Viewport Size Code:
Login | Create New Account
picture

  MENU

About | Classical Genetics | Timelines | What's New | What's Hot

About | Classical Genetics | Timelines | What's New | What's Hot

icon

Bibliography Options Menu

icon
QUERY RUN:
HITS:
PAGE OPTIONS:
Hide Abstracts   |   Hide Additional Links
NOTE:
Long bibliographies are displayed in blocks of 100 citations at a time. At the end of each block there is an option to load the next block.

Bibliography on: Climate Change

The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project: Providing world-wide, free access to classic scientific papers and other scholarly materials, since 1993.

More About:  ESP | OUR CONTENT | THIS WEBSITE | WHAT'S NEW | WHAT'S HOT

ESP: PubMed Auto Bibliography 23 Oct 2026 at 02:03 Created: 

Climate Change

The world is warming up, with 2023 being by far the hottest year since record keeping began and 2024 shaping up to be hotter yet. But these changes only involve one or two degrees. What's the big deal?

The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one liter of water by one degree is one kilocalorie (kcal). Scaling up, the amount of energy required for a one-degree increase in the water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is 2,434,000,000,000,000,000 kcals. That's 25 million times more energy than released by the WW-II atomic bomb that destroyed the city of Hiroshima and killed more than 100,000 people.

So, for every one degree increase in water temperature, the Gulf of Mexico takes on 25-million atomic bombs worth of new energy, which is then available to fuel hurricanes and other storms. Maybe a one-degree rise in temperature is a big deal.

Created with PubMed® Query: (( "climate change"[TITLE] OR "global warming"[TITLE] )) NOT pmcbook NOT ispreviousversion

Citations The Papers (from PubMed®)

-->

RevDate: 2026-10-20

Romanello M, Cai W, Costello A, et al (2026)

The urgent role for health professionals in accelerating mitigation and adaptation to climate change.

The Lancet. Public health, 11(11):e841-e842.

RevDate: 2026-10-20

Slingo J (2026)

The fallacy of global warming potential.

RevDate: 2026-10-20

Maurya HK, Gupta R, Joshi N, et al (2026)

Projected changes in high-temperature extremes across Indian urban agglomerations under different global warming levels: a bivariate approach.

Environmental science and pollution research international [Epub ahead of print].

Climate extremes have risen in recent decades, and anthropogenic interventions are projected to continue driving climate change. This study assessed the annual maximum intensity of high-temperature extremes of 2, 5, and 10 consecutive days for 54 urban agglomerations under 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C global warming levels (GWLs) using the Coupled Model Intercomparison Phase 6 (CMIP6) framework. We also assessed this relationship between duration and intensity of high-temperature extreme events by using bivariate copula functions. The average intensity of urban agglomerations increased by 3-8% across the different GWLs for 2-day duration. This trend continues for 5 and 10 days, highlighting the increasing risk of high-temperature extremes. The study found that urban high-temperature extremes rose significantly for 2, 5, and 10 days under various GWLs. Urban areas like Amritsar, Jalandhar, Delhi, Shimla, and Kanpur showed a higher increase in intensity of 20-26%, 22-28%, and 26-33% under 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C GWLs, respectively. The return values (10, 20, 50, and 100 years) for a 2-day duration are projected to increase by 3.5-9% across most urban agglomerations under different GWLs. Amritsar, Jalandhar, Delhi, and Shimla experienced a significant increase in return values (10, 20, 50, and 100 years) for durations of 2, 5, and 10 days under different GWLs. By using temperature-intensity-duration-frequency (TIDF) curves, this study also highlights the interaction between duration and intensity for the selected eight urban agglomerations under various GWLs. This study highlights the urgent need for immediate climate change mitigation aligned with the national (Smart Cities Mission and AMRUT 2.0) and international (IPCC agreement and SGD11) goals that support urban planners, policymakers, and communities in managing the challenges posed by extreme temperatures.

RevDate: 2026-10-22
CmpDate: 2026-10-22

Zheng S, Yu L, Li S, et al (2026)

Governance of dietary microplastic exposure risk in marine ranching in the context of climate change.

Frontiers in public health, 14:1975500.

Aquaculture facilities in marine ranches continuously fragment and release microplastics, which accumulate in filter-feeding shellfish and enter residents' diets. Climate change intensifies this pathway. Warming and ultraviolet exposure accelerate the fragmentation of aquaculture plastics, while typhoons damage facilities and release microplastics in pulses and raise the health expenditure at stake for the government, enterprises, and households. This study constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model of the government, marine ranching enterprises, and consumers. Numerical simulation is used to examine how each actor's strategies shape the system's convergence path and speed and long-term residual exposure. The findings are as follows. Whether the government can sustain regulation depends solely on whether the process-based assessment payoff covers the cost of regulation, because the outcome-based performance payoff can be free-ridden and cancels out in the payoff differential. Once subsidies exceed this government-side ceiling, they crowd out regulation and cause exposure to rebound. Enterprises' tolerance for plastic-reduction costs follows a tiered threshold structure, and the simultaneous phase-down of regulation and subsidies readily triggers a governance relapse, so a mature market premium mechanism must be in place first. Consumer participation is subject to a self-undermining mechanism whereby governance success erodes the incentive to participate. Sustaining it requires lowering information and oversight costs rather than heightening risk perception. Information disclosure relaxes the consumer participation constraint in all configurations without fiscal expenditure, making it the most cost-effective instrument. When none of the equilibrium conditions holds, the system oscillates periodically, and population-average exposure underestimates both the cumulative health cost and the risk borne by highly exposed subgroups. The results lock in the government's presence through process-based assessment, cultivate market premiums before phasing down regulation, and integrate microplastic source control into climate adaptation planning for marine ranching.

RevDate: 2026-10-22
CmpDate: 2026-10-22

Moffitt V, Kennedy KP, Malefakis A, et al (2026)

Investigating perspectives and emotions on climate change among children and adolescents in San Cristóbal, Galápagos.

Frontiers in psychology, 17:1935891.

An estimated one billion children live at extremely high risk of adverse effects from climate change. Even when children are not exposed to direct physical impacts, the existential threat of climate change can have a psychological impact by creating a stressor that exacerbates underlying mental health disorders or contributes to the development of new disorders. Children and adolescents worldwide are experiencing high rates of fear and worry related to climate change, particularly in low- and middle-income countries. Despite this disparate impact, most studies on this topic have been conducted in the Global North. The Galápagos Islands are part of a medium-income nation and will face stark impacts of climate change in the coming decades. Currently, it is unknown how the threat of climate change is affecting the mental health of the children living in the islands. To address this gap, we conducted semi-structured, qualitative interviews with children and adolescents on the island of San Cristóbal to determine their thoughts, perspectives, and understanding of climate change (N = 30). These interviews also required participants to draw what they expect the island to look like in 100 years. We identified major themes from the interview transcripts and drawings, including the children's personal identification with nature, feelings of anger and frustration, and feelings of sadness and loss regarding climate change. The findings from this study will inform interventions to promote emotional resilience among the children in San Cristóbal, as well as educational initiatives to address knowledge gaps.

RevDate: 2026-10-22

Palacios-Abrantes J, Badhe R, Bamford A, et al (2026)

Managing biodiversity in the Anthropocene: discussing the Nature Futures Framework as a tool for adaptive decision-making for nature under climate change.

Sustainability science, 21(5):2141-2157.

Conservation approaches to social-ecological systems have largely been informed by a framing of preserving nature for its instrumental societal benefits, often ignoring the complex relationship of humans and nature and how climate change might impact these. The Nature Futures Framework (NFF) was developed by the Task Force on scenarios and models of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services as a heuristic approach that appreciates the diverse positive values of nature and its contribution to people. In this overview, we convene a group of experts to discuss the NFF as a tool to inform management in social-ecological systems facing climate change. We focus on three illustrative case studies from the global south across a range of climate change impacts at different ecological levels. We find that the NFF can facilitate the identification of trade-offs between alternative climate adaptation pathways based on different perspectives on the values of nature they emphasize. However, we also identify challenges in adopting the NFF, including how outputs can be translated into modeling frameworks. We conclude that using the NFF to unpack diverse management options under climate change is useful, but that there are still gaps where more work needs to be done to make it fully operational. A key conclusion is that a range of multiple perspectives of people's values on nature could result in adaptive decision-making and policy that is resilient in responding to climate change impacts in social-ecological systems.

RevDate: 2026-10-22
CmpDate: 2026-10-22

Vahedi L, Pradhan S, Zaidi S, et al (2026)

Climate change and sexual and reproductive health: A mixed methods scoping review of possible mechanisms.

iScience, 29(11):117794.

This scoping review synthesized empirical evidence on the relationships and possible pathways through which climate change could impact sexual and reproductive health and rights (SRHR) in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Eligible sources had to investigate climate change and SRHR using any study design. Two independent reviewers conducted screening; data extraction captured exposures, outcomes, associations/relationships, and possible mediators and contextual moderators. From 40,503 database-identified sources, we included 256 peer-reviewed publications across 108 LMICs. We identified 14 potential pathways and developed a typology of mediators and contextual moderators to inform the mechanisms. Five mediator domains were identified: (1) systems and infrastructure, (2) demographic shifts, (3) socioeconomic resources, and (4) behavioral and (5) biological. Six contextual moderator types were isolated: (1) patriarchal norms, (2) cultural power structures, (3) socioeconomic realities, (4) gender-inequitable climate governance, (5) place-based factors, and (6) pre-existing systems/infrastructure. As climate shocks intensify, advancing a mechanistic understanding will be critical to designing responsive, inclusive, and sustainable systems of protection.

RevDate: 2026-10-22
CmpDate: 2026-10-22

Greiser C, Gril E, Maclean IMD, et al (2026)

Climate Change Experienced by Life on Earth-Drivers and Mechanisms of Future Trends in Microclimates.

Global change biology, 32(10):e71140.

Microclimate, the climate directly experienced by organisms, is crucial for understanding ecological responses to climate change, yet its long-term dynamics and the drivers of decadal microclimate changes remain underexplored in ecology and global change biology. Microclimate changes do not necessarily track macroclimate trends. Changes in meteorological conditions (e.g., cloud cover, wind patterns) and vegetation dynamics (e.g., canopy opening, desertification in drylands, shrub encroachment in the tundra) associated with climate change can lead to locally divergent microclimate trends, thereby altering spatial variability. Understanding and quantifying how macroclimate change translates to fine-scale microclimate change experienced by organisms, populations and communities is therefore essential for predicting ecological responses to global environmental change. This review examines how macroclimate change drives microclimate changes as experienced by life on Earth-and how these micro-scale changes may, in turn, feed back into the regional and global climate system. Our primary focus is on near-surface air and soil temperature-due to their relevance to most terrestrial organisms and ecosystem processes. The review is structured around three pathways of microclimate changes: (I) direct effects of changes in meteorological conditions, (II) indirect effects via vegetation changes, and (III) feedbacks between microclimate and climate change. Using three mechanistic model simulations in real-world landscapes, we illustrate and quantify the key mechanisms that lead to divergent warming trends. We show that microclimate change emerges from interacting atmospheric, land-surface, and biophysical processes, which can differ substantially across space and time. Predicting future microclimates therefore requires accounting for these processes and their temporal dynamics. By providing an accessible synthesis of these processes, this review aims to strengthen links between ecology and atmospheric science and improve our understanding of how climate change translates into microclimatic conditions relevant to life on Earth.

RevDate: 2026-10-22

Yang F, Pu X, Huo J, et al (2026)

Host filtering overrides simulated climate change: plant species identity shapes phyllosphere fungal communities and putative pathogen proportions in an alpine meadow.

Microbiology spectrum [Epub ahead of print].

UNLABELLED: Phyllosphere fungal communities play critical ecological roles in plant fitness and nutrient cycling in terrestrial ecosystems. However, the influences of multifactorial climate change on foliar mycobiomes across distinct plant functional groups remain poorly understood. To elucidate this, we used an 11-year field manipulation experiment to assess the impacts of simulated warming (+2.0°C) and altered precipitation (-50%, ambient, and +50%) on foliar fungal α-diversity, β-diversity, and functional guilds across four co-occurring alpine host plants: a forb (Aster diplostephioides), a grass (Elymus nutans), a legume (Oxytropis kansuensis), and a sedge (Kobresia humilis), combining ITS1 metabarcoding with compositional bias-corrected modeling (Analysis of Compositions of Microbiomes with Bias Correction 2). We found that host plant species identity acted as the overriding ecological filter, explaining 34.1% of community variation ([Formula: see text]) and predominantly governing putative pathogen proportions ([Formula: see text]; forb > grass > sedge > legume). In contrast, climate manipulation impacts were strictly host-dependent: experimental warming significantly elevated fungal OTU richness solely in the legume O. kansuensis ([Formula: see text]), while restructuring community β-diversity exclusively in O. kansuensis ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text]) and the sedge K. humilis ([Formula: see text], [Formula: see text]). In addition, while precipitation shifts minimally affected broad-scale diversity, both climate factors induced fine-scale taxonomic turnover in specific lineages (notably Aureobasidium, Cladosporium, Vishniacozyma, and Colletotrichum); crucially, overall guild-level putative pathogen proportions remained resilient against all climate treatments and their interactions ([Formula: see text]). Our findings suggest that host intrinsic filtering and functional buffering outweigh direct short-term climatic pressures, and emphasize that future alpine foliar disease vulnerability will be predominantly mediated by climate-driven shifts in host plant community dominance rather than direct climatic stimulation of potential pathogens.

IMPORTANCE: The phyllosphere represents a vital ecological interface where fungal communities dictate plant fitness and ecosystem functioning, yet their vulnerability to concurrent warming and altered precipitation remains poorly understood in fragile alpine biomes. Here, we demonstrate that host plant species identity serves as the overriding ecological filter structuring foliar fungal communities, overriding direct short-term climatic stressors and effectively buffering potential pathogen burdens. Climate warming and precipitation shifts induced only fine-scale, host-specific adjustments in individual fungal lineages rather than triggering broad functional pathogen outbreaks. These findings provide critical evidence that future alpine foliar disease dynamics under global change will be primarily mediated by climate-driven shifts in host plant community composition rather than direct climatic acceleration of pathogen proliferation. This work highlights the imperative of integrating species-specific plant-microbe interactions into ecological forecasting and conservation frameworks for vulnerable alpine ecosystems.

RevDate: 2026-10-22

Crawford NC (2026)

War and military mobilisation are drivers of climate change.

BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 395:e101055.

RevDate: 2026-10-22

Painter J (2026)

Joining the dots: why more and accurate media coverage of climate change matters.

BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 395:e101050.

RevDate: 2026-10-20
CmpDate: 2026-10-20

Simon EL, Watkins K, S Meldon (2026)

Climate Change and Heat-related Illness in Older Adults: Implications for Emergency Medicine.

The western journal of emergency medicine, 27(5):1126-1130.

Climate change is increasing the frequency, duration, and intensity of extreme heat events, creating a growing public health threat for older adults. Age-related physiologic decline, comorbid chronic diseases, polypharmacy, and social vulnerability all contribute to reduced heat tolerance and higher rates of heat-related morbidity and mortality. Emergency departments (ED) are increasingly encountering older adults presenting with minor heat illness, heat stroke, and exacerbations of chronic illnesses triggered by heat exposure. This review synthesizes current evidence describing why older adults are disproportionately affected by extreme heat, highlights key social and environmental determinants of vulnerability, and outlines clinical and public health strategies that emergency clinicians and EDs can assist with to reduce risk. As global temperatures rise, proactive prevention, early recognition, and coordinated community interventions are essential to protect this high-risk population.

RevDate: 2026-10-18

Zheng H, Wang S, Meng Y, et al (2026)

Projected burden of cold spell-attributable Parkinson's disease mortality among older adults in China under climate change and population ageing.

Environmental research pii:S0013-9351(26)02272-3 [Epub ahead of print].

Population ageing may amplify cold-related health risks under climate change, particularly for older adults with Parkinson's disease (PD). We developed a climate-ageing projection framework to estimate the burden of cold spell-attributable PD mortality in China by integrating national mortality data, climate projections, and demographic forecasts. We analyzed 59,384 PD deaths among adults aged 60 years and older in China mainland during 2013-2020 using a time-stratified case-crossover design. Cold spells were associated with an increase in mortality, with effects concentrated within lags 0-4; the cumulative odds ratio was 1.109 (95% CI: 1.036, 1.187), with an attributable fraction (AF) of 9.83% (95% CI: 3.48%, 15.75%). AF point estimates were descriptively higher in southern than in northern China. Across the six administrative regions, AF point estimates ranged from -8.81% in Northwest China to 25.87% in Northeast China, with no statistical evidence of cross-region heterogeneity. Projections showed that cold spell-attributable PD mortality remained substantial across all scenarios in the 2030s, despite climate warming. Thereafter, trajectories diverged. Under SSP1-RCP2.6, projected nationwide attributable deaths were 744 (95% CI: -391, 1,659) in the 2030s, 988 (95% CI: -608, 2,277) in the 2050s, and 867 (95% CI: -589, 2,042) in the 2080s, with East and Southwest China contributing the largest shares and being the only regional estimates whose 95% CIs excluded zero. Under SSP2-RCP4.5, the nationwide burden rose modestly in the 2050s and then declined by the 2080s, whereas under SSP5-RCP8.5 it declined more steeply over time. These scenario-specific patterns occurred alongside substantial differences in projected cold spell occurrence, highlighting that future cold-related PD mortality cannot be inferred from mean warming alone. Under the modeled scenarios, climate warming did not necessarily translate into uniformly lower cold-related PD mortality in an ageing society. This persistence may warrant continued attention to cold-related risks in near-term climate-health adaptation for ageing populations.

RevDate: 2026-10-19
CmpDate: 2026-10-18

Gong H, Yang X, Bidegain G, et al (2026)

Assessing the Potential Distribution of Eriocheir sinensis Under Climate Change: Regional Contrasts and Spatial Mismatches in Terrestrial and Nearshore Suitability.

Ecology and evolution, 16(10):e74351.

The Chinese mitten crab (Eriocheir sinensis), native to China and the Korean Peninsula, has established invasive populations with substantial ecological and economic impacts in Europe and North America. Anticipating changes in its potential distribution is important for invasion-risk screening and estuarine management. We developed a global species distribution model (G-SDM) and regional models for the native range, Europe, and North America, each comprising terrestrial and nearshore brackish-water components. Future suitability was projected under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585. Terrestrial PCA-env analyses assessed changes in projected suitable environmental space, whereas MESS and MoD diagnosed environmental novelty and extrapolation uncertainty. Terrestrial suitability was mainly associated with annual mean temperature, annual precipitation, and distance to the coastline, whereas nearshore suitability was mainly associated with water depth, chlorophyll concentration, and sea-surface temperature, although the ranking of predictor importance differed among regions. Predicted-suitable environments in Europe and North America extended to lower annual and wettest-quarter temperatures than those in the native range. Under future scenarios, projected suitability was generally redistributed towards higher latitudes, particularly under SSP585. Terrestrial suitability showed more pronounced spatial redistribution than nearshore suitability in several regions, and the two components were not always geographically aligned. Terrestrial PCA-env analyses indicated greater retention of suitable environmental space in Europe but increasing unfilling in the native range and North America. MESS analysis further identified environmental novelty and extrapolation uncertainty in some future suitable areas. These findings provide a scientific basis for early prevention, targeted monitoring, field validation, and estuarine management.

RevDate: 2026-10-19

Parameswaran G, Ponnana SR, Sirasapalli SK, et al (2026)

Temperature-Attributable Cardiovascular Mortality in Europe Under Future Climate Scenarios: Projected Impacts of Population Aging and Climate Change to 2080.

European journal of preventive cardiology pii:8943480 [Epub ahead of print].

AIMS: Heat and cold stress are established cardiovascular risk factors. As climate patterns shift and Europe's population ages, quantifying their separate attributable fractions-and projecting future temperature-attributable cardiovascular disease (tCVD) burden-is essential for clinical and policy decision-making.

METHODS: Europe was divided into a 0.25° × 0.25° grid (12,411 land cells across 37 countries). Annual cardiovascular disease (CVD) deaths (2016-2023) were downscaled from national estimates using population data. Temperature-mortality relative risk coefficients were drawn from a 27-country pooled study and applied via population attributable fractions with 1,000 Monte Carlo simulations. Daily mean temperature projections from five bias-corrected climate models were obtained under moderate (SSP2-4.5) and high (SSP5-8.5) emission scenarios. Population aging was incorporated using country-level age projections; climate-only analyses held age structure constant at 2020 levels.

RESULTS: At baseline, non-optimal temperature accounted for 168,586 [144,961-192,293] CVD deaths annually (31.4 [27.0-35.8] per 100,000), with a cold-to-heat ratio of 5:1. Under SSP5-8.5, total tCVD mortality is projected to nearly double to 62.4 [48.5-76.2] per 100,000 by late-century (441,772 [343,627-540,116] annual deaths), with heat-attributable rates projected to rise 472%. Population aging may amplify total projected mortality by over 80% by late century beyond climate change alone; without aging, cold-attributable rates may decline over the century rather than rise.

CONCLUSIONS: tCVD mortality across Europe is projected to double by late-century, driven by dramatic heat increases and substantially amplified by population aging. These findings support greater integration of temperature-related CVD risk into clinical practice and public health policy.

RevDate: 2026-10-20
CmpDate: 2026-10-20

Vahedi L, C Logie (2027)

Fragile against what? Imagining climate change resilience by unmasking governance fragility.

Disasters, 51(1):e70072.

Since the 1990s, fragility has been used to describe low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) with limited ability to respond to external threats in ways that ensure citizen safety, security, and welfare. Fragility challenges us to engage with governance, including why and how many institutions (including those in high-income countries) fail to protect citizens during climate change. We ask the question: how can state fragility be applied, critiqued, and expanded when considering climate change, including anthropogenic drivers, extreme weather events, mitigation, and adaptation? We present a globally applicable framework of governance fragility and emphasise the role of institutional-level gaps in motivation/willingness to act, evidence uptake, and implementation in creating fragilities that inhibit climate resilience. Using the United States as a case study, we apply the framework to identify the political ideologies that inform institutional-level motivations, shape evidence uptake, and moderate implementation capacity. This expanded notion of governance fragility (beyond conflict-affected LMICs) offers a globally-relevant lens to imagine possible solutions, including a research-to-practice agenda that contends both with ideology/willingness to act and decentralised forms of climate governance in the face of national-level fragilities.

RevDate: 2026-10-20
CmpDate: 2026-10-20

Inman CM, LE Gilbert (2026)

Corn or Climate? Climate Change Facilitated, but Did Not Initiate, the Northward Range Expansion of the Green Jay in Texas.

Ecology and evolution, 16(10):e74513.

Anthropogenic changes are driving global shifts in species distributions. Two highly divergent bird species, the green jay (Cyanocorax yncas) and the blue jay (Cyanocitta cristata), recently hybridized in Texas following range expansions. While the southwestern spread of the blue jay has been attributed to suburban bird-feeding, the cause of the green jay's > 2° northward expansion over the last 70 years is less clear. Climate change has been proposed as a driver, but concurrent changes in habitat and resource availability-including widespread supplemental feeding of deer-complicate interpretation. We combine ornithological records, eBird observations, climate data, and economic data to investigate the progression of the green jay's range expansion in relation to climate and supplemental feeding. The first records of resident green jays north of southernmost Texas occurred in the 1960s. Sustained northward expansion was detectable from 1980 to 2021 and coincided with reduced severe freeze frequency from 1982 to 1996. Severe winters occurred alongside a reduced probability of green jay detections in newly occupied locations. However, range expansion increased during the period with the coldest average winter in the 95-year climate record and coincided with growing supplemental feeding. We suggest that winter food supply on widespread hunting ranches and habitat loss drove initial northward colonization by green jays. Subsequent warming may have then relaxed climatic constraints once this novel resource became widespread. This potential interaction between novel resources and climate change highlights that different anthropogenic mechanisms may work together to alter species distributions.

RevDate: 2026-10-20
CmpDate: 2026-10-20

Mohamud FH, Ahmed NS, Ibrahim FA, et al (2026)

Climate change, displacement, and cholera in Somalia: A perfect storm for future epidemics.

Dialogues in health, 9:100363.

RevDate: 2026-10-20
CmpDate: 2026-10-20

D'Archivio M, Zanchi G, Tammaro A, et al (2026)

Global Warming and Type 2 Diabetes: Sex and Gender as Drivers in a Multidimensional Feedback Loop.

Global challenges (Hoboken, NJ), 10(10):e70140.

Climate change is increasingly recognized as a determinant of metabolic health. Emerging evidence indicates that rising temperatures impair glucose homeostasis-specifically through reduced brown adipose tissue activity and increased insulin resistance-thereby exacerbating type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) risk. Concurrently, food systems drive substantial greenhouse gas emissions (GHGE), with gender-differentiated dietary patterns uniquely influencing both environmental impact and health outcomes. In this perspective, we move beyond well-established separate links to propose an original integrated and systemic conceptual framework. This framework connects gender-related drivers in dietary behaviors, GHGE, global warming, brown adipose tissue dysfunction, and T2DM risk into an integrated multidimensional feedback model, providing a novel basis to generate hypotheses for future mechanistic, epidemiological, and intervention studies, supporting gender-sensitive prevention strategies.

RevDate: 2026-10-20

Shi M, Wei Z, Lehner F, et al (2026)

Disentangling the evolving effects of climate change and technology diffusion on building electricity demand.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 123(43):e2612343123.

Climate change and technology diffusion will jointly drive future growth in building electricity demand. How this nonadditive response evolves over time with the pace of climate change and technology diffusion has not previously been examined, despite its importance for maintaining reliable power systems. We estimate electricity demand from residential and commercial buildings under climate change and/or technology diffusion across 183 counties in the United States through 2060. Our framework drives 209,352 machine learning models of building electricity demand with 100 spatiotemporally downscaled climate realizations across four climate models and three emissions scenarios, and 18 technology diffusion pathways of air source heat pumps and insulation. We find that the combined response of peak demand to climate change and technology diffusion diverges substantially from the sum of their individual responses, with distinct patterns across hot and cold grid regions. In cold regions, climate change and technology diffusion drive roughly up to 10 times larger peak demand growth than climate change alone by 2060. Conversely, in hot regions, technology diffusion counteracts climate-change-driven peak demand growth. Across regions, climate-change-induced warming reduces or eliminates a shift toward winter peaking driven by technology diffusion. Via uncertainty partitioning, we find climate-related uncertainty dominates near-term peak demand uncertainty, while technology-diffusion-related uncertainty increases to 10 to 80% of uncertainty by 2060. Internal variability accounts for a much larger share of climate-related uncertainty in peak demand than in temperature itself. Our results demonstrate that capturing nonadditive responses between climate change and technology diffusion is important for planning reliable power systems.

RevDate: 2026-10-20

Gaddis G, S Lotfipour (2026)

Introducing the Climate Change Special Issue.

The western journal of emergency medicine, 27(5):1116-1117 pii:westjem.66424.

RevDate: 2026-10-18

Yan B, Wang X, Z Liu (2026)

The threat of climate change to anthocyanin content in black wolfberry fruit.

Food chemistry, 532(Pt 2):151431 pii:S0308-8146(26)03591-0 [Epub ahead of print].

Climate associations with wild-fruit quality remain incompletely quantified. This study assessed climate-anthocyanin associations in black wolfberry (Lycium ruthenicum) and projected changes. Anthocyanins in 200 samples collected across seven regions in 2017 were quantified by high-performance liquid chromatography and modeled using random forest. Regional differences were significant (P < 0.001), with the highest petanin and total anthocyanin contents in the Qaidam Basin (25.52 ± 2.16 and 32.90 ± 2.50 mg/g dry weight, respectively). The model yielded R[2] = 0.84; mean temperature of the warmest quarter had the highest predictive importance (percentage increase in mean squared error, 44%). This pattern, high contents in Qaidam and Hexi but low contents in Turpan, persisted during 2005-2020. Under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-8.5, conditional projections indicated a 30% decline in the Qaidam Basin during 2081-2100. These findings suggest that warming may threaten black wolfberry quality and underscore the need for climate-adaptive cultivation strategies.

RevDate: 2026-10-17
CmpDate: 2026-10-17

Feng C, Liu C, Du C, et al (2026)

Distribution patterns of Abietinella species under climate change across multiple spatiotemporal scales based on ecological niche models.

Frontiers in plant science, 17:1822978.

INTRODUCTION: Abietinella, a dominant genus in the understory, only comprises two species Abietinella abietina (Hedw.) Fleisch. and Abietinella hystricosa (Mitt.) Broth. They can influence forest regeneration and development. However, research on the geographical distribution patterns of Abietinella is limited, which led to the absence of a method that can help explore how climate change affects the progress of species speciation and species diversity and their ecological functions for Abietinella.

METHODS: We compared the performance of different ecological niche models and then chose MaxEnt, which had the best performance, to analyze the effects of key environmental factors on the distribution patterns of Abietinella species and to simulate the distribution patterns of the two Abietinella species in China during the paleoclimate, current, and even future (2100) periods.

RESULTS: The results indicated that (1) temperature may play a more important role than precipitation in both species' distribution. Isothermality and precipitation of the driest month are the most important factors defining the distribution pattern of A. hystricosa, and mean temperature of the wettest quarter and precipitation of the warmest quarter are the most important factors for A. abietina; (2) No matter which period is considered, the distribution probabilities of A. abietina are obviously lower than those of A. hystricosa. For A. hystricosa, the areas of moderately suitable habitat showed a decreasing trend during the paleoclimate period but are projected to show an increasing trend in the 2100s. By contrast, A. abietina was predicted to remain stable from moderate to high suitability across all periods; (3) Across different spatiotemporal scales, both A. abietina and A. hystricosa had the largest potential distribution areas in the paleoclimate period. In addition, the two species exhibited largely consistent migration directions from the Last Glacial Maximum to future scenarios, except under the future ssp245 scenarios. A. hystricosa had a significantly longer distance migration than A. abietina under the paleoclimate, while A. abietina exhibited a longer migration distance than A. hystricosa under future climate scenarios.

DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: Our results provide a research foundation for the study of bryophyte differentiation across large spatiotemporal scales under climate change.

RevDate: 2026-10-17
CmpDate: 2026-10-17

Tang B, Wei J, Liu Y, et al (2026)

Unequal economic impacts of climate change via idealized carbon dioxide removal: Insights from deep learning.

Innovation (Cambridge (Mass.)), 7(10):101505.

Rapidly reducing carbon dioxide (CO2) levels is essential to meeting the Paris Agreement's temperature targets. Previous assessments of CO2 removal (CDR) have primarily focused on the hysteresis and invertibility of climate change itself, overlooking quantitative analysis of potential economic impacts of climate change via CDR. In this study, we first develop a powerful neural network model, EconClimNet, trained on decades of economic data from 1,554 sub-national regions worldwide and 111 climate indices derived from the fifth-generation ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis (ERA5). Compared to popular machine learning algorithms used in the Earth science community, EconClimNet achieves superior performance in capturing the intricate relationship between climate indices and economic outcomes. On this basis, we apply EconClimNet to the outputs from idealized CO2 ramp-up and ramp-down experiments from phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). It is found that altering climate trajectories through idealized CDR can yield significant long-term economic benefits globally, with Oceania overall positioned to experience the greatest gains with an increasing trend of about 1.41 [0.73-8.76] million USD year[-1]. Unequal economic effects also emerge across income levels. Rich countries see more benefits (an increasing trend of about 1.56 [0.31-6.21] million USD year[-1]) via CDR, mainly contributed by services (an increasing trend of about 0.03 [0.00-0.23] million USD year[-1]). Our findings underscore the need for governments to foster the innovation, development, and prudent deployment of CDR technologies, as well as to advance global CDR strategies that prioritize vulnerable nations from a climate justice perspective.

RevDate: 2026-10-17
CmpDate: 2026-10-17

Xue M, Qu Z, Jiang T, et al (2026)

Climate change amplifies global mycotoxin exposure: Emerging risks and sustainable solutions.

iMetaOmics, 3(3):e70131.

Climate change intensifies mycotoxin contamination through rising temperatures, elevated CO2, and altered precipitation. Global surveys reveal a high and widespread prevalence of major mycotoxins in staple cereals, with low-income countries bearing the greatest burden. This escalating contamination poses a growing threat to global food security, compromising both food availability and safety. To mitigate these risks, we propose four actions: establish a predictive global surveillance system integrating climate-crop-fungal models, deploy field-ready biosensors, scale up climate-resilient agriculture and resistant varieties, and implement a multi-stakeholder governance protocol focused on developing regions. These measures offer feasible solutions to protect global food security in a changing climate.

RevDate: 2026-10-17
CmpDate: 2026-10-16

Turnbull JJ, Hemy NR, West M, et al (2026)

Global systematic review of how climate change degrades the wellbeing and health of Indigenous children.

Globalization and health, 22(1):.

BACKGROUND: Climate change worsens global health, with Indigenous children among the most vulnerable. Despite increasing research on climate-related health impacts, Indigenous children's unique vulnerabilities remain underrepresented. This is the first review to synthesise systematically the global evidence on how climate change impacts the health of Indigenous children.

METHODS: We consolidated reported health outcomes directly caused by climate change in Indigenous children. We adhered to PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) guidelines and followed a reflexive framework that considered researcher positionality, Indigenous definitions of health, and ongoing Indigenous engagement. We did a systematic search of five databases on 2 March 2025 and collaboratively screened eligible studies on climate-related health outcomes in Indigenous children and pregnant women, assessing them using the mixed-methods appraisal tool. A convergent integrated synthesis approach mapped exposure-outcome patterns and guided a theme-based narrative analysis. Meta-analysis was not feasible due to study heterogeneity.

RESULTS: Fifty-three studies met inclusion criteria, comprising 16 qualitative, 23 quantitative non-randomised, 6 quantitative descriptive and 8 mixed-method designs. Five main health outcomes emerged: (i) psychosocial and cultural wellbeing, (ii) malnutrition, (iii) infectious diseases, (iv) perinatal health, and (v) morbidity and mortality. Reflecting the interconnected and relational nature of Indigenous health conceptualisations, most studies addressed multiple climate exposures and outcomes. Psychosocial and cultural wellbeing was the most cross-cutting theme, interconnected with all other health domains. Heat exposure and seasonal and hydroclimatic variability were the most frequently linked climate exposures.

CONCLUSIONS: Indigenous children across diverse contexts are experiencing adverse climate-related health outcomes. Our review consolidates the evidence base to inform culturally grounded, strengths-based responses that engage Indigenous Knowledge systems and younger generations. Advancing this field requires more geographically diverse, disaggregated, and methodologically rigorous research.

RevDate: 2026-10-16
CmpDate: 2026-10-16

Kolotylo V, M Gniewosz (2026)

Ice Wines Under the Shadow of Global Warming: Climatic Threats, Production Mechanisms and Adaptation Strategies.

Foods (Basel, Switzerland), 15(19): pii:foods15193422.

Due to its reliance on natural grape freezing at or below -7 °C, ice wine production is limited to small areas worldwide and is very susceptible to winter warming. Using CMIP6 climate projections, ETCCDI extreme temperature indices, and the most recent analytical findings from Canadian, Chinese, and European studies, this review summarises the most recent research on the effects of accelerated winter warming and its implications for ice wine production. Evidence for this warming trend spans several levels: broad climatic context is provided by Arctic warming exceeding 0.74 °C per decade; scenario-based projections indicate that Ontario's ice wine zone may migrate northward by as far as 6° latitude by 2099; and indirect regional proxies, such as the Sum of Active Temperatures in Central Poland, show an increase of 0.07% annually since 1975 alongside more infrequent frost events. In addition to performing regional diagnostics, the review examines the physicochemical effects of freeze-thaw cycles on volatile aroma profiles, compares natural ice wine with cryoextraction alternatives through OIV and VQA governance mechanisms, and explores adaptation strategies such as varietal repositioning, geographic shifts, and precision harvest monitoring. The main research gaps are highlighted by examining factors at the vineyard level for frost threshold modelling, as well as global authenticity markers. Ice wine is certainly one of the most prominent premium agricultural products whose long-term viability depends directly on the trajectory of global climate change.

RevDate: 2026-10-16

Woo KP, Alipouriani A, Chang JH, et al (2026)

Operating under pressure: a scoping review of the effects of climate change on general surgery.

Surgical endoscopy [Epub ahead of print].

INTRODUCTION: Climate change adversely impacts human health; however, its effect on surgical diseases remains poorly understood. We conducted a scoping review to elucidate the current understanding of climate change's role in general surgical care and care delivery.

METHODS: A comprehensive search of Medline, Embase, Cochrane, and CINAHL was supplemented by manual searches. Broad terms for climate change in general surgery and its subspecialties were used. Climate-related effects were defined as daily or seasonal temperature anomalies and extreme weather events (e.g., hurricanes, floods, wildfires). Full-text articles were reviewed for relevance to treatment of surgical diseases, postoperative outcomes, and access to surgical care attributable to climate change. Thematic analysis identified recurring themes among included studies.

RESULTS: Of 5110 studies, 28 met inclusion criteria. Three themes were identified: access to surgical care, shifts in surgical disease burden, and postoperative outcomes. Five studies described decreased access to care following extreme weather events, including one reporting increased breast cancer mortality after Hurricane Katrina. Eleven studies highlighted shifts in surgical disease patterns. Temperature anomalies correlated with higher rates of traumatic injuries, skin and soft tissue infections, and complicated appendicitis. Extreme weather events were associated with increased surgical trauma and emergency case volume. Five articles found temperature anomalies associated with higher postoperative surgical site infection rates, while two did not. Four articles examined outcomes after extreme weather events, including one associating wildfire smoke exposure with worse overall survival after lung resection and another identifying longer hospital stays in wildfire-exposed facilities.

CONCLUSION: High-level evidence regarding climate change's impact on general surgery remains limited. Emerging evidence suggests that extreme weather events and temperature fluctuations may increase demand for surgical services, disrupt timely access to treatment, and worsen postoperative outcomes. These effects may further strain healthcare systems and resources, requiring targeted mitigation and future research in this important evolving field.

RevDate: 2026-10-16
CmpDate: 2026-10-16

Chawarski J, Vermassen F, Vane K, et al (2026)

Survival and divergence of Arctic endemic cod species during 50,000 years of climate change.

Nature communications, 17(1):.

Despite significant climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere ~50,000-12,000 years ago, the potential for vertebrates to periodically thrive in the glacial Arctic Ocean has been largely overlooked because ecosystem productivity was assumed to be too low. Here, we analyze fish otoliths preserved in deep-sea sediments and find that two Arctic endemic cod species, ice cod (Arctogadus glacialis) and polar cod (Boreogadus saida), lived at 87-89 °N ~ 48,000-35,000 years ago and reappeared at the onset of the Holocene ~12,000 years ago. A. glacialis also occurred north of Greenland at 84-85 °N ~ 20,000 years ago, during the peak of the Last Glacial Maximum, suggesting the presence of refugia that enabled survival and divergence from B. saida under the harshest climate conditions. These findings suggest that the glacial Arctic Ocean was not a barren ice desert but rather a breeding ground for the evolution of cold adaptation in marine fish.

RevDate: 2026-10-17

Sang Z, Hamann A, Girardin MP, et al (2026)

Shifting growth-climate limitations in Canadian forests under recent climate change.

Communications earth & environment, 7(1):828.

Productivity of northern forests is often expected to increase with warming, but rising atmospheric demand for water may offset these gains. Here we analyze 38,395 tree-ring chronologies from 4179 Canadian sites over 120 years to quantify how growth limitations respond to climate change. In the mid- to late 20th century, drought limitations already dominate nearly half of Canada's forested area, while cold limitations are largely restricted to high-latitude and montane regions. Examining changes in growth limitation through time, we identify four response modes across regions: persistence, shifts from cold to drought limitation, reversals toward cold limitation after mid-century drought sensitivity, and stable cold limitation in wet hydroclimates. These patterns show that forest growth responses are not gradual, but can cross thresholds or reverse under continued warming. The results suggest that responses to warming may not translate into sustained gains across large areas of northern forests, including many commercially important regions.

RevDate: 2026-10-15

Bülez A, Kürklü A, S Güner (2026)

Midwives' awareness of climate change and sustainability.

Psychology, health & medicine [Epub ahead of print].

This cross-sectional study examined climate-change awareness and sustainability consciousness among midwives and the association between the two scale scores. From September to October 2023, 100 midwives working in maternity units at two hospitals in southern Türkiye completed an online Demographic Information Form, the Climate Change Awareness Scale (CCAS), and the Sustainability Consciousness Questionnaire (SCQ). The CCAS covers awareness, problem perception, concern, and behaviours and policy expectations, whereas the SCQ covers sustainability knowledge, attitudes, and behaviours. Because these domains overlap, the total scores were interpreted as related multidimensional orientations rather than as distinct measures of awareness and knowledge. Participants had high mean CCAS and SCQ scores, and the total scores were positively correlated (r = .637, p < .001). CCAS scores differed by age group, and SCQ scores differed by educational level. These cross-sectional associations do not establish direction, mechanism, competence, or actual sustainable clinical practice. The findings identify an association between two partly overlapping constructs and show that media was the most frequently reported source of climate-change information. They support further investigation of climate literacy and education in midwifery, but should not be interpreted as evidence that awareness causes sustainable behaviour. The study is distinctive in examining the relationship between CCAS and SCQ scores specifically among practising midwives.

RevDate: 2026-10-15

Schneider S, S Mencocco (2026)

[Effects of climate change and weather on physical activity].

Bundesgesundheitsblatt, Gesundheitsforschung, Gesundheitsschutz [Epub ahead of print].

From a public health perspective, the health-promoting potential of physical activity is already not being fully utilized. Rising temperatures and other climate changes could further exacerbate existing physical inactivity. This narrative review therefore examines the relevance of climate and weather to physical activity and how climate change could affect physical activity patterns in the future.Numerous retrospective studies demonstrate, in particular, the importance of air temperature. While rising outdoor temperatures promote physical activity up to a certain point, activity levels decline again at high temperatures. Studies also show that physical activity during acute heat waves can be significantly reduced. The typical inverted U‑shaped relationship between air temperature and physical activity peaks at approximately 26 °C to 29 °C. However, it is influenced by other climatic elements as well as individual, temporal, and spatial factors, which complicates forecasts of future physical activity patterns. While physical activity can be modeled well retrospectively, projections therefore yield varying and sometimes contradictory results.It remains unclear at this point over what time periods and in what settings ongoing climate change will lead, overall, to an increase or a decrease in physical activity-for example, in Germany. Regardless, prevention strategies such as heat action plans and model heat protection plans should aim to counteract a further exacerbation of existing physical inactivity, particularly among vulnerable groups during the summer and heat waves.

RevDate: 2026-10-15
CmpDate: 2026-10-15

Corrêa LQ, Almeida BP, Santos SO, et al (2026)

Concerns and emotions related to climate change and students' mental health before and after the floods in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil.

Ciencia & saude coletiva, 31(9):e14892024 pii:S1413-81232026001903012.

This study aimed to assess the association between concern and negative emotions about climate change and mental health among students in Rio Grande, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, before and after the 2024 flood. A quantitative, single-group pre-post design was used. The outcomes were concerned about climate change and negative emotions or thoughts that harmful events may occur due to climate change (yes/no). Mental health was assessed using the Depression, Anxiety, and Stress Scale for Adolescents. Adjusted linear regression analyses were performed, with results expressed as beta coefficients and 95%CIs. Increases were observed from pre- to post-event in concern, negative emotions, depression, anxiety, and stress. Depression scores increased significantly among those concerned about climate change before and after the flood, and depression and anxiety scores rose among those with negative emotions. Students showed increased climate-related concern and emotional distress, along with worsened mental health, following the extreme event.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Sisodiya S (2026)

Climate change: aggravation and adaptation in neurology.

The Lancet. Neurology, 25(11):980-981.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Rimmer A (2026)

How can I reduce my anxiety about climate change?.

BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 395:e101056.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Abbasi E (2026)

Global trends in the burden of malaria: mapping the prevalence, incidence and mortality of Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax in the era of climate change and emerging drug resistance.

BMJ global health, 11(10): pii:bmjgh-2025-021003.

RevDate: 2026-10-15
CmpDate: 2026-10-15

Lu C, Liu M, Zhu J, et al (2026)

Ecophysiological mechanisms underlying tomato spotted wilt of tobacco under climate change.

Frontiers in plant science, 17:1935872.

Tomato spotted wilt is an important viral constraint on tobacco production, but the direction and magnitude of future climate effects remain uncertain. This systematized narrative review evaluates evidence linking climate drivers with cultivated tobacco physiology, tomato spotted wilt virus (TSWV), thrips-vector ecology, weed reservoirs, surveillance, and management. Direct multifactorial experiments that simultaneously manipulate climate, TSWV, tobacco, and vector species are scarce; therefore, the synthesis explicitly separates direct tobacco evidence from evidence derived from other TSWV hosts, vector-only studies, general plant-stress physiology, and proposed mechanisms. Available tobacco studies show that long-term growth temperature, acute heat exposure, and progressive soil-water deficit alter photosynthesis, pigment metabolism, stomatal conductance, reactive oxygen species, and antioxidant responses, but they do not by themselves demonstrate enhanced TSWV replication or systemic movement. Field and vector studies indicate that weather can alter thrips development, survival, dispersal, and the temporal coincidence between viruliferous adults and susceptible tobacco, although responses are nonlinear and differ among Frankliniella fusca, Frankliniella occidentalis, Thrips tabaci, regions, and populations. We synthesize quantitative exposure ranges, identify confirmed and extrapolated pathways, compare diagnostic and surveillance options, and define a climate-adaptive management framework. The evidence supports region-specific risk assessment rather than a universal assumption that warmer or drier seasons will necessarily increase epidemics. Priority research requires factorial tobacco-TSWV-vector experiments, standardized physiological and virological endpoints, and independent validation of forecasting models.

RevDate: 2026-10-14
CmpDate: 2026-10-13

Rath K, Chakraborty P, Swain B, et al (2026)

Awareness of Climate Change and Its Impact on Reproductive Health.

Cureus, 18(9):e116125.

Background and aim Climate change poses a serious threat and crisis to health globally, with reproductive and maternal health falling under the vulnerable group exposed to extreme temperatures, pollution, and climate-related health crises. Student nurses are the future of healthcare professionals; therefore, it is essential for nursing students to address and cope with these emerging environmental health challenges. This study aimed to assess the awareness of climate change and its impact on reproductive health among nursing students at a selected nursing college in Bhubaneswar, Odisha. Materials and methods A descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted with 182 nursing students from various nursing courses, such as B.Sc. Nursing, GNM Nursing, and M.Sc. Nursing, at the Kalinga Institute of Nursing Sciences (KINS), Bhubaneswar. The data were collected using a semi-structured tool with multiple-choice questions that included various sociodemographic data and assessed knowledge and awareness levels related to climate change and its impact on reproductive health. Data were analyzed using SPSS version 25 (Armonk, NY: IBM Corp.) with descriptive statistics and a chi-square test to determine the associations related to it. Results Overall, 48.4% of nursing students had good knowledge, 28.0% had average knowledge, and 23.6% had poor knowledge. Statistical analysis revealed that sociodemographic factors such as age, gender, residence, parental occupation, and education were not significantly associated with knowledge levels (all p>0.05). However, courses such as B.Sc. Nursing fifth and sixth semesters and students who had prior exposure to the topic had the highest rate of good knowledge (70%). Students with prior exposure to the impact of reproductive health due to climate change had good knowledge (52.8%), and the students without any prior knowledge did not have good knowledge (44.1%). The primary sources of information include the internet/social media (42.3%), followed by teachers (20.3%). Conclusion Nursing students from Bhubaneswar had a moderate to good level of awareness related to the impact of climate change on reproductive health. Prior exposure to knowledge of climate change and its impact on reproductive health, along with formal educational sources, essentially enhanced and impacted the knowledge level. Also, it is essential to formally integrate this topic into the standard nursing curriculum for preparing the upcoming future healthcare professionals in a better manner.

RevDate: 2026-10-13

Longman DP, Debevec T, JG Bourgois (2026)

Supporting physiological resilience to climate change through anthropology, environmental exercise physiology and sport science: are we doing enough?.

European journal of applied physiology [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change poses escalating threats to human physiological function and health. Rising temperatures and increasing climate volatility place growing demands on thermoregulatory, cardiovascular and musculoskeletal systems, yet mitigation cannot prevent near-term impacts of acute climatic events. Complementary strategies to enhance physiological resilience-the capacity to sustain, absorb and recover from physiological stressors to maintain homeostasis-are therefore urgently needed. We argue that insights from anthropology, environmental exercise physiology and sport science offer an integrated framework for understanding and strengthening physiological resilience. Physical inactivity, affecting one-third of adults globally, compounds climate-related vulnerability by eroding the thermoregulatory, cardiovascular and musculoskeletal systems most critical for tolerating environmental stress. An anthropological perspective explains why: throughout human evolution, regular physical activity (PA) was a prerequisite for survival, shaping the biological systems that these disciplines now seek to optimise. Evidence-based strategies to strengthen physiological resilience are reviewed, including endurance and resistance training (which enhance thermoregulatory capacity, cardiovascular function and muscular resilience) and heat acclimation and acclimatisation, which improve thermal tolerance through sudomotor, cardiovascular, fluid regulatory and metabolic adaptations. Cooling strategies, cold habituation and cross-acclimation/acclimatisation offer further means of building resilience. We identify two broad at-risk groups, with particular attention to vulnerability related to ageing and other factors: those who are physically inactive and lack the resilience to sustain, absorb and recover from stressors under climatic extremes, and those who are regularly active but directly exposed to environmental volatility through occupational exposure. We advocate prioritising equitable, community-level implementation to ensure that these benefits are accessible to all.

RevDate: 2026-10-13
CmpDate: 2026-10-13

Lucore JM, AJ Marshall (2026)

Considering evolved heat tolerance helps predict the immunological consequences of climate change.

Seminars in immunopathology, 48(1):.

Among the most damaging anticipated consequences of climate change are rising global temperatures that are expected to exceed the heat tolerance of many species worldwide. Species' heat tolerance reflects adaptation to their historical environments, and rapid increases in ambient temperatures create a mismatch between evolved thermal tolerance and present-day heat exposures. This mismatch has severe implications because high temperatures can disrupt physiological processes across levels of biological organization. The immune system, specifically, may be particularly susceptible to dysregulation under climate warming because it is highly responsive to temperature. Although a rich body of empirical and clinical research has characterized the effects of heat on immunity, these findings are rarely interpreted in the context of evolved heat tolerance. Here, we provide a framework for predicting the immunological consequences of climate change by integrating results derived from five decades of immune research with evolutionary principles of heat tolerance. This framework offers a strong foundation for predicting the health and disease consequences of immune vulnerability to heat in a rapidly warming world.

RevDate: 2026-10-14
CmpDate: 2026-10-14

Wray B, Vercammen A, Zeitz L, et al (2026)

Best practices for engaging lived experience experts in dialogues about climate change and mental health: lessons learned from a global effort.

BMC global and public health, 4(1):.

BACKGROUND: The Connecting Climate Minds global initiative sought to advance research and action at the intersection of climate change and mental health by centering the voices of people with lived experience.

METHODS: Through a series of regional and thematic dialogues, Connecting Climate Minds engaged nearly 1,200 participants across seven global regions, including Indigenous communities, smallholder farmers and fisher peoples, and youth. A Lived Experience Working Group guided the integration of lived experience throughout all project components, from co-designing research agendas to producing multimedia storytelling outputs. This perspective reflects on the methodologies, challenges, and lessons learned from Connecting Climate Minds' lived experience engagement, drawing on two global debriefing workshops and extensive project documentation.

RESULTS: Key principles that emerged include the importance of appropriately resourcing relationship building ("moving at the speed of trust"), reciprocity, cultural sensitivity, ethical storytelling, and the need for researcher training. The perspective also highlights systemic barriers to meaningful engagement, such as rigid funding structures and institutional resistance to, or inappropriate systems for, power-sharing with impacted communities. By documenting both successes and missteps, this perspective offers practical guidance for researchers, funders, and policymakers committed to inclusive, justice-oriented approaches in climate and mental health research. Ultimately, Connecting Climate Minds demonstrates that centering lived experience not only enriches research quality and relevance but also fosters more equitable and transformative outcomes.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Oliveira U, Azevedo F, Dias A, et al (2026)

Effects of climate change on marine biodiversity on the western Atlantic coast.

Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology [Epub ahead of print].

The current climate crisis, driven by greenhouse gas emissions, threatens global biodiversity, including that in marine ecosystems. However, projections for the western Atlantic Ocean that jointly quantify species richness and endemism while accounting for spatially biased and incomplete occurrence data remain limited. We addressed this gap across the western Atlantic from 57°S to 40°N, within 1500 km of the coast and on the continental shelf in waters shallower than 150 m. Using broad taxonomic coverage across vertebrates, invertebrates, and algae, we modeled biodiversity metrics directly as species richness and the corrected weighted endemism index (WEIc), applied uniform sampling from sampling effort (USSE) to minimize the effects of spatially biased and incomplete occurrence records on predictions, and tested multiple algorithms to project these metrics under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 for 2050 and 2100. The results indicated a significant reduction in species richness and endemism, with up to 69% of the study area projected to experience a reduction of more than 5% in species richness under the high-emissions scenarios. The most affected areas included the coast of Florida, the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, the northern region of South America, and southern Brazil. The decrease in endemism was equally concerning, with significant reductions predicted in areas of high diversity, threatening species adapted to specific ecological niches and increasing the risk of local extinctions. Vertebrates and invertebrates showed the greatest reductions in richness in the Gulf of Mexico, the Caribbean, northeastern Brazil, and northern Argentina. For algae, the most significant decreases were predicted for Florida and southern Brazil. This loss of biodiversity could compromise the resilience of marine ecosystems and the availability of fishery resources, highlighting the urgent need for coordinated global actions.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Thomson D, Sebastianski M, Nuspl M, et al (2025)

Climate change and global health outcome indicators: A scoping review.

Statistical journal of the IAOS, 41(3):901-922.

BACKGROUND: The impact of climate change on human health is not evenly distributed and is affected by regional geography and vulnerability of the local population. Official statistics that report these uneven impacts are needed to facilitate strategic planning and resource allocation.

PURPOSE: Identify globally defined indicators of the impacts of climate change on human health to inform the design of official statistics.

METHODS: We followed recognized methods guidance for scoping reviews.

RESULTS: Reviewing 4415 unique records, we extracted 73 unique and 33 repeated indicators from 20 sources. Temperature-related indicators were the most common (27%, 29/106), but many were repeated. Injury or illness indicators were more frequent than mortality indicators, with 59% (43/73) and 37% (27/73) respectively. Following breakdown of the categories into smaller, more specific outcomes, mortality from extreme weather events (n = 10) and illness due to zoonoses/vector-borne diseases (n = 9) were the most prevalent indicators. There was an absence/gap of indicators for five secondary categories.

CONCLUSION: Synthesis of climate-sensitive health indicators is crucial for establishing a cohesive official statistics framework to monitor the health impacts of climate change-related events. The abundance (and gaps) of indicators across categories of health effects aids in prioritization of developing new indicators and improving data availability.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Cao L, Wu Y, Fu Y, et al (2026)

Climate Change and Dispersal Limitation Reshape Future Habitat Accessibility for Lady Amherst's Pheasant (Chrysolophus amherstiae) in China.

Integrative zoology [Epub ahead of print].

Montane forest birds are highly vulnerable to climate warming because their habitats are often fragmented, topographically constrained, and difficult to track through dispersal. For Lady Amherst's Pheasant (Chrysolophus amherstiae), future climate risks remain poorly understood, especially the mismatch between habitat suitability and habitat accessibility. We combined occurrence records across China with multisource environmental variables using ensemble species distribution modeling, optimal-parameter geographical detector analysis, and dispersal simulations. The ensemble model showed good predictive performance, yielding an AUC of 0.935 and a TSS of 0.748. Habitat suitability was mainly associated with annual potential evapotranspiration, precipitation of the driest month, temperature seasonality, precipitation seasonality, and their interactions. Current highly suitable habitats were concentrated around the Hengduan Mountains and adjacent plateau transition zones, covering 99 623.42 km[2], or 3.9% of the study area. Total suitable habitat declined under most future scenarios, except for the late century under the highest-emission scenario, where expansion mainly involved low- and medium-suitability habitats. Centroids of predicted suitable areas shifted westward by 160-371 km, while mean elevation increased from 2075 to 2283-3109 m. Dispersal simulations indicated that many newly suitable habitats may remain inaccessible. These findings support prioritizing stable montane refugia, maintaining elevational and landscape connectivity, and field validation of projected expansion areas and areas identified as dispersal limited.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Yu H, Zahidi I, Fai CM, et al (2026)

Climate Change is Rewriting the Hydroclimatic Operating Envelope of Mines.

Advanced science (Weinheim, Baden-Wurttemberg, Germany) [Epub ahead of print].

Physical climate risk in mining is framed as floods, droughts, heatwaves, and wildfires acting on assets with fixed design conditions. We argue that the deeper change is a moving hydroclimatic operating envelope: climate alters the water and heat conditions around mines, while geology, engineering, and lifecycle stage govern how those changes propagate. Linking a global mine inventory to observed and projected Köppen-Geiger classes shows that 16.2% of 1093 geocoded mines changed climate subtype between 1901-1930 and 1991-2020. By 2071-2099, the share rises to 29.8% under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 2-4.5 (SSP2-4.5) and 42.5% under Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 5-8.5 (SSP5-8.5). Water trajectories also separate. Under SSP5-8.5, median precipitation falls by 3.1% at arid mines but rises by 6.5% at humid locations, while precipitation seasonality increases in arid regions. Commodity geography stratifies this exposure, whereas mine method alone provides little adjusted separation. Tailings records place weather within multi-causal failure pathways: 64 of 229 failures with a reported cause included a weather hazard, yet raise categories did not distinguish reported climate-assessment responses. Literature links these shifts to pore pressure, infiltration, heat, material evolution, water storage, and post-closure hydrology. The combined evidence supports adaptation based on monitored, scenario-conditioned operating envelopes rather than static hazard checklists.

RevDate: 2026-10-14

Novikau R, X Hou (2026)

Potential governing mechanisms of iodine radioisotopes behavior in marine and freshwater fish: Transfer, accumulation, biotransformation, and uncertainties under climate change.

Ecotoxicology and environmental safety, 325:120926 pii:S0147-6513(26)01256-X [Epub ahead of print].

The anthropogenic, long-lived radioisotope [129]I is a growing long-term concern for aquatic ecosystems due to its predominantly chronic release from nuclear industry facilities, high environmental mobility, and strong biological affinity. Unlike well-studied radionuclides, the mechanisms governing the transfer, accumulation, and biotransformation of iodine radioisotopes in marine and freshwater biota remain insufficiently understood, particularly in fish, which represent a critical link in human exposure pathways. This knowledge gap limits the accuracy of radiological risk assessments and the development of effective mitigation strategies for a contaminant that persists on geological time scales. These uncertainties are further amplified under climate change, as rising temperatures, acidification, and increased co-occurring pollutant loads alter fish physiology and affect iodine metabolism. In aquatic systems, [129]I occurs mainly as iodide and iodate, both biologically relevant and involved in enzymatically mediated pathways leading to the synthesis of iodine-containing compounds, including thyroid hormones. Despite the ecological and physiological importance of these processes, existing reviews largely address iodine in fish in a general or thyroid-centered context. This review synthesizes and critically evaluates current knowledge on the mechanisms of iodine radioisotope transfer, accumulation, and biotransformation in marine and freshwater fish, with particular emphasis on membrane transport systems, tissue-specific metabolism, and climate change effects.

RevDate: 2026-10-13

Spicer JS, RV Wang (2026)

Just transition, double bind or both? Climate change action by North American community land trusts.

Cambridge journal of regions, economy and society, 19(3):535-550.

Can socially or community-owned enterprise models systematically enable equitable climate action, as has been previously suggested by case study research? To empirically measure and test this proposition, we systematically surveyed all North American community land trusts (CLTs), which primarily serve lower-income households. We found that a majority of CLTs engage in climate action, with mitigation efforts more prevalent than adaptation efforts. Statistical analyses confirm CLTs' rate of action cannot solely be explained by their climate hazards exposure. This suggests they can concurrently address economic precarity whilst enabling climate action, thereby enabling a "just transition". Nonetheless, CLTs fail to engage in climate action as often as they would like, reflecting financial constraints shaped by policy choices. This suggests the simultaneous existence of a climate "double bind", whereby CLTs must, to a degree, choose between economic security and climate goals. We conclude by identifying potential policies to address this double bind.

RevDate: 2026-10-13
CmpDate: 2026-10-12

Mohamed SH, Mohamed HA, Sudi LA, et al (2026)

Climate change and health security in Somalia: Building resilient systems for climate-sensitive disease preparedness.

The journal of climate change and health, 32:100745.

RevDate: 2026-10-13
CmpDate: 2026-10-12

Lu Y, Chen PR, Crawford T, et al (2026)

Advancing nursing care for older migrants in the context of climate change: A narrative review.

The journal of climate change and health, 32:100752.

UNLABELLED: Climate change, global migration, and population aging are converging to create unique health risks for older migrants, a group facing compounded vulnerabilities due to age, migration status, and often socioeconomic disadvantage. However, the integration of climate resilience, cultural safety, and nursing care for this population remains underexplored.

OBJECTIVE: This narrative review synthesizes existing evidence on the intersection of climate change, the health of older migrants, and nursing care, aiming to identify gaps and propose a pathway for integrated care.

METHODS: A structured search was conducted across major academic databases and grey literature up to May 2025, guided by the Arksey and O'Malley framework. Inclusion criteria focused on older migrants (aged 60+), nursing care practices/strategies, and the context of climate change.

FINDINGS: Minimal evidence explicitly addresses the triad of climate change, older migrants, and nursing. Existing literature treats these domains largely in isolation. While climate change exacerbates health risks for older adults, and nursing roles in disaster response are acknowledged, targeted strategies for older migrants are scarce.

CONCLUSION: This review highlights a critical gap in nursing care for older migrants at the intersection of aging, migration, and climate change. Evidence remains fragmented, and existing frameworks rarely integrate climate resilience with cultural safety. Future research should prioritize longitudinal studies, co-designed interventions, and competency standards integrating climate health and cross-cultural skills to advance equitable, climate-resilient care.

RevDate: 2026-10-13

Ceylan H, Bayram Y, F Ulusal (2026)

Climate Change Worry, Eco-Anxiety, Quality of Life, and Life Satisfaction Among Older Adults: A Cross-Sectional Study in Türkiye.

Clinical gerontologist [Epub ahead of print].

OBJECTIVES: This study examined associations among climate change worry, eco-anxiety, quality of life, and life satisfaction among older adults in Türkiye, including statistical indirect associations of worry with these outcomes involving eco-anxiety.

METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, 426 adults aged ≥ 60 years (including 71 residents of institutional care settings) completed validated Turkish measures. Analyses included correlations, hierarchical regression, and covariate-adjusted structural equation modeling.

RESULTS: Climate change worry was positively associated with eco-anxiety (β = .536), which was negatively associated with quality of life (β = -.243) and life satisfaction (β = -.264). Worry showed positive direct associations with quality of life (β = .228) and life satisfaction (β = .226), alongside negative statistical indirect associations involving eco-anxiety. Higher education was associated with higher life satisfaction, and poorer economic circumstances with lower quality of life and life satisfaction.

CONCLUSIONS: Climate change worry showed opposing associations with well-being: positive direct associations coexisted with negative statistical indirect associations involving eco-anxiety, underscoring the importance of distinguishing climate-related worry from more distressing anxiety-related responses.

CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS: Gerontological interventions may benefit from supporting constructive engagement with climate-related concerns while addressing distressing eco-anxiety and considering socioeconomic differences in well-being.

RevDate: 2026-10-12
CmpDate: 2026-10-10

Alahadeb JI, Hodhod MS, Mahran RA, et al (2026)

Climate change and the potential global distribution of Agrobacterium tumefaciens: a MaxEnt modeling approach for current and future climate scenarios.

Frontiers in plant science, 17:1941149.

Climate change is fundamentally altering the geographic ranges of plant-pathogenic microorganisms, with profound implications for global food security and agricultural sustainability. Agrobacterium tumefaciens, the gram-negative soil bacterium responsible for crown gall disease in over 140 genera of dicotyledonous plants, is among the most economically significant phytopathogens worldwide, yet its macroecological distribution under current and projected future climates has never been rigorously characterised. Here, we apply the Maximum Entropy algorithm (MaxEnt) to 415 quality-filtered georeferenced occurrence records - derived from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) - combined with five non-collinear WorldClim 2.1 bioclimatic variables selected through Pearson correlation analysis in JMP Pro 16, to model the current potential global distribution of A. tumefaciens and project its future habitat suitability for 2050 and 2070 under RCP 2.6 and RCP 8.5 emission scenarios using the BCC-CSM1-1 general circulation model. The model demonstrated excellent predictive performance (mean AUC = 0.959; TSS = 0.77). Under current climate, high and very high suitability was concentrated in western and central Europe, the eastern United States, northern India, and eastern China. Jackknife analysis identified mean annual temperature (BIO1) as the dominant climatic driver, followed by precipitation of the driest month (BIO14), precipitation seasonality (BIO15), isothermality (BIO3), and mean diurnal temperature range (BIO2). Future projections consistently indicated a poleward displacement of suitable habitat, with net gains at higher latitudes and progressive contraction of very high suitability zones in current core regions, effects that intensify markedly under the high-emission RCP 8.5 scenario by 2070. Limiting factor analysis in DIVA-GIS revealed that thermal insufficiency constrains distribution at high latitudes while precipitation seasonality and dry-season moisture deficits dominate in tropical and arid zones. These findings provide a spatially explicit and climatically informed evidence base for anticipating future shifts in crown gall disease risk and informing climate-adaptive phytosanitary management strategies.

RevDate: 2026-10-10
CmpDate: 2026-10-11

Devajit Y, Thangjam N, V Vaishnav (2026)

Endangered Phoebe bootanica tree populations may face severe habitat contraction and potential distributional shifts under projected climate change in Northeast India.

Environmental monitoring and assessment, 198(11):.

The present study applies an ensemble of small models (ESM) to assess current and future (2021-2040 and 2081-2100) habitat suitability for the populations of Phoebe bootanica (Lauraceae), an over-exploited timber species endemic to Northeast India's Indo-Myanmar Biodiversity Hotspot. A total of 122 field occurrence records were compiled, of which 22 spatially thinned records were retained for the final modelling, along with 12 environmental variables (including bioclimatic, topographic, edaphic, land cover). Six algorithms (artificial neural network (ANN), classification tree analysis (CTA), generalized additive model (GAM), generalized boosting model (GBM), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), and random forests (RF)) generated bivariate models, which were ensembled via weighted averaging and evaluated using area under the curve (AUC) (0.905), true skill statistic (TSS) (0.745), and the Boyce index (0.795), indicating excellent performance. Elevation (1.56 relative contribution) emerged as the primary driver, favoring altitudes of 1500-2000 m, followed by the precipitation of the driest month (1.47), the warmest quarter (1.35), isothermality (1.33), and soil total nitrogen (1.19). Currently, 1168.58 km[2] is highly suitable (> 0.6 habitat suitability index (HSI)), mainly in mid-elevation forests. Under SSP1-2.6, highly suitable area contracts 99.54% by 2040 (to 5.41 km[2]), recovering slightly to 539.82 km[2] by 2100, with the modelled suitable habitat projected to shift from Manipur/Nagaland toward Meghalaya's West Khasi Hills. SSP5-8.5 projects a 92.92% loss by 2040 (82.75 km[2]), rebounding to 1440.03 km[2] by 2100, with a concentration in stable refugia, such as the West Khasi Hills. Moderately suitable habitats decline by 3-51% across the projected scenarios, while not-suitable areas expand by up to 34% in the near future (2021-2040) before contracting by up to 30% by 2081-2100 as habitat conditions partially recover. The ESM approach helped address the constraints of limited occurrence data for this rare species, underscoring Phoebe bootanica's vulnerability to warming/drying trends. Prioritizing mid-elevation nature reserves in regions of niche suitability and persistent refugia is recommended to enhance the species' resilience and sustainable management.

RevDate: 2026-10-11
CmpDate: 2026-10-09

Özdemir T, Çetinol Taştemel T, G Karadağ (2026)

Healthcare professionals' awareness of climate change and its association with eco-anxiety and environmental sensitivity: a cross-sectional study.

BMC health services research, 26(1):.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare professionals play an essential role in addressing the health impacts of climate change. Understanding how their awareness of climate issues and eco-anxiety relate to environmental sensitivity is critical for strengthening their capacity to respond to climate-related risks. This study aimed to examine the relationship between healthcare workers' climate change awareness, levels of eco-anxiety, and their environmental sensitivity.

METHODS: A cross-sectional, correlational design was employed. The study included 460 healthcare professionals aged 18 years or older working in clinical settings. Data were gathered using a socio-demographic form, the Environmental Sensitivity Scale, the Global Climate Change Awareness Scale, and the Eco-Anxiety Scale. Analyses were conducted using SPSS 24.0, including descriptive statistics, Spearman correlation, and multiple linear regression.

RESULTS: Healthcare professionals demonstrated moderate levels of climate change awareness and environmental sensitivity, while eco-anxiety levels were moderate. Regression analysis showed that awareness of global climate change, being a nurse, being aged 45 years or older, and membership in an environmental organization were significant predictors of environmental sensitivity, whereas the rumination sub-dimension of eco-anxiety showed only a marginal, non-significant association (p=0.064).

CONCLUSIONS: The findings indicate that cognitive engagement with climate-related concerns, climate awareness, and certain demographic characteristics are associated with environmental sensitivity among healthcare professionals. Enhancing educational efforts, institutional support, and environmental policies may strengthen their capacity to address climate-related health risks and promote environmentally responsible practices in healthcare settings.

RevDate: 2026-10-10
CmpDate: 2026-10-09

Pan Z, Zhu H, Xie X, et al (2026)

Mapping the Burden of Ischemic Stroke Attributable to Temperature Variation under Climate Change Scenarios Accounting for Long-Term Adaptation.

Environmental health perspectives, 134(6):715-725.

With the intensification of climate change, temperature variability (TV), a critical climatic dimension, is projected to increase. As a climate-sensitive disease, ischemic stroke may be affected by temperature variability; however, the evidence on the ischemic stroke burdens of short-term temperature variability in a changing climate remains unknown, especially accounting for long-term exposure adaptation. Based on a nationally representative, multicenter data set of over 1.6 million individual-level, hourly data on ischemic stroke onset from 2015 to 2022, we adopted a case-crossover study design to evaluate the association between short-term exposure to TV and ischemic stroke onset using conditional logistic regression. Furthermore, we took the long-term TV adaptation into account to derive the modified nonlinear exposure-response function and evaluated the ischemic stroke burden under different climate change scenarios. Short-term exposure to TV was positively associated with the risk of ischemic stroke onset, and long-term TV significantly modified the effects with populations living in regions of persistently high TV being more vulnerable. The ischemic stroke cases attributable to TV have more than doubled from 2000 to 2020. Under the high-emission scenario (SSP5-8.5), the attributable fraction of ischemic stroke is projected to increase substantially (19-58%) by the end of the century, particularly in vulnerable regions such as Southwest and South China. These findings demonstrate that individuals have limited adaptive capacity to temperature variability. Incorporating temperature variability into climate-health risk assessments, public health preparedness, and mitigation strategies will be essential to safeguard populations in an increasingly unstable climate system.

RevDate: 2026-10-11

Wubben E, Liu X, Veenstra TJT, et al (2026)

Ocean circulation changes rather than global warming drove temperature trends across the Miocene Climatic Optimum.

Science advances, 12(41):eadz2555.

Early-to-Middle Miocene [23 to 13.8 million years ago (Ma)] climates were ∼6° to 9°C warmer than today. Around 16.9 Ma, benthic foraminiferal oxygen isotope (δ[18]O) records suggest pronounced warming, known as the Miocene Climatic Optimum (MCO) onset. However, explaining this putative global warming with carbon dioxide (CO2) forcing faces challenges in terms of timing and forcing magnitude. Our new biomarker-based ocean temperature records, combined with published data, reveal no substantial mean global upper ocean warming across the MCO. Instead, temperature changes differ considerably between sites, with some regions showing cooling. Climate model sensitivity tests indicate that these patterns are best explained by ocean circulation changes, likely due to gateway changes and Antarctic ice sheet variations. This suggests that the MCO signature is better attributed to ocean circulation changes rather than a CO2-driven global warming event. The δ[18]O signal therefore represents warmer deepwater sourcing and/or reduced Antarctic glacial volume, resolving the longstanding challenge of explaining MCO warming without a pronounced CO2 rise.

RevDate: 2026-10-08

Anonymous (2026)

ERRATUM: Climate change and mental health: an urgent call for strategic action from nursing.

Revista brasileira de enfermagem, 79:e2026e0520250604 pii:S0034-71672026000197007.

[This corrects the article doi: 10.1590/0034-7167-2025-0604] [This corrects the article doi: 10.1590/0034-7167-2025-0604pt] [This corrects the article doi: 10.1590/0034-7167-2025-0604es ].

RevDate: 2026-10-08
CmpDate: 2026-10-08

Barcellos C, Soek FJ, Xavier DR, et al (2026)

Climate change and health challenges on the world's periphery.

Ciencia & saude coletiva, 31(9):e11712025 pii:S1413-81232026001901801.

Climate change affects health conditions in different ways, depending on the geographical location in the world. In addition to the evident impact of heatwaves, peripheral countries, and vulnerable populations and territories within them, face aggravating conditions due to the low coverage and quality of services that should act as protection against climate crises. Environmental degradation and inequalities in access to services magnify the risks of disease transmission and the exacerbation of non-communicable diseases, creating a context of climate injustice. In this sense, Public Health in peripheral countries must work to identify and intervene in the social and environmental determinants of this multi-crisis, as well as a critical stance towards adaptation proposals that must include reducing inequalities.

RevDate: 2026-10-08

Feinberg A, A Saiz-Lopez (2026)

Climate change reshapes the global mercury cycle.

Science (New York, N.Y.), 394(6820):168-169.

How will climate change shape future human risks to mercury exposure?

RevDate: 2026-10-08

Nyenhuis SM, Cavalier A, Salvo D, et al (2026)

Perceptions of Climate Change, Health Impacts, and Climate Resilience, among Urban Residents Living with Asthma: An Exploratory Qualitative Study.

Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine [Epub ahead of print].

In the US, rates of asthma, and in particular, uncontrolled asthma, are disproportionately high among historically marginalized racial/ethnic groups and among urban residents. Against the backdrop of climate change and its known consequences, which can exacerbate the environmental triggers of asthma, these inequities are further magnified. This qualitative study explored perceptions of climate change, health impacts, and climate resilience among historically marginalized urban adults with asthma. Black/African-American, Hispanic/Latino, and/or multiracial adults (≥ 18 years) diagnosed with asthma, and residing in the Chicagoland area, were recruited. Semistructured interviews informed by the capability, opportunity, motivation, and behavior (COM-B) model were conducted, and data were transcribed for thematic coding. Data from 20 interviews revealed four primary themes: (1) climate change awareness, (2) perceived harms of climate change, (3) climate resiliency: barriers and strategies, and (4) perceived outlook on climate change. Participants consistently associated extreme weather with adverse asthma management consequences and highlighted the negative impacts of climate-related events on their outdoor time, physical activity, and social life. Virtually all participants emphasized significant financial burden resulting from their daily living adaptations for managing their condition in the context of climate change. Participants showed variable levels of climate preparedness and reported limited community-level engagement in climate action activities. This study supports enhancing climate resilience as a potentially effective strategy for improving asthma management among historically marginalized urban residents, warranting future research. Findings emphasize the need to strengthen both individual- and societal/environmental-level climate resilience to optimize health and well-being for all.

RevDate: 2026-10-08

Gao CX, Fava N, Browne V, et al (2026)

Climate Change and Youth: Fast-Tracking Mental Health Solutions.

Journal of applied youth studies, 9(2):285-296.

Worldwide, we are facing escalating mental health impacts related to climate change. Young people are disproportionately affected by climate-related extreme weather events such as severe heatwaves and floods. As climate change accelerates, increased frequency and severity of these weather events, along with awareness of the global environmental crisis, contribute to rising levels of hopelessness, anxiety, and distress among young people. This emotional burden is compounded by young people's exclusion from decision-making processes. Interventions targeting the mental health impacts of climate change are still in their infancy. We call for innovative research designs, such as adaptive platform trials, to rapidly evaluate and implement youth-specific mental health interventions in the context of climate change. We highlight the importance of a whole-of-society approach, involving collaboration between young people, researchers, clinicians, educators, and communities to develop tailored interventions. Governments and research bodies should prioritise dedicated funding for climate change and mental health research at local, national, and global levels. Moreover, it is essential to integrate youth perspectives into policymaking and strengthen climate action to mitigate mental health impacts.

RevDate: 2026-10-07

Borromeo AS (2026)

Planetary Health in Nursing Scholarship: A Bibliometric Mapping of Climate Change, Sustainability, and Health-System Transformation.

Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.) [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Planetary health is an increasingly important transdisciplinary approach in nursing because it links human health and equity to the integrity of Earth's natural systems. Climate change is a major component of planetary health, but it is not synonymous with the broader approach, which also encompasses biodiversity loss, pollution, resource pressures, environmental sustainability, and the transformation of health systems. Although nursing scholarship has increasingly engaged with climate change and sustainability, it remains unclear whether planetary health has emerged as a distinct organizing approach in the field or mainly as an extension of earlier climate and sustainability discourse.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to map the development, intellectual structure, and thematic organization of planetary health-related nursing scholarship, with attention to how climate change, sustainability, environmental health, justice, education, and health-system transformation are represented within this emerging field.

METHODS: A bibliometric design was applied to English-language Scopus records retrieved on March 9, 2026. The Scopus export contained 1469 CSV rows. After removal of 13 malformed or continuation rows, 1456 valid bibliographic records were identified. Exact DOI and normalized-title duplicate checking removed 12 duplicate or near-duplicate records. The remaining 1444 records were screened for topical relevance, defined as the presence of both an explicit nursing context and an explicit planetary health, climate, environmental sustainability, or ecological-health focus. A total of 648 records were excluded as topically irrelevant, leaving a final analytic corpus of 796 records. Data were analyzed using VOSviewer version 1.6.20. Co-citation analysis was used to identify intellectual domains, while co-word analysis was used to examine keyword-based thematic organization.

RESULTS: The final retained corpus comprised 796 records published from 1996 to 2026, with 9082 Scopus citations at the time of data extraction. Publication output remained limited for several decades but increased sharply from the late 2010s and expanded substantially in the early 2020s. Co-citation analysis revealed four intellectual domains: professional climate mandate, climate justice, and curricular standards in nursing; sustainability education, climate perceptions, and nursing readiness; planetary health, sustainable healthcare, and global policy frameworks; and global climate-health evidence with methodological and interpretive links. Co-word analysis showed that nursing scholarship is strongly organized around education, sustainability integration, climate-health professional responsibility, student and workforce readiness, and perception-oriented research.

CONCLUSION: Planetary health is emerging in nursing scholarship, but it remains unevenly consolidated. The field is still largely shaped by education, professional mandate, awareness, and readiness discourse, with fewer studies focused on implementation, theory development, health-system transformation, or measurable planetary-health outcomes. These findings suggest that nursing has a distinctive role in translating planetary health from a broad transdisciplinary approach into education, practice, advocacy, and sustainable care responsibilities.

RevDate: 2026-10-07

Wirth SB, Müller C, Taube F, et al (2026)

Global grassland productivity and carbon storage benefit from functional diversity under climate change.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 123(41):e2528067123.

Functional diversity plays an important role for ecosystem services of managed grasslands such as their gross primary productivity (GPP) and soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks. Yet vegetation models assessing functional diversity have been limited to small spatial scales. We used the Lund-Potsdam-Jena managed land (LPJmL) competitor stress-tolerant ruderal (CSR) model to assess the role of functional diversity for managed grassland GPP and SOC under climate change at the global scale. LPJmL-CSR simulates functional diversity using plant functional types representing different ecological strategies based on functional traits connected to CSR strategies. Our simulation experiments assumed low and high functional diversity levels and moderate and strong climate change scenarios. Results show that functional diversity plays an important role for GPP and SOC stocks already under moderate climate change. Strong loss of functional diversity prohibits communities' adaptation to climate change, resulting in loss of GPP and SOC. Spatial patterns of GPP and SOC stocks show substantial differences between the low and high functional diversity scenarios dependent on regional conditions. These results are consistent with empirical findings and support the importance of functional diversity as insurance against climate change. The results of our global-scale model assessment show that enhancing functional diversity could be crucial for maintaining grassland productivity and thus human well-being under global change. In combination with empirical findings, they underpin the need for management practices that support functional diversity of managed grasslands.

RevDate: 2026-10-08
CmpDate: 2026-10-08

Zhao Y, Zhang L, Li Q, et al (2026)

Climatic suitability and future dynamics of test-weight-defined high-quality wheat in China under climate change.

Frontiers in plant science, 17:1834560.

INTRODUCTION: Climate change is expected to affect crop production and grain quality by altering the environmental conditions that define crop climatic niches. However, the spatial distribution and future dynamics of climatic suitability for test-weight-defined high-quality wheat in China remain insufficiently understood. This study aimed to characterize the climatic suitability of high-test-weight (High-TW) wheat and assess its potential changes under future climate scenarios.

METHODS: High-TW wheat was defined as wheat with a test weight (TW) ≥ 750 g L[-1]. Long-term wheat quality monitoring records, WorldClim bioclimatic variables, BCC-CSM2-MR-based future climate projections, and an optimized MaxEnt model were used to characterize the baseline suitability pattern, identify dominant climatic predictors, and project changes under four future climate scenarios.

RESULTS: The model showed strong discrimination under random holdout evaluation, with a mean test AUC of 0.936 and a continuous Boyce index of 0.9702. The minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) was the dominant predictor, contributing 55.3% to the model, indicating the importance of winter thermal conditions in the climatic niche associated with High-TW wheat. Under the 1970-2000 baseline climate, high-suitability areas were mainly concentrated in the north-central Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, broadly corresponding to traditional production regions of strong- and medium-strong-gluten wheat. Under the BCC-CSM2-MR projections, the broad spatial pattern remained relatively stable, while changes occurred mainly in the composition and peripheral distribution of suitability classes. By 2081-2100, high-suitability area increased under all four scenarios, with the largest relative increase under SSP126 (+12.35%). Centroid shifts were modest and scenario-dependent rather than proportional to emission intensity, with the largest late-century displacement reaching approximately 48 km under SSP370.

DISCUSSION: Future climate change may primarily reorganize the internal structure of climatic suitability while maintaining the broad national-scale pattern of High-TW wheat suitability. These findings provide a national-scale climatic-suitability perspective for High-TW wheat zoning, regional adaptation, and future production-planning assessments in China.

RevDate: 2026-10-08
CmpDate: 2026-10-08

Mc Alpine KS, Groteclaes T, Travill D, et al (2026)

Climate change and vertically transmissible infections in maternal and neonatal populations: a systematic review.

Frontiers in global women's health, 7:1931882.

BACKGROUND: Climate change influences infectious disease dynamics and disrupts maternal and neonatal health services, both of which are pathways through which the risk of vertically transmissible infections may increase.

METHODS: We systematically reviewed evidence on the association between climate-related environmental exposures and infection-related outcomes relevant to vertical transmission in pregnant or intrapartum women, neonates, and infants. Screening, extraction, and risk-of-bias assessment were performed independently in duplicate. Owing to substantial heterogeneity, findings were synthesised narratively. GRADE scoring was used to assess certainty of evidence.

RESULTS: Of 4,579 records identified, 42 full texts were reviewed and 6 studies included. Studies examined drought/famine, temperature, humidity, and climate zone in relation to HIV, group B streptococcus (GBS), varicella-zoster virus (VZV), and bacterial meningitis. No study reported vertical transmission as an outcome. Higher temperature and humidity were associated with increased maternal GBS colonisation. Three studies suggested cooler and/or drier conditions were associated with increased VZV transmission or earlier serological acquisition. One study found drought-associated famine was linked to increased HIV prevalence in pregnant women in rural Malawi. Certainty of evidence was very low across outcome groupings.

CONCLUSIONS: This review found evidence suggesting climate-related exposures may be associated with infections relevant to vertical transmission through pathogen-specific biological pathways, broader social disruption, and deprivation. There is currently insufficient evidence to determine the impact of climate change on vertical transmission or related outcomes. Closing this gap should be a priority for research and climate adaptation in maternal and neonatal health.

https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/view/CRD420251124435, PROSPERO CRD420251124435.

RevDate: 2026-10-08
CmpDate: 2026-10-08

Jain R (2026)

Climate Change and Community Health Preparedness in India.

Indian journal of community medicine : official publication of Indian Association of Preventive & Social Medicine, 51(Suppl 2):S416-S417.

RevDate: 2026-10-08
CmpDate: 2026-10-08

Sun Z, Han L, Li Z, et al (2026)

The dividend period of climate change-related mortality in China is coming to an end.

Fundamental research, 6(5):3086-3094 pii:S2667-3258(25)00019-6.

Health risks posed by temperature have aroused concern among scientists and the public. Previous studies have consistently projected a downward trend in the cold-related health burden and an upward trend in the heat-related burden under climate change. However, the temporal trend of the net effect of temperature and the existence of a descent phase for adaptation remain unclear. Here, we propose a new concept, the dividend period of climate change-related mortality, defined as the period when the net health effect of temperature exhibits a downward trend. We project a region-specific dividend period in China under climate change and adaptability scenarios. The results indicate that human adaptability substantially influences the temperature-mortality association and that the dividend period varies markedly by region and urbanization. After considering adaptability and population changes, the dividend period in the central and western regions has either ended or is coming to an end under most scenarios and will end before the 2050s in the northeastern region. In contrast, the dividend period in the eastern region will extend to the end of the 21st century but will soon end under certain scenarios. Our findings highlight the urgent need for more effective climate change mitigation and adaptation actions, particularly in regions at the end of the dividend period in the near future.

RevDate: 2026-10-08

Parker ER, O Cole-Adeife (2026)

The impacts of climate change on global skin health: Considerations for dermatologic disease burden, equity, and care delivery.

The Journal of investigative dermatology pii:S0022-202X(26)02731-4 [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change represents the greatest global health threat of the 21st century. The specialty of dermatology is uniquely positioned within this crisis because the skin directly interfaces with the external environment, reflecting the many climate-sensitive drivers of disease that are influenced by heat, humidity, precipitation, storms, drought, pollution, and ecological disruption. Specifically, climate change contributes to an increased incidence and severity of infectious, autoinflammatory, and neoplastic skin diseases, and extreme weather events disrupt dermatologic care delivery, particularly in resource-limited regions. Vulnerable populations-including the Global South, low-income communities, outdoor laborers, and climate-displaced persons-experience disproportionate exposure and reduced access to dermatologic care. Dermatologists play a critical role in recognizing and mitigating the health consequences of climate change. Integrating planetary health principles into dermatologic practice, disease surveillance, research, advocacy, and education is essential for global health equity and climate resilience. In this review, we examine the multifaceted effects of climate change on dermatologic disease burden, access to care, and global health equity, while highlighting opportunities for mitigation and adaptation within the specialty.

RevDate: 2026-10-06
CmpDate: 2026-10-06

Isobe K, Tateno R, Fukuzawa K, et al (2026)

Cascading effects of winter climate change in northern forests: Microclimate, microbes, biogeochemical flux, and vegetation.

Ecology, 107(10):e70526.

Winter climate change is altering snowpack dynamics in northern forests. Snowpack decline disrupts winter soil thermal and hydrological regimes, alters soil microbial activity beneath the snowpack, and triggers cascading effects on vegetation growth and biogeochemical fluxes into the growing season. Despite growing evidence of these changes, the mechanisms underlying these cascade effects and their regional variation remain poorly understood. This review integrates multi-ecosystem-component monitoring results from snow manipulation studies at two contrasting, well-studied northern forest sites-in the northeastern United States and northern Japan-within a unified cascade framework. We also synthesize findings from a broader range of experiments to explore how regional conditions mediate the impacts of reduced snowpack on northern forests. Finally, we discuss key experimental challenges and propose future research directions to improve predictive understanding of winter climate change impacts on northern forest ecosystems.

RevDate: 2026-10-06
CmpDate: 2026-10-06

Sambado SB, Vasquez VN, Cruz-Loya M, et al (2026)

Agriculture-urban interfaces, social vulnerability and climate change shape West Nile virus risk across the United States.

Biology letters, 22(10):.

Climate and land use change are reshaping the dynamics of vector-borne diseases. West Nile virus (WNV), the most widespread zoonotic arbovirus in the United States, illustrates the need to integrate climate, land cover and social vulnerability across heterogeneous landscapes when assessing spatial risk. We present a nationwide, county-level assessment of WNV risk using complementary statistical and mechanistic models to (i) identify socioecological correlates of current WNV incidence and (ii) project vector species-specific, temperature-dependent transmission suitability under mid- and late-century climate change scenarios. We found that land cover gradients, temperature-driven transmission and both occupational and residential exposure are associated with WNV incidence, particularly in mixed urban-agricultural landscapes. Future temperature and land cover projections suggest spatially variable shifts in environmental risk driven by divergent physiological responses among Culex species vectors. Our results highlight temperature and land cover as consistent, mechanistically grounded correlates of WNV risk at the national scale, while underscoring the need for refined, mosquito species-specific analyses at local levels. These insights can inform more targeted surveillance, vector control and climate adaptation strategies. We also identified key knowledge gaps, particularly around host and vector ecology, which must be addressed to improve public health responses in the face of ongoing environmental change.

RevDate: 2026-10-06
CmpDate: 2026-10-06

Dussex N, Andersson L, Bergström U, et al (2026)

Harnessing macrogenomics to study changing marine ecosystems under global climate change.

Proceedings. Biological sciences, 293(2080):.

Climate change is reshaping marine ecosystems at an accelerating pace. Predicting its impacts on biodiversity and ecosystem functions is therefore crucial to developing effective conservation strategies. Integration of genomic tools, habitat modelling and simulations offers a transformative approach to forecast these impacts. Yet, current frameworks remain limited to single-species analyses. In this review, we discuss future directions in the emerging field of macrogenomics, the analysis of large-scale genomic data across species and time, and show how its integration with environmental data can be applied to understand past and predict future climate-driven ecological shifts across entire marine communities. We demonstrate how applying a macrogenomic framework can provide insights into future responses of marine ecosystems under global climate change by integrating multi-species demographic analyses, metagenomics and signatures of adaptation associated with past climate fluctuations. We also show how macrogenomics combined with predictive approaches can be used to forecast cascading effects of species fluctuations on ecosystem structure and potentially identify ecosystem tipping points. Ultimately, coupling empirical and prediction data offers a powerful approach for ecosystem-based management, improving our ability to predict adaptive responses and extinction risks at relevant scales, and equipping managers and policymakers with actionable insights to prioritize biodiversity conservation strategies.

RevDate: 2026-10-06
CmpDate: 2026-10-06

Bhadania M, Mehta V, Noor T, et al (2026)

Association between climate change and oral health outcomes: a systematic review of time-series studies.

BDJ open, 12(1):.

AIM: This Systematic review aimed to assess the association between short term environment exposures and oral health outcomes using evidence from time-series studies.

METHOD: The protocol was registered with PROSPERO (International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews). A comprehensive search of PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science and Google Scholar were conducted to identify relevant studies. Records were imported to Rayyan AI for multistage screening by two independent reviewers, and any conflicting views were resolved with the third reviewer. Data extraction followed the PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis) guidelines, and findings were summarized narratively and in tabular form.

RESULT: Seven time-series studies involving over 4 million epidemiological observations were included. Summarized evidence suggested association between change in climate and oral health outcomes. Lower air temperature was associated with 75% risk of periodontal diseases over a lag of 1 to 7 days. Every 10 µg/m[3] increase in NO2 was associated with a 30% increase in outpatient visits for periodontitis over 0-4 lag days particularly on warmer days, whereas consistent exposure above threshold limits was associated with 12% risk of oral cancer over 3 years lag (at 95% CI: 10%, 13%). Furthermore, a unit increase in concentration level of pollutants such as PM2.5 and CO, was associated with increased risk of pulpitis by 2.4%, 5%, and 9.1%, respectively. Similarly, mean temperature 12.5 °C and air pollution was associated with higher risk of dental caries. Demographic characteristics appear to modify risk and O3 acts as a protective factor against periodontitis [RR = 0.99 at 95% C.I. (0.991, 0.995)].

CONCLUSION: Environmental exposures, particularly air pollution and temperature, may influence the outcome of oral health. Further well-designed studies are needed to clarify causal pathways and strengthen evidence base.

RevDate: 2026-10-07
CmpDate: 2026-10-07

Csivincsik Á, Nagy E, Zám I, et al (2026)

Climate Change and Socioeconomic Vulnerability: The Carpathian Basin as a Potential Hotspot in the Dissemination of Dirofilaria repens in Europe.

Transboundary and emerging diseases, 2026(1):e7095034.

Dirofilaria repens is a zoonotic parasite expanding across Europe due to climate change. We hypothesised that in this process, the Carpathian Basin has a facilitating effect. Using 426 georeferenced European cases, the probability of infection occurrence was determined in relation to climatic factors, surface water availability, regional social deprivation, and stray dog population density. To analyse the potential impacts of ecological and social factors (deprivation and stray dog population density), the MaxEnt algorithm, and spatial Empirical Bayes smoothing and bivariate local indicators of spatial association (BiLISA) index calculation were employed, respectively. MaxEnt analysis revealed that the mean warmest month temperature (MWMT; 22.8-25.1°C), winter mean minimum temperature (>-2.1°C), and summer precipitation (28.6-231 mm) have the strongest impact on the probability of the parasite's occurrence in Europe. Social factors have significance in the eastern Balkans and the Carpathian Basin, but not in Western Europe. The Carpathian Basin appears to be a hotspot, similar to Mediterranean coastal areas. Furthermore, the Danube Valley acts as an ecological corridor for subtropical vector-borne parasites. Our findings confirm that summer warmth is the primary ecological driver of the parasite's range expansion, which is facilitated by the Carpathian Basin due to climatic and socioeconomic conditions.

RevDate: 2026-10-07
CmpDate: 2026-10-07

Roe EA, Khov E, Kim H, et al (2024)

The impact of climate change-related disasters on mental health and epigenetics: a narrative review.

Frontiers in epigenetics and epigenomics, 2:1464276.

Climate change has contributed to an increase in the frequency and intensity of natural disasters such as droughts, wildfires, hurricanes, and floods, leading to both immediate physical harm and long-term mental health consequences. Survivors often experience psychological distress, including anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), as a result of these traumatic events. This narrative review explores the intersection of climate change-related disasters, mental health outcomes, and epigenetic modifications. Specifically, we summarize recent findings on how environmental stressors influence both mental health and epigenetic changes, such as DNA methylation. Emerging evidence suggests that epigenetic mechanisms, particularly DNA methylation, could mediate the effects of climate change-related stress on mental health, potentially contributing to the onset of mental disorders like depression, panic disorder, autism spectrum disorder, and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder. We also discuss other epigenetic mechanisms, such as histone modifications and non-coding RNAs, and emphasize the importance of longitudinal studies to capture the dynamic nature of epigenetic changes over time. Finally, we propose future research directions to deepen our understanding of the complex relationships between climate change-related disasters, mental health outcomes, and epigenetic mechanisms, which will pave the way for more effective mental health interventions and policy integration.

RevDate: 2026-10-07

van Westen RM, Börner R, HA Dijkstra (2026)

Failure to track a stable AMOC state under rapid climate change.

Nature climate change, 16(10):1195-1206.

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), a tipping element of the climate system, currently has an estimated global warming threshold for collapse of +4.0 °C (uncertainty range 1.4-8 °C). However, such a threshold may not be meaningful because AMOC stability depends on the rate of radiative forcing change, not a set temperature. Here we identify an AMOC stabilizing mechanism that operates on timescales slower than present-day warming rates. Slow forcing permits coherent adjustment of surface and interior ocean properties, supported by enhanced evaporation and reduced sea-ice extent, counteracting destabilizing feedbacks. Using a slow CO2 ramp (+0.5 ppm yr[-1]) climate model simulation, we explicitly demonstrate the AMOC remains stable up to +5.5 °C of global warming. By contrast, under faster CO2 ramps, the AMOC collapses at substantially lower warming levels (+2 °C). Our findings demonstrate rate-induced AMOC tipping and imply that limiting the rate of emissions is critical for reducing the risk of an AMOC collapse.

RevDate: 2026-10-05
CmpDate: 2026-10-05

Trang LT, Huyen PTT, Kieu VTK, et al (2026)

Artificial intelligence models for dengue outbreak prediction in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam under climate change.

International journal of biometeorology, 70(10):.

Dengue fever (DF) remains one of the most significant mosquito-borne diseases in tropical and subtropical regions, particularly in Ho Chi Minh City (HCMC), Vietnam. This study evaluates the performance of Artificial Intelligence (AI) models, including Machine Learning and Deep Learning approaches to forecast weekly district-level DF cases and to identify the optimal predictive model. DF notifications and meteorological data (temperature, humidity, rainfall) from 24 districts in HCMC (2015-2022) were standardized to epidemiological weeks and spatially interpolated using Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW). Variable-specific lags were estimated empirically by Cross-Correlation Analysis (CCA) over 0-21 weeks, and multicollinearity was screened with the Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC) and the Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) and resolved with Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Five forecasting models were compared: Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), Support Vector Regression (SVR), Random Forest (RF), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) were applied to assess feature contributions. Strongest lag impacts on DF were found for rainfall (8 weeks), maximum humidity (8 weeks), minimum humidity (8 weeks), minimum temperature (17 weeks), maximum temperature (0 weeks), and temperature amplitude (5 weeks), with correlation |r| ranging from 0.18 to 0.37.Among all models, LSTM achieved the best performance with the lowest errors and highest stability across 2021-2022 test sets. Incorporating lagged meteorological and epidemiological features notably improved predictive accuracy, particularly for MLR. Overall, the LSTM model shows strong potential for dengue forecasting in HCMC and supports the development of AI-based early warning systems for proactive public health management.

RevDate: 2026-10-05

van der Deure T, Mukaratirwa S, Chimbari M, et al (2026)

Novel environmental risk index reveals uneven impact of climate change on fascioliasis risk across Africa and Europe.

PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 20(10):e0013821 pii:PNTD-D-25-02168 [Epub ahead of print].

Fascioliasis, a zoonotic parasitic disease caused by the liver flukes Fasciola hepatica and Fasciola gigantica, poses a significant threat to livestock and human health globally. Climate change is altering the transmission dynamics of this disease; however, the direction and magnitude of this change remain uncertain due to a lack of mechanistically grounded predictions at continental scale. In this study, we developed a novel risk index to assess how climate change may affect the potential for fascioliasis transmission across Africa and Europe. The index integrates the following three components that together capture the environmental requirements for Fasciola transmission: the temperature dependence of the parasite transmission; climatic suitability for the snail intermediate host; and availability of freshwater habitats. To estimate these components, we used data from published experimental studies, thousands of snail occurrence records, and both mechanistic and correlative modelling approaches. We predict that climate change will generally reduce fascioliasis risk across most of the ranges of the two investigated liver fluke species, albeit with marked geographical differences. The transmission risk of F. gigantica is predicted to decrease in the Sahel and West Africa, due to above-optimal temperatures for parasite transmission and climatic suitability for the intermediate hosts. However, risk for F. hepatica transmission is projected to increase in parts of Northern Europe, Scandinavia, and Iceland, where livestock densities are high. We also find that the potential for hybridization between F. hepatica and F. gigantica may decline due to reduced geographic overlap in areas that are highly suitable for transmission. By providing a scalable, ecologically informed framework for predicting fascioliasis risk under climate change, this study lays the groundwork for improved local risk assessment. Our risk index focuses on the environmentally sensitive components of the Fasciola life cycle and thus does not account for other important factors such as local farming practices and vertebrate host densities. Despite this caveat, our results provide a more nuanced perspective on the potential impact of climate change on fascioliasis transmission, showing that this will be highly uneven across Africa and Europe.

RevDate: 2026-10-05

Anonymous (2026)

Correction for Doughty et al., Compounded effects on wetland greenhouse gas fluxes from climate change and water management along a saline to freshwater gradient.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 123(41):e2633441123.

RevDate: 2026-10-06
CmpDate: 2026-10-06

Karlsson-Larsson H, Asutay E, D Västfjäll (2026)

Affective integration in climate change communication: recency effects and negativity bias in responses to climate picture sequences.

Frontiers in psychology, 17:1797253.

This research explored climate pictures as affect-eliciting stimuli, and how the affective experiences can have an impact on pro-environmental intentions. In an online within-subject design experiment (N = 464), participants engaged in twelve experimental trials, each containing one picture of a wildfire, one of a forest, and one depicting a pro-environmental action, presented in various orders. Following each trial, participants rated their affective experiences and pro-environmental intentions. The results indicated that affective valence (positive-negative experience) was sensitive to the presentation order of the pictures. Using a quasi-Bayesian approach to mediation analysis, we found that the presentation order indirectly influenced pro-environmental intentions through changes in affective valence. Furthermore, hierarchical Bayesian modeling revealed that normative valence ratings of pictures, picture type, and the position of the pictures in the presentation order (first, second, or third) predicted the affective valence reported by participants. Specifically, the model highlighted a significant recency effect, indicating that the final picture in each sequence exerted a greater impact on the reported affective valence. Additionally, while all picture types predicted affective valence, wildfire pictures exerted a stronger influence on affective experience than forest pictures, consistent with negativity bias, proposing that negative information carries greater weight than positive information. These findings suggest that affective responses to climate change communication are shaped by both recency effects and the stronger weighting of negative relative to positive climate-related stimuli, highlighting the importance of understanding how multiple affective inputs jointly influence behavioral motivation. These results suggest that our computational model of affect can inform the design of climate change communication strategies to more effectively leverage emotional responses to motivate pro-environmental action.

RevDate: 2026-10-06
CmpDate: 2026-10-06

Walani SR, Kassam S, Shajani Z, et al (2026)

Public health nurse advocacy as essential for addressing the health impacts of climate change.

Public health reviews, 47:1609391.

BACKGROUND: Climate change is transforming the environmental, social and structural determinants of health, intensifying inequities across populations and geographies. Although nurses are at the forefront of addressing climate-related health impacts, nurses' influence on climate policy remains significantly underleveraged. Strengthening the leadership and advocacy of nurses is essential for meeting the escalating population health challenges posed by climate change.

ANALYSIS: There is limited organized advocacy for climate action by public health nurses. At the 7th Global Network of Public Health Nursing (GNPHN) Conference, we invited nurses from diverse backgrounds to share their perspectives on climate-related research, practice, and policy.

POLICY OPTIONS: The participants agreed to form a global coalition to enhance climate advocacy by public health nurses. Here, we outline four key calls to action emerging from conference discussion: (1) building inclusive research through transdisciplinary collaboration, (2) dismantling inequities by integrating gender and race into climate governance, (3) promoting language consistency through intersectional and equity-oriented frameworks, and (4) integrating climate change content into nursing education.

CONCLUSION: GNPHN conference mobilised public health nurses, creating a platform and transforming awareness into collective action by outlining four calls to action for advancing climate action and advocacy by nurses.

RevDate: 2026-10-03
CmpDate: 2026-10-02

Cruz-Zegarra RM, Gutierrez-Gutierrez JR, Rivera-Fernandez AS, et al (2026)

Assessing Habitat Suitability and Exposure of the Endemic Vasconcellea candicans Under Climate Change and Urban Growth in Lima, Peru.

Ecology and evolution, 16(10):e74437.

Fog oases (lomas) are vegetation islands that support unique biodiversity in the coastal deserts of South America by capturing moisture from seasonal fog. Despite their ecological importance, they are among the region's most threatened ecosystems, particularly around Lima, where informal urbanisation and climate change drive their degradation. However, endemic plants inhabiting these ecosystems remain understudied under combined climatic and anthropogenic pressure. Here, ensemble species distribution modelling was integrated with urban growth projections to jointly quantify climatic and anthropogenic pressures on habitat suitability for Vasconcellea candicans, an endemic keystone of Lima's lomas. Occurrence records and environmental predictors were used to calibrate an ensemble of five algorithms under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios. Suitability outputs were intersected with current urban land cover and Land Change Modeller projections for 2050 and 2070. Random Forest showed the highest performance (AUC = 0.968, TSS = 0.773), with Temperature Annual Range (bio07) and silt content as the main predictors. The ensemble identified 2891 km[2] of current high-suitability habitat; future projections ranged from a 4% loss to a 56% gain by 2070, identifying 2020-2050 as the most critical management window for conservation intervention before urban consolidation forecloses options. Urban expansion has already affected 36.12 km[2] of high-suitability habitat and is projected to reach 126.94 km[2] by 2070 (+251%), intensifying along the southern peri-urban front, where protected areas coverage remains limited. Formally designating additional lomas units as fragile ecosystems, expanding protection to unprotected high-suitability patches, and enforcing urban growth boundaries are required to prevent further lomas encroachment.

RevDate: 2026-10-04
CmpDate: 2026-10-02

Cumming TB, Surendra H, Leder K, et al (2026)

How climate change affects mosquito-borne infectious disease: The different trajectories of malaria and dengue.

Science advances, 12(40):eaei0953.

As climate change increases temperatures, additional warmth combines with rainfall and humidity to enhance conditions for mosquito populations to thrive. Greater spread of Anopheles and Aedes vectors increases the risk of transmission of the world's most prevalent mosquito-borne infectious diseases, malaria and dengue. Yet the impacts of climate drivers on disease transmission are complex: Relationships are nonlinear, effects are seasonal, and there is substantial local variability. Further complexity is added by the many nonclimate factors that influence disease transmission, including movement of people, population growth, immunity levels, land use change, urbanization, control interventions, and quality of health care systems. Here, we explain why, despite climate drivers having broadly similar effects on malaria and dengue transmission parameters, the trajectories of the two diseases differ, with rapid growth in dengue but long-term decline in malaria.

RevDate: 2026-10-05
CmpDate: 2026-10-03

Shrivastava SR, Bobhate PS, Mendhe H, et al (2026)

Climate change, rodent ecology, and the rising risk of hantavirus outbreaks: an alarming public health concern.

Frontiers in microbiology, 17:1943856.

The Anthropocene era has been characterized by a higher risk of zoonotic viral outbreaks, which often result from a combination of factors, such as climate change, biodiversity loss, land-use patterns, and increased opportunities for human-animal interactions. The current perspective provides an integrated synthesis of how climate change-driven alterations in rodent ecology impact the molecular evolution, transmission dynamics, and emergence of hantaviruses, with an emphasis on the underlying virological mechanisms and their implications for One Health preparedness. Hantaviruses have undergone extensive diversification throughout their evolution and host adaptation and can infect rodents, bats, reptiles, and fish. Rodents serve as the principal natural reservoirs for hantaviruses, with many viral species exhibiting long-term evolutionary associations with specific rodent host species. Climate change has been recognized as one of the key determinants for the emergence of hantavirus outbreaks in different parts of the world. Climate-related factors may facilitate viral amplification through multiple mechanisms, including their impact on evolution, mutation, and reassortment. To conclude, climate change has shaped the ecology, transmission dynamics, and molecular evolution of hantaviruses by altering rodent behavior, their habitats, and the environmental persistence of viral particles. Climate-induced ecological disruption has created opportunities for viral amplification within reservoir hosts and augmented the risk of zoonotic spillover into humans. These insights provide a conceptual framework for anticipating future outbreaks in the context of climate change and support the integration of ecological, virological, and public health surveillance systems. There is an urgent need to ensure that virological preparedness strategies evolve in accordance with changing environmental conditions by strengthening genomic surveillance and integrated One Health frameworks.

RevDate: 2026-10-05

Kim SJ, HS Kim (2026)

Impacts of projected climate change on the environmental fate and distribution of polybrominated diphenyl ethers in South Korea.

Environmental science. Processes & impacts [Epub ahead of print].

PBDEs have been regulated as POPs for nearly two decades but remain ubiquitous in the global environment and in humans. In this study, we used a dynamic multimedia model to investigate the impact of climate change on the fate and transport of PBDEs under temporally constant emission conditions. Under RCP 8.5-based meteorological conditions projected for South Korea through 2100, nationwide 30-year mean concentration ratios relative to the baseline period ranged from 0.68 to 1.29 across air, freshwater, and soil, whereas annual mean ratios ranged from 0.44 to 1.86. Interannual variability was greater in freshwater and soil than in air, with maximum annual changes of -56% in soil, +86% in freshwater, and +21% in air. The major meteorological factors affecting environmental concentrations were wind speed and rainfall frequency for air, rainfall amount and temperature for soil, and rainfall amount and frequency for freshwater. Our findings show that chemicals with physicochemical properties similar to those of PBDEs may experience diminished atmospheric mobility and increased migration from terrestrial surfaces to freshwater under changing climate conditions.

RevDate: 2026-10-03

Ibrahim MF, Md Sofwan N, Phosri A, et al (2026)

Editorial: Climate change, air pollution, and health inequality: vulnerability of marginalized populations.

Frontiers in public health, 14:1957713.

RevDate: 2026-10-01
CmpDate: 2026-10-01

Abebaw SE, TG Feleke (2026)

Systematic Review of Climate Change Impacts on Ethiopia's Food Systems: Risk and Vulnerability Assessment.

Plant-environment interactions (Hoboken, N.J.), 7(5):e70207.

Climate change is a major driver of food insecurity in Ethiopia, affecting agricultural productivity, water availability, and rural livelihoods. The country's reliance on rain-fed agriculture increases its vulnerability to climate-related hazards, underscoring the need to synthesize existing evidence on climate risks and food system vulnerability. This systematic review synthesized scientific evidence on the impacts of climate change on Ethiopia's food systems, identified major climate-related risks and vulnerability factors, and assessed adaptation strategies and their policy implications. Following PRISMA guidelines, peer-reviewed studies were systematically identified from major scientific databases using predefined search terms. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 232 eligible studies were included and synthesized thematically to examine climate risks, vulnerability determinants, food system impacts, and adaptation measures. Evidence from 232 studies indicates that climate variability and climate change are major drivers of food insecurity in Ethiopia. Drought, rising temperatures, and changing rainfall patterns were the principal climate risks affecting agricultural production and food availability. Recurrent droughts accounted for approximately 60% of crop yield losses, food insecurity increased by an estimated 2.3% annually, and a 1°C rise in temperature was associated with a 10% reduction in major staple crop production. Rural households were disproportionately affected, experiencing 15% greater deterioration in food security than urban households. The reviewed studies consistently identified climate-resilient agricultural practices, irrigation expansion, and region-specific adaptation measures as key strategies for reducing climate-induced food insecurity. Climate change poses substantial risks to Ethiopia's food systems through interacting environmental and socio-economic pathways. Strengthening climate-resilient agriculture, improving water resource management, expanding social protection, and promoting locally appropriate adaptation strategies are essential to enhance food security. These findings provide evidence to inform policy, practice, and future research while highlighting the need to address regional knowledge gaps and evaluate the long-term effectiveness of adaptation interventions.

RevDate: 2026-10-01

De Marco A, Cunha M, Bonaldo A, et al (2026)

Climate change meets emerging contaminants: salinity shapes PFAS toxicity in Mytilus galloprovincialis.

Aquatic toxicology (Amsterdam, Netherlands), 301:108034 pii:S0166-445X(26)00330-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change is leading to more frequent and extreme salinity fluctuations in marine environments, and the presence of emerging per- and polyfluoroalkyl contaminants (PFAS) is attracting increasing attention. These two stressors can interact and produce different toxic scenarios. The present study investigated the combined effects of salinity (22 and 32) and perfluorohexyl acetic acid (6:2 FTA) at 10 ng/L on the biochemical responses of the Mediterranean mussel Mytilus galloprovincialis. After 28 days of exposure, a set of biochemical parameters was assessed: total antioxidant capacity (TAC), superoxide dismutase (SOD), glutathione peroxidase (GPx), glutathione reductase (GR), lipid peroxidation (LPO), protein carbonylation (PC), proline (PROL), succinate dehydrogenase system activity (MTT), electron transport system (ETS), protein (PROT), lipid (LIP), acetylcholinesterase (AChE), reduced glutathione (GSH) and oxidized glutathione (GSSG). Results revealed that salinity was the primary driver of biochemical variation. Mussels at salinity 22 showed reduced TAC and higher SOD activity, reflecting increased oxidative stress associated with the osmotic challenge. Salinity-dependent effects also emerged in response to 6:2 FTA exposure: mussels at salinity 22 exhibited lower LPO levels and MTT activity, suggesting moderate metabolic alteration. The AChE activity was higher at salinity 32, indicating an altered neurophysiological response under conditions closer to the species' optimal salinity range. Overall, exposure to 6:2 FTA resulted in limited effects on the measured biochemical endpoints under the specific experimental conditions tested in M. galloprovincialis. These findings should therefore be interpreted within the constraints of the experimental design, particularly the use of a single nominal concentration and exposure duration, but further highlight the importance of incorporating environmental variability into ecotoxicological assessments, especially in the context of climate change.

RevDate: 2026-10-01
CmpDate: 2026-10-01

Zhang W, Lv T, Gao S, et al (2026)

Climate change and human activities amplify aircraft icing risks in China: A 13-year nationwide analysis using first released pilot reports.

Journal of environmental sciences (China), 169:175-183.

Aircraft icing poses a growing environmental hazard to aviation safety, yet its linkages to climate change and anthropogenic activities remain poorly quantified. Utilizing China's first public 13-year (2011-2023) dataset of pilot reports (PIREPs) integrated with multi-source environmental and meteorological data, this study reveals how regional climate dynamics and human factors shape the spatiotemporal patterns and mechanisms of aircraft icing across China. Key findings include: (1) a distinct spatial gradient with high frequency in the southwest, moderate in the east, and low in the northwest, strongly mediated by topography, economic activity, and aerosol emissions; (2) vertical stratification of icing risks, peaking at 2-8 km, driven by moisture-temperature coupling at mid-low altitudes and jet-stream-induced uplift at higher levels; (3) a striking winter dominance (7.3 times more than summer) and a notable post-2018 upward shift of the primary icing layer (∼500 m/yr), correlated strongly with rising freezing-level heights under global warming; and (4) region-specific mechanisms are delineated as: frontal systems and aerosol microphysical effects in North China, terrain-trapped moisture in the Sichuan Basin, and ocean-jet stream interactions along the coast.These results underscore the critical role of environmental change in amplifying aviation hazards and provide a scientific basis for developing climate-resilient warning systems and mitigation strategies.

RevDate: 2026-10-02
CmpDate: 2026-10-02

Garcia Rivero AE, Sandoval Montes YV, Gabriel Campos EN, et al (2026)

The perception of the impacts of climate change in communities surrounding Lake Titicaca, Peru-Bolivia.

F1000Research, 15:412.

BACKGROUND: Climate change is increasingly transforming socio-ecological systems in high-Andean regions, particularly in communities surrounding Lake Titicaca, where livelihoods depend heavily on climate-sensitive activities such as agriculture, fisheries, livestock, and tourism. Despite growing environmental pressures, limited evidence exists regarding how local populations and institutional actors perceive climate-related impacts and adaptive responses in this transboundary region. This study analyzes climate change perceptions, perceived impacts, and adaptation capacities in communities located in Puno Bay (Peru) and Cohana Bay (Bolivia).

METHODS: A mixed-methods approach integrating quantitative and qualitative techniques was applied during fieldwork conducted in November 2024 and June 2025 in the communities of Quehuaya, Capachica, Guaqui, and Puno. Data collection included structured surveys administered to 62 community members and 26 institutional actors, semi-structured interviews, participatory workshops, and participatory mapping exercises. Descriptive statistics, chi-square tests, and Spearman correlations were used for exploratory quantitative analysis, while qualitative information was analyzed through thematic coding and socio-ecological interpretation.

RESULTS: Findings revealed high levels of climate change awareness among community members (85.5%) and institutional actors (100%). Respondents identified reduced rainfall, increasing temperatures, hydrological variability, declining agricultural productivity, reduced fish availability, and tourism-related impacts as the principal perceived effects. Significant differences were identified regarding adaptation measures (χ [2] = 14.96, p < 0.001) and institutional support (χ [2] = 18.32, p < 0.001), evidencing structural inequalities in adaptive capacity. A moderate positive correlation (ρ = 0.36, p = 0.003) was observed between climate perception and reported impacts.

CONCLUSIONS: Climate change is widely recognized across Lake Titicaca communities; however, adaptive capacity remains uneven due to disparities in institutional support, resources, and technical knowledge. Strengthening multi-level governance, participatory adaptation strategies, and transboundary cooperation is essential for improving resilience in Andean socio-ecological systems.

RevDate: 2026-09-30
CmpDate: 2026-09-30

Limaheluw J, Niese R, Bijkerk-Schram D, et al (2026)

Impacts of long-term climate change on human health: a global scoping review of quantitative research.

BMJ open, 16(9):e108532.

OBJECTIVES: Research output on the impacts of climate change and human health is growing rapidly. We aimed to synthesise peer-reviewed studies on this subject published between January 2000 and May 2024.

DESIGN: Scoping review.

DATA SOURCES: Literature was collected from PubMed, Embase and Scopus on 11 November 2019, 25 June 2021 and 22 April 2024.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included English language quantitative peer-reviewed primary research articles about the impacts of long-term climate change (ie, as opposed to effects of weather or single climatic events with the exception of attribution studies) on human health.

DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: Two reviewers independently screened titles and abstracts. Full-texts were screened by single reviewers, although 23% of publications selected for full-text screening received an independent second-screening. Reported exposures and health outcomes were classified. Reported quantitative effects of long-term climate change on human health were coded as increasing, decreasing, variable or non-significant.

RESULTS: From 60 781 initial records we included 1223 quantitative publications in this scoping review. Health impacts of long-term climate change were studied most often in Europe, the Americas and the Western Pacific. Studies on temperature and on disease vectors, including the diseases they transmit, represented 39.3% and 30.9% of all included publications, respectively. Included results covered over 100 specific health outcomes. Diarrhoeal diseases, malaria, dengue, ischaemic heart disease and stroke were the most studied specific health outcomes. While infectious diseases were often studied in low- and middle-income countries, non-communicable diseases were rarely examined in this context. About 20% of included publications provided retrospective results, demonstrating that climate change is already impacting human health in variable ways globally. About 80% of included publications provided prospective results, projecting mostly variable or increasing impacts on human health over the coming decades.

CONCLUSIONS: Our scoping review provides a comprehensive overview of existing evidence about the impacts of long-term climate change on human health. Currently, differences in research methodologies make it difficult to directly compare study findings. The outcomes of this review can help to harmonise future climate change and health research and support evidence-based climate change adaptation.

RevDate: 2026-09-30

Wang K, Lu Y, Liu X, et al (2026)

Distinct roles of climate change and variability in driving runoff generation capacity changes across China's large reservoirs.

Science bulletin pii:S2095-9273(26)01094-7 [Epub ahead of print].

China has constructed over 900 large reservoirs to impound runoff from upstream drainage areas, supplying freshwater for industrial, agricultural, and domestic uses. Sufficient and stable runoff generation capacities across the drainage areas of these reservoirs are pivotal for securing sustainable water supply, yet they may be compromised under a changing climate. Nonetheless, changes in these capacities and their drivers remain unknown. Here, we integrate observation-based hydroclimatic data with georeferenced drainage boundaries to calculate runoff coefficients for 913 large reservoirs across China, thereby approximating the interannual magnitude and variability of runoff generation capacities. Nearly 40% of reservoirs exhibit decreasing and stabilizing runoff generation capacities from 1961 to 2018, mainly concentrated along a northeast-southwest stretch, whereas 60% show increasing and fluctuating trends on either side of this stretch. Attribution using an ensemble of Global Hydrological Models (GHMs) reveals distinct roles of anthropogenic climate change (ACC) and natural climate variability (NCV) in driving the magnitude and variability of runoff coefficients. Specifically, ACC and NCV jointly determine interannual magnitude changes, with ACC dominating 48% of reservoirs and NCV dominating 52%. NCV governs interannual variability changes, with median contribution rates ranging from 68% to 97% across different water resource regions. Given that ACC and NCV respectively drive directional and periodic changes, ACC-dominated reservoirs require targeted management-safeguarding supply where magnitude declines and expanding storage where it increases-whereas NCV-dominated reservoirs require improved early warning systems, enhanced short-term forecasting, and disaster response plans to reduce the adverse impacts of alternating drought and flood episodes.

RevDate: 2026-09-30

Nekmahmud M, Ramkissoon H, M Fekete-Farkas (2026)

Corrigendum to 'Pro-environmental behavior in climate change mitigation: The role of psychological distance' [Acta Psychologica 268 (2026) 107223].

RevDate: 2026-10-01
CmpDate: 2026-10-01

Liu Z, Wu Z, Zohner CM, et al (2026)

Vegetation Phenology Shifts Under Climate Change: Cross-Season Mechanisms and Consequences for Ecosystem Productivity.

Global change biology, 32(10):e71112.

Vegetation phenology-the timing of recurring life-cycle events-has shifted markedly under climate change, with far-reaching consequences for terrestrial ecosystems and the climate system. Yet phenological research has largely focused on discrete events, often overlooking the continuous and seasonally connected nature of vegetation development. Here, we synthesize recent evidence into a cross-season framework in which spring (start of the growing season), peak (timing of maximum greenness/photosynthetic capacity), and autumn (end of the growing season) phenology are treated as dynamically linked phases. Within this framework, spring phenology is governed by chilling-forcing dynamics, which are modulated by contemporary environmental cues, previous-year autumn phenology, and resource status. Peak phenology is primarily driven by early-season development and carbon uptake, both of which are influenced by spring phenology and temperature. Autumn phenology integrates late-season environmental conditions with legacies of earlier development, mediated by carbon source-sink balance and water and nutrient availability. Across these phases, the evidence points to reciprocal coupling between phenology, carbon uptake, and developmental processes: phenological shifts reshape the seasonal trajectory of productivity and growth, and the resulting carbon dynamics feedback to regulate subsequent developmental transitions. This seasonally integrated perspective provides a mechanistic basis for predicting how non-linear, season-specific climate change will reorganize the terrestrial carbon cycle, and calls for phenology models that explicitly represent cross-season linkages.

RevDate: 2026-10-01
CmpDate: 2026-10-01

Zheng Y, Leung JC, Li S, et al (2026)

Anthropogenic climate change is causing stronger and more extreme western Pacific subtropical high.

National science review, 13(18):nwag497.

The western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) is a crucial system controlling weather anomalies in East Asia. Early studies defined the WPSH using either thermodynamic or dynamic metrics, but these metrics yield inconsistent trends and coverages in WPSH under anthropogenic warming. Subsequently, consensus on the response of WPSH to climate change has not been reached. Here, we investigate the response of WPSH to past and future climate change by developing a novel WPSH definition based on thermodynamic-dynamic synergy, which provides higher trend consistency of WPSH and better spatiotemporal agreement with weather anomalies. Our results reveal robust increases in WPSH area (0.25-1.03 × 10[5] km[2]/decade) and intensity (0.35-1.98 × 10[5] km[2] gpm/decade), as well as a northwestward extension of WPSH boundary (-0.18 to -0.32 °E/decade), under a warmer climate, which are consistent across datasets and supported by a strong inter-model consensus. Particularly, climate models project an increased likelihood of record-breaking WPSH events on both seasonal and synoptic scales, with stronger intensity, longer durations, and higher occurrences under higher-emission scenarios. The findings indicate an increasing exposure of human societies to intense monsoon rainfall and heatwave risks associated with WPSH beyond historical records.

RevDate: 2026-09-30
CmpDate: 2026-09-29

Duan D, Xu H, You M, et al (2026)

Habitat suitability and active component responses of Eleutherococcus senticosus under climate change: implications for conservation and wild tending.

Frontiers in plant science, 17:1871650.

INTRODUCTION: Eleutherococcus senticosus (Rupr. & Maxim.) Maxim. is an important medicinal shrub with increasing demand for its wild resources. However, the responses of its future habitat suitability and medicinal quality to global environmental change remain poorly understood.

METHODS: Future climate projections under multiple Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios, land-use dynamics, HPLC fingerprint data, and ensemble species distribution models were integrated to evaluate the habitat suitability, medicinal quality, and conservation priorities of E. senticosus in Heilongjiang Province.

RESULTS: Climate variables, particularly Bio18, Bio11, and Bio08, were identified as the dominant drivers of habitat suitability, whereas land-use change exerted comparatively limited effects on habitat dynamics. Future climate change was projected to expand the overall suitable habitat of E. senticosus in Heilongjiang Province while reducing the extent of highly suitable habitats. The areas with high contents of the five major bioactive compounds, namely coniferin, syringin, eleutheroside E, isofraxidin, and syringaresinol-4'-O-β-D-glucopyranoside, were all projected to increase under future climate scenarios. Priority conservation analysis based on habitat suitability showed that existing nature reserves covered only 12.899% of the identified priority conservation areas. Wild tending priority areas, identified by integrating habitat suitability and medicinal component distributions, were mainly concentrated in the Lesser Khingan Mountains under current climate conditions but were projected to shift toward the western Lesser Khingan Mountains under future climate change.

DISCUSSION: These findings provide theoretical support for the conservation, wild tending, standardized management, and sustainable utilization of E. senticosus.

RevDate: 2026-09-29
CmpDate: 2026-09-29

Lago-González P, Acuña-Alonso C, X Álvarez (2026)

Projected climate change could expand the geographical suitability of Acacia dealbata into new temperate areas.

Environmental monitoring and assessment, 198(10):.

Acacia dealbata (Link) is enlisted as an invasive alien species in several regions where it was introduced. The invasiveness of the species relies on its resilience to disturbances such as bushfires or water depletion, humans favouring their introduction, or their ability for nitrification of soils. Understanding the potential spread of the species and their climatic niche is of great interest given their ease to invade new environments. In this research, we aimed to predict the potential distribution of A. dealbata in Quercus robur L. forests. Maximum entropy models were developed to simulate the past, present, and future climatic niche suitability for A. dealbata and Q. robur. The potential distributions of the species in several periods of study were compared through Schoener's and Hellinger's indices, and climatic profiles were developed as result of variable contributions and response curves. The models performed with great accuracy. The variables accounting the most for the distribution of the species were related to temperature. The main hotspot of niche overlap between Q. robur and Acacia dealbata was Europe. Our results showed that even if both species share an important extent of area worldwide, their suitable climatic niches do not completely overlap.

RevDate: 2026-09-30

Liu H, Shu P, Peng X, et al (2026)

Climate-driven per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances transfer via Drosophila from landfills in China: A hidden biological vector under global warming.

Environmental pollution (Barking, Essex : 1987), 411(Pt A):129264 pii:S0269-7491(26)01634-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Drosophila, as saprophagous and highly mobile insects, may serve as emerging biological vectors for per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFASs) in landfill environments. This study quantified the bioconcentration potential of PFASs in Drosophila under both leachate and standard PFASs exposures across life stages, exploring the effects of physicochemical properties of PFASs on bioconcentration. A feature-based model integrating temperature and humidity was developed to simulate bioconcentration factors (BCFs), which were used to estimate PFAS transfer fluxes across national landfill sites under various Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP, SSP1-1.9 to SSP5-8.5). Results revealed that PFAS bioconcentration in Drosophila was governed by both chemical properties (e.g., chain length, polarity) and climatic factors, with BCFs showing non-linear inverted U-shaped responses to temperature and humidity. Climate-driven simulations demonstrated that national PFAS transfer via Drosophila will increase significantly under warming scenarios in Chinese landfills, especially for emerging compounds such as hexafluoropropylene oxide dimer acid (GenX) and 6:2 fluorotelomer sulfonate (6:2 FTS). Although the current estimated PFAS transfer via Drosophila (1.49 kg yr[-1]) is lower than leachate discharge, its persistence, cross-media mobility, and biological amplification underscore its environmental significance. This study provides the first climate-sensitive framework for evaluating PFAS migration mediated by insects and highlights the need to incorporate biological vectors into PFAS risk assessments.

RevDate: 2026-09-30
CmpDate: 2026-09-30

Leach O, Peers MJL, Earle A, et al (2026)

Overwintering Strategies Drive Climate Change Impacts on Body Mass in Northern Mammals.

Global change biology, 32(10):e71132.

Climate change drives variable shifts in mammalian body sizes, yet the mechanisms underlying this variation remain unclear. Two explanations prevail: (1) higher temperatures reduce thermal constraints, favouring smaller bodies; or (2) warming enhances primary productivity, supporting larger bodies. We propose that species' overwintering strategies, which mitigate exposure to winter temperatures, determine which mechanism predominates. Using ~50 years of body mass data, we tested these hypotheses in three small mammals with contrasting natural histories in the rapidly warming Yukon, Canada. Snowshoe hares (Lepus americanus), exposed to ambient winter conditions, declined in mass over time and responded negatively to temperature and snow. In subnivean species, deer mice (Peromyscus maniculatus) showed no long-term trend but increased body mass with growing degree days, whereas red-backed voles (Clethrionomys rutilus) increased with temperature and snow. The results demonstrate that overwintering ecology mediates climate-driven body mass change, emphasizing the role of natural history in shaping species' responses to warming.

RevDate: 2026-09-30
CmpDate: 2026-09-30

Chen P, Ma H, Fang Y, et al (2026)

Climate Change Impacts on the Distribution Patterns and Habitat Suitability of the Oriental Stork (Ciconia boyciana) in China: Implications for the "30 × 30" Conservation Targets.

Ecology and evolution, 16(10):e74424.

The Oriental Stork (Ciconia boyciana), a wetland flagship species, faces threats from climate change and human activities. Assessing habitat suitability dynamics and identifying priority conservation areas are essential for implementing the "30 × 30" target of the Kunming-Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. We integrated an optimized MaxEnt model with the HSI-InVEST habitat quality model to predict potential suitable habitats and key drivers for this species in China under current and future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5, 2041-2100), and delineated priority conservation areas. The optimized MaxEnt model performed excellently (mean AUC = 0.943). Six dominant factors were identified: altitude (suitable range: -3.5 to 11.7 m), precipitation of the wettest month, distance to lakes, distance to roads, mean diurnal temperature range, and precipitation of the coldest quarter. Currently, suitable habitat covers 106.57 × 10[4] km[2] (11.1% of China's land area), mainly in eastern China. Under future scenarios, suitable habitat is projected to expand (0.22%-7.82%) and the centroid of potentially suitable habitat is projected to shift northeastward (centroid migration: 16.82-77.22 km), with precipitation as a key driver. Overlaying MaxEnt predictions with HSI-InVEST habitat quality identified priority areas (suitability ≥ 0.4, habitat quality index ≥ 0.8), concentrated in lake beach and floodplain wetlands of the North China Plain, Huang-Huai-Hai Plain, and Jianghuai region. We recommend designating these priority areas as core conservation zones with strict spatial control and hydrological regulation, and planning ecological corridors in northeastern expansion zones. This multi-model coupling framework provides theoretical support for optimizing wetland waterbird conservation strategies.

RevDate: 2026-09-30
CmpDate: 2026-09-30

Rougeau K, BD Elderd (2026)

We Are Dying to Eat You: Cannibalism and Disease Transmission Under Global Climate Change.

Ecology and evolution, 16(10):e74403.

In terrestrial ecosystems, climate change may alter host-pathogen dynamics along with interactions between hosts due to rising global temperatures and carbon dioxide levels. As carbon dioxide levels increase, plants may decrease their nitrogen-carbon ratio, which may decrease plant quality for herbivores and alter species interactions. Here, we examined disease transmission, a host-pathogen interaction, and cannibalism, an interaction between hosts, using the fall armyworm (Spodoptera frugiperda), a cannibalistic agricultural pest, and its species-specific lethal baculovirus, Spodoptera frugiperda multiple nucleopolyhedrovirus (SfMNPV), under various potential challenges of climate change. We used three temperature treatments (cooler, optimal, warmer) based on the fall armyworm's thermal performance curve to simulate a changing climate and four artificial diets with various protein-to-carbohydrate ratios (low, equal, high, standard) to manipulate resource quality due to changes in nitrogen-carbon ratio from increasing carbon dioxide levels. After molting to the fourth instar, experimental larvae were presented with a virus-infected or uninfected conspecific. Cannibalism incidence and final infection status of the experimental larvae were recorded. For the experimental larvae that survived and did not become infected, pupal mass was measured as a fitness proxy. We found that higher temperatures increased cannibalism in larvae on all resource types. Larvae cannibalized more when provided with a lower protein diet. Warmer temperatures led to slightly higher disease transmission, though diet type did not influence infection results in cannibals. Changes in global temperatures and carbon dioxide levels could cause more frequent cannibalism in the fall armyworm and similar species, though disease transmission from cannibalism alone may not increase substantially. We also found significant differences in fitness estimates between each temperature and diet treatment; individuals fed more carbohydrates (lower protein) and kept at cooler temperatures had larger pupal masses, indicating potentially higher fitness, while individuals fed more protein and kept at warmer temperatures had lower fitness potential. Under climate change, increases in temperature and carbon dioxide levels affect both host-pathogen dynamics and intraspecific interactions between hosts with varied effects on host fitness. By examining the multiple potential effects of climate change instead of examining each factor in isolation, a clearer picture of how climate change will affect ecological systems can be more thoroughly developed.

RevDate: 2026-09-30

Anton-Sales C, Severing E, McClung CR, et al (2026)

Breeding on Time: Plant Chronobiology in the Face of Climate Change.

Plant & cell physiology pii:8853800 [Epub ahead of print].

When considering the future of agriculture, one envisions the effects of climate crisis placing unprecedented pressure on our food systems. Temperature fluctuations are expected to reach extremes; droughts, floods and severe weather events occurring more often. Overall, environmental signals will become less predictable, less reliable. Plants have highly accurate environmental sensing and signalling mechanisms, allowing them to predict, adjust, and acclimate to diverse environmental cues. In crops, these systems will be key to adjusting to the conditions imposed by the climate crisis. Of these, the circadian clock plays two key complementary roles: first, it is entrained by environmental signals such as light and temperature, which reset its phase to maintain daily alignment with the external environment; second, it gates biological processes including flowering, growth, and stress responses to specific times of day or season, optimising them according to predictable environmental cycles. Both functions directly correlate with fitness and yield, and represent promising but underexplored targets for developing climate-resilient crops. In this review, we compile current knowledge at the intersection of circadian clocks and environmental responses, namely light and temperature sensing and signalling mechanisms in model and non-model species. In addition, we identify knowledge gaps and describe the potential for plant chronobiology findings to be applied in breeding programmes to ultimately aid the development of climate-resilient crops.

▼ ▼ LOAD NEXT 100 CITATIONS

ESP Quick Facts

ESP Origins

In the early 1990's, Robert Robbins was a faculty member at Johns Hopkins, where he directed the informatics core of GDB — the human gene-mapping database of the international human genome project. To share papers with colleagues around the world, he set up a small paper-sharing section on his personal web page. This small project evolved into The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Support

In 1995, Robbins became the VP/IT of the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, WA. Soon after arriving in Seattle, Robbins secured funding, through the ELSI component of the US Human Genome Project, to create the original ESP.ORG web site, with the formal goal of providing free, world-wide access to the literature of classical genetics.

ESP Rationale

Although the methods of molecular biology can seem almost magical to the uninitiated, the original techniques of classical genetics are readily appreciated by one and all: cross individuals that differ in some inherited trait, collect all of the progeny, score their attributes, and propose mechanisms to explain the patterns of inheritance observed.

ESP Goal

In reading the early works of classical genetics, one is drawn, almost inexorably, into ever more complex models, until molecular explanations begin to seem both necessary and natural. At that point, the tools for understanding genome research are at hand. Assisting readers reach this point was the original goal of The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Usage

Usage of the site grew rapidly and has remained high. Faculty began to use the site for their assigned readings. Other on-line publishers, ranging from The New York Times to Nature referenced ESP materials in their own publications. Nobel laureates (e.g., Joshua Lederberg) regularly used the site and even wrote to suggest changes and improvements.

ESP Content

When the site began, no journals were making their early content available in digital format. As a result, ESP was obliged to digitize classic literature before it could be made available. For many important papers — such as Mendel's original paper or the first genetic map — ESP had to produce entirely new typeset versions of the works, if they were to be available in a high-quality format.

ESP Help

Early support from the DOE component of the Human Genome Project was critically important for getting the ESP project on a firm foundation. Since that funding ended (nearly 20 years ago), the project has been operated as a purely volunteer effort. Anyone wishing to assist in these efforts should send an email to Robbins.

ESP Plans

With the development of methods for adding typeset side notes to PDF files, the ESP project now plans to add annotated versions of some classical papers to its holdings. We also plan to add new reference and pedagogical material. We have already started providing regularly updated, comprehensive bibliographies to the ESP.ORG site.

Electronic Scholarly Publishing
961 Red Tail Lane
Bellingham, WA 98226

E-mail: RJR8222 @ gmail.com

Papers in Classical Genetics

The ESP began as an effort to share a handful of key papers from the early days of classical genetics. Now the collection has grown to include hundreds of papers, in full-text format.

Digital Books

Along with papers on classical genetics, ESP offers a collection of full-text digital books, including many works by Darwin and even a collection of poetry — Chicago Poems by Carl Sandburg.

Timelines

ESP now offers a large collection of user-selected side-by-side timelines (e.g., all science vs. all other categories, or arts and culture vs. world history), designed to provide a comparative context for appreciating world events.

Biographies

Biographical information about many key scientists (e.g., Walter Sutton).

Selected Bibliographies

Bibliographies on several topics of potential interest to the ESP community are automatically maintained and generated on the ESP site.

ESP Picks from Around the Web (updated 28 JUL 2024 )