-Khyber Pakhuntkhwa (KP) province of Pakistan. A structured questionnaire was utilized as an instrument to collect data from the targeted farmers in study areas (three tehsils of district Charsadda). A binary probit model approach was used to assess the major factors affecting farmers' decision towards adaptation measures. Results revealed that changing crop varieties, diversification of crops, changing crop calendar, and insurance of crops were the major adaptive measures exercised by farm households in their farms. Findings of the binary probit approach showed that age of the respondents, farm size, educational level, credit access, household size, extension services access and perception of increased floods, and reduction in precipitation had substantial effect on the farmers' adaptation strategies choice. Advanced agricultural practices in response to the climatic risks can thus have substantial effects and reduction in farmers' exposure to natural calamities. Study findings of our research can guide policy makers and concerned authorities and provide policy implications for future research studies.},
}
@article {pmid35350006,
year = {2022},
author = {Skaland, RG and Herrador, BG and Hisdal, H and Hygen, HO and Hyllestad, S and Lund, V and White, R and Wong, WK and Nygård, K},
title = {Impacts of climate change on drinking water quality in Norway.},
journal = {Journal of water and health},
volume = {20},
number = {3},
pages = {539-550},
doi = {10.2166/wh.2022.264},
pmid = {35350006},
issn = {1477-8920},
abstract = {Climate change will lead to higher temperatures, increased precipitation and runoff, as well as more intense and frequent extreme weather events in Norway. More extreme rainfall and increased runoff are historically associated with higher concentrations of indicator bacteria, colour and turbidity in raw water of Norwegian waterworks. Regional information about the risk for drinking water deterioration by the end of the century is essential for evaluating potential treatment capacity upgrades at the waterworks. We combined locally downscaled future climate scenarios with historical associations between weather/runoff and water quality from a wide spread of waterworks in Norway. With continued climate change, we estimate higher concentrations of water quality indicators of raw water by the end of the century. The water quality is estimated to deteriorate mainly due to the projected increase in rainfall, and mainly in the Western and Northern parts of Norway. While large waterworks seem to be able to adapt to future conditions, the degradation of raw water quality may cause future challenges for the treatment processes at smaller waterworks. Combining these results with further studies of treatment effects and microbial risk assessments is needed to ensure sufficient treatment capacities of the raw water in the future.},
}
@article {pmid35349810,
year = {2022},
author = {Clark, R and Hobson, K},
title = {Climate change: Aerial insectivores struggle to keep pace with earlier pulses of nutritious aquatic foods.},
journal = {Current biology : CB},
volume = {32},
number = {6},
pages = {R267-R269},
doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2022.01.076},
pmid = {35349810},
issn = {1879-0445},
abstract = {Not all insects are created equal and those emerging from wetlands are nutritionally superior to those from uplands. Insectivorous birds have timed reproduction to coincide with insect pulses, but new work shows how climate change has disconnected this synchrony, creating reductions in insect quality with profound implications for conservation.},
}
@article {pmid35349170,
year = {2022},
author = {Bajpai, A and Mahawar, H and Dubey, G and Atoliya, N and Parmar, R and Devi, MH and Kollah, B and Mohanty, SR},
title = {Prospect of pink pigmented facultative methylotrophs in mitigating abiotic stress and climate change.},
journal = {Journal of basic microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jobm.202200087},
pmid = {35349170},
issn = {1521-4028},
support = {EMR/2016/000511//DST SERB/ ; },
abstract = {Apparently, climate change is observed in form of increased greenhouse gases (CH4 , CO2 , N2 O, CFC), temperature (0.5-1°C), and UV radiations (UV B and UV C). It is affecting every aspect of ecosystem functioning; however, terrestrial crops are the most vulnerable group and crop productivity largely remains a challenge. Due to climate change, seed yield and nutrient depletion are inevitable in future scenarios. To overcome this problem microbial groups that exhibit plant growth promoting attributes and provide protection against environmental stress should be studied. One such group is the pink pigmented facultative methylotrophs (PPFMs) that can induce overall fitness to plants. PPFMs are involved in phosphorous mineralization, siderophore, ACC deaminase, phytohormone production, and assimilation of greenhouse gases. Additionally, these organisms can also resist harmful UV radiations effectively as they possess polyketide synthases that could serve as source of novel bioactives that can protect plant from abiotic stress. The review article comprehensively highlights the multifunctional traits of PPFMs and their role in mitigating climate change with an aim to use this important organism as microbial inoculants for sustainable agriculture under climate-changing scenarios.},
}
@article {pmid35348502,
year = {2022},
author = {},
title = {The Health Effects of Climate Change.},
journal = {The American journal of nursing},
volume = {122},
number = {4},
pages = {14},
doi = {10.1097/01.NAJ.0000827272.52400.6e},
pmid = {35348502},
issn = {1538-7488},
abstract = {Nurses are among those mobilizing to address the challenge.},
}
@article {pmid35347259,
year = {2022},
author = {Sonne, J and Maruyama, PK and Martín González, AM and Rahbek, C and Bascompte, J and Dalsgaard, B},
title = {Extinction, coextinction and colonization dynamics in plant-hummingbird networks under climate change.},
journal = {Nature ecology &amp; evolution},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35347259},
issn = {2397-334X},
support = {25925//Villum Fonden (Villum Foundation)/ ; 25925//Villum Fonden (Villum Foundation)/ ; 310030_197201//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; DNRF96//Danmarks Grundforskningsfond (Danish National Research Foundation)/ ; DNRF96//Danmarks Grundforskningsfond (Danish National Research Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate-driven range shifts may cause local extinctions, while the accompanying loss of biotic interactions may trigger secondary coextinctions. At the same time, climate change may facilitate colonizations from regional source pools, balancing out local species loss. At present, how these extinction-coextinction-colonization dynamics affect biological communities under climate change is poorly understood. Using 84 communities of interacting plants and hummingbirds, we simulated patterns in climate-driven extinctions, coextinctions and colonizations under future climate change scenarios. Our simulations showed clear geographic discrepancies in the communities' vulnerability to climate change. Andean communities were the least affected by future climate change, as they experienced few climate-driven extinctions and coextinctions while having the highest colonization potential. In North America and lowland South America, communities had many climate-driven extinctions and few colonization events. Meanwhile, the pattern of coextinction was highly dependent on the configuration of networks formed by interacting hummingbirds and plants. Notably, North American communities experienced proportionally fewer coextinctions than other regions because climate-driven extinctions here primarily affected species with peripheral network roles. Moreover, coextinctions generally decreased in communities where species have few overlapping interactions, that is, communities with more complementary specialized and modular networks. Together, these results highlight that we should not expect colonizations to adequately balance out local extinctions in the most vulnerable ecoregions.},
}
@article {pmid35347049,
year = {2022},
author = {Fidler, L and Green, S and Wintemute, K},
title = {Pressurized metered-dose inhalers and their impact on climate change.},
journal = {CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne},
volume = {194},
number = {12},
pages = {E460},
doi = {10.1503/cmaj.211747},
pmid = {35347049},
issn = {1488-2329},
}
@article {pmid35345504,
year = {2022},
author = {Cummins, DP and Stephenson, DB and Stott, PA},
title = {Could detection and attribution of climate change trends be spurious regression?.},
journal = {Climate dynamics},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-15},
doi = {10.1007/s00382-022-06242-z},
pmid = {35345504},
issn = {0930-7575},
abstract = {Since the 1970s, scientists have developed statistical methods intended to formalize detection of changes in global climate and to attribute such changes to relevant causal factors, natural and anthropogenic. Detection and attribution (D&amp;A) of climate change trends is commonly performed using a variant of Hasselmann's "optimal fingerprinting" method, which involves a linear regression of historical climate observations on corresponding output from numerical climate models. However, it has long been known in the field of time series analysis that regressions of "non-stationary" or "trending" variables are, in general, statistically inconsistent and often spurious. When non-stationarity is caused by "integrated" processes, as is likely the case for climate variables, consistency of least-squares estimators depends on "cointegration" of regressors. This study has shown, using an idealized linear-response-model framework, that if standard assumptions hold then the optimal fingerprinting estimator is consistent, and hence robust against spurious regression. In the case of global mean surface temperature (GMST), parameterizing abstract linear response models in terms of energy balance provides this result with physical interpretability. Hypothesis tests conducted using observations of historical GMST and simulation output from 13 CMIP6 general circulation models produced no evidence that standard assumptions required for consistency were violated. It is therefore concluded that, at least in the case of GMST, detection and attribution of climate change trends is very likely not spurious regression. Furthermore, detection of significant cointegration between observations and model output indicates that the least-squares estimator is "superconsistent", with better convergence properties than might previously have been assumed. Finally, a new method has been developed for quantifying D&amp;A uncertainty, exploiting the notion of cointegration to eliminate the need for pre-industrial control simulations.},
}
@article {pmid35342194,
year = {2022},
author = {Macêdo, RL and Sousa, FDR and Dumont, HJ and Rietzler, AC and Rocha, O and Elmoor-Loureiro, LMA},
title = {Climate change and niche unfilling tend to favor range expansion of Moina macrocopa Straus 1820, a potentially invasive cladoceran in temporary waters.},
journal = {Hydrobiologia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-13},
doi = {10.1007/s10750-022-04835-7},
pmid = {35342194},
issn = {0018-8158},
abstract = {Non-native species' introductions have increased in the last decades primarily due to anthropogenic causes such as climate change and globalization of trade. Moina macrocopa, a stress-tolerant cladoceran widely used in bioassays and aquaculture, is spreading in temporary and semi-temporary natural ponds outside its natural range. Here, we characterize the variations in the climatic niche of M. macrocopa during its invasions outside the native Palearctic range following introduction into the American continent. Specifically, we examined to what extent the climatic responses of this species have diverged from those characteristics for its native range. We also made predictions for its potential distribution under current and future scenarios. We found that the environmental space occupied by this species in its native and introduced distribution areas shares more characteristics than randomly expected. However, the introduced niche has a high degree of unfilling when displacing its original space towards the extension to drier and hotter conditions. Accordingly, M. macrocopa can invade new areas where it has not yet been recorded in response to warming temperatures and decreasing winter precipitation. In particular, temporary ponds are more vulnerable environments where climatic and environmental stresses may also lower biotic resistance.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10750-022-04835-7.},
}
@article {pmid35341862,
year = {2022},
author = {Yan, C and Liu, Z and Yuan, Z and Shi, X and Lock, TR and Kallenbach, RL},
title = {Aridity modifies the responses of plant stoichiometry to global warming and N deposition in semi-arid steppes.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154807},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154807},
pmid = {35341862},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global warming and nitrogen (N) deposition are known to unbalance the stoichiometry of carbon (C), N, and phosphorus (P) in terrestrial plants, but it is unclear how water availability regulates their effects along a natural aridity gradient. Here, we conducted manipulative experiments to determine the effects of experimental warming (WT) and N addition (NT) on plant stoichiometry in desert, typical, and meadow steppes with decreasing aridity. WT elevated air temperatures by 1.2-2.9 °C using open-top chambers. WT increased forb C:N ratio and thus its N use efficiency and competitiveness on desert steppes, whereas WT reduced forb C:N and C:P ratios in typical and meadow steppes. Plant N:P ratio, which reflects nutrient limitation, was reduced by WT in desert steppes but not for typical or meadow steppes. NT reduced plant C:N ratio and increased N:P ratio in all three steppes. NT reduced forb C:P ratio in desert and typical steppes, but it enhanced grass C:P ratio in meadow steppe, indicating an enhancement of P use efficiency and competitiveness of grasses on wet steppes. WT and NT had synergetic effects on grass C:N and C:P ratios in all three steppes, which helps to increase grasses' productivity. Under WT or NT, the changes in community C:N ratio were positively correlated with increasing aridity, indicating that aridity increases plants' N use efficiency. However, aridity negatively affected the changes in N:P ratios under NT but not WT, which suggests that aridity mitigates P limitation induced by N deposition. Our results imply that warming could shift the dominant functional group into forbs on dry steppes due to altered stoichiometry, whereas grasses become dominated plants on wet steppes under increasing N deposition. We suggest that global changes might break the stoichiometric balance of plants and water availability could strongly modify such processes in semi-arid steppes.},
}
@article {pmid35341035,
year = {2022},
author = {Hiruta, Y and Ishizaki, NN and Ashina, S and Takahashi, K},
title = {Hourly future climate scenario datasets for impact assessment of climate change considering simultaneous interactions among multiple meteorological factors.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {42},
number = {},
pages = {108047},
doi = {10.1016/j.dib.2022.108047},
pmid = {35341035},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Assessing the impacts of climate change in multiple fields, such as energy, land and water resources, and human health and welfare is important to find effective strategies to adapt to a changing climate and to reduce greenhouse gases. Many phenomena influenced by climate change have diurnal fluctuations and are affected by simultaneous interactions among multiple meteorological factors. However, climate scenarios with detailed (at least hourly) resolutions are usually not available. To assess the impact of climate change on such phenomena while considering simultaneous interactions (e.g., synergies), climate scenarios with hourly fluctuations are indispensable. However, because meteorological indicators are not independent, the value of one indicator varies as a function of other indicators. Therefore, it is almost impossible to determine the functions that show all relationships among meteorological elements considering the geographical and temporal (both seasonal and time of a day) characteristics. Therefore, generating hourly scenarios that include possible combinations of meteorological indicators for each hourly observation unit is a challenging problem. In this study, we provide secondary future climate scenario datasets that have hourly fluctuations with reasonable combinations of meteorological indicator values that are likely to occur simultaneously, without losing the long-term climate change trend in the existing daily climate scenarios based on global climate models. Historical hourly weather datasets observed from 2017 to 2019 (the reference years) are used to retrieve short-term fluctuations. Bias-corrected daily future climate scenario datasets generated using four global climate models (GFDL CM3, HadGEM2-ES, MIROC5, and MRI-CGCM3) and two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP8.5 and 2.6) are used to model long-term climate change. A total of 48 different types of hourly future scenario datasets for five meteorological indicators (temperature, solar radiation, humidity, rainfall, and wind speed) were acquired, targeting a projection period from 2020 to 2080, for 10 weather stations in Japan. The generated hourly climate scenario datasets can be used to project the quantitative impacts of climate change on targeted phenomena considering simultaneous interactions among multiple meteorological factors.},
}
@article {pmid35338470,
year = {2022},
author = {Smith, GS and Anjum, E and Francis, C and Deanes, L and Acey, C},
title = {Climate Change, Environmental Disasters, and Health Inequities: The Underlying Role of Structural Inequalities.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35338470},
issn = {2196-5412},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: We review and analyze recent literature in public health, urban planning, and disaster management to better understand the relationships between climate change, natural disasters, and root causes of health disparities in the USA.<br><br>RECENT FINDINGS: Existing scholarship establishes clear linkages between climate change and increasing occurrences and severity of natural disasters across the USA. The frequency and types of disasters vary by region and impact both short and long-term health outcomes. Current research highlights health inequities affecting lower income and minoritized communities disproportionately, but data-driven studies critically examining the role of structural inequalities in climate-induced health disparities are sparse. Adding to the body of knowledge, our conceptual framework maps how long-standing structural inequalities in policy, practice, and funding shape vulnerability of lower-income, racially and ethnically marginalized individuals. Vulnerability follows three common pathways: disparities in "exposure", "sensitivity", and "resiliency" before, during, and after a climate disaster. We recommend that future research, policy, and practice shift towards solutions that unearth and address the structural biases that cause environmental disaster and health inequities.},
}
@article {pmid35338194,
year = {2022},
author = {Romitti, Y and Sue Wing, I},
title = {Author Correction: Heterogeneous climate change impacts on electricity demand in world cities circa mid-century.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {5204},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-022-09077-0},
pmid = {35338194},
issn = {2045-2322},
}
@article {pmid35337048,
year = {2022},
author = {Chiu, SC and Hu, SC and Liao, LM and Chen, YH and Lin, JH},
title = {Norovirus Genogroup II Epidemics and the Potential Effect of Climate Change on Norovirus Transmission in Taiwan.},
journal = {Viruses},
volume = {14},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/v14030641},
pmid = {35337048},
issn = {1999-4915},
support = {MOHW110-CDC-C-315-113118, MOHW110-CDC-C-315-114408//Taiwan Centers for Disease Control/ ; },
abstract = {The activity of norovirus varies from season to season, and the effect of climate change on the incidence of norovirus outbreaks is a widely recognized yet poorly understood phenomenon. Investigation of the possible association between climatic factors and the incidence of norovirus is key to a better understanding of the epidemiology of norovirus and early prediction of norovirus outbreaks. In this study, clinical stool samples from acute gastroenteritis outbreaks were collected from January 2015 to June 2019 in Taiwan. Data analysis from our study indicated that more than half of the cases were reported in the winter and spring seasons, including those caused by norovirus of genotypes GII (genogroup II).2, GII.3, GII.6, and GII.17, and 45.1% of the patients who tested positive for norovirus were infected by the GII.4 norovirus in autumn. However, GII.6 norovirus accounted for a higher proportion of the cases reported in summer than any other strain. Temperature is a crucial factor influencing patterns of epidemic outbreaks caused by distinct genotypes of norovirus. The results of this study may help experts predict and issue early public warnings of norovirus transmission and understand the effect of climate change on norovirus outbreaks caused by different genotypes and occurring in different locations.},
}
@article {pmid35336744,
year = {2022},
author = {Wu, Y and Huang, C},
title = {Climate Change and Vector-Borne Diseases in China: A Review of Evidence and Implications for Risk Management.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11030370},
pmid = {35336744},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {2018YFA0606200//National Key R&amp;D Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Vector-borne diseases have posed a heavy threat to public health, especially in the context of climate change. Currently, there is no comprehensive review of the impact of meteorological factors on all types of vector-borne diseases in China. Through a systematic review of literature between 2000 and 2021, this study summarizes the relationship between climate factors and vector-borne diseases and potential mechanisms of climate change affecting vector-borne diseases. It further examines the regional differences of climate impact. A total of 131 studies in both Chinese and English on 10 vector-borne diseases were included. The number of publications on mosquito-borne diseases is the largest and is increasing, while the number of studies on rodent-borne diseases has been decreasing in the past two decades. Temperature, precipitation, and humidity are the main parameters contributing to the transmission of vector-borne diseases. Both the association and mechanism show vast differences between northern and southern China resulting from nature and social factors. We recommend that more future research should focus on the effect of meteorological factors on mosquito-borne diseases in the era of climate change. Such information will be crucial in facilitating a multi-sectorial response to climate-sensitive diseases in China.},
}
@article {pmid35336613,
year = {2022},
author = {Hebbar, KB and Abhin, PS and Sanjo Jose, V and Neethu, P and Santhosh, A and Shil, S and Prasad, PVV},
title = {Predicting the Potential Suitable Climate for Coconut (Cocos nucifera L.) Cultivation in India under Climate Change Scenarios Using the MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {11},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants11060731},
pmid = {35336613},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Climate change and climate variability are projected to alter the geographic suitability of lands for crop cultivation. Early awareness of the future climate of the current cultivation areas for a perennial tree crop like coconut is needed for its adaptation and sustainable cultivation in vulnerable areas. We analyzed coconut's vulnerability to climate change in India, based on climate projections for the 2050s and the 2070s under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs): 4.5 and 8.5. Based on the current cultivation regions and climate change predictions from seven ensembles of Global Circulation Models, we predict changes in relative climatic suitability for coconut cultivation using the MaxEnt model. Bioclimatic variables Bio 4 (temperature seasonality, 34.4%) and Bio 7 (temperature annual range, 28.7%) together contribute 63.1%, which along with Bio 15 (precipitation seasonality, 8.6%) determined 71.7% of the climate suitability for coconuts in India. The model projected that some current coconut cultivation producing areas will become unsuitable (plains of South interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu) requiring crop change, while other areas will require adaptations in genotypic or agronomic management (east coast and the south interior plains), and yet in others, the climatic suitability for growing coconut will increase (west coast). The findings suggest the need for adaptation strategies so as to ensure sustainable cultivation of coconut at least in presently cultivated areas.},
}
@article {pmid35333584,
year = {2022},
author = {Agbafe, V and Berlin, NL and Butler, CE and Hawk, E and Offodile Ii, AC},
title = {Prescriptions for Mitigating Climate Change-Related Externalities in Cancer Care: A Surgeon's Perspective.},
journal = {Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {JCO2102581},
doi = {10.1200/JCO.21.02581},
pmid = {35333584},
issn = {1527-7755},
}
@article {pmid35332554,
year = {2022},
author = {Bates, JM and Fidino, M and Nowak-Boyd, L and Strausberger, BM and Schmidt, KA and Whelan, CJ},
title = {Climate change affects bird nesting phenology: Comparing contemporary field and historical museum nesting records.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.13683},
pmid = {35332554},
issn = {1365-2656},
abstract = {Global climate change impacts species and ecosystems in potentially harmful ways. For migratory bird species, earlier spring warm-up could lead to a mismatch between nesting activities and food availability. CO2 provides a useful proxy for temperature and an environmental indicator of climate change when temperature data are not available for an entire time series. Our objectives were to (a) examine nesting phenology over time; (b) determine how nesting phenology relates to changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration; and (c) demonstrate the usefulness of historical museum collections combined with modern observations for trend analyses. We assessed changes in nesting dates of 72 bird species in the Upper Midwest of the United States by comparing contemporary lay dates with those obtained from archived, historical museum nest records over a 143-year period (1872-2015). Species-specific changes in lay date per one unit change in the CO2 residual ranged from -0.75 (95% CI: -1.57 to -0.10) to 0.45 (95% CI: -0.29 to 1.43). Overall, lay dates advanced ~10 days over the 143-year period. Resident, short-distance migrants and long-distance migrants lay dates advanced by ~15, 18 and 16 days on average respectively. Twenty-four species (33.3%) significantly advanced, one (1.4%) significantly delayed and we failed to detect an advance or delay in lay date for 47 species (65.3%). Overall mean advance in first lay date (for the species that have significantly advanced laying date) was 25.1 days (min: 10.7, max: 49.9). Our study highlights the scientific importance of both data gathering and archiving through time to understand phenological change. The detailed archived information reported by egg collectors provide the early data of our study. As with studies of egg-shell thinning and pesticide exposure, our use of these data illustrates another scientific utility of egg collections that these pioneer naturalists never imagined. As museums archive historical data, these locations are also ideal candidates to store contemporary field data as it is collected. Together, such information will provide the ability to track, understand and perhaps predict responses to human-driven environmental change.},
}
@article {pmid35331772,
year = {2022},
author = {Seidenfaden, IK and Sonnenborg, TO and Børgesen, CD and Trolle, D and Olesen, JE and Refsgaard, JC},
title = {Impacts of land use, climate change and hydrological model structure on nitrate fluxes: Magnitudes and uncertainties.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154671},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154671},
pmid = {35331772},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Nitrate pollution and eutrophication are of increasing concern in agriculturally dominated regions, and with projected future climate changes, these issues are expected to worsen for both surface and groundwater. Changes in land use and management have the potential to mitigate some of these concerns. However, to what extent these changes will interact is unknown, and are associated with significant uncertainty. Here, we estimate nitrate fluxes and contributions of major uncertainty sources (variance decomposition analysis) affecting nitrate leaching from the root zone and river load from groundwater sources for an agricultural catchment in Denmark under future changes (2080-2099) in climate (four climate models) and land use (four land use scenarios). To investigate the uncertainty from impact model choice, two different agro-hydrological models (SWAT and DAISY-MIKE SHE) both traditionally used for nitrate impact assessments are used for projecting these effects. On average, nitrate leaching from the root zone increased by 55%-123% due to different climate models, while the impact of land use scenarios showed changes between -9% and 88%, with similar projections for river loads, while the worst-case combination of the three factors yielded a fivefold increase in nitrate transport. Thus, in the future, major land use changes will be necessary to mitigate nitrate pollution likely in combination with other measures such as advanced management and farming technologies and differentiated regulation. The two agro-hydrological models showed substantially different reaction patterns and magnitude of nitrate fluxes, and while the largest uncertainty source was the land use scenarios for both models, DAISY-MIKE SHE was to a higher degree affected by climate model choice. The dominating uncertainty source was found to be the agro-hydrological model; however, both uncertainties related to land use scenario and climate model were important, thus highlighting the need to include all influential factors in future nitrate flux impact studies.},
}
@article {pmid35331574,
year = {2022},
author = {Donnelly, MC and Stableforth, W and Krag, A and Reuben, A},
title = {The negative bidirectional interaction between climate change and the prevalence and care of liver disease: A joint BSG, BASL, EASL, and AASLD commentary.},
journal = {Journal of hepatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jhep.2022.02.012},
pmid = {35331574},
issn = {1600-0641},
}
@article {pmid35331440,
year = {2022},
author = {Donnelly, MC and Stableforth, W and Krag, A and Reuben, A},
title = {The Negative Bidirectional Interaction Between Climate Change and the Prevalence and Care of Liver Disease: A Joint BSG, BASL, EASL, and AASLD Commentary.},
journal = {Gastroenterology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1053/j.gastro.2022.02.020},
pmid = {35331440},
issn = {1528-0012},
}
@article {pmid35331384,
year = {2022},
author = {Bermúdez-Tamayo, C and Segura, A and Álvarez-Dardet, C},
title = {[Special issue of Gaceta Sanitaria on primary care and community health and climate change and health].},
journal = {Gaceta sanitaria},
volume = {36},
number = {2},
pages = {100},
doi = {10.1016/j.gaceta.2022.02.001},
pmid = {35331384},
issn = {1578-1283},
}
@article {pmid35330792,
year = {2021},
author = {Wang, T},
title = {August Krogh, Carbonic Acid, Combustion of Coal, and Global Warming.},
journal = {Function (Oxford, England)},
volume = {2},
number = {6},
pages = {zqab052},
doi = {10.1093/function/zqab052},
pmid = {35330792},
issn = {2633-8823},
}
@article {pmid35330293,
year = {2022},
author = {Jones, EBG and Ramakrishna, S and Vikineswary, S and Das, D and Bahkali, AH and Guo, SY and Pang, KL},
title = {How Do Fungi Survive in the Sea and Respond to Climate Change?.},
journal = {Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {8},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/jof8030291},
pmid = {35330293},
issn = {2309-608X},
support = {MOST108-2621-B-019-001-, MOST109-2621-B-019-001-, MOST110-2621-M-019-002-//Ministry of Science and Technology, Taiwan/ ; Distinguished Scientist Fellowship Program (DSFP)//King Saud University/ ; },
abstract = {With the over 2000 marine fungi and fungal-like organisms documented so far, some have adapted fully to life in the sea, while some have the ability to tolerate environmental conditions in the marine milieu. These organisms have evolved various mechanisms for growth in the marine environment, especially against salinity gradients. This review highlights the response of marine fungi, fungal-like organisms and terrestrial fungi (for comparison) towards salinity variations in terms of their growth, spore germination, sporulation, physiology, and genetic adaptability. Marine, freshwater and terrestrial fungi and fungal-like organisms vary greatly in their response to salinity. Generally, terrestrial and freshwater fungi grow, germinate and sporulate better at lower salinities, while marine fungi do so over a wide range of salinities. Zoosporic fungal-like organisms are more sensitive to salinity than true fungi, especially Ascomycota and Basidiomycota. Labyrinthulomycota and marine Oomycota are more salinity tolerant than saprolegniaceous organisms in terms of growth and reproduction. Wide adaptability to saline conditions in marine or marine-related habitats requires mechanisms for maintaining accumulation of ions in the vacuoles, the exclusion of high levels of sodium chloride, the maintenance of turgor in the mycelium, optimal growth at alkaline pH, a broad temperature growth range from polar to tropical waters, and growth at depths and often under anoxic conditions, and these properties may allow marine fungi to positively respond to the challenges that climate change will bring. Other related topics will also be discussed in this article, such as the effect of salinity on secondary metabolite production by marine fungi, their evolution in the sea, and marine endophytes.},
}
@article {pmid35329012,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, Q and Sun, P and Li, B and Mohiuddin, M},
title = {Impact of Climate Change on Rural Poverty Vulnerability from an Income Source Perspective: A Study Based on CHIPS2013 and County-Level Temperature Data in China.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19063328},
pmid = {35329012},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {Harsh natural climatic environments, such as extreme weather and natural disasters, cause devastating blows to production activities and increase the probability of geographic poverty, climate poverty, and return to poverty. Thus, this study uses climate data and micro survey data (CHIPS2013) to examine the impact of climate on vulnerability to individual poverty in rural China. The results demonstrated that extreme temperatures (hotter summers, colder winters, and greater day-to-day temperature gaps) reduce vulnerability to poverty. This was also supported by the median and average temperatures. Second, there is an association between poverty vulnerability and poverty; that is, poorer people will become poorer with an increase in poverty vulnerability. In fact, in the case of higher income, the higher the probability of returning to poverty, the higher the vulnerability. Policy formulation processes should take into consideration different types of impacts from harsh climate on different vulnerable groups. No single action might be adequate and an integrative approach integrating various strategies and actions are required to overcome challenges posed by climate change and poverty vulnerabilities.},
}
@article {pmid35328938,
year = {2022},
author = {Nabhan, GP and Daugherty, E and Hartung, T},
title = {Health Benefits of the Diverse Volatile Oils in Native Plants of Ancient Ironwood-Giant Cactus Forests of the Sonoran Desert: An Adaptation to Climate Change?.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19063250},
pmid = {35328938},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {We document the species richness and volatile oil diversity in Sonoran Desert plants found in the Arizona Uplands subdivision of this binational USA/Mexico region. Using floristics, we determined that more than 60 species of 178 native plants in the ancient ironwood-giant cactus forests emit fragrant biogenic volatile organic compounds (BVOCs), especially with the onset of summer monsoons. From these desert species, more than 115 volatile oils have been identified from one biogeographic region. For the 5 BVOCs most commonly associated with "forest bathing" practices in Asian temperate forests, at least 15 Sonoran Desert plant species emit them in Arizona Uplands vegetation. We document the potential health benefits attributed to each of 13 BVOCs in isolation, but we also hypothesize that the entire "suite" of BVOCs emitted from a diversity of desert plants during the monsoons may function synergistically to generate additional health benefits. Regular exposure to these BVOC health benefits may become more important to prevent or mitigate diseases of oxidative stress and other climate maladies in a hotter, drier world.},
}
@article {pmid35328754,
year = {2022},
author = {Lan, Y and Chawade, A and Kuktaite, R and Johansson, E},
title = {Climate Change Impact on Wheat Performance-Effects on Vigour, Plant Traits and Yield from Early and Late Drought Stress in Diverse Lines.},
journal = {International journal of molecular sciences},
volume = {23},
number = {6},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijms23063333},
pmid = {35328754},
issn = {1422-0067},
abstract = {Global climate change is threatening wheat productivity; improved yield under drought conditions is urgent. Here, diverse spring-wheat lines (modern, old and wheat-rye introgressions) were examined in an image-based early-vigour assay and a controlled-conditions (Biotron) trial that evaluated 13 traits until maturity. Early root vigour was significantly higher in the old Swedish lines (root length 8.50 cm) and introgressed lines with 1R (11.78 cm) and 1RS (9.91 cm) than in the modern (4.20 cm) and 2R (4.67 cm) lines. No significant correlation was noted between early root and shoot vigour. A higher yield was obtained under early drought stress in the 3R genotypes than in the other genotype groups, while no clear patterns were noted under late drought. Evaluating the top 10% of genotypes in terms of the stress-tolerance index for yield showed that root biomass, grains and spikes per plant were accountable for tolerance to early drought, while 1000-grain weight and flag-leaf area were accountable for tolerance to late drought. Early root vigour was determined as an important focus trait of wheat breeding for tolerance to climate-change-induced drought. The responsible genes for the trait should be searched for in these diverse lines. Additional drought-tolerance traits determined here need further elaboration to identify the responsible genes.},
}
@article {pmid35328044,
year = {2022},
author = {Dettori, M and Cesaraccio, C and Duce, P and Mereu, V},
title = {Performance Prediction of Durum Wheat Genotypes in Response to Drought and Heat in Climate Change Conditions.},
journal = {Genes},
volume = {13},
number = {3},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/genes13030488},
pmid = {35328044},
issn = {2073-4425},
abstract = {With an approach combining crop modelling and biotechnology to assess the performance of three durum wheat cultivars (Creso, Duilio, Simeto) in a climate change context, weather and agronomic datasets over the period 1973-2004 from two sites, Benatzu and Ussana (Southern Sardinia, Itay), were used and the model responses were interpreted considering the role of DREB genes in the genotype performance with a focus on drought conditions. The CERES-Wheat crop model was calibrated and validated for grain yield, earliness and kernel weight. Forty-eight synthetic scenarios were used: 6 scenarios with increasing maximum air temperature; 6 scenarios with decreasing rainfall; 36 scenarios combining increasing temperature and decreasing rainfall. The simulated effects on yields, anthesis and kernel weights resulted in yield reduction, increasing kernel weight, and shortened growth duration in both sites. Creso (late cultivar) was the most sensitive to simulated climate conditions. Simeto and Duilio (early cultivars) showed lower simulated yield reductions and a larger anticipation of anthesis date. Observed data showed the same responses for the three cultivars in both sites. The CERES-Wheat model proved to be effective in representing reality and can be used in crop breeding programs with a molecular approach aiming at developing molecular markers for the resistance to drought stress.},
}
@article {pmid35325288,
year = {2022},
author = {Correia, HE and Tveraa, T and Stien, A and Yoccoz, N},
title = {Nonlinear spatial and temporal decomposition provides insight for climate change effects on sub-Arctic herbivore populations.},
journal = {Oecologia},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35325288},
issn = {1432-1939},
support = {DGE-1414475//National Science Foundation/ ; 276395//Research Council of Norway/ ; },
abstract = {Global temperatures are increasing, affecting timing and availability of vegetation along with relationships between plants and their consumers. We examined the effect of population density, herd body condition in the previous year, elevation, plant productivity and phenology, snow, and winter onset on juvenile body mass in 63 semi-domesticated populations of Rangifer tarandus throughout Norway using spatiotemporal generalized additive models (GAMs) and varying coefficient models (VCMs). Optimal climate windows were calculated at both the regional and national level using a novel nonlinear climate window algorithm optimized for prediction. Spatial and temporal variation in effects of population and environmental predictors were considered using a model including covariates decomposed into spatial, temporal, and residual components. The performance of this decomposed model was compared to spatiotemporal GAMs and VCMs. The decomposed model provided the best fit and lowest prediction errors. A positive effect of herd body condition in the previous year explained most of the deviance in calf body mass, followed by a more complex effect of population density. A negative effect of timing of spring and positive effect of winter onset on juvenile body mass suggested that a snow free season was positive for juvenile body mass growth. Our findings suggest early spring onset and later winter permanent snow cover as reinforcers of early-life conditions which support more robust reindeer populations. Our methodological improvements for climate window analyses and effect size measures for decomposed variables provide important contributions to account for, measure, and interpret nonlinear relationships between climate and animal populations at large scales.},
}
@article {pmid35318516,
year = {2022},
author = {Wang, L and Zeng, X and Yu, H},
title = {Association between Lake Sediment Nutrients and Climate Change, Human Activities: A Time-Series Analysis.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35318516},
issn = {1432-1009},
support = {16XNL004//special fund for the central universities to build world-first-class universities (in disciplines) and for guidance of characteristic development/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change and human activities are closely linked with the nutrient accumulation in sediments, but the role of influence factors and the driving mechanisms are unclear. Here, by using the generalized additive model (GAM), we investigated the contributions and driving mechanisms of climate change and human activities on TON, TN, and TP accumulation in sediments of typical lakes in the Huai River basin (Nansi Lake and Hongze Lake) from 1988 to 2018. The impacts of factors, such as air temperature (AT), real GDP per capita (GDP), population density (PD), crop sown area (CSA), artificial impervious area (AIA), and domestic sewage discharge (DSD) were considered in this study. The results of the multivariate GAM showed that the sediment variables were significantly affected by climate change in Nansi Lake, but not in Hongze Lake. AT and DSD contributed the most to the variation of sediment TOC in Nansi Lake, while the most critical factors affecting TN and TP were AT, PD and DSD. PD and CSA showed strong ability to explain the change of TOC in Hongze Lake, while CSA and DSD showed strong ability to explain the variations of TN and TP. The results show that the selected optimal multivariate GAM can well quantify the effects of climate change and human activities on nutrient enrichment in lake sediments. Effective recommendations are provided for decision-makers in developing water quality management plans to prevent eutrophication outbreaks in lake waters by targeting and controlling key factors.},
}
@article {pmid35317493,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, Q and Samimi, C},
title = {Sub-Saharan Africa's international migration constrains its sustainable development under climate change.},
journal = {Sustainability science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-25},
doi = {10.1007/s11625-022-01116-z},
pmid = {35317493},
issn = {1862-4057},
abstract = {Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is seen as a region of mass migration and population displacement caused by poverty, violent conflict, and environmental stress. However, empirical evidence is inconclusive regarding how SSA's international migration progressed and reacted during its march to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). This article attempts to study the patterns and determinants of SSA's international migration and the cause and effects on sustainable development by developing a Sustainability Index and regression models. We find that international migration was primarily intra-SSA to low-income but high-population-density countries. Along with increased sustainability scores, international migration declined, but emigration rose. Climate extremes tend to affect migration and emigration but not universally. Dry extremes propelled migration, whereas wet extremes had an adverse effect. Hot extremes had an increasing effect but were insignificant. SSA's international migration was driven by food insecurity, low life expectancy, political instability and violence, high economic growth, unemployment, and urbanisation rates. The probability of emigration was mainly driven by high fertility. SSA's international migration promoted asylum seeking to Europe with the diversification of origin countries and a motive for economic wellbeing. 1% more migration flow or 1% higher probability of emigration led to a 0.2% increase in asylum seekers from SSA to Europe. Large-scale international migration and recurrent emigration constrained SSA's sustainable development in political stability, food security, and health, requiring adequate governance and institutions for better migration management and planning towards the SDGs.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11625-022-01116-z.},
}
@article {pmid35317261,
year = {2022},
author = {Aguilera, P and Ortiz, N and Becerra, N and Turrini, A and Gaínza-Cortés, F and Silva-Flores, P and Aguilar-Paredes, A and Romero, JK and Jorquera-Fontena, E and Mora, ML and Borie, F},
title = {Application of Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Fungi in Vineyards: Water and Biotic Stress Under a Climate Change Scenario: New Challenge for Chilean Grapevine Crop.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {826571},
doi = {10.3389/fmicb.2022.826571},
pmid = {35317261},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {The crop Vitis vinifera (L.) is of great economic importance as Chile is one of the main wine-producing countries, reaching a vineyard area of 145,000 ha. This vine crop is usually very sensitive to local condition changes and agronomic practices; therefore, strategies to counteract the expected future decrease in water level for agricultural irrigation, temperature increase, extreme water stress (abiotic stress), as well as increase in pathogenic diseases (biotic stress) related to climate change will be of vital importance for this crop. Studies carried out in recent years have suggested that arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) can provide key ecosystem services to host plants, such as water uptake implementation and enhanced absorption of nutrients such as P and N, which are key factors for improving the nutritional status of the vine. AMF use in viticulture will contribute also to sustainable agronomic management and bioprotection against pathogens. Here we will present (1) the current status of grapevines in Chile, (2) the main problems in grapevines related to water stress and associated with climate change, (3) the importance of AMF to face water stress and pathogens, and (4) the application of AMF as a biotechnological and sustainable tool in vineyards.},
}
@article {pmid35316945,
year = {2022},
author = {Koot, EM and Morgan-Richards, M and Trewick, SA},
title = {Climate change and alpine-adapted insects: modelling environmental envelopes of a grasshopper radiation.},
journal = {Royal Society open science},
volume = {9},
number = {3},
pages = {211596},
doi = {10.1098/rsos.211596},
pmid = {35316945},
issn = {2054-5703},
abstract = {Mountains create steep environmental gradients that are sensitive barometers of climate change. We calibrated 10 statistical models to formulate ensemble ecological niche models for 12 predominantly alpine, flightless grasshopper species in Aotearoa New Zealand, using their current distributions and current conditions. Niche models were then projected for two future global climate scenarios: representative concentration pathway (RCP) 2.6 (1.0°C rise) and RCP8.5 (3.7°C rise). Results were species specific, with two-thirds of our models suggesting a reduction in potential range for nine species by 2070, but surprisingly, for six species, we predict an increase in potential suitable habitat under mild (+1.0°C) or severe global warming (+3.7°C). However, when the limited dispersal ability of these flightless grasshoppers is taken into account, all 12 species studied are predicted to suffer extreme reductions in range, with a quarter likely to go extinct due to a 96-100% reduction in suitable habitat. Habitat loss is associated with habitat fragmentation that is likely to escalate stochastic vulnerability of remaining populations. Here, we present the predicted outcomes for an endemic radiation of alpine taxa as an exemplar of the challenges that alpine species, both in New Zealand and internationally, are subject to by anthropogenic climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35314961,
year = {2022},
author = {Seritan, AL and Coverdale, J and Brenner, AM},
title = {Climate Change and Mental Health Curricula: Addressing Barriers to Teaching.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35314961},
issn = {1545-7230},
}
@article {pmid35314231,
year = {2022},
author = {Krztoń, W and Walusiak, E and Wilk-Woźniak, E},
title = {Possible consequences of climate change on global water resources stored in dam reservoirs.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154646},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154646},
pmid = {35314231},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Construction of dams and transformation of rivers, not only affects river-related and adjacent habitats, but also establishes new threats to surface freshwater resources globally. Predicted climate changes and increase of mean annual temperature will affect thermal regimes of dam reservoir ecosystems, severely altering their functioning. Analyzing three projections of representative concentration pathway (RCP 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5) for period of 2061-2080, we found that mean annual temperature at dam reservoir locations will increase by 3.06 °C to 4.74 °C from present. The highest projected increase of temperature was identified for dam reservoirs located in high latitudes of Northern Hemisphere, and therefore dam reservoirs located there will be most significantly affected. Numerous consequences of temperature increase are already recorded. Further increase will amplify unfavorable effects on numerous ecosystems, including dam reservoirs which are built on the purpose of the human population development. Our study indicates a threat for artificially stored water globally, with special attention to high latitudes in northern hemisphere and latitudes close to 200S meridian in southern hemisphere.},
}
@article {pmid35314224,
year = {2022},
author = {Michetti, M and Gualtieri, M and Anav, A and Adani, M and Benassi, B and Dalmastri, C and D'Elia, I and Piersanti, A and Sannino, G and Zanini, G and Uccelli, R},
title = {Climate change and air pollution: Translating their interplay into present and future mortality risk for Rome and Milan municipalities.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154680},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154680},
pmid = {35314224},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Heat and cold temperatures associated with exposure to poor air quality lead to increased mortality. Using a generalized linear model with Poisson regression for overdispersion, this study quantifies the natural-caused mortality burden attributable to heat/cold temperatures and PM10 and O3 air pollutants in Rome and Milan, the two most populated Italian cities. We calculate local-specific mortality relative risks (RRs) for the period 2004-2015 considering the overall population and the most vulnerable age category (≥85 years). Combining a regional climate model with a chemistry-transport model under future climate and air pollution scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5), we then project mortality to 2050. Results show that for historical mortality the burden is much larger for cold than for warm temperatures. RR peaks during wintertime in Milan and summertime in Rome, highlighting the relevance of accounting for the effects of air pollution besides that of climate, in particular PM10 for Milan and O3 for Rome. Overall, Milan reports higher RRs while, in both cities, the elderly appear more susceptible to heat/cold and air pollution events than the average population. Two counterbalancing effects shape mortality in the future: an increase associated with higher and more frequent warmer daily temperatures - especially in the case of climate inaction - and a decrease due to declining cold-mortality burden. The outcomes highlight the urgent need to adopt more stringent and integrated climate and air quality policies to reduce the temperature and air pollution combined effects on health.},
}
@article {pmid35312374,
year = {2022},
author = {Aze, T},
title = {Unraveling ecological signals from a global warming event of the past.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {119},
number = {13},
pages = {e2201495119},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2201495119},
pmid = {35312374},
issn = {1091-6490},
}
@article {pmid35312144,
year = {2022},
author = {Hapsari, KA and Jennerjahn, T and Nugroho, SH and Yulianto, E and Behling, H},
title = {Sea level rise and climate change acting as interactive stressors on development and dynamics of tropical peatlands in coastal Sumatra and South Borneo since the Last Glacial Maximum.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16131},
pmid = {35312144},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {BE-2116/32-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft/ ; },
abstract = {Southeast Asian peatlands, along with their various important ecosystem services, are mainly distributed in the coastal areas of Sumatra and Borneo. These ecosystems are threatened by coastal development, global warming and sea level rise (SLR). Despite receiving growing attention for their biodiversity and as massive carbon stores, there is still a lack of knowledge on how they initiated and evolved over time, and how they responded to past environmental change, that is, precipitation, sea level and early anthropogenic activities. To improve our understanding thereof, we conducted multi-proxy paleoecological studies in the Kampar Peninsula and Katingan peatlands in the coastal area of Riau and Central Kalimantan, Indonesia. The results indicate that the initiation timing and environment of both peatlands are very distinct, suggesting that peat could form under various vegetation as soon as there is sufficient moisture to limit organic matter decomposition. The past dynamics of both peatlands were mainly attributable to natural drivers, while anthropogenic activities were hardly relevant. Changes in precipitation and sea level led to shifts in peat swamp forest vegetation, peat accumulation rates and fire regimes at both sites. We infer that the simultaneous occurrence of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events and SLR resulted in synergistic effects which led to the occurrence of severe fires in a pristine coastal peatland ecosystem; however, it did not interrupt peat accretion. In the future, SLR, combined with the projected increase in frequency and intensity of ENSO, can potentially amplify the negative effects of anthropogenic peatland fires. This prospectively stimulates massive carbon release, thus could, in turn, contribute to worsening the global climate crisis especially once an as yet unknown threshold is crossed and peat accretion is halted, that is, peatlands lose their carbon sink function. Given the current rapid SLR, coastal peatland managements should start develop fire risk reduction or mitigation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid35310630,
year = {2022},
author = {Ling, Z and Shi, Z and Gu, S and Wang, T and Zhu, W and Feng, G},
title = {Impact of Climate Change and Rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) Plantation Expansion on Reference Evapotranspiration in Xishuangbanna, Southwest China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {830519},
pmid = {35310630},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {The expansion of rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) cultivation plantation over the past few decades has been significantly explosive in Xishuangbanna, southwest China. More and more evidences concerning the expansion of rubber plantations lead to the negative influence to local regional hydrology. It is vital to explore the impact of climate change and rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) plantation expansion on reference evapotranspiration (ET0) for the sustainable and efficient use of regional water resources. In this study, the spatiotemporal variation of ET0 as well as its relationship in rubber plantations area in Xishuangbanna from 1970-2017 were analyzed by using trend, correlation and contribution analysis. The results showed that the rubber plantation was 12,768 ha yr-1 from 1990 to 2017 in Xishuangbanna, and nearly 40.8% of new rubber plantations expanded above 900 m in altitude from 2000 to 2017. Sunshine duration and average relative humidity were the key meteorological factors that affect ET0 in Xishuangbanna, with the sensitivity coefficient of 0.51 and 0.35, respectively. The multiyear relative change of ET0 in Xishuangbanna was 9.18%, and the total contribution of major climate factors was 7.87% during 1970 and 2017. The average relative humidity in the plantation area decreases, which directly leads to the increase of ET0. The amount of ET0 change from 2000 to 2017 affected by climate change increased at 3.13 mm/10a, whereas it was 2.17 mm/10a affected by the expansion of rubber plantations by quantitative separation. ET0 was significantly affected by climate change but intensified by the expansion of rubber plantation.},
}
@article {pmid35307429,
year = {2022},
author = {Cooper, J and Dubey, L and Bakkaloglu, S and Hawkes, A},
title = {Hydrogen emissions from the hydrogen value chain-emissions profile and impact to global warming.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154624},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154624},
pmid = {35307429},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Future energy systems could rely on hydrogen (H2) to achieve decarbonisation and net-zero goals. In a similar energy landscape to natural gas, H2 emissions occur along the supply chain. It has been studied how current gas infrastructure can support H2, but there is little known about how H2 emissions affect global warming as an indirect greenhouse gas. In this work, we have estimated for the first time the potential emission profiles (g CO2eq/MJ H2, HHV) of H2 supply chains, and found that the emission rates of H2 from H2 supply chains and methane from natural gas supply are comparable, but the impact on global warming is much lower based on current estimates. This study also demonstrates the critical importance of establishing mobile H2 emission monitoring and reducing the uncertainty of short-lived H2 climate forcing so as to clearly address H2 emissions for net-zero strategies.},
}
@article {pmid35307372,
year = {2022},
author = {Fang, Q and Wang, G and Zhang, S and Peng, Y and Xue, B and Cao, Y and Shrestha, S},
title = {A novel ecohydrological model by capturing variations in climate change and vegetation coverage in a semi-arid region of China.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113085},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113085},
pmid = {35307372},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Variations in vegetation are influenced by regional climate regimes and, in turn, control the water balance behavior in water-limited regions. Owing to its role in ecohydrological processes, vegetation is an essential link in modeling the relationships among climate conditions, vegetation patterns, and dynamic water balance behavior. However, previous ecohydrological models have been empirical and complex, without physically significant parameters. Here, we propose a novel ecohydrological model (a Budyko model-coupled vegetation model) that combines the impacts of climate change and vegetation variations, featuring simple and deterministic parameters. In addition to accounting for the fundamental water balance model and its factors, mean precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, runoff, and variations in water storage (δS), the model showed better performance when incorporating δS (RMSE = 2.72 mm yr-1) and its parameter ε -, which is mechanically and quantitively subject to the vegetation coverage (R2 = 0.95, p < 0.01). This was estimated as a function of vegetation potential canopy conductance, mean rainstorm depth, mean time between storms, and potential rate of evapotranspiration in a semi-arid watershed with impulsive precipitation in China (R2 = 0.80, p < 0.01). The model also found that vegetation growth was mainly controlled by soil water content and decoupled the impact of the total amount of precipitation on vegetation in the northeastern area of the watershed. Hence, our method presents a new tool for building an ecohydrological model that includes deterministic parameters of mechanical significance.},
}
@article {pmid35304443,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, X and Gallagher, KP},
title = {Assessing the climate change exposure of foreign direct investment.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {1451},
pmid = {35304443},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {This study deploys newly available data to examine the exposure of multinational companies' overseas investments to physical climate risks. Globally, foreign investments are significantly exposed to lower physical climate risks, compared with local firms across countries. Within countries however, the differences of physical climate risks between foreign and local facilities are small. We also examine China, as it is fast becoming one of the largest sources of outward foreign investment across the globe. We find that foreign direct investment from China is significantly more exposed to water stress, floods, hurricanes and typhoon risks across countries, compared with other foreign facilities. Within host countries however, once again the physical climate risks of Chinese overseas facilities are comparable to those of non-Chinese foreign investments.},
}
@article {pmid35301036,
year = {2022},
author = {Tan, K and Zhang, H and Zheng, H},
title = {Climate change and n-3 LC-PUFA availability.},
journal = {Progress in lipid research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101161},
doi = {10.1016/j.plipres.2022.101161},
pmid = {35301036},
issn = {1873-2194},
abstract = {Omega-3 long-chain polyunsaturated fatty acids (n-3 LC-PUFA) are essential fatty acids for the growth, development and survival of virtually all organisms. There is increasing evidence that anthropogenic climate change has a direct and indirect impact on the availability of natural n-3 LC-PUFA. However, this information is fragmented and not well organized. Therefore, this article reviewed published data from laboratory experiments, field experiments and model simulations to reveal the impact of climate change on the global supply of natural n-3 LC-PUFA and how this will limit the availability of n-3 LC-PUFA in the future food web. In general, climate change can significantly reduce the availability of natural n-3 LC-PUFA in grazing food webs in the following ways: 1) decrease the total biomass of phytoplankton and shift the plankton community structure to a smaller size, which also reduce the biomass of animals in higher trophics; 2) reduce the n-3 LC-PUFA content and/or quality (n-3: n-6 ratio) of all marine organisms; 3) reduce the transfer efficiency of n-3 LC-PUFA in grazing food web. In addition, as an anthropogenic climate adaptation measure, this review also proposed some alternative sources of n-3 LC-PUFA and determined the direction of future research. The information in this article is very useful for providing a critical analysis of the impact of climate change on the supply of natural n-3 LC-PUFA. Such information will aid to establish climate adaptation or management measures, and determine the direction of future research.},
}
@article {pmid35299646,
year = {2022},
author = {Nelson, LK and Bogeberg, M and Cullen, A and Koehn, LE and Strawn, A and Levin, PS},
title = {Perspectives on managing fisheries for community wellbeing in the face of climate change.},
journal = {Maritime studies : MAST},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-20},
doi = {10.1007/s40152-021-00252-z},
pmid = {35299646},
issn = {2212-9790},
abstract = {Coastal communities are being impacted by climate change, affecting the livelihoods, food security, and wellbeing of residents. Human wellbeing is influenced by the heath of the environment through numerous pathways and is increasingly being included as a desired outcome in environmental management. However, the contributors to wellbeing can be subjective and the values and perspectives of decision-makers can affect the aspects of wellbeing that are included in planning. We used Q methodology to examine how a group of individuals in fisheries management prioritize components of wellbeing that may be important to coastal communities in the California Current social-ecological system (SES). The California Current SES is an integrated system of ecological and human communities with complex linkages and connections where commercial fishing is part of the culture and an important livelihood. We asked individuals that sit on advisory bodies to the Pacific Fisheries Management Council to rank 36 statements about coastal community wellbeing, ultimately revealing three discourses about how we can best support or improve wellbeing in those communities. We examine how the priorities differ between the discourses, identify areas of consensus, and discuss how these perspectives may influence decision-making when it comes to tradeoffs inherent in climate adaptation in fisheries. Lastly, we consider if and how thoughts about priorities have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.},
}
@article {pmid35298094,
year = {2022},
author = {Heikkinen, J and Keskinen, R and Kostensalo, J and Nuutinen, V},
title = {Climate change induces carbon loss of arable mineral soils in boreal conditions.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16164},
pmid = {35298094},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {One fourth of the global soil organic carbon (SOC) is stored in boreal region, where climate change is predicted to be faster than the global average. Planetary warming is accelerated if climate change promotes SOC release into the atmosphere as carbon dioxide. However, the soil carbon-climate feedbacks have been poorly confirmed by SOC measurements despite of their importance on global climate. In this study we used data collected as part of the Finnish arable soil monitoring program to study the influence of climate change, management practices and historical land use on changes in SOC content using a Bayesian approach. Topsoil samples (n=385) collected nationwide in 2009 and 2018 showed that SOC content has decreased at the rate of 0.35% yr-1 on average. Based on Bayesian modelling of our data we can say with a certainty of 79-91% that increase in summertime (May-Sep) temperature has resulted in SOC loss while increased precipitation has resulted in SOC loss with a certainty of 90-97%. The exact percentages depend on the climate dataset used. Historical land use was found to influence the SOC content for decades after conversion to cropland. Former organic soils with high SOC-to-fine-fraction ratio were prone to high SOC loss. In fields with long cultivation history (>100 years), however, the SOC-to-fine-fraction ratio had stabilized to approximately 0.03-0.04 and the changes in SOC content leveled off. Our results showed that, although arable SOC sequestration can be promoted by diversifying crop rotations and by cultivating perennial grasses, it is unlikely that improved management practices are sufficient to counterbalance the climate change induced SOC losses in boreal conditions. This underlines the importance of reduction of greenhouse gas emissions to avoid the acceleration of planetary warming.},
}
@article {pmid35297000,
year = {2022},
author = {Zahoor, B and Liu, X and Songer, M},
title = {The impact of climate change on three indicator Galliformes species in the northern highlands of Pakistan.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35297000},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {27847-1//Rufford Foundation/ ; 41671183//Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 41271194//Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The rise in global temperature is one of the main threats of extinction to many vulnerable species by the twenty-first century. The negative impacts of climate change on the northern highlands of Pakistan (NHP) could change the species composition. Range shifts and range reduction in the forested landscapes will dramatically affect the distribution of forest-dwelling species, including the Galliformes (ground birds). Three Galliformes (e.g., Lophophorus impejanus, Pucrasia macrolopha, and Tragopan melanocephalus) are indicator species of the environment and currently distributed in NHP. For this study, we used Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt) to simulate the current (average for 1960-1990) and future (in 2050 and 2070) distributions of the species using three General Circulation Models (GCMs) and two climate change scenarios, i.e., RCP4.5 (moderate carbon emission scenario) and RCP8.5 (peak carbon emission scenario). Our results indicated that (i) under all three climate scenarios, species distribution was predicted to both reduce and shift towards higher altitudes. (ii) Across the provinces in the NHP, the species were predicted to average lose around one-third (35%) in 2050 and one-half (47%) by 2070 of the current suitable habitat. (iii) The maximum area of climate refugia was projected between the altitudinal range of 2000 to 4000 m and predicted to shift towards higher altitudes primarily > 3000 m in the future. Our results help inform management plans and conservation strategies for mitigating the impacts of climate change on three indicator Galliforms species in the NHP.},
}
@article {pmid35296730,
year = {2022},
author = {Mather, B and Müller, RD and O'Neill, C and Beall, A and Vervoort, RW and Moresi, L},
title = {Constraining the response of continental-scale groundwater flow to climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {4539},
pmid = {35296730},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Numerical models of groundwater flow play a critical role for water management scenarios under climate extremes. Large-scale models play a key role in determining long range flow pathways from continental interiors to the oceans, yet struggle to simulate the local flow patterns offered by small-scale models. We have developed a highly scalable numerical framework to model continental groundwater flow which capture the intricate flow pathways between deep aquifers and the near-surface. The coupled thermal-hydraulic basin structure is inferred from hydraulic head measurements, recharge estimates from geochemical proxies, and borehole temperature data using a Bayesian framework. We use it to model the deep groundwater flow beneath the Sydney-Gunnedah-Bowen Basin, part of Australia's largest aquifer system. Coastal aquifers have flow rates of up to 0.3 m/day, and a corresponding groundwater residence time of just 2,000 years. In contrast, our model predicts slow flow rates of 0.005 m/day for inland aquifers, resulting in a groundwater residence time of [Formula: see text] 400,000 years. Perturbing the model to account for a drop in borehole water levels since 2000, we find that lengthened inland flow pathways depart significantly from pre-2000 streamlines as groundwater is drawn further from recharge zones in a drying climate. Our results illustrate that progressively increasing water extraction from inland aquifers may permanently alter long-range flow pathways. Our open-source modelling approach can be extended to any basin and may help inform policies on the sustainable management of groundwater.},
}
@article {pmid35295625,
year = {2022},
author = {Sammarco, I and Münzbergová, Z and Latzel, V},
title = {DNA Methylation Can Mediate Local Adaptation and Response to Climate Change in the Clonal Plant Fragaria vesca: Evidence From a European-Scale Reciprocal Transplant Experiment.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {827166},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.827166},
pmid = {35295625},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {The ongoing climate crisis represents a growing threat for plants and other organisms. However, how and if plants will be able to adapt to future environmental conditions is still debated. One of the most powerful mechanisms allowing plants to tackle the changing climate is phenotypic plasticity, which can be regulated by epigenetic mechanisms. Environmentally induced epigenetic variation mediating phenotypic plasticity might be heritable across (a)sexual generations, thus potentially enabling rapid adaptation to climate change. Here, we assessed whether epigenetic mechanisms, DNA methylation in particular, enable for local adaptation and response to increased and/or decreased temperature of natural populations of a clonal plant, Fragaria vesca (wild strawberry). We collected ramets from three populations along a temperature gradient in each of three countries covering the southern (Italy), central (Czechia), and northern (Norway) edges of the native European range of F. vesca. After clonal propagation and alteration of DNA methylation status of half of the plants via 5-azacytidine, we reciprocally transplanted clones to their home locality and to the other two climatically distinct localities within the country of their origin. At the end of the growing season, we recorded survival and aboveground biomass as fitness estimates. We found evidence for local adaptation in intermediate and cold populations in Italy and maladaptation of plants of the warmest populations in all countries. Plants treated with 5-azacytidine showed either better or worse performance in their local conditions than untreated plants. Application of 5-azacytidine also affected plant response to changed climatic conditions when transplanted to the colder or warmer locality than was their origin, and the response was, however, country-specific. We conclude that the increasing temperature will probably be the limiting factor determining F. vesca survival and distribution. DNA methylation may contribute to local adaptation and response to climatic change in natural ecosystems; however, its role may depend on the specific environmental conditions. Since adaptation mediated by epigenetic variation may occur faster than via natural selection on genetic variants, epigenetic adaptation might to some degree help plants in keeping up with the ongoing environmental crisis.},
}
@article {pmid35294974,
year = {2022},
author = {Daoudi, M and Outammassine, A and Amane, M and Hafidi, M and Boussaa, S and Boumezzough, A},
title = {Climate Change Influences on the Potential Distribution of the Sand Fly Phlebotomus sergenti, Vector of Leishmania tropica in Morocco.},
journal = {Acta parasitologica},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35294974},
issn = {1896-1851},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Leishmaniases are a vector-borne disease, re-emerging in several regions of the world posing a burden on public health. As other vector-borne diseases, climate change is a crucial factor affecting the evolution of leishmaniasis. In Morocco, anthroponotic cutaneous leishmaniasis (ACL) is widespread geographically as many foci across the country, mainly in central Morocco. The objective of this study is to evaluate the potential impacts of climate change on the distribution of ACL due to Leishmania tropica, and its corresponding vector Phlebotomus sergenti in Morocco.<br><br>METHODS: Using Ecological Niche Modeling (ENM) tool, the estimated geographical range shift of L. tropica and P. sergenti by 2050 was projected under two Representative's Concentration's Pathways (RCPs) to be 2.6 and RCP 8.5 respectively. P. sergenti records were obtained from field collections of the laboratory team and previously published entomological observations, while, epidemiological data for L. tropica were obtained from Moroccan Ministry of Health reports.<br><br>RESULTS: Our models under present-day conditions indicated a probable expansion for L. tropica as well as for its vector in Morocco, P. sergenti. It showed a concentrated distribution in the west-central and northern area of Morocco. Future predictions anticipate expansion into areas not identified as suitable for P. sergenti under present conditions, particularly in northern and southeastern areas of Morocco. L. tropica is also expected to have high expansion in southern areas for the next 30 years in Morocco.<br><br>CONCLUSION: This indicates that L. tropica and P. sergenti will continue to find suitable climate conditions in the future. A higher abundance of P. sergenti may indeed result in a higher transmission risk of ACL. This information is essential in developing a control plan for ACL in Morocco. However, future investigations on L. tropica reservoirs are needed to confirm our predictions.},
}
@article {pmid35294661,
year = {2022},
author = {Ferreira, RB and Parreira, MR and de Arruda, FV and Falcão, MJA and de Freitas Mansano, V and Nabout, JC},
title = {Combining ecological niche models with experimental seed germination to estimate the effect of climate change on the distribution of endangered plant species in the Brazilian Cerrado.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {194},
number = {4},
pages = {283},
pmid = {35294661},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {001//CAPES/ ; 001//CAPES/ ; },
abstract = {Predicting the geographic distribution of plants that provide ecosystem services is essential to understand the adaptation of communities and conserve that group toward climate change. Predictions can be more accurate if changes in physiological characteristics of species due to those changes are included. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the impacts of climate change on the different hierarchical levels of Apuleia leiocarpa (Vogel) J. F. Macbr. (Fabaceae). Therefore, we experimentally evaluate the effect of different temperatures on the initial development (vigor) and estimate the impact of climate change on the potential geographic distribution of the species, using ecological niche approaches. For the experiment, we used 11 temperature intervals of 2 °C ranging from 21 to 41 °C. We used ecological niche modeling techniques (ENM) to predict the species' environmental suitability in future climate scenarios. The association between the experiment and niche models was obtained by testing the relationships of temperature increase on the species vigor and geographic distribution. This conceptual model to determine the direct and indirect effects of temperature was generated using the methodological framework of structural equation models. The experiment showed that the seeds had the highest growth at 31 °C. ENMs indicated that due to climate change, there is a tendency for the plant to migrate to regions with milder temperatures. However, such regions may be unsuitable for the plant since they do not have ideal temperatures to germinate, which may cause a drastic reduction in their availability in a future climate change scenario. The inclusion of seed germination through experimental research allowed us to detect an area that is less suitable for germination despite being climatically suitable for the species. Thus, research that integrates the effect of climate on the different stages of the organism's development is essential to understand the impact of climate change on biodiversity.},
}
@article {pmid35294593,
year = {2022},
author = {Roth, M and Herrmann, ME and Geerling, G and Guthoff, R},
title = {[Current and future effects of climate change on ophthalmology].},
journal = {Der Ophthalmologe : Zeitschrift der Deutschen Ophthalmologischen Gesellschaft},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35294593},
issn = {1433-0423},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Climate change is also an increasingly important issue in the healthcare system. Due to its anatomical and physiological nature, the eye is directly exposed to environmental influences and changes in a special way.<br><br>METHODS: The current literature is used to illustrate the effects of climate-induced changes and the respective influences on the eye. A PubMed search (cut-off date 3 October 2021) using the search terms "climate change" or "planetary health" or "global health" and in each case "ophthalmology" or "eye" or "ocular" was used to determine the development of the number of publications between 2011 and 2021.<br><br>RESULTS: Measurable effects of climate change are already evident in a wide variety of ophthalmological fields. The significance of this topic, for instance, is reflected in a relatively constant increase in the number of publications and an almost tenfold increase in the number of publications per year from 2011 to 2021.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The impact of climate change on eye diseases and on the field of ophthalmology is multifaceted and could be expected to intensify in the coming years. Therefore, the interrelationships need to be further investigated in future studies, preferably on a large scale.},
}
@article {pmid35294570,
year = {2022},
author = {von Hirschhausen, E and Lerch, MM},
title = {[Conversation on the impact of climate change on medicine and mankind].},
journal = {Der Internist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s00108-022-01299-8},
pmid = {35294570},
issn = {1432-1289},
}
@article {pmid35294173,
year = {2022},
author = {Li, H and Yang, Y and Wang, H and Wang, P and Yue, X and Liao, H},
title = {Projected Aerosol Changes Driven by Emissions and Climate Change Using a Machine Learning Method.},
journal = {Environmental science &amp; technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.1c04380},
pmid = {35294173},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Projection of future aerosols and understanding the driver of the aerosol changes are of great importance in improving the atmospheric environment and climate change mitigation. The latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) provides various climate projections but limited aerosol output. In this study, future near-surface aerosol concentrations from 2015 to 2100 are predicted based on a machine learning method. The machine learning model is trained with global atmospheric chemistry model results and projects aerosols with CMIP6 multi-model simulations, creatively estimating future aerosols with all important species considered. PM2.5 (particulate matter less than 2.5 μm in diameter) concentrations in 2095 (2091-2100 mean) are projected to decrease by 40% in East Asia, 20-35% in South Asia, and 15-25% in Europe and North America, compared to those in 2020 (2015-2024 mean), under low-emission scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5), which are mainly due to the presumed emission reductions. Driven by the climate change alone, PM2.5 concentrations would increase by 10-25% in northern China and western U.S. and decrease by 0-25% in southern China, South Asia, and Europe under the high forcing scenario (SSP5-8.5). A warmer climate exerts a stronger modulation on global aerosols. Climate-driven global future aerosol changes are found to be comparable to those contributed by changes in anthropogenic emissions over many regions of the world in high forcing scenarios, highlighting the importance of climate change in regulating future air quality.},
}
@article {pmid35292703,
year = {2022},
author = {Hart, EH and Christofides, SR and Davies, TE and Rees Stevens, P and Creevey, CJ and Müller, CT and Rogers, HJ and Kingston-Smith, AH},
title = {Forage grass growth under future climate change scenarios affects fermentation and ruminant efficiency.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {4454},
pmid = {35292703},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {BB/R019185/1/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; BB/R018464/1/BB_/Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council/United Kingdom ; },
abstract = {With an increasing human population access to ruminant products is an important factor in global food supply. While ruminants contribute to climate change, climate change could also affect ruminant production. Here we investigated how the plant response to climate change affects forage quality and subsequent rumen fermentation. Models of near future climate change (2050) predict increases in temperature, CO2, precipitation and altered weather systems which will produce stress responses in field crops. We hypothesised that pre-exposure to altered climate conditions causes compositional changes and also primes plant cells such that their post-ingestion metabolic response to the rumen is altered. This "stress memory" effect was investigated by screening ten forage grass varieties in five differing climate scenarios, including current climate (2020), future climate (2050), or future climate plus flooding, drought or heat shock. While varietal differences in fermentation were detected in terms of gas production, there was little effect of elevated temperature or CO2 compared with controls (2020). All varieties consistently showed decreased digestibility linked to decreased methane production as a result of drought or an acute flood treatment. These results indicate that efforts to breed future forage varieties should target tolerance of acute stress rather than long term climate.},
}
@article {pmid35290585,
year = {2022},
author = {Abbas, S and Kousar, S and Khan, MS},
title = {The role of climate change in food security; empirical evidence over Punjab regions, Pakistan.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35290585},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Climate change is bringing drastic changes to the food availability, accessibility, quality, and stability in the world. Pakistan heavily relies on production of wheat for food security. This study investigates the role of climate change on food security over Punjab regions, Pakistan, from 1979-2020. The study utilized the total production of wheat to measure food security. Moreover, the study utilized mean, maximum, minimum temperature, wind speed, and rainfall as a measurement of climate change. This study utilized auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bound test cointegration approach to test the long-run cointegration, while ARDL model is applied to investigate the short-run relationship among modeled variables. This study adopted Augmented Dicky Fuller (ADF) and Phillips Parron (PP) test to check the stationarity of the data. Moreover, the study ensures reliability and validity of the model by utilizing Breusch-Godfrey serial correlation, Breusch-Pagan-Godfry HSK, and Ramsey RESET test. This study found that wheat cultivated area (0.46*), total irrigated area (2.67***), total un-irrigated area (1.93***), and total area sown ([1.0809**) have a positive and significant long-run impact on food production in all regions of Punjab Pakistan. However, while average, the maximum and minimum temperature is negatively and significantly associated with food production in all regions of Punjab (- 1.07**; - 3.33***; - 1.84**), except northern Punjab, where maximum temperature affects positively food production Punjab. Rainfall negatively and significantly affects food production in northern (- 0.34**) and central and southern (- 0.13***) Punjab. Furthermore, wind speed negatively affects food production in all regions of Punjab (- 0.22**; - 0.21*; - 0.11**), except northern Punjab. This study implies that government should develop policies to increase irrigation facilities and loan facilities to increase the total area sown that will help to increase wheat yield and ensure food security. Moreover, the government should devise policies for large-scale plantations to minimize climate change impacts. The study also suggests new improved varieties of the wheat crop that can survive and flourish in the presence of adverse climatic changes, high temperature, and high wind speed.},
}
@article {pmid35288491,
year = {2022},
author = {Yamasaki, L and Nomura, S},
title = {Global warming and the Summer Olympic and Paralympic games: a perspective from the Tokyo 2020 Games.},
journal = {Environmental health and preventive medicine},
volume = {27},
number = {0},
pages = {7},
doi = {10.1265/ehpm.21-00024},
pmid = {35288491},
issn = {1347-4715},
abstract = {The Tokyo 2020 Olympic and Paralympic Games provided a significant opportunity to consider global warming as an issue to be seriously addressed to run the safe and fair games in the era of climate change. As the global temperature continuously rises and extreme hot-weather events increase in frequency and intensity, the future summer Olympic and Paralympic games will need to deal with the heat by applying thorough and appropriate countermeasures. In the recent decades, many mitigation measures to protect athletes from heat have been rapidly discussed by the sports community, including countermeasures to hold games at times and places with moderate temperature and climatic risk assessments with Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) during the games. However, the excessive heat conditions in the Tokyo 2020 Games affected not only athletes, but also all people concerned the events. While deliberate considerations by organizers had been given to mitigate extraordinary heat, the evaluations of these measures and epidemiological analyses of risk factors of patients must be further enhanced to develop efficient measures for the future. Therefore, we discussed the underlying climate-related problems of the summer Olympic and Paralympic Games in view of what we had experienced in the Tokyo 2020 Games. Facing with emerging global warming, future intervention against heat in the summer Olympic and Paralympic games will need to integrate systematic disease surveillance and evaluation of intervention with an effective combination with the approaches previously conducted. The Tokyo 2020 Games is a wake-up call to accelerate the public health measures towards the creeping global warming.},
}
@article {pmid35287240,
year = {2022},
author = {Knoblauch, H},
title = {[The Allgäu Turns into the Sahelzone - Climate change-Related Symptoms in the Context of a Severe Depressive Episode with Psychotic Symptoms].},
journal = {Psychiatrische Praxis},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1055/a-1749-0989},
pmid = {35287240},
issn = {1439-0876},
abstract = {The climate crisis with its already obvious effects in many areas of life, e. g. heat waves, flood disasters, etc., is becoming increasingly important in its consequences for health, media presentation and public perception. Based on the fact that symptoms of mental illness are dependent on the interplay of socio-cultural and biographical factors in terms of their content, this casuistry describes the course of treatment of a 59-year-old man with a severe depressive episode and the delusional conviction that the landscape of the Allgäu will turn into a landscape like the Sahel due to the climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid35286599,
year = {2022},
author = {Al-Delaimy, AK},
title = {The Prospective Effects of Climate Change on Neglected Tropical Diseases in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: a Review.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35286599},
issn = {2196-5412},
abstract = {An increase in the annual daily temperature is documented and predicted to occur in the coming decades. Climate change has a direct effect and adverse impact on human health, as well as on multiple ecosystems and their species. The purpose of this paper is to review the effect of climate change on neglected tropical diseases including leishmaniasis, schistosomiasis, and lymphatic filariasis in the Eastern Mediterranean Region (EMR). A list of engine web searches was done; 280 full-text records were assessed for eligibility. Only 48 original records were included within the final selection for the review study. Most research results show an alteration of neglected diseases related to climate change influencing specifically the Eastern Mediterranean Region, in addition to the expectation of more effects at the level of vectors and reservoir whether its vector transmission route or its egg hatching and replication or even the survival of adult worms in the coming years. At the same time, not all articles related to the region interpret the direct or indirect effect of climate variations on these specific diseases. Although few studies were found describing some of climate change effects on neglected tropical diseases in the region, still, the region lacks research funding, technical, and mathematical model expertise regarding the direct effect of climate change on the ecosystems of these neglected tropical diseases.},
}
@article {pmid35286459,
year = {2022},
author = {Ahlstrand, NI and Primack, RB and Tøttrup, AP},
title = {Correction to: A comparison of herbarium and citizen science phenology datasets for detecting response of flowering time to climate change in Denmark.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s00484-022-02272-8},
pmid = {35286459},
issn = {1432-1254},
}
@article {pmid35284042,
year = {2022},
author = {Zembe, A and Nemakonde, LD and Chipangura, P},
title = {Policy coherence between food security, disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation in South Africa: A summative content analysis approach.},
journal = {Jamba (Potchefstroom, South Africa)},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {1173},
doi = {10.4102/jamba.v14i1.1173},
pmid = {35284042},
issn = {1996-1421},
abstract = {Climate change through extreme weather events threatens food security (FS) and the eradication of poverty. Thus, improving FS will require adapting to the impacts of climate change as well as reducing the risks of disasters. However, the nexus between FS, disaster risk reduction (DRR) and climate change adaptation (CCA) is not always reflected in policies, resulting in fragmented implementation. The purpose of this article is to evaluate if there is coherence in the policies for FS, DRR and CCA in South Africa. A qualitative research design was applied, and data were collected through a summative content analysis on 34 policy and legislative documents and 24 key informant interviews (KII). The study found that there are still incoherencies between the current main policy and legislative documents that address CCA, DRR and FS. This study recommends a review of old policy and legislative frameworks promulgated in the 1990s to incorporate cross-cutting issues such as DRR, CCA and FS. This will enhance and strengthen synergies and interconnections between the three policy areas.},
}
@article {pmid35283127,
year = {2022},
author = {Hanson, MC and Petch, GM and Ottosen, TB and Skjøth, CA},
title = {Climate change impact on land use and hydrology determines the atmospheric microbiome measured using high-throughput sequencing.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154491},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154491},
pmid = {35283127},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The atmospheric microbiome is one of the least studied microbiomes of our planet. One of the most abundant, diverse and impactful parts of this microbiome is arguably fungal spores. They can be very potent outdoor aeroallergens and pathogens, causing an enormous socio-economic burden on health services and annual damages to crops costing billions of Euros. We find through hypothesis testing that an expected warmer and drier climate has a dramatic impact on the atmospheric microbiome, conceivably through alteration of the hydrological cycle impacting agricultural systems, with significant differences in leaf wetness between years (p-value <0.05). The data were measured via high-throughput sequencing analysis using the DNA barcode marker, ITS2. This was complemented by remote sensing analysis of land cover and dry matter productivity based on the Sentinel satellites, on-site detection of atmospheric and vegetation variables, GIS analysis, harvesting analysis and footprint modelling on trajectory clusters using the atmospheric transport model HYSPLIT. We find the seasonal spore composition varies between rural and urban zones reflecting both human activities (e.g. harvest), type and status of the vegetation and the prevailing climate rather than mesoscale atmospheric transport. We find that crop harvesting governs the composition of the atmospheric microbiome through a clear distinction between harvest and post-harvest beta-diversity by PERMANOVA on Bray-Curtis dissimilarity (p-value <0.05). Land cover impacted significantly by two-way ANOVA (p-value <0.05), while there was minimal impact from air mass transport over the 3 years. The hypothesis suggests that the fungal spore composition will change dramatically due to climate change, an until now unforeseen effect affecting both food security, human health and the atmospheric hydrological cycle. Consequently the management of crop diseases and impact on human health through aeroallergen exposure need to consider the timing of crop treatments and land management, including post harvest, to minimize exposure of aeroallergens and pathogens.},
}
@article {pmid35283123,
year = {2022},
author = {Peluso, LM and Mateus, L and Penha, J and Bailly, D and Cassemiro, F and Suárez, Y and Fantin-Cruz, I and Kashiwaqui, E and Lemes, P},
title = {Climate change negative effects on the Neotropical fishery resources may be exacerbated by hydroelectric dams.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154485},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154485},
pmid = {35283123},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is now recognized as a reality and along with human pressures such as river fragmentation by dams, amplifies the threats to freshwater ecosystems and their biodiversity. In the Brazilian portion of the Upper Paraguay River Basin (UPRB) that encompasses the Pantanal, one of the largest tropical wetlands in the world, in addition to the high biodiversity found there, fisheries are an important ecosystem service mostly supported by migratory fishes. We estimated the current range of migratory fish of commercial interest, also assessing the climate change effects predicted on the distribution patterns. Then, we assessed the effects of future climate on fish richness, and combining species ranges with routes blocked by artificial dams investigated possible impacts on fishery and food security in the UPRB. Climate change will induce range contraction between 47% and 100% for the species analyzed, and only four migratory fish may have suitable habitat until the end-of-century. The local richness will reduce about 85% in the basin. River fragmentation by dams acting together with climate change will prevent upstream shifts for most fish species. About 4% of present range and up to 45% of future range of migratory fish should be blocked by dams in UPRB. Consequently, this will also negatively affect fishery yield and food security in the future.},
}
@article {pmid35283121,
year = {2022},
author = {Malerba, ME and Wright, N and Macreadie, PI},
title = {Australian farm dams are becoming less reliable water sources under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154360},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154360},
pmid = {35283121},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Worldwide food production is under ever-increasing demand. Meanwhile, climate change is disrupting rainfall and evaporation patterns, making agriculture freshwater supplies more uncertain. IPCC models predict an increased variability in rainfall and temperature over most of the globe under climate change. Yet, the effects of climate variability on water security remain poorly resolved. Here we used satellite images and deep-learning convolutional neural networks to analyse the impacts of annual averages, seasonality, climate anomaly, and temporal autocorrelation (or climate reddening) for rain and temperature on the water levels of >100,000 Australian farm dams across 55 years. We found that the risk of empty farm dams increased with warmer annual temperatures, lower yearly rainfall, stronger seasonality, reduced climate anomalies, and higher temporal autocorrelation. We used this information to develop a predictive model and estimate the likelihood of water limitations in farm dams between 1965 and 2050 using historical data and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) at two climate change scenarios. Results showed that the frequency of empty water reserves has increased 2.5-fold since 1965 and will continue to increase across most (91%) of Australia. We estimated a 37% decline in rural areas with year-round water supplies between 1965 (457,076 km2) and 2050 (285,998 km2). Our continental-scale assessment documents complex temporal and spatial impacts of climate change on agricultural water security, with ramifications for society, economy, and the environment.},
}
@article {pmid35281122,
year = {2022},
author = {Wang, A and Melton, AE and Soltis, DE and Soltis, PS},
title = {Potential distributional shifts in North America of allelopathic invasive plant species under climate change models.},
journal = {Plant diversity},
volume = {44},
number = {1},
pages = {11-19},
doi = {10.1016/j.pld.2021.06.010},
pmid = {35281122},
issn = {2468-2659},
abstract = {Predictive studies play a crucial role in the study of biological invasions of terrestrial plants under possible climate change scenarios. Invasive species are recognized for their ability to modify soil microbial communities and influence ecosystem dynamics. Here, we focused on six species of allelopathic flowering plants-Ailanthus altissima, Casuarina equisetifolia, Centaurea stoebe ssp. micranthos, Dioscorea bulbifera, Lantana camara, and Schinus terebinthifolia-that are invasive in North America and examined their potential to spread further during projected climate change. We used Species Distribution Models (SDMs) to predict future suitable areas for these species in North America under several proposed future climate models. ENMEval and Maxent were used to develop SDMs, estimate current distributions, and predict future areas of suitable climate for each species. Areas with the greatest predicted suitable climate in the future include the northeastern and the coastal northwestern regions of North America. Range size estimations demonstrate the possibility of extreme range loss for these invasives in the southeastern United States, while new areas may become suitable in the northeastern United States and southeastern Canada. These findings show an overall northward shift of suitable climate during the next few decades, given projected changes in temperature and precipitation. Our results can be utilized to analyze potential shifts in the distribution of these invasive species and may aid in the development of conservation and management plans to target and control dissemination in areas at higher risk for potential future invasion by these allelopathic species.},
}
@article {pmid35278561,
year = {2022},
author = {Romaszko, J and Dragańska, E and Jalali, R and Cymes, I and Glińska-Lewczuk, K},
title = {Universal Climate Thermal Index as a prognostic tool in medical science in the context of climate change: A systematic review.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154492},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154492},
pmid = {35278561},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The assessment of the impact of meteorological factors on the epidemiology of various diseases and on human pathophysiology and physiology requires a comprehensive approach and new tools independent of currently occurring climate change. The thermal comfort index, i.e., Universal Climate Thermal Index (UTCI), is gaining more and more recognition from researchers interested in such assessments. This index facilitates the evaluation of the impact of cold stress and heat stress on the human organism and the assessment of the incidence of weather-related diseases. This work aims at identifying those areas of medical science for which the UTCI was applied for scientific research as well as its popularization among clinicians, epidemiologists, and specialists in public health management. This is a systematic review of literature found in Pubmed, Sciencedirect and Web of Science databases from which, consistent with PRISMA guidelines, original papers employing the UTCI in studies related to health, physiological parameters, and epidemiologic applications were extracted. Out of the total number of 367 papers identified in the databases, 33 original works were included in the analysis. The selected publications were analyzed in terms of determining the areas of medical science in which the UTCI was applied. The majority of studies were devoted to the broadly understood mortality, cardiac events, and emergency medicine. A significant disproportion between publications discussing heat stress and those utilizing the UTCI for its assessment was revealed.},
}
@article {pmid35278392,
year = {2022},
author = {Hwong, AR and Wang, M and Khan, H and Chagwedera, DN and Grzenda, A and Doty, B and Benton, T and Alpert, J and Clarke, D and Compton, WM},
title = {Climate change and mental health research methods, gaps, and priorities: a scoping review.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {6},
number = {3},
pages = {e281-e291},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(22)00012-2},
pmid = {35278392},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {Research on climate change and mental health is a new but rapidly growing field. To summarise key advances and gaps in the current state of climate change and mental health studies, we conducted a scoping review that comprehensively examined research methodologies using large-scale datasets. We identified 56 eligible articles published in Embase, PubMed, PsycInfo, and Web of Science between Jan 1, 2000, and Aug 9, 2020. The primary data collection method used was surveys, which focused on self-reported mental health effects due to acute and subacute climate events. Other approaches used administrative health records to study the effect of environmental temperature on hospital admissions for mental health conditions, and national vital statistics to assess the relationship between environmental temperature and suicide rates with regression analyses. Our work highlights the need to link population-based mental health outcome databases to weather data for causal inference. Collaborations between mental health providers and data scientists can guide the formation of clinically relevant research questions on climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35277746,
year = {2022},
author = {Ramos, MC and Martínez de Toda, F},
title = {Influence of weather conditions and projected climate change scenarios on the suitability of Vitis vinifera cv. Carignan in Rioja DOCa, Spain.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35277746},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Grape development and its quality are highly dependent on soil and weather conditions. Under the progressive warming, which can affect the suitability of typical varieties grown in a given area, the knowledge of the vine response to changes in climate is essential to stablish strategies to maintain the viticulture sector. This research presents an analysis of phenology and grape composition of the Carignan cultivar, during a 13-year period, at two locations in Rioja DOCa. Based on the results obtained and the projected changes in climate under climate change scenarios (RC4.5 and RCP8.5), the response of this cultivar was evaluated. Differences in the phenological dates of up to 18, 29 and 40 days, for flowering, veraison and harvest, respectively, were observed between the warmest and the coolest years. An advance of up to 5, 8 and 11 days, respectively, for the mentioned stages, is projected under the RCP4.5 scenario by 2050, which could be near 1.5*times higher under the RCP8.5 scenario. These advances will be mainly driven by the temperatures recorded in the previous period. Grape acidity was mainly driven by water availability, in particular during ripening, which imply a slight projected reduction due to precipitation changes but not significant effect due to increasing temperatures. The phenolic composition could be positively affected by increasing temperatures and increasing water deficits, since this variety does not always reach a complete maturity at present. Thus, under the projected warming scenarios, the suitability of Carignan in Rioja DOCa was confirmed.},
}
@article {pmid35277550,
year = {2022},
author = {Romitti, Y and Sue Wing, I},
title = {Heterogeneous climate change impacts on electricity demand in world cities circa mid-century.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {4280},
pmid = {35277550},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {DE-SC0016162//U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research Program/ ; DE-SC0016162//U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science, Biological and Environmental Research Program/ ; DGE 1735087//U.S. National Science Foundation/ ; },
abstract = {Rising ambient temperatures due to climate change will increase urban populations' exposures to extreme heat. During hot hours, a key protective adaptation is increased air conditioning and associated consumption of electricity for cooling. But during cold hours, milder temperatures have the offsetting effect of reducing consumption of electricity and other fuels for heating. We elucidate the net consequences of these opposing effects in 36 cities in different world regions. We couple reduced-form statistical models of cities' hourly responses of electric load to temperature with temporally downscaled projections of temperatures simulated by 21 global climate models (GCMs), projecting the effects of warming on the demand for electricity circa 2050. Cities' responses, temperature exposures and impacts are heterogeneous, with changes in total annual consumption ranging from [Formula: see text] to 5.7%, and peak power demand increasing by as much as 9.5% at the multi-GCM median. The largest increases are concentrated in more economically developed mid-latitude cities, with less developed urban areas in the tropics exhibiting relatively small changes. The results highlight the important role of the structure of electricity demand: large temperature increases in tropical cities are offset by their inelastic responses, which can be attributed to lower air-conditioning penetration.},
}
@article {pmid35276195,
year = {2022},
author = {Pinsri, P and Shrestha, S and Saurav, KC and Mohanasundaram, S and Virdis, SGP and Nguyen, TPL and Chaowiwat, W},
title = {Assessing the future climate change, land use change, and abstraction impacts on groundwater resources in the Tak Special Economic Zone, Thailand.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {113026},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2022.113026},
pmid = {35276195},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Groundwater is an important source of water supply in the Tak Special Economic Zone of Thailand. However, groundwater is under stress from climate change, land use change, and an increase in abstraction, affecting the groundwater level and its sustainability. Therefore, this study analyses the impact of these combined stresses on groundwater resources in the near, mid, and far future. Three Global Climate Models are used to project the future climate under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. According to the results, both maximum and minimum temperatures are likely to show similar increasing trends for both scenarios, with a rise of approximately 1 (1.5), 2 (3), and 3 (5) °C expected for SSP2-4.5 (SSP5-8.5) in each consecutive period. Annual rainfall is expected to continually increase in the future, with around 1500-1600 mm in rainfall (11ꟷ5.43% higher). Land use change is predicted for two scenarios: business as usual (BU) and rapid urbanisation (RU). The forest area is expected to increase to 30% (35%) coverage in 2090 for BU (RU) while agriculture is likely to reduce to 60% (50%) with the urban area increasing to 2.4% (7%). Water demand is predicted to increase in all future scenarios. The SWAT model is used to project recharge, which is likely to increase by 10-20% over time. The highest increase is predicted in the far future under SSP2 and RU scenarios. MODFLOW was used to project future groundwater resources, but due to the lack of consistent data, the time scale is reduced to yearly simulation. The results reveal that the groundwater level is expected to increase in the central part (urban area) of the study area and decrease along the boundary (agricultural area) of the aquifer. This research can aid policymakers and decision-makers in understanding the impact of multiple stressors and formulating adaptation strategies to manage groundwater resources in special economic zones.},
}
@article {pmid35276147,
year = {2022},
author = {Mas, M and Flaquer, C and Puig-Montserrat, X and Porres, X and Rebelo, H and López-Baucells, A},
title = {Winter bat activity: The role of wetlands as food and drinking reservoirs under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154403},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154403},
pmid = {35276147},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Bat arousals during hibernation are related to rises in environmental temperature, body water loss and increasing body heat. Therefore, bats either hibernate in cold places or migrate to areas with mild winters to find water and insects to intake. During winter, insects are abundant in wetlands with mild climates when low temperatures hamper insect activity in other places. However, the role of wetlands to sustain winter bat activity has never been fully assessed. To further understand bat behaviour during hibernation, we evaluated how the weather influenced hibernating bats, assessed the temperature threshold that increased bat arousals, and discussed how winter temperatures could affect bat activity under future climate change scenarios. The effects of weather and landscape composition on winter bat activity were assessed by acoustically sampling four different habitats (wetlands, rice paddies, urban areas and salt marshes) in the Ebro Delta (Spain). Our results show one of the highest winter bat foraging activities ever reported, with significantly higher activity in wetlands and urban areas. Most importantly, we found a substantial increase in bat activity triggered when nocturnal temperatures reached ca. 11 °C. By contrasting historical weather datasets, we show that, since the 1940s, there has been an increase by ca. 1.5 °C in winter maximum temperatures and a 180% increase in the number of nights with mean temperatures above 11 °C in the Ebro Delta. Temperature trends suggest that in 60-80 years, winter months will reach average temperatures of 11 °C (except maybe in January), which suggest a potential coming interruption or disappearance of bat hibernation in coastal Mediterranean habitats. This study highlights the significant role of wetlands in bat conservation under a climate change scenario as these humid areas represent one of the few remaining winter foraging habitats.},
}
@article {pmid35274797,
year = {2022},
author = {Parr, CL and Bishop, TR},
title = {The response of ants to climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16140},
pmid = {35274797},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Ants (Hymenoptera: Formicidae) are one of the most dominant terrestrial organisms worldwide. They are hugely abundant, both in terms of sheer numbers and biomass, on every continent except Antarctica and are deeply embedded within a diversity of ecological networks and processes. Ants are also eusocial and colonial organisms-their lifecycle is built on the labor of sterile worker ants who support a small number of reproductive individuals. Given the climatic changes that our planet faces, we need to understand how various important taxonomic groups will respond; this includes the ants. In this review, we synthesize the available literature to tackle this question. The answer is complicated. The ant literature has focused on temperature, and we broadly understand the ways in which thermal changes may affect ant colonies, populations, and communities. In general, we expect that species living in the Tropics, and in thermally variable microhabitats, such as the canopy and leaf litter environments, will be negatively impacted by rising temperatures. Species living in the temperate zones and those able to thermally buffer their nests in the soil or behaviorally avoid higher temperatures, however, are likely to be unaffected or may even benefit from a changed climate. How ants will respond to changes to other abiotic drivers associated with climate change is largely unknown, as is the detail on how altered ant populations and communities will ramify through their wider ecological networks. We discuss how eusociality may allow ants to adapt to, or tolerate, climate change in ways that solitary organisms cannot and we identify key geographic and phylogenetic hotspots of climate vulnerability and resistance. We finish by emphasizing the key research questions that we need to address moving forward so that we may fully appreciate how this critical insect group will respond to the ongoing climate crisis.},
}
@article {pmid35274416,
year = {2022},
author = {Haughan, AE and Pettorelli, N and Potts, SG and Senapathi, D},
title = {Determining the role of climate change in India's past forest loss.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16161},
pmid = {35274416},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {Tropical forests in India have declined at an alarming rate over the past century, with extensive literature focusing on the high contributions of agricultural expansions to deforestation, while the effects of climate change have largely been overlooked. Climate change effects, such as increasing temperatures, drought and flooding have already occurred, and are projected to worsen. Climate velocity, a metric that accounts for spatial heterogeneity in climate, can help identify contiguous areas under greater climate stress and potential climate refuges in addition to traditional temporal trends. Here, we examined the relative contribution of climate changes to forest loss in India during the period 2001-2018, at two spatial (regional and national) and two temporal (seasonal and annual) scales. This includes, for the first time, a characterisation of climate velocity in the country. Our findings show that annual forest loss increased substantially over the 17 year period examined (2001-2018), with the majority of forest loss occurring in the Northeast region. Decreases in temporal trends of temperature and precipitation were most associated with forest losses but there was large spatial and seasonal variation in the relationship. In every region except the Northeast, forest losses were correlated with faster velocities of at least one climate variable but overlapping areas of high velocities were rare. Our findings indicate that climate changes have played an important role in India's past forest loss, but likely remain secondary to other factors at present. We stress concern for climates velocities recorded in the country, reaching 97km yr-1 , and highlight that understanding the different regional and seasonal relationships between climatic conditions and forest distributions will be key to effective protection of the country's remaining forests as climate change accelerates.},
}
@article {pmid35274205,
year = {2022},
author = {Romshoo, SA and Murtaza, KO and Shah, W and Ramzan, T and Ameen, U and Bhat, MH},
title = {Anthropogenic climate change drives melting of glaciers in the Himalaya.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-022-19524-0},
pmid = {35274205},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The Himalayan glaciers provide water to a large population in south Asia for a variety of purposes and ecosystem services. As a result, regional monitoring of glacier melting and identification of the drivers are important for understanding and predicting future cryospheric melting trends. Using multi-date satellite images from 2000 to 2020, we investigated the shrinkage, snout retreat, thickness changes, mass loss and velocity changes of 77 glaciers in the Drass basin, western Himalaya, India. During this period, the total glacier cover has shrunk by 5.31 ± 0.33 km2. The snout retreat ranged from 30 to 430 m (mean 155 ± 9.58 m). Debris cover had a significant impact on glacier melting, with clean glaciers losing ~ 5% more than debris-covered glaciers (~ 2%). The average thickness change and mass loss of glacier have been - 1.27 ± 0.37 and - 1.08 ± 0.31 m w.e.a-1, respectively. Because of the continuous melting and the consequent mass loss, average glacier velocity has reduced from 21.35 ± 3.3 m a-1 in 2000 to 16.68 ± 1.9 m a-1 by 2020. During the observation period, the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs), black carbon (BC) and other pollutants from vehicular traffic near the glaciers increased significantly. Increasing temperatures, caused by a significant increase in GHGs, black carbon and other pollutants in the atmosphere, are driving glacier melting in the study area. If the current trend continues in the future, the Himalayan glaciers may disappear entirely, having a significant impact on regional water supplies, hydrological processes, ecosystem services and transboundary water sharing.},
}
@article {pmid35274161,
year = {2022},
author = {Shen, W and Shen, Z and Xue, S and Zhou, D},
title = {Population dynamics under climate change: persistence criterion and effects of fluctuations.},
journal = {Journal of mathematical biology},
volume = {84},
number = {4},
pages = {30},
pmid = {35274161},
issn = {1432-1416},
support = {RGPIN-2018-04371//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; DGECR-2018-00353//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; No.11971232//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 12071217//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 11771414//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The present paper is devoted to the investigation of population dynamics under climate change. The evolution of species is modelled by a reaction-diffusion equation in a spatio-temporally heterogeneous environment described by a climate envelope that shifts with a time-dependent speed function. For a general almost-periodic speed function, we establish the persistence criterion in terms of the sign of the approximate top Lyapunov exponent and, in the case of persistence, prove the existence of a unique forced wave solution that dominates the population profile of species in the long run. In the setting for studying the effects of fluctuations in the shifting speed or location of the climate envelope, we show by means of matched asymptotic expansions and numerical simulations that the approximate top Lyapunov exponent is a decreasing function with respect to the amplitude of fluctuations, yielding that fluctuations in the shifting speed or location have negative impacts on the persistence of species, and moreover, the larger the fluctuation is, the more adverse the effect is on the species. In addition, we assert that large fluctuations can always drive a species to extinction. Our numerical results also show that a persistent species under climate change is invulnerable to mild fluctuations, and becomes vulnerable when fluctuations are so large that the species is endangered. Finally, we show that fluctuations of amplitude less than or equal to the speed difference between the shifting speed and the critical speed are too weak to endanger a persistent species.},
}
@article {pmid35273334,
year = {2022},
author = {Martinez Del Castillo, E and Zang, CS and Buras, A and Hacket-Pain, A and Esper, J and Serrano-Notivoli, R and Hartl, C and Weigel, R and Klesse, S and Resco de Dios, V and Scharnweber, T and Dorado-Liñán, I and van der Maaten-Theunissen, M and van der Maaten, E and Jump, A and Mikac, S and Banzragch, BE and Beck, W and Cavin, L and Claessens, H and Čada, V and Čufar, K and Dulamsuren, C and Gričar, J and Gil-Pelegrín, E and Janda, P and Kazimirovic, M and Kreyling, J and Latte, N and Leuschner, C and Longares, LA and Menzel, A and Merela, M and Motta, R and Muffler, L and Nola, P and Petritan, AM and Petritan, IC and Prislan, P and Rubio-Cuadrado, Á and Rydval, M and Stajić, B and Svoboda, M and Toromani, E and Trotsiuk, V and Wilmking, M and Zlatanov, T and de Luis, M},
title = {Climate-change-driven growth decline of European beech forests.},
journal = {Communications biology},
volume = {5},
number = {1},
pages = {163},
pmid = {35273334},
issn = {2399-3642},
support = {//Alexander von Humboldt-Stiftung (Alexander von Humboldt Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {The growth of past, present, and future forests was, is and will be affected by climate variability. This multifaceted relationship has been assessed in several regional studies, but spatially resolved, large-scale analyses are largely missing so far. Here we estimate recent changes in growth of 5800 beech trees (Fagus sylvatica L.) from 324 sites, representing the full geographic and climatic range of species. Future growth trends were predicted considering state-of-the-art climate scenarios. The validated models indicate growth declines across large region of the distribution in recent decades, and project severe future growth declines ranging from -20% to more than -50% by 2090, depending on the region and climate change scenario (i.e. CMIP6 SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5). Forecasted forest productivity losses are most striking towards the southern distribution limit of Fagus sylvatica, in regions where persisting atmospheric high-pressure systems are expected to increase drought severity. The projected 21st century growth changes across Europe indicate serious ecological and economic consequences that require immediate forest adaptation.},
}
@article {pmid35271335,
year = {2022},
author = {Le Quéré, C and Mayot, N},
title = {Climate change and biospheric output.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {375},
number = {6585},
pages = {1091-1092},
doi = {10.1126/science.abo1262},
pmid = {35271335},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {Large changes in global ecosystem productivity are set in motion by carbon dioxide rise.},
}
@article {pmid35270788,
year = {2022},
author = {Kondrashin, AV and Morozova, LF and Stepanova, EV and Turbabina, NA and Maksimova, MS and Morozov, AE and Anikina, AS and Morozov, EN},
title = {Global Climate Change and Human Dirofilariasis in Russia.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19053096},
pmid = {35270788},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {Human dirofilariasis is a vector-borne helminth disease caused by two species of Dirofilaria: D. repens and D. immitis. The vectors of the helminth are mosquitoes in the family Culicidae. The definitive hosts of Dirofilaria are dogs and, to a lesser extent, cats. Humans are accidental hosts. Dirofilariasis has been reported in the territory of Russia since 1915. Sporadic cases of the disease have been reported occasionally, but the number of cases showed a distinct increasing trend in the late 1980s-early 1990s, when the number of cases reached several hundred in the southern territories of Russia, with geographic coordinates of 43° N-45° N. A comparison of the timing of the global trend of climate warming during the 1990s with the temporal pattern of the incidence of dirofilariasis in the territory of Russia indicated a close association between the two phenomena. At present, the northern range of Dirofilaria includes latitudes higher than 58° in both the European and Asian parts of the country. The phenomenon of climate warming in the territory of Russia has shaped the contemporary epidemiology of the disease. The emerging public health problem of dirofilariasis in Russia warrants the establishment of a comprehensive epidemiological monitoring system.},
}
@article {pmid35270593,
year = {2022},
author = {Sharpe, I and Davison, CM},
title = {A Scoping Review of Climate Change, Climate-Related Disasters, and Mental Disorders among Children in Low- and Middle-Income Countries.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19052896},
pmid = {35270593},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {435-2019-1083//Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council/ ; PJT-162463 and PJT-165971//Canadian Institutes for Health Research/ ; },
abstract = {Children, particularly those living in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), are highly vulnerable to climate change and its impacts. Our main objective was to conduct a scoping literature review to determine how exposure to climate change and climate-related disasters influences the presence of mental disorders among children in LMICs. We also aimed to identify gaps in this area of scholarship. We included studies of children in LMICs that had a climate change or climate-related disaster exposure and mental disorder outcome. Twenty-three studies were included in the final synthesis. Fourteen studies were conducted in China, three in India, two each in Pakistan and the Philippines, and one each in Namibia and Dominica. All studies assessed the association between a climate-related disaster exposure and a mental disorder outcome, while none explored broader climate change-related exposures. Post-traumatic stress disorder (n = 21 studies) and depression (n = 8 studies) were the most common mental disorder outcomes. There was considerable between-study heterogeneity in terms of sample size, follow-up length, and outcome measurement. Overall, the literature in this area was sparse. Additional high-quality research is required to better understand the impacts of climate-related disasters and climate change on mental disorders within this population to ultimately inform future policies and interventions.},
}
@article {pmid35270140,
year = {2022},
author = {Chen, K and Wang, B and Chen, C and Zhou, G},
title = {MaxEnt Modeling to Predict the Current and Future Distribution of Pomatosace filicula under Climate Change Scenarios on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {11},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants11050670},
pmid = {35270140},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2019YFC0507404//the National Key Research and Development Program pf China/ ; },
abstract = {As an important Tibetan medicine and a secondary protected plant in China, Pomatosace filicula is endemic to the country and is mainly distributed in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). However, global climate change caused by greenhouse gas emissions might lead to the extinction of P. filicula. To understand the potential spatial distribution of P. filicula in future global warming scenarios, we used the MaxEnt model to simulate changes in its suitable habitat that would occur by 2050 and 2070 using four representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios and five global climate models. The results showed that the QTP currently contains a suitable habitat for P. filicula and will continue to do so in the future. Under the RCP2.6 scenario, the suitable habitat area would increase by 2050 but shrink slightly by 2070, with an average reduction of 2.7%. However, under the RCP8.5 scenario, the area of unsuitable habitat would expand by an average of 54.65% and 68.20% by 2050 and 2070, respectively. The changes in the area of suitable habitat under the RCP4.5 and RCP6.0 scenarios were similar, with the unsuitable area increasing by approximately 20% by 2050 and 2070. Under these two moderate RCPs, the total suitable area in 2070 would be greater than that in 2050. The top three environmental factors impacting the habitat distribution were altitude, annual precipitation (BIO12) and annual temperature range (BIO7). The cumulative contribution rate of these three factors was as high as 82.8%, indicating that they were the key factors affecting the distribution and adaptability of P. filicula, P. filicula grows well in damp and cold environments. Due to global warming, the QTP will become warmer and drier; thus, the growing area of P. filicula will move toward higher elevations and areas that are humid and cold. These areas are mainly found near the Three-River Region. Future climate change will aggravate the deterioration of the P. filicula habitat and increase the species' survival risk. This study describes the distribution of P. filicula and provides a basis for the protection of endangered plants in the QTP.},
}
@article {pmid35268169,
year = {2022},
author = {Ings, K and Denk, D},
title = {Avian Malaria in Penguins: Diagnostics and Future Direction in the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {12},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani12050600},
pmid = {35268169},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {45973-19//University of Glasgow Vet Fund Small Grant Scheme/ ; },
abstract = {Avian malaria is caused by infection with haemoprotozoa of the genus Plasmodium. Infection is endemic in large parts of the world and is typically subclinical in birds that are native to these regions. Several penguin species have evolved in non-endemic regions without the selective pressure that these parasites exert and are highly susceptible to infection when transplanted to endemic regions, for example, in the context of zoological collections or rehabilitation centers. Avian malaria in penguins typically causes acute mortality without premonitory signs, or less commonly, nonspecific signs of morbidity, followed by mortality. Additionally, infection is reported in wild penguins, though the significance of these infections remains equivocal. As global temperatures continue to increase, avian malaria is likely to pose a continued and further threat to conservation efforts in captive environments. Intra vitam diagnosis currently relies on the evaluation of blood smears and molecular methods. The former is unreliable in penguins, as the acute clinical course typically does not allow the development of parasitemia. This absence of parasitemia also makes speciation challenging. Current molecular methods typically target the Cytochrome B or 18s subunit and have proven variably sensitive and specific. Reliable intra vitam diagnosis of avian malaria and further information about the causative agents at a species level would be very valuable in understanding the epidemiology and likely future course of avian malaria infection in penguins, and in particular, the implications avian malaria may have for conservation efforts. This paper provides an overview of malaria in penguins, discusses its changing impact on management and conservation, offers a summary of current diagnostics, and suggests future direction for the development of diagnostic tests. The latter will be key in understanding and managing this disease.},
}
@article {pmid35267745,
year = {2022},
author = {Barrientos-Sanhueza, C and Cargnino-Cisternas, D and Díaz-Barrera, A and Cuneo, IF},
title = {Bacterial Alginate-Based Hydrogel Reduces Hydro-Mechanical Soil-Related Problems in Agriculture Facing Climate Change.},
journal = {Polymers},
volume = {14},
number = {5},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/polym14050922},
pmid = {35267745},
issn = {2073-4360},
support = {11180102//Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo/ ; 039.426/2020//VRIEA-PUCV/ ; },
abstract = {Agricultural systems are facing the negative impacts of erosion and water scarcity, directly impacting the hydro-mechanical behavior of soil aggregation. Several technologies have been proposed to reduce hydro-mechanical soil-related problems in agriculture. Biopolymer-based hydrogels have been reported to be a great tool to tackle these problems in soils. In this study, we investigated the hydro-mechanical behavior of different soils media treated with Ca-bacterial alginate hydrogel. We used an unconfined uniaxial compression test, aggregate stability test and hydraulic conductivity measurements to investigate the mechanical and hydraulic behavior of treated soils media. Our results from unconfined uniaxial compression test showed that yield stress (i.e., strength) increased in treated soils with higher kaolinite and water content (i.e., HCM3), compared with untreated coarse quartz sand (i.e., CM1). Furthermore, we found that temperature is an important factor in the gelation capacity of our hydrogel. At room temperature, HCM3 displayed the higher aggregate stability, almost 5.5-fold compared with treated coarse quartz sand (HCM1), while this differential response was not sustained at warm temperature. In general, the addition of different quantities of kaolinite decreased the saturated hydraulic conductivity for all treatments. Finally, bright field microscopy imaging represents the soil media matrix between sand and clay particles with Ca-bacterial alginate hydrogel that modify the hydro-mechanical behavior of different soils media. The results of this study could be helpful for the soil-related problems in agriculture facing the negative effects of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35267174,
year = {2022},
author = {Stone, K and Blinn, N and Spencer, R},
title = {Mental Health Impacts of Climate Change on Women: a Scoping Review.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35267174},
issn = {2196-5412},
abstract = {Climate change is the largest threat to human health of the twenty-first century. Women are disproportionately affected by climate change. While the physical health impacts of climate change are an active area of research, works related to the mental health impacts are less developed. Furthermore, the mental health impacts of climate change on women are a particular area of interest due to women's disproportionately negative experiences with climate change and climate change-related events. Therefore, the purpose of this scoping review is to understand what is known from the existing literature regarding the mental health impacts of climate change on women. The methods for this review follow the Arksey and O'Malley framework for a scoping review. By searching databases for publications that discuss women, mental health, and climate change, and screening for relevant work, 20 studies that met inclusion criteria were included in the review. Themes derived from the reviewed studies include negative mental health outcomes, gender-based violence, burdens of care and responsibility, attachment to land and traditions, and the importance of intersectionality. From these findings, there is a clear need for climate policies on adaptation and mitigation to reflect women's unique needs to ensure their health and safety.},
}
@article {pmid35266412,
year = {2022},
author = {Argent, G},
title = {Human-Animal Relationships and Welfare in the Anthropocene: Pandemics, Climate Change, and Other Disasters.},
journal = {Journal of applied animal welfare science : JAAWS},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-4},
doi = {10.1080/10888705.2022.2042299},
pmid = {35266412},
issn = {1532-7604},
abstract = {This introduction to the Special Issue "Human-Animal Relationships and Welfare in the Anthropocene: Pandemics, Climate Change, and Other Disasters" provides the reasons for creating the Special Issue, its aims and scope, background on the subject area, and an introduction to the papers within it. I also offer suggestions for future research aimed at including in animal welfare studies the consideration of the actual and potential effects of the climate crisis and other environmental concerns on animal welfare.},
}
@article {pmid35266045,
year = {2022},
author = {Darbyshire, RO and Johnson, SB and Anwar, MR and Ataollahi, F and Burch, D and Champion, C and Coleman, MA and Lawson, J and McDonald, SE and Miller, M and Mo, J and Timms, M and Sun, D and Wang, B and Pardoe, J},
title = {Climate change and Australia's primary industries: factors hampering an effective and coordinated response.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35266045},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Australia's primary production sector operates in one of the world's most variable climates with future climate change posing a challenge to its ongoing sustainability. Recognising this, Australia has invested in understanding climate change risks to primary production with a substantial amount of research produced. Recently, focus on this research space has broadened, with interests from the financial sector and expanded scopes of works from government and industry. These expanded needs require sector- and country-wide assessments to assist with the implementation of climate strategies. We considered the applicability of the current research body for these needs by reviewing 188 peer-reviewed studies that considered the quantitative Powered by Editorial Manager® and ProduXion Manager® from Aries Systems Corporation impacts of climate change on Australia's primary industries. Our broad review includes cropping, livestock, horticulture, forestry and fisheries and biosecurity threats. This is the first such review for Australia, and no other similar country-wide review was found. We reviewed the studies through three lenses, industry diversity, geographic coverage and study comparability. Our results show that all three areas are lacking for sector- and country-wide assessments. Industry diversity was skewed towards cropping and biosecurity threats (64% of all studies) with wheat in particular a major focus (25% of all studies). Geographic coverage at a state level appeared to be evenly distributed across the country; however, when considered in conjunction with industry focus, gaps emerged. Study comparability was found to be very limited due to the use of different historical baseline periods and different impact models. We make several recommendations to assist with future research directions, being (1) co-development of a standard set of method guidelines for impact assessments, (2) filling industry and geographic knowledge gaps, and (3) improving transparency in study method descriptions. Uptake of these recommendations will improve study application and transparency enabling and enhancing responses to climate change in Australia's primary industries.},
}
@article {pmid35265337,
year = {2022},
author = {Sun, Y and Zhang, X and Ding, Y and Chen, D and Qin, D and Zhai, P},
title = {Understanding human influence on climate change in China.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {9},
number = {3},
pages = {nwab113},
doi = {10.1093/nsr/nwab113},
pmid = {35265337},
issn = {2053-714X},
abstract = {China's climate has been warming since the 1950s, with surface air temperature increasing at a rate higher than the global average. Changes in climate have exerted substantial impacts on water resources, agriculture, ecosystems and human health. Attributing past changes to causes provides a scientific foundation for national and international climate policies. Here, we review recent progress in attributing the observed climate changes over past decades in China. Anthropogenic forcings, dominated by greenhouse gas emissions, are the main drivers for observed increases in mean and extreme temperatures. Evidence of the effect of anthropogenic forcings on precipitation is emerging. Human influence has increased the probability of extreme heat events, and has likely changed the occurrence probabilities for some heavy precipitation events. The way a specific attribution question is posed and the conditions under which the question is addressed present persistent challenges for appropriately communicating attribution results to non-specialists.},
}
@article {pmid35264715,
year = {2022},
author = {Moradmand, M and Yousefi, M},
title = {Ecological niche modelling and climate change in two species groups of huntsman spider genus Eusparassus in the Western Palearctic.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {4138},
pmid = {35264715},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The huntsman spiders' genus Eusparassus are apex arthropod predators in desert ecosystems of the Afrotropical and Palearctic ecoregions. The Eusparassus dufouri and E. walckenaeri clades are two distinct taxonomic, phylogenetic, and geographic units concerning morphology, molecular phylogeny, and spatial data; but little is known about their ecological niche. We applied the maximum-entropy approach and modelled ecologic niches of these two phylogenetically closely related clades. Ecological niches of the two clades were compared using identity and background tests and two different metrics, the Schooner's D and Warren's I. We also predicted the impacts of climate change on the distribution of the two clades. The results of the identity test showed that the ecological niches of the two clades were different in geographic space but were similar in environmental space. While results of the background test revealed that the ecological niches of the two clades were similar in geographic and environmental space. This indicated that "niche conservatism" had an important role over the evolutionary time of allopatric diversification. However, the normalized difference vegetation index vs. topographic heterogeneity had influenced the niches of the dufouri and walckenaeri clades, respectively. The analyses recovered that the two clades' climatically suitable habitats will increase under future climate (the year 2070). However, since the two clades are characterized by the narrow range of environmental optimum and the accordingly high limits of tolerance, they are vulnerable to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35264569,
year = {2022},
author = {Wunsch, A and Liesch, T and Broda, S},
title = {Deep learning shows declining groundwater levels in Germany until 2100 due to climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {1221},
pmid = {35264569},
issn = {2041-1723},
abstract = {In this study we investigate how climate change will directly influence the groundwater resources in Germany during the 21st century. We apply a machine learning groundwater level prediction approach based on convolutional neural networks to 118 sites well distributed over Germany to assess the groundwater level development under different RCP scenarios (2.6, 4.5, 8.5). We consider only direct meteorological inputs, while highly uncertain anthropogenic factors such as groundwater extractions are excluded. While less pronounced and fewer significant trends can be found under RCP2.6 and RCP4.5, we detect significantly declining trends of groundwater levels for most of the sites under RCP8.5, revealing a spatial pattern of stronger decreases, especially in the northern and eastern part of Germany, emphasizing already existing decreasing trends in these regions. We can further show an increased variability and longer periods of low groundwater levels during the annual cycle towards the end of the century.},
}
@article {pmid35262801,
year = {2022},
author = {Jinger, D and Kumar, R and Kakade, V and Dinesh, D and Singh, G and Pande, VC and Bhatnagar, PR and Rao, BK and Vishwakarma, AK and Kumar, D and Singhal, V},
title = {Agroforestry for controlling soil erosion and enhancing system productivity in ravine lands of Western India under climate change scenario.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {194},
number = {4},
pages = {267},
pmid = {35262801},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {Soil erosion in semi-arid climate leading to the development of ravine lands is the most severe form of land degradation. Ravine lands are formed when soil is not fully covered by the vegetation throughout the year and sporadic vegetation is not able to bind the soil particles from being washed away by rainfall. Throughout the globe, ravine lands have severe limitations for their rehabilitation and sustainable utilization as a consequence of its unique topographical features. Climatic and edaphic stresses make crop production extremely challenging in these lands. Practicing sole cropping promotes erosion, produces low crop yield, utilizes high energy, and emits greenhouse gasses (GHGs). Tree cultivation either sole or in combination with crops (agroforestry) has a strong potential to control erosion, produce sustainable economic yield, reduce energy consumption, and sequester greater amount of atmospheric carbon dioxide in biomass and soil carbon pools besides providing various ecosystem services. Therefore, practicing agroforestry could be a promising approach to obtain the greater environmental and economic benefits in the ravine lands. The present study was conducted on three systems, i.e., sole crop cultivation (cowpea + castor), agroforestry (sapota + cowpea + castor), and sole sapota plantation, to evaluate their impact on soil erosion, runoff, system productivity, profitability, energetics, and carbon sequestration during the 4-year period (2017-2020). The results revealed that agroforestry reduced the total soil loss and runoff by 37.7% and 19.1%, respectively, compared to the sole crop cultivation. Likewise, the highest system productivity as cowpea equivalent yield (CEY) was obtained under agroforestry system that increased the CEY by 162% and 81.9%, compared to sole crop and sole tree plantation, respectively. The climate change mitigation potential in terms of net carbon balance was observed highest in sole tree plantation (8.4 t/ha) followed by agroforestry system (5.9 t/ha) and lowest in sole cropping system (-2.8 t/ha). Therefore, an agroforestry system could be recommended for controlling soil erosion, improving system productivity and profitability, and reducing energy consumption as well as mitigating climate change in ravine lands.},
}
@article {pmid35261489,
year = {2022},
author = {Beranek, CT and Sanders, S and Clulow, J and Mahony, M},
title = {Factors influencing persistence of a threatened amphibian in restored wetlands despite severe population decline during climate change driven weather extremes.},
journal = {Biodiversity and conservation},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-21},
pmid = {35261489},
issn = {0960-3115},
abstract = {Biodiversity is in global decline during the Anthropocene. Declines have been caused by multiple factors, such as habitat removal, invasive species, and disease, which are often targets for conservation management. However, conservation interventions are under threat from climate change induced weather extremes. Weather extremes are becoming more frequent and devastating and an example of this was the 2019/2020 Australian drought and mega-fires. We provide a case study the impacts of these extreme weather events had on a population of the threatened frog Litoria aurea that occurs in a constructed habitat which was designed to reduce the impact of introduced fish and chytrid-induced disease. We aimed to determine what factors influenced persistence so that the design of wetlands can be further optimised to future-proof threatened amphibians. We achieved this with 4 years (2016-2020) of intensive capture-recapture surveys during austral spring and summer across nine wetlands (n = 94 repeat surveys). As hypothesized, drought caused a sharp reduction in population size, but persistence was achieved. The most parsimonious predictor of survival was an interaction between maximum air temperature and rainfall, indicating that weather extremes likely caused the decline. Survival was positively correlated with wetland vegetation coverage, positing this is an important feature to target to enhance resilience in wetland restoration programs. Additionally, the benefits obtained from measures to reduce chytrid prevalence were not compromised during drought, as there was a positive correlation between salinity and survival. We emphasize that many species may not be able to persist under worse extreme weather scenarios. Despite the potential for habitat augmentation to buffer effects of extreme weather, global action on climate change is needed to reduce extinction risk.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10531-022-02387-9.},
}
@article {pmid35261483,
year = {2022},
author = {Nation, MT and Feldman, A},
title = {Climate Change and Political Controversy in the Science Classroom: How Teachers' Beliefs Influence Instruction.},
journal = {Science &amp; education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-17},
pmid = {35261483},
issn = {0926-7220},
abstract = {Climate change science is complex and perceived to be controversial in nature by some stakeholders. Yet from the perspective of educators and policy makers, climate change science is an important topic to be taught in secondary science education. The presence of controversy can influence teachers' instructional decisions and cause confusion about the science of climate change. This study examines the complex nature between science teacher beliefs and the impact on their instructional practices of climate change-centered curriculum. Findings from the study suggest teachers have strong beliefs about the causes and implications of climate change. However, due to the controversial nature of the topic, the current US political climate, and fear of resistance from stakeholders, teachers did not espouse these beliefs within their instruction of the curriculum and instead remained "neutral" when teaching about climate change.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11191-022-00330-6.},
}
@article {pmid35260915,
year = {2022},
author = {Abubakar, A and Ishak, MY and Makmom, AA},
title = {Nexus between climate change and oil palm production in Malaysia: a review.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {194},
number = {4},
pages = {262},
doi = {10.1007/s10661-022-09915-8},
pmid = {35260915},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {TETF/ES/UNIV/JIGAWA STATE/TSAS/2019//Tertiary Education Trust Fund/ ; },
mesh = {*Arecaceae ; *Climate Change ; Environmental Monitoring ; Malaysia ; Palm Oil ; },
abstract = {Climate change is believed to be caused by natural processes such as volcanic eruptions, which release ash into the atmosphere, and anthropogenic activities that increase the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere, such as carbon dioxide (CO2), which trap energy and cause intense warming. This article conducts a comprehensive review of existing literature relating to climate change and its impact on oil palm production in Malaysia. To enable analysis, articles were arranged, sorted, and categorized into various themes and associations based on the title of the article, abstract, and later the content. The findings reveal that climate change causes variability in the intensity and duration of rainfall, which ultimately affects the production of oil palm fresh fruit bunches (FFB) and the quality of crude palm oil (CPO). The decline in FFB increased the price of crude palm oil. The impacts of climate change on oil palm vary and are felt differently in different regions. Climate change increases the vulnerability and exposure of oil palms to various diseases, exposes them to water stress, and disrupts metabolic activities. The surface temperature in Malaysia is anticipated to rise by 1.5 to 2 °C, worsening the adaptation plans. Oil palm growers explore possible ways to adapt to and withstand the impacts of climate change by adopting the use of an improved variety of oil palm seedlings, soil management and fertility preservation, silt pit, mulching, intercropping, livelihood diversification, buying insurance, and best water conservation practices.},
}
@article {pmid35260727,
year = {2022},
author = {Kamali, B and Lorite, IJ and Webber, HA and Rezaei, EE and Gabaldon-Leal, C and Nendel, C and Siebert, S and Ramirez-Cuesta, JM and Ewert, F and Ojeda, JJ},
title = {Uncertainty in climate change impact studies for irrigated maize cropping systems in southern Spain.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {4049},
pmid = {35260727},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {PR.AVA2018.051//e German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) through the Australia-Germany Joint Research Co-operation Scheme/ ; PR.AVA2018.051//e German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) through the Australia-Germany Joint Research Co-operation Scheme/ ; PR.AVA2018.051//e German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) through the Australia-Germany Joint Research Co-operation Scheme/ ; PR.AVA2018.051//e German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) through the Australia-Germany Joint Research Co-operation Scheme/ ; PR.AVA2018.051//e German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) through the Australia-Germany Joint Research Co-operation Scheme/ ; PR.AVA2018.051//e German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) through the Australia-Germany Joint Research Co-operation Scheme/ ; },
abstract = {This study investigates the main drivers of uncertainties in simulated irrigated maize yield under historical conditions as well as scenarios of increased temperatures and altered irrigation water availability. Using APSIM, MONICA, and SIMPLACE crop models, we quantified the relative contributions of three irrigation water allocation strategies, three sowing dates, and three maize cultivars to the uncertainty in simulated yields. The water allocation strategies were derived from historical records of farmer's allocation patterns in drip-irrigation scheme of the Genil-Cabra region, Spain (2014-2017). By considering combinations of allocation strategies, the adjusted R2 values (showing the degree of agreement between simulated and observed yields) increased by 29% compared to unrealistic assumptions of considering only near optimal or deficit irrigation scheduling. The factor decomposition analysis based on historic climate showed that irrigation strategies was the main driver of uncertainty in simulated yields (66%). However, under temperature increase scenarios, the contribution of crop model and cultivar choice to uncertainty in simulated yields were as important as irrigation strategy. This was partially due to different model structure in processes related to the temperature responses. Our study calls for including information on irrigation strategies conducted by farmers to reduce the uncertainty in simulated yields at field scale.},
}
@article {pmid35260561,
year = {2022},
author = {Senande-Rivera, M and Insua-Costa, D and Miguez-Macho, G},
title = {Spatial and temporal expansion of global wildland fire activity in response to climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {1208},
pmid = {35260561},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {ED481A-2019/112//Xunta de Galicia/ ; },
abstract = {Global warming is expected to alter wildfire potential and fire season severity, but the magnitude and location of change is still unclear. Here, we show that climate largely determines present fire-prone regions and their fire season. We categorize these regions according to the climatic characteristics of their fire season into four classes, within general Boreal, Temperate, Tropical and Arid climate zones. Based on climate model projections, we assess the modification of the fire-prone regions in extent and fire season length at the end of the 21st century. We find that due to global warming, the global area with frequent fire-prone conditions would increase by 29%, mostly in Boreal (+111%) and Temperate (+25%) zones, where there may also be a significant lengthening of the potential fire season. Our estimates of the global expansion of fire-prone areas highlight the large but uneven impact of a warming climate on Earth's environment.},
}
@article {pmid35259989,
year = {2022},
author = {Navarrete, SA and Barahona, M and Weidberg, N and Broitman, BR},
title = {Climate change in the coastal ocean: shifts in pelagic productivity and regionally diverging dynamics of coastal ecosystems.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {289},
number = {1970},
pages = {20212772},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2021.2772},
pmid = {35259989},
issn = {1471-2954},
abstract = {Climate change has led to intensification and poleward migration of the Southeastern Pacific Anticyclone, forcing diverging regions of increasing, equatorward and decreasing, poleward coastal phytoplankton productivity along the Humboldt Upwelling Ecosystem, and a transition zone around 31° S. Using a 20-year dataset of barnacle larval recruitment and adult abundances, we show that striking increases in larval arrival have occurred since 1999 in the region of higher productivity, while slower but significantly negative trends dominate poleward of 30° S, where years of recruitment failure are now common. Rapid increases in benthic adults result from fast recruitment-stock feedbacks following increased recruitment. Slower population declines in the decreased productivity region may result from aging but still reproducing adults that provide temporary insurance against population collapses. Thus, in this region of the ocean where surface waters have been cooling down, climate change is transforming coastal pelagic and benthic ecosystems through altering primary productivity, which seems to propagate up the food web at rates modulated by stock-recruitment feedbacks and storage effects. Slower effects of downward productivity warn us that poleward stocks may be closer to collapse than current abundances may suggest.},
}
@article {pmid35259988,
year = {2022},
author = {Gutiérrez, JS and Moore, JN and Donnelly, JP and Dorador, C and Navedo, JG and Senner, NR},
title = {Climate change and lithium mining influence flamingo abundance in the Lithium Triangle.},
journal = {Proceedings. Biological sciences},
volume = {289},
number = {1970},
pages = {20212388},
doi = {10.1098/rspb.2021.2388},
pmid = {35259988},
issn = {1471-2954},
abstract = {The development of technologies to slow climate change has been identified as a global imperative. Nonetheless, such 'green' technologies can potentially have negative impacts on biodiversity. We explored how climate change and the mining of lithium for green technologies influence surface water availability, primary productivity and the abundance of three threatened and economically important flamingo species in the 'Lithium Triangle' of the Chilean Andes. We combined climate and primary productivity data with remotely sensed measures of surface water levels and a 30-year dataset on flamingo abundance using structural equation modelling. We found that, regionally, flamingo abundance fluctuated dramatically from year-to-year in response to variation in surface water levels and primary productivity but did not exhibit any temporal trends. Locally, in the Salar de Atacama-where lithium mining is focused-we found that mining was negatively correlated with the abundance of two of the three flamingo species. These results suggest continued increases in lithium mining and declines in surface water could soon have dramatic effects on flamingo abundance across their range. Efforts to slow the expansion of mining and the impacts of climate change are, therefore, urgently needed to benefit local biodiversity and the local human economy that depends on it.},
}
@article {pmid35259643,
year = {2022},
author = {Meerhoff, E and Combes, V and Matano, R and Barrier, N and Franco, B and Piola, A and Hernández-Vaca, F and Defeo, O},
title = {Large-scale connectivity of the sandy beach clam Mesodesma mactroides along the Atlantic coast of South America, and climate change implications.},
journal = {Marine environmental research},
volume = {176},
number = {},
pages = {105591},
doi = {10.1016/j.marenvres.2022.105591},
pmid = {35259643},
issn = {1879-0291},
abstract = {The yellow clam Mesodesma mactroides is a cool-water species that typifies sandy beaches of the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (SAO), which embraces one of the strongest ocean warming hotspots. The region is influenced by the Rio de la Plata (RdlP), which represents a zoogeographic barrier that restricts its larval exchange. We investigated yellow clam larval connectivity patterns using an individual based model (IBM). The IBM combined outputs from a 3D hydrodynamic model with a clam submodel that considered salinity- and temperature-dependent mortality for the planktonic larvae. Connectivity across the RdlP estuary occurred only for larvae released in spring during a strong La Niña event. Mortality due to freshwater precluded larval transport across the RdlP, whereas larval mortality induced by warmer waters reduced connectivity, leading to self-recruitment in most areas. Warming acceleration in this hotspot could further restrict larval connectivity between populations in the SAO, with conservation implications for this threatened species.},
}
@article {pmid35257968,
year = {2022},
author = {Buckley, LB},
title = {Temperature-sensitive development shapes insect phenological responses to climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100897},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2022.100897},
pmid = {35257968},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Phenological shifts vary within and among insect species and locations based on exposure and sensitivity to climate change. Shifts in environmental conditions and seasonal constraints along elevation and latitudinal gradients can select for differences in temperature sensitivity that generate differential phenological shifts. I examine the phenological implications of observed variation in developmental traits. Coupling physiological and ecological insight to link the environmental sensitivity of development to phenology and fitness offers promise in understanding variable phenological response to climate change and their community and ecosystem implications. A key challenge in establishing these linkages is extrapolating controlled, laboratory experiments to temporally variable, natural environments. New lab and field experiments that incorporate realistic environmental variation are needed to test the extrapolations. Establishing the linkages can aid understanding and anticipating impacts of climate change on insects.},
}
@article {pmid35257770,
year = {2022},
author = {Jiang, S and Chen, X and Huang, R and Wang, T and Smettem, K},
title = {Effect of the altitudinal climate change on growing season length for deciduous broadleaved forest in southwest China.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154306},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154306},
pmid = {35257770},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The altitudinal changes of plant phenology in response to climate change remain poorly understood in subtropical mountain areas. Using the satellite phenology and climate dataset (temperature, precipitation and solar radiation) from 2001 to 2016 in southwest China, we analyzed the spatiotemporal changes of climate and phenological characteristics of the growing season length (LOS), start of the growing season (SOS) and end of the growing season (EOS) for the deciduous broadleaf forest (DBF). Results show that LOS was shortened by 25 and 15.2 days/km rise in elevation, respectively, using two regression methods based on "Hopkins' bioclimatic law" (expressing LOS as a function of altitude, latitude and longitude) and altitudinal mean annual LOS. The majority of the shortened LOS towards high elevations was attributed to the postponed SOS and the advanced EOS as the elevation is higher and lower than 2.2-2.3 km, respectively. The recent climate warming has significantly prolonged LOS in the entire DBF area. This increase in LOS differs with altitude due to altitudinal heterogeneity of climate change. In the cold high mountain environment, changes of phenological parameters are more sensitive to climate warming, characterized by a significantly advanced SOS, postponed EOS and prolonged LOS driven by spring and autumn warming. In the warm environment of the low elevation areas, changes of phenological parameters are relatively smaller even though the temperature rise is greater than that in the cold high mountains. Furthermore, winter wetting can significantly weaken the advanced SOS and prolonged LOS at lower elevations in the warm south, but winter drying and declining solar radiation in spring can enhance the advanced SOS and prolonged LOS at the extremely high elevations in the cold north. These results highlight the critical need to include altitudinal heterogeneity when assessing phenological changes from remote sensing platforms.},
}
@article {pmid35257754,
year = {2022},
author = {Canatoy, RC and Cho, SR and Ok, YS and Jeong, ST and Kim, PJ},
title = {Critical evaluation of biochar utilization effect on mitigating global warming in whole rice cropping boundary.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154344},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154344},
pmid = {35257754},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Biochar and compost were accepted as a stable organic amendment to increase soil C stock as well as to decrease greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in rice paddy soils. However, in most studies, their effect on GHG flux was evaluated only within the cropping boundary without considering industrial processes. To compare the net effect of these organic amendment utilizations on global warming within the whole rice cropping system boundary from industrial process to cropping, fresh, compost, and biochar manures were applied at a rate of 12 Mg ha-1 (dry weight) in a rice paddy, and total GHG fluxes were evaluated. Compared with fresh manure, compost utilization decreased net global warming potential (GWP) which summated GHG fluxes and soil C stock change with CO2 equivalent by 43% within rice cropping boundary, via a 25% decrease of CH4 flux and 39% increase of soil C stock. However, 34 Mg CO2-eq. of GHGs were additionally emitted during composting to make 12 Mg of compost and then increased the net GWP by 34% within the whole system boundary. In comparison, biochar changed paddy soil into a GHG sink, via 56% decrease of CH4 flux and 13% increase of soil C stock. However, pyrolysis emitted a total of 0.08 and 19 Mg CO2-eq. of GHGs under with and without syngas recycling system, respectively, to make 12 Mg of biochar. As a result, biochar utilization decreased net GWP by approximately 28-70% over fresh manure within the whole system boundary. Rice grain productivity was not discriminated between biochar and compost manures, but compost considerably increased grain yield over fresh manure. Consequently, biochar utilization significantly decreased GHG intensity which indicates net GWP per grain by 33-72% over fresh manure, but compost increased by 22%. In conclusion, biochar could be a sustainable organic amendment to mitigate GHG emission impact in the rice paddy, but compost should be carefully selected.},
}
@article {pmid35257239,
year = {2022},
author = {Mansouri, M and Safavi, HR and Rezaei, F},
title = {An improved MOPSO algorithm for multi-objective optimization of reservoir operation under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {194},
number = {4},
pages = {261},
pmid = {35257239},
issn = {1573-2959},
abstract = {Gradually, the previously proposed water resource management schemes and reservoir operating policies adjusted to the historically experienced climatic conditions are losing their validity and efficacy, urging building up the models compatible with the likely climatic change conditions at the future. This paper aims at optimizing the reservoir operation under climate change conditions targeting the objectives including (1) minimizing the shortages in meeting the reservoir downstream water demands and (2) maximizing the sustainability of the reservoir storage. For evaluating the effects of the climate change, six general circulation models (GCMs) built up under the representative concentration pathway (RCP4.5) emission scenario are adopted and utilized to predict the climate variables over a 30-year planning period. To solve this problem, an improved version of our recently proposed fuzzy multi-objective particle swarm optimization (f-MOPSO) algorithm, named f-MOPSO-II, is proposed. The f-MOPSO takes a novel approach to handle multi-objective nature of the optimization problems. In this approach, the common concept of "diversity" is replaced with "extremity," to choose the better guides of the search agents in the algorithm. The f-MOPSO-II is based on the f-MOPSO. However, it is aimed at simultaneously mitigating the f-MOPSO computational complexity and enhancing the quality of the final results presented by this algorithm. The results obtained by the f-MOPSO-II were then compared with those yielded by the popular non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II (NSGA-II). As the results suggest, the f-MOPSO-II is capable of simultaneously meeting the water demands and holding the reservoir storage sustainable, much better than the NSGA-II.},
}
@article {pmid35257171,
year = {2022},
author = {Iyer, Y and Moorthy, S and Al-Kindi, S and Rajagopalan, S},
title = {Climate change and healthcare organizations: a call to arms.},
journal = {European heart journal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/eurheartj/ehac110},
pmid = {35257171},
issn = {1522-9645},
}
@article {pmid35253906,
year = {2022},
author = {Wood, WW and Macumber, PG},
title = {Altithermal Climate Change and Groundwater Development.},
journal = {Ground water},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gwat.13191},
pmid = {35253906},
issn = {1745-6584},
}
@article {pmid35252617,
year = {2022},
author = {Wouyou, HG and Lokonon, BE and Idohou, R and Zossou-Akete, AG and Assogbadjo, AE and Glèlè Kakaï, R},
title = {Predicting the potential impacts of climate change on the endangered Caesalpinia bonduc (L.) Roxb in Benin (West Africa).},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {8},
number = {3},
pages = {e09022},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e09022},
pmid = {35252617},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Caesalpinia bonduc (L.) Roxb is a medicinal plant with high therapeutic values but declared extinct in the wild in Benin. This study explored the potential distribution and climatic suitability of the species under the present-day and future conditions in Benin, based on two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) at the 2055-time horizon. The occurrence data were recorded in the distribution area of the species in Benin. These data were supplemented with those from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF, www.gbif.org) website and the literature. A total of 23 environmental variables (15 bioclimatic data and 8 biophysical data) were used. The Bioclimatic variables for temperature and humidity were downloaded from Africlim site at 1 km resolution. The biophysical variables concern population, elevation, slope, landcover, wetland, distance to river, soil and distance to dwellings data that are downloaded respectively from DIVA-GIS, ISRIC and SEDAC website at different resolution. A correlation test has been applied to eliminate the highly correlated variables (r ≥ 0.9) using Pearson correlation coefficient. Species distribution modelling data were processed using five algorithms namely Random Forest (RF), Boosted Regression Trees (BRT), Maximum entropy (MAXENT), Generalized Linear Models (GLM) and Generalized Additive Models (GAM). The results showed that all models performed well with the area under the curve (AUC) values greater than 0.9. The RF, GLM, and GAM models predicted an increase in the suitable areas for the cultivation of the species. BRT and MaxEnt showed a substantial decrease in the suitable areas based on the two scenarios but this reduction is more observed with the MaxEnt model. These results show that climate change and human pressures will have significant effects on the distribution of C. bonduc throughout Benin. Sustainable management measures are necessary for C. bonduc and should be integrated in development policies to preserve the population of the species from total extinction in Benin.},
}
@article {pmid35251130,
year = {2022},
author = {Guarino, F and Cicatelli, A and Castiglione, S and Agius, DR and Orhun, GE and Fragkostefanakis, S and Leclercq, J and Dobránszki, J and Kaiserli, E and Lieberman-Lazarovich, M and Sõmera, M and Sarmiento, C and Vettori, C and Paffetti, D and Poma, AMG and Moschou, PN and Gašparović, M and Yousefi, S and Vergata, C and Berger, MMJ and Gallusci, P and Miladinović, D and Martinelli, F},
title = {An Epigenetic Alphabet of Crop Adaptation to Climate Change.},
journal = {Frontiers in genetics},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {818727},
doi = {10.3389/fgene.2022.818727},
pmid = {35251130},
issn = {1664-8021},
abstract = {Crop adaptation to climate change is in a part attributed to epigenetic mechanisms which are related to response to abiotic and biotic stresses. Although recent studies increased our knowledge on the nature of these mechanisms, epigenetics remains under-investigated and still poorly understood in many, especially non-model, plants, Epigenetic modifications are traditionally divided into two main groups, DNA methylation and histone modifications that lead to chromatin remodeling and the regulation of genome functioning. In this review, we outline the most recent and interesting findings on crop epigenetic responses to the environmental cues that are most relevant to climate change. In addition, we discuss a speculative point of view, in which we try to decipher the "epigenetic alphabet" that underlies crop adaptation mechanisms to climate change. The understanding of these mechanisms will pave the way to new strategies to design and implement the next generation of cultivars with a broad range of tolerance/resistance to stresses as well as balanced agronomic traits, with a limited loss of (epi)genetic variability.},
}
@article {pmid35250241,
year = {2022},
author = {Schwartz, SEO and Benoit, L and Clayton, S and Parnes, MF and Swenson, L and Lowe, SR},
title = {Climate change anxiety and mental health: Environmental activism as buffer.},
journal = {Current psychology (New Brunswick, N.J.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-14},
doi = {10.1007/s12144-022-02735-6},
pmid = {35250241},
issn = {1046-1310},
abstract = {A growing body of research has documented the phenomenon of climate change anxiety (CCA), defined broadly as negative cognitive, emotional, and behavioral responses associated with concerns about climate change. A recently validated scale of CCA indicated two subscales: cognitive emotional impairment and functional impairment (Clayton &amp; Karazsia, 2020). However, there are few empirical studies on CCA to date and little evidence regarding whether CCA is associated with psychiatric symptoms, including symptoms of Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) and Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD), and whether engaging in individual and collective action to address climate change could buffer such relationships. This mixed methods study draws on data collected from a sample of emerging adult students (ages 18-35) in the United States (N = 284) to address these gaps. Results indicated that both CCA subscales were significantly associated with GAD symptoms, while only the Functional Impairment subscale was associated with higher MDD symptoms. Moreover, engaging in collective action, but not individual action, significantly attenuated the association between CCA cognitive emotional impairment and MDD symptoms. Responses to open-ended questions asking about participants' worries and actions related to climate change indicated the severity of their worries and, for some, a perception of the insignificance of their actions relative to the enormity of climate change. These results further the field's understanding of CCA, both in general and specifically among emerging adults, and suggest the importance of creating opportunities for collective action to build sense of agency in addressing climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35250125,
year = {2022},
author = {Karam, S and Seidou, O and Nagabhatla, N and Perera, D and Tshimanga, RM},
title = {Assessing the impacts of climate change on climatic extremes in the Congo River Basin.},
journal = {Climatic change},
volume = {170},
number = {3-4},
pages = {40},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-022-03326-x},
pmid = {35250125},
issn = {0165-0009},
abstract = {The Congo River Basin, located in central Africa, is the second-largest river basin in the world, after the Amazon. It has a drainage area of approximately 3.7 M km2 and is home to 75 million people. A significant part of the population is exposed to recurrent floods and droughts, and climate change is likely to worsen these events. Climate change studies of the Congo River basin have so far focused on annual and seasonal precipitation, but little attention was paid to extreme climatic events. This study aims to assess future changes in rainfall-induced flash floods and drought regimes in the Congo basin from the present day to 2100, using four selected extreme climatic indices as proxies to these two natural disasters. The indices are the total annual precipitation (PCPTOT), the number of days where rainfall is above 20 mm (PCP20), the standardized precipitation index (SPI), and the standardized precipitation-evapotranspiration index (SPEI). The indices were calculated with the statistically downscaled output of eleven Regional Climate Models (RCMs) from the Coordinated Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX-AFRICA) under two Representative Concentration Pathways: RCP 8.5 (high emissions scenario) and RCP 4.5 (moderate emissions scenario). Precipitation and temperature simulated by the RCMs were statistically downscaled using quantile mapping, while wind speed, solar radiation, and relative humidity were projected using K-nearest neighbor downscaling. The evolution of the indices was then assessed between the reference period (1976-2005) and three future periods (2011-2040, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100). Multimodel average results suggest that (i) independently of the scenario and period, PCPTOT and SPI will increase in the north, east, and western extremities of the basin and decrease in the basin's center. (ii) The maximum increase (+ 24%) and decrease (- 6%) in PCPTOT were both projected under RCP 8.5 in the 2071-2100 period. (iii) PCP20 will increase independently of the period and scenario. Under RCP 8.5, in the 2071-2100 period, PCP20 will increase by 94% on average over the whole watershed. (iv) The SPEI results suggest that in all periods and scenarios, the rise in evapotranspiration due to higher temperatures will offset annual precipitation increases in the north, east, and western extremities of the basin. Increased evaporation will exacerbate the decrease in annual precipitation in the center, leading to increased drought frequency in the entire basin.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10584-022-03326-x.},
}
@article {pmid35248140,
year = {2022},
author = {Edillo, F and Ymbong, RR and Bolneo, AA and Hernandez, RJ and Fuentes, BL and Cortes, G and Cabrera, J and Lazaro, JE and Sakuntabhai, A},
title = {Temperature, season, and latitude influence development-related phenotypes of Philippine Aedes aegypti (Linnaeus): Implications for dengue control amidst global warming.},
journal = {Parasites &amp; vectors},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {74},
pmid = {35248140},
issn = {1756-3305},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Dengue is endemic in the Philippines. Aedes aegypti is the primary vector. This study aimed to determine the hatching behavior and viability of Ae. aegypti first-generation (F1) eggs when exposed to temperature and photoperiod regimes under laboratory conditions.<br><br>METHODS: Parental eggs were collected from selected highland and lowland sites in the Philippine big islands (Luzon, Visayas, and Mindanao) during the wet (2017-2018) and dry (2018) seasons. F1 egg cohorts were exposed separately in environmental chambers at 18, 25, and 38 °C with respective photoperiods for 6 weeks. Phenotypes (percent pharate larvae [PPL], hatch rates [HRs], and reproductive outputs [ROs]) were determined.<br><br>RESULTS: Results of multivariate analyses of variance (MANOVA) between seasons showed significant main effects of temperature, season, and big island on all phenotypes across all sites. Significant interaction effects between seasons on all phenotypes across sites were shown between or among (1) season and big island, (2) season and temperature, (3) big island and temperature, (4) season, big island, and temperature, (5) big island, altitude, and temperature, and (6) season, big island, altitude, and temperature. Factors associated with the big islands might include their ecology, available breeding sites, and day lengths due to latitudinal differences, although they were not measured in the field. MANOVA results within each season on all phenotypes across sites showed (1) significant main effects of big island and temperature, and (2) significant interaction effects between big island and temperature within the wet season and (3) between temperature and photoperiod within the dry season. PPL were highest at 18 °C and were formed even at 38 °C in both seasons. Pharate larvae might play an adaptive role in global warming, expanded distribution to highlands, and preponderance to transmit human diseases. HRs in both seasons were highest at 25 °C and lowest at 38 °C. ROs were highest at 25 °C in the wet season and at 18 °C in the dry season.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Temperature and latitude of Philippine big islands influenced the development-related phenotypes of Ae. aegypti in both seasons. The two seasons influenced the phenotypes and their interaction effects with big island and/or temperature and/or altitude. Recommendations include year-round enhanced 4S control strategies for mosquito vectors and water pipeline installation in rural highlands.},
}
@article {pmid35247642,
year = {2022},
author = {Van den Berg, J and Greyvenstein, B and du Plessis, H},
title = {Insect resistance management facing African smallholder farmers under climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100894},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2022.100894},
pmid = {35247642},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Changes in climatic conditions affect pest populations and ultimately result in increased pest status and yield losses. While pesticide application is usually the first defensive tool used to control pest species that threaten crop production, genetically modified (GM) crops with insecticidal traits (Bt crops) are becoming more common. The indiscriminate and over use of insecticides, and absence of insect resistance management (IRM) strategies ultimately lead to evolution of resistance against these technologies. IRM faces significant challenges in the African context. In this paper we use examples of cotton, maize, cowpea and tomato pests to illustrate their potential to evolve resistance to insecticides and also highlight the importance of IRM strategies, both with regard to the use of pesticides and the cultivation of Bt cotton, Bt maize and Bt cowpea.},
}
@article {pmid35247463,
year = {2022},
author = {Setoguchi, S and Leddin, D and Metz, G and Omary, MB},
title = {Climate Change, Health, and Healthcare Systems: A Global Perspective.},
journal = {Gastroenterology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1053/j.gastro.2022.02.037},
pmid = {35247463},
issn = {1528-0012},
}
@article {pmid35247401,
year = {2022},
author = {Antala, M and Juszczak, R and van der Tol, C and Rastogi, A},
title = {Impact of climate change-induced alterations in peatland vegetation phenology and composition on carbon balance.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154294},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154294},
pmid = {35247401},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Global climate is changing faster than humankind has ever experienced. Model-based predictions of future climate are becoming more complex and precise, but they still lack crucial information about the reaction of some important ecosystems, such as peatlands. Peatlands belong to one of the largest carbon stores on the Earth. They are mostly distributed in high latitudes, where the temperature rises faster than in the other parts of the planet. Warmer climate and changes in precipitation patterns cause changes in the composition and phenology of peatland vegetation. Peat mosses are becoming less abundant, vascular plants cover is increasing, and the vegetation season and phenophases of vascular plants start sooner. The alterations in vegetation cause changes in the carbon assimilation and release of greenhouse gases. Therefore, this article reviews the impact of climate change-induced alterations in peatland vegetation phenology and composition on future climate and the uncertainties that need to be addressed for more accurate climate prediction.},
}
@article {pmid35247351,
year = {2022},
author = {Pascal, M and Phalkey, R and Rigal, L and Zoonekyndt, A and Mathieu, A and Gillingham, EL and Denys, S and Oliver, I and Chêne, G and Selbie, D},
title = {Public health institutes and the fight against climate change.},
journal = {The Lancet. Public health},
volume = {7},
number = {3},
pages = {e209},
doi = {10.1016/S2468-2667(22)00032-9},
pmid = {35247351},
issn = {2468-2667},
}
@article {pmid35245550,
year = {2022},
author = {Hu, N and Bourdeau, PE and Harlos, C and Liu, Y and Hollander, J},
title = {Meta-analysis reveals variance in tolerance to climate change across marine trophic levels.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154244},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154244},
pmid = {35245550},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Marine ecosystems are currently facing a variety of anthropogenic perturbations, including climate change. Trophic differences in response to climate change may disrupt ecological interactions and thereby threaten marine ecosystem function. Yet, we still do not have a comprehensive understanding of how different trophic levels respond to climate change stressors in marine ecosystems. By including 1278 experiments, comprising 236 different marine species from 18 different phyla in a meta-analysis of studies measuring the direct effect of ocean acidification and ocean warming on marine organisms, we found that higher trophic level species display greater tolerance to ocean acidification but greater sensitivity to warming. In contrast, marine herbivores were the most vulnerable trophic level to both acidification and warming. Such imbalances in the community and a general reduction of biodiversity and biomass in lower trophic levels can significantly disrupt the system and could drive negative bottom-up effects. In conclusion, with ocean acidification and elevated temperatures, there is an alarming risk that trophic disparity may disrupt species interactions, and thereby drive community destabilization under ocean climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35244108,
year = {2022},
author = {Hung, H and Halsall, C and Ball, H and Bidleman, T and Dachs, J and De Silva, A and Hermanson, M and Kallenborn, R and Muir, D and Sühring, R and Wang, X and Wilson, S},
title = {Climate change influence on the levels and trends of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and chemicals of emerging Arctic concern (CEACs) in the Arctic physical environment - a review.},
journal = {Environmental science. Processes &amp; impacts},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1039/d1em00485a},
pmid = {35244108},
issn = {2050-7895},
abstract = {Climate change brings about significant changes in the physical environment in the Arctic. Increasing temperatures, sea ice retreat, slumping permafrost, changing sea ice regimes, glacial loss and changes in precipitation patterns can all affect how contaminants distribute within the Arctic environment and subsequently impact the Arctic ecosystems. In this review, we summarized observed evidence of the influence of climate change on contaminant circulation and transport among various Arctic environment media, including air, ice, snow, permafrost, fresh water and the marine environment. We have also drawn on parallel examples observed in Antarctica and the Tibetan Plateau, to broaden the discussion on how climate change may influence contaminant fate in similar cold-climate ecosystems. Significant knowledge gaps on indirect effects of climate change on contaminants in the Arctic environment, including those of extreme weather events, increase in forests fires, and enhanced human activities leading to new local contaminant emissions, have been identified. Enhanced mobilization of contaminants to marine and freshwater ecosystems has been observed as a result of climate change, but better linkages need to be made between these observed effects with subsequent exposure and accumulation of contaminants in biota. Emerging issues include those of Arctic contamination by microplastics and higher molecular weight halogenated natural products (hHNPs) and the implications of such contamination in a changing Arctic environment is explored.},
}
@article {pmid35243461,
year = {2022},
author = {Qin, RX and Velin, L and Yates, EF and El Omrani, O and McLeod, E and Tudravu, J and Samad, L and Woodward, A and McClain, CD},
title = {Building sustainable and resilient surgical systems: A narrative review of opportunities to integrate climate change into national surgical planning in the Western Pacific region.},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific},
volume = {22},
number = {},
pages = {100407},
doi = {10.1016/j.lanwpc.2022.100407},
pmid = {35243461},
issn = {2666-6065},
abstract = {Five billion people lack access to surgical care worldwide; climate change is the biggest threat to human health in the 21st century. This review studies how climate change could be integrated into national surgical planning in the Western Pacific region. We searched databases (PubMed, Web of Science, and Global Health) for articles on climate change and surgical care. Findings were categorised using the modified World Health Organisation Health System Building Blocks Framework. 220 out of 2577 records were included. Infrastructure: Operating theatres are highly resource-intensive. Their carbon footprint could be reduced by maximising equipment longevity, improving energy efficiency, and renewable energy use. Service delivery Tele-medicine, outreaches, and avoiding desflurane could reduce emissions. Robust surgical systems are required to adapt to the increasing burden of surgically treated diseases, such as injuries from natural disasters. Finance: Climate change adaptation funds could be mobilised for surgical system strengthening. Information systems: Sustainability should be a key performance indicator for surgical systems. Workforce: Surgical providers could change clinical, institutional, and societal practices. Governance: Planning in surgical care and climate change should be aligned. Climate change mitigation is essential in the regional surgical care scale-up; surgical system strengthening is also necessary for adaptation to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35243218,
year = {2022},
author = {Liu, X and Le Roux, X and Salles, JF},
title = {The legacy of microbial inoculants in agroecosystems and potential for tackling climate change challenges.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {25},
number = {3},
pages = {103821},
doi = {10.1016/j.isci.2022.103821},
pmid = {35243218},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Microbial inoculations contribute to reducing agricultural systems' environmental footprint by supporting sustainable production and regulating climate change. However, the indirect and cascading effects of microbial inoculants through the reshaping of soil microbiome are largely overlooked. By discussing the underlying mechanisms of plant- and soil-based microbial inoculants, we suggest that a key challenge in microbial inoculation is to understand their legacy on indigenous microbial communities and the corresponding impacts on agroecosystem functions and services relevant to climate change. We explain how these legacy effects on the soil microbiome can be understood by building on the mechanisms driving microbial invasions and placing inoculation into the context of ecological succession and community assembly. Overall, we advocate that generalizing field trials to systematically test inoculants' effectiveness and developing knowledge anchored in the scientific field of biological/microbial invasion are two essential requirements for applying microbial inoculants in agricultural ecosystems to tackle climate change challenges.},
}
@article {pmid35243064,
year = {2022},
author = {Jiménez-U, M and Peña, LE and López, J},
title = {Non-stationary analysis for road drainage design under land-use and climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {8},
number = {2},
pages = {e08942},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e08942},
pmid = {35243064},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Frequency analysis has been the most widely used tool worldwide to dimension water-related infrastructures and evaluate flood risks. The concept of stationarity has been a common and practical hypothesis in hydrology for many years. However, in recent decades due to climate change pressure and changes in land use, it has been related to the presence of time-series trends that in hydrology indicate non-stationary effects. In this sense, the need to comprehensively address non-stationary frequency analysis has been identified. This study proposes to incorporate the non-stationary flood frequency analysis into the dimensioning process of road structures with the following objectives: i) evaluate the effect of land use on peak flow in a simulated period of 129 years, ii) evaluate covariates related to land use, and iii) evaluate covariates related to climate change. To this end, road drainage simulation exercises were carried out in three sections of the Ibagué-Cajamarca road located in Colombia. Likewise, the Generalized Additive Models for Location, Scale and Shape was implemented for the non-stationary analysis, and covariates related to climate variability were included, such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation indices (ONI12, ONI3.4, MEI, and SOI), and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) index, as well as some related to the evolution of land use such as hydraulic conductivity, soil water storage in the root zone, and infiltration capacity represented in the curve number. The results indicate that the non-stationary analysis improves the prediction of maximum flows, and it is possible to obtain road drainage dimensioning that adjusts to climate and land-use variations.},
}
@article {pmid35240569,
year = {2022},
author = {Nassary, EK and Msomba, BH and Masele, WE and Ndaki, PM and Kahangwa, CA},
title = {Exploring urban green packages as part of Nature-based Solutions for climate change adaptation measures in rapidly growing cities of the Global South.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {310},
number = {},
pages = {114786},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2022.114786},
pmid = {35240569},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Given a lot of elusive information on the use and implementation of Nature-based Solutions (NbS) in the Global South, this review provides a synthesis of the evidence on the: - (1) distribution of urban green technologies in form of arboriculture and urban agriculture as a part of NbS packages for the sustainability of cities against population growth and impact of climate change; and (2) options of integrating and mainstreaming various NbS packages into city development policies, planning processes, and decision-making agendas. The sustainability of urban green as part of NbS packages and the usefulness for improvement of livelihoods is determined by the spatial (geographical location) and temporal (time of action) scales, and socio-ecological and institutional factors. Various NbS packages have shown the ability for use as climate change adaptation measures throughout the world. These functions include protection from soil erosion, protection from inland flooding, buffering natural resources against drier and more variable climates, protection from coastal hazards and sea-level rise, moderation of urban heatwaves and effects of heat island, and managing storm-water and flooding in urban areas. Furthermore, the benefits of urban agriculture and arboriculture include use as sources of food and generation of income; improve recreation and social interactions, and the sustainability of biodiversity. They also mitigate the impact of environmental pollution and climate change through reduction of gas emissions and act as carbon sinks. While the starting capital and lack of policy on urban agriculture and arboriculture in many countries, the importance of the industry is inevitably a useful agenda especially in the Global South due to vulnerability to the impact of climate change. This review also suggests the inclusion of all institutions, governments, and relevant stakeholders to emphasize gender sensitization at all levels of planning and decision-making in food production and adaptation measures to climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35240333,
year = {2022},
author = {Schneider, L and Rebetez, M and Rasmann, S},
title = {The effect of climate change on invasive crop pests across biomes.},
journal = {Current opinion in insect science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100895},
doi = {10.1016/j.cois.2022.100895},
pmid = {35240333},
issn = {2214-5753},
abstract = {Climate change has various and complex effects on crop pests worldwide. In this review, we detail the role of the main climatic parameters related to temperature and precipitation changes that might have direct or indirect impacts on pest species. Changes in these parameters are likely to favour or to limit pest species, depending on their ecological context. On a global scale, crop pests are expected to benefit from current and future climate change. However, substantial differences appear across biomes and species. Temperate regions are generally more likely to face an increase in pest attacks compared with tropical regions. Therefore, climate change effects should be studied in the context of local climate and local ecological interactions across biomes.},
}
@article {pmid35240175,
year = {2022},
author = {Liu, L and Lei, Y and Zhuang, M and Ding, S},
title = {The impact of climate change on urban resilience in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154157},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154157},
pmid = {35240175},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The increasing uncertainty related to disaster risk under climate change brings about new challenges for sustainable urban management. The emergence of the urban resilience concept can improve the ability and extent to which cities can absorb and resolve risks, providing insight into the sustainable development of cities and regions. Yet, to date, the impact of climate change on regional urban resilience is not well understood. This paper measures the changes in urban resilience of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region from 1998 to 2019, and then explores the contribution of climate influencing factors such as temperature, precipitation and wind speed to urban resilience using econometric models. Results demonstrate the following: (1) Urban resilience shows a large spatial heterogeneity in the BTH region. Overall, Beijing and Tianjin have better and more stable resilience than Hebei Province. (2) Regarding the static impact of climate change on urban resilience, a 1 unit increase in Ln temperature and Ln precipitation will respectively increase Ln resilience by 1.01 units and 0.54 units, indicating that it has a significant positive impact on urban resilience. Each 1 unit increase in Ln wind speed will decrease resilience by 1.65 units, representing a significant negative effect. (3) Regarding the dynamic impact of climate change on urban resilience, a positive 1 unit impact of climatic factors indicates that an increase in temperature will first increase and then decrease urban resilience, and an increase in precipitation and wind speed will initially support improvement in urban resilience. Based on these findings, this article offers policy recommendations to improve urban resilience.},
}
@article {pmid35238906,
year = {2022},
author = {D'Alò, F and Baldrian, P and Odriozola, I and Morais, D and Větrovský, T and Zucconi, L and Ripa, C and Cannone, N and Malfasi, F and Onofri, S},
title = {Composition and functioning of the soil microbiome in the highest altitudes of the Italian Alps and potential effects of climate change.},
journal = {FEMS microbiology ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/femsec/fiac025},
pmid = {35238906},
issn = {1574-6941},
abstract = {As the European Alps are experiencing a strong climate warming; this study analyzed the soil microbiome at different altitudes and among different vegetation types at the Stelvio Pass (Italian Alps), aiming to i) characterize the composition and functional potential of the microbiome of soils and their gene expression during the peak vegetative stage; ii) explore the potential short-term (using open top chambers) and long-term (space-for-time substitutions) effects of increasing temperature on the alpine soil microbiome. We found that the functional potential of the soil microbiome and its expression differed among vegetation types. Microbial α-diversity increased along the altitudinal gradient. At lower altitude, shrubland had the highest proportion of fungi, which was correlated with higher amounts of CAZymes, specific for degrading fungal biomass and recalcitrant plant biopolymers. Subalpine upward vegetation shift could lead a possible loss of species of alpine soils. Shrub encroachment may accelerate higher recalcitrant C decomposition and reduce total ecosystem C storage, increasing the efflux of CO2 to the atmosphere with a positive feedback to warming. Five years of warming had no effect on the composition and functioning of microbial communities, indicating that longer-term warming experiments are needed to investigate the effects of temperature increases on the soil microbiome.},
}
@article {pmid35238138,
year = {2022},
author = {Petrik, P and Petek-Petrik, A and Kurjak, D and Mukarram, M and Klein, T and Gömöry, D and Střelcová, K and Frýdl, J and Konôpková, A},
title = {Interannual adjustments in stomatal and leaf morphological traits of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.) demonstrate its climate change acclimation potential.},
journal = {Plant biology (Stuttgart, Germany)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/plb.13401},
pmid = {35238138},
issn = {1438-8677},
support = {VEGA 1/0535/20//Agentúra Ministerstva školstva, vedy, výskumu a športu SR/ ; APVV-18-0390//Agentúra na Podporu Výskumu a Vývoja/ ; MZE-RO0118//Národní Agentura pro Zemědělsk Vzkum/ ; LM2018123//Ministerstvo Školství, Mládeže a Tělovýchovy/ ; },
abstract = {The current projections of climate change might exceed the ability of European forest trees to adapt to upcoming environmental conditions. However, stomatal and leaf morphological traits could greatly influence the acclimation potential of forest tree species subjected to global warming, including the single most important forestry species in Europe, European beech. We analysed stomatal (guard cell length, stomatal density and potential conductance index) and leaf (leaf area, leaf dry weight and leaf mass per area) morphological traits of ten provenances from two provenance trials with contrasting climates between 2016 and 2020. The impact of meteorological conditions of the current and preceding year on stomatal and leaf traits was tested by linear and quadratic regressions. Ecodistance was used to capture the impact of adaptation after the transfer of provenances to new environments. Interactions of trial-provenance and trial-year factors were significant for all measured traits. Guard cell length was lowest and stomatal density was highest across beech provenances in the driest year, 2018. Adaptation was also reflected in a significant relationship between aridity ecodistance and measured traits. Moreover, the meteorological conditions of the preceding year affected the interannual variability of stomatal and leaf traits more than the meteorological conditions of the spring of the current year, suggesting the existence of plant stress memory. High intraspecific variability of stomatal and leaf traits controlled by the interaction of adaptation, acclimation and plant memory suggests a high acclimation potential of European beech provenances under future conditions of global climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35237548,
year = {2022},
author = {Spencer, S and Samateh, T and Wabnitz, K and Mayhew, S and Allen, H and Bonell, A},
title = {The Challenges of Working in the Heat Whilst Pregnant: Insights From Gambian Women Farmers in the Face of Climate Change.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {785254},
pmid = {35237548},
issn = {2296-2565},
abstract = {Background: The expected increase in heat in The Gambia is one of the most significant health threats caused by climate change. However, little is known about the gendered dynamics of exposure and response to heat stress, including women's perceived health risks, their adaptation strategies to heat, and their perceptions of climate change. This research project aims to answer the question of whether and how pregnant farmers in The Gambia perceive and act upon occupational heat stress and its health impacts on both themselves and their unborn children, against the backdrop of current and expected climatic changes.<br><br>Method: In-depth semi-structured interviews were conducted with 12 women who practice subsistence farming and were either pregnant or had delivered within the past month in West Kiang, The Gambia. Participants were selected using purposive sampling. Translated interview transcripts were coded and qualitative thematic content analysis with an intersectional lens was used to arrive at the results.<br><br>Results: All women who participated in the study experience significant heat stress while working outdoors during pregnancy, with symptoms often including headache, dizziness, nausea, and chills. The most common adaptive techniques included resting in the shade while working, completing their work in multiple shorter time increments, taking medicine to reduce symptoms like headache, using water to cool down, and reducing the amount of area they cultivate. Layered identities, experiences, and household power structures related to age, migration, marital situation, socioeconomic status, and supportive social relationships shaped the extent to which women were able to prevent and reduce the effects of heat exposure during their work whilst pregnant. Women who participated in this study demonstrated high awareness of climate change and offered important insights into potential values, priorities, and mechanisms to enable effective adaptation.<br><br>Conclusion: Our findings reveal many intersecting social and economic factors that shape the space within which women can make decisions and take adaptive action to reduce the impact of heat during their pregnancy. To improve the health of pregnant working women exposed to heat, these intersectionalities must be considered when supporting women to adapt their working practices and cope with heat stress.},
}
@article {pmid35235849,
year = {2022},
author = {Ilarri, M and Souza, AT and Dias, E and Antunes, C},
title = {Influence of climate change and extreme weather events on an estuarine fish community.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154190},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154190},
pmid = {35235849},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent as a result of climate change, and the increasing frequency of these events may lead to significant changes in fish assemblages. In this sense, this work aimed to study the effects of climate change and extreme weather events on fish assemblages in the Rio Minho estuary (Portugal). Between 2010 and 2019, continuous weekly sampling with fyke nets was carried out to assess the dynamics of fish assemblages in the estuary. In addition, temperature and precipitation data were obtained from satellite information to assess the relationship between climatic variables and fish composition, structure, and diversity. Fish populations changed significantly over time, becoming less diverse and largely dominated by a few, mostly invasive species (e.g., carp, goldfish, pumpkinseed, and tench), while the abundance of most native species declined over the years (e.g., panjorca, stickleback, and shad). High temperatures and low precipitation negatively affected native species, while the invasive species benefited from increased temperatures and extreme weather events (droughts and floods).},
}
@article {pmid35235190,
year = {2022},
author = {Seritan, AL and Hasser, C and Burke, MG and Bussmann, GL and Charlesworth, A and Cooper, R and Fortuna, LR and Herbst, ED and Jayaratne, A and Richards, A and Stuart, BK and Epel, E},
title = {The Climate Change and Mental Health Task Force: One Academic Psychiatry Department's Efforts to Heed the Call to Action.},
journal = {Academic psychiatry : the journal of the American Association of Directors of Psychiatric Residency Training and the Association for Academic Psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35235190},
issn = {1545-7230},
support = {N/a//University of California, San Francisco/ ; },
}
@article {pmid35235036,
year = {2022},
author = {Iwanycki Ahlstrand, N and Primack, RB and Tøttrup, AP},
title = {A comparison of herbarium and citizen science phenology datasets for detecting response of flowering time to climate change in Denmark.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35235036},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Phenology has emerged as a key metric to measure how species respond to changes in climate. Innovative means have been developed to extend the temporal and spatial range of phenological data by obtaining data from herbarium specimens, citizen science programs, and biodiversity data repositories. These different data types have seldom been compared for their effectiveness in detecting environmental impacts on phenology. To address this, we compare three separate phenology datasets from Denmark: (i) herbarium specimen data spanning 145 years, (ii) data collected from a citizen science phenology program over a single year observing first flowering, and (iii) data derived from incidental biodiversity observations in iNaturalist over a single year. Each dataset includes flowering day of year observed for three common spring-flowering plant species: Allium ursinum (ramsons), Aesculus hippocastanum (horse chestnut), and Sambucus nigra (black elderberry). The incidental iNaturalist dataset provided the most extensive geographic coverage across Denmark and the largest sample size and recorded peak flowering in a way comparable to herbarium specimens. The directed citizen science dataset recorded much earlier flowering dates because the program objective was to report the first flowering, and so was less compared to the other two datasets. Herbarium data demonstrated the strongest effect of spring temperature on flowering in Denmark, possibly because it was the only dataset measuring temporal variation in phenology, while the other datasets measured spatial variation. Herbarium data predicted the mean flowering day of year recorded in our iNaturalist dataset for all three species. Combining herbarium data with iNaturalist data provides an even more effective method for detecting climatic effects on phenology. Phenology observations from directed and incidental citizen science initiatives will increase in value for climate change research in the coming years with the addition of data capturing the inter-annual variation in phenology.},
}
@article {pmid35232726,
year = {2022},
author = {Dyer, O},
title = {Climate change is outpacing efforts to adapt, warns intergovernmental panel.},
journal = {BMJ (Clinical research ed.)},
volume = {376},
number = {},
pages = {o541},
doi = {10.1136/bmj.o541},
pmid = {35232726},
issn = {1756-1833},
}
@article {pmid35231416,
year = {2022},
author = {Malhi, Y and Lander, T and le Roux, E and Stevens, N and Macias-Fauria, M and Wedding, L and Girardin, C and Kristensen, JÅ and Sandom, CJ and Evans, TD and Svenning, JC and Canney, S},
title = {The role of large wild animals in climate change mitigation and adaptation.},
journal = {Current biology : CB},
volume = {32},
number = {4},
pages = {R181-R196},
doi = {10.1016/j.cub.2022.01.041},
pmid = {35231416},
issn = {1879-0445},
abstract = {Two major environmental challenges of our time are responding to climate change and reversing biodiversity decline. Interventions that simultaneously tackle both challenges are highly desirable. To date, most studies aiming to find synergistic interventions for these two challenges have focused on protecting or restoring vegetation and soils but overlooked how conservation or restoration of large wild animals might influence the climate mitigation and adaptation potential of ecosystems. However, interactions between large animal conservation and climate change goals may not always be positive. Here, we review wildlife conservation and climate change mitigation in terrestrial and marine ecosystems. We elucidate general principles about the biome types where, and mechanisms by which, positive synergies and negative trade-offs between wildlife conservation and climate change mitigation are likely. We find that large animals have the greatest potential to facilitate climate change mitigation at a global scale via three mechanisms: changes in fire regime, especially in previously low-flammability biomes with a new or intensifying fire regime, such as mesic grasslands or warm temperate woodlands; changes in terrestrial albedo, particularly where there is potential to shift from closed canopy to open canopy systems at higher latitudes; and increases in vegetation and soil carbon stocks, especially through a shift towards below-ground carbon pools in temperate, tropical and sub-tropical grassland ecosystems. Large animals also contribute to ecosystem adaptation to climate change by promoting complexity of trophic webs, increasing habitat heterogeneity, enhancing plant dispersal, increasing resistance to abrupt ecosystem change and through microclimate modification.},
}
@article {pmid35231182,
year = {2022},
author = {Hartmann, H and Bastos, A and Das, AJ and Esquivel-Muelbert, A and Hammond, WM and Martínez-Vilalta, J and McDowell, NG and Powers, JS and Pugh, TAM and Ruthrof, KX and Allen, CD},
title = {Climate Change Risks to Global Forest Health: Emergence of Unexpected Events of Elevated Tree Mortality Worldwide.},
journal = {Annual review of plant biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1146/annurev-arplant-102820-012804},
pmid = {35231182},
issn = {1545-2123},
abstract = {Recent observations of elevated tree mortality following climate extremes, like heat and drought, raise concerns about climate change risks to global forest health. We currently lack both sufficient data and understanding to identify whether these observations represent a global trend toward increasing tree mortality. Here, we document events of sudden and unexpected elevated tree mortality following heat and drought events in ecosystems that previously were considered tolerant or not at risk of exposure. These events underscore the fact that climate change may affect forests with unexpected force in the future. We use the events as examples to highlight current difficulties and challenges for realistically predicting such tree mortality events and the uncertainties about future forest condition. Advances in remote sensing technology and greater availably of high-resolution data, from both field assessments and from satellites, are needed to improve both understanding and prediction of forest responses to future climate change. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Plant Biology, Volume 73 is May 2022. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.},
}
@article {pmid35229519,
year = {2022},
author = {He, P and Bi, RT and Xu, LS and Wang, JS and Cao, CB},
title = {[Using geographical detection to analyze responses of vegetation growth to climate change in the Loess Pla-teau, China].},
journal = {Ying yong sheng tai xue bao = The journal of applied ecology},
volume = {33},
number = {2},
pages = {448-456},
doi = {10.13287/j.1001-9332.202202.012},
pmid = {35229519},
issn = {1001-9332},
mesh = {China ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; Meteorological Concepts ; Seasons ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {In order to explore the responses of different vegetation types to climatic change in the Chinese Loess Plateau (CLP), we analzyed the changes of different vegetation types and their relationships with meteorological factors using trend analysis, Hurst index, and geographical detector model based on normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). The results showed that NDVI of different vegetation types from 2002 to 2019 was dominated by a growing trend and codirectional moderate persistence. The NDVI of crops in the built-up and adjacent areas decreased significantly. Except for grassland or meadow that was affected by mixed pixels, the spatial variation of NDVI was significant in the growing season (from April to October). The mean NDVI of different vegetation types followed an oder: coniferous forest > broadleaved forest > scrub > meadow > grassland > crop > steppe > desert. The interactions between meteorological factors were synergistic and non-linear enhancement in the CLP. Moreover, the interaction was more prominent under steppe and desert where habitat was fragile. The synergistic effect of precipitation and temperature had a great influence on all vegetation types. Water vapor, relative humidity, sunshine duration, atmospheric pressure, and wind speed had different explanatory powers on NDVI through indirectly affec-ting hydrothermal conditions.},
}
@article {pmid35228735,
year = {2022},
author = {Tollefson, J},
title = {Climate change is hitting the planet faster than scientists originally thought.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-00585-7},
pmid = {35228735},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35228708,
year = {2022},
author = {Brisbois, MC},
title = {Climate change won't wait for future innovation - we need action now.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {603},
number = {7899},
pages = {9},
doi = {10.1038/d41586-022-00560-2},
pmid = {35228708},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
@article {pmid35228626,
year = {2022},
author = {Adhikari, P and Kim, BJ and Hong, SH and Lee, DH},
title = {Climate change induced habitat expansion of nutria (Myocastor coypus) in South Korea.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {3300},
pmid = {35228626},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {2020002990009//Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute/ ; 2020002990009//Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute/ ; 2020002990009//Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute/ ; 2020002990009//Korea Environmental Industry and Technology Institute/ ; },
abstract = {The nutria, (Myocastor coypus), is a semiaquatic rodent native to the subtropical and temperate regions of South America. The species was introduced to South Korea for meat and fur production purposes and a wild population has become established. The species subsequently invaded aquatic ecosystems and destroyed aquatic vegetation and cultivated crops. Thus, it is essential to understand their current distribution and future range expansion for effective control and eradication strategies to reduce the risk of colonization into new regions. In this study, we used niche modeling procedure to identify potentially suitable habitats for M. coypus under current and future predicted climate change using the maximum entropy algorithm. We found that the main habitat area of M. coypus is expected to expand under a warming climate from ~ 4069 km2 in the southern and southeastern regions of South Korea, to the northern border of the country, with estimated ranges of 21,744 km2, 55,859 km2, and 64,937 km2 by 2030, 2050, and 2070, respectively. The findings of the present study assist in identifying the future distribution and potential dispersion routes of M. coypus in South Korea, which is important for informing the government regarding essential management actions plans at regional and local scales.},
}
@article {pmid35226784,
year = {2022},
author = {Nadeau, CP and Giacomazzo, A and Urban, MC},
title = {Cool Microrefugia Accumulate and Conserve Biodiversity Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16143},
pmid = {35226784},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {A major challenge in climate change biology is to explain why the impacts of climate change vary around the globe. Microclimates could explain some of this variation, but climate change biologists often overlook microclimates because they are difficult to map. Here, we map microclimates in a freshwater rock pool ecosystem and evaluate how accounting for microclimates alters predictions of climate change impacts on aquatic invertebrates. We demonstrate that average maximum temperature during the growing season can differ by 9.9 - 11.6°C among microclimates less than a meter apart and this microclimate variation might increase by 21% in the future if deeper pools warm less than shallower pools. Accounting for this microclimate variation significantly alters predictions of climate change impacts on aquatic invertebrates. Predictions that exclude microclimates predict low future occupancy (0.08 - 0.32) and persistence probability (2 - 73%) for cold-adapted taxa, and therefore predict decreases in gamma richness and a substantial shift towards warm-adapted taxa in local communities (i.e., thermophilization). However, predictions incorporating microclimates suggest cool locations will remain suitable for cold-adapted taxa in the future, no change in gamma richness, and 825% less thermophilization. Our models also suggest that cool locations will become suitable for warm-adapted taxa and will therefore accumulate biodiversity in the future, which makes cool locations essential for biodiversity conservation. Simulated protection of the 10 coolest microclimates (9% of locations on the landscape) results in a 100% chance of conserving all focal taxa in the future. In contrast, protecting the 10 currently most biodiverse locations, a commonly employed conservation strategy, results in a 3% chance of conserving all focal taxa in the future. Our study suggests that we must account for microclimates if we hope to understand the future impacts of climate change and design effective conservation strategies to limit biodiversity loss.},
}
@article {pmid35226225,
year = {2022},
author = {Sandoval-Martínez, J and Flores-Cano, JA and Badano, EI},
title = {Recruitment of pioneer trees with physically dormant seeds under climate change: the case of Vachellia pennatula (Fabaceae) in semiarid environments of Mexico.},
journal = {Journal of plant research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35226225},
issn = {1618-0860},
support = {FORDECYT 297525//Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología de México/ ; },
abstract = {Most tree species native to arid and semiarid ecosystems produce seeds with physical dormancy, which have impermeable coats that protect them from desiccation and prevent germination when the environmental conditions are unfavorable for seedling establishment. This dormancy mechanism may confer some degree of tolerance to seeds facing warmer and drier conditions, as those expected in several regions of the world because of climate change. Scarification of these seeds (removal of protective coats) is required for stimulating germination and seedling development. However, as scarification exposes seeds to the external environmental conditions, it can promote desiccation and viability loss in the future. To test these hypotheses, we performed field experiments and sowed scarified and unscarified seeds of a pioneer tree native to semiarid ecosystems of Mesoamerica (Vachellia pennatula) under the current climate and simulated climate change conditions. The experiments were conducted at abandoned fields using open-top chambers to increase temperature and rainout shelters to reduce rainfall. We measured microenvironmental conditions within the experimental plots and monitored seedling emergence and survival during a year. Air temperature and rainfall in climate change simulations approached the values expected for the period 2041-2080. Seedling emergence rates under these climatic conditions were lower than under the current climate. Nevertheless, emergence rates in climate change simulations were even lower for scarified than for unscarified seeds, while the converse occurred under the current climate. On the other hand, although survival rates in climate change simulations were lower than under the current climate, no effects of the scarification treatment were found. In this way, our study suggests that climate change will impair the recruitment of pioneer trees in semiarid environments, even if they produce seeds with physical dormancy, but also indicates that these negative effects will be stronger if seeds are scarified.},
}
@article {pmid35224532,
year = {2022},
author = {Kulcar, V and Siller, H and Juen, B},
title = {Discovering emotional patterns for climate change and for the COVID-19 pandemic in university students.},
journal = {The journal of climate change and health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {100125},
doi = {10.1016/j.joclim.2022.100125},
pmid = {35224532},
issn = {2667-2782},
abstract = {The global crises of climate change and of the COVID-19 pandemic are straining young peoples' mental health and their mitigation behaviours. We surveyed German-speaking university students aged 18 to 30 years on their negative emotions regarding both crises repeatedly before and during the COVID-19 crisis. Different emotional patterns emerged for climate change and for COVID-19 with negative emotions regarding COVID-19 increasing during the pandemic. We were further able to differentiate between emotional responses associated with impaired wellbeing and those associated with mitigation efforts. Our findings emphasise the need to focus on a mixture of highly inactivating and activating emotions regarding COVID-19 as they are associated with both reduced wellbeing and mitigation behaviours. The findings broaden the understanding of how young adults react to the burden of two global crises and what role negative emotions play.},
}
@article {pmid35223359,
year = {2022},
author = {Chanza, N and Musakwa, W},
title = {Indigenous local observations and experiences can give useful indicators of climate change in data-deficient regions.},
journal = {Journal of environmental studies and sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-13},
doi = {10.1007/s13412-022-00757-x},
pmid = {35223359},
issn = {2190-6483},
abstract = {This study demonstrates that Indigenous local observations and experiences can enrich knowledge of climate change, particularly in data-deficient regions that are not adequately covered by weather stations. Paradoxically, these places host groups of Indigenous Peoples who have rich knowledge about their local climates from their many years of constant interactions with the environment. The study used group-based semi-structured interviews to collaborate with keystone elderly participants who had profound knowledge and lived experiences about observed changes in their local environment (n = 13). These participants were identified through theoretical sampling from four remote Indigenous villages of Mbire District in Zimbabwe. The purpose of the study was to identify indicators of climate change impacts from communities believed not to have been much influenced by the scientific construct of climate change. Results revealed that the locals have a keen interest to closely observe changes occurring in their environment, including finer accounts of experiences with climatic events, owing to their predominantly climate-sensitive livelihoods. These results corroborate existing evidence about a warmer and drier climate and the reported increase in the frequency and severity of drought as well as floods in the area, and add finer details to the changes in ecological, hydrological and human systems, which are not sufficiently reported in existing climate impact studies. We also flagged new observations in biological systems as pointers for further intensive investigation. Given the complexity associated with understanding impacts of climate change and the urgent need to refine knowledge about the same, we argued for perforation of the boundaries of climate science to accommodate enriching perceptions of Indigenous communities who have been religiously observing changes happening in their local environment, albeit being relegated.},
}
@article {pmid35222979,
year = {2022},
author = {Zhao, Q and Mi, ZY and Lu, C and Zhang, XF and Chen, LJ and Wang, SQ and Niu, JF and Wang, ZZ},
title = {Predicting potential distribution of Ziziphus spinosa (Bunge) H.H. Hu ex F.H. Chen in China under climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {12},
number = {2},
pages = {e8629},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.8629},
pmid = {35222979},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Ziziphus spinosa (Bunge) H.H. Hu ex F.H. Chen is a woody plant species of the family Rhamnaceae (order Rhamnales) that possesses high nutritional and medicinal value. Predicting the effects of climate change on the distribution of Z. spinosa is of great significance for the investigation, protection, and exploitation of this germplasm resource. For this study, optimized maximum entropy models were employed to predict the distribution patterns and changes of its present (1970-2000) and future (2050s, 2070s, and 2090s) potential suitable regions in China under multiple climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0 &amp; SSP5-8.5). The results revealed that the total area of the present potential suitable region for Z. spinosa is 162.60 × 104 km2, which accounts for 16.94% of China's territory. Within this area, the regions having low, medium, and high suitability were 80.14 × 104 km2, 81.50 × 104 km2, and 0.96 × 104 km2, respectively, with the high suitability regions being distributed primarily in Shanxi, Hebei, and Beijing Provinces. Except for SSP-1-2.6-2070s, SSP-5-8.5-2070s, and SSP-5-8.5-2090s, the suitable areas for Z. spinosa in the future increased to different degrees. Meanwhile, considering the distribution of Z. spinosa during different periods and under different climate scenarios, our study predicted that the low impact areas of Z. spinosa were mainly restricted to Shanxi, Shaanxi, Ningxia, Gansu, Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, and Jilin Provinces. The results of core distributional shifts showed that, except for SSP1-2.6, the center of the potential suitable region of Z. spinosa exhibited a trend of gradually shifting to the northwest.},
}
@article {pmid35220772,
year = {2022},
author = {Surkovic, E and Vigar, D},
title = {Scientific advice for policymakers on climate change: the role of evidence synthesis.},
journal = {Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences},
volume = {380},
number = {2221},
pages = {20210147},
doi = {10.1098/rsta.2021.0147},
pmid = {35220772},
issn = {1471-2962},
abstract = {Science has a role to play in providing the evidence on both climate change and the solutions to it. In this paper, we look at the nature of expert advice to public policymakers and examine one approach to the synthesis of scientific evidence. We focus on a series of briefings for policymakers that summarize evidence from 12 areas of science and technology which are keys to accelerating progress towards net zero greenhouse gas emissions and resilience to climate change. This article is part of the theme issue 'Developing resilient energy systems'.},
}
@article {pmid35219671,
year = {2022},
author = {Moradian, S and Akbari, M and Iglesias, G},
title = {Optimized hybrid ensemble technique for CMIP6 wind data projections under different climate-change scenarios. Case study: United Kingdom.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154124},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154124},
pmid = {35219671},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Wind energy resources will be impacted by climate change. A novel hybrid ensemble technique is presented to improve long-term wind speed projections using Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) data from global climate models. The technique constructs an optimized system, which relies on a Genetic Algorithm and an Enhanced Colliding Bodies Optimization technique. Next, the performance of the proposed method over a target area (United Kingdom) is evaluated between 1950 and 2014. Finally, to avoid single-valued deterministic projections and mitigate the uncertainties, the improved wind speed data series are investigated considering different climate-change scenarios - the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) - for the period 2015-2050. The performance of different CMIP6 models is found to differ over time and space. In the target area the data derived from the Hybrid model confirm that extreme wind events will occur more frequently. The monthly mean wind speed is expected to increase from 3.41 m/s during 1950-2014 to 3.60, 3.63, 3.48, 3.59 and 3.61 m/s during the study period in the SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-6.0 and SSP5-8.5 climate-change scenarios, respectively. More generally, the results prove that the Hybrid model is highly effective in improving the accuracy, direction and geographical patterns of the data, and this novel method can narrow the potential uncertainties of numerical simulations.},
}
@article {pmid35219665,
year = {2022},
author = {Benito, X and Benito, B and Vélez, MI and Salgado, J and Schneider, T and Giosan, L and Nascimiento, M},
title = {Human practices behind the aquatic and terrestrial ecological decoupling to climate change in the tropical Andes.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154115},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154115},
pmid = {35219665},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change and landscape alteration are two of the most important threats to the terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems of the tropical Americas, thus jeopardizing water and soil resources for millions of people in the Andean nations. Understanding how aquatic ecosystems will respond to anthropogenic stressors and accelerated warming requires shifting from short-term and static to long-term, dynamic characterizations of human-terrestrial-aquatic relationships. Here we use sediment records from Lake Llaviucu, a tropical mountain Andean lake long accessed by Indigenous and post-European societies, and hypothesize that under natural historical conditions (i.e., low human pressure) vegetation and aquatic ecosystems' responses to change are coupled through indirect climate influences-that is, past climate-driven vegetation changes dictated limnological trajectories. We used a multi-proxy paleoecological approach including drivers of terrestrial vegetation change (pollen), soil erosion (Titanium), human activity (agropastoralism indicators), and aquatic responses (diatoms) to estimate assemblage-wide rates of change and model their synchronous and asynchronous (lagged) relationships using Generalized Additive Models. Assemblage-wide rate of change results showed that between ca. 3000 and 400 cal years BP terrestrial vegetation, agropastoralism and diatoms fluctuated along their mean regimes of rate of change without consistent periods of synchronous rapid change. In contrast, positive lagged relationships (i.e., asynchrony) between climate-driven terrestrial pollen changes and diatom responses (i.e., asynchrony) were in operation until ca. 750 cal years BP. Thereafter, positive lagged relationships between agropastoralism and diatom rates of changes dictated the lake trajectory, reflecting the primary control of human practices over the aquatic ecosystem prior European occupation. We interpret that shifts in Indigenous practices (e.g., valley terracing) curtailed nutrient inputs into the lake decoupling the links between climate-driven vegetation changes and the aquatic community. Our results demonstrate how rates of change of anthropogenic and climatic influences can guide dynamic ecological baselines for managing water ecosystem services in the Andes.},
}
@article {pmid35219662,
year = {2022},
author = {Virta, L and Teittinen, A},
title = {Threshold effects of climate change on benthic diatom communities: Evaluating impacts of salinity and wind disturbance on functional traits and benthic biomass.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {154130},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154130},
pmid = {35219662},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {The responses of biotic communities and ecosystems to climate change may be abrupt and non-linear. Thus, resolving ecological threshold mechanisms is crucial for understanding the consequences of climate change and for improving environmental management. Here, we present a study on the threshold responses of benthic diatom communities that are an important component of all aquatic environments and strongly contribute to global primary production. We reach beyond the taxonomic perspective by focusing on the diversity and functions of diatom communities and benthic biomass along gradients of salinity and wind disturbance, whose climate-change-induced changes have been predicted to strongly affect biotic communities in the marine and brackish systems in the future. To improve the generality of our results, we examine three self-collected datasets from different spatial scales (6-830 km) and ecosystem types. We collected samples from rock pools or from littoral stones and studied taxonomic thresholds using Threshold Indicator Taxa Analysis (TITAN2). We investigated threshold responses of community diversity, community functions, and benthic biomass using t-tests and regression analysis. Our results indicated that decreasing salinity may result in increasing diversity but decreasing biomass of brackish communities, while the effects of increasing wind disturbance were contradictory among spatial scales. Benthic biomass correlated with the taxonomic and functional diversity, as well as with the body size distribution of communities, highlighting the importance of considering community functions and organismal size when predicting ecosystem functions. The most pronounced effects of decreasing salinity and increasing wind disturbance on community functions were changes in the abundance of low-profile diatom species, which, due to the high resilience of low-profile diatoms, may lead to changes in ecosystem functioning and resilience. To conclude, decreasing salinity and increasing wind disturbance may lead to threshold responses of biotic communities, and these changes may have profound effects on ecosystem functioning along marine coastal areas.},
}
@article {pmid35218487,
year = {2022},
author = {Qamar, S and Ahmad, M and Oryani, B and Zhang, Q},
title = {Solar energy technology adoption and diffusion by micro, small, and medium enterprises: sustainable energy for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35218487},
issn = {1614-7499},
support = {71572115//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2016WZDXM005//Major Program of Social Science Foundation of Guangdong/ ; GD20CGL28//Guangdong 13thFive-Year-Plan Philosophical and Social Science Fund/ ; 836//Natural Science Foundation of SZU/ ; },
abstract = {This research intends to identify influential factors in adopting and diffusing solar energy technology (SET) by micro-, small-, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs) in two tehsils of Multan district in Pakistan's Punjab province. To this end, the influential factors are identified through studying literature surveys and conducting questionnaires. Following that, partial least squares-based path modeling is employed. The results showed that (1) enterprises' size, perceived SET's ease of use, and perceived SET's reliability are the top three driving factors. (2) The perceived SET's price, perceived level of competition's pressure, and MSME's energy cost intensity are the barriers to the adoption and diffusion of SET, while the lack of technical knowledge about SET is a neutral factor. (3) Perceived SET's price, MSMEs' energy cost intensity, and enterprises' size are among the most important factors based on the effect size and path coefficients, while the lack of technical knowledge about SET, preferences of MSMEs' customers, and eco-labels and green stickers have lower importance. Since the adoption of SET is a rational decision that is concretely dependent on economic incentives, it is recommended to lower the price of SET to scale up the adoption and diffusion of SET by Pakistani MSMEs.},
}
@article {pmid35216108,
year = {2022},
author = {Singh, A and Mehta, S and Yadav, S and Nagar, G and Ghosh, R and Roy, A and Chakraborty, A and Singh, IK},
title = {How to Cope with the Challenges of Environmental Stresses in the Era of Global Climate Change: An Update on ROS Stave off in Plants.},
journal = {International journal of molecular sciences},
volume = {23},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijms23041995},
pmid = {35216108},
issn = {1422-0067},
support = {CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/ 15_003/0000433//Faculty of Forestry and Wood Sciences, Czech university of life Sciences/ ; },
abstract = {With the advent of human civilization and anthropogenic activities in the shade of urbanization and global climate change, plants are exposed to a complex set of abiotic stresses. These stresses affect plants' growth, development, and yield and cause enormous crop losses worldwide. In this alarming scenario of global climate conditions, plants respond to such stresses through a highly balanced and finely tuned interaction between signaling molecules. The abiotic stresses initiate the quick release of reactive oxygen species (ROS) as toxic by-products of altered aerobic metabolism during different stress conditions at the cellular level. ROS includes both free oxygen radicals {superoxide (O2•-) and hydroxyl (OH-)}
as well as non-radicals [hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) and singlet oxygen (1O2)]. ROS can be generated and scavenged in different cell organelles and cytoplasm depending on the type of stimulus. At high concentrations, ROS cause lipid peroxidation, DNA damage, protein oxidation, and necrosis, but at low to moderate concentrations, they play a crucial role as secondary messengers in intracellular signaling cascades. Because of their concentration-dependent dual role, a huge number of molecules tightly control the level of ROS in cells. The plants have evolved antioxidants and scavenging machinery equipped with different enzymes to maintain the equilibrium between the production and detoxification of ROS generated during stress. In this present article, we have focused on current insights on generation and scavenging of ROS during abiotic stresses. Moreover, the article will act as a knowledge base for new and pivotal studies on ROS generation and scavenging.},
}
@article {pmid35215092,
year = {2022},
author = {Bautista-Garfias, CR and Castañeda-Ramírez, GS and Estrada-Reyes, ZM and Soares, FEF and Ventura-Cordero, J and González-Pech, PG and Morgan, ER and Soria-Ruiz, J and López-Guillén, G and Aguilar-Marcelino, L},
title = {A Review of the Impact of Climate Change on the Epidemiology of Gastrointestinal Nematode Infections in Small Ruminants and Wildlife in Tropical Conditions.},
journal = {Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {11},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/pathogens11020148},
pmid = {35215092},
issn = {2076-0817},
abstract = {Climate change is causing detrimental changes in living organisms, including pathogens. This review aimed to determine how climate change has impacted livestock system management, and consequently, what factors influenced the gastrointestinal nematodes epidemiology in small ruminants under tropical conditions. The latter is orientated to find out the possible solutions responding to climate change adverse effects. Climate factors that affect the patterns of transmission of gastrointestinal parasites of domesticated ruminants are reviewed. Climate change has modified the behavior of several animal species, including parasites. For this reason, new control methods are required for controlling parasitic infections in livestock animals. After a pertinent literature analysis, conclusions and perspectives of control are given.},
}
@article {pmid35214838,
year = {2022},
author = {Mevy, JP and Biryol, C and Boiteau-Barral, M and Miglietta, F},
title = {The Optical Response of a Mediterranean Shrubland to Climate Change: Hyperspectral Reflectance Measurements during Spring.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {11},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants11040505},
pmid = {35214838},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Remote sensing techniques in terms of monitoring plants' responses to environmental constraints have gained much attention during recent decades. Among these constraints, climate change appears to be one of the major challenges in the Mediterranean region. In this study, the main goal was to determine how field spectrometry could improve remote sensing study of a Mediterranean shrubland submitted to climate aridification. We provided the spectral signature of three common plants of the Mediterranean garrigue: Cistus albidus, Quercus coccifera, and Rosmarinus officinalis. The pattern of these spectra changed depending on the presence of a neighboring plant species and water availability. Indeed, the normalized water absorption reflectance (R975/R900) tended to decrease for each species in trispecific associations (11-26%). This clearly indicates that multispecific plant communities will better resist climate aridification compared to monospecific stands. While Q. coccifera seemed to be more sensible to competition for water resources, C. albidus exhibited a facilitation effect on R. officinalis in trispecific assemblage. Among the 17 vegetation indices tested, we found that the pigment pheophytinization index (NPQI) was a relevant parameter to characterize plant-plant coexistence. This work also showed that some vegetation indices known as indicators of water and pigment contents could also discriminate plant associations, namely RGR (Red Green Ratio), WI (Water Index), Red Edge Model, NDWI1240 (Normalized Difference Water Index), and PRI (Photochemical Reflectance Index). The latter was shown to be linearly and negatively correlated to the ratio of R975/R900, an indicator of water status.},
}
@article {pmid35213811,
year = {2022},
author = {Rabin, AS and Harlan, EA and Ambinder, AJ},
title = {Small Devices, Big Problems: Addressing the Global Warming Potential of Metered Dose Inhalers.},
journal = {Annals of the American Thoracic Society},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1513/AnnalsATS.202202-131VP},
pmid = {35213811},
issn = {2325-6621},
}
@article {pmid35212713,
year = {2022},
author = {Collette, JC and Sommerville, KD and Lyons, MB and Offord, CA and Errington, G and Newby, ZJ and von Richter, L and Emery, NJ},
title = {Stepping up to the thermogradient plate: a data framework for predicting seed germination under climate change.},
journal = {Annals of botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/aob/mcac026},
pmid = {35212713},
issn = {1095-8290},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Seed germination is strongly influenced by environmental temperatures. With global temperatures predicted to rise, the timing of germination for thousands of plant species could change, leading to potential decreases in fitness and ecosystem-wide impacts. The thermogradient plate (TGP) is a powerful but underutilised research tool that tests germination under a broad range of constant and alternating temperatures, giving researchers the ability to predict germination characteristics using current and future climates. Previously, limitations surrounding experimental design and data analysis methods have discouraged its use in seed biology research.<br><br>METHODS: Here, we have developed a freely available R script that uses TGP data to analyse seed germination responses to temperature. We illustrate this analysis framework using three example species: Wollemia nobilis, Callitris baileyi and Alectryon subdentatus. The script generates over 40 germination indices including germination rates and final germination across each cell of the TGP. These indices are then used to populate generalised additive models and predict germination under current and future monthly maximum and minimum temperatures anywhere on the globe.<br><br>KEY RESULTS: In our study species, modelled data was highly correlated with observed data, allowing confident predictions of monthly germination patterns for current and future climates. W. nobilis germinated across a broad range of temperatures and was relatively unaffected by predicted future temperatures. In contrast, C. baileyi and A. subdentatus showed strong seasonal temperature responses, and the timing for peak germination was predicted to seasonally shift under future temperatures.<br><br>CONCLUSIONS: Our experimental workflow is a leap forward in the analysis of TGP experiments, increasing its many potential benefits, thereby improving research predictions and providing substantial information to inform management and conservation of plant species globally.},
}
@article {pmid35212084,
year = {2022},
author = {Bringloe, TT and Wilkinson, DP and Goldsmit, J and Savoie, AM and Filbee-Dexter, K and Macgregor, KA and Howland, KL and McKindsey, CW and Verbruggen, H},
title = {Arctic marine forest distribution models showcase potentially severe habitat losses for cryophilic species under climate change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.16142},
pmid = {35212084},
issn = {1365-2486},
abstract = {The Arctic is among the fastest warming areas of the globe. Understanding the impact of climate change on foundational Arctic marine species is needed to provide insight on ecological resilience at high latitudes. Marine forests, the underwater seascapes formed by seaweeds, are predicted to expand their ranges further north in the Arctic in a warmer climate. Here, we investigated whether northern habitat gains will compensate for losses at the southern range edge by modelling marine forest distributions according to three distribution categories: cryophilic (species restricted to the Arctic environment), cryotolerant (species with broad environmental preferences inclusive but not limited to the Arctic environment), and cryophobic (species restricted to temperate conditions) marine forests. Using stacked MaxEnt models, we predicted the current extent of suitable habitat for contemporary and future marine forests under Representative Concentration Pathway Scenarios of increasing emissions (2.6, 4.5, 6.0, and 8.5). Our analyses indicate that cryophilic marine forests are already ubiquitous in the north, and thus cannot expand their range under climate change, resulting in overall loss of habitat due to severe southern range contractions. The extent of marine forests within the Arctic basin, however, is predicted to remain largely stable under climate change with notable exceptions in some areas, particularly in the Canadian Archipelago. Succession may occur where cryophilic and cryotolerant species are extirpated at their southern range edge, resulting in ecosystem shifts towards temperate regimes at mid to high latitudes, though many aspects of these shifts, such as total biomass and depth range, remain to be field validated. Our results provide the first global synthesis of predicted changes to pan-Arctic coastal marine forest ecosystems under climate change, and suggest ecosystem transitions are unavoidable now for some areas.},
}
@article {pmid35211787,
year = {2022},
author = {Mawa, Z and Hossain, MY and Hasan, MR and Rahman, MA and Tanjin, S and Ohtomi, J},
title = {Life history traits of Mystus vittatus in the Ganges River, Bangladesh: recommendation for its sustainable management considering climate change.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s00484-022-02249-7},
pmid = {35211787},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Freshwater catfishes are regarded primarily as a source of food and sport, so they are highly valuable economically. We comprehensively studied life history features of Mystus vittatus, including sex ratio (SR), population structure, growth pattern, condition, form factor (a3.0), sexual maturity (Lm), spawning season, fecundity, mortality (i.e., total mortality (Z), natural-mortality (MW), and fishing mortality (F)), optimum catchable length (Lopt), length at first capture (Lc), and environmental factors (temperature and rainfall) with management policies from the Ganges River during July 2017 to June 2018. SR (1:1.48) differed noticeably from the expected 1:1 ratio (p < 0.05). Total length (TL) ranged from 6.80-16.00 cm for males and 6.53-18.80 cm for females. The growth was negative allometric for both sexes. Fulton's condition factor was the best one and mean relative weight showed no significant difference from 100 for both sexes that indicates balanced population. Lm was 9.60, 9.70, and 8.80 cm based on the gonadosomatic index (GSI), logistic, and maximum length (Lmax), respectively. Spawning season was April to September and the peak was May to July. Fecundity varied from 5942 to 49,852 (mean ± SD, 11,898 ± 5028) and a positively correlated with TL and BW. Z was 1.80 year-1, Mw was 0.97 year-1, and F was 0.83 year-1. Lopt was 11.14 cm (TL) and Lc was ~ 8.47 cm (TL). Temperature and rainfall both were significantly related with GSI and suitable range of temperature and rainfall for spawning of M. vittatus was 28-34 °C and 200-390 mm, respectively. Long data series pointed that average air temperature was increasing and rainfall was decreasing. By considering all of the above parameters, we can take the proper management actions for M. vittatus and other freshwater catfishes on the Indian sub-continent, to ensure long-term self-sustainability and sustainable harvest for the benefit of fishers and communities.},
}
@article {pmid35211437,
year = {2022},
author = {El Khayat, M and Halwani, DA and Hneiny, L and Alameddine, I and Haidar, MA and Habib, RR},
title = {Impacts of Climate Change and Heat Stress on Farmworkers' Health: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {782811},
doi = {10.3389/fpubh.2022.782811},
pmid = {35211437},
issn = {2296-2565},
abstract = {Due to the continuous rise of global temperatures and heatwaves worldwide as a result of climate change, concerns for the health and safety of working populations have increased. Workers in the food production chain, particularly farmworkers, are especially vulnerable to heat stress due to the strenuous nature of their work, which is performed primarily outdoors under poor working conditions. At the cross-section of climate change and farmworkers' health, a scoping review was undertaken to summarize the existing knowledge regarding the health impacts associated with climate change and heat stress, guide future research toward better understanding current and future climate change risks, and inform policies to protect the health and safety of agricultural workers. A systematic search of 5 electronic databases and gray literature websites was conducted to identify relevant literature published up until December 2021. A total of 9045 records were retrieved from the searches, of which 92 articles were included in the final review. The majority of the reviewed articles focused on heat-related illnesses (n = 57) and kidney diseases (n = 28). The risk factors identified in the reviewed studies included gender, dehydration, heat strain, wearing inappropriate clothing, workload, piece-rate payment, job decision latitude, and hot environmental conditions. On the other hand, various protective and preventive factors were identified including drinking water, changing work hours and schedule of activities, wearing appropriate clothing, reducing soda consumption, taking breaks in shaded or air-conditioned areas, and increasing electrolyte consumption in addition to improving access to medical care. This review also identified various factors that are unique to vulnerable agricultural populations, including migrant and child farmworkers. Our findings call for an urgent need to expand future research on vulnerable agricultural communities including migrant workers so as to develop effective policies and interventions that can protect these communities from the effects of heat stress.},
}
@article {pmid35211129,
year = {2021},
author = {Tominaga, A and Ito, A and Sugiura, T and Yamane, H},
title = {How Is Global Warming Affecting Fruit Tree Blooming? "Flowering (Dormancy) Disorder" in Japanese Pear (Pyrus pyrifolia) as a Case Study.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {787638},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2021.787638},
pmid = {35211129},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Recent climate change has resulted in warmer temperatures. Warmer temperatures from autumn to spring has negatively affected dormancy progression, cold (de)acclimation, and cold tolerance in various temperate fruit trees. In Japan, a physiological disorder known as flowering disorder, which is an erratic flowering and bud break disorder, has recently emerged as a serious problem in the production of the pome fruit tree, Japanese (Asian) pear (Pyrus pyrifolia Nakai). Due to global warming, the annual temperature in Japan has risen markedly since the 1990s. Surveys of flowering disorder in field-grown and greenhouse-grown Japanese pear trees over several years have indicated that flowering disorder occurs in warmer years and cultivation conditions, and the risk of flowering disorder occurrence is higher at lower latitudes than at higher latitudes. Susceptibility to flowering disorder is linked to changes in the transcript levels of putative dormancy/flowering regulators such as DORMANCY-ASSOCIATED MADS-box (DAM) and FLOWERING LOCUS T (FT). On the basis of published studies, we conclude that autumn-winter warm temperatures cause flowering disorder through affecting cold acclimation, dormancy progression, and floral bud maturation. Additionally, warm conditions also decrease carbohydrate accumulation in shoots, leading to reduced tree vigor. We propose that all these physiological and metabolic changes due to the lack of chilling during the dormancy phase interact to cause flowering disorder in the spring. We also propose that the process of chilling exposure rather than the total amount of chilling may be important for the precise control of dormancy progression and robust blooming, which in turn suggests the necessity of re-evaluation of the characteristics of cultivar-dependent chilling requirement trait. A full understanding of the molecular and metabolic regulatory mechanisms of both dormancy completion (floral bud maturation) and dormancy break (release from the repression of bud break) will help to clarify the physiological basis of dormancy-related physiological disorder and also provide useful strategies to mitigate or overcome it under global warming.},
}
@article {pmid35210245,
year = {2022},
author = {Rashid, A},
title = {Yonder: International medical graduates, genetics at end-of-life, climate change, and paediatric antibiotic prescribing in China.},
journal = {The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners},
volume = {72},
number = {716},
pages = {127},
doi = {10.3399/bjgp22X718733},
pmid = {35210245},
issn = {1478-5242},
}
@article {pmid35206433,
year = {2022},
author = {Graham, H and Harrison, A and Lampard, P},
title = {Public Perceptions of Climate Change and Its Health Impacts: Taking Account of People's Exposure to Floods and Air Pollution.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {4},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ijerph19042246},
pmid = {35206433},
issn = {1660-4601},
support = {PR_PRU_1217_20901//National Institute for Health Research/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change-related exposures such as flooding and ambient air pollution place people's health at risk. A representative UK survey of adults investigated associations between reported flooding and air pollution (in the participants' local area, by the participant personally, and/or by family and close friends) and climate change concerns (CCC) and perceptions of its health impacts (PIH). In regression analyses controlling for socio-demographic factors and health status, exposure was associated with greater CCC and more negative PIH. Compared to those with low CCC, participants who reported local-area exposure were significantly more likely to be fairly (OR 2.07, 95%CI 1.26, 3.40) or very concerned (OR 3.40, 95%CI 2.02, 5.71). Odds of greater CCC were higher for those reporting personal and/or family exposure ('fairly concerned': OR 2.83, 95%CI 1.20, 6.66; 'very concerned': OR 4.11, 95%CI 1.69, 10.05) and for those reporting both local and personal/family exposure ('fairly concerned': OR 3.35, 95%CI 1.99, 5.63; 'very concerned': OR 6.17, 95%CI 3.61, 10.55). For PIH, local exposure significantly increased the odds of perceiving impacts as 'more bad than good' (1.86, 95%CI 1.22, 2.82) or 'entirely bad' (OR 1.88; 95%CI 1.13, 3.13). Our study suggests that public awareness of climate-related exposures in their local area, together with personal exposures and those of significant others, are associated with heightened concern about climate change and its health impacts.},
}
@article {pmid35205187,
year = {2022},
author = {Morley, SA and Souster, TA and Vause, BJ and Gerrish, L and Peck, LS and Barnes, DKA},
title = {Benthic Biodiversity, Carbon Storage and the Potential for Increasing Negative Feedbacks on Climate Change in Shallow Waters of the Antarctic Peninsula.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {11},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology11020320},
pmid = {35205187},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {core funding to the British Antarctic Survey//Natural Environment Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {The importance of cold-water blue carbon as biological carbon pumps that sequester carbon into ocean sediments is now being realised. Most polar blue carbon research to date has focussed on deep water, yet the highest productivity is in the shallows. This study measured the functional biodiversity and carbon standing stock accumulated by shallow-water (<25 m) benthic assemblages on both hard and soft substrata on the Antarctic Peninsula (WAP, 67° S). Soft substrata benthic assemblages (391 ± 499 t C km-2) contained 60% less carbon than hard substrata benthic assemblages (648 ± 909). In situ observations of substrata by SCUBA divers provided estimates of 59% hard (4700 km) and 12% soft (960 km) substrata on seasonally ice-free shores of the Antarctic Peninsula, giving an estimate of 253,000 t C at 20 m depth, with a sequestration potential of ~4500 t C year-1. Currently, 54% of the shoreline is permanently ice covered and so climate-mediated ice loss along the Peninsula is predicted to more than double this carbon sink. The steep fjordic shorelines make these assemblages a globally important pathway to sequestration, acting as one of the few negative (mitigating) feedbacks to climate change. The proposed WAP marine protected area could safeguard this ecosystem service, helping to tackle the climate and biodiversity crises.},
}
@article {pmid35202234,
year = {2022},
author = {Martins, I and Soares, J and Neuparth, T and Barreiro, AF and Xavier, C and Antunes, C and Santos, MM},
title = {Prioritizing the Effects of Emerging Contaminants on Estuarine Production under Global Warming Scenarios.},
journal = {Toxics},
volume = {10},
number = {2},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/toxics10020046},
pmid = {35202234},
issn = {2305-6304},
support = {UIDB/04423/2020 and UIDP/04423/2020//Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia/ ; NORTE-01-0145-FEDER-000035]//FEDER/ ; 0725_NOR_WATER_1_P/(POCTEP) 2014-2020//INTERREG/ ; 10/SI/2016 - I&amp;DT Empresarial//ValorMar/ ; },
abstract = {Due to non-linear interactions, the effects of contaminant mixtures on aquatic ecosystems are difficult to assess, especially under temperature rise that will likely exacerbate the complexity of the responses. Yet, under the current climatic crisis, assessing the effects of water contaminants and temperature is paramount to understanding the biological impacts of mixtures of stressors on aquatic ecosystems. Here, we use an ecosystem model followed by global sensitivity analysis (GSA) to prioritize the effects of four single emerging contaminants (ECs) and their mixture, combined with two temperature rise scenarios, on the biomass production of a NE Atlantic estuary. Scenarios ran for 10 years with a time-step of 0.1 days. The results indicate that macroinvertebrate biomass was significantly explained by the effect of each single EC and by their mixture but not by temperature. Globally, the most adverse effects were induced by two ECs and by the mixture of the four ECs, although the sensitivity of macroinvertebrates to the tested scenarios differed. Overall, the present approach is useful to prioritize the effects of stressors and assess the sensitivity of the different trophic groups within food webs, which may be of relevance to support decision making linked to the sustainable management of estuaries and other aquatic systems.},
}
@article {pmid35199917,
year = {2022},
author = {Stewart, PS and Voskamp, A and Santini, L and Biber, MF and Devenish, AJM and Hof, C and Willis, SG and Tobias, JA},
title = {Global impacts of climate change on avian functional diversity.},
journal = {Ecology letters},
volume = {25},
number = {3},
pages = {673-685},
doi = {10.1111/ele.13830},
pmid = {35199917},
issn = {1461-0248},
support = {NE/I028068/1//Natural Environment Research Council/ ; NE/P004512/1//Natural Environment Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is predicted to drive geographical range shifts, leading to fluctuations in species richness (SR) worldwide. However, the effect of these changes on functional diversity (FD) remains unclear, in part because comprehensive species-level trait data are generally lacking at global scales. Here, we use morphometric and ecological traits for 8268 bird species to estimate the impact of climate change on avian FD. We show that future bird assemblages are likely to undergo substantial shifts in trait structure, with a magnitude of change greater than predicted from SR alone, and a direction of change varying according to geographical location and trophic guild. For example, our models predict that FD of insect predators will increase at higher latitudes with concurrent losses at mid-latitudes, whereas FD of seed dispersing birds will fluctuate across the tropics. Our findings highlight the potential for climate change to drive continental-scale shifts in avian FD with implications for ecosystem function and resilience.},
}
@article {pmid35198773,
year = {2022},
author = {Mekonnen, Z},
title = {Intra-household gender disparity: effects on climate change adaptation in Arsi Negele district, Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {8},
number = {2},
pages = {e08908},
doi = {10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e08908},
pmid = {35198773},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Women empowerment in agriculture influences adaptation capacity to climate change impacts. Women are disempowered in rural households. This affects household's adaptive capacity to climate change negatively. Household survey, focus group discussion, key informant interview and workshop were used to track stakeholders' opinions on gender disparity in agriculture and policy issues. The objective of the study was to assess the gender parity index in agriculture, resource governance patterns and how these impact the capacity to climate change adaptation. The results show wives were imparity with their husbands. The parity gap on ownership, access to, and decision-making power over agricultural equipment was as wide as 59% and this affects women's adaptation capacity to climate change impacts. Indeed, 94% of the coupled households have got their land by redistribution and inheritance land acquisition forms by which both forms of acquiring land favored the husband. Half of the respondent households acknowledged that they have already acquired certification for their farmlands. However, the certification was mostly given by the names of husbands and in few cases by both. Certification of farmlands by the name of a wife and a husband has built confidence on ownership and manage their farmlands. This has helped a household to better adapt climate change impacts. Gender disparity in agricultural productive resources combined with policy and cultural distortions could exacerbate household's vulnerability to the impacts of climate change. This indicates the need for gender mainstreaming in climate change policy reforms and formulation so as to empower women and build their adaptive capacity.},
}
@article {pmid35198622,
year = {2022},
author = {Nwobodo, CE and Nwokolo, B and Iwuchukwu, JC and Ohagwu, VA and Ozioko, RI},
title = {Determinants of Ruminant Farmers' Use of Sustainable Production Practices for Climate Change Adaptation and Mitigation in Enugu State, Nigeria.},
journal = {Frontiers in veterinary science},
volume = {9},
number = {},
pages = {735139},
doi = {10.3389/fvets.2022.735139},
pmid = {35198622},
issn = {2297-1769},
abstract = {A sustainable ruminant production system ensures economically viable livestock systems that meet the current and future demands of animal products as well as the environmental safety of current and future generations. The study analyzed the determinants of ruminant farmers' use of sustainable production practices for climate change adaptation and mitigation in Enugu State, Nigeria. Multistage sampling procedure was used to select ninety six (96) ruminant farmers that constituted the sample for the study. Semi-structured interview schedule with open ended questions was used in data collection. Data were analyzed using multiple regression and Pearson Moment Correlation statistics. Access to veterinary services (t = 2.056, p = 0.044), monthly household income (t = 3.582, p = 0.001) and annual income from ruminant production (t = -2.635, p = 0.011) were socio-economic factors that significantly influenced use of sustainable practices. The adjusted R- square implies that the three factors were able to explain 24% of variance in use of sustainable practices. There is a significant positive correlation (r = 0.426, p = 0.000) between knowledge level of farmers and their use of sustainable production practices. Schemes for financial inclusion such as payment for ecosystem services can spur farmers to adopt mitigation strategies. Improved climate change knowledge can enhance ruminant farmer's resilience to the increasing impacts of climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35197745,
year = {2022},
author = {Hussain, I and Ali, M and Ghoneim, AM and Shahzad, K and Farooq, O and Iqbal, S and Nawaz, F and Ahmad, S and Bárek, V and Brestic, M and Al Obaid, S and Fahad, S and Danish, S and Taban, S and Akça, H and Datta, R},
title = {Improvement in growth and yield attributes of cluster bean through optimization of sowing time and plant spacing under climate change scenario.},
journal = {Saudi journal of biological sciences},
volume = {29},
number = {2},
pages = {781-792},
doi = {10.1016/j.sjbs.2021.11.018},
pmid = {35197745},
issn = {1319-562X},
abstract = {Cluster bean (Cyamopsis tetragonoloba L.) yield has plateaued due to reduction in rainfall and rise in temperature. Therefore, its production cycle could not get appropriate water and temperature. It becomes important to standardize the sowing time and plant spacing of cluster beans in changing climate scenarios to get higher productivity. Therefore, a field study was conducted in 2019 at the Research area of MNS-University of Agriculture, Multan, Pakistan to evaluate the effect of four sowing times (15th May, 1st June, 15th June, and 1st July) and three plant spacings (10, 12 and 15 cm) on crop growth, yield, and physiological functions of cluster bean genotype BR-2017 under split plot arrangement under randomized complete block design (RCBD) with three replications. The sowing times (15th May, 1st June, 15th June, and 1st July) were placed in the main plot, while plant spacing (10, 12 and 15 cm) was maintained in subplots. The significant effect of sowing time and plant spacing was observed on pod plant-1, pod length, grain yield, and 1000-grain weight. Results showed that 1st June sowing performed better over 15th May, 15th June, and 1st July, while plant spacing 15 cm about in all sowing times showed higher results on growth and yield parameters of cluster bean over plant spacing 10, 12, and 15 cm. The 1st June sowing time at 15 cm plant spacing showed 8.0, 22.7, and 28.5% higher grains pod-1 than 15th May, 15th June, and 1st July sowing, respectively. Maximum grain yield was observed on 1st June in all three spacings (10, 12, and 15 cm). The chord diagram indicates that the crop has received optimum environmental conditions when sown 1st June over other sowing times. In conclusion, 1st June sowing with 15 cm plant spacing could be a good option to achieve maximum productivity of cluster bean under changing climate scenario.},
}
@article {pmid35197275,
year = {2022},
author = {Sindall, R and Mecrow, T and Queiroga, AC and Boyer, C and Koon, W and Peden, AE},
title = {Drowning risk and climate change: a state-of-the-art review.},
journal = {Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/injuryprev-2021-044486},
pmid = {35197275},
issn = {1475-5785},
abstract = {Drowning and climate change are both significant global health threats, yet little research links climate change to drowning risk. Research into the epidemiology, risk factors and preventive strategies for unintentional drowning in high-income and in low-income and middle-income countries has expanded understanding, but understanding of disaster and extreme weather-related drowning needs research focus. As nation states and researchers call for action on climate change, its impact on drowning has been largely ignored. This state-of-the-art review considers existing literature on climate change as a contributor to changes in drowning risks globally. Using selected climate change-related risks identified by the World Meteorological Organization and key risks to the Sustainable Development Goals as a framework, we consider the drowning risks associated with heat waves, hydrometeorological hazards, drought and water scarcity, damaged infrastructure, marine ecosystem collapse, displacement, and rising poverty and inequality. Although the degree of atmospheric warming remains uncertain, the impact of climate change on drowning risk is already taking place and can no longer be ignored. Greater evidence characterising the links between drowning and climate change across both high-income and low-income and middle-income contexts is required, and the implementation and evaluation of drowning interventions must reflect climate change risks at a local level, accounting for both geographical variation and the consequences of inequality. Furthermore, collaboration between the injury prevention, disaster risk reduction and climate change mitigation sectors is crucial to both prevent climate change from stalling progress on preventing drowning and further advocate for climate change mitigation as a drowning risk reduction mechanism.},
}
@article {pmid35196891,
year = {2022},
author = {Macheka, L and Mudiwa, T and Chopera, P and Nyamwanza, A and Jacobs, P},
title = {Linking Climate Change Adaptation Strategies and Nutrition Outcomes: A Conceptual Framework.},
journal = {Food and nutrition bulletin},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {3795721221078362},
doi = {10.1177/03795721221078362},
pmid = {35196891},
issn = {1564-8265},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The relationship between climate adaptation strategies and nutrition security is poorly understood and often unclear. Although several adaptation strategies have been implemented to mitigate the impact of climate change, there is still a lack of conclusive evidence or studies on the interrelationships between adopted climate change adaptation strategies and nutrition outcomes.<br><br>OBJECTIVE: This study aimed at developing a conceptual framework that links climate change, adaptation strategies and nutrition and show the indicators that can be used to assess the impact of climate adaptation strategies on nutrition.<br><br>METHODOLOGY: The proposed conceptual framework was developed through a literature review.<br><br>RESULTS: A generic conceptual framework that could be used to assess the impact of adopted climate change adaptation strategies on nutrition outcomes was developed. The framework consists of 5 key elements: Agro-food system, context characteristics, adaptation strategies, climatic shocks and stress, and system output. The principles used in designing the conceptual framework include systems approach, contingency theory, and system output.<br><br>CONCLUSION: The developed framework offers a channel to evaluate adopted climate change adaptation strategies and their impact on nutrition outcomes. Such a conceptual framework can also be used in selecting and identifying more suitable climate adaptation strategies given specific contextual environments.},
}
@article {pmid35195785,
year = {2022},
author = {Haji, M and Bakuza, JS},
title = {Climate Change Vulnerability Assessment for the Rondo Dwarf Galago in Coastal Forests, Tanzania.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35195785},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Negative effects of climate change on organisms and their habitats pose significant conservation challenges especially for species already under siege from other threats like habitat loss, pollution and diseases. This study assessed the extent to which the Rondo dwarf galago (Paragalago rondoensis), an endangered primate in the coastal forests in eastern Tanzania is threatened by climate change. Past and projected temperature and precipitation records from Tanzania Meteorological Authority were overlaid with P. rondoensis distribution range to assess the species exposure to climate extremes. Traits predisposing it to climate change were also obtained from published literature and experts on the organism's biology to determine its sensitivity. The P. rondoensis vulnerability to climate change was obtained by feeding exposure and sensitivity data into Natureserve's Climate Change Vulnerability Index (CCVI) software. Results indicated that most of Rondo galago's habitat and distribution range will be exposed to a temperature increase of 1 to 1.3 °C by 2050, which if combined with other threats, is likely to further endanger the species survival. Due to its diet specialization on insects, which are moisture-dependent, any extreme decrease in humidity will reduce its diet availability thereby threatening the species further. Moreover, Rondo galago's limited habitats and distribution range in the East African tropical coastal forests, raises the species threat level. Rondo galago's conservation should be enhanced through creation of corridors to facilitate its possible shifts to conducive and safer habitats in the event of extreme weather. Climate change aspects should also be integrated into the species conservation strategies.},
}
@article {pmid35195666,
year = {2022},
author = {Obradovich, N and Minor, K},
title = {Identifying and Preparing for the Mental Health Burden of Climate Change.},
journal = {JAMA psychiatry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1001/jamapsychiatry.2021.4280},
pmid = {35195666},
issn = {2168-6238},
}
@article {pmid35194388,
year = {2022},
author = {Karki, G and Bhatta, B and Devkota, NR and Acharya, RP and Kunwar, RM},
title = {Climate change adaptation (CCA) research in Nepal: implications for the advancement of adaptation planning.},
journal = {Mitigation and adaptation strategies for global change},
volume = {27},
number = {3},
pages = {18},
doi = {10.1007/s11027-021-09991-0},
pmid = {35194388},
issn = {1573-1596},
abstract = {Climate change has become one of the most compelling fields of empirical research over the last couple of decades, partly due to its socio-economic impacts. Using a meta-analysis of 235 peer-reviewed articles published between January 2010 and July 2020, this paper appraises climate change adaptation (CCA) research in Nepal and draws lessons for future adaptation planning. The number of research is observed to have increased significantly in recent years (2015-2020) although there is no consistent pattern over the review period and at the thematic level. Findings submit that the agriculture and food security has the highest number of publications (37%) followed by gender equality and social inclusion (18%) and forest, biodiversity and watershed management (16%). There are no studies found in rural and urban settlement theme. Geographic distribution of CCA studies revealed that over 40% studies were carried out from central Nepal, while no study was conducted in ten districts of eastern and western Nepal. The study focus was also discrete, and the perception and attitude and impact assessment of climate change were common agendas; however, the drivers of change and options for adaptation were understudied. CCA with multipronged initiatives provide a broader understanding of dynamics and governance of climate change that not only affects rural livelihoods, but also influences regional and global environments and biodiversity.<br><br>Supplementary Information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11027-021-09991-0.},
}
@article {pmid35194299,
year = {2022},
author = {Ikehi, ME and Ifeanyieze, FO and Onu, FM and Ejiofor, TE and Nwankwo, CU},
title = {Assessing climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies and agricultural innovation systems in the Niger Delta.},
journal = {GeoJournal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-16},
doi = {10.1007/s10708-022-10596-6},
pmid = {35194299},
issn = {0343-2521},
abstract = {Climate change and its impacts on agriculture have been widely discussed at national and global levels. An important aspect of the discussion has been adaptation/mitigation approaches. Consequently, several strategies have been suggested as measures to ensure agriculture remains productively profitable. However, food security especially in critical times, such as the lockdown during the COVID-19 pandemic proved to be a challenge even for regions naturally endowed for agriculture. The study evaluated research recommended strategies, and further examined the innovativeness of the strategies in fostering sustainable agricultural innovation system (AIS) in the Niger Delta. The study relied on both secondary and primary data; analysed 129 previous studies and gathered responses from 282 extension agents. The study introduces a method for assessing the innovativeness of strategies by calculating their rated values on five traits. Findings revealed the issues and implications of adopting most recommended strategies and the place of most strategies in fostering AIS. The study highlights the possible reasons why farmers fail to adopt most strategies as suggested by studies on climate change in the region. Based on the findings, recommendations were made on the way forward. The study adds to the scanty discussion of climate change and AIS at regional levels, particularly in the climate change prone and oil rich Niger Delta region. The study offers a novel approach for scoring innovations in agriculture.},
}
@article {pmid35194240,
year = {2022},
author = {Brändle, T and Bruchez, PA and Colombier, C and Baur, M and Hohl, L},
title = {Do the COVID-19 Crisis, Ageing and Climate Change Put Swiss Fiscal Sustainability at Risk?.},
journal = {Inter economics},
volume = {57},
number = {1},
pages = {48-55},
doi = {10.1007/s10272-022-1027-8},
pmid = {35194240},
issn = {0020-5346},
abstract = {The ongoing coronavirus pandemic crisis as well as demographic and climate change pose major challenges for public finances. This article deals with the implications of demographic trends in Switzerland, i.e. the progressive ageing of the population and its impact on the country's public finances in the long run. As the analysis shows, the brunt of the demographic burden is borne by the old-age pension scheme, health and long-term care. This article also addresses the financial ramifications of the COVID-19 crisis and shows the need for economic policy action over the longer term to ensure the sustainability of public finances in Switzerland. Furthermore, a qualitative assessment of climate change is included, as it constitutes an additional major long-term challenge for public finances.},
}
@article {pmid35194131,
year = {2022},
author = {Gaponenko, I and Rohat, G and Goyette, S and Paruch, P and Kasparian, J},
title = {Smooth velocity fields for tracking climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {2997},
pmid = {35194131},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Describing the spatial velocity of climate change is essential to assessing the challenge of natural and human systems to follow its pace by adapting or migrating sufficiently fast. We propose a fully-determined approach, "MATCH", to calculate a realistic and continuous velocity field of any climate parameter, without the need for ad hoc assumptions. We apply this approach to the displacement of isotherms predicted by global and regional climate models between 1950 and 2100 under the IPCC-AR5 RCP 8.5 emission scenario, and show that it provides detailed velocity patterns especially at the regional scale. This method thus favors comparisons between models as well as the analysis of regional or local features. Furthermore, the trajectories obtained using the MATCH approach are less sensitive to inter-annual fluctuations and therefore allow us to introduce a trajectory regularity index, offering a quantitative perspective on the discussion of climate sinks and sources.},
}
@article {pmid35192868,
year = {2022},
author = {Rothenberg, ME},
title = {The Climate Change Hypothesis for the Allergy Epidemic.},
journal = {The Journal of allergy and clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.jaci.2022.02.006},
pmid = {35192868},
issn = {1097-6825},
abstract = {The health consequences of climate change are being increasingly recognized. Herein, the climate change hypothesis is put forth as a substantial contributor to the growing global allergy epidemic. A call for deeper research and action on the impact of climate change on various aspects of allergic disease mechanisms, exacerbation, and prevalence is imperative.},
}
@article {pmid35192700,
year = {2022},
author = {Zandalinas, SI and Balfagón, D and Gómez-Cadenas, A and Mittler, R},
title = {Responses of plants to climate change: Metabolic changes during abiotic stress combination in plants.},
journal = {Journal of experimental botany},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jxb/erac073},
pmid = {35192700},
issn = {1460-2431},
abstract = {Climate change is predicted to increase the frequency and intensity of abiotic stress combinations that negatively impact plants and pose a serious threat to crop yield and food supply. Plants respond to episodes of stress combination by activating specific physiological and molecular responses, as well as by adjusting different metabolic pathways, to mitigate the negative effects of stress combination on plant growth, development, and reproduction. Plants synthesize a wide range of metabolites that regulate many aspects of plant growth and development, as well as plant responses to stress. Although metabolic responses to individual abiotic stresses have been studied extensively in different plant species, recent efforts have been directed at understanding metabolic responses that occur when different abiotic factors are combined. In this review we examine recent studies of metabolomic changes under stress combination in different plants and suggest new avenues for the development of stress combination-resilient crops based on metabolites as breeding targets.},
}
@article {pmid35191005,
year = {2022},
author = {Barnes, PW and Robson, TM and Neale, PJ and Williamson, CE and Zepp, RG and Madronich, S and Wilson, SR and Andrady, AL and Heikkilä, AM and Bernhard, GH and Bais, AF and Neale, RE and Bornman, JF and Jansen, MAK and Klekociuk, AR and Martinez-Abaigar, J and Robinson, SA and Wang, QW and Banaszak, AT and Häder, DP and Hylander, S and Rose, KC and Wängberg, SÅ and Foereid, B and Hou, WC and Ossola, R and Paul, ND and Ukpebor, JE and Andersen, MPS and Longstreth, J and Schikowski, T and Solomon, KR and Sulzberger, B and Bruckman, LS and Pandey, KK and White, CC and Zhu, L and Zhu, M and Aucamp, PJ and Liley, JB and McKenzie, RL and Berwick, M and Byrne, SN and Hollestein, LM and Lucas, RM and Olsen, CM and Rhodes, LE and Yazar, S and Young, AR},
title = {Environmental effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and interactions with climate change: UNEP Environmental Effects Assessment Panel, Update 2021.},
journal = {Photochemical &amp; photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35191005},
issn = {1474-9092},
abstract = {The Environmental Effects Assessment Panel of the Montreal Protocol under the United Nations Environment Programme evaluates effects on the environment and human health that arise from changes in the stratospheric ozone layer and concomitant variations in ultraviolet (UV) radiation at the Earth's surface. The current update is based on scientific advances that have accumulated since our last assessment (Photochem and Photobiol Sci 20(1):1-67, 2021). We also discuss how climate change affects stratospheric ozone depletion and ultraviolet radiation, and how stratospheric ozone depletion affects climate change. The resulting interlinking effects of stratospheric ozone depletion, UV radiation, and climate change are assessed in terms of air quality, carbon sinks, ecosystems, human health, and natural and synthetic materials. We further highlight potential impacts on the biosphere from extreme climate events that are occurring with increasing frequency as a consequence of climate change. These and other interactive effects are examined with respect to the benefits that the Montreal Protocol and its Amendments are providing to life on Earth by controlling the production of various substances that contribute to both stratospheric ozone depletion and climate change.},
}
@article {pmid35190658,
year = {2022},
author = {Bam, S and Ott, JP and Butler, JL and Xu, L},
title = {Belowground mechanism reveals climate change impacts on invasive clonal plant establishment.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {2860},
pmid = {35190658},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change and disturbance can alter invasion success of clonal plants by differentially affecting the clonal traits influencing their establishment as young plants. Clonal traits related to the vegetative reproduction of native Pascopyrum smithii and non-native Bromus inermis grass seedlings were evaluated under altered precipitation frequencies and a single grazing event. Pascopyrum smithii maintained similar vegetative reproduction under three simulated precipitation frequencies whereas B. inermis vegetative reproduction declined as precipitation became more intermittent. Vegetative reproduction of the non-native B. inermis was greater than the native P. smithii under all simulated precipitation frequencies except the most intermittent scenario. A single grazing event did not affect either species' response to intra-annual precipitation variability but did slightly reduce their clonal growth and increase their bud dormancy. In young plants, clonal traits of the invasive grass favored its superior expansion and population growth compared to the native grass except under the most severe climate change scenario. Grassland restoration using native P. smithii seeds would be successful in most years due to its resilient clonal growth in a changing climate. Clonal infrastructure development in young plants is critical to clonal plant establishment and persistence in a changing climate and under disturbed conditions.},
}
@article {pmid35189239,
year = {2022},
author = {Gao, Z and Zhang, QH and Xie, YD and Wang, Q and Dzakpasu, M and Xiong, JQ and Wang, XC},
title = {A novel multi-objective optimization framework for urban green-gray infrastructure implementation under impacts of climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {153954},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153954},
pmid = {35189239},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Frequent urban flooding disasters can cause severe economic and property losses. Accordingly, the construction of sponge city has become critical to alleviating urban flooding. However, the functional and structural integration of Green Infrastructure (GI) and Gray Drainage Facility (GDF) is still a matter of concern. This study proposed a novel implementation framework for GI and GDF synchronization optimization (G-GSOIF) based on the SWMM and SUSTAIN models, and used data from Beilin District in Xi'an, China to verify the effects. The results show that the spatiotemporal integrated optimization design of GI and GDF proves to be effective in stormwater management. The total investment was reduced by 16.7% and economic benefit was increased by 15.4% based on disaster risk control, and the utilization rate of rainwater resources exceeded 40%. The Staged optimization model (SSOM) based on the SUSTAIN model established in the G-GSOIF was demonstrated to effectively cope with the impact of future climate change by adjusting and optimizing the design scheme dynamically in different simulation scenarios. Integrated LID (I-LID) measures are conducive for simulation of large catchment areas, and have the same implementation effect as distributed LID measures. The results of this study could support decision-making for urban stormwater management and sponge city construction.},
}
@article {pmid35189219,
year = {2022},
author = {Di Nuzzo, L and Benesperi, R and Nascimbene, J and Papini, A and Malaspina, P and Incerti, G and Giordani, P},
title = {Little time left. Microrefuges may fail in mitigating the effects of climate change on epiphytic lichens.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {153943},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153943},
pmid = {35189219},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is already causing considerable reductions in biodiversity in all terrestrial ecosystems. These consequences are expected to be exacerbated in biomes that are particularly exposed to change, such as those in the Mediterranean, and in certain groups of more sensitive organisms, such as epiphytic lichens. These poikylohydric organisms find suitable light and water conditions on trunks under the tree canopy. Despite their small size, epiphytic communities contribute significantly to the functionality of forest ecosystems. In this work, we surveyed epiphytic lichen communities in a Mediterranean area (Sardinia, Italy) and hypothesized that 1) the effect of microclimate on lichens at tree scale is mediated by the functional traits of these organisms and that 2) micro-refuge trees with certain morphological characteristics can mitigate the negative effects of future climate change. Results confirm the first hypothesis, while the second is only partially supported, suggesting that the capability of specific trees to host specific conditions may not be sufficient to maintain the diversity and ecosystem functionality of lichen communities in the Mediterranean.},
}
@article {pmid35188956,
year = {2022},
author = {Ayalon, L and Roy, S and Aloni, O and Keating, N},
title = {A scoping review of research on older people and intergenerational relations in the context of climate change.},
journal = {The Gerontologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/geront/gnac028},
pmid = {35188956},
issn = {1758-5341},
abstract = {BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: In view of the inherited temporal dimension of climate change, this study aims to highlight diverse intergenerational effects and coping strategies by examining the state of literature on older people and intergenerational relations in the context of climate change.<br><br>RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: A scoping review of peer-reviewed scientific literature was conducted. We searched the following bibliographical datasets: PubMed, Web of Science, and APA PsycNet in addition to a snowballing search based on Google Scholar. The primary search was conducted between September 22, 2021 and September 26, 2021, using variations of the search terms: older people AND intergenerational AND climate change. Two independent raters classified the articles using pre-specified inclusion and exclusion criteria.<br><br>RESULTS: In total, 20 articles were maintained for data extraction. Articles reflect two poles in relation to older people and intergenerational relations in the context of climate change. The first emphasizes intergenerational conflicts and differences, whereas the second stresses solidarity and transmission of knowledge and practices between the generations.<br><br>DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Both older and younger people are affected by age-based discrimination in the context of climate change. Generational differences in energy consumption and attitudes towards climate change exist. Nonetheless, these can be overcome by stressing the solidarity between the generations and the ability of older people to contribute to the climate change movement as well as by the ability of both young and old to transmit knowledge and practices related to sustainability.},
}
@article {pmid35186977,
year = {2021},
author = {Dobson, GP},
title = {Wired to Doubt: Why People Fear Vaccines and Climate Change and Mistrust Science.},
journal = {Frontiers in medicine},
volume = {8},
number = {},
pages = {809395},
doi = {10.3389/fmed.2021.809395},
pmid = {35186977},
issn = {2296-858X},
abstract = {We all want to be right in our thinking. Vaccine hesitancy and global warming denial share much in common: (1) both are threats to personal, community and global health, (2) action is contingent on co-operation and social policy, and (3) public support relies on trust in science. The irony is, however, as the science has become more convincing, public opinion has become more divided. A number of early polls showed that ~70% of people supported COVID-19 vaccine use and global warming, ~20% adopted a wait-and-see approach, and ~10% were staunch objectors. Although these percentages are approximate, what factors are responsible for the differences in engagement, doubt and distrust? How can we reduce the consensus gap? One approach is to return to grass roots and provide a brief history of the issues, understand the difference between fact and opinion, truth and falsehood, the problem of certainty, and how scientific consensus is reached. To doubt is a healthy response to new information, and it too has a scientific basis. Doubt and distrust reside in that region of the brain called the dorsolateral prefrontal cortex, which is responsible for suppressing unwanted representations. Bridging the consensus gap requires shifting human thinking patterns from doubt to belief, and belief to action. Education and improved public messaging are key, and social media providers require urgent oversight or regulation to remove false and harmful/dangerous content from our digital lives. Delays to vaccinate and failure to reduce greenhouse gases will dramatically change the way we live. The new norm may be more deadly COVID variants, strained healthcare systems, extreme weather patterns, diminished food supply, delays in goods and services, damage to world's economies and widespread global instability.},
}
@article {pmid35185993,
year = {2022},
author = {Bai, H and Xiao, D and Wang, B and Liu, L and Tang, J},
title = {Simulation of Wheat Response to Future Climate Change Based on Coupled Model Inter-Comparison Project Phase 6 Multi-Model Ensemble Projections in the North China Plain.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {829580},
doi = {10.3389/fpls.2022.829580},
pmid = {35185993},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {Global climate change results in more extreme temperature events, which poses a serious threat to wheat production in the North China Plain (NCP). Assessing the potential impact of temperature extremes on crop growth and yield is an important prerequisite for exploring crop adaptation measures to deal with changing climate. In this study, we evaluated the effects of heat and frost stress during wheat sensitive period on grain yield at four representative sites over the NCP using Agricultural Production System Simulator (APSIM)-wheat model driven by the climate projections from 20 Global Climate Models (GCMs) in the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) during two future periods of 2031-2060 (2040S) and 2071-2100 (2080S) under societal development pathway (SSP) 245 and SSP585 scenarios. We found that extreme temperature stress had significantly negative impacts on wheat yield. However, increased rainfall and the elevated atmospheric CO2 concentration could partly compensate for the yield loss caused by extreme temperature events. Under future climate scenarios, the risk of exposure to heat stress around flowering had no great change but frost risk in spring increased slightly mainly due to warming climate accelerating wheat development and advancing the flowering time to a cooler period of growing season. Wheat yield loss caused by heat and frost stress increased by -0.6 to 4.2 and 1.9-12.8% under SSP585_2080S, respectively. We also found that late sowing and selecting cultivars with a long vegetative growth phase (VGP) could significantly compensate for the negative impact of extreme temperature on wheat yields in the south of NCP. However, selecting heat resistant cultivars in the north NCP and both heat and frost resistant cultivars in the central NCP may be a more effective way to alleviate the negative effect of extreme temperature on wheat yields. Our findings showed that not only heat risk should be concerned under climate warming, but also frost risk should not be ignored.},
}
@article {pmid35182189,
year = {2022},
author = {Russell, AR and van Kooten, GC and Izett, JG and Eiswerth, ME},
title = {Damage Functions and the Social Cost of Carbon: Addressing Uncertainty in Estimating the Economic Consequences of Mitigating Climate Change.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35182189},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {Mitigating the effects of human-induced climate change requires the reduction of greenhouse gases. Policymakers must balance the need for mitigation with the need to sustain and develop the economy. To make informed decisions regarding mitigation strategies, policymakers rely on estimates of the social cost of carbon (SCC), which represents the marginal damage from increased emissions; the SCC must be greater than the marginal abatement cost for mitigation to be economically desirable. To determine the SCC, damage functions translate projections of carbon and temperature into economic losses. We examine the impact that four damage functions commonly employed in the literature have on the SCC. Rather than using an economic growth model, we convert the CO2 pathways from the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) into temperature projections using a three-layer, energy balance model and subsequently estimate damages under each RCP using the damage functions. We estimate marginal damages for 2020-2100, finding significant variability in SCC estimates between damage functions. Despite the uncertainty in choosing a specific damage function, comparing the SCC estimates to estimates of marginal abatement costs from the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) indicates that reducing emissions beyond RCP6.0 is economically beneficial under all scenarios. Reducing emissions beyond RCP4.5 is also likely to be economically desirable under certain damage functions and SSP scenarios. However, future work must resolve the uncertainty surrounding the form of damage function and the SSP estimates of marginal abatement costs to better estimate the economic impacts of climate change and the benefits of mitigating it.},
}
@article {pmid35182188,
year = {2022},
author = {Soltani, L and Mellah, T},
title = {Exploring farmers' adaptation strategies to water shortage under climate change in the Tunisian semi-arid region.},
journal = {Environmental management},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {35182188},
issn = {1432-1009},
abstract = {This study explores the adaptation strategies to water shortage at the farm level in the Tunisian semi-arid region and investigates factors determining the farmers' behavior. In this area, climate change exacerbates the scarcity of water resources, groundwater suffers from saline intrusion, and the reinforcement of surface water depends on the water transfer decision. Based on 81 farmers survey data collected in Diar El Hajjaj irrigated area, the typology of farmers was constructed using the multivariate technique combining the clustering method and principal component analysis.The results show that two groups of the surveyed farmers use more intensive water resources to grow high-value crops and operate toward a commercial farming system. They set up either an accommodating or an expansive plan. The remaining sampled farmers are smallholder farmers who endure critical resource constraints. They tend to adopt a contractive strategy and face a real risk of farming abandonment. Additional actions should be taken at the farm level as well at the national policy level to preserve the farming system under water scarcity due to climate change effects.},
}
@article {pmid35181711,
year = {2022},
author = {Struck, J and Bliedtner, M and Strobel, P and Taylor, W and Biskop, S and Plessen, B and Klaes, B and Bittner, L and Jamsranjav, B and Salazar, G and Szidat, S and Brenning, A and Bazarradnaa, E and Glaser, B and Zech, M and Zech, R},
title =