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ESP: PubMed Auto Bibliography 29 Jul 2026 at 02:06 Created:
Climate Change
The world is warming up, with 2023 being by far the hottest year
since record keeping began and 2024 shaping up to be hotter yet.
But these changes only involve one or two degrees. What's the big
deal?
The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one liter
of water by one degree is one kilocalorie (kcal). Scaling up,
the amount of energy required for a one-degree increase in the
water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is 2,434,000,000,000,000,000 kcals.
That's 25 million times more energy than released by
the WW-II atomic bomb
that destroyed the city of Hiroshima and killed more than 100,000
people.
So, for every one degree increase in water temperature, the Gulf
of Mexico takes on 25-million atomic bombs worth of new energy,
which is then available to fuel hurricanes and other storms.
Maybe a one-degree rise in temperature is a big deal.
Created with PubMed® Query: (( "climate change"[TITLE] OR "global warming"[TITLE] )) NOT pmcbook NOT ispreviousversion
Citations The Papers (from PubMed®)
RevDate: 2026-07-27
CmpDate: 2026-07-27
Climate Change and Autochthonous Vector-Borne Disease Transmission in Europe: Dengue as a Sentinel Signal for Surveillance and Preparedness.
Tropical medicine and infectious disease, 11(7): pii:tropicalmed11070182.
Climate change is reshaping the epidemiology of vector-borne diseases in Europe by altering the ecological conditions that determine vector survival, seasonal activity and pathogen transmission. Rising temperatures, milder winters, prolonged warm seasons and changing precipitation patterns are increasing the suitability of parts of Europe for competent mosquito, tick and sandfly vectors. These changes, combined with human mobility and land-use change, increase the probability that imported pathogens encounter permissive conditions for local transmission. This Opinion article examines autochthonous vector-borne disease transmission in Europe, using dengue as a sentinel example of a wider climate-sensitive transition. We discuss how imported viraemic cases, established competent vectors, vector-host contact and delayed clinical recognition can converge to enable local outbreaks. Beyond dengue, we consider West Nile virus, chikungunya, tick-borne encephalitis, leishmaniasis and Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever as examples of a broader and increasingly heterogeneous European risk landscape. We argue that the public-health impact of this transition is shaped not only by vector expansion, but also by gaps in surveillance integration, diagnostic readiness, workforce preparedness and One Health coordination. Strengthening climate-informed surveillance, rapid laboratory capacity, frontline clinical awareness and cross-sectoral response systems will be essential to prevent repeated introductions from becoming sustained public-health challenges.
Additional Links: PMID-42506752
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42506752,
year = {2026},
author = {Grzybek, M and Bogacka, A},
title = {Climate Change and Autochthonous Vector-Borne Disease Transmission in Europe: Dengue as a Sentinel Signal for Surveillance and Preparedness.},
journal = {Tropical medicine and infectious disease},
volume = {11},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/tropicalmed11070182},
pmid = {42506752},
issn = {2414-6366},
abstract = {Climate change is reshaping the epidemiology of vector-borne diseases in Europe by altering the ecological conditions that determine vector survival, seasonal activity and pathogen transmission. Rising temperatures, milder winters, prolonged warm seasons and changing precipitation patterns are increasing the suitability of parts of Europe for competent mosquito, tick and sandfly vectors. These changes, combined with human mobility and land-use change, increase the probability that imported pathogens encounter permissive conditions for local transmission. This Opinion article examines autochthonous vector-borne disease transmission in Europe, using dengue as a sentinel example of a wider climate-sensitive transition. We discuss how imported viraemic cases, established competent vectors, vector-host contact and delayed clinical recognition can converge to enable local outbreaks. Beyond dengue, we consider West Nile virus, chikungunya, tick-borne encephalitis, leishmaniasis and Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever as examples of a broader and increasingly heterogeneous European risk landscape. We argue that the public-health impact of this transition is shaped not only by vector expansion, but also by gaps in surveillance integration, diagnostic readiness, workforce preparedness and One Health coordination. Strengthening climate-informed surveillance, rapid laboratory capacity, frontline clinical awareness and cross-sectoral response systems will be essential to prevent repeated introductions from becoming sustained public-health challenges.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-27
Effects of climate change on the global distribution for the invasive scale Ceroplastes stellifer (Hemiptera: Coccidae) and implications for its management.
Journal of economic entomology pii:8743631 [Epub ahead of print].
Ceroplastes stellifer (Hemiptera, Coccidae) is a notable invasive species that has spread to over 67 countries or regions, seriously threatening agricultural, forestry, and ornamental plants. To identify the current and future potential distributions of C. stellifer, this study employed maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and Random Forest (RF) models to generate global risk maps for its spread under current and future climate scenarios. The established models demonstrated robust credibility and accuracy based on AUC, TSS, and CBI metrics. Temperature annual range (Bio7) was the most influential variable in both models, accounting for permutation importance of 57.9% and 43.09%, respectively. Despite slight differences in secondary variables, Bio7 and Bio18 (precipitation of warmest quarter) were identified as dominant factors, indicating consistent results across models. Schoener's D tests revealed consistency between 2 models, and the predicted suitable habitat for C. stellifer are mainly distributed across southern and southeastern Asia, southern North America, South America, and Africa. Under future climate scenarios, both models predicted no continuous expansion in total suitable habitat of this pest relative to current climatic conditions. By 2100, suitable habitat would contract by 4.57% to 14.53% under most scenarios and show only a slight mid-term expansion followed by a decline under SSP 585. The MaxEnt model exhibited large fluctuations in suitable range, while the RF model yielded more stable results. By assessing the potential suitable areas and key environmental variables of C. stellifer, theoretical and technical basis is provided for the prevention and control management of the spread, outbreak, and invasion of this pest.
Additional Links: PMID-42507906
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42507906,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, C and Yang, X and Wang, D and Meng, R and Cai, B and Wang, F},
title = {Effects of climate change on the global distribution for the invasive scale Ceroplastes stellifer (Hemiptera: Coccidae) and implications for its management.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toag223},
pmid = {42507906},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {L2025ZD07//Scientific and Technological Research Fund of Hebei Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {Ceroplastes stellifer (Hemiptera, Coccidae) is a notable invasive species that has spread to over 67 countries or regions, seriously threatening agricultural, forestry, and ornamental plants. To identify the current and future potential distributions of C. stellifer, this study employed maximum entropy (MaxEnt) and Random Forest (RF) models to generate global risk maps for its spread under current and future climate scenarios. The established models demonstrated robust credibility and accuracy based on AUC, TSS, and CBI metrics. Temperature annual range (Bio7) was the most influential variable in both models, accounting for permutation importance of 57.9% and 43.09%, respectively. Despite slight differences in secondary variables, Bio7 and Bio18 (precipitation of warmest quarter) were identified as dominant factors, indicating consistent results across models. Schoener's D tests revealed consistency between 2 models, and the predicted suitable habitat for C. stellifer are mainly distributed across southern and southeastern Asia, southern North America, South America, and Africa. Under future climate scenarios, both models predicted no continuous expansion in total suitable habitat of this pest relative to current climatic conditions. By 2100, suitable habitat would contract by 4.57% to 14.53% under most scenarios and show only a slight mid-term expansion followed by a decline under SSP 585. The MaxEnt model exhibited large fluctuations in suitable range, while the RF model yielded more stable results. By assessing the potential suitable areas and key environmental variables of C. stellifer, theoretical and technical basis is provided for the prevention and control management of the spread, outbreak, and invasion of this pest.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Ensemble Niche Modelling Projects Net Suitability Gain and Eastward Range Expansion for the Namaqua Dove (Oena capensis) in Anatolia Under Climate Change.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 16(14): pii:ani16142238.
Climate-driven range shifts are redistributing biodiversity, yet the niche dynamics of Afrotropical and Saharo-Arabian species expanding into the Palearctic remain poorly quantified. The Namaqua Dove (Oena capensis), an arid-zone columbid at the Palearctic margin, was used to assess current and future climatic suitability in Türkiye and to compare its colonised and native niches. An ensemble niche model was fitted from occurrence and climate data, evaluated by cross-validation, and projected to 2070 and 2100 under three emission scenarios and five climate models. Suitability was predicted chiefly by precipitation, with low winter temperature as a secondary constraint, and roughly 92,000 km[2] is already climatically suitable. In environmental space, the colonised records formed a contained, cool-margin subset of the native niche, indicating partial filling rather than expansion into novel climate. Low niche overlap, non-significant similarity tests, and a failed native-model transfer indicate a non-equilibrium, still-establishing front rather than full niche conservatism. The suitable area increased under every scenario and shifted predominantly eastward, with a north-eastward component, rather than poleward. The eastward pattern reflects the geometry of the suitable climate across Anatolia rather than an intrinsic directional preference. Because most of the projected climate has no present-day analogue, the direction of change is better supported than its magnitude, though both are conditioned by this extrapolation. The projected magnitude is reported as scenario illustration rather than forecast. These results indicate that suitability for O. capensis in Türkiye is shaped jointly by precipitation and winter temperature, with colonisation tracking suitable climate rather than shifting into novel conditions.
Additional Links: PMID-42511115
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@article {pmid42511115,
year = {2026},
author = {Kabasakal, B},
title = {Ensemble Niche Modelling Projects Net Suitability Gain and Eastward Range Expansion for the Namaqua Dove (Oena capensis) in Anatolia Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {16},
number = {14},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani16142238},
pmid = {42511115},
issn = {2076-2615},
abstract = {Climate-driven range shifts are redistributing biodiversity, yet the niche dynamics of Afrotropical and Saharo-Arabian species expanding into the Palearctic remain poorly quantified. The Namaqua Dove (Oena capensis), an arid-zone columbid at the Palearctic margin, was used to assess current and future climatic suitability in Türkiye and to compare its colonised and native niches. An ensemble niche model was fitted from occurrence and climate data, evaluated by cross-validation, and projected to 2070 and 2100 under three emission scenarios and five climate models. Suitability was predicted chiefly by precipitation, with low winter temperature as a secondary constraint, and roughly 92,000 km[2] is already climatically suitable. In environmental space, the colonised records formed a contained, cool-margin subset of the native niche, indicating partial filling rather than expansion into novel climate. Low niche overlap, non-significant similarity tests, and a failed native-model transfer indicate a non-equilibrium, still-establishing front rather than full niche conservatism. The suitable area increased under every scenario and shifted predominantly eastward, with a north-eastward component, rather than poleward. The eastward pattern reflects the geometry of the suitable climate across Anatolia rather than an intrinsic directional preference. Because most of the projected climate has no present-day analogue, the direction of change is better supported than its magnitude, though both are conditioned by this extrapolation. The projected magnitude is reported as scenario illustration rather than forecast. These results indicate that suitability for O. capensis in Türkiye is shaped jointly by precipitation and winter temperature, with colonisation tracking suitable climate rather than shifting into novel conditions.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Impacts of Global Climate Change on Potential Habitat Distribution and Range Shifts of Semi-Subterranean Rodents.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 16(14): pii:ani16142245.
As integral components of ecosystems, rodents exhibit high sensitivity to environmental fluctuations. As a typical semi-subterranean rodent, the burrowing and foraging behaviors of the mole vole (Ellobius tancrei) profoundly impact local microhabitat structure and vegetation succession. Given its extensive distribution range, investigating the geographical distribution of the mole vole under climate change is critical for understanding its population dynamics and spatial patterns. To explore the impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of this species, we utilized an ensemble model based on 395 occurrence records and 38 environmental variables. We predicted its potential geographical distribution under current (1970-2000) and three future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585) across three future periods (2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100) and further analyzed the variation trends and centroid migration directions of its global potential distribution. The results revealed the following: (1) Elevation (Dem) and temperature annual range (Bio7) were the dominant environmental factors driving the potential distribution of the mole vole, followed by precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio18), mean diurnal range (Bio2), annual mean temperature (Bio1), base saturation (BSAT), precipitation seasonality (Bio15), calcium carbonate content (TCARBON_EQ), and available water capacity (AWC). (2) Under current climate conditions, the highly suitable habitats were mainly concentrated in Eurasia, particularly in Turkey, Kyrgyzstan, China, Mongolia, and Russia. (3) Under future climate scenarios, suitable habitats showed simultaneous expansion and contraction, with expansion consistently exceeding contraction across all scenarios and periods, especially under SSP585 in the late 21st century. (4) Relative to the current period, the suitable-habitat centroid shifted northeastward under SSP126, but northwestward under SSP245 and SSP585. This study reveals the dynamic spatial shifts of the mole vole driven by climate change, not only providing crucial scientific support for early spatial warning and precise prevention of agricultural and pastoral rodent damage, but also laying a theoretical foundation for understanding the ecological adaptation mechanisms of subterranean rodents and mitigating potential cross-regional dispersal risks.
Additional Links: PMID-42511122
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42511122,
year = {2026},
author = {Chen, D and Zhang, R and Yang, H and Yang, S and Chen, W and Wang, M and Zhao, J},
title = {Impacts of Global Climate Change on Potential Habitat Distribution and Range Shifts of Semi-Subterranean Rodents.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {16},
number = {14},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/ani16142245},
pmid = {42511122},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {2523HXKE2, 2523HXKT1 and 2222SQRCXM//College of Grassland Science, Xinjiang Agricultural University/ ; },
abstract = {As integral components of ecosystems, rodents exhibit high sensitivity to environmental fluctuations. As a typical semi-subterranean rodent, the burrowing and foraging behaviors of the mole vole (Ellobius tancrei) profoundly impact local microhabitat structure and vegetation succession. Given its extensive distribution range, investigating the geographical distribution of the mole vole under climate change is critical for understanding its population dynamics and spatial patterns. To explore the impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of this species, we utilized an ensemble model based on 395 occurrence records and 38 environmental variables. We predicted its potential geographical distribution under current (1970-2000) and three future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585) across three future periods (2041-2060, 2061-2080, and 2081-2100) and further analyzed the variation trends and centroid migration directions of its global potential distribution. The results revealed the following: (1) Elevation (Dem) and temperature annual range (Bio7) were the dominant environmental factors driving the potential distribution of the mole vole, followed by precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio18), mean diurnal range (Bio2), annual mean temperature (Bio1), base saturation (BSAT), precipitation seasonality (Bio15), calcium carbonate content (TCARBON_EQ), and available water capacity (AWC). (2) Under current climate conditions, the highly suitable habitats were mainly concentrated in Eurasia, particularly in Turkey, Kyrgyzstan, China, Mongolia, and Russia. (3) Under future climate scenarios, suitable habitats showed simultaneous expansion and contraction, with expansion consistently exceeding contraction across all scenarios and periods, especially under SSP585 in the late 21st century. (4) Relative to the current period, the suitable-habitat centroid shifted northeastward under SSP126, but northwestward under SSP245 and SSP585. This study reveals the dynamic spatial shifts of the mole vole driven by climate change, not only providing crucial scientific support for early spatial warning and precise prevention of agricultural and pastoral rodent damage, but also laying a theoretical foundation for understanding the ecological adaptation mechanisms of subterranean rodents and mitigating potential cross-regional dispersal risks.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
The Climate-Health Divide: How Climate Change Will Rewire Health Care Across High-, Middle-, and Low-Income Settings.
International journal of environmental research and public health, 23(7):.
BACKGROUND: Climate change is increasingly recognised not only as an environmental emergency but also as a structural determinant of health and health-system performance. Its clinical consequences will not be distributed evenly: high-income countries face rising heat mortality, infrastructure fragility, ageing-related vulnerability, and the need to decarbonise technologically intensive care; middle- and low-income countries face heterogeneous but often more compressed combinations of heat, infectious disease, food insecurity, water stress, displacement, conflict-related fragility, and limited fiscal capacity.
OBJECTIVE: This structured narrative review proposes a comparative framework for understanding how climate change will transform health care across high-, middle-, and low-income settings and identifies adaptation priorities that are resilient, equitable, and low-carbon.
METHODS: We synthesised major climate-health assessments, peer-reviewed epidemiological studies, modelling papers, systematic and scoping reviews, and health-system decarbonisation literature identified through targeted searches and reference chaining. Five climate-health pathways, specified a priori from established direct, indirect, and socially mediated pathway frameworks, were used to organise the review.
FINDINGS: Climate change will reshape health care through five interacting pathways: direct thermal injury and extreme-weather mortality; altered infectious disease ecology; food, water, and nutritional insecurity; mental, maternal-child, and occupational impacts; and damage to the infrastructure, workforce, supply chains, finances, and emissions profile of health systems. In high-income countries, climate stress exposes the limits of hospital-centred, carbon-intensive, just-in-time care. In middle-income countries, expanding coverage and technology coexist with uneven insurance, large informal workforces, and rapidly growing emissions. In low-income and fragile settings, the same hazards interact with undernutrition, weak surveillance, under-resourced primary care, and constrained finance to produce larger marginal health losses.
CONCLUSIONS: The central contribution is the concept of the climate-health divide: the unequal conversion of shared climate hazards into clinical demand, service disruption, financial stress, and emissions-intensive responses. Climate resilience and healthcare decarbonisation should therefore be designed together rather than treated as separate agendas.
Additional Links: PMID-42512206
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Citation:
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@article {pmid42512206,
year = {2026},
author = {Epelde, F},
title = {The Climate-Health Divide: How Climate Change Will Rewire Health Care Across High-, Middle-, and Low-Income Settings.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {23},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {42512206},
issn = {1660-4601},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is increasingly recognised not only as an environmental emergency but also as a structural determinant of health and health-system performance. Its clinical consequences will not be distributed evenly: high-income countries face rising heat mortality, infrastructure fragility, ageing-related vulnerability, and the need to decarbonise technologically intensive care; middle- and low-income countries face heterogeneous but often more compressed combinations of heat, infectious disease, food insecurity, water stress, displacement, conflict-related fragility, and limited fiscal capacity.
OBJECTIVE: This structured narrative review proposes a comparative framework for understanding how climate change will transform health care across high-, middle-, and low-income settings and identifies adaptation priorities that are resilient, equitable, and low-carbon.
METHODS: We synthesised major climate-health assessments, peer-reviewed epidemiological studies, modelling papers, systematic and scoping reviews, and health-system decarbonisation literature identified through targeted searches and reference chaining. Five climate-health pathways, specified a priori from established direct, indirect, and socially mediated pathway frameworks, were used to organise the review.
FINDINGS: Climate change will reshape health care through five interacting pathways: direct thermal injury and extreme-weather mortality; altered infectious disease ecology; food, water, and nutritional insecurity; mental, maternal-child, and occupational impacts; and damage to the infrastructure, workforce, supply chains, finances, and emissions profile of health systems. In high-income countries, climate stress exposes the limits of hospital-centred, carbon-intensive, just-in-time care. In middle-income countries, expanding coverage and technology coexist with uneven insurance, large informal workforces, and rapidly growing emissions. In low-income and fragile settings, the same hazards interact with undernutrition, weak surveillance, under-resourced primary care, and constrained finance to produce larger marginal health losses.
CONCLUSIONS: The central contribution is the concept of the climate-health divide: the unequal conversion of shared climate hazards into clinical demand, service disruption, financial stress, and emissions-intensive responses. Climate resilience and healthcare decarbonisation should therefore be designed together rather than treated as separate agendas.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Rethinking Dengue Preparedness in the Era of Climate Change, Urbanisation, and Digital Health: A Structured Narrative Review.
Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania), 62(7): pii:medicina62071333.
Background and Objectives: Dengue is emerging as a multifaceted public health challenge that extends beyond traditional vector-borne disease frameworks. Climate change, rapid urbanisation, environmental transformation, global mobility, and digital ecosystems are progressively reshaping transmission dynamics, outbreak patterns, and preparedness needs worldwide. This narrative review aimed to examine dengue from an integrated public health perspective, focusing on climate-sensitive transmission, urban health, surveillance and preparedness, digital epidemiology, artificial intelligence (AI), and health communication. Materials and Methods: A structured narrative review was conducted through targeted literature searches in PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science between April and May 2026. To this end, a series of separate thematic search strategies were developed to explore the principal conceptual domains addressed in the review. The synthesis was organised around five interconnected preparedness domains: climate change and environmental transformation; urbanisation and urban health; surveillance, vaccination, and integrated preparedness; digital health, artificial intelligence, and mathematical modelling; and health communication and community engagement. The retrieved literature was analysed using a thematic narrative synthesis approach. Results: The retrieved evidence indicated the progressive expansion and redefinition of dengue risk across both endemic and historically non-endemic regions. Climate variability, environmental transformation, rapid urbanisation, and increasing human mobility have emerged as interconnected drivers capable of influencing vector ecology, transmission dynamics, outbreak frequency, and healthcare system vulnerability. Urbanisation has been frequently associated with infrastructural inequalities, environmental degradation, inadequate water and waste management, and territorial conditions favourable to vector proliferation. The extant literature has also placed significant emphasis on the growing importance of integrated surveillance systems and early warning approaches combining epidemiological, environmental, climatic, entomological, and mobility-related data. Digital epidemiology, AI-based predictive models, and digital surveillance tools may contribute to strengthening outbreak forecasting and preparedness capacity, although important limitations related to data quality, interoperability, interpretability, and implementation remain. In parallel, misinformation, risk communication challenges, and digital communication ecosystems emerged as relevant factors influencing public perception, preventive behaviours, institutional trust, and adherence to public health interventions. Conclusions: Dengue is a systems-level public health challenge shaped by climate change, urbanisation, environmental disruption, human mobility, health-system preparedness, and digital ecosystems. Conventional vector-control strategies alone are unlikely to adequately address this growing complexity. Strengthening dengue preparedness should therefore be considered a broader indicator of public health resilience and long-term health-system adaptation.
Additional Links: PMID-42512875
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42512875,
year = {2026},
author = {Dettori, M and Deiana, G and Palmieri, A and Arghittu, A and Castiglia, P and Piana, A and Campus, G},
title = {Rethinking Dengue Preparedness in the Era of Climate Change, Urbanisation, and Digital Health: A Structured Narrative Review.},
journal = {Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania)},
volume = {62},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/medicina62071333},
pmid = {42512875},
issn = {1648-9144},
abstract = {Background and Objectives: Dengue is emerging as a multifaceted public health challenge that extends beyond traditional vector-borne disease frameworks. Climate change, rapid urbanisation, environmental transformation, global mobility, and digital ecosystems are progressively reshaping transmission dynamics, outbreak patterns, and preparedness needs worldwide. This narrative review aimed to examine dengue from an integrated public health perspective, focusing on climate-sensitive transmission, urban health, surveillance and preparedness, digital epidemiology, artificial intelligence (AI), and health communication. Materials and Methods: A structured narrative review was conducted through targeted literature searches in PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science between April and May 2026. To this end, a series of separate thematic search strategies were developed to explore the principal conceptual domains addressed in the review. The synthesis was organised around five interconnected preparedness domains: climate change and environmental transformation; urbanisation and urban health; surveillance, vaccination, and integrated preparedness; digital health, artificial intelligence, and mathematical modelling; and health communication and community engagement. The retrieved literature was analysed using a thematic narrative synthesis approach. Results: The retrieved evidence indicated the progressive expansion and redefinition of dengue risk across both endemic and historically non-endemic regions. Climate variability, environmental transformation, rapid urbanisation, and increasing human mobility have emerged as interconnected drivers capable of influencing vector ecology, transmission dynamics, outbreak frequency, and healthcare system vulnerability. Urbanisation has been frequently associated with infrastructural inequalities, environmental degradation, inadequate water and waste management, and territorial conditions favourable to vector proliferation. The extant literature has also placed significant emphasis on the growing importance of integrated surveillance systems and early warning approaches combining epidemiological, environmental, climatic, entomological, and mobility-related data. Digital epidemiology, AI-based predictive models, and digital surveillance tools may contribute to strengthening outbreak forecasting and preparedness capacity, although important limitations related to data quality, interoperability, interpretability, and implementation remain. In parallel, misinformation, risk communication challenges, and digital communication ecosystems emerged as relevant factors influencing public perception, preventive behaviours, institutional trust, and adherence to public health interventions. Conclusions: Dengue is a systems-level public health challenge shaped by climate change, urbanisation, environmental disruption, human mobility, health-system preparedness, and digital ecosystems. Conventional vector-control strategies alone are unlikely to adequately address this growing complexity. Strengthening dengue preparedness should therefore be considered a broader indicator of public health resilience and long-term health-system adaptation.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Elucidating the Role of Bacterial and Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Fungi Inoculants in Mitigating Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Emissions in Agroecosystems Under Climate Change.
Microorganisms, 14(7): pii:microorganisms14071412.
Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a greenhouse gas that has a global warming potential approximately 300 times that of carbon dioxide (CO2). It is largely produced in agricultural soils through nitrification and denitrification processes driven by specific microbial functional genes (e.g., amoA, nirS, and nirK), which represent the main source of its emissions. The intensive use of nitrogen fertilizers increases nitrogen surplus in the ecosystem. This in turn accelerates the risk of nitrogen loss through leaching and volatilization, while also accelerating microbial pathways that drive N2O emissions in the soil. This issue raises severe environmental concerns within the context of global climate change, particularly through the climate-driven escalation of soil salinity, which further alters the microbial community and increases these emissions. Microbial inoculants, including bacteria and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi, provide eco-friendly biological solutions to mitigate N2O emissions from agricultural soils. These inoculants could restore nitrogen balance in the soil by several strategies, such as improving nitrogen use efficiency, competing with native nitrifiers, and upregulating nosZ gene expression. This review highlights the current developments in the utilization of microbial inoculants for N2O mitigation, focusing on key bacterial genera (e.g., Bradyrhizobium, Dyadobacter, Stutzerimonas, Paenibacillus, and Bacillus) and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF, e.g., Rhizophagus and Funneliformis), as well as the mechanisms used by these microorganisms. It also discusses the potential of using microbial inoculants in saline-affected soils, as well as the link between salinity and N2O emissions. Based on these insights, this review presents a thorough framework for the prospective use of microbial inoculants as an effective solution to sustainable agriculture while reducing the environmental hazards associated with N2O emissions, which endanger global food and climate systems.
Additional Links: PMID-42513918
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42513918,
year = {2026},
author = {El-Sawah, AM and Abdel-Fattah, GG},
title = {Elucidating the Role of Bacterial and Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Fungi Inoculants in Mitigating Nitrous Oxide (N2O) Emissions in Agroecosystems Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Microorganisms},
volume = {14},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/microorganisms14071412},
pmid = {42513918},
issn = {2076-2607},
abstract = {Nitrous oxide (N2O) is a greenhouse gas that has a global warming potential approximately 300 times that of carbon dioxide (CO2). It is largely produced in agricultural soils through nitrification and denitrification processes driven by specific microbial functional genes (e.g., amoA, nirS, and nirK), which represent the main source of its emissions. The intensive use of nitrogen fertilizers increases nitrogen surplus in the ecosystem. This in turn accelerates the risk of nitrogen loss through leaching and volatilization, while also accelerating microbial pathways that drive N2O emissions in the soil. This issue raises severe environmental concerns within the context of global climate change, particularly through the climate-driven escalation of soil salinity, which further alters the microbial community and increases these emissions. Microbial inoculants, including bacteria and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi, provide eco-friendly biological solutions to mitigate N2O emissions from agricultural soils. These inoculants could restore nitrogen balance in the soil by several strategies, such as improving nitrogen use efficiency, competing with native nitrifiers, and upregulating nosZ gene expression. This review highlights the current developments in the utilization of microbial inoculants for N2O mitigation, focusing on key bacterial genera (e.g., Bradyrhizobium, Dyadobacter, Stutzerimonas, Paenibacillus, and Bacillus) and arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF, e.g., Rhizophagus and Funneliformis), as well as the mechanisms used by these microorganisms. It also discusses the potential of using microbial inoculants in saline-affected soils, as well as the link between salinity and N2O emissions. Based on these insights, this review presents a thorough framework for the prospective use of microbial inoculants as an effective solution to sustainable agriculture while reducing the environmental hazards associated with N2O emissions, which endanger global food and climate systems.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Physiological and Ecological Responses of Arctic and Alpine Plants to Climate Change: Integrating Mechanisms, Adaptations and Ecosystem Consequences.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 15(14): pii:plants15142105.
Alpine and arctic ecosystems are undergoing some of the most rapid environmental changes on the Earth [...].
Additional Links: PMID-42514473
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@article {pmid42514473,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, G and Shi, P},
title = {Physiological and Ecological Responses of Arctic and Alpine Plants to Climate Change: Integrating Mechanisms, Adaptations and Ecosystem Consequences.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {15},
number = {14},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants15142105},
pmid = {42514473},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {Alpine and arctic ecosystems are undergoing some of the most rapid environmental changes on the Earth [...].},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Microbial Functional Gene Abundance-Integrated Modeling of Global Methane Sinks in Upland Soils Under Future Climate Change.
Global change biology, 32(7):e71026.
Methanotrophs are key microbial regulators of soil methane (CH4) sinks, but the global impact of their functional gene abundance on CH4 oxidation remains unquantified. This gap limits the integration of key functional genes abundance parameters (e.g., pmoA) into soil CH4 sink model. We integrated meta-analysis, machine learning, and process-based modeling to assess the relationship between pmoA gene abundance and soil CH4 uptake. Our developed Functional Gene Abundance-Based Methanotrophy Model (FGA-MeMo) incorporates pmoA as a proxy for CH4 oxidation capacity, significantly improving model simulations. FGA-MeMo estimates global upland soil CH4 uptake at 45.74 ± 0.26 Tg year[-1], which is 56%-58% higher than MeMo model. Under SSP5-8.5 scenario, this increases to 64.68 ± 0.35 Tg year[-1] by 2100, with mid- and high-latitude regions showing enhanced CH4 oxidation due to greater pmoA abundance. These findings highlight the importance of integrating microbial functional genes into Earth system models for improved CH4 cycle predictions.
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@article {pmid42517205,
year = {2026},
author = {Xiao, W and Zhou, X and Cheng, L and Bodelier, PLE and Wang, G and Yang, Z and Zhou, J},
title = {Microbial Functional Gene Abundance-Integrated Modeling of Global Methane Sinks in Upland Soils Under Future Climate Change.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {32},
number = {7},
pages = {e71026},
pmid = {42517205},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {32171635//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {Methanotrophs are key microbial regulators of soil methane (CH4) sinks, but the global impact of their functional gene abundance on CH4 oxidation remains unquantified. This gap limits the integration of key functional genes abundance parameters (e.g., pmoA) into soil CH4 sink model. We integrated meta-analysis, machine learning, and process-based modeling to assess the relationship between pmoA gene abundance and soil CH4 uptake. Our developed Functional Gene Abundance-Based Methanotrophy Model (FGA-MeMo) incorporates pmoA as a proxy for CH4 oxidation capacity, significantly improving model simulations. FGA-MeMo estimates global upland soil CH4 uptake at 45.74 ± 0.26 Tg year[-1], which is 56%-58% higher than MeMo model. Under SSP5-8.5 scenario, this increases to 64.68 ± 0.35 Tg year[-1] by 2100, with mid- and high-latitude regions showing enhanced CH4 oxidation due to greater pmoA abundance. These findings highlight the importance of integrating microbial functional genes into Earth system models for improved CH4 cycle predictions.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
"The Seasons Changed, and So Did We": Older Adults' Adaptation Experiences to Climate Change in Urban and Rural Contexts in Eskişehir, Türkiye.
International journal of aging & human development [Epub ahead of print].
This study examines how older adults experience and respond to climate change through a qualitative phenomenological approach in Eskişehir, Türkiye. In-depth interviews were conducted with 24 individuals aged 65 and above living in urban and rural areas. Participants perceived climate change mainly through rising temperatures, drought, and irregular seasonal patterns. Rural participants emphasized agricultural and water-related problems, whereas urban participants highlighted increasing heat, energy costs, and social isolation. The findings show that older adults develop adaptation strategies such as household adjustments and resource-saving practices, although their adaptive capacity is shaped by socioeconomic and health-related factors. By comparing urban and rural experiences, the study contributes to the climate gerontology literature by demonstrating how climate vulnerability is shaped by place-based conditions. Although limited to a small and context-specific sample, the study highlights the need for locally grounded and age-sensitive climate adaptation policies.
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@article {pmid42517805,
year = {2026},
author = {Erkuvan, Ç and Cebeci, F and Artan, T},
title = {"The Seasons Changed, and So Did We": Older Adults' Adaptation Experiences to Climate Change in Urban and Rural Contexts in Eskişehir, Türkiye.},
journal = {International journal of aging & human development},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {914150261456750},
doi = {10.1177/00914150261456750},
pmid = {42517805},
issn = {1541-3535},
abstract = {This study examines how older adults experience and respond to climate change through a qualitative phenomenological approach in Eskişehir, Türkiye. In-depth interviews were conducted with 24 individuals aged 65 and above living in urban and rural areas. Participants perceived climate change mainly through rising temperatures, drought, and irregular seasonal patterns. Rural participants emphasized agricultural and water-related problems, whereas urban participants highlighted increasing heat, energy costs, and social isolation. The findings show that older adults develop adaptation strategies such as household adjustments and resource-saving practices, although their adaptive capacity is shaped by socioeconomic and health-related factors. By comparing urban and rural experiences, the study contributes to the climate gerontology literature by demonstrating how climate vulnerability is shaped by place-based conditions. Although limited to a small and context-specific sample, the study highlights the need for locally grounded and age-sensitive climate adaptation policies.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Climate change shifts almond bloom dates in Afghanistan.
International journal of biometeorology, 70(8):.
Climate change is reshaping the spring phenology of temperate fruit and nut trees worldwide, causing uneven bud break and yield losses across major production regions. Almond trees, including those cultivated in Afghanistan, are susceptible to these shifts. Afghanistan produces over 50 almond varieties, with official exports worth around USD 40 million in 2024. Yet, this value remains below potential due to multiple challenges along the value chain, one of which is the ongoing temperature increase affecting phenology and yields.We projected the flowering dynamics of 51 Afghan almond cultivars using long-term temperature data (1980-2023) and phenological observations (2011-2023). Two historical reference periods (1980 and 2020) and future projections for 2050 and 2085 were simulated under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5) based on 15 General Circulation Models. Bloom predictions were obtained using the PhenoFlex modeling framework with a recently developed combined-fitting approach. The model accurately reproduced observed bloom patterns, achieving a Root Mean Square Error of Prediction below four days for all cultivars. Compared to 1980, bloom dates advanced by roughly two weeks by 2020. Future projections suggest additional advances of up to 16 days for most cultivars, whereas a few exhibited delays of up to 12 days. Pronounced shifts exceeding seven days were found in about 25% of all predictions driven by specific cultivars, especially by 2085 under intermediate and high-emission scenarios. These results emphasize the significant and ongoing changes in almond phenology, highlighting the importance of adaptive management to sustain production and export potential under future climates.
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@article {pmid42517963,
year = {2026},
author = {Shinwari, A and Caspersen, L and Schiffers, K and Luedeling, E},
title = {Climate change shifts almond bloom dates in Afghanistan.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {70},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {42517963},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {Climate change is reshaping the spring phenology of temperate fruit and nut trees worldwide, causing uneven bud break and yield losses across major production regions. Almond trees, including those cultivated in Afghanistan, are susceptible to these shifts. Afghanistan produces over 50 almond varieties, with official exports worth around USD 40 million in 2024. Yet, this value remains below potential due to multiple challenges along the value chain, one of which is the ongoing temperature increase affecting phenology and yields.We projected the flowering dynamics of 51 Afghan almond cultivars using long-term temperature data (1980-2023) and phenological observations (2011-2023). Two historical reference periods (1980 and 2020) and future projections for 2050 and 2085 were simulated under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5) based on 15 General Circulation Models. Bloom predictions were obtained using the PhenoFlex modeling framework with a recently developed combined-fitting approach. The model accurately reproduced observed bloom patterns, achieving a Root Mean Square Error of Prediction below four days for all cultivars. Compared to 1980, bloom dates advanced by roughly two weeks by 2020. Future projections suggest additional advances of up to 16 days for most cultivars, whereas a few exhibited delays of up to 12 days. Pronounced shifts exceeding seven days were found in about 25% of all predictions driven by specific cultivars, especially by 2085 under intermediate and high-emission scenarios. These results emphasize the significant and ongoing changes in almond phenology, highlighting the importance of adaptive management to sustain production and export potential under future climates.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Climate Change Research in Nursing: A Bibliometric Analysis.
Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.) [Epub ahead of print].
AIM: To examine the research trends, themes, and patterns related to climate change in nursing literature.
DESIGN: Bibliometric analysis.
METHODS: Data were obtained from the Web of Science database and analyzed using VOSviewer, Bibliometrix, and CiteSpace.
RESULTS: Analysis of 216 publications revealed an increase in climate change research after 2015. The United States led in the number of publications and citations. The most prolific authors were Nicholas, P.K., Álvarez-Nieto, C., and Richardson, J. Bibliographic coupling identified five distinct research themes, while co-occurrence analysis revealed six prominent research clusters.
CONCLUSIONS: This bibliometric analysis highlights the growing interest in climate change research in nursing but also identifies critical gaps in intervention studies and global collaboration. Addressing these gaps could enhance nursing's global response to climate change.
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@article {pmid42518312,
year = {2026},
author = {Yalcinkaya, T},
title = {Climate Change Research in Nursing: A Bibliometric Analysis.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.70152},
pmid = {42518312},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {AIM: To examine the research trends, themes, and patterns related to climate change in nursing literature.
DESIGN: Bibliometric analysis.
METHODS: Data were obtained from the Web of Science database and analyzed using VOSviewer, Bibliometrix, and CiteSpace.
RESULTS: Analysis of 216 publications revealed an increase in climate change research after 2015. The United States led in the number of publications and citations. The most prolific authors were Nicholas, P.K., Álvarez-Nieto, C., and Richardson, J. Bibliographic coupling identified five distinct research themes, while co-occurrence analysis revealed six prominent research clusters.
CONCLUSIONS: This bibliometric analysis highlights the growing interest in climate change research in nursing but also identifies critical gaps in intervention studies and global collaboration. Addressing these gaps could enhance nursing's global response to climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
The Relationship Between Climate Change Anxiety and Sustainable Consumption Behaviors in Adult Women.
Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.) [Epub ahead of print].
AIM: This study was conducted to determine the relationship between climate change anxiety and sustainable consumption behaviors among adult women.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: This descriptive-correlational study was carried out with adult women who visited outpatient clinics at a training and research hospital located in a provincial center. Data were collected using a Personal Information Form, the Sustainable Consumption Behavior Scale (SCBS), and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS).
RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 31.22 ± 11.97 years. In terms of exposure to climate-related events and natural disasters, 24.8% reported being exposed to earthquakes, 19.3% to forest fires and 11.5% to floods. Participants who reported having experienced climate-related events and natural disasters had significantly higher CCAS and SCBS scores (p < 0.05). There was a statistically significant positive correlation between the total CCAS score, including the sub-dimensions of anxiety and hopelessness, and the total SCBS score, along with its sub-dimensions: environmental sensitivity, non-essential purchasing, saving, and reusability. The structural equation model (SEM) demonstrated that climate change anxiety significantly and positively predicted all sub-dimensions of sustainable consumption behaviors, with the strongest effect on non-essential purchasing (β = 0.562, p < 0.001).
CONCLUSION: This study highlights that climate change anxiety serves as a psychological motivator for sustainable consumption among women. Public health nurses should integrate climate health literacy into community health assessments and design counseling programs that channel eco-anxiety into proactive environmental behaviors. Furthermore, nurses can play a pivotal role in advocating for gender-sensitive health policies that support both psychological well-being and climate resilience.
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@article {pmid42518313,
year = {2026},
author = {Dikici, H and Adibelli, D},
title = {The Relationship Between Climate Change Anxiety and Sustainable Consumption Behaviors in Adult Women.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.70161},
pmid = {42518313},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {AIM: This study was conducted to determine the relationship between climate change anxiety and sustainable consumption behaviors among adult women.
MATERIALS AND METHODS: This descriptive-correlational study was carried out with adult women who visited outpatient clinics at a training and research hospital located in a provincial center. Data were collected using a Personal Information Form, the Sustainable Consumption Behavior Scale (SCBS), and the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS).
RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 31.22 ± 11.97 years. In terms of exposure to climate-related events and natural disasters, 24.8% reported being exposed to earthquakes, 19.3% to forest fires and 11.5% to floods. Participants who reported having experienced climate-related events and natural disasters had significantly higher CCAS and SCBS scores (p < 0.05). There was a statistically significant positive correlation between the total CCAS score, including the sub-dimensions of anxiety and hopelessness, and the total SCBS score, along with its sub-dimensions: environmental sensitivity, non-essential purchasing, saving, and reusability. The structural equation model (SEM) demonstrated that climate change anxiety significantly and positively predicted all sub-dimensions of sustainable consumption behaviors, with the strongest effect on non-essential purchasing (β = 0.562, p < 0.001).
CONCLUSION: This study highlights that climate change anxiety serves as a psychological motivator for sustainable consumption among women. Public health nurses should integrate climate health literacy into community health assessments and design counseling programs that channel eco-anxiety into proactive environmental behaviors. Furthermore, nurses can play a pivotal role in advocating for gender-sensitive health policies that support both psychological well-being and climate resilience.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Sport for development sector and climate change adaptation in Zambia-theories of strategic choice.
Frontiers in sports and active living, 8:1756982.
The World Economic Forum Annual Report 2023-2024 warned of the devastating impact that climate change will have on human health by 2025, claiming that 14.5 million deaths by 2050 are likely to occur because of weather-induced catastrophes such as droughts, floods, extreme heat, heatwaves, wildfires, and tropical storms. Regions of the world, whether in the Global North or Global South, are experiencing different, if not multiple, forms of these climate-driven events. In the Global South, home to many sport-for-development non-governmental organisations (SDP NGOs), community actors are responding to the call for environmental stewardship. The El Nino-induced drought in Zambia has destabilised the operation of SDP NGOs as organisations and participants experience water shortages, erratic electricity supply, and limited engagement time with participants. This study purposed to advance environmental research among some of Zambia's SDP sector actors by demonstrating their engagement in national climate adaptation programmes. The study explored how the SDP sector is responding to environmental matters such as the prolonged drought in Southern Africa and its implications on the operations of the SDP sector. Drawing upon John Child and Richard Whittington's theories of strategic choice, the study analysed the structural constraints and agency of SDP NGOs regarding climate education and practical adaptations to external forces. This study utilised a survey questionnaire which was administered among SDP actors and semi-structured interviews with purposively selected SDP actors to highlight organisational responses to climate change impacts. Using a realist lens, this study examined how agency and structure interact through SDP actions. The study reveals that SDP actors have responded through climate adaptation actions in efforts to transform their context amid the harsh local realities of climate change. It further reveals that SDP NGOs' climate education continue to be constrained by environment and economic determinants.
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@article {pmid42519470,
year = {2026},
author = {Banda, D and Charway, D and Kaluba, C},
title = {Sport for development sector and climate change adaptation in Zambia-theories of strategic choice.},
journal = {Frontiers in sports and active living},
volume = {8},
number = {},
pages = {1756982},
doi = {10.3389/fspor.2026.1756982},
pmid = {42519470},
issn = {2624-9367},
abstract = {The World Economic Forum Annual Report 2023-2024 warned of the devastating impact that climate change will have on human health by 2025, claiming that 14.5 million deaths by 2050 are likely to occur because of weather-induced catastrophes such as droughts, floods, extreme heat, heatwaves, wildfires, and tropical storms. Regions of the world, whether in the Global North or Global South, are experiencing different, if not multiple, forms of these climate-driven events. In the Global South, home to many sport-for-development non-governmental organisations (SDP NGOs), community actors are responding to the call for environmental stewardship. The El Nino-induced drought in Zambia has destabilised the operation of SDP NGOs as organisations and participants experience water shortages, erratic electricity supply, and limited engagement time with participants. This study purposed to advance environmental research among some of Zambia's SDP sector actors by demonstrating their engagement in national climate adaptation programmes. The study explored how the SDP sector is responding to environmental matters such as the prolonged drought in Southern Africa and its implications on the operations of the SDP sector. Drawing upon John Child and Richard Whittington's theories of strategic choice, the study analysed the structural constraints and agency of SDP NGOs regarding climate education and practical adaptations to external forces. This study utilised a survey questionnaire which was administered among SDP actors and semi-structured interviews with purposively selected SDP actors to highlight organisational responses to climate change impacts. Using a realist lens, this study examined how agency and structure interact through SDP actions. The study reveals that SDP actors have responded through climate adaptation actions in efforts to transform their context amid the harsh local realities of climate change. It further reveals that SDP NGOs' climate education continue to be constrained by environment and economic determinants.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Climate Change Predicted to Trigger an Upward Altitudinal Range Shift and Boost the Abundance of a Montane Rock Face Specialist, the Wallcreeper (Tichodroma muraria).
Ecology and evolution, 16(7):e73963 pii:ECE373963.
Montane species are predicted to respond to climate change by moving upslope, particularly high elevation specialists with thermal niches adapted to cold environments. Unfortunately, the accuracy of predictive species distribution models is often reduced by (1) the challenge of accounting for changes in habitat and resource availability and (2) the inability to account for complex life history strategies. Here we use the Wallcreeper (Tichodroma muraria) as a model species for predicting the response of high elevation specialists to climate change, leveraging unique aspects of its ecology as an obligate cliff specialist and altitudinal migrant. Using species distribution models based on citizen science data collected across Switzerland and intensive field surveys of abundance within its core range, we predict future range shifts and overlap among life cycle periods under different climate change scenarios. Principal environmental predictors varied among seasons, with temperature being more important during the winter. While the breeding range was predicted to shift upwards with little change in overall spatial extent, the overwintering range was predicted to expand upslope by up to 244%, leading to a 123% increase in seasonal overlap. Abundance models showed similar results while also providing the first robust density estimates for the species in Switzerland. In contrast to past studies of alpine biota that predict severe range contractions due to climate change, sufficient high elevation habitat exists in Switzerland to allow the Wallcreeper to shift and expand its range upslope, especially in the overwintering period when cold thermal constraints are relaxed. However, most of the current Wallcreeper distribution in Europe lies in mountain ranges likely to be outside of its breeding thermal range in the future, stressing the importance of the Swiss Alps as a stronghold for this species and alpine diversity in an era of rapidly warming temperatures.
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@article {pmid42519510,
year = {2026},
author = {Luisier, C and Vignali, S and Braunisch, V and Barras, AG and Kéry, M and Arlettaz, R and Ausprey, IJ},
title = {Climate Change Predicted to Trigger an Upward Altitudinal Range Shift and Boost the Abundance of a Montane Rock Face Specialist, the Wallcreeper (Tichodroma muraria).},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {16},
number = {7},
pages = {e73963},
doi = {10.1002/ece3.73963},
pmid = {42519510},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Montane species are predicted to respond to climate change by moving upslope, particularly high elevation specialists with thermal niches adapted to cold environments. Unfortunately, the accuracy of predictive species distribution models is often reduced by (1) the challenge of accounting for changes in habitat and resource availability and (2) the inability to account for complex life history strategies. Here we use the Wallcreeper (Tichodroma muraria) as a model species for predicting the response of high elevation specialists to climate change, leveraging unique aspects of its ecology as an obligate cliff specialist and altitudinal migrant. Using species distribution models based on citizen science data collected across Switzerland and intensive field surveys of abundance within its core range, we predict future range shifts and overlap among life cycle periods under different climate change scenarios. Principal environmental predictors varied among seasons, with temperature being more important during the winter. While the breeding range was predicted to shift upwards with little change in overall spatial extent, the overwintering range was predicted to expand upslope by up to 244%, leading to a 123% increase in seasonal overlap. Abundance models showed similar results while also providing the first robust density estimates for the species in Switzerland. In contrast to past studies of alpine biota that predict severe range contractions due to climate change, sufficient high elevation habitat exists in Switzerland to allow the Wallcreeper to shift and expand its range upslope, especially in the overwintering period when cold thermal constraints are relaxed. However, most of the current Wallcreeper distribution in Europe lies in mountain ranges likely to be outside of its breeding thermal range in the future, stressing the importance of the Swiss Alps as a stronghold for this species and alpine diversity in an era of rapidly warming temperatures.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-28
Climate Change and Tuberculosis Cases in Islamic Boarding Schools of Indonesia: How to Handle It?.
International journal of school health, 12(1):63-65 pii:intjsh-12-1.
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@article {pmid42519750,
year = {2025},
author = {Romadhan, K and Susanto, T},
title = {Climate Change and Tuberculosis Cases in Islamic Boarding Schools of Indonesia: How to Handle It?.},
journal = {International journal of school health},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {63-65},
doi = {10.30476/intjsh.2024.104738.1460},
pmid = {42519750},
issn = {2383-1219},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-25
CmpDate: 2026-07-25
Conservation of forest genetic resources in eastern India amidst climate change and abiotic stress.
Environmental monitoring and assessment, 198(8):.
Eastern India's tropical deciduous forest ecosystems, dominated by Shorea robusta C.F.Gaertn., are increasingly threatened by abiotic stressors and climate change, posing significant risks to species survival, regeneration dynamics, and forest genetic resources. This study assessed the current status and future distributional dynamics of S. robusta and its five major associates, Terminalia alata B.Heyne ex Roth, Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb., Lagerstroemia parviflora Roxb., Diospyros melanoxylon Blume, and Madhuca longifolia (J.Koenig ex L.) J.F.Macbr., under changing climatic conditions in eastern India. Field surveys were conducted across 870 quadrats distributed throughout the tropical deciduous forests of Jharkhand, Bihar, and West Bengal during 2020-2023 to collect species occurrence, population structure, and regeneration data. Species distributions under current and future climate scenarios were modelled using the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) software under different CMIP6 climate models (INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR and MIROC6) proxied through four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Under current climatic conditions, S. robusta occupied highest coverage (~ 12.13%) across the study area as suitable habitat, proving its dominance. Future projections indicated a northward shift and contraction of suitable habitat for S. robusta, P. marsupium, and L. parviflora, with S. robusta projected to lose approximately 14-67% of its suitable habitat by 2050. Under a business-as-usual scenario, all studied species were predicted to experience habitat decline, with the greatest reduction (~ 84%) observed for L. parviflora. Population assessments revealed good regeneration status for S. robusta, M. longifolia, P. marsupium, T. alata, and D. melanoxylon, whereas L. parviflora exhibited comparatively poorer regeneration. Notably, P. marsupium and M. longifolia exhibit resilience to climate stress, supported by favorable regeneration status. These findings provide a scientific basis for location- and species-specific conservation and restoration strategies to enhance the long-term resilience of eastern India's tropical deciduous forest ecosystems under climate change.
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@article {pmid42501147,
year = {2026},
author = {Garai, S and Malakar, A and Mishra, Y and Kumar, R and Jojo, M and Choudhary, S and Konar, S and Mishra, A and Tiwari, S},
title = {Conservation of forest genetic resources in eastern India amidst climate change and abiotic stress.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {198},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {42501147},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; India ; *Forests ; *Conservation of Natural Resources ; *Stress, Physiological ; Environmental Monitoring ; },
abstract = {Eastern India's tropical deciduous forest ecosystems, dominated by Shorea robusta C.F.Gaertn., are increasingly threatened by abiotic stressors and climate change, posing significant risks to species survival, regeneration dynamics, and forest genetic resources. This study assessed the current status and future distributional dynamics of S. robusta and its five major associates, Terminalia alata B.Heyne ex Roth, Pterocarpus marsupium Roxb., Lagerstroemia parviflora Roxb., Diospyros melanoxylon Blume, and Madhuca longifolia (J.Koenig ex L.) J.F.Macbr., under changing climatic conditions in eastern India. Field surveys were conducted across 870 quadrats distributed throughout the tropical deciduous forests of Jharkhand, Bihar, and West Bengal during 2020-2023 to collect species occurrence, population structure, and regeneration data. Species distributions under current and future climate scenarios were modelled using the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) software under different CMIP6 climate models (INM-CM5-0, IPSL-CM6A-LR and MIROC6) proxied through four shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs). Under current climatic conditions, S. robusta occupied highest coverage (~ 12.13%) across the study area as suitable habitat, proving its dominance. Future projections indicated a northward shift and contraction of suitable habitat for S. robusta, P. marsupium, and L. parviflora, with S. robusta projected to lose approximately 14-67% of its suitable habitat by 2050. Under a business-as-usual scenario, all studied species were predicted to experience habitat decline, with the greatest reduction (~ 84%) observed for L. parviflora. Population assessments revealed good regeneration status for S. robusta, M. longifolia, P. marsupium, T. alata, and D. melanoxylon, whereas L. parviflora exhibited comparatively poorer regeneration. Notably, P. marsupium and M. longifolia exhibit resilience to climate stress, supported by favorable regeneration status. These findings provide a scientific basis for location- and species-specific conservation and restoration strategies to enhance the long-term resilience of eastern India's tropical deciduous forest ecosystems under climate change.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
India
*Forests
*Conservation of Natural Resources
*Stress, Physiological
Environmental Monitoring
RevDate: 2026-07-26
Climate change impacts on fish in the Baltic Sea.
Journal of fish biology [Epub ahead of print].
The Baltic Sea is a marginal sea with strong abiotic gradients harbouring fish of both marine and freshwater origin. Here we review the empirical evidence for how changes in climate variables have impacted different fish and fish communities in the Baltic Sea. Studies on responses to temperature, salinity and hypoxia dominate the literature, with most evidence for negative influences on reproduction and feeding areas for demersal fish of marine origin. In contrast, warmer waters benefit the reproduction and growth of some smaller pelagic and many coastal fish species of freshwater origin, but responses on population or community levels are elusive. Several responses to climate change have further been mediated through changes in prey abundance and quality. Studies investigating adaptations to climate change indicate that fish are adapting, partly counteracting climate impact. A precautionary approach to management is therefore important to safeguard climate change adaptation and reduce deleterious impacts as the impact on the Baltic Sea from a changing climate likely will be even more pronounced in the coming decades.
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@article {pmid42503442,
year = {2026},
author = {Östman, Ö and Kallasvuo, M and Kuningas, S and Lappalainen, A and Mustamäki, N and Naddafi, R and Saks, L and Olsson, J},
title = {Climate change impacts on fish in the Baltic Sea.},
journal = {Journal of fish biology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/jfb.70582},
pmid = {42503442},
issn = {1095-8649},
support = {00735-20//Havs- och Vattenmyndigheten/ ; 1449-23//Havs- och Vattenmyndigheten/ ; 292985//Strategic Research Council/ ; 314225//Strategic Research Council/ ; },
abstract = {The Baltic Sea is a marginal sea with strong abiotic gradients harbouring fish of both marine and freshwater origin. Here we review the empirical evidence for how changes in climate variables have impacted different fish and fish communities in the Baltic Sea. Studies on responses to temperature, salinity and hypoxia dominate the literature, with most evidence for negative influences on reproduction and feeding areas for demersal fish of marine origin. In contrast, warmer waters benefit the reproduction and growth of some smaller pelagic and many coastal fish species of freshwater origin, but responses on population or community levels are elusive. Several responses to climate change have further been mediated through changes in prey abundance and quality. Studies investigating adaptations to climate change indicate that fish are adapting, partly counteracting climate impact. A precautionary approach to management is therefore important to safeguard climate change adaptation and reduce deleterious impacts as the impact on the Baltic Sea from a changing climate likely will be even more pronounced in the coming decades.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-27
CmpDate: 2026-07-27
Vulnerability of Myrmecochory to Anthropogenic Disturbances and Climate Change: An Ecological Synthesis.
Insects, 17(7): pii:insects17070677.
Myrmecochory is a form of seed dispersal mediated by ants. Although this mechanism of dispersal has received less research attention than other dispersal processes, the wide distribution and high biomass of ants mean that it can strongly influence plant dispersal patterns. In particular, the underlying mechanisms and key agents of myrmecochory remain poorly understood in the context of anthropogenic perturbations; furthermore, such research is especially scarce in East Asia. This review aims to elucidate the ecological mechanisms underlying myrmecochory, to explore how this interaction may be affected by urbanization and climate change, and to determine its potential ecological role in disturbed ecosystems. We first review past research on the three major hypotheses proposed for the emergence of ant-mediated seed dispersal-directed dispersal, distance dispersal, and predator avoidance. We then compile taxonomic information on myrmecochorous plants and ants from global databases and regional literature, expanding the checklist of Korean myrmecochorous plants to 130 species and reclassifying them as endangered, rare, or endemic. Our synthesis suggests that invasive ants could threaten myrmecochory by displacing native myrmecochorous ants, increasing seed predation, and facilitating the dispersal of invasive plants. Moreover, the urban heat island effect and habitat fragmentation could disturb the dispersal, germination, and growth of myrmecochorous plants, threats that may be further intensified by climate-driven phenological mismatches. Consequently, in temperate East Asian countries experiencing anthropogenically generated environmental changes, myrmecochory emerges as a pivotal ecological process that underscores ecosystem vulnerability and resilience. Ultimately, incorporating these plant-ant interactions into biodiversity monitoring is essential for predicting ecosystem shifts and designing robust, proactive conservation strategies in changing environments.
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@article {pmid42505788,
year = {2026},
author = {Yun, S and Lee, SG and Lyu, DP and Cheon, KS and Lee, YY and Yoon, TK},
title = {Vulnerability of Myrmecochory to Anthropogenic Disturbances and Climate Change: An Ecological Synthesis.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects17070677},
pmid = {42505788},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {RS-2023-00213308//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; },
abstract = {Myrmecochory is a form of seed dispersal mediated by ants. Although this mechanism of dispersal has received less research attention than other dispersal processes, the wide distribution and high biomass of ants mean that it can strongly influence plant dispersal patterns. In particular, the underlying mechanisms and key agents of myrmecochory remain poorly understood in the context of anthropogenic perturbations; furthermore, such research is especially scarce in East Asia. This review aims to elucidate the ecological mechanisms underlying myrmecochory, to explore how this interaction may be affected by urbanization and climate change, and to determine its potential ecological role in disturbed ecosystems. We first review past research on the three major hypotheses proposed for the emergence of ant-mediated seed dispersal-directed dispersal, distance dispersal, and predator avoidance. We then compile taxonomic information on myrmecochorous plants and ants from global databases and regional literature, expanding the checklist of Korean myrmecochorous plants to 130 species and reclassifying them as endangered, rare, or endemic. Our synthesis suggests that invasive ants could threaten myrmecochory by displacing native myrmecochorous ants, increasing seed predation, and facilitating the dispersal of invasive plants. Moreover, the urban heat island effect and habitat fragmentation could disturb the dispersal, germination, and growth of myrmecochorous plants, threats that may be further intensified by climate-driven phenological mismatches. Consequently, in temperate East Asian countries experiencing anthropogenically generated environmental changes, myrmecochory emerges as a pivotal ecological process that underscores ecosystem vulnerability and resilience. Ultimately, incorporating these plant-ant interactions into biodiversity monitoring is essential for predicting ecosystem shifts and designing robust, proactive conservation strategies in changing environments.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-27
CmpDate: 2026-07-27
Climate Change May Expand Geographic Distribution of Asian Butterflies Despite Climatic Niche Contraction.
Insects, 17(7): pii:insects17070683.
This study presents a nuanced understanding of how butterflies may respond to climate change, suggesting that although many species could experience noticeable contractions in their climatic niches, a substantial number may still have the potential to considerably expand their geographic ranges. We modeled the distributions of 200 butterfly species across Asia using the MaxEnt algorithm. Habitat suitability maps were produced for both current conditions and future scenarios under moderate (SSP245) and high (SSP585) greenhouse gas emissions. To analyze niche dynamics, we projected the realized niches of species onto principal component environmental spaces, which allowed us to quantify key processes including niche stability, expansion, unfilling, abandonment, and pioneering. These indices were then mapped spatially to identify potential changes in climatic niche configurations and geographic distributions in response to climate change. Our findings indicate that by 2070, under the moderate-emissions scenario (SSP245), 185 species are projected to show expansion in suitable habitat by an average of 38%, while 15 species may face an average decline of 11%. Under the high-emissions scenario (SSP585), 184 species are projected to show increases in suitable habitat by 55% on average, with 16 species showing an average decrease of 13%. Additionally, species are predicted to maintain approximately 63% of their current climatic niche stability under SSP585. Niche expansion averages 12%, reflecting potential range growth, whereas unfilling accounts for around 16%, indicating possible loss of some currently suitable areas. Niche abandonment or niche contraction, representing climatic spaces no longer projected to be occupied, comprises about 8%, and pioneering into entirely new climatic conditions remains limited at roughly 1%. The modeled presence of niche unfilling and abandonment suggests that butterflies may retain considerable ecological flexibility, potentially allowing them to shift into new environments under changing climate conditions. This projected adaptability may enhance their resilience by facilitating potential movement into novel or previously unoccupied habitats, though actual range shifts will depend on factors beyond climatic suitability alone.
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@article {pmid42505794,
year = {2026},
author = {Rahimi, E and Jung, C},
title = {Climate Change May Expand Geographic Distribution of Asian Butterflies Despite Climatic Niche Contraction.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects17070683},
pmid = {42505794},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {NRF-2018R1A6A1A03024862//National Research Foundation of Korea/ ; RS-2023-00232847//Rural Development Administration/ ; },
abstract = {This study presents a nuanced understanding of how butterflies may respond to climate change, suggesting that although many species could experience noticeable contractions in their climatic niches, a substantial number may still have the potential to considerably expand their geographic ranges. We modeled the distributions of 200 butterfly species across Asia using the MaxEnt algorithm. Habitat suitability maps were produced for both current conditions and future scenarios under moderate (SSP245) and high (SSP585) greenhouse gas emissions. To analyze niche dynamics, we projected the realized niches of species onto principal component environmental spaces, which allowed us to quantify key processes including niche stability, expansion, unfilling, abandonment, and pioneering. These indices were then mapped spatially to identify potential changes in climatic niche configurations and geographic distributions in response to climate change. Our findings indicate that by 2070, under the moderate-emissions scenario (SSP245), 185 species are projected to show expansion in suitable habitat by an average of 38%, while 15 species may face an average decline of 11%. Under the high-emissions scenario (SSP585), 184 species are projected to show increases in suitable habitat by 55% on average, with 16 species showing an average decrease of 13%. Additionally, species are predicted to maintain approximately 63% of their current climatic niche stability under SSP585. Niche expansion averages 12%, reflecting potential range growth, whereas unfilling accounts for around 16%, indicating possible loss of some currently suitable areas. Niche abandonment or niche contraction, representing climatic spaces no longer projected to be occupied, comprises about 8%, and pioneering into entirely new climatic conditions remains limited at roughly 1%. The modeled presence of niche unfilling and abandonment suggests that butterflies may retain considerable ecological flexibility, potentially allowing them to shift into new environments under changing climate conditions. This projected adaptability may enhance their resilience by facilitating potential movement into novel or previously unoccupied habitats, though actual range shifts will depend on factors beyond climatic suitability alone.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-27
CmpDate: 2026-07-27
Prediction of Climate Change Impacts on the Suitable Habitat of Hyphantria cunea in China Based on Biomod2 Ensemble Models.
Insects, 17(7): pii:insects17070686.
Global climate warming has intensified in recent years, with extreme weather events occurring more frequently and severely impacting ecosystems and social production. According to the "China Climate Change Blue Book (2023)," China's temperature rise rate exceeds the global average, with increasingly significant impacts on ecosystems. Hyphantria cunea, an invasive forest pest first discovered in China in 1979, has spread widely, causing serious damage to forestry and agriculture and posing a significant threat to China's ecological security. To address this threat, this study employed seven modeling algorithms (GLM, GBM, CTA, ANN, SRE, FDA, MARS, RF, and MaxEnt) from the R Biomod2 package to develop an ensemble model. The core research objective of this work is to quantify climate-driven range shifts of H. cunea under ongoing global climate change. Previous nationwide SDM studies on invasive forest pests have consistently demonstrated that climatic variables dominate broad-scale nationwide suitable habitat patterns at the macro-regional level. Supplementary topographic, vegetation cover, and human land-use disturbance layers were incorporated to capture fine-scale habitat filtering effects and long-distance pest dispersal facilitated by human activities, which together fully characterize the suitable regional environments of this pest. By integrating climate, topography, vegetation, and human disturbance data, we predicted the potential geographical distribution of H. cunea in China under four future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). The ensemble model achieved excellent performance with TSS and ROC values of 0.901 and 0.984, respectively. Currently, highly suitable areas for H. cunea are concentrated in 12 provinces, including Shandong, Jiangsu, Hebei, Henan, and Anhui, covering 56.33 × 104 km[2], with Shandong showing the highest proportion (25.48%). The suitable habitat range is projected to expand northeastward, with significant increases under high emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5). Analysis of environmental variables reveals that nighttime light brightness, precipitation in the warmest season, the seasonal temperature variation coefficient, and average temperature in the driest season are key factors influencing H. cunea distribution. Nighttime light brightness shows the highest contribution (27.7%), indicating significant human impact on species spread. Response curves suggest that H. cunea favors warm, humid areas with pronounced seasonal changes. This study demonstrates that climate change will increase H. cunea expansion risk, necessitating strengthened cross-regional monitoring and biological control techniques. These findings provide a scientific foundation for understanding H. cunea spatiotemporal distribution patterns under future climate scenarios and for developing effective prevention and control strategies.
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@article {pmid42505797,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, Y and Li, J and Han, W},
title = {Prediction of Climate Change Impacts on the Suitable Habitat of Hyphantria cunea in China Based on Biomod2 Ensemble Models.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects17070686},
pmid = {42505797},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2024AFB1015//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 25YJAZH180//Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China/ ; },
abstract = {Global climate warming has intensified in recent years, with extreme weather events occurring more frequently and severely impacting ecosystems and social production. According to the "China Climate Change Blue Book (2023)," China's temperature rise rate exceeds the global average, with increasingly significant impacts on ecosystems. Hyphantria cunea, an invasive forest pest first discovered in China in 1979, has spread widely, causing serious damage to forestry and agriculture and posing a significant threat to China's ecological security. To address this threat, this study employed seven modeling algorithms (GLM, GBM, CTA, ANN, SRE, FDA, MARS, RF, and MaxEnt) from the R Biomod2 package to develop an ensemble model. The core research objective of this work is to quantify climate-driven range shifts of H. cunea under ongoing global climate change. Previous nationwide SDM studies on invasive forest pests have consistently demonstrated that climatic variables dominate broad-scale nationwide suitable habitat patterns at the macro-regional level. Supplementary topographic, vegetation cover, and human land-use disturbance layers were incorporated to capture fine-scale habitat filtering effects and long-distance pest dispersal facilitated by human activities, which together fully characterize the suitable regional environments of this pest. By integrating climate, topography, vegetation, and human disturbance data, we predicted the potential geographical distribution of H. cunea in China under four future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5). The ensemble model achieved excellent performance with TSS and ROC values of 0.901 and 0.984, respectively. Currently, highly suitable areas for H. cunea are concentrated in 12 provinces, including Shandong, Jiangsu, Hebei, Henan, and Anhui, covering 56.33 × 104 km[2], with Shandong showing the highest proportion (25.48%). The suitable habitat range is projected to expand northeastward, with significant increases under high emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5). Analysis of environmental variables reveals that nighttime light brightness, precipitation in the warmest season, the seasonal temperature variation coefficient, and average temperature in the driest season are key factors influencing H. cunea distribution. Nighttime light brightness shows the highest contribution (27.7%), indicating significant human impact on species spread. Response curves suggest that H. cunea favors warm, humid areas with pronounced seasonal changes. This study demonstrates that climate change will increase H. cunea expansion risk, necessitating strengthened cross-regional monitoring and biological control techniques. These findings provide a scientific foundation for understanding H. cunea spatiotemporal distribution patterns under future climate scenarios and for developing effective prevention and control strategies.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-27
CmpDate: 2026-07-27
Spatial Autocorrelations Between Potentially Suitable Habitats of Aquatica leii and Landscape Patterns Under Climate Change.
Insects, 17(7): pii:insects17070717.
Climate change is reshaping species distributions worldwide, while landscape patterns can further influence habitat suitability and species persistence. Fireflies are important environmental indicators, given their high sensitivity to environmental disturbances. However, the effects of climate change and landscape structure on their future survival remain unclear. Here, we used the MaxEnt model to examine the current and predict the future potentially suitable habitats of Aquatica leii, an endemic aquatic firefly in China, under the SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 climate scenarios. We also examined the spatial associations between potentially suitable habitats and landscape patterns using bivariate spatial autocorrelation analyses. The results showed that soil clay content, soil pH, annual mean temperature, slope, and distance to roads were the main factors influencing habitat suitability. Potentially suitable habitats were concentrated in western Zhejiang Province and are projected to expand under future climate scenarios. Potentially suitable habitats showed significant positive spatial associations with the number of patches, landscape shape index, Shannon's diversity index, and Shannon's evenness index. Associations with the largest patch index varied among scenarios, and were generally strengthened under future climate change. Overall, heterogeneous landscapes with diverse and complex habitat structures play an important role in supporting A. leii and should be considered in future conservation planning.
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@article {pmid42505828,
year = {2026},
author = {Zheng, C and Zhan, D and Fang, Y and Li, H and Huang, Z and Fan, X},
title = {Spatial Autocorrelations Between Potentially Suitable Habitats of Aquatica leii and Landscape Patterns Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects17070717},
pmid = {42505828},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2021ZDLY04//Lishui Science and Technology Bureau/ ; 2021KFLY03//Lishui Science and Technology Bureau/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is reshaping species distributions worldwide, while landscape patterns can further influence habitat suitability and species persistence. Fireflies are important environmental indicators, given their high sensitivity to environmental disturbances. However, the effects of climate change and landscape structure on their future survival remain unclear. Here, we used the MaxEnt model to examine the current and predict the future potentially suitable habitats of Aquatica leii, an endemic aquatic firefly in China, under the SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 climate scenarios. We also examined the spatial associations between potentially suitable habitats and landscape patterns using bivariate spatial autocorrelation analyses. The results showed that soil clay content, soil pH, annual mean temperature, slope, and distance to roads were the main factors influencing habitat suitability. Potentially suitable habitats were concentrated in western Zhejiang Province and are projected to expand under future climate scenarios. Potentially suitable habitats showed significant positive spatial associations with the number of patches, landscape shape index, Shannon's diversity index, and Shannon's evenness index. Associations with the largest patch index varied among scenarios, and were generally strengthened under future climate change. Overall, heterogeneous landscapes with diverse and complex habitat structures play an important role in supporting A. leii and should be considered in future conservation planning.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-27
CmpDate: 2026-07-27
Global Invasion Potential and Niche Dynamics of Phoracantha recurva Newman, 1840 (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) Under Climate Change.
Insects, 17(7): pii:insects17070729.
Phoracantha recurva Newman (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae), a wood-boring beetle native to Australia, threatens Eucalyptus L'Hér plantations worldwide. Despite established populations across North America, South America, Europe, and Africa, its global colonization potential and niche dynamics under climate change have received limited attention. Here, we used the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, integrating 844 occurrence records and eight bioclimatic variables, to predict the potential geographical distribution of P. recurva under current conditions and three future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) for 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. We quantified niche dynamics using the COUE framework through calculations of niche stability, expansion, unfilling, and Schoener's D, complemented by niche equivalency and similarity tests. The model exhibited excellent predictive performance (AUC = 0.954 ± 0.004; Boyce index = 0.999). Suitable habitats for P. recurva occurred primarily between 60° N and 55° S. Under all three future scenarios, total suitable area displayed a gradual decline while the potential distribution shifted toward higher latitudes, particularly across Europe and China. Niche analysis confirmed substantial niche conservatism during global invasion, yet revealed considerable niche unfilling during colonization of the Eurasian continent-indicating persistent potential for further range expansion. Niche comparisons between native and invaded ranges under model-projected distributions yielded expanded overlap across all regions except Africa, where invasive populations may undergo niche differentiation under changing climatic conditions. Our findings emphasize the ongoing invasion risk that P. recurva poses to major Eucalyptus-planting countries and call for strengthened inspection and quarantine measures to protect global forestry plantations.
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@article {pmid42505840,
year = {2026},
author = {Zhao, J and Sun, D and Wang, H and Liang, T and Lan, K and Shi, J},
title = {Global Invasion Potential and Niche Dynamics of Phoracantha recurva Newman, 1840 (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects17070729},
pmid = {42505840},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2023YFC2605200//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {Phoracantha recurva Newman (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae), a wood-boring beetle native to Australia, threatens Eucalyptus L'Hér plantations worldwide. Despite established populations across North America, South America, Europe, and Africa, its global colonization potential and niche dynamics under climate change have received limited attention. Here, we used the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model, integrating 844 occurrence records and eight bioclimatic variables, to predict the potential geographical distribution of P. recurva under current conditions and three future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) for 2041-2070 and 2071-2100. We quantified niche dynamics using the COUE framework through calculations of niche stability, expansion, unfilling, and Schoener's D, complemented by niche equivalency and similarity tests. The model exhibited excellent predictive performance (AUC = 0.954 ± 0.004; Boyce index = 0.999). Suitable habitats for P. recurva occurred primarily between 60° N and 55° S. Under all three future scenarios, total suitable area displayed a gradual decline while the potential distribution shifted toward higher latitudes, particularly across Europe and China. Niche analysis confirmed substantial niche conservatism during global invasion, yet revealed considerable niche unfilling during colonization of the Eurasian continent-indicating persistent potential for further range expansion. Niche comparisons between native and invaded ranges under model-projected distributions yielded expanded overlap across all regions except Africa, where invasive populations may undergo niche differentiation under changing climatic conditions. Our findings emphasize the ongoing invasion risk that P. recurva poses to major Eucalyptus-planting countries and call for strengthened inspection and quarantine measures to protect global forestry plantations.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-27
CmpDate: 2026-07-27
Suitable Habitats of Two Tea Pests for Management Guidance in China Under Climate Change.
Insects, 17(7): pii:insects17070740.
Driven by the human demand for tea beverages, tea production has expanded worldwide. Tea production in China, the world's largest tea producer, is constrained by Dendrothrips minowai and Matsumurasca (Matsumurasca) onukii. Various management measures for controlling these pests have been developed, but their implementation requires knowledge of the pest distribution, which is currently insufficient. Therefore, precise management of these pests is a major challenge. Using optimized MaxEnt models for the distributions of the two pests across the current and future timeframes, we predicted the overlap of their suitable habitats. The central and southern provinces of China were identified as the primary suitable habitats of both pests at the current time. The suitable habitats will diverge in the future, with D. minowai habitats declining by 29.70-61.90% and M. onukii habitats increasing by 8.05-43.62%. These results demonstrate species-specific responses to climate change. Despite a decrease in overlap areas, the current and future overlap areas consistently coincide with some major tea-growing areas such as Guizhou, Yunnan, Hunan, and Fujian. The predicted overlap areas can aid the identification of priority areas, optimization of resource allocation, and dynamic adjustment of management measures, improving the precision and efficiency of managing the two pests.
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@article {pmid42505851,
year = {2026},
author = {Zhao, Z and Feng, X and Zhou, J and Yao, M and Chen, J and Huang, X},
title = {Suitable Habitats of Two Tea Pests for Management Guidance in China Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {17},
number = {7},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/insects17070740},
pmid = {42505851},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {QKHJCMS[2025]075, QKHJCQN[2025]203, QKHJC[2024]Youth290, 289, and 410//Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Projects/ ; },
abstract = {Driven by the human demand for tea beverages, tea production has expanded worldwide. Tea production in China, the world's largest tea producer, is constrained by Dendrothrips minowai and Matsumurasca (Matsumurasca) onukii. Various management measures for controlling these pests have been developed, but their implementation requires knowledge of the pest distribution, which is currently insufficient. Therefore, precise management of these pests is a major challenge. Using optimized MaxEnt models for the distributions of the two pests across the current and future timeframes, we predicted the overlap of their suitable habitats. The central and southern provinces of China were identified as the primary suitable habitats of both pests at the current time. The suitable habitats will diverge in the future, with D. minowai habitats declining by 29.70-61.90% and M. onukii habitats increasing by 8.05-43.62%. These results demonstrate species-specific responses to climate change. Despite a decrease in overlap areas, the current and future overlap areas consistently coincide with some major tea-growing areas such as Guizhou, Yunnan, Hunan, and Fujian. The predicted overlap areas can aid the identification of priority areas, optimization of resource allocation, and dynamic adjustment of management measures, improving the precision and efficiency of managing the two pests.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-25
CmpDate: 2026-07-25
Climate Change and African Agricultural Resilience: A 10-Year Comprehensive Review of Adaptive Capacity, Policy, and Environmental Stewardship.
Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.), 7(4):e70191.
In the current era, climate change has emerged as a fundamental threat to African agriculture, driven by increasingly erratic climatic patterns such as prolonged rainfall, decadal droughts, and escalating thermal stress. This review evaluates contemporary agricultural productivity by gathering and analyzing empirical data from academic publications and credible online resources indexed between 2015 and 2025. The primary objective is to delineate the impacts of climatic instability on yield trajectories and food system accessibility. Utilizing a regional comparative framework, the study examines 10 African nations (two per geographic region) to identify localized and pan-African trends. Data synthesis from Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar reveals that climatic variations have fundamentally undermined food security, contributing to famine, economic displacement, and the erosion of rural livelihoods. Key barriers to effective adaptation were identified as financial incapacity, weak institutional synergy, and a deficit in research and development infrastructure. Consequently, this review highlights the urgent need for a multifaceted resilience strategy that harmonizes indigenous adaptation practices, advanced genomics technology, application of artificial intelligence, and digital climate-smart technologies. Strengthening food security will require not only technological adoption but also robust policy frameworks, incentivized investment, infrastructural development, and the expansion of extension services to bridge the gap between climate research and on-farm implementation.
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@article {pmid42499842,
year = {2026},
author = {Okonkwo, CO and Mawcha, KT and Changwa, R and Ndolo, D and Babalola, OO},
title = {Climate Change and African Agricultural Resilience: A 10-Year Comprehensive Review of Adaptive Capacity, Policy, and Environmental Stewardship.},
journal = {Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.)},
volume = {7},
number = {4},
pages = {e70191},
pmid = {42499842},
issn = {2575-6265},
abstract = {In the current era, climate change has emerged as a fundamental threat to African agriculture, driven by increasingly erratic climatic patterns such as prolonged rainfall, decadal droughts, and escalating thermal stress. This review evaluates contemporary agricultural productivity by gathering and analyzing empirical data from academic publications and credible online resources indexed between 2015 and 2025. The primary objective is to delineate the impacts of climatic instability on yield trajectories and food system accessibility. Utilizing a regional comparative framework, the study examines 10 African nations (two per geographic region) to identify localized and pan-African trends. Data synthesis from Scopus, Web of Science, and Google Scholar reveals that climatic variations have fundamentally undermined food security, contributing to famine, economic displacement, and the erosion of rural livelihoods. Key barriers to effective adaptation were identified as financial incapacity, weak institutional synergy, and a deficit in research and development infrastructure. Consequently, this review highlights the urgent need for a multifaceted resilience strategy that harmonizes indigenous adaptation practices, advanced genomics technology, application of artificial intelligence, and digital climate-smart technologies. Strengthening food security will require not only technological adoption but also robust policy frameworks, incentivized investment, infrastructural development, and the expansion of extension services to bridge the gap between climate research and on-farm implementation.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-24
Spatiotemporal evolution of global soil heavy metal(loid)s mobility under climate change.
Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987) pii:S0269-7491(26)01198-X [Epub ahead of print].
The persistent accumulation of heavy metal(loid)s (HMs) in soils poses a major risk to environmental quality worldwide, while their migration and transformation are strongly regulated by climate change. However, global-scale assessments of soil HMs mobility and its spatiotemporal evolution under climate change remain unexplored. To address these challenges, we constructed a predictive framework for soil HMs mobility by integrating interpretable machine learning with future climate scenario simulations. The optimal Extra Trees (ET) model yielded an R[2] of 0.885 on the testing dataset, along with the lowest RMSE (8.76) and MAE (4.91). Model interpretability analysis identified climatic variables, including temperature and precipitation, as important factors affecting soil HMs mobility. By coupling this framework with three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), we projected the spatiotemporal evolution of HMs mobility, including As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, and Pb, from 2025 to 2100. The results revealed pronounced element-dependent responses to future climate change: the mobility of Cd and Pb exhibited overall increasing trends, whereas those of As, Cr, Cu, and Hg showed consistent declines. Spatial analyses further demonstrated that SSP5-8.5 (high-emission scenario) drove a marked expansion of Cd mobilization hotspots in tropical and subtropical regions, while mobilization hotspots for As contracted markedly in the mid- to high-latitude areas of the Eurasian continent. These findings elucidate how future climatic shifts may influence the mobility of soil HMs, while offering a scientific foundation for assessing pollution risks and developing adaptive management approaches at a global scale.
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@article {pmid42498113,
year = {2026},
author = {Jiao, W and Luo, J and Wu, M and Hu, T and Qi, C},
title = {Spatiotemporal evolution of global soil heavy metal(loid)s mobility under climate change.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {128828},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2026.128828},
pmid = {42498113},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {The persistent accumulation of heavy metal(loid)s (HMs) in soils poses a major risk to environmental quality worldwide, while their migration and transformation are strongly regulated by climate change. However, global-scale assessments of soil HMs mobility and its spatiotemporal evolution under climate change remain unexplored. To address these challenges, we constructed a predictive framework for soil HMs mobility by integrating interpretable machine learning with future climate scenario simulations. The optimal Extra Trees (ET) model yielded an R[2] of 0.885 on the testing dataset, along with the lowest RMSE (8.76) and MAE (4.91). Model interpretability analysis identified climatic variables, including temperature and precipitation, as important factors affecting soil HMs mobility. By coupling this framework with three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), we projected the spatiotemporal evolution of HMs mobility, including As, Cd, Cr, Cu, Hg, and Pb, from 2025 to 2100. The results revealed pronounced element-dependent responses to future climate change: the mobility of Cd and Pb exhibited overall increasing trends, whereas those of As, Cr, Cu, and Hg showed consistent declines. Spatial analyses further demonstrated that SSP5-8.5 (high-emission scenario) drove a marked expansion of Cd mobilization hotspots in tropical and subtropical regions, while mobilization hotspots for As contracted markedly in the mid- to high-latitude areas of the Eurasian continent. These findings elucidate how future climatic shifts may influence the mobility of soil HMs, while offering a scientific foundation for assessing pollution risks and developing adaptive management approaches at a global scale.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-24
CmpDate: 2026-07-24
Impact of climate change on the global circulation of chikungunya virus: current evidence, future projections, and adaptation strategies.
Infectious diseases of poverty, 15(1):.
BACKGROUND: Climate change is accelerating the circulation of the chikungunya virus (CHIKV), posing a significant threat to both endemic areas and immunologically naive temperate regions. This study aims to synthesize empirical climatic drivers, future transmission projections, and global adaptation strategies to evaluate current evidence and identify key research gaps.
METHODS: This scoping review completed protocol registration on the Open Science Framework prior to literature retrieval, with systematic searches conducted across PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and EBSCOhost to collect all relevant English peer-reviewed papers published between Jan 1, 2000 and Nov 1, 2025. Multi-level screening filtered out unqualified literature, and unified datasets related to epidemiological parameters, predictive models and adaptation measures were extracted from 104 eligible studies.
RESULTS: The results indicate that: (1) Current evidence reveals post-2014 research favors Europe and South America, disproportionately focusing on temperature (n = 38) and precipitation (n = 32). CHIKV transmission exhibits a non-linear thermal optimum (23-30 °C) and a 1-to-4-week lag following extreme precipitation. (2) Future projections (n = 24) consistently indicate transboundary vector expansion into higher latitudes and altitudes. (3) Regarding adaptation strategies, we conceptualized a three-tiered intervention framework. However, a stark socioeconomic-climatic gap emerged: while 43% of the research centers on mid-tier early warning systems in high and upper-middle-income nations, evidence for the foundational infrastructural resilience in low-income regions is limited.
CONCLUSION: This global climate-CHIKV synthesis reveals structurally imbalanced preparedness. To mitigate escalating transboundary risks, international health policies must pivot from solely reactive surveillance. Future priorities should include proactive, climate-resilient urban infrastructure and equitable cross-border coalitions in neglected low-resource settings.
Additional Links: PMID-42498948
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@article {pmid42498948,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, C and Li, X and Wang, L and Zhao, X and Liu, Y and Xiao, J and Wang, H},
title = {Impact of climate change on the global circulation of chikungunya virus: current evidence, future projections, and adaptation strategies.},
journal = {Infectious diseases of poverty},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {42498948},
issn = {2049-9957},
support = {32402970//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2025MD784173//China Postdoctoral Science Foundation/ ; LBH-Z25077//Heilongjiang Postdoctoral Program/ ; 2023YFD1801100//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; LJYXL2023-077//Excellent Master's and Doctoral Dissertations of Longjiang in the New Era/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Chikungunya Fever/transmission/epidemiology/virology ; *Chikungunya virus/physiology ; Humans ; Animals ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is accelerating the circulation of the chikungunya virus (CHIKV), posing a significant threat to both endemic areas and immunologically naive temperate regions. This study aims to synthesize empirical climatic drivers, future transmission projections, and global adaptation strategies to evaluate current evidence and identify key research gaps.
METHODS: This scoping review completed protocol registration on the Open Science Framework prior to literature retrieval, with systematic searches conducted across PubMed, Web of Science, Scopus and EBSCOhost to collect all relevant English peer-reviewed papers published between Jan 1, 2000 and Nov 1, 2025. Multi-level screening filtered out unqualified literature, and unified datasets related to epidemiological parameters, predictive models and adaptation measures were extracted from 104 eligible studies.
RESULTS: The results indicate that: (1) Current evidence reveals post-2014 research favors Europe and South America, disproportionately focusing on temperature (n = 38) and precipitation (n = 32). CHIKV transmission exhibits a non-linear thermal optimum (23-30 °C) and a 1-to-4-week lag following extreme precipitation. (2) Future projections (n = 24) consistently indicate transboundary vector expansion into higher latitudes and altitudes. (3) Regarding adaptation strategies, we conceptualized a three-tiered intervention framework. However, a stark socioeconomic-climatic gap emerged: while 43% of the research centers on mid-tier early warning systems in high and upper-middle-income nations, evidence for the foundational infrastructural resilience in low-income regions is limited.
CONCLUSION: This global climate-CHIKV synthesis reveals structurally imbalanced preparedness. To mitigate escalating transboundary risks, international health policies must pivot from solely reactive surveillance. Future priorities should include proactive, climate-resilient urban infrastructure and equitable cross-border coalitions in neglected low-resource settings.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
*Chikungunya Fever/transmission/epidemiology/virology
*Chikungunya virus/physiology
Humans
Animals
RevDate: 2026-07-23
Climate change experiences among women with psychiatric illness - a qualitative exploration of lived experiences and service needs.
Social science & medicine (1982), 406:119619 pii:S0277-9536(26)00696-9 [Epub ahead of print].
People with pre-existing psychiatric illnesses are recognized as a high-risk group in climate-health research, yet few qualitative studies explore their experiences. This study explored the gendered experiences of women with psychiatric illnesses in relation to climate stressors and identified the tailored supports they perceive as necessary to maintain their mental health and wellbeing. Between January and December 2025, 23 participants took part in four focus groups at an academic psychiatric hospital in Toronto, Canada. The study used a service-user-informed qualitative design in collaboration with people with lived experience, who contributed to developing the interview guide and interpreting the findings. Codebook analysis with an intersectional lens was applied to examine pathways linking climate stressors to mental health impacts and service needs in this under-studied population. Three main domains emerged: (1) mechanisms by which climate stressors exacerbate psychiatric symptoms, (2) how these impacts intersect with gendered roles and responsibilities, and (3) patient-identified priorities for climate-informed mental health interventions. Participants reported disrupted care, forced isolation, difficulties with medication adherence, strained communication with clinicians, and bidirectional interactions between physical and mental health. Women described reproductive guilt, caregiving burdens, reactivation of sexual trauma, and feelings of disempowerment. Participants identified actionable priorities, including accessible climate preparedness resources, clinician training, peer support spaces, and hospital-based programs fostering social connection and adaptive coping strategies. These findings reveal social and institutional pathways linking climate stressors to mental health risks, and provide guidance for gender-responsive, service-user-informed interventions to enhance resilience in the context of climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42492186
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@article {pmid42492186,
year = {2026},
author = {Xue, S and Lacap, LM and Hawke, LD and Munro, C and Husain, MI and Wells, S and Umer, M and Pasricha, S and Kidd, SA},
title = {Climate change experiences among women with psychiatric illness - a qualitative exploration of lived experiences and service needs.},
journal = {Social science & medicine (1982)},
volume = {406},
number = {},
pages = {119619},
doi = {10.1016/j.socscimed.2026.119619},
pmid = {42492186},
issn = {1873-5347},
abstract = {People with pre-existing psychiatric illnesses are recognized as a high-risk group in climate-health research, yet few qualitative studies explore their experiences. This study explored the gendered experiences of women with psychiatric illnesses in relation to climate stressors and identified the tailored supports they perceive as necessary to maintain their mental health and wellbeing. Between January and December 2025, 23 participants took part in four focus groups at an academic psychiatric hospital in Toronto, Canada. The study used a service-user-informed qualitative design in collaboration with people with lived experience, who contributed to developing the interview guide and interpreting the findings. Codebook analysis with an intersectional lens was applied to examine pathways linking climate stressors to mental health impacts and service needs in this under-studied population. Three main domains emerged: (1) mechanisms by which climate stressors exacerbate psychiatric symptoms, (2) how these impacts intersect with gendered roles and responsibilities, and (3) patient-identified priorities for climate-informed mental health interventions. Participants reported disrupted care, forced isolation, difficulties with medication adherence, strained communication with clinicians, and bidirectional interactions between physical and mental health. Women described reproductive guilt, caregiving burdens, reactivation of sexual trauma, and feelings of disempowerment. Participants identified actionable priorities, including accessible climate preparedness resources, clinician training, peer support spaces, and hospital-based programs fostering social connection and adaptive coping strategies. These findings reveal social and institutional pathways linking climate stressors to mental health risks, and provide guidance for gender-responsive, service-user-informed interventions to enhance resilience in the context of climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-23
Climate change implications on thermal biology of the African hallow in South America, the endemic skink Trachylepis atlantica.
Journal of thermal biology, 140:104546 pii:S0306-4565(26)00179-8 [Epub ahead of print].
We studied the thermal ecology of the endemic skink, Trachylepis atlantica, and applied a physiologically-based mechanistic model to assess its vulnerability to climate change. We estimated thermal performance curves, thermal safety margins (TSM), and hours of activity restriction (Hr), while evaluating environmental thermal quality, body-temperature accuracy, and thermoregulatory effectiveness. Field body temperatures frequently exceeded both preferred and optimal temperatures for locomotor performance, while TSM s were negative, indicating that individuals already operate close to their physiological limits. The species exhibited low thermoregulatory accuracy, and available habitats were generally thermally suboptimal, suggesting limited opportunities for effective thermoregulation. Our projections indicate a severe increase in daily Hr by 2070, with environmental temperatures frequently surpassing physiological thresholds. Under these climate scenarios, the archipelago's thermal landscape becomes increasingly unsuitable, significantly compressing the species' viable activity periods. Our findings demonstrate the value of integrating physiological mechanisms into climate-vulnerability assessments and highlight the urgent need for conservation measures, such as microclimatic buffering and habitat management, to safeguard this island-endemic species.
Additional Links: PMID-42492300
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@article {pmid42492300,
year = {2026},
author = {Diele-Viegas, LM and Proença, J and Menezes, VA and Sinervo, B and Miles, DB and Rocha, CFD},
title = {Climate change implications on thermal biology of the African hallow in South America, the endemic skink Trachylepis atlantica.},
journal = {Journal of thermal biology},
volume = {140},
number = {},
pages = {104546},
doi = {10.1016/j.jtherbio.2026.104546},
pmid = {42492300},
issn = {0306-4565},
abstract = {We studied the thermal ecology of the endemic skink, Trachylepis atlantica, and applied a physiologically-based mechanistic model to assess its vulnerability to climate change. We estimated thermal performance curves, thermal safety margins (TSM), and hours of activity restriction (Hr), while evaluating environmental thermal quality, body-temperature accuracy, and thermoregulatory effectiveness. Field body temperatures frequently exceeded both preferred and optimal temperatures for locomotor performance, while TSM s were negative, indicating that individuals already operate close to their physiological limits. The species exhibited low thermoregulatory accuracy, and available habitats were generally thermally suboptimal, suggesting limited opportunities for effective thermoregulation. Our projections indicate a severe increase in daily Hr by 2070, with environmental temperatures frequently surpassing physiological thresholds. Under these climate scenarios, the archipelago's thermal landscape becomes increasingly unsuitable, significantly compressing the species' viable activity periods. Our findings demonstrate the value of integrating physiological mechanisms into climate-vulnerability assessments and highlight the urgent need for conservation measures, such as microclimatic buffering and habitat management, to safeguard this island-endemic species.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-24
CmpDate: 2026-07-24
The psychosocial impact of climate change: an umbrella review and meta-analysis.
Frontiers in public health, 14:1899420.
UNLABELLED: Climate change is increasingly recognized as a psychosocial and mental health challenge, yet the evidence remains fragmented across exposure types, populations, and outcome definitions. This umbrella review and meta-analysis synthesized evidence on the psychosocial impact of climate change and examined the usefulness of the Psychosocial Impact Model (PSIM) as an interpretive framework. Systematic searches were conducted in PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science following PRISMA guidelines. Nine systematic reviews comprising 345 primary studies were included, and methodological quality was assessed with AMSTAR 2. Random-effects meta-analyses were conducted when sufficient quantitative data were available from high-quality reviews. Findings showed that climate change was associated with psychosocial variables across three exposure contexts: (1) acute, (2) chronic, and (3) symbolic. Outcomes included: psychological distress, depressive symptoms, posttraumatic stress, solastalgia, ecological grief, and climate anxiety, alongside adaptive responses such as resilience, posttraumatic growth, and community cohesion. Meta-analyses showed positive associations between climate-related anxiety or worry and mental health symptoms, with pooled correlations ranging from small to moderate magnitude (r = 0.17 to 0.37). The strongest associations were observed for climate anxiety with depressive symptoms (r = 0.37, 95% PI [0.14, 0.61], p < 0.001, I [2] = 92%) and stress (r = 0.35, 95% PI [-0.01, 0.71], p < 0.001, I [2] = 94%). Wide prediction intervals indicated substantial between-study variability; pooled estimates should be interpreted cautiously as summaries of heterogeneous associations. Overall, direct exposure to climate-related events and perceived climate risk were associated with psychosocial distress, supporting the value of PSIM as an integrative framework.
https://osf.io/64rng, OSF.
Additional Links: PMID-42494917
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Citation:
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@article {pmid42494917,
year = {2026},
author = {Leiva-Bianchi, M and Ahumada-Méndez, F and Cáceres, C and Serrano, C and Díaz-Arcaño, K},
title = {The psychosocial impact of climate change: an umbrella review and meta-analysis.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1899420},
pmid = {42494917},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Mental Health ; *Stress, Psychological ; Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic ; },
abstract = {UNLABELLED: Climate change is increasingly recognized as a psychosocial and mental health challenge, yet the evidence remains fragmented across exposure types, populations, and outcome definitions. This umbrella review and meta-analysis synthesized evidence on the psychosocial impact of climate change and examined the usefulness of the Psychosocial Impact Model (PSIM) as an interpretive framework. Systematic searches were conducted in PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science following PRISMA guidelines. Nine systematic reviews comprising 345 primary studies were included, and methodological quality was assessed with AMSTAR 2. Random-effects meta-analyses were conducted when sufficient quantitative data were available from high-quality reviews. Findings showed that climate change was associated with psychosocial variables across three exposure contexts: (1) acute, (2) chronic, and (3) symbolic. Outcomes included: psychological distress, depressive symptoms, posttraumatic stress, solastalgia, ecological grief, and climate anxiety, alongside adaptive responses such as resilience, posttraumatic growth, and community cohesion. Meta-analyses showed positive associations between climate-related anxiety or worry and mental health symptoms, with pooled correlations ranging from small to moderate magnitude (r = 0.17 to 0.37). The strongest associations were observed for climate anxiety with depressive symptoms (r = 0.37, 95% PI [0.14, 0.61], p < 0.001, I [2] = 92%) and stress (r = 0.35, 95% PI [-0.01, 0.71], p < 0.001, I [2] = 94%). Wide prediction intervals indicated substantial between-study variability; pooled estimates should be interpreted cautiously as summaries of heterogeneous associations. Overall, direct exposure to climate-related events and perceived climate risk were associated with psychosocial distress, supporting the value of PSIM as an integrative framework.
https://osf.io/64rng, OSF.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
Humans
*Mental Health
*Stress, Psychological
Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic
RevDate: 2026-07-24
CmpDate: 2026-07-24
Climate change impacts on European electricity demand and supply until 2100.
iScience, 29(8):116818.
Renewable and electrified energy systems are highly weather-dependent, making them vulnerable to climate change. Energy system modeling therefore requires high-quality data that captures the spatiotemporal complexity of climate conditions. We present SECURES-Energy, an open-access dataset providing hourly electricity demand and supply data for Europe at the national level from 1981 to 2100. Historical data are derived from ERA5 reanalysis, while future projections use two EURO-CORDEX scenarios (RCP 4.5/RCP 8.5). The dataset includes onshore and offshore wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), and hydropower generation, as well as all electricity demand components such as heating, cooling, and mobility. Results indicate no consistent trends for solar PV and hydropower across Europe. Offshore wind declines by up to -4%/-3% by 2035-2064 and -6%/-9% by 2071-2100 relative to 1981-2010. Cooling demand rises sharply (up to +80%/+149% by mid-century; +129%/+317% by end-century), while heating demand falls (-19%/-24% by mid-century; -25%/-40% by end-century). These findings highlight substantial climate-driven shifts in future electricity demand and supply.
Additional Links: PMID-42495542
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Citation:
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@article {pmid42495542,
year = {2026},
author = {Schöniger, F and Resch, G and Suna, D and Widhalm, P and Totschnig, G and Pardo-Garcia, N and Hasengst, F and Formayer, H and Maier, P and Leidinger, D},
title = {Climate change impacts on European electricity demand and supply until 2100.},
journal = {iScience},
volume = {29},
number = {8},
pages = {116818},
pmid = {42495542},
issn = {2589-0042},
abstract = {Renewable and electrified energy systems are highly weather-dependent, making them vulnerable to climate change. Energy system modeling therefore requires high-quality data that captures the spatiotemporal complexity of climate conditions. We present SECURES-Energy, an open-access dataset providing hourly electricity demand and supply data for Europe at the national level from 1981 to 2100. Historical data are derived from ERA5 reanalysis, while future projections use two EURO-CORDEX scenarios (RCP 4.5/RCP 8.5). The dataset includes onshore and offshore wind, solar photovoltaic (PV), and hydropower generation, as well as all electricity demand components such as heating, cooling, and mobility. Results indicate no consistent trends for solar PV and hydropower across Europe. Offshore wind declines by up to -4%/-3% by 2035-2064 and -6%/-9% by 2071-2100 relative to 1981-2010. Cooling demand rises sharply (up to +80%/+149% by mid-century; +129%/+317% by end-century), while heating demand falls (-19%/-24% by mid-century; -25%/-40% by end-century). These findings highlight substantial climate-driven shifts in future electricity demand and supply.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-24
CmpDate: 2026-07-24
The dual challenge of climate change in otolaryngology: Environmental impacts on airway diseases and emission reduction strategies in surgical care.
International journal of biometeorology, 70(8):.
This review examines the dual relationship between climate change and otolaryngology by assessing the environmental impacts on upper airway diseases, particularly allergic rhinitis (AR), and identifying concrete, evidence-based strategies to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions within surgical practice. A narrative literature review was conducted to provide an interpretative synthesis of current knowledge across two distinct but interconnected domains: climate-driven airway health impacts and the environmental sustainability of surgical care. Literature was purposively selected from major databases to support this discussion. Available evidence suggests that elevated CO2 and particulate matter (PM2.5) act synergistically to increase the allergenicity and mucosal penetration of pollen, significantly exacerbating AR, chronic rhinosinusitis, and sleep-disordered breathing. Marginalized populations face disproportionate exposure to these health impacts due to socioeconomic disparities. In the surgical domain, healthcare contributes approximately 5.2% of global emissions, with operating rooms generating up to 30% of hospital waste. Transitioning from single-use devices to reusable alternatives-such as replacing disposable instruments that account for 68% of the carbon footprint in tonsillectomies-and optimizing anesthetic gas management significantly reduce Scope 3 emissions without compromising patient safety. Otolaryngologists face a critical dual challenge: managing the escalating, climate-driven burden of upper aerodigestive tract disorders while actively mitigating the specialty's own carbon footprint. Recognizing socioeconomic vulnerabilities and adopting rigorous, LCA-backed sustainable surgical practices are vital. However, widespread clinical implementation remains restricted by infrastructural and financial constraints, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).
Additional Links: PMID-42496778
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@article {pmid42496778,
year = {2026},
author = {Bayar Muluk, N},
title = {The dual challenge of climate change in otolaryngology: Environmental impacts on airway diseases and emission reduction strategies in surgical care.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {70},
number = {8},
pages = {},
pmid = {42496778},
issn = {1432-1254},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; *Otolaryngology ; Air Pollutants/analysis ; Rhinitis, Allergic/epidemiology ; Air Pollution/prevention & control ; },
abstract = {This review examines the dual relationship between climate change and otolaryngology by assessing the environmental impacts on upper airway diseases, particularly allergic rhinitis (AR), and identifying concrete, evidence-based strategies to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions within surgical practice. A narrative literature review was conducted to provide an interpretative synthesis of current knowledge across two distinct but interconnected domains: climate-driven airway health impacts and the environmental sustainability of surgical care. Literature was purposively selected from major databases to support this discussion. Available evidence suggests that elevated CO2 and particulate matter (PM2.5) act synergistically to increase the allergenicity and mucosal penetration of pollen, significantly exacerbating AR, chronic rhinosinusitis, and sleep-disordered breathing. Marginalized populations face disproportionate exposure to these health impacts due to socioeconomic disparities. In the surgical domain, healthcare contributes approximately 5.2% of global emissions, with operating rooms generating up to 30% of hospital waste. Transitioning from single-use devices to reusable alternatives-such as replacing disposable instruments that account for 68% of the carbon footprint in tonsillectomies-and optimizing anesthetic gas management significantly reduce Scope 3 emissions without compromising patient safety. Otolaryngologists face a critical dual challenge: managing the escalating, climate-driven burden of upper aerodigestive tract disorders while actively mitigating the specialty's own carbon footprint. Recognizing socioeconomic vulnerabilities and adopting rigorous, LCA-backed sustainable surgical practices are vital. However, widespread clinical implementation remains restricted by infrastructural and financial constraints, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs).},
}
MeSH Terms:
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Humans
*Climate Change
Greenhouse Gases/analysis
*Otolaryngology
Air Pollutants/analysis
Rhinitis, Allergic/epidemiology
Air Pollution/prevention & control
RevDate: 2026-07-24
CmpDate: 2026-07-24
Climate Change Enhances the Success of Marine Invasive Species.
Global change biology, 32(7):e71020.
Climate change and invasive species both independently threaten marine biodiversity but can also interact. Invasive species often possess traits that not only promote their success in novel environments but may also confer resilience to climate-driven ocean change, allowing them to respond favorably to a changing climate. Here, drawing on 67 studies across 30 non-native species, we present moderate but consistent evidence that climate change enhances invasion success-particularly through increased abundance and establishment-across multiple temporal scales and ocean regions, while recognizing taxonomic and geographic biases in the available data. Even after accounting for moderators, unexplained heterogeneity remained among studies, suggesting strong context dependency in the effects of climate change on invasion success. Warming and extreme events emerged as key drivers of invasion success. We also identify ocean hotspots for invasions globally, with the cold and warm temperate Northwest Pacific emerging as major donor regions, and the Mediterranean Sea and Northern European Seas as primary recipient regions. Our study suggests that in the future, invasive species are likely to pose a greater threat to ocean biodiversity than previously thought, underscoring the urgent need for institutional capacity building, broader surveillance, predictive modelling, and adaptive management strategies across global marine ecosystems.
Additional Links: PMID-42497089
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@article {pmid42497089,
year = {2026},
author = {Smith, NS and Cheung, WWL},
title = {Climate Change Enhances the Success of Marine Invasive Species.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {32},
number = {7},
pages = {e71020},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.71020},
pmid = {42497089},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Liber Ero Foundation/ ; RGPIN-2024-05091//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; RGPIN-2024-05142//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; },
mesh = {*Introduced Species ; *Climate Change ; Animals ; *Biodiversity ; Oceans and Seas ; *Aquatic Organisms/physiology ; },
abstract = {Climate change and invasive species both independently threaten marine biodiversity but can also interact. Invasive species often possess traits that not only promote their success in novel environments but may also confer resilience to climate-driven ocean change, allowing them to respond favorably to a changing climate. Here, drawing on 67 studies across 30 non-native species, we present moderate but consistent evidence that climate change enhances invasion success-particularly through increased abundance and establishment-across multiple temporal scales and ocean regions, while recognizing taxonomic and geographic biases in the available data. Even after accounting for moderators, unexplained heterogeneity remained among studies, suggesting strong context dependency in the effects of climate change on invasion success. Warming and extreme events emerged as key drivers of invasion success. We also identify ocean hotspots for invasions globally, with the cold and warm temperate Northwest Pacific emerging as major donor regions, and the Mediterranean Sea and Northern European Seas as primary recipient regions. Our study suggests that in the future, invasive species are likely to pose a greater threat to ocean biodiversity than previously thought, underscoring the urgent need for institutional capacity building, broader surveillance, predictive modelling, and adaptive management strategies across global marine ecosystems.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Introduced Species
*Climate Change
Animals
*Biodiversity
Oceans and Seas
*Aquatic Organisms/physiology
RevDate: 2026-07-24
High-resolution simulations reveal positive global warming feedback from Pacific low clouds.
Science advances, 12(30):eaec8488.
Uncertainty in marine low-level cloud feedbacks limits accurate climate projections. Using 7083 high-resolution simulations of tropical Pacific low clouds, we separated the impacts of sea surface warming from direct carbon dioxide (CO2) effects. Surface warming alone drives a positive low-cloud feedback of [Formula: see text]. While this changes little with doubled CO2, the total cloud radiative response strengthens markedly to [Formula: see text] under quadrupled CO2, revealing a strong nonlinear interaction. Surface warming alone modifies the boundary layer through increased inversion strength and weakened subsidence, which buffers clouds by promoting higher liquid water content while cloud fraction decreases. Rapid adjustments to high CO2 concentrations counteract this protective cloud thickening. Consequently, a pronounced reduction in cloud fraction is no longer offset by an increase in cloud brightness, markedly strengthening the total radiative response under quadrupled CO2. Ultimately, our results suggest that climate sensitivity is more state-dependent than often assumed.
Additional Links: PMID-42497251
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@article {pmid42497251,
year = {2026},
author = {Chammas, S and Wang, Q and Schneider, T and Carver, R and Shen, Z and Parker, JB and Gazen, C and Ihme, M and Chen, YF and Anderson, J},
title = {High-resolution simulations reveal positive global warming feedback from Pacific low clouds.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {12},
number = {30},
pages = {eaec8488},
doi = {10.1126/sciadv.aec8488},
pmid = {42497251},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Uncertainty in marine low-level cloud feedbacks limits accurate climate projections. Using 7083 high-resolution simulations of tropical Pacific low clouds, we separated the impacts of sea surface warming from direct carbon dioxide (CO2) effects. Surface warming alone drives a positive low-cloud feedback of [Formula: see text]. While this changes little with doubled CO2, the total cloud radiative response strengthens markedly to [Formula: see text] under quadrupled CO2, revealing a strong nonlinear interaction. Surface warming alone modifies the boundary layer through increased inversion strength and weakened subsidence, which buffers clouds by promoting higher liquid water content while cloud fraction decreases. Rapid adjustments to high CO2 concentrations counteract this protective cloud thickening. Consequently, a pronounced reduction in cloud fraction is no longer offset by an increase in cloud brightness, markedly strengthening the total radiative response under quadrupled CO2. Ultimately, our results suggest that climate sensitivity is more state-dependent than often assumed.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-24
Climate change, mental health, and psychosocial vulnerability in Indonesia: Expanding the geopsychiatry agenda in the Global South.
Additional Links: PMID-42497517
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@article {pmid42497517,
year = {2026},
author = {Indah Sari, LN},
title = {Climate change, mental health, and psychosocial vulnerability in Indonesia: Expanding the geopsychiatry agenda in the Global South.},
journal = {Asian journal of psychiatry},
volume = {123},
number = {},
pages = {105106},
doi = {10.1016/j.ajp.2026.105106},
pmid = {42497517},
issn = {1876-2026},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-22
Plant defence priming and memory mechanisms under climate change.
Essays in biochemistry pii:237847 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change exposes plants to increasingly variable and overlapping abiotic and biotic stresses, challenging ecosystem stability as well as the survival and productivity of crops beyond the limits of classical defence strategies. Defence priming, defined as the capacity of plants to respond faster, stronger, or more effectively following prior exposure, has emerged as a key adaptive mechanism and a promising strategy to enhance plant protection and ecosystem resilience under recurrent or combined stress conditions. Here, current understanding of priming and defence memory in the context of climate change is synthesised, focusing on four interrelated dimensions: (1) the signalling networks that encode and transmit priming, (2) epigenetic and transcriptional mechanisms underpinning somatic and transgenerational memory, (3) physiological and fitness trade-offs associated with primed states under altered temperature, drought, and elevated CO2, and (4) experimental evidence demonstrating how climate-related abiotic factors modulate priming outcomes and plant-pathogen interactions across spatial and temporal scales. Recent studies reveal that climate drivers can both enhance and constrain priming, depending on stress combinations, timing, and intensity. Understanding the mechanisms that determine these context-dependent outcomes will be critical for predicting when priming can be effectively deployed to enhance crop resilience, sustain productivity, and reduce reliance on conventional pesticides under ongoing climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42483965
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@article {pmid42483965,
year = {2026},
author = {Sanchez-Lucas, R},
title = {Plant defence priming and memory mechanisms under climate change.},
journal = {Essays in biochemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1042/EBC20250050},
pmid = {42483965},
issn = {1744-1358},
support = {NE/V021346/1//UK Research and Innovation (UKRI)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change exposes plants to increasingly variable and overlapping abiotic and biotic stresses, challenging ecosystem stability as well as the survival and productivity of crops beyond the limits of classical defence strategies. Defence priming, defined as the capacity of plants to respond faster, stronger, or more effectively following prior exposure, has emerged as a key adaptive mechanism and a promising strategy to enhance plant protection and ecosystem resilience under recurrent or combined stress conditions. Here, current understanding of priming and defence memory in the context of climate change is synthesised, focusing on four interrelated dimensions: (1) the signalling networks that encode and transmit priming, (2) epigenetic and transcriptional mechanisms underpinning somatic and transgenerational memory, (3) physiological and fitness trade-offs associated with primed states under altered temperature, drought, and elevated CO2, and (4) experimental evidence demonstrating how climate-related abiotic factors modulate priming outcomes and plant-pathogen interactions across spatial and temporal scales. Recent studies reveal that climate drivers can both enhance and constrain priming, depending on stress combinations, timing, and intensity. Understanding the mechanisms that determine these context-dependent outcomes will be critical for predicting when priming can be effectively deployed to enhance crop resilience, sustain productivity, and reduce reliance on conventional pesticides under ongoing climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-22
Mapping 25 years of research on climate change and occupational health: A bibliometric study (1999-2024).
Work (Reading, Mass.) [Epub ahead of print].
BackgroundClimate change poses significant risks to worker health, especially for outdoor and vulnerable populations. Despite a growing body of research, global trends, thematic priorities, and collaboration patterns in the climate change-occupational health literature remain unclear.ObjectiveThis study aimed to analyze WoS-indexed publications on climate change and occupational health to describe publication trends, key contributors and sources, collaboration structures, and thematic emphases, and to discuss underexplored areas highlighted by the mapping.MethodsA descriptive bibliometric analysis was conducted using the Web of Science Core Collection. Analyses were limited to descriptive indicators (e.g., publication counts, citation metrics) with no inferential statistics. Publications were retrieved using "climate change" AND "occupational health" without restrictions on language, country, or journal. Duplicates and author name variations were manually checked. VOSviewer was used for citation analysis, co-authorship mapping, country/institution output, and keyword co-occurrence analysis.ResultsA total of 380 publications were analyzed, mostly in English. Output increased steadily, with citation peaks in 2023-2024. The most productive countries were the USA, Australia, and Canada; leading institutions included Australian National University, the University of Washington, and the University of Adelaide. Frequent keywords ("heat stress," "outdoor workers," "workplace adaptation") highlighted a focus on heat-related occupational risks.ConclusionResearch linking climate change and occupational health is growing, mainly focused on heat-related risks for outdoor workers, while psychosocial, demographic, and adaptation issues remain underexplored. More targeted studies are needed to guide policy, develop region-specific adaptation strategies, and reduce workforce vulnerability.
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@article {pmid42484411,
year = {2026},
author = {Çelebi, I and Sezer, L and Balci, E and Güney, ME},
title = {Mapping 25 years of research on climate change and occupational health: A bibliometric study (1999-2024).},
journal = {Work (Reading, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {10519815261470416},
doi = {10.1177/10519815261470416},
pmid = {42484411},
issn = {1875-9270},
abstract = {BackgroundClimate change poses significant risks to worker health, especially for outdoor and vulnerable populations. Despite a growing body of research, global trends, thematic priorities, and collaboration patterns in the climate change-occupational health literature remain unclear.ObjectiveThis study aimed to analyze WoS-indexed publications on climate change and occupational health to describe publication trends, key contributors and sources, collaboration structures, and thematic emphases, and to discuss underexplored areas highlighted by the mapping.MethodsA descriptive bibliometric analysis was conducted using the Web of Science Core Collection. Analyses were limited to descriptive indicators (e.g., publication counts, citation metrics) with no inferential statistics. Publications were retrieved using "climate change" AND "occupational health" without restrictions on language, country, or journal. Duplicates and author name variations were manually checked. VOSviewer was used for citation analysis, co-authorship mapping, country/institution output, and keyword co-occurrence analysis.ResultsA total of 380 publications were analyzed, mostly in English. Output increased steadily, with citation peaks in 2023-2024. The most productive countries were the USA, Australia, and Canada; leading institutions included Australian National University, the University of Washington, and the University of Adelaide. Frequent keywords ("heat stress," "outdoor workers," "workplace adaptation") highlighted a focus on heat-related occupational risks.ConclusionResearch linking climate change and occupational health is growing, mainly focused on heat-related risks for outdoor workers, while psychosocial, demographic, and adaptation issues remain underexplored. More targeted studies are needed to guide policy, develop region-specific adaptation strategies, and reduce workforce vulnerability.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-22
Climate change and surgical site infections in the MENA region: burden, mechanisms, and mitigation.
Journal of infection and public health, 19(9):103311 pii:S1876-0341(26)00183-8 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change is increasingly recognized as a driver of healthcare-associated infections, with surgical site infections (SSIs) particularly sensitive to environmental stressors. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region faces accelerated warming, water scarcity, and strained health systems, yet the implications for surgical safety remain insufficiently characterized. This narrative review synthesizes current evidence on the relationship between climate change and SSIs across MENA countries, focusing on epidemiological trends, pathogen distribution, antimicrobial resistance, and health system resilience. Eleven MENA-specific SSI studies (2022-2025) were synthesised alongside regional AMR meta-analyses. Available data indicate that SSI rates frequently exceed international benchmarks. Rising temperatures, humidity shifts, extreme weather events, and limited water resources may enhance pathogen survival, biofilm formation, and transmission while simultaneously challenging sterilization and infection prevention practices. These pressures intersect with high antimicrobial resistance and fragmented surveillance systems. No published study has directly tested climate-SSI associations within MENA cohorts; the case rests on regional surveillance and extra-regional climate-SSI evidence. SSIs may therefore serve as indicators of climate-related health system strain, highlighting the need for climate-resilient infrastructure and integrated surveillance to safeguard surgical outcomes.
Additional Links: PMID-42485895
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@article {pmid42485895,
year = {2026},
author = {Dimassi, W and El Marji, A and Khachab, MM and Abdou, E and Hamze, M and Chidiac, MA and El Chaar, M},
title = {Climate change and surgical site infections in the MENA region: burden, mechanisms, and mitigation.},
journal = {Journal of infection and public health},
volume = {19},
number = {9},
pages = {103311},
doi = {10.1016/j.jiph.2026.103311},
pmid = {42485895},
issn = {1876-035X},
abstract = {Climate change is increasingly recognized as a driver of healthcare-associated infections, with surgical site infections (SSIs) particularly sensitive to environmental stressors. The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region faces accelerated warming, water scarcity, and strained health systems, yet the implications for surgical safety remain insufficiently characterized. This narrative review synthesizes current evidence on the relationship between climate change and SSIs across MENA countries, focusing on epidemiological trends, pathogen distribution, antimicrobial resistance, and health system resilience. Eleven MENA-specific SSI studies (2022-2025) were synthesised alongside regional AMR meta-analyses. Available data indicate that SSI rates frequently exceed international benchmarks. Rising temperatures, humidity shifts, extreme weather events, and limited water resources may enhance pathogen survival, biofilm formation, and transmission while simultaneously challenging sterilization and infection prevention practices. These pressures intersect with high antimicrobial resistance and fragmented surveillance systems. No published study has directly tested climate-SSI associations within MENA cohorts; the case rests on regional surveillance and extra-regional climate-SSI evidence. SSIs may therefore serve as indicators of climate-related health system strain, highlighting the need for climate-resilient infrastructure and integrated surveillance to safeguard surgical outcomes.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-22
Climate change and malaria in west Africa: a review of strategies to handle one of the world's most prominent anthroponoses.
The Lancet. Planetary health pii:S2542-5196(26)00057-4 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change is intensifying the threat of malaria in Africa by altering the geographical range, seasonality, and transmission intensity of the disease. Rising temperatures promote mosquito breeding and parasite development, whereas extreme weather events, particularly flooding, disrupt control efforts and create breeding sites, enabling their spread into previously unaffected highland areas. These factors pose an evolving public health challenge. Malaria-control strategies, often designed for stable climatic conditions, risk being outpaced by rapid environmental changes. However, little is known regarding how national policies integrate climate adaptation into strategic planning. We qualitatively analysed national malaria strategic plans and related policy documents from 11 west and central African countries, published between 2015 and 2025. We assessed incorporation of climate and weather information into malaria surveillance, early-warning systems, and vector-control planning. Although most countries recognise the influence of climate and seasonality on malaria transmission, explicit integration of climate data into planning and surveillance remains scarce. Ghana and Nigeria use advanced data-driven approaches, including predictive agent-based modelling and subnational stratification, to guide interventions, whereas Togo, Benin, Senegal, and The Gambia show emerging progress. However, most national malaria strategic plans remain reactive rather than predictive because of data, technical, and coordination gaps. This Review highlights policy and implementation gaps in integrating climate adaptation within malaria-control programmes. We recommend climate-resilient malaria strategies centred on enhanced surveillance, integrated meteorological forecasting, and strengthened institutional capacity to support adaptive, evidence-based interventions.
Additional Links: PMID-42486136
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@article {pmid42486136,
year = {2026},
author = {Leal Filho, W and Okafor, UA and Gbaguidi, GJ and Zuñiga, RAA},
title = {Climate change and malaria in west Africa: a review of strategies to handle one of the world's most prominent anthroponoses.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101484},
doi = {10.1016/j.lanplh.2026.101484},
pmid = {42486136},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {Climate change is intensifying the threat of malaria in Africa by altering the geographical range, seasonality, and transmission intensity of the disease. Rising temperatures promote mosquito breeding and parasite development, whereas extreme weather events, particularly flooding, disrupt control efforts and create breeding sites, enabling their spread into previously unaffected highland areas. These factors pose an evolving public health challenge. Malaria-control strategies, often designed for stable climatic conditions, risk being outpaced by rapid environmental changes. However, little is known regarding how national policies integrate climate adaptation into strategic planning. We qualitatively analysed national malaria strategic plans and related policy documents from 11 west and central African countries, published between 2015 and 2025. We assessed incorporation of climate and weather information into malaria surveillance, early-warning systems, and vector-control planning. Although most countries recognise the influence of climate and seasonality on malaria transmission, explicit integration of climate data into planning and surveillance remains scarce. Ghana and Nigeria use advanced data-driven approaches, including predictive agent-based modelling and subnational stratification, to guide interventions, whereas Togo, Benin, Senegal, and The Gambia show emerging progress. However, most national malaria strategic plans remain reactive rather than predictive because of data, technical, and coordination gaps. This Review highlights policy and implementation gaps in integrating climate adaptation within malaria-control programmes. We recommend climate-resilient malaria strategies centred on enhanced surveillance, integrated meteorological forecasting, and strengthened institutional capacity to support adaptive, evidence-based interventions.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-22
Hantavirus risk and preparedness in Europe in an era of climate change and global mobility.
Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases pii:S1198-743X(26)00393-9 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Hantaviruses are rodent-borne zoonoses causing haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) and hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome (HCPS). In Europe, Puumala virus and Dobrava virus account for most recognised disease; Seoul virus is relevant to ports and urban settings. The 2026 MV Hondius cruise-ship cluster of Andes hantavirus (ANDV) infections, involving passengers from 23 countries, has highlighted urgent gaps in European preparedness for both endemic and imported hantavirus disease.
OBJECTIVES: To review hantavirus epidemiology, ecology, and clinical recognition, diagnostics, and preparedness in Europe, with emphasis on endemic Puumala virus (PUUV), Dobrava virus (DOBV), and Seoul virus (SEOV), and to clarify the separate relevance of imported Andes virus (ANDV) infection for travel medicine and maritime response.
SOURCES: We conducted a structured narrative review of literature published from January 2000 to May 2026, prioritising surveillance reports, systematic and narrative reviews, rodent ecology studies, diagnostic evaluations, external quality assessment studies, and outbreak investigations. WHO, ECDC, and International Health Regulations guidance documents were also reviewed.
CONTENT: European hantavirus epidemiology is heterogeneous and shaped by reservoir ecology, biome-specific rodent dynamics, clinical awareness, diagnostic capacity, and surveillance practice. Climate effects are indirect and regionally variable, mediated by mast years, predator-prey dynamics, winter conditions, land use, reservoir density, and human exposure. Diagnostic preparedness is uneven, particularly for molecular detection. Imported ANDV infection is rare in Europe but relevant to travel medicine and high-consequence preparedness because it can cause severe hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome and, unlike endemic European hantaviruses, has documented person-to-person transmission.
IMPLICATIONS: European preparedness should prioritise PUUV, DOBV, and SEOV through rodent biomonitoring, harmonised surveillance, improved molecular diagnostics, and locally calibrated early warning.
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@article {pmid42486304,
year = {2026},
author = {Grzybek, M and Sironen, T and Henttonen, H and Lundkvist, Å and Vapalahti, O and Bogacka, A and Kant, R},
title = {Hantavirus risk and preparedness in Europe in an era of climate change and global mobility.},
journal = {Clinical microbiology and infection : the official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology and Infectious Diseases},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1016/j.cmi.2026.07.026},
pmid = {42486304},
issn = {1469-0691},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Hantaviruses are rodent-borne zoonoses causing haemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome (HFRS) and hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome (HCPS). In Europe, Puumala virus and Dobrava virus account for most recognised disease; Seoul virus is relevant to ports and urban settings. The 2026 MV Hondius cruise-ship cluster of Andes hantavirus (ANDV) infections, involving passengers from 23 countries, has highlighted urgent gaps in European preparedness for both endemic and imported hantavirus disease.
OBJECTIVES: To review hantavirus epidemiology, ecology, and clinical recognition, diagnostics, and preparedness in Europe, with emphasis on endemic Puumala virus (PUUV), Dobrava virus (DOBV), and Seoul virus (SEOV), and to clarify the separate relevance of imported Andes virus (ANDV) infection for travel medicine and maritime response.
SOURCES: We conducted a structured narrative review of literature published from January 2000 to May 2026, prioritising surveillance reports, systematic and narrative reviews, rodent ecology studies, diagnostic evaluations, external quality assessment studies, and outbreak investigations. WHO, ECDC, and International Health Regulations guidance documents were also reviewed.
CONTENT: European hantavirus epidemiology is heterogeneous and shaped by reservoir ecology, biome-specific rodent dynamics, clinical awareness, diagnostic capacity, and surveillance practice. Climate effects are indirect and regionally variable, mediated by mast years, predator-prey dynamics, winter conditions, land use, reservoir density, and human exposure. Diagnostic preparedness is uneven, particularly for molecular detection. Imported ANDV infection is rare in Europe but relevant to travel medicine and high-consequence preparedness because it can cause severe hantavirus cardiopulmonary syndrome and, unlike endemic European hantaviruses, has documented person-to-person transmission.
IMPLICATIONS: European preparedness should prioritise PUUV, DOBV, and SEOV through rodent biomonitoring, harmonised surveillance, improved molecular diagnostics, and locally calibrated early warning.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-23
Editorial: Interconnected impacts: climate change, biodiversity loss, and health.
Frontiers in public health, 14:1912102.
Additional Links: PMID-42487817
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Citation:
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@article {pmid42487817,
year = {2026},
author = {van den Bosch, M and Paciência, I and Al-Delaimy, WK and Jaakkola, JJK},
title = {Editorial: Interconnected impacts: climate change, biodiversity loss, and health.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1912102},
pmid = {42487817},
issn = {2296-2565},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-23
Forest tree-pathogen interactions under climate change.
Essays in biochemistry pii:237851 [Epub ahead of print].
Forest trees are ecologically and economically vital, contributing to carbon sequestration, biodiversity conservation, pollution mitigation, and renewable bioenergy. However, forests worldwide are increasingly threatened by interacting biotic and abiotic stressors, including pathogens, insect pests, drought, heat, and extreme weather events driven by climate change. Drought and heat stress trigger complex physiological and metabolic responses in trees that can reshape their resistance to pathogens. While moderate stress may activate protective mechanisms, severe stress can cause cellular damage, dehydration, and reactive oxygen species accumulation, weakening defense capacity. Emerging evidence highlights additional layers of regulation, including epigenetic mechanisms and the role of beneficial microbiomes in enhancing tree resilience under combined environmental and pathogen pressures. Breeding and genetic improvement are also essential for strengthening adaptation and resistance to emerging diseases. Although advances in forest genetics, long-term field studies, and tree genomics are improving our predictive capacity, major knowledge gaps remain. Addressing how forest trees respond to pathogens under climate change will require multidisciplinary approaches integrating molecular biology, multiomics, big data analytics, remote sensing, ecology, and climate modelling.
Additional Links: PMID-42488936
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@article {pmid42488936,
year = {2026},
author = {Asiegbu, FO and Meng, W and Ren, W and Yang, G and Azeez, A and Li, Y and Gao, Z and Wen, Z and Wang, K and Chano, V},
title = {Forest tree-pathogen interactions under climate change.},
journal = {Essays in biochemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1042/EBC20250054},
pmid = {42488936},
issn = {1744-1358},
support = {353365//Research Council of Finland (AKA)/ ; 361841//Research Council of Finland (AKA)/ ; },
abstract = {Forest trees are ecologically and economically vital, contributing to carbon sequestration, biodiversity conservation, pollution mitigation, and renewable bioenergy. However, forests worldwide are increasingly threatened by interacting biotic and abiotic stressors, including pathogens, insect pests, drought, heat, and extreme weather events driven by climate change. Drought and heat stress trigger complex physiological and metabolic responses in trees that can reshape their resistance to pathogens. While moderate stress may activate protective mechanisms, severe stress can cause cellular damage, dehydration, and reactive oxygen species accumulation, weakening defense capacity. Emerging evidence highlights additional layers of regulation, including epigenetic mechanisms and the role of beneficial microbiomes in enhancing tree resilience under combined environmental and pathogen pressures. Breeding and genetic improvement are also essential for strengthening adaptation and resistance to emerging diseases. Although advances in forest genetics, long-term field studies, and tree genomics are improving our predictive capacity, major knowledge gaps remain. Addressing how forest trees respond to pathogens under climate change will require multidisciplinary approaches integrating molecular biology, multiomics, big data analytics, remote sensing, ecology, and climate modelling.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-23
Enhanced weathering of lizardite-rich sand in seawater: effects of pH and CO2 pressure on carbonate formation for climate change mitigation.
Environmental science and pollution research international [Epub ahead of print].
Enhanced weathering (EW) of serpentinized peridotites is being investigated as a potential approach for ex situ CO2 sequestration in both coastal and open-ocean environments. Previous studies on serpentine minerals have provided important insights into their geochemical reactivity, highlighting their preferential dissolution behavior and enhanced weathering potential under natural conditions. This study examines the CO2 sequestration potential of lizardite-rich sand and evaluates the formation of hydrated and carbonated mineral phases under varying CO2 conditions. Mineralogical analyses indicate the presence of aragonite, magnesite, and other secondary minerals associated with CO2 uptake, suggesting successful carbonation. Changes in pH and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) point to differing geochemical dynamics under ambient and elevated CO2 conditions, with acidification observed in both scenarios. While the findings support the feasibility of using lizardite-rich materials for EW-based carbon sequestration, the associated pH decline raises concern about potential ocean acidification. However, incorporating lime derived from industrial marble waste into sand presents a promising approach to mitigate both climate change and ocean acidification. This mixed sand offers dual environmental benefits by facilitating carbon mineralization and promoting the sustainable utilization of industrial by-products, thereby contributing to climate resilience and environmental sustainability. The results underscore the need for careful selection of rock types and operational conditions to ensure both carbon removal efficacy and environmental compatibility. Ongoing work aims to identify optimal materials for sustainable deployment in marine environments.
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@article {pmid42489978,
year = {2026},
author = {Ali, A and Taura, U and Al-Khamisi, S and Rehan, ZA and Al-Alawi, A and Al-Rashdi, AH},
title = {Enhanced weathering of lizardite-rich sand in seawater: effects of pH and CO2 pressure on carbonate formation for climate change mitigation.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {42489978},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {Enhanced weathering (EW) of serpentinized peridotites is being investigated as a potential approach for ex situ CO2 sequestration in both coastal and open-ocean environments. Previous studies on serpentine minerals have provided important insights into their geochemical reactivity, highlighting their preferential dissolution behavior and enhanced weathering potential under natural conditions. This study examines the CO2 sequestration potential of lizardite-rich sand and evaluates the formation of hydrated and carbonated mineral phases under varying CO2 conditions. Mineralogical analyses indicate the presence of aragonite, magnesite, and other secondary minerals associated with CO2 uptake, suggesting successful carbonation. Changes in pH and dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) point to differing geochemical dynamics under ambient and elevated CO2 conditions, with acidification observed in both scenarios. While the findings support the feasibility of using lizardite-rich materials for EW-based carbon sequestration, the associated pH decline raises concern about potential ocean acidification. However, incorporating lime derived from industrial marble waste into sand presents a promising approach to mitigate both climate change and ocean acidification. This mixed sand offers dual environmental benefits by facilitating carbon mineralization and promoting the sustainable utilization of industrial by-products, thereby contributing to climate resilience and environmental sustainability. The results underscore the need for careful selection of rock types and operational conditions to ensure both carbon removal efficacy and environmental compatibility. Ongoing work aims to identify optimal materials for sustainable deployment in marine environments.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-23
Climate scientists sharpen tools for linking global warming to extreme weather.
Science (New York, N.Y.), 393(6809):341-342.
National Academies report says more rigorous results will boost confidence in fast-growing field.
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@article {pmid42490475,
year = {2026},
author = {Vaz, J},
title = {Climate scientists sharpen tools for linking global warming to extreme weather.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {393},
number = {6809},
pages = {341-342},
doi = {10.1126/science.aek8030},
pmid = {42490475},
issn = {1095-9203},
abstract = {National Academies report says more rigorous results will boost confidence in fast-growing field.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-23
CmpDate: 2026-07-23
Mental health interventions for climate change-induced disaster survivors in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs): A systematic review.
Global mental health (Cambridge, England), 13:e154 pii:S2054425126102490.
Climate change-induced disasters continue to disproportionately affect low, middle and upper-middle income countries (LMICs), often leaving survivors at risk of serious mental health challenges. Yet, mental health interventions in these settings remain limited and poorly integrated into health systems. This study explores the types and levels of existing mental health interventions for individuals affected by climate-induced disasters, using the Inter-Agency Standing Committee's framework on Mental Health and Psychosocial Support. A systematic review was conducted following PRISMA guidelines across six databases, yielding 14 studies for final analysis. Key data on study design, disaster type, mental health conditions, intervention types and service providers were extracted and mapped against the Inter-Agency Standing Committee framework. While interventions were identified across all four layers of support, most were concentrated at the individual level, focusing on non-specialised services delivered by trained non-specialist providers (e.g., community health workers or lay counsellors) and specialised services provided by licenced clinical professionals, with limited emphasis on community-based or systems-level approaches. Results indicate such a significant gap, about 79% of the studies focused on the individual level, in mental health interventions in LMICs. It is therefore crucial to address these gaps to ensure comprehensive mental health care is available in disaster-prone countries.
Additional Links: PMID-42491102
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@article {pmid42491102,
year = {2026},
author = {Kim, S and Palócz, E and Park, J and Kang, S},
title = {Mental health interventions for climate change-induced disaster survivors in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs): A systematic review.},
journal = {Global mental health (Cambridge, England)},
volume = {13},
number = {},
pages = {e154},
doi = {10.1017/gmh.2026.10249},
pmid = {42491102},
issn = {2054-4251},
abstract = {Climate change-induced disasters continue to disproportionately affect low, middle and upper-middle income countries (LMICs), often leaving survivors at risk of serious mental health challenges. Yet, mental health interventions in these settings remain limited and poorly integrated into health systems. This study explores the types and levels of existing mental health interventions for individuals affected by climate-induced disasters, using the Inter-Agency Standing Committee's framework on Mental Health and Psychosocial Support. A systematic review was conducted following PRISMA guidelines across six databases, yielding 14 studies for final analysis. Key data on study design, disaster type, mental health conditions, intervention types and service providers were extracted and mapped against the Inter-Agency Standing Committee framework. While interventions were identified across all four layers of support, most were concentrated at the individual level, focusing on non-specialised services delivered by trained non-specialist providers (e.g., community health workers or lay counsellors) and specialised services provided by licenced clinical professionals, with limited emphasis on community-based or systems-level approaches. Results indicate such a significant gap, about 79% of the studies focused on the individual level, in mental health interventions in LMICs. It is therefore crucial to address these gaps to ensure comprehensive mental health care is available in disaster-prone countries.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-20
Changing patterns of forest fires-climate relationships during 1961-1997 in Greece: Is it the effect of climate change?.
The Science of the total environment, 1048:182051 pii:S0048-9697(26)00716-3 [Epub ahead of print].
Using documented fire records and monthly weather data spanning 37 years (1961-1997), we aim to explore long-term trends in the spatiotemporal variability of the relationship between fire occurrence and the Bagnouls-Gaussen aridity or xerothermic index (BGI). By examining this relationship, we test the theoretical framework of the intermediate fire-productivity hypothesis in an eastern Mediterranean country, Greece, to unveil the driving factors shaping fire activity. We particularly investigate whether the influence of drought conditions is more accentuated in the northern part of the country due to the presence of biomass-rich, rarely-dry ecosystems compared to the southern part. Two patterns in the relationships between fires and climate have been observed in Greece along a north-south gradient, which can be explained by the intermediate fire-productivity hypothesis. According to this hypothesis, fire activity presents two extremes (minima) at the ends of the fuel moisture-fuel amount gradient. The first occurs in northern Greece, in biomass-rich areas where fuels are abundant and the dominant limiting factor for fires is climate (in terms of aridity). The second occurs in southern Greece in biomass-poor ecosystems, where fires are constrained by fuel availability rather than climate. A changing pattern of forest fire-climate relationships during 1961-1997 in northern Greece is evident, probably as a result of climate change. In summary, northern Greece appears to be experiencing a climate-driven shift away from a climate-limited (moisture-limited) fire regime, while southern Greece maintains a stable, fuel-limited regime. This divergence underscores the varying impacts of climate and ecosystem characteristics on fire dynamics across Greece.
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@article {pmid42475909,
year = {2026},
author = {Koutsias, N and Fotiadi, A and Alatsaris, M},
title = {Changing patterns of forest fires-climate relationships during 1961-1997 in Greece: Is it the effect of climate change?.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {1048},
number = {},
pages = {182051},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2026.182051},
pmid = {42475909},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Using documented fire records and monthly weather data spanning 37 years (1961-1997), we aim to explore long-term trends in the spatiotemporal variability of the relationship between fire occurrence and the Bagnouls-Gaussen aridity or xerothermic index (BGI). By examining this relationship, we test the theoretical framework of the intermediate fire-productivity hypothesis in an eastern Mediterranean country, Greece, to unveil the driving factors shaping fire activity. We particularly investigate whether the influence of drought conditions is more accentuated in the northern part of the country due to the presence of biomass-rich, rarely-dry ecosystems compared to the southern part. Two patterns in the relationships between fires and climate have been observed in Greece along a north-south gradient, which can be explained by the intermediate fire-productivity hypothesis. According to this hypothesis, fire activity presents two extremes (minima) at the ends of the fuel moisture-fuel amount gradient. The first occurs in northern Greece, in biomass-rich areas where fuels are abundant and the dominant limiting factor for fires is climate (in terms of aridity). The second occurs in southern Greece in biomass-poor ecosystems, where fires are constrained by fuel availability rather than climate. A changing pattern of forest fire-climate relationships during 1961-1997 in northern Greece is evident, probably as a result of climate change. In summary, northern Greece appears to be experiencing a climate-driven shift away from a climate-limited (moisture-limited) fire regime, while southern Greece maintains a stable, fuel-limited regime. This divergence underscores the varying impacts of climate and ecosystem characteristics on fire dynamics across Greece.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-20
Quadrature solution of fractional coupled burgers and plankton-oxygen dynamics under climate change.
Scientific reports, 16(1):.
This research aims to provide a precise and computationally efficient solution for two important systems in mathematical modeling and environmental science: the fractional nonlinear coupled Burgers' system and the fractional dynamics of the coupled plankton-oxygen model in (1 + 1) dimensions. Despite the increasing complexity of these systems, existing numerical methods often struggle with the high computational costs of non-local operators. To address this, we propose a robust hybrid framework integrating the Fractional Differential Quadrature Method (FDQM) with a Newton-Raphson (NR) iterative procedure.These systems are critical for understanding various physical processes, including turbulent fluid dynamics and the biological interactions of oxygen and plankton in aquatic environments. The models use fractional derivatives, which provide greater flexibility in capturing memory and hereditary features, making them more suitable for correctly simulating real-world processes than traditional integer-order models. The proposed work solves these problems using a generalized Liouville-Caputo fractional-order model mixed with versions of the differential quadrature technique (DQM), which allows effective handling of complex boundary conditions and spatial derivatives. The nonlinearity in these equations is handled using Newton-Raphson's iterative approach, which ensures the solutions' stability and convergence. The proposed system was implemented in MATLAB, and a complete parametric analysis was carried out to investigate how various parameters, including the fractional-order derivative, the oxygen generation rate, and the maximum per capita growth rate of phytoplankton, influence model outputs. This study not only proves the suggested techniques' accuracy, convergence, and efficiency but also sheds light on their sensitivity to important parameters, making them more applicable to real-world circumstances. The findings of this work are expected to contribute to better modeling methodologies for complex systems, ultimately benefiting academics in domains ranging from environmental science to fluid dynamics.
Additional Links: PMID-42477025
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@article {pmid42477025,
year = {2026},
author = {Zayed, MA and Almetwally, EM and Mohamed, M and Ragb, O and Khidr, MF and Matbuly, MS and Salah, M},
title = {Quadrature solution of fractional coupled burgers and plankton-oxygen dynamics under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {42477025},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {IMSIU-DDRSP2602//This work was supported and funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research at Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic University (IMSIU)/ ; },
abstract = {This research aims to provide a precise and computationally efficient solution for two important systems in mathematical modeling and environmental science: the fractional nonlinear coupled Burgers' system and the fractional dynamics of the coupled plankton-oxygen model in (1 + 1) dimensions. Despite the increasing complexity of these systems, existing numerical methods often struggle with the high computational costs of non-local operators. To address this, we propose a robust hybrid framework integrating the Fractional Differential Quadrature Method (FDQM) with a Newton-Raphson (NR) iterative procedure.These systems are critical for understanding various physical processes, including turbulent fluid dynamics and the biological interactions of oxygen and plankton in aquatic environments. The models use fractional derivatives, which provide greater flexibility in capturing memory and hereditary features, making them more suitable for correctly simulating real-world processes than traditional integer-order models. The proposed work solves these problems using a generalized Liouville-Caputo fractional-order model mixed with versions of the differential quadrature technique (DQM), which allows effective handling of complex boundary conditions and spatial derivatives. The nonlinearity in these equations is handled using Newton-Raphson's iterative approach, which ensures the solutions' stability and convergence. The proposed system was implemented in MATLAB, and a complete parametric analysis was carried out to investigate how various parameters, including the fractional-order derivative, the oxygen generation rate, and the maximum per capita growth rate of phytoplankton, influence model outputs. This study not only proves the suggested techniques' accuracy, convergence, and efficiency but also sheds light on their sensitivity to important parameters, making them more applicable to real-world circumstances. The findings of this work are expected to contribute to better modeling methodologies for complex systems, ultimately benefiting academics in domains ranging from environmental science to fluid dynamics.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-21
Long-term distribution of radiocarbon in the Pacific Ocean within prevailing climate change.
Journal of environmental radioactivity, 298:108113 pii:S0265-931X(26)00228-6 [Epub ahead of print].
Many studies have been already published documenting that prevailing global warming and climate change are affecting the world ocean, with some of them suggesting the Pacific Ocean being one of the most impacted basins. Among others, the physical state of the ocean can be derived from the distribution of its constituents, e.g., radionuclides with suitable characteristics. Radiocarbon ([14]C) was used in the past as a tracer for studying various oceanic processes such as air-sea gas exchange and thermocline ventilation. A complex image about the distribution of radiocarbon in the form of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) in the Pacific Ocean between 1990s and 2010s is described in the current study. Except for the northeastern part, observed accelerating decrease of a radiocarbon signal (Δ[14]C) in the surface seawater was quantified between 3.5 ± 0.3 and 3.9 ± 0.3‰ y[-1] on decadal timescale. Several factors contributing to the alteration of distribution, including fossil fuel combustion leading to Suess effect, inverted air-sea exchange of [14]CO2, and shifted ocean circulation and ventilation, were discussed as possible influences. The change was also visible for the upper mixed layer whose [14]C concentration vertical profile showed fewer local maxima and was extended into greater depths, in parallel with generally higher mean penetration depth (MPD) of bomb fraction, which may be related to increasing stratification in the Pacific Ocean. The impact of environmental conditions within climate change was mainly noticeable in upper layers which is supported by a shift in the bomb radiocarbon inventories distribution in the eastern Pacific Ocean after 2000s, dominantly accumulated at the depth above 1 km.
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@article {pmid42480353,
year = {2026},
author = {Kaizer, J},
title = {Long-term distribution of radiocarbon in the Pacific Ocean within prevailing climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental radioactivity},
volume = {298},
number = {},
pages = {108113},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvrad.2026.108113},
pmid = {42480353},
issn = {1879-1700},
abstract = {Many studies have been already published documenting that prevailing global warming and climate change are affecting the world ocean, with some of them suggesting the Pacific Ocean being one of the most impacted basins. Among others, the physical state of the ocean can be derived from the distribution of its constituents, e.g., radionuclides with suitable characteristics. Radiocarbon ([14]C) was used in the past as a tracer for studying various oceanic processes such as air-sea gas exchange and thermocline ventilation. A complex image about the distribution of radiocarbon in the form of dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC) in the Pacific Ocean between 1990s and 2010s is described in the current study. Except for the northeastern part, observed accelerating decrease of a radiocarbon signal (Δ[14]C) in the surface seawater was quantified between 3.5 ± 0.3 and 3.9 ± 0.3‰ y[-1] on decadal timescale. Several factors contributing to the alteration of distribution, including fossil fuel combustion leading to Suess effect, inverted air-sea exchange of [14]CO2, and shifted ocean circulation and ventilation, were discussed as possible influences. The change was also visible for the upper mixed layer whose [14]C concentration vertical profile showed fewer local maxima and was extended into greater depths, in parallel with generally higher mean penetration depth (MPD) of bomb fraction, which may be related to increasing stratification in the Pacific Ocean. The impact of environmental conditions within climate change was mainly noticeable in upper layers which is supported by a shift in the bomb radiocarbon inventories distribution in the eastern Pacific Ocean after 2000s, dominantly accumulated at the depth above 1 km.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-21
Environmental suitability of Coccidioides in the USA under climate change scenarios: a modelling study.
The Lancet. Planetary health pii:S2542-5196(26)00054-9 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Coccidioides are fungi endemic to western USA and are estimated to cause more than 200 000 symptomatic cases of coccidioidomycosis, also known as Valley fever, annually. Endemicity is influenced by environmental conditions, including precipitation, temperature, and soil composition. As environmental conditions change in the future, the geographical distribution of the fungi can be altered.
METHODS: In this modelling study, we used generalised additive models to construct two Coccidioides suitability models at the county and ZIP code tabulation area (ZCTA) scales. The county model used public health surveillance data from 2010 to 2019 provided by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, whereas the ZCTA model was based on emergency department visit data. We compared predicted suitable areas to assess the utility of hospital data in estimating Coccidioides suitability and projected future suitability using data from 33 global climate models for 2050, 2075, and 2100.
FINDINGS: The ZCTA model had better out-of-sample predictive performance for identifying endemic areas than the county model (area under the precision-recall curve: 0·81 vs 0·57), including higher specificity (0·84 vs 0·52). Both models identified potential suitable areas for the fungi beyond California and Arizona, including Texas, where coccidioidomycosis is currently not a notifiable disease. Additionally, both models projected a similar future northward and eastward shift in Coccidioides suitability, with these shifts exacerbating under higher levels of warming. Under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5, we estimated that non-endemic ZCTAs containing 23 million (95% uncertainty interval 8-34) people could become suitable for Coccidioides by 2050, rising to areas containing 30 million (21-43) by 2100.
INTERPRETATION: Potential future expansion of Coccidioides into new regions highlights the need for increased surveillance in the USA. Hospital data can be used to estimate Valley fever risk wherever surveillance data are scarce.
FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health.
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@article {pmid42480576,
year = {2026},
author = {Deshpande, A and Toda, M and Williams, SL and Chang, HH and Ebelt, S and Lane, M and Scovronick, N},
title = {Environmental suitability of Coccidioides in the USA under climate change scenarios: a modelling study.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101481},
doi = {10.1016/j.lanplh.2026.101481},
pmid = {42480576},
issn = {2542-5196},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Coccidioides are fungi endemic to western USA and are estimated to cause more than 200 000 symptomatic cases of coccidioidomycosis, also known as Valley fever, annually. Endemicity is influenced by environmental conditions, including precipitation, temperature, and soil composition. As environmental conditions change in the future, the geographical distribution of the fungi can be altered.
METHODS: In this modelling study, we used generalised additive models to construct two Coccidioides suitability models at the county and ZIP code tabulation area (ZCTA) scales. The county model used public health surveillance data from 2010 to 2019 provided by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, whereas the ZCTA model was based on emergency department visit data. We compared predicted suitable areas to assess the utility of hospital data in estimating Coccidioides suitability and projected future suitability using data from 33 global climate models for 2050, 2075, and 2100.
FINDINGS: The ZCTA model had better out-of-sample predictive performance for identifying endemic areas than the county model (area under the precision-recall curve: 0·81 vs 0·57), including higher specificity (0·84 vs 0·52). Both models identified potential suitable areas for the fungi beyond California and Arizona, including Texas, where coccidioidomycosis is currently not a notifiable disease. Additionally, both models projected a similar future northward and eastward shift in Coccidioides suitability, with these shifts exacerbating under higher levels of warming. Under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5, we estimated that non-endemic ZCTAs containing 23 million (95% uncertainty interval 8-34) people could become suitable for Coccidioides by 2050, rising to areas containing 30 million (21-43) by 2100.
INTERPRETATION: Potential future expansion of Coccidioides into new regions highlights the need for increased surveillance in the USA. Hospital data can be used to estimate Valley fever risk wherever surveillance data are scarce.
FUNDING: US National Institutes of Health.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-21
Medical students' perspectives on climate change, climate-health education, and professional identity: a qualitative study.
BMC medical education pii:10.1186/s12909-026-09775-7 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Climate change is a global health emergency that affects both physical and mental health due to causes including heat stress, spread of vector-borne diseases, and nutritional deficiencies. As healthcare systems face growing demands, future healthcare professionals must be prepared to respond, adapt and support mitigation. This research aims to explore medical students' perspectives on climate change, perceived climate-health education gaps in medical curricula, and how climate action manifests in their professional identity as future physicians.
METHODS: A qualitative study using semi-structured interviews exploring the aforementioned topics of interest was conducted on 20 medical students in Singapore. Participants were recruited across all cohorts of existing students via convenience sampling. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, and analysed using reflexive thematic analysis.
RESULTS: Seven themes were identified: (1) awareness of climate change as a health determinant; (2) psychological responses towards climate change such as climate-related anxiety; (3) perceptions of climate change as important yet distant; (4) marginalisation and absence within medical education; (5) healthcare's dual role as contributor and responder; (6) tensions in professional identity and responsibility; and (7) calls for experiential, clinically integrated climate competence training. Collectively, these themes reflected strong recognition of climate-health links alongside uncertainty about professional roles and limited curricular integration.
CONCLUSION: Medical students view climate change as clinically relevant but underrepresented in training. Embedding applied climate-health education and defining professional responsibilities within the curriculum may better prepare physicians for the evolving health challenges of a warming world.
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@article {pmid42482208,
year = {2026},
author = {Loh, MW and Kon, MWR and Krishna, A and Chan, FHF and Griva, K},
title = {Medical students' perspectives on climate change, climate-health education, and professional identity: a qualitative study.},
journal = {BMC medical education},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1186/s12909-026-09775-7},
pmid = {42482208},
issn = {1472-6920},
support = {MOE AcRF Tier 3 Award MOE-MOET32022-0006//Ministry of Education - Singapore/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a global health emergency that affects both physical and mental health due to causes including heat stress, spread of vector-borne diseases, and nutritional deficiencies. As healthcare systems face growing demands, future healthcare professionals must be prepared to respond, adapt and support mitigation. This research aims to explore medical students' perspectives on climate change, perceived climate-health education gaps in medical curricula, and how climate action manifests in their professional identity as future physicians.
METHODS: A qualitative study using semi-structured interviews exploring the aforementioned topics of interest was conducted on 20 medical students in Singapore. Participants were recruited across all cohorts of existing students via convenience sampling. Interviews were audio-recorded, transcribed, and analysed using reflexive thematic analysis.
RESULTS: Seven themes were identified: (1) awareness of climate change as a health determinant; (2) psychological responses towards climate change such as climate-related anxiety; (3) perceptions of climate change as important yet distant; (4) marginalisation and absence within medical education; (5) healthcare's dual role as contributor and responder; (6) tensions in professional identity and responsibility; and (7) calls for experiential, clinically integrated climate competence training. Collectively, these themes reflected strong recognition of climate-health links alongside uncertainty about professional roles and limited curricular integration.
CONCLUSION: Medical students view climate change as clinically relevant but underrepresented in training. Embedding applied climate-health education and defining professional responsibilities within the curriculum may better prepare physicians for the evolving health challenges of a warming world.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-22
Climate change anxiety is associated with increases in generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms over one year (but not vice versa).
Anxiety, stress, and coping [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: An increasing number of people report experiencing climate change anxiety, defined as anxiety and worry about anthropogenic climate change. Previous cross-sectional research showed that climate change anxiety is associated with reduced mental health.
OBJECTIVES: The goal of this time-lagged study was to obtain a better understanding of the temporal directions underlying relations between climate change anxiety and generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms, respectively.
DESIGN: A two-wave survey study with measurement occasions separated by one year was conducted to explore potential reciprocal relations between climate change anxiety, generalized anxiety, and depressive symptoms.
METHODS: Data came from 1,897 employed adults in Germany and were analyzed using structural equation modeling.
RESULTS: Higher levels of climate change anxiety were associated with subsequent increases in both generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms across one year, with and without controlling for age, gender, environmental attitudes, and experience of climate change. In contrast, generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms were not significantly associated with subsequent changes in climate change anxiety.
CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that experiencing climate change anxiety is associated with changes in people's mental health over time, whereas no evidence was found for associations between mental health and subsequent changes in climate change anxiety.
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@article {pmid42483954,
year = {2026},
author = {Zacher, H and Kühner, C},
title = {Climate change anxiety is associated with increases in generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms over one year (but not vice versa).},
journal = {Anxiety, stress, and coping},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-8},
doi = {10.1080/10615806.2026.2706646},
pmid = {42483954},
issn = {1477-2205},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: An increasing number of people report experiencing climate change anxiety, defined as anxiety and worry about anthropogenic climate change. Previous cross-sectional research showed that climate change anxiety is associated with reduced mental health.
OBJECTIVES: The goal of this time-lagged study was to obtain a better understanding of the temporal directions underlying relations between climate change anxiety and generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms, respectively.
DESIGN: A two-wave survey study with measurement occasions separated by one year was conducted to explore potential reciprocal relations between climate change anxiety, generalized anxiety, and depressive symptoms.
METHODS: Data came from 1,897 employed adults in Germany and were analyzed using structural equation modeling.
RESULTS: Higher levels of climate change anxiety were associated with subsequent increases in both generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms across one year, with and without controlling for age, gender, environmental attitudes, and experience of climate change. In contrast, generalized anxiety and depressive symptoms were not significantly associated with subsequent changes in climate change anxiety.
CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that experiencing climate change anxiety is associated with changes in people's mental health over time, whereas no evidence was found for associations between mental health and subsequent changes in climate change anxiety.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-17
Global warming makes nitrogen oxide abatement key to ozone pollution mitigation.
Science advances, 12(29):eaea4124.
Global warming has become a critical factor affecting surface ozone (O3) pollution. The effectiveness of emission reductions for O3 pollution mitigation largely relies on the sensitivity of O3 production to its precursors. However, how global warming affects the O3 sensitivity remains unclear, posing a grand challenge in developing effective strategies for O3 pollution mitigation. Here, by using comprehensive ambient observations to constrain model simulations, we show a strong temperature dependence of O3 sensitivity over a large temperature range (-5° to 37°C) in Chinese cities. O3 sensitivity shifts toward the nitrogen oxide-limited regime at higher temperatures. Temperature change alters the reaction regime by primarily modulating the rate coefficient of radical termination, rather than that of radical cycling, and by altering emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds. Overall, future global warming will accelerate the transition of O3 sensitivity toward the nitrogen oxide-limited regime, amplifying the benefits of nitrogen oxide emission abatement in mitigating O3 pollution in urban areas worldwide.
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@article {pmid42467777,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, W and Su, H and Parrish, DD and Ni, R and Li, X and Bao, F and Wang, H and Huang, C and Williams, J and Liao, H and Lu, K and Zhang, Y and Cheng, Y},
title = {Global warming makes nitrogen oxide abatement key to ozone pollution mitigation.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {12},
number = {29},
pages = {eaea4124},
pmid = {42467777},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {Global warming has become a critical factor affecting surface ozone (O3) pollution. The effectiveness of emission reductions for O3 pollution mitigation largely relies on the sensitivity of O3 production to its precursors. However, how global warming affects the O3 sensitivity remains unclear, posing a grand challenge in developing effective strategies for O3 pollution mitigation. Here, by using comprehensive ambient observations to constrain model simulations, we show a strong temperature dependence of O3 sensitivity over a large temperature range (-5° to 37°C) in Chinese cities. O3 sensitivity shifts toward the nitrogen oxide-limited regime at higher temperatures. Temperature change alters the reaction regime by primarily modulating the rate coefficient of radical termination, rather than that of radical cycling, and by altering emissions of biogenic volatile organic compounds. Overall, future global warming will accelerate the transition of O3 sensitivity toward the nitrogen oxide-limited regime, amplifying the benefits of nitrogen oxide emission abatement in mitigating O3 pollution in urban areas worldwide.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-18
Climate change will have limited impact on future habitat suitability for two closely related East African nocturnal primates.
Folia primatologica; international journal of primatology [Epub ahead of print].
Anthropogenic climate change poses an ongoing major threat to Earth's biodiversity and is predicted to accelerate species extinctions. Primates in particular are considered highly vulnerable to changing temperature, precipitation, and seasonality characteristics. The Kenya coast dwarf galago (Paragalago cocos) and the Zanzibar dwarf galago (P. zanzibaricus) are two closely related nocturnal primates that are endemic to coastal lowland and submontane humid forest environments of eastern Kenya and Tanzania. This region of East Africa is predicted to become hotter under future climate change trajectories, and other similarly distributed species in the Paragalago genus are predicted to either lose considerable habitat or become significantly more exposed to weather extremes. In this study, we modeled how future climate change will impact climatic habitat suitability and potential distributions across the ranges of P. cocos and P. zanzibaricus under different models of atmospheric circulation and emissions pathways. We also assessed the degree of suitable habitat extents within protected areas and anthropogenic modification characteristics under climate change trajectories. Overall, climate change is predicted to have a negligible impact on future suitability. Protected areas will encompass a limited degree of suitable habitat under current and future climatic conditions. Most of the climatically suitable habitat predicted for both species occurs in heavily modified landscapes with little intact high canopy forest, and future climate change will not lead to any major changes in the composition of modified habitat in either species' ranges. Future studies should examine more localized abundance and habitat use patterns for both species, particularly in more modified habitats.
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@article {pmid42471238,
year = {2026},
author = {Miller, E and Pozzi, L},
title = {Climate change will have limited impact on future habitat suitability for two closely related East African nocturnal primates.},
journal = {Folia primatologica; international journal of primatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-22},
doi = {10.1163/14219980-bja10090},
pmid = {42471238},
issn = {1421-9980},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change poses an ongoing major threat to Earth's biodiversity and is predicted to accelerate species extinctions. Primates in particular are considered highly vulnerable to changing temperature, precipitation, and seasonality characteristics. The Kenya coast dwarf galago (Paragalago cocos) and the Zanzibar dwarf galago (P. zanzibaricus) are two closely related nocturnal primates that are endemic to coastal lowland and submontane humid forest environments of eastern Kenya and Tanzania. This region of East Africa is predicted to become hotter under future climate change trajectories, and other similarly distributed species in the Paragalago genus are predicted to either lose considerable habitat or become significantly more exposed to weather extremes. In this study, we modeled how future climate change will impact climatic habitat suitability and potential distributions across the ranges of P. cocos and P. zanzibaricus under different models of atmospheric circulation and emissions pathways. We also assessed the degree of suitable habitat extents within protected areas and anthropogenic modification characteristics under climate change trajectories. Overall, climate change is predicted to have a negligible impact on future suitability. Protected areas will encompass a limited degree of suitable habitat under current and future climatic conditions. Most of the climatically suitable habitat predicted for both species occurs in heavily modified landscapes with little intact high canopy forest, and future climate change will not lead to any major changes in the composition of modified habitat in either species' ranges. Future studies should examine more localized abundance and habitat use patterns for both species, particularly in more modified habitats.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-20
CmpDate: 2026-07-20
Psychometric Properties and Network Structure of the Domain-Specific Climate Change Distress Scale.
Chronic stress (Thousand Oaks, Calif.), 10:24705470261469261.
BACKGROUND: Climate change increasingly poses a threat to psychological health. The Domain-Specific Climate Change Distress Scale (DCCDS) was developed to capture climate-related distress across six thematic (ecology, existence, food supply, future generations, society, and wealth) and one generic domain. Building on its theoretical foundation, the present study extends initial validation efforts by providing large-scale psychometric data and normative values, drawing on a large, diverse sample to further substantiate the scale's psychometric properties and practical utility.
METHODS: We pooled data from seven independent German-speaking samples (N = 894; Mage = 39.2, SD = 13.5; 53% women). We replicated the bifactor S-1 model using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), tested measurement invariance across gender, and estimated a regularized network. Exploratory graph analysis (EGA) served as a dimensionality check. Bootstrap stability analyses and a network comparison test (NCT) assessed the robustness of network indices and gender differences.
RESULTS: CFA confirmed acceptable fit of the bifactor S-1 model. Metric invariance across gender was fully supported; partial scalar invariance was established after freeing intercepts for three items. In the regularized network, items related to food supply, future generations, and generic climate anxiety showed the highest centrality. EGA identified six stable empirical dimensions, with society and wealth items loading onto a single community. NCT revealed equivalent global network structure across gender. Gender-stratified and age-stratified normative percentiles are provided.
CONCLUSION: The DCCDS demonstrates robust psychometric properties across independent samples and is largely measurement-equivalent across gender. Findings support its use for individual diagnostics and group comparisons in climate psychology research and clinical settings. The empirical identification of six rather than seven dimensions further invites reconsideration of the Society and Wealth domain distinction. Normative data facilitate score interpretation in applied settings.
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@article {pmid42473465,
year = {2026},
author = {Weiß, M and Gutzeit, J},
title = {Psychometric Properties and Network Structure of the Domain-Specific Climate Change Distress Scale.},
journal = {Chronic stress (Thousand Oaks, Calif.)},
volume = {10},
number = {},
pages = {24705470261469261},
pmid = {42473465},
issn = {2470-5470},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change increasingly poses a threat to psychological health. The Domain-Specific Climate Change Distress Scale (DCCDS) was developed to capture climate-related distress across six thematic (ecology, existence, food supply, future generations, society, and wealth) and one generic domain. Building on its theoretical foundation, the present study extends initial validation efforts by providing large-scale psychometric data and normative values, drawing on a large, diverse sample to further substantiate the scale's psychometric properties and practical utility.
METHODS: We pooled data from seven independent German-speaking samples (N = 894; Mage = 39.2, SD = 13.5; 53% women). We replicated the bifactor S-1 model using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), tested measurement invariance across gender, and estimated a regularized network. Exploratory graph analysis (EGA) served as a dimensionality check. Bootstrap stability analyses and a network comparison test (NCT) assessed the robustness of network indices and gender differences.
RESULTS: CFA confirmed acceptable fit of the bifactor S-1 model. Metric invariance across gender was fully supported; partial scalar invariance was established after freeing intercepts for three items. In the regularized network, items related to food supply, future generations, and generic climate anxiety showed the highest centrality. EGA identified six stable empirical dimensions, with society and wealth items loading onto a single community. NCT revealed equivalent global network structure across gender. Gender-stratified and age-stratified normative percentiles are provided.
CONCLUSION: The DCCDS demonstrates robust psychometric properties across independent samples and is largely measurement-equivalent across gender. Findings support its use for individual diagnostics and group comparisons in climate psychology research and clinical settings. The empirical identification of six rather than seven dimensions further invites reconsideration of the Society and Wealth domain distinction. Normative data facilitate score interpretation in applied settings.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-20
CmpDate: 2026-07-20
Prediction of the Potential Distribution of Cirsium vulgare in China Under Climate Change Scenarios Based on Its First Recorded Occurrences in Southern China.
Ecology and evolution, 16(7):e74028.
Cirsium vulgare (Asteraceae) is an invasive plant species whose distribution is expanding globally. It was recently recorded in Yunnan Province, China, far south of its previous known range in China, necessitating a timely invasion risk assessment. This study aimed to provide a more comprehensive assessment of its potential distribution in China under climate change scenarios. We used an optimized MaxEnt model combined with a Multivariate Environmental Similarity Surface (MESS) analysis, based on current global occurrences and 52 newly collected field occurrence records from Yunnan Province. The model demonstrated robust predictive performance (AUC = 0.971) and identified temperature seasonality (Bio4, contribution rate 42.8%) and precipitation seasonality (Bio15, 20.0%) as the two main influencing factors. The species exhibited a dual environmental response pattern that would allow it to adapt to mild, low-seasonality settings of southwestern highlands, while also enduring the harsh, strongly continental climate of the northwestern inland. Thus, facilitating a multi-center distribution pattern including Yunnan, Xinjiang and Taiwan. Under future climate change scenarios, the model showed C. vulgare displayed a rare inverse elevational shift. There was a significant centroid shifting northwestward and a sharp decline in elevation from the current high-altitude mountainous region (4900 m) to the edge of the Qaidam Basin (3100 m). This suggests that C. vulgare populations are potentially able to track high-seasonality climates to offset warming impacts caused by climate change scenarios. Although the total suitable area of C. vulgare in China is projected to contract in the future, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and Xinjiang's Ili River Valley remain stable climate refugia. Therefore, this study recommends considering these core distribution areas as primary priorities for prevention and control of C. vulgare and highlights the colonization risk to oasis agricultural regions via the northwestern dispersal corridors.
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@article {pmid42473645,
year = {2026},
author = {Hu, R and Zhang, W and Wang, Z and Li, Q and Clements, DR and Day, MD and Shen, S},
title = {Prediction of the Potential Distribution of Cirsium vulgare in China Under Climate Change Scenarios Based on Its First Recorded Occurrences in Southern China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {16},
number = {7},
pages = {e74028},
pmid = {42473645},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Cirsium vulgare (Asteraceae) is an invasive plant species whose distribution is expanding globally. It was recently recorded in Yunnan Province, China, far south of its previous known range in China, necessitating a timely invasion risk assessment. This study aimed to provide a more comprehensive assessment of its potential distribution in China under climate change scenarios. We used an optimized MaxEnt model combined with a Multivariate Environmental Similarity Surface (MESS) analysis, based on current global occurrences and 52 newly collected field occurrence records from Yunnan Province. The model demonstrated robust predictive performance (AUC = 0.971) and identified temperature seasonality (Bio4, contribution rate 42.8%) and precipitation seasonality (Bio15, 20.0%) as the two main influencing factors. The species exhibited a dual environmental response pattern that would allow it to adapt to mild, low-seasonality settings of southwestern highlands, while also enduring the harsh, strongly continental climate of the northwestern inland. Thus, facilitating a multi-center distribution pattern including Yunnan, Xinjiang and Taiwan. Under future climate change scenarios, the model showed C. vulgare displayed a rare inverse elevational shift. There was a significant centroid shifting northwestward and a sharp decline in elevation from the current high-altitude mountainous region (4900 m) to the edge of the Qaidam Basin (3100 m). This suggests that C. vulgare populations are potentially able to track high-seasonality climates to offset warming impacts caused by climate change scenarios. Although the total suitable area of C. vulgare in China is projected to contract in the future, the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau and Xinjiang's Ili River Valley remain stable climate refugia. Therefore, this study recommends considering these core distribution areas as primary priorities for prevention and control of C. vulgare and highlights the colonization risk to oasis agricultural regions via the northwestern dispersal corridors.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-20
The 2026 western US snow drought was about four times more likely due to climate change.
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 123(30):e2612961123.
In the spring of 2026, anomalously low snow conditions in the western United States threatened winter recreation and water supplies. Here, we investigate: to what extent was this snow drought attributable to the climate change that has occurred since the pre-industrial period? We find that a snow drought this severe across the western United States was approximately 4.4 [95% CI: 2.6, 9.4] times more likely in the current climate than in the preindustrial period. In the Upper Colorado River Basin, the snow drought was approximately 14 times more likely [0.09, 4,300]. Given a projected increase in the frequency of snow droughts at least this severe in a moderately high emissions warming scenario, the lived experience of this event may help scientists, resource managers, and the public consider what western US snow might look like if greenhouse gas emissions are not aggressively reduced.
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@article {pmid42475557,
year = {2026},
author = {Marshall, AM and Cowherd, M and Rahimi, S and Ye, Y},
title = {The 2026 western US snow drought was about four times more likely due to climate change.},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
volume = {123},
number = {30},
pages = {e2612961123},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.2612961123},
pmid = {42475557},
issn = {1091-6490},
support = {2149105//NSF (NSF)/ ; NA230AR4310633//DOC | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)/ ; },
abstract = {In the spring of 2026, anomalously low snow conditions in the western United States threatened winter recreation and water supplies. Here, we investigate: to what extent was this snow drought attributable to the climate change that has occurred since the pre-industrial period? We find that a snow drought this severe across the western United States was approximately 4.4 [95% CI: 2.6, 9.4] times more likely in the current climate than in the preindustrial period. In the Upper Colorado River Basin, the snow drought was approximately 14 times more likely [0.09, 4,300]. Given a projected increase in the frequency of snow droughts at least this severe in a moderately high emissions warming scenario, the lived experience of this event may help scientists, resource managers, and the public consider what western US snow might look like if greenhouse gas emissions are not aggressively reduced.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-17
Environmental Awareness and Attitudes Toward Climate Change Among Health Professionals: An Integrative Review.
Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.) [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Environmental degradation and climate change are growing global problems that affect public health. This integrative review aims to consolidate the available evidence concerning environmental awareness, attitudes, and behaviors among healthcare professionals toward climate change and the implementation of sustainable health practices.
METHODS: A systematic integrative review of the qualitative and quantitative studies was conducted. Studies were identified through searches of eight databases until October 2025. The inclusion criteria encompassed studies involving healthcare professionals that focused on environmental awareness, attitudes, and behaviors. Two reviewers independently screened the identified studies, and a third reviewer resolved any discrepancies. Data were analyzed using a thematic analysis approach.
RESULTS: The review included 10 studies. Healthcare professionals recognized the link between climate change and health, but highlighted a discrepancy between growing awareness and sustainable practices. Concerns included the environmental impact of healthcare. Barriers to adopting sustainable practices included a perceived lack of institutional support. There was a dissociation between professionals' eco-friendly behaviors in their personal lives and work settings.
CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for implementing interventions focused on providing education, creating supportive work environments, and involving healthcare professionals in decision-making related to sustainability.
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@article {pmid42464965,
year = {2026},
author = {Cuevas-Sánchez, C and Álvarez-Nieto, C and López-Medina, IM},
title = {Environmental Awareness and Attitudes Toward Climate Change Among Health Professionals: An Integrative Review.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.70159},
pmid = {42464965},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Environmental degradation and climate change are growing global problems that affect public health. This integrative review aims to consolidate the available evidence concerning environmental awareness, attitudes, and behaviors among healthcare professionals toward climate change and the implementation of sustainable health practices.
METHODS: A systematic integrative review of the qualitative and quantitative studies was conducted. Studies were identified through searches of eight databases until October 2025. The inclusion criteria encompassed studies involving healthcare professionals that focused on environmental awareness, attitudes, and behaviors. Two reviewers independently screened the identified studies, and a third reviewer resolved any discrepancies. Data were analyzed using a thematic analysis approach.
RESULTS: The review included 10 studies. Healthcare professionals recognized the link between climate change and health, but highlighted a discrepancy between growing awareness and sustainable practices. Concerns included the environmental impact of healthcare. Barriers to adopting sustainable practices included a perceived lack of institutional support. There was a dissociation between professionals' eco-friendly behaviors in their personal lives and work settings.
CONCLUSIONS: There is a need for implementing interventions focused on providing education, creating supportive work environments, and involving healthcare professionals in decision-making related to sustainability.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-16
Climate change mitigation potential of reducing forest harvest under increased risk of wildfires in Canada.
Journal of environmental management, 414:130435 pii:S0301-4797(26)01895-5 [Epub ahead of print].
This study quantified the greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction potential of a hypothetical harvest reduction scenario using a system approach that included ecosystem carbon dynamics with future wildfires, tracking of carbon in wood products and substitution impacts of emissions-intensive materials. A Harvest Less scenario reduced harvest volume by ∼15% and preferentially harvested stands with higher wildfire-risk while retaining lower wildfire-risk stands on the landscape. Stand selection was guided by a harvest scheduler that prioritized higher wildfire risk stands during optimization. Open-source models and publicly available datasets were used to estimate net GHG benefits relative to a forward-looking baseline. A statistical approach was used to project future area burned across distinct fire zones, enabling quantitative assessment of wildfire risk under a changing climate. The net GHG reduction associated with reduced harvest volumes varied by region and wildfire regime. Nationally, the cumulative net GHG reduction was -836 MtCO2e (80% confidence interval -820 to -854) after 40 years, with annual mitigation peaking after roughly 10 years and declining thereafter. Regions with high burn rates exhibited greater uncertainty in the climate change mitigation potential of reduced harvesting. These findings emphasize the need for a balanced forest management approach that accounts for both carbon sequestration and wildfire risk to effectively mitigate climate change.
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@article {pmid42462436,
year = {2026},
author = {Smyth, C and Fellows, M and Buckingham, J and Metsaranta, J},
title = {Climate change mitigation potential of reducing forest harvest under increased risk of wildfires in Canada.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {414},
number = {},
pages = {130435},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2026.130435},
pmid = {42462436},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This study quantified the greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction potential of a hypothetical harvest reduction scenario using a system approach that included ecosystem carbon dynamics with future wildfires, tracking of carbon in wood products and substitution impacts of emissions-intensive materials. A Harvest Less scenario reduced harvest volume by ∼15% and preferentially harvested stands with higher wildfire-risk while retaining lower wildfire-risk stands on the landscape. Stand selection was guided by a harvest scheduler that prioritized higher wildfire risk stands during optimization. Open-source models and publicly available datasets were used to estimate net GHG benefits relative to a forward-looking baseline. A statistical approach was used to project future area burned across distinct fire zones, enabling quantitative assessment of wildfire risk under a changing climate. The net GHG reduction associated with reduced harvest volumes varied by region and wildfire regime. Nationally, the cumulative net GHG reduction was -836 MtCO2e (80% confidence interval -820 to -854) after 40 years, with annual mitigation peaking after roughly 10 years and declining thereafter. Regions with high burn rates exhibited greater uncertainty in the climate change mitigation potential of reduced harvesting. These findings emphasize the need for a balanced forest management approach that accounts for both carbon sequestration and wildfire risk to effectively mitigate climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-16
Carbon storage by Neltuma juliflora on Santiago Island and its potential role in climate change mitigation in Cabo Verde.
Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-026-61445-2 [Epub ahead of print].
Arid and semi-arid ecosystems constitute important carbon reservoirs, yet their contribution to climate regulation remains insufficiently documented, particularly in Small Island Developing States (SIDS). In this context, invasive or introduced woody species may contribute substantially to biomass accumulation in degraded drylands, although quantitative evidence for Neltuma juliflora remains limited. This study provides the first block-scale assessment of carbon stocks in N. juliflora stands on Santiago Island, Cabo Verde, using validated allometric equations and topsoil analyses across 11 sampling blocks. A total of 463 individuals were measured. Aboveground carbon stocks varied markedly among blocks, ranging from 27.4 to 85.3 Mg C ha[-][1], and were strongly associated with variation in stand structure, particularly equivalent diameter, tree height and stand density. In contrast, soil organic carbon in the 0-20 cm layer remained comparatively low, averaging 7.1 Mg C ha[-][1], and showed no significant radial trend with increasing distance from the tree. Instead, variation in soil carbon was more closely associated with block-level edaphic heterogeneity than with local canopy effects. Belowground carbon, estimated using a fixed root-to-shoot ratio, followed the same spatial pattern as aboveground biomass and should therefore be interpreted as a derived rather than independently measured pool. Overall, the results demonstrate that N. juliflora can support substantial woody carbon storage under semi-arid insular conditions, whereas shallow soil carbon remains limited. These findings provide an important baseline for dryland carbon assessment in Cabo Verde and support a cautious, site-specific evaluation of the species in restoration and climate-mitigation strategies given its recognised invasive potential.
Additional Links: PMID-42463835
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@article {pmid42463835,
year = {2026},
author = {Semedo, D and Silva, LB and Pavão, DC and Roxo, G and Resendes, R and Cardoso, J and Romeiras, MM and Moura, M and Silva, L},
title = {Carbon storage by Neltuma juliflora on Santiago Island and its potential role in climate change mitigation in Cabo Verde.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-026-61445-2},
pmid = {42463835},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Arid and semi-arid ecosystems constitute important carbon reservoirs, yet their contribution to climate regulation remains insufficiently documented, particularly in Small Island Developing States (SIDS). In this context, invasive or introduced woody species may contribute substantially to biomass accumulation in degraded drylands, although quantitative evidence for Neltuma juliflora remains limited. This study provides the first block-scale assessment of carbon stocks in N. juliflora stands on Santiago Island, Cabo Verde, using validated allometric equations and topsoil analyses across 11 sampling blocks. A total of 463 individuals were measured. Aboveground carbon stocks varied markedly among blocks, ranging from 27.4 to 85.3 Mg C ha[-][1], and were strongly associated with variation in stand structure, particularly equivalent diameter, tree height and stand density. In contrast, soil organic carbon in the 0-20 cm layer remained comparatively low, averaging 7.1 Mg C ha[-][1], and showed no significant radial trend with increasing distance from the tree. Instead, variation in soil carbon was more closely associated with block-level edaphic heterogeneity than with local canopy effects. Belowground carbon, estimated using a fixed root-to-shoot ratio, followed the same spatial pattern as aboveground biomass and should therefore be interpreted as a derived rather than independently measured pool. Overall, the results demonstrate that N. juliflora can support substantial woody carbon storage under semi-arid insular conditions, whereas shallow soil carbon remains limited. These findings provide an important baseline for dryland carbon assessment in Cabo Verde and support a cautious, site-specific evaluation of the species in restoration and climate-mitigation strategies given its recognised invasive potential.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
The 2025 small island developing states report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: building resilience in the face of rising heat.
The Lancet. Global health pii:S2214-109X(26)00106-3 [Epub ahead of print].
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@article {pmid42456689,
year = {2026},
author = {Gordon-Strachan, GM and Parker, SY and Harewood, HC and Parchment, KF and Smith, DC and Mendez-Lazaro, P and Abdulkadri, AO and Beggs, PJ and Buss, DF and Dasgupta, S and Guthrie-Dixon, NG and Greaves, NS and Kennard, H and Maharaj, SB and Marshall, KG and McFarlane, SR and McKenzie, KS and Moradi-Lakeh, M and Murphy, M and Mycoo, MA and Ng Shiu, R and Oli, KS and Owfi, F and Polson, KA and Rabbaniha, M and Repke, T and Robinson, EJZ and Tabatabaei, M and Walawender, M and Romanello, M},
title = {The 2025 small island developing states report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change: building resilience in the face of rising heat.},
journal = {The Lancet. Global health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {103961},
doi = {10.1016/j.langlo.2026.103961},
pmid = {42456689},
issn = {2214-109X},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
Impacts of climate change on greenhouse gas emissions from wastewater: a critical review.
Bioresource technology pii:S0960-8524(26)01503-8 [Epub ahead of print].
As a key component of environmental protection, wastewater treatment is also a source of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Climate change is exacerbating GHG emissions from the wastewater sector, threatening global decarbonization efforts. Most current studies focus on the impact of climate change on wastewater, but ignore the changes in GHG emissions during this process. Notably, climate change and wastewater GHG emissions form a vicious cycle. Climate change intensifies GHG emissions from wastewater, while increased emissions accelerate climate change. To promote the understanding of the interaction between climate change and wastewater decarbonization, this review systematically analyzed the specific impacts of climate change on GHG emissions from wastewater and the related mechanisms. Rising temperatures enhance microbial production of CH4 and N2O and reduce oxygen transfer efficiency. Changing rainfall patterns alter wastewater volume and pollutant concentrations, increasing energy consumption and treatment uncertainty. Sea-level rise threatens coastal infrastructure and introduces salinity that disrupts biological processes. Extreme weather events impair operational stability and hinder the use of renewable energy. We recommend climate-adaptive infrastructure design, enhanced resource recovery, and artificial intelligence-driven GHG prediction tools to support resilient, low-carbon wastewater management under future climate scenarios. It is hoped that this review can provide relevant insights into wastewater decarbonization and adaptive management in the context of climate change.
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@article {pmid42456989,
year = {2026},
author = {Li, S and Duan, L and Hermanowicz, SW and Ng, HY and Xia, S and Gao, Q and Li, M and Zhao, Y and Rittmann, BE},
title = {Impacts of climate change on greenhouse gas emissions from wastewater: a critical review.},
journal = {Bioresource technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {135421},
doi = {10.1016/j.biortech.2026.135421},
pmid = {42456989},
issn = {1873-2976},
abstract = {As a key component of environmental protection, wastewater treatment is also a source of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Climate change is exacerbating GHG emissions from the wastewater sector, threatening global decarbonization efforts. Most current studies focus on the impact of climate change on wastewater, but ignore the changes in GHG emissions during this process. Notably, climate change and wastewater GHG emissions form a vicious cycle. Climate change intensifies GHG emissions from wastewater, while increased emissions accelerate climate change. To promote the understanding of the interaction between climate change and wastewater decarbonization, this review systematically analyzed the specific impacts of climate change on GHG emissions from wastewater and the related mechanisms. Rising temperatures enhance microbial production of CH4 and N2O and reduce oxygen transfer efficiency. Changing rainfall patterns alter wastewater volume and pollutant concentrations, increasing energy consumption and treatment uncertainty. Sea-level rise threatens coastal infrastructure and introduces salinity that disrupts biological processes. Extreme weather events impair operational stability and hinder the use of renewable energy. We recommend climate-adaptive infrastructure design, enhanced resource recovery, and artificial intelligence-driven GHG prediction tools to support resilient, low-carbon wastewater management under future climate scenarios. It is hoped that this review can provide relevant insights into wastewater decarbonization and adaptive management in the context of climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-16
Ideological polarization on anthropogenic climate change is stronger among politicians than among citizens across eight countries.
Communications sustainability, 1(1):111.
Despite scientific consensus on anthropogenic climate change, political orientation is often associated with climate beliefs, and such polarization may hinder mitigation efforts. Yet, few studies directly compare politicians' climate beliefs with those of citizens. Here, we used a large cross-national sample of politicians (N = 714) and citizens (N = 18,281) to explore how political orientation predicts climate beliefs and policy support in Australia, Belgium (Flanders and Wallonia), the Czech Republic, Germany, Israel, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, and Norway. Our results show that right-leaning politicians and citizens express weaker beliefs in anthropogenic climate change than left-leaning individuals. Ideological polarization is substantially stronger among politicians. Notably, right-leaning politicians are even less convinced about climate change than their own voters. These ideological divides are reflected in policy preferences: in both groups, belief in anthropogenic climate change statistically mediates the association between political orientation and support for mitigation policies, with markedly stronger mediation among politicians. Together, the results suggest that ideological gaps in climate beliefs, especially among politicians, may contribute to polarization in support for mitigation measures.
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@article {pmid42460384,
year = {2026},
author = {Kotz, J and Giese, H and Breunig, C and Sterba, MB and Brack, N and Dumont, P and Taflaga, M and Olivera, J and Sheffer, L and Werner, A and Kuraishi, A and Gaissmaier, W},
title = {Ideological polarization on anthropogenic climate change is stronger among politicians than among citizens across eight countries.},
journal = {Communications sustainability},
volume = {1},
number = {1},
pages = {111},
pmid = {42460384},
issn = {3059-4308},
abstract = {Despite scientific consensus on anthropogenic climate change, political orientation is often associated with climate beliefs, and such polarization may hinder mitigation efforts. Yet, few studies directly compare politicians' climate beliefs with those of citizens. Here, we used a large cross-national sample of politicians (N = 714) and citizens (N = 18,281) to explore how political orientation predicts climate beliefs and policy support in Australia, Belgium (Flanders and Wallonia), the Czech Republic, Germany, Israel, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, and Norway. Our results show that right-leaning politicians and citizens express weaker beliefs in anthropogenic climate change than left-leaning individuals. Ideological polarization is substantially stronger among politicians. Notably, right-leaning politicians are even less convinced about climate change than their own voters. These ideological divides are reflected in policy preferences: in both groups, belief in anthropogenic climate change statistically mediates the association between political orientation and support for mitigation policies, with markedly stronger mediation among politicians. Together, the results suggest that ideological gaps in climate beliefs, especially among politicians, may contribute to polarization in support for mitigation measures.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-16
Winter climate change in the boreal forest-what does it mean for the forest tree seedlings?.
Essays in biochemistry pii:237832 [Epub ahead of print].
Winter physiological processes are often overlooked in climate change studies of boreal forests, despite their critical role in determining tree survival and carbon balance. Winter climate change is reshaping the environmental constraints that govern boreal forest regeneration, placing increasing pressure on the resilience of tree seedlings. The present mini-review summarises how changing non-growing season temperatures and snow conditions influence the seasonal survival of boreal tree seedlings and the carbon dynamics of both seedlings and soil, with implications for successful forest regeneration. Snow insulates boreal vegetation from extreme cold, regulates light and UV exposure, and shapes spring hydrology. Alterations in snow depth, structure, duration, and melt timing modify soil temperatures, gas exchange, and the snow-soil-root-microbe system, increasing root stress and mortality through deeper frost and hypoxia, ultimately resulting in impaired spring recovery. Winter remains one of the most uncertain parts of the boreal carbon budget, as soils, microbes, and roots continue emitting CO2 and climate change is altering these fluxes and their carryover effects. Boreal forests rely on tightly regulated annual cycles in which cold acclimation and frost hardiness are essential for winter survival, yet warming can delay acclimation, increase vulnerability to warm spells, and advance spring phenology, thereby raising frost-damage risk for seedlings. The post-planting resilience of seedlings can be strengthened by targeted silvicultural planning, nursery, and planting practices that better prepare seedlings to withstand increasingly variable and challenging winter conditions. More research is needed on how boreal forest tree seedlings physiologically and phenologically adapt to changing winter conditions.
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@article {pmid42460546,
year = {2026},
author = {Riikonen, J and Domisch, T and Martz, F},
title = {Winter climate change in the boreal forest-what does it mean for the forest tree seedlings?.},
journal = {Essays in biochemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1042/EBC20250058},
pmid = {42460546},
issn = {1744-1358},
support = {374079//The Research Council of Finland/ ; },
abstract = {Winter physiological processes are often overlooked in climate change studies of boreal forests, despite their critical role in determining tree survival and carbon balance. Winter climate change is reshaping the environmental constraints that govern boreal forest regeneration, placing increasing pressure on the resilience of tree seedlings. The present mini-review summarises how changing non-growing season temperatures and snow conditions influence the seasonal survival of boreal tree seedlings and the carbon dynamics of both seedlings and soil, with implications for successful forest regeneration. Snow insulates boreal vegetation from extreme cold, regulates light and UV exposure, and shapes spring hydrology. Alterations in snow depth, structure, duration, and melt timing modify soil temperatures, gas exchange, and the snow-soil-root-microbe system, increasing root stress and mortality through deeper frost and hypoxia, ultimately resulting in impaired spring recovery. Winter remains one of the most uncertain parts of the boreal carbon budget, as soils, microbes, and roots continue emitting CO2 and climate change is altering these fluxes and their carryover effects. Boreal forests rely on tightly regulated annual cycles in which cold acclimation and frost hardiness are essential for winter survival, yet warming can delay acclimation, increase vulnerability to warm spells, and advance spring phenology, thereby raising frost-damage risk for seedlings. The post-planting resilience of seedlings can be strengthened by targeted silvicultural planning, nursery, and planting practices that better prepare seedlings to withstand increasingly variable and challenging winter conditions. More research is needed on how boreal forest tree seedlings physiologically and phenologically adapt to changing winter conditions.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-16
Climate change and the growing threat of bunyaviruses.
Journal of virology [Epub ahead of print].
Anthropogenic climate change and its implications for infectious diseases have been central to the scientific and public health discourse for more than three decades. In 2026, we have now entered a climate adaptation phase, with accumulating evidence demonstrating that ongoing climatic variability is directly reshaping the dynamics of multiple vector-borne viruses, including bunyaviruses. Bunyaviruses comprise a diverse group of segmented, negative-sense RNA viruses that include significant human and veterinary pathogens, such as Rift Valley fever virus, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus, Oropouche virus, and Cache Valley fever virus. Despite their medical and veterinary importance, climate-virus relationships remain comparatively less well characterized for bunyaviruses than for viruses such as dengue, Zika, chikungunya, and yellow fever. This gap is increasingly notable in light of recent epidemiological shifts, exemplified by the 2022-2025 expansion of Oropouche virus across the Americas and the Caribbean, which highlights how bunyaviruses can exploit ecological disruption and underscores the need to better understand the environmental determinants of their transmission. Advances in genomic surveillance, experimental virology, and climate-informed epidemiology now enable these interconnected virus-host-vector-environment dynamics to be examined with increasing precision. In this minireview, we synthesize current evidence linking environmental change to bunyavirus transmission and geographic expansion, identify critical mechanistic and surveillance gaps, and outline priorities for developing predictive frameworks to strengthen bunyavirus preparedness within a One Health context.
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@article {pmid42461032,
year = {2026},
author = {Bowen, JM and Tilston, NL},
title = {Climate change and the growing threat of bunyaviruses.},
journal = {Journal of virology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0177225},
doi = {10.1128/jvi.01772-25},
pmid = {42461032},
issn = {1098-5514},
abstract = {Anthropogenic climate change and its implications for infectious diseases have been central to the scientific and public health discourse for more than three decades. In 2026, we have now entered a climate adaptation phase, with accumulating evidence demonstrating that ongoing climatic variability is directly reshaping the dynamics of multiple vector-borne viruses, including bunyaviruses. Bunyaviruses comprise a diverse group of segmented, negative-sense RNA viruses that include significant human and veterinary pathogens, such as Rift Valley fever virus, Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus, Oropouche virus, and Cache Valley fever virus. Despite their medical and veterinary importance, climate-virus relationships remain comparatively less well characterized for bunyaviruses than for viruses such as dengue, Zika, chikungunya, and yellow fever. This gap is increasingly notable in light of recent epidemiological shifts, exemplified by the 2022-2025 expansion of Oropouche virus across the Americas and the Caribbean, which highlights how bunyaviruses can exploit ecological disruption and underscores the need to better understand the environmental determinants of their transmission. Advances in genomic surveillance, experimental virology, and climate-informed epidemiology now enable these interconnected virus-host-vector-environment dynamics to be examined with increasing precision. In this minireview, we synthesize current evidence linking environmental change to bunyavirus transmission and geographic expansion, identify critical mechanistic and surveillance gaps, and outline priorities for developing predictive frameworks to strengthen bunyavirus preparedness within a One Health context.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-16
CmpDate: 2026-07-16
Projected climate change effects on suitable habitat for Pseudosuccinea columella and Radix natalensis in uMgungundlovu, South Africa.
PloS one, 21(7):e0351465 pii:PONE-D-25-00145.
INTRODUCTION: Climate change impacts oceanic and atmospheric circulation patterns, precipitation, air and sea surface temperatures leading to altered intermediate host vector distribution, reproduction, and maturation. With temperatures predicted to rise by 1.5°C or more, understanding the influence of environmental characteristics and climatic conditions on distribution of intermediate host vectors, occurrence and habitat suitability is vital in vector borne diseases and their control policies. Hence, the study focused on the predicted changes in habitat suitability of Pseudosuccinea columella and Radix natalensis in uMgungundlovu district under climate change scenarios.
METHODS: Freshwater Pseudosuccinea columella and Radix natalensis were collected from seven localities in uMgungundlovu using stratified random cluster sampling. Snail samples were collected at 45 sites. The sites were selected based on local knowledge and accessibility. The ensemble model assessed climate variability, while Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) predicted habitat appropriateness for P. columella and R. natalensis. Maps were created using the MaxEnt model, and the model's performance was assessed using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
RESULTS: Our study indicates that P. columella and R. natalensis under current climatic conditions have suitable habitats in the Mpofana, Impendle, Richmond, and Mkhambathini municipalities within the uMgungundlovu district, but the central and northern regions are considered unsuitable. Furthermore, under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios, an estimated 22.31% and 22.57% of areas that are presently suitable are expected to become unsuitable for P. columella in uMgungundlovu, with fragmented areas and unsuitable areas becoming suitable for R. natalensis distribution by 2085.
CONCLUSION: Climate change could influence the distribution of fasciola intermediate host snails, potentially shifting the hotspots of fascioliasis transmission. Future studies should take into account shifts in land use, evolving agricultural techniques, and the impact of human activities to ensure effective management strategies.
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@article {pmid42461888,
year = {2026},
author = {Hadebe, MI and Manyangadze, T and Kalinda, C and Chimbari, MJ},
title = {Projected climate change effects on suitable habitat for Pseudosuccinea columella and Radix natalensis in uMgungundlovu, South Africa.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {21},
number = {7},
pages = {e0351465},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0351465},
pmid = {42461888},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; South Africa ; *Snails/physiology ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change impacts oceanic and atmospheric circulation patterns, precipitation, air and sea surface temperatures leading to altered intermediate host vector distribution, reproduction, and maturation. With temperatures predicted to rise by 1.5°C or more, understanding the influence of environmental characteristics and climatic conditions on distribution of intermediate host vectors, occurrence and habitat suitability is vital in vector borne diseases and their control policies. Hence, the study focused on the predicted changes in habitat suitability of Pseudosuccinea columella and Radix natalensis in uMgungundlovu district under climate change scenarios.
METHODS: Freshwater Pseudosuccinea columella and Radix natalensis were collected from seven localities in uMgungundlovu using stratified random cluster sampling. Snail samples were collected at 45 sites. The sites were selected based on local knowledge and accessibility. The ensemble model assessed climate variability, while Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) predicted habitat appropriateness for P. columella and R. natalensis. Maps were created using the MaxEnt model, and the model's performance was assessed using the Area Under the Curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
RESULTS: Our study indicates that P. columella and R. natalensis under current climatic conditions have suitable habitats in the Mpofana, Impendle, Richmond, and Mkhambathini municipalities within the uMgungundlovu district, but the central and northern regions are considered unsuitable. Furthermore, under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 climate scenarios, an estimated 22.31% and 22.57% of areas that are presently suitable are expected to become unsuitable for P. columella in uMgungundlovu, with fragmented areas and unsuitable areas becoming suitable for R. natalensis distribution by 2085.
CONCLUSION: Climate change could influence the distribution of fasciola intermediate host snails, potentially shifting the hotspots of fascioliasis transmission. Future studies should take into account shifts in land use, evolving agricultural techniques, and the impact of human activities to ensure effective management strategies.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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Animals
*Climate Change
*Ecosystem
South Africa
*Snails/physiology
RevDate: 2026-07-16
Did COVID show us how to address climate change? An infectious diseases physician and a climate-health researcher think so.
Internal medicine journal [Epub ahead of print].
We write as an infectious diseases physician and a climate-health researcher who can see four breakthroughs during COVID that are instructive to effective climate action. These are the whole-of-government approach on COVID, targeted and rapidly available funding, prevention as a key focus and acting as a community despite curtailment of our liberties. These are all relevant and applicable to another of our world's wicked health problems: climate change.
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@article {pmid42462260,
year = {2026},
author = {Lansbury, N and Redmond, AM},
title = {Did COVID show us how to address climate change? An infectious diseases physician and a climate-health researcher think so.},
journal = {Internal medicine journal},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/imj.70548},
pmid = {42462260},
issn = {1445-5994},
abstract = {We write as an infectious diseases physician and a climate-health researcher who can see four breakthroughs during COVID that are instructive to effective climate action. These are the whole-of-government approach on COVID, targeted and rapidly available funding, prevention as a key focus and acting as a community despite curtailment of our liberties. These are all relevant and applicable to another of our world's wicked health problems: climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-14
Assessing cascading effects of climate change on the UK food system and food security.
NPJ science of food pii:10.1038/s41538-026-00990-6 [Epub ahead of print].
This paper presents a holistic assessment of cascading climate risks on the security and resilience of food systems (FSs) in the United Kingdom (UK). It adopts a scoping review approach to assess vulnerabilities in the UK FS and to discuss methods used to develop cascading climate effect narratives. Results were synthesised to provide recommendations for building resilience and to guide future work. Import reliance and power imbalances are main sources of UK FS vulnerabilities. Climate change risks cascade through FSs and socio-economic systems, increase vulnerabilities and inequality and pose significant threat for food security. The findings highlight the need for greater standardisation in assessment approaches to produce a coherent body of research that can inform researchers, the general population and policy makers alike. The latter are particularly important due to their power to instigate the system level transformations required to safeguard food security in light of climate change.
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@article {pmid42448710,
year = {2026},
author = {Burkitt, S and Jabbour, L and Miri, T and Onyeaka, H},
title = {Assessing cascading effects of climate change on the UK food system and food security.},
journal = {NPJ science of food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41538-026-00990-6},
pmid = {42448710},
issn = {2396-8370},
abstract = {This paper presents a holistic assessment of cascading climate risks on the security and resilience of food systems (FSs) in the United Kingdom (UK). It adopts a scoping review approach to assess vulnerabilities in the UK FS and to discuss methods used to develop cascading climate effect narratives. Results were synthesised to provide recommendations for building resilience and to guide future work. Import reliance and power imbalances are main sources of UK FS vulnerabilities. Climate change risks cascade through FSs and socio-economic systems, increase vulnerabilities and inequality and pose significant threat for food security. The findings highlight the need for greater standardisation in assessment approaches to produce a coherent body of research that can inform researchers, the general population and policy makers alike. The latter are particularly important due to their power to instigate the system level transformations required to safeguard food security in light of climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-14
Estimated HIV cases and costs in South Africa due to global warming from 2000 to 2050: a modeling study.
Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-026-57530-1 [Epub ahead of print].
The impact of global warming on HIV prevalence and costs in South Africa are not known. We estimated for 2000-2020 using recorded surface temperatures and for 2021-2050 using predicted temperatures from the MAGICC7.0 climate model. In the latter case we assumed that societal development and temperatures would follow the narrative of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 2. We considered as a best-case, pathway 1 (SSP1). To estimate the number of people whose infection status can be associated with rising temperatures (PLHIV-T), we estimated temperature-related prevalence risks, which we applied to predicted prevalence from the Thembisa HIV transmission model. We derived incidence from prevalence using previously established methods. For the former, we also estimated follow-up antiretroviral therapy (ART) costs. PLHIV-T has increased by 7-fold from 2001 to 2020, from 1,712 to 13,254. ART costs for PLHIV-T have correspondingly increased from US$2.07 million in 2010 to US$2.89 million in 2015 and then declined to US$2.02 million in 2020. If societal development remained unchanged from 2020 to 2050, PLHIV-T associated with temperatures predicted by SSP2 increases by nearly 1.5-fold by 2050, to 14,033 (0.2% of all prevalent cases; incidence at a rate of 1.44 per 100-person-years) with US$2.25 million in ART costs. Alternatively, if societal development followed SSP1, then in 2050, the penalty would be nearly the same with 14,009 instead of 14,033 PLHIV-T and US$ 2.25 million in ART costs. Societal development alone does not sufficiently mitigate climate related health losses. Stakeholders must therefore prioritize health adaptation within climate financing and integrate HIV response planning into national climate resilience strategies.
Additional Links: PMID-42448841
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@article {pmid42448841,
year = {2026},
author = {Silva, S and Meyer-Rath, G and Reid, JAM},
title = {Estimated HIV cases and costs in South Africa due to global warming from 2000 to 2050: a modeling study.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-026-57530-1},
pmid = {42448841},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {The impact of global warming on HIV prevalence and costs in South Africa are not known. We estimated for 2000-2020 using recorded surface temperatures and for 2021-2050 using predicted temperatures from the MAGICC7.0 climate model. In the latter case we assumed that societal development and temperatures would follow the narrative of Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 2. We considered as a best-case, pathway 1 (SSP1). To estimate the number of people whose infection status can be associated with rising temperatures (PLHIV-T), we estimated temperature-related prevalence risks, which we applied to predicted prevalence from the Thembisa HIV transmission model. We derived incidence from prevalence using previously established methods. For the former, we also estimated follow-up antiretroviral therapy (ART) costs. PLHIV-T has increased by 7-fold from 2001 to 2020, from 1,712 to 13,254. ART costs for PLHIV-T have correspondingly increased from US$2.07 million in 2010 to US$2.89 million in 2015 and then declined to US$2.02 million in 2020. If societal development remained unchanged from 2020 to 2050, PLHIV-T associated with temperatures predicted by SSP2 increases by nearly 1.5-fold by 2050, to 14,033 (0.2% of all prevalent cases; incidence at a rate of 1.44 per 100-person-years) with US$2.25 million in ART costs. Alternatively, if societal development followed SSP1, then in 2050, the penalty would be nearly the same with 14,009 instead of 14,033 PLHIV-T and US$ 2.25 million in ART costs. Societal development alone does not sufficiently mitigate climate related health losses. Stakeholders must therefore prioritize health adaptation within climate financing and integrate HIV response planning into national climate resilience strategies.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
Chronic kidney disease burden attributable to heat waves amid climate change and related hospital accessibility: a health impact assessment study based on two nationally representative surveys in China.
BMC medicine pii:10.1186/s12916-026-05067-5 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Heat waves are increasingly recognized as an environmental determinant of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the CKD burden attributable to heat waves and associated healthcare inequalities, particularly under future climate change, remains insufficiently characterized.
METHODS: Based on two nationally representative cross-sectional surveys in China, we established climate region-specific exposure-response functions between heat waves and CKD. Then, we conducted 1-km grid-level health impact assessments integrating the most up-to-date nationally representative CKD prevalence data, temperature projections, population estimates, and socioeconomic indicators. The analyses focused on stages 4-5 CKD (advanced CKD), given its progressive nature and requirements for continuous medical treatment. Heat wave-attributable CKD burden was quantified as attributable cases (ACs), attributable fractions (AFs), and population attributable fractions (PAFs). Projections for 2030-2090 were generated under multiple Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Hospital accessibility was evaluated using AC-weighted driving times and accessibility scores, with inequality assessed via Gini indices and Lorenz curves.
RESULTS: In 2020, an estimated 491,362 (227,772-694,191) stages 4-5 CKD cases (about 30.06% of all cases and 45.31 per 100,000 adults) were attributable to heat waves, disproportionately affecting rural areas (PAF: 47.08 per 100,000) and subtropical and tropical regions (PAF: 52.43 per 100,000) compared to their counterparts. Projections indicated increasing trends in PAFs under high-emission scenarios (e.g., SSP5-8.5 showing > 2-fold increase in 2090). The average driving time to the nearest hospital for ACs was 15.8 (7.6-22.3) minutes, with rural areas showing significantly longer times (20.4 min) and lower accessibility. The national Gini index for hospital accessibility was 0.45, indicating high inequality, and the inequality might persist across all future climate scenarios.
CONCLUSIONS: Heat waves are associated with a substantial and spatially uneven burden of advanced CKD in China, compounded by significant inequalities in hospital accessibility. These inequalities may persist under future climate change given current hospital accessibility settings.
CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.
Additional Links: PMID-42449366
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42449366,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, W and Wang, F and Zhang, X and Liang, Z and Wei, S and Qin, Y and Wang, J and Zhang, F and Li, P and Zhou, Y and Wang, L and Yang, C and Zhang, L},
title = {Chronic kidney disease burden attributable to heat waves amid climate change and related hospital accessibility: a health impact assessment study based on two nationally representative surveys in China.},
journal = {BMC medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1186/s12916-026-05067-5},
pmid = {42449366},
issn = {1741-7015},
support = {2024ZD0524100, 2024ZD0524104//Non-communicable Chronic Diseases-National Science and Technology Major Project/ ; 72125009, 82003529, 82204137//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2021YFC2500201, 2022YFF1203001, 2019YFC2005000//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Heat waves are increasingly recognized as an environmental determinant of chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the CKD burden attributable to heat waves and associated healthcare inequalities, particularly under future climate change, remains insufficiently characterized.
METHODS: Based on two nationally representative cross-sectional surveys in China, we established climate region-specific exposure-response functions between heat waves and CKD. Then, we conducted 1-km grid-level health impact assessments integrating the most up-to-date nationally representative CKD prevalence data, temperature projections, population estimates, and socioeconomic indicators. The analyses focused on stages 4-5 CKD (advanced CKD), given its progressive nature and requirements for continuous medical treatment. Heat wave-attributable CKD burden was quantified as attributable cases (ACs), attributable fractions (AFs), and population attributable fractions (PAFs). Projections for 2030-2090 were generated under multiple Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs). Hospital accessibility was evaluated using AC-weighted driving times and accessibility scores, with inequality assessed via Gini indices and Lorenz curves.
RESULTS: In 2020, an estimated 491,362 (227,772-694,191) stages 4-5 CKD cases (about 30.06% of all cases and 45.31 per 100,000 adults) were attributable to heat waves, disproportionately affecting rural areas (PAF: 47.08 per 100,000) and subtropical and tropical regions (PAF: 52.43 per 100,000) compared to their counterparts. Projections indicated increasing trends in PAFs under high-emission scenarios (e.g., SSP5-8.5 showing > 2-fold increase in 2090). The average driving time to the nearest hospital for ACs was 15.8 (7.6-22.3) minutes, with rural areas showing significantly longer times (20.4 min) and lower accessibility. The national Gini index for hospital accessibility was 0.45, indicating high inequality, and the inequality might persist across all future climate scenarios.
CONCLUSIONS: Heat waves are associated with a substantial and spatially uneven burden of advanced CKD in China, compounded by significant inequalities in hospital accessibility. These inequalities may persist under future climate change given current hospital accessibility settings.
CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER: Not applicable.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
Beyond diversity: the functional mechanisms of microbial adapations under climate change in alpine deserts.
Environmental microbiome pii:10.1186/s40793-026-00928-1 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: The functional responses of soil microbiomes to concurrent warming and altered precipitation in alpine deserts remain poorly understood, hindering predictions of these fragile ecosystem to climate change. Specifically, the mechanisms by which microbial communities maintain ecosystem function potential despite climate-induced biodiversity changes are unclear.
RESULTS: A three-year field manipulation experiment in an alpine desert grassland on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau showed that warming and watering acted as distinct ecological drivers. Warming restructured prokaryotic and fungal communities, favored stress-associated taxa, and increasing interkingdom network complexity, indicating tighter microbial associations under climate stress. Although warming reduced microbial richness and diversity, it did not diminish the overall potential for soil nutrient cycling. Instead, functional stability was associated with sustained microbial abundance, network reorganization, and selective changes in nutrient-cycling genes, particularly those involved in nitrogen and phosphorus transformation hosted by specific bacterial phyla. In contrast, watering did not significantly increase mean soil moisture, but altered soil nutrient availability, affecting key microbial groups and their functions, showing an indirect regulation pathway.
CONCLUSIONS: Functional stability in alpine deserts under climate change was maintained not by taxonomic diversity alone, but through abundance-based compensation, community reorganization, and pathway-specific functional shifts. This study provides a mechanistic framework linking climate drivers to microbial community structure and nutrient-cycling potential, offering predictive insights into the responses of cold-arid ecosystems to future climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42449467
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@article {pmid42449467,
year = {2026},
author = {Gan, L and Yang, Z and Zhang, Y and Wang, S and Meng, F and Liu, Y and Dorji, T},
title = {Beyond diversity: the functional mechanisms of microbial adapations under climate change in alpine deserts.},
journal = {Environmental microbiome},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1186/s40793-026-00928-1},
pmid = {42449467},
issn = {2524-6372},
support = {QYXTZX-AL2022-05//Regional Science and Technology Collaborative Innovation Special Project of Ngari in Tibetan Autonomous Region of China/ ; 2019QZKK0600//the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expedition and Research Program/ ; U20A2005//the Joint Key Research Fund under cooperative agreement between the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC) and Tibet Autonomous Region (TAR)/ ; 42122005//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The functional responses of soil microbiomes to concurrent warming and altered precipitation in alpine deserts remain poorly understood, hindering predictions of these fragile ecosystem to climate change. Specifically, the mechanisms by which microbial communities maintain ecosystem function potential despite climate-induced biodiversity changes are unclear.
RESULTS: A three-year field manipulation experiment in an alpine desert grassland on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau showed that warming and watering acted as distinct ecological drivers. Warming restructured prokaryotic and fungal communities, favored stress-associated taxa, and increasing interkingdom network complexity, indicating tighter microbial associations under climate stress. Although warming reduced microbial richness and diversity, it did not diminish the overall potential for soil nutrient cycling. Instead, functional stability was associated with sustained microbial abundance, network reorganization, and selective changes in nutrient-cycling genes, particularly those involved in nitrogen and phosphorus transformation hosted by specific bacterial phyla. In contrast, watering did not significantly increase mean soil moisture, but altered soil nutrient availability, affecting key microbial groups and their functions, showing an indirect regulation pathway.
CONCLUSIONS: Functional stability in alpine deserts under climate change was maintained not by taxonomic diversity alone, but through abundance-based compensation, community reorganization, and pathway-specific functional shifts. This study provides a mechanistic framework linking climate drivers to microbial community structure and nutrient-cycling potential, offering predictive insights into the responses of cold-arid ecosystems to future climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Projected Habitat Contraction and Distributional Shifts of the near Threatened Undulate Ray Raja undulata Under Climate Change.
Biology, 15(13): pii:biology15131035.
Climate-driven changes in oceanographic conditions are increasingly affecting the distribution of marine species, particularly vulnerable elasmobranchs. The undulate ray, Raja undulata, is a Near Threatened batoid species distributed throughout the northeastern Atlantic Ocean and parts of the Mediterranean Sea, yet its potential response to future climate change remains poorly understood. This study assessed current and future habitat suitability using species distribution modelling approaches and CMIP6 climate projections under the SSP245 scenario. Species occurrence records were compiled from biodiversity databases and published sources, and environmental predictors were selected following multicollinearity screening. Among twelve evaluated modelling algorithms, MaxEnt showed the highest predictive performance (AUC = 0.99; TSS = 0.95) and was selected for subsequent analyses. Current habitat suitability was concentrated along the Iberian Peninsula, the Bay of Biscay, the English Channel, and parts of the western Mediterranean Sea. Future projections indicated substantial habitat contraction, with habitat loss (57.3%) greatly exceeding habitat gain (2.2%), resulting in a southward redistribution of suitable habitats. Minimum phytoplankton concentration, sea surface temperature, and silicate concentration were identified as the most influential environmental predictors. Areas predicted to remain suitable under both current and future conditions may represent important climate refugia for the species. Overall, the results indicate that R. undulata is highly vulnerable to future environmental change and highlight the need to incorporate climate-driven habitat shifts into conservation planning, fisheries management, and long-term monitoring strategies.
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@article {pmid42450583,
year = {2026},
author = {Turan, C and Soldo, A},
title = {Projected Habitat Contraction and Distributional Shifts of the near Threatened Undulate Ray Raja undulata Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {15},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology15131035},
pmid = {42450583},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {1059B192301583//The Scientific and Technological Research Council of Türkiye/ ; },
abstract = {Climate-driven changes in oceanographic conditions are increasingly affecting the distribution of marine species, particularly vulnerable elasmobranchs. The undulate ray, Raja undulata, is a Near Threatened batoid species distributed throughout the northeastern Atlantic Ocean and parts of the Mediterranean Sea, yet its potential response to future climate change remains poorly understood. This study assessed current and future habitat suitability using species distribution modelling approaches and CMIP6 climate projections under the SSP245 scenario. Species occurrence records were compiled from biodiversity databases and published sources, and environmental predictors were selected following multicollinearity screening. Among twelve evaluated modelling algorithms, MaxEnt showed the highest predictive performance (AUC = 0.99; TSS = 0.95) and was selected for subsequent analyses. Current habitat suitability was concentrated along the Iberian Peninsula, the Bay of Biscay, the English Channel, and parts of the western Mediterranean Sea. Future projections indicated substantial habitat contraction, with habitat loss (57.3%) greatly exceeding habitat gain (2.2%), resulting in a southward redistribution of suitable habitats. Minimum phytoplankton concentration, sea surface temperature, and silicate concentration were identified as the most influential environmental predictors. Areas predicted to remain suitable under both current and future conditions may represent important climate refugia for the species. Overall, the results indicate that R. undulata is highly vulnerable to future environmental change and highlight the need to incorporate climate-driven habitat shifts into conservation planning, fisheries management, and long-term monitoring strategies.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Assessing Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution and Ecological Risks of Cryptophyta in the China Seas Using Ensemble Models.
Biology, 15(13): pii:biology15131047.
Cryptophyta are ecologically important microalgae in marine and brackish ecosystems, but their future habitat suitability and ballast-water-associated surveillance priorities under climate change remain insufficiently understood. Based on 136 georeferenced occurrence records from China's coastal waters and 24 marine environmental variables, this study applied the Biomod2 ensemble modeling framework to predict the current and future potential distribution of Cryptophyta in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, East China Sea, and South China Sea. The ensemble model showed high predictive performance (Kappa = 0.94, TSS = 0.94, AUC = 0.997), outperforming most individual algorithms. Annual mean temperature (bio22) and maximum salinity (bio15) were identified as the dominant environmental constraints, indicating that thermal and salinity regimes jointly shape habitat suitability. Under present conditions, suitable habitats were broadly distributed across China's coastal and shelf waters. Future projections indicated that suitable habitats generally remained extensive under most climate scenarios, suggesting that future environmental changes may maintain or reshape potential recipient environments for Cryptophyta. However, this response was not linear with increasing emission intensity; under the high-emission scenario, suitable habitats declined in some regions and showed stronger spatial reorganization, implying that excessive warming or altered salinity may reduce broad-scale suitability. These findings suggest that climate change may alter the spatial pattern of Cryptophyta habitat suitability under different emission pathways. Given the role of ship ballast water in transporting planktonic microalgae, persistent or newly suitable habitats, especially those located near ports, estuaries, semi-enclosed bays, and aquaculture areas, should be regarded as habitat-suitability-based surveillance priorities. This study provides a basis for climate-informed monitoring, ballast-water-associated screening, and adaptive management of coastal microalgae in the China Seas.
Additional Links: PMID-42450595
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@article {pmid42450595,
year = {2026},
author = {Lan, R and Li, J and Chen, R and Cai, Z and Li, L},
title = {Assessing Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution and Ecological Risks of Cryptophyta in the China Seas Using Ensemble Models.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {15},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/biology15131047},
pmid = {42450595},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {No. 2026YFE0101900//National Key Research and Development Program of China/ ; No. 62511//Chief Scientist Project of Basic Research Funds of China Waterborne Transport Research Institute/ ; },
abstract = {Cryptophyta are ecologically important microalgae in marine and brackish ecosystems, but their future habitat suitability and ballast-water-associated surveillance priorities under climate change remain insufficiently understood. Based on 136 georeferenced occurrence records from China's coastal waters and 24 marine environmental variables, this study applied the Biomod2 ensemble modeling framework to predict the current and future potential distribution of Cryptophyta in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea, East China Sea, and South China Sea. The ensemble model showed high predictive performance (Kappa = 0.94, TSS = 0.94, AUC = 0.997), outperforming most individual algorithms. Annual mean temperature (bio22) and maximum salinity (bio15) were identified as the dominant environmental constraints, indicating that thermal and salinity regimes jointly shape habitat suitability. Under present conditions, suitable habitats were broadly distributed across China's coastal and shelf waters. Future projections indicated that suitable habitats generally remained extensive under most climate scenarios, suggesting that future environmental changes may maintain or reshape potential recipient environments for Cryptophyta. However, this response was not linear with increasing emission intensity; under the high-emission scenario, suitable habitats declined in some regions and showed stronger spatial reorganization, implying that excessive warming or altered salinity may reduce broad-scale suitability. These findings suggest that climate change may alter the spatial pattern of Cryptophyta habitat suitability under different emission pathways. Given the role of ship ballast water in transporting planktonic microalgae, persistent or newly suitable habitats, especially those located near ports, estuaries, semi-enclosed bays, and aquaculture areas, should be regarded as habitat-suitability-based surveillance priorities. This study provides a basis for climate-informed monitoring, ballast-water-associated screening, and adaptive management of coastal microalgae in the China Seas.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Potential Suitable Habitat Prediction and Distribution Patterns of Primula L. in China Under Climate Change.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 15(13): pii:plants15131942.
Climate change is increasingly reshaping species habitat suitability worldwide. Primula L., the largest genus in Primulaceae, comprises 404 species in China (including 296 endemic species) and is characterized by high endemism and numerous rare and endangered taxa. However, global warming has intensified habitat fragmentation and loss, while its distribution patterns and key environmental drivers remain insufficiently understood. We compiled 7647 occurrence records of 404 wild Primula species in China and integrated 60 environmental variables (climatic, topographic, and soil factors). Using the MaxEnt model combined with ArcGIS spatial analysis, we assessed current and future habitat suitability, identified dominant environmental drivers, and quantified conservation gaps under multiple climate scenarios. Species richness is highly concentrated in Sichuan (186 species), Yunnan (177 species), and Xizang (165 species), with the Hengduan Mountains and eastern Himalayas representing the core distribution area and showing clear peripheral differentiation. The optimized MaxEnt model performed well (AUC = 0.858), identifying temperature seasonality (bio4, 39.8%) and elevation (27.1%) as the main limiting factors. The total suitable habitat area is 268.52 × 10[4] km[2], with high-suitability areas mainly distributed in the Hengduan Mountains, southeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, and the Central Mountain Range of Taiwan. Under three shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585), suitable habitat shows a persistent decline, most pronounced under SSP585 in the 2090s (-20.73%), accompanied by a 25.86% reduction in low-suitability areas. Localized expansion of high-suitability habitats suggests that the Hengduan Mountains and southeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau may act as potential climatic refugia. Habitat loss consistently exceeds habitat gain, while the distribution centroid shifts westward and northwestward, with migration distances increasing under higher-emission scenarios. Conservation gap analysis indicates that 90.01% of high-suitability habitats lie outside the current protected area network, revealing a strong mismatch between biodiversity hotspots and conservation coverage. These findings highlight the urgent need to expand protected areas and establish micro-reserves in key gap regions (southwestern Sichuan, northwestern Yunnan, southeastern Xizang, and southern Gansu), and to integrate climate-driven migration corridors into conservation planning to support long-term alpine plant persistence under climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42452150
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42452150,
year = {2026},
author = {Huang, L and Yao, W and Guo, C and Chen, R and Wang, B and Wang, Q},
title = {Potential Suitable Habitat Prediction and Distribution Patterns of Primula L. in China Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {15},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants15131942},
pmid = {42452150},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {C2020402022//Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province/ ; QLSKFJJ〔2025〕D0006//Open Fund of the Field Scientific Observation and Research Station for Subalpine Ecosystem in the Central Qilian Mountains/ ; Qiankehejichu - ZK [2022] General 240//Guizhou Academy of Environmental Science and Design/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change is increasingly reshaping species habitat suitability worldwide. Primula L., the largest genus in Primulaceae, comprises 404 species in China (including 296 endemic species) and is characterized by high endemism and numerous rare and endangered taxa. However, global warming has intensified habitat fragmentation and loss, while its distribution patterns and key environmental drivers remain insufficiently understood. We compiled 7647 occurrence records of 404 wild Primula species in China and integrated 60 environmental variables (climatic, topographic, and soil factors). Using the MaxEnt model combined with ArcGIS spatial analysis, we assessed current and future habitat suitability, identified dominant environmental drivers, and quantified conservation gaps under multiple climate scenarios. Species richness is highly concentrated in Sichuan (186 species), Yunnan (177 species), and Xizang (165 species), with the Hengduan Mountains and eastern Himalayas representing the core distribution area and showing clear peripheral differentiation. The optimized MaxEnt model performed well (AUC = 0.858), identifying temperature seasonality (bio4, 39.8%) and elevation (27.1%) as the main limiting factors. The total suitable habitat area is 268.52 × 10[4] km[2], with high-suitability areas mainly distributed in the Hengduan Mountains, southeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, and the Central Mountain Range of Taiwan. Under three shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585), suitable habitat shows a persistent decline, most pronounced under SSP585 in the 2090s (-20.73%), accompanied by a 25.86% reduction in low-suitability areas. Localized expansion of high-suitability habitats suggests that the Hengduan Mountains and southeastern Qinghai-Xizang Plateau may act as potential climatic refugia. Habitat loss consistently exceeds habitat gain, while the distribution centroid shifts westward and northwestward, with migration distances increasing under higher-emission scenarios. Conservation gap analysis indicates that 90.01% of high-suitability habitats lie outside the current protected area network, revealing a strong mismatch between biodiversity hotspots and conservation coverage. These findings highlight the urgent need to expand protected areas and establish micro-reserves in key gap regions (southwestern Sichuan, northwestern Yunnan, southeastern Xizang, and southern Gansu), and to integrate climate-driven migration corridors into conservation planning to support long-term alpine plant persistence under climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Centroid Migration and Distribution of Dominant Species in Different Grassland Types Revealing Climate Change Responses on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 15(13): pii:plants15131972.
The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is highly sensitive to global climate change, and the stability of its grassland ecosystems is critical for regional ecological security and livestock development. Therefore, investigating future spatial distribution changes of dominant species on the QTP is of great importance for grassland management. In this study, an ensemble model was used to simulate and analyze the potential distribution and centroid migration directions of dominant species in alpine meadow, alpine grassland, desert grassland, and temperate grassland under current and future climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). The results show that the ensemble model achieved excellent predictive accuracy for all species (AUC > 0.9, TSS > 0.7, Kappa > 0.6). Elevation is the key factor governing species distribution, while climate drivers differ significantly among species. The distribution of dominant species in alpine meadow and alpine grassland is primarily co-driven by the mean monthly temperature range (MTR), isothermality (ISO), and annual precipitation (AP); desert grassland dominants are mainly influenced by AP and the mean temperature of the driest quarter (MTDQ); and temperate grassland dominants are driven by the precipitation of the coldest quarter (PCQ) and AP. The suitable habitats of dominant species in the future will generally expand towards high-altitude, high-latitude regions in the north and northwest, with centroid migration directions varying markedly among species. Specifically, the centroids of desert grassland dominants and S. bungeana in temperate grassland will migrate northwest under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, while N. splendens and S. krylovii in temperate grassland will migrate southwest. For alpine meadow and alpine grassland dominants, the centroids will generally move northwest under SSP2-4.5 but diverge under SSP5-8.5-E. nutans and S. purpurea in alpine grassland will continue to migrate northwest, whereas alpine meadow dominants and P. annua in alpine grassland will migrate east or northeast. This study provides a theoretical basis for grassland conservation, biodiversity conservation, and livestock production in response to climate change on the QTP.
Additional Links: PMID-42452179
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42452179,
year = {2026},
author = {Guo, WW and Li, WL and Wang, WT and Wang, WY and Zhou, HK and Xu, J and Liu, XY and Li, SQ},
title = {Centroid Migration and Distribution of Dominant Species in Different Grassland Types Revealing Climate Change Responses on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {15},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants15131972},
pmid = {42452179},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {31170430 and 41471450//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32260293//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 32371684//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 25ZDWA03//Gansu Provincial Science and Technology Department/ ; No. CARS-34//China Agriculture Research System/ ; 2025-ZJ-990M//Science and Technology Department of Qinghai Province/ ; 2023YFF1304305//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; W2412148//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) is highly sensitive to global climate change, and the stability of its grassland ecosystems is critical for regional ecological security and livestock development. Therefore, investigating future spatial distribution changes of dominant species on the QTP is of great importance for grassland management. In this study, an ensemble model was used to simulate and analyze the potential distribution and centroid migration directions of dominant species in alpine meadow, alpine grassland, desert grassland, and temperate grassland under current and future climate scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5). The results show that the ensemble model achieved excellent predictive accuracy for all species (AUC > 0.9, TSS > 0.7, Kappa > 0.6). Elevation is the key factor governing species distribution, while climate drivers differ significantly among species. The distribution of dominant species in alpine meadow and alpine grassland is primarily co-driven by the mean monthly temperature range (MTR), isothermality (ISO), and annual precipitation (AP); desert grassland dominants are mainly influenced by AP and the mean temperature of the driest quarter (MTDQ); and temperate grassland dominants are driven by the precipitation of the coldest quarter (PCQ) and AP. The suitable habitats of dominant species in the future will generally expand towards high-altitude, high-latitude regions in the north and northwest, with centroid migration directions varying markedly among species. Specifically, the centroids of desert grassland dominants and S. bungeana in temperate grassland will migrate northwest under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, while N. splendens and S. krylovii in temperate grassland will migrate southwest. For alpine meadow and alpine grassland dominants, the centroids will generally move northwest under SSP2-4.5 but diverge under SSP5-8.5-E. nutans and S. purpurea in alpine grassland will continue to migrate northwest, whereas alpine meadow dominants and P. annua in alpine grassland will migrate east or northeast. This study provides a theoretical basis for grassland conservation, biodiversity conservation, and livestock production in response to climate change on the QTP.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Dynamic Changes in the Potential Suitable Habitat of Caragana korshinskii Under Climate Change Based on a Biomod2 Ensemble Model.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 15(13): pii:plants15132001.
Projecting the spatiotemporal dynamics of the potential distribution of dominant species under climate change is essential for desertification control and vegetation restoration in drylands. Here, we modeled the current (1970-2000) and future (2080-2100) suitable habitats of Caragana korshinskii Kom, an ecologically important shrub species in northwestern China, by constructing an ensemble of eight species distribution models on the Biomod2 platform using three CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP126, SSP370, SSP585) and 40 environmental variables representing climate, soil, topography and drought conditions. Key environmental drivers were identified through variable importance ranking and response curves, while area changes, spatial patterns, and centroid shifts in suitable habitats were quantified. The ensemble model demonstrated good to excellent predictive performance (mean AUC > 0.9, mean TSS > 0.5). Soil base saturation (t-bs) and soil moisture contributed the most (>38%), highlighting the dominant role of edaphic factors. The current total suitable habitat of C. korshinskii is approximately 182.2 × 10[4] km[2], with all future scenarios projecting a consistent decline. Under SSP585, habitat loss reached 9.8% with contraction (30.5 × 10[4] km[2]) far exceeding expansion (12.6 × 10[4] km[2]). The distribution centroid shifted markedly eastward with a minor southward fluctuation, establishing the Ordos-Bayannur region as a stable core habitat. Overall, our findings suggest that the distribution of C. korshinskii is strongly constrained by edaphic and moisture conditions, and future contraction of marginal habitats may compromise ecosystem services.
Additional Links: PMID-42452208
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@article {pmid42452208,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, X and Niu, F},
title = {Dynamic Changes in the Potential Suitable Habitat of Caragana korshinskii Under Climate Change Based on a Biomod2 Ensemble Model.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {15},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants15132001},
pmid = {42452208},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {GAU-KYQD-2022-20//Gansu Agricultural University/ ; GSAU-JSFW-2025-27-01//Gansu Agricultural University/ ; },
abstract = {Projecting the spatiotemporal dynamics of the potential distribution of dominant species under climate change is essential for desertification control and vegetation restoration in drylands. Here, we modeled the current (1970-2000) and future (2080-2100) suitable habitats of Caragana korshinskii Kom, an ecologically important shrub species in northwestern China, by constructing an ensemble of eight species distribution models on the Biomod2 platform using three CMIP6 Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP126, SSP370, SSP585) and 40 environmental variables representing climate, soil, topography and drought conditions. Key environmental drivers were identified through variable importance ranking and response curves, while area changes, spatial patterns, and centroid shifts in suitable habitats were quantified. The ensemble model demonstrated good to excellent predictive performance (mean AUC > 0.9, mean TSS > 0.5). Soil base saturation (t-bs) and soil moisture contributed the most (>38%), highlighting the dominant role of edaphic factors. The current total suitable habitat of C. korshinskii is approximately 182.2 × 10[4] km[2], with all future scenarios projecting a consistent decline. Under SSP585, habitat loss reached 9.8% with contraction (30.5 × 10[4] km[2]) far exceeding expansion (12.6 × 10[4] km[2]). The distribution centroid shifted markedly eastward with a minor southward fluctuation, establishing the Ordos-Bayannur region as a stable core habitat. Overall, our findings suggest that the distribution of C. korshinskii is strongly constrained by edaphic and moisture conditions, and future contraction of marginal habitats may compromise ecosystem services.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Climate Change Threats to Medicinal Plants: Progress in Impact Assessments and Implications for Pharmaceutical Sustainability.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 15(13): pii:plants15132009.
With the intensification of global climate change and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events, medicinal plants are facing unprecedented challenges to their survival environments. Understanding the impacts of ecological threats on medicinal plants is crucial for formulating conservation strategies and ensuring the sustainable utilization of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) resources. This study employed a scoping review methodology to systematically search databases including CNKI, Wanfang Data, and PubMed, incorporating both the Chinese and English literature. A conceptual map was constructed to analyze the response mechanisms, distribution changes, and conservation status of medicinal plants under ecological threats. The review synthesizes evidence from 65 articles retrieved from both the Chinese and international literature. Our mapping reveals that (1) ecological threats are extensively documented, with habitat loss and climate change being the primary drivers; (2) the responses of medicinal plants are mainly manifested as population decline, range shifts, and alterations in secondary metabolites; (3) current conservation efforts focus heavily on ex situ protection, while research on climate change adaptation management remains insufficient. This study systematically outlines the current research landscape regarding medicinal plants under ecological threats, revealing the characteristics and gaps in existing evidence. Future research should strengthen interdisciplinary collaboration, focusing on adaptive evolution and ecological restoration technologies to address the escalating environmental challenges.
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@article {pmid42452215,
year = {2026},
author = {Cheng, Y and Zhang, Z},
title = {Climate Change Threats to Medicinal Plants: Progress in Impact Assessments and Implications for Pharmaceutical Sustainability.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {15},
number = {13},
pages = {},
doi = {10.3390/plants15132009},
pmid = {42452215},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {2024003//China Meteorological Administration/ ; 82274090//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {With the intensification of global climate change and the increasing frequency of extreme weather events, medicinal plants are facing unprecedented challenges to their survival environments. Understanding the impacts of ecological threats on medicinal plants is crucial for formulating conservation strategies and ensuring the sustainable utilization of Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) resources. This study employed a scoping review methodology to systematically search databases including CNKI, Wanfang Data, and PubMed, incorporating both the Chinese and English literature. A conceptual map was constructed to analyze the response mechanisms, distribution changes, and conservation status of medicinal plants under ecological threats. The review synthesizes evidence from 65 articles retrieved from both the Chinese and international literature. Our mapping reveals that (1) ecological threats are extensively documented, with habitat loss and climate change being the primary drivers; (2) the responses of medicinal plants are mainly manifested as population decline, range shifts, and alterations in secondary metabolites; (3) current conservation efforts focus heavily on ex situ protection, while research on climate change adaptation management remains insufficient. This study systematically outlines the current research landscape regarding medicinal plants under ecological threats, revealing the characteristics and gaps in existing evidence. Future research should strengthen interdisciplinary collaboration, focusing on adaptive evolution and ecological restoration technologies to address the escalating environmental challenges.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Climate change, health and environmental policy in Africa: structural constraints, regional disparities and global inequities.
Frontiers in public health, 14:1816888.
Africa experiences a disproportionate burden of climate-related health impacts. Yet it contributes minimally to cumulative global greenhouse gas emissions. Rising temperatures, ocean acidification, sea level rise, ecosystem degradation, and environmental pollution increasingly shape food insecurity, infectious disease risk, and population wellbeing. In the last decade, global policies have advanced ambitious agendas to mitigate the impacts of climate change. However, those strategies are mainly defined by high-income countries, which depend on institutional, infrastructural, and financial capacities that are unevenly distributed between the so-called "Global North" and "Global South." Hence, the direct transfer of global policies to African settings often misaligns with local realities, reinforcing vulnerabilities rather than promoting resilience. This review provides an African perspective of climate-related health impacts, highlighting structural constraints that compromise the capacity of this continent to effectively respond. The increasing prevalence of food insecurity, nutritional deficits and vector-borne disease outbreaks reveals fundamental differences in the buffering capacity and the feasibility of climate strategy implementation in relation to advanced economies. The need to formulate and operationalize policy frameworks grounded in African realities becomes essential to protect population health, enable effective adaptation to climate-related alterations and impact, in addition to support the sustainable development of this continent.
Additional Links: PMID-42454298
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@article {pmid42454298,
year = {2026},
author = {Tavares, SS and Xie, CJ and Aluru, A and Lima, IS and Pêgo, AC and Gozzelino, R},
title = {Climate change, health and environmental policy in Africa: structural constraints, regional disparities and global inequities.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {14},
number = {},
pages = {1816888},
pmid = {42454298},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Africa ; Humans ; *Environmental Policy ; *Health Policy ; },
abstract = {Africa experiences a disproportionate burden of climate-related health impacts. Yet it contributes minimally to cumulative global greenhouse gas emissions. Rising temperatures, ocean acidification, sea level rise, ecosystem degradation, and environmental pollution increasingly shape food insecurity, infectious disease risk, and population wellbeing. In the last decade, global policies have advanced ambitious agendas to mitigate the impacts of climate change. However, those strategies are mainly defined by high-income countries, which depend on institutional, infrastructural, and financial capacities that are unevenly distributed between the so-called "Global North" and "Global South." Hence, the direct transfer of global policies to African settings often misaligns with local realities, reinforcing vulnerabilities rather than promoting resilience. This review provides an African perspective of climate-related health impacts, highlighting structural constraints that compromise the capacity of this continent to effectively respond. The increasing prevalence of food insecurity, nutritional deficits and vector-borne disease outbreaks reveals fundamental differences in the buffering capacity and the feasibility of climate strategy implementation in relation to advanced economies. The need to formulate and operationalize policy frameworks grounded in African realities becomes essential to protect population health, enable effective adaptation to climate-related alterations and impact, in addition to support the sustainable development of this continent.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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*Climate Change
Africa
Humans
*Environmental Policy
*Health Policy
RevDate: 2026-07-15
CmpDate: 2026-07-15
Understanding the impact of climate change on mental health from a Canadian perspective: a scoping review.
Health promotion and chronic disease prevention in Canada : research, policy and practice, 46(7-8):247-275.
INTRODUCTION: Climate change poses a growing threat to health in Canada through both extreme weather and climate events (e.g. wildfires, floods, extreme heat) and gradual environmental changes (e.g. shifting seasonal patterns, ecosystem degradation). While physical health impacts have been well documented, mental health consequences have only recently gained attention. This scoping review synthesizes research examining how climate-related weather events influence mental health outcomes across diverse populations and regions in Canada.
METHODS: Following Arksey and O'Malley's five-stage scoping review framework, 72 studies published between 1990 and 2024 were analyzed. Mental health impacts were categorized by type of weather and climate event and exposure factors, population subgroup, and outcomes according to length of impact.
RESULTS: Depression, anxiety, and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) were the most commonly reported conditions, particularly following wildfires and floods. Climate-related exposures such as property loss, displacement, and disruption of livelihoods were identified as key factors leading to psychological distress. Vulnerable populations-including Indigenous peoples, youth, women, low-income groups, and individuals with pre-existing conditions-were disproportionately affected. Emerging concerns such as eco-anxiety and grief tied to environmental change were frequently reported, especially in qualitative studies. Long-term effects of climate change on mental health were evident in more than half of the included studies, highlighting the enduring nature of these impacts.
CONCLUSION: Despite growing evidence, gaps remain in understanding region-specific exposures, gradual climate stressors, and protective interventions. This review emphasizes the need for targeted research, policy development, and mental health programming to address climate-related disparities and enhance resilience across Canada's diverse populations.
Additional Links: PMID-42455604
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@article {pmid42455604,
year = {2026},
author = {Lawrason, SVC and Khan, SU and Farrow, A and Lavigne-Robichaud, M and Ellis, C and Amankwah, N and Edjoc, R and Semchishen, SN},
title = {Understanding the impact of climate change on mental health from a Canadian perspective: a scoping review.},
journal = {Health promotion and chronic disease prevention in Canada : research, policy and practice},
volume = {46},
number = {7-8},
pages = {247-275},
doi = {10.24095/hpcdp.46.7/8.01},
pmid = {42455604},
issn = {2368-738X},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; *Mental Health ; Canada/epidemiology ; Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/epidemiology ; Depression/epidemiology ; Anxiety/epidemiology ; Floods ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change poses a growing threat to health in Canada through both extreme weather and climate events (e.g. wildfires, floods, extreme heat) and gradual environmental changes (e.g. shifting seasonal patterns, ecosystem degradation). While physical health impacts have been well documented, mental health consequences have only recently gained attention. This scoping review synthesizes research examining how climate-related weather events influence mental health outcomes across diverse populations and regions in Canada.
METHODS: Following Arksey and O'Malley's five-stage scoping review framework, 72 studies published between 1990 and 2024 were analyzed. Mental health impacts were categorized by type of weather and climate event and exposure factors, population subgroup, and outcomes according to length of impact.
RESULTS: Depression, anxiety, and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) were the most commonly reported conditions, particularly following wildfires and floods. Climate-related exposures such as property loss, displacement, and disruption of livelihoods were identified as key factors leading to psychological distress. Vulnerable populations-including Indigenous peoples, youth, women, low-income groups, and individuals with pre-existing conditions-were disproportionately affected. Emerging concerns such as eco-anxiety and grief tied to environmental change were frequently reported, especially in qualitative studies. Long-term effects of climate change on mental health were evident in more than half of the included studies, highlighting the enduring nature of these impacts.
CONCLUSION: Despite growing evidence, gaps remain in understanding region-specific exposures, gradual climate stressors, and protective interventions. This review emphasizes the need for targeted research, policy development, and mental health programming to address climate-related disparities and enhance resilience across Canada's diverse populations.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
*Climate Change
*Mental Health
Canada/epidemiology
Stress Disorders, Post-Traumatic/epidemiology
Depression/epidemiology
Anxiety/epidemiology
Floods
RevDate: 2026-07-13
CmpDate: 2026-07-14
Mapping the impacts of climate change on prehospital emergency medical services: protocol for a scoping review.
BMJ open, 16(7):e118418 pii:bmjopen-2026-118418.
INTRODUCTION: Climate change is intensifying extreme weather events and altering environmental conditions in ways that increasingly strain health systems. Prehospital emergency medical services (EMS), as the frontline interface between communities and acute care, are uniquely vulnerable to these pressures. Rising call volumes, infrastructure disruption, occupational heat and smoke exposure and service delays have been reported, yet the evidence remains fragmented across disciplines and regions. This scoping review aims to systematically map the global literature on climate-related hazards and their impacts on EMS operations, workforce health, patient outcomes and system adaptation.
METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This scoping review follows Joanna Briggs Institute methodology and will be reported in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extensions for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR). Searches will be conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, Scopus, CINAHL and Embase together with grey literature sources for English-language studies published from 2000 onwards. Using the Population-Concept-Context framework, studies on climate-related hazards affecting prehospital EMS operations, workforce health, patient outcomes or system adaptation will be included. Non-EMS studies, studies unrelated to climate-related hazards and non-primary reports will be excluded. Two reviewers will independently screen and chart the data. Findings will be summarised descriptively and thematically and presented in an evidence map.
ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: As this study uses publicly available data, ethical approval is not required. Findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publication, conference presentations and policy-oriented outputs targeting EMS leaders and public health stakeholders.
Additional Links: PMID-42442815
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42442815,
year = {2026},
author = {Varnaseri-Ghandeali, M and Naboureh, A and Ahmadi-Mazhin, S and Khoobroou, M},
title = {Mapping the impacts of climate change on prehospital emergency medical services: protocol for a scoping review.},
journal = {BMJ open},
volume = {16},
number = {7},
pages = {e118418},
doi = {10.1136/bmjopen-2026-118418},
pmid = {42442815},
issn = {2044-6055},
mesh = {*Emergency Medical Services/organization & administration ; Humans ; Scoping Reviews as Topic ; *Climate Change ; Research Design ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is intensifying extreme weather events and altering environmental conditions in ways that increasingly strain health systems. Prehospital emergency medical services (EMS), as the frontline interface between communities and acute care, are uniquely vulnerable to these pressures. Rising call volumes, infrastructure disruption, occupational heat and smoke exposure and service delays have been reported, yet the evidence remains fragmented across disciplines and regions. This scoping review aims to systematically map the global literature on climate-related hazards and their impacts on EMS operations, workforce health, patient outcomes and system adaptation.
METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This scoping review follows Joanna Briggs Institute methodology and will be reported in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extensions for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR). Searches will be conducted in PubMed/MEDLINE, Web of Science, Scopus, CINAHL and Embase together with grey literature sources for English-language studies published from 2000 onwards. Using the Population-Concept-Context framework, studies on climate-related hazards affecting prehospital EMS operations, workforce health, patient outcomes or system adaptation will be included. Non-EMS studies, studies unrelated to climate-related hazards and non-primary reports will be excluded. Two reviewers will independently screen and chart the data. Findings will be summarised descriptively and thematically and presented in an evidence map.
ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: As this study uses publicly available data, ethical approval is not required. Findings will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publication, conference presentations and policy-oriented outputs targeting EMS leaders and public health stakeholders.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Emergency Medical Services/organization & administration
Humans
Scoping Reviews as Topic
*Climate Change
Research Design
RevDate: 2026-07-13
Resilience and adaptation of public healthcare centers to climate change in Northern Jordan.
BMC primary care pii:10.1186/s12875-026-03471-7 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Climate change (CC) is a global phenomenon significantly influenced by human activities. As CC-related hazards are increasing rapidly, effective adaptation and resilience measures are urgently needed to manage these hazards. The purpose of this study is to assess the resilience and adaptation of healthcare centers (HCs) in Northern Jordan to CC-related hazards.
METHODS: An explanatory mixed-method design was employed in this study, using a structured closed-ended questionnaire and an interview guide. The questionnaire consisted of seven sections: baseline characteristics of centers; risk recognition; service delivery; workforce; water, sanitation, and healthcare waste management; infrastructure; and energy. A convenience sampling approach was used to collect quantitative data from 67 HCs in 4 governorates. Further, a purposive sample of 15 HCs' directors were interviewed to collect qualitative data.
RESULTS: Climate resilience of HCs in Northern Jordan was significantly low. The percentage of HCs with high resilience levels was only 16.4% (n = 11), including eight comprehensive HCs and three primary HCs. The percentages of HCs with high resilience levels for (1) risk recognition, (2) service delivery, (3) workforce, (4) water, sanitation, and healthcare waste management, (5) infrastructure, and (6) energy were 13.4%, 50.7%, 31.3%, 37.3%, 14.9%, and 9%, respectively. Three main themes were identified from the interviews: (1) perceptions of climate change and its health impacts, (2) the role of HCs in addressing climate change, and (3) challenges and constraints in enhancing climate change resilience.
CONCLUSION: This study identified significant gaps in HCs' resilience to climate-related risks. Key weaknesses were observed in energy supply, risk recognition, and infrastructure. Some strengths were identified, particularly in service delivery. There is a pressing need for multisectoral cooperation, climate-related legislation, and training initiatives to improve adaptiveness and build a resilient healthcare system.
Additional Links: PMID-42443763
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@article {pmid42443763,
year = {2026},
author = {Saadeh, R and Alghizzawi, M and Allouh, MZ},
title = {Resilience and adaptation of public healthcare centers to climate change in Northern Jordan.},
journal = {BMC primary care},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1186/s12875-026-03471-7},
pmid = {42443763},
issn = {2731-4553},
support = {Grant Code: G00004977, Fund No.: 12M219//United Arab Emirates University/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change (CC) is a global phenomenon significantly influenced by human activities. As CC-related hazards are increasing rapidly, effective adaptation and resilience measures are urgently needed to manage these hazards. The purpose of this study is to assess the resilience and adaptation of healthcare centers (HCs) in Northern Jordan to CC-related hazards.
METHODS: An explanatory mixed-method design was employed in this study, using a structured closed-ended questionnaire and an interview guide. The questionnaire consisted of seven sections: baseline characteristics of centers; risk recognition; service delivery; workforce; water, sanitation, and healthcare waste management; infrastructure; and energy. A convenience sampling approach was used to collect quantitative data from 67 HCs in 4 governorates. Further, a purposive sample of 15 HCs' directors were interviewed to collect qualitative data.
RESULTS: Climate resilience of HCs in Northern Jordan was significantly low. The percentage of HCs with high resilience levels was only 16.4% (n = 11), including eight comprehensive HCs and three primary HCs. The percentages of HCs with high resilience levels for (1) risk recognition, (2) service delivery, (3) workforce, (4) water, sanitation, and healthcare waste management, (5) infrastructure, and (6) energy were 13.4%, 50.7%, 31.3%, 37.3%, 14.9%, and 9%, respectively. Three main themes were identified from the interviews: (1) perceptions of climate change and its health impacts, (2) the role of HCs in addressing climate change, and (3) challenges and constraints in enhancing climate change resilience.
CONCLUSION: This study identified significant gaps in HCs' resilience to climate-related risks. Key weaknesses were observed in energy supply, risk recognition, and infrastructure. Some strengths were identified, particularly in service delivery. There is a pressing need for multisectoral cooperation, climate-related legislation, and training initiatives to improve adaptiveness and build a resilient healthcare system.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-14
CmpDate: 2026-07-14
Body Size Decline in an Endangered Bat Is Associated With Climate Change at a Continental Scale but Varies by Phenophase and Region.
Global change biology, 32(7):e70983.
At high latitudes, hibernating species must replenish their energy reserves within a 4-6 month active season. During this window, insectivorous bats at higher latitudes must consume sufficient arthropod prey to support reproduction and migration, despite suboptimal weather and prey abundance that varies across time and space. Local declines in body size of endangered little brown bats (Myotis lucifugus) suggest ongoing nutritional stress associated with limited prey availability and inclement weather. We tested the hypothesis that climate change has caused nutritional stress in bats at a continental scale. We analyzed morphometric data from > 21,000 bats from five regions across Canada and northern Montana over 8-16 years. We used forearm length as a proxy for access to nutrition during development, and body mass as a proxy for recent energy reserves. Average adult and juvenile forearm length declined over time in most study regions, although the magnitude of the estimated declines varied geographically. We found that the interactive effects of rainfall and temperature on reproductive females exerted a carry-over effect on juvenile body size, as juvenile forearm length was shorter, on average, in years when mothers experienced poor weather before and after hibernation. Although changes in adult body mass were geographically widespread, the drivers, direction, and magnitude of these trends varied among phenophases, demographic groups, and study regions. This result implies the effects of other, stochastic factors, such as arthropod abundance or wildfires, although these cannot be directly tested with the available data. Our study illustrates that directional changes in average temperature and rainfall can affect the energetics and development of little brown bats. Ongoing nutritional stress associated with climate change may impact the viability of bat populations that are also threatened by white-nose disease.
Additional Links: PMID-42444358
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@article {pmid42444358,
year = {2026},
author = {von Zuben, V and Broders, HG and Jung, TS and Lausen, CL and Norquay, KJO and Willis, CKR and Davy, CM},
title = {Body Size Decline in an Endangered Bat Is Associated With Climate Change at a Continental Scale but Varies by Phenophase and Region.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {32},
number = {7},
pages = {e70983},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70983},
pmid = {42444358},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada/ ; //Canada Foundation for Innovation/ ; //Government of Ontario/ ; //U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service/ ; //Government of Manitoba/ ; //Government of Canada/ ; //Government of Yukon/ ; //Wildlife Conservation Society/ ; //Government of British Columbia/ ; //Habitat Conservation Trust Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Chiroptera/physiology/anatomy & histology ; *Body Size ; Female ; *Endangered Species ; Canada ; Montana ; Male ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {At high latitudes, hibernating species must replenish their energy reserves within a 4-6 month active season. During this window, insectivorous bats at higher latitudes must consume sufficient arthropod prey to support reproduction and migration, despite suboptimal weather and prey abundance that varies across time and space. Local declines in body size of endangered little brown bats (Myotis lucifugus) suggest ongoing nutritional stress associated with limited prey availability and inclement weather. We tested the hypothesis that climate change has caused nutritional stress in bats at a continental scale. We analyzed morphometric data from > 21,000 bats from five regions across Canada and northern Montana over 8-16 years. We used forearm length as a proxy for access to nutrition during development, and body mass as a proxy for recent energy reserves. Average adult and juvenile forearm length declined over time in most study regions, although the magnitude of the estimated declines varied geographically. We found that the interactive effects of rainfall and temperature on reproductive females exerted a carry-over effect on juvenile body size, as juvenile forearm length was shorter, on average, in years when mothers experienced poor weather before and after hibernation. Although changes in adult body mass were geographically widespread, the drivers, direction, and magnitude of these trends varied among phenophases, demographic groups, and study regions. This result implies the effects of other, stochastic factors, such as arthropod abundance or wildfires, although these cannot be directly tested with the available data. Our study illustrates that directional changes in average temperature and rainfall can affect the energetics and development of little brown bats. Ongoing nutritional stress associated with climate change may impact the viability of bat populations that are also threatened by white-nose disease.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Climate Change
*Chiroptera/physiology/anatomy & histology
*Body Size
Female
*Endangered Species
Canada
Montana
Male
Seasons
RevDate: 2026-07-11
Green Areas, Environmental Index, and Arbovirus Transmission Under Climate Change in Brazil.
EcoHealth [Epub ahead of print].
Arbovirus infections remain a major challenge for health policies in large cities in tropical regions, where outbreaks and epidemics of these diseases are frequent. However, many policies still operate in a fragmented manner, without considering the interdependence between climate, urbanization, and health, making it difficult to control and prevent these diseases. This study aimed to identify the urban environmental and socioeconomic conditions related to cases of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika in the city of Salvador, Brazil. Data were analyzed using bivariate maps and canonical correspondence analysis (CCA). The results demonstrated that vulnerability to these diseases transcends socioeconomic factors and covers urban infrastructure and environmental conditions. The most recurrent disease was dengue, with 75% infections, and was strongly associated with higher percentages of green cover and better sanitation indexes, but with lower socio-environmental quality indexes. Chikungunya and Zika followed a different pattern. The results of this research are expected to contribute to improving strategies for controlling arbovirus outbreaks in tropical regions, as well as strengthening the resilience of these regions to the challenges imposed by climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42436346
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@article {pmid42436346,
year = {2026},
author = {Sant'Anna, MW and Ferreira, ML and de Oliveira, NC and Rakauskas, F and Côrtes, PL},
title = {Green Areas, Environmental Index, and Arbovirus Transmission Under Climate Change in Brazil.},
journal = {EcoHealth},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {42436346},
issn = {1612-9210},
support = {307185/2023-0//Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico/ ; },
abstract = {Arbovirus infections remain a major challenge for health policies in large cities in tropical regions, where outbreaks and epidemics of these diseases are frequent. However, many policies still operate in a fragmented manner, without considering the interdependence between climate, urbanization, and health, making it difficult to control and prevent these diseases. This study aimed to identify the urban environmental and socioeconomic conditions related to cases of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika in the city of Salvador, Brazil. Data were analyzed using bivariate maps and canonical correspondence analysis (CCA). The results demonstrated that vulnerability to these diseases transcends socioeconomic factors and covers urban infrastructure and environmental conditions. The most recurrent disease was dengue, with 75% infections, and was strongly associated with higher percentages of green cover and better sanitation indexes, but with lower socio-environmental quality indexes. Chikungunya and Zika followed a different pattern. The results of this research are expected to contribute to improving strategies for controlling arbovirus outbreaks in tropical regions, as well as strengthening the resilience of these regions to the challenges imposed by climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-11
Attributing heatwave mortality to human-induced climate change in Greece: a case-crossover and attribution analysis for 2000-2019.
Environmental health : a global access science source pii:10.1186/s12940-026-01320-9 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Heatwaves increasingly threaten public health in the Mediterranean region, and Greece is among the hardest hit countries. Yet evidence on long-term adaptation, spatial vulnerability, and the contribution of human-induced climate change to heatwave-related mortality in Greece remains limited.
METHODS: We analysed 2,144,957 all-cause deaths in Greece (2000-2019) in people older than 65 years using a time-stratified case-crossover design. We derived population-weighted daily maximum temperatures at NUTS3 level from ERA5 reanalysis and WorldPop. We applied six heatwave definitions (HD1-HD6) varying by duration (≥ 2 or ≥ 3 days) and thresholds (90th, 95th, 99th percentiles). We fitted Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models to estimate heatwave-mortality associations varying by space and time. We additionally adjusted for relative humidity and national holidays. We then combined these estimates with probabilistic climate-attribution methods to quantify the number and proportion of heatwave-related deaths attributable to human-induced climate change.
RESULTS: Heatwaves raised mortality consistently, with relative risks from 1.08 (95% CrI (Credible Interval): 1.07-1.09; HD1) to 1.15 (1.12-1.19; HD6). Risks increased with heatwave intensity and duration, with particularly high risks observed among females and older adults. We did not detect a consistent temporal decline in risk or marked spatial heterogeneity. Human-induced climate change accounted for 46-80% of heatwave-related deaths across definitions. The proportion attributable to climate change rose over time.
CONCLUSIONS: Heatwaves already impose a major mortality burden in Greece, with more than half driven by anthropogenic climate change and little evidence of population-level adaptation. These findings call for rapid emissions reductions and targeted adaptation, including stronger heat-health warning systems and protection of vulnerable groups.
Additional Links: PMID-42436540
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42436540,
year = {2026},
author = {Xi, D and Evangelopoulos, D and Barnes, C and Chandakas, E and Vardavas, C and Katsaounou, P and Vineis, P and Filippidis, FT and Konstantinoudis, G},
title = {Attributing heatwave mortality to human-induced climate change in Greece: a case-crossover and attribution analysis for 2000-2019.},
journal = {Environmental health : a global access science source},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1186/s12940-026-01320-9},
pmid = {42436540},
issn = {1476-069X},
support = {No 101008139 (EUREST-RISE)//the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation program under the Marie Skłodowska-Curie Grant/ ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Heatwaves increasingly threaten public health in the Mediterranean region, and Greece is among the hardest hit countries. Yet evidence on long-term adaptation, spatial vulnerability, and the contribution of human-induced climate change to heatwave-related mortality in Greece remains limited.
METHODS: We analysed 2,144,957 all-cause deaths in Greece (2000-2019) in people older than 65 years using a time-stratified case-crossover design. We derived population-weighted daily maximum temperatures at NUTS3 level from ERA5 reanalysis and WorldPop. We applied six heatwave definitions (HD1-HD6) varying by duration (≥ 2 or ≥ 3 days) and thresholds (90th, 95th, 99th percentiles). We fitted Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models to estimate heatwave-mortality associations varying by space and time. We additionally adjusted for relative humidity and national holidays. We then combined these estimates with probabilistic climate-attribution methods to quantify the number and proportion of heatwave-related deaths attributable to human-induced climate change.
RESULTS: Heatwaves raised mortality consistently, with relative risks from 1.08 (95% CrI (Credible Interval): 1.07-1.09; HD1) to 1.15 (1.12-1.19; HD6). Risks increased with heatwave intensity and duration, with particularly high risks observed among females and older adults. We did not detect a consistent temporal decline in risk or marked spatial heterogeneity. Human-induced climate change accounted for 46-80% of heatwave-related deaths across definitions. The proportion attributable to climate change rose over time.
CONCLUSIONS: Heatwaves already impose a major mortality burden in Greece, with more than half driven by anthropogenic climate change and little evidence of population-level adaptation. These findings call for rapid emissions reductions and targeted adaptation, including stronger heat-health warning systems and protection of vulnerable groups.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-13
CmpDate: 2026-07-13
The Association Between Climate Change Awareness, Climate Anxiety, and Carbon Footprint Awareness Among Nursing Students.
Nursing open, 13(7):e70692.
AIM: To examine the association between climate change awareness, climate anxiety, and carbon footprint awareness among nursing students.
DESIGN: A cross-sectional, descriptive, and correlational study.
METHODS: The study was conducted with 715 nursing students using self-administered questionnaires to assess their climate change awareness, climate change anxiety, and carbon footprint awareness. Sociodemographic information was also collected. Associations among variables were examined using correlation analysis, and associated factors related to carbon footprint awareness were evaluated through hierarchical regression analysis.
RESULTS: Carbon footprint awareness was positively associated with both climate change awareness and climate change anxiety, with anxiety showing a stronger association. Psychosocial variables explained variance in carbon footprint awareness more strongly than sociodemographic characteristics (R[2] = 0.13). Subgroup analyses showed no significant differences in carbon footprint scores according to academic year, previous awareness of the term 'carbon footprint', or place of residence. Climate change awareness was higher among students who had previously heard the term 'carbon footprint' (p = 0.013), whereas climate change anxiety differed significantly by academic year (p < 0.001).
CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that carbon footprint awareness among nursing students is more closely related to psychosocial processes than sociodemographic characteristics. Climate change anxiety, in particular, appears to be an important factor associated with environmentally related awareness. Additional subgroup analyses showed no significant differences in carbon footprint scores across subgroups, whereas climate change awareness and anxiety varied according to certain subgroup characteristics. However, the findings should be interpreted cautiously given the cross-sectional design and the relatively low explained variance of the model.
Integrating carbon footprint literacy and climate change into nursing curricula, considering peer education models, and promoting sustainable practices such as reducing the use of single-use materials during clinical education may contribute to increasing environmental awareness and supporting environmentally responsible nursing practice among nursing students.
REPORTING METHOD: This study adhered to the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guideline.
No patient or public contribution.
Additional Links: PMID-42438077
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@article {pmid42438077,
year = {2026},
author = {Şahin Tokatlioğlu, T and İşbay Aydemir, B and Karakaya Çataldaş, S},
title = {The Association Between Climate Change Awareness, Climate Anxiety, and Carbon Footprint Awareness Among Nursing Students.},
journal = {Nursing open},
volume = {13},
number = {7},
pages = {e70692},
doi = {10.1002/nop2.70692},
pmid = {42438077},
issn = {2054-1058},
mesh = {Humans ; *Students, Nursing/psychology/statistics & numerical data ; *Climate Change ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Female ; *Anxiety/psychology ; Male ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; *Carbon Footprint/statistics & numerical data ; *Awareness ; Adult ; Young Adult ; },
abstract = {AIM: To examine the association between climate change awareness, climate anxiety, and carbon footprint awareness among nursing students.
DESIGN: A cross-sectional, descriptive, and correlational study.
METHODS: The study was conducted with 715 nursing students using self-administered questionnaires to assess their climate change awareness, climate change anxiety, and carbon footprint awareness. Sociodemographic information was also collected. Associations among variables were examined using correlation analysis, and associated factors related to carbon footprint awareness were evaluated through hierarchical regression analysis.
RESULTS: Carbon footprint awareness was positively associated with both climate change awareness and climate change anxiety, with anxiety showing a stronger association. Psychosocial variables explained variance in carbon footprint awareness more strongly than sociodemographic characteristics (R[2] = 0.13). Subgroup analyses showed no significant differences in carbon footprint scores according to academic year, previous awareness of the term 'carbon footprint', or place of residence. Climate change awareness was higher among students who had previously heard the term 'carbon footprint' (p = 0.013), whereas climate change anxiety differed significantly by academic year (p < 0.001).
CONCLUSION: The findings suggest that carbon footprint awareness among nursing students is more closely related to psychosocial processes than sociodemographic characteristics. Climate change anxiety, in particular, appears to be an important factor associated with environmentally related awareness. Additional subgroup analyses showed no significant differences in carbon footprint scores across subgroups, whereas climate change awareness and anxiety varied according to certain subgroup characteristics. However, the findings should be interpreted cautiously given the cross-sectional design and the relatively low explained variance of the model.
Integrating carbon footprint literacy and climate change into nursing curricula, considering peer education models, and promoting sustainable practices such as reducing the use of single-use materials during clinical education may contribute to increasing environmental awareness and supporting environmentally responsible nursing practice among nursing students.
REPORTING METHOD: This study adhered to the Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) guideline.
No patient or public contribution.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
*Students, Nursing/psychology/statistics & numerical data
*Climate Change
Cross-Sectional Studies
Female
*Anxiety/psychology
Male
Surveys and Questionnaires
*Carbon Footprint/statistics & numerical data
*Awareness
Adult
Young Adult
RevDate: 2026-07-13
CmpDate: 2026-07-13
Case-based Learning and Artificial Intelligence-based Gamification to Improve Undergraduate Students' Motivation for One Health and Climate Change: A Pilot Study.
Medical science educator, 36(3):1085-1089.
UNLABELLED: The One Health approach (OHA) which entails the interconnectedness of human, animal, and environmental health is a critical concept for medical students. In this pilot study, we report the feasibility of a new format using a large language model, gamification elements and case-based learning (CBL) to teach medical undergraduates environmental medicine, including the OHA and climate change, and its effectiveness on students' motivation using the intrinsic motivation inventory (IMI) scale. We found higher scores for the CBL format across all IMI subscales. Ordinal logistic regression analysis yielded that having the CBL format was significantly associated with higher IMI scores in every item (odds ratios, OR, between 1.65 and 2.69).
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40670-026-02706-7.
Additional Links: PMID-42438554
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42438554,
year = {2026},
author = {Papan, C and Sib, E and Schreiber, C and Wollkopf, AD and Landsberg, M and Engelhart, S and Last, K and Falkenberg, T and Felder, C and Darici, D and Raupach, T and Mutters, NT},
title = {Case-based Learning and Artificial Intelligence-based Gamification to Improve Undergraduate Students' Motivation for One Health and Climate Change: A Pilot Study.},
journal = {Medical science educator},
volume = {36},
number = {3},
pages = {1085-1089},
pmid = {42438554},
issn = {2156-8650},
abstract = {UNLABELLED: The One Health approach (OHA) which entails the interconnectedness of human, animal, and environmental health is a critical concept for medical students. In this pilot study, we report the feasibility of a new format using a large language model, gamification elements and case-based learning (CBL) to teach medical undergraduates environmental medicine, including the OHA and climate change, and its effectiveness on students' motivation using the intrinsic motivation inventory (IMI) scale. We found higher scores for the CBL format across all IMI subscales. Ordinal logistic regression analysis yielded that having the CBL format was significantly associated with higher IMI scores in every item (odds ratios, OR, between 1.65 and 2.69).
SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40670-026-02706-7.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-13
Supporting crop yields under climate change by engineering innate soil microbiomes.
Applied and environmental microbiology [Epub ahead of print].
We test the idea that innate agricultural soil microbiomes can be engineered to help support crops under climate change conditions. Salinization is one of the key drivers of agricultural soil degradation globally, and rising sea levels combined with decreasing rainfall are exacerbating this threat to food production. Changes in soil microbial community structures measured from DNA and functions and fitness measured from RNA and labeled amino acid uptakes support the hypothesis that the deliberate use of part-saline irrigation adapts soil microbiomes to increased salinities. While saline irrigation suppressed crop establishment in some cases, this microbiome response combined with inferences of increased microbial nutrient cycling and energy management correlates with final crop yield data and supports the hypothesis that engineered soil communities have helped protect yields under increased salinity conditions. This work provides evidence of the efficacy of a novel pragmatic, cost-effective innate soil microbiome engineering intervention for optimizing and securing food systems for future climate change conditions.IMPORTANCEThe consequences of climate change comprise significant and increasing threats to sustainable global food security. The salinization of agricultural soils is one of the main threats to agricultural production globally: this currently affects around 30% and is predicted to affect 50% of agricultural land by 2050. We show innate agricultural soil microbial communities can be engineered by low levels of saline irrigation. The engineered soil communities are better able to tolerate saline conditions and are inferred to have better nutrient turnover, and this correlates with protecting crop yields of established plants under saline conditions. This shows that it is possible for growers and farmers to "teach" or "prepare" soil microbiomes to become more tolerant of elevated soil and irrigation salinities predicted due to climate change in a way that will also meet sustainable food security requirements.
Additional Links: PMID-42439521
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42439521,
year = {2026},
author = {Chanson, A and Gould, IJ and Almås, ÅR and Paz, AM and Castanheira, NL and Antunes, JF and Barker, A and Goddard, MR},
title = {Supporting crop yields under climate change by engineering innate soil microbiomes.},
journal = {Applied and environmental microbiology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {e0043726},
doi = {10.1128/aem.00437-26},
pmid = {42439521},
issn = {1098-5336},
abstract = {We test the idea that innate agricultural soil microbiomes can be engineered to help support crops under climate change conditions. Salinization is one of the key drivers of agricultural soil degradation globally, and rising sea levels combined with decreasing rainfall are exacerbating this threat to food production. Changes in soil microbial community structures measured from DNA and functions and fitness measured from RNA and labeled amino acid uptakes support the hypothesis that the deliberate use of part-saline irrigation adapts soil microbiomes to increased salinities. While saline irrigation suppressed crop establishment in some cases, this microbiome response combined with inferences of increased microbial nutrient cycling and energy management correlates with final crop yield data and supports the hypothesis that engineered soil communities have helped protect yields under increased salinity conditions. This work provides evidence of the efficacy of a novel pragmatic, cost-effective innate soil microbiome engineering intervention for optimizing and securing food systems for future climate change conditions.IMPORTANCEThe consequences of climate change comprise significant and increasing threats to sustainable global food security. The salinization of agricultural soils is one of the main threats to agricultural production globally: this currently affects around 30% and is predicted to affect 50% of agricultural land by 2050. We show innate agricultural soil microbial communities can be engineered by low levels of saline irrigation. The engineered soil communities are better able to tolerate saline conditions and are inferred to have better nutrient turnover, and this correlates with protecting crop yields of established plants under saline conditions. This shows that it is possible for growers and farmers to "teach" or "prepare" soil microbiomes to become more tolerant of elevated soil and irrigation salinities predicted due to climate change in a way that will also meet sustainable food security requirements.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-13
Future Chronic and Acute Air Pollution Deaths in China under Climate Change and Emission Reduction.
Environmental science & technology [Epub ahead of print].
Air pollution poses significant threats to human health through both chronic and acute exposures. Future climate warming and population aging may lead to increased health risks from air pollution, while emission reductions can help alleviate the associated risks. Yet, the joint impacts of future climate change and emission reductions on both chronic and acute air pollution exposure and related premature deaths remain unclear. Here, we utilize dynamical downscaling and multi-model ensemble simulations to systematically assess projected chronic and acute exposure of O3 and PM2.5 and the associated premature deaths in China in 2056-2060 under two climate scenarios. We find that future climate change under the high warming scenario (SSP3-7.0) is projected to lead to a moderate increase of 4%-19% in chronic PM2.5 and O3 pollution exposure and premature deaths but a substantial increase of 19%-89% in acute exposure and deaths in China by midcentury. Deep emission reductions from China's carbon neutrality efforts will effectively mitigate pollution health risks, especially for acute pollution exposure, while health risks for chronic exposure remain a concern under an aging population. Our results reveal future changes in air pollution health risks, suggesting an urgent need for targeted air quality and health management policies.
Additional Links: PMID-42440115
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42440115,
year = {2026},
author = {Cui, M and Hong, C and Liu, W and He, K and Zhang, Q},
title = {Future Chronic and Acute Air Pollution Deaths in China under Climate Change and Emission Reduction.},
journal = {Environmental science & technology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.est.6c03570},
pmid = {42440115},
issn = {1520-5851},
abstract = {Air pollution poses significant threats to human health through both chronic and acute exposures. Future climate warming and population aging may lead to increased health risks from air pollution, while emission reductions can help alleviate the associated risks. Yet, the joint impacts of future climate change and emission reductions on both chronic and acute air pollution exposure and related premature deaths remain unclear. Here, we utilize dynamical downscaling and multi-model ensemble simulations to systematically assess projected chronic and acute exposure of O3 and PM2.5 and the associated premature deaths in China in 2056-2060 under two climate scenarios. We find that future climate change under the high warming scenario (SSP3-7.0) is projected to lead to a moderate increase of 4%-19% in chronic PM2.5 and O3 pollution exposure and premature deaths but a substantial increase of 19%-89% in acute exposure and deaths in China by midcentury. Deep emission reductions from China's carbon neutrality efforts will effectively mitigate pollution health risks, especially for acute pollution exposure, while health risks for chronic exposure remain a concern under an aging population. Our results reveal future changes in air pollution health risks, suggesting an urgent need for targeted air quality and health management policies.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-13
Biochar modulates microbial carbon metabolism to mitigate Global Warming Potential during composting.
Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987) pii:S0269-7491(26)01138-3 [Epub ahead of print].
Carbon loss via CO2 and CH4 emissions reduces the organic carbon available for humification, which may negatively affect compost quality while exacerbating environmental pollution. Herein, this study investigated the impacts of biochar (e.g., rice husk biochar (RHB) and sawdust biochar (SDB) as composting additives on CO2 and CH4 emissions, as well as the underlying microbial mechanisms. The results demonstrated that, comparing to the control (CK), RHB and SDB reduced cumulative CO2 emissions by 11.38% and 16.30%, respectively (both P < 0.05), whereas they increased CH4 emissions by 45.35% (P < 0.05) and 81.04% (P < 0.01), respectively. Overall, the 100-year global warming potentials (GWP-100s) of the RHB and SDB treated groups were decreased by 15.91 g CO2e·kg[-1] and 19.29 g CO2e·kg[-1], respectively. Redundancy analysis (RDA) and partial least squares path modeling (PLS-PM) revealed the total organic carbon (TOC) to be the key environmental regulatory factor. Specifically, TOC was significantly negatively correlated with CO2-producing genes and aerobic methane oxidation genes, yet it exhibited a positive correlation with methanogenic genes which underlines the up-regulation of CH4 emissions from the biochar-treated composting systems. The addition of biochar increased the TOC of the compost systems, which induced microbial community shift from r-strategy to K-strategy, inhibited CO2 production, yet modulated methanogenesis. This cascade of effects reduces the net GWP of compost via microbial-mediated mechanisms. The findings of this study provided a critical theoretical foundation and a practical guideline for optimizing the biochar-manure co-composting process to reduce overall greenhouse gas emission from composting.
Additional Links: PMID-42442686
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42442686,
year = {2026},
author = {Liang, W and Ma, X and Wang, Y and Zhang, W and Yu, C},
title = {Biochar modulates microbial carbon metabolism to mitigate Global Warming Potential during composting.},
journal = {Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {128768},
doi = {10.1016/j.envpol.2026.128768},
pmid = {42442686},
issn = {1873-6424},
abstract = {Carbon loss via CO2 and CH4 emissions reduces the organic carbon available for humification, which may negatively affect compost quality while exacerbating environmental pollution. Herein, this study investigated the impacts of biochar (e.g., rice husk biochar (RHB) and sawdust biochar (SDB) as composting additives on CO2 and CH4 emissions, as well as the underlying microbial mechanisms. The results demonstrated that, comparing to the control (CK), RHB and SDB reduced cumulative CO2 emissions by 11.38% and 16.30%, respectively (both P < 0.05), whereas they increased CH4 emissions by 45.35% (P < 0.05) and 81.04% (P < 0.01), respectively. Overall, the 100-year global warming potentials (GWP-100s) of the RHB and SDB treated groups were decreased by 15.91 g CO2e·kg[-1] and 19.29 g CO2e·kg[-1], respectively. Redundancy analysis (RDA) and partial least squares path modeling (PLS-PM) revealed the total organic carbon (TOC) to be the key environmental regulatory factor. Specifically, TOC was significantly negatively correlated with CO2-producing genes and aerobic methane oxidation genes, yet it exhibited a positive correlation with methanogenic genes which underlines the up-regulation of CH4 emissions from the biochar-treated composting systems. The addition of biochar increased the TOC of the compost systems, which induced microbial community shift from r-strategy to K-strategy, inhibited CO2 production, yet modulated methanogenesis. This cascade of effects reduces the net GWP of compost via microbial-mediated mechanisms. The findings of this study provided a critical theoretical foundation and a practical guideline for optimizing the biochar-manure co-composting process to reduce overall greenhouse gas emission from composting.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-10
CmpDate: 2026-07-10
The Impact of Ambient Heat on Perinatal and Neonatal Health in the Context of Climate Change: A Scoping Review.
Current environmental health reports, 13(1):.
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change is driving rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves, raising concerns about the impacts of heat on neonates. Neonatal care around temperature control has traditionally focused on hypothermia prevention but is increasingly examining heat-related risks. This scoping review maps perinatal and neonatal health outcomes correlated with heat exposure during prenatal and neonatal periods.
RECENT FINDINGS: Across 61 studies published between 2012 and 2025, this review maps heat-health associations beyond preterm birth, identifying consistent links between ambient heat and low birth weight, stillbirth, neonatal mortality, and congenital anomalies. Risks are heightened in socially and geographically vulnerable populations, and potential physiologic mechanisms and causal pathways are discussed. Critical exposure windows are emerging, but not yet conclusively defined. Heat exposure is associated with multiple adverse perinatal and neonatal health outcomes, with risks varying by timing of exposure and population vulnerability. Underlying biological pathways remain poorly understood, requiring primary research to protect perinatal and neonatal health in a rapidly warming world.
Additional Links: PMID-42429868
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@article {pmid42429868,
year = {2026},
author = {Holvoet, E and Lokubal, P and Chersich, M and Filippi, V and Jackson, D and Lakhoo, D and Sawry, S and Gupta, S and Luchters, S and , },
title = {The Impact of Ambient Heat on Perinatal and Neonatal Health in the Context of Climate Change: A Scoping Review.},
journal = {Current environmental health reports},
volume = {13},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {42429868},
issn = {2196-5412},
support = {101057843//European Union's Horizon Framework Programme/ ; 101057843//European Union's Horizon Framework Programme/ ; 101057843//European Union's Horizon Framework Programme/ ; 101057843//European Union's Horizon Framework Programme/ ; 10038478//UKRI Innovate UK/ ; 10038478//UKRI Innovate UK/ ; 10038478//UKRI Innovate UK/ ; },
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Pregnancy ; Infant, Newborn ; *Hot Temperature/adverse effects ; *Infant Health ; Female ; Infant Mortality ; },
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change is driving rising temperatures and more frequent heatwaves, raising concerns about the impacts of heat on neonates. Neonatal care around temperature control has traditionally focused on hypothermia prevention but is increasingly examining heat-related risks. This scoping review maps perinatal and neonatal health outcomes correlated with heat exposure during prenatal and neonatal periods.
RECENT FINDINGS: Across 61 studies published between 2012 and 2025, this review maps heat-health associations beyond preterm birth, identifying consistent links between ambient heat and low birth weight, stillbirth, neonatal mortality, and congenital anomalies. Risks are heightened in socially and geographically vulnerable populations, and potential physiologic mechanisms and causal pathways are discussed. Critical exposure windows are emerging, but not yet conclusively defined. Heat exposure is associated with multiple adverse perinatal and neonatal health outcomes, with risks varying by timing of exposure and population vulnerability. Underlying biological pathways remain poorly understood, requiring primary research to protect perinatal and neonatal health in a rapidly warming world.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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Humans
*Climate Change
Pregnancy
Infant, Newborn
*Hot Temperature/adverse effects
*Infant Health
Female
Infant Mortality
RevDate: 2026-07-10
CmpDate: 2026-07-10
The effect of climate change on the distribution of Amblyomma hebraeum and heartwater in South Africa.
Tropical animal health and production, 58(6):.
Historically Amblyomma hebraeum has been found in the north-eastern part of South Africa and along the coastal belt stretching to the Eastern Cape area. A change already noted in the past 20 years has been the increase in distribution area in the Eastern Cape, which now includes a larger inland area. It has been postulated that climate change has brought about a change in the distribution of A. hebraeum and subsequently, its potential tick-borne pathogens (TBP), Ehrlichia ruminantium and Rickettsia africae, in South Africa and that the effects of climate change may lead to further distribution changes in future. Habitat suitability modelling using Maxent software demonstrated that the distribution of A. hebraeum has altered compared to previous predictions done 15 years ago and that by the year 2065, most of the central and eastern parts of South Africa are predicted to have a high habitat suitability index for its presence. This indicates that the potential presence of diseases caused by E. ruminantium and R. africae would have to be considered in these previously unaffected areas when animals or humans show signs of illness. This expanded distribution of A. hebraeum and its TBP could have a substantial health and economic impact in South Africa.
Additional Links: PMID-42430028
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Citation:
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@article {pmid42430028,
year = {2026},
author = {Wepener, MP and Scholtz, MM and Weepener, HL and Neves, LCBGD},
title = {The effect of climate change on the distribution of Amblyomma hebraeum and heartwater in South Africa.},
journal = {Tropical animal health and production},
volume = {58},
number = {6},
pages = {},
pmid = {42430028},
issn = {1573-7438},
mesh = {Animals ; South Africa/epidemiology ; *Climate Change ; *Heartwater Disease/epidemiology/microbiology ; Ehrlichia ruminantium/physiology ; *Amblyomma/physiology/microbiology ; Ecosystem ; Rickettsia/physiology ; *Animal Distribution ; *Sheep Diseases/epidemiology/microbiology/parasitology ; },
abstract = {Historically Amblyomma hebraeum has been found in the north-eastern part of South Africa and along the coastal belt stretching to the Eastern Cape area. A change already noted in the past 20 years has been the increase in distribution area in the Eastern Cape, which now includes a larger inland area. It has been postulated that climate change has brought about a change in the distribution of A. hebraeum and subsequently, its potential tick-borne pathogens (TBP), Ehrlichia ruminantium and Rickettsia africae, in South Africa and that the effects of climate change may lead to further distribution changes in future. Habitat suitability modelling using Maxent software demonstrated that the distribution of A. hebraeum has altered compared to previous predictions done 15 years ago and that by the year 2065, most of the central and eastern parts of South Africa are predicted to have a high habitat suitability index for its presence. This indicates that the potential presence of diseases caused by E. ruminantium and R. africae would have to be considered in these previously unaffected areas when animals or humans show signs of illness. This expanded distribution of A. hebraeum and its TBP could have a substantial health and economic impact in South Africa.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
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Animals
South Africa/epidemiology
*Climate Change
*Heartwater Disease/epidemiology/microbiology
Ehrlichia ruminantium/physiology
*Amblyomma/physiology/microbiology
Ecosystem
Rickettsia/physiology
*Animal Distribution
*Sheep Diseases/epidemiology/microbiology/parasitology
RevDate: 2026-07-10
Historical climate change reshapes the thermal niche of Rhipicephalus sanguineus s.l. (Acari: Ixodidae) under uncertainty.
Veterinary parasitology, 346:110848 pii:S0304-4017(26)00167-6 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change is altering the environmental conditions that regulate vector persistence, yet attribution remains difficult where long-term surveillance data are limited. Here, we developed a trait-based mechanistic framework to quantify climate-attributable changes in the environmental persistence potential of Rhipicephalus sanguineus s.l. using a host-delay persistence metric, RH,τ. The framework integrates temperature- and humidity-dependent development, mortality, fecundity, and dog-host availability within a factual-counterfactual climate design. Seasonal dynamics were retained by computing RH,τ from long-term monthly climatologies before deriving annual, quarterly, and four-month temporal summaries. Three lineage-specific parameterizations, derived from the Florida (FL), North Carolina (NC), and California (CA) laboratory colonies, were evaluated. The predictive performance of each parameterization was validated against independent Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) occurrence records using the Continuous Boyce Index, Cliff's delta, Wilcoxon rank-sum tests, and occurrence-background median differences. Validation showed strong ecological performance across parameterizations and temporal summaries, with annual, quarterly, and four-month products consistently ranking among the best-performing models. Under factual climate conditions, elevated RH,τ values were concentrated in tropical and subtropical regions, including sub-Saharan Africa, South and Southeast Asia, Central and South America, and northern Australia. Climate-attributable changes, ΔRH,τ= (RH,τfactual - RH,τcounterfactual), were spatially heterogeneous, with both positive and negative responses across regions. Pairwise comparisons showed positive but variable consistency among parameterizations, with Pearson correlations of 0.36-0.62 and directional sign agreement of 65.5-72.2%. The mean ΔRH,τ across parameterizations identified consensus regions where observed climate has increased or reduced environmental persistence. Overall, the framework provides a validated mechanistic approach for assessing climate-driven changes in vector persistence under parameterization uncertainty.
Additional Links: PMID-42431031
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PubMed:
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@article {pmid42431031,
year = {2026},
author = {Agboka, KM and Hassaballa, IB and Baleba, SBS and Landmann, T and Abdel-Rahman, EM and Diallo, S},
title = {Historical climate change reshapes the thermal niche of Rhipicephalus sanguineus s.l. (Acari: Ixodidae) under uncertainty.},
journal = {Veterinary parasitology},
volume = {346},
number = {},
pages = {110848},
doi = {10.1016/j.vetpar.2026.110848},
pmid = {42431031},
issn = {1873-2550},
abstract = {Climate change is altering the environmental conditions that regulate vector persistence, yet attribution remains difficult where long-term surveillance data are limited. Here, we developed a trait-based mechanistic framework to quantify climate-attributable changes in the environmental persistence potential of Rhipicephalus sanguineus s.l. using a host-delay persistence metric, RH,τ. The framework integrates temperature- and humidity-dependent development, mortality, fecundity, and dog-host availability within a factual-counterfactual climate design. Seasonal dynamics were retained by computing RH,τ from long-term monthly climatologies before deriving annual, quarterly, and four-month temporal summaries. Three lineage-specific parameterizations, derived from the Florida (FL), North Carolina (NC), and California (CA) laboratory colonies, were evaluated. The predictive performance of each parameterization was validated against independent Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) occurrence records using the Continuous Boyce Index, Cliff's delta, Wilcoxon rank-sum tests, and occurrence-background median differences. Validation showed strong ecological performance across parameterizations and temporal summaries, with annual, quarterly, and four-month products consistently ranking among the best-performing models. Under factual climate conditions, elevated RH,τ values were concentrated in tropical and subtropical regions, including sub-Saharan Africa, South and Southeast Asia, Central and South America, and northern Australia. Climate-attributable changes, ΔRH,τ= (RH,τfactual - RH,τcounterfactual), were spatially heterogeneous, with both positive and negative responses across regions. Pairwise comparisons showed positive but variable consistency among parameterizations, with Pearson correlations of 0.36-0.62 and directional sign agreement of 65.5-72.2%. The mean ΔRH,τ across parameterizations identified consensus regions where observed climate has increased or reduced environmental persistence. Overall, the framework provides a validated mechanistic approach for assessing climate-driven changes in vector persistence under parameterization uncertainty.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-10
Assessing the current and future distribution of Androctonus mauritanicus in Morocco under climate change using MaxEnt with environmental variables.
Toxicon : official journal of the International Society on Toxinology pii:S0041-0101(26)00230-8 [Epub ahead of print].
Androctonus mauritanicus is among the most dangerous endemic scorpions in Morocco and poses a major public health concern due to its highly toxic venom and anthropophilic nature. This study assesses the current and future distribution of Androctonus mauritanicus under climate change to guide risk management strategies. The current and future distributions of A. mauritanicus were modeled using the MaxEnt algorithm based on occurrence data and environmental variables. Future projections were generated using an ensemble of three Global Climate Models (BCC-CSM2-MR, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, and MIROC6) under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585). Model calibration was performed using ENMeval with spatial block cross-validation. The optimal model (LQH, RM = 2) showed high predictive performance, with a training AUC of 0.943, a validation AUC of 0.828 ± 0.182, a mean five-fold AUC of 0.923 ± 0.017, and a mean TSS of 0.689 ± 0.087. The current distribution revealed a concentration of suitable habitats in northern and central Morocco, whereas most southern, south-eastern, and eastern regions were classified as unsuitable. Analysis of environmental variables identified soil moisture and climatic variables (BIO03, BIO02, and BIO08) as the main factors shaping species distribution. Future projections suggested an expansion of suitable habitats under all climate change scenarios. Change detection analysis revealed positive net habitat gains ranging from 26.99% to 33.81%, with expansion areas consistently exceeding contraction areas. These results identify areas environmentally suitable for A. mauritanicus and demonstrate the value of species distribution models for surveillance and prevention planning.
Additional Links: PMID-42431382
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42431382,
year = {2026},
author = {Namiq, S and Namous, M and El Mourid, A and Bouimeja, B and Touloun, O},
title = {Assessing the current and future distribution of Androctonus mauritanicus in Morocco under climate change using MaxEnt with environmental variables.},
journal = {Toxicon : official journal of the International Society on Toxinology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {109212},
doi = {10.1016/j.toxicon.2026.109212},
pmid = {42431382},
issn = {1879-3150},
abstract = {Androctonus mauritanicus is among the most dangerous endemic scorpions in Morocco and poses a major public health concern due to its highly toxic venom and anthropophilic nature. This study assesses the current and future distribution of Androctonus mauritanicus under climate change to guide risk management strategies. The current and future distributions of A. mauritanicus were modeled using the MaxEnt algorithm based on occurrence data and environmental variables. Future projections were generated using an ensemble of three Global Climate Models (BCC-CSM2-MR, HadGEM3-GC31-LL, and MIROC6) under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585). Model calibration was performed using ENMeval with spatial block cross-validation. The optimal model (LQH, RM = 2) showed high predictive performance, with a training AUC of 0.943, a validation AUC of 0.828 ± 0.182, a mean five-fold AUC of 0.923 ± 0.017, and a mean TSS of 0.689 ± 0.087. The current distribution revealed a concentration of suitable habitats in northern and central Morocco, whereas most southern, south-eastern, and eastern regions were classified as unsuitable. Analysis of environmental variables identified soil moisture and climatic variables (BIO03, BIO02, and BIO08) as the main factors shaping species distribution. Future projections suggested an expansion of suitable habitats under all climate change scenarios. Change detection analysis revealed positive net habitat gains ranging from 26.99% to 33.81%, with expansion areas consistently exceeding contraction areas. These results identify areas environmentally suitable for A. mauritanicus and demonstrate the value of species distribution models for surveillance and prevention planning.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-10
The relationship between food intake and outdoor temperature in a longitudinal study: a public health perspective in the context of global warming.
The American journal of clinical nutrition pii:S0002-9165(26)00239-X [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Climate change affects human health and nutrition. Rising temperatures may significantly impact diets, but research on their influence on dietary habits in large populations remains limited.
OBJECTIVES: We aimed to study the link between outdoor temperature and energy-adjusted food consumption across profiles in a longitudinal study.
METHODS: This study included 100,851 participants from the NutriNet-Santé study (2009-2023) with 1,716,046 24-hour dietary records linked to daily maximum outdoor temperature at the residence, from the nearest Météo-France station. Associations were analyzed using linear mixed models with interactions tested for sex and six socio-economic profiles (employees, privileged, intermediate, young, disadvantaged, and retirees) derived from clustering.
RESULTS: Across all subgroups, higher outdoor temperature was associated with higher consumption of fruits, vegetables, processed meats, sweet products, water, alcoholic beverages, and sugar-sweetened beverages, while consumption of red meat, pulses, and dairy products decreased. From 25°C to 35°C, the increase in alcohol consumption with temperature was more pronounced in males (150 g/d (95%CI 147, 153) to 166 g/d (95%CI 162, 171), +11%) than in females (101 g/d (95%CI 98, 103) to 107 g/d (95%CI 104, 109), +6%). Across socio-economic profiles, changes shared similar directions but some trends were more marked, notably for alcoholic beverages among employees (114 g/d to 130 g/d, +14%) and sugar-sweetened beverages in young (56 g/d to 72 g/d, +29%). Consumption of fruits increased more modestly in the young (227 g/d to 248 g/d, +9%) than in employees (194 g/d to 227 g/d, +17%). These changes, although variable in magnitude, were not accompanied by substantial modifications in energy intake or overall diet quality scores.
CONCLUSIONS: These results emphasize the importance of targeted prevention messages when temperatures exceed 25°C, especially concerning alcoholic and sugar-sweetened beverages, and offer insight into potential long-term food consumption patterns (beyond seasonal changes) in the context of global warming.
Additional Links: PMID-42431597
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PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42431597,
year = {2026},
author = {Kesse-Guyot, E and Berlivet, J and Meyer, E and Julia, C and Fezeu, LK and Touvier, M and Hercberg, S and Meirhaeghe, A and Baudry, J},
title = {The relationship between food intake and outdoor temperature in a longitudinal study: a public health perspective in the context of global warming.},
journal = {The American journal of clinical nutrition},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {101430},
doi = {10.1016/j.ajcnut.2026.101430},
pmid = {42431597},
issn = {1938-3207},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change affects human health and nutrition. Rising temperatures may significantly impact diets, but research on their influence on dietary habits in large populations remains limited.
OBJECTIVES: We aimed to study the link between outdoor temperature and energy-adjusted food consumption across profiles in a longitudinal study.
METHODS: This study included 100,851 participants from the NutriNet-Santé study (2009-2023) with 1,716,046 24-hour dietary records linked to daily maximum outdoor temperature at the residence, from the nearest Météo-France station. Associations were analyzed using linear mixed models with interactions tested for sex and six socio-economic profiles (employees, privileged, intermediate, young, disadvantaged, and retirees) derived from clustering.
RESULTS: Across all subgroups, higher outdoor temperature was associated with higher consumption of fruits, vegetables, processed meats, sweet products, water, alcoholic beverages, and sugar-sweetened beverages, while consumption of red meat, pulses, and dairy products decreased. From 25°C to 35°C, the increase in alcohol consumption with temperature was more pronounced in males (150 g/d (95%CI 147, 153) to 166 g/d (95%CI 162, 171), +11%) than in females (101 g/d (95%CI 98, 103) to 107 g/d (95%CI 104, 109), +6%). Across socio-economic profiles, changes shared similar directions but some trends were more marked, notably for alcoholic beverages among employees (114 g/d to 130 g/d, +14%) and sugar-sweetened beverages in young (56 g/d to 72 g/d, +29%). Consumption of fruits increased more modestly in the young (227 g/d to 248 g/d, +9%) than in employees (194 g/d to 227 g/d, +17%). These changes, although variable in magnitude, were not accompanied by substantial modifications in energy intake or overall diet quality scores.
CONCLUSIONS: These results emphasize the importance of targeted prevention messages when temperatures exceed 25°C, especially concerning alcoholic and sugar-sweetened beverages, and offer insight into potential long-term food consumption patterns (beyond seasonal changes) in the context of global warming.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-10
CmpDate: 2026-07-11
Regulatory Responses of Ectothermic Embryos to Predicted Heat Stresses Under Near-Future Climate Change.
Molecular ecology, 35(13):e70456.
Heat stress can disrupt coordinated regulatory processes underpinning normal development, resulting in embryonic malformation and inviability. Embryonic buffering against thermal challenge may therefore play a crucial role in individual survival and population resilience under heat stress. Yet, the molecular mechanisms underpinning embryonic defence against ecologically-meaningful heat stresses remain poorly understood. We investigated the regulatory responses of brown anole (Anolis sagrei) embryos to three patterns of heat stress we find will increase under near-future climate warming. Across chronic, persistent, and acute heat treatments, embryos exhibited rapid transcriptome-wide disruption followed by recovery toward normal developmental trajectories within 24 h. Despite this broad perturbation, a core regulatory module governing forebrain and craniofacial development remained strongly preserved across heat insults. Heat stress induced widespread transcriptional suppression alongside increased reliance of post-transcriptional regulation and a dose-dependent slowing of RNA flux, consistent with mitigation of proteotoxic stress. Concurrently, embryos rewired regulatory networks through recruitment of extramodular stress-response genes and strengthening co-expression within developmental pathways. Together, these results reveal a hierarchical regulatory strategy in which embryos buffer essential developmental programs while flexibly reconfiguring peripheral networks to manage cellular stress. This systems-level resilience underscores the importance of early-life adaptive regulatory plasticity in shaping organismal responses to climate warming.
Additional Links: PMID-42431605
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@article {pmid42431605,
year = {2026},
author = {Walker, RH and Sinha, I and Rochette, N and Sanger, TJ and Campbell-Staton, SC},
title = {Regulatory Responses of Ectothermic Embryos to Predicted Heat Stresses Under Near-Future Climate Change.},
journal = {Molecular ecology},
volume = {35},
number = {13},
pages = {e70456},
doi = {10.1111/mec.70456},
pmid = {42431605},
issn = {1365-294X},
support = {//High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton University/ ; //Alfred P. Sloan Foundation/ ; 2219279//National Science Foundation/ ; 1942250//National Science Foundation/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Heat-Shock Response/genetics ; *Climate Change ; Transcriptome ; *Embryo, Nonmammalian/physiology ; Gene Expression Regulation, Developmental ; Hot Temperature ; Gene Regulatory Networks ; },
abstract = {Heat stress can disrupt coordinated regulatory processes underpinning normal development, resulting in embryonic malformation and inviability. Embryonic buffering against thermal challenge may therefore play a crucial role in individual survival and population resilience under heat stress. Yet, the molecular mechanisms underpinning embryonic defence against ecologically-meaningful heat stresses remain poorly understood. We investigated the regulatory responses of brown anole (Anolis sagrei) embryos to three patterns of heat stress we find will increase under near-future climate warming. Across chronic, persistent, and acute heat treatments, embryos exhibited rapid transcriptome-wide disruption followed by recovery toward normal developmental trajectories within 24 h. Despite this broad perturbation, a core regulatory module governing forebrain and craniofacial development remained strongly preserved across heat insults. Heat stress induced widespread transcriptional suppression alongside increased reliance of post-transcriptional regulation and a dose-dependent slowing of RNA flux, consistent with mitigation of proteotoxic stress. Concurrently, embryos rewired regulatory networks through recruitment of extramodular stress-response genes and strengthening co-expression within developmental pathways. Together, these results reveal a hierarchical regulatory strategy in which embryos buffer essential developmental programs while flexibly reconfiguring peripheral networks to manage cellular stress. This systems-level resilience underscores the importance of early-life adaptive regulatory plasticity in shaping organismal responses to climate warming.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Heat-Shock Response/genetics
*Climate Change
Transcriptome
*Embryo, Nonmammalian/physiology
Gene Expression Regulation, Developmental
Hot Temperature
Gene Regulatory Networks
RevDate: 2026-07-11
CmpDate: 2026-07-11
Climate change- and LGBTQ-related voting records of SkinPAC-supported members of the 117th U.S. Congress: A cross-sectional study.
The journal of climate change and health, 30:100701.
INTRODUCTION: With critical health, equity and care delivery implications, advocacy around both climate impacts and Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Transgender, and Queer/Questioning (LGBTQ+) health is of growing importance among dermatologists and shares overlapping priorities and increasing sociopolitical solidarity. In particular, environmental justice and LGBTQ+ health disparities are intertwined. Climate impacts disproportionately affect gender minority individuals and exacerbate existing socioeconomic, cultural, and health burdens in LGBTQ+ communities.
MATERIAL AND METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis examined monetary contributions from SkinPAC, the American Academy of Dermatology Association's (AADA) political action committee (PAC), to members of the 117th U.S. Congress and whether those receiving contributions have legislative voting records that align with the AADA's position statements on climate change and LGBTQ+ health.
RESULTS: While SkinPAC donated more in total dollars to those who voted for pro-climate and pro-LGBTQ+ legislation, SkinPAC still contributed significant dollar amounts to members of Congress whose voting records did not align with the AADA's position statements.
DISCUSSION: As with prior studies on donations by medical society PACs, this analysis suggests that other legislative priorities drive contributions and that SkinPAC donations to political candidates may not reflect the position statements of the AADA on matters of public health and equity, including climate change and sexual and gender minority health.
CONCLUSION: To better guide SkinPAC contributions to candidates' federal campaigns and to more effectively and ethically advocate on behalf of dermatologists and their patients, future studies should track alignment between monetary political contributions and Congressional voting records regarding AADA positions on key public health issues, including climate impacts and LGBTQ+ health.
Additional Links: PMID-42433459
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@article {pmid42433459,
year = {2026},
author = {Green, M and Katz, KA and Boos, MD and Parker, ER},
title = {Climate change- and LGBTQ-related voting records of SkinPAC-supported members of the 117th U.S. Congress: A cross-sectional study.},
journal = {The journal of climate change and health},
volume = {30},
number = {},
pages = {100701},
pmid = {42433459},
issn = {2667-2782},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: With critical health, equity and care delivery implications, advocacy around both climate impacts and Lesbian, Gay, Bisexual, Transgender, and Queer/Questioning (LGBTQ+) health is of growing importance among dermatologists and shares overlapping priorities and increasing sociopolitical solidarity. In particular, environmental justice and LGBTQ+ health disparities are intertwined. Climate impacts disproportionately affect gender minority individuals and exacerbate existing socioeconomic, cultural, and health burdens in LGBTQ+ communities.
MATERIAL AND METHODS: A cross-sectional analysis examined monetary contributions from SkinPAC, the American Academy of Dermatology Association's (AADA) political action committee (PAC), to members of the 117th U.S. Congress and whether those receiving contributions have legislative voting records that align with the AADA's position statements on climate change and LGBTQ+ health.
RESULTS: While SkinPAC donated more in total dollars to those who voted for pro-climate and pro-LGBTQ+ legislation, SkinPAC still contributed significant dollar amounts to members of Congress whose voting records did not align with the AADA's position statements.
DISCUSSION: As with prior studies on donations by medical society PACs, this analysis suggests that other legislative priorities drive contributions and that SkinPAC donations to political candidates may not reflect the position statements of the AADA on matters of public health and equity, including climate change and sexual and gender minority health.
CONCLUSION: To better guide SkinPAC contributions to candidates' federal campaigns and to more effectively and ethically advocate on behalf of dermatologists and their patients, future studies should track alignment between monetary political contributions and Congressional voting records regarding AADA positions on key public health issues, including climate impacts and LGBTQ+ health.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-11
CmpDate: 2026-07-11
Climate Change Projected to Increase Rates of Background Tree Mortality Across Eastern North America.
Global change biology, 32(7):e70995.
Tree mortality patterns play a central role in forest health, terrestrial carbon dynamics, and biodiversity conservation. While changes in tree mortality patterns to recent climate anomalies have been documented, the effects of climate change on ambient or "background" mortality rates in the absence of severe disturbance agents remains poorly understood. Here, we applied a machine learning approach to a large dataset of 24,576 forest permanent sample plots distributed across Canada and the United States, spanning 28.1°C in mean annual temperature and 1743.5 mm in annual precipitation, to study and predict the effects of climate on background mortality for nine of the most abundant tree species in eastern North America. We developed species-specific climate-mortality models while controlling for the interactive effects of stand development processes, CO2, and atmospheric pollutant SO4. We found that temperature ranked among the three strongest predictors of mortality rates and that warmer temperatures led to higher background tree mortality for most species. Furthermore, we predicted notable increases in tree mortality rates along the southern portions of species' ranges in response to future warming. On average, mortality rates are predicted to rise by 0.2%-0.7%·year[-1] for five of the nine species under SSP2-4.5 by mid-century (2041-2070). By examining climate-driven variation in background tree mortality at the continental scale, our study provides valuable insight on future forest dynamics under climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42435374
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@article {pmid42435374,
year = {2026},
author = {Wang, J and Taylor, AR and Bouchard, M and D'Orangeville, L},
title = {Climate Change Projected to Increase Rates of Background Tree Mortality Across Eastern North America.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {32},
number = {7},
pages = {e70995},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70995},
pmid = {42435374},
issn = {1365-2486},
support = {//Natural Resources Canada/ ; RGPIN-2019-04353//NSERC Discovery Grant/ ; RIF 2019-029//New Brunswick Innovation Foundations/ ; 308324//Contribution of the forest sector to the attenuation of the effects of climate change/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Trees/physiology ; United States ; *Forests ; Canada ; Machine Learning ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Tree mortality patterns play a central role in forest health, terrestrial carbon dynamics, and biodiversity conservation. While changes in tree mortality patterns to recent climate anomalies have been documented, the effects of climate change on ambient or "background" mortality rates in the absence of severe disturbance agents remains poorly understood. Here, we applied a machine learning approach to a large dataset of 24,576 forest permanent sample plots distributed across Canada and the United States, spanning 28.1°C in mean annual temperature and 1743.5 mm in annual precipitation, to study and predict the effects of climate on background mortality for nine of the most abundant tree species in eastern North America. We developed species-specific climate-mortality models while controlling for the interactive effects of stand development processes, CO2, and atmospheric pollutant SO4. We found that temperature ranked among the three strongest predictors of mortality rates and that warmer temperatures led to higher background tree mortality for most species. Furthermore, we predicted notable increases in tree mortality rates along the southern portions of species' ranges in response to future warming. On average, mortality rates are predicted to rise by 0.2%-0.7%·year[-1] for five of the nine species under SSP2-4.5 by mid-century (2041-2070). By examining climate-driven variation in background tree mortality at the continental scale, our study provides valuable insight on future forest dynamics under climate change.},
}
MeSH Terms:
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hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Trees/physiology
United States
*Forests
Canada
Machine Learning
Temperature
RevDate: 2026-07-11
Successful Aging Is Environmentally Friendly Aging: A Lifespan Perspective of Successful Aging in the Context of Climate Change.
The Gerontologist pii:8732677 [Epub ahead of print].
Aging in the 21st century is marked by the distinct challenge of climate change that affects not only today's older adults but also future generations who, if fortunate, will themselves grow old. In this article, we propose that enhancing successful aging among the current cohort of older adults and preparing younger generations to age successfully is inherently aligned with the pursuit of a more sustainable future. This alignment can be achieved through the adoption of individual pro-environmental health-promoting behaviors, active engagement in climate-related action, and the fostering of psychological adaptation and resilience across the life course. We argue that in the context of the climate crisis, successful aging presents not only a personal or public health goal, but also a potential pathway toward sustainability, intergenerational solidarity, and collective resilience. This article provides an overview of negative implications of climate change for the respective dimensions of successful aging and discusses possible developmental, social and environmental interventions for each dimension throughout the lifespan.
Additional Links: PMID-42435413
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@article {pmid42435413,
year = {2026},
author = {Korlat, S and Ayalon, L and Kornadt, AE and Pillemer, K and Rothermund, K and Nikitin, J},
title = {Successful Aging Is Environmentally Friendly Aging: A Lifespan Perspective of Successful Aging in the Context of Climate Change.},
journal = {The Gerontologist},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/geront/gnag153},
pmid = {42435413},
issn = {1758-5341},
abstract = {Aging in the 21st century is marked by the distinct challenge of climate change that affects not only today's older adults but also future generations who, if fortunate, will themselves grow old. In this article, we propose that enhancing successful aging among the current cohort of older adults and preparing younger generations to age successfully is inherently aligned with the pursuit of a more sustainable future. This alignment can be achieved through the adoption of individual pro-environmental health-promoting behaviors, active engagement in climate-related action, and the fostering of psychological adaptation and resilience across the life course. We argue that in the context of the climate crisis, successful aging presents not only a personal or public health goal, but also a potential pathway toward sustainability, intergenerational solidarity, and collective resilience. This article provides an overview of negative implications of climate change for the respective dimensions of successful aging and discusses possible developmental, social and environmental interventions for each dimension throughout the lifespan.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-11
Atmospheric Lead Deposition under Climate Change: Implications for Lettuce Yield and Dietary Exposure Risks.
Journal of agricultural and food chemistry [Epub ahead of print].
Recurrent heatwaves (HW) and foliar uptake of fine particulate matter lead (PM2.5-Pb) threaten agriculture and food safety, yet their combined mechanistic impacts remain elusive. Using lettuce (Lactuca sativa L.), we show that HW and PM2.5-Pb coexposure reduces fresh biomass and compromises nutritional quality. This yield collapse is driven by physiological growth-defense trade-offs. Coexposure triggers the accumulation of reactive oxygen species (ROS) (32.3-57.1%), compromising chloroplast integrity, accelerating stomatal closure, and suppressing stomatal conductance (31.8%) and net photosynthesis (48.5%). Metabolomics reveals survival reprogramming driven by altered sulfate, benzylamine, and traumatic acid. This activates an abscisic acid-ROS signaling loop, redirecting carbon from biomass toward glutathione and cell wall biosynthesis for Pb detoxification. In simulated gastrointestinal models, coexposure increases leaf Pb bioavailability by 16.0% and disrupts digestive enzymes, reducing mineral bioaccessibility (7.6-13.2%). These findings elucidate how physiological and metabolic shifts drive agricultural losses, highlighting the compounded threat of atmospheric pollution and climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42435444
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid42435444,
year = {2026},
author = {Xu, K and Li, J and Guo, W and Deng, T and Morel, JL and Tang, Y and Qiu, R},
title = {Atmospheric Lead Deposition under Climate Change: Implications for Lettuce Yield and Dietary Exposure Risks.},
journal = {Journal of agricultural and food chemistry},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jafc.6c07008},
pmid = {42435444},
issn = {1520-5118},
abstract = {Recurrent heatwaves (HW) and foliar uptake of fine particulate matter lead (PM2.5-Pb) threaten agriculture and food safety, yet their combined mechanistic impacts remain elusive. Using lettuce (Lactuca sativa L.), we show that HW and PM2.5-Pb coexposure reduces fresh biomass and compromises nutritional quality. This yield collapse is driven by physiological growth-defense trade-offs. Coexposure triggers the accumulation of reactive oxygen species (ROS) (32.3-57.1%), compromising chloroplast integrity, accelerating stomatal closure, and suppressing stomatal conductance (31.8%) and net photosynthesis (48.5%). Metabolomics reveals survival reprogramming driven by altered sulfate, benzylamine, and traumatic acid. This activates an abscisic acid-ROS signaling loop, redirecting carbon from biomass toward glutathione and cell wall biosynthesis for Pb detoxification. In simulated gastrointestinal models, coexposure increases leaf Pb bioavailability by 16.0% and disrupts digestive enzymes, reducing mineral bioaccessibility (7.6-13.2%). These findings elucidate how physiological and metabolic shifts drive agricultural losses, highlighting the compounded threat of atmospheric pollution and climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-09
A coupled LSTM model for predicting blue carbon and fishery dynamics in tropical coastal wetlands under climate change.
Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-026-59981-y [Epub ahead of print].
Coastal wetlands, including mangroves, seagrass beds, and coral reefs, provide critical blue carbon sequestration services and nursery habitats that support fishery resources. However, the bidirectional coupling between blue carbon stocks and fishery abundance remain poorly quantified, particularly under accelerating environmental change in tropical marginal seas. This study presents the first coupled LSTM framework for bidirectional blue carbon-fishery prediction in tropical coastal wetlands. We developed a coupled Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network model to predict the bidirectional relationship between blue carbon stocks and fishery resource abundance in the coastal ecosystems of Guangdong Province and Hainan Island, China. Field surveys were conducted at 15 representative sites from 2018 to 2025, generating 96 monthly observations of environmental variables (sea surface temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, turbidity, nutrients), biological indicators (mangrove above-ground biomass, soil organic carbon, seagrass coverage, coral cover), and fishery metrics (catch per unit effort, species richness, juvenile abundance). The LSTM model achieved superior predictive performance compared to baseline methods, with root mean square error of 0.142 Mg C ha[-1] for blue carbon prediction (R[2] = 0.93) and 0.108 kg h[-1] for CPUE prediction (R[2] = 0.89). Feature importance analysis revealed that mangrove soil organic carbon was the strongest predictor of fishery CPUE (Shapley value = 0.187), while sea surface temperature exerted the greatest influence on blue carbon stock variability. Scenario simulations for 2025-2026 indicate that under a moderate warming scenario (SST increase of 0.8 °C), blue carbon stocks are projected to decline by 7.2% (95% CI: 5.8-8.6%), with associated fishery CPUE reductions of 11.4% (95% CI: 9.2-13.6%). These findings provide a novel predictive framework for ecosystem-based management of tropical coastal wetlands and highlight the vulnerability of coupled social-ecological systems to climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-42426141
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
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@article {pmid42426141,
year = {2026},
author = {Zhang, Y and Wu, G and Zou, C and Wu, D and Xie, P and Wang, S and Wang, P},
title = {A coupled LSTM model for predicting blue carbon and fishery dynamics in tropical coastal wetlands under climate change.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1038/s41598-026-59981-y},
pmid = {42426141},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {Nos. 42367054 and 42567057//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; (No. ZDYF2025GXJS192//Key Research & Development Program of Hainan Province/ ; (No. 425MS034//Natural Science Foundation of Hainan Province/ ; No. 2025-029//Key Science & Technology Program of Haikou/ ; },
abstract = {Coastal wetlands, including mangroves, seagrass beds, and coral reefs, provide critical blue carbon sequestration services and nursery habitats that support fishery resources. However, the bidirectional coupling between blue carbon stocks and fishery abundance remain poorly quantified, particularly under accelerating environmental change in tropical marginal seas. This study presents the first coupled LSTM framework for bidirectional blue carbon-fishery prediction in tropical coastal wetlands. We developed a coupled Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network model to predict the bidirectional relationship between blue carbon stocks and fishery resource abundance in the coastal ecosystems of Guangdong Province and Hainan Island, China. Field surveys were conducted at 15 representative sites from 2018 to 2025, generating 96 monthly observations of environmental variables (sea surface temperature, salinity, dissolved oxygen, turbidity, nutrients), biological indicators (mangrove above-ground biomass, soil organic carbon, seagrass coverage, coral cover), and fishery metrics (catch per unit effort, species richness, juvenile abundance). The LSTM model achieved superior predictive performance compared to baseline methods, with root mean square error of 0.142 Mg C ha[-1] for blue carbon prediction (R[2] = 0.93) and 0.108 kg h[-1] for CPUE prediction (R[2] = 0.89). Feature importance analysis revealed that mangrove soil organic carbon was the strongest predictor of fishery CPUE (Shapley value = 0.187), while sea surface temperature exerted the greatest influence on blue carbon stock variability. Scenario simulations for 2025-2026 indicate that under a moderate warming scenario (SST increase of 0.8 °C), blue carbon stocks are projected to decline by 7.2% (95% CI: 5.8-8.6%), with associated fishery CPUE reductions of 11.4% (95% CI: 9.2-13.6%). These findings provide a novel predictive framework for ecosystem-based management of tropical coastal wetlands and highlight the vulnerability of coupled social-ecological systems to climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2026-07-09
CmpDate: 2026-07-10
Scorpion sting stratification in Iran: A systematic review of epidemiological patterns, determinants, and climate change impacts.
International journal of biometeorology, 70(7):.
This systematic review provides a comprehensive synthesis of the epidemiology of scorpion sting stratification across Iran's geography, a critical public health concern in its arid and semi-arid regions. Conducted in accordance with PRISMA 2020 guidelines, the review analyzes the spatial and temporal patterns of envenomations, identifies key ecological, climatic, and anthropogenic determinants, and evaluates the growing evidence for climate change as a driver of increased risk. The study confirms hyperendemic levels of scorpion stings in the southwestern and western provinces, with species from the genera Hemiscorpius and Androctonus presenting the most severe medical threat. A meta-analysis of national data yields a pooled incidence rate of 92.7 per 100,000 population per year (95% CI: 68.4-117.0), with extreme heterogeneity (I[2] = 98.9%) reflecting stark regional disparities. The primary determinants of scorpion distribution and human-scorpion conflicts include climatic variables (temperature, precipitation, and humidity), land-use practices, unplanned urbanization, and occupational exposure. Recent evidence from species distribution modeling strongly suggests that climate change is expanding suitable habitats for scorpions, prolonging their active seasons, and increasing human-scorpion conflicts. This review highlights the critical need for improved surveillance, predictive spatial risk models, and climate-adaptive public health strategies to address this growing threat.
Additional Links: PMID-42426277
PubMed:
Citation:
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hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid42426277,
year = {2026},
author = {Nasirian, H},
title = {Scorpion sting stratification in Iran: A systematic review of epidemiological patterns, determinants, and climate change impacts.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {70},
number = {7},
pages = {},
pmid = {42426277},
issn = {1432-1254},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Scorpion Stings/epidemiology ; Humans ; Animals ; Iran/epidemiology ; Scorpions ; },
abstract = {This systematic review provides a comprehensive synthesis of the epidemiology of scorpion sting stratification across Iran's geography, a critical public health concern in its arid and semi-arid regions. Conducted in accordance with PRISMA 2020 guidelines, the review analyzes the spatial and temporal patterns of envenomations, identifies key ecological, climatic, and anthropogenic determinants, and evaluates the growing evidence for climate change as a driver of increased risk. The study confirms hyperendemic levels of scorpion stings in the southwestern and western provinces, with species from the genera Hemiscorpius and Androctonus presenting the most severe medical threat. A meta-analysis of national data yields a pooled incidence rate of 92.7 per 100,000 population per year (95% CI: 68.4-117.0), with extreme heterogeneity (I[2] = 98.9%) reflecting stark regional disparities. The primary determinants of scorpion distribution and human-scorpion conflicts include climatic variables (temperature, precipitation, and humidity), land-use practices, unplanned urbanization, and occupational exposure. Recent evidence from species distribution modeling strongly suggests that climate change is expanding suitable habitats for scorpions, prolonging their active seasons, and increasing human-scorpion conflicts. This review highlights the critical need for improved surveillance, predictive spatial risk models, and climate-adaptive public health strategies to address this growing threat.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Scorpion Stings/epidemiology
Humans
Animals
Iran/epidemiology
Scorpions
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In the early 1990's, Robert Robbins was a faculty member at Johns Hopkins, where he directed the informatics core of GDB — the human gene-mapping database of the international human genome project. To share papers with colleagues around the world, he set up a small paper-sharing section on his personal web page. This small project evolved into The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.
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